Banco de Datos de la Economía Mexicana 1980 - 2020BANCO DE DATOS DE LA ECONOMÍA MEXICANA...
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Banco de Datos de la Economía Mexicana 1980 - 2020 Para uso exclusivo de la Universidad del Valle de México CAMACRO, S.C. www.camacro.com.mx D.R. © CAMACRO, S.C. Derechos reservados, prohibida su reproducción parcial o total para fines de lucro. Banco Mensual Núm. 147 / Enero 2015
Transcript of Banco de Datos de la Economía Mexicana 1980 - 2020BANCO DE DATOS DE LA ECONOMÍA MEXICANA...
Banco de Datos de la Economía Mexicana
1980 - 2020
Para uso exclusivo de la Universidad del Valle de México
CAMACRO, S.C.www.camacro.com.mx
D.R. © CAMACRO, S.C. Derechos reservados, prohibida su reproducción parcial o total para �nes de lucro.
Banco Mensual Núm. 147 / Enero 2015
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ÍNDICE GENERAL
Carta de Presentación
Resumen Ejecutivo en Gráficas
CAPÍTULO IEscenario Macroeconómico: Corto y Mediano Plazo
2012-2017
CAPÍTULO IIEscenario Macroeconómico: Largo Plazo
2015-2020
CAPÍTULO IIICrecimiento Económico por Sexenios 1982-2018
y Criterios Generales de Política Económica para 2014 y 2015
CAPÍTULO IVProyecciones Macroeconómicas
2015-2020
CAPÍTULO VIndicadores Económicos de Coyuntura
2014-2015
Carta de Presentación!!!!!
El Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico es una empresa de consultoría independiente especializada en estudios de prospectiva macroeconómica, y está
conformada por investigadores de diversas disciplinas de las ciencias sociales. Entre los trabajos de investigación que realiza, se encuentra la elaboración mensual del BANCO DE DATOS DE LA ECONOMÍA MEXICANA 1980-2020. El Banco Mensual tiene como objetivo
proporcionar información histórica, coyuntural y de índole prospectiva de la economía mexicana, así como de las principales economías avanzadas y emergentes del mundo. !!
La información estadística contenida en el BANCO DE DATOS DE LA ECONOMÍA MEXICANA 1980-2020, está organizada de tal manera que su localización resulte fácil, mediante vínculos lógicos, ya que la información está clasificada por temas y subtemas.
Además, la información estadística de cada uno de los cuadros está organizada del tal forma que su lectura e interpretación sea sencilla y útil para el análisis macroeconómico. Del total de los 287 cuadros que conforman el Banco de Datos, 220 en específico cubren el periodo que va de 1980 a 2020: la información histórica abarca el lapso 1980-2014, en tanto que el escenario prospectivo “base” el periodo 2015-2020. Finalmente, los cuadros estadísticos y las proyecciones macroeconómicas se actualizan mensualmente, conforme las instituciones generadoras de información -tanto oficiales como privadas, nacionales e internacionales- la
difunden. Las Bases de Datos del presente documento se pueden exportar a Excel mediante el programa Adobe Acrobat versión XI Pro.!!!
La Economía en Gráficas
Gráfica 1. Crecimiento de la Economía Mundial: Países Avanzados y Emergentes
Gráfica 2. Crecimiento Económico de los Países Miembros del TLC: Estados Unidos, Canadá y México
Gráfica 3. Crecimiento Económico de América Latina y México
Gráfica 4. Índice Relativo de Desarrollo Económico de México
Gráfica 5. Evolución de la Pobreza en México
Gráfica 6. Índice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor
Gráfica 7. Inflación Subyacente vs. No Subyacente
Gráfica 8. Precio Anual Promedio de la Gasolina: México vs. EUA
Gráfica 9. Tasas de Interés en México: Nominal vs. Real
Gráfica 10. Índice del Tipo de Cambio Real Bilateral México-EUA
Gráfica 11. Exportaciones de la Industria Manufacturera
Gráfica 12. Exportación de Mercancías: Petroleras vs. No Petroleras
Gráfica 13. Precio Internacional del Petróleo: Mezcla Mexicana vs. WTI
Gráfica 14. Producción de Crudo y Plataforma Petrolera de Exportación
Grafica 15. Participación en el Mercado de EUA: México vs. China
Grafica 16. Balanza de Pagos de México: Cuenta Corriente, de Capital y Reserva Internacional
Gráfica 17. Sector Público: Ingreso, Gasto y Balance Fiscal
Gráfica 18. Sector Público: Gasto Corriente vs. Inversión Física Presupuestal
-‐6.0
-‐4.0
-‐2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
%
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-‐2020
Gráfica 1 Crecimiento de la Economía Mundial: Países Avanzados y Emergentes, 2000-‐2020
(Variación % anual del PIB real)
PIB Mundo PIB Países Avanzados PIB Países Emergentes
-‐6.0
-‐4.0
-‐2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
%
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-‐2020
Gráfica 2 Crecimiento Económico de los Países Miembros del TLC: Estados Unidos, Canadá y México, 2000-‐2020
(Variación % anual del PIB real)
PIB México PIB Canadá PIB Estados Unidos
-‐6.0
-‐4.0
-‐2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
%
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-‐2020
Gráfica 3 Crecimiento Económico de América LaIna y México, 2000-‐2020
(Variación % anual del PIB real)
PIB América La-na y el Caribe PIB México
110.0
120.0
130.0
140.0
150.0
160.0
170.0
180.0
190.0
200.0
210.0
Indice PIB Per Cáp
ita M
undo
=100
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2015-‐2020
Gráfica 4 Indice RelaIvo de Desarrollo Económico de México, 1980-‐2020
(PIB Per Cápita Mundial PPP = 100)
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
%
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2015-‐2020
Gráfica 5 Evolución de la Pobreza en México, 1980-‐2020
(Porcentajes del total de la población)
Pobreza Alimentaria Pobreza de Capacidades Pobreza de Patrimonio
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
%
Gráfica 6 Indice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor, 2000-‐2020
(Variación % promedio anual)
Datos observados Proyecciones CAMACRO
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
%
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2015-‐2020
Gráfica 7 Inflación Subyacente vs. No Subyacente, 2000-‐2020
(Variación % promedio anual)
Inflación Subyacente Inflación No Subyacente
Meta Inflacionaria del Banco de México: 3.0% (+/-‐ un punto porcentual)
$4.00
$5.00
$6.00
$7.00
$8.00
$9.00
$10.00
$11.00
$12.00
$13.00
$14.00
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Pesos p
or litro
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2015-‐2020
Gráfica 8 Precio Anual Promedio de la Gasolina Automotriz: México vs. EUA, 2003-‐2020
(Pesos por litro)
Precio Gasolina EUA Precio Gasolina Magna en la Frontera Norte
-‐2.00
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
%
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2015-‐2020
Grafica 9 Tasas de Interés en México: Nominal vs. Real, 2000-‐2020
(Promedio anual en porciento)
Tasa Nominal Cetes a 28 días Tasa Real Cetes a 28 días
60.00
70.00
80.00
90.00
100.00
110.00
120.00
130.00
140.00
150.00
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Indice 199
0=10
0
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2015-‐2020
Gráfica 10 Indice del Tipo de Cambio Real Bilateral México-‐EUA, 1975-‐2020
(Nivel de equilibrio del .po de cambio peso-‐dólar 1990=100 )
Perdidad de compe66vidad: menos de 80 puntos
Peso subvaluado Peso sobrevaluado
-‐30.0
-‐20.0
-‐10.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
%
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2015-‐2020
Gráfica 11 Exportación de Mercancías: Manufacturas vs. Industria Automotriz, 2000-‐2020
(Variación % anual)
Manufacturas Industria Automotriz
-‐30.0
-‐20.0
-‐10.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
%
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2015-‐2020
Gráfica 11 Exportación de Mercancías: Manufacturas vs. Industria Automotriz, 2000-‐2020
(Variación % anual)
Manufacturas Industria Automotriz
-‐50.0
-‐30.0
-‐10.0
10.0
30.0
50.0
70.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
%
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2015-‐2020
Gráfica 12 Exportación de Mercancías: Petroleras vs. No Petroleras, 2000-‐2020
(Variación % anual)
Exportaciones Petroleras Exportaciones No Petroleras
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Dólares p
or barril de pe
tróleo
crudo
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2015-‐2020
Gráfica 13 Precio Internacional del Petróleo: Mezcla Mexicana vs. WTI, 2000-‐2020
(Dólares por barril)
West Texas Intermediate Mezcla Mexicana
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Miles d
e ba
rriles d
iario
s en prom
edio
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2015-‐2020
Gráfica 14 Producción de Crudo y Plataforma Petrolera de Exportación, 1980-‐2020
(Miles de barriles diarios en promedio)
Producción de Crudo Plataforma Petrolera de Exportación
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
22.0
24.0
1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
%
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2015-‐2020
Gráfica 15 ParBcipación en el Mercado de EUA: México vs. China, 1985-‐2020
(% en el total de las importaciones de EUA)
China México
-‐100,000
-‐50,000
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Millon
es de dó
lares
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2015-‐2020
Gráfica 16 Balanza de Pagos de México:
Cuenta Corriente, de Capital y Reserva Internacional, 2000-‐2020 (Millones de dólares)
Cuenta Corriente Cuenta de Capital Reserva Internacional
-‐5.00
-‐2.50
0.00
2.50
5.00
7.50
10.00
12.50
15.00
17.50
20.00
22.50
25.00
27.50
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
% del PIB
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2015-‐2020
Gráfica 17 Sector Público: Ingreso, Gasto y Balance Fiscal, 2000-‐2020
(Porcentajes del PIB)
Ingreso Presupuestal Gasto Neto Presupuestal Requerimientos Financieros del Sector Público
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
% del PIB
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2015-‐2020
Gráfica 18 Sector Público: Gasto Corriente vs. Inversión Física Presupuestal, 2000-‐2020
(Porcentajes del PIB)
Gasto Corriente Inversión Física Presupuestal
CAPÍTULO IEscenario Macroeconómico
Corto y Mediano Plazo 2012-2017
Escenario Macroeconómico(Primera Parte)
Escenario Macroeconómico(Segunda Parte)
Escenario Macroeconómico(Tercera Parte)
I-1
Escenario MacroeconómicoCorto y Mediano Plazo 2012-2017
Indicadores Datos observados Proyecciones CAMACROMacroeconómicos 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Población Total Mls. de Personas 117,054 118,395 119,713 121,006 122,273 123,518% Var. 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0Población Económicamente Activa Mls. de Personas 51,229 51,787 51,924 52,468 53,180 54,299% Var. 3.0 1.1 0.3 1.0 1.4 2.1Población Ocupada Mls. de Personas 39,263 38,996 39,295 39,813 40,593 41,809% Var. 2.9 -0.7 0.8 1.3 2.0 3.0Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación Mls. de Personas 5,818 5,808 5,704 5,552 5,412 5,139% PEA 11.4 11.2 11.0 10.6 10.2 9.5Empleo Sector Informal Mls. de Personas 13,970 13,921 13,546 13,144 12,736 12,316% PEA 28.7 28.3 27.4 26.3 25.1 23.6Laboran en Estados Unidos Mls. de Personas 7,591 7,557 7,513 7,563 7,664 7,823% PEA de EUA 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8
PIB Nominal Mills. Pesos 15,627,712 16,121,442 17,014,519 18,024,847 19,333,101 21,035,537% Var. 7.4 3.2 5.5 5.9 7.3 8.8Deflactor del PIB Indice 2008=100 117.6 119.7 123.8 127.3 131.3 135.8% Var. 3.3 1.7 3.4 2.8 3.1 3.4
PIB Real Mills. Ps. 2008 13,286,154 13,470,942 13,747,813 14,162,378 14,728,877 15,491,725% Var. 4.0 1.4 2.1 3.0 4.0 5.2PIB Agropecuario Mills. Ps. 2008 405,253 409,091 423,024 419,014 430,354 418,488% Var. 7.4 0.9 3.4 -0.9 2.7 -2.8PIB Industrial Mills. Ps. 2008 4,552,813 4,527,815 4,609,271 4,769,999 5,012,200 5,345,630% Var. 2.8 -0.5 1.8 3.5 5.1 6.7PIB Servicios Mills. Ps. 2008 7,985,784 8,186,255 8,359,705 8,607,803 8,906,084 9,327,638% Var. 4.5 2.5 2.1 3.0 3.5 4.7
PIB por Habitante Pesos de 2008 113,503 113,778 114,838 117,033 120,441 125,379% Var. 2.8 0.2 0.9 1.9 2.9 4.1
Consumo Privado Mills. Ps. 2008 8,911,848 9,106,081 9,287,946 9,565,814 9,936,828 10,430,918% Var. 4.9 2.2 2.0 3.0 3.9 5.0
Continúa
I-2
Continuación
Indicadores Datos observados Proyecciones CAMACROMacroeconómicos 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Inversión Fija Bruta Mills. Ps. 2008 2,938,192 2,892,270 2,957,642 3,087,140 3,307,496 3,654,951% Var. 4.8 -1.6 2.3 4.4 7.1 10.5
Indice Nacional de Precios Consumidor 2q. dic. 2010=100 107.25 111.51 116.06 119.86 124.03 128.91% Var. Dic./dic. 3.6 4.0 4.1 3.3 3.5 3.9
Tipo de Cambio Peso-Dólar Prom. Anual 13.1613 12.7724 13.3056 14.4729 14.0184 13.7885% Var. 5.8 -3.0 4.2 8.8 -3.1 -1.6Indice Tipo de Cambio Real Indice 1990=100 89.0 84.4 85.9 91.5 87.5 84.9% Var. 3.8 -5.1 1.8 6.6 -4.4 -3.1% de Sobre (-) o Sub (+) valuación del Peso -11.0 -15.6 -14.1 -8.5 -12.5 -15.1
Remuneración Media Mensual Real 7,602 7,695 7,761 7,953 8,173 8,426% Var. Pesos de 2008 0.6 1.2 0.9 2.5 2.8 3.1
Cuenta Corriente Mills. de dólares -15,431 -26,485 -24,454 -36,116 -29,764 -33,230 Balanza comercial 18 -1,184 -2,442 -18,259 -11,438 -11,730 Balanza servicios y transferencias -15,449 -25,301 -22,012 -17,858 -18,326 -21,500Cuenta de Capital 54,966 63,805 59,643 70,966 64,004 65,347 Endeudamiento externo neto 14,357 43,328 38,194 46,423 40,749 38,963 Inversión extranjera directa 18,131 42,093 21,489 26,785 32,321 37,077 Inversión extranjera de cartera 56,517 21,030 28,297 20,710 31,830 42,940 Activos -34,039 -42,647 -28,337 -22,952 -40,896 -53,633Variación de la Reserva Internacional Neta 21,040 13,006 16,717 14,640 11,146 7,530Saldo de la Reserva Internacional 163,515 176,522 193,239 207,879 219,025 226,556
Deuda Externa Total Millones de dólares 213,410 240,703 261,337 308,502 342,410 374,200% PIB 17.1 19.5 22.5 24.2 24.6 24.5Intereses Millones de dólares 20,296 23,276 25,335 30,086 33,603 37,081% Exportación bienes y servicios 5.1 5.6 5.8 6.5 6.6 6.4
Continúa
I-3
Continuación
Indicadores Datos observados Proyecciones CAMACROMacroeconómicos 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Tasa Valores Privados Promedio anual 4.73 4.25 3.55 3.49 4.82 6.24% real 1.22 0.35 -0.45 0.27 1.40 2.40Tasa Cetes a 28 días Promedio anual 4.24 3.75 3.00 2.95 4.25 5.66% real 0.73 -0.15 -1.00 -0.27 0.83 1.81Tasa Política Monetaria Banxico Promedio anual 4.50 3.97 3.21 3.23 4.49 5.88% real 0.99 0.06 -0.79 0.01 1.07 2.03
Ahorro Financiero Saldo Mills. Ps. 2010 9,278,536 9,744,281 10,497,363 11,420,079 12,869,563 15,184,629Var.% 10.9 5.0 7.7 8.8 12.7 18.0Crédito al Sector Privado Saldo Mills. Ps. 2010 2,133,764 2,247,946 2,337,517 2,553,849 2,912,806 3,475,735Var.% 7.8 5.4 4.0 9.3 14.1 19.3
Ingreso Presupuestal Millones de pesos 3,514,530 3,800,416 3,983,412 4,188,810 4,453,639 4,867,144Var. % real 3.2 4.2 0.8 2.1 2.7 5.2Gasto Presupuestal Neto Millones de pesos 3,920,305 4,178,322 4,530,629 4,825,984 5,062,302 5,416,615Var. % real 3.7 2.7 4.2 3.4 1.3 3.0Balance Fiscal Amplio RFSP Millones de pesos -502,126 -483,783 -678,318 -730,379 -699,762 -646,881% PIB -3.2 -3.0 -4.0 -4.0 -3.6 -3.1
PIB Real de Estados Unidos Bills. Dls. 2009 15,369 15,710 16,090 16,590 17,073 17,655Var.% 2.3 2.2 2.4 3.1 2.9 3.4Producción Industrial Indice 2007=100 97.1 99.9 104.2 108.5 112.5 117.3Var.% 3.8 2.9 4.3 4.2 3.7 4.3Indice Precios al Consumidor 2Q Dic. 2010=100 104.5 106.0 107.8 108.7 111.1 113.8Var.% Promedio anual 2.1 1.5 1.6 0.9 2.2 2.4Tasa de Desempleo % Fuerza de Trabajo 8.1 7.4 6.2 5.6 5.3 5.1Cuenta Corriente % del PIB -2.9 -2.4 -2.3 -2.3 -2.2 -2.5Balance Fiscal % del PIB -6.7 -4.1 -3.7 -3.1 -2.8 -2.3Tasa Política Monetaria FED % Promedio anual 0.14 0.11 0.09 0.30 1.11 2.10Tasa Libor % Promedio anual 0.43 0.27 0.23 0.44 1.25 2.24
Conclusión
CAPÍTULO IIEscenario Macroeconómico
Largo Plazo2015-2020
Escenario Macroeconómico(Primera Parte)
Escenario Macroeconómico(Segunda Parte)
Escenario Macroeconómico(Tercera Parte)
II-1
Escenario MacroeconómicoLargo Plazo 2015-2020
Indicadores Datos observados Proyecciones CAMACRO
Macroeconómicos 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Economía Mundial
PIB Mundial Var. % real PIB 5.4 4.1 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.5 4.0 4.3 4.2 4.0 4.2 Economías Avanzadas Var. % real PIB 3.1 1.6 1.1 1.3 1.8 2.3 2.6 3.1 2.8 2.6 2.7 Economías Emergentes Var. % real PIB 7.5 6.2 5.1 4.7 4.4 4.4 5.0 5.2 5.1 4.9 5.2Exportación de Mercancías Var. % 22.1 19.8 0.0 2.1 1.0 -0.6 11.2 15.1 11.3 9.6 8.3Inflación Mundial % 3.9 5.2 4.2 3.9 3.7 3.6 3.9 4.1 3.9 3.6 3.8Tasa de Interés LIBOR 3 meses % 0.34 0.34 0.43 0.27 0.23 0.44 1.25 2.24 3.26 3.31 2.71Precio Crudo West Texas Intermediate Dls. Barril 79.40 94.87 94.11 97.91 93.26 56.80 71.80 78.90 90.17 98.00 101.71
Crecimiento Económico de México
PIB Real Var. % anual 5.1 4.0 4.0 1.4 2.1 3.0 4.0 5.2 5.0 4.6 5.0PIB Real por Habitante Var. % anual 3.8 2.8 2.8 0.2 1.0 1.9 3.0 4.1 3.9 3.5 4.0Participación % en el PIB Mundial % 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0
Indice Relativo de Desarrollo Económico
México Mundo=100 123.2 123.2 124.3 121.6 120.1 117.2 117.1 118.2 119.4 120.0 121.0Estados Unidos Mundo=100 380.3 372.6 370.9 368.3 364.9 355.4 352.2 350.5 348.2 344.0 340.1
Población y Ocupación
Población Total Mils. Personas 114,292 115,685 117,055 118,397 119,715 121,011 122,291 123,559 124,821 126,082 127,348Var. % % 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0Población Económicamente Activa Mils. Personas 48,718 49,722 51,229 51,787 51,924 52,468 53,180 54,299 55,619 56,792 58,317Var. % % 1.5 2.1 3.0 1.1 0.3 1.0 1.4 2.1 2.4 2.1 2.7Población Ocupada Mils. Personas 37,636 38,172 39,263 38,996 39,295 39,813 40,593 41,809 43,105 44,279 45,658Var. % % 1.5 1.4 2.9 -0.7 0.8 1.3 2.0 3.0 3.1 2.7 3.1Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación Mils. Personas 5,642 5,624 5,818 5,808 5,704 5,552 5,412 5,139 4,736 4,501 4,297% PEA % 11.6 11.3 11.4 11.2 11.0 10.6 10.2 9.5 8.5 7.9 7.4Empleo Sector Informal Mils. Personas 12,895 13,461 13,970 13,921 13,546 13,144 12,736 12,316 11,946 11,636 11,380% PEA % 26.5 27.1 27.3 26.9 26.1 25.1 23.9 22.7 21.5 20.5 19.5Laboran en Estados Unidos Mils. Personas 7,788 7,614 7,591 7,557 7,513 7,563 7,664 7,823 8,011 8,153 8,280% PEA de EUA % 5.1 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8
Continúa
II-2
Continuación
Indicadores Datos observados Proyecciones CAMACROMacroeconómicos 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Precios al Consumidor INPC
Inflación General % Promedio anual 4.2 3.4 4.1 3.8 4.0 3.0 3.5 3.8 3.9 3.7 3.4 Inflación Subyacente % Promedio anual 3.9 3.2 3.4 2.7 3.2 2.4 3.4 3.9 4.1 3.7 3.5 Inflación No Subyacente % Promedio anual 5.0 3.9 6.4 7.3 6.7 4.7 3.8 3.7 3.1 3.4 3.1
Tipo de Cambio
Tipo de Cambio Peso-Dólar Promedio anual 12.63 12.44 13.16 12.77 13.31 14.47 14.02 13.79 13.96 14.24 14.48% Var. % -6.5 -1.5 5.8 -3.0 4.2 8.8 -3.1 -1.6 1.3 2.0 1.7Indice Tipo de Cambio Real Indice 1990=100 87.3 85.7 89.0 84.4 85.9 91.5 87.5 84.9 84.6 84.9 85.2% Var. % -8.8 -1.8 3.8 -5.1 1.8 6.6 -4.4 -3.1 -0.3 0.4 0.4Porcentaje de sobre (-) o sub (+) valuación % -12.7 -14.3 -11.0 -15.6 -14.1 -8.5 -12.5 -15.1 -15.4 -15.1 -14.8
Remuneraciones y Salario Mínimo Real
Remuneración Media Anual Indice 2008=100 83.3 85.2 85.8 86.8 87.4 89.6 92.0 94.9 97.5 100.3 103.3Var. % Real % -0.2 2.2 0.6 1.2 0.6 2.5 2.7 3.1 2.8 2.8 3.1Industria Manufacturera Indice 2008=100 98.7 98.9 99.0 99.1 99.7 100.9 102.6 104.7 106.6 108.3 110.3Var. % Real % -0.7 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.6 2.1 1.8 1.6 1.9Salario Mínimo General Indice 2008=100 100.0 100.7 100.8 101.3 101.2 102.3 103.3 104.8 106.1 107.2 108.6Var. % Real % 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.5 -0.1 1.1 1.0 1.4 1.2 1.0 1.3
Tasas de Interés
Tasa de Política Monetaria del Banxico Promedio Anual 4.50 4.50 4.50 3.97 3.21 3.23 4.49 5.88 6.88 7.13 6.88% Real Anual % 0.18 0.75 0.99 0.06 -0.79 0.01 1.07 2.03 3.33 3.65 3.65
Ahorro Financiero y Crédito Bancario
Ahorro Financiero Var. % Real 8.1 12.2 10.9 5.0 7.7 8.8 12.7 18.0 16.9 15.4 16.0Crédito Bancario al Sector Privado Var. % Real 4.0 12.7 7.8 5.4 4.0 9.3 14.1 19.3 17.0 14.8 16.6
Deuda Externa de México
Deuda Externa Total Mills. de Dls. 190,143 201,344 213,410 240,703 261,337 308,502 342,410 374,200 408,016 444,031 481,643% del PIB % 16.8 18.0 17.1 19.5 22.5 24.2 24.6 24.5 25.1 25.6 26.0Pago de Intereses Mills. de Dls. 14,161 17,688 20,296 23,276 25,335 30,086 33,603 37,081 40,380 43,799 47,329% Exportación de Bienes y Servicios % 4.3 4.6 5.1 5.6 5.8 6.5 6.6 6.4 6.2 6.0 5.7
Continúa
II-3
Continúa
Indicadores Datos observados Proyecciones CAMACROMacroeconómicos 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Finanzas PúblicasIngreso Presupuestal % del PIB 22.3 22.5 22.5 23.6 23.4 23.2 22.9 23.0 23.0 23.0 Ingreso Petrolero % del PIB 7.3 7.6 7.6 7.8 7.1 6.9 6.6 6.4 6.2 6.1 Ingreso No Petrolero % del PIB 15.0 14.9 14.9 15.7 16.2 16.2 16.3 16.6 16.8 16.9Gasto Neto Presupuestal % del PIB 25.1 25.0 25.1 25.9 26.6 26.7 26.1 25.6 25.2 25.0 Gasto Corriente % del PIB 14.7 14.8 15.1 15.1 15.7 16.3 16.1 15.7 15.3 15.1 Gasto de Capital % del PIB 5.0 4.8 4.7 5.4 5.3 4.9 4.8 4.7 4.6 4.4 Costo Financiero de la Deuda % del PIB 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.6Balance Fiscal Tradicional % del PIB -2.8 -2.4 -2.6 -2.3 -3.2 -3.5 -3.1 -2.6 -2.2 -2.1Balance Fiscal Amplio RFSP % del PIB -3.4 -2.7 -3.2 -3.0 -4.0 -4.1 -3.6 -3.1 -2.6 -2.5
Balanza de PagosCuenta Corriente Mills. de Dls. -4,593 -13,104 -15,431 -26,485 -24,454 -36,116 -29,764 -33,230 -37,430 -46,961% del PIB Porcentaje -0.4 -1.1 -1.3 -2.1 -1.9 -2.9 -2.1 -2.2 -2.3 -2.7 Balanza Comercial Mills. de Dls. -3,009 -1,409 18 -1,184 -2,442 -18,259 -11,438 -11,730 -12,144 -16,603 Balanza Servicios y Transferencias Mills. de Dls. -1,584 -11,695 -15,449 -25,301 -22,012 -17,858 -18,326 -21,500 -25,287 -30,357Cuenta de Capital Mills. de Dls. 48,933 51,060 54,966 63,805 59,643 70,966 64,004 65,347 76,500 89,893 Endeudamiento Externo Neto Mills. de Dls. 45,428 13,075 14,357 43,328 38,194 46,423 40,749 38,963 40,865 43,519 Inversión Extranjera Directa Mills. de Dls. 25,897 23,628 18,131 42,093 21,489 26,785 32,321 37,077 46,961 50,636Saldo Reserva Internacional Mills. de Dls. 113,597 142,475 163,515 176,522 193,239 207,879 219,025 226,556 239,523 254,446 Variación anual Mills. de Dls. 22,759 28,879 21,040 13,006 16,717 14,640 11,146 7,530 12,968 14,922
Sector Externo y TLC
Exportación Total de Mercancías Mills. de Dls. 298,473 349,433 370,770 380,027 397,535 408,212 456,079 523,281 591,426 655,999Var. % anual % 29.9 17.1 6.1 2.5 4.6 2.7 11.7 14.7 13.0 10.9 A Estados Unidos Mills. de Dls. 238,684 274,427 287,842 299,439 318,890 334,258 377,560 437,710 498,435 556,911 Var. % anual % 28.9 15.0 4.9 4.0 6.5 4.8 13.0 15.9 13.9 11.7 % de penetración en el mercado de EUA % 12.0 11.9 12.2 12.4 12.5 12.5 13.1 13.3 13.7 13.8Importación Total de Mercancías Mills. de Dls. 301,482 350,843 370,752 381,210 399,977 426,470 467,517 535,012 603,569 672,602Var. % anual % 28.6 16.4 5.7 2.8 4.9 6.6 9.6 14.4 12.8 11.4 De Estados Unidos Mills. de Dls. 145,007 174,356 185,110 187,262 195,278 206,540 224,315 254,077 283,255 311,751 Var. % anual % 29.0 20.2 6.2 1.2 4.3 5.8 8.6 13.3 11.5 10.1 % Importado de EUA % 48.1 49.7 49.9 49.1 48.8 48.4 48.0 47.5 46.9 46.4Balanza Comercial México-EUA Mills. de Dls. 93,677 100,070 102,732 112,178 123,612 127,719 153,245 183,633 215,180 245,160Balanza Comercial México-Resto Mundo Mills. de Dls. -96,686 -101,480 -102,714 -113,361 -126,053 -145,977 -164,683 -195,363 -227,324 -261,763
CAPÍTULO IIICrecimiento Económico por Sexenios
y Criterios Generalesde Política Económica
2014-2015
Evolución de la Economía Mexicana por Sexenios 1982-2018
Evolución de la Economía Mexicana en el Sexenio de Enrique Peña Nieto 2012-2018
Marco Macroeconómico 2015-2020: SHCP vs. CAMACRO
Marco Macroeconómico 2014-2015
Oferta y Demanda Agregadas 2014-2015
Finanzas Públicas 2014-2015 / Millones de Pesos
Finanzas Públicas 2014-2015 / % del PIB
Evolución de la Economía Mexicana por Sexenios, 1982-2018(Cifras acumuladas o promedio anual por sexenio)
Miguel Carlos Salinas Ernesto Vicente Felipe Enrique Acumulado o
Indicadores Macroeconómicos Unidad de medida Periodo de la Madrid de Gortari Zedillo Fox Calderón Peña Nieto Promedio Anual
1983-1988 1989-1994 1995-2000 2001-2006 2007-2012 2013-2018 1983-2018
PIB Mundial Var. % real Promedio Anual Sexenio 3.9 3.0 3.7 4.2 3.6 3.8 3.6PIB México Var. % real Promedio Anual Sexenio 0.3 4.0 3.2 2.2 2.1 3.4 2.5PIB Per Cápita Var. % real Promedio Anual Sexenio -1.7 2.2 1.8 1.0 0.8 2.3 1.0Coeficiente de Inversión Fija Bruta / PIB Porcentaje Promedio Anual Sexenio 18.3 18.7 17.7 20.3 22.1 22.6 20.0
SCNM Nuevos Empleos Miles Personas Acumulado en el Sexenio 452 4,085 4,067 2,600 2,029 3,770 17,002ENOE Tasa de Desocupación % PEA Acumulado en el Sexenio 4.9 4.9 5.7 3.4 4.5 4.6 4.7ENOE Tasa de Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación % PEA Promedio Sexenio 9.1 9.1 10.4 8.5 10.9 10.2 9.7ENOE Tasa Empleo Sector Informal % Población Ocupada Promedio Sexenio 22.4 24.4 27.8 28.3 28.0 25.5 26.1ENOE Indice Global de Productividad Laboral índice 2008=100 Promedio Anual Sexenio -5.7 3.5 1.8 0.7 0.3 1.7 1.8
Población en Pobreza Miles Personas Acumulado en el Sexenio 10,058 3,001 5,357 -7,678 14,801 -4,624 20,914 En Pobreza Alimentaria Miles Personas Acumulado en el Sexenio 8,180 -455 4,658 -9,262 7,941 -4,134 6,928% Población en Pobreza % Población Total Promedio Anual Sexenio 54.2 52.7 63.0 48.0 50.6 51.8 53.4 % Población en Pobreza Alimentaria % Población Total Promedio Anual Sexenio 23.6 21.7 32.5 18.5 19.7 19.8 22.6Coeficiente de Desigualdad Social Índice de Gini Promedio Anual Sexenio 0.448 0.469 0.469 0.456 0.445 0.438 0.454Ingreso Factor Trabajo / Ingreso Nacional Disponible % Ingreso Nacional Promedio Anual Sexenio 36.1 34.5 32.1 32.7 31.0 31.9 33.0
Precios al Consumidor INPC % Promedio Anual Sexenio 92.9 16.9 22.0 4.7 4.3 3.7 25.0Remuneración Media Anual Var. % real Crecimiento en el Sexenio -40.8 35.7 -6.5 14.1 5.9 13.9 3.4Salario Mínimo General Var. % real Crecimiento en el Sexenio -49.1 -23.4 -22.4 1.7 -0.3 5.2 -67.7
Tasa Nominal Cetes a plazo de 28 días % Promedio Anual Sexenio 69.56 23.96 26.84 7.97 5.53 4.39 23.04Tasa Real Anual Cetes a plazo de 28 días % Promedio Anual Sexenio 7.65 9.93 7.05 3.69 1.35 0.73 5.07
Coeficiente de Apertura Comercial % PIB Promedio Anual Sexenio 19.9 26.5 41.8 52.6 58.7 73.0 45.4
Endeudamiento Externo Neto Total Millones Dólares Acumulado en el Sexenio 2,077 47,907 20,316 1,646 117,868 248,521 438,335Servicio de la Deuda Externa Total Millones Dólares Acumulado en el Sexenio 57,052 60,067 78,358 75,635 98,717 189,760 559,589Inversión Extranjera Directa Millones Dólares Acumulado en el Sexenio 13,631 30,324 76,556 143,635 146,537 206,727 617,411Inversión Extranjera de Cartera Millones Dólares Acumulado en el Sexenio 0 45,137 -3,599 15,476 122,496 202,377 381,887
Reserva Internacional Banco de México Millones Dólares Acumulado en el Sexenio 4,756 -201 27,407 34,125 95,836 76,008 237,930
Ingreso Presupuestal Sector Público % PIB Promedio Anual Sexenio 23.7 20.1 18.4 20.2 22.6 23.2 21.4 Ingresos Petroleros % PIB Promedio Anual Sexenio 10.1 5.4 6.0 6.9 7.7 6.9 7.2 Ingresos No petroleros % PIB Promedio Anual Sexenio 13.6 14.7 12.4 13.3 14.9 16.3 14.2Gasto Neto Presupuestal Sector Público % PIB Promedio Anual Sexenio 31.0 20.1 19.0 20.7 24.3 26.0 23.5 Gasto Corriente % PIB Promedio Anual Sexenio 12.3 9.9 10.4 12.3 14.4 15.7 12.5 Gasto de Inversión % PIB Promedio Anual Sexenio 3.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 4.0 4.6 3.2Balance Fiscal Amplio RFSP % PIB Promedio Anual Sexenio -9.5 -0.6 -3.9 -1.7 -2.4 -3.4 -3.6
III-I
Evolución de la Economía Mexicana en el Sexenio de Enrique Peña Nieto, 2012-2018(Cifras acumuladas o promedio anual en el sexenio)
Datos CAMACRO Acumulado o
Indicadores Macroeconómicos Unidad de medida Periodo Proyecciones Promedio Anual
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2013-2018
PIB Mundial Var. % real Anual 3.3 3.3 3.5 4.0 4.3 4.2 3.8PIB México Var. % real Anual 1.4 2.1 3.0 4.0 5.2 5.0 3.5PIB Per Cápita Var. % real Anual 0.2 1.0 1.9 3.0 4.1 3.9 2.4Coeficiente de Inversión Fija Bruta / PIB Porcentaje Anual 21.5 21.5 21.8 22.4 23.6 24.7 22.6
SCNM Nuevos Empleos Miles Personas Anual -267 202 515 802 1,222 1,296 3,770ENOE Tasa de Desocupación % PEA Anual 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.6 4.4 4.1 4.6ENOE Tasa de Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación % PEA Anual 11.2 11.0 10.6 10.2 9.5 8.5 10.2ENOE Tasa Empleo Sector Informal % Población Ocupada Anual 28.3 27.4 26.3 25.0 23.6 22.3 25.5ENOE Indice Global de Productividad Laboral índice 2008=100 Anual 0.3 1.7 1.8 2.4 2.6 2.0 1.8
Población en Pobreza Miles Personas Anual 64,368 66,547 65,847 64,055 60,411 56,727 -4,624 En Pobreza Alimentaria Miles Personas Anual 25,326 26,718 26,315 25,086 21,906 18,955 -4,134% Población en Pobreza % Población Total Anual 54.3 55.5 54.3 52.3 48.8 45.4 51.8 % Población en Pobreza Alimentaria % Población Total Anual 21.4 22.3 21.7 20.5 17.7 15.2 19.8Coeficiente de Desigualdad Social Índice de Gini Anual 0.441 0.442 0.438 0.439 0.436 0.432 0.438Ingreso Factor Trabajo / Ingreso Nacional Disponible % Ingreso Nacional Anual 31.4 31.7 31.9 32.0 32.2 32.4 31.9
Precios al Consumidor INPC % Promedio Anual 3.8 4.0 3.0 3.5 3.8 3.9 3.7Remuneración Media Anual Var. % real Promedio Anual 1.2 0.9 2.5 2.8 3.1 2.8 13.9Salario Mínimo General Var. % real Promedio Anual 0.5 -0.1 1.1 1.0 1.4 1.2 5.2
Tasa Nominal Cetes a plazo de 28 días % Promedio Anual 3.75 3.00 2.95 4.25 5.66 6.69 4.39Tasa Real Anual Cetes a plazo de 28 días % Promedio Anual -0.15 -1.00 -0.27 0.83 1.81 3.14 0.73
Coeficiente de Apertura Comercial % PIB Anual 63.4 66.0 68.7 73.6 80.4 86.1 73.0
Endeudamiento Externo Neto Total Millones Dólares Anual 43,328 38,194 46,423 40,749 38,963 40,865 248,521Servicio de la Deuda Externa Total Millones Dólares Anual 23,276 25,335 30,086 33,603 37,081 40,380 189,760Inversión Extranjera Directa Millones Dólares Anual 42,093 21,489 26,785 32,321 37,077 46,961 206,727Inversión Extranjera de Cartera Millones Dólares Anual 21,030 28,297 20,710 31,830 42,940 57,570 202,377
Reserva Internacional Banco de México Millones Dólares Variación anual 13,006 16,717 14,640 11,146 7,530 12,968 76,008
Ingreso Presupuestal Sector Público % PIB Promedio Anual 23.6 23.4 23.2 22.9 23.0 23.0 23.2 Ingresos Petroleros % PIB Promedio Anual 7.8 7.1 6.9 6.6 6.4 6.2 6.9 Ingresos No petroleros % PIB Promedio Anual 15.7 16.2 16.2 16.3 16.6 16.8 16.3Gasto Neto Presupuestal Sector Público % PIB Promedio Anual 25.9 26.6 26.7 26.1 25.6 25.2 26.0 Gasto Corriente % PIB Promedio Anual 15.1 15.7 16.3 16.1 15.7 15.3 15.7 Gasto de Inversión % PIB Promedio Anual 4.6 4.8 4.8 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.6Balance Fiscal Amplio RFSP % PIB Promedio Anual -3.0 -4.0 -4.1 -3.6 -3.1 -2.6 -3.4
III-2
observados
Indicadores Fecha de ProyeccionesMacroeconómicos proyección 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
PIB de los Estado Unidos Var. % realSHCP Sep. 2014 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.6 2.5 2.4CAMACRO Ene. 2015 3.1 2.9 3.4 3.2 2.8 3.0
Producción Industrial en EUA Var. % realSHCP Sep. 2014 3.7 3.3 3.2 2.9 2.7 2.7CAMACRO Ene. 2015 4.2 3.7 4.3 4.1 3.7 4.0
Inflación en EUA Promedio anualSHCP Sep. 2014 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.3CAMACRO Ene. 2015 0.9 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.0 2.2
Tasa LIBOR 3 meses Promedio anualSHCP Sep. 2014 0.7 1.6 2.4 2.9 3.3 3.5CAMACRO Ene. 2015 0.4 1.2 2.2 3.3 3.3 2.7
PIB de México Var. % realSHCP Sep. 2014 3.7 4.9 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2CAMACRO Ene. 2015 3.0 4.0 5.2 5.0 4.6 5.0
Inflación Var. % dic./dic.SHCP Sep. 2014 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0CAMACRO Ene. 2015 3.3 3.5 3.9 3.7 3.6 3.3
CETES Tasa de Interés Nominal Promedio anualSHCP Sep. 2014 3.30 3.90 4.50 5.00 5.50 5.90CAMACRO Ene. 2015 2.95 4.25 5.66 6.69 6.96 6.74
CETES Tasa de Interés Real Promedio anualSHCP Sep. 2014 0.30 0.90 1.60 2.10 2.60 3.00CAMACRO Ene. 2015 -0.27 0.83 1.81 3.14 3.47 3.51
Precio Petróleo Mexicano Dólares por BarrilSHCP Sep. 2014 82.00 88.00 88.00 88.00 88.00 88.00CAMACRO Ene. 2015 51.54 67.11 74.66 86.10 94.12 98.09
Plataforma Exportación Crudo MBDSHCP Sep. 2014 1,090 1,135 1,180 1,250 1,295 1,340CAMACRO Ene. 2015 1,101 1,135 1,185 1,256 1,302 1,348
Continúa
III-3
Marco Macroeconómico para 2015-2020Criterios Generales de Política Económica para 2015 vs. Proyecciones CAMACRO
Continuación
Indicadores Fecha de ProyeccionesMacroeconómicos proyección 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Cuenta Corriente % PIBSHCP Sep. 2014 -2.0 -2.0 -2.1 -2.1 -2.1 -2.0CAMACRO Ene. 2015 -2.9 -2.1 -2.2 -2.3 -2.7 -3.3
Exportaciones a precios reales Var. % realSHCP Sep. 2014 6.5 6.9 7.2 7.3 7.4 7.5CAMACRO Ene. 2015 7.1 11.0 13.6 11.2 10.1 11.6
Importaciones a precios reales Var. % realSHCP Sep. 2014 6.0 7.3 8.1 8.7 9.1 9.5CAMACRO Ene. 2015 7.4 12.0 16.0 13.6 11.9 12.9
Consumo Privado y Gobierno Var. % realSHCP Sep. 2014 3.4 4.8 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5CAMACRO Ene. 2015 2.8 3.6 4.6 4.5 4.1 4.5
Inversión Fija Bruta Var. % realSHCP Sep. 2014 4.0 5.9 6.5 7.0 7.3 7.5CAMACRO Ene. 2015 4.4 7.1 10.5 10.1 8.9 10.6
Ingreso Presupuestal Total % PIBSHCP Sep. 2014 21.9 22.8 23.4 23.9 24.1 24.1CAMACRO Ene. 2015 23.2 22.9 23.0 23.0 23.0 22.9
Ingresos Petroleros % del PIBSHCP Sep. 2014 6.5 7.0 7.2 7.3 7.5 7.5CAMACRO Ene. 2015 6.9 6.6 6.4 6.2 6.1 5.9
Ingresos No Petroleros % del PIBSHCP Sep. 2014 15.3 15.7 16.1 16.6 16.6 16.6CAMACRO Ene. 2015 16.2 16.3 16.6 16.8 16.9 17.0
Déficit Fiscal Tradicional % del PIBSHCP Sep. 2014 -3.5 -3.0 -2.5 -2.0 -2.0 -2.0CAMACRO Ene. 2015 -3.5 -3.1 -2.6 -2.2 -2.1 -2.0
Déficit Fiscal Amplio RFSP % del PIBSHCP Sep. 2014 -4.0 -3.5 -3.0 -2.5 -2.5 -2.5CAMACRO Ene. 2015 -4.1 -3.6 -3.1 -2.6 -2.5 -2.4
Conclusión
III-4
MARCO MACROECONOMICOCriterios Generales de Política Económica para 2014 y 2015
2014 2015CGPE DATOS CGPE Estimación
Proyecto aprobado Observados Proyecto aprobado CAMACRO(Septiembre 2013) (Enero 2015) (Octubre 2014) (Enero 2015)
Producto Interno Bruto Crecimiento % real 3.9 2.1 3.7 3.0 Nominal (mmp) 17,591.8 17,050.6 18,317.6 18,083.4 Deflactor del PIB Base 2008=100 3.8 3.6 3.4 3.0 Inflación Dic./dic. 3.0 4.1 3.0 3.3 Tipo de Cambio Nominal Promedio anual 12.60 13.31 13.40 14.47 Cetes 28 días Nominal, promedio anual 4.00 3.00 3.50 2.95 Real anual 1.00 -1.00 0.30 -0.27 Cuenta Corriente Balanza de Pagos Millones de dólares -21,477 -24,454 -27,660 -36,116 % del PIB -1.5 -1.9 -2.0 -2.9 Balance Público % PIB Con inversión de PEMEX -3.5 -3.2 -3.5 -3.5 Sin inversión de PEMEX -1.5 -1.1 -1.0 -1.4 Balance Público Amplio RFSP % del PIB -4.1 -4.0 -4.0 -4.0 PIB EE.UU. Crecimiento % real 2.6 2.4 3.0 3.1 Producción Industrial EE.UU. Crecimiento % real 3.2 4.3 3.7 4.2 Inflación EE.UU. Promedio anual 1.9 1.6 2.1 0.9 Petróleo Precio promedio (dls./barril) 81.00 86.56 79.00 51.54 Plataforma de exportación (mbd) 1,170 1,143 1,090 1,101 Tasa de Interés externa LIBOR 3 meses (%) 0.5 0.2 0.7 0.4
III-5
Concepto
OFERTA Y DEMANDA AGREGADAS 2014 y 2015Criterios Generales de Política Económica
(Variación % anual real)
2014 2015CGPE Datos CGPE Estimación
Proyecto preliminares Proyecto CAMACRO
Oferta Agregada 5.0 3.0 4.2 4.1
PIB 3.9 2.1 3.7 3.0
Importaciones 8.2 5.9 6.0 7.4
Demanda Agregada 5.0 3.0 4.2 4.1
Consumo total 4.0 2.1 3.4 2.8
Formación Bruta de Capital 5.9 2.3 4.0 4.4
Exportaciones 6.8 6.5 6.5 7.1
III-6
Concepto
FINANZAS PUBLICA, 2014 y 2015Criterios Generales de Política Económica
(Millones de pesos)
2014 2015Proyecto Aprobado Datos Proyecto Aprobado Estimación
del Ejecutivo H. Congreso observados del Ejecutivo H. Congreso CAMACROIngreso Presupuestal 3,829,476 3,816,748 3,983,412 4,003,642 4,030,356 4,188,810 Sector Petrolero 1,224,734 1,265,725 1,213,348 1,198,724 1,219,246 1,250,511 Sector No Petrolero 2,604,742 2,551,023 2,770,064 2,804,918 2,811,110 2,938,299 Gobierno Federal 1,960,313 1,906,594 2,115,346 2,126,554 2,132,746 2,228,759 Tributarios 1,808,188 1,752,179 1,815,514 1,959,224 1,952,815 1,908,881 Sistema renta 1,039,026 1,006,377 959,877 1,039,251 1,044,742 1,012,262 IVA 632,369 609,393 667,085 703,849 703,849 700,360 IEPS 118,300 117,959 124,016 156,705 144,805 133,817 Importación 26,759 26,759 33,928 27,876 27,876 34,232 Otros impuestos -8,265 -8,308 30,608 31,543 31,543 28,210 No Tributarios 152,125 154,415 299,832 167,331 179,932 319,878 Organismos y Empresas 644,429 644,429 654,718 678,364 678,364 709,540
Gasto Neto Presupuestal 4,449,891 4,437,163 4,530,629 4,645,152 4,671,866 4,828,516 Gasto Programable 3,456,822 3,463,609 3,580,285 3,602,311 3,647,004 3,846,670 Corriente 2,649,411 2,617,982 2,682,877 2,762,657 2,807,350 2,953,024 Servicios Personales 1,028,125 1,028,740 1,020,830 1,099,202 1,099,202 1,090,431 Otros 1,651,349 1,619,305 1,662,048 1,663,455 1,708,148 1,862,593 Capital 807,411 845,627 897,408 839,654 839,654 893,645 Inversión Física 783,534 820,920 822,635 806,201 806,201 866,234 Inversión Fínanciera 23,877 24,708 74,774 33,453 33,453 27,411 Gasto No Programable 993,069 973,554 950,343 1,042,841 1,024,862 981,846 Costo Financiero 383,365 380,365 346,015 406,477 401,477 383,645 Participaciones a Edos. y Municip. 585,654 577,639 584,723 605,279 607,130 575,235 Adefas y Ajenas Netas 24,050 15,550 19,606 31,085 16,255 22,966
Balance Económico -620,415 -620,415 -544,992 -641,510 -641,510 -636,812 Inversión PEMEX 357,527 357,527 356,689 457,940 457,940 386,443Balance Económico sin PEMEX -262,888 -262,888 -188,302 -183,570 -183,570 -250,369Balance Fiscal Amplio RFSP -721,264 -721,264 -678,318 -734,280 -734,280 -732,910
III-7
Concepto
FINANZAS PUBLICAS, 2014 y 2015Criterios Generales de Política Económica
(% del PIB)
2014 2015Proyecto Aprobado Datos Proyecto Aprobado Estimación
del Ejecutivo H. Congreso observados del Ejecutivo H. Congreso CAMACROIngreso Presupuestal 21.77 21.70 23.36 21.86 22.00 23.16 Sector Petrolero 6.96 7.19 7.12 6.54 6.66 6.92 Sector No Petrolero 14.81 14.50 16.25 15.31 15.35 16.25 Gobierno Federal 11.14 10.84 12.41 11.61 11.64 12.32 Tributarios 10.28 9.96 10.65 10.70 10.66 10.56 Sistema renta 5.91 5.72 5.63 5.67 5.70 5.60 IVA 3.59 3.46 3.91 3.84 3.84 3.87 IEPS 0.67 0.67 0.73 0.86 0.79 0.74 Importación 0.15 0.15 0.20 0.15 0.15 0.19 Otros impuestos -0.05 -0.05 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.16 No Tributarios 0.86 0.88 1.76 0.91 0.98 1.77 Organismos y Empresas 3.66 3.66 3.84 3.70 3.70 3.92
Gasto Neto Presupuestal 25.30 25.22 26.57 25.36 25.50 26.70 Gasto Programable 19.65 19.69 21.00 19.67 19.91 21.27 Corriente 15.06 14.88 15.73 15.08 15.33 16.33 Servicios Personales 5.84 5.85 5.99 6.00 6.00 6.03 Otros 9.39 9.20 9.75 9.08 9.33 10.30 Capital 4.59 4.81 5.26 4.58 4.58 4.94 Inversión Física 4.45 4.67 4.82 4.40 4.40 4.79 Inversión Fínanciera 0.14 0.14 0.44 0.18 0.18 0.15 Gasto No Programable 5.65 5.53 5.57 5.69 5.59 5.43 Costo Financiero 2.18 2.16 2.03 2.22 2.19 2.12 Participaciones a Edos. y Municip. 3.33 3.28 3.43 3.30 3.31 3.18 Adefas y Ajenas Netas 0.14 0.09 0.11 0.17 0.09 0.13
Balance Económico -3.53 -3.53 -3.20 -3.50 -3.50 -3.52 Inversión PEMEX 2.03 2.03 2.09 2.50 2.50 2.14Balance Económico sin PEMEX -1.49 -1.49 -1.10 -1.00 -1.00 -1.38Balance Fiscal Amplio RFSP -4.10 -4.10 -3.98 -4.01 -4.01 -4.05
III-8
Concepto
CAPÍTULO IVProyecciones Macroeconómicas
2015-2020
A. Crecimiento Económico, Ingreso Nacional y Evolución de la PobrezaB. Oferta y Demanda Global
C. Producción de Bienes y Servicios por Sectores EconómicosD. Población Ocupada Remunerada e Indicadores Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo
E. Remuneraciones, Productividad y Costo Laboral UnitarioF. Indice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor
G. Mercado CambiarioH. Tasas de InterésI. Sector FinancieroJ. Comercio ExteriorK. Balanza de Pagos
L. Deuda Externa de MéxicoM. Finanzas Públicas
N. Economía de Estados UnidosO. Tratado de Libre Comercio de América del Norte TLCAN
P. Economía Mundial
A. Crecimiento Económico, Ingreso Nacional,
Evolución de la Pobreza y Desigualdad Social
Cuadro A-1.Producto Interno Bruto 1980-2020
Cuadro A-2.Población y PIB Per Capita 1980-2020
Cuadro A-3.Índice del Grado de Desarrollo Económico de México 1980-2020
Cuadro A-4.Ingreso Nacional Disponible 1980-2020
Cuadro A-5.Consumo Privado Total y Per Cápita 1980-2020
Cuadro A-6.Evolución de la Pobreza y la Desigualdad en México 1980-2020
Cuadro A-7.La Distribución del Ingreso en México 1980-2020
A-1. Producto Interno Bruto: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Millones de pesos y dólares)
PIB Nominal Deflactor del PIB PIB Real PIB en Dólares PIB de México
Pesos Var.% 2008=100 Var.% Ps. 2008 Var.% Dólares Var.% Dls. 2008 Var.% % Mundo % EUA
1980 5,882 39.4 0.1 27.6 6,112,050 9.2 256,537 38.3 573,669 26.9 3.0 13.61981 8,062 37.1 0.1 26.3 6,633,140 8.5 329,233 28.3 673,348 17.4 3.2 14.41982 12,981 61.0 0.2 61.8 6,598,594 -0.5 223,763 -32.0 430,917 -36.0 3.2 14.61983 23,381 80.1 0.4 86.6 6,368,539 -3.5 155,553 -30.5 288,185 -33.1 3.0 13.51984 38,547 64.9 0.6 59.4 6,585,758 3.4 208,433 34.0 372,914 29.4 3.0 13.01985 62,524 62.2 0.9 58.7 6,729,834 2.2 201,508 -3.3 349,350 -6.3 2.9 12.71986 102,625 64.1 1.6 69.4 6,522,625 -3.1 161,529 -19.8 274,498 -21.4 2.7 11.91987 253,504 147.0 3.8 142.8 6,634,974 1.7 181,336 12.3 300,495 9.5 2.7 11.71988 514,663 103.0 7.7 100.4 6,720,118 1.3 225,031 24.1 360,291 19.9 2.6 11.41989 679,422 32.0 9.7 26.8 6,996,013 4.1 273,781 21.7 421,934 17.1 2.6 11.41990 916,075 34.8 12.4 28.2 7,358,110 5.2 322,735 17.9 479,634 13.7 2.7 11.81991 1,178,365 28.6 15.4 23.4 7,668,237 4.2 390,739 21.1 561,999 17.2 2.7 12.31992 1,401,208 18.9 17.6 14.8 7,939,777 3.5 452,812 15.9 636,762 13.3 2.5 12.31993 1,570,147 12.1 19.3 9.4 8,132,915 2.4 504,022 11.3 692,303 8.7 2.5 12.31994 1,779,754 13.3 20.9 8.2 8,517,387 4.7 527,316 4.6 709,197 2.4 2.6 12.41995 2,206,943 24.0 27.5 31.6 8,026,897 -5.8 343,814 -34.8 452,958 -36.1 2.3 11.31996 3,020,033 36.8 35.5 29.2 8,498,459 5.9 397,356 15.6 514,114 13.5 2.4 11.61997 3,805,272 26.0 41.9 17.8 9,090,197 7.0 480,474 20.9 611,196 18.9 2.4 11.81998 4,586,366 20.5 48.2 15.1 9,517,604 4.7 501,209 4.3 630,723 3.2 2.5 11.91999 5,539,866 20.8 56.7 17.7 9,771,440 2.7 579,625 15.6 718,411 13.9 2.5 11.62000 6,464,302 16.7 62.8 10.8 10,288,982 5.3 683,571 17.9 828,394 15.3 2.5 11.82001 6,770,398 4.7 66.2 5.4 10,226,682 -0.6 724,956 6.1 858,971 3.7 2.4 11.62002 7,160,499 5.8 69.9 5.6 10,240,173 0.1 740,814 2.2 864,494 0.6 2.4 11.42003 7,695,624 7.5 74.1 6.0 10,385,857 1.4 712,865 -3.8 815,610 -5.7 2.3 11.22004 8,693,240 13.0 80.3 8.3 10,832,004 4.3 770,277 8.1 857,716 5.2 2.3 11.32005 9,441,350 8.6 84.6 5.4 11,160,493 3.0 866,665 12.5 934,957 9.0 2.2 11.32006 10,538,115 11.6 89.9 6.3 11,718,672 5.0 966,736 11.5 1,011,827 8.2 2.2 11.52007 11,403,263 8.2 94.3 4.9 12,087,602 3.1 1,043,419 7.9 1,063,779 5.1 2.2 11.72008 12,256,863 7.5 100.0 6.0 12,256,863 1.4 1,099,071 5.3 1,098,961 3.3 2.1 11.92009 12,093,890 -1.3 103.5 3.5 11,680,749 -4.7 895,337 -18.5 888,499 -19.2 2.0 11.62010 13,282,061 9.8 108.2 4.5 12,277,659 5.1 1,051,604 17.5 1,030,978 16.0 2.0 11.92011 14,550,014 9.5 113.9 5.3 12,774,243 4.0 1,170,045 11.3 1,123,898 9.0 2.0 12.22012 15,627,712 7.4 117.6 3.3 13,286,154 4.0 1,187,399 1.5 1,120,445 -0.3 2.1 12.42013 16,121,442 3.2 119.7 1.7 13,470,942 1.4 1,262,211 6.3 1,173,553 4.7 2.0 12.32014 17,050,555 5.8 123.9 3.6 13,757,167 2.1 1,281,457 1.5 1,174,520 0.1 2.0 12.3
2015 18,083,432 6.1 127.6 3.0 14,171,608 3.0 1,249,469 -2.5 1,130,299 -3.8 1.9 12.32016 19,422,876 7.4 131.7 3.2 14,744,649 4.0 1,385,523 10.9 1,228,928 8.7 1.9 12.42017 21,124,283 8.8 136.2 3.4 15,509,254 5.2 1,532,017 10.6 1,330,940 8.3 2.0 12.72018 22,994,419 8.9 141.2 3.7 16,279,400 5.0 1,646,896 7.5 1,403,655 5.5 2.0 12.92019 24,883,190 8.2 146.2 3.5 17,021,834 4.6 1,747,228 6.1 1,463,777 4.3 2.0 13.22020 26,980,560 8.4 150.9 3.2 17,875,837 5.0 1,863,565 6.7 1,533,831 4.8 2.0 13.4
A-1
Años
A-2. Población Total y PIB Per Cápita: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Pesos y dólares)
Población PIB Per Cápita en Pesos PIB Per Cápita en DólaresAños Total Nominal Real Nominal Real
Personas Var.% Pesos Var.% Ps. de 2008 Var.% Dólares Var.% Dls. de 2008 Var.%
1980 71,073,785 2.4 83 36.1 85,996 6.7 3,609 35.0 8,071 23.91981 72,666,912 2.2 111 34.1 91,281 6.1 4,531 25.5 9,266 14.81982 74,186,037 2.1 175 57.7 88,947 -2.6 3,016 -33.4 5,809 -37.31983 75,668,142 2.0 309 76.6 84,164 -5.4 2,056 -31.8 3,809 -34.41984 77,166,135 2.0 500 61.7 85,345 1.4 2,701 31.4 4,833 26.91985 78,717,744 2.0 794 59.0 85,493 0.2 2,560 -5.2 4,438 -8.21986 80,335,575 2.1 1,277 60.8 81,192 -5.0 2,011 -21.5 3,417 -23.01987 82,006,831 2.1 3,091 142.0 80,908 -0.4 2,211 10.0 3,664 7.21988 83,712,835 2.1 6,148 98.9 80,276 -0.8 2,688 21.6 4,304 17.51989 85,424,041 2.0 7,954 29.4 81,897 2.0 3,205 19.2 4,939 14.81990 87,064,847 1.9 10,522 32.3 84,513 3.2 3,707 15.7 5,509 11.51991 88,630,941 1.8 13,295 26.4 86,519 2.4 4,409 18.9 6,341 15.11992 90,132,585 1.7 15,546 16.9 88,090 1.8 5,024 14.0 7,065 11.41993 91,600,655 1.6 17,141 10.3 88,787 0.8 5,502 9.5 7,558 7.01994 93,055,300 1.6 19,126 11.6 91,530 3.1 5,667 3.0 7,621 0.81995 94,490,336 1.5 23,356 22.1 84,949 -7.2 3,639 -35.8 4,794 -37.11996 95,876,664 1.5 31,499 34.9 88,639 4.3 4,144 13.9 5,362 11.91997 97,204,604 1.4 39,147 24.3 93,516 5.5 4,943 19.3 6,288 17.31998 98,485,424 1.3 46,569 19.0 96,640 3.3 5,089 3.0 6,404 1.91999 99,706,067 1.2 55,562 19.3 98,002 1.4 5,813 14.2 7,205 12.52000 100,895,811 1.2 64,069 15.3 101,976 4.1 6,775 16.5 8,210 13.92001 102,122,295 1.2 66,297 3.5 100,142 -1.8 7,099 4.8 8,411 2.42002 103,417,944 1.3 69,238 4.4 99,017 -1.1 7,163 0.9 8,359 -0.62003 104,719,891 1.3 73,488 6.1 99,178 0.2 6,807 -5.0 7,788 -6.82004 105,951,569 1.2 82,049 11.7 102,235 3.1 7,270 6.8 8,095 3.92005 107,155,784 1.1 88,109 7.4 104,152 1.9 8,088 11.2 8,725 7.82006 108,416,556 1.2 97,200 10.3 108,089 3.8 8,917 10.2 9,333 7.02007 109,795,643 1.3 103,859 6.9 110,092 1.9 9,503 6.6 9,689 3.82008 111,304,405 1.4 110,120 6.0 110,120 0.0 9,874 3.9 9,873 1.92009 112,849,217 1.4 107,169 -2.7 103,508 -6.0 7,934 -19.7 7,873 -20.32010 114,291,638 1.3 116,212 8.4 107,424 3.8 9,201 16.0 9,021 14.62011 115,684,856 1.2 125,773 8.2 110,423 2.8 10,114 9.9 9,715 7.72012 117,055,022 1.2 133,507 6.1 113,503 2.8 10,144 0.3 9,572 -1.52013 118,396,855 1.1 136,164 2.0 113,778 0.2 10,661 5.1 9,912 3.62014 119,714,945 1.1 142,426 4.6 114,916 1.0 10,704 0.4 9,811 -1.0
2015 121,011,400 1.1 149,436 4.9 117,110 1.9 10,325 -3.5 9,340 -4.82016 122,291,164 1.1 158,825 6.3 120,570 3.0 11,330 9.7 10,049 7.62017 123,559,276 1.0 170,965 7.6 125,521 4.1 12,399 9.4 10,772 7.22018 124,821,020 1.0 184,219 7.8 130,422 3.9 13,194 6.4 11,245 4.42019 126,081,924 1.0 197,357 7.1 135,006 3.5 13,858 5.0 11,610 3.22020 127,347,752 1.0 211,865 7.4 140,370 4.0 14,634 5.6 12,044 3.7
A-2
A-3. Indice Relativo del Desarrollo Económico de México: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Personas y dólares de EUA con ajuste PPP)
Población Tamaño de la Economía PIB Per Cápita Indice de Desarrollo EconómicoAños Mundo % Mundo PIB Mundo % Mundo Mundo Dólares Internacionales PPP PIB Per Cápita PPP Mundo=100
Personas México EUA Canadá M.Mills.Dls. México EUA Canadá Dólares México EUA Canadá México EUA Canadá
1980 4,453,007 1.60 5.16 0.55 12,794 3.04 22.37 2.19 2,873 5,478 12,455 11,454 190.7 433.5 398.71981 4,531,799 1.60 5.12 0.55 14,289 3.23 22.47 2.22 3,153 6,358 13,838 12,829 201.6 438.9 406.91982 4,612,120 1.61 5.08 0.54 15,272 3.20 21.90 2.15 3,311 6,580 14,279 13,106 198.7 431.2 395.81983 4,694,097 1.61 5.04 0.54 16,293 3.01 22.33 2.15 3,471 6,471 15,382 13,854 186.4 443.2 399.21984 4,777,828 1.62 5.00 0.53 17,671 2.97 22.87 2.17 3,698 6,795 16,921 15,018 183.7 457.5 406.11985 4,863,290 1.62 4.96 0.53 18,939 2.92 22.95 2.19 3,894 7,023 18,027 16,049 180.4 462.9 412.11986 4,950,591 1.62 4.92 0.53 19,961 2.74 23.00 2.17 4,032 6,802 18,851 16,551 168.7 467.5 410.51987 5,039,478 1.63 4.88 0.53 21,224 2.69 22.95 2.18 4,212 6,952 19,804 17,448 165.1 470.2 414.31988 5,129,113 1.63 4.84 0.53 22,937 2.61 22.90 2.19 4,472 7,138 21,147 18,683 159.6 472.9 417.81989 5,218,375 1.64 4.81 0.52 24,740 2.61 22.87 2.17 4,741 7,567 22,553 19,636 159.6 475.7 414.21990 5,306,425 1.64 4.77 0.52 26,529 2.66 22.54 2.10 4,999 8,097 23,603 20,129 162.0 472.1 402.61991 5,392,939 1.64 4.74 0.52 28,021 2.71 22.03 2.01 5,196 8,563 24,135 20,109 164.8 464.5 387.01992 5,478,009 1.65 4.71 0.52 31,873 2.52 20.52 1.83 5,818 8,920 25,319 20,503 153.3 435.2 352.41993 5,561,744 1.65 4.69 0.52 33,312 2.53 20.65 1.83 5,989 9,217 26,375 21,243 153.9 440.4 354.71994 5,644,416 1.65 4.67 0.51 35,074 2.57 20.84 1.86 6,214 9,704 27,741 22,499 156.2 446.4 362.11995 5,726,239 1.65 4.65 0.51 37,129 2.34 20.64 1.84 6,484 9,194 28,777 23,361 141.8 443.8 360.31996 5,807,212 1.65 4.64 0.51 39,254 2.39 20.64 1.81 6,760 9,769 30,068 23,958 144.5 444.8 354.41997 5,887,260 1.65 4.63 0.51 41,607 2.45 20.69 1.81 7,067 10,482 31,574 25,177 148.3 446.8 356.21998 5,966,465 1.65 4.63 0.50 43,090 2.50 21.09 1.84 7,222 10,950 32,934 26,271 151.6 456.0 363.81999 6,044,931 1.65 4.62 0.50 45,297 2.48 21.33 1.86 7,493 11,275 34,589 27,757 150.5 461.6 370.42000 6,122,770 1.65 4.61 0.50 48,571 2.49 21.17 1.87 7,933 11,999 36,407 29,567 151.3 458.9 372.72001 6,200,003 1.65 4.61 0.50 50,862 2.42 20.88 1.85 8,204 12,051 37,198 30,454 146.9 453.4 371.22002 6,276,722 1.65 4.60 0.50 53,157 2.35 20.65 1.85 8,469 12,099 38,055 31,468 142.9 449.3 371.62003 6,353,196 1.65 4.58 0.50 56,490 2.29 20.38 1.81 8,892 12,360 39,516 32,375 139.0 444.4 364.12004 6,429,758 1.65 4.57 0.50 61,105 2.27 20.09 1.77 9,503 13,092 41,742 33,950 137.8 439.2 357.22005 6,506,649 1.65 4.56 0.50 66,087 2.23 19.81 1.75 10,157 13,766 44,113 35,770 135.5 434.3 352.22006 6,583,959 1.65 4.55 0.50 71,819 2.22 19.29 1.70 10,908 14,725 46,253 37,436 135.0 424.0 343.22007 6,661,637 1.65 4.54 0.50 77,797 2.17 18.61 1.64 11,678 15,397 47,894 38,789 131.8 410.1 332.12008 6,739,610 1.65 4.53 0.49 81,632 2.14 18.03 1.62 12,112 15,703 48,259 39,594 129.6 398.4 326.92009 6,817,737 1.66 4.51 0.49 82,013 2.05 17.58 1.58 12,029 14,873 46,862 38,412 123.6 389.6 319.32010 6,895,889 1.66 4.50 0.49 87,427 2.04 17.12 1.55 12,678 15,624 48,213 39,790 123.2 380.3 313.92011 6,974,036 1.66 4.49 0.49 92,781 2.04 16.73 1.53 13,304 16,392 49,564 41,235 123.2 372.6 309.92012 7,052,135 1.66 4.48 0.49 97,322 2.06 16.61 1.51 13,800 17,147 51,183 42,292 124.3 370.9 306.52013 7,130,014 1.66 4.47 0.49 101,934 2.02 16.45 1.49 14,296 17,390 52,647 43,391 121.6 368.3 303.52014 7,207,460 1.66 4.46 0.49 107,142 2.00 16.26 1.48 14,865 17,859 54,237 44,778 120.1 364.9 301.2
2015 7,284,296 1.66 4.45 0.49 115,183 1.95 15.80 1.43 15,812 18,538 56,191 46,249 117.2 355.4 292.52016 7,360,430 1.66 4.44 0.49 122,257 1.94 15.62 1.40 16,610 19,444 58,494 47,697 117.1 352.2 287.22017 7,435,810 1.66 4.43 0.49 129,964 1.96 15.52 1.38 17,478 20,653 61,259 49,561 118.2 350.5 283.62018 7,510,341 1.66 4.42 0.49 137,831 1.98 15.39 1.36 18,352 21,908 63,902 51,365 119.4 348.2 279.92019 7,583,938 1.66 4.41 0.49 146,228 2.00 15.17 1.34 19,281 23,143 66,323 53,097 120.0 344.0 275.42020 7,656,528 1.66 4.40 0.49 155,311 2.01 14.97 1.32 20,285 24,544 68,979 55,025 121.0 340.1 271.3
A-3
A-4. Ingreso Nacional Disponible: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Millones de pesos)
Ingreso Nacional Disponible Ingreso del Factor Trabajo Ingreso del Factor Capital Impuestos,Años Nominal Real Nominal Real Nominal Real Netos de Subsidios
Pesos % IND Ps. de 2008 % Var. Pesos % IND Ps. de 2008 % Var. Pesos % IND Ps. de 2008 % Var. Pesos % IND
1980 5,017 100.0 5,213,472 8.4 2,125 42.4 2,208,272 4.5 2,810 56.0 2,919,860 10.9 82 1.61981 6,874 100.0 5,655,245 8.5 3,032 44.1 2,494,906 13.0 3,732 54.3 3,070,162 5.1 110 1.61982 10,465 100.0 5,319,940 -5.9 4,554 43.5 2,314,901 -7.2 5,803 55.5 2,950,126 -3.9 108 1.01983 18,273 100.0 4,977,126 -6.4 6,885 37.7 1,875,232 -19.0 11,386 62.3 3,101,244 5.1 2 0.01984 30,789 100.0 5,260,269 5.7 11,096 36.0 1,895,746 1.1 19,435 63.1 3,320,549 7.1 257 0.81985 48,972 100.0 5,271,166 0.2 17,845 36.4 1,920,716 1.3 30,540 62.4 3,287,202 -1.0 588 1.21986 77,683 100.0 4,937,334 -6.3 29,506 38.0 1,875,306 -2.4 47,575 61.2 3,023,763 -8.0 602 0.81987 190,229 100.0 4,978,876 0.8 67,746 35.6 1,773,106 -5.4 119,625 62.9 3,130,941 3.5 2,859 1.51988 403,275 100.0 5,265,696 5.8 133,645 33.1 1,745,047 -1.6 260,607 64.6 3,402,825 8.7 9,024 2.21989 539,684 100.0 5,557,130 5.5 173,867 32.2 1,790,305 2.6 352,932 65.4 3,634,141 6.8 12,886 2.41990 732,516 100.0 5,883,726 5.9 232,897 31.8 1,870,682 4.5 479,606 65.5 3,852,296 6.0 20,013 2.71991 942,604 100.0 6,134,011 4.3 311,374 33.0 2,026,269 8.3 601,366 63.8 3,913,402 1.6 29,864 3.21992 1,112,103 100.0 6,301,600 2.7 390,929 35.2 2,215,150 9.3 683,819 61.5 3,874,780 -1.0 37,355 3.41993 1,241,534 100.0 6,430,793 2.1 459,799 37.0 2,381,630 7.5 740,437 59.6 3,835,255 -1.0 41,297 3.31994 1,406,321 100.0 6,730,248 4.7 529,088 37.6 2,532,064 6.3 827,367 58.8 3,959,540 3.2 49,866 3.51995 1,810,041 100.0 6,583,320 -2.2 599,315 33.1 2,179,774 -13.9 1,106,406 61.1 4,024,122 1.6 104,320 5.81996 2,510,956 100.0 7,065,900 7.3 768,605 30.6 2,162,875 -0.8 1,595,905 63.6 4,490,923 11.6 146,446 5.81997 3,167,886 100.0 7,567,582 7.1 994,671 31.4 2,376,114 9.9 1,979,563 62.5 4,728,866 5.3 193,651 6.11998 3,876,407 100.0 8,044,302 6.3 1,246,298 32.2 2,586,311 8.8 2,393,711 61.8 4,967,417 5.0 236,399 6.11999 4,646,016 100.0 8,194,831 1.9 1,516,644 32.6 2,675,119 3.4 2,838,528 61.1 5,006,710 0.8 290,844 6.32000 5,530,384 100.0 8,802,500 7.4 1,815,052 32.8 2,888,948 8.0 3,362,815 60.8 5,352,465 6.9 352,517 6.42001 5,816,816 100.0 8,786,297 -0.2 1,993,855 34.3 3,011,717 4.2 3,450,617 59.3 5,212,154 -2.6 372,344 6.42002 6,341,727 100.0 9,069,254 3.2 2,154,449 34.0 3,081,060 2.3 3,780,326 59.6 5,406,215 3.7 406,952 6.42003 6,897,863 100.0 9,309,216 2.6 2,313,436 33.5 3,122,166 1.3 4,139,210 60.0 5,586,194 3.3 445,217 6.52004 7,863,564 100.0 9,798,207 5.3 2,501,179 31.8 3,116,534 -0.2 4,924,310 62.6 6,135,819 9.8 438,075 5.62005 8,529,598 100.0 10,082,723 2.9 2,689,952 31.5 3,179,756 2.0 5,390,152 63.2 6,371,625 3.8 449,495 5.32006 9,527,384 100.0 10,594,712 5.1 2,934,062 30.8 3,262,758 2.6 6,129,161 64.3 6,815,795 7.0 464,161 4.92007 10,284,559 100.0 10,901,761 2.9 3,155,458 30.7 3,344,825 2.5 6,621,843 64.4 7,019,236 3.0 507,258 4.92008 11,037,175 100.0 11,037,175 1.2 3,411,296 30.9 3,411,296 2.0 7,240,324 65.6 7,240,324 3.1 385,556 3.52009 10,711,708 100.0 10,345,785 -6.3 3,469,534 32.4 3,351,011 -1.8 6,661,259 62.2 6,433,703 -11.1 580,916 5.42010 11,894,194 100.0 10,994,744 6.3 3,659,099 30.8 3,382,395 0.9 7,607,963 64.0 7,032,641 9.3 627,132 5.32011 12,946,594 100.0 11,366,514 3.4 3,923,845 30.3 3,444,955 1.8 8,428,821 65.1 7,400,117 5.2 593,928 4.62012 13,795,195 100.0 11,728,210 3.2 4,228,906 30.7 3,595,273 4.4 8,992,751 65.2 7,645,334 3.3 573,538 4.22013 14,062,295 100.0 11,750,336 0.2 4,413,817 31.4 3,688,148 2.6 8,915,361 63.4 7,449,601 -2.6 733,117 5.22014 14,814,849 100.0 11,953,298 1.7 4,692,302 31.7 3,785,964 2.7 9,358,100 63.2 7,550,543 1.4 764,446 5.2
2015 15,655,562 100.0 12,268,938 2.6 4,992,291 31.9 3,912,354 3.3 9,863,272 63.0 7,729,641 2.4 799,999 5.12016 16,781,352 100.0 12,739,368 3.8 5,374,293 32.0 4,079,832 4.3 10,557,923 62.9 8,014,924 3.7 849,136 5.12017 18,248,529 100.0 13,397,902 5.2 5,875,542 32.2 4,313,769 5.7 11,482,459 62.9 8,430,316 5.2 890,528 4.92018 19,838,591 100.0 14,045,163 4.8 6,423,016 32.4 4,547,314 5.4 12,455,388 62.8 8,818,063 4.6 960,188 4.82019 21,423,544 100.0 14,655,196 4.3 6,985,020 32.6 4,778,240 5.1 13,414,478 62.6 9,176,437 4.1 1,024,045 4.82020 23,240,904 100.0 15,398,146 5.1 7,612,042 32.8 5,043,321 5.5 14,513,299 62.4 9,615,714 4.8 1,115,563 4.8
Continúa
A-4
Continuación
Personal Ocupado Remuneración Total del Personal Ocupado Remuneración Media Anual del Personal OcupadoAños Remunerado Nominal Real Nominal Real
Personas % Var. Pesos % Var. % IND Pesos de 2008 % Var. Pesos % Var. Pesos de 2008 % Var.
1980 24,602,687 6.4 2,125 33.4 42.4 2,481,664 5.5 8.64 25.4 10,086.96 -0.81981 26,121,780 6.2 3,032 42.7 44.1 2,767,924 11.5 11.61 34.4 10,596.23 5.01982 26,030,084 -0.4 4,554 50.2 43.5 2,615,585 -5.5 17.49 50.7 10,048.31 -5.21983 25,318,960 -2.7 6,885 51.2 37.7 1,958,840 -25.1 27.19 55.4 7,736.65 -23.01984 25,927,555 2.4 11,096 61.2 36.0 1,908,140 -2.6 42.80 57.4 7,359.51 -4.91985 26,484,078 2.1 17,845 60.8 36.4 1,945,320 1.9 67.38 57.4 7,345.24 -0.21986 26,063,667 -1.6 29,506 65.3 38.0 1,727,150 -11.2 113.21 68.0 6,626.66 -9.81987 26,299,106 0.9 67,746 129.6 35.6 1,710,574 -1.0 257.60 127.5 6,504.31 -1.81988 26,482,049 0.7 133,645 97.3 33.1 1,575,692 -7.9 504.66 95.9 5,950.04 -8.51989 27,198,534 2.7 173,867 30.1 32.2 1,708,145 8.4 639.25 26.7 6,280.28 5.61990 28,402,365 4.4 232,897 34.0 31.8 1,806,602 5.8 819.99 28.3 6,360.74 1.31991 29,194,592 2.8 311,374 33.7 33.0 1,969,101 9.0 1,066.55 30.1 6,744.75 6.01992 29,592,852 1.4 390,929 25.5 35.2 2,140,288 8.7 1,321.02 23.9 7,232.45 7.21993 29,861,321 0.9 459,799 17.6 37.0 2,293,680 7.2 1,539.78 16.6 7,681.11 6.21994 30,567,389 2.4 529,088 15.1 37.6 2,467,446 7.6 1,730.89 12.4 8,072.15 5.11995 29,635,986 -3.0 599,315 13.3 33.1 2,070,347 -16.1 2,022.25 16.8 6,985.92 -13.51996 30,631,556 3.4 768,605 28.2 30.6 1,975,885 -4.6 2,509.19 24.1 6,450.49 -7.71997 31,819,963 3.9 994,671 29.4 31.4 2,119,818 7.3 3,125.94 24.6 6,661.91 3.31998 33,186,333 4.3 1,246,298 25.3 32.2 2,291,137 8.1 3,755.46 20.1 6,903.86 3.61999 33,943,910 2.3 1,516,644 21.7 32.6 2,391,487 4.4 4,468.09 19.0 7,045.41 2.12000 34,634,241 2.0 1,815,052 19.7 32.8 2,613,922 9.3 5,240.63 17.3 7,547.22 7.12001 34,388,016 -0.7 1,993,855 9.9 34.3 2,699,525 3.3 5,798.11 10.6 7,850.19 4.02002 34,096,303 -0.8 2,154,449 8.1 34.0 2,777,240 2.9 6,318.72 9.0 8,145.28 3.82003 34,244,084 0.4 2,313,436 7.4 33.5 2,852,487 2.7 6,755.72 6.9 8,329.87 2.32004 35,608,455 4.0 2,501,179 8.1 31.8 2,945,861 3.3 7,024.12 4.0 8,272.93 -0.72005 35,847,430 0.7 2,689,952 7.5 31.5 3,046,692 3.4 7,503.89 6.8 8,499.05 2.72006 37,233,966 3.9 2,934,062 9.1 30.8 3,206,787 5.3 7,880.07 5.0 8,612.53 1.32007 37,917,306 1.8 3,155,458 7.5 30.7 3,317,175 3.4 8,321.95 5.6 8,748.45 1.62008 38,486,251 1.5 3,411,296 8.1 30.9 3,411,296 2.8 8,863.67 6.5 8,863.67 1.32009 37,096,912 -3.6 3,469,534 1.7 32.4 3,294,987 -3.4 9,352.62 5.5 8,882.10 0.22010 37,636,192 1.5 3,659,099 5.5 30.8 3,336,333 1.3 9,722.29 4.0 8,864.69 -0.22011 38,171,733 1.4 3,923,845 7.2 30.3 3,459,838 3.7 10,279.45 5.7 9,063.87 2.22012 39,262,867 2.9 4,228,906 7.8 30.7 3,581,573 3.5 10,770.75 4.8 9,122.04 0.62013 38,995,823 -0.7 4,413,817 4.4 31.4 3,601,101 0.5 11,318.69 5.1 9,234.58 1.22014 39,197,335 0.5 4,654,272 5.4 31.4 3,650,576 1.4 11,873.95 4.9 9,313.33 0.9
2015 39,712,322 1.3 4,975,931 6.9 31.8 3,790,171 3.8 12,529.94 5.5 9,544.07 2.52016 40,514,631 2.0 5,400,774 8.5 32.2 3,973,405 4.8 13,330.43 6.4 9,807.33 2.82017 41,736,449 3.0 5,956,419 10.3 32.6 4,219,822 6.2 14,271.50 7.1 10,110.64 3.12018 43,032,513 3.1 6,559,465 10.1 33.1 4,472,471 6.0 15,243.04 6.8 10,393.24 2.82019 44,208,707 2.7 7,182,845 9.5 33.5 4,723,039 5.6 16,247.58 6.6 10,683.50 2.82020 45,587,924 3.1 7,896,925 9.9 34.0 5,019,468 6.3 17,322.40 6.6 11,010.52 3.1
Conclusión
A-5
A-5. Consumo Privado Total y Per Cápita: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Pesos a precios de 2008)
Población Consumo Privado Consumo Consumo Per Cápita Real Años Total Real Indice Real Privado Real Indice Real
Personas Var.% Mills. de Ps. Var.% 2008=100 Var.% % PIB Ps. de 2008 Var.% 2008=100 Var.%
1980 71,073,785 2.4 3,804,037 10.3 46.4 10.3 62.2 53,522 7.7 72.7 7.71981 72,666,912 2.2 4,065,866 6.9 49.6 6.9 61.3 55,952 4.5 76.0 4.51982 74,186,037 2.1 4,025,020 -1.0 49.1 -1.0 61.0 54,256 -3.0 73.7 -3.01983 75,668,142 2.0 3,856,858 -4.2 47.0 -4.2 60.6 50,971 -6.1 69.2 -6.11984 77,166,135 2.0 3,966,002 2.8 48.4 2.8 60.2 51,396 0.8 69.8 0.81985 78,717,744 2.0 4,086,076 3.0 49.8 3.0 60.7 51,908 1.0 70.5 1.01986 80,335,575 2.1 3,999,098 -2.1 48.8 -2.1 61.3 49,780 -4.1 67.6 -4.11987 82,006,831 2.1 4,005,891 0.2 48.9 0.2 60.4 48,848 -1.9 66.3 -1.91988 83,712,835 2.1 4,057,521 1.3 49.5 1.3 60.4 48,470 -0.8 65.8 -0.81989 85,424,041 2.0 4,353,040 7.3 53.1 7.3 62.2 50,958 5.1 69.2 5.11990 87,064,847 1.9 4,632,871 6.4 56.5 6.4 63.0 53,212 4.4 72.2 4.41991 88,630,941 1.8 4,849,631 4.7 59.2 4.7 63.2 54,717 2.8 74.3 2.81992 90,132,585 1.7 5,076,539 4.7 61.9 4.7 63.9 56,323 2.9 76.5 2.91993 91,600,655 1.6 5,182,959 2.1 63.2 2.1 63.7 56,582 0.5 76.8 0.51994 93,055,300 1.6 5,422,813 4.6 66.1 4.6 63.7 58,275 3.0 79.1 3.01995 94,490,336 1.5 4,947,122 -8.8 60.3 -8.8 61.6 52,356 -10.2 71.1 -10.21996 95,876,664 1.5 5,161,928 4.3 63.0 4.3 60.7 53,839 2.8 73.1 2.81997 97,204,604 1.4 5,473,707 6.0 66.8 6.0 60.2 56,311 4.6 76.4 4.61998 98,485,424 1.3 5,789,745 5.8 70.6 5.8 60.8 58,788 4.4 79.8 4.41999 99,706,067 1.2 6,062,432 4.7 73.9 4.7 62.0 60,803 3.4 82.5 3.42000 100,895,811 1.2 6,420,895 5.9 78.3 5.9 62.4 63,639 4.7 86.4 4.72001 102,122,295 1.2 6,550,213 2.0 79.9 2.0 64.1 64,141 0.8 87.1 0.82002 103,417,944 1.3 6,641,542 1.4 81.0 1.4 64.9 64,220 0.1 87.2 0.12003 104,719,891 1.3 6,715,116 1.1 81.9 1.1 64.7 64,125 -0.1 87.0 -0.12004 105,951,569 1.2 7,088,885 5.6 86.5 5.6 65.4 66,907 4.3 90.8 4.32005 107,155,784 1.1 7,400,756 4.4 90.3 4.4 66.3 69,065 3.2 93.8 3.22006 108,416,556 1.2 7,808,965 5.5 95.2 5.5 66.6 72,027 4.3 97.8 4.32007 109,795,643 1.3 8,046,201 3.0 98.1 3.0 66.6 73,283 1.7 99.5 1.72008 111,304,405 1.4 8,198,835 1.9 100.0 1.9 66.9 73,661 0.5 100.0 0.52009 112,849,217 1.4 7,669,325 -6.5 93.5 -6.5 65.7 67,961 -7.7 92.3 -7.72010 114,291,638 1.3 8,103,919 5.7 98.8 5.7 66.0 70,906 4.3 96.3 4.32011 115,684,856 1.2 8,493,188 4.8 103.6 4.8 66.5 73,417 3.5 99.7 3.52012 117,055,022 1.2 8,911,848 4.9 108.7 4.9 67.1 76,134 3.7 103.4 3.72013 118,396,855 1.1 9,106,081 2.2 111.1 2.2 67.6 76,912 1.0 104.4 1.02014 119,714,945 1.1 9,287,946 2.0 113.3 2.0 67.5 77,584 0.9 105.3 0.9
2015 121,011,400 1.1 9,565,814 3.0 116.7 3.0 67.5 79,049 1.9 107.3 1.92016 122,291,164 1.1 9,936,828 3.9 121.2 3.9 67.4 81,255 2.8 110.3 2.82017 123,559,276 1.0 10,430,918 5.0 127.2 5.0 67.3 84,420 3.9 114.6 3.92018 124,821,020 1.0 10,934,143 4.8 133.4 4.8 67.2 87,599 3.8 118.9 3.82019 126,081,924 1.0 11,416,692 4.4 139.2 4.4 67.1 90,550 3.4 122.9 3.42020 127,347,752 1.0 11,971,052 4.9 146.0 4.9 67.0 94,003 3.8 127.6 3.8
A-6
A-6. Evolución de la Pobreza por Nivel de Ingreso y Desigualdad Social: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Personas, porcentajes e índices)
Población Población Pobre Porcentaje de la Población Total Población Indice deAños Total Alimentaria Capacidades Patrimonio Alimentaria Capacidades Patrimonio No Pobre Desigualdad
Personas % Personas Personas Personas % % % Personas % de Gini1980-III 71,332,341 100.0 11,598,639 16,484,904 35,209,644 16.3 23.1 49.4 36,122,698 50.6 0.4501981-III 72,908,786 100.0 9,288,579 13,932,869 32,196,520 12.7 19.1 44.2 40,712,266 55.8 0.4371982-III 74,423,101 100.0 12,026,773 16,998,236 35,812,396 16.2 22.8 48.1 38,610,705 51.9 0.4421983-III 75,903,827 100.0 18,216,918 23,628,861 42,756,626 24.0 31.1 56.3 33,147,201 43.7 0.4501984-III 77,404,098 100.0 17,415,922 23,376,038 41,024,172 22.5 30.2 53.0 36,379,926 47.0 0.4241985-III 78,957,485 100.0 16,312,616 21,571,185 38,815,500 20.7 27.3 49.2 40,141,986 50.8 0.4311986-III 80,577,538 100.0 20,015,461 26,912,898 44,962,266 24.8 33.4 55.8 35,615,272 44.2 0.4501987-III 82,245,525 100.0 20,898,588 27,889,457 46,312,455 25.4 33.9 56.3 35,933,070 43.7 0.4661988-III 83,949,682 100.0 20,206,688 26,612,049 45,870,106 24.1 31.7 54.6 38,079,576 45.4 0.4671989-III 85,658,404 100.0 19,444,458 25,097,912 45,827,246 22.7 29.3 53.5 39,831,158 46.5 0.4641990-III 87,296,633 100.0 18,812,424 24,443,057 44,992,685 21.6 28.0 51.5 42,303,948 48.5 0.4671991-III 88,865,524 100.0 18,990,562 25,175,603 45,907,930 21.4 28.3 51.7 42,957,594 48.3 0.4661992-III 90,371,559 100.0 19,321,439 26,804,204 47,978,261 21.4 29.7 53.1 42,393,298 46.9 0.4691993-III 91,842,618 100.0 20,113,533 28,287,526 49,686,856 21.9 30.8 54.1 42,155,762 45.9 0.4721994-III 93,300,175 100.0 19,751,647 27,943,402 48,870,632 21.2 30.0 52.4 44,429,543 47.6 0.4741995-III 94,738,299 100.0 32,997,350 41,438,532 62,622,016 34.8 43.7 66.1 32,116,283 33.9 0.4691996-III 96,128,033 100.0 35,942,272 45,055,209 66,337,956 37.4 46.9 69.0 29,790,077 31.0 0.4551997-III 97,458,591 100.0 33,915,590 42,745,338 63,835,377 34.8 43.9 65.5 33,623,214 34.5 0.4641998-III 98,741,392 100.0 32,841,387 41,204,783 62,888,393 33.3 41.7 63.7 35,852,999 36.3 0.4731999-III 99,964,813 100.0 30,289,338 38,416,478 60,038,867 30.3 38.4 60.1 39,925,946 39.9 0.4772000-III 101,158,779 100.0 24,409,407 32,120,705 54,227,340 24.1 31.8 53.6 46,931,439 46.4 0.4792001-III 102,388,036 100.0 22,730,144 30,306,859 52,934,615 22.2 29.6 51.7 49,453,421 48.3 0.4702002-III 103,686,637 100.0 20,705,343 27,845,996 51,821,589 20.0 26.9 50.0 51,865,048 50.0 0.4532003-III 104,994,747 100.0 20,053,997 27,403,629 51,447,426 19.1 26.1 49.0 53,547,321 51.0 0.4552004-III 106,218,317 100.0 18,476,280 26,232,861 50,149,830 17.4 24.7 47.2 56,068,487 52.8 0.4552005-III 107,363,199 100.0 19,579,587 26,516,676 50,508,715 18.2 24.7 47.0 56,854,484 53.0 0.4572006-III 108,578,347 100.0 15,147,499 22,657,319 46,549,346 14.0 20.9 42.9 62,029,001 57.1 0.4452007-III 110,063,495 100.0 16,619,588 24,544,159 49,341,290 15.1 22.3 44.8 60,722,205 55.2 0.4492008-III 111,611,545 100.0 20,789,646 28,486,370 53,381,457 18.6 25.5 47.8 58,230,088 52.2 0.4572009-III 113,176,204 100.0 30,104,870 38,298,828 63,718,203 26.6 33.8 56.3 49,458,001 43.7 0.4482010-III 114,559,931 100.0 21,535,243 30,493,420 58,519,936 18.8 26.6 51.1 56,039,995 48.9 0.4352011-III 115,857,912 100.0 22,175,204 31,165,778 59,388,766 19.1 26.9 51.3 56,469,146 48.7 0.4402012-III 117,284,429 100.0 23,088,909 32,881,563 61,350,435 19.7 28.0 52.3 55,933,994 47.7 0.4402013-III 118,587,224 100.0 25,325,788 35,464,393 64,368,084 21.4 29.9 54.3 54,219,140 45.7 0.4412014-III 119,885,213 100.0 26,717,922 37,207,269 66,547,208 22.3 31.0 55.5 53,338,004 44.5 0.442
2015-III 121,177,763 100.0 26,315,270 36,675,353 65,846,912 21.7 30.3 54.3 55,330,851 45.7 0.4382016-III 122,453,909 100.0 25,086,218 35,188,043 64,054,544 20.5 28.7 52.3 58,399,365 47.7 0.4392017-III 123,719,534 100.0 21,906,094 31,617,449 60,411,141 17.7 25.6 48.8 63,308,393 51.2 0.4362018-III 124,978,445 100.0 18,954,547 28,264,806 56,726,598 15.2 22.6 45.4 68,251,848 54.6 0.4322019-III 126,236,560 100.0 16,507,012 25,532,285 53,649,408 13.1 20.2 42.5 72,587,152 57.5 0.4292020-III 127,499,230 100.0 14,389,886 23,250,434 51,138,800 11.3 18.2 40.1 76,360,430 59.9 0.426
A-7
A-7. Distribución del Ingreso en México: Escenario Base 2015-2020Ingreso Corriente Total Trimestral por Hogar
(Millones de pesos constantes de 2012)
Ingreso Corriente Total Trimestral Grupos de IngresoAños Deciles de hogares Bajo Medio Alto
TOTAL I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X I-V VI-VIII IX-X
1980-III 651,205 11,852 19,536 25,462 33,146 38,877 48,254 58,739 76,582 109,012 229,745 128,873 183,575 338,7571981-III 710,514 12,931 21,315 28,207 36,094 44,620 55,491 69,204 86,825 118,514 237,312 143,169 211,520 355,8251982-III 611,124 10,939 18,395 24,262 30,434 37,462 46,629 58,912 74,679 102,119 207,293 121,491 180,220 309,4121983-III 529,594 9,321 15,040 20,707 26,056 31,829 39,825 50,735 64,134 87,807 184,140 102,953 154,694 271,9471984-III 534,808 9,402 17,016 22,889 28,822 34,659 42,578 52,357 65,247 89,533 172,949 112,789 160,182 262,4821985-III 564,512 10,500 17,387 23,145 29,016 35,847 44,484 55,209 68,870 94,330 185,724 115,894 168,563 280,0541986-III 538,910 9,377 15,574 20,856 26,299 32,658 40,742 50,765 64,184 92,854 185,600 104,764 155,691 278,4551987-III 541,276 8,282 14,427 19,811 25,007 31,286 39,351 51,475 67,335 92,970 191,333 98,812 158,161 284,3031988-III 597,172 9,196 16,410 21,807 28,007 35,233 43,594 55,238 71,780 98,543 217,363 110,654 170,612 315,9061989-III 676,902 10,960 19,471 25,745 32,429 40,486 49,937 61,220 77,509 105,812 253,343 129,090 188,666 359,1551990-III 719,319 11,365 20,357 27,190 34,455 42,584 52,223 64,954 82,866 113,078 270,247 135,951 200,043 383,3251991-III 790,199 12,485 22,574 30,252 37,772 46,464 57,210 71,434 90,952 126,663 294,394 149,546 219,596 421,0561992-III 841,153 13,345 23,550 31,669 40,027 48,902 60,579 75,563 95,948 134,787 316,743 157,494 232,090 451,5301993-III 868,307 14,067 24,139 32,172 40,961 50,101 62,018 76,845 98,726 139,766 329,512 161,440 237,589 469,2781994-III 920,707 14,827 25,721 34,175 43,019 52,722 65,350 80,928 104,837 148,518 350,555 170,464 251,115 499,0731995-III 753,824 12,966 21,559 29,550 35,430 43,722 53,672 65,357 83,373 120,434 287,762 143,227 202,402 408,1961996-III 682,620 12,237 20,567 27,005 33,515 40,862 50,149 61,300 78,312 108,768 249,889 134,187 189,760 358,6571997-III 749,435 12,366 21,134 28,404 36,273 44,367 54,784 67,299 86,260 119,754 278,796 142,543 208,343 398,5501998-III 779,327 11,832 21,005 28,673 36,882 45,692 56,545 69,850 89,859 124,477 294,474 144,083 216,253 418,9511999-III 875,363 13,393 23,260 31,711 40,792 50,508 63,114 78,257 99,879 140,324 334,125 159,664 241,250 474,4492000-III 954,514 14,540 25,338 34,569 44,072 54,733 68,012 84,759 107,583 152,671 368,171 173,251 260,354 520,8422001-III 962,421 15,110 26,563 35,706 45,811 56,494 69,968 86,810 110,775 152,035 363,149 179,684 267,553 515,1842002-III 969,496 16,014 28,365 37,954 47,867 59,514 72,209 89,648 114,842 158,780 344,299 189,715 276,700 503,0792003-III 999,720 16,595 29,392 38,992 49,686 60,983 74,079 91,274 116,767 161,647 360,304 195,648 282,121 521,9512004-III 1,047,872 17,333 30,872 41,676 52,170 63,320 77,244 95,764 121,982 168,696 378,800 205,371 294,990 547,4972005-III 1,083,254 17,786 31,794 42,540 53,245 64,798 79,813 99,042 126,370 173,005 394,839 210,163 305,225 567,8442006-III 1,199,303 21,396 37,067 48,797 60,821 74,300 89,501 110,761 139,388 189,906 427,365 242,381 339,650 617,2722007-III 1,202,875 21,171 37,530 48,031 59,903 73,375 88,892 110,544 139,052 192,102 432,274 240,010 338,489 624,3762008-III 1,194,851 19,891 34,731 46,808 58,499 71,436 87,808 109,773 139,607 192,778 433,520 231,365 337,188 626,2972009-III 1,102,102 18,846 34,165 44,194 55,436 67,118 82,217 102,385 129,387 178,052 390,302 219,759 313,989 568,3542010-III 1,110,560 19,605 34,502 46,141 58,078 70,856 85,889 105,238 133,268 180,688 376,295 229,181 324,395 556,9832011-III 1,149,582 20,578 35,235 46,903 59,433 71,964 87,253 107,831 136,455 185,198 398,733 234,112 331,540 583,9302012-III 1,203,203 22,083 37,220 49,656 61,583 75,472 91,087 112,257 141,540 192,555 419,749 246,014 344,884 612,3042013-III 1,177,299 21,545 36,296 48,469 60,125 73,487 88,980 109,771 138,639 188,627 411,360 239,922 337,390 599,9872014-III 1,184,044 21,526 36,315 48,558 60,256 73,659 89,289 110,211 139,670 190,004 414,557 240,314 339,169 604,561
2015-III 1,214,886 22,269 37,540 50,260 63,539 76,331 92,234 113,385 143,041 194,503 421,784 249,938 348,660 616,2872016-III 1,259,515 23,137 39,108 52,295 65,130 78,808 95,849 117,714 147,980 200,855 438,639 258,478 361,544 639,4942017-III 1,317,649 24,311 41,124 55,038 68,452 84,290 100,682 123,279 154,244 209,638 456,592 273,214 378,205 666,2302018-III 1,375,874 25,701 43,725 58,199 71,958 90,257 105,805 129,057 160,234 218,214 472,723 289,842 395,096 690,9362019-III 1,433,627 27,067 45,804 61,101 75,394 95,609 110,791 135,277 166,157 226,943 489,483 304,975 412,225 716,4262020-III 1,505,109 28,883 48,600 64,554 79,515 101,956 116,766 142,549 173,840 237,506 510,939 323,508 433,155 748,446
Continúa
A-8
Continuación
Total de Hogares Grupo de IngresoAños Deciles de hogares Bajo Medio Alto
TOTAL I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X I-V VI-VIII IX-X
1980-III 14,868,228 1,486,823 1,486,823 1,486,823 1,486,823 1,486,823 1,486,823 1,486,823 1,486,823 1,486,823 1,486,823 7,434,114 4,460,468 2,973,6461981-III 15,300,028 1,530,003 1,530,003 1,530,003 1,530,003 1,530,003 1,530,003 1,530,003 1,530,003 1,530,003 1,530,003 7,650,014 4,590,008 3,060,0061982-III 15,724,606 1,572,461 1,572,461 1,572,461 1,572,461 1,572,461 1,572,461 1,572,461 1,572,461 1,572,461 1,572,461 7,862,303 4,717,382 3,144,9211983-III 16,147,885 1,614,789 1,614,789 1,614,789 1,614,789 1,614,789 1,614,789 1,614,789 1,614,789 1,614,789 1,614,789 8,073,943 4,844,366 3,229,5771984-III 16,581,220 1,658,122 1,658,122 1,658,122 1,658,122 1,658,122 1,658,122 1,658,122 1,658,122 1,658,122 1,658,122 8,290,610 4,974,366 3,316,2441985-III 17,032,064 1,703,206 1,703,206 1,703,206 1,703,206 1,703,206 1,703,206 1,703,206 1,703,206 1,703,206 1,703,206 8,516,032 5,109,619 3,406,4131986-III 17,503,728 1,750,373 1,750,373 1,750,373 1,750,373 1,750,373 1,750,373 1,750,373 1,750,373 1,750,373 1,750,373 8,751,864 5,251,118 3,500,7461987-III 17,992,557 1,799,256 1,799,256 1,799,256 1,799,256 1,799,256 1,799,256 1,799,256 1,799,256 1,799,256 1,799,256 8,996,279 5,397,767 3,598,5111988-III 18,496,328 1,849,633 1,849,633 1,849,633 1,849,633 1,849,633 1,849,633 1,849,633 1,849,633 1,849,633 1,849,633 9,248,164 5,548,898 3,699,2661989-III 19,008,347 1,900,835 1,900,835 1,900,835 1,900,835 1,900,835 1,900,835 1,900,835 1,900,835 1,900,835 1,900,835 9,504,174 5,702,504 3,801,6691990-III 19,512,018 1,951,202 1,951,202 1,951,202 1,951,202 1,951,202 1,951,202 1,951,202 1,951,202 1,951,202 1,951,202 9,756,009 5,853,605 3,902,4041991-III 20,007,418 2,000,742 2,000,742 2,000,742 2,000,742 2,000,742 2,000,742 2,000,742 2,000,742 2,000,742 2,000,742 10,003,709 6,002,225 4,001,4841992-III 20,495,835 2,049,584 2,049,584 2,049,584 2,049,584 2,049,584 2,049,584 2,049,584 2,049,584 2,049,584 2,049,584 10,247,918 6,148,751 4,099,1671993-III 20,983,485 2,098,348 2,098,348 2,098,348 2,098,348 2,098,348 2,098,348 2,098,348 2,098,348 2,098,348 2,098,348 10,491,742 6,295,045 4,196,6971994-III 21,475,291 2,147,529 2,147,529 2,147,529 2,147,529 2,147,529 2,147,529 2,147,529 2,147,529 2,147,529 2,147,529 10,737,646 6,442,587 4,295,0581995-III 21,969,974 2,196,997 2,196,997 2,196,997 2,196,997 2,196,997 2,196,997 2,196,997 2,196,997 2,196,997 2,196,997 10,984,987 6,590,992 4,393,9951996-III 22,460,831 2,246,083 2,246,083 2,246,083 2,246,083 2,246,083 2,246,083 2,246,083 2,246,083 2,246,083 2,246,083 11,230,416 6,738,249 4,492,1661997-III 22,945,237 2,294,524 2,294,524 2,294,524 2,294,524 2,294,524 2,294,524 2,294,524 2,294,524 2,294,524 2,294,524 11,472,619 6,883,571 4,589,0471998-III 23,425,752 2,342,575 2,342,575 2,342,575 2,342,575 2,342,575 2,342,575 2,342,575 2,342,575 2,342,575 2,342,575 11,712,876 7,027,726 4,685,1501999-III 23,899,506 2,389,951 2,389,951 2,389,951 2,389,951 2,389,951 2,389,951 2,389,951 2,389,951 2,389,951 2,389,951 11,949,753 7,169,852 4,779,9012000-III 24,373,552 2,437,355 2,437,355 2,437,355 2,437,355 2,437,355 2,437,355 2,437,355 2,437,355 2,437,355 2,437,355 12,186,776 7,312,066 4,874,7102001-III 24,863,619 2,486,362 2,486,362 2,486,362 2,486,362 2,486,362 2,486,362 2,486,362 2,486,362 2,486,362 2,486,362 12,431,809 7,459,086 4,972,7242002-III 25,378,423 2,537,842 2,537,842 2,537,842 2,537,842 2,537,842 2,537,842 2,537,842 2,537,842 2,537,842 2,537,842 12,689,211 7,613,527 5,075,6852003-III 25,903,794 2,590,379 2,590,379 2,590,379 2,590,379 2,590,379 2,590,379 2,590,379 2,590,379 2,590,379 2,590,379 12,951,897 7,771,138 5,180,7592004-III 26,416,597 2,641,660 2,641,660 2,641,660 2,641,660 2,641,660 2,641,660 2,641,660 2,641,660 2,641,660 2,641,660 13,208,299 7,924,979 5,283,3192005-III 26,917,994 2,691,799 2,691,799 2,691,799 2,691,799 2,691,799 2,691,799 2,691,799 2,691,799 2,691,799 2,691,799 13,458,997 8,075,398 5,383,5992006-III 27,445,356 2,744,536 2,744,536 2,744,536 2,744,536 2,744,536 2,744,536 2,744,536 2,744,536 2,744,536 2,744,536 13,722,678 8,233,607 5,489,0712007-III 27,653,380 2,765,338 2,765,338 2,765,338 2,765,338 2,765,338 2,765,338 2,765,338 2,765,338 2,765,338 2,765,338 13,826,690 8,296,014 5,530,6762008-III 27,874,625 2,787,462 2,787,462 2,787,462 2,787,462 2,787,462 2,787,462 2,787,462 2,787,462 2,787,462 2,787,462 13,937,312 8,362,387 5,574,9252009-III 28,724,984 2,872,498 2,872,498 2,872,498 2,872,498 2,872,498 2,872,498 2,872,498 2,872,498 2,872,498 2,872,498 14,362,492 8,617,495 5,744,9972010-III 29,556,772 2,955,677 2,955,677 2,955,677 2,955,677 2,955,677 2,955,677 2,955,677 2,955,677 2,955,677 2,955,677 14,778,386 8,867,032 5,911,3542011-III 30,520,094 3,052,009 3,052,009 3,052,009 3,052,009 3,052,009 3,052,009 3,052,009 3,052,009 3,052,009 3,052,009 15,260,047 9,156,028 6,104,0192012-III 31,559,379 3,155,938 3,155,938 3,155,938 3,155,938 3,155,938 3,155,938 3,155,938 3,155,938 3,155,938 3,155,938 15,779,689 9,467,814 6,311,8762013-III 32,190,276 3,219,028 3,219,028 3,219,028 3,219,028 3,219,028 3,219,028 3,219,028 3,219,028 3,219,028 3,219,028 16,095,138 9,657,083 6,438,0552014-III 32,831,040 3,283,104 3,283,104 3,283,104 3,283,104 3,283,104 3,283,104 3,283,104 3,283,104 3,283,104 3,283,104 16,415,520 9,849,312 6,566,208
2015-III 33,481,762 3,348,176 3,348,176 3,348,176 3,348,176 3,348,176 3,348,176 3,348,176 3,348,176 3,348,176 3,348,176 16,740,881 10,044,529 6,696,3522016-III 34,139,653 3,413,965 3,413,965 3,413,965 3,413,965 3,413,965 3,413,965 3,413,965 3,413,965 3,413,965 3,413,965 17,069,827 10,241,896 6,827,9312017-III 34,806,565 3,480,657 3,480,657 3,480,657 3,480,657 3,480,657 3,480,657 3,480,657 3,480,657 3,480,657 3,480,657 17,403,283 10,441,970 6,961,3132018-III 35,483,827 3,548,383 3,548,383 3,548,383 3,548,383 3,548,383 3,548,383 3,548,383 3,548,383 3,548,383 3,548,383 17,741,913 10,645,148 7,096,7652019-III 36,173,422 3,617,342 3,617,342 3,617,342 3,617,342 3,617,342 3,617,342 3,617,342 3,617,342 3,617,342 3,617,342 18,086,711 10,852,027 7,234,6842020-III 36,877,246 3,687,725 3,687,725 3,687,725 3,687,725 3,687,725 3,687,725 3,687,725 3,687,725 3,687,725 3,687,725 18,438,623 11,063,174 7,375,449
Continúa
A-9
Continuación
Participación porcentual en el ingreso corriente total por hogares Grupos de IngresoAños Deciles de hogares Bajo Medio Alto
TOTAL I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X I-V VI-VIII IX-X
1980-III 100.0 1.82 3.00 3.91 5.09 5.97 7.41 9.02 11.76 16.74 35.28 19.79 28.19 52.021981-III 100.0 1.82 3.00 3.97 5.08 6.28 7.81 9.74 12.22 16.68 33.40 20.15 29.77 50.081982-III 100.0 1.79 3.01 3.97 4.98 6.13 7.63 9.64 12.22 16.71 33.92 19.88 29.49 50.631983-III 100.0 1.76 2.84 3.91 4.92 6.01 7.52 9.58 12.11 16.58 34.77 19.44 29.21 51.351984-III 100.0 1.76 3.18 4.28 5.39 6.48 7.96 9.79 12.20 16.74 32.34 21.09 29.95 49.081985-III 100.0 1.86 3.08 4.10 5.14 6.35 7.88 9.78 12.20 16.71 32.90 20.53 29.86 49.611986-III 100.0 1.74 2.89 3.87 4.88 6.06 7.56 9.42 11.91 17.23 34.44 19.44 28.89 51.671987-III 100.0 1.53 2.67 3.66 4.62 5.78 7.27 9.51 12.44 17.18 35.35 18.26 29.22 52.521988-III 100.0 1.54 2.75 3.65 4.69 5.90 7.30 9.25 12.02 16.50 36.40 18.53 28.57 52.901989-III 100.0 1.62 2.88 3.80 4.79 5.98 7.38 9.04 11.45 15.63 37.43 19.07 27.87 53.061990-III 100.0 1.58 2.83 3.78 4.79 5.92 7.26 9.03 11.52 15.72 37.57 18.90 27.81 53.291991-III 100.0 1.58 2.86 3.83 4.78 5.88 7.24 9.04 11.51 16.03 37.26 18.93 27.79 53.281992-III 100.0 1.59 2.80 3.76 4.76 5.81 7.20 8.98 11.41 16.02 37.66 18.72 27.59 53.681993-III 100.0 1.62 2.78 3.71 4.72 5.77 7.14 8.85 11.37 16.10 37.95 18.59 27.36 54.051994-III 100.0 1.61 2.79 3.71 4.67 5.73 7.10 8.79 11.39 16.13 38.07 18.51 27.27 54.211995-III 100.0 1.72 2.86 3.92 4.70 5.80 7.12 8.67 11.06 15.98 38.17 19.00 26.85 54.151996-III 100.0 1.79 3.01 3.96 4.91 5.99 7.35 8.98 11.47 15.93 36.61 19.66 27.80 52.541997-III 100.0 1.65 2.82 3.79 4.84 5.92 7.31 8.98 11.51 15.98 37.20 19.02 27.80 53.181998-III 100.0 1.52 2.70 3.68 4.73 5.86 7.26 8.96 11.53 15.97 37.79 18.49 27.75 53.761999-III 100.0 1.53 2.66 3.62 4.66 5.77 7.21 8.94 11.41 16.03 38.17 18.24 27.56 54.202000-III 100.0 1.52 2.65 3.62 4.62 5.73 7.13 8.88 11.27 15.99 38.57 18.15 27.28 54.572001-III 100.0 1.57 2.76 3.71 4.76 5.87 7.27 9.02 11.51 15.80 37.73 18.67 27.80 53.532002-III 100.0 1.65 2.93 3.91 4.94 6.14 7.45 9.25 11.85 16.38 35.51 19.57 28.54 51.892003-III 100.0 1.66 2.94 3.90 4.97 6.10 7.41 9.13 11.68 16.17 36.04 19.57 28.22 52.212004-III 100.0 1.65 2.95 3.98 4.98 6.04 7.37 9.14 11.64 16.10 36.15 19.60 28.15 52.252005-III 100.0 1.64 2.94 3.93 4.92 5.98 7.37 9.14 11.67 15.97 36.45 19.40 28.18 52.422006-III 100.0 1.78 3.09 4.07 5.07 6.20 7.46 9.24 11.62 15.83 35.63 20.21 28.32 51.472007-III 100.0 1.76 3.12 3.99 4.98 6.10 7.39 9.19 11.56 15.97 35.94 19.95 28.14 51.912008-III 100.0 1.66 2.91 3.92 4.90 5.98 7.35 9.19 11.68 16.13 36.28 19.36 28.22 52.422009-III 100.0 1.71 3.10 4.01 5.03 6.09 7.46 9.29 11.74 16.16 35.41 19.94 28.49 51.572010-III 100.0 1.77 3.11 4.15 5.23 6.38 7.73 9.48 12.00 16.27 33.88 20.64 29.21 50.152011-III 100.0 1.79 3.07 4.08 5.17 6.26 7.59 9.38 11.87 16.11 34.69 20.37 28.84 50.802012-III 100.0 1.84 3.09 4.13 5.12 6.27 7.57 9.33 11.76 16.00 34.89 20.45 28.66 50.892013-III 100.0 1.83 3.08 4.12 5.11 6.24 7.56 9.32 11.78 16.02 34.94 20.38 28.66 50.962014-III 100.0 1.82 3.07 4.10 5.09 6.22 7.54 9.31 11.80 16.05 35.01 20.30 28.65 51.06
2015-III 100.0 1.83 3.09 4.14 5.23 6.28 7.59 9.33 11.77 16.01 34.72 20.57 28.70 50.732016-III 100.0 1.84 3.11 4.15 5.17 6.26 7.61 9.35 11.75 15.95 34.83 20.52 28.71 50.772017-III 100.0 1.85 3.12 4.18 5.20 6.40 7.64 9.36 11.71 15.91 34.65 20.74 28.70 50.562018-III 100.0 1.87 3.18 4.23 5.23 6.56 7.69 9.38 11.65 15.86 34.36 21.07 28.72 50.222019-III 100.0 1.89 3.20 4.26 5.26 6.67 7.73 9.44 11.59 15.83 34.14 21.27 28.75 49.972020-III 100.0 1.92 3.23 4.29 5.28 6.77 7.76 9.47 11.55 15.78 33.95 21.49 28.78 49.73
Continúa
A-10
Continuación
Ingreso Corriente Total Promedio Trimestral por Hogar a Precios Constantes de 2012 Grupos de IngresoAños Deciles de hogares Bajo Medio Alto
TOTAL I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X I-V VI-VIII IX-X
1980-III 43,798 7,971 13,140 17,125 22,293 26,148 32,455 39,506 51,507 73,319 154,521 17,335 41,156 113,9201981-III 46,439 8,452 13,932 18,436 23,591 29,164 36,269 45,231 56,748 77,460 155,105 18,715 46,083 116,2831982-III 38,864 6,957 11,698 15,429 19,354 23,824 29,653 37,465 47,492 64,942 131,827 15,452 38,203 98,3851983-III 32,796 5,772 9,314 12,823 16,136 19,711 24,663 31,419 39,717 54,377 114,033 12,751 31,933 84,2051984-III 32,254 5,671 10,262 13,804 17,382 20,903 25,678 31,576 39,350 53,997 104,304 13,604 32,201 79,1501985-III 33,144 6,165 10,208 13,589 17,036 21,046 26,118 32,415 40,436 55,384 109,044 13,609 32,989 82,2141986-III 30,788 5,357 8,898 11,915 15,025 18,658 23,276 29,003 36,669 53,048 106,035 11,970 29,649 79,5421987-III 30,083 4,603 8,019 11,010 13,898 17,388 21,871 28,609 37,424 51,671 106,340 10,984 29,301 79,0061988-III 32,286 4,972 8,872 11,790 15,142 19,049 23,569 29,865 38,808 53,277 117,517 11,965 30,747 85,3971989-III 35,611 5,766 10,243 13,544 17,060 21,299 26,271 32,207 40,776 55,666 133,280 13,582 33,085 94,4731990-III 36,865 5,825 10,433 13,935 17,659 21,824 26,764 33,289 42,469 57,953 138,503 13,935 34,174 98,2281991-III 39,495 6,240 11,283 15,121 18,879 23,223 28,595 35,704 45,459 63,308 147,142 14,949 36,586 105,2251992-III 41,040 6,511 11,490 15,452 19,530 23,860 29,557 36,867 46,813 65,763 154,540 15,368 37,746 110,1521993-III 41,380 6,704 11,504 15,332 19,520 23,877 29,556 36,622 47,050 66,608 157,034 15,387 37,742 111,8211994-III 42,873 6,904 11,977 15,914 20,032 24,550 30,430 37,684 48,818 69,158 163,237 15,875 38,977 116,1971995-III 34,312 5,902 9,813 13,450 16,126 19,901 24,430 29,748 37,949 54,817 130,980 13,038 30,709 92,8991996-III 30,392 5,448 9,157 12,023 14,922 18,193 22,327 27,292 34,866 48,426 111,255 11,949 28,162 79,8411997-III 32,662 5,389 9,211 12,379 15,808 19,336 23,876 29,330 37,594 52,191 121,505 12,425 30,267 86,8481998-III 33,268 5,051 8,966 12,240 15,744 19,505 24,138 29,818 38,359 53,137 125,705 12,301 30,771 89,4211999-III 36,627 5,604 9,733 13,268 17,068 21,134 26,408 32,744 41,791 58,714 139,804 13,361 33,648 99,2592000-III 39,162 5,965 10,396 14,183 18,082 22,456 27,904 34,775 44,139 62,638 151,054 14,216 35,606 106,8462001-III 38,708 6,077 10,683 14,361 18,425 22,722 28,141 34,915 44,553 61,148 146,056 14,454 35,869 103,6022002-III 38,202 6,310 11,177 14,955 18,861 23,451 28,453 35,325 45,252 62,565 135,666 14,951 36,343 99,1162003-III 38,594 6,407 11,347 15,053 19,181 23,542 28,598 35,236 45,077 62,403 139,093 15,106 36,304 100,7482004-III 39,667 6,561 11,687 15,776 19,749 23,970 29,241 36,252 46,176 63,860 143,395 15,549 37,223 103,6272005-III 40,243 6,607 11,811 15,804 19,780 24,072 29,651 36,794 46,946 64,271 146,682 15,615 37,797 105,4772006-III 43,698 7,796 13,506 17,780 22,161 27,072 32,610 40,357 50,788 69,194 155,715 17,663 41,252 112,4552007-III 43,498 7,656 13,571 17,369 21,662 26,534 32,145 39,975 50,284 69,468 156,319 17,358 40,801 112,8932008-III 42,865 7,136 12,460 16,792 20,986 25,628 31,501 39,381 50,084 69,159 155,525 16,600 40,322 112,3422009-III 38,367 6,561 11,894 15,385 19,299 23,366 28,622 35,643 45,043 61,985 135,876 15,301 36,436 98,9302010-III 37,574 6,633 11,673 15,611 19,650 23,973 29,059 35,605 45,089 61,132 127,313 15,508 36,584 94,2232011-III 37,666 6,742 11,545 15,368 19,474 23,579 28,589 35,331 44,710 60,681 130,646 15,342 36,210 95,6632012-III 38,125 6,997 11,794 15,734 19,513 23,914 28,862 35,570 44,849 61,014 133,003 15,591 36,427 97,0082013-III 36,573 6,693 11,275 15,057 18,678 22,829 27,642 34,101 43,069 58,597 127,790 14,906 34,937 93,1942014-III 36,065 6,557 11,061 14,790 18,353 22,436 27,196 33,569 42,542 57,873 126,270 14,639 34,436 92,072
2015-III 36,285 6,651 11,212 15,011 18,977 22,798 27,548 33,865 42,722 58,092 125,974 14,930 34,711 92,0332016-III 36,893 6,777 11,455 15,318 19,077 23,084 28,076 34,480 43,346 58,833 128,484 15,142 35,300 93,6582017-III 37,856 6,984 11,815 15,813 19,666 24,217 28,926 35,418 44,315 60,229 131,180 15,699 36,220 95,7052018-III 38,775 7,243 12,323 16,402 20,279 25,436 29,818 36,371 45,157 61,497 133,222 16,337 37,115 97,3592019-III 39,632 7,483 12,662 16,891 20,842 26,431 30,628 37,397 45,934 62,738 135,316 16,862 37,986 99,0272020-III 40,814 7,832 13,179 17,505 21,562 27,647 31,664 38,655 47,140 64,405 138,551 17,545 39,153 101,478
Continúa
A-11
Continuación
Variación % anual a Precios Constantes de 2012 del Ingreso Corriente Total Promedio por Hogar Grupos de IngresoAños Deciles de hogares Bajo Medio Alto
TOTAL I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X I-V VI-VIII IX-X
1980-III -5.5 -4.7 -4.8 -4.8 -4.9 -5.2 -5.1 -5.0 -5.2 -5.0 -6.3 -4.9 -5.1 -5.91981-III 6.0 6.0 6.0 7.7 5.8 11.5 11.8 14.5 10.2 5.6 0.4 8.0 12.0 2.11982-III -16.3 -17.7 -16.0 -16.3 -18.0 -18.3 -18.2 -17.2 -16.3 -16.2 -15.0 -17.4 -17.1 -15.41983-III -15.6 -17.0 -20.4 -16.9 -16.6 -17.3 -16.8 -16.1 -16.4 -16.3 -13.5 -17.5 -16.4 -14.41984-III -1.7 -1.8 10.2 7.6 7.7 6.0 4.1 0.5 -0.9 -0.7 -8.5 6.7 0.8 -6.01985-III 2.8 8.7 -0.5 -1.6 -2.0 0.7 1.7 2.7 2.8 2.6 4.5 0.0 2.4 3.91986-III -7.1 -13.1 -12.8 -12.3 -11.8 -11.4 -10.9 -10.5 -9.3 -4.2 -2.8 -12.0 -10.1 -3.31987-III -2.3 -14.1 -9.9 -7.6 -7.5 -6.8 -6.0 -1.4 2.1 -2.6 0.3 -8.2 -1.2 -0.71988-III 7.3 8.0 10.6 7.1 8.9 9.6 7.8 4.4 3.7 3.1 10.5 8.9 4.9 8.11989-III 10.3 16.0 15.5 14.9 12.7 11.8 11.5 7.8 5.1 4.5 13.4 13.5 7.6 10.61990-III 3.5 1.0 1.9 2.9 3.5 2.5 1.9 3.4 4.2 4.1 3.9 2.6 3.3 4.01991-III 7.1 7.1 8.1 8.5 6.9 6.4 6.8 7.3 7.0 9.2 6.2 7.3 7.1 7.11992-III 3.9 4.3 1.8 2.2 3.4 2.7 3.4 3.3 3.0 3.9 5.0 2.8 3.2 4.71993-III 0.8 3.0 0.1 -0.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 -0.7 0.5 1.3 1.6 0.1 0.0 1.51994-III 3.6 3.0 4.1 3.8 2.6 2.8 3.0 2.9 3.8 3.8 4.0 3.2 3.3 3.91995-III -20.0 -14.5 -18.1 -15.5 -19.5 -18.9 -19.7 -21.1 -22.3 -20.7 -19.8 -17.9 -21.2 -20.11996-III -11.4 -7.7 -6.7 -10.6 -7.5 -8.6 -8.6 -8.3 -8.1 -11.7 -15.1 -8.4 -8.3 -14.11997-III 7.5 -1.1 0.6 3.0 5.9 6.3 6.9 7.5 7.8 7.8 9.2 4.0 7.5 8.81998-III 1.9 -6.3 -2.7 -1.1 -0.4 0.9 1.1 1.7 2.0 1.8 3.5 -1.0 1.7 3.01999-III 10.1 11.0 8.5 8.4 8.4 8.4 9.4 9.8 8.9 10.5 11.2 8.6 9.3 11.02000-III 6.9 6.5 6.8 6.9 5.9 6.3 5.7 6.2 5.6 6.7 8.0 6.4 5.8 7.62001-III -1.2 1.9 2.8 1.3 1.9 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.9 -2.4 -3.3 1.7 0.7 -3.02002-III -1.3 3.8 4.6 4.1 2.4 3.2 1.1 1.2 1.6 2.3 -7.1 3.4 1.3 -4.32003-III 1.0 1.5 1.5 0.7 1.7 0.4 0.5 -0.3 -0.4 -0.3 2.5 1.0 -0.1 1.62004-III 2.8 2.4 3.0 4.8 3.0 1.8 2.2 2.9 2.4 2.3 3.1 2.9 2.5 2.92005-III 1.5 0.7 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 1.4 1.5 1.7 0.6 2.3 0.4 1.5 1.82006-III 8.6 18.0 14.3 12.5 12.0 12.5 10.0 9.7 8.2 7.7 6.2 13.1 9.1 6.62007-III -0.5 -1.8 0.5 -2.3 -2.3 -2.0 -1.4 -0.9 -1.0 0.4 0.4 -1.7 -1.1 0.42008-III -1.5 -6.8 -8.2 -3.3 -3.1 -3.4 -2.0 -1.5 -0.4 -0.4 -0.5 -4.4 -1.2 -0.52009-III -10.5 -8.1 -4.5 -8.4 -8.0 -8.8 -9.1 -9.5 -10.1 -10.4 -12.6 -7.8 -9.6 -11.92010-III -2.1 1.1 -1.9 1.5 1.8 2.6 1.5 -0.1 0.1 -1.4 -6.3 1.4 0.4 -4.82011-III 0.2 1.6 -1.1 -1.6 -0.9 -1.6 -1.6 -0.8 -0.8 -0.7 2.6 -1.1 -1.0 1.52012-III 1.2 3.8 2.2 2.4 0.2 1.4 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.5 1.8 1.6 0.6 1.42013-III -4.1 -4.4 -4.4 -4.3 -4.3 -4.5 -4.2 -4.1 -4.0 -4.0 -3.9 -4.4 -4.1 -3.92014-III -1.4 -2.0 -1.9 -1.8 -1.7 -1.7 -1.6 -1.6 -1.2 -1.2 -1.2 -1.8 -1.4 -1.2
2015-III 0.6 1.4 1.4 1.5 3.4 1.6 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.4 -0.2 2.0 0.8 0.02016-III 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.0 0.5 1.3 1.9 1.8 1.5 1.3 2.0 1.4 1.7 1.82017-III 2.6 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.1 4.9 3.0 2.7 2.2 2.4 2.1 3.7 2.6 2.22018-III 2.4 3.7 4.3 3.7 3.1 5.0 3.1 2.7 1.9 2.1 1.6 4.1 2.5 1.72019-III 2.2 3.3 2.8 3.0 2.8 3.9 2.7 2.8 1.7 2.0 1.6 3.2 2.3 1.72020-III 3.0 4.7 4.1 3.6 3.5 4.6 3.4 3.4 2.6 2.7 2.4 4.1 3.1 2.5
Conclusión
A-12
B. Oferta y Demanda Global
Sección: B-IOferta y Demanda Global 1980-2020
Sección: B-II.Consumo Privado por Tipo de Bien 1980-2020
Sección: B-III.Exportación e Importación de Bienes y Servicios 1980-2020
Sección: B-IV.Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo 1980-2020
Sección: B-V.PIB Trimestral Nominal y Real, Deflactor del PIB y Series Ajustadas por Estacionalidad 2005-2015
Sección: B-I. Oferta y Demanda Global
Cuadro B-1. Oferta y Demanda Global Anual
Página: B-1 / Millones de pesos constantes y variaciones porcentualesPágina: B-2 / Millones de pesos constantes y variaciones porcentuales
Página: B-3 / Estructura porcentual del PIBPágina: B-4 / Contribución porcentual crecimiento real del PIB
Cuadro B-2. Oferta y Demanda Global Trimestral
Página: B-5 / Millones de pesos constantes y variaciones porcentualesPágina: B-6 / Millones de pesos constantes y variaciones porcentuales
Página: B-7 / Estructura porcentual del PIBPágina: B-8 / Contribución porcentual al crecimiento real del PIB
B-1. Oferta y Demanda Global Anual: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Millones de pesos a precios de 2008)
Oferta Global Demanda GlobalProducto Importación de Consumo
Interno Bruto Bienes y Servicios Total Privado GobiernoPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
1980 6,112,050 9.2 625,028 36.2 6,737,078 11.3 4,626,045 10.2 3,827,690 10.3 798,355 9.51981 6,633,140 8.5 733,138 17.3 7,366,278 9.3 4,974,125 7.5 4,091,148 6.9 882,978 10.61982 6,598,594 -0.5 460,826 -37.1 7,059,420 -4.2 4,940,969 -0.7 4,050,048 -1.0 890,921 0.91983 6,368,539 -3.5 313,225 -32.0 6,681,763 -5.3 4,787,781 -3.1 3,880,840 -4.2 906,941 1.81984 6,585,758 3.4 367,897 17.5 6,953,655 4.1 4,959,741 3.6 3,990,663 2.8 969,078 6.91985 6,729,834 2.2 404,767 10.0 7,134,601 2.6 5,092,249 2.7 4,111,483 3.0 980,766 1.21986 6,522,625 -3.1 375,491 -7.2 6,898,116 -3.3 5,015,913 -1.5 4,023,964 -2.1 991,949 1.11987 6,634,974 1.7 398,505 6.1 7,033,478 2.0 5,006,981 -0.2 4,030,800 0.2 976,181 -1.61988 6,720,118 1.3 533,204 33.8 7,253,322 3.1 5,049,407 0.8 4,082,751 1.3 966,656 -1.01989 6,996,013 4.1 637,814 19.6 7,633,827 5.2 5,367,999 6.3 4,380,107 7.3 987,892 2.21990 7,358,110 5.2 752,803 18.0 8,110,914 6.2 5,682,510 5.9 4,661,678 6.4 1,020,831 3.31991 7,668,237 4.2 868,280 15.3 8,536,517 5.2 5,956,004 4.8 4,879,786 4.7 1,076,218 5.41992 7,939,777 3.5 1,036,426 19.4 8,976,202 5.2 6,204,335 4.2 5,108,105 4.7 1,096,230 1.91993 8,132,915 2.4 1,024,345 -1.2 9,157,260 2.0 6,305,541 1.6 5,182,959 1.5 1,122,582 2.41994 8,517,387 4.7 1,209,001 18.0 9,726,387 6.2 6,570,734 4.2 5,422,813 4.6 1,147,922 2.31995 8,026,897 -5.8 970,315 -19.7 8,997,212 -7.5 6,102,234 -7.1 4,947,122 -8.8 1,155,113 0.61996 8,498,459 5.9 1,336,397 37.7 9,834,856 9.3 6,314,690 3.5 5,161,928 4.3 1,152,762 -0.21997 9,090,197 7.0 1,553,195 16.2 10,643,393 8.2 6,646,002 5.2 5,473,707 6.0 1,172,295 1.71998 9,517,604 4.7 1,774,622 14.3 11,292,226 6.1 6,953,121 4.6 5,789,745 5.8 1,163,376 -0.81999 9,771,440 2.7 2,028,227 14.3 11,799,666 4.5 7,246,246 4.2 6,062,432 4.7 1,183,815 1.82000 10,288,982 5.3 2,456,035 21.1 12,745,016 8.0 7,637,571 5.4 6,420,895 5.9 1,216,676 2.82001 10,226,682 -0.6 2,441,208 -0.6 12,667,890 -0.6 7,728,765 1.2 6,550,213 2.0 1,178,552 -3.12002 10,240,173 0.1 2,508,075 2.7 12,748,248 0.6 7,806,067 1.0 6,641,542 1.4 1,164,525 -1.22003 10,385,857 1.4 2,568,125 2.4 12,953,982 1.6 7,873,315 0.9 6,715,116 1.1 1,158,198 -0.52004 10,832,004 4.3 2,817,488 9.7 13,649,492 5.4 8,274,744 5.1 7,088,885 5.6 1,185,859 2.42005 11,160,493 3.0 3,034,699 7.7 14,195,191 4.0 8,622,762 4.2 7,400,756 4.4 1,222,006 3.02006 11,718,672 5.0 3,344,013 10.2 15,062,685 6.1 9,072,496 5.2 7,808,965 5.5 1,263,531 3.42007 12,087,602 3.1 3,542,255 5.9 15,629,857 3.8 9,340,724 3.0 8,046,201 3.0 1,294,523 2.52008 12,256,863 1.4 3,698,252 4.4 15,955,116 2.1 9,532,642 2.1 8,198,835 1.9 1,333,807 3.02009 11,680,749 -4.7 3,047,831 -17.6 14,728,580 -7.7 9,033,121 -5.2 7,669,325 -6.5 1,363,796 2.22010 12,277,659 5.1 3,671,446 20.5 15,949,105 8.3 9,491,048 5.1 8,103,919 5.7 1,387,128 1.72011 12,774,243 4.0 3,966,992 8.0 16,741,235 5.0 9,914,282 4.5 8,493,188 4.8 1,421,094 2.42012 13,286,154 4.0 4,183,838 5.5 17,469,992 4.4 10,382,414 4.7 8,911,848 4.9 1,470,566 3.52013 13,470,942 1.4 4,288,649 2.5 17,759,591 1.7 10,596,616 2.1 9,106,081 2.2 1,490,534 1.42014 13,757,167 2.1 4,539,751 5.9 18,296,918 3.0 10,816,257 2.1 9,287,946 2.0 1,528,311 2.5
2015 14,171,608 3.0 4,874,832 7.4 19,046,440 4.1 11,119,998 2.8 9,565,814 3.0 1,554,185 2.32016 14,744,649 4.0 5,460,237 12.0 20,204,886 6.1 11,521,475 3.6 9,936,828 3.9 1,584,647 2.02017 15,509,254 5.2 6,335,650 16.0 21,844,904 8.1 12,049,000 4.6 10,430,918 5.0 1,618,083 2.12018 16,279,400 5.0 7,196,836 13.6 23,476,237 7.5 12,588,956 4.5 10,934,143 4.8 1,654,813 2.32019 17,021,834 4.6 8,050,875 11.9 25,072,709 6.8 13,104,601 4.1 11,416,692 4.4 1,687,909 2.02020 17,875,837 5.0 9,085,672 12.9 26,961,509 7.5 13,696,771 4.5 11,971,052 4.9 1,725,719 2.2
Continúa
AñosTOTAL
Oferta = Demanda
Continuación
Demanda GlobalFormación Bruta de Capital Fijo Variación
Total Privada Pública de
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Existencias Pesos Var.%
1980 1,584,715 16.3 542,619 13.8 1,042,096 17.7 57,646 551,725 22.2 -83,0531981 1,852,110 16.9 596,085 9.9 1,256,026 20.5 67,676 614,450 11.4 -142,0831982 1,630,908 -11.9 534,216 -10.4 1,096,693 -12.7 -39,007 753,029 22.6 -226,4791983 1,172,457 -28.1 437,583 -18.1 734,874 -33.0 -35,230 860,170 14.2 -103,4141984 1,222,706 4.3 467,789 6.9 754,917 2.7 -29,587 909,628 5.7 -108,8321985 1,266,701 3.6 516,774 10.5 749,927 -0.7 -24,255 869,062 -4.5 -69,1561986 1,114,654 -12.0 470,471 -9.0 644,183 -14.1 -51,512 908,096 4.5 -89,0341987 1,092,579 -2.0 505,958 7.5 586,621 -8.9 -23,664 994,280 9.5 -36,6981988 1,111,427 1.7 533,947 5.5 577,480 -1.6 26,759 1,051,577 5.8 14,1521989 1,141,548 2.7 573,004 7.3 568,544 -1.5 23,212 1,075,445 2.3 25,6231990 1,283,548 12.4 624,599 9.0 658,949 15.9 26,407 1,114,619 3.6 3,8301991 1,326,034 3.3 694,838 11.2 631,196 -4.2 42,687 1,165,741 4.6 46,0491992 1,403,906 5.9 800,529 15.2 603,377 -4.4 77,728 1,185,337 1.7 104,8961993 1,395,641 -0.6 814,876 1.8 580,765 -3.7 79,965 1,229,662 3.7 146,4511994 1,575,604 12.9 962,403 18.1 613,202 5.6 99,945 1,394,538 13.4 85,5661995 1,176,832 -25.3 562,345 -41.6 614,487 0.2 131,122 1,659,114 19.0 -72,0901996 1,365,318 16.0 743,860 32.3 621,459 1.1 181,602 1,961,526 18.2 11,7191997 1,609,831 17.9 932,137 25.3 677,695 9.0 147,074 2,129,200 8.5 111,2851998 1,766,181 9.7 1,108,266 18.9 657,915 -2.9 152,354 2,289,234 7.5 131,3361999 1,897,234 7.4 1,294,997 16.8 602,236 -8.5 140,240 2,438,692 6.5 77,2552000 2,053,821 8.3 1,493,365 15.3 560,456 -6.9 156,511 2,706,747 11.0 190,3672001 1,986,059 -3.3 1,519,554 1.8 466,505 -16.8 95,336 2,614,830 -3.4 242,9012002 1,996,651 0.5 1,574,302 3.6 422,349 -9.5 115,935 2,668,608 2.1 160,9872003 2,055,862 3.0 1,607,056 2.1 448,806 6.3 129,786 2,692,286 0.9 520,4542004 2,210,486 7.5 1,735,682 8.0 474,804 5.8 162,209 2,938,157 9.1 63,8962005 2,340,995 5.9 1,821,449 4.9 519,545 9.4 107,802 3,106,033 5.7 17,6002006 2,544,390 8.7 1,997,410 9.7 546,981 5.3 175,546 3,344,215 7.7 -73,9622007 2,696,835 6.0 2,132,131 6.7 564,704 3.2 123,879 3,466,167 3.6 2,2522008 2,830,420 5.0 2,143,456 0.5 686,964 21.7 164,703 3,419,442 -1.3 7,9092009 2,568,103 -9.3 1,875,390 -12.5 692,713 0.8 27,776 3,016,579 -11.8 83,0022010 2,600,823 1.3 1,911,276 1.9 689,546 -0.5 112,436 3,636,382 20.5 108,4172011 2,804,154 7.8 2,142,622 12.1 661,532 -4.1 56,148 3,935,141 8.2 31,5102012 2,938,192 4.8 2,336,450 9.0 601,743 -9.0 89,993 4,164,923 5.8 -105,5292013 2,892,270 -1.6 2,300,984 -1.5 591,286 -1.7 74,462 4,257,786 2.2 -61,5422014 2,957,642 2.3 2,394,458 4.1 563,183 -4.8 106,124 4,535,397 6.5 -118,500
2015 3,087,140 4.4 2,541,580 6.1 545,560 -3.1 64,459 4,859,382 7.1 -84,5012016 3,307,496 7.1 2,770,440 9.0 537,055 -1.6 80,897 5,393,661 11.0 -98,6422017 3,654,951 10.5 3,101,983 12.0 552,969 3.0 73,890 6,129,122 13.6 -62,0592018 4,023,225 10.1 3,447,148 11.1 576,077 4.2 118,568 6,814,268 11.2 -68,7802019 4,381,118 8.9 3,786,615 9.8 594,503 3.2 106,743 7,500,966 10.1 -20,7192020 4,846,486 10.6 4,225,715 11.6 620,771 4.4 118,346 8,368,286 11.6 -68,379
Continúa
B-2
Exportación de
Bienes y ServiciosAños
Continuación
Estructura Porcentual del Producto Interno BrutoAño PIB Consumo Inversión Inversión Bruta Fija Variación de
Real Total Privado Gobierno Bruta Total Total Privada Pública Existencias Saldo Exportación Importación
1980 100.0 75.7 62.6 13.1 26.9 25.9 8.9 17.0 0.9 -1.2 9.0 10.2 -1.41981 100.0 75.0 61.7 13.3 28.9 27.9 9.0 18.9 1.0 -1.8 9.3 11.1 -2.11982 100.0 74.9 61.4 13.5 24.1 24.7 8.1 16.6 -0.6 4.4 11.4 7.0 -3.41983 100.0 75.2 60.9 14.2 17.9 18.4 6.9 11.5 -0.6 8.6 13.5 4.9 -1.61984 100.0 75.3 60.6 14.7 18.1 18.6 7.1 11.5 -0.4 8.2 13.8 5.6 -1.71985 100.0 75.7 61.1 14.6 18.5 18.8 7.7 11.1 -0.4 6.9 12.9 6.0 -1.01986 100.0 76.9 61.7 15.2 16.3 17.1 7.2 9.9 -0.8 8.2 13.9 5.8 -1.41987 100.0 75.5 60.8 14.7 16.1 16.5 7.6 8.8 -0.4 9.0 15.0 6.0 -0.61988 100.0 75.1 60.8 14.4 16.9 16.5 7.9 8.6 0.4 7.7 15.6 7.9 0.21989 100.0 76.7 62.6 14.1 16.6 16.3 8.2 8.1 0.3 6.3 15.4 9.1 0.41990 100.0 77.2 63.4 13.9 17.8 17.4 8.5 9.0 0.4 4.9 15.1 10.2 0.11991 100.0 77.7 63.6 14.0 17.8 17.3 9.1 8.2 0.6 3.9 15.2 11.3 0.61992 100.0 78.1 64.3 13.8 18.7 17.7 10.1 7.6 1.0 1.9 14.9 13.1 1.31993 100.0 77.5 63.7 13.8 18.1 17.2 10.0 7.1 1.0 2.5 15.1 12.6 1.81994 100.0 77.1 63.7 13.5 19.7 18.5 11.3 7.2 1.2 2.2 16.4 14.2 1.01995 100.0 76.0 61.6 14.4 16.3 14.7 7.0 7.7 1.6 8.6 20.7 12.1 -0.91996 100.0 74.3 60.7 13.6 18.2 16.1 8.8 7.3 2.1 7.4 23.1 15.7 0.11997 100.0 73.1 60.2 12.9 19.3 17.7 10.3 7.5 1.6 6.3 23.4 17.1 1.21998 100.0 73.1 60.8 12.2 20.2 18.6 11.6 6.9 1.6 5.4 24.1 18.6 1.41999 100.0 74.2 62.0 12.1 20.9 19.4 13.3 6.2 1.4 4.2 25.0 20.8 0.82000 100.0 74.2 62.4 11.8 21.5 20.0 14.5 5.4 1.5 2.4 26.3 23.9 1.92001 100.0 75.6 64.1 11.5 20.4 19.4 14.9 4.6 0.9 1.7 25.6 23.9 2.42002 100.0 76.2 64.9 11.4 20.6 19.5 15.4 4.1 1.1 1.6 26.1 24.5 1.62003 100.0 75.8 64.7 11.2 21.0 19.8 15.5 4.3 1.2 1.2 25.9 24.7 5.02004 100.0 76.4 65.4 10.9 21.9 20.4 16.0 4.4 1.5 1.1 27.1 26.0 0.62005 100.0 77.3 66.3 10.9 21.9 21.0 16.3 4.7 1.0 0.6 27.8 27.2 0.22006 100.0 77.4 66.6 10.8 23.2 21.7 17.0 4.7 1.5 0.0 28.5 28.5 -0.62007 100.0 77.3 66.6 10.7 23.3 22.3 17.6 4.7 1.0 -0.6 28.7 29.3 0.02008 100.0 77.8 66.9 10.9 24.4 23.1 17.5 5.6 1.3 -2.3 27.9 30.2 0.12009 100.0 77.3 65.7 11.7 22.2 22.0 16.1 5.9 0.2 -0.3 25.8 26.1 0.72010 100.0 77.3 66.0 11.3 22.1 21.2 15.6 5.6 0.9 -0.3 29.6 29.9 0.92011 100.0 77.6 66.5 11.1 22.4 22.0 16.8 5.2 0.4 -0.2 30.8 31.1 0.22012 100.0 78.1 67.1 11.1 22.8 22.1 17.6 4.5 0.7 -0.1 31.3 31.5 -0.82013 100.0 78.7 67.6 11.1 22.0 21.5 17.1 4.4 0.6 -0.2 31.6 31.8 -0.52014 100.0 78.6 67.5 11.1 22.3 21.5 17.4 4.1 0.8 0.0 33.0 33.0 -0.9
2015 100.0 78.5 67.5 11.0 22.2 21.8 17.9 3.8 0.5 -0.1 34.3 34.4 -0.62016 100.0 78.1 67.4 10.7 23.0 22.4 18.8 3.6 0.5 -0.5 36.6 37.0 -0.72017 100.0 77.7 67.3 10.4 24.0 23.6 20.0 3.6 0.5 -1.3 39.5 40.9 -0.42018 100.0 77.3 67.2 10.2 25.4 24.7 21.2 3.5 0.7 -2.4 41.9 44.2 -0.42019 100.0 77.0 67.1 9.9 26.4 25.7 22.2 3.5 0.6 -3.2 44.1 47.3 -0.12020 100.0 76.6 67.0 9.7 27.8 27.1 23.6 3.5 0.7 -4.0 46.8 50.8 -0.4
Conclusión
B-3
Balanza de Bienes y Servicios
Continuación
Contribución al Crecimiento Real del Producto Interno Bruto por ComponentesPIB Puntos Porcentuales
Real Consumo Inversión Bruta Fija Variación de Sector Externo Discrepancia
Total Privado Gobierno Total Privada Pública Existencias Exportación Importación Estadística
1980 9.23 7.63 6.39 1.24 3.98 1.18 2.80 -0.01 1.79 2.97 -1.191981 8.53 5.69 4.31 1.38 4.37 0.87 3.50 0.16 1.03 1.77 -0.971982 -0.52 -0.50 -0.62 0.12 -3.33 -0.93 -2.40 -1.61 2.09 -4.11 -1.271983 -3.49 -2.32 -2.56 0.24 -6.95 -1.46 -5.48 0.06 1.62 -2.24 1.871984 3.41 2.70 1.72 0.98 0.79 0.47 0.31 0.09 0.78 0.86 -0.091985 2.19 2.01 1.83 0.18 0.67 0.74 -0.08 0.08 -0.62 0.56 0.601986 -3.08 -1.13 -1.30 0.17 -2.26 -0.69 -1.57 -0.41 0.58 -0.44 -0.301987 1.72 -0.14 0.10 -0.24 -0.34 0.54 -0.88 0.43 1.32 0.35 0.801988 1.28 0.64 0.78 -0.14 0.28 0.42 -0.14 0.76 0.86 2.03 0.771989 4.11 4.74 4.42 0.32 0.45 0.58 -0.13 -0.05 0.36 1.56 0.171990 5.18 4.50 4.02 0.47 2.03 0.74 1.29 0.05 0.56 1.64 -0.311991 4.21 3.72 2.96 0.75 0.58 0.95 -0.38 0.22 0.69 1.57 0.571992 3.54 3.24 2.98 0.26 1.02 1.38 -0.36 0.46 0.26 2.19 0.771993 2.43 1.27 0.94 0.33 -0.10 0.18 -0.28 0.03 0.56 -0.15 0.521994 4.73 3.26 2.95 0.31 2.21 1.81 0.40 0.25 2.03 2.27 -0.751995 -5.76 -5.50 -5.58 0.08 -4.68 -4.70 0.02 0.37 3.11 -2.80 -1.851996 5.87 2.65 2.68 -0.03 2.35 2.26 0.09 0.63 3.77 4.56 1.041997 6.96 3.90 3.67 0.23 2.88 2.22 0.66 -0.41 1.97 2.55 1.171998 4.70 3.38 3.48 -0.10 1.72 1.94 -0.22 0.06 1.76 2.44 0.221999 2.67 3.08 2.87 0.21 1.38 1.96 -0.59 -0.13 1.57 2.66 -0.572000 5.30 4.00 3.67 0.34 1.60 2.03 -0.43 0.17 2.74 4.38 1.162001 -0.61 0.89 1.26 -0.37 -0.66 0.25 -0.91 -0.59 -0.89 -0.14 0.512002 0.13 0.76 0.89 -0.14 0.10 0.54 -0.43 0.20 0.53 0.65 -0.802003 1.42 0.66 0.72 -0.06 0.58 0.32 0.26 0.14 0.23 0.59 3.512004 4.30 3.87 3.60 0.27 1.49 1.24 0.25 0.31 2.37 2.40 -4.402005 3.03 3.21 2.88 0.33 1.20 0.79 0.41 -0.50 1.55 2.01 -0.432006 5.00 4.03 3.66 0.37 1.82 1.58 0.25 0.61 2.13 2.77 -0.822007 3.15 2.29 2.02 0.26 1.30 1.15 0.15 -0.44 1.04 1.69 0.652008 1.40 1.59 1.26 0.32 1.11 0.09 1.01 0.34 -0.39 1.29 0.052009 -4.70 -4.08 -4.32 0.24 -2.14 -2.19 0.05 -1.12 -3.29 -5.31 0.612010 5.11 3.92 3.72 0.20 0.28 0.31 -0.03 0.72 5.31 5.34 0.222011 4.04 3.45 3.17 0.28 1.66 1.88 -0.23 -0.46 2.43 2.41 -0.632012 4.01 3.66 3.28 0.39 1.05 1.52 -0.47 0.26 1.80 1.70 -1.072013 1.39 1.61 1.46 0.15 -0.35 -0.27 -0.08 -0.12 0.70 0.79 0.332014 2.12 1.63 1.35 0.28 0.49 0.69 -0.21 0.24 2.06 1.86 -0.42
2015 3.01 2.21 2.02 0.26 0.94 1.07 -0.13 -0.30 2.36 2.44 0.252016 4.04 2.83 2.62 0.21 1.55 1.61 -0.06 0.12 3.77 4.13 -0.102017 5.19 3.58 3.35 0.23 2.36 2.25 0.11 -0.05 4.99 5.94 0.252018 4.97 3.48 3.24 0.24 2.37 2.23 0.15 0.29 4.42 5.55 -0.042019 4.56 3.17 2.96 0.20 2.20 2.09 0.11 -0.07 4.22 5.25 0.302020 5.02 3.48 3.26 0.22 2.73 2.58 0.15 0.07 5.10 6.08 -0.28
ConclusiónB-4
Años
B-2. Oferta y Demanda Global Trimestral: Escenario Base 2014-2015(Millones de pesos a precios de 2008)
Oferta Global Demanda GlobalProducto Importación de TOTAL Consumo
Interno Bruto Bienes y Servicios Total Privado GobiernoPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2012 13,286,154 4.0 4,183,838 5.5 17,469,992 4.4 10,382,414 4.7 8,911,848 4.9 1,470,566 3.5
I 12,976,161 4.8 3,862,050 8.3 16,838,211 5.6 10,140,495 7.0 8,680,592 7.5 1,459,903 4.4II 13,161,692 4.5 4,176,769 5.2 17,338,461 4.7 10,122,188 4.7 8,657,166 4.8 1,465,022 4.5III 13,225,488 3.2 4,270,890 2.1 17,496,378 2.9 10,372,591 3.3 8,930,699 3.4 1,441,892 2.7IV 13,781,276 3.6 4,425,642 6.7 18,206,919 4.3 10,894,381 4.0 9,378,934 4.2 1,515,447 2.4
2013 13,470,942 1.4 4,288,649 2.5 17,759,591 1.7 10,596,616 2.1 9,106,081 2.2 1,490,534 1.4
I 13,108,936 1.0 3,894,845 0.8 17,003,781 1.0 10,297,967 1.6 8,830,596 1.7 1,467,372 0.5II 13,399,229 1.8 4,383,813 5.0 17,783,043 2.6 10,440,128 3.1 8,968,914 3.6 1,471,213 0.4III 13,437,797 1.6 4,418,406 3.5 17,856,204 2.1 10,632,839 2.5 9,156,989 2.5 1,475,850 2.4IV 13,937,805 1.1 4,457,533 0.7 18,395,338 1.0 11,015,528 1.1 9,467,826 0.9 1,547,702 2.1
2014 13,757,167 2.1 4,539,751 5.9 18,296,918 3.0 10,816,257 2.1 9,287,946 2.0 1,528,311 2.5
I 13,372,369 2.0 4,096,457 5.2 17,468,827 2.7 10,483,443 1.8 8,973,938 1.6 1,509,505 2.9II 13,617,043 1.6 4,536,836 3.5 18,153,879 2.1 10,582,741 1.4 9,083,094 1.3 1,499,647 1.9III 13,734,122 2.2 4,664,717 5.6 18,398,840 3.0 10,880,227 2.3 9,357,888 2.2 1,522,339 3.1
IV e/ 14,305,135 2.6 4,860,993 9.1 19,166,128 4.2 11,318,616 2.8 9,736,864 2.8 1,581,752 2.2
2015 14,171,608 3.0 4,874,832 7.4 19,046,440 4.1 11,119,998 2.8 9,565,814 3.0 1,554,185 1.7
I e/ 13,664,492 2.2 4,268,461 4.2 17,932,953 2.7 10,735,011 2.4 9,192,297 2.4 1,542,714 2.2II e/ 14,061,174 3.3 4,767,576 5.1 18,828,750 3.7 10,889,094 2.9 9,359,454 3.0 1,529,640 2.0III e/ 14,200,081 3.4 5,107,744 9.5 19,307,826 4.9 11,191,264 2.9 9,647,612 3.1 1,543,652 1.4IV e/ 14,760,686 3.2 5,355,545 10.2 20,116,232 5.0 11,664,624 3.1 10,063,891 3.4 1,600,733 1.2
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Continúa
B-5
Años
Continuación
Demanda GlobalFormación Bruta de Capital Fijo Variación Exportación de
Total Privada Pública de Bienes y ServiciosPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Existencias Pesos Var.%
2012 2,938,192 4.8 2,336,450 9.0 601,743 -9.0 89,993 4,164,923 5.8 -105,529
I 2,748,454 6.1 2,192,921 11.6 555,533 -11.2 19,900 3,966,289 7.2 -36,926II 2,859,805 5.2 2,268,892 9.1 590,913 -7.6 234,050 4,272,464 9.6 -150,046III 2,985,344 4.3 2,376,653 8.5 608,691 -9.2 -22,321 4,100,584 3.9 60,181IV 3,159,166 3.7 2,507,333 7.4 651,833 -8.2 128,341 4,320,355 2.9 -295,325
2013 2,892,270 -1.6 2,300,984 -1.5 591,286 -1.7 74,462 4,257,786 2.2 -61,542
I 2,732,769 -0.6 2,215,547 1.0 517,222 -6.9 -15,030 3,845,528 -3.0 142,546II 2,890,406 1.1 2,317,526 2.1 572,880 -3.1 165,531 4,346,100 1.7 -59,122III 2,882,115 -3.5 2,280,478 -4.0 601,637 -1.2 2,445 4,310,228 5.1 28,576IV 3,063,791 -3.0 2,390,386 -4.7 673,405 3.3 144,901 4,529,286 4.8 -358,169
2014 2,957,642 2.3 2,394,458 4.1 563,183 -4.8 106,124 4,535,397 6.5 -118,500
I 2,717,898 -0.5 2,226,297 0.5 491,601 -5.0 111,488 4,091,851 6.4 64,147II 2,872,973 -0.6 2,354,048 1.6 518,925 -9.4 191,615 4,565,172 5.0 -58,623III 3,004,741 4.3 2,438,341 6.9 566,400 -5.9 43,666 4,615,559 7.1 -145,354
IV e/ 3,234,954 5.6 2,559,147 7.1 675,807 0.4 77,725 4,869,004 7.5 -334,171
2015 3,087,101 4.4 2,541,580 6.1 545,521 -3.1 64,459 4,859,382 7.1 -84,501
I e/ 2,767,426 1.8 2,302,659 3.4 464,767 -5.5 46,853 4,289,052 4.8 94,611II e/ 2,976,321 3.6 2,474,105 5.1 502,216 -3.2 176,128 4,880,847 6.9 -93,640III e/ 3,174,685 5.7 2,624,143 7.6 550,542 -2.8 -23,598 4,946,465 7.2 19,011IV e/ 3,429,973 6.0 2,765,414 8.1 664,559 -1.7 58,452 5,321,167 9.3 -357,985
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Continúa
B-6
Años DiscrepanciaEstadística
Continuación
Estructura Porcentual del Producto Interno BrutoAños PIB Consumo Inversión Inversión Bruta Fija Variación de Balanza de Bienes y Servicios
Real Total Privado Gobierno Bruta Total Total Privada Pública Existencias Saldo Exportación Importación
2012 100.0 78.1 67.1 11.1 22.8 22.1 17.6 4.5 0.7 -0.1 31.3 31.5
I 100.0 78.1 66.9 11.3 21.3 21.2 16.9 4.3 0.2 0.8 30.6 29.8II 100.0 76.9 65.8 11.1 23.5 21.7 17.2 4.5 1.8 0.7 32.5 31.7III 100.0 78.4 67.5 10.9 22.4 22.6 18.0 4.6 -0.2 -1.3 31.0 32.3IV 100.0 79.1 68.1 11.0 23.9 22.9 18.2 4.7 0.9 -0.8 31.3 32.1
2013 100.0 78.7 67.6 11.1 22.0 21.5 17.1 4.4 0.6 -0.2 31.6 31.8
I 100.0 78.6 67.4 11.2 20.7 20.8 16.9 3.9 -0.1 -0.4 29.3 29.7II 100.0 77.9 66.9 11.0 22.8 21.6 17.3 4.3 1.2 -0.3 32.4 32.7III 100.0 79.1 68.1 11.0 21.5 21.4 17.0 4.5 0.0 -0.8 32.1 32.9IV 100.0 79.0 67.9 11.1 23.0 22.0 17.2 4.8 1.0 0.5 32.5 32.0
2014 100.0 78.6 67.5 11.1 22.3 21.5 17.4 4.1 0.8 0.0 33.0 33.0
I 100.0 78.4 67.1 11.3 21.2 20.3 16.6 3.7 0.8 0.0 30.6 30.6II 100.0 77.7 66.7 11.0 22.5 21.1 17.3 3.8 1.4 0.2 33.5 33.3III 100.0 79.2 68.1 11.1 22.2 21.9 17.8 4.1 0.3 -0.4 33.6 34.0
IV e/ 100.0 79.1 68.1 11.1 23.2 22.6 17.9 4.7 0.5 0.1 34.0 34.0
2015 100.0 78.5 67.5 11.0 22.2 21.8 17.9 3.8 0.5 -0.1 34.3 34.4
I e/ 100.0 78.6 67.3 11.3 20.6 20.3 16.9 3.4 0.3 0.2 31.4 31.2II e/ 100.0 77.4 66.6 10.9 22.4 21.2 17.6 3.6 1.3 0.8 34.7 33.9III e/ 100.0 78.8 67.9 10.9 22.2 22.4 18.5 3.9 -0.2 -1.1 34.8 36.0IV e/ 100.0 79.0 68.2 10.8 23.6 23.2 18.7 4.5 0.4 -0.2 36.0 36.3
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
C-7
Continuación
Contribución al Crecimiento Real del Producto Interno Bruto por ComponentesPIB Puntos PorcentualesReal Consumo Inversión Bruta Fija Variación de Sector Externo Discrepancia
Total Privado Gobierno Total Privada Pública Existencias Exportación Importación estadística
2012 4.01 3.66 3.28 0.39 1.05 1.52 -0.47 0.26 1.80 1.70 -1.07
I 4.84 5.38 4.88 0.50 1.27 1.84 -0.57 0.42 2.16 2.38 -2.03II 4.48 3.64 3.14 0.50 1.12 1.51 -0.39 0.84 2.97 1.64 -2.45III 3.21 2.59 2.29 0.30 0.96 1.45 -0.48 -0.46 1.21 0.70 -0.40IV 3.56 3.13 2.87 0.26 0.85 1.29 -0.44 0.27 0.92 2.08 0.47
2013 1.39 1.61 1.46 0.15 -0.35 -0.27 -0.08 -0.12 0.70 0.79 0.33
I 1.02 1.21 1.16 0.06 -0.12 0.17 -0.30 -0.27 -0.93 0.25 1.38II 1.80 2.42 2.37 0.05 0.23 0.37 -0.14 -0.52 0.56 1.57 0.69III 1.61 1.97 1.71 0.26 -0.78 -0.73 -0.05 0.19 1.59 1.12 -0.24IV 1.14 0.88 0.65 0.23 -0.69 -0.85 0.16 0.12 1.52 0.23 -0.46
2014 2.12 1.63 1.35 0.28 0.49 0.69 -0.21 0.24 2.06 1.86 -0.42
I 2.01 1.41 1.09 0.32 -0.11 0.08 -0.20 0.97 1.88 1.54 -0.60II 1.63 1.06 0.85 0.21 -0.13 0.27 -0.40 0.19 1.63 1.14 0.00III 2.21 1.84 1.50 0.35 0.91 1.17 -0.26 0.31 2.27 1.83 -1.29
IV e/ 2.64 2.17 1.93 0.24 1.23 1.21 0.02 -0.48 2.44 2.89 0.17
2015 3.01 2.21 2.02 0.26 0.94 1.07 -0.13 -0.30 2.36 2.44 0.25
I e/ 2.18 1.88 1.63 0.25 0.37 0.57 -0.20 -0.48 1.47 1.29 0.23II e/ 3.26 2.25 2.03 0.22 0.76 0.88 -0.12 -0.11 2.32 1.69 -0.26III e/ 3.39 2.26 2.11 0.16 1.24 1.35 -0.12 -0.49 2.41 3.23 1.20IV e/ 3.18 2.42 2.29 0.13 1.36 1.44 -0.08 -0.13 3.16 3.46 -0.17
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Conclusión
B-8
Años
Sección: B-II. Gasto Privado en Consumo de los Hogares
Cuadro B-3. Consumo Privado Anual por Tipo de Bien
Cuadro B-4. Consumo Privado Trimestral por Tipo de Bien
B-3. Consumo Privado Anual por Tipo de Bien: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Millones de pesos a precios de 2008)
Gastos de Consumo Privado por Tipo de BienTotal Total Bienes Total Compras Netas
Bienes y Servicios Bienes Duraderos Semiduraderos No Duraderos Servicios en el ExteriorPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos
1980 3,738,811 9.4 2,079,604 7.4 238,739 9.2 216,519 6.9 1,624,346 7.2 1,671,022 6.2 -11,8161981 3,963,012 6.0 2,100,122 1.0 255,753 7.1 215,179 -0.6 1,629,191 0.3 1,787,133 6.9 75,7571982 3,974,949 0.3 2,197,113 4.6 252,935 -1.1 228,587 6.2 1,715,592 5.3 1,842,741 3.1 -64,9051983 3,877,877 -2.4 2,264,848 3.1 236,739 -6.4 241,325 5.6 1,786,784 4.1 1,851,187 0.5 -238,1581984 3,982,858 2.7 2,356,258 4.0 244,142 3.1 251,575 4.2 1,860,541 4.1 1,859,696 0.5 -233,0961985 4,088,065 2.6 2,414,545 2.5 254,462 4.2 256,783 2.1 1,903,300 2.3 1,877,620 1.0 -204,1001986 4,032,654 -1.4 2,434,506 0.8 244,866 -3.8 261,681 1.9 1,927,959 1.3 1,875,337 -0.1 -277,1901987 4,083,767 1.3 2,531,643 4.0 239,208 -2.3 275,782 5.4 2,016,654 4.6 1,937,829 3.3 -385,7051988 4,120,700 0.9 2,488,109 -1.7 239,122 0.0 270,084 -2.1 1,978,903 -1.9 1,974,668 1.9 -342,0771989 4,359,066 5.8 2,482,212 -0.2 254,781 6.5 265,595 -1.7 1,961,835 -0.9 2,073,162 5.0 -196,3071990 4,603,842 5.6 2,533,081 2.0 267,019 4.8 269,374 1.4 1,996,688 1.8 2,175,492 4.9 -104,7311991 4,812,253 4.5 2,625,147 3.6 276,507 3.6 279,216 3.7 2,069,424 3.6 2,271,866 4.4 -84,7601992 4,985,576 3.6 2,572,971 -2.0 284,346 2.8 270,503 -3.1 2,018,121 -2.5 2,350,978 3.5 61,6271993 5,089,916 2.1 2,684,185 4.3 279,711 -1.6 286,210 5.8 2,118,263 5.0 2,410,510 2.5 -4,7791994 5,335,903 4.8 2,818,213 5.0 306,836 9.7 295,082 3.1 2,216,295 4.6 2,530,855 5.0 -13,1651995 4,952,815 -7.2 2,566,894 -8.9 216,441 -29.5 279,627 -5.2 2,070,826 -6.6 2,436,202 -3.7 -50,2821996 5,114,583 3.3 2,703,396 5.3 272,106 25.7 281,550 0.7 2,149,740 3.8 2,458,039 0.9 -46,8511997 5,369,175 5.0 2,864,337 6.0 308,738 13.5 292,962 4.1 2,262,637 5.3 2,556,093 4.0 -51,2551998 5,659,300 5.4 3,046,692 6.4 343,762 11.3 306,174 4.5 2,396,755 5.9 2,666,794 4.3 -54,1861999 5,897,103 4.2 3,194,502 4.9 388,628 13.1 318,591 4.1 2,487,283 3.8 2,751,403 3.2 -48,8012000 6,220,939 5.5 3,407,045 6.7 461,928 18.9 341,606 7.2 2,603,512 4.7 2,861,508 4.0 -47,6142001 6,389,544 2.7 3,508,528 3.0 490,180 6.1 354,737 3.8 2,663,611 2.3 2,918,546 2.0 -37,5312002 6,489,638 1.6 3,582,805 2.1 509,292 3.9 355,376 0.2 2,718,137 2.0 2,938,992 0.7 -32,1602003 6,715,116 3.5 3,765,482 5.1 456,130 -10.4 519,488 46.2 2,789,864 2.6 2,991,140 1.8 -41,5062004 7,088,885 5.6 4,037,351 7.2 490,522 7.5 563,080 8.4 2,983,748 6.9 3,103,588 3.8 -52,0542005 7,400,756 4.4 4,265,689 5.7 550,519 12.2 613,659 9.0 3,101,511 3.9 3,184,402 2.6 -49,3352006 7,808,965 5.5 4,385,136 2.8 668,412 21.4 661,367 7.8 3,055,357 -1.5 3,468,955 8.9 -45,1262007 8,046,201 3.0 4,474,332 2.0 657,160 -1.7 672,053 1.6 3,145,120 2.9 3,619,537 4.3 -47,6692008 8,198,835 1.9 4,546,201 1.6 722,609 10.0 652,234 -2.9 3,171,358 0.8 3,704,695 2.4 -52,0612009 7,669,325 -6.5 4,053,259 -10.8 467,851 -35.3 566,091 -13.2 3,019,317 -4.8 3,685,138 -0.5 -69,0712010 8,103,919 5.7 4,361,566 7.6 649,211 38.8 660,555 16.7 3,051,800 1.1 3,803,150 3.2 -60,7972011 8,493,188 4.8 4,624,637 6.0 710,411 9.4 765,513 15.9 3,148,714 3.2 3,916,384 3.0 -47,8342012 8,911,848 4.9 4,827,045 4.4 740,336 4.2 821,870 7.4 3,264,839 3.7 4,139,597 5.7 -54,7942013 9,106,081 2.2 4,906,079 1.6 772,664 4.4 841,785 2.4 3,291,629 0.8 4,251,338 2.7 -51,3362014 9,287,946 2.0 5,035,334 2.6 769,795 -0.4 871,331 3.5 3,394,208 3.1 4,315,943 1.5 -63,331
2015 9,565,814 3.0 5,185,969 3.0 803,147 4.3 906,891 4.1 3,475,931 2.4 4,438,186 2.8 -58,3412016 9,936,828 3.9 5,396,916 4.1 840,895 4.7 954,956 5.3 3,601,064 3.6 4,602,399 3.7 -62,4872017 10,430,918 5.0 5,692,369 5.5 889,667 5.8 1,017,983 6.6 3,784,719 5.1 4,809,507 4.5 -70,9582018 10,934,143 4.8 5,993,780 5.3 937,709 5.4 1,082,116 6.3 3,973,955 5.0 5,016,316 4.3 -75,9522019 11,416,692 4.4 6,278,282 4.7 984,595 5.0 1,144,879 5.8 4,148,809 4.4 5,218,473 4.0 -80,0632020 11,971,052 4.9 6,596,282 5.1 1,037,763 5.4 1,214,716 6.1 4,343,803 4.7 5,458,523 4.6 -83,753
Continúa
Años
B-4. Consumo Privado Trimestral por Tipo de Bien: Escenario Base 2014-2015(Millones de pesos a precios de 2008)
Gastos de Consumo Privado por Tipo de BienTotal Total Bienes Total Compras Netas
Bienes y Servicios Bienes Duraderos Semiduraderos No Duraderos Servicios en el Exterior
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos
2012 8,911,848 4.9 4,827,045 4.4 740,336 4.2 821,870 7.4 3,264,839 3.7 4,139,597 5.7 -54,794
I 8,680,592 7.5 4,713,174 8.8 674,609 5.6 786,118 12.7 3,252,448 8.5 4,053,236 6.2 -85,818II 8,657,166 4.8 4,660,527 4.6 684,311 4.3 799,192 10.2 3,177,024 3.4 4,055,238 5.4 -58,598III 8,930,699 3.4 4,788,322 1.7 715,037 0.9 858,326 5.9 3,214,959 0.8 4,174,435 5.6 -32,058IV 9,378,934 4.2 5,146,156 2.9 887,385 5.9 843,844 1.9 3,414,926 2.4 4,275,480 5.6 -42,702
2013 9,106,081 2.2 4,906,079 1.6 772,664 4.4 841,785 2.4 3,291,629 0.8 4,251,338 2.7 -51,336
I 8,830,596 1.7 4,699,168 -0.3 720,213 6.8 800,145 1.8 3,178,811 -2.3 4,212,495 3.9 -81,067II 8,968,914 3.6 4,836,344 3.8 733,637 7.2 844,322 5.6 3,258,385 2.6 4,181,776 3.1 -49,206III 9,156,989 2.5 4,916,444 2.7 752,485 5.2 870,288 1.4 3,293,671 2.4 4,271,027 2.3 -30,482IV 9,467,826 0.9 5,172,360 0.5 884,323 -0.3 852,387 1.0 3,435,650 0.6 4,340,054 1.5 -44,588
2014 9,307,180 2.2 5,047,719 2.9 770,891 -0.2 873,421 3.8 3,403,406 3.4 4,322,792 1.7 -63,331
I 8,973,938 1.6 4,801,529 2.2 674,664 -6.3 826,678 3.3 3,300,187 3.8 4,269,934 1.4 -97,526II 9,083,094 1.3 4,884,596 1.0 718,432 -2.1 863,490 2.3 3,302,673 1.4 4,269,883 2.1 -71,385III 9,357,888 2.2 5,090,596 3.5 773,626 2.8 896,480 3.0 3,420,490 3.9 4,310,060 0.9 -42,768
IV e/ 9,813,799 3.7 5,414,154 4.7 916,842 3.7 907,037 6.4 3,590,276 4.5 4,441,290 2.3 -41,645
2015 9,614,358 3.3 5,208,157 3.2 810,339 5.1 910,600 4.3 3,487,219 2.5 4,464,542 3.3 -58,341
I e/ 9,254,199 3.1 4,938,270 2.8 706,281 4.7 851,511 3.0 3,380,478 2.4 4,405,360 3.2 -89,431II e/ 9,387,724 3.4 5,052,707 3.4 755,423 5.1 902,589 4.5 3,394,695 2.8 4,395,623 2.9 -60,606III e/ 9,662,120 3.3 5,244,182 3.0 814,266 5.3 935,847 4.4 3,494,069 2.2 4,452,708 3.3 -34,770IV e/ 10,153,389 3.5 5,597,470 3.4 965,385 5.3 952,452 5.0 3,679,633 2.5 4,604,477 3.7 -48,558
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
B-10
Años
Sección: B-III. Exportación e Importación
de Bienes y Servicios
Cuadro B-5. Exportación e Importación Anualde Bienes y Servicios
Página: B-68 / Exportaciones AnualesPágina: B-69 / Importaciones Anuales
Cuadro B-6. Exportación e Importación Trimestralde Bienes y Servicios
Página: B-70 / Exportaciones TrimestralesPágina: B-71 / Importaciones Trimestrales
B-5. Exportación e Importación de Bienes y Servicios Anual: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Millones de pesos a precios de 2008)
Exportación Exportaciones de Bienes FOB ExportaciónTOTAL Total Exportaciones No Petroleras Exportaciones Total
de Bienes Total Manufacturas Otras Petroleras de ServiciosPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
1980 581,126 24.2 457,146 29.8 168,352 -4.1 113,452 -8.2 54,900 5.6 288,794 63.5 123,981 7.41981 655,033 12.7 545,000 19.2 172,886 2.7 114,619 1.0 58,267 6.1 372,114 28.9 110,033 -11.21982 801,928 22.4 668,546 22.7 167,884 -2.9 112,967 -1.4 54,917 -5.7 500,662 34.5 133,383 21.21983 904,403 12.8 742,161 11.0 230,564 37.3 173,975 54.0 56,589 3.0 511,596 2.2 162,243 21.61984 951,074 5.2 795,366 7.2 291,968 26.6 225,390 29.6 66,578 17.7 503,397 -1.6 155,709 -4.01985 906,838 -4.7 750,193 -5.7 283,156 -3.0 219,199 -2.7 63,957 -3.9 467,037 -7.2 156,645 0.61986 937,692 3.4 766,411 2.2 344,865 21.8 272,497 24.3 72,368 13.1 421,546 -9.7 171,281 9.31987 1,019,199 8.7 834,940 8.9 398,781 15.6 326,809 19.9 71,972 -0.5 436,159 3.5 184,259 7.61988 1,071,054 5.1 887,971 6.4 461,186 15.6 387,650 18.6 73,536 2.2 426,784 -2.1 183,084 -0.61989 1,088,448 1.6 888,880 0.1 473,675 2.7 405,239 4.5 68,436 -6.9 415,205 -2.7 199,568 9.01990 1,126,923 3.5 924,198 4.0 511,198 7.9 436,390 7.7 74,807 9.3 413,000 -0.5 202,725 1.61991 1,177,928 4.5 979,299 6.0 536,247 4.9 461,165 5.7 75,082 0.4 443,051 7.3 198,629 -2.01992 1,189,496 1.0 993,496 1.4 552,099 3.0 491,612 6.6 60,488 -19.4 441,397 -0.4 196,000 -1.31993 1,229,662 3.4 1,037,905 4.5 601,471 8.9 536,106 9.1 65,364 8.1 436,434 -1.1 191,757 -2.21994 1,394,538 13.4 1,191,095 14.8 717,804 19.3 645,625 20.4 72,179 10.4 473,291 8.4 203,443 6.11995 1,659,114 19.0 1,395,574 17.2 933,736 30.1 844,697 30.8 89,039 23.4 461,838 -2.4 263,540 29.51996 1,961,526 18.2 1,706,028 22.2 1,128,031 20.8 1,039,913 23.1 88,118 -1.0 577,997 25.2 255,498 -3.11997 2,129,200 8.5 1,901,566 11.5 1,292,603 14.6 1,200,372 15.4 92,231 4.7 608,963 5.4 227,634 -10.91998 2,289,234 7.5 2,054,277 8.0 1,476,171 14.2 1,363,643 13.6 112,528 22.0 578,106 -5.1 234,957 3.21999 2,438,692 6.5 2,228,339 8.5 1,665,518 12.8 1,561,227 14.5 104,291 -7.3 562,821 -2.6 210,353 -10.52000 2,706,747 11.0 2,487,282 11.6 1,926,149 15.6 1,830,153 17.2 95,996 -8.0 561,134 -0.3 219,464 4.32001 2,614,830 -3.4 2,425,573 -2.5 1,858,451 -3.5 1,770,196 -3.3 88,256 -8.1 567,122 1.1 189,256 -13.82002 2,668,608 2.1 2,482,725 2.4 1,891,143 1.8 1,799,254 1.6 91,889 4.1 591,581 4.3 185,883 -1.82003 2,692,286 0.9 2,524,703 1.7 1,906,872 0.8 1,810,894 0.6 95,978 4.4 617,831 4.4 167,583 -9.82004 2,938,157 9.1 2,753,203 9.1 2,126,547 11.5 2,017,137 11.4 109,410 14.0 626,656 1.4 184,954 10.42005 3,106,033 5.7 2,906,532 5.6 2,297,925 8.1 2,186,143 8.4 111,781 2.2 608,607 -2.9 199,501 7.92006 3,344,215 7.7 3,152,039 8.4 2,550,246 11.0 2,430,098 11.2 120,149 7.5 601,793 -1.1 192,177 -3.72007 3,466,167 3.6 3,263,911 3.5 2,700,709 5.9 2,576,499 6.0 124,210 3.4 563,202 -6.4 202,256 5.22008 3,419,442 -1.3 3,216,396 -1.5 2,748,221 1.8 2,623,917 1.8 124,304 0.1 468,175 -16.9 203,045 0.42009 3,016,579 -11.8 2,820,464 -12.3 2,411,025 -12.3 2,288,021 -12.8 123,004 -1.0 409,439 -12.5 196,115 -3.42010 3,636,382 20.5 3,450,267 22.3 2,991,279 24.1 2,854,183 24.7 137,096 11.5 458,989 12.1 186,114 -5.12011 3,935,141 8.2 3,754,422 8.8 3,303,707 10.4 3,152,413 10.4 151,293 10.4 450,715 -1.8 180,719 -2.92012 4,164,923 5.8 3,974,337 5.9 3,551,065 7.5 3,379,138 7.2 171,927 13.6 423,272 -6.1 190,586 5.52013 4,257,786 2.2 4,044,094 1.8 3,648,885 2.8 3,479,996 3.0 168,889 -1.8 395,209 -6.6 213,692 12.12014 4,535,397 6.5 4,310,071 6.6 3,935,662 7.9 3,756,099 7.9 179,562 6.3 374,409 -5.3 225,326 5.4
2015 4,859,382 7.1 4,603,662 6.8 4,239,155 7.7 4,065,439 8.2 173,716 -3.3 364,507 -2.6 255,721 13.52016 5,393,661 11.0 5,096,769 10.7 4,719,869 11.3 4,524,833 11.3 195,035 12.3 376,900 3.4 296,892 16.12017 6,129,122 13.6 5,781,758 13.4 5,389,028 14.2 5,167,360 14.2 221,669 13.7 392,730 4.2 347,363 17.02018 6,814,268 11.2 6,412,021 10.9 5,994,549 11.2 5,740,937 11.1 253,613 14.4 417,472 6.3 402,247 15.82019 7,500,966 10.1 7,045,221 9.9 6,610,632 10.3 6,332,253 10.3 278,379 9.8 434,588 4.1 455,746 13.32020 8,368,286 11.6 7,847,824 11.4 7,397,156 11.9 7,079,459 11.8 317,697 14.1 450,668 3.7 520,462 14.2
Continúa
Años
Continuación
Importación Importaciones de Bienes CIF Importación BalanzaTOTAL Total Bienes Bienes Bienes Total de Bienes
de Bienes de Consumo Intermedios de Capital de Servicios y ServiciosPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos % PIB
1980 617,322 35.9 457,827 35.6 27,815 66.5 350,801 33.2 79,211 37.7 159,495 36.6 -36,195 -0.61981 719,086 16.5 526,247 14.9 31,960 14.9 393,122 12.1 101,165 27.7 192,839 20.9 -64,053 -1.01982 454,326 -36.8 318,453 -39.5 19,508 -39.0 242,280 -38.4 56,665 -44.0 135,873 -29.5 347,602 5.31983 315,048 -30.7 218,367 -31.4 9,935 -49.1 180,768 -25.4 27,665 -51.2 96,680 -28.8 589,355 9.31984 371,287 17.9 264,554 21.2 12,949 30.3 220,552 22.0 31,052 12.2 106,733 10.4 579,787 8.81985 408,044 9.9 300,855 13.7 15,938 23.1 248,586 12.7 36,331 17.0 107,188 0.4 498,794 7.41986 378,867 -7.2 277,257 -7.8 13,661 -14.3 230,476 -7.3 33,120 -8.8 101,610 -5.2 558,825 8.61987 406,362 7.3 305,007 10.0 12,304 -9.9 263,138 14.2 29,566 -10.7 101,355 -0.3 612,837 9.21988 541,023 33.1 429,172 40.7 23,487 90.9 359,384 36.6 46,301 56.6 111,851 10.4 530,031 7.91989 646,094 19.4 512,190 19.3 40,970 74.4 419,202 16.6 52,017 12.3 133,905 19.7 442,354 6.31990 755,211 16.9 595,921 16.3 56,799 38.6 468,047 11.7 71,075 36.6 159,290 19.0 371,712 5.11991 868,194 15.0 706,059 18.5 72,617 27.8 544,882 16.4 88,561 24.6 162,135 1.8 309,733 4.01992 1,031,538 18.8 863,654 22.3 93,760 29.1 653,285 19.9 116,609 31.7 167,884 3.5 157,959 2.01993 1,024,345 -0.7 870,523 0.8 93,840 0.1 668,299 2.3 108,385 -7.1 153,821 -8.4 205,317 2.51994 1,209,001 18.0 1,058,134 21.6 135,980 44.9 783,840 17.3 138,313 27.6 150,867 -1.9 185,538 2.21995 970,315 -19.7 859,764 -18.7 68,000 -50.0 698,128 -10.9 93,636 -32.3 110,550 -26.7 688,799 8.61996 1,336,397 37.7 1,218,871 41.8 91,258 34.2 986,986 41.4 140,627 50.2 117,526 6.3 625,129 7.41997 1,553,195 16.2 1,420,763 16.6 107,275 17.6 1,129,739 14.5 183,749 30.7 132,432 12.7 576,004 6.31998 1,774,622 14.3 1,649,480 16.1 129,457 20.7 1,303,091 15.3 216,932 18.1 125,142 -5.5 514,612 5.41999 2,028,227 14.3 1,898,528 15.1 171,085 32.2 1,472,531 13.0 254,912 17.5 129,698 3.6 410,465 4.22000 2,456,035 21.1 2,305,640 21.4 226,932 32.6 1,781,643 21.0 297,064 16.5 150,395 16.0 250,712 2.42001 2,441,208 -0.6 2,286,629 -0.8 262,541 15.7 1,756,681 -1.4 267,407 -10.0 154,579 2.8 173,622 1.72002 2,508,075 2.7 2,345,362 2.6 289,364 10.2 1,801,383 2.5 254,615 -4.8 162,713 5.3 160,533 1.62003 2,568,125 2.4 2,403,197 2.5 290,423 0.4 1,857,163 3.1 255,611 0.4 164,928 1.4 124,161 1.22004 2,817,488 9.7 2,650,548 10.3 313,997 8.1 2,045,408 10.1 291,142 13.9 166,941 1.2 120,669 1.12005 3,034,699 7.7 2,855,841 7.7 362,059 15.3 2,161,754 5.7 332,029 14.0 178,857 7.1 71,334 0.62006 3,344,013 10.2 3,167,178 10.9 412,738 14.0 2,376,153 9.9 378,287 13.9 176,835 -1.1 202 0.02007 3,542,255 5.9 3,359,007 6.1 432,337 4.7 2,513,616 5.8 413,055 9.2 183,248 3.6 -76,088 -0.62008 3,698,252 4.4 3,520,853 4.8 460,132 6.4 2,638,685 5.0 422,036 2.2 177,400 -3.2 -278,811 -2.32009 3,047,831 -17.6 2,870,353 -18.5 345,251 -25.0 2,171,654 -17.7 353,448 -16.3 177,478 0.0 -31,252 -0.32010 3,671,446 20.5 3,494,212 21.7 424,439 22.9 2,719,928 25.2 349,845 -1.0 177,234 -0.1 -35,065 -0.32011 3,966,992 8.0 3,763,367 7.7 444,474 4.7 2,894,914 6.4 423,979 21.2 203,626 14.9 -31,851 -0.22012 4,183,838 5.5 3,974,385 5.6 465,307 4.7 3,035,456 4.9 473,621 11.7 209,453 2.9 -18,915 -0.12013 4,288,649 2.5 4,073,708 2.5 498,505 7.1 3,077,316 1.4 497,887 5.1 214,941 2.6 -30,864 -0.22014 4,539,751 5.9 4,321,813 6.1 521,237 4.6 3,273,136 6.4 527,439 5.9 217,938 1.4 -4,354 0.0
2015 4,874,832 7.4 4,635,517 7.3 571,482 9.6 3,480,914 6.3 583,121 10.6 239,315 9.8 -15,449 -0.12016 5,460,237 12.0 5,197,709 12.1 634,345 11.0 3,902,105 12.1 661,259 13.4 262,528 9.7 -66,576 -0.52017 6,335,650 16.0 6,041,356 16.2 730,131 15.1 4,534,246 16.2 776,980 17.5 294,294 12.1 -206,529 -1.32018 7,196,836 13.6 6,870,759 13.7 835,270 14.4 5,137,301 13.3 898,188 15.6 326,078 10.8 -382,569 -2.42019 8,050,875 11.9 7,694,146 12.0 946,360 13.3 5,722,953 11.4 1,024,833 14.1 356,729 9.4 -549,909 -3.22020 9,085,672 12.9 8,691,129 13.0 1,080,744 14.2 6,415,430 12.1 1,194,955 16.6 394,542 10.6 -717,386 -4.0
Conclusión
Años
B-6. Exportación de Bienes y Servicios Trimestral: Escenario Base 2014-2015(Millones de pesos a precios de 2008)
Exportación Exportaciones de Bienes FOB Exportación
TOTAL Total Exportaciones No Petroleras Exportaciones Total
de Bienes Total Manufacturas Otras Petroleras de Servicios
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos
2012 4,164,923 5.8 3,974,337 5.9 3,551,065 7.5 3,379,138 7.2 171,927 13.6 423,272 -6.1 190,586
I 3,966,289 7.2 3,751,448 7.1 3,336,988 9.6 3,128,761 8.6 208,226 28.7 414,460 -10.0 214,841II 4,272,464 9.6 4,074,853 9.2 3,667,198 11.8 3,484,393 11.7 182,805 13.9 407,655 -9.4 197,611III 4,100,584 3.9 3,929,195 3.7 3,499,795 4.6 3,363,193 4.7 136,603 2.2 429,400 -2.6 171,389IV 4,320,355 2.9 4,141,852 3.7 3,700,278 4.5 3,540,205 4.3 160,073 7.3 441,574 -2.2 178,502
2013 4,257,786 2.2 4,044,094 1.8 3,648,885 2.8 3,479,996 3.0 168,889 -1.8 395,209 -6.6 213,692
I 3,845,528 -3.0 3,642,935 -2.9 3,245,755 -2.7 3,067,645 -2.0 178,110 -14.5 397,180 -4.2 202,592II 4,346,100 1.7 4,078,291 0.1 3,703,223 1.0 3,515,051 0.9 188,172 2.9 375,068 -8.0 267,809III 4,310,228 5.1 4,132,838 5.2 3,736,328 6.8 3,599,116 7.0 137,211 0.4 396,510 -7.7 177,390IV 4,529,286 4.8 4,322,310 4.4 3,910,234 5.7 3,738,173 5.6 172,061 7.5 412,076 -6.7 206,976
2014 4,537,026 6.6 4,311,700 6.6 3,937,291 7.9 3,756,099 7.9 181,192 7.3 374,409 -5.3 225,326
I 4,091,851 6.4 3,863,984 6.1 3,474,319 7.0 3,287,561 7.2 186,758 4.9 389,665 -1.9 227,868II 4,565,172 5.0 4,360,700 6.9 4,001,973 8.1 3,799,670 8.1 202,304 7.5 358,727 -4.4 204,472III 4,615,559 7.1 4,402,625 6.5 4,036,200 8.0 3,870,035 7.5 166,165 21.1 366,425 -7.6 212,935
IV e/ 4,875,521 7.6 4,619,491 6.9 4,236,673 8.3 4,067,132 8.8 169,541 -1.5 382,819 -7.1 256,030
2015 4,895,883 7.9 4,640,162 7.6 4,275,655 8.6 4,095,942 9.0 179,713 -0.8 364,507 -2.6 255,721
I e/ 4,289,052 4.8 4,046,145 4.7 3,674,405 5.8 3,494,677 6.3 179,727 -3.8 371,740 -4.6 242,907II e/ 4,892,665 7.2 4,630,736 6.2 4,268,063 6.6 4,069,446 7.1 198,617 -1.8 362,673 1.1 261,929III e/ 4,952,646 7.3 4,724,168 7.3 4,366,529 8.2 4,207,518 8.7 159,010 -4.3 357,640 -2.4 228,478IV e/ 5,449,170 11.8 5,159,600 11.7 4,793,625 13.1 4,612,128 13.4 181,498 7.1 365,975 -4.4 289,570
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
B-13
Años
Continuación
Importación Importaciones de Bienes CIF Importación Balanza
TOTAL Total Bienes Bienes Bienes Total de Bienes
de Bienes de Consumo Intermedios de Capital de Servicios y Servicios
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos % PIB
2012 4,183,838 5.5 3,974,385 5.6 465,307 4.7 3,035,456 4.9 473,621 11.7 209,453 2.9 -248,697 -1.9
I 3,862,050 8.3 3,675,377 8.2 434,479 7.7 2,792,223 6.8 448,675 18.0 186,673 9.9 -163,486 -1.3II 4,176,769 5.2 3,969,182 5.4 432,953 4.0 3,076,741 4.9 459,488 10.1 207,587 1.8 -278,551 -2.2III 4,270,890 2.1 4,052,087 2.5 467,530 0.8 3,109,898 2.1 474,659 7.1 218,803 -3.8 -325,462 -2.5IV 4,425,642 6.7 4,200,892 6.7 526,267 6.4 3,162,962 5.9 511,663 12.5 224,750 5.4 -227,289 -1.7
2013 4,288,649 2.5 4,073,708 2.5 498,505 7.1 3,077,316 1.4 497,887 5.1 214,941 2.6 -123,727 -0.9
I 3,894,845 0.8 3,703,513 0.8 447,380 3.0 2,794,188 0.1 461,945 3.0 191,332 2.5 71,443 0.6II 4,383,813 5.0 4,155,971 4.7 480,436 11.0 3,159,161 2.7 516,374 12.4 227,842 9.8 -111,349 -0.8III 4,418,406 3.5 4,202,156 3.7 517,901 10.8 3,194,024 2.7 490,231 3.3 216,250 -1.2 -317,822 -2.4IV 4,457,533 0.7 4,233,194 0.8 548,303 4.2 3,161,891 0.0 523,000 2.2 224,339 -0.2 -137,178 -1.0
2014 4,539,751 5.9 4,321,813 6.1 521,237 4.6 3,273,136 6.4 527,439 5.9 217,938 1.4 -281,965 -2.1
I 4,096,457 5.2 3,891,825 5.1 457,684 2.3 2,942,943 5.3 491,198 6.3 204,632 7.0 -250,929 -1.9II 4,536,836 3.5 4,329,273 4.2 485,966 1.2 3,318,745 5.1 524,562 1.6 207,563 -8.9 -190,736 -1.4III 4,664,717 5.6 4,434,211 5.5 534,329 3.2 3,374,910 5.7 524,972 7.1 230,506 6.6 -354,489 -2.6
IV e/ 4,860,993 9.1 4,631,942 9.4 606,972 10.7 3,455,947 9.3 569,024 8.8 229,051 2.1 -331,707 -2.4
2015 4,894,452 7.8 4,655,138 7.7 557,825 7.0 3,522,386 7.6 574,927 9.0 239,315 9.8 -357,426 -2.6
I e/ 4,268,461 4.2 4,050,323 4.1 477,364 4.3 3,075,376 4.5 497,583 1.3 218,138 6.6 -176,610 -1.3II e/ 4,767,576 5.1 4,557,729 5.3 518,039 6.6 3,464,770 4.4 574,920 9.6 209,846 1.1 -202,403 -1.5III e/ 5,120,490 9.8 4,841,110 9.2 597,362 11.8 3,644,177 8.0 599,572 14.2 279,380 21.2 -504,931 -3.7IV e/ 5,421,281 11.5 5,171,387 11.6 638,534 5.2 3,905,220 13.0 627,633 10.3 249,894 9.1 -545,760 -3.8
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Conclusión
B-14
Años
Sección: B-IV. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo
Cuadro B-7. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Anual por Origen y Tipo de Bien
Cuadro B-8. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Trimestral por Origen y Tipo de Bien
Cuadro B-9. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Anual por Tipo de Bien y de Comprador
Cuadro B-10. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Trimestral por Tipo de Bien y de Comprador
B-7. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Anual por Origen y Tipo de Bien: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Millones de pesos a precios de 2008)
Sector de la Maquinaria y Equipo Estructura PorcentualAños Construcción Suma Nacional Importado Cons- Maquinaria y Equipo
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% TOTAL trucción Total Nacional Importado
1980 1,584,715 16.3 1,313,813 14.8 270,902 24.6 131,422 13.0 139,479 37.9 100.0 82.9 17.1 8.3 8.81981 1,852,110 16.9 1,529,142 16.4 322,968 19.2 147,872 12.5 175,096 25.5 100.0 82.6 17.4 8.0 9.51982 1,630,908 -11.9 1,402,581 -8.3 228,327 -29.3 125,136 -15.4 103,191 -41.1 100.0 86.0 14.0 7.7 6.31983 1,172,457 -28.1 1,029,732 -26.6 142,725 -37.5 89,801 -28.2 52,924 -48.7 100.0 87.8 12.2 7.7 4.51984 1,222,706 4.3 1,063,601 3.3 159,105 11.5 99,655 11.0 59,450 12.3 100.0 87.0 13.0 8.2 4.91985 1,266,701 3.6 1,082,341 1.8 184,360 15.9 114,844 15.2 69,516 16.9 100.0 85.4 14.6 9.1 5.51986 1,114,654 -12.0 957,770 -11.5 156,884 -14.9 94,882 -17.4 62,001 -10.8 100.0 85.9 14.1 8.5 5.61987 1,092,579 -2.0 941,160 -1.7 151,418 -3.5 94,002 -0.9 57,416 -7.4 100.0 86.1 13.9 8.6 5.31988 1,111,427 1.7 930,850 -1.1 180,577 19.3 104,281 10.9 76,296 32.9 100.0 83.8 16.2 9.4 6.91989 1,141,548 2.7 940,633 1.1 200,914 11.3 115,112 10.4 85,803 12.5 100.0 82.4 17.6 10.1 7.51990 1,283,548 12.4 1,039,005 10.5 244,544 21.7 133,070 15.6 111,474 29.9 100.0 80.9 19.1 10.4 8.71991 1,326,034 3.3 1,044,769 0.6 281,265 15.0 146,879 10.4 134,386 20.6 100.0 78.8 21.2 11.1 10.11992 1,403,906 5.9 1,080,437 3.4 323,470 15.0 150,914 2.7 172,555 28.4 100.0 77.0 23.0 10.7 12.31993 1,395,641 -0.6 1,091,383 1.0 304,257 -5.9 142,655 -5.5 161,603 -6.3 100.0 78.2 21.8 10.2 11.61994 1,575,604 12.9 1,223,142 12.1 352,462 15.8 145,646 2.1 206,816 28.0 100.0 77.6 22.4 9.2 13.11995 1,176,832 -25.3 920,217 -24.8 256,616 -27.2 117,137 -19.6 139,479 -32.6 100.0 78.2 21.8 10.0 11.91996 1,365,318 16.0 1,014,412 10.2 350,906 36.7 140,364 19.8 210,543 50.9 100.0 74.3 25.7 10.3 15.41997 1,609,831 17.9 1,159,003 14.3 450,829 28.5 175,832 25.3 274,997 30.6 100.0 72.0 28.0 10.9 17.11998 1,766,181 9.7 1,252,575 8.1 513,607 13.9 189,681 7.9 323,926 17.8 100.0 70.9 29.1 10.7 18.31999 1,897,234 7.4 1,316,585 5.1 580,649 13.1 199,862 5.4 380,787 17.6 100.0 69.4 30.6 10.5 20.12000 2,053,821 8.3 1,397,217 6.1 656,604 13.1 211,365 5.8 445,239 16.9 100.0 68.0 32.0 10.3 21.72001 1,986,059 -3.3 1,384,260 -0.9 601,799 -8.3 202,163 -4.4 399,636 -10.2 100.0 69.7 30.3 10.2 20.12002 1,996,651 0.5 1,413,070 2.1 583,582 -3.0 201,249 -0.5 382,333 -4.3 100.0 70.8 29.2 10.1 19.12003 2,055,862 3.0 1,472,541 4.2 583,321 0.0 201,026 -0.1 382,295 0.0 100.0 71.6 28.4 9.8 18.62004 2,210,486 7.5 1,557,690 5.8 652,795 11.9 218,199 8.5 434,596 13.7 100.0 70.5 29.5 9.9 19.72005 2,340,995 5.9 1,610,565 3.4 730,430 11.9 235,433 7.9 494,997 13.9 100.0 68.8 31.2 10.1 21.12006 2,544,390 8.7 1,729,477 7.4 814,913 11.6 251,621 6.9 563,292 13.8 100.0 68.0 32.0 9.9 22.12007 2,696,835 6.0 1,817,910 5.1 878,925 7.9 264,745 5.2 614,180 9.0 100.0 67.4 32.6 9.8 22.82008 2,830,420 5.0 1,930,440 6.2 899,980 2.4 272,221 2.8 627,758 2.2 100.0 68.2 31.8 9.6 22.22009 2,568,103 -9.3 1,820,622 -5.7 747,480 -16.9 224,436 -17.6 523,044 -16.7 100.0 70.9 29.1 8.7 20.42010 2,600,823 1.3 1,817,498 -0.2 783,325 4.8 266,920 18.9 516,405 -1.3 100.0 69.9 30.1 10.3 19.92011 2,804,154 7.8 1,872,916 3.0 931,238 18.9 306,890 15.0 624,348 20.9 100.0 66.8 33.2 10.9 22.32012 2,938,192 4.8 1,910,729 2.0 1,027,463 10.3 330,754 7.8 696,709 11.6 100.0 65.0 35.0 11.3 23.72013 2,892,270 -1.6 1,825,721 -4.4 1,066,550 3.8 334,004 1.0 732,545 5.1 100.0 63.1 36.9 11.5 25.32014 2,957,642 2.3 1,838,022 0.7 1,119,620 5.0 345,594 3.5 774,025 5.7 100.0 62.1 37.9 11.7 26.2
2015 3,087,140 4.4 1,887,604 2.7 1,199,536 7.1 359,317 4.0 840,219 8.6 100.0 61.1 38.9 11.6 27.22016 3,307,496 7.1 1,974,049 4.6 1,333,446 11.2 411,894 14.6 921,552 9.7 100.0 59.7 40.3 12.5 27.92017 3,654,951 10.5 2,116,839 7.2 1,538,113 15.3 449,760 9.2 1,088,353 18.1 100.0 57.9 42.1 12.3 29.82018 4,023,225 10.1 2,266,988 7.1 1,756,237 14.2 478,511 6.4 1,277,726 17.4 100.0 56.3 43.7 11.9 31.82019 4,381,118 8.9 2,414,569 6.5 1,966,549 12.0 492,053 2.8 1,474,496 15.4 100.0 55.1 44.9 11.2 33.72020 4,846,486 10.6 2,612,536 8.2 2,233,949 13.6 508,789 3.4 1,725,160 17.0 100.0 53.9 46.1 10.5 35.6
B-15
TOTAL
B-8. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Trimestral por Origen y Tipo de Bien: Escenario Base 2014-2015(Millones de pesos a precios de 2008)
Sector de la Maquinaria y Equipo Estructura PorcentualAños Construcción Suma Nacional Importado Cons- Maquinaria y Equipo
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%TOTAL
trucción Total Nacional Importado
2012 2,938,192 4.8 1,910,729 2.0 1,027,463 10.3 330,754 7.8 696,709 11.6 100.0 65.0 35.0 11.3 23.7
I 2,748,454 6.1 1,785,889 2.5 962,565 13.4 302,251 4.9 660,315 17.9 100.0 65.0 35.0 11.0 24.0II 2,859,805 5.2 1,873,295 3.6 986,510 8.4 310,243 4.8 676,267 10.2 100.0 65.5 34.5 10.8 23.6III 2,985,344 4.3 1,942,477 2.3 1,042,867 8.3 345,296 11.3 697,571 6.9 100.0 65.1 34.9 11.6 23.4IV 3,159,166 3.7 2,041,257 0.0 1,117,909 11.4 365,226 9.6 752,683 12.3 100.0 64.6 35.4 11.6 23.8
2013 2,892,270 -1.6 1,825,721 -4.4 1,066,550 3.8 334,004 1.0 732,545 5.1 100.0 63.1 36.9 11.5 25.3
I 2,732,769 -0.6 1,732,051 -3.0 1,000,718 4.0 320,312 6.0 680,406 3.0 100.0 63.4 36.6 11.7 24.9II 2,890,406 1.1 1,808,006 -3.5 1,082,400 9.7 322,314 3.9 760,087 12.4 100.0 62.6 37.4 11.2 26.3III 2,882,115 -3.5 1,819,889 -6.3 1,062,227 1.9 341,451 -1.1 720,776 3.3 100.0 63.1 36.9 11.8 25.0IV 3,063,791 -3.0 1,942,938 -4.8 1,120,853 0.3 351,940 -3.6 768,913 2.2 100.0 63.4 36.6 11.5 25.1
2014 2,952,802 2.1 1,840,400 0.8 1,112,402 4.3 344,174 3.0 768,228 4.9 100.0 62.3 37.7 11.7 26.0
I 2,717,898 -0.5 1,688,194 -2.5 1,029,704 2.9 307,622 -4.0 722,082 6.1 100.0 62.1 37.9 11.3 26.6II 2,872,973 -0.6 1,775,369 -1.8 1,097,604 1.4 327,141 1.5 770,463 1.4 100.0 61.8 38.2 11.4 26.8III 3,004,741 4.3 1,871,534 2.8 1,133,207 6.7 362,339 6.1 770,868 6.9 100.0 62.3 37.7 12.1 25.7
IV e/ 3,215,597 5.0 2,026,504 4.3 1,189,093 6.1 379,593 7.9 809,500 5.3 100.0 63.0 37.0 11.8 25.2
2015 3,114,553 5.5 1,917,092 4.2 1,197,460 7.6 356,691 3.6 840,769 9.4 100.0 61.6 38.4 11.5 27.0
I e/ 2,787,587 2.6 1,770,949 4.9 1,016,638 -1.3 315,457 2.5 701,181 -2.9 100.0 63.5 36.5 11.3 25.2II e/ 3,001,939 4.5 1,839,119 3.6 1,162,820 5.9 334,055 2.1 828,764 7.6 100.0 61.3 38.7 11.1 27.6III e/ 3,202,350 6.6 1,953,736 4.4 1,248,614 10.2 375,361 3.6 873,253 13.3 100.0 61.0 39.0 11.7 27.3IV e/ 3,466,334 7.8 2,104,565 3.9 1,361,769 14.5 401,891 5.9 959,878 18.6 100.0 60.7 39.3 11.6 27.7
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
B-16
TOTAL
B-9. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Anual por Tipo de Bien y de Comprador: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Millones de pesos a precios de 2008)
AñosPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
1980 1,584,715 16.3 1,313,813 14.8 270,902 24.6 542,619 13.8 348,187 6.7 194,433 29.4 1,042,096 17.7 965,627 18.0 76,469 13.91981 1,852,110 16.9 1,529,142 16.4 322,968 19.2 596,085 9.9 371,384 6.7 224,701 15.6 1,256,026 20.5 1,157,759 19.9 98,267 28.51982 1,630,908 -11.9 1,402,581 -8.3 228,327 -29.3 534,216 -10.4 367,915 -0.9 166,300 -26.0 1,096,693 -12.7 1,034,666 -10.6 62,027 -36.91983 1,172,457 -28.1 1,029,732 -26.6 142,725 -37.5 437,583 -18.1 326,907 -11.1 110,676 -33.4 734,874 -33.0 702,825 -32.1 32,049 -48.31984 1,222,706 4.3 1,063,601 3.3 159,105 11.5 467,789 6.9 344,377 5.3 123,412 11.5 754,917 2.7 719,224 2.3 35,693 11.41985 1,266,701 3.6 1,082,341 1.8 184,360 15.9 516,774 10.5 371,112 7.8 145,661 18.0 749,927 -0.7 711,228 -1.1 38,699 8.41986 1,114,654 -12.0 957,770 -11.5 156,884 -14.9 470,471 -9.0 346,538 -6.6 123,932 -14.9 644,183 -14.1 611,232 -14.1 32,951 -14.91987 1,092,579 -2.0 941,160 -1.7 151,418 -3.5 505,958 7.5 378,534 9.2 127,424 2.8 586,621 -8.9 562,626 -8.0 23,995 -27.21988 1,111,427 1.7 930,850 -1.1 180,577 19.3 533,947 5.5 372,757 -1.5 161,189 26.5 577,480 -1.6 558,093 -0.8 19,388 -19.21989 1,141,548 2.7 940,633 1.1 200,914 11.3 573,004 7.3 398,972 7.0 174,032 8.0 568,544 -1.5 541,662 -2.9 26,882 38.71990 1,283,548 12.4 1,039,005 10.5 244,544 21.7 624,599 9.0 406,226 1.8 218,373 25.5 658,949 15.9 632,779 16.8 26,170 -2.61991 1,326,034 3.3 1,044,769 0.6 281,265 15.0 694,838 11.2 438,313 7.9 256,525 17.5 631,196 -4.2 606,456 -4.2 24,740 -5.51992 1,403,906 5.9 1,080,437 3.4 323,470 15.0 800,529 15.2 499,769 14.0 300,760 17.2 603,377 -4.4 580,667 -4.3 22,710 -8.21993 1,395,641 -0.6 1,091,383 1.0 304,257 -5.9 814,876 1.8 532,462 6.5 282,414 -6.1 580,765 -3.7 558,921 -3.7 21,844 -3.81994 1,575,604 12.9 1,223,142 12.1 352,462 15.8 962,403 18.1 636,064 19.5 326,338 15.6 613,202 5.6 587,078 5.0 26,124 19.61995 1,176,832 -25.3 920,217 -24.8 256,616 -27.2 562,345 -41.6 326,678 -48.6 235,667 -27.8 614,487 0.2 593,539 1.1 20,949 -19.81996 1,365,318 16.0 1,014,412 10.2 350,906 36.7 743,860 32.3 419,425 28.4 324,434 37.7 621,459 1.1 594,987 0.2 26,472 26.41997 1,609,831 17.9 1,159,003 14.3 450,829 28.5 932,137 25.3 509,102 21.4 423,035 30.4 677,695 9.0 649,901 9.2 27,794 5.01998 1,766,181 9.7 1,252,575 8.1 513,607 13.9 1,108,266 18.9 624,206 22.6 484,060 14.4 657,915 -2.9 628,368 -3.3 29,546 6.31999 1,897,234 7.4 1,316,585 5.1 580,649 13.1 1,294,997 16.8 745,726 19.5 549,272 13.5 602,236 -8.5 570,859 -9.2 31,377 6.22000 2,053,821 8.3 1,397,217 6.1 656,604 13.1 1,493,365 15.3 875,305 17.4 618,060 12.5 560,456 -6.9 521,912 -8.6 38,544 22.82001 1,986,059 -3.3 1,384,260 -0.9 601,799 -8.3 1,519,554 1.8 945,052 8.0 574,502 -7.0 466,505 -16.8 439,208 -15.8 27,297 -29.22002 1,996,651 0.5 1,413,070 2.1 583,582 -3.0 1,574,302 3.6 1,021,373 8.1 552,928 -3.8 422,349 -9.5 391,696 -10.8 30,653 12.32003 2,055,861 3.0 1,472,541 4.2 583,320 0.0 1,607,055 2.1 1,072,234 5.0 534,821 -3.3 448,806 6.3 400,307 2.2 48,499 58.22004 2,210,486 7.5 1,557,691 5.8 652,795 11.9 1,735,682 8.0 1,126,624 5.1 609,058 13.9 474,804 5.8 431,067 7.7 43,737 -9.82005 2,340,995 5.9 1,610,565 3.4 730,430 11.9 1,821,450 4.9 1,154,801 2.5 666,649 9.5 519,545 9.4 455,764 5.7 63,781 45.82006 2,544,390 8.7 1,729,477 7.4 814,913 11.6 1,997,410 9.7 1,257,005 8.9 740,405 11.1 546,980 5.3 472,472 3.7 74,508 16.82007 2,696,836 6.0 1,817,911 5.1 878,925 7.9 2,132,132 6.7 1,304,376 3.8 827,756 11.8 564,704 3.2 513,535 8.7 51,169 -31.32008 2,830,420 5.0 1,930,440 6.2 899,980 2.4 2,143,456 0.5 1,319,373 1.1 824,083 -0.4 686,964 21.7 611,068 19.0 75,896 48.32009 2,568,103 -9.3 1,820,622 -5.7 747,480 -16.9 1,875,390 -12.5 1,182,401 -10.4 692,989 -15.9 692,713 0.8 638,221 4.4 54,492 -28.22010 2,600,823 1.3 1,817,498 -0.2 783,325 4.8 1,911,276 1.9 1,200,349 1.5 710,928 2.6 689,546 -0.5 617,149 -3.3 72,397 32.92011 2,804,154 7.8 1,872,916 3.0 931,238 18.9 2,142,622 12.1 1,288,127 7.3 854,495 20.2 661,532 -4.1 584,789 -5.2 76,743 6.02012 2,938,192 4.8 1,910,729 2.0 1,027,463 10.3 2,336,450 9.0 1,370,151 6.4 966,299 13.1 601,743 -9.0 540,579 -7.6 61,164 -20.32013 2,892,270 -1.6 1,825,721 -4.4 1,066,550 3.8 2,300,984 -1.5 1,283,321 -6.3 1,017,663 5.3 591,286 -1.7 542,400 0.3 48,886 -20.12014 2,957,642 2.3 1,838,021 0.7 1,119,621 5.0 2,394,458 4.1 1,326,213 3.3 1,068,245 5.0 563,183 -4.8 511,807 -5.6 51,376 5.1
2015 3,087,140 4.4 1,887,600 2.7 1,199,540 7.1 2,541,580 6.1 1,397,188 5.4 1,144,393 7.1 545,560 -3.1 490,412 -4.2 55,148 7.32016 3,307,496 7.1 1,974,049 4.6 1,333,446 11.2 2,770,440 9.0 1,496,388 7.1 1,274,052 11.3 537,055 -1.6 477,662 -2.6 59,394 7.72017 3,654,951 10.5 2,116,839 7.2 1,538,113 15.3 3,101,983 12.0 1,628,669 8.8 1,473,314 15.6 552,969 3.0 488,170 2.2 64,799 9.12018 4,023,225 10.1 2,266,988 7.1 1,756,237 14.2 3,447,148 11.1 1,762,708 8.2 1,684,440 14.3 576,077 4.2 504,280 3.3 71,797 10.82019 4,381,118 8.9 2,414,569 6.5 1,966,549 12.0 3,786,615 9.8 1,896,674 7.6 1,889,942 12.2 594,503 3.2 517,895 2.7 76,607 6.72020 4,846,486 10.6 2,612,536 8.2 2,233,949 13.6 4,225,715 11.6 2,074,961 9.4 2,150,754 13.8 620,771 4.4 537,575 3.8 83,196 8.6
PúblicaTotal Construcción Maquinaria
B-17
Construcción MaquinariaTotalInversión Total Privada
Total Construcción Maquinaria
B-10. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Trimestral por Tipo de Bien y de Comprador: Escenario Base 2014-2015(Millones de pesos a precios de 2008)
AñosPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2012 2,938,192 4.8 1,910,729 2.0 1,027,463 10.3 2,336,450 9.0 1,370,151 6.4 966,299 13.1 601,743 -9.0 540,579 -7.6 61,164 -20.3
I 2,748,454 6.1 1,785,889 2.5 962,565 13.4 2,192,921 11.6 1,287,789 8.5 905,132 16.3 555,533 -11.2 498,100 -10.3 57,433 -17.9II 2,859,805 5.2 1,873,295 3.6 986,510 8.4 2,268,892 9.1 1,341,072 7.9 927,820 11.0 590,913 -7.6 532,223 -5.8 58,690 -21.0III 2,985,344 4.3 1,942,477 2.3 1,042,867 8.3 2,376,653 8.5 1,395,696 6.7 980,958 11.0 608,691 -9.2 546,782 -7.5 61,909 -22.1IV 3,159,166 3.7 2,041,257 0.0 1,117,909 11.4 2,507,333 7.4 1,456,046 2.9 1,051,287 14.2 651,833 -8.2 585,212 -6.7 66,622 -19.9
2013 2,892,270 -1.6 1,825,721 -4.4 1,066,550 3.8 2,300,984 -1.5 1,283,321 -6.3 1,017,663 5.3 591,286 -1.7 542,400 0.3 48,886 -20.1
I 2,732,769 -0.6 1,732,051 -3.0 1,000,718 4.0 2,215,547 1.0 1,260,709 -2.1 954,838 5.5 517,222 -6.9 471,342 -5.4 45,880 -20.1II 2,890,406 1.1 1,808,006 -3.5 1,082,400 9.7 2,317,526 2.1 1,284,252 -4.2 1,033,273 11.4 572,880 -3.1 523,753 -1.6 49,127 -16.3III 2,882,115 -3.5 1,819,889 -6.3 1,062,227 1.9 2,280,478 -4.0 1,267,584 -9.2 1,012,894 3.3 601,637 -1.2 552,305 1.0 49,332 -20.3IV 3,063,791 -3.0 1,942,938 -4.8 1,120,853 0.3 2,390,386 -4.7 1,320,739 -9.3 1,069,647 1.7 673,405 3.3 622,199 6.3 51,206 -23.1
2014 2,952,802 2.1 1,840,413 0.8 1,112,389 4.3 2,394,458 4.1 1,333,164 3.9 1,061,295 4.3 558,344 -5.6 507,250 -6.5 51,094 4.5
I 2,717,898 -0.5 1,688,194 -2.5 1,029,704 2.9 2,226,297 0.5 1,243,942 -1.3 982,355 2.9 491,601 -5.0 444,251 -5.7 47,349 3.2II 2,872,973 -0.6 1,775,369 -1.8 1,097,604 1.4 2,354,048 1.6 1,306,157 1.7 1,047,892 1.4 518,925 -9.4 469,213 -10.4 49,712 1.2III 3,004,741 4.3 1,871,534 2.8 1,133,207 6.7 2,438,341 6.9 1,357,479 7.1 1,080,862 6.7 566,400 -5.9 514,055 -6.9 52,345 6.1
IV e/ 3,215,597 5.0 2,026,557 4.3 1,189,040 6.1 2,559,147 7.1 1,425,077 7.9 1,134,070 6.0 656,450 -2.5 601,480 -3.3 54,970 7.4
2015 3,114,553 5.5 1,917,041 4.2 1,197,512 7.7 2,565,077 7.1 1,421,295 6.6 1,143,782 7.8 549,475 -1.6 495,746 -2.3 53,729 5.2
I e/ 2,787,587 2.6 1,770,886 4.9 1,016,701 -1.3 2,302,659 3.4 1,336,230 7.4 966,429 -1.6 484,928 -1.4 434,655 -2.2 50,273 6.2II e/ 3,001,939 4.5 1,839,071 3.6 1,162,868 5.9 2,497,645 6.1 1,387,125 6.2 1,110,520 6.0 504,293 -2.8 451,946 -3.7 52,348 5.3III e/ 3,202,350 6.6 1,953,688 4.4 1,248,662 10.2 2,648,526 8.6 1,454,335 7.1 1,194,191 10.5 553,823 -2.2 499,353 -2.9 54,470 4.1IV e/ 3,466,334 7.8 2,104,518 3.8 1,361,816 14.5 2,811,479 9.9 1,507,489 5.8 1,303,989 15.0 654,856 -0.2 597,029 -0.7 57,827 5.2
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
B-18
Inversión Total Privada PúblicaTotal Construcción Maquinaria Total Construcción Maquinaria Total Construcción Maquinaria
Sección: B-V.
Cuadro B -11. PIB Trimestral Nominal y Real, Deflactor del PIB y Series Ajustadas por Estacionalidad,
2005-2015
B-11. PIB Trimestral, Deflactor del PIB y Series Ajustadas por Estacionalidad: Escenario Base 2014-2015(Millones de pesos)
PIB Nominal Deflactor del PIB PIB Real PIB Real PIB RealSerie original Serie original Serie original Corregida por efecto calendario Serie desestacionalizada
Precios Var. % Indice Var. % Precios Var. % Precios Var. % Precios Var. %Corrientes anual 2008=100 anual de 2008 anual de 2008 anual de 2008 trimestral
2006-1 10,097,257 11.9 88.0 5.8 11,468,506 5.8 11,461,240 4.6 11,572,204 1.82006-2 10,552,096 12.4 90.0 7.1 11,724,725 4.9 11,763,087 6.1 11,727,370 1.32006-3 10,603,247 12.2 90.9 6.5 11,665,772 5.4 11,665,772 5.4 11,776,264 0.42006-4 10,899,858 10.1 90.7 5.8 12,015,684 4.0 12,015,684 4.0 11,807,764 0.32007-1 10,922,488 8.2 92.5 5.1 11,803,386 2.9 11,795,908 2.9 11,937,152 1.12007-2 11,258,170 6.7 93.5 3.8 12,047,121 2.7 12,086,537 2.7 12,061,258 1.02007-3 11,403,054 7.5 94.8 4.2 12,034,406 3.2 12,034,406 3.2 12,129,790 0.62007-4 12,029,341 10.4 96.5 6.4 12,465,495 3.7 12,465,495 3.7 12,223,990 0.82008-1 11,836,918 8.4 98.2 6.1 12,057,761 2.2 12,060,423 2.2 12,236,561 0.12008-2 12,480,797 10.9 100.5 7.5 12,418,263 3.1 12,317,847 1.9 12,308,685 0.62008-3 12,376,877 8.5 101.2 6.8 12,225,329 1.6 12,225,329 1.6 12,300,282 -0.12008-4 12,332,861 2.5 100.1 3.7 12,326,102 -1.1 12,326,102 -1.1 12,067,052 -1.92009-1 11,726,797 -0.9 102.6 4.5 11,427,108 -5.2 11,419,868 -5.3 11,602,810 -3.82009-2 11,789,682 -5.5 103.1 2.6 11,432,390 -7.9 11,469,795 -6.9 11,484,562 -1.02009-3 12,084,466 -2.4 103.6 2.3 11,666,168 -4.6 11,666,168 -4.6 11,723,062 2.12009-4 12,774,614 3.6 104.7 4.7 12,197,332 -1.0 12,197,332 -1.0 11,919,817 1.72010-1 12,750,757 8.7 107.6 4.9 11,849,742 3.7 11,875,990 4.0 12,077,885 1.32010-2 13,082,275 11.0 107.2 4.0 12,203,014 6.7 12,208,142 6.4 12,241,319 1.42010-3 13,299,141 10.1 108.1 4.4 12,300,786 5.4 12,300,786 5.4 12,355,244 0.92010-4 13,996,071 9.6 109.7 4.8 12,757,093 4.6 12,757,093 4.6 12,450,944 0.82011-1 13,913,620 9.1 112.4 4.5 12,377,541 4.5 12,369,698 4.2 12,580,607 1.02011-2 14,163,450 8.3 112.4 4.9 12,597,518 3.2 12,638,735 3.5 12,690,286 0.92011-3 14,513,648 9.1 113.3 4.8 12,814,036 4.2 12,814,036 4.2 12,872,783 1.42011-4 15,609,338 11.5 117.3 6.9 13,307,876 4.3 13,307,876 4.3 12,968,894 0.72012-1 15,287,206 9.9 117.8 4.8 12,976,161 4.8 12,832,092 3.7 13,056,610 0.72012-2 15,420,691 8.9 117.2 4.2 13,161,692 4.5 13,204,755 4.5 13,264,353 1.62012-3 15,597,111 7.5 117.9 4.1 13,225,488 3.2 13,225,488 3.2 13,295,168 0.22012-4 16,205,841 3.8 117.6 0.3 13,781,276 3.6 13,781,276 3.6 13,413,947 0.92013-1 15,700,801 2.7 119.8 1.7 13,108,936 1.0 13,250,640 3.3 13,481,129 0.52013-2 15,906,544 3.2 118.7 1.3 13,399,229 1.8 13,290,881 0.7 13,362,652 -0.92013-3 16,102,225 3.2 119.8 1.6 13,437,797 1.6 13,437,797 1.6 13,511,422 1.12013-4 16,776,198 3.5 120.4 2.4 13,937,805 1.1 13,937,805 1.1 13,553,862 0.32014-1 16,510,236 5.2 123.5 3.1 13,372,369 2.0 13,363,897 0.9 13,599,493 0.32014-2 16,836,002 5.8 123.6 4.2 13,617,043 1.6 13,661,596 2.8 13,739,136 1.02014-3 17,045,023 5.9 124.1 3.6 13,734,122 2.2 13,734,122 2.2 13,811,997 0.52014-4 17,810,957 6.2 124.5 3.4 14,305,135 2.6 14,305,135 2.6 13,905,634 0.7
2015-1 e/ 17,346,393 5.1 126.9 2.8 13,664,492 2.2 13,639,407 2.1 13,905,063 0.02015-2 e/ 17,794,702 5.7 126.6 2.4 14,061,174 3.3 14,119,437 3.4 14,183,119 2.02015-3 e/ 18,196,486 6.8 128.1 3.3 14,200,081 3.4 14,200,081 3.4 14,276,600 0.72015-4 e/ 18,996,145 6.7 128.7 3.4 14,760,686 3.2 14,760,686 3.2 14,347,643 0.5
Fuente: INEGI, Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
B-19
Años
C. Producto Interno Bruto por Sectores Económicos
Cuadro C-1.PIB Anual y por Grandes Sectores de Actividad Económica 1980-2020
Cuadro C-2.PIB Anual del Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica 1980-2020
Cuadro C-3.PIB Anual del Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica 1980-2020
Cuadro C-4.PIB Anual de la Industria Manufacturera por Actividad Económica 1980-2020
Cuadro C-5.PIB Anual del Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas 1980-2020
Cuadro C-6.PIB Anual del Sector Servicios por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas 1980-2020
Cuadro C-7.PIB Trimestral y por Grandes Sectores de Actividad Económica 2014-2015
Cuadro C-8.PIB Trimestral del Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica 2014-2015
Cuadro C-9.PIB Trimestral del Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica 2014-2015
Cuadro C-10.PIB Trimestral de la Industria Manufacturera por Actividad Económica 2014-2015
Cuadro C-11.PIB Trimestral del Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas 2014-2015
Cuadro C-12.PIB Trimestral del Sector Servicios por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas 2014-2015
PIB Total Impuestos Valor PIB Agropecuario PIB Industrial PIB Servicios Estructura Porcentual Pesos Var.% Netos Agregado Bruto Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
1980 6,112,050 9.2 157,140 5,954,910 246,303 7.2 2,372,847 11.5 3,288,256 8.81981 6,633,140 8.5 170,537 6,462,602 265,412 7.8 2,628,510 10.8 3,560,851 8.31982 6,598,594 -0.5 169,649 6,428,945 259,416 -2.3 2,627,147 -0.1 3,610,421 1.41983 6,368,539 -3.5 163,734 6,204,805 264,608 2.0 2,410,180 -8.3 3,596,704 -0.41984 6,585,758 3.4 169,319 6,416,439 268,339 1.4 2,515,015 4.3 3,710,835 3.21985 6,729,834 2.2 173,023 6,556,811 276,459 3.0 2,598,403 3.3 3,740,128 0.81986 6,522,625 -3.1 167,696 6,354,930 272,776 -1.3 2,446,266 -5.9 3,686,345 -1.41987 6,634,974 1.7 170,584 6,464,389 276,196 1.3 2,536,496 3.7 3,733,959 1.31988 6,720,118 1.3 172,773 6,547,344 266,845 -3.4 2,578,788 1.7 3,777,483 1.21989 6,996,013 4.1 179,867 6,816,146 263,080 -1.4 2,676,946 3.8 3,917,134 3.71990 7,358,110 5.2 189,176 7,168,934 282,186 7.3 2,831,870 5.8 4,083,694 4.31991 7,668,237 4.2 197,149 7,471,087 288,511 2.2 2,900,329 2.4 4,281,023 4.81992 7,939,777 3.5 204,131 7,735,646 282,082 -2.2 3,002,201 3.5 4,433,827 3.61993 8,132,915 2.4 209,096 7,923,819 295,607 4.8 3,017,474 0.5 4,610,738 4.01994 8,517,387 4.7 218,981 8,298,406 305,806 3.5 3,153,261 4.5 4,839,339 5.01995 8,026,897 -5.8 206,370 7,820,527 303,126 -0.9 2,894,599 -8.2 4,622,802 -4.51996 8,498,459 5.9 218,494 8,279,965 318,216 5.0 3,165,539 9.4 4,796,210 3.81997 9,090,197 7.0 233,708 8,856,489 319,109 0.3 3,462,150 9.4 5,075,230 5.81998 9,517,604 4.7 244,696 9,272,908 324,162 1.6 3,655,577 5.6 5,293,169 4.31999 9,771,440 2.7 251,222 9,520,217 335,935 3.6 3,715,255 1.6 5,469,027 3.32000 10,288,982 5.3 264,528 10,024,453 341,617 1.7 3,890,134 4.7 5,792,703 5.92001 10,226,682 -0.6 262,927 9,963,756 350,545 2.6 3,832,380 -1.5 5,780,831 -0.22002 10,240,173 0.1 263,273 9,976,900 349,156 -0.4 3,832,918 0.0 5,794,825 0.22003 10,385,857 1.4 267,019 10,118,838 359,230 2.9 3,884,165 1.3 5,875,443 1.42004 10,832,004 4.3 278,292 10,553,712 372,649 3.7 4,043,151 4.1 6,137,912 4.52005 11,160,493 3.0 287,007 10,873,486 354,836 -4.8 4,142,410 2.5 6,376,239 3.92006 11,718,672 5.0 301,379 11,417,293 379,391 6.9 4,322,843 4.4 6,715,059 5.32007 12,087,602 3.1 311,150 11,776,452 387,883 2.2 4,385,686 1.5 7,002,883 4.32008 12,256,863 1.4 315,664 11,941,199 392,984 1.3 4,365,207 -0.5 7,183,008 2.62009 11,680,749 -4.7 300,809 11,379,940 383,159 -2.5 4,094,017 -6.2 6,902,764 -3.92010 12,277,659 5.1 316,480 11,961,179 386,056 0.8 4,280,609 4.6 7,294,514 5.72011 12,774,243 4.0 328,823 12,445,420 377,193 -2.3 4,427,598 3.4 7,640,629 4.72012 13,286,154 4.0 342,304 12,943,850 405,253 7.4 4,552,813 2.8 7,985,784 4.52013 13,470,942 1.4 347,781 13,123,161 409,091 0.9 4,527,815 -0.5 8,186,255 2.52014 13,757,167 2.1 355,171 13,401,997 420,663 2.8 4,611,645 1.9 8,369,689 2.2
2015 14,171,608 3.0 365,863 13,805,746 416,882 -0.9 4,770,020 3.4 8,618,844 3.02016 14,744,649 4.0 380,540 14,364,109 428,078 2.7 5,012,905 5.1 8,923,126 3.52017 15,509,254 5.2 400,270 15,108,984 416,491 -2.7 5,346,390 6.7 9,346,102 4.72018 16,279,400 5.0 420,010 15,859,390 429,881 3.2 5,702,563 6.7 9,726,947 4.12019 17,021,834 4.6 439,196 16,582,638 424,042 -1.4 6,058,516 6.2 10,100,080 3.82020 17,875,837 5.0 461,303 17,414,534 436,522 2.9 6,466,581 6.7 10,511,431 4.1
C-1
C-1. PIB Anual Total y por Grandes Sectores de Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Millones de pesos de 2008)
Años
C-2. PIB Anual del Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Millones de pesos de 2008)
PIB Sector IndustrialAños Total Minería Manufacturas Construcción Electricidad
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
1980 2,372,847 11.5 672,006 21.7 1,073,030 5.8 560,739 12.4 67,072 6.31981 2,628,510 10.8 767,822 14.3 1,144,267 6.6 641,562 14.4 74,860 11.61982 2,627,147 -0.1 833,453 8.5 1,115,342 -2.5 596,258 -7.1 82,094 9.71983 2,410,180 -8.3 810,378 -2.8 1,034,930 -7.2 481,847 -19.2 83,025 1.11984 2,515,015 4.3 830,248 2.5 1,089,886 5.3 507,702 5.4 87,179 5.01985 2,598,403 3.3 829,792 -0.1 1,152,673 5.8 521,513 2.7 94,425 8.31986 2,446,266 -5.9 786,874 -5.2 1,093,826 -5.1 467,707 -10.3 97,859 3.61987 2,536,496 3.7 825,992 5.0 1,128,210 3.1 480,775 2.8 101,519 3.71988 2,578,788 1.7 827,913 0.2 1,164,418 3.2 478,826 -0.4 107,632 6.01989 2,676,946 3.8 825,504 -0.3 1,251,813 7.5 487,186 1.7 112,443 4.51990 2,831,870 5.8 853,520 3.4 1,331,022 6.3 531,977 9.2 115,352 2.61991 2,900,329 2.4 862,423 1.0 1,364,162 2.5 557,947 4.9 115,797 0.41992 3,002,201 3.5 873,247 1.3 1,414,360 3.7 595,244 6.7 119,349 3.11993 3,017,474 0.5 887,277 1.6 1,399,033 -1.1 608,861 2.3 122,303 2.51994 3,153,261 4.5 894,508 0.8 1,442,957 3.1 685,325 12.6 130,471 6.71995 2,894,599 -8.2 884,310 -1.1 1,367,675 -5.2 509,442 -25.7 133,172 2.11996 3,165,539 9.4 964,807 9.1 1,495,132 9.3 566,263 11.2 139,337 4.61997 3,462,150 9.4 1,013,369 5.0 1,652,075 10.5 649,096 14.6 147,610 5.91998 3,655,577 5.6 1,039,744 2.6 1,769,095 7.1 691,561 6.5 155,176 5.11999 3,715,255 1.6 998,138 -4.0 1,817,048 2.7 731,040 5.7 169,028 8.92000 3,890,134 4.7 1,022,932 2.5 1,922,051 5.8 774,359 5.9 170,791 1.02001 3,832,380 -1.5 1,052,383 2.9 1,862,165 -3.1 747,924 -3.4 169,908 -0.52002 3,832,918 0.0 1,052,252 0.0 1,849,633 -0.7 763,711 2.1 167,322 -1.52003 3,884,165 1.3 1,101,350 4.7 1,824,420 -1.4 787,139 3.1 171,256 2.42004 4,043,151 4.1 1,118,537 1.6 1,889,526 3.6 842,252 7.0 192,836 12.62005 4,142,410 2.5 1,119,429 0.1 1,941,123 2.7 872,476 3.6 209,383 8.62006 4,322,843 4.4 1,111,413 -0.7 2,028,482 4.5 948,296 8.7 234,651 12.12007 4,385,686 1.5 1,095,487 -1.4 2,047,910 1.0 992,914 4.7 249,375 6.32008 4,365,207 -0.5 1,054,691 -3.7 2,027,255 -1.0 1,030,710 3.8 252,552 1.32009 4,094,017 -6.2 1,012,072 -4.0 1,857,907 -8.4 968,200 -6.1 255,838 1.32010 4,280,609 4.6 1,020,993 0.9 2,016,704 8.5 975,507 0.8 267,405 4.52011 4,427,598 3.4 1,017,204 -0.4 2,109,315 4.6 1,015,099 4.1 285,979 6.92012 4,552,813 2.8 1,026,431 0.9 2,194,312 4.0 1,039,974 2.5 292,096 2.12013 4,527,815 -0.5 1,025,421 -0.1 2,218,411 1.1 990,336 -4.8 293,646 0.52014 4,611,645 1.9 1,002,096 -2.3 2,301,121 3.7 1,009,624 1.9 298,804 1.8
2015 4,762,303 3.3 1,002,119 0.0 2,405,840 4.6 1,047,465 3.7 306,879 2.72016 5,012,905 5.3 1,021,666 2.0 2,565,999 6.7 1,108,650 5.8 316,590 3.22017 5,346,390 6.7 1,055,464 3.3 2,768,213 7.9 1,194,298 7.7 328,415 3.72018 5,702,563 6.7 1,103,596 4.6 2,969,651 7.3 1,289,297 8.0 340,019 3.52019 6,058,516 6.2 1,159,563 5.1 3,169,054 6.7 1,378,680 6.9 351,219 3.32020 6,466,581 6.7 1,222,830 5.5 3,402,990 7.4 1,477,175 7.1 363,586 3.5
C-2
C-3. PIB Anual del Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Millones de pesos de 2008)
PIB Sector ServiciosComercio, Transporte, Almacenaje Servicios Financieros, Servicios Comunales,
Total Restaurantes y Hoteles y Comunicaciones Seguros e Inmuebles Sociales y PersonalesPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
1980 3,288,256 8.8 926,476 13.2 332,687 10.9 658,507 4.7 1,370,587 7.51981 3,560,851 8.3 1,019,259 10.0 366,152 10.1 703,874 6.9 1,471,566 7.41982 3,610,421 1.4 1,014,739 -0.4 337,855 -7.7 740,030 5.1 1,517,796 3.11983 3,596,704 -0.4 940,843 -7.3 328,960 -2.6 770,012 4.1 1,556,889 2.61984 3,710,835 3.2 953,113 1.3 345,837 5.1 814,914 5.8 1,596,971 2.61985 3,740,128 0.8 951,286 -0.2 355,674 2.8 843,362 3.5 1,589,807 -0.41986 3,686,345 -1.4 892,186 -6.2 343,106 -3.5 874,345 3.7 1,576,708 -0.81987 3,733,959 1.3 899,849 0.9 352,989 2.9 905,159 3.5 1,575,962 0.01988 3,777,483 1.2 914,221 1.6 360,547 2.1 918,013 1.4 1,584,703 0.61989 3,917,134 3.7 956,480 4.6 377,429 4.7 950,105 3.5 1,633,119 3.11990 4,083,694 4.3 1,015,910 6.2 390,902 3.6 992,345 4.4 1,684,537 3.11991 4,281,023 4.8 1,077,714 6.1 404,302 3.4 1,038,970 4.7 1,760,037 4.51992 4,433,827 3.6 1,134,825 5.3 425,696 5.3 1,086,593 4.6 1,786,713 1.51993 4,610,738 4.0 1,115,928 -1.7 449,723 5.6 1,141,042 5.0 1,904,044 6.61994 4,839,339 5.0 1,217,268 9.1 479,142 6.5 1,201,013 5.3 1,941,917 2.01995 4,622,802 -4.5 1,086,085 -10.8 450,190 -6.0 1,207,641 0.6 1,878,887 -3.21996 4,796,210 3.8 1,199,580 10.4 481,315 6.9 1,217,512 0.8 1,897,803 1.01997 5,075,230 5.8 1,354,514 12.9 524,390 8.9 1,230,431 1.1 1,965,896 3.61998 5,293,169 4.3 1,451,162 7.1 555,711 6.0 1,257,894 2.2 2,028,402 3.21999 5,469,027 3.3 1,516,397 4.5 582,628 4.8 1,285,352 2.2 2,084,651 2.82000 5,792,703 5.9 1,683,292 11.0 624,735 7.2 1,319,325 2.6 2,165,350 3.92001 5,780,831 -0.2 1,658,216 -1.5 618,929 -0.9 1,350,663 2.4 2,153,023 -0.62002 5,794,825 0.2 1,651,678 -0.4 614,815 -0.7 1,376,958 1.9 2,151,374 -0.12003 5,875,443 1.4 1,681,963 1.8 614,867 0.0 1,420,338 3.2 2,158,275 0.32004 6,137,912 4.5 1,779,876 5.8 638,168 3.8 1,493,107 5.1 2,226,761 3.22005 6,376,239 3.9 1,866,229 4.9 650,555 1.9 1,548,423 3.7 2,311,032 3.82006 6,715,059 5.3 1,982,570 6.2 677,734 4.2 1,641,050 6.0 2,413,705 4.42007 7,002,883 4.3 2,060,861 3.9 701,085 3.4 1,722,687 5.0 2,518,250 4.32008 7,183,008 2.6 2,063,763 0.1 700,557 -0.1 1,838,926 6.7 2,579,762 2.42009 6,902,764 -3.9 1,814,588 -12.1 650,008 -7.2 1,867,976 1.6 2,570,192 -0.42010 7,294,514 5.7 2,004,943 10.5 700,120 7.7 1,993,162 6.7 2,596,290 1.02011 7,640,629 4.7 2,178,883 8.7 728,423 4.0 2,071,827 3.9 2,661,496 2.52012 7,985,784 4.5 2,284,519 4.8 758,002 4.1 2,150,520 3.8 2,792,743 4.92013 8,186,255 2.5 2,336,393 2.3 777,500 2.6 2,221,665 3.3 2,850,697 2.12014 8,369,689 2.2 2,413,139 3.3 793,093 2.0 2,268,583 2.1 2,894,874 1.5
2015 8,618,844 3.0 2,499,704 3.6 815,541 2.8 2,334,095 2.9 2,969,504 2.62016 8,923,126 3.5 2,601,907 4.1 848,652 4.1 2,409,429 3.2 3,063,139 3.22017 9,346,102 4.7 2,729,703 4.9 898,213 5.8 2,527,982 4.9 3,190,204 4.12018 9,726,947 4.1 2,851,754 4.5 944,022 5.1 2,628,148 4.0 3,303,023 3.52019 10,100,080 3.8 2,973,058 4.3 989,335 4.8 2,725,723 3.7 3,411,964 3.32020 10,511,431 4.1 3,105,307 4.4 1,038,802 5.0 2,833,218 3.9 3,534,105 3.6
C-3
Años
C-4. PIB Anual de la Industria Manufacturera por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Millones de pesos de 2008)
Industria Alimentos, Textiles, Madera Imprenta Años Manufacturera Bebidas y Tabaco Vestidos y Cuero y sus Productos y Editoriales
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
1980 1,073,030 5.8 263,284 4.8 114,203 2.2 52,229 6.1 27,015 11.11981 1,144,267 6.6 275,013 4.5 120,830 5.8 51,941 -0.6 28,677 6.21982 1,115,342 -2.5 288,241 4.8 115,066 -4.8 51,234 -1.4 28,721 0.21983 1,034,930 -7.2 280,472 -2.7 108,869 -5.4 47,357 -7.6 26,053 -9.31984 1,089,886 5.3 284,378 1.4 110,044 1.1 48,852 3.2 27,370 5.11985 1,152,673 5.8 295,991 4.1 113,061 2.7 50,597 3.6 29,979 9.51986 1,093,826 -5.1 293,611 -0.8 107,586 -4.8 49,325 -2.5 28,846 -3.81987 1,128,210 3.1 293,996 0.1 102,288 -4.9 50,931 3.3 29,119 0.91988 1,164,418 3.2 297,352 1.1 103,176 0.9 49,741 -2.3 30,455 4.61989 1,251,813 7.5 320,918 7.9 108,171 4.8 49,787 0.1 33,415 9.71990 1,331,022 6.3 335,472 4.5 114,426 5.8 49,597 -0.4 36,102 8.01991 1,364,162 2.5 346,287 3.2 117,418 2.6 49,935 0.7 37,489 3.81992 1,414,360 3.7 360,424 4.1 117,312 -0.1 51,333 2.8 38,784 3.51993 1,399,033 -1.1 375,655 4.2 114,417 -2.5 43,878 -14.5 36,906 -4.81994 1,442,957 3.1 387,106 3.0 113,575 -0.7 44,425 1.2 37,823 2.51995 1,367,675 -5.2 388,310 0.3 102,733 -9.5 40,605 -8.6 37,365 -1.21996 1,495,132 9.3 399,782 3.0 113,360 10.3 43,269 6.6 39,697 6.21997 1,652,075 10.5 410,927 2.8 120,382 6.2 49,264 13.9 44,245 11.51998 1,769,095 7.1 432,920 5.4 122,776 2.0 51,604 4.7 46,605 5.31999 1,817,048 2.7 449,141 3.7 124,358 1.3 51,975 0.7 49,210 5.62000 1,922,051 5.8 465,499 3.6 128,999 3.7 55,123 6.1 50,245 2.12001 1,862,165 -3.1 473,084 1.6 119,618 -7.3 51,779 -6.1 48,977 -2.52002 1,849,633 -0.7 482,268 1.9 115,365 -3.6 48,300 -6.7 48,621 -0.72003 1,824,420 -1.4 488,339 1.3 107,620 -6.7 48,067 -0.5 48,433 -0.42004 1,889,526 3.6 506,715 3.8 109,406 1.7 48,847 1.6 49,925 3.12005 1,941,123 2.7 522,765 3.2 106,699 -2.5 48,801 -0.1 51,219 2.62006 2,028,482 4.5 535,307 2.4 108,368 1.6 48,884 0.2 54,290 6.02007 2,047,910 1.0 547,744 2.3 105,139 -3.0 49,317 0.9 55,459 2.22008 2,027,255 -1.0 555,064 1.3 102,791 -2.2 46,515 -5.7 57,170 3.12009 1,857,907 -8.4 554,117 -0.2 95,472 -7.1 43,845 -5.7 55,851 -2.32010 2,016,704 8.5 562,265 1.5 101,104 5.9 46,665 6.4 58,907 5.52011 2,109,315 4.6 576,989 2.6 99,984 -1.1 47,976 2.8 59,258 0.62012 2,194,312 4.0 591,899 2.6 100,837 0.9 51,389 7.1 60,524 2.12013 2,218,411 1.1 593,768 0.3 102,709 1.9 49,047 -4.6 60,286 -0.42014 2,301,121 3.7 603,596 1.7 100,690 -2.0 48,820 -0.5 61,350 1.8
2015 2,405,840 4.6 619,233 2.6 102,773 2.1 49,636 1.7 63,120 2.92016 2,565,999 6.7 645,362 4.2 105,764 2.9 51,641 4.0 65,526 3.82017 2,768,213 7.9 677,119 4.9 109,417 3.5 54,320 5.2 68,419 4.42018 2,969,651 7.3 707,460 4.5 112,599 2.9 56,891 4.7 71,227 4.12019 3,169,054 6.7 735,348 3.9 115,604 2.7 59,370 4.4 73,956 3.82020 3,402,990 7.4 766,982 4.3 119,081 3.0 62,110 4.6 77,047 4.2
(Continúa)
C-4
(Continuación)
Químicos, Minerales Industrias Maquinaria Otras
Años Petróleo y Caucho No Metálicos Metálicas Básicas y Equipo Industrias
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
1980 215,548 9.7 54,681 8.1 118,656 3.5 201,598 9.6 25,816 -20.01981 237,232 10.1 56,408 3.2 124,700 5.1 220,281 9.3 29,186 13.11982 241,787 1.9 55,023 -2.5 112,490 -9.8 194,734 -11.6 28,046 -3.91983 238,590 -1.3 50,777 -7.7 105,384 -6.3 154,623 -20.6 22,804 -18.71984 253,245 6.1 53,674 5.7 117,359 11.4 169,573 9.7 25,391 11.31985 266,907 5.4 57,807 7.7 119,205 1.6 191,638 13.0 27,489 8.31986 257,577 -3.5 54,089 -6.4 111,481 -6.5 166,192 -13.3 25,117 -8.61987 268,993 4.4 59,338 9.7 125,807 12.9 173,412 4.3 24,327 -3.11988 273,946 1.8 58,437 -1.5 132,032 4.9 193,937 11.8 25,344 4.21989 299,714 9.4 61,214 4.8 135,218 2.4 215,289 11.0 28,086 10.81990 312,733 4.3 65,180 6.5 144,976 7.2 239,354 11.2 33,183 18.11991 315,757 1.0 67,496 3.6 138,052 -4.8 258,802 8.1 32,926 -0.81992 321,374 1.8 71,759 6.3 140,187 1.5 274,963 6.2 38,223 16.11993 308,496 -4.0 78,921 10.0 135,662 -3.2 269,514 -2.0 35,582 -6.91994 317,728 3.0 82,754 4.9 142,868 5.3 281,350 4.4 35,327 -0.71995 322,605 1.5 70,317 -15.0 133,114 -6.8 240,810 -14.4 31,817 -9.91996 337,667 4.7 76,178 8.3 166,006 24.7 282,997 17.5 36,174 13.71997 366,025 8.4 83,270 9.3 187,343 12.9 351,966 24.4 38,653 6.91998 382,618 4.5 89,772 7.8 198,004 5.7 405,816 15.3 38,980 0.81999 380,952 -0.4 92,790 3.4 201,689 1.9 426,795 5.2 40,139 3.02000 390,334 2.5 96,829 4.4 210,393 4.3 483,403 13.3 41,228 2.72001 377,052 -3.4 93,414 -3.5 192,936 -8.3 463,369 -4.1 41,936 1.72002 382,402 1.4 98,007 4.9 194,879 1.0 437,721 -5.5 42,071 0.32003 388,031 1.5 97,916 -0.1 196,600 0.9 409,243 -6.5 40,172 -4.52004 400,503 3.2 102,190 4.4 207,205 5.4 424,142 3.6 40,593 1.02005 405,129 1.2 109,213 6.9 217,117 4.8 437,714 3.2 42,465 4.62006 416,116 2.7 115,781 6.0 224,969 3.6 479,707 9.6 45,061 6.12007 419,158 0.7 118,151 2.0 219,369 -2.5 488,473 1.8 45,099 0.12008 410,480 -2.1 113,690 -3.8 217,238 -1.0 478,362 -2.1 45,945 1.92009 397,264 -3.2 102,979 -9.4 183,209 -15.7 381,284 -20.3 43,887 -4.52010 396,638 -0.2 107,780 4.7 203,776 11.2 494,849 29.8 44,719 1.92011 397,318 0.2 111,756 3.7 214,273 5.2 554,750 12.1 47,011 5.12012 402,840 1.4 114,357 2.3 220,197 2.8 605,091 9.1 47,176 0.42013 410,636 1.9 111,062 -2.9 216,011 -1.9 627,090 3.6 47,802 1.32014 409,287 -0.3 113,538 2.2 235,767 9.1 676,941 7.9 51,133 7.0
2015 418,927 2.4 116,451 2.6 251,215 6.6 730,479 7.9 54,007 5.62016 435,248 3.9 121,505 4.3 267,150 6.3 816,556 11.8 57,247 6.02017 456,345 4.8 127,604 5.0 283,067 6.0 930,759 14.0 61,163 6.82018 477,238 4.6 133,729 4.8 298,713 5.5 1,046,779 12.5 65,016 6.32019 496,962 4.1 139,881 4.6 313,431 4.9 1,165,690 11.4 68,813 5.82020 519,544 4.5 146,875 5.0 329,930 5.3 1,308,342 12.2 73,079 6.2
(Conclusión)
C-5
C-5. PIB Anual del Sector Industrial por Subsectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Millones de pesos de 2008)
Minería Electricidad ConstrucciónTotal Generación, Agua y sumistro Construcción Trabajos
Años Sector Extracción metálicos y no transmisión de gas por ductos de obras de especializadosIndustrial de petróleo metálicos, excepto y suministro de al consumidor ingeniería para la
Total subsector y gas petróleo y gas Total subsector energía eléctrica final Total subsector Edificación civil construcciónPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
1980 2,372,847 11.5 672,006 21.7 67,072 6.3 560,739 12.41981 2,628,510 10.8 767,822 14.3 74,860 11.6 641,562 14.41982 2,627,147 -0.1 833,453 8.5 82,094 9.7 596,258 -7.11983 2,410,180 -8.3 810,378 -2.8 83,025 1.1 481,847 -19.21984 2,515,015 4.3 830,248 2.5 87,179 5.0 507,702 5.41985 2,598,403 3.3 829,792 -0.1 94,425 8.3 521,513 2.71986 2,446,266 -5.9 786,874 -5.2 97,859 3.6 467,707 -10.31987 2,536,496 3.7 825,992 5.0 101,519 3.7 480,775 2.81988 2,578,788 1.7 827,913 0.2 107,632 6.0 478,826 -0.41989 2,676,946 3.8 825,504 -0.3 112,443 4.5 487,186 1.71990 2,831,870 5.8 853,520 3.4 115,352 2.6 531,977 9.21991 2,900,329 2.4 862,423 1.0 115,797 0.4 557,947 4.91992 3,002,201 3.5 873,247 1.3 119,349 3.1 595,244 6.71993 3,017,474 0.5 887,277 1.6 814,563 64,421 122,303 2.5 91,836 30,467 608,861 2.3 447,012 101,500 60,3501994 3,153,261 4.5 894,508 0.8 819,257 0.6 67,904 5.4 130,471 6.7 99,242 8.1 31,228 2.5 685,325 12.6 502,146 12.3 114,265 12.6 68,914 14.21995 2,894,599 -8.2 884,310 -1.1 805,930 -1.6 68,236 0.5 133,172 2.1 101,547 2.3 31,625 1.3 509,442 -25.7 374,721 -25.4 85,170 -25.5 49,551 -28.11996 3,165,539 9.4 964,807 9.1 880,656 9.3 72,799 6.7 139,337 4.6 107,386 5.8 31,952 1.0 566,263 11.2 411,483 9.8 94,487 10.9 60,294 21.71997 3,462,150 9.4 1,013,369 5.0 923,585 4.9 77,646 6.7 147,610 5.9 114,818 6.9 32,792 2.6 649,096 14.6 468,211 13.8 109,810 16.2 71,076 17.91998 3,655,577 5.6 1,039,744 2.6 940,584 1.8 81,002 4.3 155,176 5.1 121,512 5.8 33,664 2.7 691,561 6.5 501,890 7.2 117,979 7.4 71,692 0.91999 3,715,255 1.6 998,138 -4.0 896,903 -4.6 80,920 -0.1 169,028 8.9 134,672 10.8 34,357 2.1 731,040 5.7 525,073 4.6 124,189 5.3 81,778 14.12000 3,890,134 4.7 1,022,932 2.5 919,479 2.5 82,209 1.6 170,791 1.0 135,962 1.0 34,829 1.4 774,359 5.9 559,111 6.5 130,692 5.2 84,556 3.42001 3,832,380 -1.5 1,052,383 2.9 937,940 2.0 78,666 -4.3 169,908 -0.5 134,831 -0.8 35,078 0.7 747,924 -3.4 539,948 -3.4 127,690 -2.3 80,285 -5.12002 3,832,918 0.0 1,052,252 0.0 941,707 0.4 74,915 -4.8 167,322 -1.5 132,035 -2.1 35,287 0.6 763,711 2.1 553,748 2.6 129,120 1.1 80,842 0.72003 3,884,165 1.3 1,101,350 4.7 980,154 4.1 76,228 1.8 171,256 2.4 135,871 2.9 35,385 0.3 787,139 3.1 568,622 2.7 134,183 3.9 84,334 4.32004 4,043,151 4.1 1,118,537 1.6 990,920 1.1 78,940 3.6 192,836 12.6 157,170 15.7 35,666 0.8 842,252 7.0 608,602 7.0 141,213 5.2 92,438 9.62005 4,142,410 2.5 1,119,429 0.1 982,928 -0.8 86,795 10.0 209,383 8.6 172,403 9.7 36,979 3.7 872,476 3.6 622,942 2.4 155,953 10.4 93,581 1.22006 4,322,843 4.4 1,111,413 -0.7 976,049 -0.7 84,357 -2.8 234,651 12.1 196,402 13.9 38,249 3.4 948,296 8.7 690,907 10.9 160,551 2.9 96,838 3.52007 4,385,686 1.5 1,095,487 -1.4 945,288 -3.2 92,787 10.0 249,375 6.3 209,832 6.8 39,543 3.4 992,914 4.7 714,821 3.5 178,583 11.2 99,509 2.82008 4,365,207 -0.5 1,054,691 -3.7 892,297 -5.6 91,216 -1.7 252,552 1.3 216,101 3.0 36,451 -7.8 1,030,710 3.8 729,230 2.0 214,301 20.0 87,178 -12.42009 4,094,017 -6.2 1,012,072 -4.0 848,201 -4.9 89,526 -1.9 255,838 1.3 216,899 0.4 38,940 6.8 968,200 -6.1 648,259 -11.1 228,611 6.7 91,330 4.82010 4,280,609 4.6 1,020,993 0.9 842,720 -0.6 103,512 15.6 267,405 4.5 227,974 5.1 39,431 1.3 975,507 0.8 645,603 -0.4 236,795 3.6 93,109 1.92011 4,427,598 3.4 1,017,204 -0.4 828,271 -1.7 114,388 10.5 285,979 6.9 246,384 8.1 39,595 0.4 1,015,099 4.1 673,091 4.3 243,728 2.9 98,280 5.62012 4,552,813 2.8 1,026,431 0.9 824,386 -0.5 125,363 9.6 292,096 2.1 251,798 2.2 40,298 1.8 1,039,974 2.5 691,379 2.7 246,134 1.0 102,461 4.32013 4,527,815 -0.5 1,025,421 -0.1 814,649 -1.2 132,420 5.6 293,646 0.5 253,282 0.6 40,365 0.2 990,336 -4.8 655,724 -5.2 234,675 -4.7 99,938 -2.52014 4,611,645 1.9 1,002,096 -2.3 795,471 -2.4 134,673 1.7 298,804 1.8 257,952 1.8 40,853 1.2 1,009,624 1.9 675,104 3.0 228,396 -2.7 106,124 6.2
2015 4,762,303 3.3 1,002,119 0.0 793,213 -0.3 137,251 1.9 306,879 2.7 265,280 2.8 41,599 1.8 1,047,465 3.7 699,580 3.6 235,154 3.0 112,732 6.22016 5,012,905 5.3 1,021,666 2.0 805,508 1.6 141,780 3.3 316,590 3.2 274,034 3.3 42,556 2.3 1,108,650 5.8 740,435 5.8 248,652 5.7 119,563 6.12017 5,346,390 6.7 1,055,464 3.3 828,948 2.9 148,643 4.8 328,415 3.7 284,557 3.8 43,858 3.1 1,194,298 7.7 798,485 7.8 267,450 7.6 128,363 7.42018 5,702,563 6.7 1,103,596 4.6 867,411 4.6 154,886 4.2 340,019 3.5 294,915 3.6 45,104 2.8 1,289,297 8.0 862,683 8.0 288,418 7.8 138,196 7.72019 6,058,516 6.2 1,159,563 5.1 914,078 5.4 160,771 3.8 351,219 3.3 304,942 3.4 46,277 2.6 1,378,680 6.9 923,934 7.1 306,877 6.4 147,869 7.02020 6,466,581 6.7 1,222,830 5.5 967,186 5.8 167,202 4.0 363,586 3.5 316,042 3.6 47,545 2.7 1,477,175 7.1 991,381 7.3 327,130 6.6 158,664 7.3
Continúa
C-6
Minería de minerales
Continuación
ManufacturasIndustrias alimentaria, de las bebidas y del tabaco Textiles, prendas de vestir y productos de cuero
Total Confección deAños Subsector Industria Fabricación productos textiles, Fabricación piel y materiales
Manufacturero Industria de las bebidas de insumos excepto prendas de prendas sucedáneos, exceptoTotal rama alimentaria y del tabaco Total rama textiles de vestir de vestir prendas de vestir
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
1980 1,073,030 5.8 263,284 4.8 114,203 2.21981 1,144,267 6.6 275,013 4.5 120,830 5.81982 1,115,342 -2.5 288,241 4.8 115,066 -4.81983 1,034,930 -7.2 280,472 -2.7 108,869 -5.41984 1,089,886 5.3 284,378 1.4 110,044 1.11985 1,152,673 5.8 295,991 4.1 113,061 2.71986 1,093,826 -5.1 293,611 -0.8 107,586 -4.81987 1,128,210 3.1 293,996 0.1 102,288 -4.91988 1,164,418 3.2 297,352 1.1 103,176 0.91989 1,251,813 7.5 320,918 7.9 108,171 4.81990 1,331,022 6.3 335,472 4.5 114,426 5.81991 1,364,162 2.5 346,287 3.2 117,418 2.61992 1,414,360 3.7 360,424 4.1 117,312 -0.11993 1,399,033 -1.1 375,655 4.2 314,033 61,623 114,417 -2.5 18,290 8,926 66,917 20,2841994 1,442,957 3.1 387,106 3.0 323,534 3.0 63,572 3.2 113,575 -0.7 18,085 -1.1 8,958 0.4 67,227 0.5 19,305 -4.81995 1,367,675 -5.2 388,310 0.3 325,547 0.6 62,763 -1.3 102,733 -9.5 16,821 -7.0 9,015 0.6 60,106 -10.6 16,791 -13.01996 1,495,132 9.3 399,782 3.0 333,402 2.4 66,381 5.8 113,360 10.3 19,216 14.2 10,200 13.1 65,282 8.6 18,663 11.11997 1,652,075 10.5 410,927 2.8 342,234 2.6 68,693 3.5 120,382 6.2 20,751 8.0 11,812 15.8 67,884 4.0 19,935 6.81998 1,769,095 7.1 432,920 5.4 357,928 4.6 74,992 9.2 122,776 2.0 21,408 3.2 12,791 8.3 68,959 1.6 19,618 -1.61999 1,817,048 2.7 449,141 3.7 370,762 3.6 78,379 4.5 124,358 1.3 22,007 2.8 13,104 2.4 69,610 0.9 19,636 0.12000 1,922,051 5.8 465,499 3.6 384,800 3.8 80,699 3.0 128,999 3.7 22,319 1.4 15,285 16.6 72,010 3.4 19,385 -1.32001 1,862,165 -3.1 473,084 1.6 392,481 2.0 80,603 -0.1 119,618 -7.3 20,167 -9.6 13,544 -11.4 68,292 -5.2 17,616 -9.12002 1,849,633 -0.7 482,268 1.9 400,232 2.0 82,036 1.8 115,365 -3.6 19,937 -1.1 13,517 -0.2 64,372 -5.7 17,539 -0.42003 1,824,420 -1.4 488,339 1.3 405,815 1.4 82,524 0.6 107,620 -6.7 18,280 -8.3 12,426 -8.1 59,821 -7.1 17,093 -2.52004 1,889,526 3.6 506,715 3.8 418,711 3.2 88,004 6.6 109,406 1.7 19,134 4.7 13,283 6.9 59,679 -0.2 17,311 1.32005 1,941,123 2.7 522,765 3.2 429,717 2.6 93,048 5.7 106,699 -2.5 18,259 -4.6 13,248 -0.3 57,300 -4.0 17,892 3.42006 2,028,482 4.5 535,307 2.4 436,794 1.6 98,512 5.9 108,368 1.6 18,500 1.3 13,693 3.4 57,620 0.6 18,556 3.72007 2,047,910 1.0 547,744 2.3 446,531 2.2 101,213 2.7 105,139 -3.0 17,876 -3.4 13,993 2.2 55,123 -4.3 18,147 -2.22008 2,027,255 -1.0 555,064 1.3 451,440 1.1 103,625 2.4 102,791 -2.2 16,624 -7.0 12,884 -7.9 55,986 1.6 17,297 -4.72009 1,857,907 -8.4 554,117 -0.2 450,167 -0.3 103,950 0.3 95,472 -7.1 15,400 -7.4 11,880 -7.8 51,725 -7.6 16,468 -4.82010 2,016,704 8.5 562,265 1.5 457,724 1.7 104,541 0.6 101,104 5.9 17,085 10.9 12,174 2.5 54,102 4.6 17,743 7.72011 2,109,315 4.6 576,989 2.6 467,612 2.2 109,377 4.6 99,984 -1.1 16,328 -4.4 11,821 -2.9 54,214 0.2 17,622 -0.72012 2,194,312 4.0 591,899 2.6 479,717 2.6 112,182 2.6 100,837 0.9 16,838 3.1 11,807 -0.1 53,952 -0.5 18,241 3.52013 2,218,411 1.1 593,768 0.3 480,909 0.2 112,859 0.6 102,709 1.9 16,292 -3.2 12,248 3.7 55,739 3.3 18,430 1.02014 2,301,121 3.7 603,596 1.7 485,374 0.9 118,223 4.8 100,690 -2.0 15,761 -3.3 12,958 5.8 53,791 -3.5 18,179 -1.4
2015 2,405,840 4.6 619,233 2.6 495,621 2.1 123,612 4.6 102,773 2.1 16,045 1.8 13,433 3.7 54,800 1.9 18,494 1.72016 2,565,999 6.7 645,362 4.2 515,446 4.0 129,916 5.1 105,764 2.9 16,421 2.3 14,014 4.3 56,335 2.8 18,994 2.72017 2,768,213 7.9 677,119 4.9 540,187 4.8 136,932 5.4 109,417 3.5 16,887 2.8 14,659 4.6 58,250 3.4 19,621 3.32018 2,969,651 7.3 707,460 4.5 563,956 4.4 143,504 4.8 112,599 2.9 17,293 2.4 15,216 3.8 59,881 2.8 20,209 3.02019 3,169,054 6.7 735,348 3.9 585,386 3.8 149,962 4.5 115,604 2.7 17,673 2.2 15,738 3.4 61,438 2.6 20,755 2.72020 3,402,990 7.4 766,982 4.3 609,972 4.2 157,010 4.7 119,081 3.0 18,097 2.4 16,305 3.6 63,281 3.0 21,398 3.1
(Continúa)
C-7
Fabricación de cuero,
Continuación
ManufacturasMadera y sus productos Impresión e industrias conexas Químicos, petróleo y caucho
Fabricación Fabricación deAños de muebles Impresión productos derivados Industria
Industria y productos Industria e industrias del petróleo Industria del plásticoTotal rama de la madera relacionados Total rama del papel conexas Total rama y del carbón química y del hule
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
1980 52,229 6.1 27,015 11.1 215,548 9.71981 51,941 -0.6 28,677 6.2 237,232 10.11982 51,234 -1.4 28,721 0.2 241,787 1.91983 47,357 -7.6 26,053 -9.3 238,590 -1.31984 48,852 3.2 27,370 5.1 253,245 6.11985 50,597 3.6 29,979 9.5 266,907 5.41986 49,325 -2.5 28,846 -3.8 257,577 -3.51987 50,931 3.3 29,119 0.9 268,993 4.41988 49,741 -2.3 30,455 4.6 273,946 1.81989 49,787 0.1 33,415 9.7 299,714 9.41990 49,597 -0.4 36,102 8.0 312,733 4.31991 49,935 0.7 37,489 3.8 315,757 1.01992 51,333 2.8 38,784 3.5 321,374 1.81993 43,878 -14.5 20,960 22,918 36,906 -4.8 23,866 13,040 308,496 -4.0 66,229 196,034 46,2331994 44,425 1.2 20,843 -0.6 23,583 2.9 37,823 2.5 24,610 3.1 13,213 1.3 317,728 3.0 73,303 10.7 198,716 1.4 45,710 -1.11995 40,605 -8.6 20,069 -3.7 20,536 -12.9 37,365 -1.2 24,913 1.2 12,452 -5.8 322,605 1.5 71,747 -2.1 207,841 4.6 43,018 -5.91996 43,269 6.6 21,892 9.1 21,377 4.1 39,697 6.2 27,394 10.0 12,303 -1.2 337,667 4.7 70,761 -1.4 219,534 5.6 47,372 10.11997 49,264 13.9 23,488 7.3 25,776 20.6 44,245 11.5 29,304 7.0 14,940 21.4 366,025 8.4 76,409 8.0 237,742 8.3 51,873 9.51998 51,604 4.7 24,437 4.0 27,167 5.4 46,605 5.3 30,712 4.8 15,893 6.4 382,618 4.5 86,725 13.5 241,744 1.7 54,149 4.41999 51,975 0.7 24,722 1.2 27,253 0.3 49,210 5.6 32,664 6.4 16,546 4.1 380,952 -0.4 84,861 -2.1 243,686 0.8 52,404 -3.22000 55,123 6.1 26,068 5.4 29,055 6.6 50,245 2.1 33,574 2.8 16,670 0.7 390,334 2.5 83,333 -1.8 251,873 3.4 55,127 5.22001 51,779 -6.1 23,536 -9.7 28,243 -2.8 48,977 -2.5 33,341 -0.7 15,636 -6.2 377,052 -3.4 83,804 0.6 241,442 -4.1 51,805 -6.02002 48,300 -6.7 20,248 -14.0 28,053 -0.7 48,621 -0.7 33,834 1.5 14,787 -5.4 382,402 1.4 84,310 0.6 245,234 1.6 52,857 2.02003 48,067 -0.5 20,037 -1.0 28,029 -0.1 48,433 -0.4 34,182 1.0 14,251 -3.6 388,031 1.5 87,579 3.9 247,941 1.1 52,511 -0.72004 48,847 1.6 20,096 0.3 28,751 2.6 49,925 3.1 36,146 5.7 13,779 -3.3 400,503 3.2 90,464 3.3 255,830 3.2 54,209 3.22005 48,801 -0.1 19,846 -1.2 28,955 0.7 51,219 2.6 37,117 2.7 14,102 2.3 405,129 1.2 89,171 -1.4 261,335 2.2 54,623 0.82006 48,884 0.2 20,099 1.3 28,785 -0.6 54,290 6.0 38,710 4.3 15,580 10.5 416,116 2.7 88,514 -0.7 271,741 4.0 55,861 2.32007 49,317 0.9 20,821 3.6 28,496 -1.0 55,459 2.2 39,781 2.8 15,678 0.6 419,158 0.7 86,968 -1.7 275,102 1.2 57,089 2.22008 46,515 -5.7 19,213 -7.7 27,302 -4.2 57,170 3.1 40,732 2.4 16,438 4.8 410,480 -2.1 86,728 -0.3 268,686 -2.3 55,066 -3.52009 43,845 -5.7 18,315 -4.7 25,530 -6.5 55,851 -2.3 40,487 -0.6 15,364 -6.5 397,264 -3.2 87,153 0.5 260,318 -3.1 49,794 -9.62010 46,665 6.4 19,319 5.5 27,346 7.1 58,907 5.5 42,001 3.7 16,907 10.0 396,638 -0.2 80,852 -7.2 259,264 -0.4 56,522 13.52011 47,976 2.8 20,299 5.1 27,677 1.2 59,258 0.6 41,646 -0.8 17,612 4.2 397,318 0.2 77,923 -3.6 259,084 -0.1 60,312 6.72012 51,389 7.1 22,932 13.0 28,457 2.8 60,524 2.1 43,633 4.8 16,891 -4.1 402,840 1.4 78,765 1.1 258,353 -0.3 65,723 9.02013 49,047 -4.6 22,296 -2.8 26,751 -6.0 60,286 -0.4 44,577 2.2 15,709 -7.0 410,636 1.9 81,292 3.2 264,434 2.4 64,911 -1.22014 48,820 -0.5 22,556 1.2 26,263 -1.8 61,350 1.8 46,014 3.2 15,335 -2.4 409,287 -0.3 77,624 -4.5 263,289 -0.4 68,373 5.3
2015 49,636 1.7 22,911 1.6 26,726 1.8 63,120 2.9 47,520 3.3 15,599 1.7 418,927 2.4 78,488 1.1 269,291 2.3 71,147 4.12016 51,641 4.0 24,194 5.6 27,447 2.7 65,526 3.8 49,450 4.1 16,077 3.1 435,248 3.9 81,502 3.8 279,255 3.7 74,491 4.72017 54,320 5.2 25,742 6.4 28,578 4.1 68,419 4.4 51,744 4.6 16,675 3.7 456,345 4.8 85,692 5.1 292,184 4.6 78,469 5.32018 56,891 4.7 27,235 5.8 29,655 3.8 71,227 4.1 53,969 4.3 17,258 3.5 477,238 4.6 89,805 4.8 305,040 4.4 82,392 5.02019 59,370 4.4 28,706 5.4 30,664 3.4 73,956 3.8 56,128 4.0 17,828 3.3 496,962 4.1 93,972 4.6 316,693 3.8 86,298 4.72020 62,110 4.6 30,342 5.7 31,768 3.6 77,047 4.2 58,541 4.3 18,505 3.8 519,544 4.5 98,764 5.1 329,994 4.2 90,785 5.2
Continúa
C-8
Continuación
ManufacturasFabricación de Industrias metálicas Maquinaria y equipo
productos a base Fabricación equipo Fabricación de equipoAños de minerales Industrias Fabricación Fabricación de computación, de generación Fabricación Otras
no metálicos metálicas de productos de maquinaria comunicación y eléctrica y accesorios de equipo industriasTotal rama Total rama básicas metálicos Total rama y equipo otros electrónicos eléctricos de transporte Total rama
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
1980 54,681 8.1 118,656 3.5 201,598 9.6 25,816 -20.01981 56,408 3.2 124,700 5.1 220,281 9.3 29,186 13.11982 55,023 -2.5 112,490 -9.8 194,734 -11.6 28,046 -3.91983 50,777 -7.7 105,384 -6.3 154,623 -20.6 22,804 -18.71984 53,674 5.7 117,359 11.4 169,573 9.7 25,391 11.31985 57,807 7.7 119,205 1.6 191,638 13.0 27,489 8.31986 54,089 -6.4 111,481 -6.5 166,192 -13.3 25,117 -8.61987 59,338 9.7 125,807 12.9 173,412 4.3 24,327 -3.11988 58,437 -1.5 132,032 4.9 193,937 11.8 25,344 4.21989 61,214 4.8 135,218 2.4 215,289 11.0 28,086 10.81990 65,180 6.5 144,976 7.2 239,354 11.2 33,183 18.11991 67,496 3.6 138,052 -4.8 258,802 8.1 32,926 -0.81992 71,759 6.3 140,187 1.5 274,963 6.2 38,223 16.11993 78,921 10.0 135,662 -3.2 90,277 45,385 269,514 -2.0 45,921 60,374 37,842 125,377 35,582 -6.91994 82,754 4.9 142,868 5.3 94,663 4.9 48,205 6.2 281,350 4.4 48,260 5.1 65,983 9.3 39,236 3.7 127,871 2.0 35,327 -0.71995 70,317 -15.0 133,114 -6.8 93,147 -1.6 39,967 -17.1 240,810 -14.4 41,390 -14.2 58,596 -11.2 36,067 -8.1 104,757 -18.1 31,817 -9.91996 76,178 8.3 166,006 24.7 118,984 27.7 47,022 17.7 282,997 17.5 47,616 15.0 56,678 -3.3 41,822 16.0 136,882 30.7 36,174 13.71997 83,270 9.3 187,343 12.9 132,827 11.6 54,516 15.9 351,966 24.4 58,388 22.6 83,170 46.7 50,682 21.2 159,726 16.7 38,653 6.91998 89,772 7.8 198,004 5.7 140,011 5.4 57,993 6.4 405,816 15.3 61,002 4.5 105,526 26.9 58,100 14.6 181,188 13.4 38,980 0.81999 92,790 3.4 201,689 1.9 140,600 0.4 61,089 5.3 426,795 5.2 58,213 -4.6 111,476 5.6 61,448 5.8 195,657 8.0 40,139 3.02000 96,829 4.4 210,393 4.3 144,931 3.1 65,461 7.2 483,403 13.3 59,654 2.5 133,594 19.8 66,460 8.2 223,695 14.3 41,228 2.72001 93,414 -3.5 192,936 -8.3 133,291 -8.0 59,645 -8.9 463,369 -4.1 57,455 -3.7 125,723 -5.9 62,987 -5.2 217,204 -2.9 41,936 1.72002 98,007 4.9 194,879 1.0 135,109 1.4 59,770 0.2 437,721 -5.5 58,043 1.0 106,473 -15.3 59,658 -5.3 213,547 -1.7 42,071 0.32003 97,916 -0.1 196,600 0.9 138,256 2.3 58,344 -2.4 409,243 -6.5 55,111 -5.1 92,841 -12.8 60,623 1.6 200,668 -6.0 40,172 -4.52004 102,190 4.4 207,205 5.4 144,748 4.7 62,457 7.1 424,142 3.6 61,211 11.1 87,766 -5.5 65,057 7.3 210,108 4.7 40,593 1.02005 109,213 6.9 217,117 4.8 150,983 4.3 66,134 5.9 437,714 3.2 64,778 5.8 89,657 2.2 65,246 0.3 218,033 3.8 42,465 4.62006 115,781 6.0 224,969 3.6 153,823 1.9 71,146 7.6 479,707 9.6 67,035 3.5 97,087 8.3 69,264 6.2 246,319 13.0 45,061 6.12007 118,151 2.0 219,369 -2.5 148,349 -3.6 71,020 -0.2 488,473 1.8 65,847 -1.8 98,288 1.2 67,508 -2.5 256,830 4.3 45,099 0.12008 113,690 -3.8 217,238 -1.0 146,715 -1.1 70,523 -0.7 478,362 -2.1 65,930 0.1 89,746 -8.7 65,710 -2.7 256,976 0.1 45,945 1.92009 102,979 -9.4 183,209 -15.7 122,612 -16.4 60,597 -14.1 381,284 -20.3 52,778 -19.9 80,628 -10.2 58,690 -10.7 189,188 -26.4 43,887 -4.52010 107,780 4.7 203,776 11.2 137,836 12.4 65,940 8.8 494,849 29.8 77,695 47.2 83,606 3.7 64,607 10.1 268,941 42.2 44,719 1.92011 111,756 3.7 214,273 5.2 143,710 4.3 70,563 7.0 554,750 12.1 88,015 13.3 89,224 6.7 63,926 -1.1 313,585 16.6 47,011 5.12012 114,357 2.3 220,197 2.8 146,901 2.2 73,297 3.9 605,091 9.1 92,704 5.3 89,646 0.5 65,072 1.8 357,670 14.1 47,176 0.42013 111,062 -2.9 216,011 -1.9 146,651 -0.2 69,360 -5.4 627,090 3.6 94,145 1.6 93,431 4.2 62,651 -3.7 376,863 5.4 47,802 1.32014 113,538 2.2 235,767 9.1 160,605 9.5 75,162 8.4 676,941 7.9 91,286 -3.0 98,820 5.8 66,578 6.3 420,256 11.5 51,133 7.0
2015 116,451 2.6 251,215 6.6 171,567 6.8 79,648 6.0 730,479 7.9 94,430 3.4 104,193 5.4 69,465 4.3 462,391 10.0 54,007 5.62016 121,505 4.3 267,150 6.3 182,547 6.4 84,602 6.2 816,556 11.8 98,736 4.6 111,466 7.0 73,078 5.2 533,277 15.3 57,247 6.02017 127,604 5.0 283,067 6.0 193,135 5.8 89,932 6.3 930,759 14.0 104,324 5.7 120,873 8.4 77,243 5.7 628,319 17.8 61,163 6.82018 133,729 4.8 298,713 5.5 203,564 5.4 95,148 5.8 1,046,779 12.5 109,958 5.4 130,301 7.8 81,414 5.4 725,105 15.4 65,016 6.32019 139,881 4.6 313,431 4.9 213,335 4.8 100,096 5.2 1,165,690 11.4 115,631 5.2 139,996 7.4 85,566 5.1 824,496 13.7 68,813 5.82020 146,875 5.0 329,930 5.3 224,429 5.2 105,501 5.4 1,308,342 12.2 122,107 5.6 150,776 7.7 90,358 5.6 945,102 14.6 73,079 6.2
Conclusión
C-9
C-6. PIB Anual del Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Millones de pesos de 2008)
Comercio, restaurantes y hoteles Servicios financieros, seguros y actividades inmobiliariasTotal Servicios de Transporte, Servicios
Años Sector alojamiento temporal almacenaje y Servicios inmobiliarios yServicios y de preparación de comunicaciones financieros de alquiler de bienes
Total subsector Comercio alimentos y bebidas Total subsector Total subsector y de seguros muebles e intangiblesPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
1980 3,288,256 8.8 926,476 13.2 332,687 10.9 658,507 4.71981 3,560,851 8.3 1,019,259 10.0 366,152 10.1 703,874 6.91982 3,610,421 1.4 1,014,739 -0.4 337,855 -7.7 740,030 5.11983 3,596,704 -0.4 940,843 -7.3 328,960 -2.6 770,012 4.11984 3,710,835 3.2 953,113 1.3 345,837 5.1 814,914 5.81985 3,740,128 0.8 951,286 -0.2 355,674 2.8 843,362 3.51986 3,686,345 -1.4 892,186 -6.2 343,106 -3.5 874,345 3.71987 3,733,959 1.3 899,849 0.9 352,989 2.9 905,159 3.51988 3,777,483 1.2 914,221 1.6 360,547 2.1 918,013 1.41989 3,917,134 3.7 956,480 4.6 377,429 4.7 950,105 3.51990 4,083,694 4.3 1,015,910 6.2 390,902 3.6 992,345 4.41991 4,281,023 4.8 1,077,714 6.1 404,302 3.4 1,038,970 4.71992 4,433,827 3.6 1,134,825 5.3 425,696 5.3 1,086,593 4.61993 4,610,738 4.0 1,115,928 -1.7 863,664 252,264 449,723 5.6 1,141,042 5.0 238,613 902,4291994 4,839,339 5.0 1,217,268 9.1 947,268 9.7 270,000 7.0 479,142 6.5 1,201,013 5.3 265,377 11.2 935,637 3.71995 4,622,802 -4.5 1,086,085 -10.8 849,313 -10.3 236,771 -12.3 450,190 -6.0 1,207,641 0.6 241,610 -9.0 966,031 3.21996 4,796,210 3.8 1,199,580 10.4 961,319 13.2 238,261 0.6 481,315 6.9 1,217,512 0.8 220,701 -8.7 996,811 3.21997 5,075,230 5.8 1,354,514 12.9 1,099,582 14.4 254,932 7.0 524,390 8.9 1,230,431 1.1 209,607 -5.0 1,020,824 2.41998 5,293,169 4.3 1,451,162 7.1 1,187,973 8.0 263,190 3.2 555,711 6.0 1,257,894 2.2 216,785 3.4 1,041,109 2.01999 5,469,027 3.3 1,516,397 4.5 1,253,643 5.5 262,754 -0.2 582,628 4.8 1,285,352 2.2 210,549 -2.9 1,074,803 3.22000 5,792,703 5.9 1,683,292 11.0 1,408,846 12.4 274,447 4.5 624,735 7.2 1,319,325 2.6 203,788 -3.2 1,115,537 3.82001 5,780,831 -0.2 1,658,216 -1.5 1,392,468 -1.2 265,748 -3.2 618,929 -0.9 1,350,663 2.4 198,285 -2.7 1,152,377 3.32002 5,794,825 0.2 1,651,678 -0.4 1,396,958 0.3 254,721 -4.1 614,815 -0.7 1,376,958 1.9 187,214 -5.6 1,189,744 3.22003 5,875,443 1.4 1,681,963 1.8 1,431,039 2.4 250,925 -1.5 614,867 0.0 1,420,338 3.2 190,060 1.5 1,230,278 3.42004 6,137,912 4.5 1,779,876 5.8 1,519,689 6.2 260,187 3.7 638,168 3.8 1,493,107 5.1 218,828 15.1 1,274,280 3.62005 6,376,239 3.9 1,866,229 4.9 1,602,195 5.4 264,034 1.5 650,555 1.9 1,548,423 3.7 245,337 12.1 1,303,086 2.32006 6,715,059 5.3 1,982,570 6.2 1,713,187 6.9 269,382 2.0 677,734 4.2 1,641,050 6.0 283,784 15.7 1,357,266 4.22007 7,002,883 4.3 2,060,861 3.9 1,783,203 4.1 277,658 3.1 701,085 3.4 1,722,687 5.0 320,270 12.9 1,402,417 3.32008 7,183,008 2.6 2,063,763 0.1 1,785,940 0.2 277,822 0.1 700,557 -0.1 1,838,926 6.7 390,550 21.9 1,448,376 3.32009 6,902,764 -3.9 1,814,588 -12.1 1,563,520 -12.5 251,067 -9.6 650,008 -7.2 1,867,976 1.6 403,945 3.4 1,464,031 1.12010 7,294,514 5.7 2,004,943 10.5 1,749,038 11.9 255,905 1.9 700,120 7.7 1,993,162 6.7 488,618 21.0 1,504,544 2.82011 7,640,629 4.7 2,178,883 8.7 1,919,062 9.7 259,820 1.5 728,423 4.0 2,071,827 3.9 523,318 7.1 1,548,510 2.92012 7,985,784 4.5 2,284,519 4.8 2,010,570 4.8 273,949 5.4 758,002 4.1 2,150,520 3.8 563,367 7.7 1,587,152 2.52013 8,186,255 2.5 2,336,393 2.3 2,057,437 2.3 278,956 1.8 777,500 2.6 2,221,665 3.3 618,606 9.8 1,603,059 1.02014 8,369,689 2.2 2,413,139 3.3 2,126,232 3.3 286,907 2.9 793,093 2.0 2,268,583 2.1 631,165 2.0 1,637,419 2.1
2015 8,618,844 3.0 2,499,704 3.6 2,201,797 3.6 297,907 3.8 815,541 2.8 2,334,095 2.9 651,715 3.3 1,682,380 2.72016 8,923,126 3.5 2,601,907 4.1 2,291,190 4.1 310,717 4.3 848,652 4.1 2,409,429 3.2 675,568 3.7 1,733,861 3.12017 9,346,102 4.7 2,729,703 4.9 2,402,083 4.8 327,620 5.4 898,213 5.8 2,527,982 4.9 713,670 5.6 1,814,312 4.62018 9,726,947 4.1 2,851,754 4.5 2,508,736 4.4 343,018 4.7 944,022 5.1 2,628,148 4.0 747,070 4.7 1,881,079 3.72019 10,100,080 3.8 2,973,058 4.3 2,614,604 4.2 358,454 4.5 989,335 4.8 2,725,723 3.7 780,688 4.5 1,945,036 3.42020 10,511,431 4.1 3,105,307 4.4 2,729,647 4.4 375,660 4.8 1,038,802 5.0 2,833,218 3.9 818,161 4.8 2,015,057 3.6
ContinuaciónC-10
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios Servicios de
profesionales, Dirección apoyo a los negocios y Años científicos de corporativos manejo de desechos y Servicios
Total subsector y técnicos y empresas servicios de remediación educativosPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
1980 1,370,587 7.51981 1,471,566 7.41982 1,517,796 3.11983 1,556,889 2.61984 1,596,971 2.61985 1,589,807 -0.41986 1,576,708 -0.81987 1,575,962 0.01988 1,584,703 0.61989 1,633,119 3.11990 1,684,537 3.11991 1,760,037 4.51992 1,786,713 1.51993 1,904,044 6.6 208,650 49,725 297,731 350,3211994 1,941,917 2.0 216,214 3.6 50,412 1.4 301,146 1.1 358,197 2.21995 1,878,887 -3.2 204,214 -5.6 45,294 -10.2 287,825 -4.4 369,025 3.01996 1,897,803 1.0 209,671 2.7 46,982 3.7 301,649 4.8 377,760 2.41997 1,965,896 3.6 218,494 4.2 52,154 11.0 307,588 2.0 386,261 2.31998 2,028,402 3.2 226,306 3.6 52,900 1.4 324,343 5.4 395,900 2.51999 2,084,651 2.8 231,104 2.1 51,650 -2.4 333,575 2.8 407,286 2.92000 2,165,350 3.9 243,052 5.2 53,486 3.6 343,714 3.0 417,675 2.62001 2,153,023 -0.6 241,314 -0.7 52,757 -1.4 341,722 -0.6 426,092 2.02002 2,151,374 -0.1 242,774 0.6 53,127 0.7 340,999 -0.2 436,821 2.52003 2,158,275 0.3 247,027 1.8 56,110 5.6 339,674 -0.4 442,838 1.42004 2,226,761 3.2 254,742 3.1 58,045 3.4 351,789 3.6 448,837 1.42005 2,311,032 3.8 262,461 3.0 60,645 4.5 364,852 3.7 457,137 1.82006 2,413,705 4.4 270,417 3.0 68,291 12.6 378,364 3.7 459,204 0.52007 2,518,250 4.3 280,117 3.6 69,163 1.3 390,362 3.2 466,809 1.72008 2,579,762 2.4 288,855 3.1 74,350 7.5 398,773 2.2 472,159 1.12009 2,570,192 -0.4 274,463 -5.0 68,244 -8.2 370,787 -7.0 473,027 0.22010 2,596,290 1.0 274,171 -0.1 71,835 5.3 373,416 0.7 473,852 0.22011 2,661,496 2.5 288,288 5.1 74,383 3.5 395,696 6.0 481,281 1.62012 2,792,743 4.9 291,365 1.1 80,816 8.6 412,946 4.4 492,032 2.22013 2,850,697 2.1 294,812 1.2 79,379 -1.8 430,689 4.3 495,853 0.82014 2,894,874 1.5 299,240 1.5 84,474 6.4 430,507 0.0 503,368 1.5
2015 2,969,504 2.6 306,033 2.3 88,088 4.3 442,283 2.7 515,560 2.42016 3,063,139 3.2 314,601 2.8 92,193 4.7 457,143 3.4 529,789 2.82017 3,190,204 4.1 326,368 3.7 97,568 5.8 479,863 5.0 551,298 4.12018 3,303,023 3.5 336,877 3.2 102,154 4.7 499,058 4.0 570,043 3.42019 3,411,964 3.3 346,646 2.9 106,608 4.4 517,523 3.7 588,284 3.22020 3,534,105 3.6 357,739 3.2 111,618 4.7 538,224 4.0 608,286 3.4
Continúa
C-11
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios de esparcimiento,
Servicios culturales y deportivos, Otros serviciosAños de salud y otros servicios Información en excepto actividades Actividades
y de asistencia social recreativos medios masivos del gobierno del gobiernoPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
19801981198219831984198519861987198819891990199119921993 198,832 49,985 91,109 194,858 462,8331994 203,197 2.2 50,128 0.3 92,479 1.5 197,521 1.4 472,622 2.11995 200,863 -1.1 45,693 -8.8 86,559 -6.4 171,412 -13.2 468,002 -1.01996 199,421 -0.7 43,649 -4.5 84,803 -2.0 170,927 -0.3 462,941 -1.11997 201,579 1.1 46,351 6.2 94,016 10.9 185,652 8.6 473,801 2.31998 205,416 1.9 48,883 5.5 118,587 26.1 194,630 4.8 461,439 -2.61999 208,996 1.7 50,056 2.4 128,492 8.4 204,061 4.8 469,432 1.72000 212,999 1.9 51,779 3.4 139,006 8.2 216,315 6.0 487,324 3.82001 216,296 1.5 50,894 -1.7 146,681 5.5 218,733 1.1 458,532 -5.92002 216,100 -0.1 51,842 1.9 149,803 2.1 223,015 2.0 436,893 -4.72003 214,680 -0.7 51,501 -0.7 156,175 4.3 222,665 -0.2 427,605 -2.12004 217,743 1.4 52,347 1.6 186,656 19.5 228,663 2.7 427,940 0.12005 222,057 2.0 52,101 -0.5 218,672 17.2 235,712 3.1 437,395 2.22006 241,525 8.8 54,610 4.8 254,096 16.2 243,354 3.2 443,844 1.52007 246,940 2.2 57,194 4.7 306,153 20.5 252,390 3.7 449,122 1.22008 250,109 1.3 57,353 0.3 324,484 6.0 255,615 1.3 458,064 2.02009 255,234 2.0 55,024 -4.1 351,963 8.5 254,098 -0.6 467,351 2.02010 254,938 -0.1 57,296 4.1 355,337 1.0 256,674 1.0 478,770 2.42011 260,344 2.1 56,876 -0.7 371,055 4.4 261,470 1.9 472,103 -1.42012 265,904 2.1 58,545 2.9 431,567 16.3 270,037 3.3 489,531 3.72013 272,543 2.5 60,563 3.4 453,142 5.0 274,889 1.8 488,828 -0.12014 274,309 0.6 60,048 -0.9 463,162 2.2 278,720 1.4 501,046 2.5
2015 278,229 1.4 61,623 2.6 478,074 3.2 285,118 2.3 514,497 2.72016 286,020 2.8 63,570 3.2 498,918 4.4 293,957 3.1 526,948 2.42017 296,717 3.7 66,647 4.8 528,055 5.8 305,833 4.0 537,855 2.12018 306,093 3.2 69,713 4.6 554,458 5.0 316,231 3.4 548,397 2.02019 315,276 3.0 72,711 4.3 580,517 4.7 326,350 3.2 558,049 1.82020 325,680 3.3 76,055 4.6 608,962 4.9 337,773 3.5 569,768 2.1
Conclusión
C-12
PIB Total Impuestos Valor PIB Agropecuario PIB Industrial PIB ServiciosPesos Var.% Netos Agregado Bruto Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2012 13,286,154 4.0 342,304 12,943,850 405,253 7.4 4,552,813 2.8 7,985,784 4.5
I 12,976,161 4.8 334,318 12,641,844 365,907 6.0 4,445,923 4.1 7,830,014 5.2II 13,161,692 4.5 339,098 12,822,594 431,443 13.6 4,532,151 3.6 7,859,001 4.5III 13,225,488 3.2 340,741 12,884,747 334,055 -0.1 4,598,488 2.6 7,952,203 3.7IV 13,781,276 3.6 355,061 13,426,216 489,609 8.9 4,634,690 1.2 8,301,916 4.6
2013 13,470,942 1.4 347,781 13,123,161 409,091 0.9 4,527,815 -0.5 8,186,255 2.5
I 13,108,936 1.0 338,435 12,770,500 365,897 0.0 4,382,008 -1.4 8,022,595 2.5II 13,399,229 1.8 345,930 13,053,300 440,431 2.1 4,520,391 -0.3 8,092,477 3.0III 13,437,797 1.6 346,925 13,090,872 333,070 -0.3 4,574,616 -0.5 8,183,186 2.9IV 13,937,805 1.1 359,834 13,577,970 496,964 1.5 4,634,245 0.0 8,446,761 1.7
2014 13,757,167 2.1 355,171 13,401,997 420,663 2.8 4,611,645 1.9 8,369,689 2.2
I 13,372,369 2.0 345,236 13,027,133 375,725 2.7 4,466,175 1.9 8,185,234 2.0II 13,617,043 1.6 351,553 13,265,490 448,690 1.9 4,568,347 1.1 8,248,453 1.9III 13,734,122 2.2 354,576 13,379,547 355,709 6.8 4,666,846 2.0 8,356,991 2.1IV 14,305,135 2.6 369,318 13,935,818 502,528 1.1 4,745,211 2.4 8,688,078 2.9
2015 14,171,608 3.0 365,863 13,805,746 416,882 -0.9 4,770,020 3.4 8,618,844 3.0
I e/ 13,664,492 2.2 352,787 13,311,705 365,914 -2.6 4,565,694 2.2 8,380,097 2.4II e/ 14,061,174 3.3 363,048 13,698,126 447,597 -0.2 4,768,752 4.4 8,481,778 2.8III e/ 14,200,081 3.4 366,584 13,833,497 346,343 -2.6 4,843,859 3.8 8,643,296 3.4IV e/ 14,760,686 3.2 381,031 14,379,655 507,675 1.0 4,901,775 3.3 8,970,205 3.2
Fuente: INEGI, Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
C-13
C-7. PIB Trimestral Total y por Grandes Sectores de Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2015(Millones de pesos de 2008)
Años
C-8. PIB Trimestral del Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2015(Millones de pesos de 2008)
PIB Sector IndustrialAños Total Minería Manufacturas Construcción Electricidad
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2012 4,552,813 2.8 1,026,431 0.9 2,194,312 4.0 1,039,974 2.5 292,096 2.1
I 4,445,923 4.1 1,012,123 0.8 2,173,101 6.0 975,813 3.3 284,886 4.4II 4,532,151 3.6 1,022,845 0.3 2,212,964 5.0 1,022,372 4.1 273,970 2.3III 4,598,488 2.6 1,031,864 1.7 2,198,971 3.3 1,058,618 2.5 309,035 1.5IV 4,634,690 1.2 1,038,893 0.8 2,192,210 1.9 1,103,095 0.2 300,493 0.7
2013 4,527,815 -0.5 1,025,421 -0.1 2,218,411 1.1 990,336 -4.8 293,646 0.5
I 4,382,008 -1.4 1,013,672 0.2 2,140,441 -1.5 945,058 -3.2 282,838 -0.7II 4,520,391 -0.3 1,014,858 -0.8 2,248,964 1.6 981,678 -4.0 274,891 0.3III 4,574,616 -0.5 1,028,672 -0.3 2,248,452 2.3 985,101 -6.9 312,391 1.1IV 4,634,245 0.0 1,044,480 0.5 2,235,789 2.0 1,049,510 -4.9 304,466 1.3
2014 4,611,645 1.9 1,002,096 -2.3 2,301,121 3.7 1,009,624 1.9 298,804 1.8
I 4,466,175 1.9 1,010,937 -0.3 2,235,836 4.5 930,254 -1.6 289,148 2.2II 4,568,347 1.1 1,005,462 -0.9 2,307,995 2.6 975,526 -0.6 279,364 1.6III 4,666,846 2.0 1,006,684 -2.1 2,321,740 3.3 1,021,299 3.7 317,124 1.5IV 4,745,211 2.4 985,302 -5.7 2,338,912 4.6 1,111,415 5.9 309,582 1.7
2015 4,770,020 3.4 1,009,606 0.7 2,405,840 4.6 1,047,693 3.8 306,881 2.7
I e/ 4,565,694 2.2 998,920 -1.2 2,311,038 3.4 962,683 3.5 293,053 1.4II e/ 4,768,752 4.4 1,052,606 4.7 2,422,836 5.0 1,007,432 3.3 285,878 2.3III e/ 4,843,859 3.8 1,011,653 0.5 2,438,503 5.0 1,066,117 4.4 327,585 3.3IV e/ 4,901,775 3.3 975,245 -1.0 2,450,985 4.8 1,154,538 3.9 321,007 3.7
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. Continúae/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
C-14
C-9. PIB Trimestral del Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2015(Millones de pesos de 2008)
PIB Sector ServiciosComercio, Transporte, Almacenaje Servicios Financieros, Servicios Comunales,
Total Restaurantes y Hoteles y Comunicaciones Seguros e Inmuebles Sociales y Personales
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2012 7,985,784 4.5 2,284,519 4.8 758,002 4.1 2,150,520 3.8 2,792,743 4.9
I 7,830,014 5.2 2,223,188 7.0 744,741 5.8 2,145,920 4.0 2,716,165 4.6II 7,859,001 4.5 2,279,488 5.4 755,924 4.1 2,090,329 4.0 2,733,260 4.4III 7,952,203 3.7 2,261,055 2.7 755,051 3.0 2,151,692 4.0 2,784,405 4.5IV 8,301,916 4.6 2,374,345 4.5 776,294 3.4 2,214,137 3.3 2,937,141 6.1
2013 8,186,255 2.5 2,336,393 2.3 777,500 2.6 2,221,665 3.3 2,850,697 2.1
I 8,022,595 2.5 2,237,573 0.6 754,730 1.3 2,219,995 3.5 2,810,297 3.5II 8,092,477 3.0 2,346,524 2.9 778,719 3.0 2,180,228 4.3 2,787,006 2.0III 8,183,186 2.9 2,342,348 3.6 780,707 3.4 2,220,020 3.2 2,840,111 2.0IV 8,446,761 1.7 2,419,126 1.9 795,843 2.5 2,266,417 2.4 2,965,376 1.0
2014 8,369,689 2.2 2,413,139 3.3 793,093 2.0 2,268,583 2.1 2,894,874 1.5
I 8,185,234 2.0 2,284,537 2.1 772,212 2.3 2,272,407 2.4 2,856,078 1.6II 8,248,453 1.9 2,395,142 2.1 794,727 2.1 2,225,948 2.1 2,832,636 1.6III 8,356,991 2.1 2,428,311 3.7 789,731 1.2 2,263,037 1.9 2,875,912 1.3IV 8,688,078 2.9 2,544,565 5.2 815,702 2.5 2,312,941 2.1 3,014,870 1.7
2015 8,618,844 3.0 2,499,704 3.6 815,541 2.8 2,334,095 2.9 2,969,504 2.6
I e/ 8,380,097 2.4 2,349,967 2.9 788,428 2.1 2,323,443 2.2 2,918,259 2.2II e/ 8,481,778 2.8 2,464,163 2.9 816,979 2.8 2,296,461 3.2 2,904,174 2.5III e/ 8,643,296 3.4 2,523,248 3.9 816,582 3.4 2,343,752 3.6 2,959,714 2.9IV e/ 8,970,205 3.2 2,661,437 4.6 840,174 3.0 2,372,725 2.6 3,095,870 2.7
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
C-15
Años
C-10. PIB Trimestral de la Industria Manufacturera por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2015(Millones de pesos de 2008)
Industria Alimentos, Textiles, Madera Imprenta Años Manufacturera Bebidas y Tabaco Vestidos y Cuero y sus Productos y Editoriales
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2012 2,194,312 4.0 591,899 2.6 100,837 0.9 51,389 7.1 60,524 2.1
I 2,173,101 6.0 592,630 3.8 97,519 0.4 47,595 5.6 58,460 1.6II 2,212,964 5.0 591,927 3.1 97,699 -1.4 51,376 7.0 62,715 5.5III 2,198,971 3.3 579,761 1.3 104,032 1.6 52,417 17.8 61,605 2.7IV 2,192,210 1.9 603,279 2.2 104,100 2.7 54,169 -0.3 59,313 -1.3
2013 2,218,411 1.1 593,768 0.3 102,709 1.9 49,047 -4.6 60,286 -0.4
I 2,140,441 -1.5 586,569 -1.0 94,135 -3.5 46,182 -3.0 58,433 0.0II 2,248,964 1.6 599,960 1.4 103,363 5.8 48,787 -5.0 61,481 -2.0III 2,248,452 2.3 583,650 0.7 107,737 3.6 47,662 -9.1 60,489 -1.8IV 2,235,789 2.0 604,894 0.3 105,602 1.4 53,555 -1.1 60,740 2.4
2014 2,301,121 3.7 603,596 1.7 100,690 -2.0 48,820 -0.5 61,350 1.8
I 2,235,836 4.5 594,017 1.3 97,605 3.7 44,403 -3.9 59,139 1.2II 2,307,995 2.6 609,341 1.6 98,303 -4.9 46,791 -4.1 61,805 0.5III 2,321,740 3.3 597,961 2.5 104,575 -2.9 47,261 -0.8 61,008 0.9IV 2,338,912 4.6 613,066 1.4 102,276 -3.1 56,825 6.1 63,447 4.5
2015 2,405,840 4.6 619,233 2.6 102,773 2.1 49,636 1.7 63,120 2.9
I e/ 2,311,038 3.4 603,278 1.6 96,891 -0.7 45,300 2.0 60,427 2.2II e/ 2,422,836 5.0 623,615 2.3 101,687 3.4 48,838 4.4 63,746 3.1III e/ 2,438,503 5.0 615,232 2.9 107,596 2.9 48,310 2.2 62,979 3.2IV e/ 2,450,985 4.8 634,807 3.5 104,918 2.6 56,097 -1.3 65,327 3.0
Continúa
C-16
Continuación
Químicos, Minerales Industrias Maquinaria OtrasAños Petróleo y Caucho No Metálicos Metálicas Básicas y Equipo Industrias
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2012 402,840 1.4 114,357 2.3 220,197 2.8 605,091 9.1 47,176 0.4
I 402,340 2.3 107,260 4.5 218,366 5.8 602,484 13.4 46,444 2.7II 410,267 1.6 116,440 0.7 226,429 5.7 608,347 11.5 47,763 1.0III 402,681 -0.1 118,437 4.0 221,384 0.3 611,070 8.1 47,584 0.5IV 396,071 1.8 115,289 0.3 214,611 -0.5 598,464 3.7 46,914 -2.6
2013 410,636 1.9 111,062 -2.9 216,011 -1.9 627,090 3.6 47,802 1.3
I 398,884 -0.9 105,006 -2.1 210,974 -3.4 595,562 -1.1 44,695 -3.8II 416,095 1.4 115,831 -0.5 216,713 -4.3 639,001 5.0 47,731 -0.1III 421,330 4.6 112,494 -5.0 222,355 0.4 645,790 5.7 46,946 -1.3IV 406,236 2.6 110,915 -3.8 214,003 -0.3 628,006 4.9 51,837 10.5
2014 409,287 -0.3 113,538 2.2 235,767 9.1 676,941 7.9 51,133 7.0
I 407,050 2.0 106,586 1.5 233,972 10.9 645,505 8.4 47,561 6.4II 407,203 -2.1 116,001 0.1 235,751 8.8 681,998 6.7 50,803 6.4III 417,314 -1.0 114,497 1.8 239,250 7.6 688,769 6.7 51,104 8.9IV 405,580 -0.2 117,068 5.5 234,097 9.4 691,491 10.1 55,063 6.2
2015 418,927 2.4 116,451 2.6 251,215 6.6 730,479 7.9 54,007 5.6
I e/ 412,175 1.3 107,145 0.5 248,020 6.0 689,602 6.8 48,199 1.3II e/ 420,471 3.3 118,892 2.5 251,844 6.8 740,166 8.5 53,577 5.5III e/ 426,709 2.3 118,204 3.2 256,007 7.0 748,736 8.7 54,729 7.1IV e/ 416,352 2.7 121,562 3.8 248,989 6.4 743,413 7.5 59,521 8.1
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Conclusión
C-17
C-11. PIB Trimestral del Sector Industrial por Subsectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2015(Millones de pesos de 2008)
Minería Electricidad ConstrucciónTotal Minería de minerales Generación, Agua y sumistro Construcción Trabajos
Años Sector Extracción metálicos y no transmisión de gas por ductos de obras de especializadosIndustrial de petróleo metálicos, excepto y suministro de al consumidor ingeniería para la
Total subsector y gas petróleo y gas Total subsector energía eléctrica final Total subsector Edificación civil construcciónPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2012 4,552,813 2.8 1,026,431 0.9 824,386 -0.5 125,363 9.6 292,096 2.1 251,798 2.2 40,298 1.8 1,039,974 2.5 691,379 2.7 246,134 1.0 102,461 4.3
I 4,445,923 4.1 1,012,123 0.8 818,697 -1.1 122,695 13.7 284,886 4.4 245,145 4.8 39,741 1.7 975,813 3.3 653,191 3.6 225,379 2.5 97,243 3.4
II 4,532,151 3.6 1,022,845 0.3 819,921 -1.3 128,950 10.7 273,970 2.3 233,699 2.4 40,271 1.5 1,022,372 4.1 679,591 4.9 240,566 1.7 102,214 4.4
III 4,598,488 2.6 1,031,864 1.7 828,107 0.2 125,104 10.7 309,035 1.5 268,526 1.4 40,509 2.0 1,058,618 2.5 698,577 1.9 252,806 2.4 107,235 7.2
IV 4,634,690 1.2 1,038,893 0.8 830,818 0.3 124,704 3.7 300,493 0.7 259,822 0.5 40,671 1.9 1,103,095 0.2 734,158 0.8 265,784 -2.2 103,153 2.0
2013 4,527,815 -0.5 1,025,421 -0.1 814,649 -1.2 132,420 5.6 293,646 0.5 253,282 0.6 40,365 0.2 990,336 -4.8 655,724 -5.2 234,675 -4.7 99,938 -2.5
I 4,382,008 -1.4 1,013,672 0.2 810,944 -0.9 127,405 3.8 282,838 -0.7 243,060 -0.9 39,778 0.1 945,058 -3.2 633,411 -3.0 215,868 -4.2 95,778 -1.5
II 4,520,391 -0.3 1,014,858 -0.8 807,858 -1.5 134,190 4.1 274,891 0.3 234,549 0.4 40,342 0.2 981,678 -4.0 649,874 -4.4 230,562 -4.2 101,241 -1.0
III 4,574,616 -0.5 1,028,672 -0.3 816,181 -1.4 129,801 3.8 312,391 1.1 271,809 1.2 40,583 0.2 985,101 -6.9 649,114 -7.1 233,530 -7.6 102,456 -4.5
IV 4,634,245 0.0 1,044,480 0.5 823,614 -0.9 138,285 10.9 304,466 1.3 263,708 1.5 40,758 0.2 1,049,510 -4.9 690,496 -5.9 258,738 -2.7 100,276 -2.8
2014 4,611,645 1.9 1,002,096 -2.3 795,471 -2.4 134,673 1.7 298,804 1.8 257,952 1.8 40,853 1.2 1,009,624 1.9 675,104 3.0 228,396 -2.7 106,124 6.2
I 4,466,175 1.9 1,010,937 -0.3 800,322 -1.3 130,406 2.4 289,148 2.2 248,918 2.4 40,230 1.1 930,254 -1.6 621,316 -1.9 206,772 -4.2 102,167 6.7
II 4,568,347 1.1 1,005,462 -0.9 802,855 -0.6 136,557 1.8 279,364 1.6 238,567 1.7 40,796 1.1 975,526 -0.6 649,754 0.0 221,000 -4.1 104,773 3.5
III 4,666,846 2.0 1,006,684 -2.1 794,106 -2.7 134,187 3.4 317,124 1.5 276,026 1.6 41,097 1.3 1,021,299 3.7 681,218 4.9 231,017 -1.1 109,064 6.4
IV 4,745,211 2.4 985,302 -5.7 784,602 -4.7 137,540 -0.5 309,582 1.7 268,295 1.7 41,287 1.3 1,111,415 5.9 748,128 8.3 254,795 -1.5 108,492 8.2
2015 4,770,020 3.4 1,002,119 0.0 793,213 -0.3 137,251 1.9 306,879 2.7 265,280 2.8 41,599 1.8 1,047,465 3.7 699,580 3.6 235,154 3.0 112,732 6.2
I e/ 4,565,694 2.2 982,925 -2.8 786,182 -1.8 131,542 0.9 293,055 1.4 252,222 1.3 40,833 1.5 962,072 3.4 649,092 4.5 204,888 -0.9 108,092 5.8
II e/ 4,768,752 4.4 1,013,220 0.8 804,047 0.1 138,417 1.4 285,878 2.3 244,388 2.4 41,490 1.7 1,007,304 3.3 669,069 3.0 226,762 2.6 111,472 6.4
III e/ 4,843,859 3.8 1,012,744 0.6 795,941 0.2 136,592 1.8 327,578 3.3 285,700 3.5 41,878 1.9 1,066,050 4.4 707,332 3.8 242,575 5.0 116,142 6.5
IV e/ 4,901,775 3.3 999,586 1.4 786,681 0.3 142,454 3.6 321,006 3.7 278,810 3.9 42,196 2.2 1,154,434 3.9 772,825 3.3 266,390 4.6 115,219 6.2
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. Continúae/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
C-18
Continuación
ManufacturasIndustrias alimentaria, de las bebidas y del tabaco Textiles, prendas de vestir y productos de cuero
Total Confección de Fabricación de cuero,Años Subsector Industria Fabricación productos textiles, Fabricación piel y materiales
Manufacturero Industria de las bebidas de insumos excepto prendas de prendas sucedáneos, exceptoTotal rama alimentaria y del tabaco Total rama textiles de vestir de vestir prendas de vestir
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2012 2,194,312 4.0 591,899 2.6 479,717 2.6 112,182 2.6 100,837 0.9 16,838 3.1 11,807 -0.1 53,952 -0.5 18,241 3.5
I 2,173,101 6.0 592,630 3.8 489,464 3.6 103,167 4.7 97,519 0.4 16,009 -1.7 11,228 -1.4 51,754 -0.6 18,528 6.2II 2,212,964 5.0 591,927 3.1 474,326 3.7 117,601 1.0 97,699 -1.4 16,778 4.1 11,422 0.2 51,492 -4.3 18,008 1.5III 2,198,971 3.3 579,761 1.3 465,280 1.2 114,482 1.6 104,032 1.6 17,902 5.8 12,439 1.9 55,112 -0.1 18,579 2.9IV 2,192,210 1.9 603,279 2.2 489,800 1.9 113,479 3.3 104,100 2.7 16,661 4.3 12,141 -1.3 57,450 2.9 17,848 3.4
2013 2,218,411 1.1 593,768 0.3 480,909 0.2 112,859 0.6 102,709 1.9 16,292 -3.2 12,248 3.7 55,739 3.3 18,430 1.0
I 2,140,441 -1.5 586,569 -1.0 486,009 -0.7 100,560 -2.5 94,135 -3.5 15,712 -1.9 12,038 7.2 48,304 -6.7 18,081 -2.4II 2,248,964 1.6 599,960 1.4 481,346 1.5 118,614 0.9 103,363 5.8 16,910 0.8 12,535 9.7 55,152 7.1 18,766 4.2III 2,248,452 2.3 583,650 0.7 466,002 0.2 117,648 2.8 107,737 3.6 16,903 -5.6 12,584 1.2 59,500 8.0 18,750 0.9IV 2,235,789 2.0 604,894 0.3 490,279 0.1 114,615 1.0 105,602 1.4 15,644 -6.1 11,833 -2.5 60,002 4.4 18,123 1.5
2014 2,301,121 3.7 603,596 1.7 485,374 0.9 118,223 4.8 100,690 -2.0 15,761 -3.3 12,958 5.8 53,791 -3.5 18,179 -1.4
I 2,235,836 4.5 594,017 1.3 490,091 0.8 103,926 3.3 97,605 3.7 15,752 0.3 12,171 1.1 51,639 6.9 18,043 -0.2II 2,307,995 2.6 609,341 1.6 485,568 0.9 123,774 4.3 98,303 -4.9 15,458 -8.6 12,769 1.9 52,230 -5.3 17,845 -4.9III 2,321,740 3.3 597,961 2.5 472,567 1.4 125,395 6.6 104,575 -2.9 16,414 -2.9 13,170 4.7 56,244 -5.5 18,747 0.0IV 2,338,912 4.6 613,066 1.4 493,269 0.6 119,796 4.5 102,276 -3.1 15,421 -1.4 13,721 16.0 55,053 -8.2 18,081 -0.2
2015 2,405,840 4.6 619,233 2.6 495,621 2.1 123,612 4.6 102,773 2.1 16,045 1.8 13,433 3.7 54,800 1.9 18,494 1.7
I e/ 2,311,038 3.4 603,278 1.6 495,046 1.0 108,232 4.1 96,891 -0.7 15,399 -2.2 12,394 1.8 50,855 -1.5 18,243 1.1II e/ 2,422,836 5.0 623,615 2.3 494,111 1.8 129,505 4.6 101,687 3.4 16,181 4.7 13,355 4.6 53,684 2.8 18,468 3.5IIIe/ 2,438,503 5.0 615,232 2.9 484,399 2.5 130,832 4.3 107,596 2.9 16,824 2.5 13,794 4.7 57,953 3.0 19,026 1.5IV e/ 2,450,985 4.8 634,807 3.5 508,929 3.2 125,878 5.1 104,918 2.6 15,779 2.3 14,188 3.4 56,710 3.0 18,241 0.9
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. Continúae/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
C-19
Continuación
ManufacturasMadera y sus productos Impresión e industrias conexas Químicos, petróleo y caucho
Fabricación Fabricación deAños de muebles Impresión productos derivados Industria
Industria y productos Industria e industrias del petróleo Industria del plásticoTotal rama de la madera relacionados Total rama del papel conexas Total rama y del carbón química y del hule
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2012 51,389 7.1 51,389 13.0 28,457 2.8 60,524 2.1 43,633 4.8 16,891 -4.1 402,840 1.4 78,765 1.1 258,353 -0.3 65,723 9.0
I 47,595 5.6 47,595 4.2 27,161 6.7 58,460 1.6 42,366 1.0 16,094 3.3 402,340 2.3 78,668 0.9 259,036 0.5 64,636 12.1II 51,376 7.0 51,376 8.9 27,301 5.4 62,715 5.5 45,209 6.8 17,507 2.2 410,267 1.6 81,184 4.4 262,638 -1.1 66,445 10.2III 52,417 17.8 52,417 13.3 29,636 21.5 61,605 2.7 43,381 4.7 18,224 -1.8 402,681 -0.1 77,018 -0.4 258,975 -1.8 66,687 7.1IV 54,169 -0.3 54,169 26.2 29,730 -15.0 59,313 -1.3 43,575 6.5 15,739 -17.9 396,071 1.8 78,187 -0.5 252,763 1.4 65,121 6.7
2013 49,047 -4.6 49,047 -2.8 26,751 -6.0 60,286 -0.4 44,577 2.2 15,709 -7.0 410,636 1.9 81,292 3.2 264,434 2.4 64,911 -1.2
I 46,182 -3.0 46,182 5.7 24,590 -9.5 58,433 0.0 43,739 3.2 14,694 -8.7 398,884 -0.9 79,330 0.8 257,203 -0.7 62,351 -3.5II 48,787 -5.0 48,787 -3.8 25,620 -6.2 61,481 -2.0 45,457 0.5 16,024 -8.5 416,095 1.4 86,039 6.0 263,867 0.5 66,189 -0.4III 47,662 -9.1 47,662 -4.2 25,837 -12.8 60,489 -1.8 44,455 2.5 16,034 -12.0 421,330 4.6 80,143 4.1 274,677 6.1 66,510 -0.3IV 53,555 -1.1 53,555 -7.5 30,957 4.1 60,740 2.4 44,657 2.5 16,084 2.2 406,236 2.6 79,655 1.9 261,986 3.6 64,595 -0.8
2014 48,820 -0.5 48,820 1.2 26,263 -1.8 61,350 1.8 46,014 3.2 15,335 -2.4 409,287 -0.3 77,624 -4.5 263,289 -0.4 68,373 5.3
I 44,403 -3.9 44,403 -3.0 23,461 -4.6 59,139 1.2 45,023 2.9 14,115 -3.9 407,050 2.0 76,487 -3.6 264,402 2.8 66,161 6.1II 46,791 -4.1 46,791 0.7 23,469 -8.4 61,805 0.5 46,481 2.3 15,323 -4.4 407,203 -2.1 82,237 -4.4 255,733 -3.1 69,233 4.6III 47,261 -0.8 47,261 1.6 25,078 -2.9 61,008 0.9 45,821 3.1 15,187 -5.3 417,314 -1.0 79,081 -1.3 269,216 -2.0 69,018 3.8IV 56,825 6.1 56,825 5.2 33,046 6.7 63,447 4.5 46,732 4.6 16,716 3.9 405,580 -0.2 72,692 -8.7 263,805 0.7 69,083 6.9
2015 49,636 1.7 49,636 1.6 26,726 1.8 63,120 2.9 47,520 3.3 15,599 1.7 418,927 2.4 78,488 1.1 269,291 2.3 68,373 4.1
I e/ 45,300 2.0 45,300 2.2 23,901 1.9 60,427 2.2 46,092 2.4 14,335 1.6 412,175 1.3 77,641 1.5 267,444 1.2 67,090 1.4II e/ 48,838 4.4 48,838 3.5 24,698 5.2 63,746 3.1 48,069 3.4 15,677 2.3 420,471 3.3 84,934 3.3 263,318 3.0 72,219 4.3III e/ 48,310 2.2 48,310 1.8 25,721 2.6 62,979 3.2 47,468 3.6 15,512 2.1 426,709 2.3 78,524 -0.7 275,601 2.4 72,584 5.2IV e/ 56,097 -1.3 56,097 -1.1 32,583 -1.4 65,327 3.0 48,452 3.7 16,874 0.9 416,352 2.7 72,855 0.2 270,801 2.7 72,696 5.2
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. Continúae/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
C-20
Continuación
ManufacturasFabricación de Industrias metálicas Maquinaria y equipo
productos a base Fabricación equipo Fabricación de equipoAños de minerales Industrias Fabricación Fabricación de computación, de generación Fabricación Otras
no metálicos metálicas de productos de maquinaria comunicación y eléctrica y accesorios de equipo industriasTotal rama Total rama básicas metálicos Total rama y equipo otros electrónicos eléctricos de transporte Total rama
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2012 114,357 2.3 220,197 2.8 146,901 2.2 73,297 3.9 605,091 9.1 92,704 5.3 89,646 0.5 65,072 1.8 357,670 14.1 47,176 0.4
I 107,260 4.5 218,366 5.8 146,117 6.1 72,249 5.2 602,484 13.4 94,934 19.5 87,544 5.9 63,553 0.6 356,454 16.4 46,444 2.7II 116,440 0.7 226,429 5.7 151,412 4.4 75,017 8.5 608,347 11.5 96,883 5.7 89,826 5.3 64,553 1.3 357,085 17.1 47,763 1.0III 118,437 4.0 221,384 0.3 146,128 -1.0 75,256 3.0 611,070 8.1 91,968 1.1 90,067 -1.9 66,696 4.2 362,339 13.8 47,584 0.5IV 115,289 0.3 214,611 -0.5 143,945 -0.3 70,665 -1.0 598,464 3.7 87,030 -3.3 91,148 -6.2 65,485 1.0 354,801 9.2 46,914 -2.6
2013 111,062 -2.9 216,011 -1.9 146,651 -0.2 69,360 -5.4 627,090 3.6 94,145 1.6 93,431 4.2 62,651 -3.7 376,863 5.4 47,802 1.3
I 105,006 -2.1 210,974 -3.4 143,112 -2.1 67,862 -6.1 595,562 -1.1 89,130 -6.1 85,340 -2.5 61,781 -2.8 359,311 0.8 44,695 -3.8II 115,831 -0.5 216,713 -4.3 144,925 -4.3 71,788 -4.3 639,001 5.0 99,669 2.9 93,554 4.2 63,036 -2.4 382,742 7.2 47,731 -0.1III 112,494 -5.0 222,355 0.4 152,014 4.0 70,341 -6.5 645,790 5.7 97,634 6.2 98,476 9.3 63,634 -4.6 386,045 6.5 46,946 -1.3IV 110,915 -3.8 214,003 -0.3 146,553 1.8 67,450 -4.6 628,006 4.9 90,144 3.6 96,354 5.7 62,153 -5.1 379,354 6.9 51,837 10.5
2014 113,538 2.2 235,767 9.1 160,605 9.5 75,162 8.4 676,941 7.9 91,286 -3.0 98,820 5.8 66,578 6.3 420,256 11.5 51,133 7.0
I 106,586 1.5 233,972 10.9 164,466 14.9 69,505 2.4 645,505 8.4 89,411 0.3 88,923 4.2 63,494 2.8 403,677 12.3 47,561 6.4II 116,001 0.1 235,751 8.8 160,870 11.0 74,881 4.3 681,998 6.7 96,832 -2.8 94,780 1.3 64,393 2.2 425,992 11.3 50,803 6.4III 114,497 1.8 239,250 7.6 159,740 5.1 79,509 13.0 688,769 6.7 93,941 -3.8 104,203 5.8 68,838 8.2 421,787 9.3 51,104 8.9IV 117,068 5.5 234,097 9.4 157,344 7.4 76,753 13.8 691,491 10.1 84,958 -5.8 107,376 11.4 69,588 12.0 429,569 13.2 55,063 6.2
2015 116,451 2.6 251,215 6.6 171,567 6.8 79,648 6.0 730,479 7.9 94,430 3.4 104,193 5.4 69,465 4.3 462,391 10.0 54,007 5.6
I e/ 107,145 0.5 248,020 6.0 172,587 4.9 75,434 8.5 689,602 6.8 90,170 0.8 96,158 8.1 65,784 3.6 437,490 8.4 48,199 1.3II e/ 118,892 2.5 251,844 6.8 172,328 7.1 79,515 6.2 740,166 8.5 100,286 3.6 100,600 6.1 67,984 5.6 471,296 10.6 53,577 5.5III e/ 118,204 3.2 256,007 7.0 172,153 7.8 83,855 5.5 748,736 8.7 97,997 4.3 108,559 4.2 72,484 5.3 469,696 11.4 54,729 7.1IV e/ 121,562 3.8 248,989 6.4 169,200 7.5 79,789 4.0 743,413 7.5 89,266 5.1 111,454 3.8 71,610 2.9 471,083 9.7 59,521 8.1
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. Conclusióne/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
C-21
C-12. PIB Trimestral del Sector Servicios por Subsector Económico: Escenario Base 2014-2015(Millones de pesos de 2008)
Comercio, restaurantes y hoteles Servicios financieros, seguros y actividades inmobiliariasTotal Servicios de Transporte, Servicios
Sector alojamiento temporal almacenaje y Servicios inmobiliarios yAños Servicios y de preparación de comunicaciones financieros de alquiler de bienes
Total subsector Comercio alimentos y bebidas Total subsector Total subsector y de seguros muebles e intangiblesPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2012 7,985,784 4.5 2,284,519 4.8 2,010,570 4.8 273,949 5.4 758,002 4.1 2,150,520 3.8 563,367 7.7 1,587,152 2.5
I 7,830,014 5.2 2,223,188 7.0 1,956,315 7.2 266,873 5.4 744,741 5.8 2,145,920 4.0 547,463 8.1 1,598,457 2.6II 7,859,001 4.5 2,279,488 5.4 2,011,234 5.4 268,254 5.3 755,924 4.1 2,090,329 4.0 538,767 8.1 1,551,562 2.6III 7,952,203 3.7 2,261,055 2.7 1,981,859 2.3 279,196 5.5 755,051 3.0 2,151,692 4.0 567,020 7.6 1,584,672 2.7IV 8,301,916 4.6 2,374,345 4.5 2,092,872 4.4 281,473 5.5 776,294 3.4 2,214,137 3.3 600,219 6.9 1,613,918 2.0
2013 8,186,255 2.5 2,336,393 2.3 2,057,437 2.3 278,956 1.8 777,500 2.6 2,221,665 3.3 618,606 9.8 1,603,059 1.0
I 8,022,595 2.5 2,237,573 0.6 1,960,862 0.2 276,711 3.7 754,730 1.3 2,219,995 3.5 594,114 8.5 1,625,881 1.7II 8,092,477 3.0 2,346,524 2.9 2,076,333 3.2 270,191 0.7 778,719 3.0 2,180,228 4.3 611,754 13.5 1,568,473 1.1III 8,183,186 2.9 2,342,348 3.6 2,059,360 3.9 282,988 1.4 780,707 3.4 2,220,020 3.2 622,514 9.8 1,597,506 0.8IV 8,446,761 1.7 2,419,126 1.9 2,133,192 1.9 285,934 1.6 795,843 2.5 2,266,417 2.4 646,041 7.6 1,620,375 0.4
2014 8,369,689 2.2 2,413,139 3.3 2,126,232 3.3 286,907 2.9 793,093 2.0 2,268,583 2.1 631,165 2.0 1,637,419 2.1
I 8,185,234 2.0 2,284,537 2.1 2,002,654 2.1 281,882 1.9 772,212 2.3 2,272,407 2.4 614,928 3.5 1,657,479 1.9II 8,248,453 1.9 2,395,142 2.1 2,113,585 1.8 281,557 4.2 794,727 2.1 2,225,948 2.1 622,457 1.7 1,603,491 2.2III 8,356,991 2.1 2,428,311 3.7 2,140,026 3.9 288,285 1.9 789,731 1.2 2,263,037 1.9 628,600 1.0 1,634,438 2.3IV 8,688,078 2.9 2,544,565 5.2 2,248,662 5.4 295,904 3.5 815,702 2.5 2,312,941 2.1 658,673 2.0 1,654,267 2.1
2015 8,618,844 3.0 2,499,704 3.6 2,201,797 3.6 297,907 3.8 815,541 2.8 2,334,095 2.9 651,715 3.3 1,682,380 2.7
I e/ 8,380,097 2.4 2,349,967 2.9 2,057,115 2.7 292,852 3.9 788,428 2.1 2,323,443 2.2 627,842 2.1 1,695,601 2.3II e/ 8,481,778 2.8 2,464,163 2.9 2,174,169 2.9 289,995 3.0 816,979 2.8 2,296,461 3.2 644,865 3.6 1,651,595 3.0III e/ 8,643,296 3.4 2,523,248 3.9 2,223,513 3.9 299,735 4.0 816,582 3.4 2,343,752 3.6 653,744 4.0 1,690,009 3.4IV e/ 8,970,205 3.2 2,661,437 4.6 2,352,390 4.6 309,047 4.4 840,174 3.0 2,372,725 2.6 680,410 3.3 1,692,315 2.3
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. Continuacióne/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
C-22
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios Servicios de
profesionales, Dirección apoyo a los negocios y Años científicos de corporativos manejo de desechos y Servicios
Total subsector y técnicos y empresas servicios de remediación educativosPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2012 2,792,743 4.9 291,365 1.1 80,816 8.6 412,946 4.4 492,032 2.2
I 2,716,165 4.6 279,613 0.3 71,962 3.7 396,803 2.8 501,424 3.4II 2,733,260 4.4 281,398 -2.1 78,543 7.7 404,239 3.9 467,767 1.7III 2,784,405 4.5 287,768 2.7 83,081 12.3 410,224 2.9 488,918 1.8IV 2,937,141 6.1 316,679 3.2 89,680 10.4 440,518 7.7 510,019 1.9
2013 2,850,697 2.1 294,812 1.2 79,379 -1.8 430,689 4.3 495,853 0.8
I 2,810,297 3.5 287,205 2.7 74,333 3.3 423,340 6.7 499,517 -0.4II 2,787,006 2.0 286,149 1.7 79,726 1.5 421,423 4.3 474,993 1.5III 2,840,111 2.0 285,993 -0.6 84,900 2.2 423,568 3.3 493,315 0.9IV 2,965,376 1.0 319,901 1.0 78,559 -12.4 454,423 3.2 515,585 1.1
2014 2,894,874 1.5 299,240 1.5 84,474 6.4 430,507 0.0 503,368 1.5
I 2,856,078 1.6 289,236 0.7 78,869 6.1 423,286 0.0 511,435 2.4II 2,832,636 1.6 281,059 -1.8 82,455 3.4 430,043 2.0 476,110 0.2III 2,875,912 1.3 289,565 1.2 88,578 4.3 421,751 -0.4 505,646 2.5IV 3,014,870 1.7 337,098 5.4 87,994 12.0 446,948 -1.6 520,280 0.9
2015 2,969,504 2.6 306,033 2.3 88,088 4.3 442,283 2.7 515,560 2.4
I e/ 2,918,259 2.2 297,335 2.8 83,286 5.6 432,175 2.1 519,618 1.6II e/ 2,904,174 2.5 291,740 3.8 88,062 6.8 437,354 1.7 489,441 2.8III e/ 2,959,714 2.9 295,935 2.2 93,627 5.7 435,669 3.3 516,770 2.2IV e/ 3,095,870 2.7 339,120 0.6 87,378 -0.7 463,932 3.8 536,409 3.1
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. Continúae/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
C-23
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios de esparcimiento,
Servicios culturales y deportivos, Otros serviciosAños de salud y otros servicios Información en excepto actividades Actividades
y de asistencia social recreativos medios masivos del gobierno del gobiernoPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2012 265,904 2.1 58,545 2.9 431,567 16.3 270,037 3.3 489,531 3.7
I 266,959 1.4 54,194 -2.1 404,732 16.5 264,218 3.5 476,260 4.3II 254,270 1.5 55,595 1.1 417,285 14.4 264,060 3.0 510,103 6.0III 272,881 2.5 59,179 4.6 438,113 13.8 273,699 3.4 470,543 2.6IV 269,506 3.1 65,211 7.6 466,137 20.5 278,172 3.2 501,218 1.9
2013 272,543 2.5 60,563 3.4 453,142 5.0 274,889 1.8 488,828 -0.1
I 277,512 4.0 57,146 5.4 448,731 10.9 271,622 2.8 470,891 -1.1II 262,179 3.1 56,644 1.9 442,179 6.0 269,522 2.1 494,190 -3.1III 276,896 1.5 61,004 3.1 456,982 4.3 278,640 1.8 478,815 1.8IV 273,582 1.5 67,460 3.4 464,675 -0.3 279,772 0.6 511,418 2.0
2014 274,309 0.6 60,048 -0.9 463,162 2.2 278,720 1.4 501,046 2.5
I 278,495 0.4 55,594 -2.7 460,346 2.6 272,250 0.2 486,566 3.3II 264,921 1.0 55,798 -1.5 463,111 4.7 273,166 1.4 505,974 2.4III 278,754 0.7 62,739 2.8 454,168 -0.6 284,403 2.1 490,309 2.4IV 275,067 0.5 66,061 -2.1 475,024 2.2 285,062 1.9 521,337 1.9
2015 278,229 1.4 61,623 2.6 478,074 3.2 285,118 2.3 514,497 2.7
I e/ 282,115 1.3 57,651 3.7 472,775 2.7 279,600 2.7 493,702 1.5II e/ 267,570 1.0 57,472 3.0 473,762 2.3 279,449 2.3 519,325 2.6III e/ 283,214 1.6 64,119 2.2 475,059 4.6 290,091 2.0 505,230 3.0IV e/ 280,018 1.8 67,250 1.8 490,699 3.3 291,333 2.2 539,730 3.5
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. Conclusióne/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
C-24
D. Población Ocupada Indicadores Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo
Sección: D-I.Población Ocupada, PEA y Tasa de Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación 1980-2020
Sección: D-II.Asegurados Permanentes y Eventuales Urbanos en el IMSS 1980-2020
Sección: D-III.ENOE Población Ocupada por Sectores Económicos 1980-2020
Sección: D-IV.ENOE Población Ocupada, PEA y Tasas de Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación 1980-2020
Sección: D-V.ENOE Informalidad Laboral en México 1980-2020
Sección: D-VI.ENOE Indicadores Trimestrales Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo 2013-2014
Sección: D-VII.INEGI Indicadores de Ocupación por Sectores Económicos 1980-2020
Sección: D-I. Población Ocupada
Cuadro D-1.Población Ocupada, PEA y Tasa de Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación 1980-2020
Cuadro D-2.Personal Ocupado por Grandes Sectores Económicos 1980-2020
Cuadro D-3.
Personal Ocupado en el Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica 1980-2020
Cuadro D-4.Personal Ocupado en el Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica 1980-2020
Cuadro D-5.Personal Ocupado en la Industria Manufacturera por Actividad Económica 1980-2020
Cuadro D-6.Personal Ocupado en el Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas 1980-2020
Cuadro D-7.Personal Ocupado en el Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos 1980-2020
D-1. Población Ocupada, PEA y Tasa de Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Miles de personas)
Población Ocupada Remunerada Población Ocupación Parcial Empleo en el Laboran en EUAAños Total Nuevos Con IMSS / ISSSTE Nuevos % con Económicamente Activa y Desocupación Sector Informal Total Flujo % PEA
Personas Var.% Empleos Personas Var.% Asegurados Seguro Social Personas Var.% % PEA Personas % PEA Personas % PEA Personas Anual de EUA
1980 24,603 6.4 1,477 7,409 12.6 827 30.1 29,444 4.3 100.0 2,840 9.6 5,656 19.2 1,309 56 1.221981 26,122 6.2 1,519 8,193 10.6 784 31.4 30,595 3.9 100.0 1,829 6.0 5,156 16.9 1,371 61 1.261982 26,030 -0.4 -92 8,215 0.3 22 31.6 30,836 0.8 100.0 2,486 8.1 5,551 18.0 1,441 70 1.311983 25,319 -2.7 -711 8,246 0.4 31 32.6 30,370 -1.5 100.0 2,938 9.7 5,997 19.7 1,518 77 1.361984 25,928 2.4 609 8,939 8.4 693 34.5 30,762 1.3 100.0 2,373 7.7 6,174 20.1 1,600 82 1.411985 26,484 2.1 557 9,494 6.2 556 35.8 31,408 2.1 100.0 2,466 7.9 6,366 20.3 1,692 92 1.471986 26,064 -1.6 -420 9,459 -0.4 -35 36.3 31,234 -0.6 100.0 3,112 10.0 6,812 21.8 1,793 101 1.521987 26,299 0.9 235 10,272 8.6 813 39.1 31,556 1.0 100.0 3,136 9.9 7,118 22.6 1,911 118 1.591988 26,482 0.7 183 10,423 1.5 151 39.4 31,790 0.7 100.0 3,049 9.6 7,306 23.0 2,091 180 1.721989 27,199 2.7 716 10,909 4.7 487 40.1 32,426 2.0 100.0 2,709 8.4 7,521 23.2 2,313 222 1.871990 28,402 4.4 1,204 11,620 6.5 711 40.9 33,849 4.4 100.0 2,733 8.1 7,640 22.6 2,578 265 2.051991 29,195 2.8 792 12,105 4.2 485 41.5 34,743 2.6 100.0 2,712 7.8 7,879 22.7 2,861 282 2.261992 29,593 1.4 398 12,061 -0.4 -44 40.8 35,406 1.9 100.0 3,039 8.6 8,226 23.2 3,163 302 2.471993 29,861 0.9 268 11,914 -1.2 -147 39.9 36,032 1.8 100.0 3,736 10.4 8,516 23.6 3,465 303 2.681994 30,567 2.4 706 12,102 1.6 188 39.6 37,000 2.7 100.0 4,193 11.3 8,802 23.8 3,775 309 2.881995 29,636 -3.0 -931 11,313 -6.5 -789 38.2 36,939 -0.2 100.0 5,472 14.8 9,399 25.4 4,204 429 3.181996 30,632 3.4 996 12,146 7.4 833 39.7 37,608 1.8 100.0 4,373 11.6 9,629 25.6 4,034 -170 3.011997 31,820 3.9 1,188 12,741 4.9 595 40.0 39,087 3.9 100.0 4,150 10.6 10,071 25.8 4,415 381 3.241998 33,186 4.3 1,366 13,447 5.5 706 40.5 39,942 2.2 100.0 3,991 10.0 10,837 27.1 4,578 163 3.331999 33,944 2.3 758 14,146 5.2 699 41.7 39,744 -0.5 100.0 3,104 7.8 10,742 27.0 4,619 41 3.312000 34,634 2.0 690 14,725 4.1 579 42.5 40,663 2.3 100.0 3,175 7.8 11,152 27.4 5,005 387 3.512001 34,388 -0.7 -246 14,480 -1.7 -245 42.1 40,740 0.2 100.0 2,979 7.3 11,162 27.4 5,335 329 3.712002 34,096 -0.8 -292 14,556 0.5 77 42.7 40,919 0.4 100.0 3,026 7.4 11,236 27.5 6,349 1,014 4.382003 34,244 0.4 148 14,570 0.1 14 42.5 41,718 2.0 100.0 3,463 8.3 11,627 27.9 6,458 110 4.412004 35,608 4.0 1,364 14,927 2.4 356 41.9 42,839 2.7 100.0 3,969 9.3 11,867 27.7 6,726 268 4.562005 35,847 0.7 239 15,370 3.0 443 42.9 43,632 1.8 100.0 4,012 9.2 11,834 27.1 6,937 210 4.652006 37,234 3.9 1,387 15,999 4.1 630 43.0 44,983 3.1 100.0 4,174 9.3 11,778 26.2 7,151 214 4.722007 37,917 1.8 683 16,591 3.7 591 43.8 45,905 2.0 100.0 4,533 9.9 12,009 26.2 7,663 512 5.002008 38,486 1.5 569 16,605 0.1 14 43.1 46,769 1.9 100.0 4,662 10.0 12,282 26.3 7,630 -33 4.952009 37,097 -3.6 -1,389 16,464 -0.8 -141 44.4 48,018 2.7 100.0 5,517 11.5 12,825 26.7 7,720 90 5.012010 37,636 1.5 539 17,256 4.8 792 45.8 48,718 1.5 100.0 5,642 11.6 12,895 26.5 7,788 69 5.062011 38,172 1.4 536 17,883 3.6 627 46.8 49,722 2.1 100.0 5,624 11.3 13,461 27.1 7,614 -174 4.962012 39,263 2.9 1,091 18,627 4.2 745 47.4 51,229 3.0 100.0 5,818 11.4 13,970 27.3 7,591 -24 4.902013 38,996 -0.7 -267 19,111 2.6 484 49.0 51,787 1.1 100.0 5,808 11.2 13,921 26.9 7,557 -34 4.862014 39,197 0.5 202 19,840 3.8 728 50.6 51,924 0.3 100.0 5,704 11.0 13,546 27.4 7,513 -44 4.82
2015 39,712 1.3 515 20,612 3.9 772 51.9 52,468 1.0 100.0 5,552 10.6 13,144 26.3 7,563 50 4.802016 40,515 2.0 802 21,510 4.4 899 53.1 53,202 1.4 100.0 5,413 10.2 12,736 25.0 7,664 101 4.782017 41,736 3.0 1,222 22,697 5.5 1,187 54.4 54,326 2.1 100.0 5,139 9.5 12,316 23.6 7,823 159 4.802018 43,033 3.1 1,296 23,891 5.3 1,194 55.5 55,648 2.4 100.0 4,736 8.5 11,946 22.3 8,011 187 4.832019 44,209 2.7 1,176 25,027 4.8 1,137 56.6 56,823 2.1 100.0 4,502 7.9 11,636 21.2 8,153 142 4.832020 45,588 3.1 1,379 26,351 5.3 1,324 57.8 58,350 2.7 100.0 4,297 7.4 11,380 20.1 8,280 127 4.83
D-1
D-2. Personal Ocupado por Grandes Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Puestos de trabajo ocupados remunerados)
Población Ocupada por Sectores Económicos Estructura PorcentualAños Total Sector Agropecuario Sector Industrial Sector Servicios Total Primario Secundario Terciario
Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% % % % %
1980 24,602,687 6.4 5,480,791 3.5 6,992,209 8.0 12,129,687 6.8 100.0 22.3 28.4 49.31981 26,121,780 6.2 5,634,952 2.8 7,570,168 8.3 12,916,660 6.5 100.0 21.6 29.0 49.41982 26,030,084 -0.4 5,448,835 -3.3 7,411,375 -2.1 13,169,874 2.0 100.0 20.9 28.5 50.61983 25,318,960 -2.7 5,678,026 4.2 6,620,132 -10.7 13,020,803 -1.1 100.0 22.4 26.1 51.41984 25,927,555 2.4 5,742,952 1.1 6,875,983 3.9 13,308,621 2.2 100.0 22.1 26.5 51.31985 26,484,078 2.1 5,893,187 2.6 7,084,137 3.0 13,506,753 1.5 100.0 22.3 26.7 51.01986 26,063,667 -1.6 5,748,103 -2.5 6,877,150 -2.9 13,438,415 -0.5 100.0 22.1 26.4 51.61987 26,299,106 0.9 5,835,026 1.5 6,928,079 0.7 13,536,002 0.7 100.0 22.2 26.3 51.51988 26,482,049 0.7 5,981,898 2.5 6,948,143 0.3 13,552,007 0.1 100.0 22.6 26.2 51.21989 27,198,534 2.7 5,858,050 -2.1 7,318,921 5.3 14,021,563 3.5 100.0 21.5 26.9 51.61990 28,402,365 4.4 5,952,809 1.6 7,799,203 6.6 14,650,354 4.5 100.0 21.0 27.5 51.61991 29,194,592 2.8 5,937,717 -0.3 7,959,547 2.1 15,297,328 4.4 100.0 20.3 27.3 52.41992 29,592,852 1.4 5,883,435 -0.9 8,014,596 0.7 15,694,821 2.6 100.0 19.9 27.1 53.01993 29,861,321 0.9 5,966,736 1.4 7,972,564 -0.5 15,922,021 1.4 100.0 20.0 26.7 53.31994 30,567,389 2.4 6,037,268 1.2 8,085,237 1.4 16,444,885 3.3 100.0 19.8 26.5 53.81995 29,635,986 -3.0 5,917,653 -2.0 7,395,642 -8.5 16,322,691 -0.7 100.0 20.0 25.0 55.11996 30,631,556 3.4 6,028,340 1.9 8,043,230 8.8 16,559,987 1.5 100.0 19.7 26.3 54.11997 31,819,963 3.9 5,843,954 -3.1 8,843,118 9.9 17,132,891 3.5 100.0 18.4 27.8 53.81998 33,186,333 4.3 6,062,875 3.7 9,382,921 6.1 17,740,538 3.5 100.0 18.3 28.3 53.51999 33,943,910 2.3 6,107,305 0.7 9,657,090 2.9 18,179,515 2.5 100.0 18.0 28.5 53.62000 34,634,241 2.0 6,006,207 -1.7 9,993,388 3.5 18,634,645 2.5 100.0 17.3 28.9 53.82001 34,388,016 -0.7 6,073,331 1.1 9,538,150 -4.6 18,776,535 0.8 100.0 17.7 27.7 54.62002 34,096,303 -0.8 6,001,847 -1.2 9,273,947 -2.8 18,820,510 0.2 100.0 17.6 27.2 55.22003 34,244,084 0.4 6,110,151 1.8 9,267,295 -0.1 18,866,638 0.2 100.0 17.8 27.1 55.12004 35,608,455 4.0 6,627,535 8.5 9,811,426 5.9 19,169,494 1.6 100.0 18.6 27.6 53.82005 35,847,430 0.7 6,351,671 -4.2 9,981,776 1.7 19,513,983 1.8 100.0 17.7 27.8 54.42006 37,233,966 3.9 6,701,010 5.5 10,572,446 5.9 19,960,510 2.3 100.0 18.0 28.4 53.62007 37,917,306 1.8 6,697,304 -0.1 10,710,564 1.3 20,509,438 2.8 100.0 17.7 28.2 54.12008 38,486,251 1.5 6,668,835 -0.4 10,942,142 2.2 20,875,274 1.8 100.0 17.3 28.4 54.22009 37,096,912 -3.6 6,522,943 -2.2 9,975,607 -8.8 20,598,362 -1.3 100.0 17.6 26.9 55.52010 37,636,192 1.5 6,804,995 4.3 9,969,962 -0.1 20,861,235 1.3 100.0 18.1 26.5 55.42011 38,171,733 1.4 6,524,460 -4.1 10,355,583 3.9 21,291,690 2.1 100.0 17.1 27.1 55.82012 39,262,867 2.9 6,888,363 5.6 10,488,185 1.3 21,886,319 2.8 100.0 17.5 26.7 55.72013 38,995,823 -0.7 6,935,874 0.7 9,905,405 -5.6 22,154,544 1.2 100.0 17.8 25.4 56.82014 39,197,335 0.5 6,882,028 -0.8 9,923,296 0.2 22,392,012 1.1 100.0 17.6 25.3 57.1
2015 39,712,322 1.3 6,877,850 -0.1 10,086,916 1.6 22,747,557 1.6 100.0 17.3 25.4 57.32016 40,514,631 2.0 6,846,518 -0.5 10,480,148 3.9 23,187,965 1.9 100.0 16.9 25.9 57.22017 41,736,449 3.0 6,794,013 -0.8 11,095,036 5.9 23,847,400 2.8 100.0 16.3 26.6 57.12018 43,032,513 3.1 6,895,311 1.5 11,752,851 5.9 24,384,352 2.3 100.0 16.0 27.3 56.72019 44,208,707 2.7 6,895,279 0.0 12,389,545 5.4 24,923,883 2.2 100.0 15.6 28.0 56.42020 45,587,924 3.1 6,978,454 1.2 13,098,706 5.7 25,510,764 2.4 100.0 15.3 28.7 56.0
Continúa
D-2
D-3. Personal Ocupado en el Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Puestos de trabajo ocupados remunerados)
Personal OcupadoAños Total Minería Manufacturas Construcción Electricidad
Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.%
1980 6,992,209 8.0 242,366 9.1 4,481,777 5.9 2,155,122 12.7 112,944 8.61981 7,570,168 8.3 259,135 6.9 4,676,538 4.3 2,514,490 16.7 120,005 6.31982 7,411,375 -2.1 274,952 6.1 4,563,975 -2.4 2,448,040 -2.6 124,407 3.71983 6,620,132 -10.7 276,052 0.4 4,241,289 -7.1 1,976,805 -19.2 125,985 1.31984 6,875,983 3.9 287,225 4.0 4,348,781 2.5 2,109,213 6.7 130,763 3.81985 7,084,137 3.0 299,284 4.2 4,463,444 2.6 2,183,346 3.5 138,063 5.61986 6,877,150 -2.9 298,354 -0.3 4,326,394 -3.1 2,111,744 -3.3 140,658 1.91987 6,928,079 0.7 312,846 4.9 4,351,734 0.6 2,118,903 0.3 144,596 2.81988 6,948,143 0.3 320,326 2.4 4,353,902 0.0 2,125,746 0.3 148,170 2.51989 7,318,921 5.3 301,719 -5.8 4,477,427 2.8 2,387,851 12.3 151,924 2.51990 7,799,203 6.6 311,708 3.3 4,558,116 1.8 2,770,856 16.0 158,523 4.31991 7,959,547 2.1 307,221 -1.4 4,567,961 0.2 2,922,197 5.5 162,168 2.31992 8,014,596 0.7 260,098 -15.3 4,594,805 0.6 2,995,989 2.5 163,704 0.91993 7,972,564 -0.5 229,018 -11.9 4,468,832 -2.7 3,109,752 3.8 164,962 0.81994 8,085,237 1.4 218,635 -4.5 4,357,115 -2.5 3,346,165 7.6 163,321 -1.01995 7,395,642 -8.5 216,258 -1.1 4,113,677 -5.6 2,899,211 -13.4 166,495 1.91996 8,043,230 8.8 216,283 0.0 4,355,211 5.9 3,302,707 13.9 169,029 1.51997 8,843,118 9.9 220,932 2.1 4,672,002 7.3 3,777,014 14.4 173,170 2.41998 9,382,921 6.1 225,981 2.3 4,901,226 4.9 4,075,845 7.9 179,869 3.91999 9,657,090 2.9 225,883 0.0 5,042,038 2.9 4,194,870 2.9 194,299 8.02000 9,993,388 3.5 229,529 1.6 5,232,032 3.8 4,335,507 3.4 196,321 1.02001 9,538,150 -4.6 225,095 -1.9 5,008,628 -4.3 4,101,980 -5.4 202,446 3.12002 9,273,947 -2.8 221,887 -1.4 4,703,619 -6.1 4,138,580 0.9 209,860 3.72003 9,267,295 -0.1 222,051 0.1 4,586,888 -2.5 4,240,373 2.5 217,983 3.92004 9,811,426 5.9 228,360 2.8 4,595,544 0.2 4,769,203 12.5 218,319 0.22005 9,981,776 1.7 227,695 -0.3 4,606,913 0.2 4,926,621 3.3 220,547 1.02006 10,572,446 5.9 232,306 2.0 4,619,041 0.3 5,496,485 11.6 224,614 1.82007 10,710,564 1.3 249,252 7.3 4,508,624 -2.4 5,725,208 4.2 227,480 1.32008 10,942,142 2.2 257,311 3.2 4,312,031 -4.4 6,145,436 7.3 227,364 -0.12009 9,975,607 -8.8 255,956 -0.5 3,920,174 -9.1 5,583,899 -9.1 215,578 -5.22010 9,969,962 -0.1 257,876 0.8 3,977,811 1.5 5,539,036 -0.8 195,239 -9.42011 10,355,583 3.9 261,343 1.3 3,995,456 0.4 5,893,241 6.4 205,543 5.32012 10,488,185 1.3 266,789 2.1 4,030,418 0.9 5,979,254 1.5 211,724 3.02013 9,905,405 -5.6 270,395 1.4 3,983,267 -1.2 5,442,670 -9.0 209,073 -1.32014 9,923,296 0.2 269,992 -0.1 3,971,765 -0.3 5,473,862 0.6 207,677 -0.7
2015 10,086,916 1.6 272,366 0.9 3,991,384 0.5 5,612,818 2.5 210,347 1.32016 10,480,148 3.9 280,583 3.0 4,096,909 2.6 5,887,361 4.9 215,294 2.42017 11,095,036 5.9 290,069 3.4 4,256,330 3.9 6,325,883 7.4 222,754 3.52018 11,752,851 5.9 302,939 4.4 4,409,843 3.6 6,810,066 7.7 230,003 3.32019 12,389,545 5.4 318,563 5.2 4,550,394 3.2 7,283,648 7.0 236,940 3.02020 13,098,706 5.7 338,022 6.1 4,717,521 3.7 7,798,857 7.1 244,305 3.1
C-3
D-4. Personal Ocupado en el Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Puestos de trabajo ocupados remunerados)
Personal OcupadoComercio, Transporte, Almacenaje Servicios Financieros, Servicios Comunales,
Total Restaurantes y Hoteles y Comunicaciones Seguros e Inmuebles Sociales y PersonalesPersonas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.%
1980 12,129,687 6.8 3,353,314 4.1 1,043,694 16.3 282,591 8.8 7,450,088 6.81981 12,916,660 6.5 3,569,113 6.4 1,121,710 7.5 310,035 9.7 7,915,801 6.31982 13,169,874 2.0 3,601,144 0.9 1,196,524 6.7 341,973 10.3 8,030,233 1.41983 13,020,803 -1.1 3,503,694 -2.7 1,142,374 -4.5 350,857 2.6 8,023,878 -0.11984 13,308,621 2.2 3,566,855 1.8 1,160,986 1.6 373,467 6.4 8,207,312 2.31985 13,506,753 1.5 3,589,748 0.6 1,187,246 2.3 376,940 0.9 8,352,820 1.81986 13,438,415 -0.5 3,544,311 -1.3 1,194,480 0.6 377,744 0.2 8,321,879 -0.41987 13,536,002 0.7 3,594,616 1.4 1,217,944 2.0 384,525 1.8 8,338,916 0.21988 13,552,007 0.1 3,650,160 1.5 1,188,243 -2.4 391,119 1.7 8,322,485 -0.21989 14,021,563 3.5 3,862,456 5.8 1,253,855 5.5 397,833 1.7 8,507,420 2.21990 14,650,354 4.5 4,193,159 8.6 1,348,397 7.5 404,043 1.6 8,704,755 2.31991 15,297,328 4.4 4,441,731 5.9 1,392,214 3.2 418,342 3.5 9,045,042 3.91992 15,694,821 2.6 4,631,993 4.3 1,395,540 0.2 425,672 1.8 9,241,616 2.21993 15,922,021 1.4 4,676,715 1.0 1,404,932 0.7 432,259 1.5 9,408,115 1.81994 16,444,885 3.3 4,818,235 3.0 1,480,560 5.4 439,594 1.7 9,706,496 3.21995 16,322,691 -0.7 4,825,704 0.2 1,425,833 -3.7 433,677 -1.3 9,637,477 -0.71996 16,559,987 1.5 4,831,375 0.1 1,523,096 6.8 443,917 2.4 9,761,598 1.31997 17,132,891 3.5 5,010,624 3.7 1,592,922 4.6 466,053 5.0 10,063,292 3.11998 17,740,538 3.5 5,197,428 3.7 1,678,824 5.4 473,008 1.5 10,391,278 3.31999 18,179,515 2.5 5,368,784 3.3 1,740,699 3.7 476,137 0.7 10,593,895 1.92000 18,634,645 2.5 5,517,932 2.8 1,813,034 4.2 478,605 0.5 10,825,075 2.22001 18,776,535 0.8 5,657,739 2.5 1,840,146 1.5 483,796 1.1 10,794,854 -0.32002 18,820,510 0.2 5,638,679 -0.3 1,798,565 -2.3 487,708 0.8 10,895,558 0.92003 18,866,638 0.2 5,692,094 0.9 1,782,893 -0.9 486,185 -0.3 10,905,466 0.12004 19,169,494 1.6 5,813,712 2.1 1,815,075 1.8 505,434 4.0 11,035,273 1.22005 19,513,983 1.8 5,955,333 2.4 1,849,715 1.9 521,460 3.2 11,187,475 1.42006 19,960,510 2.3 6,146,744 3.2 1,892,970 2.3 553,714 6.2 11,367,082 1.62007 20,509,438 2.8 6,305,687 2.6 1,942,380 2.6 582,912 5.3 11,678,459 2.72008 20,875,274 1.8 6,455,048 2.4 1,953,159 0.6 581,999 -0.2 11,885,068 1.82009 20,598,362 -1.3 6,287,384 -2.6 1,933,453 -1.0 558,999 -4.0 11,818,526 -0.62010 20,861,235 1.3 6,388,974 1.6 1,972,327 2.0 572,884 2.5 11,927,050 0.92011 21,291,690 2.1 6,545,465 2.4 2,003,670 1.6 595,862 4.0 12,146,693 1.82012 21,886,319 2.8 6,728,563 2.8 1,994,809 -0.4 602,843 1.2 12,560,104 3.42013 22,154,544 1.2 6,824,323 1.4 2,026,118 1.6 616,826 2.3 12,687,277 1.02014 22,392,012 1.1 6,994,629 2.5 2,040,230 0.7 625,106 1.3 12,732,047 0.4
2015 22,747,557 1.6 7,203,652 3.0 2,036,870 -0.2 637,892 2.0 12,869,142 1.12016 23,187,965 1.9 7,398,790 2.7 2,038,046 0.1 657,927 3.1 13,093,203 1.72017 23,847,400 2.8 7,606,320 2.8 2,078,100 2.0 701,928 6.7 13,461,053 2.82018 24,384,352 2.3 7,763,065 2.1 2,100,080 1.1 739,460 5.3 13,781,747 2.42019 24,923,883 2.2 7,903,005 1.8 2,136,780 1.7 774,957 4.8 14,109,141 2.42020 25,510,764 2.4 8,054,504 1.9 2,176,158 1.8 814,226 5.1 14,465,876 2.5
C-4
Años
D-5. Personal Ocupado en la Industria Manufacturera por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Puestos de trabajo ocupados remunerados)
Industria Alimentos, Textiles, Madera Imprenta Años Manufacturera Bebidas y Tabaco Vestidos y Cuero y sus Productos y Editoriales
Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.%
1980 4,481,777 5.9 930,755 3.8 666,034 4.1 483,141 8.4 187,537 6.91981 4,676,538 4.3 967,692 4.0 696,405 4.6 478,264 -1.0 193,759 3.31982 4,563,975 -2.4 997,222 3.1 678,476 -2.6 449,467 -6.0 189,685 -2.11983 4,241,289 -7.1 980,556 -1.7 630,831 -7.0 383,447 -14.7 173,970 -8.31984 4,348,781 2.5 993,909 1.4 632,960 0.3 389,755 1.6 178,713 2.71985 4,463,444 2.6 1,020,354 2.7 645,134 1.9 401,395 3.0 187,484 4.91986 4,326,394 -3.1 1,033,533 1.3 629,316 -2.5 382,410 -4.7 186,339 -0.61987 4,351,734 0.6 1,030,425 -0.3 620,306 -1.4 403,352 5.5 186,585 0.11988 4,353,902 0.0 1,026,617 -0.4 604,165 -2.6 392,805 -2.6 187,433 0.51989 4,477,427 2.8 1,061,039 3.4 610,795 1.1 389,679 -0.8 197,449 5.31990 4,558,116 1.8 1,079,544 1.7 610,617 0.0 380,959 -2.2 209,449 6.11991 4,567,961 0.2 1,102,793 2.2 614,583 0.6 379,048 -0.5 215,300 2.81992 4,594,805 0.6 1,131,993 2.6 599,823 -2.4 383,253 1.1 219,243 1.81993 4,468,832 -2.7 1,143,624 1.0 597,036 -0.5 357,984 -6.6 215,434 -1.71994 4,357,115 -2.5 1,124,632 -1.7 575,720 -3.6 351,530 -1.8 207,286 -3.81995 4,113,677 -5.6 1,096,342 -2.5 557,801 -3.1 316,940 -9.8 192,816 -7.01996 4,355,211 5.9 1,113,587 1.6 634,230 13.7 340,204 7.3 190,995 -0.91997 4,672,002 7.3 1,124,423 1.0 717,649 13.2 362,722 6.6 199,068 4.21998 4,901,226 4.9 1,154,283 2.7 760,632 6.0 380,706 5.0 203,623 2.31999 5,042,038 2.9 1,184,388 2.6 815,027 7.2 378,571 -0.6 206,382 1.42000 5,232,032 3.8 1,181,100 -0.3 865,161 6.2 390,530 3.2 208,658 1.12001 5,008,628 -4.3 1,182,932 0.2 804,736 -7.0 360,394 -7.7 204,372 -2.12002 4,703,619 -6.1 1,179,750 -0.3 713,061 -11.4 320,026 -11.2 197,877 -3.22003 4,586,888 -2.5 1,179,152 -0.1 664,983 -6.7 310,430 -3.0 192,410 -2.82004 4,595,544 0.2 1,186,459 0.6 650,623 -2.2 311,507 0.3 187,758 -2.42005 4,606,913 0.2 1,188,684 0.2 631,756 -2.9 305,103 -2.1 186,337 -0.82006 4,619,041 0.3 1,204,280 1.3 606,491 -4.0 306,665 0.5 184,104 -1.22007 4,508,624 -2.4 1,181,165 -1.9 567,919 -6.4 304,014 -0.9 177,401 -3.62008 4,312,031 -4.4 1,173,320 -0.7 513,348 -9.6 279,577 -8.0 171,797 -3.22009 3,920,174 -9.1 1,169,036 -0.4 467,266 -9.0 257,848 -7.8 166,240 -3.22010 3,977,811 1.5 1,158,589 -0.9 472,242 1.1 262,107 1.7 166,714 0.32011 3,995,456 0.4 1,173,924 1.3 449,173 -4.9 254,488 -2.9 169,018 1.42012 4,030,418 0.9 1,186,357 1.1 443,962 -1.2 255,750 0.5 158,918 -6.02013 3,983,267 -1.2 1,184,409 -0.2 443,558 -0.1 242,918 -5.0 157,541 -0.92014 3,971,765 -0.3 1,174,595 -0.8 437,446 -1.4 231,185 -4.8 156,130 -0.9
2015 3,991,384 0.5 1,172,491 -0.2 440,102 0.6 226,875 -1.9 157,621 1.02016 4,096,909 2.6 1,191,174 1.6 448,933 2.0 230,326 1.5 160,986 2.12017 4,256,330 3.9 1,222,525 2.6 462,167 2.9 237,728 3.2 165,751 3.02018 4,409,843 3.6 1,253,747 2.6 474,007 2.6 245,485 3.3 169,952 2.52019 4,550,394 3.2 1,280,049 2.1 484,583 2.2 253,711 3.4 173,857 2.32020 4,717,521 3.7 1,312,226 2.5 497,148 2.6 262,869 3.6 178,446 2.6
Continúa
C-5
Continuación
Químicos, Minerales Industrias Maquinaria Otras
Años Petróleo y Caucho No Metálicos Metálicas Básicas y Equipo Industrias
Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.%
1980 372,385 6.0 311,621 8.1 673,404 5.4 781,274 8.2 75,626 0.21981 402,107 8.0 325,048 4.3 704,826 4.7 829,132 6.1 79,306 4.91982 416,357 3.5 311,666 -4.1 681,420 -3.3 762,903 -8.0 76,778 -3.21983 407,674 -2.1 292,854 -6.0 656,138 -3.7 643,070 -15.7 72,750 -5.21984 420,764 3.2 308,814 5.4 694,783 5.9 653,720 1.7 75,363 3.61985 428,757 1.9 330,852 7.1 681,544 -1.9 689,117 5.4 78,808 4.61986 429,054 0.1 314,903 -4.8 609,889 -10.5 657,006 -4.7 83,944 6.51987 443,337 3.3 337,475 7.2 573,231 -6.0 666,089 1.4 90,934 8.31988 450,758 1.7 327,168 -3.1 584,803 2.0 682,225 2.4 97,929 7.71989 463,170 2.8 348,259 6.4 548,206 -6.3 735,514 7.8 123,316 25.91990 479,492 3.5 370,887 6.5 499,785 -8.8 780,241 6.1 147,141 19.31991 489,319 2.0 371,586 0.2 462,188 -7.5 788,222 1.0 144,920 -1.51992 481,259 -1.6 380,169 2.3 397,034 -14.1 838,003 6.3 164,030 13.21993 467,441 -2.9 379,957 -0.1 335,806 -15.4 808,806 -3.5 162,745 -0.81994 451,668 -3.4 362,803 -4.5 317,174 -5.5 803,718 -0.6 162,584 -0.11995 424,530 -6.0 311,148 -14.2 298,220 -6.0 757,611 -5.7 158,268 -2.71996 444,986 4.8 304,959 -2.0 315,773 5.9 834,548 10.2 175,929 11.21997 467,922 5.2 316,533 3.8 333,026 5.5 951,322 14.0 199,336 13.31998 482,312 3.1 326,527 3.2 341,065 2.4 1,041,667 9.5 210,410 5.61999 487,632 1.1 327,060 0.2 333,230 -2.3 1,094,690 5.1 215,058 2.22000 494,584 1.4 334,034 2.1 336,082 0.9 1,185,910 8.3 235,971 9.72001 479,829 -3.0 322,783 -3.4 324,083 -3.6 1,096,066 -7.6 233,432 -1.12002 460,870 -4.0 309,011 -4.3 305,988 -5.6 1,002,762 -8.5 214,274 -8.22003 442,055 -4.1 302,176 -2.2 305,056 -0.3 971,332 -3.1 219,294 2.32004 419,889 -5.0 302,953 0.3 317,226 4.0 1,001,900 3.1 217,229 -0.92005 409,579 -2.5 319,157 5.3 321,309 1.3 1,022,741 2.1 222,247 2.32006 397,160 -3.0 321,729 0.8 330,331 2.8 1,040,078 1.7 228,203 2.72007 387,946 -2.3 320,245 -0.5 323,299 -2.1 1,023,602 -1.6 223,033 -2.32008 375,370 -3.2 301,322 -5.9 318,710 -1.4 958,718 -6.3 219,869 -1.42009 345,240 -8.0 262,591 -12.9 276,637 -13.2 774,655 -19.2 200,661 -8.72010 349,611 1.3 281,320 7.1 275,268 -0.5 810,185 4.6 201,775 0.62011 351,995 0.7 277,191 -1.5 282,147 2.5 830,497 2.5 207,023 2.62012 349,773 -0.6 276,436 -0.3 281,691 -0.2 864,493 4.1 213,038 2.92013 341,138 -2.5 272,056 -1.6 268,619 -4.6 864,035 -0.1 208,993 -1.92014 336,841 -1.3 271,074 -0.4 277,362 3.3 877,420 1.5 209,713 0.3
2015 337,916 0.3 270,193 -0.3 283,331 2.2 892,505 1.7 210,351 0.32016 346,150 2.4 273,442 1.2 296,942 4.8 933,732 4.6 215,224 2.32017 357,933 3.4 278,805 2.0 311,783 5.0 994,643 6.5 224,995 4.52018 370,738 3.6 284,506 2.0 326,616 4.8 1,049,390 5.5 235,403 4.62019 382,465 3.2 290,052 1.9 340,336 4.2 1,100,113 4.8 245,227 4.22020 396,108 3.6 296,837 2.3 355,858 4.6 1,160,940 5.5 257,089 4.8
Conclusión
C-6
D-6. Personal Ocupado en el Sector Industrial por Subsectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Puestos de trabajo ocupados remunerados)
Minería Electricidad ConstrucciónTotal Generación, Agua y sumistro Construcción Trabajos
Años Sector Extracción metálicos y no transmisión de gas por ductos de obras de especializadosIndustrial de petróleo metálicos, excepto y suministro de al consumidor ingeniería para la
Total subsector y gas petróleo y gas Total subsector energía eléctrica final Total subsector Edificación civil construcciónPersonas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.%
1980 6,992,209 8.0 242,366 9.1 112,944 8.6 2,155,122 12.71981 7,570,168 8.3 259,135 6.9 120,005 6.3 2,514,490 16.71982 7,411,375 -2.1 274,952 6.1 124,407 3.7 2,448,040 -2.61983 6,620,132 -10.7 276,052 0.4 125,985 1.3 1,976,805 -19.21984 6,875,983 3.9 287,225 4.0 130,763 3.8 2,109,213 6.71985 7,084,137 3.0 299,284 4.2 138,063 5.6 2,183,346 3.51986 6,877,150 -2.9 298,354 -0.3 140,658 1.9 2,111,744 -3.31987 6,928,079 0.7 312,846 4.9 144,596 2.8 2,118,903 0.31988 6,948,143 0.3 320,326 2.4 148,170 2.5 2,125,746 0.31989 7,318,921 5.3 301,719 -5.8 151,924 2.5 2,387,851 12.31990 7,799,203 6.6 311,708 3.3 158,523 4.3 2,770,856 16.01991 7,959,547 2.1 307,221 -1.4 162,168 2.3 2,922,197 5.51992 8,014,596 0.7 260,098 -15.3 163,704 0.9 2,995,989 2.51993 7,972,564 -0.5 229,018 -11.9 164,962 0.8 3,109,752 3.81994 8,085,237 1.4 218,635 -4.5 163,321 -1.0 3,346,165 7.61995 7,395,642 -8.5 216,258 -1.1 166,495 1.9 2,899,211 -13.41996 8,043,230 8.8 216,283 0.0 169,029 1.5 3,302,707 13.91997 8,843,118 9.9 220,932 2.1 173,170 2.4 3,777,014 14.41998 9,382,921 6.1 225,981 2.3 179,869 3.9 4,075,845 7.91999 9,657,090 2.9 225,883 0.0 194,299 8.0 4,194,870 2.92000 9,993,388 3.5 229,529 1.6 196,321 1.0 4,335,507 3.42001 9,538,150 -4.6 225,095 -1.9 202,446 3.1 4,101,980 -5.42002 9,273,947 -2.8 221,887 -1.4 209,860 3.7 4,138,580 0.92003 9,267,295 -0.1 222,051 0.1 46,646 175,405 217,983 3.9 118,039 99,944 4,240,373 2.5 3,180,720 626,746 432,9072004 9,811,426 5.9 228,360 2.8 47,833 2.5 180,527 2.9 218,319 0.2 118,099 0.1 100,220 0.3 4,769,203 12.5 3,601,424 13.2 672,080 7.2 495,699 14.52005 9,981,776 1.7 227,695 -0.3 48,945 2.3 178,750 -1.0 220,547 1.0 119,060 0.8 101,487 1.3 4,926,621 3.3 3,706,376 2.9 710,046 5.6 510,199 2.92006 10,572,446 5.9 232,306 2.0 49,144 0.4 183,162 2.5 224,614 1.8 120,342 1.1 104,272 2.7 5,496,485 11.6 4,214,954 13.7 748,763 5.5 532,768 4.42007 10,710,564 1.3 249,252 7.3 49,399 0.5 199,853 9.1 227,480 1.3 121,473 0.9 106,007 1.7 5,725,208 4.2 4,349,128 3.2 827,039 10.5 549,041 3.12008 10,942,142 2.2 257,311 3.2 50,418 2.1 206,893 3.5 227,364 -0.1 124,131 2.2 103,233 -2.6 6,145,436 7.3 4,516,620 3.9 1,114,475 34.8 514,341 -6.32009 9,975,607 -8.8 255,956 -0.5 51,409 2.0 204,547 -1.1 215,578 -5.2 111,155 -10.5 104,423 1.2 5,583,899 -9.1 3,951,883 -12.5 1,091,719 -2.0 540,297 5.02010 9,969,962 -0.1 257,876 0.8 50,773 -1.2 207,103 1.2 195,239 -9.4 88,529 -20.4 106,710 2.2 5,539,036 -0.8 3,892,861 -1.5 1,098,455 0.6 547,720 1.42011 10,355,583 3.9 261,343 1.3 50,866 0.2 210,477 1.6 205,543 5.3 95,934 8.4 109,609 2.7 5,893,241 6.4 4,164,045 7.0 1,143,748 4.1 585,448 6.92012 10,488,185 1.3 266,789 2.1 51,872 2.0 214,917 2.1 211,724 3.0 98,262 2.4 113,462 3.5 5,979,254 1.5 4,254,632 2.2 1,113,015 -2.7 611,607 4.52013 9,905,405 -5.6 270,395 1.4 52,938 2.1 217,457 1.2 209,073 -1.3 97,100 -1.2 111,973 -1.3 5,442,670 -9.0 3,886,026 -8.7 989,695 -11.1 566,949 -7.32014 9,923,296 0.2 269,992 -0.1 52,747 -0.4 217,245 -0.1 207,677 -0.7 96,573 -0.5 111,104 -0.8 5,473,862 0.6 3,961,266 1.9 942,480 -4.8 570,116 0.6
2015 10,086,916 1.6 272,366 0.9 54,448 3.2 217,918 0.3 210,347 1.3 98,333 1.8 112,014 0.8 5,612,818 2.5 4,060,218 2.5 958,861 1.7 593,739 4.12016 10,480,148 3.9 280,583 3.0 59,454 9.2 221,129 1.5 215,294 2.4 101,274 3.0 114,020 1.8 5,887,361 4.9 4,254,787 4.8 1,007,853 5.1 624,722 5.22017 11,095,036 5.9 290,069 3.4 65,860 10.8 224,209 1.4 222,754 3.5 105,479 4.2 117,275 2.9 6,325,883 7.4 4,574,638 7.5 1,081,882 7.3 669,363 7.12018 11,752,851 5.9 302,939 4.4 74,343 12.9 228,596 2.0 230,003 3.3 109,758 4.1 120,245 2.5 6,810,066 7.7 4,927,656 7.7 1,163,212 7.5 719,197 7.42019 12,389,545 5.4 318,563 5.2 84,786 14.0 233,776 2.3 236,940 3.0 114,060 3.9 122,880 2.2 7,283,648 7.0 5,272,247 7.0 1,242,629 6.8 768,772 6.92020 13,098,706 5.7 338,022 6.1 97,302 14.8 240,720 3.0 244,305 3.1 118,686 4.1 125,618 2.2 7,798,857 7.1 5,651,470 7.2 1,323,319 6.5 824,069 7.2
Continúa
D-7
Minería de minerales
Continuación
ManufacturasIndustrias alimentaria, de las bebidas y del tabaco Textiles, prendas de vestir y productos de cuero
Total Confección de Fabricación de cuero,Años Subsector Industria Fabricación productos textiles, Fabricación piel y materiales
Manufacturero Industria de las bebidas de insumos excepto prendas de prendas sucedáneos, exceptoTotal rama alimentaria y del tabaco Total rama textiles de vestir de vestir prendas de vestir
Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.%
1980 4,481,777 5.9 930,755 3.8 666,034 4.11981 4,676,538 4.3 967,692 4.0 696,405 4.61982 4,563,975 -2.4 997,222 3.1 678,476 -2.61983 4,241,289 -7.1 980,556 -1.7 630,831 -7.01984 4,348,781 2.5 993,909 1.4 632,960 0.31985 4,463,444 2.6 1,020,354 2.7 645,134 1.91986 4,326,394 -3.1 1,033,533 1.3 629,316 -2.51987 4,351,734 0.6 1,030,425 -0.3 620,306 -1.41988 4,353,902 0.0 1,026,617 -0.4 604,165 -2.61989 4,477,427 2.8 1,061,039 3.4 610,795 1.11990 4,558,116 1.8 1,079,544 1.7 610,617 0.01991 4,567,961 0.2 1,102,793 2.2 614,583 0.61992 4,594,805 0.6 1,131,993 2.6 599,823 -2.41993 4,468,832 -2.7 1,143,624 1.0 597,036 -0.51994 4,357,115 -2.5 1,124,632 -1.7 575,720 -3.61995 4,113,677 -5.6 1,096,342 -2.5 557,801 -3.11996 4,355,211 5.9 1,113,587 1.6 634,230 13.71997 4,672,002 7.3 1,124,423 1.0 717,649 13.21998 4,901,226 4.9 1,154,283 2.7 760,632 6.01999 5,042,038 2.9 1,184,388 2.6 815,027 7.22000 5,232,032 3.8 1,181,100 -0.3 865,161 6.22001 5,008,628 -4.3 1,182,932 0.2 804,736 -7.02002 4,703,619 -6.1 1,179,750 -0.3 713,061 -11.42003 4,586,888 -2.5 1,179,152 -0.1 997,499 181,653 664,983 -6.7 92,108 61,205 374,229 137,4412004 4,595,544 0.2 1,186,459 0.6 1,011,289 1.4 175,170 -3.6 650,623 -2.2 89,190 -3.2 61,112 -0.2 365,140 -2.4 135,181 -1.62005 4,606,913 0.2 1,188,684 0.2 1,026,936 1.5 161,748 -7.7 631,756 -2.9 86,660 -2.8 58,634 -4.1 347,887 -4.7 138,575 2.52006 4,619,041 0.3 1,204,280 1.3 1,035,542 0.8 168,738 4.3 606,491 -4.0 83,568 -3.6 58,918 0.5 324,388 -6.8 139,617 0.82007 4,508,624 -2.4 1,181,165 -1.9 1,022,866 -1.2 158,299 -6.2 567,919 -6.4 78,039 -6.6 55,175 -6.4 301,918 -6.9 132,787 -4.92008 4,312,031 -4.4 1,173,320 -0.7 1,014,829 -0.8 158,491 0.1 513,348 -9.6 70,780 -9.3 47,668 -13.6 271,707 -10.0 123,193 -7.22009 3,920,174 -9.1 1,169,036 -0.4 1,012,994 -0.2 156,042 -1.5 467,266 -9.0 62,481 -11.7 41,180 -13.6 245,972 -9.5 117,633 -4.52010 3,977,811 1.5 1,158,589 -0.9 1,006,489 -0.6 152,100 -2.5 472,242 1.1 64,075 2.6 39,602 -3.8 246,713 0.3 121,852 3.62011 3,995,456 0.4 1,173,924 1.3 1,025,757 1.9 148,167 -2.6 449,173 -4.9 61,152 -4.6 38,594 -2.5 228,482 -7.4 120,945 -0.72012 4,030,418 0.9 1,186,357 1.1 1,044,747 1.9 141,610 -4.4 443,962 -1.2 60,731 -0.7 39,100 1.3 218,667 -4.3 125,464 3.72013 3,983,267 -1.2 1,184,409 -0.2 1,048,993 0.4 135,416 -4.4 443,558 -0.1 63,485 4.5 39,837 1.9 214,547 -1.9 125,689 0.22014 3,971,765 -0.3 1,174,595 -0.8 1,040,011 -0.9 134,584 -0.6 437,446 -1.4 63,316 -0.3 42,274 6.1 207,256 -3.4 124,600 -0.9
2015 3,991,384 0.5 1,172,491 -0.2 1,039,108 -0.1 133,383 -0.9 440,102 0.6 65,108 2.8 44,266 4.7 205,593 -0.8 125,135 0.42016 4,096,909 2.6 1,191,174 1.6 1,057,409 1.8 133,765 0.3 448,933 2.0 66,832 2.6 46,839 5.8 208,021 1.2 127,241 1.72017 4,256,330 3.9 1,222,525 2.6 1,086,436 2.7 136,089 1.7 462,167 2.9 69,145 3.5 49,790 6.3 212,964 2.4 130,268 2.42018 4,409,843 3.6 1,253,747 2.6 1,115,280 2.7 138,467 1.7 474,007 2.6 71,017 2.7 52,257 5.0 217,621 2.2 133,111 2.22019 4,550,394 3.2 1,280,049 2.1 1,139,430 2.2 140,620 1.6 484,583 2.2 72,725 2.4 54,595 4.5 221,508 1.8 135,755 2.02020 4,717,521 3.7 1,312,226 2.5 1,168,588 2.6 143,638 2.1 497,148 2.6 74,545 2.5 57,132 4.6 226,342 2.2 139,129 2.5
Continúa
D-8
Continuación
ManufacturasMadera y sus productos Impresión e industrias conexas Químicos, petróleo y caucho
Fabricación Fabricación deAños de muebles Impresión productos derivados Industria
Industria y productos Industria e industrias del petróleo Industria del plásticoTotal rama de la madera relacionados Total rama del papel conexas Total rama y del carbón química y del hule
Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.%
1980 483,141 8.4 187,537 6.9 372,385 6.01981 478,264 -1.0 193,759 3.3 402,107 8.01982 449,467 -6.0 189,685 -2.1 416,357 3.51983 383,447 -14.7 173,970 -8.3 407,674 -2.11984 389,755 1.6 178,713 2.7 420,764 3.21985 401,395 3.0 187,484 4.9 428,757 1.91986 382,410 -4.7 186,339 -0.6 429,054 0.11987 403,352 5.5 186,585 0.1 443,337 3.31988 392,805 -2.6 187,433 0.5 450,758 1.71989 389,679 -0.8 197,449 5.3 463,170 2.81990 380,959 -2.2 209,449 6.1 479,492 3.51991 379,048 -0.5 215,300 2.8 489,319 2.01992 383,253 1.1 219,243 1.8 481,259 -1.61993 357,984 -6.6 215,434 -1.7 467,441 -2.91994 351,530 -1.8 207,286 -3.8 451,668 -3.41995 316,940 -9.8 192,816 -7.0 424,530 -6.01996 340,204 7.3 190,995 -0.9 444,986 4.81997 362,722 6.6 199,068 4.2 467,922 5.21998 380,706 5.0 203,623 2.3 482,312 3.11999 378,571 -0.6 206,382 1.4 487,632 1.12000 390,530 3.2 208,658 1.1 494,584 1.42001 360,394 -7.7 204,372 -2.1 479,829 -3.02002 320,026 -11.2 197,877 -3.2 460,870 -4.02003 310,430 -3.0 144,750 165,680 192,410 -2.8 96,064 96,346 442,055 -4.1 32,595 226,796 182,6642004 311,507 0.3 141,355 -2.3 170,152 2.7 187,758 -2.4 95,036 -1.1 92,722 -3.8 419,889 -5.0 31,727 -2.7 209,001 -7.8 179,161 -1.92005 305,103 -2.1 136,166 -3.7 168,937 -0.7 186,337 -0.8 94,191 -0.9 92,146 -0.6 409,579 -2.5 32,085 1.1 201,947 -3.4 175,547 -2.02006 306,665 0.5 136,755 0.4 169,910 0.6 184,104 -1.2 94,211 0.0 89,893 -2.4 397,160 -3.0 32,161 0.2 194,951 -3.5 170,048 -3.12007 304,014 -0.9 140,713 2.9 163,301 -3.9 177,401 -3.6 88,211 -6.4 89,190 -0.8 387,946 -2.3 30,994 -3.6 188,798 -3.2 168,154 -1.12008 279,577 -8.0 126,876 -9.8 152,701 -6.5 171,797 -3.2 86,739 -1.7 85,058 -4.6 375,370 -3.2 31,545 1.8 181,187 -4.0 162,638 -3.32009 257,848 -7.8 122,693 -3.3 135,155 -11.5 166,240 -3.2 83,592 -3.6 82,648 -2.8 345,240 -8.0 31,071 -1.5 176,063 -2.8 138,106 -15.12010 262,107 1.7 125,452 2.2 136,655 1.1 166,714 0.3 84,813 1.5 81,901 -0.9 349,611 1.3 31,304 0.7 175,522 -0.3 142,785 3.42011 254,488 -2.9 122,424 -2.4 132,064 -3.4 169,018 1.4 84,332 -0.6 84,686 3.4 351,995 0.7 32,104 2.6 176,007 0.3 143,884 0.82012 255,750 0.5 120,162 -1.8 135,588 2.7 158,918 -6.0 83,443 -1.1 75,475 -10.9 349,773 -0.6 31,499 -1.9 174,426 -0.9 143,848 0.02013 242,918 -5.0 118,666 -1.2 124,252 -8.4 157,541 -0.9 84,258 1.0 73,283 -2.9 341,138 -2.5 32,965 4.7 167,561 -3.9 140,612 -2.22014 231,185 -4.8 115,993 -2.3 115,191 -7.3 156,130 -0.9 85,437 1.4 70,693 -3.5 336,841 -1.3 33,416 1.4 163,565 -2.4 139,860 -0.5
2015 226,875 -1.9 114,273 -1.5 112,603 -2.2 157,621 1.0 86,843 1.6 70,777 0.1 337,916 0.3 34,690 3.8 163,692 0.1 139,534 -0.22016 230,326 1.5 117,614 2.9 112,712 0.1 160,986 2.1 89,121 2.6 71,865 1.5 346,150 2.4 36,946 6.5 166,257 1.6 142,947 2.42017 237,728 3.2 122,447 4.1 115,281 2.3 165,751 3.0 92,242 3.5 73,509 2.3 357,933 3.4 39,637 7.3 170,377 2.5 147,918 3.52018 245,485 3.3 127,509 4.1 117,975 2.3 169,952 2.5 95,068 3.1 74,884 1.9 370,738 3.6 42,301 6.7 175,418 3.0 153,019 3.42019 253,711 3.4 132,932 4.3 120,779 2.4 173,857 2.3 97,794 2.9 76,062 1.6 382,465 3.2 44,802 5.9 179,604 2.4 158,059 3.32020 262,869 3.6 138,981 4.5 123,888 2.6 178,446 2.6 100,890 3.2 77,557 2.0 396,108 3.6 47,562 6.2 184,564 2.8 163,983 3.7
Continúa
D-9
Continuación
ManufacturasFabricación de Industrias metálicas Maquinaria y equipo
productos a base Fabricación equipo Fabricación de equipoAños de minerales Industrias Fabricación Fabricación de computación, de generación Fabricación Otras
no metálicos metálicas de productos de maquinaria comunicación y eléctrica y accesorios de equipo industriasTotal rama Total rama básicas metálicos Total rama y equipo otros electrónicos eléctricos de transporte Total rama
Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.%
1980 311,621 8.1 673,404 5.4 781,274 8.2 75,626 0.21981 325,048 4.3 704,826 4.7 829,132 6.1 79,306 4.91982 311,666 -4.1 681,420 -3.3 762,903 -8.0 76,778 -3.21983 292,854 -6.0 656,138 -3.7 643,070 -15.7 72,750 -5.21984 308,814 5.4 694,783 5.9 653,720 1.7 75,363 3.61985 330,852 7.1 681,544 -1.9 689,117 5.4 78,808 4.61986 314,903 -4.8 609,889 -10.5 657,006 -4.7 83,944 6.51987 337,475 7.2 573,231 -6.0 666,089 1.4 90,934 8.31988 327,168 -3.1 584,803 2.0 682,225 2.4 97,929 7.71989 348,259 6.4 548,206 -6.3 735,514 7.8 123,316 25.91990 370,887 6.5 499,785 -8.8 780,241 6.1 147,141 19.31991 371,586 0.2 462,188 -7.5 788,222 1.0 144,920 -1.51992 380,169 2.3 397,034 -14.1 838,003 6.3 164,030 13.21993 379,957 -0.1 335,806 -15.4 808,806 -3.5 162,745 -0.81994 362,803 -4.5 317,174 -5.5 803,718 -0.6 162,584 -0.11995 311,148 -14.2 298,220 -6.0 757,611 -5.7 158,268 -2.71996 304,959 -2.0 315,773 5.9 834,548 10.2 175,929 11.21997 316,533 3.8 333,026 5.5 951,322 14.0 199,336 13.31998 326,527 3.2 341,065 2.4 1,041,667 9.5 210,410 5.61999 327,060 0.2 333,230 -2.3 1,094,690 5.1 215,058 2.22000 334,034 2.1 336,082 0.9 1,185,910 8.3 235,971 9.72001 322,783 -3.4 324,083 -3.6 1,096,066 -7.6 233,432 -1.12002 309,011 -4.3 305,988 -5.6 1,002,762 -8.5 214,274 -8.22003 302,176 -2.2 305,056 -0.3 64,268 240,788 971,332 -3.1 93,720 283,187 189,899 404,526 219,294 2.32004 302,953 0.3 317,226 4.0 64,386 0.2 252,840 5.0 1,001,900 3.1 99,637 6.3 297,408 5.0 196,378 3.4 408,477 1.0 217,229 -0.92005 319,157 5.3 321,309 1.3 64,588 0.3 256,721 1.5 1,022,741 2.1 101,106 1.5 305,012 2.6 193,699 -1.4 422,924 3.5 222,247 2.32006 321,729 0.8 330,331 2.8 64,498 -0.1 265,833 3.5 1,040,078 1.7 105,745 4.6 317,996 4.3 187,138 -3.4 429,199 1.5 228,203 2.72007 320,245 -0.5 323,299 -2.1 63,081 -2.2 260,218 -2.1 1,023,602 -1.6 107,627 1.8 315,922 -0.7 173,898 -7.1 426,155 -0.7 223,033 -2.32008 301,322 -5.9 318,710 -1.4 62,522 -0.9 256,188 -1.5 958,718 -6.3 111,511 3.6 296,338 -6.2 160,162 -7.9 390,707 -8.3 219,869 -1.42009 262,591 -12.9 276,637 -13.2 57,209 -8.5 219,428 -14.3 774,655 -19.2 100,309 -10.0 250,045 -15.6 139,984 -12.6 284,317 -27.2 200,661 -8.72010 281,320 7.1 275,268 -0.5 57,053 -0.3 218,215 -0.6 810,185 4.6 108,106 7.8 255,700 2.3 147,769 5.6 298,610 5.0 201,775 0.62011 277,191 -1.5 282,147 2.5 59,045 3.5 223,102 2.2 830,497 2.5 114,510 5.9 242,636 -5.1 142,277 -3.7 331,074 10.9 207,023 2.62012 276,436 -0.3 281,691 -0.2 60,356 2.2 221,335 -0.8 864,493 4.1 116,820 2.0 240,101 -1.0 144,886 1.8 362,686 9.5 213,038 2.92013 272,056 -1.6 268,619 -4.6 58,191 -3.6 210,428 -4.9 864,035 -0.1 116,400 -0.4 236,503 -1.5 137,493 -5.1 373,639 3.0 208,993 -1.92014 271,074 -0.4 277,362 3.3 60,809 4.5 216,553 2.9 877,420 1.5 111,748 -4.0 238,688 0.9 137,582 0.1 389,403 4.2 209,713 0.3
2015 270,193 -0.3 283,331 2.2 63,313 4.1 220,017 1.6 892,505 1.7 113,776 1.8 241,058 1.0 137,630 0.0 400,042 2.7 210,351 0.32016 273,442 1.2 296,942 4.8 68,046 7.5 228,896 4.0 933,732 4.6 116,063 2.0 246,307 2.2 140,980 2.4 430,382 7.6 215,224 2.32017 278,805 2.0 311,783 5.0 73,238 7.6 238,545 4.2 994,643 6.5 119,992 3.4 256,084 4.0 145,098 2.9 473,469 10.0 224,995 4.52018 284,506 2.0 326,616 4.8 78,209 6.8 248,406 4.1 1,049,390 5.5 124,235 3.5 265,441 3.7 149,058 2.7 510,656 7.9 235,403 4.62019 290,052 1.9 340,336 4.2 82,875 6.0 257,462 3.6 1,100,113 4.8 128,462 3.4 275,280 3.7 152,690 2.4 543,682 6.5 245,227 4.22020 296,837 2.3 355,858 4.6 87,976 6.2 267,882 4.0 1,160,940 5.5 133,257 3.7 286,450 4.1 157,155 2.9 584,077 7.4 257,089 4.8
Conclusión
D-10
D-7. Personal Ocupado en el Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Puestos de trabajo ocupados remunerados)
Comercio, restaurantes y hoteles Servicios financieros, seguros y actividades inmobiliariasTotal Servicios de Transporte, Servicios
Años Sector alojamiento temporal almacenaje y Servicios inmobiliarios yServicios y de preparación de comunicaciones financieros de alquiler de bienes
Total subsector Comercio alimentos y bebidas Total subsector Total subsector y de seguros muebles e intangiblesPersonas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.%
1980 12,129,687 6.8 3,353,314 4.1 1,043,694 16.3 282,591 8.81981 12,916,660 6.5 3,569,113 6.4 1,121,710 7.5 310,035 9.71982 13,169,874 2.0 3,601,144 0.9 1,196,524 6.7 341,973 10.31983 13,020,803 -1.1 3,503,694 -2.7 1,142,374 -4.5 350,857 2.61984 13,308,621 2.2 3,566,855 1.8 1,160,986 1.6 373,467 6.41985 13,506,753 1.5 3,589,748 0.6 1,187,246 2.3 376,940 0.91986 13,438,415 -0.5 3,544,311 -1.3 1,194,480 0.6 377,744 0.21987 13,536,002 0.7 3,594,616 1.4 1,217,944 2.0 384,525 1.81988 13,552,007 0.1 3,650,160 1.5 1,188,243 -2.4 391,119 1.71989 14,021,563 3.5 3,862,456 5.8 1,253,855 5.5 397,833 1.71990 14,650,354 4.5 4,193,159 8.6 1,348,397 7.5 404,043 1.61991 15,297,328 4.4 4,441,731 5.9 1,392,214 3.2 418,342 3.51992 15,694,821 2.6 4,631,993 4.3 1,395,540 0.2 425,672 1.81993 15,922,021 1.4 4,676,715 1.0 1,404,932 0.7 432,259 1.51994 16,444,885 3.3 4,818,235 3.0 1,480,560 5.4 439,594 1.71995 16,322,691 -0.7 4,825,704 0.2 1,425,833 -3.7 433,677 -1.31996 16,559,987 1.5 4,831,375 0.1 1,523,096 6.8 443,917 2.41997 17,132,891 3.5 5,010,624 3.7 1,592,922 4.6 466,053 5.01998 17,740,538 3.5 5,197,428 3.7 1,678,824 5.4 473,008 1.51999 18,179,515 2.5 5,368,784 3.3 1,740,699 3.7 476,137 0.72000 18,634,645 2.5 5,517,932 2.8 1,813,034 4.2 478,605 0.52001 18,776,535 0.8 5,657,739 2.5 1,840,146 1.5 483,796 1.12002 18,820,510 0.2 5,638,679 -0.3 1,798,565 -2.3 487,708 0.82003 18,866,638 0.2 5,692,094 0.9 4,444,857 1,247,237 1,782,893 -0.9 486,185 -0.3 214,299 271,8862004 19,169,494 1.6 5,813,712 2.1 4,555,978 2.5 1,257,734 0.8 1,815,075 1.8 505,434 4.0 212,834 -0.7 292,600 7.62005 19,513,983 1.8 5,955,333 2.4 4,683,545 2.8 1,271,788 1.1 1,849,715 1.9 521,460 3.2 222,405 4.5 299,055 2.22006 19,960,510 2.3 6,146,744 3.2 4,875,570 4.1 1,271,174 0.0 1,892,970 2.3 553,714 6.2 234,865 5.6 318,849 6.62007 20,509,438 2.8 6,305,687 2.6 5,026,713 3.1 1,278,974 0.6 1,942,380 2.6 582,912 5.3 250,665 6.7 332,247 4.22008 20,875,274 1.8 6,455,048 2.4 5,167,461 2.8 1,287,587 0.7 1,953,159 0.6 581,999 -0.2 239,608 -4.4 342,391 3.12009 20,598,362 -1.3 6,287,384 -2.6 5,027,940 -2.7 1,259,444 -2.2 1,933,453 -1.0 558,999 -4.0 242,020 1.0 316,979 -7.42010 20,861,235 1.3 6,388,974 1.6 5,128,499 2.0 1,260,475 0.1 1,972,327 2.0 572,884 2.5 264,073 9.1 308,811 -2.62011 21,291,690 2.1 6,545,465 2.4 5,297,739 3.3 1,247,726 -1.0 2,003,670 1.6 595,862 4.0 287,465 8.9 308,397 -0.12012 21,886,319 2.8 6,728,563 2.8 5,467,267 3.2 1,261,296 1.1 1,994,809 -0.4 602,843 1.2 291,077 1.3 311,766 1.12013 22,154,544 1.2 6,824,323 1.4 5,549,276 1.5 1,275,047 1.1 2,026,118 1.6 616,826 2.3 305,876 5.1 310,950 -0.32014 22,392,012 1.1 6,994,629 2.5 5,705,162 2.8 1,289,467 1.1 2,040,230 0.7 625,106 1.3 315,238 3.1 309,868 -0.3
2015 22,747,557 1.6 7,203,652 3.0 5,896,128 3.3 1,307,525 1.4 2,036,870 -0.2 637,892 2.0 324,529 2.9 313,363 1.12016 23,187,965 1.9 7,398,790 2.7 6,074,763 3.0 1,324,027 1.3 2,038,046 0.1 657,927 3.1 339,119 4.5 318,807 1.72017 23,847,400 2.8 7,606,320 2.8 6,256,170 3.0 1,350,149 2.0 2,078,100 2.0 701,928 6.7 369,325 8.9 332,602 4.32018 24,384,352 2.3 7,763,065 2.1 6,393,292 2.2 1,369,774 1.5 2,100,080 1.1 739,460 5.3 395,307 7.0 344,154 3.52019 24,923,883 2.2 7,903,005 1.8 6,513,283 1.9 1,389,722 1.5 2,136,780 1.7 774,957 4.8 419,812 6.2 355,145 3.22020 25,510,764 2.4 8,054,504 1.9 6,640,496 2.0 1,414,008 1.7 2,176,158 1.8 814,226 5.1 446,663 6.4 367,562 3.5
Continúa
D-11
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios Servicios de
Años profesionales, Dirección apoyo a los negocios y científicos de corporativos manejo de desechos y Servicios
Total subsector y técnicos y empresas servicios de remediación educativosPersonas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.%
1980 7,450,088 6.81981 7,915,801 6.31982 8,030,233 1.41983 8,023,878 -0.11984 8,207,312 2.31985 8,352,820 1.81986 8,321,879 -0.41987 8,338,916 0.21988 8,322,485 -0.21989 8,507,420 2.21990 8,704,755 2.31991 9,045,042 3.91992 9,241,616 2.21993 9,408,115 1.81994 9,706,496 3.21995 9,637,477 -0.71996 9,761,598 1.31997 10,063,292 3.11998 10,391,278 3.31999 10,593,895 1.92000 10,825,075 2.22001 10,794,854 -0.32002 10,895,558 0.92003 10,905,466 0.1 488,933 12,691 2,619,762 2,077,0082004 11,035,273 1.2 497,029 1.7 12,902 1.7 2,698,826 3.0 2,100,024 1.12005 11,187,475 1.4 508,232 2.3 13,004 0.8 2,659,811 -1.4 2,134,963 1.72006 11,367,082 1.6 514,448 1.2 13,567 4.3 2,704,834 1.7 2,147,633 0.62007 11,678,459 2.7 525,034 2.1 14,120 4.1 2,800,640 3.5 2,179,126 1.52008 11,885,068 1.8 530,776 1.1 14,452 2.4 2,899,851 3.5 2,198,153 0.92009 11,818,526 -0.6 514,744 -3.0 16,683 15.4 2,782,079 -4.1 2,204,043 0.32010 11,927,050 0.9 518,554 0.7 19,067 14.3 2,782,340 0.0 2,210,010 0.32011 12,146,693 1.8 521,685 0.6 19,322 1.3 2,919,588 4.9 2,230,479 0.92012 12,560,104 3.4 517,734 -0.8 19,585 1.4 3,070,419 5.2 2,256,248 1.22013 12,687,277 1.0 530,895 2.5 20,011 2.2 3,128,036 1.9 2,266,768 0.52014 12,732,047 0.4 543,214 2.3 21,359 6.7 3,136,127 0.3 2,276,086 0.4
2015 12,869,142 1.1 548,958 1.1 22,453 5.1 3,212,270 2.4 2,287,747 0.52016 13,093,203 1.7 554,351 1.0 24,126 7.5 3,313,575 3.2 2,309,321 0.92017 13,461,053 2.8 561,605 1.3 26,269 8.9 3,467,857 4.7 2,355,960 2.02018 13,781,747 2.4 567,210 1.0 28,325 7.8 3,595,784 3.7 2,392,989 1.62019 14,109,141 2.4 572,776 1.0 30,349 7.1 3,721,385 3.5 2,428,283 1.52020 14,465,876 2.5 579,515 1.2 32,523 7.2 3,854,821 3.6 2,466,449 1.6
Continúa
D-12
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios de esparcimiento,
Servicios culturales y deportivos, Otros serviciosAños de salud y otros servicios Información en excepto actividades Actividades
y de asistencia social recreativos medios masivos del gobierno del gobiernoPersonas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.%
198019811982198319841985198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003 925,305 102,498 174,255 2,359,831 2,145,1832004 930,021 0.5 100,902 -1.6 180,091 3.3 2,380,414 0.9 2,135,064 -0.52005 934,809 0.5 101,422 0.5 188,942 4.9 2,502,935 5.1 2,143,357 0.42006 936,061 0.1 104,372 2.9 188,853 0.0 2,569,683 2.7 2,187,631 2.12007 968,537 3.5 105,948 1.5 200,872 6.4 2,688,530 4.6 2,195,652 0.42008 979,287 1.1 107,526 1.5 204,773 1.9 2,707,394 0.7 2,242,856 2.12009 991,065 1.2 106,013 -1.4 205,200 0.2 2,727,213 0.7 2,271,486 1.32010 1,008,911 1.8 110,933 4.6 194,247 -5.3 2,797,811 2.6 2,285,177 0.62011 1,020,451 1.1 109,640 -1.2 194,386 0.1 2,838,690 1.5 2,292,452 0.32012 1,029,284 0.9 110,565 0.8 193,650 -0.4 3,015,131 6.2 2,347,488 2.42013 1,039,398 1.0 112,782 2.0 192,537 -0.6 3,056,874 1.4 2,339,976 -0.32014 1,034,753 -0.4 112,952 0.2 188,140 -2.3 3,074,878 0.6 2,344,538 0.2
2015 1,033,012 -0.2 113,977 0.9 186,908 -0.7 3,108,166 1.1 2,355,651 0.52016 1,047,275 1.4 115,273 1.1 188,098 0.6 3,166,521 1.9 2,374,663 0.82017 1,072,501 2.4 118,949 3.2 192,165 2.2 3,268,302 3.2 2,397,447 1.02018 1,092,193 1.8 122,461 3.0 195,138 1.5 3,362,611 2.9 2,425,037 1.22019 1,112,719 1.9 125,716 2.7 198,167 1.6 3,466,748 3.1 2,452,999 1.22020 1,136,932 2.2 129,555 3.1 201,626 1.7 3,577,352 3.2 2,487,103 1.4
Conclusión
C-13
Sección: D-II. Asegurados Permanentes y Eventuales en el IMSS
Cuadro D-8.
Asegurados Permanentes y Eventuales Urbanos en el IMSS por Sectores Económicos 1980-2020
Cuadro 8.1 Total de Asegurados
Cuadro 8.2 Variación Anual Absoluta
Cuadro 8.3 Variación Porcentual Anual
D-8.1. Asegurados Permanentes y Eventuales Urbanos en el IMSS: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Número de trabajadores afiliados al IMSS al cierre de año)
Sector Secundario Sector ServiciosIndustrias Industria Transportes Servicios para Servicios
Años Total Sector Industrias de la Eléctrica y y Empresas, SocialesPrimario Total Extractivas Transformación Construcción Suministro Total Comercio Comunicaciones Personas y
de Agua y el Hogar Comunales
1980 5,974,071 457,073 2,836,734 71,021 2,593,814 61,473 110,426 2,680,264 943,958 265,397 1,266,974 203,9351981 6,661,151 506,840 3,212,482 90,402 2,943,347 70,791 107,942 2,941,829 1,133,054 296,933 1,302,426 209,4171982 6,630,881 653,249 2,803,648 95,641 2,479,535 128,924 99,548 3,173,983 1,330,249 442,221 1,211,006 190,5081983 6,595,360 622,970 2,756,743 94,377 2,444,235 122,387 95,744 3,215,647 1,318,381 427,432 1,040,541 429,2931984 7,110,349 625,908 2,972,425 99,940 2,638,494 134,997 98,994 3,512,016 1,386,847 434,106 1,131,392 559,6711985 7,636,691 627,301 3,205,509 101,690 2,848,484 150,653 104,682 3,803,881 1,489,463 461,468 1,203,070 649,8801986 7,454,904 594,264 3,042,655 93,321 2,694,111 155,658 99,565 3,817,985 1,470,110 455,788 1,243,578 648,5091987 8,176,666 631,877 3,371,148 102,883 2,984,478 176,617 107,170 4,173,640 1,586,977 493,841 1,370,923 721,8991988 8,324,174 537,915 3,487,408 93,286 3,099,566 197,587 96,969 4,298,852 1,569,147 496,263 1,490,547 742,8951989 8,811,933 532,355 3,696,077 96,107 3,282,710 215,074 102,186 4,583,501 1,679,254 503,326 1,592,116 808,8051990 9,607,999 558,524 3,952,090 97,159 3,482,080 263,880 108,971 5,097,385 1,848,892 545,017 1,778,949 924,5271991 10,086,532 566,410 4,107,156 91,573 3,604,145 297,695 113,742 5,412,967 1,957,449 583,992 1,888,036 983,4891992 10,015,344 493,535 3,982,292 80,730 3,458,684 323,919 118,959 5,539,517 1,995,140 574,541 1,910,471 1,059,3651993 9,806,889 477,385 3,791,371 69,377 3,279,925 322,358 119,711 5,538,133 1,965,878 557,659 1,920,022 1,094,5751994 9,952,105 461,864 3,866,562 74,531 3,339,201 328,613 124,218 5,623,679 2,005,553 564,626 1,961,512 1,091,9871995 9,132,267 431,953 3,516,874 66,620 3,083,846 244,988 121,420 5,183,440 1,800,880 518,989 1,796,582 1,066,9891996 9,957,490 454,442 3,967,123 72,841 3,488,764 280,493 125,026 5,535,925 1,931,920 538,155 1,946,054 1,119,7961997 10,520,396 425,540 4,531,461 72,759 3,620,575 702,671 135,456 5,563,395 1,923,263 552,990 1,943,285 1,143,8571998 11,171,891 401,056 4,896,202 67,830 3,887,543 802,731 138,098 5,874,633 2,058,960 589,552 2,073,523 1,152,5981999 11,841,237 388,010 5,246,428 67,570 4,175,628 862,448 140,782 6,206,799 2,185,560 617,828 2,188,612 1,214,7992000 12,386,783 364,334 5,432,314 70,220 4,324,053 894,257 143,784 6,590,135 2,328,306 657,213 2,327,387 1,277,2292001 12,111,003 365,305 4,989,621 65,848 3,907,900 868,260 147,613 6,756,077 2,407,625 663,345 2,343,164 1,341,9432002 12,183,784 352,964 4,916,411 64,067 3,823,002 878,413 150,929 6,914,409 2,465,459 668,138 2,391,378 1,389,4342003 12,202,712 345,005 4,819,694 66,572 3,697,414 902,596 153,112 7,038,013 2,460,747 666,508 2,447,437 1,463,3212004 12,547,425 353,750 4,908,128 68,381 3,753,945 931,163 154,639 7,285,549 2,514,465 679,667 2,577,645 1,513,7722005 12,971,301 351,281 5,023,179 69,472 3,780,250 1,015,931 157,526 7,596,841 2,603,239 701,393 2,737,184 1,555,0252006 13,574,701 345,080 5,187,843 75,218 3,852,272 1,098,591 161,762 8,041,778 2,720,799 733,073 2,970,651 1,617,2552007 14,100,087 347,634 5,264,108 83,083 3,874,861 1,141,473 164,691 8,488,345 2,853,882 761,229 3,214,336 1,658,8982008 14,062,552 343,686 4,983,045 94,703 3,617,186 1,099,430 171,726 8,735,821 2,924,108 765,065 3,349,936 1,696,7122009 13,881,281 339,862 4,780,149 103,655 3,504,165 1,042,572 129,757 8,761,270 2,905,026 747,140 3,373,275 1,735,8292010 14,611,629 354,786 5,155,128 104,706 3,778,374 1,128,104 143,944 9,101,715 3,041,994 771,980 3,504,456 1,783,2852011 15,202,426 365,767 5,386,397 117,450 3,936,742 1,183,717 148,488 9,450,262 3,188,294 817,800 3,609,618 1,834,5502012 15,901,832 378,917 5,658,873 132,729 4,133,785 1,241,451 150,908 9,864,042 3,349,687 848,138 3,782,680 1,883,5372013 16,355,551 377,417 5,842,119 136,192 4,289,760 1,266,890 149,277 10,136,015 3,440,624 873,582 3,888,512 1,933,2972014 17,052,027 390,213 6,180,129 128,171 4,501,789 1,402,758 147,411 10,481,685 3,543,594 919,992 4,037,049 1,981,050
2015 17,789,042 392,186 6,562,294 129,456 4,730,880 1,553,512 148,446 10,834,562 3,648,047 968,803 4,186,699 2,031,0142016 18,649,004 388,264 7,054,028 133,275 5,031,626 1,737,468 151,659 11,206,711 3,759,677 1,017,824 4,341,553 2,087,6572017 19,790,475 391,759 7,696,988 141,683 5,413,049 1,984,629 157,627 11,701,728 3,904,049 1,079,301 4,550,748 2,167,6312018 20,941,984 414,481 8,369,600 153,811 5,790,708 2,261,570 163,512 12,157,904 4,038,348 1,137,583 4,735,524 2,246,4482019 22,040,275 404,947 9,028,990 166,226 6,160,910 2,532,678 169,177 12,606,337 4,168,383 1,193,324 4,920,708 2,323,9222020 23,329,341 416,286 9,813,992 180,282 6,597,063 2,861,006 175,641 13,099,063 4,310,108 1,255,377 5,123,091 2,410,487
Continúa
D-14
D-8.2. Asegurados Permanentes y Eventuales Urbanos en el IMSS: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Variación anual absoluta)
Sector Secundario Sector ServiciosIndustrias Industria Transportes Servicios para Servicios
Años Total Sector Industrias de la Eléctrica y y Empresas, SocialesPrimario Total Extractivas Transformación Construcción Suministro Total Comercio Comunicaciones Personas y
de Agua y el Hogar Comunales
1980 799,580 48,997 440,662 13,272 394,619 11,837 20,935 309,921 155,313 37,373 103,549 13,6861981 687,080 49,767 375,748 19,381 349,533 9,317 -2,483 261,566 189,096 31,536 35,452 5,4821982 -30,270 146,410 -408,834 5,240 -463,812 58,133 -8,394 232,154 197,195 145,288 -91,420 -18,9091983 -35,521 -30,279 -46,905 -1,264 -35,300 -6,537 -3,804 41,663 -11,868 -14,789 -170,465 238,7851984 514,989 2,938 215,682 5,563 194,259 12,610 3,250 296,369 68,466 6,674 90,851 130,3781985 526,342 1,393 233,084 1,750 209,990 15,656 5,688 291,866 102,617 27,362 71,678 90,2081986 -181,787 -33,036 -162,854 -8,369 -154,373 5,005 -5,117 14,103 -19,354 -5,680 40,508 -1,3711987 721,762 37,613 328,493 9,563 290,367 20,959 7,605 355,656 116,867 38,052 127,345 73,3901988 147,508 -93,963 116,259 -9,597 115,087 20,970 -10,201 125,211 -17,830 2,422 119,624 20,9951989 487,759 -5,560 208,670 2,821 183,145 17,488 5,217 284,649 110,107 7,063 101,569 65,9101990 796,066 26,169 256,013 1,052 199,370 48,806 6,785 513,884 169,638 41,691 186,833 115,7221991 478,533 7,886 155,066 -5,585 122,065 33,815 4,771 315,582 108,557 38,975 109,087 58,9621992 -71,188 -72,875 -124,864 -10,843 -145,461 26,223 5,217 126,551 37,691 -9,451 22,434 75,8761993 -208,455 -16,150 -190,921 -11,354 -178,759 -1,561 752 -1,384 -29,263 -16,883 9,552 35,2101994 145,216 -15,520 75,191 5,154 59,276 6,254 4,507 85,546 39,675 6,968 41,490 -2,5871995 -819,838 -29,911 -349,688 -7,911 -255,355 -83,624 -2,798 -440,239 -204,673 -45,638 -164,930 -24,9981996 825,223 22,488 450,249 6,221 404,918 35,504 3,606 352,485 131,040 19,166 149,472 52,8071997 562,906 -28,902 564,338 -82 131,811 422,178 10,430 27,470 -8,657 14,835 -2,769 24,0611998 651,495 -24,484 364,741 -4,929 266,968 100,060 2,642 311,238 135,697 36,562 130,238 8,7411999 669,346 -13,046 350,226 -260 288,085 59,717 2,684 332,166 126,600 28,276 115,089 62,2012000 545,546 -23,676 185,886 2,650 148,425 31,809 3,002 383,336 142,746 39,385 138,775 62,4302001 -275,780 971 -442,693 -4,372 -416,153 -25,997 3,829 165,942 79,319 6,132 15,777 64,7142002 72,781 -12,341 -73,210 -1,781 -84,898 10,153 3,316 158,332 57,834 4,793 48,214 47,4912003 18,928 -7,959 -96,717 2,505 -125,588 24,183 2,183 123,604 -4,712 -1,630 56,059 73,8872004 344,713 8,745 88,434 1,809 56,531 28,567 1,527 247,536 53,718 13,159 130,208 50,4512005 423,876 -2,469 115,051 1,091 26,305 84,768 2,887 311,292 88,774 21,726 159,539 41,2532006 603,400 -6,201 164,664 5,746 72,022 82,660 4,236 444,937 117,560 31,680 233,467 62,2302007 525,386 2,554 76,265 7,865 22,589 42,882 2,929 446,567 133,083 28,156 243,685 41,6432008 -37,535 -3,948 -281,063 11,620 -257,675 -42,043 7,035 247,476 70,226 3,836 135,600 37,8142009 -181,271 -3,824 -202,896 8,952 -113,021 -56,858 -41,969 25,449 -19,082 -17,925 23,339 39,1172010 730,348 14,924 374,979 1,051 274,209 85,532 14,187 340,445 136,968 24,840 131,181 47,4562011 590,797 10,981 231,269 12,744 158,368 55,613 4,544 348,547 146,300 45,820 105,162 51,2652012 699,406 13,150 272,476 15,279 197,043 57,734 2,420 413,780 161,393 30,338 173,062 48,9872013 453,719 -1,500 183,246 3,463 155,975 25,439 -1,631 271,973 90,937 25,444 105,832 49,7602014 591,644 6,794 296,797 -1,090 184,460 111,486 1,941 288,053 79,134 41,932 128,321 38,666
2015 642,372 14,086 329,703 5,900 235,989 84,344 3,470 298,583 69,292 30,402 128,530 70,3602016 869,822 -3,186 424,510 7,911 299,273 113,150 4,176 448,498 140,691 49,566 176,564 81,6782017 1,162,233 3,556 550,711 16,154 388,100 141,820 4,636 607,967 222,293 73,267 214,494 97,9122018 1,177,039 23,123 561,807 18,235 381,754 157,799 4,019 592,110 211,039 74,919 214,089 92,0632019 1,110,632 -9,701 552,480 16,221 377,380 155,605 3,274 567,853 193,167 75,253 211,834 87,5992020 1,111,544 10,714 545,802 13,185 382,961 146,659 2,997 555,029 180,348 73,623 215,430 85,628
Continúa
D-15
D-8.3. Asegurados Permanentes y Eventuales Urbanos en el IMSS: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Variación % anual)
Sector Secundario Sector ServiciosIndustrias Industria Transportes Servicios para Servicios
Años Total Sector Industrias de la Eléctrica y y Empresas, SocialesPrimario Total Extractivas Transformación Construcción Suministro Total Comercio Comunicaciones Personas y
de Agua y el Hogar Comunales
1980 15.5 12.0 18.4 23.0 17.9 23.8 23.4 13.1 19.7 16.4 8.9 7.21981 11.5 10.9 13.2 27.3 13.5 15.2 -2.2 9.8 20.0 11.9 2.8 2.71982 -0.5 28.9 -12.7 5.8 -15.8 82.1 -7.8 7.9 17.4 48.9 -7.0 -9.01983 -0.5 -4.6 -1.7 -1.3 -1.4 -5.1 -3.8 1.3 -0.9 -3.3 -14.1 125.31984 7.8 0.5 7.8 5.9 7.9 10.3 3.4 9.2 5.2 1.6 8.7 30.41985 7.4 0.2 7.8 1.8 8.0 11.6 5.7 8.3 7.4 6.3 6.3 16.11986 -2.4 -5.3 -5.1 -8.2 -5.4 3.3 -4.9 0.4 -1.3 -1.2 3.4 -0.21987 9.7 6.3 10.8 10.2 10.8 13.5 7.6 9.3 7.9 8.3 10.2 11.31988 1.8 -14.9 3.4 -9.3 3.9 11.9 -9.5 3.0 -1.1 0.5 8.7 2.91989 5.9 -1.0 6.0 3.0 5.9 8.9 5.4 6.6 7.0 1.4 6.8 8.91990 9.0 4.9 6.9 1.1 6.1 22.7 6.6 11.2 10.1 8.3 11.7 14.31991 5.0 1.4 3.9 -5.7 3.5 12.8 4.4 6.2 5.9 7.2 6.1 6.41992 -0.7 -12.9 -3.0 -11.8 -4.0 8.8 4.6 2.3 1.9 -1.6 1.2 7.71993 -2.1 -3.3 -4.8 -14.1 -5.2 -0.5 0.6 0.0 -1.5 -2.9 0.5 3.31994 1.5 -3.3 2.0 7.4 1.8 1.9 3.8 1.5 2.0 1.2 2.2 -0.21995 -8.2 -6.5 -9.0 -10.6 -7.6 -25.4 -2.3 -7.8 -10.2 -8.1 -8.4 -2.31996 9.0 5.2 12.8 9.3 13.1 14.5 3.0 6.8 7.3 3.7 8.3 4.91997 5.7 -6.4 14.2 -0.1 3.8 150.5 8.3 0.5 -0.4 2.8 -0.1 2.11998 6.2 -5.8 8.0 -6.8 7.4 14.2 2.0 5.6 7.1 6.6 6.7 0.81999 6.0 -3.3 7.2 -0.4 7.4 7.4 1.9 5.7 6.1 4.8 5.6 5.42000 4.6 -6.1 3.5 3.9 3.6 3.7 2.1 6.2 6.5 6.4 6.3 5.12001 -2.2 0.3 -8.1 -6.2 -9.6 -2.9 2.7 2.5 3.4 0.9 0.7 5.12002 0.6 -3.4 -1.5 -2.7 -2.2 1.2 2.2 2.3 2.4 0.7 2.1 3.52003 0.2 -2.3 -2.0 3.9 -3.3 2.8 1.4 1.8 -0.2 -0.2 2.3 5.32004 2.8 2.5 1.8 2.7 1.5 3.2 1.0 3.5 2.2 2.0 5.3 3.42005 3.4 -0.7 2.3 1.6 0.7 9.1 1.9 4.3 3.5 3.2 6.2 2.72006 4.7 -1.8 3.3 8.3 1.9 8.1 2.7 5.9 4.5 4.5 8.5 4.02007 3.9 0.7 1.5 10.5 0.6 3.9 1.8 5.6 4.9 3.8 8.2 2.62008 -0.3 -1.1 -5.3 14.0 -6.6 -3.7 4.3 2.9 2.5 0.5 4.2 2.32009 -1.3 -1.1 -4.1 9.5 -3.1 -5.2 -24.4 0.3 -0.7 -2.3 0.7 2.32010 5.3 4.4 7.8 1.0 7.8 8.2 10.9 3.9 4.7 3.3 3.9 2.72011 4.0 3.1 4.5 12.2 4.2 4.9 3.2 3.8 4.8 5.9 3.0 2.92012 4.6 3.6 5.1 13.0 5.0 4.9 1.6 4.4 5.1 3.7 4.8 2.72013 2.9 -0.4 3.2 2.6 3.8 2.0 -1.1 2.8 2.7 3.0 2.8 2.62014 3.6 1.8 5.1 -0.8 4.3 8.8 1.3 2.8 2.3 4.8 3.3 2.0
2015 3.8 3.7 5.4 4.4 5.3 6.1 2.3 2.9 2.0 3.3 3.2 3.62016 4.9 -0.8 6.6 5.6 6.4 7.7 2.7 4.2 3.9 5.2 4.3 4.02017 6.3 0.9 8.0 10.8 7.7 9.0 2.9 5.4 6.0 7.4 5.0 4.62018 6.0 5.8 7.5 11.0 7.1 9.2 2.5 5.0 5.3 7.0 4.7 4.12019 5.3 -2.3 6.9 8.8 6.5 8.3 2.0 4.6 4.6 6.6 4.5 3.82020 5.1 2.6 6.4 6.6 6.2 7.2 1.8 4.3 4.1 6.0 4.3 3.6
Conclusión
D-16
Sección: D-III. ENOE Población Ocupadapor Sectores Económicos
Cuadro D-9.
ENOE Población Ocupada por Sectores Económicos 1980-2020
Cuadro D-9.1. Población Ocupada
Cuadro D-9.2. Variación % Anual
Cuadro D-9.3. Estructura Porcentual
D-9.1. ENOE Población Ocupada por Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Personas)
Población Ocupada por Sectores EconómicosSector Secundario Sector Servicios
Industria Transportes, Servicios GobiernoAños TOTAL Sector Total extractiva Total Restaurantes comunicaciones, profesionales, y
Primario y de la Industria y servicios correo y financieros y Servicios Servicios organismos Noelectricidad manufacturera Construcción Comercio de alojamiento almacenamiento corporativos sociales diversos internacionales especificado
1980 27,876,897 7,138,885 7,281,436 196,530 5,216,472 1,868,434 13,456,576 4,521,612 1,176,972 1,229,101 880,777 2,024,512 2,459,098 1,152,135 12,3691981 29,527,522 7,339,684 7,832,867 209,710 5,443,159 2,179,998 14,354,971 4,812,596 1,252,715 1,320,977 966,315 2,151,066 2,612,819 1,224,156 14,3271982 29,438,847 7,097,261 7,655,426 220,894 5,312,145 2,122,387 14,686,160 4,855,786 1,263,957 1,409,081 1,065,856 2,182,162 2,650,591 1,241,853 16,8741983 28,749,214 7,395,789 6,872,774 222,375 4,936,561 1,713,838 14,480,651 4,724,385 1,229,754 1,345,311 1,093,548 2,180,435 2,648,493 1,240,870 17,8561984 29,421,778 7,480,358 7,121,505 231,198 5,061,674 1,828,633 14,819,915 4,809,551 1,251,922 1,367,230 1,164,017 2,230,282 2,709,040 1,269,238 18,6351985 30,017,865 7,676,043 7,329,943 241,906 5,195,133 1,892,904 15,011,879 4,840,420 1,259,957 1,398,154 1,174,842 2,269,823 2,757,069 1,291,740 19,8741986 29,522,121 7,487,066 7,109,270 242,827 5,035,617 1,830,827 14,925,785 4,779,154 1,244,010 1,406,673 1,177,348 2,261,415 2,746,856 1,286,955 23,3741987 29,830,373 7,600,286 7,155,165 253,021 5,065,110 1,837,033 15,074,922 4,846,985 1,261,666 1,434,306 1,198,483 2,266,045 2,752,480 1,289,590 25,3681988 30,106,111 7,791,591 7,169,735 259,135 5,067,634 1,842,966 15,144,786 4,921,880 1,281,161 1,399,329 1,219,035 2,261,580 2,747,056 1,287,049 27,6961989 30,909,645 7,630,276 7,532,532 250,919 5,211,408 2,070,204 15,746,837 5,208,140 1,355,675 1,476,596 1,239,961 2,311,834 2,808,098 1,315,648 30,8851990 32,312,992 7,753,702 7,967,679 260,095 5,305,324 2,402,260 16,591,612 5,654,060 1,471,747 1,587,933 1,259,317 2,365,459 2,873,234 1,346,166 33,6961991 33,213,113 7,734,044 8,109,881 259,629 5,316,783 2,533,469 17,369,188 5,989,235 1,558,993 1,639,534 1,303,883 2,457,930 2,985,555 1,398,790 35,2691992 33,709,914 7,663,340 8,179,886 234,414 5,348,028 2,597,444 17,866,688 6,245,784 1,625,773 1,643,451 1,326,730 2,511,347 3,050,439 1,429,190 33,9741993 33,983,750 7,771,842 8,115,397 217,919 5,201,405 2,696,074 18,096,511 6,306,088 1,641,470 1,654,511 1,347,259 2,556,592 3,105,397 1,454,938 30,2561994 34,718,442 7,863,712 8,183,680 211,268 5,071,374 2,901,037 18,671,051 6,496,914 1,691,141 1,743,574 1,370,121 2,637,676 3,203,885 1,501,082 26,6581995 33,766,768 7,702,934 7,514,438 211,690 4,789,216 2,513,532 18,549,395 6,508,042 1,695,009 1,678,201 1,352,096 2,618,781 3,180,914 1,489,985 26,3671996 35,121,311 7,475,215 8,127,613 314,651 5,313,543 2,499,419 19,518,482 6,294,988 1,740,784 1,562,666 1,485,442 2,758,060 3,862,276 1,792,197 22,0691997 37,086,113 8,443,498 8,480,325 277,651 5,716,793 2,485,882 20,162,290 6,690,037 1,704,344 1,632,913 1,610,691 2,892,504 3,856,349 1,763,580 11,8721998 38,131,391 7,147,829 9,673,960 307,518 6,379,064 2,987,378 21,309,602 6,937,045 1,989,571 1,828,257 1,557,976 3,013,808 4,160,498 1,799,703 22,7431999 38,485,663 7,585,881 9,987,242 300,460 6,717,387 2,969,394 20,912,539 6,734,685 1,945,417 1,850,253 1,473,150 2,830,964 4,155,549 1,909,148 13,3742000 39,345,978 6,635,376 10,716,310 304,564 7,035,039 3,376,706 21,994,291 7,155,331 2,043,388 1,905,171 1,690,470 3,096,969 4,124,953 1,968,224 9,7852001 39,269,721 6,605,296 10,524,028 315,902 6,994,661 3,213,465 22,140,396 7,244,425 2,101,345 1,898,257 1,711,074 3,092,347 4,083,667 1,997,199 12,0822002 39,712,010 6,833,242 10,614,201 299,097 7,096,522 3,218,582 22,264,567 7,316,777 2,100,245 1,949,777 1,673,780 3,162,207 4,092,499 1,961,932 7,3502003 40,307,774 6,598,454 10,673,248 312,235 7,070,925 3,290,089 23,036,072 7,704,096 2,218,331 2,004,670 1,681,600 3,251,501 4,177,160 1,991,426 7,2882004 41,177,395 6,402,544 10,888,488 346,422 7,186,235 3,355,831 23,886,363 7,954,447 2,309,804 2,068,045 1,755,540 3,401,989 4,332,574 2,057,410 6,5522005 42,079,136 6,219,011 10,760,545 372,136 7,059,370 3,329,040 25,099,580 8,244,755 2,489,859 2,122,342 2,256,035 3,448,443 4,234,166 1,988,966 315,0152006 43,378,461 6,126,668 11,191,300 371,259 7,280,574 3,539,467 26,060,494 8,490,177 2,569,273 2,225,091 2,416,520 3,550,023 4,390,910 2,087,431 331,0692007 44,231,248 6,044,910 11,417,700 396,369 7,306,290 3,715,042 26,768,639 8,732,968 2,697,689 2,170,438 2,586,089 3,607,256 4,493,066 2,152,944 328,1912008 44,943,527 6,113,603 11,297,480 404,214 7,161,091 3,732,175 27,532,445 8,847,040 2,848,216 2,236,990 2,748,894 3,672,865 4,605,433 2,228,319 344,6892009 45,435,352 6,217,293 10,858,864 428,646 6,834,801 3,595,417 28,359,195 9,030,951 2,976,205 2,333,565 2,824,861 3,834,255 4,740,554 2,311,335 307,4702010 46,121,621 6,365,815 11,054,569 364,997 7,085,997 3,603,575 28,701,238 9,118,114 3,046,659 2,257,868 2,897,253 3,860,509 4,895,074 2,329,975 295,7872011 47,138,887 6,394,483 11,236,999 361,390 7,212,161 3,663,448 29,507,405 9,292,822 3,201,867 2,278,666 3,117,660 3,886,906 5,052,349 2,365,710 311,4262012 48,706,734 6,622,947 11,489,002 417,151 7,442,989 3,628,862 30,594,786 9,579,333 3,337,527 2,343,727 3,299,741 4,041,906 5,255,311 2,403,366 333,8762013 49,227,313 6,665,526 11,743,497 432,715 7,710,812 3,599,971 30,818,290 9,650,363 3,410,249 2,423,577 3,356,501 4,064,888 5,257,114 2,370,308 285,2892014 49,415,412 6,750,548 12,026,365 413,824 7,888,379 3,724,163 30,638,498 9,599,008 3,449,320 2,414,845 3,402,489 4,007,617 5,159,440 2,324,439 281,342
2015 50,028,247 6,687,266 12,398,375 423,940 8,089,807 3,884,627 30,942,606 9,676,562 3,534,282 2,456,492 3,492,571 4,045,726 5,166,130 2,293,537 277,3052016 50,849,375 6,636,740 12,869,870 437,197 8,400,766 4,031,907 31,342,765 9,735,480 3,626,487 2,502,126 3,577,819 4,091,891 5,204,415 2,324,295 280,2522017 52,112,011 6,565,934 13,512,571 453,012 8,820,068 4,239,491 32,033,506 9,833,313 3,724,580 2,576,322 3,727,651 4,202,759 5,303,792 2,380,298 284,7892018 53,635,690 6,683,528 14,199,258 471,464 9,252,842 4,474,953 32,752,903 10,016,285 3,816,232 2,642,217 3,863,602 4,294,480 5,403,629 2,425,105 291,3542019 54,950,379 6,663,447 14,868,522 490,715 9,658,784 4,719,023 33,418,410 10,176,809 3,896,474 2,709,529 3,987,251 4,392,204 5,494,171 2,465,739 296,2342020 56,583,681 6,763,816 15,638,327 512,694 10,129,438 4,996,195 34,181,539 10,351,543 3,978,961 2,800,105 4,141,445 4,498,864 5,600,120 2,510,822 299,678
Continúa
D-17
D-9.2. ENOE Población Ocupada por Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Variación % anual)
Variación % anual de la Población Ocupada por Sectores EconómicosSector Secundario Sector Servicios
Industria Transportes, Servicios GobiernoAños TOTAL Sector Total extractiva Total Restaurantes comunicaciones, profesionales, y
Primario y de la Industria y servicios correo y financieros y Servicios Servicios organismos Noelectricidad manufacturera Construcción Comercio de alojamiento almacenamiento corporativos sociales diversos internacionales especificado
1980 6.0 3.5 7.6 8.9 5.9 12.7 6.5 4.1 4.1 16.3 8.8 6.8 6.8 6.8 …..1981 5.9 2.8 7.6 6.7 4.3 16.7 6.7 6.4 6.4 7.5 9.7 6.3 6.3 6.3 …..1982 -0.3 -3.3 -2.3 5.3 -2.4 -2.6 2.3 0.9 0.9 6.7 10.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 …..1983 -2.3 4.2 -10.2 0.7 -7.1 -19.2 -1.4 -2.7 -2.7 -4.5 2.6 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 …..1984 2.3 1.1 3.6 4.0 2.5 6.7 2.3 1.8 1.8 1.6 6.4 2.3 2.3 2.3 …..1985 2.0 2.6 2.9 4.6 2.6 3.5 1.3 0.6 0.6 2.3 0.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 …..1986 -1.7 -2.5 -3.0 0.4 -3.1 -3.3 -0.6 -1.3 -1.3 0.6 0.2 -0.4 -0.4 -0.4 …..1987 1.0 1.5 0.6 4.2 0.6 0.3 1.0 1.4 1.4 2.0 1.8 0.2 0.2 0.2 …..1988 0.9 2.5 0.2 2.4 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.5 1.5 -2.4 1.7 -0.2 -0.2 -0.2 …..1989 2.7 -2.1 5.1 -3.2 2.8 12.3 4.0 5.8 5.8 5.5 1.7 2.2 2.2 2.2 …..1990 4.5 1.6 5.8 3.7 1.8 16.0 5.4 8.6 8.6 7.5 1.6 2.3 2.3 2.3 …..1991 2.8 -0.3 1.8 -0.2 0.2 5.5 4.7 5.9 5.9 3.2 3.5 3.9 3.9 3.9 …..1992 1.5 -0.9 0.9 -9.7 0.6 2.5 2.9 4.3 4.3 0.2 1.8 2.2 2.2 2.2 …..1993 0.8 1.4 -0.8 -7.0 -2.7 3.8 1.3 1.0 1.0 0.7 1.5 1.8 1.8 1.8 …..1994 2.2 1.2 0.8 -3.1 -2.5 7.6 3.2 3.0 3.0 5.4 1.7 3.2 3.2 3.2 …..1995 -2.7 -2.0 -8.2 0.2 -5.6 -13.4 -0.7 0.2 0.2 -3.7 -1.3 -0.7 -0.7 -0.7 …..1996 4.0 -3.0 8.2 48.6 10.9 -0.6 5.2 -3.3 2.7 -6.9 9.9 5.3 21.4 20.3 …..1997 5.6 13.0 4.3 -11.8 7.6 -0.5 3.3 6.3 -2.1 4.5 8.4 4.9 -0.2 -1.6 …..1998 2.8 -15.3 14.1 10.8 11.6 20.2 5.7 3.7 16.7 12.0 -3.3 4.2 7.9 2.0 …..1999 0.9 6.1 3.2 -2.3 5.3 -0.6 -1.9 -2.9 -2.2 1.2 -5.4 -6.1 -0.1 6.1 …..2000 2.2 -12.5 7.3 1.4 4.7 13.7 5.2 6.2 5.0 3.0 14.8 9.4 -0.7 3.1 …..2001 -0.2 -0.5 -1.8 3.7 -0.6 -4.8 0.7 1.2 2.8 -0.4 1.2 -0.1 -1.0 1.5 …..2002 1.1 3.5 0.9 -5.3 1.5 0.2 0.6 1.0 -0.1 2.7 -2.2 2.3 0.2 -1.8 …..2003 1.5 -3.4 0.6 4.4 -0.4 2.2 3.5 5.3 5.6 2.8 0.5 2.8 2.1 1.5 …..2004 2.2 -3.0 2.0 10.9 1.6 2.0 3.7 3.2 4.1 3.2 4.4 4.6 3.7 3.3 …..2005 2.2 -2.9 -1.2 7.4 -1.8 -0.8 5.1 3.6 7.8 2.6 28.5 1.4 -2.3 -3.3 …..2006 3.1 -1.5 4.0 -0.2 3.1 6.3 3.8 3.0 3.2 4.8 7.1 2.9 3.7 5.0 …..2007 2.0 -1.3 2.0 6.8 0.4 5.0 2.7 2.9 5.0 -2.5 7.0 1.6 2.3 3.1 …..2008 1.6 1.1 -1.1 2.0 -2.0 0.5 2.9 1.3 5.6 3.1 6.3 1.8 2.5 3.5 …..2009 1.1 1.7 -3.9 6.0 -4.6 -3.7 3.0 2.1 4.5 4.3 2.8 4.4 2.9 3.7 …..2010 1.5 2.4 1.8 -14.8 3.7 0.2 1.2 1.0 2.4 -3.2 2.6 0.7 3.3 0.8 …..2011 2.2 0.5 1.7 -1.0 1.8 1.7 2.8 1.9 5.1 0.9 7.6 0.7 3.2 1.5 …..2012 3.3 3.6 2.2 15.4 3.2 -0.9 3.7 3.1 4.2 2.9 5.8 4.0 4.0 1.6 …..2013 1.1 0.6 2.2 3.7 3.6 -0.8 0.7 0.7 2.2 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.0 -1.4 …..2014 0.4 1.3 2.4 -4.4 2.3 3.4 -0.6 -0.5 1.1 -0.4 1.4 -1.4 -1.9 -1.9 …..
2015 1.2 -0.9 3.1 2.4 2.6 4.3 1.0 0.8 2.5 1.7 2.6 1.0 0.1 -1.3 …..2016 1.6 -0.8 3.8 3.1 3.8 3.8 1.3 0.6 2.6 1.9 2.4 1.1 0.7 1.3 …..2017 2.5 -1.1 5.0 3.6 5.0 5.1 2.2 1.0 2.7 3.0 4.2 2.7 1.9 2.4 …..2018 2.9 1.8 5.1 4.1 4.9 5.6 2.2 1.9 2.5 2.6 3.6 2.2 1.9 1.9 …..2019 2.5 -0.3 4.7 4.1 4.4 5.5 2.0 1.6 2.1 2.5 3.2 2.3 1.7 1.7 …..2020 3.0 1.5 5.2 4.5 4.9 5.9 2.3 1.7 2.1 3.3 3.9 2.4 1.9 1.8 …..
Continúa
D-18
D-9.3. ENOE Población Ocupada por Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Estructura porcentual)
Estructura Porcentual de la Población Ocupada por Sectores EconómicosSector Secundario Sector Servicios
Industria Transportes, Servicios GobiernoAños TOTAL Sector Total extractiva Total Restaurantes comunicaciones, profesionales, y
Primario y de la Industria y servicios correo y financieros y Servicios Servicios organismos Noelectricidad manufacturera Construcción Comercio de alojamiento almacenamiento corporativos sociales diversos internacionales especificado
1980 100.0 25.6 26.1 0.7 18.7 6.7 48.3 16.2 4.2 4.4 3.2 7.3 8.8 4.1 0.01981 100.0 24.9 26.5 0.7 18.4 7.4 48.6 16.3 4.2 4.5 3.3 7.3 8.8 4.1 0.01982 100.0 24.1 26.0 0.8 18.0 7.2 49.9 16.5 4.3 4.8 3.6 7.4 9.0 4.2 0.11983 100.0 25.7 23.9 0.8 17.2 6.0 50.4 16.4 4.3 4.7 3.8 7.6 9.2 4.3 0.11984 100.0 25.4 24.2 0.8 17.2 6.2 50.4 16.3 4.3 4.6 4.0 7.6 9.2 4.3 0.11985 100.0 25.6 24.4 0.8 17.3 6.3 50.0 16.1 4.2 4.7 3.9 7.6 9.2 4.3 0.11986 100.0 25.4 24.1 0.8 17.1 6.2 50.6 16.2 4.2 4.8 4.0 7.7 9.3 4.4 0.11987 100.0 25.5 24.0 0.8 17.0 6.2 50.5 16.2 4.2 4.8 4.0 7.6 9.2 4.3 0.11988 100.0 25.9 23.8 0.9 16.8 6.1 50.3 16.3 4.3 4.6 4.0 7.5 9.1 4.3 0.11989 100.0 24.7 24.4 0.8 16.9 6.7 50.9 16.8 4.4 4.8 4.0 7.5 9.1 4.3 0.11990 100.0 24.0 24.7 0.8 16.4 7.4 51.3 17.5 4.6 4.9 3.9 7.3 8.9 4.2 0.11991 100.0 23.3 24.4 0.8 16.0 7.6 52.3 18.0 4.7 4.9 3.9 7.4 9.0 4.2 0.11992 100.0 22.7 24.3 0.7 15.9 7.7 53.0 18.5 4.8 4.9 3.9 7.4 9.0 4.2 0.11993 100.0 22.9 23.9 0.6 15.3 7.9 53.3 18.6 4.8 4.9 4.0 7.5 9.1 4.3 0.11994 100.0 22.6 23.6 0.6 14.6 8.4 53.8 18.7 4.9 5.0 3.9 7.6 9.2 4.3 0.11995 100.0 22.8 22.3 0.6 14.2 7.4 54.9 19.3 5.0 5.0 4.0 7.8 9.4 4.4 0.11996 100.0 21.3 23.1 0.9 15.1 7.1 55.6 17.9 5.0 4.4 4.2 7.9 11.0 5.1 0.11997 100.0 22.8 22.9 0.7 15.4 6.7 54.4 18.0 4.6 4.4 4.3 7.8 10.4 4.8 0.01998 100.0 18.7 25.4 0.8 16.7 7.8 55.9 18.2 5.2 4.8 4.1 7.9 10.9 4.7 0.11999 100.0 19.7 26.0 0.8 17.5 7.7 54.3 17.5 5.1 4.8 3.8 7.4 10.8 5.0 0.02000 100.0 16.9 27.2 0.8 17.9 8.6 55.9 18.2 5.2 4.8 4.3 7.9 10.5 5.0 0.02001 100.0 16.8 26.8 0.8 17.8 8.2 56.4 18.4 5.4 4.8 4.4 7.9 10.4 5.1 0.02002 100.0 17.2 26.7 0.8 17.9 8.1 56.1 18.4 5.3 4.9 4.2 8.0 10.3 4.9 0.02003 100.0 16.4 26.5 0.8 17.5 8.2 57.2 19.1 5.5 5.0 4.2 8.1 10.4 4.9 0.02004 100.0 15.5 26.4 0.8 17.5 8.1 58.0 19.3 5.6 5.0 4.3 8.3 10.5 5.0 0.02005 100.0 14.8 25.6 0.9 16.8 7.9 59.6 19.6 5.9 5.0 5.4 8.2 10.1 4.7 0.72006 100.0 14.1 25.8 0.9 16.8 8.2 60.1 19.6 5.9 5.1 5.6 8.2 10.1 4.8 0.82007 100.0 13.7 25.8 0.9 16.5 8.4 60.5 19.7 6.1 4.9 5.8 8.2 10.2 4.9 0.72008 100.0 13.6 25.1 0.9 15.9 8.3 61.3 19.7 6.3 5.0 6.1 8.2 10.2 5.0 0.82009 100.0 13.7 23.9 0.9 15.0 7.9 62.4 19.9 6.6 5.1 6.2 8.4 10.4 5.1 0.72010 100.0 13.8 24.0 0.8 15.4 7.8 62.2 19.8 6.6 4.9 6.3 8.4 10.6 5.1 0.62011 100.0 13.6 23.8 0.8 15.3 7.8 62.6 19.7 6.8 4.8 6.6 8.2 10.7 5.0 0.72012 100.0 13.6 23.6 0.9 15.3 7.5 62.8 19.7 6.9 4.8 6.8 8.3 10.8 4.9 0.72013 100.0 13.5 23.9 0.9 15.7 7.3 62.6 19.6 6.9 4.9 6.8 8.3 10.7 4.8 0.62014 100.0 13.7 24.3 0.8 16.0 7.5 62.0 19.4 7.0 4.9 6.9 8.1 10.4 4.7 0.6
2015 100.0 13.4 24.8 0.8 16.2 7.8 61.9 19.3 7.1 4.9 7.0 8.1 10.3 4.6 0.62016 100.0 13.1 25.3 0.9 16.5 7.9 61.6 19.1 7.1 4.9 7.0 8.0 10.2 4.6 0.62017 100.0 12.6 25.9 0.9 16.9 8.1 61.5 18.9 7.1 4.9 7.2 8.1 10.2 4.6 0.52018 100.0 12.5 26.5 0.9 17.3 8.3 61.1 18.7 7.1 4.9 7.2 8.0 10.1 4.5 0.52019 100.0 12.1 27.1 0.9 17.6 8.6 60.8 18.5 7.1 4.9 7.3 8.0 10.0 4.5 0.52020 100.0 12.0 27.6 0.9 17.9 8.8 60.4 18.3 7.0 4.9 7.3 8.0 9.9 4.4 0.5
Conclusión
D-19
Sección: D-IV. ENOE Población Ocupada, PEA
y Tasas de Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación
Cuadro D-10.ENOE Población Ocupada, PEA y Tasas de Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación 1980-2020
D-10. ENOE Población Ocupada, PEA y Tasas de Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Personas, variación % anual y porcentajes de la población ocupada y de la PEA)
Población Población Ocupada Ocupación ParcialPoblación Económicamente Sector Sector y Desocupación
Años Total Activa Total Formal Informal Total Ocupación Parcial DesocupaciónPersonas Var. % Personas Var. % % Personas Var. % % Personas % POC Personas % POC Personas % PEA Personas % PEA Personas % PEA
1980 71,073,785 2.4 29,444,122 4.3 100.0 27,876,897 6.0 100.0 22,220,534 79.7 5,656,363 20.3 2,840,009 9.6 1,272,784 4.3 1,567,225 5.31981 72,666,912 2.2 30,595,177 3.9 100.0 29,527,522 5.9 100.0 24,371,197 82.5 5,156,325 17.5 1,829,358 6.0 761,703 2.5 1,067,655 3.51982 74,186,037 2.1 30,836,015 0.8 100.0 29,438,847 -0.3 100.0 23,888,106 81.1 5,550,741 18.9 2,485,976 8.1 1,088,808 3.5 1,397,168 4.51983 75,668,142 2.0 30,370,009 -1.5 100.0 28,749,214 -2.3 100.0 22,752,340 79.1 5,996,874 20.9 2,937,890 9.7 1,317,095 4.3 1,620,795 5.31984 77,166,135 2.0 30,762,026 1.3 100.0 29,421,778 2.3 100.0 23,248,251 79.0 6,173,527 21.0 2,372,876 7.7 1,032,628 3.4 1,340,248 4.41985 78,717,744 2.0 31,407,713 2.1 100.0 30,017,865 2.0 100.0 23,652,169 78.8 6,365,696 21.2 2,465,619 7.9 1,075,771 3.4 1,389,848 4.41986 80,335,575 2.1 31,234,465 -0.6 100.0 29,522,121 -1.7 100.0 22,710,533 76.9 6,811,588 23.1 3,112,343 10.0 1,399,999 4.5 1,712,344 5.51987 82,006,831 2.1 31,556,389 1.0 100.0 29,830,373 1.0 100.0 22,712,116 76.1 7,118,257 23.9 3,136,468 9.9 1,410,452 4.5 1,726,016 5.51988 83,712,835 2.1 31,789,794 0.7 100.0 30,106,111 0.9 100.0 22,800,255 75.7 7,305,856 24.3 3,049,468 9.6 1,365,785 4.3 1,683,683 5.31989 85,424,041 2.0 32,426,313 2.0 100.0 30,909,645 2.7 100.0 23,388,949 75.7 7,520,696 24.3 2,709,073 8.4 1,192,405 3.7 1,516,668 4.71990 87,064,847 1.9 33,848,706 4.4 100.0 32,312,992 4.5 100.0 24,672,764 76.4 7,640,228 23.6 2,732,941 8.1 1,197,227 3.5 1,535,714 4.51991 88,630,941 1.8 34,742,695 2.6 100.0 33,213,113 2.8 100.0 25,334,188 76.3 7,878,925 23.7 2,711,737 7.8 1,182,155 3.4 1,529,582 4.41992 90,132,585 1.7 35,406,441 1.9 100.0 33,709,914 1.5 100.0 25,483,518 75.6 8,226,396 24.4 3,038,990 8.6 1,342,463 3.8 1,696,527 4.81993 91,600,655 1.6 36,031,932 1.8 100.0 33,983,750 0.8 100.0 25,467,335 74.9 8,516,415 25.1 3,736,045 10.4 1,687,863 4.7 2,048,182 5.71994 93,055,300 1.6 36,999,694 2.7 100.0 34,718,442 2.2 100.0 25,916,455 74.6 8,801,987 25.4 4,192,507 11.3 1,911,255 5.2 2,281,252 6.21995 94,490,336 1.5 36,938,518 -0.2 100.0 33,766,768 -2.7 100.0 24,367,506 72.2 9,399,262 27.8 5,471,727 14.8 2,299,977 6.2 3,171,750 8.61996 95,876,664 1.5 37,608,035 1.8 100.0 35,121,311 4.0 100.0 25,491,817 72.6 9,629,494 27.4 4,372,752 11.6 1,886,027 5.0 2,486,725 6.61997 97,204,604 1.4 39,087,245 3.9 100.0 37,086,113 5.6 100.0 27,014,826 72.8 10,071,287 27.2 4,150,282 10.6 2,149,150 5.5 2,001,132 5.11998 98,485,424 1.3 39,941,580 2.2 100.0 38,131,391 2.8 100.0 27,294,813 71.6 10,836,578 28.4 3,990,524 10.0 2,180,335 5.5 1,810,189 4.51999 99,706,067 1.2 39,744,032 -0.5 100.0 38,485,663 0.9 100.0 27,743,838 72.1 10,741,825 27.9 3,103,873 7.8 1,845,504 4.6 1,258,369 3.22000 100,895,811 1.2 40,663,277 2.3 100.0 39,345,978 2.2 100.0 28,193,592 71.7 11,152,386 28.3 3,174,827 7.8 1,857,527 4.6 1,317,299 3.22001 102,122,295 1.2 40,740,452 0.2 100.0 39,269,721 -0.2 100.0 28,108,085 71.6 11,161,635 28.4 2,979,065 7.3 1,508,333 3.7 1,470,732 3.62002 103,417,944 1.3 40,919,227 0.4 100.0 39,712,010 1.1 100.0 28,476,004 71.7 11,236,006 28.3 3,026,013 7.4 1,818,796 4.4 1,207,217 3.02003 104,719,891 1.3 41,717,768 2.0 100.0 40,307,774 1.5 100.0 28,680,778 71.2 11,626,995 28.8 3,462,955 8.3 2,052,961 4.9 1,409,995 3.42004 105,951,569 1.2 42,839,231 2.7 100.0 41,177,395 2.2 100.0 29,310,653 71.2 11,866,742 28.8 3,969,286 9.3 2,307,449 5.4 1,661,836 3.92005 107,151,011 1.1 43,631,501 1.8 100.0 42,079,136 2.2 100.0 30,245,224 71.9 11,833,913 28.1 4,011,753 9.2 2,459,388 5.6 1,552,365 3.62006 108,408,827 1.2 44,982,518 3.1 100.0 43,378,461 3.1 100.0 31,600,424 72.8 11,778,037 27.2 4,174,007 9.3 2,569,950 5.7 1,604,057 3.62007 109,787,388 1.3 45,904,540 2.0 100.0 44,231,248 2.0 100.0 32,222,341 72.8 12,008,908 27.2 4,532,809 9.9 2,859,517 6.2 1,673,292 3.62008 111,299,015 1.4 46,769,214 1.9 100.0 44,943,527 1.6 100.0 32,662,018 72.7 12,281,509 27.3 4,662,302 10.0 2,836,615 6.1 1,825,687 3.92009 112,852,594 1.4 48,018,362 2.7 100.0 45,435,352 1.1 100.0 32,609,903 71.8 12,825,449 28.2 5,516,935 11.5 2,933,925 6.1 2,583,010 5.42010 114,255,555 1.2 48,717,789 1.5 100.0 46,121,621 1.5 100.4 33,402,380 72.4 12,894,811 28.0 5,641,811 11.6 3,045,643 6.3 2,596,168 5.32011 115,682,868 1.2 49,721,702 2.1 100.0 47,138,887 2.2 100.4 33,857,895 71.8 13,460,947 28.6 5,623,912 11.3 3,041,097 6.1 2,582,815 5.22012 117,053,750 1.2 51,228,767 3.0 100.0 48,706,734 3.3 100.3 34,897,548 71.6 13,969,897 28.7 5,817,665 11.4 3,295,632 6.4 2,522,033 4.92013 118,395,054 1.1 51,787,087 1.1 100.0 49,227,313 1.1 100.3 35,465,259 72.0 13,920,707 28.3 5,808,323 11.2 3,248,549 6.3 2,559,774 4.92014 119,713,203 1.1 51,924,053 0.3 100.0 49,415,412 0.4 99.7 35,697,761 72.2 13,546,233 27.4 5,704,396 11.0 3,195,755 6.2 2,508,642 4.8
2015 121,005,815 1.1 52,467,522 1.0 100.0 50,028,247 1.2 99.4 36,602,245 73.2 13,143,725 26.3 5,551,814 10.6 3,112,539 5.9 2,439,275 4.62016 122,273,473 1.0 53,201,883 1.4 100.0 50,849,375 1.6 100.0 38,113,106 75.0 12,736,270 25.0 5,412,601 10.2 3,060,093 5.8 2,352,508 4.42017 123,518,270 1.0 54,325,732 2.1 100.0 52,112,011 2.5 100.0 39,796,038 76.4 12,315,973 23.6 5,139,110 9.5 2,925,389 5.4 2,213,722 4.12018 124,737,789 1.0 55,647,734 2.4 100.0 53,635,690 2.9 100.0 41,689,196 77.7 11,946,494 22.3 4,736,379 8.5 2,724,335 4.9 2,012,044 3.62019 125,929,439 1.0 56,823,434 2.1 100.0 54,950,379 2.5 100.0 43,314,494 78.8 11,635,885 21.2 4,501,861 7.9 2,628,806 4.6 1,873,055 3.32020 127,091,642 0.9 58,350,168 2.7 100.0 56,583,681 3.0 100.0 45,203,786 79.9 11,379,895 20.1 4,297,361 7.4 2,530,874 4.3 1,766,487 3.0
D-20
Sección: D-V. ENOE Informalidad Laboral
en México
Cuadro D-11.1. ENOE Informalidad Laboral en México 1980-2020
Cuadro D-11.2. ENOE Tasa de Informalidad Laboral TIL
y Tasa de Ocupación en el Sector Informal TOSI 1980-2020
D-11.1. ENOE Informalidad Laboral en México: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Personas y tasas en porciento de la población ocupada)
Población ocupada Tasas calculadas contra la población ocupadaSubtotal Subtotal
Años TOTAL ocupación Subtotal Sector Ámbito Empresas Trabajo TOTAL ocupación Subtotal Sector Ámbito Empresas Trabajo
formal informal Informal Agropecuario y Gobierno Doméstico formal informal Informal Agropecuario y Gobierno Doméstico
1980 27,876,897 12,451,352 15,425,544 5,656,363 6,305,777 2,768,746 694,658 100.0 44.7 55.3 20.3 22.6 9.9 2.51981 29,527,522 14,323,839 15,203,683 5,156,325 6,478,739 2,836,578 732,041 100.0 48.5 51.5 17.5 21.9 9.6 2.51982 29,438,847 13,912,498 15,526,349 5,550,741 6,260,494 2,932,366 782,748 100.0 47.3 52.7 18.9 21.3 10.0 2.71983 28,749,214 12,313,220 16,435,995 5,996,874 6,528,263 3,087,622 823,236 100.0 42.8 57.2 20.9 22.7 10.7 2.91984 29,421,778 12,572,070 16,849,708 6,173,527 6,596,179 3,213,787 866,215 100.0 42.7 57.3 21.0 22.4 10.9 2.91985 30,017,865 12,635,975 17,381,890 6,365,696 6,763,361 3,322,748 930,085 100.0 42.1 57.9 21.2 22.5 11.1 3.11986 29,522,121 11,675,746 17,846,375 6,811,588 6,606,587 3,465,333 962,867 100.0 39.5 60.5 23.1 22.4 11.7 3.31987 29,830,373 11,376,783 18,453,590 7,118,257 6,717,893 3,588,696 1,028,744 100.0 38.1 61.9 23.9 22.5 12.0 3.41988 30,106,111 11,166,630 18,939,481 7,305,856 6,877,637 3,662,147 1,093,841 100.0 37.1 62.9 24.3 22.8 12.2 3.61989 30,909,645 11,816,768 19,092,877 7,520,696 6,726,851 3,721,568 1,123,762 100.0 38.2 61.8 24.3 21.8 12.0 3.61990 32,312,992 12,837,172 19,475,820 7,640,228 6,841,866 3,823,159 1,170,567 100.0 39.7 60.3 23.6 21.2 11.8 3.61991 33,213,113 13,293,030 19,920,083 7,878,925 6,834,575 3,995,214 1,211,369 100.0 40.0 60.0 23.7 20.6 12.0 3.61992 33,709,914 13,381,403 20,328,511 8,226,396 6,758,299 4,087,582 1,256,234 100.0 39.7 60.3 24.4 20.0 12.1 3.71993 33,983,750 13,073,286 20,910,464 8,516,415 6,850,101 4,196,585 1,347,363 100.0 38.5 61.5 25.1 20.2 12.3 4.01994 34,718,442 13,155,387 21,563,055 8,801,987 7,050,604 4,288,568 1,421,896 100.0 37.9 62.1 25.4 20.3 12.4 4.11995 33,766,768 11,644,186 22,122,582 9,399,262 6,850,220 4,376,360 1,496,741 100.0 34.5 65.5 27.8 20.3 13.0 4.41996 35,121,311 12,634,884 22,486,426 9,629,494 6,708,258 4,523,674 1,625,000 100.0 36.0 64.0 27.4 19.1 12.9 4.61997 37,086,113 13,125,727 23,960,386 10,071,287 7,578,884 4,676,757 1,633,458 100.0 35.4 64.6 27.2 20.4 12.6 4.41998 38,131,391 14,322,684 23,808,707 10,836,578 6,498,806 4,773,687 1,699,636 100.0 37.6 62.4 28.4 17.0 12.5 4.51999 38,485,663 14,119,858 24,365,804 10,741,825 6,983,562 4,890,636 1,749,781 100.0 36.7 63.3 27.9 18.1 12.7 4.52000 39,345,978 15,334,781 24,011,197 11,152,386 6,118,481 4,968,974 1,771,356 100.0 39.0 61.0 28.3 15.6 12.6 4.52001 39,269,721 15,430,520 23,839,201 11,161,635 5,754,534 5,040,874 1,882,158 100.0 39.3 60.7 28.4 14.7 12.8 4.82002 39,712,010 15,489,048 24,222,963 11,236,006 5,940,821 5,120,078 1,926,058 100.0 39.0 61.0 28.3 15.0 12.9 4.92003 40,307,774 15,749,840 24,557,934 11,626,995 5,767,709 5,201,868 1,961,362 100.0 39.1 60.9 28.8 14.3 12.9 4.92004 41,177,395 16,254,458 24,922,937 11,866,742 5,725,795 5,353,878 1,976,522 100.0 39.5 60.5 28.8 13.9 13.0 4.82005 42,079,136 16,236,904 25,842,232 11,833,913 6,109,104 5,519,901 2,379,315 100.0 38.6 61.4 28.1 14.5 13.1 5.72006 43,378,461 17,395,664 25,982,797 11,778,037 5,981,240 5,633,070 2,590,450 100.0 40.1 59.9 27.2 13.8 13.0 6.02007 44,231,248 18,106,984 26,124,264 12,008,908 5,922,371 5,859,672 2,333,314 100.0 40.9 59.1 27.2 13.4 13.2 5.32008 44,943,527 18,469,403 26,474,124 12,281,509 5,858,724 6,197,592 2,136,299 100.0 41.1 58.9 27.3 13.0 13.8 4.82009 45,435,352 18,273,930 27,161,421 12,825,449 5,858,719 6,458,986 2,018,268 100.0 40.2 59.8 28.2 12.9 14.2 4.42010 46,121,621 18,687,750 27,609,441 12,894,811 5,873,298 6,822,387 2,018,945 100.4 40.5 59.9 28.0 12.7 14.8 4.42011 47,138,887 19,132,107 28,186,735 13,460,947 5,907,032 6,753,669 2,065,087 100.4 40.6 59.8 28.6 12.5 14.3 4.42012 48,706,734 19,666,550 29,200,895 13,969,897 6,130,363 6,956,592 2,144,043 100.3 40.4 60.0 28.7 12.6 14.3 4.42013 49,227,313 20,293,420 29,092,546 13,920,707 6,120,316 6,884,660 2,166,864 100.3 41.2 59.1 28.3 12.4 14.0 4.42014 49,415,412 20,607,994 28,636,001 13,546,233 6,135,549 6,770,647 2,183,572 99.7 41.7 57.9 27.4 12.4 13.7 4.4
2015 50,028,247 21,309,226 28,436,744 13,143,725 6,282,701 6,792,760 2,217,558 99.4 42.6 56.8 26.3 12.6 13.6 4.42016 50,849,375 22,586,589 28,262,787 12,736,270 6,408,355 6,860,688 2,257,474 100.0 44.4 55.6 25.0 12.6 13.5 4.42017 52,112,011 24,056,561 28,055,450 12,315,973 6,459,622 6,970,459 2,309,396 100.0 46.2 53.8 23.6 12.4 13.4 4.42018 53,635,690 25,744,169 27,891,521 11,946,494 6,530,678 7,061,075 2,353,275 100.0 48.0 52.0 22.3 12.2 13.2 4.42019 54,950,379 27,199,544 27,750,835 11,635,885 6,582,923 7,138,746 2,393,280 100.0 49.5 50.5 21.2 12.0 13.0 4.42020 56,583,681 28,971,888 27,611,793 11,379,895 6,609,255 7,195,856 2,426,786 100.0 51.2 48.8 20.1 11.7 12.7 4.3
D-21
Subtotal ocupación Informal Subtotal ocupación Informal
D-11.2. ENOE Tasa de Informalidad Labora TIL y Tasa de Ocupación en el Sector Informal TOSI: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Personas y tasas en porciento)
Población ocupada Población ocupada no agropecuaria Población % de la población ocupada % de la población ocupada no agropecuariapor condición de informalidad por condición de informalidad ocupada Tasa de ocupación Tasa de informalidad Tasa de ocupación Tasa de informalidad
Años Ocupación Ocupación Ocupación Ocupación en el sector sector informal laboral sector informal laboral
Total formal informal Total formal informal informal TOSI 1 TIL 1 TOSI 2 TIL 2
1980 27,876,897 12,451,352 15,425,544 20,738,011 11,618,244 9,119,767 5,656,363 20.29 55.33 27.28 43.981981 29,527,522 14,323,839 15,203,683 22,187,838 13,462,894 8,724,944 5,156,325 17.46 51.49 23.24 39.321982 29,438,847 13,912,498 15,526,349 22,341,586 13,075,731 9,265,855 5,550,741 18.86 52.74 24.84 41.471983 28,749,214 12,313,220 16,435,995 21,353,426 11,445,694 9,907,732 5,996,874 20.86 57.17 28.08 46.401984 29,421,778 12,572,070 16,849,708 21,941,420 11,687,891 10,253,529 6,173,527 20.98 57.27 28.14 46.731985 30,017,865 12,635,975 17,381,890 22,341,822 11,723,293 10,618,529 6,365,696 21.21 57.91 28.49 47.531986 29,522,121 11,675,746 17,846,375 22,035,055 10,795,267 11,239,788 6,811,588 23.07 60.45 30.91 51.011987 29,830,373 11,376,783 18,453,590 22,230,086 10,494,389 11,735,697 7,118,257 23.86 61.86 32.02 52.791988 30,106,111 11,166,630 18,939,481 22,314,520 10,252,676 12,061,844 7,305,856 24.27 62.91 32.74 54.051989 30,909,645 11,816,768 19,092,877 23,279,369 10,913,343 12,366,026 7,520,696 24.33 61.77 32.31 53.121990 32,312,992 12,837,172 19,475,820 24,559,291 11,925,337 12,633,954 7,640,228 23.64 60.27 31.11 51.441991 33,213,113 13,293,030 19,920,083 25,479,068 12,393,560 13,085,508 7,878,925 23.72 59.98 30.92 51.361992 33,709,914 13,381,403 20,328,511 26,046,575 12,476,363 13,570,212 8,226,396 24.40 60.30 31.58 52.101993 33,983,750 13,073,286 20,910,464 26,211,909 12,151,546 14,060,363 8,516,415 25.06 61.53 32.49 53.641994 34,718,442 13,155,387 21,563,055 26,854,731 12,342,280 14,512,451 8,801,987 25.35 62.11 32.78 54.041995 33,766,768 11,644,186 22,122,582 26,063,834 10,791,471 15,272,363 9,399,262 27.84 65.52 36.06 58.601996 35,121,311 12,634,884 22,486,426 27,646,095 11,867,927 15,778,168 9,629,494 27.42 64.03 34.83 57.071997 37,086,113 13,125,727 23,960,386 28,642,615 12,261,113 16,381,502 10,071,287 27.16 64.61 35.16 57.191998 38,131,391 14,322,684 23,808,707 30,983,562 13,673,661 17,309,901 10,836,578 28.42 62.44 34.98 55.871999 38,485,663 14,119,858 24,365,804 30,899,781 13,517,540 17,382,242 10,741,825 27.91 63.31 34.76 56.252000 39,345,978 15,334,781 24,011,197 32,710,601 14,817,885 17,892,716 11,152,386 28.34 61.03 34.09 54.702001 39,269,721 15,430,520 23,839,201 32,664,425 14,579,757 18,084,667 11,161,635 28.42 60.71 34.17 55.372002 39,712,010 15,489,048 24,222,963 32,878,768 14,596,626 18,282,142 11,236,006 28.29 61.00 34.17 55.602003 40,307,774 15,749,840 24,557,934 33,709,320 14,919,095 18,790,225 11,626,995 28.85 60.93 34.49 55.742004 41,177,395 16,254,458 24,922,937 34,774,851 15,577,709 19,197,142 11,866,742 28.82 60.53 34.12 55.202005 42,079,136 16,236,904 25,842,232 35,860,125 16,140,225 19,719,900 11,833,913 28.12 61.41 33.00 54.992006 43,378,461 17,395,664 25,982,797 37,251,794 17,402,364 19,849,429 11,778,037 27.15 59.90 31.62 53.282007 44,231,248 18,106,984 26,124,264 38,186,338 18,048,931 20,137,407 12,008,908 27.15 59.06 31.45 52.732008 44,943,527 18,469,403 26,474,124 38,829,925 18,228,674 20,601,250 12,281,509 27.33 58.91 31.63 53.062009 45,435,352 18,273,930 27,161,421 39,218,059 17,925,404 21,292,654 12,825,449 28.23 59.78 32.70 54.292010 46,121,621 18,687,750 27,609,441 39,755,806 18,195,233 21,560,574 12,894,811 27.96 59.86 32.44 54.232011 47,138,887 19,132,107 28,186,735 40,744,404 18,644,656 22,099,748 13,460,947 28.56 59.80 33.04 54.242012 48,706,734 19,666,550 29,200,895 42,083,787 19,173,966 22,909,821 13,969,897 28.68 59.95 33.20 54.442013 49,227,313 20,293,420 29,092,546 42,561,787 19,748,211 22,813,576 13,920,707 28.28 59.10 32.71 53.602014 49,415,412 20,607,994 28,636,001 42,664,863 19,992,994 22,671,869 13,546,233 27.41 57.95 31.75 53.14
2015 50,028,247 21,309,226 28,436,744 43,340,981 20,904,661 22,436,320 13,143,725 26.27 56.84 30.33 51.772016 50,849,375 22,586,589 28,262,787 44,212,636 22,358,204 21,854,432 12,736,270 25.05 55.58 28.81 49.432017 52,112,011 24,056,561 28,055,450 45,546,077 23,950,250 21,595,828 12,315,973 23.63 53.84 27.04 47.422018 53,635,690 25,744,169 27,891,521 46,952,162 25,591,319 21,360,843 11,946,494 22.27 52.00 25.44 45.492019 54,950,379 27,199,544 27,750,835 48,286,932 27,119,021 21,167,911 11,635,885 21.18 50.50 24.10 43.842020 56,583,681 28,971,888 27,611,793 49,819,865 28,817,327 21,002,538 11,379,895 20.11 48.80 22.84 42.16
D-22
Sección: D-VI. ENOE Indicadores Trimestrales
Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo
Cuadro D-12. ENOE Indicadores Trimestrales Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo 2013-2014
Cuadro D-12.1. Población Ocupada
Cuadro D-12.2. Variación % anual
Cuadro D-12.3. Promedios y Tasas
D-12.1. ENOE: Indicadores Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo en México 2014-2015(Personas)
2014 2015 Promedio AnualI II III IV I e/ II e/ III e/ IV e/ 2014 2015 e/
Población Total 119,224,847 119,550,176 119,879,581 120,205,174 120,528,631 120,848,851 121,173,502 121,494,616 119,714,945 121,011,400Población de 14 años y más 86,280,370 86,588,018 87,080,342 87,520,286 87,609,088 87,653,051 87,750,861 87,800,351 86,867,254 87,703,337Población Económicamenta Activa PEA 51,559,018 51,836,752 52,192,043 52,108,400 51,720,618 52,259,662 52,956,004 52,933,805 51,924,053 52,467,522 Población Ocupada 49,080,947 49,301,557 49,455,344 49,823,798 49,366,450 49,790,382 50,265,829 50,690,326 49,415,412 50,028,247 Primario 6,578,533 6,679,507 6,881,318 6,862,835 6,624,583 6,572,635 6,826,267 6,725,578 6,750,548 6,687,266 Agricultura y ganadería 6,578,533 6,679,507 6,881,318 6,862,835 6,624,583 6,572,635 6,826,267 6,725,578 6,750,548 6,687,266 Secundario 11,921,303 11,981,206 12,072,180 12,130,771 12,155,361 12,290,061 12,507,993 12,640,085 12,026,365 12,398,375 Industria extractiva y de la electricidad 441,366 428,744 395,313 389,872 444,456 434,746 408,754 407,806 413,824 423,940 Industria manufacturera 7,869,964 7,837,886 7,902,522 7,943,142 7,956,534 8,018,157 8,147,500 8,237,038 7,888,379 8,089,807 Construcción 3,609,973 3,714,576 3,774,345 3,797,757 3,754,372 3,837,157 3,951,739 3,995,240 3,724,163 3,884,627 Terciario 30,316,452 30,365,423 30,229,132 30,517,620 30,311,261 30,643,176 30,674,672 31,032,096 30,357,157 30,665,301 Comercio 9,543,314 9,496,769 9,641,042 9,714,906 9,486,054 9,525,259 9,776,017 9,918,919 9,599,008 9,676,562 Restaurantes y servicios de alojamiento 3,492,367 3,484,642 3,341,361 3,478,911 3,548,245 3,589,181 3,461,650 3,538,052 3,449,320 3,534,282 Transportes y comunicaciones 2,443,548 2,412,273 2,384,347 2,419,210 2,467,983 2,479,817 2,410,575 2,467,594 2,414,845 2,456,492 Servicios profesionales y financieros 3,405,945 3,426,059 3,409,674 3,368,276 3,450,222 3,518,563 3,511,964 3,489,534 3,402,489 3,492,571 Servicios sociales 3,981,389 4,015,035 3,997,040 4,037,004 4,005,277 4,087,306 4,021,022 4,069,300 4,007,617 4,045,726 Servicios diversos 5,120,368 5,152,069 5,156,868 5,208,453 5,084,525 5,095,396 5,208,437 5,276,163 5,159,440 5,166,130 Gobierno y organismos internacionales 2,329,521 2,378,576 2,298,800 2,290,860 2,268,953 2,347,655 2,285,007 2,272,533 2,324,439 2,293,537 No especificado 264,659 275,421 272,714 312,572 275,245 284,510 256,897 292,567 281,342 277,305 Población Desocupada 2,478,071 2,535,195 2,736,699 2,284,602 2,354,167 2,469,280 2,690,175 2,243,479 2,508,642 2,439,275Población No Económicamente Activa PNEA 34,721,352 34,751,266 34,888,299 35,411,886 35,888,470 35,393,389 34,794,857 34,866,546 34,943,201 35,235,815
Población Ocupada 49,080,947 49,301,557 49,455,344 49,823,798 49,366,450 49,790,382 50,265,829 50,690,326 49,415,412 50,028,247Empresas y negocios 24,688,178 24,876,975 24,935,975 25,219,060 25,243,165 25,558,484 25,891,755 26,095,335 24,930,047 25,697,185 Empresas constituidas en sociedad 12,178,329 12,301,251 12,282,991 12,343,204 12,470,609 12,756,397 12,897,141 12,923,335 12,276,444 12,761,870 Negocios no constituidos en sociedad 12,509,849 12,575,724 12,652,984 12,875,856 12,772,556 12,802,087 12,994,615 13,172,001 12,653,603 12,935,315Instituciones 6,591,019 6,650,932 6,526,581 6,542,106 6,577,202 6,633,285 6,520,336 6,585,530 6,577,660 6,579,088 Privadas 942,136 956,762 926,589 935,797 929,888 972,070 960,873 990,073 940,321 963,226 Públicas 5,648,883 5,694,170 5,599,992 5,606,309 5,647,314 5,661,215 5,559,463 5,595,457 5,637,339 5,615,862 Administradas por los gobiernos 5,291,262 5,334,227 5,230,327 5,238,803 5,275,388 5,291,553 5,172,793 5,207,370 5,273,655 5,236,776 No administradas por los gobiernos 357,621 359,943 369,665 367,506 371,926 369,661 386,670 388,086 363,684 379,086Sector de los hogares 17,801,750 17,773,650 17,992,788 18,062,632 17,546,083 17,598,613 17,853,738 18,009,461 17,907,705 17,751,974 Sector informal 13,652,255 13,449,083 13,402,839 13,680,756 13,406,514 13,032,161 12,906,934 13,229,291 13,546,233 13,143,725 Trabajo doméstico remunerado 2,205,129 2,267,739 2,294,598 2,315,340 2,256,869 2,481,916 2,614,572 2,716,565 2,270,702 2,517,480 Agricultura de autosubsistencia 1,684,512 1,792,395 2,048,398 1,783,668 1,640,715 1,840,790 2,115,995 1,834,859 1,827,243 1,858,090Situaciones de carácter especial y no especificadas 259,854 264,433 246,953 282,868 241,985 243,746 216,237 228,746 263,527 232,678
Continúae/ Estimaciones del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO.Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI, "Encuesta Nacional de Ocupación y Empleo".
D-23
Conceptos
D-12.2. ENOE: Indicadores Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo en México 2014-2015(Variación % anual)
2014 2015 Promedio AnualI II III IV I e/ II e/ III e/ IV e/ 2014 2015 e/
Población Total 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1Población de 14 años y más 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.5 1.2 0.8 0.3 1.1 1.0Población Económicamenta Activa PEA 1.4 -0.1 0.3 -0.5 0.3 0.8 1.5 1.6 0.3 1.0 Población Ocupada 1.5 0.0 0.3 -0.2 0.6 1.0 1.6 1.7 0.4 1.2 Primario 2.5 1.3 1.6 -0.2 0.7 -1.6 -0.8 -2.0 1.3 -0.9 Agricultura y ganadería 2.5 1.3 1.6 -0.2 0.7 -1.6 -0.8 -2.0 1.3 -0.9 Secundario 3.7 3.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 2.6 3.6 4.2 2.4 3.1 Industria extractiva y de la electricidad 3.1 3.9 -11.8 -11.8 0.7 1.4 3.4 4.6 -4.4 2.4 Industria manufacturera 5.0 2.5 1.6 0.3 1.1 2.3 3.1 3.7 2.3 2.6 Construcción 1.0 3.8 4.8 4.1 4.0 3.3 4.7 5.2 3.4 4.3 Terciario 0.6 -1.3 -0.7 -0.8 0.0 0.9 1.5 1.7 -0.6 1.0 Comercio 0.8 -1.7 -0.3 -0.8 -0.6 0.3 1.4 2.1 -0.5 0.8 Restaurantes y servicios de alojamiento 3.7 0.1 -1.5 2.3 1.6 3.0 3.6 1.7 1.1 2.5 Transportes y comunicaciones 0.6 -1.7 1.5 -1.8 1.0 2.8 1.1 2.0 -0.4 1.7 Servicios profesionales y financieros 3.6 2.2 1.4 -1.6 1.3 2.7 3.0 3.6 1.4 2.6 Servicios sociales -1.5 -3.1 -0.4 -0.6 0.6 1.8 0.6 0.8 -1.4 1.0 Servicios diversos -1.9 -2.6 -2.1 -0.8 -0.7 -1.1 1.0 1.3 -1.9 0.1 Gobierno y organismos internacionales -0.1 -0.2 -3.5 -3.9 -2.6 -1.3 -0.6 -0.8 -1.9 -1.3 No especificado -10.5 -7.4 1.5 12.0 4.0 3.3 -5.8 -6.4 -1.4 -1.4 Población Desocupada -0.4 -2.5 0.4 -5.8 -5.0 -2.6 -1.7 -1.8 -2.0 -2.8Población No Económicamente Activa PNEA -0.3 2.6 2.8 4.9 3.4 1.8 -0.3 -1.5 2.5 0.8
Población Ocupada 1.5 0.0 0.3 -0.2 0.6 1.0 1.6 1.7 0.4 1.2Empresas y negocios 4.0 3.3 3.2 1.7 2.2 2.7 3.8 3.5 3.0 3.1 Empresas constituidas en sociedad 6.0 4.5 2.5 0.9 2.4 3.7 5.0 4.7 3.4 4.0 Negocios no constituidos en sociedad 2.2 2.1 4.0 2.5 2.1 1.8 2.7 2.3 2.7 2.2Instituciones -1.2 -1.7 -3.1 -3.4 -0.2 -0.3 -0.1 0.7 -2.3 0.0 Privadas 0.4 -0.5 -4.3 -5.9 -1.3 1.6 3.7 5.8 -2.6 2.4 Públicas -1.4 -1.9 -2.8 -2.9 0.0 -0.6 -0.7 -0.2 -2.3 -0.4 Administradas por los gobiernos -2.0 -2.0 -3.4 -3.2 -0.3 -0.8 -1.1 -0.6 -2.7 -0.7 No administradas por los gobiernos 9.0 -1.7 5.9 1.3 4.0 2.7 4.6 5.6 3.5 4.2Sector de los hogares -0.8 -3.6 -2.3 -1.8 -1.4 -1.0 -0.8 -0.3 -2.1 -0.9 Sector informal -1.4 -4.5 -3.1 -1.7 -1.8 -3.1 -3.7 -3.3 -2.7 -3.0 Trabajo doméstico remunerado 0.5 3.3 3.3 2.2 2.3 9.4 13.9 17.3 2.3 10.9 Agricultura de autosubsistencia 3.3 -3.3 -2.7 -7.7 -2.6 2.7 3.3 2.9 -2.8 1.7Situaciones de carácter especial y no especificadas -9.0 -10.9 -5.7 4.0 -6.9 -7.8 -12.4 -19.1 -5.6 -11.7
Continúae/ Estimaciones del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO.Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI, "Encuesta Nacional de Ocupación y Empleo".
D-24
Conceptos
D-12.3. ENOE: Indicadores Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo en México 2014-2015(Promedios y tasas)
2014 2015 Promedio AnualI II III IV I e/ II e/ III e/ IV e/ 2014 2015 e/
PROMEDIOS
Edad promedio de la PEA 38.55 38.63 38.64 38.75 36.21 35.74 36.58 37.28 38.64 36.45
Años de escolaridad de la PEA 9.59 9.58 9.59 9.59 9.64 9.68 9.71 9.74 9.59 9.69
Horas trabajadas a la semana de la población ocupada 42.64 42.40 42.95 42.84 42.60 42.11 42.90 42.95 42.71 42.64
Índice remuneraciones nominales (2008=100) 109.1 109.4 107.7 108.2 109.5 110.1 109.5 110.5 108.6 109.9 Variación % anual -1.3 -0.3 -0.8 -1.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 2.0 -0.9 1.2
Índice remuneraciones reales (2008=100) 86.2 86.4 84.5 83.6 83.8 84.6 83.6 82.6 85.2 83.7 Variación % anual -5.2 -3.8 -4.8 -5.1 -2.7 -2.1 -1.0 -1.1 -4.7 -1.8
TASAS
Tasas calculadas contra la población en edad de trabajar
Tasa de participación 59.76 59.87 59.94 59.54 59.27 59.68 59.27 59.58 59.77 59.45
Tasas calculadas contra la población económicamente activa
Tasa de desocupación 4.81 4.89 5.24 4.38 4.55 4.73 5.08 4.24 4.83 4.65
Tasa de ocupación parcial y desocupación 11.00 11.25 11.30 10.40 10.54 10.86 10.91 10.03 10.99 10.58
Tasa de presión general 8.88 8.71 9.10 8.10 8.57 8.74 8.71 8.38 8.70 8.60
Tasas calculadas contra la población ocupada
Tasa de trabajo asalariado 63.66 63.70 63.57 63.80 63.74 63.83 63.91 63.68 63.68 63.79
Tasa de subocupación 8.34 8.17 8.11 7.98 8.84 8.62 8.51 8.44 8.15 8.60
Tasa de condiciones críticas de ocupación 11.71 11.45 11.74 12.05 12.17 11.64 11.53 11.17 11.74 11.63
Tasa de Informalidad Laboral 58.00 57.56 57.88 57.92 56.97 56.63 57.04 58.02 57.84 57.17
Tasa de ocupación en el sector informal 27.82 27.28 27.10 27.46 27.16 26.17 25.68 26.10 27.41 26.28
e/ Estimaciones del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO.Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI, "Encuesta Nacional de Ocupación y Empleo". Conclusión
D-25
Conceptos
Sección: D-VII. INEGI Indicadores
de Ocupación por Sectores Económicos
Cuadro D-13. INEGI Indicadores de Ocupación por Sectores Económicos 1980-2020
D-13. Indicadores de Ocupación por Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2015-2020Encuesta Mensual del INEGI
Industria Industria Establecimientos Servicios PrivadosAños Manufacturera de la Construcción Comerciales No Financieros
Indice 2008=100 % Indice 2008=100 % Indice 2008=100 % Indice 2008=100 %
1980 152.1 7.2 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. …..1981 160.5 5.6 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. …..1982 156.7 -2.4 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. …..1983 141.7 -9.6 156.0 ….. ….. ….. ….. …..1984 140.3 -1.0 172.9 10.9 ….. ….. ….. …..1985 143.5 2.3 171.4 -0.9 ….. ….. ….. …..1986 137.6 -4.1 113.5 -33.8 62.7 ….. ….. …..1987 132.4 -3.8 140.3 23.5 63.7 1.7 ….. …..1988 132.1 -0.2 112.1 -20.1 65.9 3.5 ….. …..1989 135.2 2.3 145.3 29.6 67.5 2.4 ….. …..1990 135.3 0.1 184.4 26.9 70.0 3.8 ….. …..1991 133.0 -1.7 206.2 11.8 71.9 2.7 ….. …..1992 127.9 -3.8 239.5 16.2 73.3 1.9 ….. …..1993 119.1 -6.9 231.2 -3.5 72.1 -1.7 ….. …..1994 115.5 -3.0 222.5 -3.8 70.4 -2.3 ….. …..1995 105.2 -8.9 126.6 -43.1 66.7 -5.3 ….. …..1996 107.7 2.3 132.6 4.7 66.3 -0.5 ….. …..1997 112.8 4.7 134.6 1.5 69.0 4.0 ….. …..1998 116.9 3.7 138.4 2.8 72.9 5.7 ….. …..1999 117.7 0.6 135.5 -2.1 75.7 3.8 ….. …..2000 118.8 1.0 116.5 -14.0 78.2 3.3 ….. …..2001 113.6 -4.4 106.0 -9.0 82.2 5.0 ….. …..2002 107.9 -5.0 93.1 -12.2 83.7 1.8 ….. …..2003 104.2 -3.4 90.2 -3.1 85.6 2.3 ….. …..2004 100.9 -3.2 92.4 2.5 88.1 2.9 ….. …..2005 100.0 -0.8 96.5 4.4 90.6 2.8 99.4 …..2006 101.5 1.4 100.9 4.5 94.4 4.1 103.7 4.32007 101.2 -0.2 102.6 1.7 97.3 3.1 105.8 2.02008 100.0 -1.2 100.0 -2.6 100.0 2.8 100.0 -5.52009 91.3 -8.7 94.0 -6.0 97.3 -2.7 97.8 -2.22010 94.5 3.5 94.5 0.6 99.2 2.0 97.7 -0.12011 97.3 3.0 97.2 2.8 102.5 3.3 98.8 1.12012 99.5 2.2 99.6 2.5 105.8 3.2 102.2 3.52013 101.4 2.0 95.7 -3.9 107.4 1.5 102.2 0.02014 104.0 2.5 94.2 -1.7 110.4 2.8 102.9 0.7
2015 106.7 2.7 95.6 1.5 114.1 3.3 105.1 2.12016 109.9 3.0 99.3 3.9 117.6 3.0 108.1 2.92017 113.7 3.4 105.6 6.4 121.1 3.0 112.9 4.42018 117.4 3.2 112.6 6.6 123.7 2.2 117.3 3.92019 120.9 3.0 119.3 5.9 126.1 1.9 121.7 3.72020 124.9 3.3 126.5 6.0 128.5 2.0 126.3 3.9
D-26
!!!!!!!
!!!!! !!!!!
!
!!
!Sección: E-I. !
Remuneración Mensual Nominal 1980-2020!
Sección: E-II. !Remuneración Mensual Real 1980-2020!
Sección: E-III. !Productividad Media Laboral 1980-2020!
Sección: E-IV. !Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra 1980-2020!
Sección: E-V. !Otros Indicadores Salariales 1980-2020!
Sección: E-VI. !Índice Global de Productividad Laboral de la Economía 1980-2020!
Sección: E-VII. !PTF Productividad Total de los Factores
1991-2012!
!E. Remuneración Media Mensual, !
Productividad Laboral, Costo Laboral Unitario y PTF
Sección: E-I. Remuneración Mensual Nominal
Cuadro E-1.
Grandes Sectores Económicos
Cuadro E-2.
Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica
Cuadro E-3. Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica
Cuadro E-4. Industria Manufacturera
Cuadro E-5. Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas
Cuadro E-6.
Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos
E-1. Remuneración Media Mensual por Grandes Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2015-2020(En pesos nominales por persona)
Remuneración Media Mensual Nominal % del Total de las Remuneración de los AsalariadosAños Total Sector Agropecuario Sector Industrial Sector Servicios Total Primario Secundario Terciario
Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% % % % %
1980 7.20 25.4 1.52 21.8 9.75 22.7 8.29 26.0 100.0 4.7 38.5 56.81981 9.67 34.4 2.08 36.9 12.84 31.6 11.13 34.3 100.0 4.6 38.5 56.91982 14.58 50.7 2.98 43.5 19.21 49.6 16.77 50.6 100.0 4.3 37.5 58.21983 22.66 55.4 5.02 68.3 30.51 58.9 26.36 57.2 100.0 5.0 35.2 59.81984 35.66 57.4 7.90 57.4 47.25 54.8 41.66 58.0 100.0 4.9 35.1 60.01985 56.15 57.4 12.51 58.2 74.92 58.6 65.35 56.9 100.0 5.0 35.7 59.41986 94.34 68.0 23.39 87.0 126.37 68.7 108.29 65.7 100.0 5.5 35.3 59.21987 214.66 127.5 50.43 115.6 290.69 130.0 246.55 127.7 100.0 5.2 35.7 59.11988 420.55 95.9 92.07 82.6 591.92 103.6 477.69 93.8 100.0 4.9 36.9 58.11989 532.71 26.7 108.01 17.3 732.79 23.8 605.70 26.8 100.0 4.4 37.0 58.61990 683.33 28.3 122.62 13.5 913.98 24.7 788.37 30.2 100.0 3.8 36.7 59.51991 888.79 30.1 150.85 23.0 1,152.26 26.1 1,038.13 31.7 100.0 3.5 35.3 61.21992 1,100.85 23.9 170.89 13.3 1,388.07 20.5 1,302.79 25.5 100.0 3.1 34.1 62.81993 1,283.15 16.6 185.17 8.4 1,541.83 11.1 1,565.09 20.1 100.0 2.9 32.1 65.01994 1,442.41 12.4 195.90 5.8 1,694.08 9.9 1,776.29 13.5 100.0 2.7 31.1 66.31995 1,685.21 16.8 228.87 16.8 2,000.29 18.1 2,070.44 16.6 100.0 2.7 29.6 67.71996 2,090.99 24.1 278.35 21.6 2,480.64 24.0 2,561.60 23.7 100.0 2.6 31.2 66.21997 2,604.95 24.6 338.01 21.4 3,012.35 21.4 3,167.91 23.7 100.0 2.4 32.1 65.51998 3,129.55 20.1 392.96 16.3 3,600.56 19.5 3,815.66 20.4 100.0 2.3 32.5 65.21999 3,723.41 19.0 450.10 14.5 4,242.91 17.8 4,547.09 19.2 100.0 2.2 32.4 65.42000 4,367.19 17.3 513.03 14.0 4,918.96 15.9 5,313.53 16.9 100.0 2.0 32.5 65.52001 4,831.76 10.6 565.46 10.2 5,479.44 11.4 5,882.70 10.7 100.0 2.1 31.5 66.52002 5,265.60 9.0 609.52 7.8 5,865.51 7.0 6,454.80 9.7 100.0 2.0 30.3 67.72003 5,629.77 6.9 642.31 5.4 6,178.13 5.3 6,975.66 8.1 100.0 2.0 29.7 68.32004 5,853.43 4.0 665.80 3.7 6,442.82 4.3 7,345.30 5.3 100.0 2.1 30.3 67.62005 6,253.24 6.8 703.22 5.6 6,728.47 4.4 7,816.65 6.4 100.0 2.0 30.0 68.02006 6,566.72 5.0 728.02 3.5 7,001.20 4.1 8,296.73 6.1 100.0 2.0 30.3 67.72007 6,934.96 5.6 751.48 3.2 7,319.92 4.6 8,753.12 5.5 100.0 1.9 29.8 68.32008 7,386.40 6.5 783.37 4.2 7,655.05 4.6 9,354.99 6.9 100.0 1.8 29.5 68.72009 7,793.85 5.5 826.94 5.6 8,011.29 4.7 9,894.78 5.8 100.0 1.9 27.6 70.52010 8,101.91 4.0 868.74 5.1 8,203.47 2.4 10,412.85 5.2 100.0 1.9 26.8 71.22011 8,566.21 5.7 924.31 6.4 8,557.02 4.3 10,912.40 4.8 100.0 1.8 27.1 71.12012 8,975.63 4.8 950.36 2.8 9,074.29 6.0 11,454.17 5.0 100.0 1.9 27.0 71.12013 9,432.24 5.1 998.79 5.1 9,535.07 5.1 12,026.51 5.0 100.0 1.9 25.7 72.42014 9,894.96 4.9 1,037.89 3.9 9,964.03 4.5 12,586.51 4.7 100.0 1.8 25.5 72.7
2015 10,441.62 5.5 1,095.88 5.6 10,463.74 5.0 13,257.55 5.3 100.0 1.8 25.5 72.72016 11,108.69 6.4 1,158.46 5.7 11,048.38 5.6 14,073.87 6.2 100.0 1.8 25.7 72.52017 11,892.92 7.1 1,242.42 7.2 11,706.05 6.0 15,014.14 6.7 100.0 1.7 26.2 72.12018 12,702.54 6.8 1,322.73 6.5 12,432.75 6.2 16,050.51 6.9 100.0 1.7 26.7 71.62019 13,539.65 6.6 1,405.88 6.3 13,174.75 6.0 17,077.89 6.4 100.0 1.6 27.3 71.12020 14,435.34 6.6 1,487.61 5.8 13,996.35 6.2 18,202.58 6.6 100.0 1.6 27.9 70.6
Continúa
E-1
E-2. Remuneración Mensual en el Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2015-2020(En pesos nominales por persona)
Remuneración Media Mensual NominalAños Total Minería Manufacturas Construcción Electricidad
Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.%
1980 9.75 22.7 18.24 23.0 8.52 23.2 10.93 20.7 18.24 20.51981 12.84 31.6 23.79 30.5 11.26 32.2 14.11 29.1 23.94 31.21982 19.21 49.6 33.92 42.6 17.44 54.9 19.85 40.7 38.93 62.61983 30.51 58.9 52.77 55.5 27.30 56.5 32.48 63.7 59.02 51.61984 47.25 54.8 81.45 54.4 42.40 55.3 50.36 55.0 83.40 41.31985 74.92 58.6 141.83 74.1 66.82 57.6 79.13 57.1 125.00 49.91986 126.37 68.7 227.10 60.1 114.32 71.1 131.69 66.4 203.58 62.91987 290.69 130.0 518.87 128.5 264.76 131.6 294.67 123.8 518.93 154.91988 591.92 103.6 1,044.58 101.3 565.61 113.6 553.96 88.0 930.68 79.31989 732.79 23.8 1,263.54 21.0 739.53 30.7 626.97 13.2 1,143.21 22.81990 913.98 24.7 1,526.36 20.8 932.09 26.0 782.87 24.9 1,480.67 29.51991 1,152.26 26.1 2,136.19 40.0 1,173.77 25.9 974.61 24.5 1,883.60 27.21992 1,388.07 20.5 2,668.65 24.9 1,428.09 21.7 1,162.89 19.3 2,351.41 24.81993 1,541.83 11.1 3,108.07 16.5 1,574.10 10.2 1,310.47 12.7 2,854.39 21.41994 1,694.08 9.9 3,234.35 4.1 1,748.43 11.1 1,442.64 10.1 3,333.84 16.81995 2,000.29 18.1 4,138.68 28.0 2,057.54 17.7 1,640.42 13.7 4,074.82 22.21996 2,480.64 24.0 5,347.11 29.2 2,539.62 23.4 2,082.31 26.9 5,076.28 24.61997 3,012.35 21.4 6,503.34 21.6 3,063.73 20.6 2,600.62 24.9 6,152.34 21.21998 3,600.56 19.5 7,405.64 13.9 3,665.98 19.7 3,157.24 21.4 7,083.02 15.11999 4,242.91 17.8 8,428.35 13.8 4,324.98 18.0 3,722.50 17.9 8,483.28 19.82000 4,918.96 15.9 10,833.42 28.5 5,051.15 16.8 4,212.66 13.2 10,079.20 18.82001 5,479.44 11.4 12,183.36 12.5 5,650.26 11.9 4,623.26 9.7 11,147.39 10.62002 5,865.51 7.0 13,328.79 9.4 6,102.43 8.0 4,869.40 5.3 12,308.45 10.42003 6,178.13 5.3 13,423.04 0.7 6,441.30 5.6 5,151.79 5.8 13,225.25 7.42004 6,442.82 4.3 14,580.58 8.6 6,801.09 5.6 5,352.03 3.9 14,217.71 7.52005 6,728.47 4.4 14,925.16 2.4 7,190.88 5.7 5,548.78 3.7 14,959.19 5.22006 7,001.20 4.1 15,972.14 7.0 7,571.65 5.3 5,779.51 4.2 15,887.85 6.22007 7,319.92 4.6 17,041.07 6.7 7,944.85 4.9 6,031.04 4.4 16,720.70 5.22008 7,655.05 4.6 19,176.85 12.5 8,382.74 5.5 6,280.36 4.1 17,970.98 7.52009 8,011.29 4.7 20,867.30 8.8 8,709.05 3.9 6,488.24 3.3 19,509.33 8.62010 8,203.47 2.4 20,504.39 -1.7 8,897.78 2.2 6,718.82 3.6 19,930.60 2.22011 8,557.02 4.3 22,469.16 9.6 9,277.36 4.3 6,995.18 4.1 21,646.29 8.62012 9,074.29 6.0 24,282.72 8.1 9,892.68 6.6 7,349.99 5.1 23,027.25 6.42013 9,535.07 5.1 26,039.03 7.2 10,200.55 3.1 7,657.37 4.2 24,392.44 5.92014 9,964.03 4.5 27,571.75 5.9 10,607.90 4.0 8,023.63 4.8 25,903.26 6.2
2015 10,463.74 5.0 29,507.21 7.0 11,089.23 4.5 8,444.63 5.2 27,813.56 7.42016 11,048.38 5.6 32,008.01 8.5 11,656.56 5.1 8,929.02 5.7 30,114.50 8.32017 11,706.05 6.0 34,999.80 9.3 12,316.68 5.7 9,483.70 6.2 32,816.51 9.02018 12,432.75 6.2 38,555.43 10.2 13,032.00 5.8 10,090.16 6.4 35,897.56 9.42019 13,174.75 6.0 42,434.33 10.1 13,726.38 5.3 10,707.60 6.1 39,083.33 8.92020 13,996.35 6.2 46,789.22 10.3 14,478.00 5.5 11,383.43 6.3 42,734.62 9.3
E-2
E-3. Remuneración Mensual en el Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2015-2020(En pesos nominales por persona)
Remuneración Media Mensual NominalComercio, Transporte, Almacenaje Servicios Financieros, Servicios Comunales,
Total Restaurantes y Hoteles y Comunicaciones Seguros e Inmuebles Sociales y PersonalesNominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.%
1980 8.29 26.0 7.03 22.3 9.54 17.9 18.60 24.4 8.30 28.41981 11.13 34.3 9.10 29.6 12.83 34.5 24.74 33.0 11.28 35.91982 16.77 50.6 12.94 42.1 18.64 45.3 37.19 50.3 17.34 53.81983 26.36 57.2 21.45 65.8 31.57 69.3 57.33 54.1 26.41 52.31984 41.66 58.0 33.10 54.3 49.42 56.6 90.69 58.2 42.04 59.21985 65.35 56.9 51.56 55.8 78.49 58.8 145.13 60.0 65.80 56.51986 108.29 65.7 86.71 68.2 134.43 71.3 253.38 74.6 107.15 62.81987 246.55 127.7 189.65 118.7 305.94 127.6 609.71 140.6 245.65 129.31988 477.69 93.8 359.47 89.5 648.35 111.9 1,187.33 94.7 471.82 92.11989 605.70 26.8 466.97 29.9 790.88 22.0 1,487.56 25.3 600.16 27.21990 788.37 30.2 613.77 31.4 992.07 25.4 2,070.62 39.2 781.40 30.21991 1,038.13 31.7 800.33 30.4 1,293.57 30.4 2,815.39 36.0 1,033.38 32.21992 1,302.79 25.5 976.26 22.0 1,600.03 23.7 3,800.84 35.0 1,306.51 26.41993 1,565.09 20.1 1,128.85 15.6 1,836.05 14.8 4,633.39 21.9 1,600.51 22.51994 1,776.29 13.5 1,240.44 9.9 1,980.09 7.8 5,078.79 9.6 1,861.64 16.31995 2,070.44 16.6 1,426.83 15.0 2,420.10 22.2 5,699.49 12.2 2,177.67 17.01996 2,561.60 23.7 1,716.52 20.3 2,993.30 23.7 6,618.63 16.1 2,728.01 25.31997 3,167.91 23.7 2,067.84 20.5 3,614.97 20.8 8,236.68 24.4 3,410.13 25.01998 3,815.66 20.4 2,448.01 18.4 4,268.94 18.1 9,302.46 12.9 4,176.73 22.51999 4,547.09 19.2 2,863.71 17.0 5,102.33 19.5 10,238.42 10.1 5,053.17 21.02000 5,313.53 16.9 3,322.89 16.0 5,911.69 15.9 10,881.97 6.3 5,981.86 18.42001 5,882.70 10.7 3,554.70 7.0 6,383.54 8.0 11,409.53 4.8 6,769.76 13.22002 6,454.80 9.7 3,763.10 5.9 6,810.62 6.7 13,134.82 15.1 7,490.07 10.62003 6,975.66 8.1 3,933.08 4.5 7,214.54 5.9 12,744.02 -3.0 8,267.51 10.42004 7,345.30 5.3 4,157.62 5.7 7,720.19 7.0 13,223.83 3.8 8,693.76 5.22005 7,816.65 6.4 4,455.96 7.2 8,210.13 6.3 14,355.32 8.6 9,235.78 6.22006 8,296.73 6.1 4,646.79 4.3 8,599.47 4.7 15,134.08 5.4 9,886.96 7.12007 8,753.12 5.5 4,802.72 3.4 9,084.29 5.6 16,325.68 7.9 10,453.05 5.72008 9,354.99 6.9 5,033.05 4.8 9,560.53 5.2 18,680.47 14.4 11,211.89 7.32009 9,894.78 5.8 5,156.86 2.5 9,970.77 4.3 19,648.48 5.2 11,941.56 6.52010 10,412.85 5.2 5,334.39 3.4 10,518.54 5.5 20,786.71 5.8 12,617.47 5.72011 10,912.40 4.8 5,453.54 2.2 11,125.80 5.8 21,449.09 3.2 13,301.92 5.42012 11,454.17 5.0 5,615.31 3.0 11,751.29 5.6 22,305.96 4.0 14,014.05 5.42013 12,026.51 5.0 5,963.18 6.2 12,249.47 4.2 22,702.22 1.8 14,733.27 5.12014 12,586.51 4.7 6,180.24 3.6 12,898.69 5.3 23,219.50 2.3 15,533.86 5.4
2015 13,257.55 5.3 6,491.40 5.0 13,646.82 5.8 23,761.83 2.3 16,462.69 6.02016 14,073.87 6.2 6,836.04 5.3 14,533.86 6.5 24,554.76 3.3 17,565.61 6.72017 15,014.14 6.7 7,224.69 5.7 15,493.09 6.6 25,614.53 4.3 18,788.96 7.02018 16,050.51 6.9 7,649.40 5.9 16,531.13 6.7 26,636.80 4.0 20,141.49 7.22019 17,077.89 6.4 8,073.19 5.5 17,539.53 6.1 27,564.30 3.5 21,475.83 6.62020 18,202.58 6.6 8,537.47 5.8 18,626.98 6.2 28,536.95 3.5 22,938.53 6.8
E-3
Años
E-4. Remuneración Mensual en la Industria Manufacturera por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2015-2020(En pesos nominales por persona)
Industria Alimentos, Textiles, Madera Imprenta Años Manufacturera Bebidas y Tabaco Vestidos y Cuero y sus Productos y Editoriales
Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.%
1980 8.52 23.2 6.03 22.1 6.58 22.7 5.40 26.0 11.10 25.21981 11.26 32.2 7.82 29.7 8.48 28.7 7.32 35.7 13.89 25.11982 17.44 54.9 11.76 50.3 12.91 52.4 10.95 49.5 20.84 50.11983 27.30 56.5 18.21 54.9 20.74 60.6 17.86 63.1 32.78 57.31984 42.40 55.3 28.41 56.0 31.86 53.6 27.58 54.4 50.13 52.91985 66.82 57.6 44.36 56.1 50.04 57.1 42.64 54.6 77.49 54.61986 114.32 71.1 75.60 70.4 84.14 68.1 75.39 76.8 131.76 70.01987 264.76 131.6 169.88 124.7 188.01 123.5 167.15 121.7 307.33 133.21988 565.61 113.6 344.62 102.9 396.74 111.0 325.32 94.6 660.19 114.81989 739.53 30.7 464.91 34.9 527.97 33.1 418.02 28.5 806.89 22.21990 932.09 26.0 600.99 29.3 664.28 25.8 545.57 30.5 997.47 23.61991 1,173.77 25.9 790.45 31.5 826.43 24.4 686.62 25.9 1,239.88 24.31992 1,428.09 21.7 978.13 23.7 1,013.21 22.6 814.40 18.6 1,548.51 24.91993 1,574.10 10.2 1,143.20 16.9 1,097.74 8.3 898.22 10.3 1,709.76 10.41994 1,748.43 11.1 1,284.47 12.4 1,198.15 9.1 1,000.20 11.4 1,924.54 12.61995 2,057.54 17.7 1,479.93 15.2 1,301.67 8.6 1,149.46 14.9 2,185.46 13.61996 2,539.62 23.4 1,834.80 24.0 1,556.76 19.6 1,409.52 22.6 2,727.09 24.81997 3,063.73 20.6 2,212.53 20.6 1,866.11 19.9 1,697.87 20.5 3,127.63 14.71998 3,665.98 19.7 2,658.52 20.2 2,237.15 19.9 2,015.62 18.7 3,717.73 18.91999 4,324.98 18.0 3,135.30 17.9 2,614.30 16.9 2,457.39 21.9 4,447.79 19.62000 5,051.15 16.8 3,647.68 16.3 3,109.43 18.9 2,848.85 15.9 5,118.76 15.12001 5,650.26 11.9 4,114.29 12.8 3,447.94 10.9 3,233.70 13.5 5,661.06 10.62002 6,102.43 8.0 4,482.36 8.9 3,801.66 10.3 3,539.18 9.4 6,137.64 8.42003 6,441.30 5.6 4,720.93 5.3 4,021.68 5.8 3,786.83 7.0 6,466.21 5.42004 6,801.09 5.6 5,001.68 5.9 4,257.10 5.9 3,910.09 3.3 6,770.52 4.72005 7,190.88 5.7 5,223.35 4.4 4,535.61 6.5 4,137.90 5.8 7,134.92 5.42006 7,571.65 5.3 5,519.17 5.7 4,716.04 4.0 4,369.19 5.6 7,196.27 0.92007 7,944.85 4.9 5,719.87 3.6 4,827.67 2.4 4,613.50 5.6 7,357.50 2.22008 8,382.74 5.5 5,832.92 2.0 5,072.89 5.1 4,875.67 5.7 7,771.93 5.62009 8,709.05 3.9 5,956.25 2.1 5,232.02 3.1 4,995.82 2.5 8,134.82 4.72010 8,897.78 2.2 6,198.44 4.1 5,376.26 2.8 5,213.69 4.4 8,426.86 3.62011 9,277.36 4.3 6,395.77 3.2 5,632.06 4.8 5,463.80 4.8 8,730.68 3.62012 9,892.68 6.6 6,745.70 5.5 5,838.50 3.7 5,672.19 3.8 9,335.06 6.92013 10,200.55 3.1 6,980.11 3.5 6,065.63 3.9 5,893.57 3.9 9,708.74 4.02014 10,607.90 4.0 7,296.79 4.5 6,328.12 4.3 6,071.75 3.0 10,183.23 4.9
2015 11,089.23 4.5 7,629.50 4.6 6,589.64 4.1 6,291.78 3.6 10,707.18 5.12016 11,656.56 5.1 7,988.45 4.7 6,886.14 4.5 6,545.59 4.0 11,322.54 5.72017 12,316.68 5.7 8,409.10 5.3 7,218.09 4.8 6,837.79 4.5 12,012.52 6.12018 13,032.00 5.8 8,870.79 5.5 7,578.61 5.0 7,167.42 4.8 12,788.08 6.52019 13,726.38 5.3 9,324.15 5.1 7,931.62 4.7 7,477.25 4.3 13,558.95 6.02020 14,478.00 5.5 9,818.96 5.3 8,300.83 4.7 7,808.08 4.4 14,379.19 6.0
Continúa
E-4
Continuación
Químicos, Minerales Industrias Maquinaria Otras
Años Petróleo y Caucho No Metálicos Metálicas Básicas y Equipo Industrias
Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.%
1980 14.49 25.7 6.63 24.8 10.26 22.6 10.85 20.6 8.38 20.21981 18.85 30.1 8.67 30.7 13.81 34.6 14.47 33.4 10.89 30.01982 28.82 52.9 13.68 57.8 22.33 61.7 22.94 58.6 16.37 50.31983 44.96 56.0 21.50 57.2 34.43 54.2 36.00 56.9 26.46 61.61984 70.32 56.4 33.29 54.8 53.18 54.4 55.64 54.6 40.85 54.41985 114.93 63.4 52.24 56.9 82.45 55.0 89.14 60.2 62.07 51.91986 201.54 75.4 92.51 77.1 137.38 66.6 154.59 73.4 109.06 75.71987 471.74 134.1 208.02 124.9 345.20 151.3 355.37 129.9 239.88 120.01988 1,029.10 118.2 449.07 115.9 750.06 117.3 765.55 115.4 468.63 95.41989 1,303.97 26.7 580.67 29.3 1,028.14 37.1 992.21 29.6 597.01 27.41990 1,639.57 25.7 724.44 24.8 1,286.48 25.1 1,246.15 25.6 729.08 22.11991 2,088.48 27.4 932.30 28.7 1,531.86 19.1 1,578.82 26.7 925.08 26.91992 2,562.19 22.7 1,113.91 19.5 1,927.91 25.9 1,890.91 19.8 1,149.95 24.31993 2,852.79 11.3 1,233.09 10.7 2,017.79 4.7 2,087.38 10.4 1,313.94 14.31994 3,142.88 10.2 1,372.49 11.3 2,251.88 11.6 2,322.50 11.3 1,444.74 10.01995 3,827.54 21.8 1,701.95 24.0 2,708.99 20.3 2,775.25 19.5 1,673.48 15.81996 4,913.96 28.4 1,963.45 15.4 3,282.00 21.2 3,403.14 22.6 2,090.44 24.91997 5,956.13 21.2 2,296.84 17.0 3,880.83 18.2 4,130.76 21.4 2,569.24 22.91998 7,206.64 21.0 2,702.75 17.7 4,590.93 18.3 4,897.44 18.6 3,076.97 19.81999 8,557.88 18.8 3,225.03 19.3 5,206.17 13.4 5,827.34 19.0 3,591.85 16.72000 9,947.21 16.2 3,678.90 14.1 5,882.83 13.0 6,835.26 17.3 4,309.80 20.02001 10,943.67 10.0 4,289.38 16.6 6,404.11 8.9 7,783.94 13.9 4,683.36 8.72002 11,762.12 7.5 4,653.77 8.5 6,858.99 7.1 8,297.13 6.6 5,039.37 7.62003 12,798.02 8.8 4,973.67 6.9 7,267.85 6.0 8,584.62 3.5 5,329.92 5.82004 13,880.88 8.5 5,258.51 5.7 7,449.82 2.5 8,986.65 4.7 5,859.74 9.92005 15,098.73 8.8 5,314.61 1.1 7,764.12 4.2 9,504.91 5.8 6,143.69 4.82006 15,832.08 4.9 5,457.04 2.7 8,181.19 5.4 10,135.57 6.6 6,635.77 8.02007 16,880.07 6.6 5,678.34 4.1 8,766.75 7.2 10,599.70 4.6 7,010.28 5.62008 17,834.43 5.7 6,087.22 7.2 9,219.82 5.2 11,351.96 7.1 7,503.52 7.02009 19,606.08 9.9 6,387.99 4.9 9,989.59 8.3 12,055.73 6.2 7,694.15 2.52010 19,573.06 -0.2 6,421.34 0.5 10,394.35 4.1 12,060.02 0.0 8,031.02 4.42011 20,650.39 5.5 6,353.26 -1.1 10,802.62 3.9 12,487.96 3.5 8,280.23 3.12012 22,258.56 7.8 6,540.23 2.9 12,049.38 11.5 13,371.84 7.1 8,426.27 1.82013 23,173.70 4.1 6,506.04 -0.5 12,626.04 4.8 13,780.17 3.1 8,320.82 -1.32014 23,951.11 3.4 6,636.16 2.0 13,289.67 5.3 14,222.60 3.2 8,428.99 1.3
2015 25,012.46 4.4 6,841.89 3.1 14,098.59 6.1 14,790.24 4.0 8,580.71 1.82016 26,264.09 5.0 7,095.03 3.7 14,999.96 6.4 15,470.75 4.6 8,769.49 2.22017 27,717.26 5.5 7,400.12 4.3 16,021.58 6.8 16,276.37 5.2 8,988.73 2.52018 29,304.83 5.7 7,725.73 4.4 17,117.83 6.8 17,150.76 5.4 9,222.43 2.62019 30,833.36 5.2 8,019.30 3.8 18,222.96 6.5 17,995.80 4.9 9,416.10 2.12020 32,476.26 5.3 8,340.08 4.0 19,411.41 6.5 18,904.08 5.0 9,632.67 2.3
Conclusión
E-5
Minería Electricidad ConstrucciónTotal Generación, Agua y sumistro Construcción Trabajos
Sector Extracción metálicos y no transmisión de gas por ductos de obras de especializadosIndustrial de petróleo metálicos, excepto y suministro de al consumidor ingeniería para la
Total subsector y gas petróleo y gas Total subsector energía eléctrica final Total subsector Edificación civil construcciónNominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.%
1980 9.75 22.7 18.24 23.0 18.24 20.5 10.93 20.71981 12.84 31.6 23.79 30.5 23.94 31.2 14.11 29.11982 19.21 49.6 33.92 42.6 38.93 62.6 19.85 40.71983 30.51 58.9 52.77 55.5 59.02 51.6 32.48 63.71984 47.25 54.8 81.45 54.4 83.40 41.3 50.36 55.01985 74.92 58.6 141.83 74.1 125.00 49.9 79.13 57.11986 126.37 68.7 227.10 60.1 203.58 62.9 131.69 66.41987 290.69 130.0 518.87 128.5 518.93 154.9 294.67 123.81988 591.92 103.6 1,044.58 101.3 930.68 79.3 553.96 88.01989 732.79 23.8 1,263.54 21.0 1,143.21 22.8 626.97 13.21990 913.98 24.7 1,526.36 20.8 1,480.67 29.5 782.87 24.91991 1,152.26 26.1 2,136.19 40.0 1,883.60 27.2 974.61 24.51992 1,388.07 20.5 2,668.65 24.9 2,351.41 24.8 1,162.89 19.31993 1,541.83 11.1 3,108.07 16.5 2,854.39 21.4 1,310.47 12.71994 1,694.08 9.9 3,234.35 4.1 3,333.84 16.8 1,442.64 10.11995 2,000.29 18.1 4,138.68 28.0 4,074.82 22.2 1,640.42 13.71996 2,480.64 24.0 5,347.11 29.2 5,076.28 24.6 2,082.31 26.91997 3,012.35 21.4 6,503.34 21.6 6,152.34 21.2 2,600.62 24.91998 3,600.56 19.5 7,405.64 13.9 7,083.02 15.1 3,157.24 21.41999 4,242.91 17.8 8,428.35 13.8 8,483.28 19.8 3,722.50 17.92000 4,918.96 15.9 10,833.42 28.5 10,079.20 18.8 4,212.66 13.22001 5,479.44 11.4 12,183.36 12.5 11,147.39 10.6 4,623.26 9.72002 5,865.51 7.0 13,328.79 9.4 12,308.45 10.4 4,869.40 5.32003 6,178.13 5.3 13,423.04 0.7 26,564.18 9,928.38 13,225.25 7.4 17,610.41 8,046.15 5,151.79 5.8 5,216.22 5,338.21 4,408.482004 6,442.82 4.3 14,580.58 8.6 28,017.55 5.5 11,020.27 11.0 14,217.71 7.5 19,153.87 8.8 8,400.94 4.4 5,352.03 3.9 5,413.22 3.8 5,597.76 4.9 4,574.34 3.82005 6,728.47 4.4 14,925.16 2.4 26,979.72 -3.7 11,624.40 5.5 14,959.19 5.2 20,355.29 6.3 8,628.74 2.7 5,548.78 3.7 5,603.29 3.5 5,846.76 4.4 4,738.07 3.62006 7,001.20 4.1 15,972.14 7.0 30,317.50 12.4 12,123.15 4.3 15,887.85 6.2 22,056.33 8.4 8,768.72 1.6 5,779.51 4.2 5,829.83 4.0 6,103.70 4.4 4,925.75 4.02007 7,319.92 4.6 17,041.07 6.7 33,801.12 11.5 12,898.38 6.4 16,720.70 5.2 23,449.90 6.3 9,009.74 2.7 6,031.04 4.4 6,060.99 4.0 6,493.98 6.4 5,096.48 3.52008 7,655.05 4.6 19,176.85 12.5 36,430.67 7.8 14,972.25 16.1 17,970.98 7.5 24,884.22 6.1 9,658.25 7.2 6,280.36 4.1 6,330.32 4.4 6,524.60 0.5 5,312.44 4.22009 8,011.29 4.7 20,867.30 8.8 40,429.32 11.0 15,950.75 6.5 19,509.33 8.6 28,379.92 14.0 10,066.86 4.2 6,488.24 3.3 6,564.35 3.7 6,665.87 2.2 5,572.61 4.92010 8,203.47 2.4 20,504.39 -1.7 35,897.15 -11.2 16,730.73 4.9 19,930.60 2.2 31,561.82 11.2 10,281.09 2.1 6,718.82 3.6 6,881.80 4.8 6,589.76 -1.1 5,819.26 4.42011 8,557.02 4.3 22,469.16 9.6 43,529.10 21.3 17,379.60 3.9 21,646.29 8.6 34,390.35 9.0 10,492.20 2.1 6,995.18 4.1 7,167.85 4.2 6,828.53 3.6 6,092.71 4.72012 9,074.29 6.0 24,282.72 8.1 48,445.73 11.3 18,450.78 6.2 23,027.25 6.4 37,334.55 8.6 10,636.63 1.4 7,349.99 5.1 7,515.34 4.8 7,257.16 6.3 6,368.67 4.52013 9,535.07 5.1 26,039.03 7.2 54,786.48 13.1 19,040.71 3.2 24,392.44 5.9 39,528.85 5.9 11,266.54 5.9 7,657.37 4.2 7,778.54 3.5 7,755.03 6.9 6,656.38 4.52014 9,964.03 4.5 27,571.75 5.9 58,238.03 6.3 20,126.03 5.7 25,903.26 6.2 42,651.63 7.9 11,345.41 0.7 8,023.63 4.8 8,167.47 5.0 8,072.99 4.1 6,942.60 4.3
2015 10,463.74 5.0 29,507.21 7.0 62,139.97 6.7 21,353.72 6.1 27,813.56 7.4 46,404.98 8.8 11,492.90 1.3 8,444.63 5.2 8,608.51 5.4 8,444.35 4.6 7,324.45 5.52016 11,048.38 5.6 32,008.01 8.5 66,551.91 7.1 22,720.36 6.4 30,114.50 8.3 50,859.85 9.6 11,688.28 1.7 8,929.02 5.7 9,107.80 5.8 8,891.90 5.3 7,771.24 6.12017 11,706.05 6.0 34,999.80 9.3 71,543.31 7.5 24,265.35 6.8 32,816.51 9.0 56,047.56 10.2 11,922.04 2.0 9,483.70 6.2 9,681.59 6.3 9,398.74 5.7 8,268.60 6.42018 12,432.75 6.2 38,555.43 10.2 77,123.68 7.8 26,012.45 7.2 35,897.56 9.4 61,876.51 10.4 12,184.33 2.2 10,090.16 6.4 10,310.90 6.5 9,943.86 5.8 8,814.32 6.62019 13,174.75 6.0 42,434.33 10.1 82,907.96 7.5 27,755.28 6.7 39,083.33 8.9 67,878.53 9.7 12,354.91 1.4 10,707.60 6.1 10,950.17 6.2 10,500.72 5.6 9,378.44 6.42020 13,996.35 6.2 46,789.22 10.3 89,208.96 7.6 29,642.64 6.8 42,734.62 9.3 74,666.38 10.0 12,564.94 1.7 11,383.43 6.3 11,650.98 6.4 11,109.76 5.8 9,988.04 6.5
Continúa
E-6
Años
Minería de minerales
E-5. Remuneración Mensual en el Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas: Escenario Base 2015-2020(En pesos nominales por persona)
Continuación
ManufacturasIndustrias alimentaria, de las bebidas y del tabaco Textiles, prendas de vestir y productos de cuero
Total Confección de Fabricación de cuero,Años Subsector Industria Fabricación productos textiles, Fabricación piel y materiales
Manufacturero Industria de las bebidas de insumos excepto prendas de prendas sucedáneos, exceptoTotal rama alimentaria y del tabaco Total rama textiles de vestir de vestir prendas de vestir
Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.%
1980 8.52 23.2 6.03 22.1 6.58 22.71981 11.26 32.2 7.82 29.7 8.48 28.71982 17.44 54.9 11.76 50.3 12.91 52.41983 27.30 56.5 18.21 54.9 20.74 60.61984 42.40 55.3 28.41 56.0 31.86 53.61985 66.82 57.6 44.36 56.1 50.04 57.11986 114.32 71.1 75.60 70.4 84.14 68.11987 264.76 131.6 169.88 124.7 188.01 123.51988 565.61 113.6 344.62 102.9 396.74 111.01989 739.53 30.7 464.91 34.9 527.97 33.11990 932.09 26.0 600.99 29.3 664.28 25.81991 1,173.77 25.9 790.45 31.5 826.43 24.41992 1,428.09 21.7 978.13 23.7 1,013.21 22.61993 1,574.10 10.2 1,143.20 16.9 1,097.74 8.31994 1,748.43 11.1 1,284.47 12.4 1,198.15 9.11995 2,057.54 17.7 1,479.93 15.2 1,301.67 8.61996 2,539.62 23.4 1,834.80 24.0 1,556.76 19.61997 3,063.73 20.6 2,212.53 20.6 1,866.11 19.91998 3,665.98 19.7 2,658.52 20.2 2,237.15 19.91999 4,324.98 18.0 3,135.30 17.9 2,614.30 16.92000 5,051.15 16.8 3,647.68 16.3 3,109.43 18.92001 5,650.26 11.9 4,114.29 12.8 3,447.94 10.92002 6,102.43 8.0 4,482.36 8.9 3,801.66 10.32003 6,441.30 5.6 4,720.93 5.3 4,344.87 6,785.99 4,021.68 5.8 2,658.37 9,719.69 3,505.00 3,804.742004 6,801.09 5.6 5,001.68 5.9 4,560.22 5.0 7,550.27 11.3 4,257.10 5.9 2,930.88 10.3 10,037.04 3.3 3,686.95 5.2 4,059.20 6.72005 7,190.88 5.7 5,223.35 4.4 4,732.27 3.8 8,341.18 10.5 4,535.61 6.5 3,096.98 5.7 11,236.23 11.9 3,877.40 5.2 4,252.52 4.82006 7,571.65 5.3 5,519.17 5.7 4,992.81 5.5 8,749.44 4.9 4,716.04 4.0 3,458.98 11.7 10,606.61 -5.6 4,080.29 5.2 4,459.74 4.92007 7,944.85 4.9 5,719.87 3.6 5,173.78 3.6 9,248.47 5.7 4,827.67 2.4 3,518.76 1.7 10,612.45 0.1 4,214.37 3.3 4,587.72 2.92008 8,382.74 5.5 5,832.92 2.0 5,318.05 2.8 9,129.70 -1.3 5,072.89 5.1 3,539.86 0.6 11,427.69 7.7 4,549.94 8.0 4,648.16 1.32009 8,709.05 3.9 5,956.25 2.1 5,471.57 2.9 9,102.68 -0.3 5,232.02 3.1 3,468.51 -2.0 12,186.49 6.6 4,752.66 4.5 4,736.51 1.92010 8,897.78 2.2 6,198.44 4.1 5,762.21 5.3 9,085.15 -0.2 5,376.26 2.8 3,298.53 -4.9 13,393.80 9.9 4,891.57 2.9 4,844.44 2.32011 9,277.36 4.3 6,395.77 3.2 5,955.87 3.4 9,441.18 3.9 5,632.06 4.8 3,515.55 6.6 13,619.35 1.7 5,129.11 4.9 5,103.56 5.32012 9,892.68 6.6 6,745.70 5.5 6,246.42 4.9 10,429.20 10.5 5,838.50 3.7 3,772.18 7.3 13,495.80 -0.9 5,351.80 4.3 5,300.62 3.92013 10,200.55 3.1 6,980.11 3.5 6,479.72 3.7 10,856.36 4.1 6,065.63 3.9 3,803.04 0.8 14,511.74 7.5 5,482.72 2.4 5,526.47 4.32014 10,607.90 4.0 7,296.79 4.5 6,751.87 4.2 11,507.74 6.0 6,328.12 4.3 4,016.01 5.6 14,685.88 1.2 5,702.03 4.0 5,708.84 3.3
2015 11,089.23 4.5 7,629.50 4.6 7,048.95 4.4 12,152.18 5.6 6,589.64 4.1 4,232.88 5.4 14,979.60 2.0 5,930.11 4.0 5,931.49 3.92016 11,656.56 5.1 7,988.45 4.7 7,380.25 4.7 12,796.24 5.3 6,886.14 4.5 4,474.15 5.7 15,384.05 2.7 6,179.18 4.2 6,180.61 4.22017 12,316.68 5.7 8,409.10 5.3 7,771.41 5.3 13,500.04 5.5 7,218.09 4.8 4,742.60 6.0 15,907.11 3.4 6,451.06 4.4 6,464.92 4.62018 13,032.00 5.8 8,870.79 5.5 8,198.83 5.5 14,283.04 5.8 7,578.61 5.0 5,041.39 6.3 16,495.67 3.7 6,760.71 4.8 6,768.77 4.72019 13,726.38 5.3 9,324.15 5.1 8,616.97 5.1 15,054.32 5.4 7,931.62 4.7 5,343.87 6.0 17,056.52 3.4 7,058.19 4.4 7,073.36 4.52020 14,478.00 5.5 9,818.96 5.3 9,073.67 5.3 15,882.31 5.5 8,300.83 4.7 5,664.50 6.0 17,619.39 3.3 7,375.80 4.5 7,391.67 4.5
Continúa
E-7
Continuación
ManufacturasMadera y sus productos Impresión e industrias conexas Químicos, petróleo y caucho
Fabricación Fabricación deAños de muebles Impresión productos derivados Industria
Industria y productos Industria e industrias del petróleo Industria del plásticoTotal rama de la madera relacionados Total rama del papel conexas Total rama y del carbón química y del hule
Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.%
1980 5.40 26.0 11.10 25.2 14.49 25.71981 7.32 35.7 13.89 25.1 18.85 30.11982 10.95 49.5 20.84 50.1 28.82 52.91983 17.86 63.1 32.78 57.3 44.96 56.01984 27.58 54.4 50.13 52.9 70.32 56.41985 42.64 54.6 77.49 54.6 114.93 63.41986 75.39 76.8 131.76 70.0 201.54 75.41987 167.15 121.7 307.33 133.2 471.74 134.11988 325.32 94.6 660.19 114.8 1,029.10 118.21989 418.02 28.5 806.89 22.2 1,303.97 26.71990 545.57 30.5 997.47 23.6 1,639.57 25.71991 686.62 25.9 1,239.88 24.3 2,088.48 27.41992 814.40 18.6 1,548.51 24.9 2,562.19 22.71993 898.22 10.3 1,709.76 10.4 2,852.79 11.31994 1,000.20 11.4 1,924.54 12.6 3,142.88 10.21995 1,149.46 14.9 2,185.46 13.6 3,827.54 21.81996 1,409.52 22.6 2,727.09 24.8 4,913.96 28.41997 1,697.87 20.5 3,127.63 14.7 5,956.13 21.21998 2,015.62 18.7 3,717.73 18.9 7,206.64 21.01999 2,457.39 21.9 4,447.79 19.6 8,557.88 18.82000 2,848.85 15.9 5,118.76 15.1 9,947.21 16.22001 3,233.70 13.5 5,661.06 10.6 10,943.67 10.02002 3,539.18 9.4 6,137.64 8.4 11,762.12 7.52003 3,786.83 7.0 3,572.17 3,974.37 6,466.21 5.4 7,553.33 5,382.27 12,798.02 8.8 28,791.70 15,078.45 7,112.682004 3,910.09 3.3 3,667.49 2.7 4,111.63 3.5 6,770.52 4.7 7,862.40 4.1 5,651.39 5.0 13,880.88 8.5 29,723.95 3.2 16,969.73 12.5 7,471.99 5.12005 4,137.90 5.8 3,887.97 6.0 4,339.35 5.5 7,134.92 5.4 8,460.45 7.6 5,779.98 2.3 15,098.73 8.8 32,957.34 10.9 18,562.51 9.4 7,849.99 5.12006 4,369.19 5.6 4,123.52 6.1 4,566.92 5.2 7,196.27 0.9 8,546.18 1.0 5,781.52 0.0 15,832.08 4.9 36,442.39 10.6 19,013.34 2.4 8,286.94 5.62007 4,613.50 5.6 4,399.24 6.7 4,798.13 5.1 7,357.50 2.2 8,726.18 2.1 6,003.84 3.8 16,880.07 6.6 43,654.36 19.8 19,876.49 4.5 8,580.78 3.52008 4,875.67 5.7 4,726.06 7.4 4,999.99 4.2 7,771.93 5.6 9,215.50 5.6 6,299.83 4.9 17,834.43 5.7 45,112.98 3.3 21,168.16 6.5 8,829.57 2.92009 4,995.82 2.5 4,871.79 3.1 5,108.40 2.2 8,134.82 4.7 9,522.30 3.3 6,731.48 6.9 19,606.08 9.9 48,875.72 8.3 22,642.51 7.0 9,150.07 3.62010 5,213.69 4.4 5,052.45 3.7 5,361.70 5.0 8,426.86 3.6 9,847.71 3.4 6,955.50 3.3 19,573.06 -0.2 49,613.07 1.5 22,588.97 -0.2 9,279.74 1.42011 5,463.80 4.8 5,204.94 3.0 5,703.77 6.4 8,730.68 3.6 10,289.29 4.5 7,178.59 3.2 20,650.39 5.5 50,904.03 2.6 23,891.19 5.8 9,935.74 7.12012 5,672.19 3.8 5,442.42 4.6 5,875.81 3.0 9,335.06 6.9 10,741.53 4.4 7,780.12 8.4 22,258.56 7.8 60,518.73 18.9 24,901.00 4.2 10,676.43 7.52013 5,893.57 3.9 5,627.17 3.4 6,147.99 4.6 9,708.74 4.0 11,151.29 3.8 8,050.15 3.5 23,173.70 4.1 59,606.00 -1.5 26,505.42 6.4 10,662.27 -0.12014 6,071.75 3.0 5,812.87 3.3 6,332.43 3.0 10,183.23 4.9 11,608.49 4.1 8,460.71 5.1 23,951.11 3.4 60,380.88 1.3 27,406.61 3.4 11,206.05 5.1
2015 6,291.78 3.6 6,039.57 3.9 6,547.74 3.4 10,707.18 5.1 12,165.70 4.8 8,917.59 5.4 25,012.46 4.4 61,467.74 1.8 28,530.28 4.1 11,822.38 5.52016 6,545.59 4.0 6,311.35 4.5 6,790.00 3.7 11,322.54 5.7 12,859.14 5.7 9,416.98 5.6 26,264.09 5.0 63,127.36 2.7 29,899.73 4.8 12,508.08 5.82017 6,837.79 4.5 6,614.30 4.8 7,075.18 4.2 12,012.52 6.1 13,630.69 6.0 9,981.99 6.0 27,717.26 5.5 65,084.31 3.1 31,544.22 5.5 13,296.09 6.32018 7,167.42 4.8 6,951.63 5.1 7,400.64 4.6 12,788.08 6.5 14,503.06 6.4 10,610.86 6.3 29,304.83 5.7 67,297.18 3.4 33,342.24 5.7 14,173.63 6.62019 7,477.25 4.3 7,264.45 4.5 7,711.47 4.2 13,558.95 6.0 15,373.24 6.0 11,226.29 5.8 30,833.36 5.2 69,316.09 3.0 35,109.38 5.3 15,066.57 6.32020 7,808.08 4.4 7,598.62 4.6 8,043.06 4.3 14,379.19 6.0 16,311.01 6.1 11,866.19 5.7 32,476.26 5.3 71,464.89 3.1 37,040.39 5.5 16,030.83 6.4
Continúa
E-8
Continuación
ManufacturasFabricación de Industrias metálicas Maquinaria y equipo
productos a base Fabricación equipo Fabricación de equipoAños de minerales Industrias Fabricación Fabricación de computación, de generación Fabricación Otras
no metálicos metálicas de productos de maquinaria comunicación y eléctrica y accesorios de equipo industriasTotal rama Total rama básicas metálicos Total rama y equipo otros electrónicos eléctricos de transporte Total rama
Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.%
1980 6.63 24.8 10.26 22.6 10.85 20.6 8.38 20.21981 8.67 30.7 13.81 34.6 14.47 33.4 10.89 30.01982 13.68 57.8 22.33 61.7 22.94 58.6 16.37 50.31983 21.50 57.2 34.43 54.2 36.00 56.9 26.46 61.61984 33.29 54.8 53.18 54.4 55.64 54.6 40.85 54.41985 52.24 56.9 82.45 55.0 89.14 60.2 62.07 51.91986 92.51 77.1 137.38 66.6 154.59 73.4 109.06 75.71987 208.02 124.9 345.20 151.3 355.37 129.9 239.88 120.01988 449.07 115.9 750.06 117.3 765.55 115.4 468.63 95.41989 580.67 29.3 1,028.14 37.1 992.21 29.6 597.01 27.41990 724.44 24.8 1,286.48 25.1 1,246.15 25.6 729.08 22.11991 932.30 28.7 1,531.86 19.1 1,578.82 26.7 925.08 26.91992 1,113.91 19.5 1,927.91 25.9 1,890.91 19.8 1,149.95 24.31993 1,233.09 10.7 2,017.79 4.7 2,087.38 10.4 1,313.94 14.31994 1,372.49 11.3 2,251.88 11.6 2,322.50 11.3 1,444.74 10.01995 1,701.95 24.0 2,708.99 20.3 2,775.25 19.5 1,673.48 15.81996 1,963.45 15.4 3,282.00 21.2 3,403.14 22.6 2,090.44 24.91997 2,296.84 17.0 3,880.83 18.2 4,130.76 21.4 2,569.24 22.91998 2,702.75 17.7 4,590.93 18.3 4,897.44 18.6 3,076.97 19.81999 3,225.03 19.3 5,206.17 13.4 5,827.34 19.0 3,591.85 16.72000 3,678.90 14.1 5,882.83 13.0 6,835.26 17.3 4,309.80 20.02001 4,289.38 16.6 6,404.11 8.9 7,783.94 13.9 4,683.36 8.72002 4,653.77 8.5 6,858.99 7.1 8,297.13 6.6 5,039.37 7.62003 4,973.67 6.9 7,267.85 6.0 11,798.73 6,058.52 8,584.62 3.5 8,616.46 8,454.17 7,355.32 9,245.64 5,329.92 5.82004 5,258.51 5.7 7,449.82 2.5 12,300.56 4.3 6,214.58 2.6 8,986.65 4.7 9,266.13 7.5 8,759.86 3.6 7,762.78 5.5 9,671.98 4.6 5,859.74 9.92005 5,314.61 1.1 7,764.12 4.2 13,227.60 7.5 6,389.57 2.8 9,504.91 5.8 10,120.92 9.2 9,211.89 5.2 8,256.09 6.4 10,140.93 4.8 6,143.69 4.82006 5,457.04 2.7 8,181.19 5.4 14,287.83 8.0 6,699.56 4.9 10,135.57 6.6 10,198.19 0.8 10,071.32 9.3 8,848.25 7.2 10,729.03 5.8 6,635.77 8.02007 5,678.34 4.1 8,766.75 7.2 15,143.25 6.0 7,220.99 7.8 10,599.70 4.6 10,700.59 4.9 10,427.43 3.5 9,368.00 5.9 11,204.55 4.4 7,010.28 5.62008 6,087.22 7.2 9,219.82 5.2 15,594.98 3.0 7,663.98 6.1 11,351.96 7.1 11,418.58 6.7 10,889.08 4.4 10,323.15 10.2 12,105.76 8.0 7,503.52 7.02009 6,387.99 4.9 9,989.59 8.3 16,444.46 5.4 8,306.68 8.4 12,055.73 6.2 12,072.82 5.7 11,691.47 7.4 10,568.23 2.4 13,102.42 8.2 7,694.15 2.52010 6,421.34 0.5 10,394.35 4.1 16,765.48 2.0 8,728.59 5.1 12,060.02 0.0 12,602.74 4.4 11,499.84 -1.6 10,652.81 0.8 13,039.57 -0.5 8,031.02 4.42011 6,353.26 -1.1 10,802.62 3.9 17,354.79 3.5 9,068.55 3.9 12,487.96 3.5 13,381.53 6.2 11,632.65 1.2 10,787.09 1.3 13,536.68 3.8 8,280.23 3.12012 6,540.23 2.9 12,049.38 11.5 19,440.70 12.0 10,033.84 10.6 13,371.84 7.1 14,369.11 7.4 13,074.13 12.4 11,579.09 7.3 13,963.88 3.2 8,426.27 1.82013 6,506.04 -0.5 12,626.04 4.8 20,416.05 5.0 10,471.82 4.4 13,780.17 3.1 15,050.91 4.7 13,000.86 -0.6 11,915.20 2.9 14,563.86 4.3 8,320.82 -1.32014 6,636.16 2.0 13,289.67 5.3 21,273.52 4.2 11,047.77 5.5 14,222.60 3.2 15,803.45 5.0 13,156.87 1.2 12,296.49 3.2 15,102.72 3.7 8,428.99 1.3
2015 6,841.89 3.1 14,098.59 6.1 22,358.47 5.1 11,721.68 6.1 14,790.24 4.0 16,704.25 5.7 13,472.63 2.4 12,763.76 3.8 15,737.03 4.2 8,580.71 1.82016 7,095.03 3.7 14,999.96 6.4 23,543.47 5.3 12,460.15 6.3 15,470.75 4.6 17,756.62 6.3 13,836.40 2.7 13,325.36 4.4 16,492.41 4.8 8,769.49 2.22017 7,400.12 4.3 16,021.58 6.8 24,861.91 5.6 13,307.44 6.8 16,276.37 5.2 18,910.80 6.5 14,320.67 3.5 13,938.33 4.6 17,383.00 5.4 8,988.73 2.52018 7,725.73 4.4 17,117.83 6.8 26,303.90 5.8 14,225.65 6.9 17,150.76 5.4 20,177.82 6.7 14,850.53 3.7 14,593.43 4.7 18,356.45 5.6 9,222.43 2.62019 8,019.30 3.8 18,222.96 6.5 27,724.31 5.4 15,164.55 6.6 17,995.80 4.9 21,449.02 6.3 15,370.30 3.5 15,206.35 4.2 19,292.63 5.1 9,416.10 2.12020 8,340.08 4.0 19,411.41 6.5 29,249.14 5.5 16,180.57 6.7 18,904.08 5.0 22,800.31 6.3 15,923.63 3.6 15,860.23 4.3 20,295.84 5.2 9,632.67 2.3
Conclusión
E-9
Comercio, restaurantes y hoteles Servicios financieros, seguros y actividades inmobiliariasTotal Servicios de Transporte, Servicios
Años Sector alojamiento temporal almacenaje y Servicios inmobiliarios yServicios y de preparación de comunicaciones financieros de alquiler de bienes
Total subsector Comercio alimentos y bebidas Total subsector Total subsector y de seguros muebles e intangiblesNominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.%
1980 8.29 26.0 7.03 22.3 9.54 17.9 18.60 24.41981 11.13 34.3 9.10 29.6 12.83 34.5 24.74 33.01982 16.77 50.6 12.94 42.1 18.64 45.3 37.19 50.31983 26.36 57.2 21.45 65.8 31.57 69.3 57.33 54.11984 41.66 58.0 33.10 54.3 49.42 56.6 90.69 58.21985 65.35 56.9 51.56 55.8 78.49 58.8 145.13 60.01986 108.29 65.7 86.71 68.2 134.43 71.3 253.38 74.61987 246.55 127.7 189.65 118.7 305.94 127.6 609.71 140.61988 477.69 93.8 359.47 89.5 648.35 111.9 1,187.33 94.71989 605.70 26.8 466.97 29.9 790.88 22.0 1,487.56 25.31990 788.37 30.2 613.77 31.4 992.07 25.4 2,070.62 39.21991 1,038.13 31.7 800.33 30.4 1,293.57 30.4 2,815.39 36.01992 1,302.79 25.5 976.26 22.0 1,600.03 23.7 3,800.84 35.01993 1,565.09 20.1 1,128.85 15.6 1,836.05 14.8 4,633.39 21.91994 1,776.29 13.5 1,240.44 9.9 1,980.09 7.8 5,078.79 9.61995 2,070.44 16.6 1,426.83 15.0 2,420.10 22.2 5,699.49 12.21996 2,561.60 23.7 1,716.52 20.3 2,993.30 23.7 6,618.63 16.11997 3,167.91 23.7 2,067.84 20.5 3,614.97 20.8 8,236.68 24.41998 3,815.66 20.4 2,448.01 18.4 4,268.94 18.1 9,302.46 12.91999 4,547.09 19.2 2,863.71 17.0 5,102.33 19.5 10,238.42 10.12000 5,313.53 16.9 3,322.89 16.0 5,911.69 15.9 10,881.97 6.32001 5,882.70 10.7 3,554.70 7.0 6,383.54 8.0 11,409.53 4.82002 6,454.80 9.7 3,763.10 5.9 6,810.62 6.7 13,134.82 15.12003 6,975.66 8.1 3,933.08 4.5 4,093.34 3,361.96 7,214.54 5.9 12,744.02 -3.0 23,074.14 4,601.882004 7,345.30 5.3 4,157.62 5.7 4,334.84 5.9 3,515.65 4.6 7,720.19 7.0 13,223.83 3.8 24,774.66 7.4 4,821.89 4.82005 7,816.65 6.4 4,455.96 7.2 4,668.57 7.7 3,673.01 4.5 8,210.13 6.3 14,355.32 8.6 26,995.53 9.0 4,954.89 2.82006 8,296.73 6.1 4,646.79 4.3 4,855.31 4.0 3,847.02 4.7 8,599.47 4.7 15,134.08 5.4 28,563.23 5.8 5,242.13 5.82007 8,753.12 5.5 4,802.72 3.4 5,005.79 3.1 4,004.62 4.1 9,084.29 5.6 16,325.68 7.9 30,790.72 7.8 5,412.48 3.22008 9,354.99 6.9 5,033.05 4.8 5,241.09 4.7 4,198.15 4.8 9,560.53 5.2 18,680.47 14.4 37,288.65 21.1 5,658.30 4.52009 9,894.78 5.8 5,156.86 2.5 5,351.12 2.1 4,381.33 4.4 9,970.77 4.3 19,648.48 5.2 37,664.49 1.0 5,892.89 4.12010 10,412.85 5.2 5,334.39 3.4 5,506.34 2.9 4,634.81 5.8 10,518.54 5.5 20,786.71 5.8 37,849.44 0.5 6,195.89 5.12011 10,912.40 4.8 5,453.54 2.2 5,599.94 1.7 4,831.95 4.3 11,125.80 5.8 21,449.09 3.2 37,472.50 -1.0 6,513.24 5.12012 11,454.17 5.0 5,615.31 3.0 5,751.18 2.7 5,026.39 4.0 11,751.29 5.6 22,305.96 4.0 38,989.48 4.0 6,729.58 3.32013 12,026.51 5.0 5,963.18 6.2 6,119.23 6.4 5,283.99 5.1 12,249.47 4.2 22,702.22 1.8 38,674.06 -0.8 6,991.00 3.92014 12,586.51 4.7 6,180.24 3.6 6,343.39 3.7 5,458.36 3.3 12,898.69 5.3 23,219.50 2.3 38,944.78 0.7 7,221.70 3.3
2015 13,257.55 5.3 6,491.40 5.0 6,668.44 5.1 5,693.07 4.3 13,646.82 5.8 23,761.83 2.3 39,412.11 1.2 7,553.90 4.62016 14,073.87 6.2 6,836.04 5.3 7,021.87 5.3 5,983.42 5.1 14,533.86 6.5 24,554.76 3.3 40,160.94 1.9 7,954.26 5.32017 15,014.14 6.7 7,224.69 5.7 7,415.09 5.6 6,342.42 6.0 15,493.09 6.6 25,614.53 4.3 41,124.81 2.4 8,391.74 5.52018 16,050.51 6.9 7,649.40 5.9 7,845.17 5.8 6,735.65 6.2 16,531.13 6.7 26,636.80 4.0 42,111.80 2.4 8,861.68 5.62019 17,077.89 6.4 8,073.19 5.5 8,276.65 5.5 7,119.59 5.7 17,539.53 6.1 27,564.30 3.5 42,996.15 2.1 9,322.49 5.22020 18,202.58 6.6 8,537.47 5.8 8,748.42 5.7 7,546.76 6.0 18,626.98 6.2 28,536.95 3.5 43,942.07 2.2 9,816.58 5.3
Continúa
E-10
E-6. Remuneración Mensual en el Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2015-2020(En pesos nominales por persona)
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios Servicios de
Años profesionales, Dirección apoyo a los negocios y científicos de corporativos manejo de desechos y Servicios
Total subsector y técnicos y empresas servicios de remediación educativosNominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.%
1980 8.30 28.41981 11.28 35.91982 17.34 53.81983 26.41 52.31984 42.04 59.21985 65.80 56.51986 107.15 62.81987 245.65 129.31988 471.82 92.11989 600.16 27.21990 781.40 30.21991 1,033.38 32.21992 1,306.51 26.41993 1,600.51 22.51994 1,861.64 16.31995 2,177.67 17.01996 2,728.01 25.31997 3,410.13 25.01998 4,176.73 22.51999 5,053.17 21.02000 5,981.86 18.42001 6,769.76 13.22002 7,490.07 10.62003 8,267.51 10.4 9,834.22 44,847.47 5,857.13 11,342.272004 8,693.76 5.2 10,147.38 3.2 44,499.64 -0.8 6,080.64 3.8 11,785.44 3.92005 9,235.78 6.2 10,632.15 4.8 47,121.46 5.9 6,429.53 5.7 12,813.67 8.72006 9,886.96 7.1 11,147.90 4.9 61,990.00 31.6 6,789.17 5.6 13,938.81 8.82007 10,453.05 5.7 11,798.08 5.8 50,916.58 -17.9 7,132.02 5.0 14,838.15 6.52008 11,211.89 7.3 12,462.64 5.6 60,904.26 19.6 7,456.32 4.5 16,073.99 8.32009 11,941.56 6.5 13,004.62 4.3 48,394.57 -20.5 7,819.99 4.9 16,956.42 5.52010 12,617.47 5.7 13,716.42 5.5 49,493.28 2.3 8,203.19 4.9 17,967.26 6.02011 13,301.92 5.4 14,413.02 5.1 55,305.80 11.7 8,593.07 4.8 19,115.55 6.42012 14,014.05 5.4 14,993.57 4.0 58,517.77 5.8 8,984.96 4.6 20,810.96 8.92013 14,733.27 5.1 15,762.19 5.1 63,584.77 8.7 9,475.96 5.5 21,751.32 4.52014 15,533.86 5.4 16,282.34 3.3 67,081.93 5.5 9,911.86 4.6 23,121.66 6.3
2015 16,462.69 6.0 17,063.90 4.8 71,375.18 6.4 10,417.36 5.1 24,740.17 7.02016 17,565.61 6.7 18,019.47 5.6 76,514.19 7.2 11,042.40 6.0 26,669.91 7.82017 18,788.96 7.0 19,100.64 6.0 82,329.27 7.6 11,749.12 6.4 28,830.17 8.12018 20,141.49 7.2 20,284.88 6.2 88,668.62 7.7 12,512.81 6.5 31,194.24 8.22019 21,475.83 6.6 21,420.84 5.6 95,052.76 7.2 13,263.58 6.0 33,596.20 7.72020 22,938.53 6.8 22,641.82 5.7 101,991.61 7.3 14,072.65 6.1 36,216.70 7.8
Continúa
E-11
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios de esparcimiento,
Años Servicios culturales y deportivos, Otros serviciosde salud y otros servicios Información en excepto actividades Actividades
y de asistencia social recreativos medios masivos del gobierno del gobiernoNominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.%
198019811982198319841985198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003 11,527.61 7,830.09 21,107.33 2,340.60 11,752.242004 12,280.68 6.5 8,006.39 2.3 23,887.91 13.2 2,455.62 4.9 12,544.59 6.72005 12,732.89 3.7 8,367.43 4.5 26,115.43 9.3 2,573.63 4.8 13,401.06 6.82006 13,494.00 6.0 8,947.08 6.9 28,728.22 10.0 2,754.97 7.0 14,372.14 7.22007 14,086.27 4.4 9,677.60 8.2 30,236.55 5.3 2,880.20 4.5 15,652.81 8.92008 15,892.33 12.8 9,882.77 2.1 31,334.60 3.6 3,005.94 4.4 16,774.67 7.22009 16,975.84 6.8 10,579.26 7.0 33,112.52 5.7 3,088.44 2.7 18,198.86 8.52010 18,314.41 7.9 11,534.86 9.0 35,295.41 6.6 3,183.53 3.1 19,421.15 6.72011 19,899.41 8.7 11,987.14 3.9 36,605.72 3.7 3,279.45 3.0 20,596.30 6.12012 21,241.91 6.7 12,499.99 4.3 35,496.62 -3.0 3,376.41 3.0 22,264.93 8.12013 23,280.77 9.6 13,220.16 5.8 36,563.54 3.0 3,517.00 4.2 23,443.99 5.32014 24,561.21 5.5 13,603.54 2.9 38,355.15 4.9 3,640.10 3.5 24,920.97 6.3
2015 26,206.81 6.7 14,079.66 3.5 40,503.04 5.6 3,785.70 4.0 26,665.43 7.02016 28,224.74 7.7 14,614.69 3.8 42,973.72 6.1 3,952.27 4.4 28,692.01 7.62017 30,595.61 8.4 15,213.89 4.1 45,724.04 6.4 4,138.03 4.7 31,044.75 8.22018 33,226.84 8.6 15,868.09 4.3 48,696.10 6.5 4,336.65 4.8 33,652.51 8.42019 35,884.98 8.0 16,455.21 3.7 51,617.87 6.0 4,527.47 4.4 36,277.41 7.82020 38,827.55 8.2 17,096.96 3.9 54,818.18 6.2 4,740.26 4.7 39,179.60 8.0
Conclusión
E-12
Sección: E-II. Remuneración Mensual Real
Cuadro E-7.
Grandes Sectores Económicos
Cuadro E-8.
Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica
Cuadro E-9. Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica
Cuadro E-10. Industria Manufacturera
Cuadro E-11. Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas
Cuadro E-12.
Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos
E-7. Remuneración Media Mensual por Grandes Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2015-2020(En pesos reales de 2008 por persona)
Remuneración Media Mensual Real Indice de las Remuneraciones Reales 1980=100Años Total Sector Agropecuario Sector Industrial Sector Servicios Total Primario Secundario Terciario
Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% 1980=100 1980=100 1980=100 1980=100
1980 8,405.80 -0.8 1,773.69 -3.6 11,389.01 -2.9 9,682.84 -0.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.01981 8,830.19 5.0 1,897.97 7.0 11,716.28 2.9 10,162.94 5.0 105.0 107.0 102.9 105.01982 8,373.60 -5.2 1,714.42 -9.7 11,032.63 -5.8 9,632.35 -5.2 99.6 96.7 96.9 99.51983 6,447.21 -23.0 1,428.99 -16.6 8,681.69 -21.3 7,499.45 -22.1 76.7 80.6 76.2 77.51984 6,132.92 -4.9 1,359.05 -4.9 8,125.51 -6.4 7,163.46 -4.5 73.0 76.6 71.3 74.01985 6,121.04 -0.2 1,363.23 0.3 8,167.08 0.5 7,123.81 -0.6 72.8 76.9 71.7 73.61986 5,522.21 -9.8 1,369.20 0.4 7,397.19 -9.4 6,339.09 -11.0 65.7 77.2 65.0 65.51987 5,420.26 -1.8 1,273.42 -7.0 7,339.89 -0.8 6,225.33 -1.8 64.5 71.8 64.4 64.31988 4,958.37 -8.5 1,085.53 -14.8 6,978.76 -4.9 5,631.99 -9.5 59.0 61.2 61.3 58.21989 5,233.57 5.6 1,061.16 -2.2 7,199.27 3.2 5,950.71 5.7 62.3 59.8 63.2 61.51990 5,300.62 1.3 951.18 -10.4 7,089.78 -1.5 6,115.44 2.8 63.1 53.6 62.3 63.21991 5,620.62 6.0 953.99 0.3 7,286.80 2.8 6,565.05 7.4 66.9 53.8 64.0 67.81992 6,027.04 7.2 935.61 -1.9 7,599.54 4.3 7,132.64 8.6 71.7 52.7 66.7 73.71993 6,400.92 6.2 923.71 -1.3 7,691.31 1.2 7,807.36 9.5 76.1 52.1 67.5 80.61994 6,726.79 5.1 913.58 -1.1 7,900.49 2.7 8,283.89 6.1 80.0 51.5 69.4 85.61995 5,821.60 -13.5 790.64 -13.5 6,910.04 -12.5 7,152.37 -13.7 69.3 44.6 60.7 73.91996 5,375.41 -7.7 715.56 -9.5 6,377.09 -7.7 6,585.21 -7.9 63.9 40.3 56.0 68.01997 5,551.59 3.3 720.37 0.7 6,419.84 0.7 6,751.36 2.5 66.0 40.6 56.4 69.71998 5,753.21 3.6 722.41 0.3 6,619.11 3.1 7,014.54 3.9 68.4 40.7 58.1 72.41999 5,871.17 2.1 709.73 -1.8 6,690.35 1.1 7,169.98 2.2 69.8 40.0 58.7 74.02000 6,289.35 7.1 738.83 4.1 7,083.98 5.9 7,652.21 6.7 74.8 41.7 62.2 79.02001 6,541.83 4.0 765.59 3.6 7,418.74 4.7 7,964.71 4.1 77.8 43.2 65.1 82.32002 6,787.74 3.8 785.72 2.6 7,561.07 1.9 8,320.71 4.5 80.8 44.3 66.4 85.92003 6,941.56 2.3 791.97 0.8 7,617.68 0.7 8,601.05 3.4 82.6 44.7 66.9 88.82004 6,894.11 -0.7 784.18 -1.0 7,588.28 -0.4 8,651.22 0.6 82.0 44.2 66.6 89.32005 7,082.55 2.7 796.49 1.6 7,620.80 0.4 8,853.29 2.3 84.3 44.9 66.9 91.42006 7,177.11 1.3 795.69 -0.1 7,651.97 0.4 9,067.92 2.4 85.4 44.9 67.2 93.62007 7,290.37 1.6 789.99 -0.7 7,695.06 0.6 9,201.71 1.5 86.7 44.5 67.6 95.02008 7,386.40 1.3 783.37 -0.8 7,655.05 -0.5 9,354.99 1.7 87.9 44.2 67.2 96.62009 7,401.75 0.2 785.33 0.3 7,608.26 -0.6 9,396.99 0.4 88.1 44.3 66.8 97.02010 7,387.24 -0.2 792.11 0.9 7,479.85 -1.7 9,494.34 1.0 87.9 44.7 65.7 98.12011 7,553.23 2.2 815.01 2.9 7,545.13 0.9 9,621.98 1.3 89.9 45.9 66.2 99.42012 7,601.70 0.6 804.88 -1.2 7,685.26 1.9 9,700.84 0.8 90.4 45.4 67.5 100.22013 7,695.49 1.2 814.88 1.2 7,779.38 1.2 9,812.07 1.1 91.5 45.9 68.3 101.32014 7,761.11 0.9 814.07 -0.1 7,815.28 0.5 9,872.22 0.6 92.3 45.9 68.6 102.0
2015 7,953.39 2.5 834.73 2.5 7,970.24 2.0 10,098.28 2.3 94.6 47.1 70.0 104.32016 8,172.78 2.8 852.29 2.1 8,128.40 2.0 10,354.29 2.5 97.2 48.1 71.4 106.92017 8,425.53 3.1 880.19 3.3 8,293.15 2.0 10,636.76 2.7 100.2 49.6 72.8 109.92018 8,661.03 2.8 901.88 2.5 8,477.08 2.2 10,943.80 2.9 103.0 50.8 74.4 113.02019 8,902.92 2.8 924.43 2.5 8,662.98 2.2 11,229.47 2.6 105.9 52.1 76.1 116.02020 9,175.43 3.1 945.56 2.3 8,896.41 2.7 11,569.98 3.0 109.2 53.3 78.1 119.5
E-13
E-8. Remuneración Mensual en el Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2015-2020(En pesos reales de 2008 por persona)
Remuneración Media Mensual RealAños Total Minería Manufacturas Construcción Electricidad
Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.%
1980 11,389.01 -2.9 21,294.74 -2.7 9,944.06 -2.5 12,760.26 -4.5 21,304.90 -4.61981 11,716.28 2.9 21,715.79 2.0 10,277.93 3.4 12,877.25 0.9 21,849.57 2.61982 11,032.63 -5.8 19,485.38 -10.3 10,018.07 -2.5 11,399.17 -11.5 22,358.43 2.31983 8,681.69 -21.3 15,013.04 -23.0 7,767.27 -22.5 9,242.61 -18.9 16,791.48 -24.91984 8,125.51 -6.4 14,007.09 -6.7 7,290.94 -6.1 8,659.93 -6.3 14,341.95 -14.61985 8,167.08 0.5 15,461.24 10.4 7,284.58 -0.1 8,626.07 -0.4 13,627.03 -5.01986 7,397.19 -9.4 13,293.57 -14.0 6,691.62 -8.1 7,708.58 -10.6 11,916.99 -12.51987 7,339.89 -0.8 13,101.49 -1.4 6,685.22 -0.1 7,440.47 -3.5 13,103.09 10.01988 6,978.76 -4.9 12,315.74 -6.0 6,668.64 -0.2 6,531.32 -12.2 10,972.78 -16.31989 7,199.27 3.2 12,413.60 0.8 7,265.52 9.0 6,159.65 -5.7 11,231.38 2.41990 7,089.78 -1.5 11,840.09 -4.6 7,230.26 -0.5 6,072.81 -1.4 11,485.69 2.31991 7,286.80 2.8 13,509.09 14.1 7,422.81 2.7 6,163.35 1.5 11,911.74 3.71992 7,599.54 4.3 14,610.56 8.2 7,818.64 5.3 6,366.66 3.3 12,873.67 8.11993 7,691.31 1.2 15,504.43 6.1 7,852.32 0.4 6,537.22 2.7 14,238.93 10.61994 7,900.49 2.7 15,083.64 -2.7 8,153.97 3.8 6,727.86 2.9 15,547.61 9.21995 6,910.04 -12.5 14,297.15 -5.2 7,107.81 -12.8 5,666.85 -15.8 14,076.56 -9.51996 6,377.09 -7.7 13,746.05 -3.9 6,528.70 -8.1 5,353.08 -5.5 13,049.81 -7.31997 6,419.84 0.7 13,859.76 0.8 6,529.35 0.0 5,542.37 3.5 13,111.72 0.51998 6,619.11 3.1 13,614.19 -1.8 6,739.37 3.2 5,804.13 4.7 13,021.09 -0.71999 6,690.35 1.1 13,290.06 -2.4 6,819.74 1.2 5,869.74 1.1 13,376.67 2.72000 7,083.98 5.9 15,601.60 17.4 7,274.35 6.7 6,066.80 3.4 14,515.43 8.52001 7,418.74 4.7 16,495.33 5.7 7,650.01 5.2 6,259.54 3.2 15,092.70 4.02002 7,561.07 1.9 17,181.78 4.2 7,866.47 2.8 6,277.01 0.3 15,866.48 5.12003 7,617.68 0.7 16,550.73 -3.7 7,942.18 1.0 6,352.20 1.2 16,306.85 2.82004 7,588.28 -0.4 17,172.85 3.8 8,010.25 0.9 6,303.56 -0.8 16,745.46 2.72005 7,620.80 0.4 16,904.53 -1.6 8,144.54 1.7 6,284.66 -0.3 16,943.07 1.22006 7,651.97 0.4 17,456.77 3.3 8,275.44 1.6 6,316.72 0.5 17,364.65 2.52007 7,695.06 0.6 17,914.43 2.6 8,352.02 0.9 6,340.13 0.4 17,577.63 1.22008 7,655.05 -0.5 19,176.85 7.0 8,382.74 0.4 6,280.36 -0.9 17,970.98 2.22009 7,608.26 -0.6 19,817.49 3.3 8,270.91 -1.3 6,161.82 -1.9 18,527.84 3.12010 7,479.85 -1.7 18,695.71 -5.7 8,112.92 -1.9 6,126.16 -0.6 18,172.54 -1.92011 7,545.13 0.9 19,812.10 6.0 8,180.28 0.8 6,167.98 0.7 19,086.55 5.02012 7,685.26 1.9 20,565.69 3.8 8,378.37 2.4 6,224.90 0.9 19,502.39 2.22013 7,779.38 1.2 21,244.47 3.3 8,322.33 -0.7 6,247.42 0.4 19,901.06 2.02014 7,815.28 0.5 21,625.88 1.8 8,320.30 0.0 6,293.33 0.7 20,317.21 2.1
2015 7,970.24 2.0 22,475.67 3.9 8,446.68 1.5 6,432.29 2.2 21,185.62 4.32016 8,128.40 2.0 23,548.62 4.8 8,575.86 1.5 6,569.17 2.1 22,155.55 4.62017 8,293.15 2.0 24,795.59 5.3 8,725.75 1.7 6,718.73 2.3 23,248.84 4.92018 8,477.08 2.2 26,288.43 6.0 8,885.67 1.8 6,879.82 2.4 24,476.21 5.32019 8,662.98 2.2 27,902.45 6.1 9,025.70 1.6 7,040.72 2.3 25,699.02 5.02020 8,896.41 2.7 29,740.31 6.6 9,202.55 2.0 7,235.57 2.8 27,163.11 5.7
E-14
E-9. Remuneración Mensual en el Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2015-2020(En pesos reales de 2008 por persona)
Remuneración Media Mensual RealComercio, Transporte, Almacenaje Servicios Financieros, Servicios Comunales,
Total Restaurantes y Hoteles y Comunicaciones Seguros e Inmuebles Sociales y PersonalesReal Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.%
1980 9,682.84 -0.3 8,205.51 -3.2 11,141.74 -6.7 21,724.46 -1.5 9,686.66 1.61981 10,162.94 5.0 8,309.23 1.3 11,709.74 5.1 22,583.21 4.0 10,293.10 6.31982 9,632.35 -5.2 7,429.60 -10.6 10,707.13 -8.6 21,362.78 -5.4 9,960.48 -3.21983 7,499.45 -22.1 6,101.90 -17.9 8,980.96 -16.1 16,311.16 -23.6 7,513.47 -24.61984 7,163.46 -4.5 5,692.12 -6.7 8,498.39 -5.4 15,596.49 -4.4 7,230.33 -3.81985 7,123.81 -0.6 5,620.70 -1.3 8,556.82 0.7 15,820.86 1.4 7,173.63 -0.81986 6,339.09 -11.0 5,075.64 -9.7 7,869.06 -8.0 14,832.01 -6.3 6,272.08 -12.61987 6,225.33 -1.8 4,788.77 -5.7 7,725.00 -1.8 15,395.05 3.8 6,202.71 -1.11988 5,631.99 -9.5 4,238.20 -11.5 7,644.13 -1.0 13,998.78 -9.1 5,562.81 -10.31989 5,950.71 5.7 4,587.75 8.2 7,770.02 1.6 14,614.48 4.4 5,896.22 6.01990 6,115.44 2.8 4,761.04 3.8 7,695.57 -1.0 16,061.93 9.9 6,061.41 2.81991 6,565.05 7.4 5,061.25 6.3 8,180.46 6.3 17,804.29 10.8 6,535.04 7.81992 7,132.64 8.6 5,344.88 5.6 8,759.97 7.1 20,809.15 16.9 7,153.00 9.51993 7,807.36 9.5 5,631.22 5.4 9,159.01 4.6 23,113.38 11.1 7,984.03 11.61994 8,283.89 6.1 5,784.90 2.7 9,234.32 0.8 23,685.37 2.5 8,681.89 8.71995 7,152.37 -13.7 4,929.03 -14.8 8,360.29 -9.5 19,689.03 -16.9 7,522.81 -13.41996 6,585.21 -7.9 4,412.72 -10.5 7,695.01 -8.0 17,014.80 -13.6 7,013.01 -6.81997 6,751.36 2.5 4,406.92 -0.1 7,704.13 0.1 17,553.80 3.2 7,267.59 3.61998 7,014.54 3.9 4,500.31 2.1 7,847.83 1.9 17,101.22 -2.6 7,678.31 5.71999 7,169.98 2.2 4,515.57 0.3 8,045.50 2.5 16,144.23 -5.6 7,967.98 3.82000 7,652.21 6.7 4,785.42 6.0 8,513.64 5.8 15,671.51 -2.9 8,614.69 8.12001 7,964.71 4.1 4,812.79 0.6 8,642.82 1.5 15,447.61 -1.4 9,165.73 6.42002 8,320.71 4.5 4,850.91 0.8 8,779.38 1.6 16,931.73 9.6 9,655.24 5.32003 8,601.05 3.4 4,849.52 0.0 8,895.59 1.3 15,713.49 -7.2 10,193.91 5.62004 8,651.22 0.6 4,896.79 1.0 9,092.75 2.2 15,574.89 -0.9 10,239.42 0.42005 8,853.29 2.3 5,046.91 3.1 9,298.96 2.3 16,259.12 4.4 10,460.63 2.22006 9,067.92 2.4 5,078.72 0.6 9,398.80 1.1 16,540.81 1.7 10,805.96 3.32007 9,201.71 1.5 5,048.86 -0.6 9,549.86 1.6 17,162.37 3.8 10,988.76 1.72008 9,354.99 1.7 5,033.05 -0.3 9,560.53 0.1 18,680.47 8.8 11,211.89 2.02009 9,396.99 0.4 4,897.42 -2.7 9,469.16 -1.0 18,660.00 -0.1 11,340.79 1.12010 9,494.34 1.0 4,863.85 -0.7 9,590.71 1.3 18,953.13 1.6 11,504.49 1.42011 9,621.98 1.3 4,808.64 -1.1 9,810.14 2.3 18,912.66 -0.2 11,728.93 2.02012 9,700.84 0.8 4,755.76 -1.1 9,952.48 1.5 18,891.52 -0.1 11,868.88 1.22013 9,812.07 1.1 4,865.18 2.3 9,993.98 0.4 18,522.06 -2.0 12,020.43 1.32014 9,872.22 0.6 4,847.47 -0.4 10,117.08 1.2 18,212.20 -1.7 12,183.97 1.4
2015 10,098.28 2.3 4,944.51 2.0 10,394.79 2.7 18,099.41 -0.6 12,539.65 2.92016 10,354.29 2.5 5,029.34 1.7 10,692.71 2.9 18,065.19 -0.2 12,923.20 3.12017 10,636.76 2.7 5,118.33 1.8 10,976.07 2.7 18,146.60 0.5 13,311.03 3.02018 10,943.80 2.9 5,215.63 1.9 11,271.50 2.7 18,161.89 0.1 13,733.17 3.22019 11,229.47 2.6 5,308.48 1.8 11,533.02 2.3 18,124.75 -0.2 14,121.31 2.82020 11,569.98 3.0 5,426.61 2.2 11,839.74 2.7 18,138.75 0.1 14,580.26 3.3
E-15
Años
E-10. Remuneración Mensual en la Industria Manufacturera por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2015-2020(En pesos reales de 2008 por persona)
Industria Alimentos, Textiles, Madera Imprenta Años Manufacturera Bebidas y Tabaco Vestidos y Cuero y sus Productos y Editoriales
Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.%
1980 9,944.06 -2.5 7,041.77 -3.4 7,688.55 -2.9 6,301.35 -0.3 12,962.80 -0.91981 10,277.93 3.4 7,140.84 1.4 7,736.13 0.6 6,683.03 6.1 12,675.86 -2.21982 10,018.07 -2.5 6,752.03 -5.4 7,417.94 -4.1 6,288.58 -5.9 11,970.22 -5.61983 7,767.27 -22.5 5,180.92 -23.3 5,901.84 -20.4 5,080.81 -19.2 9,325.87 -22.11984 7,290.94 -6.1 4,885.09 -5.7 5,479.14 -7.2 4,742.93 -6.7 8,620.25 -7.61985 7,284.58 -0.1 4,835.37 -1.0 5,455.51 -0.4 4,648.76 -2.0 8,447.63 -2.01986 6,691.62 -8.1 4,425.39 -8.5 4,925.07 -9.7 4,412.87 -5.1 7,712.68 -8.71987 6,685.22 -0.1 4,289.43 -3.1 4,747.24 -3.6 4,220.48 -4.4 7,759.99 0.61988 6,668.64 -0.2 4,063.13 -5.3 4,677.57 -1.5 3,835.55 -9.1 7,783.71 0.31989 7,265.52 9.0 4,567.49 12.4 5,187.04 10.9 4,106.78 7.1 7,927.26 1.81990 7,230.26 -0.5 4,661.90 2.1 5,152.84 -0.7 4,232.04 3.0 7,737.42 -2.41991 7,422.81 2.7 4,998.76 7.2 5,226.28 1.4 4,342.14 2.6 7,840.93 1.31992 7,818.64 5.3 5,355.13 7.1 5,547.19 6.1 4,458.72 2.7 8,477.93 8.11993 7,852.32 0.4 5,702.76 6.5 5,475.99 -1.3 4,480.69 0.5 8,529.01 0.61994 8,153.97 3.8 5,990.25 5.0 5,587.67 2.0 4,664.50 4.1 8,975.23 5.21995 7,107.81 -12.8 5,112.45 -14.7 4,496.66 -19.5 3,970.84 -14.9 7,549.71 -15.91996 6,528.70 -8.1 4,716.80 -7.7 4,002.02 -11.0 3,623.52 -8.7 7,010.65 -7.11997 6,529.35 0.0 4,715.29 0.0 3,977.00 -0.6 3,618.47 -0.1 6,665.52 -4.91998 6,739.37 3.2 4,887.30 3.6 4,112.67 3.4 3,705.43 2.4 6,834.51 2.51999 6,819.74 1.2 4,943.82 1.2 4,122.31 0.2 3,874.88 4.6 7,013.40 2.62000 7,274.35 6.7 5,253.15 6.3 4,478.00 8.6 4,102.73 5.9 7,371.71 5.12001 7,650.01 5.2 5,570.43 6.0 4,668.24 4.2 4,378.18 6.7 7,664.64 4.02002 7,866.47 2.8 5,778.09 3.7 4,900.62 5.0 4,562.26 4.2 7,911.87 3.22003 7,942.18 1.0 5,820.95 0.7 4,958.77 1.2 4,669.19 2.3 7,972.89 0.82004 8,010.25 0.9 5,890.92 1.2 5,013.97 1.1 4,605.26 -1.4 7,974.25 0.02005 8,144.54 1.7 5,916.07 0.4 5,137.12 2.5 4,686.67 1.8 8,081.15 1.32006 8,275.44 1.6 6,032.18 2.0 5,154.40 0.3 4,775.31 1.9 7,865.17 -2.72007 8,352.02 0.9 6,013.01 -0.3 5,075.09 -1.5 4,849.94 1.6 7,734.57 -1.72008 8,382.74 0.4 5,832.92 -3.0 5,072.89 0.0 4,875.67 0.5 7,771.93 0.52009 8,270.91 -1.3 5,656.60 -3.0 4,968.81 -2.1 4,744.48 -2.7 7,725.57 -0.62010 8,112.92 -1.9 5,651.68 -0.1 4,902.02 -1.3 4,753.79 0.2 7,683.54 -0.52011 8,180.28 0.8 5,639.45 -0.2 4,966.05 1.3 4,817.69 1.3 7,698.25 0.22012 8,378.37 2.4 5,713.12 1.3 4,944.78 -0.4 4,803.93 -0.3 7,906.11 2.72013 8,322.33 -0.7 5,694.87 -0.3 4,948.77 0.1 4,808.39 0.1 7,921.07 0.22014 8,320.30 0.0 5,723.24 0.5 4,963.45 0.3 4,762.38 -1.0 7,987.21 0.8
2015 8,446.68 1.5 5,811.39 1.5 5,019.33 1.1 4,792.46 0.6 8,155.67 2.12016 8,575.86 1.5 5,877.18 1.1 5,066.21 0.9 4,815.65 0.5 8,330.11 2.12017 8,725.75 1.7 5,957.43 1.4 5,113.65 0.9 4,844.23 0.6 8,510.27 2.22018 8,885.67 1.8 6,048.41 1.5 5,167.36 1.1 4,886.99 0.9 8,719.35 2.52019 9,025.70 1.6 6,131.04 1.4 5,215.39 0.9 4,916.63 0.6 8,915.61 2.32020 9,202.55 2.0 6,241.16 1.8 5,276.20 1.2 4,963.00 0.9 9,139.75 2.5
Continúa
E-16
Continuación
Químicos, Minerales Industrias Maquinaria Otras
Años Petróleo y Caucho No Metálicos Metálicas Básicas y Equipo Industrias
Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.%
1980 16,919.39 -0.5 7,743.68 -1.2 11,980.69 -3.0 12,665.74 -4.5 9,781.21 -4.91981 17,207.73 1.7 7,914.11 2.2 12,607.31 5.2 13,205.83 4.3 9,936.91 1.61982 16,556.13 -3.8 7,857.51 -0.7 12,828.17 1.8 13,178.11 -0.2 9,400.95 -5.41983 12,792.14 -22.7 6,118.53 -22.1 9,797.06 -23.6 10,242.59 -22.3 7,527.02 -19.91984 12,092.28 -5.5 5,725.35 -6.4 9,144.53 -6.7 9,568.55 -6.6 7,025.51 -6.71985 12,528.79 3.6 5,694.89 -0.5 8,987.97 -1.7 9,717.20 1.6 6,766.78 -3.71986 11,797.58 -5.8 5,415.02 -4.9 8,041.84 -10.5 9,048.87 -6.9 6,384.03 -5.71987 11,911.32 1.0 5,252.51 -3.0 8,716.31 8.4 8,972.97 -0.8 6,057.05 -5.11988 12,133.24 1.9 5,294.55 0.8 8,843.33 1.5 9,025.91 0.6 5,525.24 -8.81989 12,810.83 5.6 5,704.72 7.7 10,100.96 14.2 9,747.96 8.0 5,865.34 6.21990 12,718.27 -0.7 5,619.52 -1.5 9,979.35 -1.2 9,666.50 -0.8 5,655.52 -3.61991 13,207.36 3.8 5,895.76 4.9 9,687.37 -2.9 9,984.36 3.3 5,850.16 3.41992 14,027.67 6.2 6,098.54 3.4 10,555.05 9.0 10,352.52 3.7 6,295.82 7.61993 14,230.95 1.4 6,151.21 0.9 10,065.61 -4.6 10,412.79 0.6 6,554.52 4.11994 14,657.09 3.0 6,400.72 4.1 10,501.82 4.3 10,831.15 4.0 6,737.64 2.81995 13,222.32 -9.8 5,879.41 -8.1 9,358.25 -10.9 9,587.18 -11.5 5,781.07 -14.21996 12,632.52 -4.5 5,047.53 -14.1 8,437.17 -9.8 8,748.59 -8.7 5,373.99 -7.01997 12,693.55 0.5 4,894.97 -3.0 8,270.72 -2.0 8,803.37 0.6 5,475.49 1.91998 13,248.36 4.4 4,968.61 1.5 8,439.76 2.0 9,003.22 2.3 5,656.57 3.31999 13,494.31 1.9 5,085.32 2.3 8,209.23 -2.7 9,188.71 2.1 5,663.72 0.12000 14,325.34 6.2 5,298.12 4.2 8,472.08 3.2 9,843.70 7.1 6,206.70 9.62001 14,816.88 3.4 5,807.49 9.6 8,670.67 2.3 10,538.85 7.1 6,340.91 2.22002 15,162.22 2.3 5,999.05 3.3 8,841.73 2.0 10,695.60 1.5 6,496.11 2.42003 15,780.07 4.1 6,132.58 2.2 8,961.32 1.4 10,584.91 -1.0 6,571.83 1.22004 16,348.75 3.6 6,193.42 1.0 8,774.32 -2.1 10,584.38 0.0 6,901.54 5.02005 17,101.12 4.6 6,019.43 -2.8 8,793.79 0.2 10,765.45 1.7 6,958.47 0.82006 17,303.70 1.2 5,964.28 -0.9 8,941.65 1.7 11,077.68 2.9 7,252.58 4.22007 17,745.17 2.6 5,969.35 0.1 9,216.05 3.1 11,142.94 0.6 7,369.56 1.62008 17,834.43 0.5 6,087.22 2.0 9,219.82 0.0 11,351.96 1.9 7,503.52 1.82009 18,619.73 4.4 6,066.62 -0.3 9,487.02 2.9 11,449.22 0.9 7,307.06 -2.62010 17,846.53 -4.2 5,854.92 -3.5 9,477.47 -0.1 10,996.21 -4.0 7,322.61 0.22011 18,208.41 2.0 5,601.97 -4.3 9,525.17 0.5 11,011.22 0.1 7,301.06 -0.32012 18,851.37 3.5 5,539.09 -1.1 10,204.94 7.1 11,324.97 2.8 7,136.43 -2.32013 18,906.73 0.3 5,308.09 -4.2 10,301.21 0.9 11,242.83 -0.7 6,788.71 -4.92014 18,786.04 -0.6 5,205.07 -1.9 10,423.75 1.2 11,155.49 -0.8 6,611.28 -2.6
2015 19,052.02 1.4 5,211.47 0.1 10,738.91 3.0 11,265.74 1.0 6,535.94 -1.12016 19,322.76 1.4 5,219.89 0.2 11,035.62 2.8 11,381.99 1.0 6,451.80 -1.32017 19,636.28 1.6 5,242.61 0.4 11,350.48 2.9 11,530.98 1.3 6,368.06 -1.32018 19,981.05 1.8 5,267.67 0.5 11,671.53 2.8 11,693.98 1.4 6,288.18 -1.32019 20,274.30 1.5 5,273.05 0.1 11,982.40 2.7 11,833.04 1.2 6,191.51 -1.52020 20,642.66 1.8 5,301.15 0.5 12,338.34 3.0 12,015.87 1.5 6,122.75 -1.1
Conclusión
E-17
Minería Electricidad ConstrucciónTotal Generación, Agua y sumistro Construcción Trabajos
Sector Extracción metálicos y no transmisión de gas por ductos de obras de especializadosIndustrial de petróleo metálicos, excepto y suministro de al consumidor ingeniería para la
Total subsector y gas petróleo y gas Total subsector energía eléctrica final Total subsector Edificación civil construcciónReal Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.%
1980 11,389.01 -2.9 21,294.74 -2.7 21,304.90 -4.6 12,760.26 -4.51981 11,716.28 2.9 21,715.79 2.0 21,849.57 2.6 12,877.25 0.91982 11,032.63 -5.8 19,485.38 -10.3 22,358.43 2.3 11,399.17 -11.51983 8,681.69 -21.3 15,013.04 -23.0 16,791.48 -24.9 9,242.61 -18.91984 8,125.51 -6.4 14,007.09 -6.7 14,341.95 -14.6 8,659.93 -6.31985 8,167.08 0.5 15,461.24 10.4 13,627.03 -5.0 8,626.07 -0.41986 7,397.19 -9.4 13,293.57 -14.0 11,916.99 -12.5 7,708.58 -10.61987 7,339.89 -0.8 13,101.49 -1.4 13,103.09 10.0 7,440.47 -3.51988 6,978.76 -4.9 12,315.74 -6.0 10,972.78 -16.3 6,531.32 -12.21989 7,199.27 3.2 12,413.60 0.8 11,231.38 2.4 6,159.65 -5.71990 7,089.78 -1.5 11,840.09 -4.6 11,485.69 2.3 6,072.81 -1.41991 7,286.80 2.8 13,509.09 14.1 11,911.74 3.7 6,163.35 1.51992 7,599.54 4.3 14,610.56 8.2 12,873.67 8.1 6,366.66 3.31993 7,691.31 1.2 15,504.43 6.1 14,238.93 10.6 6,537.22 2.71994 7,900.49 2.7 15,083.64 -2.7 15,547.61 9.2 6,727.86 2.91995 6,910.04 -12.5 14,297.15 -5.2 14,076.56 -9.5 5,666.85 -15.81996 6,377.09 -7.7 13,746.05 -3.9 13,049.81 -7.3 5,353.08 -5.51997 6,419.84 0.7 13,859.76 0.8 13,111.72 0.5 5,542.37 3.51998 6,619.11 3.1 13,614.19 -1.8 13,021.09 -0.7 5,804.13 4.71999 6,690.35 1.1 13,290.06 -2.4 13,376.67 2.7 5,869.74 1.12000 7,083.98 5.9 15,601.60 17.4 14,515.43 8.5 6,066.80 3.42001 7,418.74 4.7 16,495.33 5.7 15,092.70 4.0 6,259.54 3.22002 7,561.07 1.9 17,181.78 4.2 15,866.48 5.1 6,277.01 0.32003 7,617.68 0.7 16,550.73 -3.7 32,753.86 12,241.78 16,306.85 2.8 21,713.79 9,920.98 6,352.20 1.2 6,431.64 6,582.06 5,435.692004 7,588.28 -0.4 17,172.85 3.8 32,998.77 0.7 12,979.56 6.0 16,745.46 2.7 22,559.22 3.9 9,894.54 -0.3 6,303.56 -0.8 6,375.63 -0.9 6,592.98 0.2 5,387.61 -0.92005 7,620.80 0.4 16,904.53 -1.6 30,557.75 -7.4 13,166.03 1.4 16,943.07 1.2 23,054.80 2.2 9,773.08 -1.2 6,284.66 -0.3 6,346.40 -0.5 6,622.16 0.4 5,366.44 -0.42006 7,651.97 0.4 17,456.77 3.3 33,135.55 8.4 13,250.02 0.6 17,364.65 2.5 24,106.49 4.6 9,583.78 -1.9 6,316.72 0.5 6,371.72 0.4 6,671.05 0.7 5,383.61 0.32007 7,695.06 0.6 17,914.43 2.6 35,533.42 7.2 13,559.42 2.3 17,577.63 1.2 24,651.70 2.3 9,471.48 -1.2 6,340.13 0.4 6,371.61 0.0 6,826.79 2.3 5,357.68 -0.52008 7,655.05 -0.5 19,176.85 7.0 36,430.67 2.5 14,972.25 10.4 17,970.98 2.2 24,884.22 0.9 9,658.25 2.0 6,280.36 -0.9 6,330.32 -0.6 6,524.60 -4.4 5,312.44 -0.82009 7,608.26 -0.6 19,817.49 3.3 38,395.38 5.4 15,148.29 1.2 18,527.84 3.1 26,952.16 8.3 9,560.41 -1.0 6,161.82 -1.9 6,234.11 -1.5 6,330.52 -3.0 5,292.26 -0.42010 7,479.85 -1.7 18,695.71 -5.7 32,730.69 -14.8 15,254.92 0.7 18,172.54 -1.9 28,777.78 6.8 9,374.20 -1.9 6,126.16 -0.6 6,274.76 0.7 6,008.48 -5.1 5,305.94 0.32011 7,545.13 0.9 19,812.10 6.0 38,381.64 17.3 15,324.40 0.5 19,086.55 5.0 30,323.58 5.4 9,251.46 -1.3 6,167.98 0.7 6,320.22 0.7 6,021.03 0.2 5,372.23 1.22012 7,685.26 1.9 20,565.69 3.8 41,029.98 6.9 15,626.46 2.0 19,502.39 2.2 31,619.63 4.3 9,008.44 -2.6 6,224.90 0.9 6,364.94 0.7 6,146.29 2.1 5,393.80 0.42013 7,779.38 1.2 21,244.47 3.3 44,698.65 8.9 15,534.75 -0.6 19,901.06 2.0 32,250.41 2.0 9,192.04 2.0 6,247.42 0.4 6,346.28 -0.3 6,327.10 2.9 5,430.74 0.72014 7,815.28 0.5 21,625.88 1.8 45,678.97 2.2 15,785.85 1.6 20,317.21 2.1 33,453.79 3.7 8,898.77 -3.2 6,293.33 0.7 6,406.15 0.9 6,332.05 0.1 5,445.43 0.3
2015 7,970.24 2.0 22,475.67 3.9 47,332.08 3.6 16,265.15 3.0 21,185.62 4.3 35,346.71 5.7 8,754.15 -1.6 6,432.29 2.2 6,557.11 2.4 6,432.07 1.6 5,579.04 2.52016 8,128.40 2.0 23,548.62 4.8 48,962.93 3.4 16,715.60 2.8 22,155.55 4.6 37,418.12 5.9 8,599.19 -1.8 6,569.17 2.1 6,700.70 2.2 6,541.86 1.7 5,717.38 2.52017 8,293.15 2.0 24,795.59 5.3 50,684.82 3.5 17,190.77 2.8 23,248.84 4.9 39,706.86 6.1 8,446.17 -1.8 6,718.73 2.3 6,858.92 2.4 6,658.53 1.8 5,857.88 2.52018 8,477.08 2.2 26,288.43 6.0 52,585.61 3.8 17,736.19 3.2 24,476.21 5.3 42,189.55 6.3 8,307.70 -1.6 6,879.82 2.4 7,030.33 2.5 6,780.07 1.8 6,009.91 2.62019 8,662.98 2.2 27,902.45 6.1 54,515.66 3.7 18,250.33 2.9 25,699.02 5.0 44,633.14 5.8 8,123.90 -2.2 7,040.72 2.3 7,200.22 2.4 6,904.69 1.8 6,166.74 2.62020 8,896.41 2.7 29,740.31 6.6 56,703.28 4.0 18,841.55 3.2 27,163.11 5.7 47,459.68 6.3 7,986.57 -1.7 7,235.57 2.8 7,405.64 2.9 7,061.62 2.3 6,348.63 2.9
Continúa
E-18
Años
Minería de minerales
E-11. Remuneración Mensual en el Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas: Escenario Base 2015-2020(En pesos reales de 2008 por persona)
Continuación
ManufacturasIndustrias alimentaria, de las bebidas y del tabaco Textiles, prendas de vestir y productos de cuero
Total Confección de Fabricación de cuero,Años Subsector Industria Fabricación productos textiles, Fabricación piel y materiales
Manufacturero Industria de las bebidas de insumos excepto prendas de prendas sucedáneos, exceptoTotal rama alimentaria y del tabaco Total rama textiles de vestir de vestir prendas de vestir
Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.%
1980 9,944.06 -2.5 7,041.77 -3.4 7,688.55 -2.91981 10,277.93 3.4 7,140.84 1.4 7,736.13 0.61982 10,018.07 -2.5 6,752.03 -5.4 7,417.94 -4.11983 7,767.27 -22.5 5,180.92 -23.3 5,901.84 -20.41984 7,290.94 -6.1 4,885.09 -5.7 5,479.14 -7.21985 7,284.58 -0.1 4,835.37 -1.0 5,455.51 -0.41986 6,691.62 -8.1 4,425.39 -8.5 4,925.07 -9.71987 6,685.22 -0.1 4,289.43 -3.1 4,747.24 -3.61988 6,668.64 -0.2 4,063.13 -5.3 4,677.57 -1.51989 7,265.52 9.0 4,567.49 12.4 5,187.04 10.91990 7,230.26 -0.5 4,661.90 2.1 5,152.84 -0.71991 7,422.81 2.7 4,998.76 7.2 5,226.28 1.41992 7,818.64 5.3 5,355.13 7.1 5,547.19 6.11993 7,852.32 0.4 5,702.76 6.5 5,475.99 -1.31994 8,153.97 3.8 5,990.25 5.0 5,587.67 2.01995 7,107.81 -12.8 5,112.45 -14.7 4,496.66 -19.51996 6,528.70 -8.1 4,716.80 -7.7 4,002.02 -11.01997 6,529.35 0.0 4,715.29 0.0 3,977.00 -0.61998 6,739.37 3.2 4,887.30 3.6 4,112.67 3.41999 6,819.74 1.2 4,943.82 1.2 4,122.31 0.22000 7,274.35 6.7 5,253.15 6.3 4,478.00 8.62001 7,650.01 5.2 5,570.43 6.0 4,668.24 4.22002 7,866.47 2.8 5,778.09 3.7 4,900.62 5.02003 7,942.18 1.0 5,820.95 0.7 5,357.26 8,367.19 4,958.77 1.2 3,277.79 11,984.47 4,321.70 4,691.282004 8,010.25 0.9 5,890.92 1.2 5,370.98 0.3 8,892.63 6.3 5,013.97 1.1 3,451.96 5.3 11,821.51 -1.4 4,342.45 0.5 4,780.88 1.92005 8,144.54 1.7 5,916.07 0.4 5,359.86 -0.2 9,447.39 6.2 5,137.12 2.5 3,507.70 1.6 12,726.37 7.7 4,391.61 1.1 4,816.49 0.72006 8,275.44 1.6 6,032.18 2.0 5,456.90 1.8 9,562.71 1.2 5,154.40 0.3 3,780.50 7.8 11,592.51 -8.9 4,459.56 1.5 4,874.27 1.22007 8,352.02 0.9 6,013.01 -0.3 5,438.94 -0.3 9,722.45 1.7 5,075.09 -1.5 3,699.09 -2.2 11,156.33 -3.8 4,430.35 -0.7 4,822.84 -1.12008 8,382.74 0.4 5,832.92 -3.0 5,318.05 -2.2 9,129.70 -6.1 5,072.89 0.0 3,539.86 -4.3 11,427.69 2.4 4,549.94 2.7 4,648.16 -3.62009 8,270.91 -1.3 5,656.60 -3.0 5,196.30 -2.3 8,644.74 -5.3 4,968.81 -2.1 3,294.01 -6.9 11,573.41 1.3 4,513.56 -0.8 4,498.23 -3.22010 8,112.92 -1.9 5,651.68 -0.1 5,253.93 1.1 8,283.76 -4.2 4,902.02 -1.3 3,007.57 -8.7 12,212.34 5.5 4,460.09 -1.2 4,417.12 -1.82011 8,180.28 0.8 5,639.45 -0.2 5,251.57 0.0 8,324.73 0.5 4,966.05 1.3 3,099.82 3.1 12,008.82 -1.7 4,522.58 1.4 4,500.05 1.92012 8,378.37 2.4 5,713.12 1.3 5,290.26 0.7 8,832.77 6.1 4,944.78 -0.4 3,194.76 3.1 11,429.95 -4.8 4,532.58 0.2 4,489.24 -0.22013 8,322.33 -0.7 5,694.87 -0.3 5,286.61 -0.1 8,857.38 0.3 4,948.77 0.1 3,102.79 -2.9 11,839.70 3.6 4,473.19 -1.3 4,508.88 0.42014 8,320.30 0.0 5,723.24 0.5 5,295.83 0.2 9,026.09 1.9 4,963.45 0.3 3,149.96 1.5 11,518.86 -2.7 4,472.39 0.0 4,477.73 -0.7
2015 8,446.68 1.5 5,811.39 1.5 5,369.19 1.4 9,256.33 2.6 5,019.33 1.1 3,224.19 2.4 11,409.98 -0.9 4,516.97 1.0 4,518.02 0.92016 8,575.86 1.5 5,877.18 1.1 5,429.73 1.1 9,414.33 1.7 5,066.21 0.9 3,291.68 2.1 11,318.20 -0.8 4,546.09 0.6 4,547.14 0.62017 8,725.75 1.7 5,957.43 1.4 5,505.65 1.4 9,564.09 1.6 5,113.65 0.9 3,359.89 2.1 11,269.38 -0.4 4,570.25 0.5 4,580.07 0.72018 8,885.67 1.8 6,048.41 1.5 5,590.25 1.5 9,738.67 1.8 5,167.36 1.1 3,437.39 2.3 11,247.32 -0.2 4,609.69 0.9 4,615.18 0.82019 9,025.70 1.6 6,131.04 1.4 5,666.04 1.4 9,898.88 1.6 5,215.39 0.9 3,513.83 2.2 11,215.42 -0.3 4,641.07 0.7 4,651.05 0.82020 9,202.55 2.0 6,241.16 1.8 5,767.44 1.8 10,095.16 2.0 5,276.20 1.2 3,600.49 2.5 11,199.29 -0.1 4,688.23 1.0 4,698.31 1.0
Continúa
E-19
Continuación
ManufacturasMadera y sus productos Impresión e industrias conexas Químicos, petróleo y caucho
Fabricación Fabricación deAños de muebles Impresión productos derivados Industria
Industria y productos Industria e industrias del petróleo Industria del plásticoTotal rama de la madera relacionados Total rama del papel conexas Total rama y del carbón química y del hule
Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.%
1980 6,301.35 -0.3 12,962.80 -0.9 16,919.39 -0.51981 6,683.03 6.1 12,675.86 -2.2 17,207.73 1.71982 6,288.58 -5.9 11,970.22 -5.6 16,556.13 -3.81983 5,080.81 -19.2 9,325.87 -22.1 12,792.14 -22.71984 4,742.93 -6.7 8,620.25 -7.6 12,092.28 -5.51985 4,648.76 -2.0 8,447.63 -2.0 12,528.79 3.61986 4,412.87 -5.1 7,712.68 -8.7 11,797.58 -5.81987 4,220.48 -4.4 7,759.99 0.6 11,911.32 1.01988 3,835.55 -9.1 7,783.71 0.3 12,133.24 1.91989 4,106.78 7.1 7,927.26 1.8 12,810.83 5.61990 4,232.04 3.0 7,737.42 -2.4 12,718.27 -0.71991 4,342.14 2.6 7,840.93 1.3 13,207.36 3.81992 4,458.72 2.7 8,477.93 8.1 14,027.67 6.21993 4,480.69 0.5 8,529.01 0.6 14,230.95 1.41994 4,664.50 4.1 8,975.23 5.2 14,657.09 3.01995 3,970.84 -14.9 7,549.71 -15.9 13,222.32 -9.81996 3,623.52 -8.7 7,010.65 -7.1 12,632.52 -4.51997 3,618.47 -0.1 6,665.52 -4.9 12,693.55 0.51998 3,705.43 2.4 6,834.51 2.5 13,248.36 4.41999 3,874.88 4.6 7,013.40 2.6 13,494.31 1.92000 4,102.73 5.9 7,371.71 5.1 14,325.34 6.22001 4,378.18 6.7 7,664.64 4.0 14,816.88 3.42002 4,562.26 4.2 7,911.87 3.2 15,162.22 2.32003 4,669.19 2.3 4,404.52 4,900.43 7,972.89 0.8 9,313.33 6,636.39 15,780.07 4.1 35,500.41 18,591.86 8,770.002004 4,605.26 -1.4 4,319.53 -1.9 4,842.63 -1.2 7,974.25 0.0 9,260.25 -0.6 6,656.15 0.3 16,348.75 3.6 35,008.54 -1.4 19,986.76 7.5 8,800.43 0.32005 4,686.67 1.8 4,403.59 1.9 4,914.84 1.5 8,081.15 1.3 9,582.47 3.5 6,546.52 -1.6 17,101.12 4.6 37,328.13 6.6 21,024.27 5.2 8,891.06 1.02006 4,775.31 1.9 4,506.81 2.3 4,991.42 1.6 7,865.17 -2.7 9,340.56 -2.5 6,318.92 -3.5 17,303.70 1.2 39,829.76 6.7 20,780.65 -1.2 9,057.22 1.92007 4,849.94 1.6 4,624.70 2.6 5,044.03 1.1 7,734.57 -1.7 9,173.39 -1.8 6,311.54 -0.1 17,745.17 2.6 45,891.64 15.2 20,895.16 0.6 9,020.54 -0.42008 4,875.67 0.5 4,726.06 2.2 4,999.99 -0.9 7,771.93 0.5 9,215.50 0.5 6,299.83 -0.2 17,834.43 0.5 45,112.98 -1.7 21,168.16 1.3 8,829.57 -2.12009 4,744.48 -2.7 4,626.70 -2.1 4,851.41 -3.0 7,725.57 -0.6 9,043.25 -1.9 6,392.83 1.5 18,619.73 4.4 46,416.86 2.9 21,503.40 1.6 8,689.74 -1.62010 4,753.79 0.2 4,606.78 -0.4 4,888.75 0.8 7,683.54 -0.5 8,979.05 -0.7 6,341.96 -0.8 17,846.53 -4.2 45,236.74 -2.5 20,596.42 -4.2 8,461.18 -2.62011 4,817.69 1.3 4,589.44 -0.4 5,029.28 2.9 7,698.25 0.2 9,072.55 1.0 6,329.70 -0.2 18,208.41 2.0 44,884.46 -0.8 21,065.98 2.3 8,760.81 3.52012 4,803.93 -0.3 4,609.33 0.4 4,976.38 -1.1 7,906.11 2.7 9,097.28 0.3 6,589.19 4.1 18,851.37 3.5 51,254.92 14.2 21,089.32 0.1 9,042.15 3.22013 4,808.39 0.1 4,591.04 -0.4 5,015.96 0.8 7,921.07 0.2 9,098.00 0.0 6,567.88 -0.3 18,906.73 0.3 48,630.75 -5.1 21,624.98 2.5 8,699.03 -3.82014 4,762.38 -1.0 4,559.32 -0.7 4,966.84 -1.0 7,987.21 0.8 9,105.11 0.1 6,636.15 1.0 18,786.04 -0.6 47,359.71 -2.6 21,496.36 -0.6 8,789.46 1.0
2015 4,792.46 0.6 4,600.35 0.9 4,987.42 0.4 8,155.67 2.1 9,266.62 1.8 6,792.54 2.4 19,052.02 1.4 46,820.03 -1.1 21,731.54 1.1 9,005.12 2.52016 4,815.65 0.5 4,643.33 0.9 4,995.47 0.2 8,330.11 2.1 9,460.60 2.1 6,928.17 2.0 19,322.76 1.4 46,443.45 -0.8 21,997.54 1.2 9,202.32 2.22017 4,844.23 0.6 4,685.90 0.9 5,012.41 0.3 8,510.27 2.2 9,656.66 2.1 7,071.74 2.1 19,636.28 1.6 46,108.95 -0.7 22,347.48 1.6 9,419.61 2.42018 4,886.99 0.9 4,739.86 1.2 5,046.01 0.7 8,719.35 2.5 9,888.69 2.4 7,234.85 2.3 19,981.05 1.8 45,885.56 -0.5 22,733.90 1.7 9,664.07 2.62019 4,916.63 0.6 4,776.70 0.8 5,070.63 0.5 8,915.61 2.3 10,108.59 2.2 7,381.78 2.0 20,274.30 1.5 45,578.40 -0.7 23,085.97 1.5 9,906.94 2.52020 4,963.00 0.9 4,829.86 1.1 5,112.36 0.8 9,139.75 2.5 10,367.65 2.6 7,542.42 2.2 20,642.66 1.8 45,424.74 -0.3 23,543.73 2.0 10,189.57 2.9
Continúa
E-20
Continuación
ManufacturasFabricación de Industrias metálicas Maquinaria y equipo
productos a base Fabricación equipo Fabricación de equipoAños de minerales Industrias Fabricación Fabricación de computación, de generación Fabricación Otras
no metálicos metálicas de productos de maquinaria comunicación y eléctrica y accesorios de equipo industriasTotal rama Total rama básicas metálicos Total rama y equipo otros electrónicos eléctricos de transporte Total rama
Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.%
1980 7,743.68 -1.2 11,980.69 -3.0 12,665.74 -4.5 9,781.21 -4.91981 7,914.11 2.2 12,607.31 5.2 13,205.83 4.3 9,936.91 1.61982 7,857.51 -0.7 12,828.17 1.8 13,178.11 -0.2 9,400.95 -5.41983 6,118.53 -22.1 9,797.06 -23.6 10,242.59 -22.3 7,527.02 -19.91984 5,725.35 -6.4 9,144.53 -6.7 9,568.55 -6.6 7,025.51 -6.71985 5,694.89 -0.5 8,987.97 -1.7 9,717.20 1.6 6,766.78 -3.71986 5,415.02 -4.9 8,041.84 -10.5 9,048.87 -6.9 6,384.03 -5.71987 5,252.51 -3.0 8,716.31 8.4 8,972.97 -0.8 6,057.05 -5.11988 5,294.55 0.8 8,843.33 1.5 9,025.91 0.6 5,525.24 -8.81989 5,704.72 7.7 10,100.96 14.2 9,747.96 8.0 5,865.34 6.21990 5,619.52 -1.5 9,979.35 -1.2 9,666.50 -0.8 5,655.52 -3.61991 5,895.76 4.9 9,687.37 -2.9 9,984.36 3.3 5,850.16 3.41992 6,098.54 3.4 10,555.05 9.0 10,352.52 3.7 6,295.82 7.61993 6,151.21 0.9 10,065.61 -4.6 10,412.79 0.6 6,554.52 4.11994 6,400.72 4.1 10,501.82 4.3 10,831.15 4.0 6,737.64 2.81995 5,879.41 -8.1 9,358.25 -10.9 9,587.18 -11.5 5,781.07 -14.21996 5,047.53 -14.1 8,437.17 -9.8 8,748.59 -8.7 5,373.99 -7.01997 4,894.97 -3.0 8,270.72 -2.0 8,803.37 0.6 5,475.49 1.91998 4,968.61 1.5 8,439.76 2.0 9,003.22 2.3 5,656.57 3.31999 5,085.32 2.3 8,209.23 -2.7 9,188.71 2.1 5,663.72 0.12000 5,298.12 4.2 8,472.08 3.2 9,843.70 7.1 6,206.70 9.62001 5,807.49 9.6 8,670.67 2.3 10,538.85 7.1 6,340.91 2.22002 5,999.05 3.3 8,841.73 2.0 10,695.60 1.5 6,496.11 2.42003 6,132.58 2.2 8,961.32 1.4 14,547.93 7,470.21 10,584.91 -1.0 10,624.17 10,424.06 9,069.18 11,399.95 6,571.83 1.22004 6,193.42 1.0 8,774.32 -2.1 14,487.47 -0.4 7,319.46 -2.0 10,584.38 0.0 10,913.54 2.7 10,317.27 -1.0 9,142.92 0.8 11,391.56 -0.1 6,901.54 5.02005 6,019.43 -2.8 8,793.79 0.2 14,981.84 3.4 7,236.95 -1.1 10,765.45 1.7 11,463.15 5.0 10,433.57 1.1 9,351.01 2.3 11,485.82 0.8 6,958.47 0.82006 5,964.28 -0.9 8,941.65 1.7 15,615.91 4.2 7,322.30 1.2 11,077.68 2.9 11,146.12 -2.8 11,007.46 5.5 9,670.70 3.4 11,726.31 2.1 7,252.58 4.22007 5,969.35 0.1 9,216.05 3.1 15,919.34 1.9 7,591.06 3.7 11,142.94 0.6 11,248.99 0.9 10,961.84 -0.4 9,848.11 1.8 11,778.78 0.4 7,369.56 1.62008 6,087.22 2.0 9,219.82 0.0 15,594.98 -2.0 7,663.98 1.0 11,351.96 1.9 11,418.58 1.5 10,889.08 -0.7 10,323.15 4.8 12,105.77 2.8 7,503.52 1.82009 6,066.62 -0.3 9,487.02 2.9 15,617.16 0.1 7,888.78 2.9 11,449.22 0.9 11,465.45 0.4 11,103.29 2.0 10,036.56 -2.8 12,443.25 2.8 7,307.06 -2.62010 5,854.92 -3.5 9,477.47 -0.1 15,286.61 -2.1 7,958.65 0.9 10,996.21 -4.0 11,491.07 0.2 10,485.45 -5.6 9,713.13 -3.2 11,889.36 -4.5 7,322.61 0.22011 5,601.97 -4.3 9,525.17 0.5 15,302.53 0.1 7,996.17 0.5 11,011.22 0.1 11,799.12 2.7 10,257.05 -2.2 9,511.49 -2.1 11,935.92 0.4 7,301.06 -0.32012 5,539.09 -1.1 10,204.94 7.1 16,464.85 7.6 8,497.92 6.3 11,324.97 2.8 12,169.58 3.1 11,072.83 8.0 9,806.64 3.1 11,826.39 -0.9 7,136.43 -2.32013 5,308.09 -4.2 10,301.21 0.9 16,656.84 1.2 8,543.64 0.5 11,242.83 -0.7 12,279.58 0.9 10,607.01 -4.2 9,721.26 -0.9 11,882.22 0.5 6,788.71 -4.92014 5,205.07 -1.9 10,423.75 1.2 16,685.88 0.2 8,665.31 1.4 11,155.49 -0.8 12,395.43 0.9 10,319.58 -2.7 9,644.74 -0.8 11,845.81 -0.3 6,611.28 -2.6
2015 5,211.47 0.1 10,738.91 3.0 17,030.47 2.1 8,928.42 3.0 11,265.74 1.0 12,723.64 2.6 10,262.12 -0.6 9,722.16 0.8 11,986.91 1.2 6,535.94 -1.12016 5,219.89 0.2 11,035.62 2.8 17,321.17 1.7 9,167.06 2.7 11,381.99 1.0 13,063.73 2.7 10,179.58 -0.8 9,803.61 0.8 12,133.64 1.2 6,451.80 -1.32017 5,242.61 0.4 11,350.48 2.9 17,613.40 1.7 9,427.65 2.8 11,530.98 1.3 13,397.34 2.6 10,145.47 -0.3 9,874.60 0.7 12,314.98 1.5 6,368.06 -1.32018 5,267.67 0.5 11,671.53 2.8 17,934.91 1.8 9,699.54 2.9 11,693.98 1.4 13,757.94 2.7 10,125.61 -0.2 9,950.31 0.8 12,516.07 1.6 6,288.18 -1.32019 5,273.05 0.1 11,982.40 2.7 18,229.96 1.6 9,971.36 2.8 11,833.04 1.2 14,103.68 2.5 10,106.66 -0.2 9,998.85 0.5 12,685.76 1.4 6,191.51 -1.52020 5,301.15 0.5 12,338.34 3.0 18,591.43 2.0 10,284.75 3.1 12,015.87 1.5 14,492.40 2.8 10,121.43 0.1 10,081.13 0.8 12,900.51 1.7 6,122.75 -1.1
Conclusión
E-21
Comercio, restaurantes y hoteles Servicios financieros, seguros y actividades inmobiliariasTotal Servicios de Transporte, Servicios
Años Sector alojamiento temporal almacenaje y Servicios inmobiliarios yServicios y de preparación de comunicaciones financieros de alquiler de bienes
Total subsector Comercio alimentos y bebidas Total subsector Total subsector y de seguros muebles e intangiblesReal Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.%
1980 9,682.84 -0.3 8,205.51 -3.2 11,141.74 -6.7 21,724.46 -1.51981 10,162.94 5.0 8,309.23 1.3 11,709.74 5.1 22,583.21 4.01982 9,632.35 -5.2 7,429.60 -10.6 10,707.13 -8.6 21,362.78 -5.41983 7,499.45 -22.1 6,101.90 -17.9 8,980.96 -16.1 16,311.16 -23.61984 7,163.46 -4.5 5,692.12 -6.7 8,498.39 -5.4 15,596.49 -4.41985 7,123.81 -0.6 5,620.70 -1.3 8,556.82 0.7 15,820.86 1.41986 6,339.09 -11.0 5,075.64 -9.7 7,869.06 -8.0 14,832.01 -6.31987 6,225.33 -1.8 4,788.77 -5.7 7,725.00 -1.8 15,395.05 3.81988 5,631.99 -9.5 4,238.20 -11.5 7,644.13 -1.0 13,998.78 -9.11989 5,950.71 5.7 4,587.75 8.2 7,770.02 1.6 14,614.48 4.41990 6,115.44 2.8 4,761.04 3.8 7,695.57 -1.0 16,061.93 9.91991 6,565.05 7.4 5,061.25 6.3 8,180.46 6.3 17,804.29 10.81992 7,132.64 8.6 5,344.88 5.6 8,759.97 7.1 20,809.15 16.91993 7,807.36 9.5 5,631.22 5.4 9,159.01 4.6 23,113.38 11.11994 8,283.89 6.1 5,784.90 2.7 9,234.32 0.8 23,685.37 2.51995 7,152.37 -13.7 4,929.03 -14.8 8,360.29 -9.5 19,689.03 -16.91996 6,585.21 -7.9 4,412.72 -10.5 7,695.01 -8.0 17,014.80 -13.61997 6,751.36 2.5 4,406.92 -0.1 7,704.13 0.1 17,553.80 3.21998 7,014.54 3.9 4,500.31 2.1 7,847.83 1.9 17,101.22 -2.61999 7,169.98 2.2 4,515.57 0.3 8,045.50 2.5 16,144.23 -5.62000 7,652.21 6.7 4,785.42 6.0 8,513.64 5.8 15,671.51 -2.92001 7,964.71 4.1 4,812.79 0.6 8,642.82 1.5 15,447.61 -1.42002 8,320.71 4.5 4,850.91 0.8 8,779.38 1.6 16,931.73 9.62003 8,601.05 3.4 4,849.52 0.0 5,047.12 4,145.32 8,895.59 1.3 15,713.49 -7.2 28,450.62 5,674.162004 8,651.22 0.6 4,896.79 1.0 5,105.52 1.2 4,140.70 -0.1 9,092.75 2.2 15,574.89 -0.9 29,179.32 2.6 5,679.17 0.12005 8,853.29 2.3 5,046.91 3.1 5,287.71 3.6 4,160.12 0.5 9,298.96 2.3 16,259.12 4.4 30,575.67 4.8 5,612.01 -1.22006 9,067.92 2.4 5,078.72 0.6 5,306.62 0.4 4,204.60 1.1 9,398.80 1.1 16,540.81 1.7 31,218.22 2.1 5,729.40 2.12007 9,201.71 1.5 5,048.86 -0.6 5,262.34 -0.8 4,209.86 0.1 9,549.86 1.6 17,162.37 3.8 32,368.74 3.7 5,689.87 -0.72008 9,354.99 1.7 5,033.05 -0.3 5,241.09 -0.4 4,198.15 -0.3 9,560.53 0.1 18,680.47 8.8 37,288.65 15.2 5,658.30 -0.62009 9,396.99 0.4 4,897.42 -2.7 5,081.91 -3.0 4,160.92 -0.9 9,469.16 -1.0 18,660.00 -0.1 35,769.65 -4.1 5,596.42 -1.12010 9,494.34 1.0 4,863.85 -0.7 5,020.63 -1.2 4,225.97 1.6 9,590.71 1.3 18,953.13 1.6 34,510.77 -3.5 5,649.35 0.92011 9,621.98 1.3 4,808.64 -1.1 4,937.73 -1.7 4,260.55 0.8 9,810.14 2.3 18,912.66 -0.2 33,041.26 -4.3 5,743.03 1.72012 9,700.84 0.8 4,755.76 -1.1 4,870.83 -1.4 4,256.99 -0.1 9,952.48 1.5 18,891.52 -0.1 33,021.23 -0.1 5,699.46 -0.82013 9,812.07 1.1 4,865.18 2.3 4,992.50 2.5 4,311.05 1.3 9,993.98 0.4 18,522.06 -2.0 31,553.01 -4.4 5,703.75 0.12014 9,872.22 0.6 4,847.47 -0.4 4,975.44 -0.3 4,281.26 -0.7 10,117.08 1.2 18,212.20 -1.7 30,546.32 -3.2 5,664.34 -0.7
2015 10,098.28 2.3 4,944.51 2.0 5,079.36 2.1 4,336.42 1.3 10,394.79 2.7 18,099.41 -0.6 30,020.24 -1.7 5,753.81 1.62016 10,354.29 2.5 5,029.34 1.7 5,166.06 1.7 4,402.06 1.5 10,692.71 2.9 18,065.19 -0.2 29,546.82 -1.6 5,852.03 1.72017 10,636.76 2.7 5,118.33 1.8 5,253.22 1.7 4,493.29 2.1 10,976.07 2.7 18,146.60 0.5 29,134.85 -1.4 5,945.13 1.62018 10,943.80 2.9 5,215.63 1.9 5,349.11 1.8 4,592.60 2.2 11,271.50 2.7 18,161.89 0.1 28,713.29 -1.4 6,042.20 1.62019 11,229.47 2.6 5,308.48 1.8 5,442.27 1.7 4,681.44 1.9 11,533.02 2.3 18,124.75 -0.2 28,271.87 -1.5 6,129.95 1.52020 11,569.98 3.0 5,426.61 2.2 5,560.70 2.2 4,796.90 2.5 11,839.74 2.7 18,138.75 0.1 27,930.59 -1.2 6,239.65 1.8
Continúa
E-22
E-12. Remuneración Mensual en el Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2015-2020(En pesos reales de 2008 por persona)
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios Servicios de
profesionales, Dirección apoyo a los negocios y científicos de corporativos manejo de desechos y Servicios
Total subsector y técnicos y empresas servicios de remediación educativosReal Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.%
1980 9,686.66 1.61981 10,293.10 6.31982 9,960.48 -3.21983 7,513.47 -24.61984 7,230.33 -3.81985 7,173.63 -0.81986 6,272.08 -12.61987 6,202.71 -1.11988 5,562.81 -10.31989 5,896.22 6.01990 6,061.41 2.81991 6,535.04 7.81992 7,153.00 9.51993 7,984.03 11.61994 8,681.89 8.71995 7,522.81 -13.41996 7,013.01 -6.81997 7,267.59 3.61998 7,678.31 5.71999 7,967.98 3.82000 8,614.69 8.12001 9,165.73 6.42002 9,655.24 5.32003 10,193.91 5.6 12,125.67 55,297.32 7,221.90 13,985.122004 10,239.42 0.4 11,951.48 -1.4 52,411.19 -5.2 7,161.72 -0.8 13,880.76 -0.72005 10,460.63 2.2 12,042.18 0.8 53,370.69 1.8 7,282.21 1.7 14,513.01 4.62006 10,805.96 3.3 12,184.12 1.2 67,752.05 26.9 7,420.24 1.9 15,234.44 5.02007 10,988.76 1.7 12,402.73 1.8 53,526.05 -21.0 7,497.54 1.0 15,598.60 2.42008 11,211.89 2.0 12,462.64 0.5 60,904.27 13.8 7,456.32 -0.5 16,073.99 3.02009 11,340.79 1.1 12,350.37 -0.9 45,959.91 -24.5 7,426.57 -0.4 16,103.37 0.22010 11,504.49 1.4 12,506.50 1.3 45,127.52 -1.8 7,479.59 0.7 16,382.38 1.72011 11,728.93 2.0 12,708.64 1.6 48,765.71 8.1 7,576.92 1.3 16,855.07 2.92012 11,868.88 1.2 12,698.46 -0.1 49,560.26 1.6 7,609.60 0.4 17,625.36 4.62013 12,020.43 1.3 12,859.90 1.3 51,876.91 4.7 7,731.15 1.6 17,746.26 0.72014 12,183.97 1.4 12,771.05 -0.7 52,615.68 1.4 7,774.36 0.6 18,135.46 2.2
2015 12,539.65 2.9 12,997.59 1.8 54,366.54 3.3 7,934.91 2.1 18,844.61 3.92016 12,923.20 3.1 13,257.11 2.0 56,292.28 3.5 8,124.01 2.4 19,621.33 4.12017 13,311.03 3.0 13,531.84 2.1 58,326.13 3.6 8,323.65 2.5 20,424.72 4.12018 13,733.17 3.2 13,830.94 2.2 60,457.35 3.7 8,531.67 2.5 21,269.32 4.12019 14,121.31 2.8 14,085.15 1.8 62,501.40 3.4 8,721.39 2.2 22,090.99 3.92020 14,580.26 3.3 14,391.67 2.2 64,828.23 3.7 8,944.90 2.6 23,020.18 4.2
Continúa
E-23
Años
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios de esparcimiento,
Servicios culturales y deportivos, Otros serviciosde salud y otros servicios Información en excepto actividades Actividades
y de asistencia social recreativos medios masivos del gobierno del gobiernoReal Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.%
198019811982198319841985198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003 14,213.65 9,654.56 26,025.53 2,885.98 14,490.612004 14,464.05 1.8 9,429.84 -2.3 28,134.92 8.1 2,892.20 0.2 14,774.88 2.02005 14,421.52 -0.3 9,477.12 0.5 29,578.85 5.1 2,914.95 0.8 15,178.30 2.72006 14,748.29 2.3 9,778.73 3.2 31,398.55 6.2 3,011.05 3.3 15,708.05 3.52007 14,808.19 0.4 10,173.58 4.0 31,786.17 1.2 3,027.81 0.6 16,455.02 4.82008 15,892.33 7.3 9,882.77 -2.9 31,334.60 -1.4 3,005.94 -0.7 16,774.67 1.92009 16,121.81 1.4 10,047.03 1.7 31,446.68 0.4 2,933.06 -2.4 17,283.30 3.02010 16,698.91 3.6 10,517.38 4.7 32,182.03 2.3 2,902.72 -1.0 17,708.03 2.52011 17,546.24 5.1 10,569.62 0.5 32,276.97 0.3 2,891.64 -0.4 18,160.72 2.62012 17,990.34 2.5 10,586.58 0.2 30,063.04 -6.9 2,859.57 -1.1 18,856.76 3.82013 18,994.08 5.6 10,785.93 1.9 29,831.10 -0.8 2,869.42 0.3 19,127.25 1.42014 19,264.57 1.4 10,669.93 -1.1 30,083.84 0.8 2,855.11 -0.5 19,546.75 2.2
2015 19,961.75 3.6 10,724.49 0.5 30,851.20 2.6 2,883.57 1.0 20,311.09 3.92016 20,765.23 4.0 10,752.18 0.3 31,616.21 2.5 2,907.73 0.8 21,109.01 3.92017 21,675.45 4.4 10,778.27 0.2 32,393.17 2.5 2,931.58 0.8 21,993.64 4.22018 22,655.21 4.5 10,819.42 0.4 33,202.70 2.5 2,956.88 0.9 22,945.45 4.32019 23,595.97 4.2 10,820.03 0.0 33,941.04 2.2 2,977.01 0.7 23,854.00 4.02020 24,679.69 4.6 10,867.23 0.4 34,843.70 2.7 3,013.02 1.2 24,903.46 4.4
Conclusión
E-24
Años
Sección: E-III. Productividad Media Laboral
Cuadro E-13.
Grandes Sectores Económicos
Cuadro E-14.
Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica
Cuadro E-15. Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica
Cuadro E-16. Industria Manufacturera
Cuadro E-17. Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas
Cuadro E-18.
Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos
E-13. Productividad Media Laboral por Grandes Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Indice 2008=100)
Productividad Media Laboral Indice Productividad Media Laboral 1980=100Años Total Sector Agropecuario Sector Industrial Sector Servicios Total Primario Secundario Terciario
Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Indice Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 1980 Indice 1980 Indice 1980 Indice 1980
1980 78.0 2.7 78.7 3.6 85.1 3.2 78.8 1.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.01981 79.7 2.2 82.5 4.8 87.0 2.3 80.1 1.7 102.7 103.6 103.2 101.81982 79.6 -0.2 83.4 1.1 88.9 2.1 79.7 -0.6 104.9 108.6 105.6 103.61983 79.0 -0.8 81.6 -2.1 91.3 2.7 80.3 0.8 104.8 109.7 107.8 103.01984 79.8 1.0 81.8 0.3 91.7 0.5 81.0 0.9 104.0 107.4 110.7 103.81985 79.8 0.0 82.1 0.4 91.9 0.3 80.5 -0.7 105.0 107.7 111.2 104.81986 78.6 -1.5 83.1 1.2 89.2 -3.0 79.7 -0.9 105.0 108.1 111.5 104.01987 79.2 0.8 82.9 -0.3 91.8 2.9 80.2 0.6 103.4 109.4 108.1 103.11988 79.7 0.6 78.1 -5.8 93.0 1.4 81.0 1.0 104.3 109.1 111.3 103.61989 80.8 1.4 78.6 0.7 91.7 -1.5 81.2 0.2 104.9 102.8 112.8 104.71990 81.3 0.7 83.0 5.6 91.0 -0.7 81.0 -0.2 106.3 103.5 111.2 105.01991 82.5 1.4 85.1 2.5 91.3 0.4 81.3 0.4 107.1 109.3 110.4 104.71992 84.2 2.1 83.9 -1.3 93.9 2.8 82.1 0.9 108.6 112.0 110.8 105.11993 85.5 1.5 83.1 -1.0 94.9 1.0 84.2 2.5 110.9 110.5 113.9 106.11994 87.5 2.3 84.8 2.1 97.8 3.0 85.5 1.6 112.6 109.4 115.1 108.81995 85.0 -2.8 85.6 1.0 98.1 0.4 82.3 -3.8 115.2 111.7 118.6 110.61996 87.1 2.4 88.2 3.0 98.7 0.6 84.2 2.3 111.9 112.7 119.0 106.41997 89.7 3.0 91.5 3.7 98.1 -0.5 86.1 2.3 114.7 116.1 119.7 108.81998 90.1 0.4 89.9 -1.7 97.7 -0.5 86.7 0.7 118.1 120.4 119.0 111.31999 90.4 0.4 92.7 3.0 96.4 -1.3 87.4 0.8 118.5 118.4 118.4 112.12000 93.3 3.2 96.1 3.7 97.6 1.2 90.3 3.3 119.0 122.0 117.0 113.02001 93.4 0.1 97.7 1.6 100.7 3.2 89.5 -1.0 122.8 126.6 118.3 116.82002 94.3 1.0 98.6 0.9 103.6 2.9 89.5 0.0 122.9 128.7 122.2 115.72003 95.2 1.0 99.5 0.9 105.1 1.4 90.5 1.1 124.1 129.9 125.7 115.72004 95.5 0.3 95.2 -4.3 103.3 -1.7 93.1 2.8 125.3 131.0 127.4 117.02005 97.8 2.3 94.5 -0.7 104.0 0.7 95.0 2.0 125.7 125.3 125.3 120.32006 98.8 1.1 95.9 1.5 102.5 -1.5 97.8 3.0 128.7 124.4 126.2 122.82007 100.1 1.3 98.1 2.3 102.6 0.1 99.2 1.5 130.1 126.3 124.3 126.42008 100.0 -0.1 100.0 1.9 100.0 -2.6 100.0 0.8 131.8 129.2 124.5 128.32009 98.9 -1.1 99.7 -0.3 102.9 2.9 97.4 -2.6 131.6 131.7 121.3 129.32010 102.4 3.6 95.9 -3.8 107.6 4.6 101.6 4.3 130.1 131.2 124.8 125.92011 105.1 2.6 97.6 1.8 107.2 -0.4 104.3 2.6 134.8 126.3 130.5 131.42012 106.3 1.1 99.5 1.9 108.8 1.5 106.0 1.7 138.3 128.5 130.0 134.82013 108.5 2.1 99.7 0.2 114.6 5.3 107.4 1.3 139.9 131.0 132.0 137.12014 110.2 1.6 103.2 3.5 116.5 1.7 108.6 1.2 142.8 131.3 139.0 138.8
2015 112.1 1.7 102.2 -1.0 118.3 1.6 110.1 1.4 145.1 135.9 141.3 140.42016 114.3 2.0 105.5 3.2 119.9 1.3 111.8 1.6 147.5 134.6 143.5 142.32017 116.7 2.1 103.2 -2.1 120.8 0.7 113.9 1.8 150.4 138.9 145.4 144.62018 118.8 1.8 105.0 1.7 121.6 0.7 115.9 1.8 153.6 135.9 146.5 147.22019 120.9 1.8 103.5 -1.4 122.6 0.8 117.8 1.6 156.4 138.3 147.5 149.92020 123.1 1.8 105.3 1.8 123.7 1.0 119.7 1.7 159.1 136.3 148.7 152.2
E-25
E-14. Productividad Media Laboral en el Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Indice 2008=100)
Productividad Media LaboralAños Total Minería Manufacturas Construcción Electricidad
Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 85.1 3.2 67.6 11.6 50.9 -0.1 155.1 -0.3 53.5 -2.11981 87.0 2.3 72.3 6.9 52.0 2.2 152.1 -1.9 56.2 5.01982 88.9 2.1 74.0 2.3 52.0 -0.1 145.2 -4.5 59.4 5.81983 91.3 2.7 71.6 -3.2 51.9 -0.1 145.3 0.1 59.3 -0.11984 91.7 0.5 70.5 -1.5 53.3 2.7 143.5 -1.2 60.0 1.21985 91.9 0.3 67.6 -4.1 54.9 3.0 142.4 -0.8 61.6 2.61986 89.2 -3.0 64.3 -4.9 53.8 -2.1 132.1 -7.3 62.6 1.71987 91.8 2.9 64.4 0.1 55.1 2.5 135.3 2.4 63.2 0.91988 93.0 1.4 63.1 -2.1 56.9 3.2 134.3 -0.7 65.4 3.51989 91.7 -1.5 66.7 5.9 59.5 4.5 121.6 -9.4 66.6 1.91990 91.0 -0.7 66.8 0.1 62.1 4.4 114.5 -5.9 65.5 -1.71991 91.3 0.4 68.5 2.5 63.5 2.3 113.8 -0.5 64.3 -1.91992 93.9 2.8 81.9 19.6 65.5 3.1 118.5 4.1 65.6 2.11993 94.9 1.0 94.5 15.4 66.6 1.7 116.7 -1.5 66.7 1.71994 97.8 3.0 99.8 5.6 70.4 5.8 122.1 4.6 71.9 7.71995 98.1 0.4 99.8 -0.1 70.7 0.4 104.8 -14.2 72.0 0.11996 98.7 0.6 108.8 9.1 73.0 3.3 102.2 -2.4 74.2 3.11997 98.1 -0.5 111.9 2.8 75.2 3.0 102.5 0.2 76.7 3.41998 97.7 -0.5 112.3 0.3 76.8 2.1 101.2 -1.3 77.7 1.21999 96.4 -1.3 107.8 -4.0 76.7 -0.2 103.9 2.7 78.3 0.82000 97.6 1.2 108.7 0.9 78.1 1.9 106.5 2.5 78.3 0.02001 100.7 3.2 114.1 4.9 79.1 1.2 108.7 2.1 75.6 -3.52002 103.6 2.9 115.7 1.4 83.6 5.8 110.0 1.2 71.8 -5.02003 105.1 1.4 121.0 4.6 84.6 1.1 110.7 0.6 70.7 -1.52004 103.3 -1.7 119.5 -1.2 87.5 3.4 105.3 -4.9 79.5 12.42005 104.0 0.7 119.9 0.4 89.6 2.5 105.6 0.3 85.5 7.52006 102.5 -1.5 116.7 -2.7 93.4 4.2 102.9 -2.6 94.0 10.02007 102.6 0.1 107.2 -8.1 96.6 3.4 103.4 0.5 98.7 4.92008 100.0 -2.6 100.0 -6.7 100.0 3.5 100.0 -3.3 100.0 1.32009 102.9 2.9 96.5 -3.5 100.8 0.8 103.4 3.4 106.8 6.82010 107.6 4.6 96.6 0.1 107.8 7.0 105.0 1.6 123.3 15.42011 107.2 -0.4 95.0 -1.7 112.3 4.1 102.7 -2.2 125.3 1.62012 108.8 1.5 93.9 -1.2 115.8 3.1 103.7 1.0 124.2 -0.82013 114.6 5.3 92.5 -1.4 118.5 2.3 108.5 4.6 126.4 1.82014 116.5 1.7 90.6 -2.1 123.2 4.0 110.0 1.4 129.5 2.4
2015 118.3 1.6 89.8 -0.9 128.2 4.0 111.3 1.2 131.3 1.42016 119.9 1.3 88.8 -1.0 133.2 3.9 112.3 0.9 132.4 0.82017 120.8 0.7 88.8 -0.1 138.3 3.8 112.6 0.3 132.7 0.32018 121.6 0.7 88.9 0.1 143.2 3.5 112.9 0.3 133.1 0.32019 122.6 0.8 88.8 -0.1 148.1 3.4 112.9 0.0 133.4 0.32020 123.7 1.0 88.3 -0.6 153.4 3.6 112.9 0.1 134.0 0.4
E-26
E-15. Productividad Media Laboral en el Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Indice 2008=100)
Productividad Media LaboralComercio, Transporte, Almacenaje Servicios Financieros, Servicios Comunales,
Total Restaurantes y Hoteles y Comunicaciones Seguros e Inmuebles Sociales y PersonalesIndice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 78.8 1.8 86.4 8.8 88.9 -4.6 73.7 -3.8 84.8 0.61981 80.1 1.7 89.3 3.4 91.0 2.4 71.9 -2.6 85.6 1.11982 79.7 -0.6 88.1 -1.3 78.7 -13.5 68.5 -4.7 87.1 1.71983 80.3 0.8 84.0 -4.7 80.3 2.0 69.5 1.4 89.4 2.71984 81.0 0.9 83.6 -0.5 83.0 3.4 69.1 -0.6 89.6 0.31985 80.5 -0.7 82.9 -0.8 83.5 0.6 70.8 2.5 87.7 -2.21986 79.7 -0.9 78.7 -5.0 80.1 -4.1 73.3 3.5 87.3 -0.51987 80.2 0.6 78.3 -0.6 80.8 0.9 74.5 1.7 87.1 -0.31988 81.0 1.0 78.3 0.1 84.6 4.7 74.3 -0.3 87.7 0.81989 81.2 0.2 77.5 -1.1 83.9 -0.8 75.6 1.7 88.4 0.81990 81.0 -0.2 75.8 -2.2 80.8 -3.7 77.7 2.8 89.2 0.81991 81.3 0.4 75.9 0.1 81.0 0.2 78.6 1.1 89.6 0.61992 82.1 0.9 76.6 1.0 85.0 5.0 80.8 2.8 89.1 -0.61993 84.2 2.5 74.6 -2.6 89.2 4.9 83.5 3.4 93.2 4.71994 85.5 1.6 79.0 5.9 90.2 1.1 86.5 3.5 92.2 -1.11995 82.3 -3.8 70.4 -10.9 88.0 -2.4 88.1 1.9 89.8 -2.61996 84.2 2.3 77.7 10.3 88.1 0.1 86.8 -1.5 89.6 -0.31997 86.1 2.3 84.6 8.9 91.8 4.2 83.6 -3.7 90.0 0.51998 86.7 0.7 87.3 3.3 92.3 0.6 84.2 0.7 89.9 -0.11999 87.4 0.8 88.3 1.2 93.3 1.1 85.4 1.5 90.7 0.82000 90.3 3.3 95.4 8.0 96.1 2.9 87.2 2.1 92.2 1.72001 89.5 -1.0 91.7 -3.9 93.8 -2.4 88.4 1.3 91.9 -0.32002 89.5 0.0 91.6 -0.1 95.3 1.6 89.4 1.1 91.0 -1.02003 90.5 1.1 92.4 0.9 96.2 0.9 92.5 3.5 91.2 0.22004 93.1 2.8 95.8 3.6 98.0 1.9 93.5 1.1 93.0 2.02005 95.0 2.0 98.0 2.4 98.1 0.0 94.0 0.5 95.2 2.42006 97.8 3.0 100.9 2.9 99.8 1.8 93.8 -0.2 97.8 2.82007 99.2 1.5 102.2 1.3 100.6 0.8 93.5 -0.3 99.3 1.52008 100.0 0.8 100.0 -2.2 100.0 -0.6 100.0 6.9 100.0 0.72009 97.4 -2.6 90.3 -9.7 93.7 -6.3 105.8 5.8 100.2 0.22010 101.6 4.3 98.2 8.7 99.0 5.6 110.1 4.1 100.3 0.12011 104.3 2.6 104.1 6.1 101.4 2.4 110.0 -0.1 100.9 0.72012 106.0 1.7 106.2 2.0 105.9 4.5 112.9 2.6 102.4 1.52013 107.4 1.3 107.1 0.8 107.0 1.0 114.0 1.0 103.5 1.12014 108.6 1.2 107.9 0.8 108.4 1.3 114.9 0.8 104.7 1.2
2015 110.1 1.4 108.5 0.6 111.6 3.0 115.8 0.8 106.3 1.52016 111.8 1.6 110.0 1.3 116.1 4.0 115.9 0.1 107.8 1.42017 113.9 1.8 112.2 2.0 120.5 3.8 114.0 -1.7 109.2 1.32018 115.9 1.8 114.9 2.4 125.3 4.0 112.5 -1.3 110.4 1.12019 117.8 1.6 117.7 2.4 129.1 3.0 111.3 -1.0 111.4 0.92020 119.7 1.7 120.6 2.5 133.1 3.1 110.1 -1.1 112.6 1.0
E-27
Años
E-16. Productividad Media Laboral en la Industria Manufacturera: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Indice 2008=100)
Industria Alimentos, Textiles, Madera Imprenta Años Manufacturera Bebidas y Tabaco Vestidos y Cuero y sus Productos y Editoriales
Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 50.9 -0.1 59.8 0.9 85.6 -1.9 65.0 -2.1 43.3 3.91981 52.0 2.2 60.1 0.5 86.7 1.2 65.3 0.5 44.5 2.71982 52.0 -0.1 61.1 1.7 84.7 -2.3 68.5 5.0 45.5 2.31983 51.9 -0.1 60.5 -1.0 86.2 1.8 74.2 8.3 45.0 -1.11984 53.3 2.7 60.5 0.0 86.8 0.7 75.3 1.5 46.0 2.31985 54.9 3.0 61.3 1.4 87.5 0.8 75.8 0.6 48.1 4.41986 53.8 -2.1 60.1 -2.1 85.4 -2.5 77.5 2.3 46.5 -3.21987 55.1 2.5 60.3 0.4 82.4 -3.5 75.9 -2.1 46.9 0.81988 56.9 3.2 61.2 1.5 85.3 3.6 76.1 0.3 48.8 4.11989 59.5 4.5 63.9 4.4 88.4 3.7 76.8 0.9 50.9 4.21990 62.1 4.4 65.7 2.7 93.6 5.8 78.2 1.9 51.8 1.91991 63.5 2.3 66.4 1.0 95.4 2.0 79.2 1.2 52.3 1.01992 65.5 3.1 67.3 1.4 97.7 2.4 80.5 1.7 53.2 1.61993 66.6 1.7 69.4 3.2 95.7 -2.0 73.7 -8.5 51.5 -3.21994 70.4 5.8 72.8 4.8 98.5 2.9 76.0 3.1 54.8 6.51995 70.7 0.4 74.9 2.9 92.0 -6.6 77.0 1.4 58.2 6.21996 73.0 3.3 75.9 1.4 89.3 -3.0 76.4 -0.7 62.5 7.31997 75.2 3.0 77.3 1.8 83.8 -6.2 81.6 6.8 66.8 6.91998 76.8 2.1 79.3 2.6 80.6 -3.8 81.5 -0.2 68.8 3.01999 76.7 -0.2 80.2 1.1 76.2 -5.5 82.5 1.3 71.7 4.22000 78.1 1.9 83.3 3.9 74.5 -2.3 84.8 2.8 72.4 1.02001 79.1 1.2 84.5 1.5 74.2 -0.3 86.4 1.8 72.0 -0.52002 83.6 5.8 86.4 2.2 80.8 8.8 90.7 5.0 73.8 2.52003 84.6 1.1 87.5 1.3 80.8 0.0 93.1 2.6 75.6 2.42004 87.5 3.4 90.3 3.1 84.0 3.9 94.2 1.3 79.9 5.62005 89.6 2.5 93.0 3.0 84.3 0.4 96.1 2.0 82.6 3.42006 93.4 4.2 94.0 1.1 89.2 5.8 95.8 -0.3 88.6 7.32007 96.6 3.4 98.0 4.3 92.5 3.6 97.5 1.8 93.9 6.02008 100.0 3.5 100.0 2.0 100.0 8.2 100.0 2.6 100.0 6.42009 100.8 0.8 100.2 0.2 102.0 2.0 102.2 2.2 101.0 1.02010 107.8 7.0 102.6 2.4 106.9 4.8 107.0 4.7 106.2 5.22011 112.3 4.1 103.9 1.3 111.2 4.0 113.3 5.9 105.4 -0.82012 115.8 3.1 105.5 1.5 113.4 2.0 120.8 6.6 114.4 8.62013 118.5 2.3 106.0 0.5 115.6 1.9 121.4 0.5 115.0 0.52014 123.2 4.0 108.6 2.5 115.0 -0.6 126.9 4.6 118.1 2.7
2015 128.2 4.0 111.6 2.8 116.6 1.5 131.5 3.6 120.3 1.92016 133.2 3.9 114.5 2.6 117.7 0.9 134.8 2.5 122.3 1.62017 138.3 3.8 117.1 2.2 118.2 0.5 137.3 1.9 124.0 1.42018 143.2 3.5 119.3 1.9 118.6 0.3 139.3 1.4 125.9 1.52019 148.1 3.4 121.4 1.8 119.1 0.4 140.6 1.0 127.8 1.52020 153.4 3.6 123.6 1.7 119.6 0.4 142.0 1.0 129.7 1.5
Continúa
E-28
Continuación
Químicos, Minerales Industrias Maquinaria Otras
Años Petróleo y Caucho No Metálicos Metálicas Básicas y Equipo Industrias
Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 52.9 3.5 46.5 0.0 25.9 -1.8 51.7 1.3 163.4 -20.11981 54.0 1.9 46.0 -1.1 26.0 0.4 53.2 3.0 176.1 7.81982 53.1 -1.6 46.8 1.7 24.2 -6.7 51.2 -3.9 174.8 -0.71983 53.5 0.8 46.0 -1.8 23.6 -2.7 48.2 -5.8 150.0 -14.21984 55.0 2.8 46.1 0.2 24.8 5.2 52.0 7.9 161.2 7.51985 56.9 3.4 46.3 0.5 25.7 3.5 55.7 7.2 166.9 3.51986 54.9 -3.6 45.5 -1.7 26.8 4.5 50.7 -9.0 143.2 -14.21987 55.5 1.1 46.6 2.4 32.2 20.1 52.2 2.9 128.0 -10.61988 55.6 0.2 47.3 1.6 33.1 2.9 57.0 9.2 123.8 -3.31989 59.2 6.5 46.6 -1.6 36.2 9.3 58.7 3.0 109.0 -12.01990 59.6 0.8 46.6 0.0 42.6 17.6 61.5 4.8 107.9 -1.01991 59.0 -1.1 48.1 3.4 43.8 3.0 65.8 7.0 108.7 0.71992 61.1 3.5 50.0 3.9 51.8 18.2 65.8 -0.1 111.5 2.61993 60.4 -1.2 55.1 10.0 59.3 14.4 66.8 1.6 104.6 -6.21994 64.3 6.6 60.5 9.8 66.1 11.5 70.2 5.1 104.0 -0.61995 69.5 8.0 59.9 -0.9 65.5 -0.9 63.7 -9.2 96.2 -7.51996 69.4 -0.1 66.2 10.5 77.1 17.8 68.0 6.7 98.4 2.31997 71.5 3.1 69.7 5.3 82.5 7.0 74.1 9.1 92.8 -5.71998 72.5 1.4 72.9 4.5 85.2 3.2 78.1 5.3 88.7 -4.51999 71.4 -1.5 75.2 3.2 88.8 4.3 78.1 0.1 89.3 0.72000 72.2 1.0 76.8 2.2 91.8 3.4 81.7 4.6 83.6 -6.42001 71.9 -0.4 76.7 -0.2 87.3 -4.9 84.7 3.7 86.0 2.82002 75.9 5.6 84.1 9.6 93.4 7.0 87.5 3.3 94.0 9.32003 80.3 5.8 85.9 2.2 94.6 1.2 84.4 -3.5 87.7 -6.72004 87.2 8.7 89.4 4.1 95.8 1.4 84.8 0.5 89.4 2.02005 90.5 3.7 90.7 1.4 99.1 3.5 85.8 1.1 91.4 2.32006 95.8 5.9 95.4 5.2 99.9 0.8 92.4 7.8 94.5 3.32007 98.8 3.1 97.8 2.5 99.5 -0.4 95.6 3.5 96.8 2.42008 100.0 1.2 100.0 2.3 100.0 0.5 100.0 4.6 100.0 3.32009 105.2 5.2 103.9 3.9 97.2 -2.8 98.6 -1.4 104.7 4.72010 103.7 -1.4 101.5 -2.3 108.6 11.8 122.4 24.1 106.1 1.32011 103.2 -0.5 106.9 5.2 111.4 2.6 133.9 9.4 108.7 2.52012 105.3 2.0 109.6 2.6 114.7 2.9 140.3 4.8 106.0 -2.52013 110.1 4.5 108.2 -1.3 118.0 2.9 145.5 3.7 109.5 3.32014 111.1 0.9 111.0 2.6 124.7 5.7 154.6 6.3 116.7 6.6
2015 113.4 2.0 114.2 2.9 130.1 4.3 164.0 6.1 122.9 5.32016 115.0 1.4 117.8 3.1 132.0 1.5 175.3 6.8 127.3 3.62017 116.6 1.4 121.3 3.0 133.2 0.9 187.5 7.0 130.1 2.22018 117.7 1.0 124.6 2.7 134.2 0.7 199.9 6.6 132.2 1.62019 118.8 0.9 127.8 2.6 135.1 0.7 212.4 6.2 134.3 1.62020 119.9 0.9 131.1 2.6 136.0 0.7 225.9 6.4 136.0 1.3
Conclusión
E-29
Minería Electricidad ConstrucciónTotal Generación, Agua y sumistro Construcción Trabajos
Sector Extracción metálicos y no transmisión de gas por ductos de obras de especializadosIndustrial de petróleo metálicos, excepto y suministro de al consumidor ingeniería para la
Total subsector y gas petróleo y gas Total subsector energía eléctrica final Total subsector Edificación civil construcciónIndice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 85.1 3.2 67.6 11.6 53.5 -2.1 155.1 -0.31981 87.0 2.3 72.3 6.9 56.2 5.0 152.1 -1.91982 88.9 2.1 74.0 2.3 59.4 5.8 145.2 -4.51983 91.3 2.7 71.6 -3.2 59.3 -0.1 145.3 0.11984 91.7 0.5 70.5 -1.5 60.0 1.2 143.5 -1.21985 91.9 0.3 67.6 -4.1 61.6 2.6 142.4 -0.81986 89.2 -3.0 64.3 -4.9 62.6 1.7 132.1 -7.31987 91.8 2.9 64.4 0.1 63.2 0.9 135.3 2.41988 93.0 1.4 63.1 -2.1 65.4 3.5 134.3 -0.71989 91.7 -1.5 66.7 5.9 66.6 1.9 121.6 -9.41990 91.0 -0.7 66.8 0.1 65.5 -1.7 114.5 -5.91991 91.3 0.4 68.5 2.5 64.3 -1.9 113.8 -0.51992 93.9 2.8 81.9 19.6 65.6 2.1 118.5 4.11993 94.9 1.0 94.5 15.4 66.7 1.7 116.7 -1.51994 97.8 3.0 99.8 5.6 71.9 7.7 122.1 4.61995 98.1 0.4 99.8 -0.1 72.0 0.1 104.8 -14.21996 98.7 0.6 108.8 9.1 74.2 3.1 102.2 -2.41997 98.1 -0.5 111.9 2.8 76.7 3.4 102.5 0.21998 97.7 -0.5 112.3 0.3 77.7 1.2 101.2 -1.31999 96.4 -1.3 107.8 -4.0 78.3 0.8 103.9 2.72000 97.6 1.2 108.7 0.9 78.3 0.0 106.5 2.52001 100.7 3.2 114.1 4.9 75.6 -3.5 108.7 2.12002 103.6 2.9 115.7 1.4 71.8 -5.0 110.0 1.22003 105.1 1.4 121.0 4.6 118.7 98.6 70.7 -1.5 66.1 100.3 110.7 0.6 110.7 111.3 114.92004 103.3 -1.7 119.5 -1.2 117.1 -1.4 99.2 0.6 79.5 12.4 76.4 15.6 100.8 0.5 105.3 -4.9 104.7 -5.5 109.3 -1.9 110.0 -4.32005 104.0 0.7 119.9 0.4 113.5 -3.1 110.1 11.0 85.5 7.5 83.2 8.8 103.2 2.4 105.6 0.3 104.1 -0.5 114.2 4.5 108.2 -1.62006 102.5 -1.5 116.7 -2.7 112.2 -1.1 104.5 -5.2 94.0 10.0 93.7 12.7 103.9 0.7 102.9 -2.6 101.5 -2.5 111.5 -2.4 107.2 -0.92007 102.6 0.1 107.2 -8.1 108.1 -3.7 105.3 0.8 98.7 4.9 99.2 5.8 105.6 1.7 103.4 0.5 101.8 0.3 112.3 0.7 106.9 -0.32008 100.0 -2.6 100.0 -6.7 100.0 -7.5 100.0 -5.0 100.0 1.3 100.0 0.8 100.0 -5.3 100.0 -3.3 100.0 -1.8 100.0 -10.9 100.0 -6.52009 102.9 2.9 96.5 -3.5 93.2 -6.8 99.3 -0.7 106.8 6.8 112.1 12.1 105.6 5.6 103.4 3.4 101.6 1.6 108.9 8.9 99.7 -0.32010 107.6 4.6 96.6 0.1 93.8 0.6 113.4 14.2 123.3 15.4 147.9 32.0 104.6 -0.9 105.0 1.6 102.7 1.1 112.1 2.9 100.3 0.62011 107.2 -0.4 95.0 -1.7 92.0 -1.9 123.3 8.7 125.3 1.6 147.5 -0.3 102.3 -2.2 102.7 -2.2 100.1 -2.5 110.8 -1.1 99.0 -1.22012 108.8 1.5 93.9 -1.2 89.8 -2.4 132.3 7.3 124.2 -0.8 147.2 -0.2 100.6 -1.7 103.7 1.0 100.6 0.5 115.0 3.8 98.8 -0.22013 114.6 5.3 92.5 -1.4 87.0 -3.2 138.1 4.4 126.4 1.8 149.8 1.8 102.1 1.5 108.5 4.6 104.5 3.8 123.3 7.2 104.0 5.22014 116.5 1.7 90.6 -2.1 85.2 -2.0 140.6 1.8 129.5 2.4 153.4 2.4 104.1 2.0 110.0 1.4 105.6 1.0 126.0 2.2 109.8 5.6
2015 118.3 1.6 89.8 -0.9 82.3 -3.4 142.9 1.6 131.3 1.4 155.0 1.0 105.2 1.0 111.3 1.2 106.7 1.1 127.5 1.2 112.0 2.02016 119.9 1.3 88.8 -1.0 76.6 -7.0 145.4 1.8 132.4 0.8 155.4 0.3 105.7 0.5 112.3 0.9 107.8 1.0 128.3 0.6 112.9 0.82017 120.8 0.7 88.8 -0.1 71.1 -7.1 150.4 3.4 132.7 0.3 155.0 -0.3 105.9 0.2 112.6 0.3 108.1 0.3 128.6 0.2 113.1 0.22018 121.6 0.7 88.9 0.1 65.9 -7.3 153.7 2.2 133.1 0.3 154.3 -0.4 106.2 0.3 112.9 0.3 108.4 0.3 128.9 0.3 113.4 0.22019 122.6 0.8 88.8 -0.1 60.9 -7.6 156.0 1.5 133.4 0.3 153.6 -0.5 106.7 0.4 112.9 0.0 108.5 0.1 128.4 -0.4 113.5 0.12020 123.7 1.0 88.3 -0.6 56.2 -7.8 157.5 1.0 134.0 0.4 153.0 -0.4 107.2 0.5 112.9 0.1 108.6 0.1 128.6 0.1 113.6 0.1
Continúa
E-30
Años
Minería de minerales
E-17. Productividad Media Laboral en el Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Indice 2008=100)
Continuación
ManufacturasIndustrias alimentaria, de las bebidas y del tabaco Textiles, prendas de vestir y productos de cuero
Total Confección de Fabricación de cuero,Años Subsector Industria Fabricación productos textiles, Fabricación piel y materiales
Manufacturero Industria de las bebidas de insumos excepto prendas de prendas sucedáneos, exceptoTotal rama alimentaria y del tabaco Total rama textiles de vestir de vestir prendas de vestir
Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 50.9 -0.1 59.8 0.9 85.6 -1.91981 52.0 2.2 60.1 0.5 86.7 1.21982 52.0 -0.1 61.1 1.7 84.7 -2.31983 51.9 -0.1 60.5 -1.0 86.2 1.81984 53.3 2.7 60.5 0.0 86.8 0.71985 54.9 3.0 61.3 1.4 87.5 0.81986 53.8 -2.1 60.1 -2.1 85.4 -2.51987 55.1 2.5 60.3 0.4 82.4 -3.51988 56.9 3.2 61.2 1.5 85.3 3.61989 59.5 4.5 63.9 4.4 88.4 3.71990 62.1 4.4 65.7 2.7 93.6 5.81991 63.5 2.3 66.4 1.0 95.4 2.01992 65.5 3.1 67.3 1.4 97.7 2.41993 66.6 1.7 69.4 3.2 95.7 -2.01994 70.4 5.8 72.8 4.8 98.5 2.91995 70.7 0.4 74.9 2.9 92.0 -6.61996 73.0 3.3 75.9 1.4 89.3 -3.01997 75.2 3.0 77.3 1.8 83.8 -6.21998 76.8 2.1 79.3 2.6 80.6 -3.81999 76.7 -0.2 80.2 1.1 76.2 -5.52000 78.1 1.9 83.3 3.9 74.5 -2.32001 79.1 1.2 84.5 1.5 74.2 -0.32002 83.6 5.8 86.4 2.2 80.8 8.82003 84.6 1.1 87.5 1.3 91.5 69.5 80.8 0.0 84.5 75.1 77.6 88.62004 87.5 3.4 90.3 3.1 93.1 1.8 76.8 10.6 84.0 3.9 91.3 8.1 80.4 7.1 79.3 2.2 91.2 3.02005 89.6 2.5 93.0 3.0 94.1 1.1 88.0 14.5 84.3 0.4 89.7 -1.8 83.6 4.0 79.9 0.8 92.0 0.82006 93.4 4.2 94.0 1.1 94.8 0.8 89.3 1.5 89.2 5.8 94.3 5.1 86.0 2.9 86.2 7.8 94.7 2.92007 96.6 3.4 98.0 4.3 98.1 3.5 97.8 9.5 92.5 3.6 97.5 3.5 93.8 9.1 88.6 2.8 97.3 2.82008 100.0 3.5 100.0 2.0 100.0 1.9 100.0 2.3 100.0 8.2 100.0 2.5 100.0 6.6 100.0 12.9 100.0 2.72009 100.8 0.8 100.2 0.2 99.9 -0.1 101.9 1.9 102.0 2.0 104.9 4.9 106.7 6.7 102.1 2.1 99.7 -0.32010 107.8 7.0 102.6 2.4 102.2 2.3 105.1 3.2 106.9 4.8 113.5 8.2 113.7 6.6 106.4 4.3 103.7 4.02011 112.3 4.1 103.9 1.3 102.5 0.2 112.9 7.4 111.2 4.0 113.7 0.1 113.3 -0.4 115.2 8.2 103.8 0.12012 115.8 3.1 105.5 1.5 103.2 0.7 121.2 7.3 113.4 2.0 118.0 3.8 111.7 -1.4 119.7 4.0 103.5 -0.22013 118.5 2.3 106.0 0.5 103.1 -0.2 127.5 5.2 115.6 1.9 109.3 -7.4 113.7 1.8 126.1 5.3 104.4 0.92014 123.2 4.0 108.6 2.5 104.9 1.8 134.4 5.4 115.0 -0.6 106.0 -3.0 113.4 -0.3 126.0 -0.1 103.9 -0.5
2015 128.2 4.0 111.6 2.8 107.2 2.2 141.7 5.5 116.6 1.5 104.9 -1.0 112.3 -1.0 129.4 2.7 105.3 1.32016 133.2 3.9 114.5 2.6 109.6 2.2 148.5 4.8 117.7 0.9 104.6 -0.3 110.7 -1.4 131.4 1.6 106.3 1.02017 138.3 3.8 117.1 2.2 111.8 2.0 153.9 3.6 118.2 0.5 104.0 -0.6 108.9 -1.6 132.7 1.0 107.3 0.92018 143.2 3.5 119.3 1.9 113.7 1.7 158.5 3.0 118.6 0.3 103.7 -0.3 107.7 -1.1 133.5 0.6 108.1 0.82019 148.1 3.4 121.4 1.8 115.5 1.6 163.1 2.9 119.1 0.4 103.5 -0.2 106.7 -1.0 134.6 0.8 108.9 0.72020 153.4 3.6 123.6 1.7 117.3 1.6 167.2 2.5 119.6 0.4 103.4 -0.1 105.6 -1.0 135.7 0.8 109.5 0.6
Continúa
E-31
Continuación
ManufacturasMadera y sus productos Impresión e industrias conexas Químicos, petróleo y caucho
Fabricación Fabricación deAños de muebles Impresión productos derivados Industria
Industria y productos Industria e industrias del petróleo Industria del plásticoTotal rama de la madera relacionados Total rama del papel conexas Total rama y del carbón química y del hule
Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 65.0 -2.1 43.3 3.9 52.9 3.51981 65.3 0.5 44.5 2.7 54.0 1.91982 68.5 5.0 45.5 2.3 53.1 -1.61983 74.2 8.3 45.0 -1.1 53.5 0.81984 75.3 1.5 46.0 2.3 55.0 2.81985 75.8 0.6 48.1 4.4 56.9 3.41986 77.5 2.3 46.5 -3.2 54.9 -3.61987 75.9 -2.1 46.9 0.8 55.5 1.11988 76.1 0.3 48.8 4.1 55.6 0.21989 76.8 0.9 50.9 4.2 59.2 6.51990 78.2 1.9 51.8 1.9 59.6 0.81991 79.2 1.2 52.3 1.0 59.0 -1.11992 80.5 1.7 53.2 1.6 61.1 3.51993 73.7 -8.5 51.5 -3.2 60.4 -1.21994 76.0 3.1 54.8 6.5 64.3 6.61995 77.0 1.4 58.2 6.2 69.5 8.01996 76.4 -0.7 62.5 7.3 69.4 -0.11997 81.6 6.8 66.8 6.9 71.5 3.11998 81.5 -0.2 68.8 3.0 72.5 1.41999 82.5 1.3 71.7 4.2 71.4 -1.52000 84.8 2.8 72.4 1.0 72.2 1.02001 86.4 1.8 72.0 -0.5 71.9 -0.42002 90.7 5.0 73.8 2.5 75.9 5.62003 93.1 2.6 91.4 94.6 75.6 2.4 75.8 76.5 80.3 5.8 97.7 73.7 84.92004 94.2 1.3 93.9 2.7 94.5 -0.1 79.9 5.6 81.0 6.9 76.9 0.5 87.2 8.7 103.7 6.1 82.5 12.0 89.4 5.32005 96.1 2.0 96.2 2.5 95.9 1.4 82.6 3.4 83.9 3.6 79.2 3.0 90.5 3.7 101.1 -2.5 87.3 5.7 91.9 2.82006 95.8 -0.3 97.1 0.8 94.8 -1.2 88.6 7.3 87.5 4.3 89.7 13.2 95.8 5.9 100.1 -1.0 94.0 7.7 97.0 5.62007 97.5 1.8 97.7 0.7 97.6 3.0 93.9 6.0 96.0 9.8 91.0 1.4 98.8 3.1 102.1 2.0 98.3 4.5 100.3 3.32008 100.0 2.6 100.0 2.3 100.0 2.5 100.0 6.4 100.0 4.1 100.0 9.9 100.0 1.2 100.0 -2.0 100.0 1.8 100.0 -0.32009 102.2 2.2 98.6 -1.4 105.7 5.7 101.0 1.0 103.1 3.1 96.2 -3.8 105.2 5.2 102.0 2.0 99.7 -0.3 106.5 6.52010 107.0 4.7 101.7 3.2 111.9 5.9 106.2 5.2 105.5 2.2 106.8 11.0 103.7 -1.4 93.9 -7.9 99.6 -0.1 116.9 9.82011 113.3 5.9 109.5 7.7 117.2 4.7 105.4 -0.8 105.2 -0.3 107.6 0.7 103.2 -0.5 88.3 -6.0 99.3 -0.3 123.8 5.92012 120.8 6.6 126.0 15.1 117.4 0.1 114.4 8.6 111.4 5.9 115.8 7.6 105.3 2.0 91.0 3.0 99.9 0.6 134.9 9.02013 121.4 0.5 124.1 -1.6 120.4 2.6 115.0 0.5 112.7 1.2 110.9 -4.2 110.1 4.5 89.7 -1.4 106.4 6.5 136.3 1.02014 126.9 4.6 128.4 3.5 127.5 5.9 118.1 2.7 114.7 1.8 112.2 1.2 111.1 0.9 84.5 -5.8 108.5 2.0 144.4 5.9
2015 131.5 3.6 132.4 3.1 132.7 4.1 120.3 1.9 116.5 1.6 114.0 1.6 113.4 2.0 82.3 -2.6 110.9 2.2 150.6 4.32016 134.8 2.5 135.8 2.6 136.2 2.6 122.3 1.6 118.2 1.4 115.8 1.5 115.0 1.4 80.2 -2.5 113.3 2.1 153.9 2.22017 137.3 1.9 138.8 2.2 138.7 1.8 124.0 1.4 119.5 1.1 117.4 1.4 116.6 1.4 78.6 -2.0 115.6 2.1 156.7 1.82018 139.3 1.4 141.0 1.6 140.6 1.4 125.9 1.5 120.9 1.2 119.3 1.6 117.7 1.0 77.2 -1.8 117.3 1.4 159.0 1.52019 140.6 1.0 142.6 1.1 142.0 1.0 127.8 1.5 122.2 1.1 121.3 1.7 118.8 0.9 76.3 -1.2 118.9 1.4 161.3 1.42020 142.0 1.0 144.2 1.1 143.4 1.0 129.7 1.5 123.6 1.1 123.5 1.8 119.9 0.9 75.5 -1.0 120.6 1.4 163.5 1.4
Continúa
E-32
Continuación
ManufacturasFabricación de Industrias metálicas Maquinaria y equipo
productos a base Fabricación equipo Fabricación de equipoAños de minerales Industrias Fabricación Fabricación de computación, de generación Fabricación Otras
no metálicos metálicas de productos de maquinaria comunicación y eléctrica y accesorios de equipo industriasTotal rama Total rama básicas metálicos Total rama y equipo otros electrónicos eléctricos de transporte Total rama
Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 46.5 0.0 25.9 -1.8 51.7 1.3 163.4 -20.11981 46.0 -1.1 26.0 0.4 53.2 3.0 176.1 7.81982 46.8 1.7 24.2 -6.7 51.2 -3.9 174.8 -0.71983 46.0 -1.8 23.6 -2.7 48.2 -5.8 150.0 -14.21984 46.1 0.2 24.8 5.2 52.0 7.9 161.2 7.51985 46.3 0.5 25.7 3.5 55.7 7.2 166.9 3.51986 45.5 -1.7 26.8 4.5 50.7 -9.0 143.2 -14.21987 46.6 2.4 32.2 20.1 52.2 2.9 128.0 -10.61988 47.3 1.6 33.1 2.9 57.0 9.2 123.8 -3.31989 46.6 -1.6 36.2 9.3 58.7 3.0 109.0 -12.01990 46.6 0.0 42.6 17.6 61.5 4.8 107.9 -1.01991 48.1 3.4 43.8 3.0 65.8 7.0 108.7 0.71992 50.0 3.9 51.8 18.2 65.8 -0.1 111.5 2.61993 55.1 10.0 59.3 14.4 66.8 1.6 104.6 -6.21994 60.5 9.8 66.1 11.5 70.2 5.1 104.0 -0.61995 59.9 -0.9 65.5 -0.9 63.7 -9.2 96.2 -7.51996 66.2 10.5 77.1 17.8 68.0 6.7 98.4 2.31997 69.7 5.3 82.5 7.0 74.1 9.1 92.8 -5.71998 72.9 4.5 85.2 3.2 78.1 5.3 88.7 -4.51999 75.2 3.2 88.8 4.3 78.1 0.1 89.3 0.72000 76.8 2.2 91.8 3.4 81.7 4.6 83.6 -6.42001 76.7 -0.2 87.3 -4.9 84.7 3.7 86.0 2.82002 84.1 9.6 93.4 7.0 87.5 3.3 94.0 9.32003 85.9 2.2 94.6 1.2 91.7 88.0 84.4 -3.5 99.5 108.3 77.8 75.4 87.7 -6.72004 89.4 4.1 95.8 1.4 95.8 4.5 89.7 1.9 84.8 0.5 103.9 4.5 97.4 -10.0 80.7 3.8 78.2 3.7 89.4 2.02005 90.7 1.4 99.1 3.5 99.6 4.0 93.6 4.3 85.8 1.1 108.4 4.3 97.1 -0.4 82.1 1.7 78.4 0.2 91.4 2.32006 95.4 5.2 99.9 0.8 101.6 2.0 97.2 3.9 92.4 7.8 107.2 -1.1 100.8 3.9 90.2 9.9 87.3 11.3 94.5 3.32007 97.8 2.5 99.5 -0.4 100.2 -1.4 99.1 2.0 95.6 3.5 103.5 -3.5 102.7 1.9 94.6 4.9 91.6 5.0 96.8 2.42008 100.0 2.3 100.0 0.5 100.0 -0.2 100.0 0.9 100.0 4.6 100.0 -3.4 100.0 -2.7 100.0 5.7 100.0 9.1 100.0 3.32009 103.9 3.9 97.2 -2.8 91.3 -8.7 100.3 0.3 98.6 -1.4 89.0 -11.0 106.5 6.5 102.2 2.2 101.2 1.2 104.7 4.72010 101.5 -2.3 108.6 11.8 103.0 12.7 109.8 9.4 122.4 24.1 121.6 36.6 108.0 1.4 106.6 4.3 136.9 35.4 106.1 1.32011 106.9 5.2 111.4 2.6 103.7 0.7 114.9 4.7 133.9 9.4 130.0 6.9 121.4 12.5 109.5 2.8 144.0 5.2 108.7 2.52012 109.6 2.6 114.7 2.9 103.7 0.0 120.3 4.7 140.3 4.8 134.2 3.2 123.3 1.5 109.5 0.0 149.9 4.1 106.0 -2.52013 108.2 -1.3 118.0 2.9 107.4 3.5 119.7 -0.5 145.5 3.7 136.8 1.9 130.4 5.8 111.1 1.5 153.4 2.3 109.5 3.32014 111.0 2.6 124.7 5.7 112.6 4.8 126.1 5.3 154.6 6.3 138.2 1.0 136.7 4.8 117.9 6.2 164.1 7.0 116.7 6.6
2015 114.2 2.9 130.1 4.3 115.5 2.6 131.5 4.3 164.0 6.1 140.4 1.6 142.7 4.4 123.0 4.3 175.7 7.1 122.9 5.32016 117.8 3.1 132.0 1.5 114.3 -1.0 134.3 2.1 175.3 6.8 143.9 2.5 149.4 4.7 126.3 2.7 188.4 7.2 127.3 3.62017 121.3 3.0 133.2 0.9 112.4 -1.7 137.0 2.0 187.5 7.0 147.1 2.2 155.9 4.3 129.8 2.7 201.8 7.1 130.1 2.22018 124.6 2.7 134.2 0.7 110.9 -1.3 139.1 1.6 199.9 6.6 149.7 1.8 162.1 4.0 133.1 2.6 215.9 7.0 132.2 1.62019 127.8 2.6 135.1 0.7 109.7 -1.1 141.2 1.5 212.4 6.2 152.2 1.7 167.9 3.6 136.6 2.6 230.6 6.8 134.3 1.62020 131.1 2.6 136.0 0.7 108.7 -0.9 143.1 1.3 225.9 6.4 155.0 1.8 173.8 3.5 140.1 2.6 246.0 6.7 136.0 1.3
Conclusión
E-33
Comercio, restaurantes y hoteles Servicios financieros, seguros y actividades inmobiliariasTotal Servicios de Transporte, Servicios
Sector alojamiento temporal almacenaje y Servicios inmobiliarios yServicios y de preparación de comunicaciones financieros de alquiler de bienes
Total subsector Comercio alimentos y bebidas Total subsector Total subsector y de seguros muebles e intangiblesIndice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 78.8 1.8 86.4 8.8 88.9 -4.6 73.7 -3.81981 80.1 1.7 89.3 3.4 91.0 2.4 71.9 -2.61982 79.7 -0.6 88.1 -1.3 78.7 -13.5 68.5 -4.71983 80.3 0.8 84.0 -4.7 80.3 2.0 69.5 1.41984 81.0 0.9 83.6 -0.5 83.0 3.4 69.1 -0.61985 80.5 -0.7 82.9 -0.8 83.5 0.6 70.8 2.51986 79.7 -0.9 78.7 -5.0 80.1 -4.1 73.3 3.51987 80.2 0.6 78.3 -0.6 80.8 0.9 74.5 1.71988 81.0 1.0 78.3 0.1 84.6 4.7 74.3 -0.31989 81.2 0.2 77.5 -1.1 83.9 -0.8 75.6 1.71990 81.0 -0.2 75.8 -2.2 80.8 -3.7 77.7 2.81991 81.3 0.4 75.9 0.1 81.0 0.2 78.6 1.11992 82.1 0.9 76.6 1.0 85.0 5.0 80.8 2.81993 84.2 2.5 74.6 -2.6 89.2 4.9 83.5 3.41994 85.5 1.6 79.0 5.9 90.2 1.1 86.5 3.51995 82.3 -3.8 70.4 -10.9 88.0 -2.4 88.1 1.91996 84.2 2.3 77.7 10.3 88.1 0.1 86.8 -1.51997 86.1 2.3 84.6 8.9 91.8 4.2 83.6 -3.71998 86.7 0.7 87.3 3.3 92.3 0.6 84.2 0.71999 87.4 0.8 88.3 1.2 93.3 1.1 85.4 1.52000 90.3 3.3 95.4 8.0 96.1 2.9 87.2 2.12001 89.5 -1.0 91.7 -3.9 93.8 -2.4 88.4 1.32002 89.5 0.0 91.6 -0.1 95.3 1.6 89.4 1.12003 90.5 1.1 92.4 0.9 93.2 93.2 96.2 0.9 92.5 3.5 54.4 107.02004 93.1 2.8 95.8 3.6 96.5 3.6 95.9 2.8 98.0 1.9 93.5 1.1 63.1 15.9 103.0 -3.82005 95.0 2.0 98.0 2.4 99.0 2.6 96.2 0.4 98.1 0.0 94.0 0.5 67.7 7.3 103.0 0.12006 97.8 3.0 100.9 2.9 101.7 2.7 98.2 2.1 99.8 1.8 93.8 -0.2 74.1 9.5 100.6 -2.32007 99.2 1.5 102.2 1.3 102.6 1.0 100.6 2.4 100.6 0.8 93.5 -0.3 78.4 5.7 99.8 -0.82008 100.0 0.8 100.0 -2.2 100.0 -2.6 100.0 -0.6 100.0 -0.6 100.0 6.9 100.0 27.6 100.0 0.22009 97.4 -2.6 90.3 -9.7 90.0 -10.0 92.4 -7.6 93.7 -6.3 105.8 5.8 102.4 2.4 109.2 9.22010 101.6 4.3 98.2 8.7 98.7 9.7 94.1 1.8 99.0 5.6 110.1 4.1 113.5 10.9 115.2 5.52011 104.3 2.6 104.1 6.1 104.8 6.2 96.5 2.6 101.4 2.4 110.0 -0.1 111.7 -1.6 118.7 3.12012 106.0 1.7 106.2 2.0 106.4 1.5 100.7 4.3 105.9 4.5 112.9 2.6 118.7 6.3 120.3 1.42013 107.4 1.3 107.1 0.8 107.3 0.8 101.4 0.7 107.0 1.0 114.0 1.0 124.1 4.5 121.9 1.32014 108.6 1.2 107.9 0.8 107.8 0.5 103.1 1.7 108.4 1.3 114.9 0.8 122.8 -1.0 124.9 2.5
2015 110.1 1.4 108.5 0.6 108.0 0.2 105.6 2.4 111.6 3.0 115.8 0.8 123.2 0.3 126.9 1.62016 111.8 1.6 110.0 1.3 109.1 1.0 108.8 3.0 116.1 4.0 115.9 0.1 122.2 -0.8 128.6 1.32017 113.9 1.8 112.2 2.0 111.1 1.8 112.5 3.4 120.5 3.8 114.0 -1.7 118.6 -3.0 129.0 0.32018 115.9 1.8 114.9 2.4 113.5 2.2 116.1 3.2 125.3 4.0 112.5 -1.3 115.9 -2.2 129.2 0.22019 117.8 1.6 117.7 2.4 116.1 2.3 119.5 3.0 129.1 3.0 111.3 -1.0 114.1 -1.6 129.5 0.22020 119.7 1.7 120.6 2.5 118.9 2.4 123.1 3.0 133.1 3.1 110.1 -1.1 112.4 -1.5 129.6 0.1
Continúa
E-34
E-18. Productividad Media Laboral en el Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Indice 2008=100)
Años
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios Servicios de
profesionales, Dirección apoyo a los negocios y científicos de corporativos manejo de desechos y Servicios
Total subsector y técnicos y empresas servicios de remediación educativosIndice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 84.8 0.61981 85.6 1.11982 87.1 1.71983 89.4 2.71984 89.6 0.31985 87.7 -2.21986 87.3 -0.51987 87.1 -0.31988 87.7 0.81989 88.4 0.81990 89.2 0.81991 89.6 0.61992 89.1 -0.61993 93.2 4.71994 92.2 -1.11995 89.8 -2.61996 89.6 -0.31997 90.0 0.51998 89.9 -0.11999 90.7 0.82000 92.2 1.72001 91.9 -0.32002 91.0 -1.02003 91.2 0.2 92.8 85.9 94.3 99.32004 93.0 2.0 94.2 1.4 87.4 1.8 94.8 0.5 99.5 0.22005 95.2 2.4 94.9 0.8 90.6 3.7 99.8 5.2 99.7 0.22006 97.8 2.8 96.6 1.8 97.8 7.9 101.7 2.0 99.5 -0.12007 99.3 1.5 98.0 1.5 95.2 -2.7 101.4 -0.4 99.7 0.22008 100.0 0.7 100.0 2.0 100.0 5.0 100.0 -1.3 100.0 0.32009 100.2 0.2 98.0 -2.0 79.5 -20.5 96.9 -3.1 99.9 -0.12010 100.3 0.1 97.2 -0.8 73.2 -7.9 97.6 0.7 99.8 -0.12011 100.9 0.7 101.5 4.5 74.8 2.2 98.6 1.0 100.5 0.62012 102.4 1.5 103.4 1.8 80.2 7.2 97.8 -0.8 101.5 1.12013 103.5 1.1 102.0 -1.3 77.1 -3.9 100.1 2.4 101.8 0.32014 104.7 1.2 101.2 -0.8 76.9 -0.3 99.8 -0.3 103.0 1.1
2015 106.3 1.5 102.4 1.2 76.3 -0.8 100.1 0.3 104.9 1.92016 107.8 1.4 104.3 1.8 74.3 -2.6 100.3 0.2 106.8 1.82017 109.2 1.3 106.8 2.4 72.2 -2.8 100.6 0.3 108.9 2.02018 110.4 1.1 109.1 2.2 70.1 -2.9 100.9 0.3 110.9 1.82019 111.4 0.9 111.2 1.9 68.3 -2.6 101.1 0.2 112.8 1.72020 112.6 1.0 113.4 2.0 66.7 -2.3 101.5 0.4 114.8 1.8
Continúa
Años
E-35
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios de esparcimiento,
Servicios culturales y deportivos, Otros serviciosde salud y otros servicios Información en excepto actividades Actividades
y de asistencia social recreativos medios masivos del gobierno del gobiernoIndice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
198019811982198319841985198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003 90.8 94.2 56.6 99.9 97.62004 91.7 0.9 97.3 3.3 65.4 15.6 101.7 1.8 98.1 0.62005 93.0 1.5 96.3 -1.0 73.0 11.7 99.7 -2.0 99.9 1.82006 101.0 8.6 98.1 1.9 84.9 16.3 100.3 0.6 99.3 -0.62007 99.8 -1.2 101.2 3.2 96.2 13.3 99.4 -0.9 100.2 0.82008 100.0 0.2 100.0 -1.2 100.0 4.0 100.0 0.6 100.0 -0.22009 100.8 0.8 97.3 -2.7 108.2 8.2 98.7 -1.3 100.7 0.72010 98.9 -1.9 96.8 -0.5 115.4 6.7 97.2 -1.5 102.6 1.82011 99.9 1.0 97.3 0.4 120.5 4.3 97.6 0.4 100.8 -1.72012 101.2 1.3 99.3 2.1 140.6 16.8 94.9 -2.8 102.1 1.32013 102.7 1.5 100.7 1.4 148.5 5.6 95.2 0.4 102.3 0.22014 103.8 1.1 99.7 -1.0 155.4 4.6 96.0 0.8 104.6 2.3
2015 105.5 1.6 101.4 1.7 161.4 3.9 97.2 1.2 106.9 2.22016 106.9 1.4 103.4 2.0 167.4 3.7 98.3 1.2 108.7 1.62017 108.3 1.3 105.0 1.6 173.4 3.6 99.1 0.8 109.8 1.12018 109.7 1.3 106.7 1.6 179.3 3.4 99.6 0.5 110.7 0.82019 110.9 1.1 108.4 1.6 184.9 3.1 99.7 0.1 111.4 0.62020 112.2 1.1 110.1 1.5 190.6 3.1 100.0 0.3 112.2 0.7
Conclusión
E-36
Años
Sección: E-IV. Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra
Cuadro E-19.
Grandes Sectores Económicos
Cuadro E-20.
Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica
Cuadro E-21. Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica
Cuadro E-22. Industria Manufacturera
Cuadro E-23. Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas
Cuadro E-24.
Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos
E-19. Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra por Grandes Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Indice 2008=100)
Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra Indice del Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra 1980=100Años Total Sector Agropecuario Sector Industrial Sector Servicios Total Primario Secundario Terciario
Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 1980 Indice 1980 Indice 1980 Indice 1980
1980 145.9 -3.4 287.8 -7.0 174.9 -5.9 131.4 -2.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.01981 149.9 2.8 293.8 2.1 175.8 0.5 135.6 3.2 96.6 93.0 94.1 97.91982 142.4 -5.0 262.6 -10.6 162.2 -7.8 129.2 -4.7 99.3 95.0 94.6 101.11983 110.5 -22.4 223.6 -14.8 124.3 -23.4 99.9 -22.7 94.3 84.9 87.3 96.31984 104.1 -5.8 212.1 -5.1 115.8 -6.8 94.5 -5.4 73.2 72.3 66.9 74.41985 103.9 -0.2 211.9 -0.1 116.0 0.2 94.6 0.1 68.9 68.6 62.3 70.41986 95.1 -8.4 210.4 -0.7 108.4 -6.6 85.0 -10.2 68.8 68.5 62.4 70.51987 92.6 -2.6 196.2 -6.8 104.5 -3.6 83.0 -2.3 63.0 68.0 58.3 63.31988 84.2 -9.1 177.4 -9.5 98.0 -6.2 74.3 -10.5 61.4 63.4 56.2 61.91989 87.7 4.1 172.3 -2.9 102.6 4.7 78.3 5.4 55.8 57.4 52.7 55.41990 88.2 0.6 146.3 -15.1 101.8 -0.8 80.7 3.0 58.1 55.7 55.2 58.41991 92.3 4.6 143.2 -2.2 104.2 2.4 86.3 6.9 58.4 47.3 54.8 60.11992 96.9 5.0 142.3 -0.6 105.7 1.4 92.9 7.6 61.1 46.3 56.1 64.31993 101.3 4.6 141.9 -0.3 105.9 0.2 99.2 6.8 64.1 46.0 56.9 69.21994 104.1 2.7 137.5 -3.1 105.6 -0.3 103.5 4.4 67.1 45.9 57.0 73.91995 92.7 -11.0 117.9 -14.3 92.0 -12.8 92.9 -10.3 68.9 44.5 56.8 77.21996 83.5 -9.9 103.6 -12.1 84.4 -8.2 83.6 -10.0 61.4 38.1 49.5 69.21997 83.8 0.3 100.5 -2.9 85.5 1.2 83.8 0.2 55.3 33.5 45.4 62.31998 86.5 3.2 102.5 2.0 88.5 3.6 86.5 3.2 55.5 32.5 46.0 62.51999 87.9 1.7 97.8 -4.7 90.6 2.4 87.7 1.4 57.3 33.1 47.6 64.42000 91.3 3.8 98.1 0.3 94.8 4.6 90.5 3.3 58.2 31.6 48.8 65.32001 94.8 3.9 100.0 1.9 96.2 1.5 95.2 5.1 60.5 31.7 51.0 67.52002 97.4 2.7 101.7 1.7 95.3 -0.9 99.4 4.5 62.8 32.3 51.8 70.92003 98.7 1.3 101.6 -0.1 94.7 -0.7 101.6 2.2 64.5 32.9 51.3 74.12004 97.7 -1.0 105.2 3.5 96.0 1.3 99.4 -2.2 65.4 32.9 51.0 75.72005 98.1 0.4 107.6 2.3 95.7 -0.3 99.7 0.3 64.7 34.0 51.6 74.12006 98.3 0.2 105.9 -1.6 97.5 1.9 99.1 -0.5 65.0 34.8 51.5 74.32007 98.6 0.3 102.8 -3.0 97.9 0.4 99.1 0.0 65.1 34.2 52.5 73.92008 100.0 1.4 100.0 -2.7 100.0 2.1 100.0 0.9 65.3 33.2 52.7 73.92009 101.4 1.4 100.6 0.6 96.6 -3.4 103.1 3.1 66.2 32.3 53.8 74.52010 97.6 -3.7 105.4 4.8 90.8 -6.0 99.9 -3.2 67.1 32.5 52.0 76.92011 97.3 -0.3 106.6 1.1 92.0 1.3 98.6 -1.3 64.7 34.1 48.8 74.42012 96.9 -0.5 103.2 -3.1 92.3 0.3 97.8 -0.8 64.5 34.5 49.5 73.52013 96.0 -0.8 104.3 1.0 88.7 -3.9 97.7 -0.1 64.1 33.4 49.6 72.92014 95.3 -0.7 100.7 -3.5 87.6 -1.2 97.1 -0.5 63.6 33.7 47.7 72.8
2015 96.1 0.8 104.2 3.5 88.0 0.4 98.0 0.9 63.1 32.5 47.2 72.42016 96.8 0.8 103.1 -1.0 88.6 0.7 99.0 1.0 63.6 33.7 47.3 73.12017 97.8 1.0 108.8 5.5 89.7 1.3 99.8 0.9 64.1 33.3 47.7 73.82018 98.7 1.0 109.6 0.7 91.0 1.5 100.9 1.1 64.7 35.2 48.3 74.42019 99.7 1.0 114.0 4.0 92.3 1.4 101.9 1.0 65.4 35.4 49.0 75.22020 100.9 1.2 114.6 0.5 93.9 1.7 103.3 1.3 66.0 36.9 49.7 76.0
E-37
E-20. Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra en el Sector Industrial: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Indice 2008=100)
Costo Unitario de la Mano de ObraAños Total Minería Manufacturas Construcción Electricidad
Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.%
1980 174.9 -5.9 164.2 -12.8 232.9 -2.4 131.0 -4.2 221.7 -2.61981 175.8 0.5 156.7 -4.6 235.6 1.1 134.8 2.9 216.5 -2.41982 162.2 -7.8 137.4 -12.3 229.9 -2.4 125.0 -7.3 209.4 -3.31983 124.3 -23.4 109.3 -20.4 178.5 -22.4 101.3 -19.0 157.5 -24.81984 115.8 -6.8 103.6 -5.2 163.2 -8.6 96.1 -5.1 133.0 -15.61985 116.0 0.2 119.2 15.1 158.2 -3.0 96.4 0.4 123.2 -7.41986 108.4 -6.6 107.7 -9.6 148.4 -6.2 92.9 -3.6 105.9 -14.01987 104.5 -3.6 106.1 -1.6 144.6 -2.6 87.6 -5.8 115.4 9.01988 98.0 -6.2 101.8 -4.0 139.8 -3.3 77.4 -11.6 93.4 -19.11989 102.6 4.7 97.0 -4.8 145.7 4.2 80.6 4.1 93.8 0.51990 101.8 -0.8 92.4 -4.7 138.9 -4.7 84.5 4.8 97.6 4.01991 104.2 2.4 102.9 11.3 139.4 0.4 86.2 2.1 103.1 5.71992 105.7 1.4 93.0 -9.6 142.5 2.2 85.6 -0.7 109.1 5.91993 105.9 0.2 85.5 -8.0 140.7 -1.3 89.2 4.2 118.7 8.81994 105.6 -0.3 78.8 -7.9 138.1 -1.8 87.7 -1.6 120.3 1.31995 92.0 -12.8 74.7 -5.2 119.9 -13.2 86.1 -1.8 108.8 -9.61996 84.4 -8.2 65.9 -11.9 106.7 -11.0 83.4 -3.2 97.8 -10.01997 85.5 1.2 64.6 -1.9 103.6 -2.9 86.1 3.3 95.1 -2.81998 88.5 3.6 63.2 -2.1 104.7 1.1 91.4 6.1 93.3 -1.91999 90.6 2.4 64.3 1.6 106.1 1.4 89.9 -1.5 95.0 1.92000 94.8 4.6 74.8 16.4 111.1 4.6 90.7 0.8 103.1 8.52001 96.2 1.5 75.4 0.8 115.4 3.9 91.7 1.1 111.2 7.82002 95.3 -0.9 77.4 2.7 112.2 -2.8 90.8 -0.9 123.0 10.72003 94.7 -0.7 71.3 -7.9 112.0 -0.2 91.4 0.6 128.3 4.32004 96.0 1.3 74.9 5.1 109.3 -2.4 95.3 4.3 117.2 -8.72005 95.7 -0.3 73.5 -1.9 108.4 -0.8 94.8 -0.6 110.3 -5.92006 97.5 1.9 78.0 6.1 105.7 -2.5 97.8 3.2 102.7 -6.92007 97.9 0.4 87.1 11.7 103.1 -2.4 97.6 -0.2 99.1 -3.52008 100.0 2.1 100.0 14.8 100.0 -3.0 100.0 2.4 100.0 0.92009 96.6 -3.4 107.1 7.1 97.9 -2.1 94.9 -5.1 96.5 -3.52010 90.8 -6.0 100.9 -5.8 89.7 -8.3 92.9 -2.1 82.0 -15.02011 92.0 1.3 108.8 7.8 86.9 -3.2 95.6 2.9 84.8 3.42012 92.3 0.3 114.3 5.0 86.3 -0.7 95.6 -0.1 87.4 3.02013 88.7 -3.9 119.7 4.8 83.8 -2.9 91.7 -4.1 87.6 0.22014 87.6 -1.2 124.5 4.0 80.5 -3.9 91.1 -0.6 87.3 -0.3
2015 88.0 0.4 130.6 4.8 78.6 -2.4 92.0 1.0 89.8 2.82016 88.6 0.7 138.2 5.9 76.8 -2.3 93.2 1.2 93.1 3.82017 89.7 1.3 145.7 5.4 75.2 -2.0 95.0 2.0 97.5 4.72018 91.0 1.5 154.2 5.9 74.0 -1.7 97.0 2.1 102.3 5.02019 92.3 1.4 163.8 6.2 72.7 -1.8 99.3 2.4 107.2 4.72020 93.9 1.7 175.7 7.2 71.5 -1.6 102.0 2.7 112.8 5.3
E-38
E-21. Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra en el Sector Servicios: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Indice 2003=100)
Costo Unitario de la Mano de ObraComercio, Transporte, Almacenaje Servicios Financieros, Servicios Comunales,
Total Restaurantes y Hoteles y Comunicaciones Seguros e Inmuebles Sociales y PersonalesIndice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.%
1980 131.4 -2.1 188.7 -11.0 131.1 -2.1 157.7 2.3 101.9 1.01981 135.6 3.2 184.8 -2.0 134.6 2.6 168.3 6.7 107.2 5.21982 129.2 -4.7 167.5 -9.4 142.3 5.7 167.0 -0.8 102.0 -4.81983 99.9 -22.7 144.3 -13.8 117.0 -17.8 125.7 -24.7 75.0 -26.51984 94.5 -5.4 135.3 -6.3 107.0 -8.5 120.9 -3.8 71.9 -4.01985 94.6 0.1 134.7 -0.4 107.2 0.1 119.6 -1.1 73.0 1.41986 85.0 -10.2 128.1 -4.9 102.8 -4.1 108.4 -9.4 64.1 -12.21987 83.0 -2.3 121.5 -5.1 100.0 -2.7 110.6 2.1 63.5 -0.91988 74.3 -10.5 107.5 -11.5 94.5 -5.5 100.9 -8.8 56.6 -11.01989 78.3 5.4 117.7 9.5 96.8 2.5 103.5 2.6 59.5 5.11990 80.7 3.0 124.8 6.1 99.6 2.8 110.6 6.9 60.6 2.01991 86.3 6.9 132.5 6.1 105.7 6.1 121.3 9.6 65.0 7.21992 92.9 7.6 138.6 4.6 107.7 1.9 137.9 13.7 71.6 10.21993 99.2 6.8 149.9 8.2 107.3 -0.4 148.1 7.4 76.4 6.61994 103.5 4.4 145.5 -3.0 107.1 -0.3 146.6 -1.0 84.0 10.01995 92.9 -10.3 139.1 -4.4 99.3 -7.2 119.6 -18.4 74.7 -11.11996 83.6 -10.0 112.9 -18.8 91.4 -8.0 104.9 -12.3 69.8 -6.51997 83.8 0.2 103.6 -8.3 87.8 -3.9 112.5 7.2 72.0 3.11998 86.5 3.2 102.4 -1.1 88.9 1.3 108.8 -3.3 76.2 5.71999 87.7 1.4 101.6 -0.8 90.2 1.4 101.2 -7.0 78.4 2.92000 90.5 3.3 99.6 -1.9 92.7 2.8 96.2 -4.9 83.4 6.42001 95.2 5.1 104.3 4.7 96.4 4.0 93.6 -2.7 89.0 6.72002 99.4 4.5 105.2 0.9 96.4 -0.1 101.4 8.4 94.7 6.42003 101.6 2.2 104.3 -0.9 96.8 0.4 91.0 -10.3 99.7 5.32004 99.4 -2.2 101.6 -2.5 97.0 0.3 89.2 -2.0 98.2 -1.52005 99.7 0.3 102.3 0.7 99.2 2.2 92.6 3.9 98.0 -0.22006 99.1 -0.5 100.0 -2.2 98.5 -0.7 94.4 1.9 98.5 0.52007 99.1 0.0 98.1 -1.9 99.3 0.8 98.2 4.1 98.7 0.12008 100.0 0.9 100.0 1.9 100.0 0.7 100.0 1.8 100.0 1.42009 103.1 3.1 107.8 7.8 105.7 5.7 94.5 -5.5 101.0 1.02010 99.9 -3.2 98.5 -8.7 101.4 -4.1 92.1 -2.4 102.3 1.32011 98.6 -1.3 91.8 -6.8 101.2 -0.1 92.0 -0.2 103.6 1.32012 97.8 -0.8 89.0 -3.0 98.3 -2.9 89.6 -2.6 103.3 -0.32013 97.7 -0.1 90.3 1.5 97.7 -0.6 87.0 -2.9 103.6 0.22014 97.1 -0.5 89.3 -1.1 97.6 -0.1 84.9 -2.4 103.7 0.2
2015 98.0 0.9 90.5 1.4 97.4 -0.2 83.7 -1.4 105.2 1.42016 99.0 1.0 90.8 0.4 96.3 -1.1 83.4 -0.3 106.9 1.62017 99.8 0.9 90.6 -0.3 95.3 -1.1 85.2 2.1 108.7 1.72018 100.9 1.1 90.2 -0.5 94.1 -1.3 86.4 1.4 110.9 2.02019 101.9 1.0 89.6 -0.6 93.5 -0.7 87.2 0.8 113.0 1.92020 103.3 1.3 89.4 -0.3 93.1 -0.4 88.2 1.2 115.5 2.2
E-39
Años
E-22. Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obral en la Industria Manufacturera: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Indice 2008=100)
Industria Alimentos, Textiles, Madera Imprenta Años Manufacturera Bebidas y Tabaco Vestidos y Cuero y sus Productos y Editoriales
Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.%
1980 232.9 -2.4 201.9 -4.3 177.0 -1.1 198.9 1.9 385.3 -4.61981 235.6 1.1 203.8 0.9 176.0 -0.6 210.0 5.6 366.7 -4.81982 229.9 -2.4 189.5 -7.0 172.6 -1.9 188.3 -10.3 338.5 -7.71983 178.5 -22.4 146.9 -22.5 135.0 -21.8 140.4 -25.4 266.6 -21.21984 163.2 -8.6 138.5 -5.7 124.4 -7.8 129.1 -8.0 241.0 -9.61985 158.2 -3.0 135.2 -2.4 122.9 -1.2 125.8 -2.5 226.2 -6.11986 148.4 -6.2 126.3 -6.5 113.7 -7.5 116.7 -7.2 213.3 -5.71987 144.6 -2.6 121.9 -3.5 113.6 -0.1 114.1 -2.3 212.9 -0.21988 139.8 -3.3 113.8 -6.7 108.1 -4.9 103.4 -9.4 205.1 -3.71989 145.7 4.2 122.5 7.7 115.6 6.9 109.7 6.1 200.6 -2.21990 138.9 -4.7 121.7 -0.7 108.5 -6.1 110.9 1.1 192.2 -4.21991 139.4 0.4 129.1 6.1 108.0 -0.5 112.5 1.4 192.8 0.31992 142.5 2.2 136.4 5.7 112.0 3.7 113.6 1.0 205.2 6.41993 140.7 -1.3 140.8 3.2 112.8 0.7 124.7 9.8 213.2 3.91994 138.1 -1.8 141.1 0.2 111.8 -0.9 125.9 1.0 210.6 -1.21995 119.9 -13.2 117.1 -17.1 96.4 -13.8 105.8 -16.0 166.8 -20.81996 106.7 -11.0 106.6 -9.0 88.4 -8.3 97.2 -8.1 144.4 -13.41997 103.6 -2.9 104.6 -1.8 93.6 5.9 90.9 -6.5 128.4 -11.11998 104.7 1.1 105.7 1.0 100.6 7.5 93.3 2.6 127.9 -0.41999 106.1 1.4 105.7 0.0 106.6 6.0 96.3 3.2 125.9 -1.52000 111.1 4.6 108.1 2.2 118.5 11.2 99.2 3.0 131.1 4.12001 115.4 3.9 113.0 4.5 124.0 4.6 104.0 4.8 136.9 4.52002 112.2 -2.8 114.6 1.5 119.6 -3.6 103.2 -0.8 137.9 0.72003 112.0 -0.2 114.0 -0.6 120.9 1.2 102.9 -0.2 135.6 -1.62004 109.3 -2.4 111.9 -1.9 117.7 -2.7 100.2 -2.6 128.4 -5.32005 108.4 -0.8 109.1 -2.5 120.1 2.0 100.0 -0.2 125.9 -2.02006 105.7 -2.5 110.1 0.9 113.9 -5.2 102.2 2.2 114.2 -9.32007 103.1 -2.4 105.2 -4.5 108.2 -5.0 102.0 -0.2 105.9 -7.22008 100.0 -3.0 100.0 -4.9 100.0 -7.6 100.0 -2.0 100.0 -5.62009 97.9 -2.1 96.8 -3.2 96.0 -4.0 95.2 -4.8 98.5 -1.52010 89.7 -8.3 94.5 -2.4 90.4 -5.8 91.1 -4.3 93.1 -5.42011 86.9 -3.2 93.1 -1.5 88.1 -2.6 87.2 -4.3 94.0 1.02012 86.3 -0.7 92.9 -0.2 85.9 -2.4 81.6 -6.4 88.9 -5.52013 83.8 -2.9 92.1 -0.8 84.4 -1.8 81.3 -0.4 88.6 -0.32014 80.5 -3.9 90.3 -2.0 85.1 0.9 77.0 -5.3 87.0 -1.8
2015 78.6 -2.4 89.2 -1.2 84.8 -0.3 74.7 -2.9 87.2 0.22016 76.8 -2.3 88.0 -1.4 84.9 0.0 73.3 -1.9 87.6 0.52017 75.2 -2.0 87.2 -0.8 85.3 0.4 72.3 -1.3 88.3 0.72018 74.0 -1.7 86.9 -0.3 85.9 0.7 72.0 -0.5 89.1 0.92019 72.7 -1.8 86.6 -0.4 86.3 0.5 71.7 -0.4 89.7 0.72020 71.5 -1.6 86.6 0.1 86.9 0.8 71.7 0.0 90.6 1.0
Continúa
E-40
Continuación
Químicos, Minerales Industrias Maquinaria Otras
Años Petróleo y Caucho No Metálicos Metálicas Básicas y Equipo Industrias
Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.%
1980 179.2 -3.8 273.5 -1.2 502.7 -1.2 215.7 -5.8 79.8 19.11981 178.8 -0.2 282.7 3.3 526.8 4.8 218.5 1.3 75.2 -5.81982 174.8 -2.3 275.9 -2.4 574.5 9.1 226.9 3.9 71.7 -4.71983 134.0 -23.3 218.7 -20.7 451.0 -21.5 187.2 -17.5 66.9 -6.71984 123.2 -8.1 204.2 -6.7 400.2 -11.2 162.1 -13.4 58.1 -13.21985 123.4 0.2 202.0 -1.1 379.9 -5.1 153.6 -5.3 54.0 -7.01986 120.5 -2.4 195.4 -3.3 325.3 -14.4 157.2 2.4 59.4 10.01987 120.4 -0.1 185.2 -5.2 293.6 -9.7 151.5 -3.7 63.1 6.11988 122.4 1.7 183.7 -0.8 289.6 -1.4 139.6 -7.9 59.5 -5.71989 121.4 -0.8 201.2 9.5 302.8 4.5 146.4 4.9 71.7 20.61990 119.6 -1.5 198.2 -1.5 254.3 -16.0 138.5 -5.4 69.8 -2.61991 125.5 5.0 201.2 1.5 239.8 -5.7 133.7 -3.5 71.7 2.71992 128.8 2.6 200.3 -0.5 221.0 -7.8 138.7 3.8 75.2 4.91993 132.2 2.6 183.6 -8.3 184.2 -16.7 137.3 -1.0 83.5 11.01994 127.8 -3.4 173.9 -5.2 172.4 -6.4 136.0 -1.0 86.4 3.41995 106.7 -16.5 161.3 -7.3 155.0 -10.1 132.6 -2.5 80.1 -7.31996 102.1 -4.3 125.2 -22.3 118.6 -23.5 113.4 -14.5 72.8 -9.11997 99.5 -2.5 115.3 -7.9 108.7 -8.4 104.6 -7.8 78.6 8.01998 102.4 2.9 112.0 -2.9 107.5 -1.1 101.6 -2.9 85.0 8.11999 105.9 3.4 111.1 -0.8 100.3 -6.7 103.6 2.0 84.5 -0.62000 111.3 5.1 113.3 2.0 100.1 -0.2 106.1 2.5 98.9 17.12001 115.6 3.9 124.4 9.8 107.7 7.6 109.6 3.2 98.3 -0.62002 112.0 -3.1 117.2 -5.7 102.6 -4.7 107.7 -1.7 92.1 -6.32003 110.2 -1.6 117.3 0.1 102.8 0.2 110.4 2.5 99.9 8.42004 105.1 -4.7 113.8 -3.0 99.3 -3.4 109.9 -0.5 102.9 2.92005 106.0 0.9 109.0 -4.2 96.2 -3.1 110.6 0.6 101.4 -1.42006 101.3 -4.5 102.7 -5.8 97.1 0.9 105.6 -4.5 102.3 0.92007 100.7 -0.6 100.3 -2.4 100.4 3.4 102.6 -2.8 101.5 -0.82008 100.0 -0.7 100.0 -0.3 100.0 -0.4 100.0 -2.6 100.0 -1.52009 99.2 -0.8 95.9 -4.1 105.9 5.9 102.2 2.2 93.0 -7.02010 96.5 -2.8 94.7 -1.2 94.6 -10.6 79.1 -22.6 92.0 -1.12011 98.9 2.5 86.1 -9.1 92.7 -2.0 72.5 -8.4 89.5 -2.72012 100.4 1.5 83.0 -3.6 96.5 4.1 71.1 -1.8 89.7 0.22013 96.3 -4.0 80.6 -2.9 94.7 -1.9 68.1 -4.3 82.7 -7.92014 94.8 -1.6 77.0 -4.4 90.7 -4.3 63.6 -6.7 75.5 -8.6
2015 94.2 -0.6 74.9 -2.7 89.5 -1.2 60.5 -4.8 70.9 -6.12016 94.2 0.0 72.8 -2.9 90.7 1.3 57.2 -5.4 67.6 -4.72017 94.4 0.2 71.0 -2.5 92.4 1.9 54.2 -5.3 65.2 -3.42018 95.2 0.8 69.5 -2.2 94.3 2.1 51.5 -4.9 63.4 -2.82019 95.7 0.5 67.8 -2.4 96.2 2.0 49.1 -4.7 61.4 -3.12020 96.5 0.9 66.4 -2.0 98.4 2.3 46.9 -4.5 60.0 -2.4
Conclusión
E-41
Minería Electricidad ConstrucciónTotal Generación, Agua y sumistro Construcción Trabajos
Sector Extracción metálicos y no transmisión de gas por ductos de obras de especializadosIndustrial de petróleo metálicos, excepto y suministro de al consumidor ingeniería para la
Total subsector y gas petróleo y gas Total subsector energía eléctrica final Total subsector Edificación civil construcciónIndice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 174.9 -5.9 164.2 -12.8 221.7 -2.6 131.0 -4.21981 175.8 0.5 156.7 -4.6 216.5 -2.4 134.8 2.91982 162.2 -7.8 137.4 -12.3 209.4 -3.3 125.0 -7.31983 124.3 -23.4 109.3 -20.4 157.5 -24.8 101.3 -19.01984 115.8 -6.8 103.6 -5.2 133.0 -15.6 96.1 -5.11985 116.0 0.2 119.2 15.1 123.2 -7.4 96.4 0.41986 108.4 -6.6 107.7 -9.6 105.9 -14.0 92.9 -3.61987 104.5 -3.6 106.1 -1.6 115.4 9.0 87.6 -5.81988 98.0 -6.2 101.8 -4.0 93.4 -19.1 77.4 -11.61989 102.6 4.7 97.0 -4.8 93.8 0.5 80.6 4.11990 101.8 -0.8 92.4 -4.7 97.6 4.0 84.5 4.81991 104.2 2.4 102.9 11.3 103.1 5.7 86.2 2.11992 105.7 1.4 93.0 -9.6 109.1 5.9 85.6 -0.71993 105.9 0.2 85.5 -8.0 118.7 8.8 89.2 4.21994 105.6 -0.3 78.8 -7.9 120.3 1.3 87.7 -1.61995 92.0 -12.8 74.7 -5.2 108.8 -9.6 86.1 -1.81996 84.4 -8.2 65.9 -11.9 97.8 -10.0 83.4 -3.21997 85.5 1.2 64.6 -1.9 95.1 -2.8 86.1 3.31998 88.5 3.6 63.2 -2.1 93.3 -1.9 91.4 6.11999 90.6 2.4 64.3 1.6 95.0 1.9 89.9 -1.52000 94.8 4.6 74.8 16.4 103.1 8.5 90.7 0.82001 96.2 1.5 75.4 0.8 111.2 7.8 91.7 1.12002 95.3 -0.9 77.4 2.7 123.0 10.7 90.8 -0.92003 94.7 -0.7 71.3 -7.9 75.7 82.9 128.3 4.3 132.0 102.4 91.4 0.6 91.8 90.6 89.02004 96.0 1.3 74.9 5.1 77.4 2.2 87.4 5.4 117.2 -8.7 118.6 -10.1 101.6 -0.8 95.3 4.3 96.2 4.9 92.5 2.1 92.2 3.52005 95.7 -0.3 73.5 -1.9 73.9 -4.5 79.8 -8.7 110.3 -5.9 111.4 -6.1 98.1 -3.5 94.8 -0.6 96.3 0.1 88.9 -3.9 93.3 1.32006 97.5 1.9 78.0 6.1 81.0 9.6 84.7 6.1 102.7 -6.9 103.3 -7.2 95.5 -2.6 97.8 3.2 99.1 2.9 91.7 3.2 94.5 1.22007 97.9 0.4 87.1 11.7 90.2 11.3 86.0 1.5 99.1 -3.5 99.8 -3.4 92.8 -2.8 97.6 -0.2 98.9 -0.3 93.2 1.6 94.3 -0.22008 100.0 2.1 100.0 14.8 100.0 10.9 100.0 16.3 100.0 0.9 100.0 0.2 100.0 7.7 100.0 2.4 100.0 1.1 100.0 7.3 100.0 6.02009 96.6 -3.4 107.1 7.1 113.1 13.1 101.9 1.9 96.5 -3.5 96.6 -3.4 93.7 -6.3 94.9 -5.1 96.9 -3.1 89.1 -10.9 99.9 -0.12010 90.8 -6.0 100.9 -5.8 95.8 -15.3 89.9 -11.8 82.0 -15.0 78.2 -19.1 92.7 -1.0 92.9 -2.1 96.5 -0.4 82.1 -7.8 99.6 -0.32011 92.0 1.3 108.8 7.8 114.5 19.5 83.0 -7.6 84.8 3.4 82.6 5.7 93.6 1.0 95.6 2.9 99.7 3.3 83.3 1.4 102.1 2.52012 92.3 0.3 114.3 5.0 125.4 9.5 78.9 -5.0 87.4 3.0 86.3 4.5 92.7 -1.0 95.6 -0.1 99.9 0.2 81.9 -1.6 102.7 0.62013 88.7 -3.9 119.7 4.8 141.1 12.5 75.1 -4.8 87.6 0.2 86.5 0.2 93.2 0.5 91.7 -4.1 95.9 -4.0 78.6 -4.0 98.3 -4.32014 87.6 -1.2 124.5 4.0 147.1 4.3 75.0 -0.2 87.3 -0.3 87.6 1.3 88.5 -5.1 91.1 -0.6 95.9 -0.1 77.0 -2.1 93.3 -5.0
2015 88.0 0.4 130.6 4.8 157.8 7.3 76.0 1.4 89.8 2.8 91.7 4.6 86.2 -2.6 92.0 1.0 97.1 1.2 77.3 0.4 93.8 0.42016 88.6 0.7 138.2 5.9 175.6 11.2 76.8 1.0 93.1 3.8 96.7 5.5 84.2 -2.3 93.2 1.2 98.2 1.2 78.1 1.1 95.3 1.72017 89.7 1.3 145.7 5.4 195.6 11.4 76.4 -0.5 97.5 4.7 103.0 6.4 82.6 -2.0 95.0 2.0 100.2 2.1 79.4 1.6 97.5 2.32018 91.0 1.5 154.2 5.9 218.9 11.9 77.1 1.0 102.3 5.0 109.8 6.7 81.0 -1.9 97.0 2.1 102.4 2.2 80.6 1.5 99.8 2.42019 92.3 1.4 163.8 6.2 245.7 12.2 78.1 1.4 107.2 4.7 116.8 6.3 78.9 -2.6 99.3 2.4 104.8 2.3 82.4 2.2 102.3 2.52020 93.9 1.7 175.7 7.2 277.1 12.8 79.9 2.2 112.8 5.3 124.7 6.8 77.1 -2.2 102.0 2.7 107.7 2.8 84.2 2.2 105.2 2.8
Continúa
E-42
Años
Minería de minerales
E-23. Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra en el Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Indice 2008=100)
Continuación
ManufacturasIndustrias alimentaria, de las bebidas y del tabaco Textiles, prendas de vestir y productos de cuero
Total Confección de Fabricación de cuero,Años Subsector Industria Fabricación productos textiles, Fabricación piel y materiales
Manufacturero Industria de las bebidas de insumos excepto prendas de prendas sucedáneos, exceptoTotal rama alimentaria y del tabaco Total rama textiles de vestir de vestir prendas de vestir
Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 232.9 -2.4 201.9 -4.3 177.0 -1.11981 235.6 1.1 203.8 0.9 176.0 -0.61982 229.9 -2.4 189.5 -7.0 172.6 -1.91983 178.5 -22.4 146.9 -22.5 135.0 -21.81984 163.2 -8.6 138.5 -5.7 124.4 -7.81985 158.2 -3.0 135.2 -2.4 122.9 -1.21986 148.4 -6.2 126.3 -6.5 113.7 -7.51987 144.6 -2.6 121.9 -3.5 113.6 -0.11988 139.8 -3.3 113.8 -6.7 108.1 -4.91989 145.7 4.2 122.5 7.7 115.6 6.91990 138.9 -4.7 121.7 -0.7 108.5 -6.11991 139.4 0.4 129.1 6.1 108.0 -0.51992 142.5 2.2 136.4 5.7 112.0 3.71993 140.7 -1.3 140.8 3.2 112.8 0.71994 138.1 -1.8 141.1 0.2 111.8 -0.91995 119.9 -13.2 117.1 -17.1 96.4 -13.81996 106.7 -11.0 106.6 -9.0 88.4 -8.31997 103.6 -2.9 104.6 -1.8 93.6 5.91998 104.7 1.1 105.7 1.0 100.6 7.51999 106.1 1.4 105.7 0.0 106.6 6.02000 111.1 4.6 108.1 2.2 118.5 11.22001 115.4 3.9 113.0 4.5 124.0 4.62002 112.2 -2.8 114.6 1.5 119.6 -3.62003 112.0 -0.2 114.0 -0.6 110.1 131.9 120.9 1.2 109.6 139.6 122.4 113.92004 109.3 -2.4 111.9 -1.9 108.5 -1.5 126.8 -3.9 117.7 -2.7 106.8 -2.6 128.6 -7.9 120.3 -1.7 112.8 -1.02005 108.4 -0.8 109.1 -2.5 107.1 -1.3 117.6 -7.2 120.1 2.0 110.5 3.5 133.2 3.6 120.7 0.4 112.7 -0.12006 105.7 -2.5 110.1 0.9 108.2 1.0 117.3 -0.3 113.9 -5.2 113.3 2.6 118.0 -11.4 113.7 -5.8 110.8 -1.72007 103.1 -2.4 105.2 -4.5 104.2 -3.7 108.9 -7.2 108.2 -5.0 107.1 -5.4 104.0 -11.8 109.9 -3.3 106.6 -3.82008 100.0 -3.0 100.0 -4.9 100.0 -4.0 100.0 -8.2 100.0 -7.6 100.0 -6.7 100.0 -3.9 100.0 -9.0 100.0 -6.22009 97.9 -2.1 96.8 -3.2 97.8 -2.2 92.9 -7.1 96.0 -4.0 88.7 -11.3 94.9 -5.1 97.2 -2.8 97.1 -2.92010 89.7 -8.3 94.5 -2.4 96.6 -1.2 86.3 -7.1 90.4 -5.8 74.8 -15.6 94.0 -1.0 92.1 -5.2 91.6 -5.62011 86.9 -3.2 93.1 -1.5 96.4 -0.3 80.8 -6.4 88.1 -2.6 77.0 2.9 92.7 -1.3 86.3 -6.3 93.3 1.82012 86.3 -0.7 92.9 -0.2 96.4 0.0 79.8 -1.1 85.9 -2.4 76.5 -0.7 89.5 -3.5 83.2 -3.6 93.3 0.02013 83.8 -2.9 92.1 -0.8 96.5 0.1 76.1 -4.7 84.4 -1.8 80.2 4.9 91.1 1.7 78.0 -6.3 92.9 -0.42014 80.5 -3.9 90.3 -2.0 94.9 -1.6 73.6 -3.3 85.1 0.9 84.0 4.7 88.9 -2.4 78.0 0.1 92.7 -0.2
2015 78.6 -2.4 89.2 -1.2 94.2 -0.8 71.5 -2.8 84.8 -0.3 86.8 3.4 88.9 0.1 76.7 -1.7 92.3 -0.42016 76.8 -2.3 88.0 -1.4 93.2 -1.0 69.4 -3.0 84.9 0.0 88.9 2.4 89.5 0.6 76.0 -0.9 92.0 -0.42017 75.2 -2.0 87.2 -0.8 92.6 -0.6 68.1 -1.9 85.3 0.4 91.3 2.7 90.5 1.2 75.7 -0.5 91.9 -0.22018 74.0 -1.7 86.9 -0.3 92.5 -0.2 67.3 -1.1 85.9 0.7 93.7 2.6 91.4 0.9 75.9 0.3 91.8 0.02019 72.7 -1.8 86.6 -0.4 92.3 -0.2 66.5 -1.2 86.3 0.5 95.9 2.4 92.0 0.7 75.8 -0.1 91.9 0.12020 71.5 -1.6 86.6 0.1 92.4 0.2 66.1 -0.5 86.9 0.8 98.4 2.6 92.8 0.9 75.9 0.2 92.3 0.4
Continúa
E-43
Continuación
ManufacturasMadera y sus productos Impresión e industrias conexas Químicos, petróleo y caucho
Fabricación Fabricación deAños de muebles Impresión productos derivados Industria
Industria y productos Industria e industrias del petróleo Industria del plásticoTotal rama de la madera relacionados Total rama del papel conexas Total rama y del carbón química y del hule
Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 198.9 1.9 385.3 -4.6 179.2 -3.81981 210.0 5.6 366.7 -4.8 178.8 -0.21982 188.3 -10.3 338.5 -7.7 174.8 -2.31983 140.4 -25.4 266.6 -21.2 134.0 -23.31984 129.1 -8.0 241.0 -9.6 123.2 -8.11985 125.8 -2.5 226.2 -6.1 123.4 0.21986 116.7 -7.2 213.3 -5.7 120.5 -2.41987 114.1 -2.3 212.9 -0.2 120.4 -0.11988 103.4 -9.4 205.1 -3.7 122.4 1.71989 109.7 6.1 200.6 -2.2 121.4 -0.81990 110.9 1.1 192.2 -4.2 119.6 -1.51991 112.5 1.4 192.8 0.3 125.5 5.01992 113.6 1.0 205.2 6.4 128.8 2.61993 124.7 9.8 213.2 3.9 132.2 2.61994 125.9 1.0 210.6 -1.2 127.8 -3.41995 105.8 -16.0 166.8 -20.8 106.7 -16.51996 97.2 -8.1 144.4 -13.4 102.1 -4.31997 90.9 -6.5 128.4 -11.1 99.5 -2.51998 93.3 2.6 127.9 -0.4 102.4 2.91999 96.3 3.2 125.9 -1.5 105.9 3.42000 99.2 3.0 131.1 4.1 111.3 5.12001 104.0 4.8 136.9 4.5 115.6 3.92002 103.2 -0.8 137.9 0.7 112.0 -3.12003 102.9 -0.2 102.0 103.6 135.6 -1.6 133.4 137.6 110.2 -1.6 80.5 119.1 117.02004 100.2 -2.6 97.4 -4.5 102.5 -1.1 128.4 -5.3 124.1 -7.0 137.4 -0.2 105.1 -4.7 74.8 -7.1 114.4 -4.0 111.5 -4.72005 100.0 -0.2 96.8 -0.6 102.5 0.1 125.9 -2.0 123.9 -0.1 131.2 -4.5 106.0 0.9 81.9 9.4 113.8 -0.5 109.6 -1.82006 102.2 2.2 98.3 1.5 105.4 2.7 114.2 -9.3 115.8 -6.5 111.8 -14.8 101.3 -4.5 88.2 7.7 104.4 -8.2 105.7 -3.52007 102.0 -0.2 100.1 1.9 103.4 -1.9 105.9 -7.2 103.7 -10.5 110.1 -1.5 100.7 -0.6 99.7 13.0 100.5 -3.8 101.9 -3.62008 100.0 -2.0 100.0 -0.1 100.0 -3.3 100.0 -5.6 100.0 -3.5 100.0 -9.2 100.0 -0.7 100.0 0.3 100.0 -0.5 100.0 -1.92009 95.2 -4.8 99.3 -0.7 91.8 -8.2 98.5 -1.5 95.1 -4.9 105.5 5.5 99.2 -0.8 100.9 0.9 101.9 1.9 92.4 -7.62010 91.1 -4.3 95.9 -3.5 87.4 -4.9 93.1 -5.4 92.4 -2.9 94.2 -10.7 96.5 -2.8 106.7 5.8 97.7 -4.1 82.0 -11.32011 87.2 -4.3 88.7 -7.5 85.8 -1.8 94.0 1.0 93.6 1.3 93.4 -0.9 98.9 2.5 112.7 5.6 100.3 2.6 80.1 -2.22012 81.6 -6.4 77.4 -12.7 84.8 -1.2 88.9 -5.5 88.7 -5.3 90.3 -3.3 100.4 1.5 124.9 10.8 99.7 -0.5 75.9 -5.32013 81.3 -0.4 78.3 1.2 83.3 -1.7 88.6 -0.3 87.6 -1.2 94.0 4.1 96.3 -4.0 120.2 -3.8 96.0 -3.8 72.3 -4.82014 77.0 -5.3 75.1 -4.0 77.9 -6.5 87.0 -1.8 86.1 -1.7 93.8 -0.2 94.8 -1.6 124.2 3.4 93.6 -2.5 68.9 -4.6
2015 74.7 -2.9 73.5 -2.1 75.1 -3.5 87.2 0.2 86.3 0.2 94.5 0.7 94.2 -0.6 126.1 1.5 92.5 -1.1 67.7 -1.82016 73.3 -1.9 72.3 -1.6 73.4 -2.4 87.6 0.5 86.9 0.7 95.0 0.5 94.2 0.0 128.3 1.7 91.7 -0.9 67.7 0.02017 72.3 -1.3 71.4 -1.3 72.3 -1.4 88.3 0.7 87.7 1.0 95.6 0.7 94.4 0.2 130.0 1.3 91.3 -0.5 68.1 0.62018 72.0 -0.5 71.1 -0.4 71.8 -0.7 89.1 0.9 88.8 1.2 96.3 0.7 95.2 0.8 131.7 1.3 91.6 0.3 68.8 1.12019 71.7 -0.4 70.9 -0.3 71.4 -0.5 89.7 0.7 89.7 1.1 96.6 0.3 95.7 0.5 132.4 0.5 91.7 0.1 69.6 1.12020 71.7 0.0 70.9 0.0 71.3 -0.2 90.6 1.0 91.0 1.4 97.0 0.4 96.5 0.9 133.3 0.7 92.2 0.6 70.6 1.4
Continúa
E-44
Continuación
ManufacturasFabricación de Industrias metálicas Maquinaria y equipo
productos a base Fabricación equipo Fabricación de equipoAños de minerales Industrias Fabricación Fabricación de computación, de generación Fabricación Otras
no metálicos metálicas de productos de maquinaria comunicación y eléctrica y accesorios de equipo industriasTotal rama Total rama básicas metálicos Total rama y equipo otros electrónicos eléctricos de transporte Total rama
Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 273.5 -1.2 502.7 -1.2 215.7 -5.8 79.8 19.11981 282.7 3.3 526.8 4.8 218.5 1.3 75.2 -5.81982 275.9 -2.4 574.5 9.1 226.9 3.9 71.7 -4.71983 218.7 -20.7 451.0 -21.5 187.2 -17.5 66.9 -6.71984 204.2 -6.7 400.2 -11.2 162.1 -13.4 58.1 -13.21985 202.0 -1.1 379.9 -5.1 153.6 -5.3 54.0 -7.01986 195.4 -3.3 325.3 -14.4 157.2 2.4 59.4 10.01987 185.2 -5.2 293.6 -9.7 151.5 -3.7 63.1 6.11988 183.7 -0.8 289.6 -1.4 139.6 -7.9 59.5 -5.71989 201.2 9.5 302.8 4.5 146.4 4.9 71.7 20.61990 198.2 -1.5 254.3 -16.0 138.5 -5.4 69.8 -2.61991 201.2 1.5 239.8 -5.7 133.7 -3.5 71.7 2.71992 200.3 -0.5 221.0 -7.8 138.7 3.8 75.2 4.91993 183.6 -8.3 184.2 -16.7 137.3 -1.0 83.5 11.01994 173.9 -5.2 172.4 -6.4 136.0 -1.0 86.4 3.41995 161.3 -7.3 155.0 -10.1 132.6 -2.5 80.1 -7.31996 125.2 -22.3 118.6 -23.5 113.4 -14.5 72.8 -9.11997 115.3 -7.9 108.7 -8.4 104.6 -7.8 78.6 8.01998 112.0 -2.9 107.5 -1.1 101.6 -2.9 85.0 8.11999 111.1 -0.8 100.3 -6.7 103.6 2.0 84.5 -0.62000 113.3 2.0 100.1 -0.2 106.1 2.5 98.9 17.12001 124.4 9.8 107.7 7.6 109.6 3.2 98.3 -0.62002 117.2 -5.7 102.6 -4.7 107.7 -1.7 92.1 -6.32003 117.3 0.1 102.8 0.2 101.8 110.7 110.4 2.5 93.5 88.4 112.9 124.9 99.9 8.42004 113.8 -3.0 99.3 -3.4 97.0 -4.7 106.4 -3.9 109.9 -0.5 92.0 -1.7 97.2 10.0 109.7 -2.9 120.3 -3.6 102.9 2.92005 109.0 -4.2 96.2 -3.1 96.4 -0.5 100.9 -5.2 110.6 0.6 92.6 0.7 98.7 1.5 110.3 0.6 121.0 0.6 101.4 -1.42006 102.7 -5.8 97.1 0.9 98.5 2.2 98.3 -2.6 105.6 -4.5 91.0 -1.7 100.3 1.6 103.8 -5.9 111.0 -8.3 102.3 0.92007 100.3 -2.4 100.4 3.4 101.9 3.4 99.9 1.7 102.6 -2.8 95.2 4.6 98.0 -2.3 100.8 -2.9 106.2 -4.3 101.5 -0.82008 100.0 -0.3 100.0 -0.4 100.0 -1.8 100.0 0.1 100.0 -2.6 100.0 5.0 100.0 2.0 100.0 -0.8 100.0 -5.8 100.0 -1.52009 95.9 -4.1 105.9 5.9 109.6 9.6 102.6 2.6 102.2 2.2 112.8 12.8 95.8 -4.2 95.1 -4.9 101.6 1.6 93.0 -7.02010 94.7 -1.2 94.6 -10.6 95.2 -13.2 94.6 -7.8 79.1 -22.6 82.8 -26.6 89.2 -6.9 88.3 -7.2 71.7 -29.4 92.0 -1.12011 86.1 -9.1 92.7 -2.0 94.6 -0.6 90.8 -4.0 72.5 -8.4 79.5 -4.0 77.6 -13.0 84.1 -4.7 68.5 -4.5 89.5 -2.72012 83.0 -3.6 96.5 4.1 101.8 7.6 92.2 1.5 71.1 -1.8 79.4 -0.1 82.5 6.3 86.8 3.1 65.2 -4.8 89.7 0.22013 80.6 -2.9 94.7 -1.9 99.5 -2.3 93.1 1.0 68.1 -4.3 78.6 -1.0 74.7 -9.5 84.8 -2.3 64.0 -1.8 82.7 -7.92014 77.0 -4.4 90.7 -4.3 95.1 -4.4 89.7 -3.7 63.6 -6.7 78.6 -0.1 69.3 -7.2 79.2 -6.6 59.6 -6.8 75.5 -8.6
2015 74.9 -2.7 89.5 -1.2 94.6 -0.5 88.6 -1.2 60.5 -4.8 79.4 1.0 66.0 -4.7 76.6 -3.4 56.3 -5.5 70.9 -6.12016 72.8 -2.9 90.7 1.3 97.2 2.7 89.1 0.6 57.2 -5.4 79.5 0.2 62.6 -5.3 75.2 -1.8 53.2 -5.6 67.6 -4.72017 71.0 -2.5 92.4 1.9 100.5 3.4 89.8 0.8 54.2 -5.3 79.8 0.3 59.8 -4.4 73.7 -1.9 50.4 -5.2 65.2 -3.42018 69.5 -2.2 94.3 2.1 103.7 3.2 91.0 1.3 51.5 -4.9 80.5 0.9 57.4 -4.0 72.4 -1.8 47.9 -5.0 63.4 -2.82019 67.8 -2.4 96.2 2.0 106.6 2.8 92.1 1.3 49.1 -4.7 81.1 0.8 55.3 -3.7 70.9 -2.1 45.4 -5.1 61.4 -3.12020 66.4 -2.0 98.4 2.3 109.7 2.9 93.8 1.8 46.9 -4.5 81.9 0.9 53.5 -3.2 69.7 -1.7 43.3 -4.7 60.0 -2.4
Conclusión
E-45
Comercio, restaurantes y hoteles Servicios financieros, seguros y actividades inmobiliariasTotal Servicios de Transporte, Servicios
Años Sector alojamiento temporal almacenaje y Servicios inmobiliarios yServicios y de preparación de comunicaciones financieros de alquiler de bienes
Total subsector Comercio alimentos y bebidas Total subsector Total subsector y de seguros muebles e intangiblesIndice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 131.4 -2.1 188.7 -11.0 131.1 -2.1 157.7 2.31981 135.6 3.2 184.8 -2.0 134.6 2.6 168.3 6.71982 129.2 -4.7 167.5 -9.4 142.3 5.7 167.0 -0.81983 99.9 -22.7 144.3 -13.8 117.0 -17.8 125.7 -24.71984 94.5 -5.4 135.3 -6.3 107.0 -8.5 120.9 -3.81985 94.6 0.1 134.7 -0.4 107.2 0.1 119.6 -1.11986 85.0 -10.2 128.1 -4.9 102.8 -4.1 108.4 -9.41987 83.0 -2.3 121.5 -5.1 100.0 -2.7 110.6 2.11988 74.3 -10.5 107.5 -11.5 94.5 -5.5 100.9 -8.81989 78.3 5.4 117.7 9.5 96.8 2.5 103.5 2.61990 80.7 3.0 124.8 6.1 99.6 2.8 110.6 6.91991 86.3 6.9 132.5 6.1 105.7 6.1 121.3 9.61992 92.9 7.6 138.6 4.6 107.7 1.9 137.9 13.71993 99.2 6.8 149.9 8.2 107.3 -0.4 148.1 7.41994 103.5 4.4 145.5 -3.0 107.1 -0.3 146.6 -1.01995 92.9 -10.3 139.1 -4.4 99.3 -7.2 119.6 -18.41996 83.6 -10.0 112.9 -18.8 91.4 -8.0 104.9 -12.31997 83.8 0.2 103.6 -8.3 87.8 -3.9 112.5 7.21998 86.5 3.2 102.4 -1.1 88.9 1.3 108.8 -3.31999 87.7 1.4 101.6 -0.8 90.2 1.4 101.2 -7.02000 90.5 3.3 99.6 -1.9 92.7 2.8 96.2 -4.92001 95.2 5.1 104.3 4.7 96.4 4.0 93.6 -2.72002 99.4 4.5 105.2 0.9 96.4 -0.1 101.4 8.42003 101.6 2.2 104.3 -0.9 103.4 105.9 96.8 0.4 91.0 -10.3 140.2 93.72004 99.4 -2.2 101.6 -2.5 100.9 -2.4 102.9 -2.9 97.0 0.3 89.2 -2.0 124.1 -11.5 97.5 4.02005 99.7 0.3 102.3 0.7 101.9 1.0 103.0 0.1 99.2 2.2 92.6 3.9 121.2 -2.3 96.3 -1.22006 99.1 -0.5 100.0 -2.2 99.6 -2.3 102.0 -1.0 98.5 -0.7 94.4 1.9 112.9 -6.8 100.6 4.52007 99.1 0.0 98.1 -1.9 97.8 -1.8 99.7 -2.3 99.3 0.8 98.2 4.1 110.7 -1.9 100.8 0.22008 100.0 0.9 100.0 1.9 100.0 2.2 100.0 0.3 100.0 0.7 100.0 1.8 100.0 -9.7 100.0 -0.82009 103.1 3.1 107.8 7.8 107.8 7.8 107.3 7.3 105.7 5.7 94.5 -5.5 93.7 -6.3 90.6 -9.42010 99.9 -3.2 98.5 -8.7 97.1 -9.9 107.0 -0.3 101.4 -4.1 92.1 -2.4 81.5 -13.0 86.7 -4.32011 98.6 -1.3 91.8 -6.8 89.9 -7.4 105.2 -1.7 101.2 -0.1 92.0 -0.2 79.3 -2.7 85.5 -1.42012 97.8 -0.8 89.0 -3.0 87.3 -2.8 100.7 -4.2 98.3 -2.9 89.6 -2.6 74.6 -6.0 83.7 -2.12013 97.7 -0.1 90.3 1.5 88.8 1.7 101.3 0.5 97.7 -0.6 87.0 -2.9 68.2 -8.6 82.7 -1.22014 97.1 -0.5 89.3 -1.1 88.0 -0.9 98.9 -2.4 97.6 -0.1 84.9 -2.4 66.7 -2.2 80.1 -3.1
2015 98.0 0.9 90.5 1.4 89.7 1.9 97.8 -1.1 97.4 -0.2 83.7 -1.4 65.3 -2.0 80.1 0.02016 99.0 1.0 90.8 0.4 90.3 0.7 96.4 -1.4 96.3 -1.1 83.4 -0.3 64.8 -0.8 80.4 0.42017 99.8 0.9 90.6 -0.3 90.2 -0.1 95.2 -1.3 95.3 -1.1 85.2 2.1 65.9 1.7 81.5 1.32018 100.9 1.1 90.2 -0.5 89.9 -0.4 94.3 -1.0 94.1 -1.3 86.4 1.4 66.4 0.8 82.6 1.42019 101.9 1.0 89.6 -0.6 89.4 -0.5 93.3 -1.0 93.5 -0.7 87.2 0.8 66.5 0.1 83.7 1.22020 103.3 1.3 89.4 -0.3 89.2 -0.2 92.8 -0.5 93.1 -0.4 88.2 1.2 66.7 0.3 85.1 1.7
Continúa
E-46
E-24. Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra en el Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Indice 2008=100)
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios Servicios de
profesionales, Dirección apoyo a los negocios y científicos de corporativos manejo de desechos y Servicios
Total subsector y técnicos y empresas servicios de remediación educativosIndice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 101.9 1.01981 107.2 5.21982 102.0 -4.81983 75.0 -26.51984 71.9 -4.01985 73.0 1.41986 64.1 -12.21987 63.5 -0.91988 56.6 -11.01989 59.5 5.11990 60.6 2.01991 65.0 7.21992 71.6 10.21993 76.4 6.61994 84.0 10.01995 74.7 -11.11996 69.8 -6.51997 72.0 3.11998 76.2 5.71999 78.4 2.92000 83.4 6.42001 89.0 6.72002 94.7 6.42003 99.7 5.3 104.8 105.6 102.7 87.72004 98.2 -1.5 101.8 -2.8 98.4 -6.9 101.3 -1.4 86.8 -1.02005 98.0 -0.2 101.8 0.0 96.7 -1.8 97.9 -3.4 90.6 4.42006 98.5 0.5 101.2 -0.6 113.7 17.6 97.8 -0.1 95.2 5.12007 98.7 0.1 101.5 0.3 92.3 -18.8 99.2 1.4 97.3 2.22008 100.0 1.4 100.0 -1.5 100.0 8.3 100.0 0.8 100.0 2.82009 101.0 1.0 101.1 1.1 94.9 -5.1 102.8 2.8 100.3 0.32010 102.3 1.3 103.3 2.1 101.2 6.6 102.8 0.0 102.1 1.82011 103.6 1.3 100.4 -2.8 107.0 5.8 103.1 0.3 104.4 2.22012 103.3 -0.3 98.5 -1.9 101.5 -5.2 104.4 1.2 108.0 3.52013 103.6 0.2 101.1 2.6 110.5 8.9 103.6 -0.8 108.4 0.42014 103.7 0.2 101.2 0.1 112.4 1.7 104.4 0.9 109.6 1.1
2015 105.2 1.4 101.8 0.6 117.1 4.2 106.3 1.8 111.7 2.02016 106.9 1.6 102.0 0.2 124.4 6.3 108.6 2.2 114.3 2.32017 108.7 1.7 101.7 -0.3 132.6 6.6 110.9 2.2 116.6 2.12018 110.9 2.0 101.7 0.0 141.6 6.7 113.4 2.2 119.3 2.32019 113.0 1.9 101.6 -0.1 150.3 6.1 115.7 2.0 121.9 2.12020 115.5 2.2 101.8 0.2 159.6 6.2 118.2 2.2 124.7 2.4
Continúa
Años
E-47
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios de esparcimiento,
Servicios culturales y deportivos, Otros serviciosde salud y otros servicios Información en excepto actividades Actividades
y de asistencia social recreativos medios masivos del gobierno del gobiernoIndice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
198019811982198319841985198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003 98.5 103.7 146.8 96.1 88.52004 99.3 0.8 98.1 -5.4 137.3 -6.5 94.6 -1.6 89.7 1.42005 97.6 -1.7 99.6 1.5 129.2 -5.9 97.2 2.8 90.6 0.92006 91.9 -5.9 100.9 1.3 118.0 -8.7 99.9 2.7 94.3 4.12007 93.3 1.6 101.7 0.8 105.5 -10.6 101.3 1.4 97.9 3.92008 100.0 7.1 100.0 -1.7 100.0 -5.2 100.0 -1.3 100.0 2.12009 100.6 0.6 104.5 4.5 92.7 -7.3 98.9 -1.1 102.3 2.32010 106.2 5.6 109.9 5.2 89.0 -4.0 99.4 0.5 102.9 0.62011 110.5 4.1 110.0 0.1 85.5 -3.9 98.6 -0.8 107.4 4.32012 111.9 1.3 107.9 -1.9 68.2 -20.2 100.3 1.7 110.1 2.52013 116.4 4.0 108.4 0.5 64.1 -6.0 100.2 -0.1 111.5 1.32014 116.8 0.3 108.3 -0.1 61.8 -3.6 98.9 -1.3 111.4 -0.1
2015 119.1 2.0 107.1 -1.2 61.0 -1.3 98.7 -0.2 113.2 1.72016 122.2 2.6 105.2 -1.7 60.3 -1.2 98.4 -0.4 115.8 2.32017 125.9 3.0 103.8 -1.3 59.6 -1.1 98.4 0.0 119.4 3.12018 129.9 3.2 102.6 -1.2 59.1 -0.9 98.8 0.4 123.5 3.52019 133.8 3.0 101.0 -1.6 58.6 -0.8 99.3 0.6 127.7 3.32020 138.5 3.5 99.9 -1.0 58.3 -0.4 100.2 0.9 132.4 3.7
Conclusión
E-48
Años
Sección E-V. Otros Indicadores Salariales
Cuadro E-25.
Salario Mínimo General, Salario Base IMSS y
Salario Contractual 1980-2020
Cuadro E-26.
Encuesta Mensual del INEGI: Industria Manufacturera, Construcción y Establecimientos Comerciales 1980-2020
Cuadro E-27. Sector Manufacturero:
Productividad Media Laboral, Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra y Masa Salarial 1980-2020
E-25. Salario Mínimo General, Salario Base IMSS y Salario Contractual: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Pesos diarios e indices base 2008=100)
Salario Mínimo General Salario Base de Cotización al IMSS Salario ContractualAños Nominal Indice Real Nominal Indice Real Indice Nominal Indice Real
Pesos Diarios % 2008=100 % Pesos Diarios % 2008=100 % 2008=100 % 2008=100 %
1980 0.14 17.5 323.1 -7.0 …. …. …. …. 1.5 22.7 1,805.1 -2.91981 0.18 30.1 328.6 1.7 …. …. …. …. 2.0 30.7 1,843.5 2.11982 0.26 40.4 290.4 -11.6 0.60 …. 155.5 …. 2.6 30.7 1,516.2 -17.81983 0.43 68.7 242.7 -16.4 0.89 47.5 113.7 -26.9 3.4 27.5 957.5 -36.91984 0.67 54.3 226.2 -6.8 1.23 38.9 95.4 -16.1 4.4 31.5 761.1 -20.51985 1.04 55.1 222.4 -1.7 1.96 58.6 95.9 0.5 5.9 32.3 638.3 -16.11986 1.79 72.6 206.1 -7.3 3.37 72.1 88.6 -7.6 7.9 35.8 465.3 -27.11987 3.88 116.6 192.6 -6.6 7.03 108.9 79.8 -9.9 10.7 34.8 270.6 -41.81988 7.22 86.1 167.4 -13.1 14.18 101.7 75.2 -5.8 13.0 21.2 153.1 -43.41989 8.14 12.8 157.3 -6.0 18.14 28.0 80.2 6.6 14.6 12.6 143.7 -6.21990 9.41 15.7 143.6 -8.7 22.83 25.8 79.7 -0.7 17.1 17.0 132.7 -7.61991 11.00 16.9 136.9 -4.7 28.79 26.1 81.9 2.8 20.5 20.0 129.8 -2.21992 12.08 9.8 130.1 -4.9 34.74 20.7 85.6 4.5 23.3 13.4 127.4 -1.91993 13.06 8.1 128.1 -1.5 41.31 18.9 92.7 8.3 25.3 8.9 126.4 -0.81994 13.97 7.0 128.1 0.0 49.60 20.1 104.1 12.2 26.7 5.4 124.5 -1.51995 16.43 17.6 111.7 -12.9 56.52 14.0 87.8 -15.6 29.9 11.9 103.2 -17.11996 20.39 24.1 103.1 -7.7 67.63 19.7 78.2 -11.0 35.9 20.1 92.2 -10.61997 24.30 19.2 101.9 -1.2 80.23 18.6 76.9 -1.6 42.8 19.3 91.2 -1.11998 28.30 16.4 102.3 0.4 94.68 18.0 78.3 1.8 50.4 17.8 92.7 1.61999 31.91 12.8 99.0 -3.3 110.84 17.1 78.6 0.4 58.9 16.9 92.9 0.22000 35.12 10.1 99.5 0.5 129.69 17.0 84.0 6.9 66.3 12.5 95.5 2.82001 37.57 7.0 100.1 0.6 146.19 12.7 89.0 6.0 72.5 9.3 98.1 2.82002 39.74 5.8 100.8 0.7 158.04 8.1 91.6 2.9 76.9 6.1 99.1 1.02003 41.53 4.5 100.7 0.0 168.36 6.5 93.4 1.9 80.6 4.9 99.4 0.32004 43.30 4.3 100.3 -0.4 179.24 6.5 95.0 1.7 84.1 4.4 99.1 -0.32005 45.24 4.5 100.8 0.5 189.97 6.0 96.8 1.9 87.9 4.5 99.6 0.52006 47.05 4.0 101.1 0.4 200.07 5.3 98.4 1.6 91.7 4.3 100.3 0.72007 48.88 3.9 101.1 -0.1 211.05 5.5 99.8 1.5 95.7 4.3 100.6 0.32008 50.84 4.0 100.0 -1.1 222.30 5.3 100.0 0.2 100.0 4.5 100.0 -0.62009 53.19 4.6 99.4 -0.6 231.63 4.2 99.0 -1.0 104.5 4.5 99.2 -0.82010 55.77 4.8 100.0 0.7 239.16 3.2 98.1 -0.9 109.2 4.6 99.6 0.42011 58.06 4.1 100.7 0.7 249.32 4.2 98.9 0.8 114.2 4.5 100.7 1.12012 60.52 4.2 100.8 0.1 260.06 4.3 99.1 0.2 119.4 4.6 101.1 0.42013 63.12 4.3 101.3 0.5 270.18 3.9 99.2 0.1 124.5 4.3 101.6 0.52014 65.58 3.9 101.2 -0.1 282.09 4.4 99.5 0.4 129.8 4.2 101.8 0.2
2015 68.29 4.1 102.3 1.1 294.49 4.4 100.9 1.4 135.3 4.2 103.0 1.22016 71.39 4.5 103.3 1.0 308.57 4.8 102.1 1.2 141.5 4.6 104.1 1.02017 75.20 5.3 104.8 1.4 325.14 5.4 103.6 1.5 148.8 5.2 105.4 1.32018 79.09 5.2 106.1 1.2 342.30 5.3 105.0 1.3 156.4 5.1 106.7 1.22019 82.86 4.8 107.2 1.0 359.11 4.9 106.2 1.2 163.9 4.7 107.7 1.02020 86.82 4.8 108.6 1.3 376.42 4.8 107.6 1.3 171.5 4.6 109.0 1.2
E-49
E-26. Remuneraciones Medias Nominales y Reales por Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2015-2020Encuesta Mensual del INEGI
Industria Manufacturera Construcción Establecimientos ComercialesAños Nominal Indice Real Nominal Indice Real Nominal Indice Real
Pesos Diarios % 2008=100 % Pesos Diarios % 2008=100 % Pesos Diarios % 2008=100 %
1980 0.25 22.2 105.3 -3.2 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. …..1981 0.34 34.3 110.6 5.0 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. …..1982 0.53 59.1 110.7 0.1 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. …..1983 0.82 53.3 84.0 -24.1 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. …..1984 1.26 54.2 78.3 -6.8 1.23 ….. 108.5 ….. ….. ….. ….. …..1985 2.01 59.4 79.2 1.1 1.94 57.9 108.6 0.1 ….. ….. ….. …..1986 3.48 73.5 73.7 -6.9 3.56 83.3 106.8 -1.6 ….. ….. ….. …..1987 7.97 128.6 72.7 -1.4 6.91 94.2 89.5 -16.2 ….. ….. ….. …..1988 16.98 113.2 72.4 -0.5 13.62 97.0 82.3 -8.0 ….. ….. ….. …..1989 22.19 30.7 78.8 8.9 17.18 26.2 86.6 5.2 ….. ….. ….. …..1990 29.11 31.2 81.6 3.6 23.40 36.2 93.1 7.5 31.90 ….. 92.3 …..1991 37.88 30.1 86.6 6.1 29.47 25.9 95.6 2.7 41.70 30.7 98.4 6.61992 47.59 25.6 94.2 8.8 35.48 20.4 99.6 4.2 51.98 24.6 106.1 7.91993 54.58 14.7 98.4 4.5 41.25 16.3 105.5 5.9 59.73 14.9 111.1 4.71994 60.81 11.4 102.5 4.2 44.20 7.2 105.7 0.2 55.12 -7.7 95.9 -13.71995 71.76 18.0 89.6 -12.6 53.15 20.2 94.2 -10.9 64.29 16.6 82.8 -13.61996 86.89 21.1 80.7 -9.9 57.15 7.5 75.4 -20.0 78.69 22.4 75.5 -8.91997 104.21 19.9 80.3 -0.6 66.38 16.1 72.6 -3.7 96.38 22.5 76.6 1.51998 124.23 19.2 82.5 2.8 78.44 18.2 74.0 1.9 113.76 18.0 78.0 1.81999 147.03 18.4 83.8 1.5 92.26 17.6 74.6 0.9 132.84 16.8 78.1 0.22000 170.60 16.0 88.8 6.0 100.44 8.9 74.2 -0.6 154.13 16.0 82.8 6.02001 193.66 13.5 94.8 6.7 112.64 12.1 78.2 5.4 165.40 7.3 83.5 0.92002 207.19 7.0 96.5 1.9 132.75 17.9 87.8 12.2 176.03 6.4 84.6 1.32003 219.54 6.0 97.8 1.4 147.63 11.2 93.4 6.4 195.88 11.3 90.1 6.42004 230.45 5.0 98.1 0.3 157.97 7.0 95.4 2.2 229.04 16.9 100.6 11.72005 239.05 3.7 97.9 -0.2 167.11 5.8 97.1 1.7 247.97 8.3 104.8 4.12006 248.60 4.0 98.2 0.4 175.78 5.2 98.5 1.5 248.67 0.3 101.4 -3.22007 260.97 5.0 99.2 1.0 185.73 5.7 100.1 1.6 256.27 3.1 100.5 -0.92008 276.31 5.9 100.0 0.9 194.97 5.0 100.0 -0.1 268.10 4.6 100.0 -0.52009 289.41 4.7 99.3 -0.7 206.81 6.1 100.7 0.7 274.49 2.4 97.2 -2.82010 299.62 3.5 98.7 -0.7 216.06 4.5 101.0 0.3 282.42 2.9 96.0 -1.22011 310.17 3.5 98.9 0.2 225.48 4.4 102.0 0.9 287.32 1.7 94.5 -1.62012 323.18 4.2 99.0 0.1 236.33 4.8 102.7 0.7 294.28 2.4 93.0 -1.62013 335.99 4.0 99.1 0.2 245.12 3.7 102.6 -0.1 314.04 6.7 95.6 2.82014 351.36 4.6 99.7 0.5 254.92 4.0 102.6 0.0 325.54 3.7 95.2 -0.3
2015 366.30 4.3 100.9 1.2 266.44 4.5 104.1 1.5 342.24 5.1 97.2 2.12016 385.49 5.2 102.6 1.6 280.32 5.2 105.8 1.6 361.68 5.7 99.3 2.12017 408.77 6.0 104.7 2.1 296.97 5.9 107.9 2.0 383.31 6.0 101.3 2.12018 432.36 5.8 106.6 1.8 314.13 5.8 109.9 1.8 405.43 5.8 103.1 1.82019 455.58 5.4 108.3 1.6 331.07 5.4 111.7 1.6 427.65 5.5 104.9 1.72020 480.09 5.4 110.3 1.9 349.01 5.4 113.8 1.9 451.77 5.6 107.1 2.1
E-50
E-27. Productividad, Costo Unitario y Masa Salarial en la Industria Manufacturera: Escenario Base 2015-2020Encuesta Mensual del INEGI
Industria Manufacturera Productividad Costo Unitario MasaAños Producción Ocupación Remuneración Media Real Media Laboral de la Mano de Obra Salarial
2008=100 Var. % 2008=100 Var. % 2008=100 Var. % 2008=100 Var. % 2008=100 Var. % 2008=100 Var. %
1980 52.9 5.8 152.1 7.2 105.3 -3.2 34.8 -1.4 302.6 -1.8 160.2 3.81981 56.4 6.6 160.5 5.6 110.6 5.0 35.2 1.0 314.4 3.9 177.5 10.81982 55.0 -2.5 156.7 -2.4 110.7 0.1 35.1 -0.1 315.2 0.2 173.4 -2.31983 51.1 -7.2 141.7 -9.6 84.0 -24.1 36.0 2.6 233.2 -26.0 119.1 -31.31984 53.8 5.3 140.3 -1.0 78.3 -6.8 38.3 6.4 204.4 -12.4 109.9 -7.71985 56.9 5.8 143.5 2.3 79.2 1.1 39.6 3.4 199.8 -2.3 113.6 3.31986 54.0 -5.1 137.6 -4.1 73.7 -6.9 39.2 -1.1 188.1 -5.8 101.5 -10.61987 55.7 3.1 132.4 -3.8 72.7 -1.4 42.0 7.2 173.0 -8.0 96.3 -5.11988 57.4 3.2 132.1 -0.2 72.4 -0.5 43.5 3.4 166.5 -3.8 95.6 -0.71989 61.7 7.5 135.2 2.3 78.8 8.9 45.7 5.1 172.5 3.6 106.5 11.41990 65.7 6.3 135.3 0.1 81.6 3.6 48.5 6.2 168.2 -2.5 110.4 3.71991 67.3 2.5 133.0 -1.7 86.6 6.1 50.6 4.3 171.1 1.7 115.2 4.31992 69.8 3.7 127.9 -3.8 94.2 8.8 54.5 7.8 172.7 0.9 120.5 4.61993 69.0 -1.1 119.1 -6.9 98.4 4.5 57.9 6.2 169.8 -1.6 117.2 -2.71994 71.2 3.1 115.5 -3.0 102.5 4.2 61.6 6.3 166.4 -2.0 118.4 1.01995 67.5 -5.2 105.2 -8.9 89.6 -12.6 64.1 4.1 139.8 -16.0 94.3 -20.41996 73.8 9.3 107.7 2.3 80.7 -9.9 68.5 6.8 117.9 -15.7 87.0 -7.81997 81.5 10.5 112.8 4.7 80.3 -0.6 72.3 5.5 111.1 -5.8 90.5 4.11998 87.3 7.1 116.9 3.7 82.5 2.8 74.6 3.3 110.6 -0.4 96.5 6.61999 89.6 2.7 117.7 0.6 83.8 1.5 76.2 2.1 110.0 -0.5 98.6 2.22000 94.8 5.8 118.8 1.0 88.8 6.0 79.8 4.8 111.2 1.1 105.5 7.02001 91.9 -3.1 113.6 -4.4 94.8 6.7 80.9 1.3 117.2 5.3 107.6 2.12002 91.2 -0.7 107.9 -5.0 96.5 1.9 84.5 4.5 114.2 -2.6 104.2 -3.22003 90.0 -1.4 104.2 -3.4 97.8 1.4 86.4 2.1 113.3 -0.8 102.0 -2.12004 93.2 3.6 100.9 -3.2 98.1 0.3 92.4 7.0 106.2 -6.3 98.9 -3.02005 95.8 2.7 100.0 -0.8 97.9 -0.2 95.7 3.6 102.2 -3.7 97.9 -1.12006 100.1 4.5 101.5 1.4 98.2 0.4 98.6 3.0 99.6 -2.6 99.6 1.82007 101.0 1.0 101.2 -0.2 99.2 1.0 99.8 1.2 99.4 -0.2 100.4 0.72008 100.0 -1.0 100.0 -1.2 100.0 0.9 100.0 0.2 100.0 0.6 100.0 -0.42009 91.6 -8.4 91.3 -8.7 99.3 -0.7 100.4 0.4 98.9 -1.1 90.7 -9.32010 99.5 8.5 94.5 3.5 98.7 -0.7 105.3 4.9 93.7 -5.3 93.2 2.82011 104.0 4.6 97.3 3.0 98.9 0.2 106.9 1.6 92.5 -1.3 96.2 3.22012 108.2 4.0 99.5 2.2 99.0 0.1 108.8 1.8 90.9 -1.6 98.4 2.32013 109.4 1.1 101.4 2.0 99.1 0.2 107.9 -0.9 91.9 1.0 100.5 2.12014 113.5 3.7 104.0 2.5 99.7 0.5 109.2 1.2 91.3 -0.7 103.6 3.1
2015 118.7 4.6 106.7 2.7 100.9 1.2 111.2 1.8 90.8 -0.6 107.7 4.02016 126.6 6.7 109.9 3.0 102.6 1.6 115.1 3.6 89.1 -1.9 112.7 4.72017 136.5 7.9 113.7 3.4 104.7 2.1 120.1 4.3 87.2 -2.1 119.1 5.62018 146.5 7.3 117.4 3.2 106.6 1.8 124.8 3.9 85.4 -2.0 125.1 5.12019 156.3 6.7 120.9 3.0 108.3 1.6 129.3 3.6 83.8 -1.9 131.0 4.72020 167.9 7.4 124.9 3.3 110.3 1.9 134.4 3.9 82.1 -2.0 137.9 5.3
E-51
Sección E-VI. Índice Global de Productividad Laboral de la Economía
(Con base en la Población Ocupada ENOE)
Cuadro E-28.
Índice Global de Productividad Anual 1980-2020
Cuadro E-29.
Índice Global de Productividad Trimestral 2004-2014
E-28. Indice Global Anual de Productividad Laboral de la Economía: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Indice 2008=100)
AñosIndice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. %
1980 80.4 3.0 49.9 9.2 62.0 6.0 53.7 3.6 62.7 7.2 116.8 3.51981 82.4 2.5 54.1 8.5 65.7 5.9 56.3 4.8 67.5 7.8 120.1 2.81982 82.2 -0.2 53.8 -0.5 65.5 -0.3 56.9 1.1 66.0 -2.3 116.1 -3.31983 81.2 -1.2 52.0 -3.5 64.0 -2.3 55.7 -2.1 67.3 2.0 121.0 4.21984 82.1 1.0 53.7 3.4 65.5 2.3 55.8 0.3 68.3 1.4 122.4 1.11985 82.2 0.2 54.9 2.2 66.8 2.0 56.0 0.4 70.3 3.0 125.6 2.61986 81.0 -1.5 53.2 -3.1 65.7 -1.7 56.7 1.2 69.4 -1.3 122.5 -2.51987 81.6 0.7 54.1 1.7 66.4 1.0 56.5 -0.3 70.3 1.3 124.3 1.51988 81.8 0.4 54.8 1.3 67.0 0.9 53.3 -5.8 67.9 -3.4 127.4 2.51989 83.0 1.4 57.1 4.1 68.8 2.7 53.6 0.7 66.9 -1.4 124.8 -2.11990 83.5 0.6 60.0 5.2 71.9 4.5 56.6 5.6 71.8 7.3 126.8 1.61991 84.7 1.4 62.6 4.2 73.9 2.8 58.0 2.5 73.4 2.2 126.5 -0.31992 86.4 2.0 64.8 3.5 75.0 1.5 57.3 -1.3 71.8 -2.2 125.3 -0.91993 87.8 1.6 66.4 2.4 75.6 0.8 59.2 3.3 75.2 4.8 127.1 1.41994 90.0 2.5 69.5 4.7 77.2 2.2 60.5 2.2 77.8 3.5 128.6 1.21995 87.2 -3.1 65.5 -5.8 75.1 -2.7 61.2 1.2 77.1 -0.9 126.0 -2.01996 88.7 1.8 69.3 5.9 78.1 4.0 66.2 8.2 81.0 5.0 122.3 -3.01997 89.9 1.3 74.2 7.0 82.5 5.6 58.8 -11.2 81.2 0.3 138.1 13.01998 91.5 1.8 77.7 4.7 84.8 2.8 70.6 20.0 82.5 1.6 116.9 -15.31999 93.1 1.7 79.7 2.7 85.6 0.9 68.9 -2.4 85.5 3.6 124.1 6.12000 95.9 3.0 83.9 5.3 87.5 2.2 80.1 16.3 86.9 1.7 108.5 -12.52001 95.5 -0.4 83.4 -0.6 87.4 -0.2 82.6 3.1 89.2 2.6 108.0 -0.52002 94.6 -1.0 83.5 0.1 88.4 1.1 79.5 -3.7 88.8 -0.4 111.8 3.52003 94.5 -0.1 84.7 1.4 89.7 1.5 84.7 6.5 91.4 2.9 107.9 -3.42004 96.5 2.1 88.4 4.3 91.6 2.2 90.5 6.9 94.8 3.7 104.7 -3.02005 97.3 0.8 91.1 3.0 93.6 2.2 88.8 -2.0 90.3 -4.8 101.7 -2.92006 99.1 1.9 95.6 5.0 96.5 3.1 96.3 8.5 96.5 6.9 100.2 -1.52007 100.2 1.2 98.6 3.1 98.4 2.0 99.8 3.6 98.7 2.2 98.9 -1.32008 100.0 -0.2 100.0 1.4 100.0 1.6 100.0 0.2 100.0 1.3 100.0 1.12009 94.3 -5.7 95.3 -4.7 101.1 1.1 95.9 -4.1 97.5 -2.5 101.7 1.72010 97.6 3.5 100.2 5.1 102.6 1.5 94.3 -1.6 98.2 0.8 104.1 2.42011 99.4 1.8 104.2 4.0 104.9 2.2 91.8 -2.7 96.0 -2.3 104.6 0.52012 100.0 0.7 108.4 4.0 108.4 3.3 95.2 3.7 103.1 7.4 108.3 3.62013 100.3 0.3 109.9 1.4 109.5 1.1 95.5 0.3 104.1 0.9 109.0 0.62014 102.1 1.7 112.2 2.1 110.0 0.4 96.9 1.5 107.0 2.8 110.4 1.3
2015 103.9 1.8 115.6 3.0 111.3 1.2 97.0 0.0 106.1 -0.9 109.4 -0.92016 106.3 2.4 120.3 4.0 113.1 1.6 100.3 3.5 108.9 2.7 108.6 -0.82017 109.1 2.6 126.5 5.2 115.9 2.5 98.7 -1.7 106.0 -2.7 107.4 -1.12018 111.3 2.0 132.8 5.0 119.3 2.9 100.1 1.4 109.4 3.2 109.3 1.82019 113.6 2.1 138.9 4.6 122.3 2.5 99.0 -1.1 107.9 -1.4 109.0 -0.32020 115.8 2.0 145.8 5.0 125.9 3.0 100.4 1.4 111.1 2.9 110.6 1.5
Continúa
E-52
Productividad LaboralTotal
PIB Real Población Ocupada Sector Primario
Productividad Laboral PIB Real Población Ocupada
Indice Global de Productividad Laboral
Continuación
AñosIndice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. %
1980 84.3 3.6 54.4 11.5 64.5 7.6 92.5 2.1 45.8 8.8 49.5 6.51981 86.8 3.0 60.2 10.8 69.3 7.6 93.9 1.5 49.6 8.3 52.8 6.71982 88.8 2.3 60.2 -0.1 67.8 -2.3 93.1 -0.9 50.3 1.4 54.0 2.31983 90.8 2.2 55.2 -8.3 60.8 -10.2 94.0 1.0 50.1 -0.4 53.3 -1.41984 91.4 0.7 57.6 4.3 63.0 3.6 94.8 0.8 51.7 3.2 54.5 2.31985 91.7 0.4 59.5 3.3 64.9 2.9 94.3 -0.5 52.1 0.8 55.2 1.31986 89.1 -2.9 56.0 -5.9 62.9 -3.0 93.5 -0.9 51.3 -1.4 54.9 -0.61987 91.7 3.0 58.1 3.7 63.3 0.6 93.8 0.3 52.0 1.3 55.4 1.01988 93.1 1.5 59.1 1.7 63.5 0.2 94.4 0.7 52.6 1.2 55.7 0.51989 92.0 -1.2 61.3 3.8 66.7 5.1 94.2 -0.3 54.5 3.7 57.9 4.01990 92.0 0.0 64.9 5.8 70.5 5.8 93.2 -1.1 56.9 4.3 61.0 5.41991 92.6 0.6 66.4 2.4 71.8 1.8 93.3 0.1 59.6 4.8 63.9 4.71992 95.0 2.6 68.8 3.5 72.4 0.9 93.9 0.7 61.7 3.6 65.7 2.91993 96.2 1.3 69.1 0.5 71.8 -0.8 96.4 2.7 64.2 4.0 66.6 1.31994 99.7 3.6 72.2 4.5 72.4 0.8 98.1 1.7 67.4 5.0 68.7 3.21995 99.7 0.0 66.3 -8.2 66.5 -8.2 94.3 -3.8 64.4 -4.5 68.2 -0.71996 100.8 1.1 72.5 9.4 71.9 8.2 93.0 -1.4 66.8 3.8 71.8 5.21997 105.7 4.8 79.3 9.4 75.1 4.3 95.3 2.4 70.7 5.8 74.2 3.31998 97.8 -7.4 83.7 5.6 85.6 14.1 94.0 -1.3 73.7 4.3 78.4 5.71999 96.3 -1.6 85.1 1.6 88.4 3.2 99.0 5.3 76.1 3.3 76.9 -1.92000 93.9 -2.4 89.1 4.7 94.9 7.3 99.7 0.7 80.6 5.9 80.9 5.22001 94.2 0.3 87.8 -1.5 93.2 -1.8 98.8 -0.9 80.5 -0.2 81.4 0.72002 93.5 -0.8 87.8 0.0 94.0 0.9 98.5 -0.3 80.7 0.2 81.9 0.62003 94.2 0.8 89.0 1.3 94.5 0.6 96.5 -2.0 81.8 1.4 84.7 3.52004 96.1 2.0 92.6 4.1 96.4 2.0 97.3 0.7 85.5 4.5 87.9 3.72005 99.6 3.7 94.9 2.5 95.2 -1.2 96.2 -1.1 88.8 3.9 92.3 5.12006 100.0 0.3 99.0 4.4 99.1 4.0 97.5 1.4 93.5 5.3 95.9 3.82007 99.4 -0.6 100.5 1.5 101.1 2.0 99.0 1.5 97.5 4.3 98.5 2.72008 100.0 0.6 100.0 -0.5 100.0 -1.1 98.7 -0.3 100.0 2.6 101.3 2.92009 97.6 -2.4 93.8 -6.2 96.1 -3.9 92.1 -6.7 96.1 -3.9 104.3 3.02010 100.2 2.7 98.1 4.6 97.8 1.8 96.2 4.4 101.6 5.7 105.6 1.22011 102.0 1.8 101.4 3.4 99.5 1.7 98.0 1.9 106.4 4.7 108.5 2.82012 102.6 0.6 104.3 2.8 101.7 2.2 98.8 0.8 111.2 4.5 112.5 3.72013 99.8 -2.7 103.7 -0.5 103.9 2.2 100.5 1.8 114.0 2.5 113.4 0.72014 99.2 -0.5 105.6 1.9 106.5 2.4 103.4 2.8 116.5 2.2 112.7 -0.6
2015 99.6 0.3 109.3 3.4 109.7 3.1 105.4 2.0 120.0 3.0 113.8 1.02016 100.8 1.2 114.8 5.1 113.9 3.8 107.8 2.2 124.2 3.5 115.3 1.32017 102.4 1.6 122.5 6.7 119.6 5.0 110.4 2.5 130.1 4.7 117.8 2.22018 103.9 1.5 130.6 6.7 125.7 5.1 112.4 1.8 135.4 4.1 120.5 2.22019 105.5 1.5 138.8 6.2 131.6 4.7 114.4 1.8 140.6 3.8 122.9 2.02020 107.0 1.5 148.1 6.7 138.4 5.2 116.4 1.7 146.3 4.1 125.7 2.3
ConclusiónE-53
Productividad LaboralSector Industrial
PIB Real Población OcupadaSector Servicios
Productividad Laboral PIB Real Población Ocupada
Indice Global de Productividad Laboral
E-29. Indice Global Trimestral de Productividad Laboral de la Economía: Escenario Base 2013-2014(Indice 2008=100)
AñosIndice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. %
2005-1 95.9 -0.3 88.5 1.5 92.2 1.8 89.8 -3.8 89.3 -7.0 99.5 -3.42005-2 98.4 2.9 91.2 3.5 92.7 0.6 90.2 -1.2 90.1 -6.5 99.9 -5.42005-3 95.9 0.9 90.3 3.4 94.2 2.5 76.3 5.2 80.3 4.4 105.2 -0.72005-4 98.8 -0.2 94.2 3.7 95.4 3.9 99.2 -5.9 101.5 -7.7 102.3 -1.92006-1 98.4 2.6 93.6 5.8 95.1 3.1 95.2 6.0 93.2 4.3 97.9 -1.62006-2 99.5 1.1 95.7 4.9 96.1 3.7 99.1 10.0 99.8 10.7 100.6 0.72006-3 98.1 2.3 95.2 5.4 97.1 3.0 78.6 3.0 79.2 -1.4 100.7 -4.32006-4 100.3 1.5 98.0 4.0 97.8 2.5 112.3 13.1 114.1 12.4 101.6 -0.62007-1 99.4 1.1 96.3 2.9 96.8 1.8 98.4 3.4 95.2 2.2 96.8 -1.12007-2 100.3 0.8 98.3 2.7 98.0 1.9 105.8 6.8 103.2 3.4 97.5 -3.12007-3 100.1 2.0 98.2 3.2 98.1 1.1 81.1 3.3 81.0 2.3 99.8 -0.92007-4 101.0 0.8 101.7 3.7 100.7 3.0 113.8 1.3 115.4 1.2 101.4 -0.22008-1 99.0 -0.4 98.4 2.2 99.4 2.6 95.2 -3.3 92.4 -3.0 97.0 0.32008-2 100.5 0.3 101.3 3.1 100.8 2.8 107.4 1.5 106.5 3.2 99.1 1.62008-3 99.6 -0.5 99.7 1.6 100.2 2.1 78.5 -3.3 79.8 -1.4 101.7 1.92008-4 100.9 -0.1 100.6 -1.1 99.7 -1.0 118.8 4.5 121.4 5.2 102.1 0.72009-1 93.9 -5.2 93.2 -5.2 99.3 -0.1 96.5 1.4 91.8 -0.5 95.2 -1.92009-2 93.1 -7.4 93.3 -7.9 100.2 -0.6 106.9 -0.5 105.9 -0.5 99.1 0.02009-3 93.5 -6.1 95.2 -4.6 101.8 1.6 75.2 -4.1 78.9 -1.2 104.8 3.12009-4 96.5 -4.3 99.5 -1.0 103.1 3.4 105.3 -11.4 113.4 -6.6 107.7 5.42010-1 95.4 1.7 96.7 3.7 101.3 2.0 88.6 -8.2 87.7 -4.6 98.9 4.02010-2 96.0 3.1 99.6 6.7 103.7 3.5 103.6 -3.1 108.8 2.7 105.0 5.92010-3 97.1 3.8 100.4 5.4 103.4 1.6 77.9 3.5 82.4 4.5 105.8 0.92010-4 101.9 5.6 104.1 4.6 102.2 -0.9 106.8 1.5 114.1 0.7 106.8 -0.82011-1 98.7 3.4 101.0 4.5 102.4 1.1 89.1 0.5 87.8 0.2 98.6 -0.42011-2 98.5 2.6 102.8 3.2 104.3 0.6 94.6 -8.7 96.6 -11.2 102.2 -2.72011-3 99.2 2.2 104.5 4.2 105.4 1.9 78.0 0.1 85.1 3.3 109.1 3.22011-4 101.0 -0.9 108.6 4.3 107.5 5.2 105.4 -1.3 114.4 0.3 108.5 1.62012-1 99.7 1.1 105.9 4.8 106.2 3.7 90.3 1.4 93.1 6.0 103.1 4.62012-2 98.5 0.0 107.4 4.5 109.0 4.5 102.1 8.0 109.8 13.6 107.5 5.22012-3 98.4 -0.8 107.9 3.2 109.6 4.1 77.2 -0.9 85.0 -0.1 110.1 0.92012-4 103.5 2.5 112.4 3.6 108.6 1.1 110.6 4.9 124.6 8.9 112.6 3.82013-1 99.4 -0.3 107.0 1.0 107.6 1.3 88.7 -1.8 93.1 0.0 105.0 1.82013-2 99.7 1.2 109.3 1.8 109.7 0.6 103.9 1.8 112.1 2.1 107.9 0.32013-3 99.9 1.5 109.6 1.6 109.7 0.1 76.5 -0.9 84.8 -0.3 110.7 0.6
2013-4 102.3 -1.1 113.7 1.1 111.1 2.3 112.4 1.6 126.5 1.5 112.5 -0.1 2014-1 99.9 0.5 109.1 2.0 109.2 1.5 88.9 0.2 95.6 2.7 107.6 2.5 2014-2 101.3 1.6 111.1 1.6 109.7 0.0 104.5 0.6 114.2 1.9 109.3 1.32014-3 101.8 1.9 112.1 2.2 110.0 0.3 80.4 5.1 90.5 6.8 112.6 1.6
2014-4 105.3 2.9 116.7 2.6 110.9 -0.2 113.9 1.4 127.9 1.1 112.3 -0.2 2015-1 e/ 101.5 1.6 111.5 2.2 109.8 0.6 85.9 -3.3 93.1 -2.6 108.4 0.7 2015-2 e/ 103.6 2.2 114.7 3.3 110.8 1.0 105.9 1.4 113.9 -0.2 107.5 -1.6 2015-3 e/ 103.6 1.7 115.9 3.4 111.8 1.6 78.9 -1.8 88.1 -2.6 111.7 -0.8 2015-4 e/ 106.8 1.4 120.4 3.2 112.8 1.7 117.4 3.1 129.2 1.0 110.0 -2.0
Continúae/ Estimación CAMACRO
E-54
Productividad LaboralTotal
PIB Real Población Ocupada Sector Primario
Productividad Laboral PIB Real Población Ocupada
Indice Global de Productividad Laboral
Continuación
AñosIndice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. %
2005-1 96.8 2.0 91.9 0.4 94.9 -1.5 96.6 -0.6 86.3 2.7 89.4 3.32005-2 100.7 7.0 95.2 3.8 94.5 -3.1 98.1 1.0 88.9 4.0 90.6 2.92005-3 100.0 3.4 95.3 1.9 95.4 -1.5 96.4 0.6 87.8 4.4 91.1 3.72005-4 101.1 2.3 97.2 3.7 96.1 1.4 98.4 -0.7 92.0 4.5 93.5 5.22006-1 99.6 2.9 96.8 5.4 97.3 2.4 98.0 1.5 91.6 6.1 93.5 4.52006-2 100.5 -0.1 98.7 3.8 98.2 3.9 99.2 1.1 93.6 5.3 94.3 4.12006-3 100.3 0.3 100.7 5.6 100.4 5.3 97.8 1.4 92.7 5.6 94.8 4.12006-4 99.5 -1.6 99.8 2.7 100.3 4.4 100.2 1.8 96.1 4.4 95.9 2.52007-1 97.7 -1.8 98.7 1.9 100.9 3.8 99.7 1.7 94.9 3.6 95.2 1.92007-2 99.2 -1.3 99.7 1.0 100.6 2.4 100.0 0.8 97.1 3.8 97.2 3.02007-3 100.7 0.5 101.5 0.8 100.8 0.4 100.4 2.7 97.1 4.7 96.7 2.02007-4 100.0 0.5 102.0 2.1 102.0 1.6 100.9 0.8 100.8 4.9 99.9 4.12008-1 99.0 1.3 98.9 0.3 99.9 -1.0 98.8 -0.8 98.4 3.6 99.5 4.52008-2 98.5 -0.6 101.0 1.2 102.5 1.9 100.7 0.8 101.2 4.2 100.5 3.42008-3 101.0 0.3 100.8 -0.7 99.8 -1.0 100.1 -0.3 100.2 3.2 100.1 3.42008-4 101.5 1.6 99.3 -2.6 97.8 -4.1 100.3 -0.6 100.2 -0.6 99.9 0.02009-1 94.3 -4.7 91.6 -7.4 97.1 -2.9 93.2 -5.7 94.3 -4.1 101.2 1.72009-2 96.0 -2.6 92.1 -8.8 95.9 -6.4 91.2 -9.5 93.3 -7.9 102.3 1.82009-3 99.0 -2.0 94.5 -6.3 95.4 -4.4 92.8 -7.3 96.5 -3.7 104.0 3.92009-4 101.1 -0.5 97.0 -2.3 96.0 -1.8 95.3 -4.9 100.3 0.1 105.2 5.32010-1 96.2 2.0 94.3 3.0 98.0 0.9 95.4 2.4 98.6 4.6 103.4 2.12010-2 99.1 3.2 97.0 5.4 97.9 2.1 94.9 4.1 100.6 7.8 106.0 3.62010-3 101.3 2.3 99.9 5.7 98.6 3.3 96.8 4.3 101.6 5.3 105.0 1.02010-4 104.3 3.2 101.0 4.1 96.9 0.9 101.8 6.8 105.4 5.1 103.5 -1.62011-1 100.0 3.9 97.8 3.8 97.8 -0.1 98.3 3.1 103.6 5.1 105.4 1.92011-2 100.0 0.9 100.3 3.3 100.3 2.4 98.0 3.3 104.7 4.0 106.8 0.72011-3 103.1 1.8 102.7 2.8 99.6 1.0 99.8 3.1 106.8 5.1 107.0 1.92011-4 104.8 0.4 105.0 3.9 100.2 3.4 100.1 -1.7 110.5 4.8 110.4 6.72012-1 101.4 1.4 101.8 4.1 100.5 2.7 99.7 1.4 109.0 5.2 109.4 3.82012-2 102.6 2.6 103.8 3.6 101.2 0.9 97.1 -1.0 109.4 4.5 112.7 5.62012-3 102.3 -0.8 105.3 2.6 103.0 3.4 98.4 -1.4 110.7 3.7 112.5 5.12012-4 104.0 -0.8 106.2 1.2 102.1 1.9 104.5 4.4 115.6 4.6 110.6 0.22013-1 98.6 -2.7 100.4 -1.4 101.8 1.3 100.7 1.1 111.7 2.5 110.9 1.42013-2 100.5 -2.0 103.6 -0.3 103.0 1.8 99.6 2.6 112.7 3.0 113.2 0.42013-3 100.1 -2.1 104.8 -0.5 104.7 1.7 101.8 3.4 113.9 2.9 112.0 -0.5 2013-4 99.9 -3.9 106.2 0.0 106.3 4.1 103.9 -0.6 117.6 1.7 113.2 2.3 2014-1 97.0 -1.7 102.3 1.9 105.5 3.7 102.2 1.5 114.0 2.0 111.5 0.6 2014-2 98.7 -1.8 104.7 1.1 106.1 3.0 102.8 3.3 114.8 1.9 111.7 -1.32014-3 100.0 0.0 106.9 2.0 106.9 2.0 104.6 2.8 116.3 2.1 111.2 -0.72014-4 101.2 1.4 108.7 2.4 107.4 1.0 107.8 3.7 121.0 2.9 112.2 -0.8
2015-1 e/ 97.2 0.3 104.6 2.2 107.6 2.0 104.6 2.4 116.7 2.4 111.5 0.0 2015-2 e/ 100.4 1.8 109.2 4.4 108.8 2.6 104.8 1.9 118.1 2.8 112.7 0.9 2015-3 e/ 100.2 0.2 111.0 3.8 110.7 3.6 106.7 1.9 120.3 3.4 112.8 1.5 2015-4 e/ 100.4 -0.9 112.3 3.3 111.9 4.2 109.4 1.5 124.9 3.2 114.1 1.7
Conclusióne/ Estimación CAMACRO
Productividad LaboralSector Industrial
PIB Real Población Ocupada Sector Servicios
Productividad Laboral PIB Real Población Ocupada
E-55
Indice Global de Productividad Laboral
! !!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!
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Sección E-VII. !PTF Productividad Total de los Factores 1991-2012!
(Modelo KLEMS) !!
Cuadro E-30. !PTF Total Economía
!Cuadro E-31. !
PTF Sector Primario !!
Cuadro E-31. !PTF Sector Secundario
!Cuadro E-33. !
PTF Sector Terciario !!!!
Productividad
Años Valor de Servicios de Servicios Energía Materiales Servicios Contribución Total de losproducción capital total laborales totales de los factores Factores PTF
1991 5.40 1.53 0.50 0.21 1.42 0.59 4.24 1.16
1992 4.90 1.85 0.97 0.06 1.19 0.66 4.73 0.17
1993 2.20 1.80 0.76 0.05 0.32 0.23 3.15 -0.95
1994 6.33 1.96 0.72 0.13 2.28 1.03 6.12 0.21
1995 -6.18 1.23 -0.39 -0.22 -1.52 -1.39 -2.29 -3.89
1996 7.25 0.60 0.90 0.18 2.52 0.29 4.49 2.76
1997 6.84 1.48 1.15 0.16 2.24 1.11 6.14 0.69
1998 6.23 2.00 0.55 0.22 2.36 0.92 6.05 0.18
1999 3.58 2.24 0.88 0.10 0.78 1.17 5.18 -1.60
2000 5.20 2.42 0.24 0.15 1.78 0.66 5.26 -0.06
2001 -1.12 2.04 0.30 -0.04 -0.70 -0.22 1.38 -2.50
2002 0.62 1.40 -0.04 0.01 0.21 0.38 1.96 -1.34
2003 2.33 1.11 1.37 0.15 0.42 -0.22 2.83 -0.50
2004 4.50 1.15 0.87 -0.02 1.53 0.57 4.09 0.41
2005 3.08 1.36 -0.01 -0.04 0.87 0.50 2.69 0.40
2006 5.51 1.59 0.84 -0.03 1.72 0.98 5.11 0.41
2007 3.16 1.77 0.60 0.05 0.51 0.77 3.71 -0.54
2008 0.87 1.77 0.41 0.06 0.35 -0.34 2.26 -1.38
2009 -5.77 1.29 -0.48 -0.03 -2.17 -0.82 -2.21 -3.56
2010 5.81 0.90 0.34 -0.03 1.47 1.43 4.11 1.71
2011 3.70 1.14 0.32 0.07 0.78 0.58 2.90 0.80
2012 4.05 1.44 0.33 0.11 0.71 0.90 3.51 0.54
Promedio 1991-2012 3.11 1.55 0.51 0.06 0.87 0.45 3.43 -0.31
La PTF emplea como marco conceptual y metodológico al modelo KLEMS. Este marco considera la contribución de los insumos de la producción -capital (K), trabajo (L), energía (E), materias primas (M) y servicios (S)- y su relación con la producción. Así, la PTF se interpreta como el perfil temporal de cómo son combinados los insumos para generar bienes. En la práctica, la PTF refleja el cambio en la eficiencia, las economías de escala, la variación en la utilización de la capacidad, entre otros.Fuente: INEGI, "Productividad Total de los Factores, Modelo KLEMS, serie anual 1991-2012".
E-30. Productividad Total de los Factores y su contribución al crecimiento de la Economía de México, 1991-2012(Tasas porcentuales de crecimiento anual)
PTF TOTAL ECONOMÍA
E-56
Productividad
Años Valor de Servicios de Servicios Energía Materiales Servicios Contribución Total de losproducción capital total laborales totales de los factores Factores PTF
1991 4.88 1.29 0.06 0.14 2.66 0.25 4.41 0.48
1992 4.12 1.56 0.54 0.00 2.19 0.28 4.57 -0.46
1993 0.78 1.44 0.53 0.03 0.60 -0.26 2.34 -1.56
1994 7.74 1.69 -0.06 0.20 4.17 1.06 7.07 0.67
1995 -8.53 1.14 -0.80 -0.18 -2.80 -1.40 -4.05 -4.48
1996 10.92 0.49 1.24 0.25 5.14 0.46 7.59 3.33
1997 8.02 1.14 1.01 0.15 4.13 1.13 7.55 0.46
1998 7.43 1.52 0.83 0.15 4.42 1.04 7.97 -0.54
1999 3.05 1.73 0.38 -0.03 1.12 1.57 4.77 -1.72
2000 5.22 1.86 0.33 0.19 2.99 0.48 5.85 -0.64
2001 -2.73 1.59 -0.44 -0.01 -1.45 -0.33 -0.64 -2.09
2002 0.39 1.17 -0.42 0.06 0.47 0.27 1.55 -1.16
2003 1.94 0.98 0.90 0.27 0.76 -0.35 2.56 -0.61
2004 4.73 0.97 0.79 0.06 2.62 0.40 4.83 -0.10
2005 2.86 0.98 0.18 -0.05 1.44 0.52 3.07 -0.22
2006 5.41 1.05 0.84 -0.03 2.93 0.77 5.57 -0.16
2007 2.29 1.31 0.27 -0.02 0.83 0.95 3.34 -1.05
2008 -0.63 1.51 0.26 0.01 -0.10 -0.35 1.33 -1.96
2009 -7.64 0.91 -0.79 -0.10 -4.33 -0.66 -4.98 -2.66
2010 6.30 0.39 0.10 0.07 3.83 0.58 4.97 1.33
2011 3.04 0.59 0.35 0.02 1.26 0.34 2.57 0.47
2012 3.20 0.83 0.13 0.06 0.86 1.11 2.99 0.21
Promedio 1991-2012 2.85 1.19 0.28 0.06 1.53 0.36 3.42 -0.57
La PTF emplea como marco conceptual y metodológico al modelo KLEMS. Este marco considera la contribución de los insumos de la producción -capital (K), trabajo (L), energía (E), materias primas (M) y servicios (S)- y su relación con la producción. Así, la PTF se interpreta como el perfil temporal de cómo son combinados los insumos para generar bienes. En la práctica, la PTF refleja el cambio en la eficiencia, las economías de escala, la variación en la utilización de la capacidad, entre otros.Fuente: INEGI, "Productividad Total de los Factores, Modelo KLEMS, serie anual 1991-2012".
E-57
E-31. Productividad Total de los Factores y su contribución al crecimiento de la Economía de México, 1991-2012(Tasas porcentuales de crecimiento anual)
PTF SECTOR PRIMARIO
Productividad
Años Valor de Servicios de Servicios Energía Materiales Servicios Contribución Total de losproducción capital total laborales totales de los factores Factores PTF
1991 6.19 1.88 1.18 0.26 0.16 0.93 4.41 1.78
1992 6.31 2.21 1.51 0.14 0.27 1.04 5.18 1.13
1993 3.87 2.15 0.99 0.10 -0.01 0.74 3.98 -0.10
1994 5.17 2.25 1.50 0.03 0.60 1.08 5.45 -0.29
1995 -3.96 1.43 0.10 -0.23 -0.56 -1.31 -0.56 -3.40
1996 3.44 0.76 0.57 0.06 0.03 0.05 1.46 1.97
1997 5.96 1.80 1.50 0.25 0.15 1.24 4.95 1.01
1998 4.99 2.40 0.43 0.28 0.18 0.86 4.14 0.85
1999 4.40 2.68 1.52 0.26 0.42 0.95 5.84 -1.44
2000 5.49 2.99 0.39 0.18 0.36 0.97 4.88 0.61
2001 0.46 2.49 1.02 -0.06 -0.01 -0.12 3.33 -2.87
2002 1.00 1.66 0.36 -0.03 -0.11 0.49 2.37 -1.38
2003 2.71 1.30 1.97 0.01 0.05 -0.09 3.23 -0.52
2004 4.46 1.54 0.72 -0.11 0.57 0.71 3.42 1.04
2005 3.72 2.14 -0.10 0.00 0.30 0.49 2.83 0.89
2006 5.64 2.52 0.87 0.01 0.38 1.26 5.04 0.61
2007 4.12 2.52 0.94 0.11 0.20 0.57 4.33 -0.21
2008 2.63 2.16 0.57 0.16 1.00 -0.39 3.49 -0.86
2009 -3.93 1.75 -0.01 0.02 -0.01 -0.97 0.78 -4.71
2010 5.46 1.46 0.49 -0.14 -0.85 2.36 3.32 2.14
2011 4.89 1.63 0.52 0.11 0.31 0.88 3.46 1.43
2012 4.78 2.01 0.44 0.17 0.51 0.69 3.81 0.96
Promedio 1991-2012 3.54 1.99 0.79 0.07 0.18 0.57 3.60 -0.06
La PTF emplea como marco conceptual y metodológico al modelo KLEMS. Este marco considera la contribución de los insumos de la producción -capital (K), trabajo (L), energía (E), materias primas (M) y servicios (S)- y su relación con la producción. Así, la PTF se interpreta como el perfil temporal de cómo son combinados los insumos para generar bienes. En la práctica, la PTF refleja el cambio en la eficiencia, las economías de escala, la variación en la utilización de la capacidad, entre otros.Fuente: INEGI, "Productividad Total de los Factores, Modelo KLEMS, serie anual 1991-2012".
E-58
E-32. Productividad Total de los Factores y su contribución al crecimiento de la Economía de México, 1991-2012(Tasas porcentuales de crecimiento anual)
PTF SECTOR SECUNDARIO
Productividad
Años Valor de Servicios de Servicios Energía Materiales Servicios Contribución Total de losproducción capital total laborales totales de los factores Factores PTF
1991 6.19 1.88 1.18 0.26 0.16 0.93 4.41 1.78
1992 6.31 2.21 1.51 0.14 0.27 1.04 5.18 1.13
1993 3.87 2.15 0.99 0.10 -0.01 0.74 3.98 -0.10
1994 5.17 2.25 1.50 0.03 0.60 1.08 5.45 -0.29
1995 -3.96 1.43 0.10 -0.23 -0.56 -1.31 -0.56 -3.40
1996 3.44 0.76 0.57 0.06 0.03 0.05 1.46 1.97
1997 5.96 1.80 1.50 0.25 0.15 1.24 4.95 1.01
1998 4.99 2.40 0.43 0.28 0.18 0.86 4.14 0.85
1999 4.40 2.68 1.52 0.26 0.42 0.95 5.84 -1.44
2000 5.49 2.99 0.39 0.18 0.36 0.97 4.88 0.61
2001 0.46 2.49 1.02 -0.06 -0.01 -0.12 3.33 -2.87
2002 1.00 1.66 0.36 -0.03 -0.11 0.49 2.37 -1.38
2003 2.71 1.30 1.97 0.01 0.05 -0.09 3.23 -0.52
2004 4.46 1.54 0.72 -0.11 0.57 0.71 3.42 1.04
2005 3.72 2.14 -0.10 0.00 0.30 0.49 2.83 0.89
2006 5.64 2.52 0.87 0.01 0.38 1.26 5.04 0.61
2007 4.12 2.52 0.94 0.11 0.20 0.57 4.33 -0.21
2008 2.63 2.16 0.57 0.16 1.00 -0.39 3.49 -0.86
2009 -3.93 1.75 -0.01 0.02 -0.01 -0.97 0.78 -4.71
2010 5.46 1.46 0.49 -0.14 -0.85 2.36 3.32 2.14
2011 4.89 1.63 0.52 0.11 0.31 0.88 3.46 1.43
2012 4.78 2.01 0.44 0.17 0.51 0.69 3.81 0.96
Promedio 1991-2012 3.54 1.99 0.79 0.07 0.18 0.57 3.60 -0.06
La PTF emplea como marco conceptual y metodológico al modelo KLEMS. Este marco considera la contribución de los insumos de la producción -capital (K), trabajo (L), energía (E), materias primas (M) y servicios (S)- y su relación con la producción. Así, la PTF se interpreta como el perfil temporal de cómo son combinados los insumos para generar bienes. En la práctica, la PTF refleja el cambio en la eficiencia, las economías de escala, la variación en la utilización de la capacidad, entre otros.Fuente: INEGI, "Productividad Total de los Factores, Modelo KLEMS, serie anual 1991-2012".
E-59
E-33. Productividad Total de los Factores y su contribución al crecimiento de la Economía de México, 1991-2012(Tasas porcentuales de crecimiento anual)
PTF SECTOR SERVICIOS
F. Indice Nacional!de Precios al Consumidor!
!Cuadro F-1.!
Indice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor Anual 1980-2020!(Variaciones porcentuales e indices)!!
Cuadro F-2. !Indice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor Mensual 2014-2015!
(Variaciones porcentuales e indices)!!Cuadro F-3. !
Inflación General, Inflación Subyacente y No Subyacente Anual 1980-2020!(Variaciones porcentuales)!!
Cuadro F-4. !Inflación General, Inflación Subyacente y No Subyacente Mensual 2014-2015!
(Variaciones porcentuales)!!Cuadro F-5. !
Inflación General, Inflación Subyacente y No Subyacente Anual 1980-2020!(Indices base segunda quincena de diciembre de 2010 =100)!!
Cuadro F-6. !Inflación General, Inflación Subyacente y No Subyacente Mensual 2014-2015!
(Indices base segunda quincena de diciembre de 2010 =100)!!Cuadro F-7. !
Variación Anual de los Precios Relativos 1980-2020!Cuadro F-8.!
Precios de las Gasolinas Automotrices en México y los EUA 1980-2020!
F-1. Indice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor: Escenario Base 2015-2020 (Índices base segunda quincena de diciembre de 2010=100)
México Brecha Estados UnidosAños Indice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor Inflacionaria Indice de Precios al Consumidor
índice / fin período Var. % índice / promedio año Var. % México-EUA índice / fin período Var. % índice / promedio año Var. %
1980 0.08 29.8 0.08 26.4 12.85 38.92 12.6 37.51 13.51981 0.11 28.7 0.10 27.9 17.62 42.65 9.6 41.37 10.31982 0.22 98.8 0.16 58.9 52.75 44.61 4.6 43.92 6.21983 0.39 80.8 0.31 101.9 98.66 46.06 3.3 45.33 3.21984 0.62 59.2 0.52 65.4 61.13 47.93 4.1 47.29 4.31985 1.02 63.7 0.82 57.7 54.19 49.61 3.5 48.98 3.61986 2.10 105.7 1.52 86.2 84.37 50.25 1.3 49.89 1.91987 5.44 159.2 3.53 131.8 128.18 52.53 4.5 51.71 3.61988 8.25 51.7 7.56 114.2 110.02 54.76 4.2 53.85 4.11989 9.87 19.7 9.07 20.0 15.19 57.31 4.7 56.44 4.81990 12.83 29.9 11.49 26.7 21.25 60.90 6.3 59.49 5.41991 15.24 18.8 14.09 22.7 18.45 62.72 3.0 61.99 4.21992 17.06 11.9 16.27 15.5 12.50 64.63 3.0 63.86 3.01993 18.43 8.0 17.86 9.8 6.76 66.36 2.7 65.77 3.01994 19.73 7.1 19.10 7.0 4.41 68.14 2.7 67.46 2.61995 29.98 52.0 25.79 35.0 32.17 69.91 2.6 69.37 2.81996 38.28 27.7 34.66 34.4 31.43 72.19 3.3 71.42 3.01997 44.30 15.7 41.80 20.6 18.33 73.51 1.8 73.05 2.31998 52.54 18.6 48.46 15.9 14.37 74.65 1.5 74.19 1.61999 59.02 12.3 56.50 16.6 14.38 76.60 2.6 75.83 2.22000 64.30 9.0 61.86 9.5 6.13 79.24 3.4 78.38 3.42001 67.13 4.4 65.80 6.4 3.52 80.75 1.9 80.61 2.82002 70.96 5.7 69.11 5.0 3.45 82.52 2.2 81.88 1.62003 73.78 4.0 72.26 4.5 2.27 83.98 1.8 83.75 2.32004 77.61 5.2 75.64 4.7 2.03 86.94 3.5 85.98 2.72005 80.20 3.3 78.66 4.0 0.60 89.94 3.5 88.89 3.42006 83.45 4.1 81.52 3.6 0.40 91.72 2.0 91.76 3.22007 86.59 3.8 84.75 4.0 1.12 95.67 4.3 94.37 2.82008 92.24 6.5 89.09 5.1 1.29 96.69 1.1 98.00 3.82009 95.54 3.6 93.81 5.3 5.65 98.47 1.8 97.65 -0.42010 99.74 4.4 97.71 4.2 2.52 99.59 1.1 99.25 1.62011 103.55 3.8 101.04 3.4 0.25 102.97 3.4 102.38 3.22012 107.25 3.6 105.20 4.1 2.04 104.79 1.8 104.50 2.12013 111.51 4.0 109.20 3.8 2.34 106.08 1.2 106.03 1.52014 116.06 4.1 113.59 4.0 2.40 106.88 0.7 107.75 1.6
2015 119.98 3.4 117.36 3.3 1.76 111.02 3.9 109.43 1.62016 124.30 3.6 121.46 3.5 1.20 113.92 2.6 111.95 2.32017 129.32 4.0 126.23 3.9 1.53 116.85 2.6 114.63 2.42018 134.07 3.7 131.24 4.0 1.69 119.39 2.2 117.24 2.32019 138.93 3.6 136.13 3.7 1.68 121.68 1.9 119.65 2.12020 143.48 3.3 140.79 3.4 1.50 124.00 1.9 121.94 1.9
F-1
F-2. Inflación Mensual: Escenario Base 2014-2015(Índices base segunda quincena de diciembre de 2010=100)
México Brecha Estados UnidosMeses Indice Variación % Inflacionaria Indice Variación %
Precios Mensual Acumulada Anual México/EUA Precios Mensual Acumulada Anual
2014 113.59 0.33 4.08 4.02 2.40 107.75 0.06 0.76 1.62
Ene 112.50 0.89 0.89 4.48 2.90 106.47 0.37 0.37 1.58Feb 112.79 0.25 1.15 4.23 3.11 106.86 0.37 0.74 1.13Mar 113.10 0.27 1.43 3.76 2.25 107.55 0.64 1.39 1.51Abr 112.89 -0.19 1.24 3.50 1.54 107.91 0.33 1.73 1.95May 112.53 -0.32 0.91 3.51 1.38 108.28 0.35 2.08 2.13Jun 112.72 0.17 1.09 3.75 1.68 108.49 0.19 2.27 2.07Jul 113.03 0.28 1.37 4.07 2.08 108.44 -0.04 2.23 1.99Ago 113.44 0.36 1.73 4.15 2.45 108.26 -0.17 2.06 1.70Sep 113.94 0.44 2.18 4.22 2.56 108.34 0.08 2.14 1.66Oct 114.57 0.55 2.74 4.30 2.63 108.07 -0.25 1.88 1.66Nov 115.49 0.81 3.57 4.17 2.85 107.49 -0.54 1.33 1.32Dic 116.06 0.49 4.08 4.08 3.32 106.88 -0.57 0.76 0.76
2015 117.36 0.28 3.38 3.32 1.76 109.43 0.32 3.88 1.56
Ene e/ 116.54 0.41 0.41 3.59 3.24 106.83 -0.04 -0.04 0.34Feb 116.69 0.13 0.54 3.46 3.32 107.01 0.16 0.12 0.14Mar 117.08 0.33 0.88 3.52 3.39 107.68 0.63 0.75 0.12Abr 116.74 -0.28 0.59 3.41 2.98 108.37 0.64 1.40 0.43May 116.08 -0.57 0.01 3.15 2.50 108.99 0.57 1.98 0.65Jun 116.34 0.22 0.24 3.21 2.36 109.41 0.38 2.37 0.85Jul 116.67 0.29 0.53 3.22 1.85 109.93 0.48 2.85 1.37Ago 117.07 0.34 0.87 3.20 1.19 110.44 0.47 3.33 2.01Sep 117.61 0.46 1.34 3.22 0.87 110.89 0.41 3.76 2.35Oct 118.24 0.54 1.88 3.21 0.23 111.29 0.36 4.13 2.98Nov 119.23 0.83 2.73 3.23 -0.31 111.30 0.01 4.14 3.55Dic 119.98 0.63 3.38 3.38 -0.50 111.02 -0.25 3.88 3.88
e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
F-2
F-3. Inflación General, Inflación Subyacente y No Subyacente Anual: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Variación porcentual de diciembre a diciembre de cada año)
Inflación SubyacenteInflación Precios PreciosGeneral Total de las Mercancías de los Servicios
Total Alimentos Otros Total Vivienda Educación Otros
1980 29.85 ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... .......1981 28.68 ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... .......1982 98.84 ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... .......1983 80.78 86.59 94.46 ....... ....... 73.93 ....... 70.73 .......1984 59.16 59.45 63.16 ....... ....... 52.79 ....... 64.65 .......1985 63.75 61.28 59.43 ....... ....... 64.82 ....... 63.99 .......1986 105.75 107.88 118.74 ....... ....... 87.72 ....... 80.18 .......1987 159.17 158.02 162.10 ....... ....... 149.20 ....... 115.97 .......1988 51.66 48.76 38.33 ....... ....... 72.50 ....... 124.00 .......1989 19.70 21.45 11.54 ....... ....... 39.53 ....... 32.22 .......1990 29.93 29.37 23.80 ....... ....... 37.50 ....... 36.92 .......1991 18.79 17.65 15.39 ....... ....... 20.63 ....... 30.66 .......1992 11.94 12.86 9.32 ....... ....... 17.31 ....... 34.43 .......1993 8.01 8.42 6.54 ....... ....... 10.61 ....... 21.07 .......1994 7.05 7.68 7.72 ....... ....... 7.64 ....... 14.70 .......1995 51.97 50.60 63.46 ....... ....... 37.59 ....... 19.26 .......1996 27.70 25.95 27.84 28.30 27.49 23.73 22.64 20.52 25.521997 15.72 16.46 15.59 14.44 16.48 17.52 15.57 19.09 19.191998 18.61 17.44 18.28 20.34 16.71 16.43 15.99 17.71 16.611999 12.32 14.41 14.10 13.67 14.45 14.78 11.96 18.10 16.862000 8.96 7.85 6.69 6.70 6.68 9.23 6.93 15.16 10.202001 4.40 5.36 3.91 5.42 2.72 7.06 5.68 14.02 6.862002 5.70 4.12 1.95 3.77 0.60 6.35 6.03 10.04 5.462003 3.98 3.87 2.61 4.70 1.23 4.96 4.12 8.59 4.682004 5.19 3.92 3.88 7.04 1.71 3.96 3.70 7.50 3.132005 3.33 3.27 2.84 3.69 2.22 3.64 2.55 6.63 3.732006 4.05 3.65 3.42 5.10 2.19 3.84 3.73 5.71 3.322007 3.76 3.87 4.52 7.52 2.27 3.33 3.01 5.68 2.842008 6.53 5.54 6.50 9.46 4.17 4.72 4.22 5.76 4.822009 3.57 4.16 5.57 5.73 5.43 2.94 2.65 4.13 2.802010 4.40 3.58 3.82 4.35 3.38 3.36 2.64 4.64 3.582011 3.82 3.35 4.52 7.32 2.39 2.40 2.04 4.19 2.272012 3.57 2.90 5.00 6.11 4.13 1.15 2.05 4.48 -0.722013 3.97 2.78 1.89 2.67 1.26 3.54 2.19 4.42 4.692014 4.08 3.24 3.50 5.31 2.04 3.03 2.14 4.30 3.60
2015 3.38 2.83 2.69 3.91 1.78 2.94 2.01 4.39 1.282016 3.60 3.46 3.67 4.67 2.92 3.30 2.47 4.66 1.542017 4.03 3.80 3.82 4.86 3.04 3.78 3.02 5.10 1.902018 3.68 3.89 4.42 5.38 3.71 3.46 2.86 4.60 1.622019 3.62 3.12 3.17 3.87 2.64 3.09 2.49 4.23 1.262020 3.28 3.33 3.71 4.45 3.16 3.02 2.37 4.16 1.39
ContinuaciónF-3
Años
Continuación
Inflación No SubyacenteAgropecuarios Energéticos y Tarifas autorizadas por el Gobierno
Total Frutas Carne Energéticos Tarifas del
y Verduras y Huevo Total Electricidad Gas doméstico Gasolina BO Gasolina AO Gobierno
1980 ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... 19.55 1.71 ....... ....... .......1981 ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... 19.56 39.29 ....... ....... .......1982 ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... 66.03 108.50 ....... ....... .......1983 63.21 68.25 74.01 65.46 56.24 55.00 90.80 59.25 ....... ....... 59.361984 58.13 74.64 71.01 76.48 33.53 35.42 56.53 33.51 ....... ....... 28.911985 72.36 64.08 69.67 61.32 88.50 95.95 54.92 122.24 ....... ....... 69.351986 98.79 77.50 72.62 80.03 134.89 115.63 119.34 231.58 ....... ....... 192.261987 163.08 166.97 141.99 179.37 158.09 147.08 141.73 152.78 ....... ....... 182.281988 61.34 81.44 96.86 74.81 34.70 28.40 28.87 27.92 ....... ....... 46.821989 14.31 14.50 15.30 14.12 13.95 11.16 44.53 11.97 ....... ....... 18.661990 31.76 25.08 30.66 22.35 43.73 29.98 10.28 21.90 ....... ....... 65.391991 22.47 11.86 14.21 10.63 39.04 40.78 54.72 7.85 ....... ....... 36.891992 9.09 9.81 14.33 7.37 8.18 6.72 1.91 28.11 ....... ....... 10.031993 6.71 3.09 2.63 3.35 11.33 12.67 7.22 32.28 ....... ....... 9.671994 5.00 3.03 6.15 1.25 7.34 8.85 5.02 20.75 ....... ....... 5.421995 55.57 58.46 76.83 48.86 52.28 58.27 40.33 76.96 ....... ....... 45.841996 32.77 30.21 11.70 41.99 35.38 33.33 24.50 40.82 ....... ....... 37.841997 13.68 11.80 16.86 9.27 15.53 18.24 15.39 27.71 ....... ....... 12.391998 21.89 24.29 45.32 13.03 19.61 18.68 14.06 7.06 ....... ....... 20.751999 6.69 0.25 -3.66 2.94 13.06 15.74 12.95 23.90 ....... ....... 9.852000 12.17 10.07 20.24 3.52 14.02 18.63 9.85 38.68 ....... ....... 8.202001 1.75 1.35 -5.97 6.84 2.08 -1.26 8.54 -16.45 ....... ....... 6.712002 11.33 8.65 22.23 -0.10 13.73 16.84 34.97 25.96 ....... ....... 8.842003 4.37 3.65 -2.36 8.34 4.82 6.11 7.04 7.75 4.74 2.37 2.722004 9.67 10.11 6.43 12.69 9.40 10.02 9.15 18.27 5.42 8.47 8.362005 3.53 -0.18 -1.86 0.93 5.84 7.13 4.27 14.79 4.47 4.39 3.662006 5.42 8.30 15.46 3.69 3.72 4.42 5.07 1.53 5.59 8.46 2.512007 3.39 3.42 0.15 5.77 3.36 3.41 3.00 1.76 4.79 5.65 3.292008 9.80 11.63 10.58 12.34 8.68 8.03 9.45 10.72 4.91 5.77 9.842009 1.72 1.66 -1.12 3.52 1.76 0.28 1.13 -6.43 4.37 4.25 4.362010 7.09 6.96 14.00 2.46 7.16 6.44 3.96 1.41 12.74 5.36 8.392011 5.34 3.73 -4.37 9.76 6.19 8.30 6.51 7.05 2.87 7.24 2.392012 5.74 9.18 2.90 13.22 3.84 5.62 -2.26 9.27 3.14 3.21 0.452013 7.84 6.67 13.89 2.43 8.65 8.30 3.63 7.82 4.68 4.70 9.322014 6.70 8.61 0.10 14.03 5.55 6.43 4.29 7.63 4.34 2.32 3.88
2015 5.14 10.15 2.20 14.14 2.08 1.59 -3.78 1.62 1.90 2.30 2.412016 3.97 5.17 -1.30 9.49 3.12 3.35 0.70 3.38 2.10 2.10 2.292017 4.72 7.61 3.10 10.21 2.90 3.14 0.55 2.86 2.30 2.30 2.102018 2.86 2.80 -0.70 4.89 2.70 2.91 -1.15 0.77 3.53 3.53 1.922019 5.18 8.21 3.60 10.15 3.15 3.86 -2.27 -0.36 6.59 6.59 1.552020 2.88 4.20 -1.10 6.28 1.78 2.10 -3.43 -1.38 4.30 4.30 0.82
ConclusiónF-4
AñosTotal Total
F-4. Inflación General, Inflación Subyacente y No Subyacente Mensual: Escenario Base 2014-2015(Variación % anual de los índices de precios al consumidor)
Inflación SubyacenteInflación Precios Precios
General Total de las Mercancías de los Servicios
Total Alimentos Otros Total Vivienda Educación Otros
2014 4.02 3.18 3.26 5.03 1.83 3.12 2.17 4.34 3.76
Ene 4.48 3.21 2.93 4.64 1.56 3.47 2.21 4.32 4.53Feb 4.23 2.98 2.91 4.73 1.45 3.05 2.25 4.38 3.50Mar 3.76 2.89 2.88 4.58 1.52 2.90 2.24 4.39 3.17Abr 3.50 3.11 2.97 4.60 1.67 3.23 2.24 4.39 3.94May 3.51 3.00 3.08 4.76 1.73 2.94 2.21 4.42 3.28Jun 3.75 3.09 3.24 5.06 1.78 2.96 2.15 4.46 3.40Jul 4.07 3.25 3.37 5.20 1.88 3.15 2.11 4.38 3.90Ago 4.15 3.37 3.56 5.41 2.06 3.22 2.07 4.19 4.17Sep 4.22 3.34 3.46 5.36 1.94 3.24 2.13 4.30 4.12Oct 4.30 3.32 3.53 5.33 2.07 3.14 2.14 4.31 3.86Nov 4.17 3.34 3.68 5.40 2.29 3.06 2.13 4.30 3.69Dic 4.08 3.24 3.50 5.31 2.04 3.03 2.14 4.30 3.60
2015 3.32 2.63 2.70 4.06 1.67 2.57 1.97 4.31 1.46
Ene e/ 3.59 2.83 2.98 4.43 1.85 2.72 2.08 4.29 2.41Feb 3.46 2.64 2.89 4.42 1.71 2.44 1.94 4.25 1.67Mar 3.52 2.55 2.88 4.48 1.64 2.29 1.90 4.25 1.40Abr 3.41 2.39 2.76 4.32 1.56 2.08 1.91 4.27 1.14May 3.15 2.46 2.70 4.15 1.59 2.27 1.93 4.29 1.39Jun 3.21 2.45 2.74 3.99 1.79 2.22 1.94 4.31 1.42Jul 3.22 2.29 2.62 3.83 1.72 2.01 1.95 4.33 1.29Ago 3.20 2.49 2.55 3.77 1.64 2.44 1.96 4.35 1.38Sep 3.22 2.89 2.47 3.80 1.48 3.22 1.98 4.32 1.40Oct 3.21 2.87 2.51 3.74 1.60 3.16 1.99 4.35 1.37Nov 3.23 2.89 2.66 3.92 1.71 3.08 2.00 4.37 1.34Dic 3.38 2.83 2.69 3.91 1.78 2.94 2.01 4.39 1.28
e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Continuación
F-5
Años
ContinuaciónInflación No Subyacente
Agropecuarios Energéticos y Tarifas autorizadas por el GobiernoTotal Frutas Carne Energéticos
y Verduras y Huevo Total Electricidad Gas doméstico Gasolina Bajo O Gasolina Alto O
2014 6.74 4.96 -0.45 8.09 7.87 8.44 2.24 9.48 5.93 3.42
Ene 8.58 6.21 10.54 3.65 10.13 9.67 5.06 10.41 8.10 4.61Feb 8.28 5.43 6.73 4.58 10.12 10.10 5.69 11.88 7.76 4.72Mar 6.54 1.49 -2.81 4.14 9.73 9.83 5.66 11.34 5.89 4.83Abr 4.75 -1.13 -9.90 4.39 8.52 9.45 4.11 10.30 5.74 3.19May 5.19 0.67 -7.97 5.70 8.14 8.86 -0.19 10.05 6.21 3.63Jun 5.96 3.37 -2.15 6.34 7.59 8.42 0.17 9.91 5.48 3.43Jul 6.83 5.78 3.22 7.14 7.47 8.38 0.66 9.80 5.44 3.26Ago 6.72 6.22 0.13 9.64 7.03 7.83 1.06 8.17 5.67 3.08Sep 7.11 7.57 1.20 11.22 6.82 7.56 1.49 8.25 5.68 2.93Oct 7.51 8.46 1.31 12.62 6.93 7.74 2.81 8.49 5.52 2.78Nov 6.78 7.04 -3.48 13.63 6.62 7.23 -5.74 7.90 5.40 2.39Dic 6.70 8.61 0.10 14.03 5.55 6.43 4.29 7.63 4.34 2.32
2015 5.30 10.93 1.83 14.30 2.00 1.23 0.37 3.35 2.63 3.07
Ene e/ 5.93 7.36 -2.30 14.06 5.04 6.14 3.54 6.46 2.61 4.28Feb 6.01 8.82 1.10 14.10 4.34 5.10 2.95 4.60 2.26 3.91Mar 6.62 11.23 10.60 14.14 3.91 4.48 2.76 4.33 3.81 3.77Abr 6.58 12.31 9.30 14.18 3.23 3.21 2.82 4.20 3.71 3.64May 5.01 11.29 4.30 14.21 1.33 -0.13 0.65 3.37 2.82 2.92Jun 5.27 12.63 -5.60 14.25 0.99 -0.63 0.28 2.85 2.78 2.92Jul 5.91 15.18 2.70 14.29 0.61 -1.19 0.02 2.38 2.75 2.89Ago 5.14 13.09 -1.80 14.32 0.55 -1.25 -0.52 3.70 2.46 2.77Sep 3.88 9.99 -4.60 14.36 0.31 -1.60 -0.63 2.84 2.31 2.60Oct 3.97 8.21 3.80 14.40 1.34 0.12 -1.63 2.14 2.19 2.43Nov 4.20 11.13 1.80 15.09 0.07 -1.62 -2.87 1.88 2.01 2.43Dic 5.14 10.15 2.20 14.14 2.08 1.59 -3.78 1.62 1.90 2.30
e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
F-6
AñosTotal Total
F-5. Inflación General, Inflación Subyacente y No Subyacente Anual: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Índices base segunda quincena de diciembre de 2010=100; fin de período)
Inflación SubyacenteInflación Precios PreciosGeneral Total de las Mercancías de los Servicios
Total Alimentos Otros Total Vivienda Educación Otros
1980 0.0846 ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... .......1981 0.1089 ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... .......1982 0.2165 ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... .......1983 0.3914 0.4165 0.4748 ....... ....... 0.3385 ....... 0.1746 .......1984 0.6230 0.6641 0.7746 ....... ....... 0.5172 ....... 0.2876 .......1985 1.0201 1.0710 1.2350 ....... ....... 0.8524 ....... 0.4716 .......1986 2.0988 2.2265 2.7015 ....... ....... 1.6001 ....... 0.8497 .......1987 5.4395 5.7449 7.0804 ....... ....... 3.9876 ....... 1.8350 .......1988 8.2494 8.5462 9.7943 ....... ....... 6.8788 ....... 4.1105 .......1989 9.8743 10.3790 10.9242 ....... ....... 9.5978 ....... 5.4349 .......1990 12.8296 13.4276 13.5243 ....... ....... 13.1968 ....... 7.4413 .......1991 15.2409 15.7977 15.6052 ....... ....... 15.9188 ....... 9.7226 .......1992 17.0604 17.8294 17.0590 ....... ....... 18.6751 ....... 13.0701 .......1993 18.4268 19.3299 18.1746 ....... ....... 20.6567 ....... 15.8243 .......1994 19.7261 20.8147 19.5780 ....... ....... 22.2341 ....... 18.1501 .......1995 29.9770 31.3473 32.0022 ....... ....... 30.5923 ....... 21.6458 .......1996 38.2821 39.4810 40.9129 34.3371 46.6802 37.8521 42.7778 26.0885 37.31421997 44.2995 45.9809 47.2897 39.2948 54.3730 44.4846 49.4397 31.0683 44.47341998 52.5433 53.9978 55.9354 47.2885 63.4570 51.7932 57.3466 36.5705 51.85881999 59.0159 61.7779 63.8244 53.7515 72.6253 59.4458 64.2069 43.1897 60.60282000 64.3033 66.6257 68.0955 57.3551 77.4783 64.9341 68.6558 49.7356 66.78452001 67.1349 70.1962 70.7548 60.4656 79.5830 69.5196 72.5553 56.7069 71.36682002 70.9619 73.0876 72.1360 62.7456 80.0586 73.9371 76.9321 62.4027 75.26592003 73.7837 75.9132 74.0203 65.6925 81.0463 77.6031 80.1048 67.7648 78.78612004 77.6137 78.8926 76.8910 70.3190 82.4358 80.6795 83.0667 72.8453 81.25072005 80.2004 81.4752 79.0726 72.9145 84.2680 83.6201 85.1884 77.6732 84.28272006 83.4511 84.4451 81.7755 76.6330 86.1141 86.8285 88.3664 82.1052 87.08032007 86.5881 87.7151 85.4712 82.3968 88.0650 89.7184 91.0242 86.7693 89.55122008 92.2407 92.5722 91.0302 90.1880 91.7408 93.9488 94.8671 91.7694 93.86912009 95.5370 96.4207 96.0972 95.3538 96.7243 96.7096 97.3799 95.5583 96.49372010 99.7421 99.8692 99.7716 99.5050 99.9966 99.9564 99.9483 99.9956 99.94992011 103.5510 103.2179 104.2779 106.7871 102.3911 102.3514 101.9829 104.1834 102.21522012 107.2460 106.2114 109.4927 113.3137 106.6196 103.5289 104.0776 108.8514 101.48042013 111.5085 109.1607 111.5612 116.3440 107.9659 107.1943 106.3613 113.6587 106.24322014 116.0595 112.7028 115.4678 122.5200 110.1702 110.4430 108.6421 118.5412 110.0664
2015 119.9798 115.8938 118.5718 127.3122 112.1291 113.6938 110.8283 123.7422 111.47972016 124.3028 119.9071 122.9204 133.2604 115.4012 117.4425 113.5607 129.5117 113.19562017 129.3168 124.4613 127.6138 139.7368 118.9110 121.8814 116.9891 136.1184 115.35192018 134.0719 129.2995 133.2560 147.2477 123.3219 126.0988 120.3336 142.3797 117.22572019 138.9316 133.3397 137.4746 152.9522 126.5716 129.9946 123.3299 148.3958 118.70242020 143.4838 137.7809 142.5803 159.7541 130.5773 133.9247 126.2495 154.5737 120.3563
ContinuaciónF-7
Años
Continuación
Inflación No SubyacenteAgropecuarios Energéticos y Tarifas autorizadas por el Gobierno
Total Frutas Carne Energéticos Tarifas del
y Verduras y Huevo Total Electricidad Gas doméstico Gasolina BO Gasolina AO Gobierno
1980 ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... 0.0888 0.0231 ....... ....... .......1981 ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... 0.1062 0.0321 ....... ....... .......1982 ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... 0.1763 0.0670 ....... ....... .......1983 0.3197 0.3966 0.2886 0.4801 0.2510 0.2829 0.3363 0.1067 ....... ....... 0.19341984 0.5055 0.6927 0.4936 0.8472 0.3352 0.3831 0.5264 0.1424 ....... ....... 0.24931985 0.8713 1.1365 0.8375 1.3668 0.6318 0.7507 0.8156 0.3165 ....... ....... 0.42211986 1.7321 2.0173 1.4458 2.4606 1.4840 1.6188 1.7889 1.0493 ....... ....... 1.23371987 4.5567 5.3857 3.4986 6.8742 3.8302 3.9998 4.3242 2.6525 ....... ....... 3.48231988 7.3518 9.7717 6.8875 12.0165 5.1594 5.1357 5.5728 3.3931 ....... ....... 5.11291989 8.4035 11.1888 7.9410 13.7130 5.8793 5.7087 8.0541 3.7993 ....... ....... 6.06681990 11.0721 13.9951 10.3755 16.7784 8.4503 7.4205 8.8820 4.6313 ....... ....... 10.03361991 13.5604 15.6549 11.8503 18.5620 11.7497 10.4467 13.7423 4.9949 ....... ....... 13.73521992 14.7925 17.1905 13.5480 19.9307 12.7105 11.1492 14.0054 6.3989 ....... ....... 15.11271993 15.7852 17.7216 13.9047 20.5987 14.1503 12.5620 15.0163 8.4645 ....... ....... 16.57371994 16.5752 18.2579 14.7598 20.8552 15.1891 13.6743 15.7704 10.2209 ....... ....... 17.47191995 25.7867 28.9310 26.0997 31.0451 23.1306 21.6423 22.1310 18.0868 ....... ....... 25.48161996 34.2358 37.6714 29.1537 44.0815 31.3145 28.8547 27.5532 25.4699 ....... ....... 35.12491997 38.9196 42.1178 34.0679 48.1693 36.1777 34.1182 31.7935 32.5276 ....... ....... 39.47611998 47.4407 52.3484 49.5071 54.4464 43.2724 40.4914 36.2633 34.8240 ....... ....... 47.66561999 50.6128 52.4797 47.6948 56.0490 48.9238 46.8646 40.9593 43.1469 ....... ....... 52.35992000 56.7746 57.7641 57.3499 58.0192 55.7844 55.5964 44.9928 59.8362 ....... ....... 56.65482001 57.7662 58.5459 53.9236 61.9859 56.9446 54.8952 48.8353 49.9931 ....... ....... 60.45402002 64.3129 63.6084 65.9110 61.9221 64.7627 64.1394 65.9123 62.9728 63.2683 64.6746 65.79882003 67.1236 65.9309 64.3527 67.0868 67.8849 68.0614 70.5535 67.8555 66.2669 66.2043 67.59162004 73.6143 72.5951 68.4909 75.6009 74.2650 74.8802 77.0096 80.2549 69.8600 71.8115 73.24222005 76.2122 72.4630 67.2170 76.3050 78.6057 80.2189 80.2952 92.1258 72.9817 74.9625 75.92362006 80.3424 78.4782 77.6056 79.1172 81.5325 83.7618 84.3639 93.5396 77.0637 81.3064 77.82602007 83.0631 81.1633 77.7225 83.6832 84.2760 86.6176 86.8978 95.1865 80.7534 85.8997 80.38282008 91.2038 90.6006 85.9476 94.0083 91.5888 93.5713 95.1134 105.3899 84.7156 90.8582 88.29272009 92.7711 92.1045 84.9851 97.3186 93.1966 93.8297 96.1865 98.6113 88.4156 94.7168 92.14402010 99.3446 98.5168 96.8802 99.7154 99.8730 99.8716 100.0000 100.0006 99.6831 99.7943 99.87522011 104.6507 102.1939 92.6461 109.4454 106.0588 108.1657 106.5090 107.0515 110.7770 104.7430 102.26382012 110.6599 111.5775 95.3315 123.9162 110.1340 114.2468 104.1040 116.9730 123.0180 112.4075 102.72602013 119.3383 119.0162 108.5731 126.9298 119.6565 123.7302 107.8840 126.1165 136.8475 124.9690 112.30212014 127.3329 129.2669 108.6823 144.7331 126.2947 131.6888 112.7570 137.2860 145.8150 135.4370 116.6646
2015 132.8573 136.8185 111.2911 155.1073 130.5584 135.9583 109.6863 145.2225 145.5950 135.6660 120.63012016 136.6396 138.4810 109.8443 159.4151 135.3484 140.8142 108.5182 144.2216 151.7058 140.9097 124.58122017 141.2464 143.3605 113.2495 164.9247 139.5731 144.8356 106.9694 148.3464 155.1950 144.1506 128.43092018 143.8540 142.1076 112.4567 162.3418 144.1535 149.5519 106.0763 149.4886 161.1390 149.6716 132.16212019 149.7853 147.9916 116.5052 167.8522 149.7269 156.1667 104.9592 148.9505 172.1609 159.9091 135.51412020 153.0956 148.6875 115.2236 167.4205 154.0575 161.3349 103.0419 146.8950 181.4920 168.5762 137.9560
Conclusión
AñosTotal Total
F-6. Inflación General, Inflación Subyacente y No Subyacente Mensual: Escenario Base 2014-2015(índices base segunda quincena de diciembre de 2010=100)
Inflación SubyacenteInflación Precios Precios
General Total de las Mercancías de los Servicios
Total Alimentos Otros Total Vivienda Educación Otros
2014 116.0595 112.7028 115.4678 122.5200 110.1702 110.4430 108.6421 118.5412 110.0664
Ene 112.5050 110.0913 112.9712 119.0793 108.3819 107.7405 106.5903 114.1202 107.1513Feb 112.7895 110.4014 113.1135 119.4071 108.3850 108.1849 106.8453 114.4615 107.8264Mar 113.0985 110.6385 113.3204 119.5406 108.6469 108.4461 107.0409 114.4876 108.2234Abr 112.8885 110.9605 113.5845 119.9002 108.8394 108.8143 107.2127 114.5161 108.8960May 112.5275 111.0646 113.8978 120.4662 108.9632 108.7508 107.3969 114.6193 108.5217Jun 112.7220 111.3006 114.0933 120.8761 108.9978 109.0193 107.5893 114.7813 108.9008Jul 113.0320 111.5098 114.0461 121.1078 108.7416 109.4337 107.7344 114.8681 109.6940Ago 113.4375 111.7466 114.5542 121.5471 109.3013 109.4530 107.9049 115.9147 109.2648Sep 113.9390 112.0740 114.9218 121.7973 109.7567 109.7481 108.1072 118.5396 109.0071Oct 114.5690 112.2606 115.1150 122.1227 109.8508 109.9294 108.2714 118.5411 109.2569Nov 115.4935 112.4418 115.2544 122.2354 110.0102 110.1440 108.4487 118.5411 109.5711Dic 116.0595 112.7028 115.4678 122.5200 110.1702 110.4430 108.6421 118.5412 110.0664
2015 119.9798 115.8938 118.5718 127.3122 112.1291 113.6938 110.8283 123.7422 111.4797
Ene e/ 116.5386 113.2089 116.3412 124.3578 110.3905 110.6680 108.8050 119.0153 109.7362Feb 116.6896 113.3175 116.3813 124.6812 110.2424 110.8283 108.9138 119.3248 109.6265Mar 117.0761 113.4586 116.5792 124.8931 110.4298 110.9262 109.0772 119.3486 109.7361Abr 116.7430 113.6078 116.7181 125.0740 110.5402 111.0830 109.2654 119.4022 110.1421May 116.0767 113.7913 116.9694 125.4692 110.6950 111.2146 109.4663 119.5337 110.0320Jun 116.3361 114.0242 117.2156 125.7005 110.9496 111.4371 109.6755 119.7266 110.4429Jul 116.6708 114.0583 117.0323 125.7453 110.6167 111.6362 109.8366 119.8411 111.1055Ago 117.0701 114.5294 117.4755 126.1351 111.0924 112.1280 110.0236 120.9569 110.7722Sep 117.6103 115.3079 117.7658 126.4252 111.3812 113.2774 110.2430 123.6664 110.5375Oct 118.2435 115.4811 118.0064 126.6907 111.6040 113.3987 110.4237 123.6927 110.7586Nov 119.2284 115.6923 118.3182 127.0328 111.8942 113.5323 110.6178 123.7174 111.0355Dic 119.9798 115.8938 118.5718 127.3122 112.1291 113.6938 110.8283 123.7422 111.4797
e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Continuación
F-9
Años
ContinuaciónInflación No Subyacente
Agropecuarios Energéticos y Tarifas autorizadas por el GobiernoTotal Frutas Carne Energéticos Tarifas del
y Verduras y Huevo Total Electricidad Gas doméstico Gasolina Bajo O Gasolina Alto O Gobierno
2014 120.7572 120.4314 98.9178 136.5771 121.0792 123.8805 92.7478 133.6203 144.3725 132.7608 115.8912
Ene 120.5568 118.2135 103.9417 128.9725 122.0989 126.0301 109.7530 129.5565 139.2855 127.3400 114.9795Feb 120.7562 117.3785 101.7280 129.1614 122.9242 127.1279 110.0160 131.8590 140.4675 128.5445 115.3369Mar 121.3099 118.2155 102.1536 130.3053 123.3071 127.8369 110.0850 132.2005 141.7725 129.7780 115.1621Abr 119.2787 116.8902 96.5666 132.1468 120.8468 123.8185 95.5750 132.3750 142.9335 130.7795 115.3689May 117.3270 117.8159 93.0098 136.4062 117.1525 117.6991 73.8680 133.4290 144.0955 131.9500 115.8254Jun 117.3796 117.3428 91.1947 136.9300 117.5232 118.2449 74.0540 134.1050 144.8170 132.8690 115.8961Jul 118.0333 118.2561 93.9683 136.4615 118.0206 118.9565 74.3200 134.7290 145.8635 134.0215 116.0263Ago 119.0166 120.5637 95.9477 139.0160 118.2039 119.1385 74.9240 133.0080 146.5155 134.9495 116.2112Sep 120.1137 122.9955 98.7095 141.2056 118.4946 119.5412 74.9760 134.1240 146.8430 135.5215 116.3099Oct 122.2583 123.1233 99.1236 141.1207 121.8614 124.8353 90.1370 135.0380 147.4880 136.2000 116.3763Nov 125.7236 125.1146 101.9876 142.4656 126.2220 131.6481 112.5090 135.7340 146.5740 135.7395 116.5373Dic 127.3329 129.2669 108.6823 144.7331 126.2947 131.6888 112.7570 137.2860 145.8150 135.4370 116.6646
2015 126.4620 129.5433 101.6517 151.0776 124.7323 127.2336 95.4861 141.6982 145.6442 135.7047 119.5074
Ene 126.9926 128.2640 102.8874 147.2914 126.3548 131.3188 110.4510 138.1470 146.1855 136.1300 117.4584Feb e/ 127.7384 129.1937 103.3040 148.7102 126.9870 131.6788 110.7107 140.3574 145.5950 135.6660 118.5200Mar 129.0458 131.9726 107.8978 149.4393 127.4362 132.0578 110.9931 140.5258 145.5950 135.6660 119.0675Abr 127.0375 131.6165 106.6965 149.9360 124.4728 127.0381 97.1189 140.6663 145.5950 135.6660 119.1812May 123.2652 128.2329 100.0378 150.1669 120.4718 120.3700 80.3174 141.5525 145.5950 135.6660 119.3268Jun 122.0990 124.6061 93.1547 150.4180 120.6919 120.7693 80.5262 142.0762 145.5950 135.6660 119.2532Jul 122.6946 125.6584 94.5307 150.9911 121.0235 121.2013 80.7839 142.6588 145.5950 135.6660 119.4184Ago 123.5224 127.2226 96.9518 151.4278 121.4292 121.4571 81.3170 141.0895 145.5950 135.6660 120.0621Sep 124.3178 128.7646 99.0039 152.2587 121.7995 121.8979 81.4959 141.9784 145.5950 135.6660 120.3139Oct 126.9083 129.4486 99.4774 153.1090 125.4534 127.7412 92.9869 142.7451 145.5950 135.6660 120.3835Nov 131.0647 132.7206 104.5875 154.0755 130.1093 135.3139 109.4455 143.3589 145.5950 135.6660 120.4733Dic 132.8573 136.8185 111.2911 155.1073 130.5584 135.9583 109.6863 145.2225 145.5950 135.6660 120.6301
Conclusióne/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
F-10
AñosTotal Total
F-8. Variación Anual de los Precios Relativos: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Variación porcentual anual de diciembre a diciembre)
Inflación SubyacenteInflación Precios PreciosGeneral Total de las Mercancías de los Servicios
Total Alimentos Otros Total Vivienda Educación Otros
1980 29.8 ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... .......1981 28.7 ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... .......1982 98.8 ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... .......1983 80.8 3.2 7.6 ....... ....... -3.8 ....... -5.6 .......1984 59.2 0.2 2.5 ....... ....... -4.0 ....... 3.5 .......1985 63.7 -1.5 -2.6 ....... ....... 0.7 ....... 0.1 .......1986 105.7 1.0 6.3 ....... ....... -8.8 ....... -12.4 .......1987 159.2 -0.4 1.1 ....... ....... -3.8 ....... -16.7 .......1988 51.7 -1.9 -8.8 ....... ....... 13.7 ....... 47.7 .......1989 19.7 1.5 -6.8 ....... ....... 16.6 ....... 10.5 .......1990 29.9 -0.4 -4.7 ....... ....... 5.8 ....... 5.4 .......1991 18.8 -1.0 -2.9 ....... ....... 1.5 ....... 10.0 .......1992 11.9 0.8 -2.3 ....... ....... 4.8 ....... 20.1 .......1993 8.0 0.4 -1.4 ....... ....... 2.4 ....... 12.1 .......1994 7.1 0.6 0.6 ....... ....... 0.5 ....... 7.1 .......1995 52.0 -0.9 7.6 ....... ....... -9.5 ....... -21.5 .......1996 27.7 -1.4 0.1 0.5 -0.2 -3.1 -4.0 -5.6 -1.71997 15.7 0.6 -0.1 -1.1 0.7 1.6 -0.1 2.9 3.01998 18.6 -1.0 -0.3 1.5 -1.6 -1.8 -2.2 -0.8 -1.71999 12.3 1.9 1.6 1.2 1.9 2.2 -0.3 5.1 4.02000 9.0 -1.0 -2.1 -2.1 -2.1 0.3 -1.9 5.7 1.12001 4.4 0.9 -0.5 1.0 -1.6 2.5 1.2 9.2 2.42002 5.7 -1.5 -3.5 -1.8 -4.8 0.6 0.3 4.1 -0.22003 4.0 -0.1 -1.3 0.7 -2.6 0.9 0.1 4.4 0.72004 5.2 -1.2 -1.2 1.8 -3.3 -1.2 -1.4 2.2 -2.02005 3.3 -0.1 -0.5 0.3 -1.1 0.3 -0.8 3.2 0.42006 4.1 -0.4 -0.6 1.0 -1.8 -0.2 -0.3 1.6 -0.72007 3.8 0.1 0.7 3.6 -1.4 -0.4 -0.7 1.9 -0.92008 6.5 -0.9 0.0 2.7 -2.2 -1.7 -2.2 -0.7 -1.62009 3.6 0.6 1.9 2.1 1.8 -0.6 -0.9 0.5 -0.82010 4.4 -0.8 -0.6 0.0 -1.0 -1.0 -1.7 0.2 -0.82011 3.8 -0.4 0.7 3.4 -1.4 -1.4 -1.7 0.4 -1.52012 3.6 -0.6 1.4 2.5 0.5 -2.3 -1.5 0.9 -4.12013 4.0 -1.2 -2.0 -1.3 -2.6 -0.4 -1.7 0.4 0.72014 4.1 -0.8 -0.6 1.2 -2.0 -1.0 -1.9 0.2 -0.5
2015 3.4 -0.5 -0.7 0.5 -1.5 -0.4 -1.3 1.0 -2.02016 3.6 -0.1 0.1 1.0 -0.7 -0.3 -1.1 1.0 -2.02017 4.0 -0.2 -0.2 0.8 -1.0 -0.2 -1.0 1.0 -2.02018 3.7 0.2 0.7 1.6 0.0 -0.2 -0.8 0.9 -2.02019 3.6 -0.5 -0.4 0.2 -1.0 -0.5 -1.1 0.6 -2.32020 3.3 0.1 0.4 1.1 -0.1 -0.2 -0.9 0.9 -1.8
ContinuaciónF-12
Años
Continuación
Inflación No SubyacenteAgropecuarios Energéticos y Tarifas autorizadas por el Gobierno
Total Frutas Carne Energéticos Tarifas del
y Verduras y Huevo Total Electricidad Gas doméstico Gasolina BO Gasolina AO Gobierno
1980 ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... .......1981 ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... .......1982 ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... .......1983 -9.7 -6.9 -3.7 -8.5 -13.6 -14.3 5.5 -11.9 ....... ....... -11.81984 -0.6 9.7 7.5 10.9 -16.1 -14.9 -1.7 -16.1 ....... ....... -19.01985 5.3 0.2 3.6 -1.5 15.1 19.7 -5.4 35.7 ....... ....... 3.41986 -3.4 -13.7 -16.1 -12.5 14.2 4.8 6.6 61.2 ....... ....... 42.01987 1.5 3.0 -6.6 7.8 -0.4 -4.7 -6.7 -2.5 ....... ....... 8.91988 6.4 19.6 29.8 15.3 -11.2 -15.3 -15.0 -15.7 ....... ....... -3.21989 -4.5 -4.3 -3.7 -4.7 -4.8 -7.1 20.7 -6.5 ....... ....... -0.91990 1.4 -3.7 0.6 -5.8 10.6 0.0 -15.1 -6.2 ....... ....... 27.31991 3.1 -5.8 -3.9 -6.9 17.0 18.5 30.2 -9.2 ....... ....... 15.21992 -2.5 -1.9 2.1 -4.1 -3.4 -4.7 -9.0 14.4 ....... ....... -1.71993 -1.2 -4.6 -5.0 -4.3 3.1 4.3 -0.7 22.5 ....... ....... 1.51994 -1.9 -3.8 -0.8 -5.4 0.3 1.7 -1.9 12.8 ....... ....... -1.51995 2.4 4.3 16.4 -2.0 0.2 4.1 -7.7 16.4 ....... ....... -4.01996 4.0 2.0 -12.5 11.2 6.0 4.4 -2.5 10.3 ....... ....... 7.91997 -1.8 -3.4 1.0 -5.6 -0.2 2.2 -0.3 10.4 ....... ....... -2.91998 2.8 4.8 22.5 -4.7 0.8 0.1 -3.8 -9.7 ....... ....... 1.81999 -5.0 -10.7 -14.2 -8.3 0.7 3.0 0.6 10.3 ....... ....... -2.22000 3.0 1.0 10.4 -5.0 4.6 8.9 0.8 27.3 ....... ....... -0.72001 -2.5 -2.9 -9.9 2.3 -2.2 -5.4 4.0 -20.0 ....... ....... 2.22002 5.3 2.8 15.6 -5.5 7.6 10.5 27.7 19.2 ....... ....... 3.02003 0.4 -0.3 -6.1 4.2 0.8 2.1 2.9 3.6 0.7 -1.5 -1.22004 4.3 4.7 1.2 7.1 4.0 4.6 3.8 12.4 0.2 3.1 3.02005 0.2 -3.4 -5.0 -2.3 2.4 3.7 0.9 11.1 1.1 1.0 0.32006 1.3 4.1 11.0 -0.4 -0.3 0.3 1.0 -2.4 1.5 4.2 -1.52007 -0.4 -0.3 -3.5 1.9 -0.4 -0.3 -0.7 -1.9 1.0 1.8 -0.52008 3.1 4.8 3.8 5.5 2.0 1.4 2.7 3.9 -1.5 -0.7 3.12009 -1.8 -1.8 -4.5 -0.1 -1.8 -3.2 -2.4 -9.7 0.8 0.7 0.82010 2.6 2.5 9.2 -1.9 2.6 2.0 -0.4 -2.9 8.0 0.9 3.82011 1.5 -0.1 -7.9 5.7 2.3 4.3 2.6 3.1 7.0 1.1 -1.42012 2.1 5.4 -0.6 9.3 0.3 2.0 -5.6 5.5 7.2 3.6 -3.02013 3.7 2.6 9.5 -1.5 4.5 4.2 -0.3 3.7 7.0 6.9 5.12014 2.5 4.4 -3.8 9.6 1.4 2.3 0.4 4.6 2.4 4.1 -0.2
2015 1.0 2.5 -0.8 3.8 0.1 0.0 -5.8 2.4 -3.3 -3.0 0.12016 -0.6 -2.2 -4.6 -0.7 0.2 0.1 -4.4 -4.0 0.7 0.4 -0.22017 -0.5 -0.4 -0.8 -0.5 -0.8 -1.0 -5.2 -1.0 -1.6 -1.6 -0.82018 -1.7 -4.4 -4.2 -5.0 -0.4 -0.4 -4.3 -2.8 0.2 0.2 -0.72019 0.5 0.5 0.0 -0.2 0.3 0.8 -4.5 -3.8 3.1 3.1 -1.02020 -1.1 -2.8 -4.3 -3.5 -0.4 0.0 -5.0 -4.6 2.0 2.0 -1.5
ConclusiónF-13
AñosTotal Total
F-9. Precios de las Gasolinas Automotrices en México y EUA: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Promedio anual)
Precio de la Diferencia de precios México-EUA Precio de la Gasolina en México INPC del INEGI 2003=100Gasolina en EUA Precios en la Frontera Norte Precios en la Frontera Norte Precios en el Interior del País Gasolinas(Unleaded Regular) Pemex Magna vs. EUA Pemex Premium vs. EUA Pemex Magna Pemex Premium Pemex Magna Pemex Premium Bajo Octanaje Alto Octanaje
Pesos/Litro % Absoluta Relativa Absoluta Relativa Pesos/Litro % Pesos/Litro % Pesos/Litro % Pesos/Litro % Indice % Indice %
1980 0.01 39.0 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1981 0.01 18.2 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1982 0.02 122.7 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1983 0.05 148.2 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1984 0.06 20.2 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1985 0.10 66.3 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1986 0.16 58.0 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1987 0.35 125.0 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1988 0.57 63.2 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1989 0.67 17.2 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1990 0.87 30.3 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1991 0.91 4.0 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1992 0.92 1.4 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1993 0.91 -1.0 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1994 0.99 8.7 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1995 1.95 96.2 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1996 2.47 27.0 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1997 2.58 4.4 ….. …. ….. …. 2.97 …. 3.31 …. 3.09 …. 3.40 …. ….. …. ….. ….1998 2.56 -0.8 ….. …. ….. …. 3.49 17.7 3.84 16.0 3.64 17.6 3.99 17.4 ….. …. ….. ….1999 2.94 14.9 ….. …. ….. …. 4.34 24.3 4.78 24.3 4.54 24.7 5.00 25.2 ….. …. ….. ….2000 3.77 28.2 ….. …. ….. …. 4.83 11.2 5.36 12.2 5.05 11.2 5.60 12.1 ….. …. ….. ….2001 3.60 -4.4 ….. …. ….. …. 5.22 8.1 5.85 9.2 5.45 8.0 6.11 9.1 ….. …. ….. ….2002 3.47 -3.8 ….. …. ….. …. 5.40 3.5 6.16 5.4 5.75 5.4 6.44 5.4 ….. …. ….. ….2003 4.54 30.9 0.75 16.6 1.85 40.7 5.29 -2.0 6.38 3.6 5.96 3.6 6.68 3.6 100.0 …. 100.0 ….2004 5.61 23.6 0.19 3.4 1.25 22.3 5.80 9.6 6.86 7.4 6.14 3.1 7.17 7.4 105.0 5.0 106.8 6.82005 6.61 17.8 -0.55 -8.3 0.55 8.3 6.06 4.4 7.15 4.3 6.33 3.2 7.48 4.3 109.2 4.0 111.8 4.72006 7.46 12.9 -0.03 -0.5 0.06 0.8 7.42 22.6 7.52 5.1 6.61 4.4 7.86 5.1 116.5 6.8 118.1 5.62007 8.09 8.5 -0.69 -8.5 0.06 0.7 7.40 -0.3 8.14 8.3 6.91 4.6 8.51 8.3 121.4 4.2 127.6 8.12008 9.62 19.0 -2.14 -22.2 -0.90 -9.3 7.49 1.2 8.73 7.2 7.28 5.3 9.11 7.0 127.0 4.6 135.8 6.52009 8.39 -12.8 -0.67 -8.0 0.79 9.5 7.72 3.1 9.18 5.2 7.72 6.1 9.57 5.0 134.0 5.5 143.1 5.42010 9.30 10.9 -0.98 -10.6 0.19 2.0 8.32 7.8 9.49 3.4 8.32 7.7 9.88 3.2 144.6 7.9 148.7 3.92011 11.59 24.6 -2.31 -19.9 -1.62 -13.9 9.28 11.5 9.97 5.1 9.28 11.5 10.36 4.9 155.3 7.4 160.1 7.62012 12.67 9.4 -2.36 -18.6 -2.10 -16.6 10.32 11.1 10.57 6.0 10.32 11.1 10.96 5.8 159.6 2.8 166.9 4.22013 11.90 -6.1 -0.37 -3.1 -0.20 -1.7 11.53 11.7 11.70 10.7 11.53 11.7 12.09 10.3 165.3 3.6 173.0 3.62014 11.84 -0.5 0.47 4.0 1.64 13.8 12.31 6.8 13.47 15.2 12.62 9.5 13.51 11.8 175.0 5.9 178.9 3.4
2015 8.68 -26.7 2.59 29.9 5.30 61.1 11.27 -8.4 13.98 3.8 11.27 -10.7 14.38 6.5 179.7 2.6 184.4 3.12016 10.02 15.5 1.48 14.8 4.25 42.4 11.51 2.1 14.27 2.1 11.51 2.1 14.68 2.1 183.4 2.1 188.2 2.12017 11.48 14.6 0.29 2.5 3.12 27.2 11.77 2.3 14.60 2.3 11.77 2.3 15.02 2.3 187.6 2.3 192.6 2.32018 12.19 6.1 0.00 0.0 2.93 24.1 12.19 3.5 15.12 3.5 12.19 3.5 15.55 3.5 194.3 3.5 199.4 3.52019 12.99 6.6 0.00 0.0 3.13 24.1 12.99 6.6 16.11 6.6 12.99 6.6 16.57 6.6 207.1 6.6 212.5 6.62020 13.55 4.3 0.00 0.0 3.26 24.1 13.55 4.3 16.81 4.3 13.55 4.3 17.28 4.3 216.0 4.3 221.6 4.3
F-14
Años
G. Mercado Cambiario
Cuadro G-1.Tipo de Cambio del Peso respecto al Dólar de EE.UU. 1980-2020
Cuadro G-2. Tipo de Cambio Mensual 2014-2015
G-1. Tipo de Cambio del Peso Respecto al Dólar de EE.UU.: Escenario Básico 2015-2020(Punto de Equilibrio del Tipo de Cambio 1990=100)
Promedio Anual % Sobre (-) Tipo de Fin de Año TDC para solventar Año Nominal Indice Real o sub (+) Cambio Teórico Nominal obligaciones en dólares
Pesos/Dólar %Var. 1990=100 % Var. valuación Pesos/Dólar Pesos/Dólar % Var. Pesos/Dólar % Var.
1980 0.0229 0.8 76.7 -9.4 -23.31 0.0299 0.0233 2.2 0.0233 2.21981 0.0245 6.8 70.6 -7.9 -29.37 0.0347 0.0262 12.4 0.0262 12.41982 0.0580 136.9 111.8 58.3 11.77 0.0519 0.1493 470.5 0.0963 267.61983 0.1503 159.1 148.1 32.5 48.06 0.1015 0.1612 8.0 0.1436 49.11984 0.1849 23.0 114.9 -22.4 14.86 0.1610 0.2100 30.2 0.1920 33.71985 0.3103 67.8 126.5 10.1 26.51 0.2453 0.4535 116.0 0.3682 91.81986 0.6353 104.8 141.7 12.0 41.68 0.4484 0.9135 101.4 0.9151 148.51987 1.3980 120.0 139.4 -1.6 39.39 1.0030 2.2250 143.6 2.2097 141.51988 2.2871 63.6 110.9 -20.4 10.88 2.0626 2.2980 3.3 2.2810 3.21989 2.4816 8.5 105.1 -5.2 5.09 2.3615 2.6855 16.9 2.6410 15.81990 2.8385 14.4 100.0 -4.8 0.03 2.8376 2.9443 9.6 2.9454 11.51991 3.0157 6.2 90.3 -9.7 -9.71 3.3401 3.0780 4.5 3.0710 4.31992 3.0945 2.6 82.6 -8.5 -17.38 3.7453 3.1209 1.4 3.1154 1.41993 3.1152 0.7 78.1 -5.5 -21.94 3.9910 3.1071 -0.4 3.1059 -0.31994 3.3751 8.3 81.1 3.9 -18.92 4.1625 4.9950 60.8 5.3250 71.41995 6.4190 90.2 117.5 44.9 17.47 5.4644 7.7396 54.9 7.6425 43.51996 7.6003 18.4 106.6 -9.3 6.56 7.1324 7.8703 1.7 7.8509 2.71997 7.9198 4.2 94.2 -11.6 -5.83 8.4106 8.0681 2.5 8.0833 3.01998 9.1506 15.5 95.3 1.2 -4.69 9.6007 9.8963 22.7 9.8650 22.01999 9.5577 4.4 87.3 -8.4 -12.72 10.9512 9.4986 -4.0 9.5143 -3.62000 9.4567 -1.1 81.5 -6.6 -18.48 11.6007 9.6098 1.2 9.5722 0.62001 9.3390 -1.2 77.8 -4.5 -22.16 11.9979 9.1695 -4.6 9.1423 -4.52002 9.6657 3.5 77.9 0.1 -22.08 12.4054 10.4393 13.8 10.3125 12.82003 10.7953 11.7 85.1 9.3 -14.87 12.6805 11.2372 7.6 11.2360 9.02004 11.2859 4.5 87.3 2.5 -12.72 12.9306 11.1495 -0.8 11.2648 0.32005 10.8939 -3.5 83.8 -4.0 -16.24 13.0057 10.6344 -4.6 10.7777 -4.32006 10.9007 0.1 83.5 -0.3 -16.51 13.0565 10.8116 1.7 10.8810 1.02007 10.9288 0.3 82.8 -0.8 -17.20 13.1985 10.9157 1.0 10.8662 -0.12008 11.1520 2.0 83.5 0.8 -16.54 13.3619 13.8325 26.7 13.5383 24.62009 13.5076 21.1 95.7 14.6 -4.34 14.1200 13.0659 -5.5 13.0587 -3.52010 12.6303 -6.5 87.3 -8.8 -12.71 14.4696 12.3496 -5.5 12.3571 -5.42011 12.4354 -1.5 85.7 -1.8 -14.27 14.5048 13.9476 12.9 13.9787 13.12012 13.1613 5.8 89.0 3.8 -11.04 14.7949 12.9658 -7.0 13.0101 -6.92013 12.7724 -3.0 84.4 -5.1 -15.62 15.1364 13.0843 0.9 13.0765 0.52014 13.3056 4.2 85.9 1.8 -14.12 15.4933 14.7414 12.7 14.7106 12.5
2015 14.4729 8.8 91.5 6.6 -8.45 15.8090 14.2020 -3.7 14.1764 -3.62016 14.0184 -3.1 87.5 -4.4 -12.46 16.0131 13.9035 -2.1 13.9295 -1.72017 13.7885 -1.6 84.9 -3.1 -15.13 16.2467 13.8754 -0.2 13.8561 -0.52018 13.9623 1.3 84.6 -0.3 -15.42 16.5084 14.1019 1.6 14.1240 1.92019 14.2415 2.0 84.9 0.4 -15.11 16.7774 14.3597 1.8 14.3339 1.52020 14.4779 1.7 85.2 0.4 -14.79 16.9900 14.5938 1.6 14.5642 1.6
G-1
G-2. Tipo de Cambio Mensual: Escenario Base 2014-2015(Punto de Equilibrio del Tipo de Cambio 1990=100)
Promedio del Mes Fin de MesFecha de Determinación FIX Tipo de % Sobre (-) Fecha de Determinación FIX
Nominal Indice Real Cambio o sub (+) Nominal Indice Real
Pesos/Dólar Var. % 1990=100 Var. % Teórico valuación Pesos/Dólar Var. % 1990=100 Var. %
2014 13.3056 4.17 85.9 1.77 15.4933 -14.12 14.7414 12.66 92.4 9.07
Ene 13.2230 1.66 85.1 1.13 15.5306 -14.86 13.3769 2.24 86.1 -6.75Feb 13.2808 0.44 85.6 0.55 15.5125 -14.39 13.2379 -1.04 85.3 -0.92Mar 13.1951 -0.65 85.4 -0.28 15.4554 -14.62 13.0549 -1.38 84.5 -1.02Abr 13.0708 -0.94 85.0 -0.43 15.3760 -14.99 13.0901 0.27 85.1 0.79May 12.9247 -1.12 84.6 -0.45 15.2735 -15.38 12.8609 -1.75 84.2 -1.09Jun 12.9958 0.55 85.1 0.56 15.2715 -14.90 12.9712 0.86 84.9 0.87Jul 12.9904 -0.04 84.8 -0.35 15.3195 -15.20 13.2269 1.97 86.3 1.65Ago 13.1406 1.16 85.3 0.63 15.4002 -14.67 13.0763 -1.14 84.9 -1.66Sep 13.2352 0.72 85.6 0.35 15.4566 -14.37 13.4330 2.73 86.9 2.35Oct 13.4763 1.82 86.5 1.01 15.5812 -13.51 13.4773 0.33 86.5 -0.47Nov 13.6216 1.08 86.3 -0.27 15.7922 -13.74 13.8965 3.11 88.0 1.73Dic 14.5129 6.54 90.9 5.42 15.9601 -9.07 14.7414 6.08 92.4 4.96
2015 14.4729 8.77 91.5 6.60 15.8090 -8.45 14.2020 -3.66 88.1 -4.63
Ene 14.6926 1.24 91.7 0.85 16.0209 -8.29 14.9885 1.68 93.6 6.21Feb e/ 14.8760 1.25 93.1 1.53 15.9770 -6.89 14.8619 -0.84 93.0 -0.57Mar 14.8493 -0.18 93.1 0.04 15.9423 -6.86 14.7701 -0.62 92.6 -0.40Abr 14.7315 -0.79 93.1 -0.06 15.8247 -6.91 14.7378 -0.22 93.1 0.52May 14.5967 -0.91 93.3 0.18 15.6522 -6.74 14.6215 -0.79 93.4 0.30Jun 14.4137 -1.25 92.7 -0.59 15.5482 -7.30 14.4726 -1.02 93.1 -0.36Jul 14.2030 -1.46 91.2 -1.65 15.5783 -8.83 14.2857 -1.29 91.7 -1.48Ago 14.2002 -0.02 90.9 -0.27 15.6175 -9.08 14.1890 -0.68 90.9 -0.93Sep 14.3689 1.19 91.8 0.98 15.6493 -8.18 14.2719 0.58 91.2 0.38Oct 14.3133 -0.39 90.6 -1.32 15.7965 -9.39 14.3285 0.40 90.7 -0.54Nov 14.2359 -0.54 89.0 -1.75 15.9910 -10.98 14.2620 -0.46 89.2 -1.68Dic 14.1934 -0.30 88.0 -1.11 16.1227 -11.97 14.2020 -0.42 88.1 -1.23
e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
G-2
Meses
H. Tasas de Interés
Cuadro H-1.Tasas Anuales de Interés Nominales y Reales 1980-2020
Cuadro H-2. Tasas Mensuales de Interés
2014-2015
H-1. Tasas Anuales de Interés: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Promedio anual)
Cetes 28 días México Estados Unidos México CCP en MN Tasa Objetivo Tasas InternacionalesAños Anual Anual Valores Privados Papel Comercial Vs. Anual Anual BANXICO Estados Unidos Inglaterra
Nominal Real Nominal Real Anual Nominal Real Anual EE.UU. Nominal Real Nominal Real Anual PRIME FED Funds LIBOR
1980 22.46 -3.79 23.30 -3.00 12.72 0.86 10.58 20.71 -5.43 ..... ..... 15.26 13.35 13.961981 30.77 5.30 32.31 6.89 15.71 7.32 16.60 28.58 3.07 ..... ..... 18.87 16.39 16.791982 43.19 -23.13 48.18 -19.34 11.84 8.35 36.34 40.40 -25.17 ..... ..... 14.85 12.24 12.951983 56.72 -3.72 49.90 -9.81 8.87 5.25 41.03 56.65 -3.78 ..... ..... 10.79 9.09 9.501984 48.59 1.17 49.61 2.16 10.07 6.35 39.54 51.10 3.63 ..... ..... 12.04 10.23 10.601985 60.18 9.86 76.17 27.80 7.94 4.27 68.23 56.07 5.64 ..... ..... 9.93 8.10 8.201986 86.74 12.30 102.98 30.54 6.61 5.65 96.37 80.88 6.31 ..... ..... 8.33 6.80 6.901987 95.97 -2.86 123.49 24.99 6.74 2.41 116.75 94.64 -4.05 ..... ..... 8.21 6.66 7.181988 69.15 29.16 55.39 13.32 7.58 3.28 47.81 67.64 27.32 ..... ..... 9.32 7.57 7.971989 45.01 29.96 40.92 24.93 9.11 4.64 31.81 44.61 29.46 ..... ..... 10.87 9.21 9.281990 34.76 8.42 27.06 0.58 8.15 2.22 18.91 37.07 10.88 ..... ..... 10.01 8.10 8.281991 19.28 1.92 21.80 4.48 5.89 2.90 15.91 25.56 8.40 ..... ..... 8.46 5.69 5.981992 15.62 4.33 25.82 15.34 3.71 0.85 22.11 18.78 7.63 ..... ..... 6.25 3.52 3.831993 14.99 7.45 17.98 10.67 3.17 0.45 14.81 18.56 11.31 ..... ..... 6.00 3.02 3.301994 14.10 7.47 19.30 13.13 4.43 1.80 14.87 15.50 8.97 ..... ..... 7.15 4.21 4.741995 48.44 5.80 59.43 17.54 5.93 3.46 53.50 45.12 2.48 ..... ..... 8.83 5.83 6.041996 31.39 6.75 36.39 10.77 5.43 2.19 30.95 31.69 6.05 ..... ..... 8.27 5.30 5.511997 19.80 5.17 22.14 7.62 5.55 3.93 16.59 20.04 5.42 ..... ..... 8.44 5.46 5.741998 24.76 7.73 26.36 9.42 5.42 3.88 20.94 22.39 5.25 ..... ..... 8.35 5.35 5.561999 21.41 10.08 23.74 12.63 5.11 2.48 18.63 20.89 9.52 22.45 11.21 8.00 4.97 5.412000 15.24 6.79 16.93 8.58 6.27 2.97 10.66 14.59 6.10 16.16 7.76 9.23 6.24 6.532001 11.31 7.19 12.80 8.78 3.79 2.27 9.01 10.95 6.82 11.95 7.87 6.91 3.88 3.782002 7.09 1.53 8.21 2.67 1.68 -0.67 6.53 6.17 0.61 7.15 1.60 4.67 1.67 1.792003 6.23 2.34 7.02 3.15 1.13 -0.73 5.90 5.15 1.25 6.15 2.26 4.12 1.13 1.222004 6.82 1.75 7.44 2.38 1.40 -1.79 6.04 5.41 0.34 6.75 1.68 4.34 1.35 1.622005 9.20 6.07 9.70 6.59 3.27 -0.09 6.42 7.64 4.43 9.30 6.17 6.19 3.22 3.562006 7.19 3.25 7.51 3.58 5.00 2.51 2.51 6.06 2.09 7.23 3.29 7.96 4.97 5.192007 7.19 3.54 7.56 3.92 5.07 1.06 2.49 5.99 2.31 7.23 3.58 8.05 5.02 5.302008 7.68 1.34 8.71 2.38 2.38 2.31 6.32 6.73 0.39 7.84 1.50 5.09 1.92 2.912009 5.43 1.92 7.07 3.61 0.26 -2.39 6.81 5.07 1.56 5.42 1.91 3.25 0.16 0.692010 4.40 0.09 5.29 0.97 0.20 -1.28 5.09 4.17 -0.15 4.50 0.18 3.25 0.18 0.342011 4.24 0.49 4.92 1.16 0.13 -2.75 4.79 4.18 0.43 4.50 0.75 3.25 0.10 0.342012 4.24 0.73 4.73 1.22 0.11 -1.60 4.62 4.20 0.68 4.50 0.99 3.25 0.14 0.432013 3.75 -0.15 4.25 0.35 0.09 -1.39 4.17 3.86 -0.05 3.97 0.06 3.25 0.11 0.272014 3.00 -1.00 3.55 -0.45 0.09 -0.66 3.47 3.23 -0.77 3.21 -0.79 3.25 0.09 0.23
2015 2.95 -0.27 3.49 0.27 0.31 -1.77 3.18 3.22 0.00 3.23 0.01 3.45 0.30 0.442016 4.25 0.83 4.82 1.40 1.15 -1.39 3.67 4.49 1.07 4.49 1.07 4.24 1.11 1.252017 5.66 1.81 6.24 2.40 2.25 -0.25 4.00 5.87 2.02 5.88 2.03 5.23 2.10 2.242018 6.69 3.14 7.30 3.76 3.27 1.17 4.04 6.86 3.31 6.88 3.33 6.23 3.11 3.262019 6.96 3.47 7.59 4.12 3.35 1.50 4.25 7.11 3.63 7.13 3.65 6.27 3.16 3.312020 6.74 3.51 7.41 4.20 2.77 0.48 4.64 6.87 3.64 6.88 3.65 5.65 2.56 2.71
H-1
H-2. Tasas Mensuales de Interés: Escenario Base 2014-2015(Promedio aritmético en el mes en por ciento anual)
Cetes 28 días México Estados Unidos México Tasa Objetivo Tasas InternacionalesAños Anual Real Valores Privados Papel Comercial Vs. BANXICO Estados Unidos
Nominal Anual Nominal Real Anual Nominal Real Anual EUA Nominal Real Anual PRIME FED Funds
2014 3.00 -1.00 3.55 -0.45 0.09 -0.66 3.46 3.21 -0.79 3.25 0.09
Ene 3.14 -7.26 3.83 -6.62 0.11 -4.29 3.72 3.50 -6.93 3.25 0.07Feb 3.16 0.13 3.80 0.77 0.11 -4.27 3.69 3.50 0.47 3.25 0.07Mar 3.17 -0.12 3.93 0.64 0.11 -7.35 3.82 3.50 0.21 3.25 0.08Abr 3.23 5.61 3.88 6.29 0.10 -3.81 3.78 3.50 5.89 3.25 0.09May 3.28 7.38 3.80 7.94 0.09 -4.03 3.71 3.50 7.61 3.25 0.09Jun 3.02 0.95 3.43 1.36 0.07 -2.14 3.36 3.00 1.01 3.25 0.10Jul 2.83 -0.47 3.36 0.06 0.08 0.55 3.28 3.00 -0.30 3.25 0.09Ago 2.77 -1.52 3.32 -0.98 0.07 2.12 3.25 3.00 -1.29 3.25 0.09Sep 2.83 -2.44 3.36 -1.92 0.06 -0.81 3.30 3.00 -2.27 3.25 0.09Oct 2.90 -3.65 3.34 -3.23 0.10 3.16 3.24 3.00 -3.56 3.25 0.09Nov 2.85 -6.57 3.19 -6.25 0.07 6.81 3.12 3.00 -6.43 3.25 0.09Dic 2.81 -3.01 3.38 -2.48 0.07 7.18 3.31 3.00 -2.83 3.25 0.12
2015 2.98 -0.25 3.55 0.33 0.30 -1.77 3.24 3.23 0.01 3.45 0.30
Ene 2.67 -2.11 3.33 -1.67 0.12 0.60 3.21 3.00 -1.93 3.25 0.11Feb e/ 2.71 1.26 3.34 1.72 0.12 -1.86 3.22 3.00 1.45 3.25 0.10Mar 2.71 -1.16 3.33 -0.62 0.11 -7.17 3.21 3.00 -0.97 3.25 0.10Abr 2.73 6.42 3.32 7.00 0.11 -7.29 3.20 3.00 6.63 3.25 0.10May 2.74 10.15 3.31 10.75 0.11 -6.50 3.19 3.00 10.37 3.25 0.10Jun 2.76 0.11 3.31 0.67 0.17 -4.36 3.13 3.00 0.32 3.32 0.17Jul 3.09 -0.36 3.64 0.19 0.35 -5.22 3.28 3.31 -0.14 3.50 0.35Ago 3.29 -0.81 3.84 -0.27 0.34 -5.11 3.48 3.50 -0.60 3.50 0.35Sep 3.27 -2.23 3.82 -1.70 0.41 -4.40 3.39 3.50 -2.01 3.58 0.43Oct 3.27 -3.13 3.82 -2.60 0.59 -3.64 3.21 3.50 -2.91 3.75 0.60Nov 3.26 -6.48 3.81 -5.97 0.59 0.49 3.20 3.50 -6.26 3.75 0.60Dic 3.24 -4.21 3.80 -3.68 0.59 3.64 3.19 3.50 -3.96 3.75 0.61
e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
H-2
I. Sector Financiero
Cuadro I-1.Ahorro Financiero y Crédito de la Banca Comercial
Al Sector Privado 1980-2020
Cuadro I-2.
Base y Oferta Monetaria 1980-2020
Cuadro I-3. Agregados Monetarios 1980-2020
Cuadro I-4.Crédito otorgado por la Banca Comercial al Sector Privado 1980-2020
Cuadro I-5.Banxico: Agregados Monetarios y Actividad Financiera 2013-2014
I-1. Ahorro Financiero y Crédito de la Banca Comercial al Sector Privado: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Millones de pesos)
Ahorro Financiero Crédito de la Banca Comercial al Sector Privado Años Nominal Real Nominal Real
Saldo Var.% % PIB Saldo Var.% Saldo Var.% % PIB Saldo Var.%
1980 1,204 46.2 20.5 1,423,381 12.6 719 42.8 12.2 849,535 10.01981 1,794 49.0 22.3 1,647,762 15.8 1,070 48.8 13.3 982,522 15.71982 3,146 75.3 24.2 1,452,831 -11.8 1,551 45.0 11.9 716,339 -27.11983 5,417 72.2 23.2 1,383,962 -4.7 2,673 72.4 11.4 683,032 -4.61984 9,271 71.1 24.1 1,488,173 7.5 4,769 78.4 12.4 765,598 12.11985 13,998 51.0 22.4 1,372,227 -7.8 7,328 53.6 11.7 718,340 -6.21986 29,914 113.7 29.1 1,425,290 3.9 13,584 85.4 13.2 647,240 -9.91987 76,732 156.5 30.3 1,410,646 -1.0 34,917 157.0 13.8 641,911 -0.81988 114,591 49.3 22.3 1,389,082 -1.5 52,550 50.5 10.2 637,020 -0.81989 182,094 58.9 26.8 1,844,120 32.8 93,816 78.5 13.8 950,104 49.11990 269,085 47.8 29.4 2,097,374 13.7 152,449 62.5 16.6 1,188,262 25.11991 354,299 31.7 30.1 2,324,658 10.8 234,892 54.1 19.9 1,541,192 29.71992 420,372 18.6 30.0 2,464,025 6.0 342,373 45.8 24.4 2,006,829 30.21993 536,874 27.7 34.2 2,913,554 18.2 425,739 24.3 27.1 2,310,437 15.11994 672,198 25.2 37.8 3,407,650 17.0 535,654 25.8 30.1 2,715,455 17.51995 808,554 20.3 36.6 2,697,244 -20.8 591,162 10.4 26.8 1,972,049 -27.41996 1,041,988 28.9 34.5 2,721,866 0.9 595,867 0.8 19.7 1,556,514 -21.11997 1,329,001 27.5 34.9 3,000,035 10.2 579,247 -2.8 15.2 1,307,569 -16.01998 1,672,082 25.8 36.5 3,182,295 6.1 500,479 -13.6 10.9 952,508 -27.21999 1,975,098 18.1 35.7 3,346,722 5.2 470,401 -6.0 8.5 797,074 -16.32000 2,254,029 14.1 34.9 3,505,308 4.7 482,344 2.5 7.5 750,108 -5.92001 2,647,266 17.4 39.1 3,943,204 12.5 482,192 0.0 7.1 718,243 -4.22002 2,893,378 9.3 40.4 4,077,368 3.4 519,743 7.8 7.3 732,425 2.02003 3,261,306 12.7 42.4 4,420,088 8.4 558,049 7.4 7.3 756,330 3.32004 3,627,665 11.2 41.7 4,673,999 5.7 704,230 26.2 8.1 907,352 20.02005 4,209,729 16.0 44.6 5,249,012 12.3 888,523 26.2 9.4 1,107,879 22.12006 4,811,851 14.3 45.7 5,766,070 9.9 1,163,027 30.9 11.0 1,393,662 25.82007 5,289,910 9.9 46.4 6,109,281 6.0 1,485,885 27.8 13.0 1,716,039 23.12008 6,186,186 16.9 50.5 6,706,569 9.8 1,655,196 11.4 13.5 1,794,432 4.62009 6,589,749 6.5 54.5 6,897,592 2.8 1,615,013 -2.4 13.4 1,690,459 -5.82010 7,437,877 12.9 56.0 7,457,110 8.1 1,752,906 8.5 13.2 1,757,438 4.02011 8,664,657 16.5 59.6 8,367,526 12.2 2,050,155 17.0 14.1 1,979,851 12.72012 9,950,859 14.8 63.7 9,278,536 10.9 2,288,376 11.6 14.6 2,133,764 7.82013 10,865,702 9.2 67.4 9,744,281 5.0 2,506,651 9.5 15.5 2,247,946 5.42014 12,183,187 12.1 71.5 10,497,363 7.7 2,712,911 8.2 15.9 2,337,517 4.0
2015 13,687,949 12.4 75.7 11,420,079 8.8 3,061,008 12.8 16.9 2,553,849 9.32016 15,962,007 16.6 82.2 12,869,563 12.7 3,612,728 18.0 18.6 2,912,806 14.12017 19,574,583 22.6 92.7 15,184,629 18.0 4,480,588 24.0 21.2 3,475,735 19.32018 23,726,544 21.2 103.2 17,756,836 16.9 5,431,902 21.2 23.6 4,065,210 17.02019 28,375,010 19.6 114.0 20,499,161 15.4 6,460,920 18.9 26.0 4,667,609 14.82020 34,005,740 19.8 126.0 23,774,756 16.0 7,783,848 20.5 28.8 5,441,996 16.6
I-1
I-2. Base y Oferta Monetaria: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Millones de pesos)
Base Monetaria Por sus Fuentes Por sus UsosAños Saldo Nominal Saldo Real Reserva Crédito Billetes y monedas Depósitos
Pesos Var.% Flujo Pesos Var.% BANXICO Interno Neto Público Bancos bancarios
1980 195 30.1 45 230,100 0.2 93 102 195 0 01981 282 44.8 87 258,892 12.5 132 150 282 0 01982 503 78.6 222 232,501 -10.2 176 327 503 0 01983 678 34.7 175 173,219 -25.5 709 -31 678 0 01984 1,119 65.0 441 179,611 3.7 1,561 -442 1,119 0 01985 2,741 145.0 1,622 268,705 49.6 2,061 680 1,732 156 8531986 5,424 97.9 2,683 258,427 -3.8 6,029 -605 3,066 319 2,0391987 11,031 103.4 5,607 202,794 -21.5 28,814 -17,783 7,318 747 2,9661988 17,514 58.8 6,483 212,310 4.7 14,551 2,963 13,161 1,362 2,9921989 22,225 26.9 4,710 225,075 6.0 17,484 4,740 17,992 1,668 2,5641990 30,121 35.5 7,897 234,779 4.3 29,950 171 24,604 2,474 3,0441991 38,581 28.1 8,460 253,142 7.8 53,886 -15,304 32,418 3,754 2,4091992 43,972 14.0 5,391 257,746 1.8 57,803 -13,831 38,013 4,002 1,9571993 47,193 7.3 3,220 256,110 -0.6 76,211 -29,018 43,231 3,962 01994 56,935 20.6 9,743 288,630 12.7 32,739 24,196 51,858 5,063 151995 66,809 17.3 9,873 222,866 -22.8 120,301 -53,492 60,658 6,151 01996 83,991 25.7 17,182 219,400 -1.6 137,804 -53,813 74,089 9,902 01997 108,891 29.6 24,900 245,807 12.0 225,930 -117,039 94,196 14,540 1561998 131,528 20.8 22,637 250,323 1.8 298,273 -166,745 115,934 15,175 4191999 188,718 43.5 57,190 319,775 27.7 291,925 -103,206 164,195 24,523 02000 208,943 10.7 20,225 324,934 1.6 322,456 -113,513 182,016 26,864 632001 225,580 8.0 16,637 336,011 3.4 374,848 -149,268 198,919 26,304 3582002 263,937 17.0 38,356 371,942 10.7 500,920 -236,983 232,217 31,720 02003 303,614 15.0 39,677 411,492 10.6 645,407 -341,793 263,595 40,019 02004 340,178 12.0 36,564 438,296 6.5 685,653 -345,475 301,162 39,016 02005 380,034 11.7 39,856 473,855 8.1 730,253 -350,219 336,171 43,863 02006 449,821 18.4 69,788 539,024 13.8 731,725 -281,904 389,598 60,223 02007 494,743 10.0 44,922 571,376 6.0 851,324 -356,580 430,084 64,660 02008 577,543 16.7 82,799 626,126 9.6 1,181,863 -604,320 494,400 83,143 02009 632,032 9.4 54,490 661,558 5.7 1,186,878 -554,845 537,070 94,868 952010 693,423 9.7 61,391 695,216 5.1 1,402,872 -709,448 599,363 94,060 02011 763,492 10.1 70,069 737,310 6.1 1,987,191 -1,223,699 665,916 97,575 12012 846,019 10.8 82,528 788,859 7.0 2,120,108 -1,274,088 734,034 111,361 6242013 917,876 8.5 71,856 823,144 4.3 2,309,662 -1,391,787 792,928 124,947 12014 1,060,906 15.6 143,031 914,106 11.1 2,848,611 -1,787,705 928,670 132,236 1
2015 1,193,629 12.5 132,722 995,864 8.9 2,946,981 -1,753,352 1,017,822 175,807 02016 1,322,327 10.8 128,699 1,066,143 7.1 3,050,908 -1,728,580 1,114,515 207,812 02017 1,454,831 10.0 132,504 1,128,559 5.9 3,139,178 -1,684,347 1,217,051 237,781 02018 1,591,855 9.4 137,024 1,191,337 5.6 3,383,028 -1,791,173 1,318,066 273,789 02019 1,733,437 8.9 141,582 1,252,299 5.1 3,647,205 -1,913,768 1,415,603 317,835 02020 1,888,526 8.9 155,089 1,320,343 5.4 3,942,118 -2,053,592 1,528,851 359,675 0
(Continúa)
I-2
(Continuación)
Oferta Monetaria M1 Coeficiente de Multiplicador Velocidad de Coeficiente de % PIBAños Saldo Nominal Saldo Real Monetización Monetario Circulación Liquidez Base Oferta
Pesos Var.% Flujo Pesos Var.% de la Economía M1/BM PIB/M1 M1/PIB Monetaria Monetaria
1980 492 33.4 123 581,603 2.7 -8.24 2.528 11.953 0.0837 3.3 8.41981 656 33.3 164 602,570 3.6 3.67 2.327 12.288 0.0814 3.5 8.11982 1,011 54.1 355 466,887 -22.5 -9.72 2.008 12.841 0.0779 3.9 7.81983 1,430 41.4 419 365,280 -21.8 -22.81 2.109 16.353 0.0611 2.9 6.11984 2,321 62.3 891 372,609 2.0 0.27 2.075 16.606 0.0602 2.9 6.01985 3,447 48.5 1,126 337,921 -9.3 46.40 1.258 18.138 0.0551 4.4 5.51986 5,698 65.3 2,251 271,492 -19.7 -0.77 1.051 18.010 0.0555 5.3 5.61987 12,759 123.9 7,061 234,569 -13.6 -22.86 1.157 19.868 0.0503 4.4 5.01988 21,434 68.0 8,675 259,829 10.8 3.37 1.224 24.011 0.0416 3.4 4.21989 30,835 43.9 9,401 312,277 20.2 1.83 1.387 22.034 0.0454 3.3 4.51990 50,959 65.3 20,124 397,198 27.2 -0.82 1.692 17.977 0.0556 3.3 5.61991 113,636 123.0 62,677 745,596 87.7 3.46 2.945 10.370 0.0964 3.3 9.61992 131,733 15.9 18,097 772,157 3.6 -1.66 2.996 10.637 0.0940 3.1 9.41993 157,047 19.2 25,314 852,275 10.4 -2.99 3.328 9.998 0.1000 3.0 10.01994 163,816 4.3 6,769 830,451 -2.6 7.61 2.877 10.864 0.0920 3.2 9.21995 171,642 4.8 7,826 572,577 -31.1 -18.07 2.569 12.858 0.0778 3.0 7.81996 245,260 42.9 73,619 640,665 11.9 -7.02 2.920 12.314 0.0812 2.8 8.11997 325,760 32.8 80,500 735,358 14.8 4.74 2.992 11.681 0.0856 2.9 8.61998 388,240 19.2 62,480 738,896 0.5 -2.74 2.952 11.813 0.0847 2.9 8.51999 489,943 26.2 101,703 830,189 12.4 24.43 2.596 11.307 0.0884 3.4 8.82000 565,014 15.3 75,071 878,671 5.8 -3.50 2.704 11.441 0.0874 3.2 8.72001 680,706 20.5 115,692 1,013,938 15.4 4.04 3.018 9.946 0.1005 3.3 10.12002 766,486 12.6 85,780 1,080,137 6.5 10.55 2.904 9.342 0.1070 3.7 10.72003 857,692 11.9 91,206 1,162,440 7.6 9.08 2.825 8.972 0.1115 3.9 11.12004 946,567 10.4 88,875 1,219,587 4.9 2.13 2.783 9.184 0.1089 3.9 10.92005 1,068,500 12.9 121,933 1,332,288 9.2 4.93 2.812 8.836 0.1132 4.0 11.32006 1,218,520 14.0 150,020 1,460,159 9.6 8.34 2.709 8.648 0.1156 4.3 11.62007 1,350,053 10.8 131,534 1,559,167 6.8 2.77 2.729 8.447 0.1184 4.3 11.82008 1,482,920 9.8 132,867 1,607,664 3.1 8.07 2.568 8.265 0.1210 4.7 12.12009 1,614,642 8.9 131,722 1,690,071 5.1 10.87 2.555 7.490 0.1335 5.2 13.42010 1,833,317 13.5 218,675 1,838,058 8.8 -0.02 2.644 7.245 0.1380 5.2 13.82011 2,083,179 13.6 249,862 2,011,742 9.4 1.93 2.728 6.985 0.1432 5.2 14.32012 2,280,049 9.5 196,870 2,125,999 5.7 2.87 2.695 6.854 0.1459 5.4 14.62013 2,513,758 10.3 233,709 2,254,319 6.0 2.91 2.739 6.413 0.1559 5.7 15.62014 2,877,919 14.5 364,161 2,479,693 10.0 8.81 2.713 5.925 0.1688 6.2 16.9
2015 3,212,246 11.6 334,327 2,680,029 8.1 5.76 2.691 5.630 0.1776 6.6 17.82016 3,570,490 11.2 358,244 2,878,751 7.4 2.90 2.700 5.440 0.1838 6.8 18.42017 3,989,289 11.7 418,799 3,094,619 7.5 0.64 2.742 5.295 0.1888 6.9 18.92018 4,431,788 11.1 442,498 3,316,729 7.2 0.57 2.784 5.189 0.1927 6.9 19.32019 4,899,630 10.6 467,843 3,539,675 6.7 0.53 2.827 5.079 0.1969 7.0 19.72020 5,454,063 11.3 554,432 3,813,151 7.7 0.40 2.888 4.947 0.2021 7.0 20.2
(Conclusión)
I-3
Billetes Cuenta de Cuenta de Depósitos Captación Valores Valores Fondos para Captación Valores Captación en el exterior AHORRO
Años M1 y Cheques Cheques Corrientes M2 Bancaria Públicos Entidades la Vivienda M3 Bancaria no Públicos no M4 de Si de No FINANCIERO
Monedas M.N. M.E. y otros Residentes Residentes Privadas y otros Residentes Residentes Residentes Residentes (M4-ByM)
1980 492 195 267 30 …. 1,246 …. …. …. …. 1,285 …. …. 1,399 …. …. 1,2041981 656 282 330 44 …. 1,907 …. …. …. …. 1,975 …. …. 2,076 …. …. 1,7941982 1,011 503 489 18 …. 3,265 …. …. …. …. 3,526 …. …. 3,649 …. …. 3,1461983 1,430 678 725 27 …. 5,275 …. …. …. …. 5,691 …. …. 6,095 …. …. 5,4171984 2,321 1,119 1,168 34 …. 8,971 …. …. …. …. 9,695 …. …. 10,390 …. …. 9,2711985 3,447 1,732 1,707 8 …. 14,653 9,567 1,457 181 …. 15,484 113 …. 15,730 205 42 13,9981986 5,698 3,066 2,602 31 …. 29,940 19,929 3,710 603 …. 32,140 222 …. 32,980 732 109 29,9141987 12,759 7,318 5,194 247 …. 74,635 46,666 14,347 862 …. 80,276 435 …. 84,050 2,884 890 76,7321988 21,434 13,161 7,618 656 …. 114,400 56,760 34,687 1,519 …. 122,461 857 …. 127,751 3,622 1,668 114,5911989 30,835 17,992 11,201 923 719 183,083 89,114 56,317 6,816 …. 191,640 858 …. 200,086 5,800 2,646 182,0941990 50,959 24,604 22,482 1,333 2,541 262,666 124,439 76,491 10,777 …. 277,791 1,139 5,407 293,689 5,268 10,630 269,0851991 113,636 32,418 74,474 2,012 4,732 334,366 143,671 58,155 18,904 …. 357,975 1,222 17,700 386,716 6,529 22,213 354,2991992 131,733 38,013 84,651 2,912 6,156 380,488 190,433 30,156 22,654 5,512 426,853 929 45,436 458,385 7,057 24,475 420,3721993 157,047 43,231 101,843 3,741 8,231 469,517 222,059 46,769 27,654 15,988 540,624 872 70,235 580,104 6,625 32,856 536,8741994 163,816 51,858 95,001 7,028 9,929 554,782 293,942 41,932 26,272 28,820 656,954 2,502 99,671 724,056 16,863 50,238 672,1981995 171,642 60,658 88,706 11,215 11,063 754,410 443,841 68,031 22,447 48,450 784,498 4,664 25,424 869,212 29,090 55,624 808,5541996 245,258 74,089 134,132 17,833 19,204 995,164 534,023 104,944 31,683 79,256 1,025,833 5,401 25,268 1,116,077 40,343 49,901 1,041,9881997 325,760 94,196 175,530 24,512 31,522 1,312,888 608,217 215,818 43,039 120,054 1,343,364 5,137 25,340 1,423,196 41,388 38,444 1,329,0011998 388,240 115,934 193,832 37,181 41,293 1,675,591 765,882 326,893 58,646 135,930 1,702,126 4,265 22,270 1,788,015 41,598 44,291 1,672,0821999 489,943 164,195 233,116 43,087 49,545 2,048,717 784,437 545,106 54,975 174,254 2,065,598 6,774 10,108 2,139,293 33,938 39,757 1,975,0982000 565,014 182,016 266,939 48,914 67,145 2,351,286 694,437 786,021 85,048 220,766 2,379,664 19,576 8,802 2,436,045 35,700 20,681 2,254,0292001 680,706 198,919 316,197 84,225 81,365 2,768,943 694,269 1,038,103 92,031 263,834 2,797,357 11,244 17,170 2,846,185 32,973 15,855 2,647,2662002 766,486 232,217 352,339 84,289 97,641 3,056,567 646,033 1,224,062 131,860 288,127 3,081,821 7,685 17,569 3,125,595 30,257 13,517 2,893,3782003 857,692 263,595 396,038 73,993 124,065 3,458,401 733,174 1,358,028 175,368 334,140 3,492,236 9,081 24,755 3,524,901 19,139 13,525 3,261,3062004 946,567 301,162 408,726 96,836 139,842 3,800,700 808,297 1,459,194 204,259 382,384 3,889,855 10,787 78,368 3,928,827 29,375 9,597 3,627,6652005 1,068,500 336,171 471,703 95,279 165,347 4,366,056 870,375 1,776,394 213,642 437,144 4,503,844 24,548 113,241 4,545,899 27,322 14,734 4,209,7292006 1,218,520 389,598 532,663 97,698 198,561 4,972,338 874,047 2,131,531 248,396 499,845 5,149,697 32,587 144,772 5,201,449 42,812 8,940 4,811,8512007 1,350,053 430,084 604,757 97,679 217,534 5,384,859 998,556 2,213,152 297,527 525,570 5,647,690 35,147 227,684 5,719,994 47,930 24,374 5,289,9102008 1,482,920 494,400 623,403 117,784 247,334 6,269,942 1,253,636 2,422,824 307,751 802,810 6,596,618 48,018 278,658 6,680,585 53,559 30,409 6,186,1862009 1,614,642 537,070 654,923 139,506 283,144 6,672,271 1,255,330 2,654,726 307,096 840,476 7,052,965 54,406 326,289 7,126,818 44,983 28,870 6,589,7492010 1,833,317 599,363 794,128 128,134 311,693 7,207,837 1,260,108 2,873,783 332,008 908,620 7,952,033 108,118 636,078 8,037,240 43,146 42,060 7,437,8772011 2,083,179 665,916 934,698 132,854 349,712 8,065,740 1,339,323 3,274,023 383,161 986,054 9,227,071 126,321 1,035,010 9,330,572 32,035 71,466 8,664,6572012 2,280,049 734,034 979,413 163,611 402,991 8,740,157 1,441,523 3,583,883 391,875 1,042,827 10,573,933 119,812 1,713,964 10,684,893 22,552 88,408 9,950,8592013 2,513,758 792,928 1,082,702 189,020 449,108 9,507,203 1,528,338 3,913,774 435,277 1,116,056 11,566,141 136,194 1,922,743 11,658,630 19,333 73,156 10,865,7022014 2,877,919 928,670 1,214,889 232,467 501,893 10,543,635 1,664,355 4,392,956 429,178 1,179,228 12,993,728 165,566 2,284,528 13,111,857 22,600 95,528 12,183,187
2015 3,212,246 1,017,822 1,380,114 271,057 543,253 11,842,455 1,874,063 4,988,945 461,795 1,305,405 14,579,491 209,606 2,527,430 14,705,772 25,403 100,878 13,687,9492016 3,570,490 1,114,515 1,555,388 315,239 585,348 13,495,417 2,147,676 5,756,533 511,669 1,509,048 16,937,992 281,082 3,161,492 17,076,522 27,867 110,663 15,962,0072017 3,989,289 1,217,051 1,770,032 369,145 633,062 15,662,416 2,519,224 6,764,443 602,746 1,786,713 20,629,593 403,072 4,564,105 20,791,634 31,016 131,025 19,574,5832018 4,431,788 1,318,066 2,001,906 429,685 682,131 17,865,664 2,907,185 7,753,175 695,569 2,077,947 24,858,951 554,627 6,438,661 25,044,610 33,931 151,727 23,726,5442019 4,899,630 1,415,603 2,254,146 497,575 732,306 20,169,016 3,334,541 8,751,569 791,557 2,391,718 29,584,386 739,872 8,675,498 29,790,613 36,748 169,479 28,375,0102020 5,454,063 1,528,851 2,553,948 579,177 792,087 23,142,144 3,878,071 10,083,910 915,832 2,810,268 35,301,750 1,041,000 11,118,607 35,534,590 40,312 192,528 34,005,740
(Continuación)
I-3. Agregados Monetarios: Escenario Base 2015-2020Miles de Pesos Corrientes
I-4
Billetes Cuenta de Cuenta de Depósitos Captación Valores Valores Fondos para Captación Valores Captación en el exterior AHORRO
Años M1 y Cheques Cheques Corrientes M2 Bancaria Públicos Entidades la Vivienda M3 Bancaria no Públicos no M4 de Si de No FINANCIERO
Monedas M.N. M.E. y otros Residentes Residentes Privadas y otros Residentes Residentes Residentes Residentes (M4-ByM)
1980 2.7 0.2 4.5 4.0 …. 10.9 …. …. …. …. 12.2 …. …. 10.7 …. …. 12.61981 3.6 12.5 -4.0 13.6 …. 18.9 …. …. …. …. 19.4 …. …. 15.3 …. …. 15.81982 -22.5 -10.2 -25.4 -79.2 …. -13.9 …. …. …. …. -10.2 …. …. -11.6 …. …. -11.81983 -21.8 -25.5 -18.1 -18.1 …. -10.6 …. …. …. …. -10.7 …. …. -7.6 …. …. -4.71984 2.0 3.7 1.3 -20.5 …. 6.8 …. …. …. …. 7.0 …. …. 7.1 …. …. 7.51985 -9.3 -5.5 -10.8 -85.1 …. -0.3 …. …. …. …. -2.5 …. …. -7.5 …. …. -7.81986 -19.7 -14.0 -25.9 77.2 …. -0.7 1.2 23.7 61.8 …. 0.9 -4.6 …. 1.9 73.9 26.9 3.91987 -13.6 -7.9 -23.0 211.5 …. -3.8 -9.6 49.2 -44.8 …. -3.6 -24.4 …. -1.7 52.1 215.3 -1.01988 10.8 18.6 -3.3 75.1 …. 1.1 -19.8 59.4 16.1 …. 0.6 29.7 …. 0.2 -17.2 23.7 -1.51989 20.2 14.2 22.8 17.5 …. 33.7 31.2 35.6 274.9 …. 30.7 -16.3 …. 30.8 33.8 32.5 32.81990 27.2 5.2 54.5 11.2 172.0 10.4 7.5 4.5 21.7 …. 11.6 2.1 …. 13.0 -30.1 209.2 13.71991 87.7 10.9 178.9 27.1 56.8 7.2 -2.8 -36.0 47.7 …. 8.5 -9.7 175.5 10.8 4.3 75.9 10.81992 3.6 4.8 1.5 29.3 16.2 1.7 18.4 -53.7 7.1 …. 6.5 -32.1 129.3 5.9 -3.4 -1.6 6.01993 10.4 5.3 11.4 19.0 23.8 14.2 8.0 43.6 13.0 168.5 17.3 -13.1 43.1 17.2 -13.1 24.3 18.21994 -2.6 12.1 -12.9 75.5 12.7 10.4 23.7 -16.2 -11.3 68.4 13.5 168.1 32.6 16.6 137.8 42.8 17.01995 -31.1 -23.0 -38.6 5.0 -26.7 -10.5 -0.6 6.8 -43.8 10.6 -21.4 22.7 -83.2 -21.0 13.5 -27.1 -20.81996 11.9 -4.4 18.4 24.5 35.9 3.3 -5.8 20.8 10.5 28.1 2.4 -9.3 -22.2 0.5 8.6 -29.8 0.91997 14.8 9.9 13.1 18.8 41.8 14.0 -1.6 77.7 17.4 30.9 13.2 -17.8 -13.3 10.2 -11.3 -33.4 10.21998 0.5 3.8 -6.9 27.9 10.4 7.6 6.2 27.7 14.9 -4.5 6.8 -30.0 -25.9 5.9 -15.3 -2.9 6.11999 12.4 26.1 7.1 3.2 6.8 8.9 -8.8 48.5 -16.5 14.1 8.0 41.4 -59.6 6.5 -27.4 -20.1 5.22000 5.8 1.7 5.1 4.2 24.4 5.3 -18.8 32.3 42.0 16.3 5.7 165.2 -20.1 4.5 -3.5 -52.3 4.72001 15.4 4.7 13.5 64.9 16.1 12.8 -4.2 26.5 3.6 14.5 12.6 -45.0 86.8 11.9 -11.5 -26.6 12.52002 6.5 10.4 5.4 -5.3 13.5 4.4 -12.0 11.6 35.6 3.3 4.2 -35.3 -3.2 3.9 -13.2 -19.3 3.42003 7.6 9.2 8.1 -15.6 22.2 8.8 9.1 6.7 27.9 11.5 9.0 13.6 35.5 8.5 -39.2 -3.8 8.42004 4.9 8.6 -1.9 24.4 7.2 4.5 4.8 2.1 10.7 8.8 5.9 12.9 201.0 6.0 45.9 -32.5 5.72005 9.2 8.0 11.7 -4.8 14.4 11.2 4.2 17.8 1.2 10.6 12.1 120.2 39.8 12.0 -10.0 48.6 12.32006 9.6 11.4 8.5 -1.5 15.4 9.4 -3.5 15.3 11.7 9.9 9.9 27.6 22.9 10.0 50.6 -41.7 9.92007 6.8 6.4 9.4 -3.6 5.6 4.4 10.1 0.1 15.4 1.3 5.7 3.9 51.6 6.0 7.9 162.8 6.02008 3.1 7.9 -3.2 13.2 6.7 9.3 17.9 2.8 -2.9 43.4 9.6 28.2 14.9 9.6 4.9 17.1 9.82009 5.1 4.9 1.4 14.4 10.5 2.7 -3.3 5.8 -3.7 1.1 3.2 9.4 13.1 3.0 -18.9 -8.3 2.82010 8.8 6.9 16.1 -12.0 5.4 3.5 -3.9 3.7 3.6 3.5 8.0 90.3 86.7 8.0 -8.1 39.5 8.12011 9.4 7.0 13.4 -0.1 8.1 7.8 2.4 9.7 11.2 4.5 11.8 12.5 56.7 11.8 -28.5 63.7 12.22012 5.7 6.4 1.2 18.9 11.3 4.6 3.9 5.7 -1.2 2.1 10.6 -8.4 59.9 10.6 -32.0 19.4 10.92013 6.0 3.9 6.3 11.1 7.2 4.6 2.0 5.0 6.8 2.9 5.2 9.3 7.9 4.9 -17.6 -20.4 5.02014 10.0 12.5 7.8 18.2 7.4 6.6 4.6 7.8 -5.3 1.5 7.9 16.8 14.2 8.1 12.3 25.5 7.7
2015 8.1 6.1 10.0 12.9 4.8 8.8 9.0 10.0 4.2 7.2 8.6 22.6 7.1 8.6 8.8 2.3 8.82016 7.4 5.8 8.9 12.4 4.1 10.1 10.7 11.5 7.1 11.7 12.3 29.6 20.9 12.2 6.0 6.0 12.72017 7.5 5.1 9.5 12.7 4.1 11.7 12.9 13.1 13.3 13.9 17.2 38.0 38.9 17.1 7.1 13.9 18.02018 7.2 4.5 9.1 12.3 4.0 10.0 11.3 10.6 11.3 12.2 16.3 32.8 36.1 16.2 5.5 11.7 16.92019 6.7 3.7 8.7 11.8 3.6 9.0 10.7 9.0 9.9 11.1 14.9 28.8 30.1 14.8 4.5 7.8 15.42020 7.7 4.5 9.6 12.6 4.7 11.0 12.5 11.5 12.0 13.7 15.5 36.2 24.0 15.4 6.2 9.9 16.0
(Continuación)
I-3. Agregados Monetarios: Escenario Base 2015-2020Variación % anual real
I-5
Billetes Cuenta de Cuenta de Depósitos Captación Valores Valores Fondos para Captación Valores Captación en el exterior AHORRO
Años M1 y Cheques Cheques Corrientes M2 Bancaria Públicos Entidades la Vivienda M3 Bancaria no Públicos no M4 de Si de No FINANCIERO
Monedas M.N. M.E. y otros Residentes Residentes Privadas y otros Residentes Residentes Residentes Residentes (M4-ByM)
1980 8.4 3.3 4.5 0.5 …. 21.2 …. …. …. …. 21.8 …. …. 23.8 …. …. 20.51981 8.1 3.5 4.1 0.5 …. 23.7 …. …. …. …. 24.5 …. …. 25.8 …. …. 22.31982 7.8 3.9 3.8 0.1 …. 25.1 …. …. …. …. 27.2 …. …. 28.1 …. …. 24.21983 6.1 2.9 3.1 0.1 …. 22.6 …. …. …. …. 24.3 …. …. 26.1 …. …. 23.21984 6.0 2.9 3.0 0.1 …. 23.3 …. …. …. …. 25.2 …. …. 27.0 …. …. 24.11985 5.5 2.8 2.7 0.0 …. 23.4 15.3 2.3 0.3 0.0 24.8 0.2 0.0 25.2 0.3 0.1 22.41986 5.6 3.0 2.5 0.0 …. 29.2 19.4 3.6 0.6 0.0 31.3 0.2 0.0 32.1 0.7 0.1 29.11987 5.0 2.9 2.0 0.1 …. 29.4 18.4 5.7 0.3 0.0 31.7 0.2 0.0 33.2 1.1 0.4 30.31988 4.2 2.6 1.5 0.1 …. 22.2 11.0 6.7 0.3 0.0 23.8 0.2 0.0 24.8 0.7 0.3 22.31989 4.5 2.6 1.6 0.1 0.1 26.9 13.1 8.3 1.0 0.0 28.2 0.1 0.0 29.4 0.9 0.4 26.81990 5.6 2.7 2.5 0.1 0.3 28.7 13.6 8.3 1.2 0.0 30.3 0.1 0.6 32.1 0.6 1.2 29.41991 9.6 2.8 6.3 0.2 0.4 28.4 12.2 4.9 1.6 0.0 30.4 0.1 1.5 32.8 0.6 1.9 30.11992 9.4 2.7 6.0 0.2 0.4 27.2 13.6 2.2 1.6 0.4 30.5 0.1 3.2 32.7 0.5 1.7 30.01993 10.0 2.8 6.5 0.2 0.5 29.9 14.1 3.0 1.8 1.0 34.4 0.1 4.5 36.9 0.4 2.1 34.21994 9.2 2.9 5.3 0.4 0.6 31.2 16.5 2.4 1.5 1.6 36.9 0.1 5.6 40.7 0.9 2.8 37.81995 7.8 2.7 4.0 0.5 0.5 34.2 20.1 3.1 1.0 2.2 35.5 0.2 1.2 39.4 1.3 2.5 36.61996 8.1 2.5 4.4 0.6 0.6 33.0 17.7 3.5 1.0 2.6 34.0 0.2 0.8 37.0 1.3 1.7 34.51997 8.6 2.5 4.6 0.6 0.8 34.5 16.0 5.7 1.1 3.2 35.3 0.1 0.7 37.4 1.1 1.0 34.91998 8.5 2.5 4.2 0.8 0.9 36.5 16.7 7.1 1.3 3.0 37.1 0.1 0.5 39.0 0.9 1.0 36.51999 8.8 3.0 4.2 0.8 0.9 37.0 14.2 9.8 1.0 3.1 37.3 0.1 0.2 38.6 0.6 0.7 35.72000 8.7 2.8 4.1 0.8 1.0 36.4 10.7 12.2 1.3 3.4 36.8 0.3 0.1 37.7 0.6 0.3 34.92001 10.1 2.9 4.7 1.2 1.2 40.9 10.3 15.3 1.4 3.9 41.3 0.2 0.3 42.0 0.5 0.2 39.12002 10.7 3.2 4.9 1.2 1.4 42.7 9.0 17.1 1.8 4.0 43.0 0.1 0.2 43.7 0.4 0.2 40.42003 11.1 3.4 5.1 1.0 1.6 44.9 9.5 17.6 2.3 4.3 45.4 0.1 0.3 45.8 0.2 0.2 42.42004 10.9 3.5 4.7 1.1 1.6 43.7 9.3 16.8 2.3 4.4 44.7 0.1 0.9 45.2 0.3 0.1 41.72005 11.3 3.6 5.0 1.0 1.8 46.2 9.2 18.8 2.3 4.6 47.7 0.3 1.2 48.1 0.3 0.2 44.62006 11.6 3.7 5.1 0.9 1.9 47.2 8.3 20.2 2.4 4.7 48.9 0.3 1.4 49.4 0.4 0.1 45.72007 11.8 3.8 5.3 0.9 1.9 47.2 8.8 19.4 2.6 4.6 49.5 0.3 2.0 50.2 0.4 0.2 46.42008 12.1 4.0 5.1 1.0 2.0 51.2 10.2 19.8 2.5 6.5 53.8 0.4 2.3 54.5 0.4 0.2 50.52009 13.4 4.4 5.4 1.2 2.3 55.2 10.4 22.0 2.5 6.9 58.3 0.4 2.7 58.9 0.4 0.2 54.52010 13.8 4.5 6.0 1.0 2.3 54.3 9.5 21.6 2.5 6.8 59.9 0.8 4.8 60.5 0.3 0.3 56.02011 14.3 4.6 6.4 0.9 2.4 55.4 9.2 22.5 2.6 6.8 63.4 0.9 7.1 64.1 0.2 0.5 59.62012 14.6 4.7 6.3 1.0 2.6 55.9 9.2 22.9 2.5 6.7 67.7 0.8 11.0 68.4 0.1 0.6 63.72013 15.6 4.9 6.7 1.2 2.8 59.0 9.5 24.3 2.7 6.9 71.7 0.8 11.9 72.3 0.1 0.5 67.42014 16.9 5.4 7.1 1.4 2.9 61.8 9.8 25.8 2.5 6.9 76.2 1.0 13.4 76.9 0.1 0.6 71.5
2015 17.8 5.6 7.6 1.5 3.0 65.5 10.4 27.6 2.6 7.2 80.6 1.2 14.0 81.3 0.1 0.6 75.72016 18.4 5.7 8.0 1.6 3.0 69.5 11.1 29.6 2.6 7.8 87.2 1.4 16.3 87.9 0.1 0.6 82.22017 18.9 5.8 8.4 1.7 3.0 74.1 11.9 32.0 2.9 8.5 97.7 1.9 21.6 98.4 0.1 0.6 92.72018 19.3 5.7 8.7 1.9 3.0 77.7 12.6 33.7 3.0 9.0 108.1 2.4 28.0 108.9 0.1 0.7 103.22019 19.7 5.7 9.1 2.0 2.9 81.1 13.4 35.2 3.2 9.6 118.9 3.0 34.9 119.7 0.1 0.7 114.02020 20.2 5.7 9.5 2.1 2.9 85.8 14.4 37.4 3.4 10.4 130.8 3.9 41.2 131.7 0.1 0.7 126.0
(Conclusión)
I-3. Agregados Monetarios: Escenario Base 2015-2020% del PIB
I-6
Total Intermediarios
Años Crédito Tarjetas Bienes Interés Media y Sector Industria Sector Sector Financieros
Vigente Subtotal de Crédito Duraderos Otros Subtotal Social Residencial Subtotal Primario Manufacturera Construcción Servicios No Bancarios
1980 718.8 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 617.1 80.6 190.2 53.8 292.5 26.81981 1,069.8 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 928.0 120.1 296.8 80.3 430.8 40.11982 1,551.0 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 1,319.9 153.9 581.6 121.6 462.7 73.31983 2,673.5 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 2,242.3 229.7 1,013.4 168.2 831.0 177.41984 4,769.4 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 3,997.7 474.4 1,679.2 274.0 1,570.1 218.71985 7,327.7 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 5,779.5 716.8 2,524.0 322.9 2,215.8 409.81986 13,584.4 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 10,488.0 1,015.3 5,095.2 437.0 3,940.4 1,203.11987 34,916.6 ….. 1,198.1 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 26,690.7 2,487.3 12,748.0 790.7 10,664.7 3,329.31988 52,550.2 ….. 2,454.0 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 39,327.7 5,432.8 17,913.1 1,111.1 14,870.8 2,638.61989 93,816.0 ….. 5,062.0 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 72,976.3 9,569.7 29,171.7 3,242.0 30,992.8 4,169.91990 152,449.5 ….. 10,818.0 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 113,477.9 15,291.1 38,818.7 8,666.6 50,701.5 8,459.21991 234,891.5 ….. 18,492.0 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 168,353.7 22,952.6 53,521.5 17,955.7 73,923.9 16,020.91992 342,372.5 ….. 25,504.0 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 248,236.8 29,610.7 67,692.8 35,536.7 115,396.6 18,710.41993 425,738.8 ….. 25,449.0 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 305,542.9 33,143.0 76,530.0 50,262.3 145,607.6 20,067.11994 535,654.5 38,226.3 25,205.6 3,488.1 9,532.6 95,367.3 50,896.1 44,471.2 376,888.9 38,579.0 102,206.0 41,353.0 193,203.3 26,719.51995 591,162.0 30,925.9 20,380.1 2,838.2 7,707.6 141,945.6 50,032.9 91,912.6 394,252.5 29,808.5 109,632.5 42,840.0 188,914.3 47,095.31996 595,866.6 22,947.0 15,103.8 2,131.1 5,712.1 168,062.5 28,561.9 139,500.5 392,585.1 31,768.7 116,394.6 46,456.0 176,213.5 34,024.31997 579,246.7 23,261.7 15,304.0 2,164.5 5,793.2 163,816.5 26,503.4 137,313.1 386,418.4 27,687.8 123,018.9 44,849.7 171,637.8 24,974.41998 500,478.6 24,281.7 15,354.6 2,419.4 6,507.6 162,153.0 27,304.4 134,848.6 308,212.3 10,208.7 125,331.1 31,701.6 135,978.4 10,824.11999 470,400.6 28,779.1 18,969.4 2,631.1 7,178.6 153,717.4 26,549.9 127,167.5 271,432.5 8,028.1 112,767.7 21,510.8 127,483.0 18,114.42000 482,343.9 38,695.6 25,494.1 3,545.7 9,655.9 140,725.0 26,467.6 114,257.4 282,471.1 7,805.4 105,991.8 14,999.6 150,241.3 23,885.32001 482,191.6 53,517.5 33,887.6 10,250.6 9,379.3 133,410.4 25,782.6 107,627.8 267,886.1 9,523.5 95,945.4 15,459.1 137,610.1 36,725.62002 519,743.1 76,226.9 44,572.0 19,223.8 12,431.0 127,942.0 22,130.2 105,811.8 292,105.3 10,789.1 102,095.7 15,885.5 154,377.7 32,426.22003 558,048.7 113,806.4 57,924.8 36,730.3 19,151.4 116,534.6 19,234.3 97,300.4 301,165.7 11,200.1 107,990.2 20,501.2 157,036.9 30,979.22004 704,229.7 170,201.9 87,110.9 49,401.5 33,689.5 123,271.2 17,081.2 106,190.1 369,311.6 15,185.0 128,217.8 26,338.3 195,400.3 45,615.12005 888,523.5 259,924.5 142,278.5 71,851.6 45,794.4 169,131.3 26,532.1 142,599.3 401,312.1 19,800.3 118,118.5 36,062.5 226,864.9 58,621.42006 1,163,026.7 367,827.7 211,247.0 92,041.3 64,539.4 230,543.3 40,536.7 190,006.6 504,276.2 20,972.2 138,122.4 50,941.6 289,594.5 65,025.02007 1,485,885.4 455,834.9 279,355.2 64,603.1 111,876.6 275,171.5 39,184.1 235,987.3 682,374.6 29,142.1 168,751.4 126,387.7 358,014.1 72,583.82008 1,655,196.4 442,446.8 271,240.6 60,850.2 110,356.0 306,885.4 35,005.7 271,879.7 842,839.6 35,046.4 207,898.7 172,270.5 427,489.9 63,158.82009 1,615,012.7 370,518.9 207,504.8 54,558.5 108,455.5 330,424.8 42,279.8 288,145.0 859,779.9 31,877.0 216,405.9 181,660.4 429,540.4 54,585.32010 1,752,905.8 396,826.3 202,157.3 57,112.3 137,556.7 368,327.3 53,507.8 314,819.5 936,101.3 37,220.2 234,399.1 207,601.8 456,676.2 51,855.02011 2,050,155.1 493,342.0 228,783.1 61,693.2 202,865.7 397,478.9 61,444.4 336,034.5 1,086,220.7 44,834.3 269,508.2 229,581.8 542,289.9 73,120.12012 2,288,376.5 587,466.5 266,665.0 64,155.5 256,646.0 438,234.2 68,646.1 369,588.1 1,171,176.2 55,957.6 266,867.9 271,385.9 576,964.7 91,499.72013 2,506,651.4 649,881.2 292,352.7 65,973.6 291,555.0 472,010.4 76,693.7 395,316.7 1,273,892.4 57,230.3 305,752.5 253,625.5 657,284.2 110,867.32014 2,712,911.1 685,807.2 297,851.8 68,923.0 319,032.4 514,668.8 76,419.7 438,249.0 1,387,712.0 62,765.0 329,961.6 261,295.5 733,689.8 124,723.2
2015 3,061,008.0 765,133.9 321,084.2 73,334.1 370,715.6 579,874.2 84,214.5 495,659.7 1,565,583.7 67,853.6 369,557.0 290,299.3 837,873.8 150,416.22016 3,612,727.9 919,554.7 372,457.7 81,107.5 465,989.5 673,683.9 99,710.0 573,973.9 1,837,034.5 75,829.7 433,120.8 340,230.8 987,853.2 182,454.82017 4,480,588.2 1,206,147.4 468,551.8 93,598.1 643,997.5 805,941.9 126,930.8 679,011.1 2,244,626.9 89,889.9 524,509.3 428,010.4 1,202,217.3 223,872.02018 5,431,902.0 1,530,494.1 565,542.0 105,859.4 859,092.7 955,911.3 157,394.2 798,517.1 2,673,715.9 103,796.5 618,921.0 525,168.7 1,425,829.7 271,780.72019 6,460,920.1 1,904,464.8 667,905.1 118,880.2 1,117,679.5 1,109,697.5 190,604.4 919,093.2 3,115,728.8 120,348.5 716,091.6 623,900.4 1,655,388.3 331,028.82020 7,783,847.9 2,405,279.0 792,135.5 134,453.5 1,478,690.0 1,301,667.2 233,681.0 1,067,986.3 3,672,384.4 141,203.1 837,827.2 749,928.3 1,943,425.9 404,517.2
(Continuación)I-7
Consumo Vivienda Empresas y Personas Físicas con Actividad Empresarial
I-4. Crédito Otorgado por la Banca Comercial al Sector Privado: Escenario Base 2015-2020Miles de Pesos Corrientes
Total Intermediarios
Años Crédito Tarjetas Bienes Interés Media y Sector Industria Sector Sector Financieros
Vigente Subtotal de Crédito Duraderos Otros Subtotal Social Residencial Subtotal Primario Manufacturera Construcción Servicios No Bancarios
1980 10.0 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 10.4 8.0 6.1 2.6 15.8 5.81981 15.7 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 16.9 15.8 21.3 16.0 14.5 16.31982 -27.1 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. -28.5 -35.6 -1.5 -23.8 -46.0 -8.11983 -4.6 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. -6.0 -17.5 -3.6 -23.5 -0.7 33.91984 12.1 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 12.0 29.8 4.1 2.4 18.7 -22.51985 -6.2 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. -11.7 -7.7 -8.2 -28.0 -13.8 14.41986 -9.9 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. -11.8 -31.2 -1.9 -34.2 -13.6 42.71987 -0.8 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. -1.8 -5.5 -3.5 -30.2 4.4 6.81988 -0.8 ….. 35.1 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. -2.8 44.0 -7.3 -7.3 -8.1 -47.71989 49.1 ….. 72.3 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 55.0 47.2 36.1 143.8 74.1 32.01990 25.1 ….. 64.5 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 19.7 23.0 2.4 105.7 25.9 56.11991 29.7 ….. 43.9 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 24.9 26.4 16.1 74.4 22.7 59.41992 30.2 ….. 23.2 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 31.7 15.2 13.0 76.8 39.5 4.31993 15.1 ….. -7.6 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 14.0 3.6 4.7 30.9 16.8 -0.71994 17.5 ….. -7.5 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 15.2 8.7 24.8 -23.1 23.9 24.41995 -27.4 -46.8 -46.8 -46.5 -46.8 -2.1 -35.3 36.0 -31.2 -49.2 -29.4 -31.8 -35.7 16.01996 -21.1 -41.9 -42.0 -41.2 -42.0 -7.3 -55.3 18.8 -22.0 -16.5 -16.9 -15.1 -27.0 -43.41997 -16.0 -12.4 -12.4 -12.2 -12.4 -15.8 -19.8 -14.9 -14.9 -24.7 -8.7 -16.6 -15.8 -36.61998 -27.2 -12.0 -15.4 -5.8 -5.3 -16.5 -13.1 -17.2 -32.8 -68.9 -14.1 -40.4 -33.2 -63.51999 -16.3 5.5 10.0 -3.2 -1.8 -15.6 -13.4 -16.0 -21.6 -30.0 -19.9 -39.6 -16.5 49.02000 -5.9 23.4 23.3 23.7 23.4 -16.0 -8.5 -17.5 -4.5 -10.8 -13.7 -36.0 8.2 21.02001 -4.2 32.5 27.3 176.9 -7.0 -9.2 -6.7 -9.8 -9.2 16.9 -13.3 -1.3 -12.3 47.32002 2.0 34.8 24.4 77.4 25.4 -9.3 -18.8 -7.0 3.2 7.2 0.7 -2.8 6.1 -16.52003 3.3 43.6 25.0 83.8 48.2 -12.4 -16.4 -11.6 -0.8 -0.2 1.7 24.1 -2.2 -8.12004 20.0 42.2 43.0 27.9 67.2 0.6 -15.6 3.8 16.6 28.9 12.9 22.1 18.3 40.02005 22.1 47.8 58.1 40.8 31.5 32.8 50.3 30.0 5.2 26.2 -10.8 32.5 12.4 24.42006 25.8 36.0 42.7 23.1 35.4 31.0 46.8 28.1 20.8 1.8 12.4 35.8 22.7 6.62007 23.1 19.4 27.5 -32.4 67.1 15.0 -6.8 19.7 30.4 33.9 17.7 139.1 19.1 7.62008 4.6 -8.9 -8.9 -11.6 -7.4 4.7 -16.1 8.1 15.9 12.9 15.6 28.0 12.1 -18.32009 -5.8 -19.1 -26.1 -13.4 -5.1 4.0 16.6 2.3 -1.5 -12.2 0.5 1.8 -3.0 -16.62010 4.0 2.6 -6.7 0.3 21.5 6.8 21.2 4.7 4.3 11.8 3.7 9.5 1.8 -9.02011 12.7 19.7 9.0 4.0 42.1 3.9 10.6 2.8 11.8 16.0 10.7 6.5 14.4 35.82012 7.8 15.0 12.5 0.4 22.2 6.5 7.9 6.2 4.1 20.5 -4.4 14.1 2.7 20.82013 5.4 6.4 5.4 -1.1 9.3 3.6 7.5 2.9 4.6 -1.6 10.2 -10.1 9.6 16.52014 4.0 1.4 -2.1 0.4 5.1 4.8 -4.3 6.5 4.7 5.4 3.7 -1.0 7.2 8.1
2015 9.3 8.0 4.4 3.0 12.5 9.1 6.7 9.5 9.2 4.7 8.4 7.6 10.6 16.82016 14.1 16.1 12.1 6.9 21.5 12.3 14.4 11.9 13.4 8.0 13.3 13.3 13.9 17.22017 19.3 26.2 21.0 11.0 33.0 15.1 22.5 13.8 17.6 14.1 16.5 21.0 17.1 18.12018 17.0 22.4 16.4 9.1 28.7 14.4 19.6 13.5 14.9 11.4 13.8 18.4 14.4 17.12019 14.8 20.1 14.0 8.4 25.6 12.1 16.9 11.1 12.5 11.9 11.7 14.7 12.1 17.62020 16.6 22.2 14.8 9.5 28.0 13.5 18.6 12.5 14.1 13.5 13.2 16.3 13.6 18.3
(Continuación)I-8
Consumo Vivienda Empresas y Personas Físicas con Actividad Empresarial
I-4. Crédito Otorgado por la Banca Comercial al Sector Privado: Escenario Base 2015-2020Variación % anual real
Total Intermediarios
Años Crédito Tarjetas Bienes Interés Media y Sector Industria Sector Sector Financieros
Vigente Subtotal de Crédito Duraderos Otros Subtotal Social Residencial Subtotal Primario Manufacturera Construcción Servicios No Bancarios
1980 12.2 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 10.5 1.4 3.2 0.9 5.0 0.51981 13.3 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 11.5 1.5 3.7 1.0 5.3 0.51982 11.9 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 10.2 1.2 4.5 0.9 3.6 0.61983 11.4 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 9.6 1.0 4.3 0.7 3.6 0.81984 12.4 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 10.4 1.2 4.4 0.7 4.1 0.61985 11.7 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 9.2 1.1 4.0 0.5 3.5 0.71986 13.2 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 10.2 1.0 5.0 0.4 3.8 1.21987 13.8 ….. 0.5 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 10.5 1.0 5.0 0.3 4.2 1.31988 10.2 ….. 0.5 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 7.6 1.1 3.5 0.2 2.9 0.51989 13.8 ….. 0.7 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 10.7 1.4 4.3 0.5 4.6 0.61990 16.6 ….. 1.2 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 12.4 1.7 4.2 0.9 5.5 0.91991 19.9 ….. 1.6 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 14.3 1.9 4.5 1.5 6.3 1.41992 24.4 ….. 1.8 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 17.7 2.1 4.8 2.5 8.2 1.31993 27.1 ….. 1.6 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 19.5 2.1 4.9 3.2 9.3 1.31994 30.1 2.1 1.4 0.2 0.5 5.4 2.9 2.5 21.2 2.2 5.7 2.3 10.9 1.51995 26.8 1.4 0.9 0.1 0.3 6.4 2.3 4.2 17.9 1.4 5.0 1.9 8.6 2.11996 19.7 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.2 5.6 0.9 4.6 13.0 1.1 3.9 1.5 5.8 1.11997 15.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.2 4.3 0.7 3.6 10.2 0.7 3.2 1.2 4.5 0.71998 10.9 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 3.5 0.6 2.9 6.7 0.2 2.7 0.7 3.0 0.21999 8.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.1 2.8 0.5 2.3 4.9 0.1 2.0 0.4 2.3 0.32000 7.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 2.2 0.4 1.8 4.4 0.1 1.6 0.2 2.3 0.42001 7.1 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 2.0 0.4 1.6 4.0 0.1 1.4 0.2 2.0 0.52002 7.3 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.2 1.8 0.3 1.5 4.1 0.2 1.4 0.2 2.2 0.52003 7.3 1.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 1.5 0.2 1.3 3.9 0.1 1.4 0.3 2.0 0.42004 8.1 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.4 1.4 0.2 1.2 4.2 0.2 1.5 0.3 2.2 0.52005 9.4 2.8 1.5 0.8 0.5 1.8 0.3 1.5 4.3 0.2 1.3 0.4 2.4 0.62006 11.0 3.5 2.0 0.9 0.6 2.2 0.4 1.8 4.8 0.2 1.3 0.5 2.7 0.62007 13.0 4.0 2.4 0.6 1.0 2.4 0.3 2.1 6.0 0.3 1.5 1.1 3.1 0.62008 13.5 3.6 2.2 0.5 0.9 2.5 0.3 2.2 6.9 0.3 1.7 1.4 3.5 0.52009 13.4 3.1 1.7 0.5 0.9 2.7 0.3 2.4 7.1 0.3 1.8 1.5 3.6 0.52010 13.2 3.0 1.5 0.4 1.0 2.8 0.4 2.4 7.0 0.3 1.8 1.6 3.4 0.42011 14.1 3.4 1.6 0.4 1.4 2.7 0.4 2.3 7.5 0.3 1.9 1.6 3.7 0.52012 14.6 3.8 1.7 0.4 1.6 2.8 0.4 2.4 7.5 0.4 1.7 1.7 3.7 0.62013 15.5 4.0 1.8 0.4 1.8 2.9 0.5 2.5 7.9 0.4 1.9 1.6 4.1 0.72014 15.9 4.0 1.7 0.4 1.9 3.0 0.4 2.6 8.1 0.4 1.9 1.5 4.3 0.7
2015 16.9 4.2 1.8 0.4 2.1 3.2 0.5 2.7 8.7 0.4 2.0 1.6 4.6 0.82016 18.6 4.7 1.9 0.4 2.4 3.5 0.5 3.0 9.5 0.4 2.2 1.8 5.1 0.92017 21.2 5.7 2.2 0.4 3.0 3.8 0.6 3.2 10.6 0.4 2.5 2.0 5.7 1.12018 23.6 6.7 2.5 0.5 3.7 4.2 0.7 3.5 11.6 0.5 2.7 2.3 6.2 1.22019 26.0 7.7 2.7 0.5 4.5 4.5 0.8 3.7 12.5 0.5 2.9 2.5 6.7 1.32020 28.8 8.9 2.9 0.5 5.5 4.8 0.9 4.0 13.6 0.5 3.1 2.8 7.2 1.5
(Conclusión)I-9
Consumo Vivienda Empresas y Personas Físicas con Actividad Empresarial
I-4. Crédito Otorgado por la Banca Comercial al Sector Privado: Escenario Base 2015-2020% del PIB
I-5. Agregados Monetarios y Actividad Financiera: Banco de Datos, 2013-2014(Miles de millones de pesos)
2013 2014 Var. % anual realDiciembre Diciembre Dic.12/Dic.13 Dic.13/Dic.14
Base Monetaria 917.9 1,062.9 4.3 11.3M1 2,513.8 2,877.9 6.0 10.0 Billetes y monedas en poder del público 792.9 928.7 3.9 12.5 Cuentas de cheques en MN 1,082.7 1,214.9 6.3 7.8 Cuentas de cheques en ME 189.0 232.5 11.1 18.2 Depósitos en cuenta corriente y otros 449.1 501.9 7.2 7.4M2=M1 + activos financieros internos de residentes 9,507.2 10,543.6 4.6 6.6 Captación interna de bancos residentes y otros 1,528.3 1,664.4 2.0 4.6 Valores públicos en poder de residentes 3,913.8 4,393.0 5.0 7.8 Valores emitidos por el Gobierno Federal 2,529.1 2,889.7 4.4 9.8 Valores emitidos por el Banco de México 0.0 0.0 n.s. n.s. Valores emitidos por el IPAB 693.7 733.5 1.0 1.6 Otros valores públicos 691.0 769.7 11.9 7.0 Valores emitidos por entidades privadas 435.3 429.2 6.8 -5.3 Fondos de ahorro para el retiro 1,116.1 1,179.2 2.9 1.5M3=M2 + activos financieros internos de no residentes 11,566.1 12,993.7 5.2 7.9 Captación de bancos residentes 136.2 165.6 9.3 16.8 Valores públicos en poder de no residentes 1,922.7 2,284.5 7.9 14.2M4=M3 + captación de bancos mexicanos en el exterior 11,658.6 13,111.9 4.9 8.1 Depósitos de residentes 19.3 22.6 -17.6 12.3 Depósitos de no residentes 73.2 95.5 -20.4 25.5Ahorro Financiero 10,865.7 12,183.2 5.0 7.7 Residentes 7,940.7 8,706.9 4.7 5.3 No Residentes 2,132.1 2,545.6 6.7 14.7Crédito vigente otorgado por la Banca Comercial 2,506.7 2,712.9 5.4 4.0 Consumo 649.9 685.8 6.4 1.4 Tarjetas de crédito 292.4 297.9 5.4 -2.1 Bienes de consumo duradero 66.0 68.9 -1.1 0.4 Otros 291.6 319.0 9.3 5.1 Vivienda 472.0 514.7 3.6 4.8 Interés social 76.7 76.4 7.5 -4.3 Media y residencial 395.3 438.2 2.9 6.5 Empresa y personas físicas 1,273.9 1,387.7 4.6 4.7 Sector primario 57.2 62.8 -1.6 5.4 Industria manufacturera 305.8 330.0 10.2 3.7 Construcción 253.6 261.3 -10.1 -1.0 Servicios y otras actividades 657.3 733.7 9.6 7.2
I-10
Concepto
J. Comercio Exterior
Cuadro J-1.Exportación e Importación Anual de Mercancías 1980-2020
Cuadro J-2. Exportación e Importación Mensual de Mercancías 2014-2015
Cuadro J-3. Exportación Anual de Petróleo Crudo 1980-2020
Cuadro J-4.
Exportación Mensual de Petróleo Crudo 2014-2015
J-1. Exportación e Importación de Mercancías: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Millones de dólares)
Exportación de Mercancías Exportación de MercancíasExportaciones Petroleras No Petroleras
Totales Suma Crudo Otras Suma Agropecuarias Extractivas ManufacturerasDólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.%Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Dólares
1980 18,031 56.6 10,441 162.7 9,449 150.9 993 373.5 7,590 0.6 1,528 -14.1 512 51.7 5,549 2.31981 23,307 29.3 14,573 39.6 13,305 40.8 1,268 27.8 8,734 15.1 1,482 -3.0 686 33.9 6,566 18.31982 24,055 3.2 16,477 13.1 15,623 17.4 854 -32.6 7,578 -13.2 1,233 -16.8 502 -26.9 5,843 -11.01983 25,953 7.9 16,017 -2.8 14,793 -5.3 1,224 43.3 9,936 31.1 1,189 -3.6 524 4.4 8,224 40.71984 29,100 12.1 16,601 3.6 14,968 1.2 1,634 33.5 12,499 25.8 1,461 22.9 539 2.9 10,499 27.71985 26,757 -8.1 14,767 -11.1 13,309 -11.1 1,458 -10.8 11,991 -4.1 1,409 -3.6 510 -5.3 10,071 -4.11986 21,804 -18.5 6,307 -57.3 5,580 -58.1 727 -50.1 15,496 29.2 2,098 48.9 510 -0.1 12,888 28.01987 27,600 26.6 8,630 36.8 7,877 41.2 753 3.6 18,970 22.4 1,543 -26.5 576 13.0 16,851 30.71988 30,692 11.2 6,711 -22.2 5,884 -25.3 828 10.0 23,980 26.4 1,670 8.2 660 14.6 21,650 28.51989 35,171 14.6 7,876 17.4 7,292 23.9 584 -29.4 27,295 13.8 1,754 5.0 605 -8.4 24,936 15.21990 40,711 15.8 10,104 28.3 8,921 22.3 1,183 102.5 30,607 12.1 2,162 23.3 617 2.0 27,828 11.61991 42,688 4.9 8,166 -19.2 7,265 -18.6 902 -23.8 34,521 12.8 2,373 9.7 547 -11.4 31,602 13.61992 46,196 8.2 8,307 1.7 7,420 2.1 887 -1.6 37,889 9.8 2,112 -11.0 356 -34.9 35,420 12.11993 51,856 12.3 7,685 -7.5 6,485 -12.6 1,200 35.2 44,171 16.6 2,790 32.1 308 -13.5 41,074 16.01994 60,860 17.4 7,619 -0.9 6,624 2.1 995 -17.0 53,240 20.5 3,037 8.9 382 24.0 49,821 21.31995 79,536 30.7 8,638 13.4 7,420 12.0 1,218 22.4 70,898 33.2 4,573 50.6 536 40.3 65,789 32.11996 95,986 20.7 11,817 36.8 10,705 44.3 1,112 -8.8 84,170 18.7 4,122 -9.9 438 -18.3 79,610 21.01997 110,411 15.0 11,455 -3.1 10,334 -3.5 1,122 0.9 98,955 17.6 4,436 7.6 464 5.9 94,055 18.11998 117,514 6.4 7,296 -36.3 6,448 -37.6 848 -24.4 110,218 11.4 4,320 -2.6 449 -3.3 105,449 12.11999 136,333 16.0 9,959 36.5 8,830 36.9 1,130 33.2 126,374 14.7 4,438 2.7 421 -6.1 121,515 15.22000 166,098 21.8 16,124 61.9 14,553 64.8 1,571 39.1 149,974 18.7 4,752 7.1 496 17.8 144,725 19.12001 158,761 -4.4 13,191 -18.2 11,928 -18.0 1,263 -19.6 145,570 -2.9 4,435 -6.7 386 -22.2 140,748 -2.72002 161,021 1.4 14,823 12.4 13,392 12.3 1,431 13.3 146,198 0.4 4,196 -5.4 367 -4.9 141,635 0.62003 164,748 2.3 18,597 25.5 16,676 24.5 1,921 34.2 146,151 0.0 5,023 19.7 496 35.2 140,632 -0.72004 187,999 14.1 23,663 27.2 21,258 27.5 2,405 25.2 164,335 12.4 5,666 12.8 901 81.5 157,768 12.22005 214,233 14.0 31,889 34.8 28,329 33.3 3,559 48.0 182,344 11.0 5,981 5.6 1,168 29.6 175,196 11.02006 249,925 16.7 39,017 22.4 34,707 22.5 4,310 21.1 210,908 15.7 6,836 14.3 1,321 13.1 202,752 15.72007 271,875 8.8 43,014 10.2 37,937 9.3 5,077 17.8 228,861 8.5 7,415 8.5 1,737 31.5 219,709 8.42008 291,343 7.2 50,635 17.7 43,342 14.2 7,294 43.7 240,707 5.2 7,895 6.5 1,931 11.2 230,882 5.12009 229,704 -21.2 30,831 -39.1 25,614 -40.9 5,217 -28.5 198,872 -17.4 7,726 -2.1 1,448 -25.0 189,698 -17.82010 298,473 29.9 41,693 35.2 35,919 40.2 5,775 10.7 256,780 29.1 8,610 11.4 2,424 67.4 245,745 29.52011 349,433 17.1 56,443 35.4 49,381 37.5 7,063 22.3 292,990 14.1 10,309 19.7 4,063 67.6 278,617 13.42012 370,770 6.1 52,956 -6.2 46,852 -5.1 6,103 -13.6 317,814 8.5 10,914 5.9 4,906 20.7 301,993 8.42013 380,027 2.5 49,493 -6.5 42,723 -8.8 6,770 10.9 330,534 4.0 11,246 3.0 4,714 -3.9 314,573 4.22014 397,535 4.6 42,979 -13.2 36,248 -15.2 6,731 -0.6 354,556 7.3 12,204 8.5 5,064 7.4 337,289 7.2
2015 408,212 2.7 24,621 -42.7 20,670 -43.0 3,951 -41.3 383,591 8.2 12,049 -1.3 5,244 3.6 366,297 8.62016 456,079 11.7 32,400 31.6 27,809 34.5 4,591 16.2 423,680 10.5 13,712 13.8 5,942 13.3 404,026 10.32017 523,281 14.7 37,682 16.3 32,298 16.1 5,384 17.3 485,600 14.6 14,850 8.3 7,332 23.4 463,418 14.72018 591,426 13.0 46,116 22.4 39,470 22.2 6,647 23.5 545,309 12.3 16,439 10.7 8,916 21.6 519,954 12.22019 655,999 10.9 52,321 13.5 44,726 13.3 7,594 14.3 603,678 10.7 17,853 8.6 10,236 14.8 575,590 10.72020 733,792 11.9 56,483 8.0 48,252 7.9 8,232 8.4 677,309 12.2 20,066 12.4 12,006 17.3 645,236 12.1
(Continúa)
J-1
Años
(Continuación)
Importación de Mercancías Balanza ComercialImportaciones Por Tipo de Bien (Fob-Fob)
Totales Consumo Intermedio Capital Balanza Sin Sector
Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Total Petrólero
1980 21,089 53.9 2,448 144.4 13,467 47.5 5,174 44.8 -3,058 -13,499.71981 27,184 28.9 2,808 14.7 16,801 24.8 7,574 46.4 -3,877 -18,450.01982 17,011 -37.4 1,517 -46.0 10,991 -34.6 4,502 -40.6 7,045 -9,432.61983 11,848 -30.3 614 -59.5 9,038 -17.8 2,197 -51.2 14,105 -1,912.31984 15,916 34.3 848 38.2 12,495 38.3 2,573 17.1 13,184 -3,417.21985 18,359 15.3 1,082 27.6 14,113 12.9 3,165 23.0 8,398 -6,368.51986 16,784 -8.6 846 -21.8 12,983 -8.0 2,954 -6.7 5,020 -1,287.51987 18,812 12.1 768 -9.3 15,414 18.7 2,631 -11.0 8,787 157.31988 28,082 49.3 1,922 150.3 22,134 43.6 4,027 53.1 2,610 -4,101.71989 34,766 23.8 3,499 82.1 26,499 19.7 4,769 18.4 405 -7,470.91990 41,593 19.6 5,099 45.7 29,705 12.1 6,790 42.4 -882 -10,986.01991 49,967 20.1 5,834 14.4 35,545 19.7 8,588 26.5 -7,279 -15,445.41992 62,129 24.3 7,744 32.7 42,830 20.5 11,556 34.6 -15,934 -24,240.31993 65,367 5.2 7,842 1.3 46,568 8.7 10,956 -5.2 -13,510 -21,195.31994 79,346 21.4 9,510 21.3 56,514 21.4 13,322 21.6 -18,486 -26,105.81995 72,453 -8.7 5,335 -43.9 58,421 3.4 8,697 -34.7 7,083 -1,555.11996 89,469 23.5 6,657 24.8 71,890 23.1 10,922 25.6 6,518 -5,299.21997 109,808 22.7 9,090 36.6 85,639 19.1 15,079 38.1 602 -10,852.91998 125,373 14.2 11,108 22.2 96,935 13.2 17,329 14.9 -7,859 -15,154.71999 141,975 13.2 12,175 9.6 109,270 12.7 20,530 18.5 -5,642 -15,601.22000 174,458 22.9 16,691 37.1 133,637 22.3 24,130 17.5 -8,360 -24,484.32001 168,396 -3.5 19,752 18.3 126,149 -5.6 22,496 -6.8 -9,635 -22,826.42002 168,679 0.2 21,178 7.2 126,508 0.3 20,992 -6.7 -7,658 -22,481.22003 170,546 1.1 21,509 1.6 128,831 1.8 20,205 -3.7 -5,798 -24,394.82004 196,810 15.4 25,409 18.1 148,804 15.5 22,597 11.8 -8,811 -32,474.22005 221,820 12.7 31,513 24.0 164,091 10.3 26,216 16.0 -7,587 -39,475.12006 256,058 15.4 36,901 17.1 188,632 15.0 30,525 16.4 -6,133 -45,150.12007 281,949 10.1 43,055 16.7 205,295 8.8 33,599 10.1 -10,074 -53,087.62008 308,603 9.5 47,941 11.3 221,565 7.9 39,097 16.4 -17,261 -67,896.02009 234,385 -24.0 32,828 -31.5 170,912 -22.9 30,645 -21.6 -4,681 -35,512.82010 301,482 28.6 41,423 26.2 229,812 34.5 30,247 -1.3 -3,009 -44,702.12011 350,843 16.4 51,790 25.0 264,020 14.9 35,032 15.8 -1,409 -57,852.92012 370,752 5.7 54,272 4.8 277,911 5.3 38,568 10.1 18 -52,937.42013 381,210 2.8 57,329 5.6 284,823 2.5 39,057 1.3 -1,184 -50,676.62014 399,977 4.9 58,299 1.7 302,031 6.0 39,647 1.5 -2,442 -45,420.8
2015 426,470 6.6 59,690 2.4 323,846 7.2 42,935 8.3 -18,259 -42,879.82016 467,517 9.6 63,450 6.3 355,259 9.7 48,809 13.7 -11,438 -43,837.92017 535,012 14.4 69,922 10.2 407,837 14.8 57,253 17.3 -11,730 -49,411.72018 603,569 12.8 79,921 14.3 456,778 12.0 66,871 16.8 -12,144 -58,259.72019 672,602 11.4 90,950 13.8 504,283 10.4 77,370 15.7 -16,603 -68,923.92020 759,158 12.9 104,228 14.6 563,788 11.8 91,141 17.8 -25,365 -81,848.9
(Conclusión)
J-2
Años
J-2. Exportación e Importación Mensual de Mercancías: Escenario Base 2014-2015(Millones de dólares)
Exportación de MercancíasExportaciones Petroleras No Petroleras
Totales Suma Crudo Otras Suma Agropecuarias Extractivas Manufactureras
Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares
2014 397,535.4 4.6 42,979.0 -13.2 36,248.0 -15.2 6,731.0 -0.6 354,556.4 7.3 12,203.6 8.5 5,064.0 7.4 337,288.9Ene 27,052.0 -0.9 3,827.5 -15.9 3,291.1 -18.2 536.4 1.5 23,224.5 2.1 1,072.0 8.3 361.6 25.3 21,790.9Feb 30,461.7 4.7 3,924.7 -3.9 3,324.3 -7.7 600.4 23.8 26,537.0 6.1 1,102.1 5.6 424.8 33.4 25,010.1Mar 33,236.3 4.4 3,739.8 -10.1 3,274.3 -7.0 465.5 -26.9 29,496.5 6.6 1,204.3 3.7 478.2 7.0 27,814.0Abr 34,071.5 4.1 3,766.7 -15.1 2,996.3 -21.0 770.4 19.0 30,304.7 7.1 1,294.7 8.3 437.3 2.4 28,572.7May 34,382.9 4.7 3,810.8 3.6 3,353.9 6.5 456.8 -13.9 30,572.2 4.8 1,149.1 2.3 441.3 21.5 28,981.8Jun 33,474.3 7.7 3,915.9 5.1 3,212.6 0.4 703.3 33.3 29,558.4 8.0 991.6 12.1 566.0 32.8 28,000.8Jul 33,710.9 4.5 3,470.4 -19.4 3,034.3 -19.9 436.1 -15.6 30,240.5 8.2 823.7 15.9 455.2 44.6 28,961.6Ago 33,360.5 2.1 3,732.2 -10.6 3,196.3 -11.6 535.9 -4.1 29,628.3 3.9 627.4 7.0 352.1 -25.4 28,648.8Sep 34,255.8 9.2 3,731.2 -7.1 3,094.1 -13.5 637.1 45.1 30,524.6 11.6 730.8 22.7 455.5 16.6 29,338.3Oct 37,086.1 5.7 3,430.2 -21.0 2,818.7 -19.7 611.5 -26.2 33,655.9 9.5 1,046.6 24.8 333.1 -6.8 32,276.2Nov 32,329.0 2.1 3,162.2 -13.2 2,643.5 -18.1 518.6 25.1 29,166.8 4.0 1,071.7 8.9 374.4 -6.3 27,720.8Dic 34,114.4 6.4 2,467.3 -43.7 2,008.4 -46.0 458.9 -30.2 31,647.1 14.3 1,089.7 -3.7 384.4 -24.5 30,173.0
2015 408,211.8 2.7 24,621.2 -42.7 20,670.0 -43.0 3,951.2 -41.3 383,590.7 8.2 12,049.1 -1.3 5,244.4 3.6 366,297.2Ene e/ 26,617.5 -1.6 1,691.8 -55.8 1,414.6 -57.0 277.3 -48.3 24,925.7 7.3 1,046.7 -2.4 410.2 13.4 23,468.8Feb 29,702.2 -2.5 1,740.9 -55.6 1,456.1 -56.2 284.8 -52.6 27,961.2 5.4 1,123.8 2.0 426.8 0.5 26,410.6Mar 32,929.3 -0.9 1,940.4 -48.1 1,624.1 -50.4 316.2 -32.1 30,988.9 5.1 1,233.7 2.4 467.1 -2.3 29,288.1Abr 33,495.4 -1.7 1,905.2 -49.4 1,596.6 -46.7 308.6 -59.9 31,590.2 4.2 1,189.2 -8.1 456.8 4.5 29,944.2May 34,820.6 1.3 1,990.7 -47.8 1,666.3 -50.3 324.4 -29.0 32,829.9 7.4 1,183.4 3.0 433.1 -1.9 31,213.4Jun 33,739.9 0.8 1,932.0 -50.7 1,615.3 -49.7 316.8 -55.0 31,807.8 7.6 978.6 -1.3 476.4 -15.8 30,352.8Jul 34,835.9 3.3 2,024.3 -41.7 1,693.1 -44.2 331.2 -24.1 32,811.6 8.5 770.3 -6.5 444.2 -2.4 31,597.1Ago 34,791.7 4.3 2,113.4 -43.4 1,771.4 -44.6 342.1 -36.2 32,678.2 10.3 668.8 6.6 438.4 24.5 31,571.0Sep 36,328.9 6.1 2,137.2 -42.7 1,795.5 -42.0 341.7 -46.4 34,191.7 12.0 670.1 -8.3 457.3 0.4 33,064.3Oct 39,606.7 6.8 2,278.0 -33.6 1,918.1 -32.0 359.8 -41.2 37,328.7 10.9 890.3 -14.9 418.2 25.5 36,020.2Nov 34,938.2 8.1 2,325.7 -26.5 1,965.4 -25.7 360.3 -30.5 32,612.6 11.8 1,037.3 -3.2 403.3 7.7 31,172.0Dic 36,405.6 6.7 2,541.5 3.0 2,153.5 7.2 388.1 -15.4 33,864.1 7.0 1,256.9 15.3 412.6 7.3 32,194.6
p/ Cifras preliminares. e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
J-3
Meses
(Continuación)
Importación de Mercancías Balanza ComercialImportaciones Por Tipo de Bien (Fob-Fob)
Totales Consumo Intermedio Capital Balanza Sin Sector
Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Total Petrólero
2014 399,977.2 4.9 58,299.1 1.7 302,031.2 6.0 39,646.8 1.5 -2,441.8 -52,937.4Ene 30,233.5 0.3 4,745.5 -0.1 22,325.4 0.7 3,162.7 -2.4 -3,181.6 -4,895.7Feb 29,543.5 1.6 4,184.4 0.2 22,471.7 2.3 2,887.4 -1.1 918.2 -4,072.2Mar 32,287.4 7.2 4,335.1 -8.1 24,793.0 10.2 3,159.3 8.2 949.0 -3,693.5Abr 33,561.9 -1.5 5,082.5 -7.0 25,275.2 0.7 3,204.2 -9.1 509.6 -4,116.1May 34,251.1 2.8 4,545.7 -2.7 26,438.6 4.2 3,266.9 0.2 131.8 -4,001.0Jun 33,050.5 9.6 4,641.6 10.5 25,303.8 10.2 3,105.1 3.4 423.7 -3,067.6Jul 34,690.8 3.1 4,948.6 2.5 26,127.3 3.1 3,614.9 4.2 -979.9 -4,197.2Ago 34,483.6 4.8 5,009.2 0.6 26,247.7 6.3 3,226.7 -0.3 -1,123.1 -5,791.7Sep 33,665.7 9.6 4,941.1 5.4 25,504.3 10.2 3,220.3 11.0 590.1 -4,363.1Oct 36,943.2 4.9 5,623.3 2.4 27,592.9 5.6 3,727.0 3.5 143.0 -6,266.1Nov 33,405.3 6.5 5,315.6 11.3 24,712.8 6.3 3,377.0 1.0 -1,076.4 -5,563.4Dic 33,860.7 11.2 4,926.7 7.7 25,238.6 13.5 3,695.4 1.6 253.7 -2,910.0
2015 426,470.4 6.6 59,689.5 2.4 323,845.8 7.2 42,935.1 8.3 -18,258.6 -50,676.6Ene e/ 31,177.7 3.1 4,433.2 -6.6 23,731.9 6.3 3,012.6 -4.7 -4,560.2 -7,403.8Feb 29,657.4 0.4 3,670.2 -12.3 23,145.8 3.0 2,841.4 -1.6 44.8 -4,059.5Mar 32,955.6 2.1 4,234.1 -2.3 25,710.3 3.7 3,011.2 -4.7 -26.3 -2,447.5Abr 34,830.1 3.8 5,209.4 2.5 26,311.5 4.1 3,309.2 3.3 -1,334.7 -5,797.5May 35,794.7 4.5 4,632.8 1.9 27,760.5 5.0 3,401.4 4.1 -974.0 -4,139.3Jun 34,783.4 5.2 4,633.7 -0.2 26,720.9 5.6 3,428.8 10.4 -1,043.5 -2,806.5Jul 37,545.9 8.2 4,988.2 0.8 28,531.0 9.2 4,026.7 11.4 -2,710.0 -5,702.8Ago 38,002.5 10.2 5,367.9 7.2 28,872.5 10.0 3,762.1 16.6 -3,210.8 -4,399.4Sep 37,197.3 10.5 5,203.6 5.3 28,335.3 11.1 3,658.4 13.6 -868.4 -3,363.3Oct 40,532.9 9.7 6,132.7 9.1 30,186.6 9.4 4,213.6 13.1 -926.2 -4,474.8Nov 37,063.8 11.0 5,704.9 7.3 27,332.3 10.6 4,026.6 19.2 -2,125.6 -3,328.5Dic 36,929.2 9.1 5,478.8 11.2 27,207.3 7.8 4,243.1 14.8 -523.5 -2,753.7p/ Cifras preliminares. e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. (Conclusión)
J-4
Meses
J-3. Producción y Exportación de Petróleo Crudo: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Volumen, valor y precio)
Producción Plataforma de Exportación del Sector Petrolero Precio de Referenciade Petróleo Volumen Valor Precio West Texas Intermediate
Crudo Miles de Barriles Diarios Proporción Total Dólares por Barril Dólares por Barril
(Mbd) Total Istmo Maya Olmeca Total Istmo Maya Olmeca Mills. Dls. Mezcla Istmo Maya Olmeca WTI WTI-Mezcla
1980 1,941 842 466 376 ….. 100.0 55.4 44.6 ….. 9,450 31.05 33.30 28.39 ….. 35.71 -4.661981 2,312 1,113 494 619 ….. 100.0 44.4 55.6 ….. 13,307 33.18 36.23 30.76 ….. 34.04 -0.861982 2,746 1,513 690 823 ….. 100.0 45.6 54.4 ….. 15,624 28.81 32.89 25.33 ….. 31.54 -2.731983 2,666 1,581 710 871 ….. 100.0 44.9 55.1 ….. 14,794 26.46 29.57 23.99 ….. 29.47 -3.011984 2,685 1,545 631 915 ….. 100.0 40.8 59.2 ….. 14,969 26.82 29.00 25.33 ….. 28.55 -1.721985 2,669 1,458 615 843 ….. 100.0 42.2 57.8 ….. 13,309 25.38 27.21 24.05 ….. 27.37 -1.991986 2,442 1,306 580 726 ….. 100.0 44.4 55.6 ….. 5,563 12.01 13.57 10.14 ….. 15.05 -3.051987 2,541 1,364 534 830 ….. 100.0 39.1 60.9 ….. 7,918 16.00 17.52 15.20 ….. 19.20 -3.201988 2,506 1,340 467 768 106 100.0 34.8 57.3 7.9 5,857 12.22 13.70 11.05 14.42 15.97 -3.751989 2,513 1,278 344 786 148 100.0 26.9 61.5 11.5 7,281 15.62 17.15 14.36 18.73 19.64 -4.021990 2,548 1,277 293 827 158 100.0 22.9 64.7 12.3 8,914 18.77 21.89 16.76 23.44 24.53 -5.761991 2,676 1,369 329 877 163 100.0 24.0 64.1 11.9 7,286 14.57 18.12 12.23 20.04 21.54 -6.971992 2,668 1,368 287 923 157 100.0 21.0 67.5 11.5 7,445 14.86 18.01 13.08 19.55 20.58 -5.721993 2,673 1,337 262 857 218 100.0 19.6 64.1 16.3 6,442 13.21 15.82 11.40 17.28 18.43 -5.221994 2,685 1,308 180 800 328 100.0 13.8 61.2 25.1 6,624 13.88 15.51 12.57 16.24 17.20 -3.321995 2,618 1,305 158 719 429 100.0 12.1 55.1 32.9 7,480 15.72 16.79 14.39 17.51 18.43 -2.711996 2,858 1,544 190 863 491 100.0 12.3 55.9 31.8 10,702 18.91 20.07 17.23 21.43 22.12 -3.211997 3,022 1,720 216 1,019 486 100.0 12.5 59.2 28.2 10,341 16.51 18.30 14.69 19.52 20.61 -4.101998 3,071 1,740 208 1,062 470 100.0 12.0 61.0 27.0 6,463 10.18 11.95 8.56 13.14 14.42 -4.241999 2,906 1,554 190 929 436 100.0 12.2 59.8 28.0 8,858 15.70 17.10 14.37 17.97 19.34 -3.642000 3,012 1,652 115 1,133 405 100.0 7.0 68.6 24.5 14,889 24.64 27.66 22.87 28.95 30.38 -5.742001 3,127 1,711 82 1,319 309 100.0 4.8 77.1 18.1 11,592 18.57 22.16 17.16 23.78 25.98 -7.412002 3,177 1,704 47 1,412 245 100.0 2.8 82.9 14.4 13,395 21.53 24.12 20.87 24.92 26.18 -4.652003 3,370 1,844 25 1,603 216 100.0 1.4 86.9 11.7 16,676 24.75 18.82 24.08 29.33 31.08 -6.332004 3,383 1,870 27 1,621 221 100.0 1.5 86.7 11.8 21,262 30.96 37.82 29.74 39.28 41.51 -10.552005 3,334 1,818 81 1,521 216 100.0 4.4 83.7 11.9 28,329 42.76 49.91 40.82 53.93 56.64 -13.882006 3,256 1,794 69 1,494 231 100.0 3.8 83.3 12.9 34,709 53.05 59.43 51.03 64.79 66.05 -13.002007 3,077 1,688 41 1,473 173 100.0 2.4 87.3 10.2 37,938 61.71 67.39 60.33 72.52 72.34 -10.632008 2,792 1,403 23 1,251 130 100.0 1.6 89.1 9.2 43,342 84.41 93.22 82.77 99.82 99.67 -15.262009 2,602 1,222 14 1,065 143 100.0 1.2 87.1 11.7 25,603 57.56 57.57 56.88 62.62 61.65 -4.102010 2,577 1,359 75 1,073 212 100.0 5.5 78.9 15.6 35,988 72.26 77.40 70.54 79.44 79.40 -7.132011 2,552 1,337 99 1,035 203 100.0 7.4 77.4 15.2 49,380 101.21 105.40 99.10 109.81 94.87 6.332012 2,548 1,256 99 963 194 100.0 7.9 76.7 15.4 46,721 101.95 107.26 100.01 109.10 94.11 7.842013 2,522 1,189 102 988 99 100.0 8.5 83.2 8.3 42,714 98.53 105.28 96.97 107.10 97.91 0.632014 2,430 1,143 134 918 91 100.0 11.6 80.4 7.9 35,852 86.56 94.26 84.74 94.95 93.26 -6.70
2015 2,396 1,101 115 888 98 100.0 10.4 80.7 8.9 20,670 51.54 57.37 50.02 58.47 56.80 -5.262016 2,423 1,135 157 888 90 100.0 13.8 78.2 7.9 27,809 67.11 72.05 65.17 74.65 71.80 -4.692017 2,488 1,185 150 940 95 100.0 12.7 79.3 8.0 32,298 74.66 79.56 72.83 82.07 78.90 -4.242018 2,598 1,256 171 988 97 100.0 13.6 78.7 7.7 39,470 86.10 90.92 84.36 93.49 90.17 -4.072019 2,733 1,302 258 926 118 100.0 19.8 71.1 9.1 44,726 94.12 98.71 92.40 101.48 98.00 -3.882020 2,886 1,348 432 742 174 100.0 32.1 55.0 12.9 48,252 98.09 102.64 96.36 105.39 101.71 -3.62
J-5
Años
J-4. Producción y Exportación Mensual de Petróleo Crudo: Escenario Base 2014-2015(Volumen, valor y precio)
Producción Plataforma de Exportación del Sector Petrolero Precio de Referencia
de Petróleo Volumen Valor Precio West Texas Intermediate
Crudo Miles de Barriles Diarios Proporción Total Dólares por Barril Dólares por Barril
(Mbd) Total Istmo Maya Olmeca Total Istmo Maya Olmeca Mills. Dls. Mezcla Istmo Maya Olmeca WTI WTI-Mezcla
2014 2,430 1,143 134 918 91 100.0 11.6 80.4 7.9 35,852 86.56 94.26 84.74 94.95 93.26 -6.70Ene 2,506 1,171 178 893 100 100.0 15.2 76.3 8.5 3,291 90.65 98.20 88.31 99.14 94.62 -3.97Feb 2,501 1,275 175 1,006 95 100.0 13.7 78.9 7.4 3,323 93.09 101.71 90.82 102.40 100.82 -7.73Mar 2,469 1,133 156 891 86 100.0 13.8 78.6 7.6 3,283 93.48 101.29 91.40 102.31 100.80 -7.32Abr 2,478 1,051 122 859 70 100.0 11.6 81.7 6.7 3,017 95.68 102.47 93.89 107.44 102.07 -6.39May 2,490 1,116 122 901 93 100.0 10.9 80.7 8.3 3,349 96.79 103.28 95.09 105.95 102.18 -5.39Jun 2,436 1,075 75 877 123 100.0 7.0 81.6 11.4 3,186 98.79 105.18 97.01 107.98 105.79 -7.00Jul 2,388 1,020 98 864 58 100.0 9.6 84.7 5.7 2,993 94.65 104.31 93.32 100.26 103.59 -8.94Ago 2,415 1,114 83 946 85 100.0 7.5 84.9 7.6 3,136 90.80 98.08 89.51 98.91 96.54 -5.74Sep 2,390 1,158 132 949 77 100.0 11.4 82.0 6.6 2,981 85.82 94.05 84.13 92.74 93.21 -7.39Oct 2,363 1,137 177 883 77 100.0 15.6 77.7 6.8 2,652 75.23 84.30 72.51 85.05 84.40 -9.17Nov 2,363 1,230 182 935 113 100.0 14.8 76.0 9.2 2,634 71.39 78.51 69.25 78.87 75.79 -4.40Dic 2,366 1,237 108 1,013 117 100.0 8.7 81.9 9.4 2,008 52.36 59.77 51.58 58.38 59.29 -6.93
2015 2,396 1,101 115 888 98 100.0 10.4 80.7 8.9 20,670 51.54 57.37 50.02 58.47 56.80 -5.26Ene e/ 2,366 1,156 111 938 108 100.0 9.6 81.1 9.3 1,415 39.46 44.59 38.08 46.24 47.22 -7.76Feb 2,418 1,144 118 931 95 100.0 10.3 81.4 8.3 1,456 45.47 50.85 44.07 52.44 50.53 -5.06Mar 2,429 1,137 120 921 95 100.0 10.6 81.1 8.4 1,624 46.09 51.67 44.64 53.10 51.12 -5.03Abr 2,461 1,117 119 903 96 100.0 10.6 80.8 8.6 1,597 47.63 53.49 46.11 54.70 52.63 -5.00May 2,480 1,096 119 883 94 100.0 10.9 80.6 8.6 1,666 49.03 55.03 47.46 56.13 54.08 -5.05Jun 2,407 1,068 113 862 93 100.0 10.6 80.7 8.7 1,615 50.40 56.42 48.86 57.44 55.43 -5.03Jul 2,364 1,056 113 849 94 100.0 10.7 80.4 8.9 1,693 51.70 57.49 50.16 58.67 56.76 -5.06Ago 2,408 1,067 111 856 100 100.0 10.4 80.2 9.4 1,771 53.57 59.88 51.96 60.32 58.63 -5.06Sep 2,371 1,078 110 863 105 100.0 10.2 80.0 9.8 1,796 55.52 61.70 53.92 62.13 60.54 -5.02Oct 2,349 1,086 113 875 99 100.0 10.4 80.6 9.1 1,918 56.96 63.03 55.41 63.78 61.96 -5.00Nov 2,346 1,095 115 884 96 100.0 10.5 80.8 8.8 1,965 59.86 65.75 58.34 66.80 64.87 -5.01Dic 2,357 1,106 117 892 97 100.0 10.6 80.6 8.8 2,153 62.79 68.53 61.27 69.85 67.82 -5.03
p/ Cifras preliminares. e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
J-6
Meses
K. Balanza de Pagos de México
Cuadro K-1.Cuenta Corriente, Cuenta de Capital
y Reservas Internacionales del Banco de México 1980-2020
Cuadro K-2.
Comportamiento Trimestral de la Balanza de Pagos
2014-2015
Cuadro K-3.
Resumen Mensual de la Balanza de Pagos
2014-2015
K-1. Cuenta Corriente, de Capital y Reserva Internacional del Banco de México: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Millones de dólares)
Saldo Cuenta CorrienteAños Cuenta Corriente Ingresos Egresos
Dólares % PIB Suma Mercancías Turismo Remesas Intereses Otros Suma Mercancías Turismo Fletes y S. Intereses Otros
1980 -10,434 -4.1 24,861 18,031 3,201 699 1,022 1,907 35,295 21,089 3,062 950 6,147 4,0461981 -16,241 -4.9 31,111 23,307 3,332 860 1,386 2,225 47,352 27,184 4,064 1,119 9,485 5,5001982 -5,890 -2.6 30,972 24,055 2,660 845 1,325 2,087 36,862 17,011 2,208 620 12,203 4,8201983 5,860 3.8 32,929 25,953 2,751 983 1,279 1,963 27,069 11,848 1,583 455 10,103 3,0801984 4,183 2.0 37,831 29,100 3,323 1,127 2,074 2,206 33,647 15,916 2,169 534 11,715 3,3131985 800 0.4 35,859 26,757 2,949 1,157 1,822 3,174 35,059 18,359 2,259 550 10,156 3,7351986 -1,374 -0.9 29,928 21,804 3,027 1,290 1,462 2,345 31,301 16,784 2,178 486 8,342 3,5111987 4,239 2.3 37,368 27,600 3,540 1,478 1,888 2,864 33,129 18,812 2,366 538 8,097 3,3171988 -2,376 -1.1 42,096 30,691 4,048 1,898 2,507 2,951 44,471 28,082 3,201 822 8,639 3,7271989 -5,821 -2.1 48,103 35,171 4,822 2,212 2,580 3,318 53,925 34,766 4,247 1,159 9,278 4,4751990 -7,451 -2.3 56,071 40,711 5,526 2,494 2,667 4,673 63,522 41,593 5,519 1,531 9,222 5,6571991 -14,647 -3.7 58,087 42,688 5,959 2,660 2,906 3,875 72,734 49,967 5,813 1,758 9,215 5,9811992 -24,438 -5.4 61,669 46,196 6,085 3,070 2,160 4,159 86,107 62,129 6,107 2,084 9,611 6,1761993 -23,399 -4.6 67,752 51,886 6,167 3,333 2,048 4,318 91,151 65,367 5,562 2,181 10,934 7,1081994 -29,662 -5.6 78,372 60,882 6,363 3,475 2,700 4,952 108,034 79,346 5,338 2,640 11,807 8,9031995 -1,577 -0.5 97,029 79,542 6,179 3,673 3,018 4,618 98,606 72,453 3,171 1,975 13,575 7,4321996 -2,508 -0.6 115,316 96,000 6,756 4,224 3,307 5,030 117,824 89,469 3,387 2,510 13,361 9,0971997 -7,665 -1.6 131,318 110,431 7,376 4,865 3,750 4,896 138,984 109,808 3,892 3,312 12,436 9,5351998 -15,993 -3.2 140,148 117,539 7,493 5,627 4,034 5,455 156,141 125,373 4,209 3,699 12,482 10,3781999 -14,000 -2.4 158,910 136,362 7,223 5,910 3,736 5,681 172,910 141,975 4,541 4,109 12,809 9,4762000 -18,752 -2.7 192,876 166,121 8,294 6,573 5,025 6,864 211,628 174,458 5,499 5,006 13,695 12,9702001 -17,753 -2.4 186,166 158,780 8,401 8,895 4,075 6,016 203,919 168,396 5,702 4,643 12,693 12,4842002 -14,842 -2.0 188,178 161,046 8,858 9,814 2,835 5,624 203,019 168,679 6,060 4,408 11,966 11,9072003 -8,328 -1.2 196,918 164,766 9,362 15,139 2,343 5,309 205,246 170,546 6,253 4,493 11,950 12,0042004 -7,007 -0.9 226,548 187,999 10,796 18,332 2,211 7,211 233,555 196,810 6,959 5,450 11,601 12,7362005 -8,956 -1.0 257,381 214,233 11,803 21,688 2,719 6,937 266,337 221,820 7,600 6,494 12,695 17,7282006 -7,803 -0.8 297,842 249,925 12,177 25,567 4,431 5,742 305,645 256,058 8,108 7,418 14,731 19,3302007 -14,666 -1.4 323,714 271,875 12,919 26,059 6,218 6,643 338,380 281,949 8,462 8,297 16,922 22,7502008 -20,197 -1.8 343,686 291,343 13,370 25,145 6,128 7,701 363,882 308,603 8,568 10,000 16,763 19,9482009 -8,350 -0.9 273,250 229,704 11,513 21,306 4,253 6,474 281,600 234,385 7,207 7,510 12,886 19,6122010 -4,593 -0.4 346,529 298,473 11,992 21,304 3,388 11,373 351,122 301,482 7,255 8,723 14,161 19,5012011 -13,104 -1.1 399,306 349,433 11,869 22,803 3,475 11,727 412,411 350,843 7,832 10,225 17,688 25,8232012 -15,431 -1.3 423,510 370,770 12,739 22,438 2,671 14,891 438,940 370,752 8,449 9,726 20,296 29,7182013 -26,485 -2.1 434,414 380,027 13,949 21,892 2,391 16,156 460,899 381,210 9,122 9,755 23,276 37,5352014 -24,454 -1.9 453,759 397,535 16,258 23,607 2,357 14,002 478,213 399,977 9,657 11,680 25,335 31,564
2015 -36,116 -2.9 472,862 408,212 18,326 25,489 3,321 17,515 508,979 426,470 10,202 12,437 30,086 29,7842016 -29,764 -2.1 528,063 456,079 21,038 27,615 4,274 19,056 557,827 467,517 11,191 14,072 33,603 31,4432017 -33,230 -2.2 603,503 523,281 24,467 30,145 5,186 20,423 636,733 535,012 12,713 17,869 37,081 34,0582018 -37,430 -2.3 680,354 591,426 28,039 32,538 6,023 22,328 717,784 603,569 14,239 22,091 40,380 37,5062019 -46,961 -2.7 752,824 655,999 31,488 34,581 6,786 23,969 799,785 672,602 15,677 26,433 43,799 41,2732020 -60,840 -3.3 840,751 733,792 35,802 37,223 7,767 26,166 901,591 759,158 17,558 31,353 47,329 46,194
(Continúa)K-1
(Continuación)
Total Pasivos Total PasivosEndeudamiento Externo Neto Inversión Extranjera
Sector Sector Banca Banco Inversión Inversión de Cartera
Público Privado Comercial de México Directa Suma Acciones Dinero
1980 11,377 12,622 10,532 3,754 3,750 3,160 -132 2,090 2,090 0 0 0 -1,2451981 26,597 30,857 27,781 18,282 3,851 5,647 0 3,076 3,076 0 0 0 -4,2601982 9,996 10,820 8,920 7,529 2,223 -2,269 1,438 1,900 1,900 0 0 0 -8241983 339 4,025 1,834 2,886 -2,309 1,415 -158 2,192 2,192 0 0 0 -3,6861984 1,306 3,208 1,667 2,613 -1,760 -416 1,229 1,541 1,541 0 0 0 -1,9021985 -316 1,060 -923 954 -1,231 -939 293 1,984 1,984 0 0 0 -1,3771986 2,716 2,549 148 1,646 -1,481 -732 714 2,401 2,401 0 0 0 1671987 -1,242 3,556 921 3,101 -2,654 47 428 2,635 2,635 0 0 0 -4,7981988 -444 1,310 -1,570 -258 -2,598 1,380 -94 2,880 2,880 0 0 0 -1,7541989 2,075 3,245 -424 -829 -2,251 980 1,677 3,669 3,176 493 493 0 -1,1701990 8,115 16,814 12,186 6,854 1,313 4,384 -365 4,628 2,633 1,994 1,994 0 -8,7001991 24,786 25,785 11,286 1,754 4,142 5,609 -220 14,500 4,761 9,738 6,332 3,406 -1,0001992 26,486 20,934 3,611 -1,978 5,134 916 -460 17,323 4,393 12,930 4,783 8,147 5,5521993 32,341 35,944 13,433 2,664 7,271 4,673 -1,175 22,511 4,389 18,122 10,717 7,406 -3,6031994 14,976 20,646 7,815 3,619 3,828 1,571 -1,203 12,831 10,973 1,858 4,084 -2,225 -5,6701995 15,332 22,689 26,503 14,446 2,833 -4,108 13,333 -3,814 9,526 -13,340 519 -13,860 -7,3581996 4,118 10,459 -2,225 -8 2,962 -1,655 -3,524 12,684 9,185 3,499 2,801 698 -6,3411997 16,574 9,858 -6,707 -6,716 5,365 -1,869 -3,487 16,565 12,830 3,736 3,215 520 6,7161998 19,075 18,643 6,571 3,401 5,169 -928 -1,072 12,073 12,757 -684 -666 -19 4311999 14,644 18,648 1,889 2,588 4,708 -1,723 -3,685 16,760 13,940 2,820 3,769 -949 -4,0052000 20,073 12,974 -5,715 -2,975 3,991 -2,446 -4,286 18,689 18,318 371 447 -76 7,0992001 28,458 32,293 1,243 2,126 2,263 -3,147 0 31,051 30,028 1,022 151 871 -3,8352002 23,577 19,734 -4,217 808 -2,061 -2,965 0 23,951 24,026 -75 -104 29 3,8442003 23,022 21,942 2,419 1,871 -2,676 3,224 0 19,523 18,887 636 -123 760 1,0802004 15,928 28,500 877 1,509 -1,975 1,343 0 27,623 25,096 2,528 -2,522 5,050 -12,5732005 12,347 36,284 5,530 -1,344 4,166 2,708 0 30,754 24,708 6,046 3,353 2,693 -23,9372006 7,197 22,004 -4,206 -15,002 7,139 3,657 0 26,210 20,891 5,319 2,805 2,513 -14,8062007 22,251 64,625 25,087 6,278 7,375 11,434 0 39,538 32,209 7,329 -482 7,811 -42,3742008 33,161 41,002 9,887 8,925 728 234 0 31,115 28,685 2,430 -3,503 5,933 -7,8422009 17,563 35,654 10,033 10,432 -3,711 -3,918 7,229 25,621 17,987 7,634 4,155 3,479 -18,0912010 48,933 94,826 45,428 13,669 5,657 29,323 -3,221 49,398 25,897 23,500 373 23,127 -45,8932011 51,060 61,789 13,075 5,628 8,401 -953 0 48,713 23,628 25,086 -6,566 31,651 -10,7282012 54,966 89,005 14,357 8,794 8,769 -3,206 0 74,648 18,131 56,517 9,877 46,640 -34,0392013 63,805 106,452 43,328 8,630 19,586 15,112 0 63,124 42,093 21,030 -943 21,973 -42,6472014 59,643 87,980 38,194 18,239 11,726 8,228 0 49,786 21,489 28,297 4,833 23,464 -28,337
2015 70,966 93,918 46,423 23,081 13,590 9,751 0 47,495 26,785 20,710 7,682 13,028 -22,9522016 64,004 104,900 40,749 17,057 16,633 7,059 0 64,151 32,321 31,830 10,323 21,507 -40,8962017 65,347 118,980 38,963 14,756 18,074 6,132 0 80,018 37,077 42,940 11,676 31,264 -53,6332018 76,500 145,396 40,865 12,163 21,623 7,079 0 104,531 46,961 57,570 13,777 43,792 -68,8962019 89,893 168,181 43,519 10,763 24,033 8,723 0 124,662 50,636 74,025 15,238 58,787 -78,2872020 108,079 195,348 47,533 10,077 27,088 10,369 0 147,815 57,125 90,690 16,524 74,166 -87,269
(Continúa)
K-2
TotalActivos
Suma SumaTotal
Pasivos
Cuentade
CapitalAños
(Continuación)
Otros Conceptos Banco de México Indicadores Estratégicos de la Balanza de PagosErrores Ajustes Reserva Internacional Reserva Internacional Transferencia Neta de Inversión Extranjera
y Oro-plata y Variación Saldo Como % del Como % de las Como % de la Recursos del Exterior Directa en América Latina
Omisiones Valoración Anual Fin de Año PIB Importaciones Base Monetaria Dólares % PIB Dólares % México
1980 -142 -218 1,019 3,766 2.0 17.9 4.8 4,953 2.7 5,674 36.81981 -9,221 123 1,012 4,778 1.9 17.6 4.7 7,507 2.9 8,468 36.31982 -7,406 -115 -3,185 1,593 0.5 9.4 3.5 -9,466 -2.9 6,267 30.31983 -3,081 17 3,101 4,694 2.1 39.6 10.4 -11,765 -5.3 5,032 43.61984 -2,136 152 3,201 7,895 5.1 49.6 14.0 -10,793 -6.9 4,239 36.41985 -2,907 -95 -2,328 5,567 2.7 30.3 7.5 -12,092 -5.8 5,885 33.71986 -739 -382 985 6,552 3.3 39.0 11.1 -5,392 -2.7 3,955 60.71987 3,103 -824 6,924 13,476 8.3 71.6 26.1 -4,729 -2.9 5,687 46.31988 -3,914 394 -7,127 6,349 3.5 22.6 8.3 -11,405 -6.3 8,986 32.01989 4,142 124 272 6,620 2.9 19.0 7.9 -1,891 -0.8 7,341 43.31990 2,703 -181 3,548 10,168 3.7 24.4 9.9 2,493 0.9 7,170 36.71991 -2,445 316 7,378 17,547 5.4 35.1 14.0 14,067 4.4 11,564 41.21992 -1,028 12 1,008 18,554 4.7 29.9 13.1 16,241 4.2 13,340 32.91993 -3,001 -43 5,983 24,538 5.4 37.5 16.1 18,303 4.0 8,812 49.81994 -3,705 -2 -18,389 6,148 1.2 7.7 5.8 -1,100 -0.2 23,784 46.11995 -4,164 -2 9,593 15,741 3.0 21.7 18.0 -1,760 -0.3 25,063 38.01996 163 5 1,768 17,509 5.1 19.6 16.4 -9,425 -2.7 40,638 22.61997 1,603 18 10,494 28,003 7.0 25.5 20.7 5,753 1.4 58,677 21.91998 -944 2 2,137 30,140 6.3 24.0 22.7 5,175 1.1 62,934 20.31999 -52 -1 594 30,733 6.1 21.6 15.5 2,197 0.4 81,602 17.12000 1,503 3 2,822 33,555 5.8 19.2 15.4 6,848 1.2 73,007 25.12001 -3,381 0 7,325 40,880 6.0 24.3 16.6 11,497 1.7 69,562 43.22002 -1,646 -14 7,104 47,984 6.6 28.4 19.0 9,155 1.3 51,508 46.62003 -5,257 -13 9,451 57,435 7.8 33.7 21.3 4,832 0.7 40,207 47.02004 -4,862 -3 4,061 61,496 8.6 31.2 20.2 92 0.0 50,684 49.52005 3,773 -8 7,173 68,669 8.9 31.0 19.2 -878 -0.1 57,559 42.92006 -397 -14 -989 67,680 7.8 26.4 16.3 -13,523 -1.6 33,457 62.42007 2,701 -25 10,311 77,991 8.1 27.7 17.2 1,583 0.2 94,075 34.22008 -5,526 -12 7,450 85,441 8.2 27.7 20.5 7,445 0.7 99,692 28.82009 -3,879 -63 5,397 90,838 8.3 38.8 18.8 -1,534 -0.1 70,132 25.62010 -21,660 -79 22,759 113,597 12.7 37.7 20.2 14,095 1.6 85,869 30.22011 -9,518 -441 28,879 142,475 13.5 40.6 26.0 21,010 2.0 126,812 18.62012 -18,813 -317 21,040 163,515 14.0 44.1 25.1 12,163 1.0 131,750 13.82013 -19,675 4,639 13,006 176,522 14.9 46.3 25.2 8,217 0.7 150,621 27.92014 -14,151 4,321 16,717 193,239 15.1 48.3 26.9 12,825 1.0 127,576 16.8
2015 -15,576 4,633 14,640 207,879 16.6 48.7 24.7 22,610 1.8 133,100 20.12016 -17,767 5,326 11,146 219,025 15.8 46.8 23.1 9,892 0.7 143,482 22.52017 -18,898 5,688 7,530 226,556 14.8 42.3 21.6 6,654 0.4 167,314 22.22018 -20,076 6,025 12,968 239,523 14.5 39.7 21.3 12,770 0.8 186,890 25.12019 -21,258 6,752 14,922 254,446 14.6 37.8 21.0 20,343 1.2 203,374 24.92020 -23,726 7,287 16,227 270,673 14.5 35.7 20.9 30,882 1.7 215,901 26.5
(Conclusión)
K-3
Años
K-2. Cuenta Corriente, de Capital y Reserva Internacional del Banco de México Trimestral: Escenario Base 2014-2015(Millones de dólares)
Saldo Cuenta CorrienteAños Cuenta Corriente Ingresos Egresos
Dólares % PIB Suma Mercancías Turismo Remesas Intereses Otros Suma Mercancías Turismo Fletes y S. Intereses Otros
2012 -15,431 -1.3 423,510 370,770 12,739 22,438 2,671 14,891 438,940 370,752 8,449 9,726 20,296 29,718
I -3,446 -0.3 102,590 89,609 3,602 5,386 665 3,327 106,035 87,906 1,791 2,327 4,018 9,994II -2,010 -0.2 107,934 94,309 3,037 6,470 716 3,402 109,944 92,941 1,995 2,433 5,762 6,813III -2,524 -0.2 104,237 91,234 2,754 5,414 650 4,186 106,761 92,416 2,206 2,442 4,145 5,553IV -7,451 -0.6 108,749 95,618 3,347 5,168 640 3,976 116,200 97,489 2,457 2,523 6,371 7,359
2013 -26,485 -2.1 434,414 380,027 13,949 21,892 2,391 16,156 460,899 381,210 9,122 9,755 23,276 37,535
I -7,378 -0.6 102,034 88,228 3,884 4,889 657 4,375 109,412 89,347 1,938 2,318 4,387 11,423II -7,231 -0.6 111,076 96,663 3,287 5,941 649 4,537 118,307 97,561 2,066 2,482 7,018 9,180III -5,774 -0.5 108,060 96,307 3,086 5,570 561 2,536 113,834 97,280 2,433 2,500 4,600 7,022IV -6,102 -0.5 113,245 98,829 3,691 5,493 524 4,708 119,346 97,022 2,686 2,456 7,271 9,911
2014 -24,454 -1.9 453,759 397,535 16,258 23,607 2,357 14,002 478,213 399,977 9,657 11,680 25,335 31,564
I -8,989 -0.7 104,161 90,750 4,425 5,459 512 3,015 113,150 92,064 2,075 2,672 4,865 11,472II -7,654 -0.6 114,838 101,929 4,010 6,166 578 2,155 122,492 100,864 2,268 2,963 7,734 8,664III -2,702 -0.2 115,482 101,327 3,603 5,967 611 3,973 118,184 102,840 2,572 3,002 5,087 4,683
IV e/ -5,109 -0.4 119,278 103,530 4,220 6,014 656 4,859 124,387 104,209 2,742 3,043 7,649 6,744
2015 -36,116 -2.9 472,862 408,212 18,326 25,489 3,321 17,515 508,979 426,470 10,202 12,437 30,086 29,784
I e/ -8,562 -0.7 104,372 89,249 4,948 5,853 656 3,666 112,934 93,791 2,033 2,748 6,487 7,875II e/ -9,543 -0.8 116,348 102,056 4,458 6,659 703 2,473 125,891 105,408 2,353 3,110 7,424 7,596III e/ -10,611 -0.8 122,043 105,956 4,038 6,558 865 4,627 132,654 112,746 2,790 3,281 6,624 7,214IV e/ -7,401 -0.6 130,099 110,951 4,883 6,419 1,097 6,749 137,500 114,526 3,026 3,298 9,551 7,099
Fuente: Banco de México, Indicadores del Sector Externo.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. (Continúa)
K-4
(Continuación)
Total PasivosEndeudamiento Externo Neto Inversión Extranjera
Sector Sector Banca Banco Inversión Inversión de Cartera
Público Privado Comercial de México Directa Suma Acciones Dinero
2012 54,966 89,005 14,357 8,794 8,769 -3,206 0 74,648 18,131 56,517 9,877 46,640 -34,039
I 23,550 23,871 2,076 4,387 1,045 -3,357 0 21,795 6,131 15,664 2,021 13,643 -320II -9,238 20,619 8,701 1,448 1,292 5,962 0 11,918 5,235 6,682 1,034 5,648 -29,857III 18,559 16,967 -2,732 434 4,532 -7,697 0 19,699 5,333 14,366 1,212 13,155 1,592IV 22,095 27,548 6,312 2,526 1,900 1,886 0 21,236 1,432 19,804 5,611 14,193 -5,454
2013 63,805 106,452 43,328 8,630 19,586 15,112 0 63,124 42,093 21,030 -943 21,973 -42,647
I 16,586 36,834 18,730 1,234 1,083 16,413 0 18,104 8,736 9,368 27 9,341 -20,247II 8,440 13,327 -4,473 -1,101 3,212 -6,584 0 17,799 20,995 -3,195 -4,939 1,744 -4,887III 15,874 22,447 12,506 3,725 7,982 799 0 9,941 3,240 6,701 3,669 3,032 -6,573IV 22,904 33,845 16,565 4,773 7,308 4,483 0 17,280 9,123 8,157 300 7,856 -10,941
2014 59,643 87,980 38,194 18,239 11,726 8,228 0 49,786 21,489 28,297 4,833 23,464 -28,337
I 11,859 15,955 1,779 7,786 -519 -5,488 0 14,176 9,392 4,784 282 4,503 -4,096II 26,733 36,728 20,466 4,747 6,071 9,648 0 16,262 2,808 13,454 6,264 7,190 -9,995III 1,516 7,789 2,974 842 1,806 326 0 4,816 3,110 1,706 -658 2,364 -6,273
IV e/ 19,534 27,507 12,975 4,865 4,368 3,742 0 14,532 6,179 8,353 -1,054 9,407 -7,973
2015 70,966 93,918 46,423 23,081 13,590 9,751 0 47,495 26,785 20,710 7,682 13,028 -22,952
I e/ 11,707 14,163 5,182 5,742 1,073 -1,634 0 8,982 4,847 4,134 -1,126 5,261 -2,456II e/ 17,803 22,974 13,288 6,890 3,113 3,285 0 9,687 6,137 3,550 1,384 2,166 -5,171III e/ 20,827 26,612 13,362 5,463 4,278 3,621 0 13,250 8,066 5,184 3,115 2,069 -5,786IV e/ 20,629 30,168 14,592 4,987 5,126 4,478 0 15,576 7,735 7,842 4,309 3,533 -9,539
Fuente: Banco de México, Indicadores del Sector Externo.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. (Continúa)
K-5
TotalActivosSuma Suma
TotalPasivos
Cuentade
CapitalAños
(Continuación)
Otros Conceptos Banco de México Indicadores Estratégicos de la Balanza de PagosErrores Ajustes Reserva Internacional Reserva Internacional Transferencia Neta de
y Oro-plata y Variación Saldo Como % del Como % de las Como % de la Recursos del Exterior
Omisiones Valoración Anual Fin de Año PIB Importaciones Base Monetaria Dólares % PIB
2012 -18,813 -317 21,040 163,515 13.8 44.1 26.0 12,163 1.0
I -12,380 -64 7,789 150,264 12.8 42.7 23.0 2,959 0.3II 18,175 -146 7,073 157,337 13.8 42.3 23.9 2,478 0.2III -13,041 -1,551 4,545 161,882 13.7 43.8 29.6 2,875 0.2IV -11,567 1,444 1,634 163,515 13.1 41.9 26.0 3,852 0.3
2013 -19,675 4,639 13,006 176,522 14.0 46.3 25.2 8,217 0.7
I -4,413 1,348 3,447 166,962 13.5 46.7 25.7 3,398 0.3II 1,919 3,560 -432 166,530 13.1 42.7 28.1 -140 0.0III -5,570 -1,033 5,563 172,094 13.8 44.2 29.5 3,828 0.3IV -11,611 763 4,428 176,522 13.7 45.5 25.2 1,131 0.1
2014 -14,151 4,321 16,717 193,239 15.1 48.3 26.8 12,825 1.0
I 3,150 -218 6,238 182,759 14.6 49.6 27.8 4,475 0.4II -12,172 -667 7,575 190,334 14.7 47.2 28.2 3,163 0.2III 2,678 1,243 249 190,583 14.7 46.3 29.0 803 0.1
IV e/ -7,807 3,963 2,656 193,239 15.0 46.4 26.8 4,384 0.3
2015 -15,576 4,633 14,640 207,879 16.6 48.7 24.7 22,610 1.8
I e/ 795 -366 4,307 197,546 16.9 52.7 30.7 4,526 0.4II e/ -7,516 -545 1,289 198,835 16.3 47.2 30.0 510 0.0III e/ -3,685 1,887 4,644 203,479 15.9 45.1 29.8 10,371 0.8IV e/ -5,171 3,657 4,400 207,879 15.6 45.4 24.7 7,203 0.5
Fuente: Elaborado con datos del Banco de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. (Conclusión)
K-6
Años
K-3. Resumen Mensual de la Balanza de Pagos: Escenario Base 2014-2015(Millones de dólares)
Saldo Principales Rubros de Ingresos y Egresos de la Cuenta Corriente
de la Balanza Comercial Balanza Turística
Cuenta Exportación Mercancías Importación Mercancías Saldo Ingresos por Turismo Egresos por Turismo Saldo
Corriente Dólares Var. % Dólares Var. % Comercial Dólares Var. % Dólares Var. % Turístico
2014 -24,454 397,535 4.6 399,977 4.9 -2,442 16,258 16.6 9,657 5.9 6,601Ene -5,740 27,052 -0.9 30,234 0.3 -3,182 1,389 12.9 808 12.8 582Feb -1,640 30,462 4.7 29,543 1.6 918 1,377 13.7 607 6.8 769Mar -1,609 33,236 4.4 32,287 7.2 949 1,659 15.0 660 1.1 999Abr -2,397 34,071 4.1 33,562 -1.5 510 1,334 21.0 785 5.2 549May -2,775 34,383 4.7 34,251 2.8 132 1,263 22.9 749 11.4 515Jun -2,483 33,474 7.7 33,051 9.6 424 1,413 22.2 734 13.4 679Jul -1,376 33,711 4.5 34,691 3.1 -980 1,472 21.8 862 4.3 610Ago -1,520 33,361 2.1 34,484 4.8 -1,123 1,223 17.2 933 10.6 290Sep 194 34,256 9.2 33,666 9.6 590 907 8.8 777 1.9 130Oct -1,333 37,086 5.7 36,943 4.9 143 1,097 10.0 857 1.5 240Nov -2,553 32,329 2.1 33,405 6.5 -1,076 1,334 14.6 907 8.1 426Dic -1,223 34,114 6.4 33,861 11.2 254 1,790 16.9 978 -2.4 812
2015 -36,117 408,212 2.7 426,470 6.6 -18,259 18,326 12.7 10,202 5.6 8,124Ene e/ -5,900 26,617 -1.6 31,178 3.1 -4,560 1,523 9.6 754 -6.6 768Feb -1,295 29,702 -2.5 29,657 0.4 45 1,539 11.8 610 0.4 929Mar -1,366 32,929 -0.9 32,956 2.1 -26 1,886 13.7 669 1.3 1,217Abr -3,398 33,495 -1.7 34,830 3.8 -1,335 1,489 11.6 811 3.3 678May -3,038 34,821 1.3 35,795 4.5 -974 1,404 11.1 784 4.7 620Jun -3,107 33,740 0.8 34,783 5.2 -1,043 1,565 10.8 758 3.3 807Jul -3,984 34,836 3.3 37,546 8.2 -2,710 1,621 10.1 938 8.8 683Ago -4,485 34,792 4.3 38,003 10.2 -3,211 1,379 12.7 992 6.3 386Sep -2,142 36,329 6.1 37,197 10.5 -868 1,038 14.4 860 10.7 178Oct -2,201 39,607 6.8 40,533 9.7 -926 1,272 16.0 951 11.0 321Nov -3,401 34,938 8.1 37,064 11.0 -2,126 1,568 17.6 976 7.6 592Dic -1,799 36,406 6.7 36,929 9.1 -524 2,042 14.1 1,099 12.3 944
e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. (Continúa)
K-7
Meses
(Continuación)
Principales Rubros de Ingresos y Egresos de la Cuenta Corriente Saldo Banco de México
Ingresos Ingresos Egresos Cuenta Reserva Pasivos Activos
Remesas Familiares Diversos Conceptos Pago de Intereses y otros de Capital Internacional FMI Internacionales
Dólares Var. % Dólares Var. % Dólares Var. % y otros Cambio Saldo y otros Cambio Saldo
2014 23,607 7.8 16,359 -11.8 60,325 6.0 41,171 16,717 193,239 2,475 15,482 195,714Ene 1,642 10.5 1,125 -31.1 4,968 6.2 8,788 3,048 179,570 3,467 2,804 183,037Feb 1,719 7.1 1,257 -26.2 4,464 9.5 2,925 1,285 180,855 2,942 761 183,797Mar 2,098 16.7 1,144 -32.6 4,890 4.2 3,514 1,904 182,759 2,740 1,702 185,499Abr 1,976 1.9 973 -44.6 4,908 4.6 5,686 3,289 186,049 2,824 3,374 188,873May 2,147 4.7 965 -36.6 4,959 4.0 4,991 2,217 188,266 2,363 1,755 190,628Jun 2,043 4.8 795 -58.3 4,791 6.8 4,551 2,069 190,334 2,238 1,944 192,572Jul 1,998 8.6 1,633 70.6 5,062 5.9 1,361 -15 190,319 2,606 353 192,925Ago 2,004 5.4 1,280 20.9 5,251 6.4 2,714 1,194 191,513 1,894 482 193,407Sep 1,965 7.5 1,671 54.7 5,157 4.6 -1,124 -930 190,583 2,781 -43 193,364Oct 2,042 6.8 1,999 5.4 5,424 5.1 2,467 1,134 191,717 5,342 3,695 197,059Nov 1,775 2.5 1,817 8.5 5,343 5.9 3,554 1,001 192,718 4,035 -306 196,753Dic 2,196 18.8 1,698 2.3 5,110 9.5 1,743 521 193,239 2,475 -1,039 195,714
2015 25,489 8.0 20,835 27.4 64,390 6.7 50,757 14,640 207,879 2,874 15,039 210,753Ene e/ 1,762 7.3 1,436 27.6 5,306 6.8 8,672 2,772 196,011 3,183 3,480 199,194Feb 1,867 8.6 1,311 4.3 4,652 4.2 1,928 633 196,643 2,878 328 199,522Mar 2,224 6.0 1,575 37.7 5,290 8.2 2,269 903 197,546 3,064 1,088 200,610Abr 2,168 9.7 1,023 5.2 5,335 8.7 3,041 -358 197,188 3,174 -247 200,362May 2,288 6.6 993 2.9 5,327 7.4 3,693 656 197,844 2,959 440 200,802Jun 2,203 7.8 1,159 45.8 5,125 7.0 4,098 991 198,835 3,087 1,120 201,922Jul 2,192 9.7 1,865 14.2 5,530 9.2 5,805 1,822 200,656 2,869 1,604 203,526Ago 2,211 10.3 1,712 33.7 5,398 2.8 6,505 2,020 202,676 2,966 2,117 205,643Sep 2,156 9.7 1,914 14.5 5,480 6.3 2,945 802 203,479 3,174 1,010 206,653Oct 2,177 6.6 2,615 30.8 5,787 6.7 4,156 1,955 205,433 3,089 1,870 208,522Nov 1,932 8.8 2,610 43.6 5,708 6.8 4,701 1,300 206,733 2,998 1,208 209,731Dic 2,311 5.2 2,622 54.4 5,452 6.7 2,944 1,146 207,879 2,874 1,022 210,753
e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.Nota: Los saldos mensuales de la cuenta corriente y de la cuenta de capital son estimaciones propias. En la cuenta de capital se incluyen los rubros de errores y omisiones, ajustes oro-plata y valoración.
K-8
Meses
L. Deuda Externa de México !!!!
Cuadro L-1.!Deuda Externa de México clasificada por Sectores Económicos 1980-2020!
!Cuadro L-2. !
Endeudamiento Externo Neto, Pago de Intereses !e Indicadores del Peso de la Deuda Externa 1980-2020!
!Cuadro L-3. !
SHCP: Deuda Externa Anual de México clasificada por Sectores,!Tipos de Crédito y Monedas, 2000-2013!
!Cuadro L-4. !
SHCP: Deuda Externa Trimestral de México clasificada por Sectores,!Tipos de Crédito y Monedas, 2011-2014!
!!!!
L-1. Deuda Externa Total de México: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Millones de dólares)
Deuda Externa Deuda externa clasificada por sectoresAños Total Sector Público Sector Privado Banca Comercial Banco de México
Saldo Var. % % PIB Saldo % PIB Saldo % PIB Saldo % PIB Saldo % PIB
1980 54,426 35.2 19.3 33,813 12.0 16,900 6.0 3,713 1.3 0 0.01981 80,998 48.8 23.8 52,961 15.6 21,900 6.4 6,137 1.8 0 0.01982 90,103 11.2 54.1 58,874 35.4 23,031 13.8 7,958 4.8 240 0.11983 91,339 1.4 46.9 62,556 32.1 20,433 10.5 7,146 3.7 1,204 0.61984 96,667 5.8 41.9 69,378 30.1 17,631 7.7 7,225 3.1 2,433 1.11985 100,361 3.8 50.4 72,080 36.2 17,054 8.6 8,284 4.2 2,943 1.51986 103,480 3.1 73.5 75,351 53.5 16,284 11.6 7,818 5.6 4,028 2.91987 107,783 4.2 68.0 81,407 51.4 15,384 9.7 5,873 3.7 5,119 3.21988 100,088 -7.1 40.5 81,003 32.8 8,015 3.2 6,283 2.5 4,786 1.91989 94,443 -5.6 33.9 76,059 27.3 6,038 2.2 7,220 2.6 5,126 1.81990 106,074 12.3 30.0 77,770 22.0 7,697 2.2 14,098 4.0 6,508 1.81991 115,602 9.0 27.6 79,988 19.1 9,886 2.4 18,969 4.5 6,759 1.61992 114,508 -0.9 23.7 75,755 15.7 13,298 2.8 19,497 4.0 5,957 1.21993 126,997 10.9 23.9 78,747 14.8 20,244 3.8 23,210 4.4 4,795 0.91994 135,507 6.7 38.4 85,436 24.2 22,075 6.3 24,136 6.8 3,860 1.11995 162,403 19.8 49.2 100,934 30.6 23,457 7.1 20,730 6.3 17,282 5.21996 153,317 -5.6 35.6 98,285 22.8 23,286 5.4 18,468 4.3 13,279 3.11997 145,583 -5.0 28.2 88,321 17.1 31,350 6.1 16,825 3.3 9,088 1.81998 156,461 7.5 31.2 92,295 18.4 39,965 8.0 15,821 3.2 8,380 1.71999 158,274 1.2 25.4 92,290 14.8 47,392 7.6 14,124 2.3 4,468 0.72000 137,690 -13.0 19.6 84,600 12.0 41,887 6.0 11,203 1.6 0 0.02001 133,999 -2.7 17.7 80,339 10.6 45,179 6.0 8,481 1.1 0 0.02002 128,713 -3.9 17.8 78,818 10.9 44,245 6.1 5,650 0.8 0 0.02003 129,162 0.3 18.1 79,024 11.1 45,164 6.3 4,975 0.7 0 0.02004 128,001 -0.9 15.8 79,226 9.8 43,005 5.3 5,770 0.7 0 0.02005 122,656 -4.2 13.4 71,675 7.8 45,433 4.9 5,548 0.6 0 0.02006 107,641 -12.2 10.7 54,766 5.5 47,536 4.7 5,339 0.5 0 0.02007 123,094 14.4 11.1 55,355 5.0 60,432 5.5 7,308 0.7 0 0.02008 129,883 5.5 14.3 56,939 6.3 66,817 7.3 6,127 0.7 0 0.02009 163,801 26.1 16.7 96,354 9.8 61,229 6.3 6,218 0.6 0 0.02010 190,143 16.1 16.8 110,428 9.7 64,707 5.7 15,008 1.3 0 0.02011 201,344 5.9 18.0 116,420 10.4 68,650 6.1 16,273 1.5 0 0.02012 213,410 6.0 17.1 125,726 10.1 72,025 5.8 15,659 1.3 0 0.02013 240,703 12.8 19.5 134,436 10.9 87,709 7.1 18,558 1.5 0 0.02014 261,337 8.6 22.5 147,666 12.7 96,996 8.4 16,676 1.4 0 0.0
2015 308,502 18.0 24.2 174,684 13.7 111,922 8.8 21,896 1.7 0 0.02016 342,410 11.0 24.6 188,426 13.5 127,585 9.1 26,400 1.9 0 0.02017 374,200 9.3 24.5 200,689 13.2 144,537 9.5 28,974 1.9 0 0.02018 408,016 9.0 25.1 209,223 12.9 165,495 10.2 33,299 2.0 0 0.02019 444,031 8.8 25.6 217,966 12.6 188,391 10.9 37,674 2.2 0 0.02020 481,643 8.5 26.0 224,196 12.1 214,031 11.6 43,416 2.3 0 0.0
L-1
L-2. Endeudamiento Externo Neto e Indicadores del Peso de la Deuda Externa: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Millones de dólares)
Endeudamiento Externo Neto Intereses Indicadores Peso Deuda Externa TotalAños Neto Sector Sector Banca Banco de Pago Sector Sector Deuda Total Tasa de Intereses Deuda Total
Total Público Privado Comercial México Total Público Privado % PIB Interés Exportación Exportación
1980 10,532 3,754 3,750 3,160 -132 6,147 4,201 1,946 19.3 11.29 22.3 197.31981 27,781 18,282 3,851 5,647 0 9,485 5,939 3,547 23.8 11.71 26.6 227.21982 8,920 7,529 2,223 -2,269 1,438 12,203 8,240 3,963 54.1 13.54 52.9 390.81983 1,834 2,886 -2,309 1,415 -158 10,103 6,784 3,319 46.9 11.06 61.9 559.61984 1,667 2,613 -1,760 -416 1,229 11,715 8,091 3,624 41.9 12.12 55.4 457.21985 -923 954 -1,231 -939 293 10,156 7,321 2,835 50.4 10.12 42.5 420.41986 148 1,646 -1,481 -732 714 8,342 6,124 2,218 73.5 8.06 38.0 471.01987 921 3,101 -2,654 47 428 8,097 6,015 2,082 68.0 7.51 33.6 446.91988 -1,570 -258 -2,598 1,380 -94 8,639 7,258 1,381 40.5 8.63 25.1 291.31989 -424 -829 -2,251 980 1,677 9,278 8,061 1,217 33.9 9.82 21.8 221.51990 12,186 6,854 1,313 4,384 -365 9,222 7,667 1,555 30.0 8.69 17.8 204.41991 11,286 1,754 4,142 5,609 -220 9,215 7,342 1,874 27.6 7.97 15.1 189.81992 3,611 -1,978 5,134 916 -460 9,611 7,708 1,902 23.7 8.39 13.0 154.61993 13,433 2,664 7,271 4,673 -1,175 10,934 8,293 2,642 23.9 8.61 14.1 164.11994 7,815 3,619 3,828 1,571 -1,203 11,807 7,989 3,818 38.4 8.71 12.8 146.91995 26,503 14,446 2,833 -4,108 13,333 13,575 9,229 4,347 49.2 8.36 16.6 198.21996 -2,225 -8 2,962 -1,655 -3,524 13,361 8,680 4,681 35.6 8.71 13.4 153.21997 -6,707 -6,716 5,365 -1,869 -3,487 12,436 7,443 4,993 28.2 8.54 10.2 119.21998 6,571 3,401 5,169 -928 -1,072 12,482 7,114 5,368 31.2 7.98 9.0 113.21999 1,889 2,588 4,708 -1,723 -3,685 12,809 7,099 5,710 25.4 8.09 8.2 101.52000 -5,715 -2,975 3,991 -2,446 -4,286 13,695 7,528 6,167 19.6 9.95 7.2 72.12001 1,243 2,126 2,263 -3,147 0 12,693 7,053 5,640 17.7 9.47 6.9 72.42002 -4,217 808 -2,061 -2,965 0 11,966 6,575 5,391 17.8 9.30 6.4 69.12003 2,419 1,871 -2,676 3,224 0 11,950 6,831 5,119 18.1 9.25 6.3 68.62004 877 1,509 -1,975 1,343 0 11,601 6,684 4,916 15.8 9.06 5.4 59.12005 5,530 -1,344 4,166 2,708 0 12,695 7,390 5,305 13.4 10.35 5.2 50.22006 -4,206 -15,002 7,139 3,657 0 14,731 8,144 6,586 10.7 13.68 5.3 38.52007 25,087 6,278 7,375 11,434 0 16,922 8,476 8,446 11.1 13.75 5.5 40.12008 9,887 8,925 728 234 0 16,763 8,410 8,353 14.3 12.91 5.0 38.82009 10,033 10,432 -3,711 -3,918 7,229 12,886 6,700 6,186 16.7 7.87 5.0 63.12010 45,428 13,669 5,657 29,323 -3,221 14,161 7,507 6,653 16.8 7.45 4.3 58.12011 13,075 5,628 8,401 -953 0 17,688 9,557 8,132 18.0 8.79 4.6 52.82012 14,357 8,794 8,769 -3,206 0 20,296 11,728 8,568 17.1 9.51 5.1 53.12013 43,328 8,630 19,586 15,112 0 23,276 13,264 10,012 19.5 9.67 5.6 58.22014 38,194 18,239 11,726 8,228 0 25,335 14,604 10,731 22.5 9.69 5.8 60.1
2015 46,423 23,081 13,590 9,751 0 30,086 17,346 12,739 24.2 9.75 6.5 66.72016 40,749 17,057 16,633 7,059 0 33,603 18,805 14,798 24.6 9.81 6.6 67.52017 38,963 14,756 18,074 6,132 0 37,081 20,129 16,952 24.5 9.91 6.4 64.42018 40,865 12,163 21,623 7,079 0 40,380 20,839 19,541 25.1 9.90 6.2 62.22019 43,519 10,763 24,033 8,723 0 43,799 21,622 22,177 25.6 9.86 6.0 60.62020 47,533 10,077 27,088 10,369 0 47,329 22,151 25,178 26.0 9.83 5.7 58.2
L-2
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
A . SECTOR PUBLICO 84,600 80,339 78,818 79,024 79,226 71,675 54,766 55,355 56,939 96,354 110,428 116,420 125,726 134,4361. CON ACREEDORES PRIVADOS 39,886 45,793 45,654 51,673 53,510 48,917 40,136 38,518 37,442 66,523 73,810 78,692 87,788 96,480 MERCADO DE CAPITALES 36,091 42,532 42,668 48,806 51,107 46,462 38,558 36,964 34,688 58,731 63,591 68,914 79,394 90,302 Bonos 36,091 42,532 42,668 48,806 51,107 46,462 38,558 36,964 34,688 58,731 63,591 68,914 79,394 90,302 MERCADO BANCARIO 3,795 3,261 2,986 2,867 2,403 2,455 1,578 1,554 2,754 7,791 10,219 9,779 8,395 6,178 Directos 2,102 1,952 1,764 1,120 1,310 964 815 1,096 892 5,708 1,625 2,726 3,511 3,829 Sindicados 1,343 959 1,222 1,747 1,093 1,491 763 457 1,862 2,084 8,594 7,053 4,884 2,349 Papel Comercial C/Garantía Bancaria 350 350 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 02. ACREEDORES MULTILATERALES 16,326 16,043 16,883 17,451 16,703 16,625 8,201 9,155 10,673 17,144 21,134 23,428 25,309 27,350 B I D 5,840 5,974 6,755 7,217 7,473 7,631 4,032 4,603 4,791 7,047 8,779 9,810 10,580 12,202 B I R F 10,486 10,069 10,128 10,234 9,230 8,994 4,168 4,552 5,882 10,097 12,355 13,618 14,729 15,1483. COMERCIO EXTERIOR 8,097 7,591 7,318 6,161 5,148 3,311 3,139 2,933 3,065 12,288 15,151 14,014 12,312 10,321 Eximbaks 2,994 2,515 2,427 2,238 1,879 1,714 1,679 1,280 1,263 2,217 3,399 4,006 3,949 3,688 Bancos Comerciales 3,776 3,779 3,325 2,626 3,020 1,596 1,461 1,643 1,794 8,932 9,851 8,136 6,707 5,542 Proveedores 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 8 1,139 1,902 1,872 1,656 1,092 Sindicados 880 785 785 540 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Papel Comercial C/Garantía Bancaria 447 512 781 757 249 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 04. DEUDAS REESTRUCTURADAS 19,658 9,999 7,545 1,453 827 450 131 77 77 77 0 0 0 0 Brady's 16,065 7,340 5,573 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MYRA'S 1,051 723 458 311 156 78 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Comercio Ext. (Club de París) 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 New Money 452 362 260 147 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Otros 2,076 1,574 1,254 996 641 372 131 77 77 77 0 0 0 05. PIDIREGAS 633 913 1,418 2,286 3,038 2,372 3,159 4,674 5,683 323 333 286 316 2856. COMPOSICION TOTAL DEL SECTOR PUBLICO POR MONEDAS 84,600 80,339 78,818 79,024 79,226 71,675 54,766 55,355 56,939 96,354 110,428 116,420 125,726 134,436 Dólar Americano 71,065 69,933 69,804 70,520 71,220 65,480 50,250 44,309 47,851 77,919 90,882 97,048 105,836 111,647 Euro 0 104 744 317 1,355 1,201 1,341 6,888 5,475 10,830 9,421 9,377 9,530 11,489 Canasta de Monedas 4,272 3,979 3,996 3,721 3,293 2,752 1,903 1,538 1,421 367 9 14 18 17 Libra Esterlina 144 140 156 173 186 80 91 1,040 688 1,981 1,920 1,906 1,993 1,369 Yen Japonés 5,878 4,708 3,849 4,013 2,937 1,990 1,006 1,157 1,095 4,541 6,864 6,793 6,847 5,519 Franco Suizo 27 135 173 184 236 171 176 423 410 716 953 910 961 969 Otras 3,214 1,340 96 98 0 0 0 0 0 0 379 371 541 3,426B. SECTOR PRIVADO NO BANCARIO 41,887 45,178 44,245 45,164 43,005 45,433 47,535 60,432 66,817 61,229 64,707 68,650 72,025 87,7091. MERCADO DE CAPITALES 20,644 20,186 19,085 18,794 15,419 19,442 19,389 22,680 19,973 21,525 29,997 38,355 50,016 66,856 Bonos 20,644 20,186 19,085 18,794 15,419 19,442 19,389 22,680 19,973 21,525 29,997 38,355 50,016 66,8562. COMERCIO EXTERIOR 7,480 9,497 3,473 2,556 2,124 1,834 1,438 1,093 1,115 1,099 905 811 225 171 Eximbak 313 691 2,197 1,630 1,797 1,435 1,250 903 939 936 746 656 222 171 Banca Comercial 7,167 8,806 1,276 927 327 399 188 190 177 164 159 154 4 03. MERCADO BANCARIO 13,763 15,495 21,687 23,814 25,462 24,157 26,709 36,658 45,728 38,605 33,805 29,484 21,784 20,682 Directos 13,763 15,495 21,687 23,814 25,462 24,157 26,709 36,658 45,728 38,605 33,805 29,484 21,784 20,682C. SECTOR PRIVADO BANCARIO 11,203 8,481 5,650 4,975 5,770 5,548 5,339 7,308 6,127 6,218 15,008 16,273 15,659 18,558 1. Banca Comercial 7,242 5,496 3,577 3,002 3,975 2,509 2,829 2,860 1,386 1,196 5,570 5,119 2,720 4,372 2. Otros Pasivos con el Público 3,961 2,985 2,074 1,973 1,795 3,039 2,510 4,448 4,741 5,022 9,438 11,154 12,939 14,186D. TOTAL DEUDA EXTERNA 137,690 133,998 128,713 129,163 128,001 122,656 107,640 123,094 129,883 163,801 190,143 201,344 213,410 240,703
FUENTE: CAMACRO, con datos de la Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público.
L-3
L-3. Deuda Externa Total Anual de México clasificada por Sectores, Tipos de Crédito y Monedas, 2000-2013(Millones de dólares)
Concepto
I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV I II III
A . SECTOR PUBLICO 110,185 111,130 113,469 116,420 121,081 122,132 123,669 125,726 126,403 125,129 129,518 134,436 142,800 147,599 152,4461. CON ACREEDORES PRIVADOS 73,631 75,049 77,778 78,692 83,860 85,427 87,162 87,788 88,746 88,121 92,924 96,480 104,902 109,995 ……. MERCADO DE CAPITALES 63,501 66,750 68,212 68,914 75,002 77,613 79,490 79,394 80,943 81,143 86,021 90,302 96,214 100,326 ……. Bonos 63,501 66,750 68,212 68,914 75,002 77,613 79,490 79,394 80,943 81,143 86,021 90,302 96,214 100,326 ……. MERCADO BANCARIO 10,130 8,300 9,566 9,779 8,859 7,815 7,672 8,395 7,802 6,978 6,903 6,178 8,688 9,669 ……. Directos 1,551 1,226 2,508 2,726 2,572 2,908 2,782 3,511 2,934 2,991 3,432 3,829 4,241 3,728 ……. Sindicados 8,579 7,074 7,058 7,053 6,287 4,906 4,890 4,884 4,868 3,987 3,471 2,349 4,448 5,941 ……. Papel Comercial C/Garantía Bancaria 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 …….2. ACREEDORES MULTILATERALES 21,325 21,635 21,526 23,428 23,249 23,653 23,752 25,309 25,409 25,640 25,556 27,350 27,200 27,371 ……. B I D 8,699 9,572 9,483 9,810 9,726 10,009 9,962 10,580 10,681 10,679 10,676 12,202 12,149 12,374 ……. B I R F 12,626 12,063 12,044 13,618 13,524 13,644 13,790 14,729 14,728 14,961 14,880 15,148 15,051 14,997 …….3. COMERCIO EXTERIOR 14,726 13,997 13,800 14,014 13,453 12,598 12,373 12,312 11,718 10,938 10,695 10,321 10,279 9,869 ……. Eximbaks 3,384 3,318 3,482 4,006 3,952 3,814 4,073 3,949 3,840 3,789 3,747 3,688 3,970 3,873 ……. Bancos Comerciales 9,515 8,924 8,576 8,136 7,825 6,962 6,682 6,707 6,390 5,892 5,681 5,542 5,352 4,943 ……. Proveedores 1,827 1,756 1,742 1,872 1,677 1,821 1,618 1,656 1,488 1,257 1,267 1,092 957 1,053 ……. Sindicados 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ……. Papel Comercial C/Garantía Bancaria 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 …….4. DEUDAS REESTRUCTURADAS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ……. Brady's 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ……. MYRA'S 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ……. Comercio Ext. (Club de París) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ……. New Money 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ……. Otros 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 …….5. PIDIREGAS 503 448 364 286 519 455 382 316 530 431 343 285 420 364 …….6. COMPOSICION TOTAL DEL SECTOR PUBLICO POR MONEDAS 110,185 111,130 113,469 116,420 121,081 122,132 123,669 125,726 126,403 125,129 129,518 134,436 142,800 147,599 ……. Dólar Americano 90,207 91,090 93,860 97,048 101,800 102,080 103,236 105,836 107,617 103,256 106,855 111,647 118,243 119,087 ……. Euro 9,957 10,062 9,532 9,377 9,631 9,136 9,305 9,530 9,199 9,810 9,529 11,489 11,486 15,513 ……. Canasta de Monedas 9 11 10 14 13 12 13 18 16 18 17 17 16 23 ……. Libra Esterlina 1,968 1,963 1,909 1,906 1,960 1,924 1,980 1,993 1,853 1,876 1,986 1,369 3,045 3,123 ……. Yen Japonés 6,680 6,576 6,854 6,793 6,335 7,514 7,642 6,847 6,246 5,897 6,753 5,519 5,596 5,452 ……. Franco Suizo 976 1,036 963 910 942 938 946 961 916 908 971 969 980 977 ……. Otras 388 391 341 371 401 528 547 541 557 3,365 3,407 3,426 3,434 3,425 …….……. …….B. SECTOR PRIVADO NO BANCARIO 64,336 66,766 69,469 68,650 68,262 71,782 72,640 72,025 72,939 75,474 82,994 87,709 87,176 93,293 …….……. …….1. MERCADO DE CAPITALES 31,323 32,795 37,102 38,355 40,410 39,952 46,470 50,016 51,318 54,266 61,701 66,856 67,068 71,400 ……. Bonos 31,323 32,795 37,102 38,355 40,410 39,952 46,470 50,016 51,318 54,266 61,701 66,856 67,068 71,400 …….2. COMERCIO EXTERIOR 888 862 836 811 786 545 464 225 202 189 188 171 186 188 ……. Eximbak 730 706 680 656 639 541 460 222 199 186 188 171 186 188 ……. Banca Comercial 158 157 156 154 147 3 4 4 3 3 0 0 0 0 …….3. MERCADO BANCARIO 32,125 33,108 31,531 29,484 27,067 31,286 25,707 21,784 21,419 21,020 21,106 20,682 19,923 21,705 ……. Directos 32,125 33,108 31,531 29,484 27,067 31,286 25,707 21,784 21,419 21,020 21,106 20,682 19,923 21,705 …….……. …….C. SECTOR PRIVADO BANCARIO 17,633 19,278 16,822 16,273 16,183 14,976 13,481 15,659 13,087 15,200 13,364 18,558 14,483 16,812 …….0 0 ……. 1. Banca Comercial 7,234 7,442 7,240 5,119 6,081 4,666 3,881 2,720 3,904 3,754 2,931 4,372 3,385 2,962 ……. 2. Otros Pasivos con el Público 10,399 11,835 9,582 11,154 10,101 10,310 9,600 12,939 9,183 11,446 10,433 14,186 11,098 13,851 …….……. …….D. TOTAL DEUDA EXTERNA 192,154 197,173 199,760 201,344 205,526 208,890 209,790 213,410 212,429 215,804 225,876 240,703 244,460 257,704 …….
FUENTE: CAMACRO, con datos de la Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público.
L-4
2014
L-4. Deuda Externa Total Trimestral de México clasificada por Sectores, Tipos de Crédito y Monedas, 2011-2014(Millones de dólares)
2011 2012 2013Concepto
M. Finanzas Públicas de México
Cuadro M-1.Ingreso Presupuestal del Sector Público 1980-2020
Cuadro M-2.Gasto Neto Presupuestal del Sector Público 1980-2020
Cuadro M-3.Balance Presupuestal del Sector Público 1980-2020
Cuadro M-4.Ley de Ingresos y Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación para 2013
Cuadro M-5.Ley de Ingresos y Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación para 2014
Cuadro M-6.Evolución de la Deuda Interna del Gobierno Federal 2013-2014
Cuadro M-7.Evolución de la Deuda Externa del Sector Público 2013-2014
Cuadro M-8.Requerimientos Financieros del Sector Público 1990-2014
Cuadro M-9.Evolución de las Tasa Impositivas en México 1980-2018
Cuadro M-10.Tasas de ISR e IVA en Países Avanzados y Economías Emergentes 2009-2012
Cuadro M-11.Reforma Fiscal 2014
M-1. Ingreso Presupuestal del Sector Público: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Millones de pesos)
Ingreso Presupuestal del Sector PúblicoSector Petrolero Sector No Petrolero
Años Gobierno Federal OrganismosTotal Pemex Total Tributarios No y
Suma ISR IVA IEPS IMP Otros Tributarios Empresas
1980 1,150 371 191 181 779 503 468 247 120 31 44 26 35 2761981 1,524 471 216 255 1,054 681 626 339 159 42 67 20 54 3731982 2,688 1,090 517 574 1,598 959 852 465 217 61 83 26 107 6391983 5,679 2,832 1,396 1,436 2,847 1,745 1,562 727 543 151 93 48 183 1,1021984 9,183 4,278 2,133 2,145 4,904 2,830 2,599 1,213 943 212 154 78 231 2,0751985 15,336 7,060 3,665 3,395 8,276 4,596 4,183 1,923 1,478 345 327 111 413 3,6801986 25,057 10,478 6,057 4,421 14,579 8,250 7,482 3,365 2,498 690 688 240 768 6,3291987 57,062 22,106 8,759 13,347 34,956 19,627 17,545 7,655 6,266 1,585 1,565 474 2,082 15,3291988 115,507 36,969 16,320 20,649 78,538 47,366 40,108 19,468 14,024 3,611 1,819 1,187 7,258 31,1721989 141,550 42,835 17,114 25,720 98,715 64,484 53,152 25,909 17,024 4,645 4,006 1,567 11,333 34,2311990 186,938 56,618 25,501 31,118 130,320 86,593 74,088 32,972 26,636 6,039 6,381 2,060 12,505 43,7271991 252,818 63,149 25,191 37,958 189,669 139,414 94,690 42,991 32,533 5,759 9,916 3,492 44,724 50,2551992 296,456 72,505 25,598 46,907 223,951 163,539 114,095 57,945 30,452 5,521 12,884 7,293 49,444 60,4121993 290,724 76,191 27,930 48,261 214,533 146,552 129,755 69,221 33,125 5,918 12,684 8,808 16,797 67,9811994 328,798 85,218 32,409 52,809 243,580 167,574 138,541 72,900 38,537 6,168 12,708 8,227 29,033 76,0061995 418,883 138,997 49,299 89,699 279,886 190,446 152,977 73,706 51,785 7,381 11,145 8,960 37,469 89,4401996 580,722 206,599 73,353 133,246 374,123 259,320 205,594 97,162 72,110 9,283 14,855 12,185 53,726 114,8031997 731,991 248,982 85,040 163,941 483,010 339,613 277,732 135,101 97,742 10,967 18,103 15,819 61,881 143,3971998 783,046 233,063 82,066 150,997 549,983 394,179 342,604 169,476 119,871 14,977 21,488 16,791 51,575 155,8041999 956,495 286,215 101,166 185,050 670,280 489,299 434,221 216,123 151,184 19,243 27,303 20,369 55,077 180,9812000 1,187,704 393,138 108,583 284,555 794,566 583,713 515,493 258,754 189,606 15,333 32,861 18,938 68,220 210,8542001 1,271,377 386,579 103,524 283,055 884,798 656,059 567,682 285,523 208,408 23,500 28,902 21,348 88,378 228,7382002 1,387,236 410,038 150,032 260,006 977,198 729,347 616,062 318,380 218,442 24,036 27,233 27,972 113,285 247,8512003 1,600,286 533,421 175,777 357,644 1,066,866 775,341 679,003 337,016 254,433 30,179 26,898 30,478 96,338 291,5252004 1,771,314 637,360 190,772 446,588 1,133,954 823,623 716,785 345,218 285,023 31,911 29,521 25,113 106,838 310,3312005 1,947,816 726,537 185,529 541,008 1,221,280 871,498 793,007 384,522 318,432 34,441 26,821 28,792 78,491 349,7822006 2,263,603 861,279 317,655 543,624 1,402,323 1,015,184 930,686 448,100 380,576 36,976 31,726 33,308 84,498 387,1402007 2,485,785 880,698 374,840 505,858 1,605,087 1,205,362 1,047,256 527,184 409,013 41,532 32,188 37,339 158,107 399,7252008 2,860,926 1,054,626 362,531 692,096 1,806,300 1,357,841 1,207,721 626,509 457,248 49,284 35,783 38,897 150,120 448,4602009 2,817,185 874,164 381,953 492,211 1,943,022 1,508,237 1,125,429 594,796 407,795 47,364 30,196 45,277 382,809 434,7842010 2,960,443 973,038 385,437 587,601 1,987,405 1,492,412 1,314,282 679,622 504,509 60,617 24,531 45,003 178,130 494,9932011 3,271,080 1,101,879 395,232 706,647 2,169,201 1,613,595 1,436,715 759,168 537,143 69,246 26,881 44,278 176,880 555,6062012 3,514,530 1,183,895 463,121 720,774 2,330,634 1,731,760 1,516,951 803,897 579,988 72,953 27,906 32,208 214,809 598,8752013 3,800,416 1,261,702 482,936 778,766 2,538,714 1,924,809 1,644,537 946,740 556,794 78,572 29,260 33,171 280,272 613,9052014 3,983,412 1,213,348 440,634 772,714 2,770,064 2,115,346 1,815,514 959,877 667,085 124,016 33,928 30,608 299,832 654,718
2015 4,188,810 1,250,511 432,881 817,630 2,938,299 2,228,759 1,908,881 1,012,262 700,360 133,817 34,232 28,210 319,878 709,5402016 4,453,639 1,285,501 442,597 842,904 3,168,139 2,408,588 2,062,239 1,080,968 766,940 145,672 37,001 31,659 346,349 759,5512017 4,867,144 1,359,764 476,737 883,028 3,507,379 2,683,047 2,303,278 1,192,001 873,376 160,545 40,601 36,756 379,768 824,3332018 5,290,261 1,432,269 504,418 927,851 3,857,992 2,968,669 2,553,905 1,308,701 986,701 177,057 44,425 37,021 414,764 889,3232019 5,717,483 1,511,918 526,499 985,419 4,205,566 3,250,407 2,808,442 1,424,363 1,103,479 194,089 48,440 38,071 441,965 955,1592020 6,175,032 1,580,038 545,161 1,034,877 4,594,994 3,569,582 3,097,120 1,550,359 1,240,127 215,844 52,477 38,312 472,462 1,025,412
M-1
Total GobiernoFederal Suma
M-1. Ingreso Presupuestal del Sector Público: Escenario Base 2015-2020(% del PIB)
Ingreso Presupuestal del Sector PúblicoSector Petrolero Sector No Petrolero
Años Gobierno Federal OrganismosTotal Pemex Total Tributarios No y
Suma ISR IVA IEPS IMP Otros Tributarios Empresas
1980 19.56 6.31 3.24 3.07 13.24 8.55 7.96 4.19 2.04 0.52 0.75 0.45 0.60 4.691981 18.91 5.84 2.68 3.16 13.07 8.44 7.77 4.20 1.97 0.52 0.83 0.25 0.67 4.631982 20.71 8.40 3.98 4.42 12.31 7.39 6.56 3.58 1.67 0.47 0.64 0.20 0.83 4.921983 24.29 12.11 5.97 6.14 12.18 7.46 6.68 3.11 2.32 0.65 0.40 0.21 0.78 4.711984 23.82 11.10 5.53 5.56 12.72 7.34 6.74 3.15 2.45 0.55 0.40 0.20 0.60 5.381985 24.53 11.29 5.86 5.43 13.24 7.35 6.69 3.08 2.36 0.55 0.52 0.18 0.66 5.891986 24.42 10.21 5.90 4.31 14.21 8.04 7.29 3.28 2.43 0.67 0.67 0.23 0.75 6.171987 22.51 8.72 3.46 5.26 13.79 7.74 6.92 3.02 2.47 0.63 0.62 0.19 0.82 6.051988 22.44 7.18 3.17 4.01 15.26 9.20 7.79 3.78 2.72 0.70 0.35 0.23 1.41 6.061989 20.83 6.30 2.52 3.79 14.53 9.49 7.82 3.81 2.51 0.68 0.59 0.23 1.67 5.041990 20.41 6.18 2.78 3.40 14.23 9.45 8.09 3.60 2.91 0.66 0.70 0.22 1.37 4.771991 21.45 5.36 2.14 3.22 16.10 11.83 8.04 3.65 2.76 0.49 0.84 0.30 3.80 4.261992 21.16 5.17 1.83 3.35 15.98 11.67 8.14 4.14 2.17 0.39 0.92 0.52 3.53 4.311993 18.52 4.85 1.78 3.07 13.66 9.33 8.26 4.41 2.11 0.38 0.81 0.56 1.07 4.331994 18.47 4.79 1.82 2.97 13.69 9.42 7.78 4.10 2.17 0.35 0.71 0.46 1.63 4.271995 18.98 6.30 2.23 4.06 12.68 8.63 6.93 3.34 2.35 0.33 0.50 0.41 1.70 4.051996 19.23 6.84 2.43 4.41 12.39 8.59 6.81 3.22 2.39 0.31 0.49 0.40 1.78 3.801997 19.24 6.54 2.23 4.31 12.69 8.92 7.30 3.55 2.57 0.29 0.48 0.42 1.63 3.771998 17.07 5.08 1.79 3.29 11.99 8.59 7.47 3.70 2.61 0.33 0.47 0.37 1.12 3.401999 17.27 5.17 1.83 3.34 12.10 8.83 7.84 3.90 2.73 0.35 0.49 0.37 0.99 3.272000 18.37 6.08 1.68 4.40 12.29 9.03 7.97 4.00 2.93 0.24 0.51 0.29 1.06 3.262001 18.78 5.71 1.53 4.18 13.07 9.69 8.38 4.22 3.08 0.35 0.43 0.32 1.31 3.382002 19.37 5.73 2.10 3.63 13.65 10.19 8.60 4.45 3.05 0.34 0.38 0.39 1.58 3.462003 20.79 6.93 2.28 4.65 13.86 10.08 8.82 4.38 3.31 0.39 0.35 0.40 1.25 3.792004 20.38 7.33 2.19 5.14 13.04 9.47 8.25 3.97 3.28 0.37 0.34 0.29 1.23 3.572005 20.63 7.70 1.97 5.73 12.94 9.23 8.40 4.07 3.37 0.36 0.28 0.30 0.83 3.702006 21.48 8.17 3.01 5.16 13.31 9.63 8.83 4.25 3.61 0.35 0.30 0.32 0.80 3.672007 21.80 7.72 3.29 4.44 14.08 10.57 9.18 4.62 3.59 0.36 0.28 0.33 1.39 3.512008 23.34 8.60 2.96 5.65 14.74 11.08 9.85 5.11 3.73 0.40 0.29 0.32 1.22 3.662009 23.29 7.23 3.16 4.07 16.07 12.47 9.31 4.92 3.37 0.39 0.25 0.37 3.17 3.602010 22.29 7.33 2.90 4.42 14.96 11.24 9.90 5.12 3.80 0.46 0.18 0.34 1.34 3.732011 22.48 7.57 2.72 4.86 14.91 11.09 9.87 5.22 3.69 0.48 0.18 0.30 1.22 3.822012 22.49 7.58 2.96 4.61 14.91 11.08 9.71 5.14 3.71 0.47 0.18 0.21 1.37 3.832013 23.57 7.83 3.00 4.83 15.75 11.94 10.20 5.87 3.45 0.49 0.18 0.21 1.74 3.812014 23.36 7.12 2.58 4.53 16.25 12.41 10.65 5.63 3.91 0.73 0.20 0.18 1.76 3.84
2015 23.16 6.92 2.39 4.52 16.25 12.32 10.56 5.60 3.87 0.74 0.19 0.16 1.77 3.922016 22.93 6.62 2.28 4.34 16.31 12.40 10.62 5.57 3.95 0.75 0.19 0.16 1.78 3.912017 23.04 6.44 2.26 4.18 16.60 12.70 10.90 5.64 4.13 0.76 0.19 0.17 1.80 3.902018 23.01 6.23 2.19 4.04 16.78 12.91 11.11 5.69 4.29 0.77 0.19 0.16 1.80 3.872019 22.98 6.08 2.12 3.96 16.90 13.06 11.29 5.72 4.43 0.78 0.19 0.15 1.78 3.842020 22.89 5.86 2.02 3.84 17.03 13.23 11.48 5.75 4.60 0.80 0.19 0.14 1.75 3.80
M-2
Total GobiernoFederal Suma
M-1. Ingreso Presupuestal del Sector Público: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Variación % anual real)
Ingreso Presupuestal del Sector PúblicoSector Petrolero Sector No Petrolero
Años Gobierno Federal OrganismosTotal Pemex Total Tributarios No y
Suma ISR IVA IEPS IMP Otros Tributarios Empresas
1980 21.1 53.9 15.1 139.2 9.9 12.8 11.3 12.7 29.7 -23.8 28.4 -23.2 36.5 5.11981 3.6 -0.9 -11.3 10.1 5.7 5.7 4.6 7.4 3.4 5.8 17.9 -40.3 21.3 5.71982 10.9 45.7 50.4 41.7 -4.6 -11.4 -14.4 -13.8 -14.0 -7.3 -22.2 -18.3 24.1 7.81983 4.7 28.7 33.8 24.1 -11.7 -9.9 -9.2 -22.5 23.8 22.1 -44.2 -8.7 -15.3 -14.51984 -2.3 -8.7 -7.6 -9.7 4.1 -2.0 0.6 0.9 5.0 -15.6 0.0 -2.6 -23.8 13.81985 5.9 4.6 8.9 0.3 7.0 3.0 2.0 0.4 -0.6 3.3 34.8 -9.3 13.3 12.51986 -12.3 -20.3 -11.3 -30.1 -5.4 -3.6 -4.0 -6.0 -9.3 7.6 13.0 16.2 0.0 -7.71987 -1.8 -9.0 -37.6 30.2 3.4 2.6 1.2 -1.9 8.2 -1.0 -1.9 -14.8 16.9 4.51988 -5.5 -21.9 -13.0 -27.8 4.9 12.7 6.7 18.7 4.5 6.4 -45.7 16.9 62.8 -5.01989 2.1 -3.5 -12.6 3.8 4.7 13.4 10.4 10.9 1.1 7.2 83.6 10.1 30.1 -8.51990 4.3 4.4 17.6 -4.5 4.2 6.0 10.1 0.5 23.5 2.7 25.8 3.7 -12.9 0.91991 10.3 -9.1 -19.5 -0.6 18.7 31.3 4.2 6.3 -0.4 -22.3 26.7 38.2 191.6 -6.31992 1.5 -0.6 -12.0 7.0 2.2 1.6 4.3 16.7 -19.0 -17.0 12.5 80.8 -4.3 4.11993 -10.6 -4.3 -0.6 -6.3 -12.7 -18.3 3.6 8.8 -0.9 -2.3 -10.3 10.0 -69.0 2.51994 5.7 4.6 8.5 2.3 6.1 6.9 -0.2 -1.5 8.8 -2.6 -6.3 -12.7 61.6 4.51995 -5.6 20.8 12.7 25.8 -14.9 -15.8 -18.2 -25.1 -0.5 -11.4 -35.0 -19.3 -4.4 -12.81996 3.2 10.6 10.7 10.5 -0.5 1.3 0.0 -1.9 3.6 -6.4 -0.8 1.2 6.7 -4.51997 4.5 -0.1 -3.9 2.0 7.0 8.6 12.0 15.3 12.4 -2.1 1.0 7.6 -4.5 3.51998 -7.7 -19.3 -16.8 -20.6 -1.8 0.1 6.4 8.2 5.8 17.8 2.4 -8.4 -28.1 -6.31999 4.8 5.3 5.7 5.1 4.5 6.5 8.7 9.4 8.2 10.2 9.0 4.1 -8.4 -0.42000 13.4 25.5 -2.0 40.4 8.3 9.0 8.4 9.3 14.5 -27.2 9.9 -15.1 13.1 6.42001 0.6 -7.6 -10.4 -6.5 4.7 5.7 3.5 3.7 3.3 44.1 -17.3 6.0 21.8 2.02002 3.9 1.0 38.0 -12.5 5.2 5.8 3.3 6.2 -0.2 -2.6 -10.3 24.7 22.0 3.22003 10.3 24.4 12.1 31.6 4.4 1.7 5.4 1.2 11.4 20.1 -5.5 4.2 -18.7 12.52004 5.7 14.1 3.7 19.3 1.5 1.5 0.8 -2.2 7.0 1.0 4.8 -21.3 5.9 1.72005 5.7 9.6 -6.5 16.5 3.6 1.8 6.4 7.1 7.4 3.8 -12.6 10.2 -29.4 8.42006 12.1 14.4 65.2 -3.0 10.8 12.4 13.3 12.5 15.3 3.6 14.1 11.6 3.9 6.82007 5.6 -1.6 13.5 -10.5 10.1 14.2 8.2 13.2 3.4 8.0 -2.4 7.8 80.0 -0.72008 9.5 13.9 -8.0 30.1 7.0 7.2 9.7 13.0 6.3 12.9 5.7 -0.9 -9.7 6.72009 -6.5 -21.3 0.1 -32.5 2.2 5.5 -11.5 -9.8 -15.3 -8.7 -19.9 10.5 142.2 -7.92010 0.9 6.9 -3.1 14.6 -1.8 -5.0 12.1 9.7 18.8 22.9 -22.0 -4.6 -55.3 9.32011 6.9 9.5 -0.8 16.3 5.6 4.6 5.7 8.0 3.0 10.5 6.0 -4.9 -4.0 8.52012 3.2 3.2 12.5 -2.0 3.2 3.1 1.4 1.7 3.7 1.2 -0.3 -30.1 16.6 3.52013 4.2 2.7 0.5 4.1 4.9 7.1 4.4 13.5 -7.5 3.8 1.0 -0.8 25.7 -1.22014 0.8 -7.5 -12.3 -4.6 4.9 5.7 6.1 -2.5 15.2 51.7 11.5 -11.3 2.8 2.5
2015 2.1 0.1 -4.6 2.8 3.0 2.3 2.1 2.4 2.0 4.8 -2.0 -10.5 3.6 5.22016 2.7 -0.7 -1.2 -0.4 4.1 4.4 4.3 3.1 5.8 5.1 4.4 8.4 4.6 3.42017 5.2 1.9 3.7 0.9 6.6 7.3 7.5 6.2 9.7 6.1 5.7 11.8 5.6 4.52018 4.6 1.4 1.8 1.1 5.9 6.5 6.7 5.7 8.7 6.1 5.3 -3.1 5.1 3.82019 4.2 1.8 0.7 2.4 5.1 5.6 6.0 5.0 7.9 5.7 5.2 -0.8 2.8 3.62020 4.4 1.0 0.1 1.5 5.6 6.2 6.6 5.2 8.6 7.5 4.7 -2.7 3.3 3.8
M-3
Total GobiernoFederal Suma
M-1. Ingreso Presupuestal del Sector Público: Escenario Básico 2015-2020(Estructura Porcentual)
Ingreso Presupuestal del Sector PúblicoSector Petrolero Sector No Petrolero
Años Gobierno Federal OrganismosTotal Pemex Total Tributarios No y
Suma ISR IVA IEPS IMP Otros Tributarios Empresas
1980 100.0 32.3 16.6 15.7 67.7 43.7 40.7 21.4 10.4 2.7 3.9 2.3 3.0 24.01981 100.0 30.9 14.2 16.7 69.1 44.6 41.1 22.2 10.4 2.7 4.4 1.3 3.6 24.51982 100.0 40.6 19.2 21.3 59.4 35.7 31.7 17.3 8.1 2.3 3.1 1.0 4.0 23.81983 100.0 49.9 24.6 25.3 50.1 30.7 27.5 12.8 9.6 2.7 1.6 0.8 3.2 19.41984 100.0 46.6 23.2 23.4 53.4 30.8 28.3 13.2 10.3 2.3 1.7 0.8 2.5 22.61985 100.0 46.0 23.9 22.1 54.0 30.0 27.3 12.5 9.6 2.2 2.1 0.7 2.7 24.01986 100.0 41.8 24.2 17.6 58.2 32.9 29.9 13.4 10.0 2.8 2.7 1.0 3.1 25.31987 100.0 38.7 15.4 23.4 61.3 34.4 30.7 13.4 11.0 2.8 2.7 0.8 3.6 26.91988 100.0 32.0 14.1 17.9 68.0 41.0 34.7 16.9 12.1 3.1 1.6 1.0 6.3 27.01989 100.0 30.3 12.1 18.2 69.7 45.6 37.5 18.3 12.0 3.3 2.8 1.1 8.0 24.21990 100.0 30.3 13.6 16.6 69.7 46.3 39.6 17.6 14.2 3.2 3.4 1.1 6.7 23.41991 100.0 25.0 10.0 15.0 75.0 55.1 37.5 17.0 12.9 2.3 3.9 1.4 17.7 19.91992 100.0 24.5 8.6 15.8 75.5 55.2 38.5 19.5 10.3 1.9 4.3 2.5 16.7 20.41993 100.0 26.2 9.6 16.6 73.8 50.4 44.6 23.8 11.4 2.0 4.4 3.0 5.8 23.41994 100.0 25.9 9.9 16.1 74.1 51.0 42.1 22.2 11.7 1.9 3.9 2.5 8.8 23.11995 100.0 33.2 11.8 21.4 66.8 45.5 36.5 17.6 12.4 1.8 2.7 2.1 8.9 21.41996 100.0 35.6 12.6 22.9 64.4 44.7 35.4 16.7 12.4 1.6 2.6 2.1 9.3 19.81997 100.0 34.0 11.6 22.4 66.0 46.4 37.9 18.5 13.4 1.5 2.5 2.2 8.5 19.61998 100.0 29.8 10.5 19.3 70.2 50.3 43.8 21.6 15.3 1.9 2.7 2.1 6.6 19.91999 100.0 29.9 10.6 19.3 70.1 51.2 45.4 22.6 15.8 2.0 2.9 2.1 5.8 18.92000 100.0 33.1 9.1 24.0 66.9 49.1 43.4 21.8 16.0 1.3 2.8 1.6 5.7 17.82001 100.0 30.4 8.1 22.3 69.6 51.6 44.7 22.5 16.4 1.8 2.3 1.7 7.0 18.02002 100.0 29.6 10.8 18.7 70.4 52.6 44.4 23.0 15.7 1.7 2.0 2.0 8.2 17.92003 100.0 33.3 11.0 22.3 66.7 48.5 42.4 21.1 15.9 1.9 1.7 1.9 6.0 18.22004 100.0 36.0 10.8 25.2 64.0 46.5 40.5 19.5 16.1 1.8 1.7 1.4 6.0 17.52005 100.0 37.3 9.5 27.8 62.7 44.7 40.7 19.7 16.3 1.8 1.4 1.5 4.0 18.02006 100.0 38.0 14.0 24.0 62.0 44.8 41.1 19.8 16.8 1.6 1.4 1.5 3.7 17.12007 100.0 35.4 15.1 20.4 64.6 48.5 42.1 21.2 16.5 1.7 1.3 1.5 6.4 16.12008 100.0 36.9 12.7 24.2 63.1 47.5 42.2 21.9 16.0 1.7 1.3 1.4 5.2 15.72009 100.0 31.0 13.6 17.5 69.0 53.5 39.9 21.1 14.5 1.7 1.1 1.6 13.6 15.42010 100.0 32.9 13.0 19.8 67.1 50.4 44.4 23.0 17.0 2.0 0.8 1.5 6.0 16.72011 100.0 33.7 12.1 21.6 66.3 49.3 43.9 23.2 16.4 2.1 0.8 1.4 5.4 17.02012 100.0 33.7 13.2 20.5 66.3 49.3 43.2 22.9 16.5 2.1 0.8 0.9 6.1 17.02013 100.0 33.2 12.7 20.5 66.8 50.6 43.3 24.9 14.7 2.1 0.8 0.9 7.4 16.22014 100.0 30.5 11.1 19.4 69.5 53.1 45.6 24.1 16.7 3.1 0.9 0.8 7.5 16.4
2015 100.0 29.9 10.3 19.5 70.1 53.2 45.6 24.2 16.7 3.2 0.8 0.7 7.6 16.92016 100.0 28.9 9.9 18.9 71.1 54.1 46.3 24.3 17.2 3.3 0.8 0.7 7.8 17.12017 100.0 27.9 9.8 18.1 72.1 55.1 47.3 24.5 17.9 3.3 0.8 0.8 7.8 16.92018 100.0 27.1 9.5 17.5 72.9 56.1 48.3 24.7 18.7 3.3 0.8 0.7 7.8 16.82019 100.0 26.4 9.2 17.2 73.6 56.9 49.1 24.9 19.3 3.4 0.8 0.7 7.7 16.72020 100.0 25.6 8.8 16.8 74.4 57.8 50.2 25.1 20.1 3.5 0.8 0.6 7.7 16.6
M-4
Total GobiernoFederal Suma
M-2. Gasto Neto Presupuestal del Sector Público: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Millones de pesos)
Gasto Neto Presupuestal del Sector PúblicoGasto Programable Gasto No Programable
Años Gasto Corriente Gasto de Capital Costo Financiero Participación AdefasSub Total Servicios Otros Inversión Inversión Sub Total Pago de IPAB y a Estados y Ajenas
Personales Gastos Física Financiera Intereses Otros y Municipios Netas
1980 1,401 1,072 705 268 437 368 355 13 329 145 145 0 102 821981 2,251 1,672 998 385 613 674 657 17 579 287 287 0 153 1391982 4,066 2,428 1,592 676 916 836 790 46 1,638 1,157 1,157 0 218 2631983 6,991 3,932 2,817 1,026 1,791 1,116 1,040 76 3,059 2,265 2,265 0 499 2941984 11,070 6,139 4,520 1,661 2,859 1,620 1,504 116 4,931 3,658 3,658 0 843 4301985 18,698 11,259 7,877 2,725 5,152 3,382 2,561 820 7,440 5,554 5,554 0 1,275 6101986 35,729 19,264 15,297 4,440 10,857 3,966 3,222 744 16,149 13,389 13,389 0 2,042 7171987 84,401 39,611 29,725 11,089 18,636 9,886 7,876 2,010 44,790 38,375 38,375 0 5,133 1,2821988 151,485 71,250 56,356 20,019 36,338 14,894 12,797 2,097 77,726 66,938 66,938 0 11,132 -3451989 167,894 85,711 69,423 26,028 43,395 16,288 14,186 2,101 82,183 67,109 67,109 0 14,499 5751990 203,452 112,868 85,468 33,102 52,366 27,400 22,843 4,557 90,584 67,118 67,118 0 20,717 2,7491991 226,368 144,259 109,338 44,979 64,358 34,922 31,836 3,085 82,109 48,227 48,227 0 26,741 7,1421992 250,265 172,333 130,460 56,289 74,171 41,873 37,833 4,040 77,933 40,847 40,847 0 32,972 4,1131993 282,178 201,968 163,163 71,720 91,443 38,805 36,080 2,725 80,210 33,333 33,333 0 37,692 9,1851994 328,191 244,630 192,270 85,378 106,892 52,360 47,771 4,589 83,560 32,920 32,920 0 41,608 9,0331995 422,057 282,615 223,357 116,925 106,432 59,258 51,891 7,367 139,442 84,769 69,769 15,000 49,159 5,5141996 583,982 396,132 303,020 156,995 146,025 93,113 75,884 17,229 187,850 110,463 89,401 21,062 70,901 6,4871997 751,526 516,317 405,675 216,821 188,854 110,642 101,055 9,587 235,164 130,187 90,401 39,786 94,529 10,4481998 830,610 595,276 476,414 265,733 210,682 118,861 112,217 6,645 235,247 111,264 101,158 10,107 113,578 10,4051999 1,009,346 704,684 575,623 337,176 238,448 129,061 117,367 11,694 304,661 164,346 140,554 23,792 140,671 -3562000 1,248,157 860,920 714,572 392,122 322,450 146,349 139,356 6,992 387,237 201,017 140,499 60,518 178,136 8,0842001 1,311,670 925,257 774,389 423,009 351,381 150,868 141,276 9,592 386,413 188,062 148,212 39,850 196,931 1,4192002 1,459,951 1,060,772 862,714 478,172 384,542 198,058 146,276 51,782 399,179 178,375 134,392 43,983 214,910 5,8952003 1,648,243 1,216,023 1,006,575 506,355 500,220 209,448 186,830 22,618 432,220 190,863 160,452 30,411 225,228 16,1292004 1,792,297 1,317,011 1,044,632 517,897 526,735 272,379 227,633 44,745 475,286 206,830 161,895 44,935 239,890 28,5652005 1,958,012 1,458,540 1,171,191 557,422 613,769 287,350 234,545 52,805 499,472 210,186 182,731 27,455 278,892 10,3932006 2,255,221 1,656,938 1,321,397 610,652 710,745 335,541 273,340 62,201 598,283 250,065 211,465 38,600 329,337 18,8812007 2,482,504 1,894,953 1,489,976 653,560 836,416 404,977 338,764 66,213 587,551 238,956 210,943 28,013 332,758 15,8372008 2,872,608 2,210,197 1,678,214 709,820 968,393 531,983 373,961 158,022 662,411 227,113 197,070 30,043 423,455 11,8442009 3,088,877 2,436,549 1,829,909 765,431 1,064,478 606,640 549,325 57,315 652,328 262,813 231,736 31,076 375,717 13,7982010 3,333,948 2,618,907 1,958,839 800,072 1,158,767 660,069 622,501 37,568 715,041 255,755 242,034 13,721 437,328 21,9582011 3,631,316 2,860,941 2,157,393 861,401 1,295,992 703,548 650,135 53,414 770,375 273,931 258,485 15,446 477,256 19,1872012 3,920,305 3,102,198 2,360,695 926,102 1,434,593 741,503 680,976 60,528 818,107 305,119 291,789 13,330 494,265 18,7242013 4,178,322 3,316,609 2,440,772 963,100 1,477,671 875,837 735,501 140,337 861,713 314,551 300,846 13,705 532,456 14,7062014 4,530,629 3,580,285 2,682,877 1,020,830 1,662,048 897,408 822,635 74,774 950,343 346,015 334,284 11,731 584,723 19,606
2015 4,828,516 3,846,670 2,953,024 1,090,431 1,862,593 893,645 866,234 27,411 981,846 383,645 372,012 11,632 575,235 22,9662016 5,062,302 4,060,581 3,132,910 1,142,065 1,990,845 927,671 897,419 30,252 1,001,721 430,522 418,743 11,778 546,338 24,8612017 5,416,615 4,304,715 3,320,737 1,208,309 2,112,428 983,978 948,572 35,406 1,111,900 490,947 478,887 12,060 592,857 28,0952018 5,800,485 4,573,500 3,526,194 1,278,490 2,247,704 1,047,306 1,006,435 40,872 1,226,985 556,637 544,206 12,431 640,224 30,1232019 6,231,449 4,846,722 3,746,164 1,351,157 2,395,007 1,100,558 1,054,743 45,815 1,384,727 642,027 629,214 12,813 710,601 32,0992020 6,725,793 5,204,566 4,038,990 1,462,346 2,576,644 1,165,576 1,114,864 50,712 1,521,227 747,504 734,289 13,215 739,458 34,265
M-5
Suma Suma SumaTotal
M-2. Gasto Neto Presupuestal del Sector Público: Escenario Básico 2015-2020(% del PIB)
Gasto Neto Presupuestal del Sector PúblicoGasto Programable Gasto No Programable
Años Gasto Corriente Gasto de Capital Costo Financiero Participación AdefasSub Total Servicios Otros Inversión Inversión Sub Total Pago de IPAB y a Estados y Ajenas
Personales Gastos Física Financiera Intereses Otros y Municipios Netas
1980 23.82 18.23 11.98 4.55 7.43 6.25 6.03 0.22 5.59 2.46 2.46 0.00 1.74 1.391981 27.92 20.74 12.38 4.77 7.61 8.36 8.15 0.21 7.18 3.56 3.56 0.00 1.90 1.731982 31.32 18.70 12.26 5.20 7.06 6.44 6.09 0.35 12.62 8.91 8.91 0.00 1.68 2.031983 29.90 16.82 12.05 4.39 7.66 4.77 4.45 0.32 13.08 9.69 9.69 0.00 2.14 1.261984 28.72 15.93 11.72 4.31 7.42 4.20 3.90 0.30 12.79 9.49 9.49 0.00 2.19 1.121985 29.91 18.01 12.60 4.36 8.24 5.41 4.10 1.31 11.90 8.88 8.88 0.00 2.04 0.981986 34.82 18.77 14.91 4.33 10.58 3.86 3.14 0.73 15.74 13.05 13.05 0.00 1.99 0.701987 33.29 15.63 11.73 4.37 7.35 3.90 3.11 0.79 17.67 15.14 15.14 0.00 2.02 0.511988 29.43 13.84 10.95 3.89 7.06 2.89 2.49 0.41 15.10 13.01 13.01 0.00 2.16 -0.071989 24.71 12.62 10.22 3.83 6.39 2.40 2.09 0.31 12.10 9.88 9.88 0.00 2.13 0.081990 22.21 12.32 9.33 3.61 5.72 2.99 2.49 0.50 9.89 7.33 7.33 0.00 2.26 0.301991 19.21 12.24 9.28 3.82 5.46 2.96 2.70 0.26 6.97 4.09 4.09 0.00 2.27 0.611992 17.86 12.30 9.31 4.02 5.29 2.99 2.70 0.29 5.56 2.92 2.92 0.00 2.35 0.291993 17.97 12.86 10.39 4.57 5.82 2.47 2.30 0.17 5.11 2.12 2.12 0.00 2.40 0.581994 18.44 13.75 10.80 4.80 6.01 2.94 2.68 0.26 4.70 1.85 1.85 0.00 2.34 0.511995 19.12 12.81 10.12 5.30 4.82 2.69 2.35 0.33 6.32 3.84 3.16 0.68 2.23 0.251996 19.34 13.12 10.03 5.20 4.84 3.08 2.51 0.57 6.22 3.66 2.96 0.70 2.35 0.211997 19.75 13.57 10.66 5.70 4.96 2.91 2.66 0.25 6.18 3.42 2.38 1.05 2.48 0.271998 18.11 12.98 10.39 5.79 4.59 2.59 2.45 0.14 5.13 2.43 2.21 0.22 2.48 0.231999 18.22 12.72 10.39 6.09 4.30 2.33 2.12 0.21 5.50 2.97 2.54 0.43 2.54 -0.012000 19.31 13.32 11.05 6.07 4.99 2.26 2.16 0.11 5.99 3.11 2.17 0.94 2.76 0.132001 19.37 13.67 11.44 6.25 5.19 2.23 2.09 0.14 5.71 2.78 2.19 0.59 2.91 0.022002 20.39 14.81 12.05 6.68 5.37 2.77 2.04 0.72 5.57 2.49 1.88 0.61 3.00 0.082003 21.42 15.80 13.08 6.58 6.50 2.72 2.43 0.29 5.62 2.48 2.08 0.40 2.93 0.212004 20.62 15.15 12.02 5.96 6.06 3.13 2.62 0.51 5.47 2.38 1.86 0.52 2.76 0.332005 20.74 15.45 12.40 5.90 6.50 3.04 2.48 0.56 5.29 2.23 1.94 0.29 2.95 0.112006 21.40 15.72 12.54 5.79 6.74 3.18 2.59 0.59 5.68 2.37 2.01 0.37 3.13 0.182007 21.77 16.62 13.07 5.73 7.33 3.55 2.97 0.58 5.15 2.10 1.85 0.25 2.92 0.142008 23.44 18.03 13.69 5.79 7.90 4.34 3.05 1.29 5.40 1.85 1.61 0.25 3.45 0.102009 25.54 20.15 15.13 6.33 8.80 5.02 4.54 0.47 5.39 2.17 1.92 0.26 3.11 0.112010 25.10 19.72 14.75 6.02 8.72 4.97 4.69 0.28 5.38 1.93 1.82 0.10 3.29 0.172011 24.96 19.66 14.83 5.92 8.91 4.84 4.47 0.37 5.29 1.88 1.78 0.11 3.28 0.132012 25.09 19.85 15.11 5.93 9.18 4.74 4.36 0.39 5.23 1.95 1.87 0.09 3.16 0.122013 25.92 20.57 15.14 5.97 9.17 5.43 4.56 0.87 5.35 1.95 1.87 0.09 3.30 0.092014 26.57 21.00 15.73 5.99 9.75 5.26 4.82 0.44 5.57 2.03 1.96 0.07 3.43 0.11
2015 26.70 21.27 16.33 6.03 10.30 4.94 4.79 0.15 5.43 2.12 2.06 0.06 3.18 0.132016 26.06 20.91 16.13 5.88 10.25 4.78 4.62 0.16 5.16 2.22 2.16 0.06 2.81 0.132017 25.64 20.38 15.72 5.72 10.00 4.66 4.49 0.17 5.26 2.32 2.27 0.06 2.81 0.132018 25.23 19.89 15.34 5.56 9.78 4.55 4.38 0.18 5.34 2.42 2.37 0.05 2.78 0.132019 25.04 19.48 15.06 5.43 9.63 4.42 4.24 0.18 5.56 2.58 2.53 0.05 2.86 0.132020 24.93 19.29 14.97 5.42 9.55 4.32 4.13 0.19 5.64 2.77 2.72 0.05 2.74 0.13
M-6
Suma Suma SumaTotal
M-2. Gasto Neto Presupuestal del Sector Público: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Variación % anual real)
Gasto Neto Presupuestal del Sector PúblicoGasto Programable Gasto No Programable
Años Gasto Corriente Gasto de Capital Costo Financiero Participación AdefasSub Total Servicios Otros Inversión Inversión Sub Total Pago de IPAB y a Estados y Ajenas
Personales Gastos Física Financiera Intereses Otros y Municipios Netas
1980 20.8 16.1 17.8 8.5 24.4 12.8 37.9 -81.0 39.3 21.3 21.3 0.0 64.2 50.41981 25.6 21.9 10.7 12.4 9.7 43.2 44.8 -0.4 37.7 54.9 54.9 0.0 17.1 33.01982 13.7 -8.6 0.4 10.5 -6.0 -21.9 -24.3 72.6 78.0 153.8 153.8 0.0 -10.2 18.81983 -14.8 -19.8 -12.3 -24.8 -3.2 -33.9 -34.8 -18.0 -7.5 -3.0 -3.0 0.0 13.4 -44.61984 -4.3 -5.6 -3.0 -2.1 -3.5 -12.2 -12.6 -7.7 -2.6 -2.4 -2.4 0.0 2.0 -11.71985 7.1 16.3 10.5 4.0 14.2 32.4 8.0 349.4 -4.4 -3.7 -3.7 0.0 -4.1 -10.11986 2.6 -8.1 4.3 -12.5 13.2 -37.0 -32.5 -51.3 16.6 29.4 29.4 0.0 -14.0 -36.91987 1.9 -11.3 -16.2 7.7 -26.0 7.5 5.4 16.5 19.6 23.6 23.6 0.0 8.4 -22.91988 -16.2 -16.0 -11.5 -15.7 -9.0 -29.7 -24.1 -51.3 -19.0 -18.6 -18.6 0.0 1.3 -112.61989 -7.6 0.2 2.6 8.3 -0.5 -8.9 -7.6 -16.5 -11.9 -16.5 -16.5 0.0 8.5 -239.01990 -4.3 4.0 -2.8 0.4 -4.7 32.8 27.1 71.2 -13.0 -21.0 -21.0 0.0 12.8 277.51991 -9.3 4.2 4.3 10.8 0.2 3.9 13.6 -44.8 -26.1 -41.4 -41.4 0.0 5.2 111.81992 -4.3 3.4 3.3 8.3 -0.2 3.8 2.9 13.4 -17.8 -26.7 -26.7 0.0 6.7 -50.11993 2.7 6.8 14.0 16.1 12.3 -15.6 -13.1 -38.5 -6.2 -25.6 -25.6 0.0 4.2 103.51994 8.7 13.2 10.2 11.3 9.3 26.1 23.8 57.5 -2.6 -7.7 -7.7 0.0 3.2 -8.11995 -4.7 -14.4 -13.9 1.4 -26.2 -16.2 -19.5 18.9 23.6 90.7 57.0 0.0 -12.5 -54.81996 3.0 4.3 1.0 -0.1 2.1 16.9 8.8 74.0 0.3 -3.0 -4.6 4.5 7.3 -12.51997 6.7 8.1 11.0 14.5 7.2 -1.5 10.4 -53.9 3.8 -2.3 -16.2 56.6 10.5 33.51998 -4.7 -0.5 1.3 5.7 -3.8 -7.3 -4.2 -40.2 -13.7 -26.3 -3.5 -78.1 3.6 -14.11999 4.2 1.5 3.6 8.8 -2.9 -6.9 -10.3 51.0 11.1 26.7 19.2 101.9 6.2 -102.92000 12.9 11.6 13.4 6.2 23.5 3.6 8.4 -45.4 16.1 11.7 -8.7 132.3 15.7 -2,176.22001 -1.2 1.0 1.9 1.4 2.4 -3.1 -4.7 29.0 -6.2 -12.0 -0.8 -38.1 3.9 -83.52002 6.0 9.2 6.1 7.6 4.2 25.0 -1.4 414.0 -1.6 -9.7 -13.7 5.1 3.9 295.42003 8.0 9.7 11.6 1.3 24.4 1.2 22.2 -58.2 3.6 2.3 14.2 -33.9 0.2 161.72004 3.9 3.5 -0.9 -2.3 0.6 24.2 16.4 89.0 5.0 3.5 -3.6 41.1 1.7 69.22005 5.1 6.5 7.8 3.5 12.1 1.5 -0.9 13.5 1.1 -2.3 8.5 -41.2 11.8 -65.02006 11.1 9.6 8.9 5.7 11.7 12.7 12.5 13.7 15.6 14.8 11.7 35.7 14.0 75.32007 5.9 10.0 8.5 2.9 13.2 16.1 19.2 2.4 -5.5 -8.1 -4.1 -30.2 -2.8 -19.32008 10.1 10.9 7.1 3.3 10.1 25.0 5.0 127.0 7.2 -9.6 -11.1 2.0 21.1 -28.92009 2.1 4.7 3.6 2.4 4.4 8.3 39.5 -65.6 -6.5 9.9 11.7 -1.8 -15.7 10.62010 3.6 3.2 2.8 0.4 4.5 4.5 8.8 -37.1 5.2 -6.6 0.3 -57.6 11.8 52.82011 5.3 5.6 6.5 4.1 8.2 3.1 1.0 37.5 4.2 3.6 3.3 8.9 5.5 -15.52012 3.7 4.2 5.1 3.3 6.3 1.2 0.6 8.8 2.0 7.0 8.4 -17.1 -0.5 -6.32013 2.7 3.0 -0.4 0.2 -0.8 13.8 4.0 123.4 1.5 -0.7 -0.7 -1.0 3.8 -24.32014 4.2 3.8 5.7 1.9 8.1 -1.5 7.5 -48.8 6.0 5.8 6.8 -17.7 5.6 28.2
2015 3.5 4.3 6.9 3.7 8.8 -3.3 2.3 -64.4 0.3 7.7 8.1 -3.7 -4.5 13.82016 1.3 2.0 2.5 1.2 3.2 0.3 0.1 6.6 -1.5 8.4 8.7 -2.2 -8.3 4.62017 3.0 2.1 2.1 1.9 2.2 2.1 1.8 12.7 6.9 9.8 10.1 -1.4 4.5 8.82018 3.1 2.3 2.2 1.8 2.4 2.4 2.1 11.1 6.2 9.1 9.4 -0.8 3.9 3.22019 3.6 2.2 2.5 1.9 2.8 1.3 1.1 8.1 8.8 11.2 11.5 -0.6 7.0 2.82020 4.3 3.8 4.2 4.6 4.0 2.4 2.2 7.0 6.2 12.5 12.8 -0.3 0.6 3.2
M-7
Suma Suma SumaTotal
M-2. Gasto Neto Presupuestal del Sector Público: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Estructura Porcentual)
Gasto Neto Presupuestal del Sector PúblicoGasto Programable Gasto No Programable
Años Gasto Corriente Gasto de Capital Costo Financiero Participación AdefasSub Total Servicios Otros Inversión Inversión Sub Total Pago de IPAB y a Estados y Ajenas
Personales Gastos Física Financiera Intereses Otros y Municipios Netas
1980 100.0 76.5 50.3 19.1 31.2 26.3 25.3 0.9 23.5 10.3 10.3 0.0 7.3 5.81981 100.0 74.3 44.3 17.1 27.2 29.9 29.2 0.7 25.7 12.7 12.7 0.0 6.8 6.21982 100.0 59.7 39.1 16.6 22.5 20.6 19.4 1.1 40.3 28.4 28.4 0.0 5.4 6.51983 100.0 56.2 40.3 14.7 25.6 16.0 14.9 1.1 43.8 32.4 32.4 0.0 7.1 4.21984 100.0 55.5 40.8 15.0 25.8 14.6 13.6 1.0 44.5 33.0 33.0 0.0 7.6 3.91985 100.0 60.2 42.1 14.6 27.6 18.1 13.7 4.4 39.8 29.7 29.7 0.0 6.8 3.31986 100.0 53.9 42.8 12.4 30.4 11.1 9.0 2.1 45.2 37.5 37.5 0.0 5.7 2.01987 100.0 46.9 35.2 13.1 22.1 11.7 9.3 2.4 53.1 45.5 45.5 0.0 6.1 1.51988 100.0 47.0 37.2 13.2 24.0 9.8 8.4 1.4 51.3 44.2 44.2 0.0 7.3 -0.21989 100.0 51.1 41.3 15.5 25.8 9.7 8.4 1.3 48.9 40.0 40.0 0.0 8.6 0.31990 100.0 55.5 42.0 16.3 25.7 13.5 11.2 2.2 44.5 33.0 33.0 0.0 10.2 1.41991 100.0 63.7 48.3 19.9 28.4 15.4 14.1 1.4 36.3 21.3 21.3 0.0 11.8 3.21992 100.0 68.9 52.1 22.5 29.6 16.7 15.1 1.6 31.1 16.3 16.3 0.0 13.2 1.61993 100.0 71.6 57.8 25.4 32.4 13.8 12.8 1.0 28.4 11.8 11.8 0.0 13.4 3.31994 100.0 74.5 58.6 26.0 32.6 16.0 14.6 1.4 25.5 10.0 10.0 0.0 12.7 2.81995 100.0 67.0 52.9 27.7 25.2 14.0 12.3 1.7 33.0 20.1 16.5 3.6 11.6 1.31996 100.0 67.8 51.9 26.9 25.0 15.9 13.0 3.0 32.2 18.9 15.3 3.6 12.1 1.11997 100.0 68.7 54.0 28.9 25.1 14.7 13.4 1.3 31.3 17.3 12.0 5.3 12.6 1.41998 100.0 71.7 57.4 32.0 25.4 14.3 13.5 0.8 28.3 13.4 12.2 1.2 13.7 1.31999 100.0 69.8 57.0 33.4 23.6 12.8 11.6 1.2 30.2 16.3 13.9 2.4 13.9 0.02000 100.0 69.0 57.3 31.4 25.8 11.7 11.2 0.6 31.0 16.1 11.3 4.8 14.3 0.62001 100.0 70.5 59.0 32.2 26.8 11.5 10.8 0.7 29.5 14.3 11.3 3.0 15.0 0.12002 100.0 72.7 59.1 32.8 26.3 13.6 10.0 3.5 27.3 12.2 9.2 3.0 14.7 0.42003 100.0 73.8 61.1 30.7 30.3 12.7 11.3 1.4 26.2 11.6 9.7 1.8 13.7 1.02004 100.0 73.5 58.3 28.9 29.4 15.2 12.7 2.5 26.5 11.5 9.0 2.5 13.4 1.62005 100.0 74.5 59.8 28.5 31.3 14.7 12.0 2.7 25.5 10.7 9.3 1.4 14.2 0.52006 100.0 73.5 58.6 27.1 31.5 14.9 12.1 2.8 26.5 11.1 9.4 1.7 14.6 0.82007 100.0 76.3 60.0 26.3 33.7 16.3 13.6 2.7 23.7 9.6 8.5 1.1 13.4 0.62008 100.0 76.9 58.4 24.7 33.7 18.5 13.0 5.5 23.1 7.9 6.9 1.0 14.7 0.42009 100.0 78.9 59.2 24.8 34.5 19.6 17.8 1.9 21.1 8.5 7.5 1.0 12.2 0.42010 100.0 78.6 58.8 24.0 34.8 19.8 18.7 1.1 21.4 7.7 7.3 0.4 13.1 0.72011 100.0 78.8 59.4 23.7 35.7 19.4 17.9 1.5 21.2 7.5 7.1 0.4 13.1 0.52012 100.0 79.1 60.2 23.6 36.6 18.9 17.4 1.5 20.9 7.8 7.4 0.3 12.6 0.52013 100.0 79.4 58.4 23.0 35.4 21.0 17.6 3.4 20.6 7.5 7.2 0.3 12.7 0.42014 100.0 79.0 59.2 22.5 36.7 19.8 18.2 1.7 21.0 7.6 7.4 0.3 12.9 0.4
2015 100.0 79.7 61.2 22.6 38.6 18.5 17.9 0.6 20.3 7.9 7.7 0.2 11.9 0.52016 100.0 80.2 61.9 22.6 39.3 18.3 17.7 0.6 19.8 8.5 8.3 0.2 10.8 0.52017 100.0 79.5 61.3 22.3 39.0 18.2 17.5 0.7 20.5 9.1 8.8 0.2 10.9 0.52018 100.0 78.8 60.8 22.0 38.8 18.1 17.4 0.7 21.2 9.6 9.4 0.2 11.0 0.52019 100.0 77.8 60.1 21.7 38.4 17.7 16.9 0.7 22.2 10.3 10.1 0.2 11.4 0.52020 100.0 77.4 60.1 21.7 38.3 17.3 16.6 0.8 22.6 11.1 10.9 0.2 11.0 0.5
M-8
Suma Suma SumaTotal
M-3. Balance Financiero del Sector Público: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Millones de Pesos)
Posición Financiera del Sector PúblicoBalance Tradicional Requerimientos Financieros del Sector Público
Años Balance Público Balance RFSP Ingresos RFSPBalance Balance Balance MAS: Inversión Balance Primario Sin Ingresos No Con Ingresos
Presupuestal No Presupuestal Económico sin EPE EPE Económico con EPE Económico Recurrentes Recurrentes Recurrentes
1980 -251 -42 -293 0 -293 -135 -364 0 01981 -727 -70 -797 0 -797 -492 -790 0 01982 -1,378 -153 -1,532 0 -1,532 -351 -1,618 0 01983 -1,312 -143 -1,455 0 -1,455 867 -2,078 0 01984 -1,888 -218 -2,106 0 -2,106 1,610 -2,794 0 01985 -3,363 -539 -3,902 0 -3,902 1,752 -4,787 0 01986 -10,673 -1,110 -11,783 0 -11,783 2,069 -12,569 0 01987 -27,339 -1,721 -29,061 0 -29,061 10,914 -29,575 0 01988 -35,978 -6,502 -42,479 0 -42,479 31,359 -48,303 0 01989 -26,344 1,076 -25,268 0 -25,268 42,449 -29,379 0 01990 -16,514 -2,752 -19,266 0 -19,266 52,965 -32,052 5,138 -26,9141991 26,450 -1,261 25,189 0 25,189 45,564 -17,062 33,664 16,6021992 46,191 294 46,485 0 46,485 58,159 -10,249 40,147 29,8991993 8,546 -303 8,243 0 8,243 42,003 -30,884 5,872 -25,0121994 608 2,739 3,346 0 3,346 29,458 -55,830 13,698 -42,1321995 -3,174 2,974 -201 0 -201 85,803 -72,690 17,101 -55,5891996 -3,260 3,543 283 0 283 109,563 -140,784 20,733 -120,0511997 -19,535 -3,477 -23,011 0 -23,011 111,434 -178,069 33,978 -144,0911998 -47,564 -355 -47,919 0 -47,919 65,667 -243,446 14,898 -228,5481999 -52,851 863 -51,988 0 -51,988 115,110 -294,870 17,827 -277,0432000 -60,453 -143 -60,596 0 -60,596 143,439 -208,074 22,712 -185,3622001 -40,293 -1,902 -42,195 0 -42,195 148,728 -225,238 40,883 -184,3562002 -72,716 -2,891 -75,607 0 -75,607 107,995 -221,070 43,700 -177,3702003 -47,957 5,491 -42,466 0 -42,466 143,850 -184,016 46,764 -137,2522004 -20,983 1,774 -19,208 0 -19,208 191,577 -160,042 115,054 -44,9882005 -10,196 71 -10,125 0 -10,125 201,564 -141,464 20,187 -121,2772006 8,381 1,552 9,934 0 9,934 260,294 -157,663 31,668 -125,9952007 3,282 1,528 4,810 0 4,810 247,004 -188,350 72,641 -115,7092008 -11,682 3,736 -7,946 0 -7,946 216,501 -284,728 87,732 -196,9962009 -271,691 -1,795 -22,076 251,410 -273,486 -7,692 -634,652 321,201 -313,4512010 -373,505 2,985 -102,006 268,515 -370,521 -113,725 -543,728 92,046 -451,6812011 -360,236 6,778 -86,197 267,261 -353,458 -81,093 -493,493 104,506 -388,9872012 -405,776 2,566 -91,216 311,993 -403,210 -97,486 -596,179 94,053 -502,1262013 -377,906 3,675 -45,659 328,572 -374,231 -60,221 -640,067 156,284 -483,7832014 -547,217 2,226 -188,302 356,689 -544,992 -193,262 -812,942 134,624 -678,318
2015 -639,705 2,893 -250,369 386,443 -636,812 -255,561 -854,700 121,789 -732,9102016 -608,662 5,536 -193,304 409,823 -603,127 -177,641 -807,330 107,568 -699,7622017 -549,471 -1,458 -107,319 443,610 -550,929 -58,024 -744,239 97,358 -646,8812018 -510,224 4,300 -16,142 489,781 -505,924 46,914 -689,943 88,657 -601,2872019 -513,966 -3,086 10,472 527,524 -517,052 128,560 -696,182 81,567 -614,6152020 -550,761 2,239 18,070 566,592 -548,521 197,243 -728,064 76,878 -651,185
M-9
M-3. Balance Financiero del Sector Público: Escenario Básico 2015-2020(% del PIB)
Posición Financiera del Sector PúblicoBalance Tradicional Requerimientos Financieros del Sector Público
Años Balance Público Balance RFSP Ingresos RFSPBalance Balance Balance MAS: Inversión Balance Primario Sin Ingresos No Con Ingresos
Presupuestal No Presupuestal Económico sin EPE EPE Económico con EPE Económico Recurrentes Recurrentes Recurrentes
1980 -4.26 -0.71 -4.97 0.00 -4.97 -2.30 -6.18 0.00 0.001981 -9.01 -0.87 -9.89 0.00 -9.89 -6.10 -9.80 0.00 0.001982 -10.62 -1.18 -11.80 0.00 -11.80 -2.71 -12.46 0.00 0.001983 -5.61 -0.61 -6.22 0.00 -6.22 3.71 -8.89 0.00 0.001984 -4.90 -0.57 -5.46 0.00 -5.46 4.18 -7.25 0.00 0.001985 -5.38 -0.86 -6.24 0.00 -6.24 2.80 -7.66 0.00 0.001986 -10.40 -1.08 -11.48 0.00 -11.48 2.02 -12.25 0.00 0.001987 -10.78 -0.68 -11.46 0.00 -11.46 4.31 -11.67 0.00 0.001988 -6.99 -1.26 -8.25 0.00 -8.25 6.09 -9.39 0.00 0.001989 -3.88 0.16 -3.72 0.00 -3.72 6.25 -4.32 0.00 0.001990 -1.80 -0.30 -2.10 0.00 -2.10 5.78 -3.50 0.56 -2.941991 2.24 -0.11 2.14 0.00 2.14 3.87 -1.45 2.86 1.411992 3.30 0.02 3.32 0.00 3.32 4.15 -0.73 2.87 2.131993 0.54 -0.02 0.52 0.00 0.52 2.68 -1.97 0.37 -1.591994 0.03 0.15 0.19 0.00 0.19 1.66 -3.14 0.77 -2.371995 -0.14 0.13 -0.01 0.00 -0.01 3.89 -3.29 0.77 -2.521996 -0.11 0.12 0.01 0.00 0.01 3.63 -4.66 0.69 -3.981997 -0.51 -0.09 -0.60 0.00 -0.60 2.93 -4.68 0.89 -3.791998 -1.04 -0.01 -1.04 0.00 -1.04 1.43 -5.31 0.32 -4.981999 -0.95 0.02 -0.94 0.00 -0.94 2.08 -5.32 0.32 -5.002000 -0.94 0.00 -0.94 0.00 -0.94 2.22 -3.22 0.35 -2.872001 -0.60 -0.03 -0.62 0.00 -0.62 2.20 -3.33 0.60 -2.722002 -1.02 -0.04 -1.06 0.00 -1.06 1.51 -3.09 0.61 -2.482003 -0.62 0.07 -0.55 0.00 -0.55 1.87 -2.39 0.61 -1.782004 -0.24 0.02 -0.22 0.00 -0.22 2.20 -1.84 1.32 -0.522005 -0.11 0.00 -0.11 0.00 -0.11 2.13 -1.50 0.21 -1.282006 0.08 0.01 0.09 0.00 0.09 2.47 -1.50 0.30 -1.202007 0.03 0.01 0.04 0.00 0.04 2.17 -1.65 0.64 -1.012008 -0.10 0.03 -0.06 0.00 -0.06 1.77 -2.32 0.72 -1.612009 -2.25 -0.01 -0.18 2.08 -2.26 -0.06 -5.25 2.66 -2.592010 -2.81 0.02 -0.77 2.02 -2.79 -0.86 -4.09 0.69 -3.402011 -2.48 0.05 -0.59 1.84 -2.43 -0.56 -3.39 0.72 -2.672012 -2.60 0.02 -0.58 2.00 -2.58 -0.62 -3.81 0.60 -3.212013 -2.34 0.02 -0.28 2.04 -2.32 -0.37 -3.97 0.97 -3.002014 -3.21 0.01 -1.10 2.09 -3.20 -1.13 -4.77 0.79 -3.98
2015 -3.54 0.02 -1.38 2.14 -3.52 -1.41 -4.73 0.67 -4.052016 -3.13 0.03 -1.00 2.11 -3.11 -0.91 -4.16 0.55 -3.602017 -2.60 -0.01 -0.51 2.10 -2.61 -0.27 -3.52 0.46 -3.062018 -2.22 0.02 -0.07 2.13 -2.20 0.20 -3.00 0.39 -2.612019 -2.07 -0.01 0.04 2.12 -2.08 0.52 -2.80 0.33 -2.472020 -2.04 0.01 0.07 2.10 -2.03 0.73 -2.70 0.28 -2.41
M-10
M-4. Ley de Ingresos y Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación para 2013(Millones de Pesos)
Proyecto de Presupuesto Presupuesto Aprobado Ajuste 2012 2013 Variación % anual % de
Pesos %PIB Pesos %PIB Presupuestal Enero-Diciembre Nominal Real Avance
Ingreso Presupuestal 3,576,000 21.39 3,601,072 21.54 25,072 3,514,530 3,800,416 8.1 4.2 105.5Sector Petrolero 1,238,066 7.41 1,243,000 7.44 4,933 1,183,895 1,261,702 6.6 2.7 101.5 Pemex 474,984 2.84 478,433 2.86 3,448 463,121 482,936 4.3 0.5 100.9 Gobierno Federal 763,082 4.57 764,567 4.57 1,485 720,774 778,766 8.0 4.1 101.9Sector No Petrolero 2,337,934 13.99 2,358,072 14.11 20,139 2,330,634 2,538,714 8.9 4.9 107.7 Gobierno Federal 1,713,941 10.25 1,734,079 10.37 20,139 1,731,760 1,924,809 11.1 7.1 111.0 Tributarios 1,621,177 9.70 1,628,202 9.74 7,025 1,516,951 1,644,537 8.4 4.4 101.0 ISR/IETU/IDE 864,325 5.17 866,624 5.18 2,299 803,897 946,740 17.8 13.5 109.2 IVA 617,900 3.70 622,626 3.72 4,726 579,988 556,794 -4.0 -7.5 89.4 IEPS 77,477 0.46 77,477 0.46 0 72,953 78,572 7.7 3.8 101.4 Importaciones 28,082 0.17 28,082 0.17 0 27,906 29,260 4.8 1.0 104.2 Otros 33,392 0.20 33,392 0.20 0 32,208 33,171 3.0 -0.8 99.3 No Tributarios 92,764 0.55 105,878 0.63 13,114 214,809 280,272 30.5 25.7 264.7 Organismos y Empresas 623,993 3.73 623,993 3.73 0 598,875 613,905 2.5 -1.2 98.4
Gasto Neto Presupuestal 3,902,324 23.35 3,927,396 23.50 25,072 3,920,305 4,178,322 6.6 2.7 106.4 Gasto Programable 2,995,118 17.92 3,031,810 18.14 36,692 3,102,198 3,316,609 6.9 3.0 109.4 Corriente 2,305,210 13.79 2,330,282 13.94 25,072 2,360,695 2,440,772 3.4 -0.4 104.7 Servicios personales 963,690 5.77 963,690 5.77 0 926,102 963,100 4.0 0.2 99.9 Otros 1,341,520 8.03 1,366,592 8.18 25,072 1,434,593 1,477,671 3.0 -0.8 108.1 Capital 689,908 4.13 701,527 4.20 11,619 741,503 875,837 18.1 13.8 124.8 Inversión física 669,263 4.00 680,883 4.07 11,619 680,976 735,501 8.0 4.0 108.0 Inversión financiera 20,645 0.12 20,645 0.12 0 60,528 140,337 131.9 123.4 679.8 Gasto No Programable 907,206 5.43 895,586 5.36 -11,619 818,107 861,713 5.3 1.5 96.2 Costo financiero 350,387 2.10 345,387 2.07 -5,000 305,119 314,551 3.1 -0.7 91.1 Participaciones a Edos. y Mun. 533,646 3.19 535,116 3.20 1,469 494,265 532,456 7.7 3.8 99.5 Adefas y Ajenas Netas 23,173 0.14 15,084 0.09 -8,089 18,724 14,706 -21.5 -24.3 97.5
Balance Económico sin PEMEX 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 -91,216 -45,659 Inversión PEMEX 326,324 1.95 326,324 1.95 0 311,993 328,572 5.3 1.5 100.7Balance Económico -326,324 -1.95 -326,324 -1.95 0 -403,209 -374,231Superávit Económico Primario 24,563 0.15 19,563 0.12 -5,000 -97,486 -60,221Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos de la SHCP, Criterios Generales de Política Económica para 2013 y Ley de Ingresos y Proyecto de Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación para 2013.
M-11
Concepto
M-5. Ley de Ingresos y Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación para 2014(Millones de Pesos)
Proyecto de Presupuesto Presupuesto Aprobado Ajuste 2013 2014 Variación % anual % de
Pesos %PIB Pesos %PIB Presupuestal Enero-Diciembre Nominal Real Avance
Ingreso Presupuestal 3,829,476 21.77 3,816,748 21.70 -12,728 3,800,416 3,983,412 4.8 0.8 104.4Sector Petrolero 1,224,734 6.96 1,265,725 7.19 40,991 1,261,702 1,213,348 -3.8 -7.5 95.9 Pemex 443,173 2.52 462,357 2.63 19,185 482,936 440,634 -8.8 -12.3 95.3 Gobierno Federal 781,561 4.44 803,367 4.57 21,806 778,766 772,714 -0.8 -4.6 96.2Sector No Petrolero 2,604,742 14.81 2,551,023 14.50 -53,719 2,538,714 2,770,064 9.1 4.9 108.6 Gobierno Federal 1,960,313 11.14 1,906,594 10.84 -53,720 1,924,809 2,115,346 9.9 5.7 110.9 Tributarios 1,808,188 10.28 1,752,179 9.96 -56,009 1,644,537 1,815,514 10.4 6.1 103.6 ISR 1,039,026 5.91 1,006,377 5.72 -32,649 946,740 959,877 1.4 -2.5 95.4 IVA 632,369 3.59 609,393 3.46 -22,976 556,794 667,085 19.8 15.2 109.5 IEPS 118,300 0.67 117,959 0.67 -341 78,572 124,016 57.8 51.7 105.1 Importaciones 26,759 0.15 26,759 0.15 0 29,260 33,928 16.0 11.5 126.8 Otros -8,265 -0.05 -8,308 -0.05 -43 33,171 30,608 -7.7 -11.3 -368.4 No Tributarios 152,125 0.86 154,415 0.88 2,290 280,272 299,832 7.0 2.8 194.2 Organismos y Empresas 644,429 3.66 644,429 3.66 0 613,905 654,718 6.6 2.5 101.6
Gasto Neto Presupuestal 4,449,891 25.30 4,437,163 25.22 -12,728 4,178,322 4,530,629 8.4 4.2 102.1 Gasto Programable 3,456,822 19.65 3,463,609 19.69 6,787 3,316,609 3,580,285 8.0 3.8 103.4 Corriente 2,649,411 15.06 2,617,982 14.88 -31,429 2,440,772 2,682,877 9.9 5.7 102.5 Servicios personales 1,028,125 5.84 1,028,740 5.85 615 963,100 1,020,830 6.0 1.9 99.2 Otros 1,651,349 9.39 1,619,305 9.20 -32,044 1,477,671 1,662,048 12.5 8.1 102.6 Capital 807,411 4.59 845,627 4.81 38,216 875,837 897,408 2.5 -1.5 106.1 Inversión física 783,534 4.45 820,920 4.67 37,386 735,501 822,635 11.8 7.5 100.2 Inversión financiera 23,877 0.14 24,708 0.14 831 140,337 74,774 -46.7 -48.8 302.6 Gasto No Programable 993,069 5.65 973,554 5.53 -19,516 861,713 950,343 10.3 6.0 97.6 Costo financiero 383,365 2.18 380,365 2.16 -3,000 314,551 346,015 10.0 5.8 91.0 Participaciones a Edos. y Mun. 585,654 3.33 577,639 3.28 -8,016 532,456 584,723 9.8 5.6 101.2 Adefas y Ajenas Netas 24,050 0.14 15,550 0.09 -8,500 14,706 19,606 33.3 28.2 126.1
Balance Económico sin PEMEX -262,888 -1.49 -262,888 -1.49 0 -45,659 -188,302 Inversión PEMEX 357,527 2.03 357,527 2.03 0 328,572 356,689 8.6 4.4 99.8Balance Económico -620,415 -3.53 -620,415 -3.53 0 -374,231 -544,991Superávit Económico Primario -236,550 -1.34 -239,550 -1.36 -3,000 -60,221 -193,262Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos de la SHCP, Criterios Generales de Política Económica para 2014, Ley de Ingresos y Proyecto de Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación para 2014.
M-12
Concepto
M-13
M-6. Evolución de la Deuda Interna del Sector Público Federal, 2013-2014(Saldo en Millones de Pesos)
Saldo Saldo
Concepto Diciembre Endeudamiento acumulado Diciembre
2013 Disposición Amortización Neto Ajustes 2014
Deuda Neta 4,230,924.9 4,809,976.9
Activos 177,953.6 239,556.4
Deuda Bruta 4,408,878.5 3,111,031.2 2,528,657.0 582,374.2 58,280.6 5,049,533.3
Estructura por plazo 4,408,878.5 3,111,031.2 2,528,657.0 582,374.2 58,280.6 5,049,533.3
Largo plazo 3,921,591.7 1,367,663.0 829,289.9 538,373.1 58,277.7 4,518,242.5
Corto plazo 487,286.8 1,743,368.2 1,699,367.1 44,001.1 2.9 531,290.8
Estructura por Usuario 4,408,878.5 3,111,031.2 2,528,657.0 582,374.2 58,280.6 5,049,533.3
Gobierno Federal 4,063,184.4 2,830,020.3 2,403,018.3 427,002.0 56,433.2 4,546,619.6
Organismos y empresas 267,290.2 192,370.9 64,930.9 127,440.0 1,672.5 396,402.7
Banca de Desarrollo 78,403.9 88,640.0 60,707.8 27,932.2 174.9 106,511.0
Por fuentes de financiamiento 4,408,878.5 3,111,031.2 2,528,657.0 582,374.2 58,280.6 5,049,533.3
Emisión de Valores 4,013,747.1 2,755,586.7 2,232,016.8 523,569.9 44,230.3 4,581,547.3
Fondo de Ahorro SAR 99,920.1 178,391.1 184,944.8 -6,553.7 4,652.0 98,018.4
Banca Comercial 50,101.8 99,102.5 25,426.6 73,675.9 152.0 123,929.7
Obligaciones por Ley del ISSSTE 165,506.3 9,566.3 19,974.5 -10,408.2 6,353.9 161,452.0
Otros 79,603.2 68,384.6 66,294.3 2,090.3 2,892.4 84,585.9
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos de la Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público.
M-14
M-7. Evolución de la Deuda Externa del Sector Público, 2013-2014(Saldo en Millones de Dólares)
Saldo SaldoConcepto Diciembre Endeudamiento acumulado Diciembre
2013 Disposición Amortización Neto Ajustes 2014
Deuda Neta 130,949.7 145,284.7 Activos Financieros en moneda extranjera 3,486.2 2,381.1Deuda Bruta 134,435.9 48,553.9 32,178.1 16,375.8 -3,145.9 147,665.8
Estructura por plazo 134,435.9 48,553.9 32,178.1 16,375.8 -3,145.9 147,665.8
Largo plazo 130,908.7 27,027.3 11,918.2 15,109.1 -3,148.6 142,869.2 Corto plazo 3,527.2 21,526.6 20,259.9 1,266.7 2.7 4,796.6
Estructura por Usuario 134,435.9 48,553.9 32,178.1 16,375.8 -3,145.9 147,665.8
Gobierno Federal 72,180.4 12,926.1 5,049.8 7,876.3 -1,483.3 78,573.4 Largo plazo 72,180.4 12,926.1 5,049.8 7,876.3 -1,483.3 78,573.4 Corto plazo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Organismos y Empresas 53,358.1 14,387.4 6,916.6 7,470.8 -1,265.8 59,563.1 Largo plazo 53,358.1 13,443.3 6,672.5 6,770.8 -1,265.8 58,863.1 Corto plazo 0.0 944.1 244.1 700.0 0.0 700.0 Banca de Desarrollo 8,897.4 21,240.4 20,211.7 1,028.7 -396.8 9,529.3 Largo plazo 5,370.2 657.9 195.9 462.0 -399.5 5,432.7 Corto plazo 3,527.2 20,582.5 20,015.8 566.7 2.7 4,096.6
Por fuentes de financiamiento 134,435.9 48,553.9 32,178.1 16,375.8 -3,145.9 147,665.8
Mercado Bancario 6,178.1 25,075.6 21,729.8 3,345.8 9.9 9,533.8 Comercio Exterior 10,321.3 1,203.0 2,305.4 -1,102.4 -174.2 9,044.7 Mercado de Capitales 90,301.7 19,910.3 6,954.1 12,956.2 -2,549.8 100,708.1 Organismos Financieros internacionales (OFIS) 27,350.1 2,120.9 944.7 1,176.2 -340.3 28,186.0 Pidiregas 284.7 244.1 244.1 0.0 -91.5 193.2
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos de la Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público.
M-8. Requerimientos Financieros del Sector Público y Deuda Neta Total del Sector Público, 1990-2014(Millones de Pesos)
Requerimientos Financieros del Sector Público Deuda Neta TotalCon ingresos Ingresos Sin ingresos del Sector Público
extraordinarios extraordinarios extraordinarios Saldo Como porcentaje del PIBSaldo en Pesos %PIB Saldo en Pesos %PIB Saldo en Pesos %PIB en Pesos Deuda Total Deuda Interna Deuda Externa
1990 -26,914 -2.94 5,138 0.56 -32,052 -3.50 382,666 36.70 16.57 20.131991 16,602 1.41 33,664 2.86 -17,062 -1.45 365,696 28.41 12.79 15.631992 29,899 2.13 40,147 2.87 -10,249 -0.73 347,595 23.08 9.54 13.551993 -25,012 -1.59 5,872 0.37 -30,884 -1.97 360,732 21.88 9.25 12.631994 -42,132 -2.37 13,698 0.77 -55,830 -3.14 600,867 31.96 10.91 21.041995 -55,589 -2.52 17,101 0.77 -72,690 -3.29 916,641 36.37 10.47 25.901996 -120,051 -3.98 20,733 0.69 -140,784 -4.66 1,049,545 31.03 12.93 18.101997 -144,091 -3.79 33,978 0.89 -178,069 -4.68 1,317,989 31.63 16.98 14.651998 -228,548 -4.98 14,898 0.32 -243,446 -5.31 1,745,600 35.25 19.19 16.061999 -277,043 -5.00 17,827 0.32 -294,870 -5.32 2,164,906 36.52 22.89 13.642000 -185,362 -2.87 22,712 0.35 -208,074 -3.22 2,051,002 30.51 19.31 11.202001 -184,356 -2.72 40,883 0.60 -225,238 -3.33 2,185,277 31.61 21.10 10.522002 -177,370 -2.48 43,700 0.61 -221,070 -3.09 2,473,944 33.17 21.20 11.972003 -137,252 -1.78 46,764 0.61 -184,016 -2.39 2,738,362 34.21 21.11 13.102004 -44,988 -0.52 115,054 1.32 -160,042 -1.84 2,854,592 31.23 19.19 12.052005 -121,277 -1.28 20,187 0.21 -141,464 -1.50 2,974,208 30.04 19.92 10.122006 -125,995 -1.20 31,668 0.30 -157,663 -1.50 3,135,439 28.77 20.48 8.292007 -115,709 -1.01 72,641 0.64 -188,350 -1.65 3,314,463 27.55 20.30 7.252008 -196,996 -1.61 87,732 0.72 -284,728 -2.32 4,063,364 32.95 24.31 8.642009 -313,451 -2.59 321,201 2.66 -634,652 -5.25 4,382,263 34.30 25.03 9.282010 -451,681 -3.40 92,046 0.69 -543,728 -4.09 4,813,211 34.39 25.52 8.872011 -388,987 -2.67 104,506 0.72 -493,493 -3.39 5,450,590 34.92 25.04 9.882012 -502,126 -3.21 94,053 0.60 -596,179 -3.81 5,890,846 36.35 26.90 9.452013 -483,783 -3.00 156,284 0.97 -640,067 -3.97 6,504,319 38.77 28.94 9.832014 -678,318 -3.98 134,624 0.79 -812,942 -4.77 7,446,929 41.81 30.30 11.51
2012I -71,146 -0.47 4,531 0.03 -75,677 -0.50 5,432,742 35.54 26.10 9.43II -176,587 -1.15 38,895 0.25 -215,481 -1.40 5,644,903 36.61 26.29 10.31III -243,839 -1.58 59,483 0.39 -303,322 -1.97 5,607,099 35.95 26.08 9.87IV -502,126 -3.21 94,053 0.60 -596,179 -3.81 5,890,846 36.35 26.90 9.45
2013I 8,239 0.05 22,738 0.14 -14,499 -0.09 5,828,238 37.12 27.68 9.44II -135,074 -0.85 37,620 0.24 -172,694 -1.09 6,062,003 38.11 28.28 9.83III -265,659 -1.67 44,036 0.28 -309,695 -1.95 6,170,526 38.32 28.35 9.97IV -483,783 -3.00 156,284 0.97 -640,067 -3.97 6,504,319 38.77 28.94 9.83
2014I -96,554 -0.58 12,369 0.07 -108,923 -0.66 6,628,297 40.15 29.57 10.58II -300,163 -1.80 22,030 0.13 -322,193 -1.93 6,804,274 40.42 29.63 10.78III -504,039 -3.00 30,149 0.18 -534,188 -3.18 7,010,040 41.13 30.20 10.93IV -678,318 -3.98 134,624 0.79 -812,942 -4.77 7,446,929 41.81 30.30 11.51
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos de la Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público.
M-15
Años
Tasas del Impuesto Especial Sobre Producción y ServiciosAños Empresas Personas Físicas IVA IVA Transporte Público Goma de Venta de Alimento para Importaciones Temporales
ISR ISR Tasa Máxima Tasa General Tasa Fronteriza Terrestre Foráneo Mascar Mascotas Mascotas de Bienes para Maquila
1980 42.0 55.0 10.0 6.0 …… …… …… …… ……1981 42.0 55.0 10.0 6.0 …… …… …… …… ……1982 42.0 55.0 10.0 6.0 …… …… …… …… ……1983 42.0 60.5 15.0 6.0 …… …… …… …… ……1984 42.0 55.0 15.0 6.0 …… …… …… …… ……1985 42.0 55.0 15.0 6.0 …… …… …… …… ……1986 42.0 60.5 15.0 6.0 …… …… …… …… ……1987 40.6 55.0 15.0 6.0 …… …… …… …… ……1988 39.2 50.0 15.0 6.0 …… …… …… …… ……1989 37.0 40.0 15.0 6.0 …… …… …… …… ……1990 36.0 35.0 15.0 6.0 …… …… …… …… ……1991 35.0 35.0 15.0 6.0 …… …… …… …… ……1992 35.0 35.0 10.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……1993 34.8 35.0 10.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……1994 34.0 35.0 10.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……1995 34.0 35.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……1996 34.0 35.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……1997 34.0 35.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……1998 34.0 35.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……1999 35.0 40.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……2000 35.0 40.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……2001 35.0 40.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……2002 35.0 35.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……2003 34.0 34.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……2004 33.0 33.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……2005 30.0 30.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……2006 29.0 29.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……2007 28.0 28.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……2008 28.0 28.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……2009 28.0 28.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……2010 30.0 30.0 16.0 11.0 …… …… …… …… ……2011 30.0 30.0 16.0 11.0 …… …… …… …… ……2012 30.0 30.0 16.0 11.0 …… …… …… …… ……2013 30.0 30.0 16.0 11.0 …… …… …… …… ……2014 30.0 35.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 Se grava con IVA2015 30.0 35.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 Se grava con IVA2016 30.0 35.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 Se grava con IVA2017 30.0 35.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 Se grava con IVA2018 30.0 35.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 Se grava con IVA
Continúa
M-16
Tasas del IVATasas del ISR
M-9. Evolución de las Tasas Impositivas en México, 1980-2018(Porcentajes, salvo indicación contraria)
Continuación
Derechos ImpuestosAños Bebidas Bebidas Alimentos y bebidas con Juegos sobre a los Dividendos
Cerveza Alcohólicas Azucaradas alto contenido calórico Telecomunicaciones y Sorteos Minería (Accionistas BMV)
1980 …… …… …… …… …… …… …… ……1981 18.0+CF 40.0 …… …… 60.0 …… …… ……1982 21.5 40.0 …… …… 60.0 …… …… ……1983 21.5 40.0 …… …… 60.0 …… …… ……1984 21.5 40.0 …… …… 60.0 …… …… ……1985 21.5 40.0 …… …… 60.0 …… …… ……1986 25.0 50.0 …… …… 72.0 …… …… ……1987 25.0 50.0 …… …… 72.0 …… …… ……1988 25.0 50.0 …… …… 72.0 …… …… ……1989 25.0 50.0 …… …… 60.0 …… …… ……1990 25.0 50.0 …… …… …… …… …… ……1991 25.0 50.0 …… …… …… …… …… ……1992 25.0 44.5 …… …… …… …… …… ……1993 23.5 44.5 …… …… …… …… …… ……1994 22.0 44.5 …… …… …… …… …… ……1995 20.5 44.5 y 60.0 …… …… …… …… …… ……1996 22.0 44.5 y 60.1 …… …… …… …… …… ……1997 22.0 44.5 y 60.2 …… …… …… …… …… ……1998 25.0 60.0 …… …… …… …… …… ……1999 25.0 60.0 …… …… …… …… …… ……2000 25.0 60.0 …… …… …… …… …… ……2001 25.0 60.0 …… …… …… …… …… ……2002 25.0 60.0 …… …… 10.0 …… …… ……2003 25.0 60.0 …… …… 10.0 …… …… ……2004 25.0 50.0 …… …… …… …… …… ……2005 25.0 50.0 …… …… …… …… …… ……2006 25.0 50.0 …… …… …… …… …… ……2007 25.0 50.0 …… …… …… …… …… ……2008 25.0 50.0 …… …… …… 20.0 …… ……2009 25.0 50.0 …… …… …… 20.0 …… ……2010 26.5 53.0 …… …… 3.0 30.0 …… ……2011 26.5 53.0 …… …… 3.0 30.0 …… ……2012 26.5 53.0 …… …… 3.0 30.0 …… ……2013 26.5 53.0 …… …… 3.0 30.0 …… ……2014 26.5 53.0 $ 1.00 por litro 8.0 3.0 30.0 7.50 10.0% de ISR2015 26.5 53.0 $ 1.00 por litro 8.0 3.0 30.0 7.50 10.0% de ISR2016 26.5 53.0 $ 1.00 por litro 8.0 3.0 30.0 7.50 10.0% de ISR2017 26.5 53.0 $ 1.00 por litro 8.0 3.0 30.0 7.50 10.0% de ISR2018 26.5 53.0 $ 1.00 por litro 8.0 3.0 30.0 7.50 10.0% de ISR
Notas sobre el ISR a las empresas: Conclusión1986: Hasta este año en el ISR a las empresas se aplicaba una tarifa.1987 y 1988: Tasa combinada de aplicar las dos bases existentes.1993: La tasa corresponde al promedio de hacer retroactiva la reducción de la tasa de 34% a partir del 1o. de octubre de 1993.
1999, 2000 y 2001: Adicionalmente se aplicaba un gravamen de 5% a los dividendos distribuidos, a fin de alcanzar la tasa marginal de 40% aplicable en la tarifa del ISR de personas físicas.Nota sobre Bebidas Alcohólicas: Bebidas con graduación alcohólica de más de 20 GL.Nota: El Gobierno Federal se compromete a no modificar la estructura tributaria de 2014 a 2018 según el "Acuerdo para la Certidumbre en Materia Tributaria" publicado el 27 de febrero de 2014.Fuente: Cuadro elaborado por CAMACRO, con datos de la Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público.
Tasas del Impuesto Especial Sobre Producción y Servicios IEPS
M-17
M-1O. Tasas de ISR e IVA en Países Avanzados y Economías Emergentes, 2009-2012(Porcentajes)
Tasa Máxima del ISR Tasa Máxima del ISR Tasa de Impuestos IndirectosPaíses Personas Morales Personas Físicas IVA
2009 2010 2011 2012 2009 2010 2011 2012 2009 2010 2011 2012
Alemania 29.44 29.41 29.37 29.48 45.00 45.00 45.00 45.00 19.00 19.00 19.00 19.00Canadá 33.00 31.00 28.00 26.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00Francia 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 40.00 41.00 41.00 45.00 19.60 19.60 19.60 19.60Japón 40.69 40.69 40.69 38.01 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00Italia 31.40 31.40 31.40 31.40 43.00 43.00 43.00 43.00 20.00 20.00 21.00 21.00Reino Unido 28.00 28.00 26.00 26.00 40.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 15.00 17.50 20.00 20.00Estados Unidos 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 …… …… …… ……Suiza 26.30 26.30 26.30 26.30 56.74 56.56 56.55 56.60 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00Austria 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00Dinamarca 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 62.25 55.38 55.38 55.38 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00Noruega 28.00 28.00 28.00 28.00 47.80 47.80 47.80 47.80 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00Holanda 25.50 25.50 25.00 25.00 52.00 52.00 52.00 52.00 19.00 19.00 19.00 19.00Bélgica 33.99 33.99 33.99 33.99 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 21.00 21.00 21.00 21.00Portugal 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 42.00 45.88 46.50 46.50 20.00 21.00 23.00 23.00Argentina 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 21.00 21.00 21.00 21.00Chile 17.00 17.00 20.00 18.50 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 19.00 19.00 19.00 19.00Brasil 34.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 27.50 27.50 27.50 27.50 19.00 19.00 19.00 19.00MÉXICO 28.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 28.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 15.00 16.00 16.00 16.00Colombia 33.00 33.00 33.00 33.00 33.00 33.00 33.00 33.00 16.00 16.00 16.00 16.00Costa Rica 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 13.00 13.00 13.00 13.00Ecuador 25.00 25.00 24.00 23.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00R. Dominicana 25.00 25.00 29.00 29.00 …… …… …… …… 16.00 16.00 16.00 16.00Guatemala 31.00 31.00 31.00 31.00 31.00 31.00 31.00 31.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00Honduras 30.00 25.00 35.00 35.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00Panamá 30.00 27.50 25.00 25.00 27.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 5.00 7.00 7.00 7.00Paraguay 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 …… …… …… …… 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00Perú 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 19.00 19.00 18.00 18.00Venezuela 34.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 9.00 12.00 12.00 12.00China 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 45.00 45.00 45.00 45.00 17.00 17.00 17.00 17.00India 33.99 33.99 32.44 32.44 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50
Promedio:
África 28.65 28.65 28.45 29.22 26.64 26.82 26.82 26.82 14.09 13.91 14.17 14.17Norte América 36.50 35.50 34.00 33.00 32.00 32.00 32.00 28.65 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00Asia 25.73 23.96 23.10 23.12 28.29 28.29 27.83 34.76 11.70 11.64 11.84 12.20Europa 21.70 21.52 20.88 20.60 34.22 34.73 34.49 34.76 18.88 19.67 19.71 19.86América Latina 27.96 27.52 29.02 28.30 31.30 31.96 31.30 31.30 14.08 14.37 12.78 12.83Oceanía 29.20 29.00 28.60 28.60 39.00 38.38 37.75 37.75 11.25 11.25 12.92 12.92Países OECD 25.73 25.79 25.50 25.37 39.93 40.46 40.08 40.58 17.57 18.21 18.53 18.66Global 25.35 24.66 24.47 24.47 31.45 31.75 31.40 31.76 15.39 15.70 15.33 15.42
Fuente: KPMG International.M-18
M-11. Reforma Social y Hacendaria 2014
Proyecto del Ejecutivo2014
%PIB MMP %PIB MMP
ISR Empresarial 0.7 131.0ISR Personal 0.3 58.6IVA 0.3 54.0IEPS no petrolero 0.2 33.8IEPS gasolinas 0.4 61.7Derechos 0.1 15.1Desaparición IETU -0.7 -114.5Total 1.4 239.7 1.1 186.0
IEPS Impuesto Especial sobre Productos y Servicios Impuesto
1.- Alimentos y bebidas con alto contenido calórico (275 kilocalorías por cada 100 gramos) 8.0%2.- Bebidas azucaradas 1 peso por cada litro vendido
IVA Impuesto al Valor Agregado Impuesto
1.- Transporte público terrestre foráneo de personas 16.0% IVA2.- Goma de mascar 16.0% IVA3.- Venta de mascotas 16.0% IVA4.- Alimento para mascotas 16.0% IVA5.- Importaciones temporales de bienes para maquila Ahora causan IVA
Derechos sobre Minería Impuesto
1.- Ganancias por el aprovechamiento de los recursos naturales 7.50%
Impuestos a Dividendos Impuesto
1.- Los accionistas que reciban dividendos 10.0% de ISR
Se crea el Régimen Opcional de Grupos de Sociedades
1.- Los conglomerados ya no podrán compensar las ganancias de algunas de sus empresas con las pérdidas de otras, y librarse de pagar el ISR por cinco años. Ahora sólo podrán hacerlo por tres años.
Reducción de Deducciones
1.- Ahora sólo se admitirá que se reduzca hasta 47% de las prestaciones (previsión social, cajas y fondos de ahorro, horas extras, reparto de utilidades), o hasta 53% siempre que las prestaciones no se reduzcan.
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos de la Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público.
M-19
Nuevos Impuestos 2014
Efectos Recaudatorios de la Reforma Social y Hacendaria para 2014Propuesta del Poder Ejecutivo y Ley Aprobada por el Congreso de la Unión
Decreto Congreso de la Unión2014
N. Economía de los Estado unidos de América
Cuadro N-1.PIB Real y Producto por Habitante 1980-2020
Cuadro N-2.Población Ocupada, Tasa de Desempleo y Productividad Laboral 1980-2020
Cuadro N-3.Oferta y Demanda Agregada Anual 1980-2020
Cuadro N-4.Oferta y Demanda Agregada Trimestral 2014-2015
Cuadro N-5.Balanza de Pagos Anual y Trimestral de los EUA 1980-2020
Cuadro N-6.Índice de Precios al Consumidor en EUA 1980-2020
Cuadro N-7.Tasas de Interés Nominales y Reales en EUA 1980-2020
Cuadro N-8.Producción Industrial en EUA 1980-2020
Cuadro N-9.Finanzas Públicas en los EUA 1980-2020
N-1. Producto Interno Bruto y PIB Per Cápita de Estados Unidos: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Miles de Millones de Dólares)
Producto Interno Bruto PIB Per CápitaAños PIB Nominal Deflactor del PIB PIB Real Nominal Real
Dólares Var.% 2009=100 Var.% Dls. 2009 Var.% Dólares Var.% Dls. 2009 Var.%
1980 2,862.5 8.8 44.4 9.0 6,450.4 -0.2 12,455 7.7 28,067 -1.21981 3,211.0 12.2 48.5 9.3 6,617.7 2.6 13,838 11.1 28,520 1.61982 3,345.0 4.2 51.5 6.2 6,491.3 -1.9 14,279 3.2 27,710 -2.81983 3,638.1 8.8 53.6 3.9 6,792.0 4.6 15,382 7.7 28,718 3.61984 4,040.7 11.1 55.5 3.5 7,285.0 7.3 16,921 10.0 30,507 6.21985 4,346.7 7.6 57.2 3.2 7,593.8 4.2 18,027 6.5 31,494 3.21986 4,590.2 5.6 58.4 2.0 7,860.5 3.5 18,851 4.6 32,282 2.51987 4,870.2 6.1 59.9 2.6 8,132.6 3.5 19,804 5.1 33,070 2.41988 5,252.6 7.9 62.0 3.5 8,474.5 4.2 21,147 6.8 34,119 3.21989 5,657.7 7.7 64.4 3.9 8,786.4 3.7 22,553 6.6 35,025 2.71990 5,979.6 5.7 66.8 3.7 8,955.0 1.9 23,603 4.7 35,348 0.91991 6,174.0 3.3 69.0 3.3 8,948.4 -0.1 24,135 2.3 34,981 -1.01992 6,539.3 5.9 70.6 2.3 9,266.6 3.6 25,319 4.9 35,879 2.61993 6,878.7 5.2 72.2 2.4 9,521.0 2.7 26,375 4.2 36,506 1.71994 7,308.8 6.3 73.8 2.1 9,905.4 4.0 27,741 5.2 37,596 3.01995 7,664.1 4.9 75.3 2.1 10,174.8 2.7 28,777 3.7 38,205 1.61996 8,100.2 5.7 76.7 1.8 10,561.0 3.8 30,068 4.5 39,203 2.61997 8,608.5 6.3 78.0 1.7 11,034.9 4.5 31,574 5.0 40,474 3.21998 9,089.2 5.6 78.9 1.1 11,525.9 4.4 32,934 4.3 41,763 3.21999 9,660.6 6.3 80.1 1.5 12,065.9 4.7 34,589 5.0 43,200 3.42000 10,284.8 6.5 81.9 2.3 12,559.7 4.1 36,407 5.3 44,460 2.92001 10,621.8 3.3 83.8 2.3 12,682.2 1.0 37,198 2.2 44,414 -0.12002 10,977.5 3.3 85.0 1.5 12,908.8 1.8 38,055 2.3 44,750 0.82003 11,510.7 4.9 86.7 2.0 13,271.1 2.8 39,516 3.8 45,560 1.82004 12,274.9 6.6 89.1 2.7 13,773.5 3.8 41,742 5.6 46,839 2.82005 13,093.7 6.7 92.0 3.2 14,234.2 3.3 44,113 5.7 47,956 2.42006 13,855.9 5.8 94.8 3.1 14,613.8 2.7 46,253 4.9 48,783 1.72007 14,477.6 4.5 97.3 2.7 14,873.7 1.8 47,894 3.5 49,204 0.92008 14,718.6 1.7 99.2 2.0 14,830.4 -0.3 48,259 0.8 48,626 -1.22009 14,418.7 -2.0 100.0 0.8 14,418.7 -2.8 46,862 -2.9 46,862 -3.62010 14,964.4 3.8 101.2 1.2 14,783.8 2.5 48,213 2.9 47,631 1.62011 15,517.9 3.7 103.3 2.1 15,020.6 1.6 49,564 2.8 47,976 0.72012 16,163.2 4.2 105.2 1.8 15,369.2 2.3 51,183 3.3 48,669 1.42013 16,768.1 3.7 106.7 1.5 15,710.3 2.2 52,647 2.9 49,326 1.42014 17,420.7 3.9 108.3 1.4 16,089.8 2.4 54,237 3.0 50,093 1.6
2015 18,199.6 4.5 109.7 1.3 16,590.5 3.1 56,191 3.6 51,223 2.32016 19,101.8 5.0 111.9 2.0 17,073.2 2.9 58,494 4.1 52,282 2.12017 20,167.6 5.6 114.2 2.1 17,655.5 3.4 61,259 4.7 53,628 2.62018 21,207.2 5.2 116.4 1.9 18,214.1 3.2 63,902 4.3 54,883 2.32019 22,184.9 4.6 118.5 1.7 18,728.9 2.8 66,323 3.8 55,992 2.02020 23,252.9 4.8 120.6 1.8 19,285.9 3.0 68,979 4.0 57,211 2.2
N-1
N-2. Población Total, Ocupación y Tasa de Desempleo en Estados Unidos: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Miles de personas)
Población Fuerza de Trabajo Empleo No Agrícola EmpleoAños Total Total Ocupada Nuevos Sin Empleo Tasa de Total Minería Construcción Manufacturas Servicios Agrícola
Personas Var.% Personas Personas Var.% Empleos Personas Desempleo Var.% Anual Var.% Anual Var.% Anual Var.% Anual Var.% Anual Var.% Anual
1980 229,825 1.0 106,940 99,303 0.5 479 7,637 7.1 0.7 6.8 -2.4 -3.6 2.1 -1.41981 232,035 1.0 108,670 100,397 1.1 1,094 8,273 7.6 0.8 9.6 -3.4 -0.5 1.4 3.81982 234,261 1.0 110,204 99,526 -0.9 -871 10,678 9.7 -1.8 -1.4 -6.5 -6.8 -0.1 8.11983 236,511 1.0 111,550 100,834 1.3 1,308 10,717 9.6 0.7 -14.3 1.0 -1.8 1.6 7.11984 238,794 1.0 113,544 105,005 4.1 4,171 8,539 7.5 4.7 1.7 10.7 5.1 4.3 -0.81985 241,120 1.0 115,461 107,150 2.0 2,145 8,312 7.2 3.2 -3.9 6.5 -0.6 4.0 -8.01986 243,496 1.0 117,834 109,597 2.3 2,447 8,237 7.0 2.0 -14.9 3.0 -1.5 3.0 5.01987 245,921 1.0 119,865 112,440 2.6 2,843 7,425 6.2 2.6 -7.0 3.1 0.3 3.2 2.21988 248,382 1.0 121,669 114,968 2.2 2,528 6,701 5.5 3.2 -0.1 2.8 1.7 3.6 -7.11989 250,858 1.0 123,869 117,342 2.1 2,374 6,528 5.3 2.5 -2.6 1.5 0.4 3.1 -3.11990 253,339 1.0 125,840 118,793 1.2 1,451 7,047 5.6 1.4 2.0 -0.9 -1.6 2.1 -0.31991 255,807 1.0 126,346 117,718 -0.9 -1,075 8,628 6.8 -1.0 -3.4 -9.2 -3.5 0.0 0.31992 258,276 1.0 128,105 118,492 0.7 774 9,613 7.5 0.3 -6.8 -3.6 -1.6 1.0 4.31993 260,803 1.0 129,200 120,259 1.5 1,767 8,940 6.9 2.0 -3.3 3.7 -0.1 2.3 -3.81994 263,469 1.0 131,056 123,060 2.3 2,801 7,996 6.1 3.1 -1.1 6.6 1.5 3.3 -7.11995 266,324 1.1 132,304 124,900 1.5 1,840 7,404 5.6 2.6 -2.7 3.5 1.3 2.9 -13.51996 269,394 1.2 133,943 126,708 1.4 1,808 7,236 5.4 2.1 -0.6 5.0 0.0 2.3 -8.31997 272,643 1.2 136,297 129,558 2.2 2,850 6,739 4.9 2.6 2.7 5.0 1.1 2.7 -3.91998 275,986 1.2 137,673 131,463 1.5 1,905 6,210 4.5 2.6 -1.4 5.8 0.8 2.8 -19.71999 279,300 1.2 139,368 133,488 1.5 2,025 5,880 4.2 2.4 -7.3 6.4 -1.4 2.9 -19.92000 282,496 1.1 142,583 136,891 2.5 3,403 5,692 4.0 2.2 0.2 3.7 -0.3 2.5 14.72001 285,545 1.1 143,734 136,933 0.0 42 6,801 4.7 0.0 1.2 0.6 -4.8 0.8 -0.32002 288,467 1.0 144,863 136,485 -0.3 -448 8,378 5.8 -1.1 -3.8 -1.6 -7.2 -0.1 20.52003 291,291 1.0 146,510 137,736 0.9 1,251 8,774 6.0 -0.2 -1.9 0.3 -4.9 0.4 26.72004 294,063 1.0 147,401 139,252 1.1 1,516 8,149 5.5 1.1 3.3 3.6 -1.3 1.3 1.12005 296,820 0.9 149,320 141,730 1.8 2,478 7,591 5.1 1.7 6.3 5.2 -0.6 1.8 3.02006 299,564 0.9 151,428 144,427 1.9 2,697 7,001 4.6 1.8 8.9 4.8 -0.5 1.8 3.92007 302,285 0.9 153,124 146,047 1.1 1,620 7,078 4.6 1.1 5.8 -0.8 -1.9 1.6 1.02008 304,989 0.9 154,287 145,362 -0.5 -685 8,924 5.8 -0.6 5.9 -6.1 -3.4 0.1 1.02009 307,687 0.9 154,142 139,877 -3.8 -5,485 14,265 9.3 -4.3 -9.5 -16.0 -11.6 -2.7 5.52010 310,384 0.9 153,889 139,064 -0.6 -813 14,825 9.6 -0.7 1.6 -8.3 -2.7 -0.1 1.72011 313,085 0.9 153,617 139,869 0.6 805 13,747 8.9 1.2 11.8 0.3 1.7 1.1 -8.72012 315,791 0.9 154,975 142,469 1.9 2,600 12,506 8.1 1.7 7.6 2.0 1.7 1.7 4.22013 318,498 0.9 155,389 143,929 1.0 1,460 11,460 7.4 1.7 2.4 3.2 0.7 1.7 -9.62014 321,197 0.8 155,922 146,305 1.7 2,376 9,617 6.2 1.9 5.1 3.6 1.1 1.8 -2.2
2015 323,885 0.8 157,910 149,027 1.9 2,722 8,883 5.6 2.1 1.0 5.8 1.9 2.0 -3.12016 326,560 0.8 160,461 151,897 1.9 2,870 8,564 5.3 2.0 2.2 4.7 1.1 1.9 1.12017 329,222 0.8 163,215 154,828 1.9 2,931 8,387 5.1 2.1 3.3 5.6 1.2 2.0 -1.82018 331,868 0.8 166,107 157,689 1.8 2,861 8,418 5.1 1.9 2.2 4.0 1.0 1.8 1.12019 334,496 0.8 168,868 160,162 1.6 2,473 8,706 5.2 1.7 1.8 3.8 0.8 1.7 -1.62020 337,102 0.8 171,713 163,282 1.9 3,120 8,431 4.9 2.0 2.7 4.0 1.1 1.9 1.3
N-2
N-3. Oferta y Demanda Anual de Estados Unidos: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Miles de Millones de Dólares a Precios de 2009)
Oferta Global Demanda GlobalProducto Importación de TOTAL Consumo Consumo e Inversión
Interno Bruto Bienes y Servicios Privado del GobiernoDólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.%
1980 6,450.4 -0.2 369.5 -6.6 6,819.9 -0.6 3,991.5 -0.3 1,612.5 1.91981 6,617.7 2.6 379.3 2.7 6,997.0 2.6 4,050.8 1.5 1,628.0 1.01982 6,491.3 -1.9 374.5 -1.3 6,865.8 -1.9 4,108.4 1.4 1,658.0 1.81983 6,792.0 4.6 421.7 12.6 7,213.7 5.1 4,342.6 5.7 1,721.6 3.81984 7,285.0 7.3 524.4 24.4 7,809.4 8.3 4,571.6 5.3 1,783.2 3.61985 7,593.8 4.2 558.4 6.5 8,152.2 4.4 4,811.9 5.3 1,904.0 6.81986 7,860.5 3.5 606.1 8.5 8,466.6 3.9 5,014.0 4.2 2,007.7 5.41987 8,132.6 3.5 642.0 5.9 8,774.6 3.6 5,183.6 3.4 2,066.9 2.91988 8,474.5 4.2 667.2 3.9 9,141.7 4.2 5,400.5 4.2 2,094.8 1.31989 8,786.4 3.7 696.6 4.4 9,483.0 3.7 5,558.1 2.9 2,155.1 2.91990 8,955.0 1.9 721.5 3.6 9,676.5 2.0 5,672.6 2.1 2,224.3 3.21991 8,948.4 -0.1 720.4 -0.2 9,668.8 -0.1 5,685.6 0.2 2,250.9 1.21992 9,266.6 3.6 771.0 7.0 10,037.6 3.8 5,896.5 3.7 2,262.1 0.51993 9,521.0 2.7 837.6 8.6 10,358.6 3.2 6,101.4 3.5 2,243.3 -0.81994 9,905.4 4.0 937.5 11.9 10,842.9 4.7 6,338.0 3.9 2,245.5 0.11995 10,174.8 2.7 1,012.5 8.0 11,187.3 3.2 6,527.6 3.0 2,257.5 0.51996 10,561.0 3.8 1,100.6 8.7 11,661.6 4.2 6,755.6 3.5 2,279.2 1.01997 11,034.9 4.5 1,248.8 13.5 12,283.7 5.3 7,009.9 3.8 2,322.0 1.91998 11,525.9 4.4 1,394.8 11.7 12,920.7 5.2 7,384.7 5.3 2,370.5 2.11999 12,065.9 4.7 1,536.2 10.1 13,602.1 5.3 7,775.9 5.3 2,451.7 3.42000 12,559.7 4.1 1,736.2 13.0 14,295.9 5.1 8,170.7 5.1 2,498.2 1.92001 12,682.2 1.0 1,687.0 -2.8 14,369.2 0.5 8,382.6 2.6 2,592.4 3.82002 12,908.8 1.8 1,748.8 3.7 14,657.6 2.0 8,598.8 2.6 2,705.8 4.42003 13,271.1 2.8 1,826.9 4.5 15,098.0 3.0 8,867.6 3.1 2,764.3 2.22004 13,773.5 3.8 2,035.3 11.4 15,808.8 4.7 9,208.2 3.8 2,808.2 1.62005 14,234.2 3.3 2,164.2 6.3 16,398.4 3.7 9,531.8 3.5 2,826.2 0.62006 14,613.8 2.7 2,301.0 6.3 16,914.8 3.1 9,821.7 3.0 2,869.3 1.52007 14,873.7 1.8 2,359.0 2.5 17,232.7 1.9 10,041.6 2.2 2,914.4 1.62008 14,830.4 -0.3 2,298.6 -2.6 17,129.0 -0.6 10,007.2 -0.3 2,994.8 2.82009 14,418.7 -2.8 1,983.2 -13.7 16,401.9 -4.2 9,847.0 -1.6 3,089.1 3.12010 14,783.8 2.5 2,235.4 12.7 17,019.2 3.8 10,036.3 1.9 3,091.4 0.12011 15,020.6 1.6 2,357.7 5.5 17,378.3 2.1 10,263.5 2.3 2,997.4 -3.02012 15,369.2 2.3 2,412.6 2.3 17,781.8 2.3 10,449.7 1.8 2,953.9 -1.52013 15,710.3 2.2 2,440.3 1.1 18,150.6 2.1 10,699.7 2.4 2,894.5 -2.02014 16,089.8 2.4 2,534.5 3.9 18,624.3 2.6 10,967.8 2.5 2,889.3 -0.2
2015 16,590.5 3.1 2,614.8 3.2 19,205.3 3.1 11,296.0 3.0 2,896.2 0.22016 17,073.2 2.9 2,756.4 5.4 19,829.6 3.3 11,639.3 3.0 2,902.0 0.22017 17,655.5 3.4 3,051.3 10.7 20,706.8 4.4 12,014.0 3.2 2,912.4 0.42018 18,214.1 3.2 3,319.0 8.8 21,533.1 4.0 12,352.9 2.8 2,921.1 0.32019 18,728.9 2.8 3,572.3 7.6 22,301.2 3.6 12,671.4 2.6 2,925.8 0.22020 19,285.9 3.0 3,801.5 6.4 23,087.4 3.5 13,027.1 2.8 2,936.3 0.4
Continúa
N-3
Años
(Continuación)
Demanda GlobalFormación Bruta de Capital Fijo Exportación de
Total Residencial No Residencial Variación Bienes y ServiciosDólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Existencias Dólares Var.%
1980 881.2 -10.1 333.1 -20.9 585.0 0.0 -36.9 280.8 22.01981 958.7 8.8 305.7 -8.2 620.9 6.1 32.2 305.2 8.71982 833.7 -13.0 250.3 -18.1 598.6 -3.6 -15.2 283.2 -7.21983 911.5 9.3 355.4 42.0 596.0 -0.4 -39.9 277.0 -2.21984 1,160.3 27.3 407.8 14.8 695.3 16.7 57.1 302.4 9.21985 1,159.5 -0.1 417.2 2.3 741.2 6.6 1.1 303.2 0.31986 1,161.3 0.2 468.9 12.4 728.4 -1.7 -36.0 321.0 5.91987 1,194.4 2.9 478.2 2.0 729.1 0.1 -12.8 363.9 13.41988 1,223.8 2.5 473.9 -0.9 765.5 5.0 -15.7 444.6 22.21989 1,273.4 4.1 458.6 -3.2 808.9 5.7 5.9 504.3 13.41990 1,240.6 -2.6 419.7 -8.5 817.6 1.1 3.4 551.9 9.41991 1,158.8 -6.6 382.3 -8.9 785.5 -3.9 -9.0 594.9 7.81992 1,243.7 7.3 435.0 13.8 808.4 2.9 0.3 633.1 6.41993 1,343.1 8.0 470.5 8.2 869.0 7.5 3.6 654.8 3.41994 1,502.3 11.9 512.8 9.0 937.6 7.9 51.9 720.9 10.11995 1,550.8 3.2 495.4 -3.4 1,028.5 9.7 26.9 812.8 12.71996 1,686.7 8.8 535.9 8.2 1,122.1 9.1 28.8 867.6 6.71997 1,879.0 11.4 548.9 2.4 1,242.9 10.8 87.3 953.8 9.91998 2,058.3 9.5 596.3 8.6 1,376.5 10.8 85.5 953.0 -0.11999 2,231.4 8.4 633.8 6.3 1,510.1 9.7 75.5 992.0 4.12000 2,375.5 6.5 637.9 0.6 1,647.7 9.1 66.2 1,096.8 10.62001 2,231.4 -6.1 643.7 0.9 1,608.4 -2.4 -46.2 1,026.7 -6.42002 2,218.2 -0.6 682.7 6.1 1,498.0 -6.9 22.5 1,002.5 -2.42003 2,308.7 4.1 744.5 9.1 1,526.1 1.9 22.6 1,040.3 3.82004 2,511.3 8.8 818.9 10.0 1,605.4 5.2 71.4 1,181.5 13.62005 2,672.6 6.4 872.6 6.6 1,717.4 7.0 64.3 1,308.9 10.82006 2,730.0 2.1 806.6 -7.6 1,839.6 7.1 71.6 1,476.3 12.82007 2,644.1 -3.1 654.8 -18.8 1,948.4 5.9 35.5 1,664.6 12.82008 2,396.0 -9.4 497.7 -24.0 1,934.4 -0.7 -33.7 1,841.9 10.72009 1,878.1 -21.6 392.2 -21.2 1,633.4 -15.6 -147.6 1,587.7 -13.82010 2,120.4 12.9 382.4 -2.5 1,673.8 2.5 58.2 1,852.3 16.72011 2,230.4 5.2 384.5 0.5 1,802.3 7.7 37.6 2,106.4 13.72012 2,435.9 9.2 436.5 13.5 1,931.8 7.2 57.0 2,194.2 4.22013 2,556.2 4.9 488.4 11.9 1,990.6 3.0 63.5 2,262.2 3.12014 2,705.5 5.8 496.3 1.6 2,112.7 6.1 78.8 2,081.9 -8.0
2015 2,894.3 7.0 533.5 7.5 2,270.2 7.5 73.7 2,147.5 3.22016 3,109.4 7.4 570.8 7.0 2,431.3 7.1 89.0 2,266.7 5.62017 3,448.9 10.9 618.2 8.3 2,708.5 11.4 106.5 2,477.5 9.32018 3,758.7 9.0 665.2 7.6 2,971.2 9.7 105.6 2,667.2 7.72019 4,024.4 7.1 705.8 6.1 3,203.0 7.8 97.4 2,847.3 6.82020 4,337.1 7.8 752.4 6.6 3,462.4 8.1 102.2 3,011.3 5.8
(Continúa)
N-4
Años
(Continuación)
Estructura Porcentual del Producto Interno BrutoAños PIB Consumo Gasto Inversión Bruta Fija Privada Variación de Balanza de Bienes y Servicios Ajuste
Real Privado Gobierno Total Residencial Otras Existencias Saldo Exportación Importación Residual
1980 100.0 61.9 25.0 13.7 5.2 9.1 -0.6 -1.4 4.4 5.7 0.81981 100.0 61.2 24.6 14.5 4.6 9.4 0.5 -1.1 4.6 5.7 0.81982 100.0 63.3 25.5 12.8 3.9 9.2 -0.2 -1.4 4.4 5.8 -0.31983 100.0 63.9 25.3 13.4 5.2 8.8 -0.6 -2.1 4.1 6.2 -0.61984 100.0 62.8 24.5 15.9 5.6 9.5 0.8 -3.0 4.2 7.2 -0.11985 100.0 63.4 25.1 15.3 5.5 9.8 0.0 -3.4 4.0 7.4 -0.31986 100.0 63.8 25.5 14.8 6.0 9.3 -0.5 -3.6 4.1 7.7 -0.51987 100.0 63.7 25.4 14.7 5.9 9.0 -0.2 -3.4 4.5 7.9 -0.41988 100.0 63.7 24.7 14.4 5.6 9.0 -0.2 -2.6 5.2 7.9 -0.31989 100.0 63.3 24.5 14.5 5.2 9.2 0.1 -2.2 5.7 7.9 -0.11990 100.0 63.3 24.8 13.9 4.7 9.1 0.0 -1.9 6.2 8.1 -0.11991 100.0 63.5 25.2 12.9 4.3 8.8 -0.1 -1.4 6.6 8.1 -0.21992 100.0 63.6 24.4 13.4 4.7 8.7 0.0 -1.5 6.8 8.3 0.01993 100.0 64.1 23.6 14.1 4.9 9.1 0.0 -1.9 6.9 8.8 0.21994 100.0 64.0 22.7 15.2 5.2 9.5 0.5 -2.2 7.3 9.5 0.41995 100.0 64.2 22.2 15.2 4.9 10.1 0.3 -2.0 8.0 10.0 0.41996 100.0 64.0 21.6 16.0 5.1 10.6 0.3 -2.2 8.2 10.4 0.71997 100.0 63.5 21.0 17.0 5.0 11.3 0.8 -2.7 8.6 11.3 1.11998 100.0 64.1 20.6 17.9 5.2 11.9 0.7 -3.8 8.3 12.1 1.31999 100.0 64.4 20.3 18.5 5.3 12.5 0.6 -4.5 8.2 12.7 1.32000 100.0 65.1 19.9 18.9 5.1 13.1 0.5 -5.1 8.7 13.8 1.22001 100.0 66.1 20.4 17.6 5.1 12.7 -0.4 -5.2 8.1 13.3 1.12002 100.0 66.6 21.0 17.2 5.3 11.6 0.2 -5.8 7.8 13.5 1.02003 100.0 66.8 20.8 17.4 5.6 11.5 0.2 -5.9 7.8 13.8 0.92004 100.0 66.9 20.4 18.2 5.9 11.7 0.5 -6.2 8.6 14.8 0.72005 100.0 67.0 19.9 18.8 6.1 12.1 0.5 -6.0 9.2 15.2 0.42006 100.0 67.2 19.6 18.7 5.5 12.6 0.5 -5.6 10.1 15.7 0.12007 100.0 67.5 19.6 17.8 4.4 13.1 0.2 -4.7 11.2 15.9 -0.22008 100.0 67.5 20.2 16.2 3.4 13.0 -0.2 -3.1 12.4 15.5 -0.72009 100.0 68.3 21.4 13.0 2.7 11.3 -1.0 -2.7 11.0 13.8 0.02010 100.0 67.9 20.9 14.3 2.6 11.3 0.4 -2.6 12.5 15.1 -0.52011 100.0 68.3 20.0 14.8 2.6 12.0 0.3 -1.7 14.0 15.7 -1.52012 100.0 68.0 19.2 15.8 2.8 12.6 0.4 -1.4 14.3 15.7 -1.62013 100.0 68.1 18.4 16.3 3.1 12.7 0.4 -1.1 14.4 15.5 -1.72014 100.0 68.2 18.0 16.8 3.1 13.1 0.5 -2.8 12.9 15.8 -0.1
2015 100.0 68.1 17.5 17.4 3.2 13.7 0.4 -2.8 12.9 15.8 -0.22016 100.0 68.2 17.0 18.2 3.3 14.2 0.5 -2.9 13.3 16.1 -0.52017 100.0 68.0 16.5 19.5 3.5 15.3 0.6 -3.3 14.0 17.3 -0.82018 100.0 67.8 16.0 20.6 3.7 16.3 0.6 -3.6 14.6 18.2 -0.92019 100.0 67.7 15.6 21.5 3.8 17.1 0.5 -3.9 15.2 19.1 -0.92020 100.0 67.5 15.2 22.5 3.9 18.0 0.5 -4.1 15.6 19.7 -1.2
(Continuación)
N-5
N-4. Oferta y Demanda Trimestral de Estados Unidos: Escenario Base 2014-2015(Miles de millones de dólares a precios de 2009 y variación % trimestral anualizada)
Oferta Global Demanda GlobalProducto Importación de TOTAL Consumo Consumo e Inversión
Interno Bruto Bienes y Servicios Privado del Gobierno
Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.%
2012 15,369.2 2.3 2,412.6 2.3 17,781.8 2.3 10,449.7 1.8 2,953.9 -1.5
I 15,275.0 2.3 2,401.7 1.7 17,676.7 2.2 10,387.6 2.8 2,957.8 -2.7II 15,336.7 1.6 2,425.5 4.0 17,762.2 1.9 10,420.2 1.3 2,954.9 -0.4III 15,431.3 2.5 2,422.1 -0.6 17,853.4 2.1 10,470.4 1.9 2,974.4 2.7IV 15,433.7 0.1 2,401.0 -3.5 17,834.7 -0.4 10,520.6 1.9 2,928.7 -6.0
2013 15,710.3 2.2 2,440.3 1.1 18,150.6 2.1 10,699.7 2.4 2,894.5 -2.0
I 15,538.4 2.7 2,399.5 -0.3 17,937.9 2.3 10,613.7 3.6 2,899.8 -3.9II 15,606.6 1.8 2,448.8 8.5 18,055.4 2.6 10,660.4 1.8 2,901.2 0.2III 15,779.9 4.5 2,452.3 0.6 18,232.2 3.9 10,713.3 2.0 2,902.4 0.2IV 15,916.2 3.5 2,460.5 1.3 18,376.7 3.2 10,811.4 3.7 2,874.5 -3.8
2014 16,089.8 2.4 2,534.5 3.9 18,624.3 2.6 10,967.8 2.5 2,889.3 -0.2
I 15,831.7 -2.1 2,474.1 2.2 18,305.8 -1.5 10,844.3 1.2 2,868.5 -0.8II 16,010.4 4.6 2,541.1 11.3 18,551.5 5.4 10,912.6 2.5 2,880.6 1.7
III 16,205.6 5.0 2,535.3 -0.9 18,740.9 4.1 10,999.5 3.2 2,911.9 4.4IV 16,311.6 2.6 2,589.9 8.9 18,901.5 3.4 11,114.9 4.3 2,896.0 -2.2
2015 16,590.5 3.1 2,614.8 3.2 19,205.3 3.1 11,296.0 3.0 2,896.2 0.2
I e/ 16,439.4 3.1 2,504.1 -13.3 18,943.4 0.9 11,180.2 2.3 2,862.1 -4.7II e/ 16,542.3 2.5 643.3 11.8 19,120.1 3.7 11,263.5 3.0 2,880.3 2.5III e/ 16,646.6 2.5 649.7 8.7 19,280.6 3.4 11,336.2 2.6 2,927.7 6.6IV e/ 16,733.6 2.1 656.7 16.6 19,477.1 4.1 11,404.1 2.4 2,914.6 -1.8
Fuente: Cuadro elaborado por CAMACRO con datos del Departament of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. (Continúa)
N-6
Años
N-7
(Continuación)
Demanda GlobalFormación Bruta de Capital Fijo Exportación de
Total Residencial No Residencial Variación Bienes y Servicios
Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Existencias Dólares Var.%
2012 2,435.9 9.2 436.5 13.5 1,931.8 7.2 57.0 2,194.2 4.2
I 2,413.7 6.9 420.8 25.5 1,910.1 5.8 70.9 1,936.0 1.3II 2,448.0 5.8 425.3 4.3 1,930.6 4.4 78.9 1,958.9 4.8III 2,457.7 1.6 439.5 14.1 1,934.5 0.8 71.2 1,969.1 2.1IV 2,424.3 -5.3 460.3 20.4 1,951.9 3.6 7.2 1,976.5 1.5
2013 2,556.2 4.9 488.4 11.9 1,990.6 3.0 63.5 2,262.2 3.1
I 2,469.0 7.6 469.0 7.8 1,959.0 1.5 33.4 1,972.3 -0.8II 2,510.7 6.9 489.8 19.0 1,966.8 1.6 43.4 2,002.8 6.3III 2,610.3 16.8 503.0 11.2 1,993.3 5.5 95.6 2,027.7 5.1IV 2,634.7 3.8 491.9 -8.5 2,043.3 10.4 81.8 2,076.5 10.0
2014 2,705.5 5.8 496.3 1.6 2,112.7 6.1 78.8 2,081.9 -8.0
I 2,588.2 -6.9 485.3 -5.3 2,051.5 1.6 35.2 2,026.9 -9.2II 2,703.7 19.1 495.6 8.8 2,099.6 9.7 84.8 2,080.7 11.1III 2,750.8 7.2 499.6 3.2 2,144.8 8.9 82.2 2,104.0 4.5IV 2,800.2 7.4 504.6 4.1 2,154.8 1.9 113.1 2,118.4 2.8
2015 2,894.3 7.0 533.5 7.5 2,270.2 7.5 73.7 2,147.5 3.2
I e/ 2,858.0 8.3 522.7 14.3 2,204.4 9.2 114.3 2,069.3 -9.3II e/ 2,886.3 4.0 531.8 7.0 2,259.3 10.0 79.9 2,123.5 10.5III e/ 2,879.3 -1.0 538.1 4.7 2,304.6 8.0 18.1 2,164.1 7.7IV e/ 2,953.5 10.3 541.4 2.5 2,312.4 1.3 82.3 2,233.1 12.7
Fuente: Cuadro elaborado por CAMACRO con datos del Departament of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Años
N-5. Balanza de Pagos de los Estados Unidos: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Millones de dólares)
Bienes Servicios Ingresos, BalanzaAños Exportaciones Importaciones Saldo Exportaciones Importaciones Saldo Pagos y Cuenta Corriente
Mills. Dls. Var.% Mills. Dls. Var.% Bienes Mills. Dls. Var.% Mills. Dls. Var.% Servicios Transferencias Mills. Dls. %PIB
1980 224,250 21.6 -249,750 17.8 -25,500 47,585 19.9 -41,492 13.1 6,093 -34,184 2,318 0.11981 237,044 5.7 -265,067 6.1 -28,023 57,355 20.5 -45,503 9.7 11,852 -41,924 5,029 0.21982 211,157 -10.9 -247,642 -6.6 -36,485 64,078 11.7 -51,750 13.7 12,328 -44,814 -5,537 -0.21983 201,799 -4.4 -268,901 8.6 -67,102 64,307 0.4 -54,973 6.2 9,334 -42,332 -38,691 -1.11984 219,926 9.0 -332,418 23.6 -112,492 71,168 10.7 -67,748 23.2 3,420 -60,240 -94,344 -2.31985 215,915 -1.8 -338,088 1.7 -122,173 73,156 2.8 -72,863 7.6 293 -57,325 -118,155 -2.71986 223,344 3.4 -368,425 9.0 -145,081 86,690 18.5 -80,147 10.0 6,543 -63,173 -147,176 -3.21987 250,208 12.0 -409,765 11.2 -159,557 98,661 13.8 -90,788 13.3 7,873 -76,044 -160,655 -3.31988 320,230 28.0 -447,189 9.1 -126,959 110,920 12.4 -98,525 8.5 12,395 -97,707 -121,153 -2.31989 359,916 12.4 -477,665 6.8 -117,749 127,087 14.6 -102,480 4.0 24,607 -120,391 -99,487 -1.81990 387,401 7.6 -498,438 4.3 -111,037 147,833 16.3 -117,660 14.8 30,173 -121,691 -78,969 -1.31991 414,083 6.9 -491,020 -1.5 -76,937 164,260 11.1 -118,459 0.7 45,801 -141,102 2,897 0.01992 439,631 6.2 -536,528 9.3 -96,897 177,251 7.9 -119,566 0.9 57,685 -78,210 -51,613 -0.81993 456,943 3.9 -589,394 9.9 -132,451 185,920 4.9 -123,780 3.5 62,140 -76,476 -84,805 -1.21994 502,859 10.0 -668,690 13.5 -165,831 200,395 7.8 -133,057 7.5 67,338 -112,037 -121,612 -1.71995 575,204 14.4 -749,374 12.1 -174,170 219,183 9.4 -141,397 6.3 77,786 -154,697 -113,567 -1.51996 612,113 6.4 -803,113 7.2 -191,000 239,489 9.3 -152,554 7.9 86,935 -164,195 -124,764 -1.51997 678,366 10.8 -876,794 9.2 -198,428 256,087 6.9 -165,932 8.8 90,155 -203,688 -140,726 -1.61998 670,416 -1.2 -918,637 4.8 -248,221 262,758 2.6 -180,677 8.9 82,081 -208,791 -215,062 -2.41999 698,524 4.2 -1,035,592 12.7 -337,068 271,343 3.3 -192,893 6.8 78,450 -239,520 -295,530 -3.12000 784,940 12.4 -1,231,722 18.9 -446,782 290,381 7.0 -216,115 12.0 74,266 -282,225 -410,756 -4.02001 731,331 -6.8 -1,153,701 -6.3 -422,370 274,323 -5.5 -213,465 -1.2 60,858 -204,929 -395,328 -3.72002 698,036 -4.6 -1,173,281 1.7 -475,245 280,670 2.3 -224,379 5.1 56,291 -198,025 -458,087 -4.22003 730,446 4.6 -1,272,089 8.4 -541,643 289,972 3.3 -242,219 8.0 47,753 -213,726 -521,342 -4.52004 823,584 12.8 -1,488,349 17.0 -664,765 337,966 16.6 -283,083 16.9 54,883 -268,451 -633,768 -5.22005 913,016 10.9 -1,695,820 13.9 -782,804 373,006 10.4 -304,448 7.5 68,558 -377,528 -745,434 -5.72006 1,040,905 14.0 -1,878,194 10.8 -837,289 416,738 11.7 -341,165 12.1 75,573 -561,405 -806,726 -5.82007 1,165,151 11.9 -1,986,347 5.8 -821,196 488,396 17.2 -372,575 9.2 115,821 -629,557 -718,643 -5.02008 1,308,795 12.3 -2,141,287 7.8 -832,492 532,817 9.1 -409,052 9.8 123,765 -553,500 -686,641 -4.72009 1,070,331 -18.2 -1,580,025 -26.2 -509,694 512,722 -3.8 -386,801 -5.4 125,921 -370,192 -380,792 -2.62010 1,290,273 20.5 -1,938,950 22.7 -648,677 563,333 9.9 -409,313 5.8 154,020 -380,320 -443,930 -3.02011 1,499,240 16.2 -2,239,886 15.5 -740,646 627,781 11.4 -435,761 6.5 192,020 -407,086 -459,344 -3.02012 1,561,689 4.2 -2,303,785 2.9 -742,096 654,850 4.3 -450,360 3.4 204,490 -433,755 -460,749 -2.92013 1,592,784 2.0 -2,294,453 -0.4 -701,669 687,410 5.0 -462,134 2.6 225,276 -456,950 -400,254 -2.42014 1,632,360 2.5 -2,372,435 3.4 -740,075 710,334 3.3 -478,543 3.6 231,791 -473,016 -408,329 -2.3
2015 1,672,569 2.5 -2,422,590 2.1 -750,021 736,375 3.7 -502,693 5.0 233,682 -485,323 -415,683 -2.32016 1,761,215 5.3 -2,538,874 4.8 -777,659 776,139 5.4 -528,330 5.1 247,809 -508,675 -424,212 -2.22017 1,939,802 10.1 -2,818,151 11.0 -878,348 831,245 7.1 -565,313 7.0 265,932 -541,084 -494,116 -2.52018 2,100,030 8.3 -3,060,512 8.6 -960,482 882,450 6.2 -598,101 5.8 284,349 -570,330 -545,329 -2.62019 2,255,432 7.4 -3,296,171 7.7 -1,040,739 927,102 5.1 -626,212 4.7 300,890 -599,432 -595,071 -2.72020 2,393,013 6.1 -3,513,718 6.6 -1,120,705 966,596 4.3 -651,260 4.0 315,336 -624,165 -645,193 -2.8
(Continúa)
N-8
N-9
(Continuación)
Bienes Servicios Ingresos, Balanza
Años Exportaciones Importaciones Saldo Exportaciones Importaciones Saldo Pagos y Cuenta Corriente
Mills. Dls. Var.% Mills. Dls. Var.% Bienes Mills. Dls. Var.% Mills. Dls. Var.% Servicios Transferencias Mills. Dls.
2012 1,561,689 4.2 -2,303,784 2.9 -742,095 654,850 4.3 -450,360 3.4 204,490 76,855 -460,751
I 387,616 7.6 -581,054 7.3 -193,438 159,968 5.5 -110,983 6.3 48,985 20,491 -123,962II 391,764 5.0 -580,003 3.6 -188,239 162,415 3.3 -112,212 2.6 50,203 19,162 -118,875III 391,998 2.6 -570,941 1.0 -178,943 163,216 1.5 -112,793 1.2 50,423 16,387 -112,132IV 390,311 1.7 -571,786 -0.2 -181,475 169,251 7.0 -114,372 3.5 54,879 20,815 -105,781
2013 1,592,784 2.0 -2,294,452 -0.4 -701,668 687,410 5.0 -462,134 2.6 225,276 76,140 -400,253
I 392,605 1.3 -570,164 -1.9 -177,559 169,806 6.1 -113,195 2.0 56,611 15,462 -105,487II 394,988 0.8 -572,071 -1.4 -177,083 170,347 4.9 -115,063 2.5 55,284 15,654 -106,146III 398,088 1.6 -576,024 0.9 -177,936 172,668 5.8 -115,929 2.8 56,739 19,892 -101,305IV 407,103 4.3 -576,193 0.8 -169,090 174,589 3.2 -117,947 3.1 56,642 25,132 -87,317
2014 1,632,360 2.5 -2,372,435 3.4 -740,075 710,334 3.3 -478,543 3.6 231,791 99,954 -408,330
I 399,536 1.8 -581,875 2.1 -182,339 174,651 2.9 -116,848 3.2 57,803 22,424 -102,112II 408,714 3.5 -598,025 4.5 -189,311 177,862 4.4 -119,772 4.1 58,090 32,805 -98,416III 414,134 4.0 -596,205 3.5 -182,071 177,865 3.0 -120,123 3.6 57,742 24,074 -100,255
IV e/ 409,976 0.7 -596,330 3.5 -186,354 179,956 3.1 -121,800 3.3 58,156 20,651 -107,547
2015 1,672,569 2.5 -2,422,590 2.1 -750,021 736,375 3.7 -502,693 5.0 233,682 100,655 -415,684
I e/ 402,614 0.8 -580,891 -0.2 -178,277 182,522 4.5 -123,720 5.9 58,803 22,645 -96,830II e/ 414,280 1.4 -600,222 0.4 -185,942 183,701 3.3 -125,287 4.6 58,415 32,824 -94,703III e/ 422,655 2.1 -613,431 2.9 -190,776 184,624 3.8 -126,285 5.1 58,339 24,573 -107,864IV e/ 433,019 5.6 -628,046 5.3 -195,027 185,527 3.1 -127,401 4.6 58,126 20,613 -116,288
e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
N-6. Indice de Precios al Consumidor en EUA: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Indice 1982-84=100)
Inflación Inflación sin Precios Precios de la Energía Precios de la Precios de Años General Alimentos y Energía de los Alimentos Energía Gasolina Asistencia Médica los Transportes
Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. %
1980 82.4 13.5 80.8 12.4 86.8 8.6 86.0 30.9 103.1 38.5 74.9 11.0 83.1 17.81981 90.9 10.3 89.2 10.5 93.6 7.8 97.7 13.6 114.2 10.8 82.9 10.8 93.2 12.11982 96.5 6.1 95.9 7.4 97.4 4.1 99.2 1.5 108.1 -5.3 92.6 11.6 97.0 4.11983 99.6 3.2 99.6 3.9 99.4 2.1 99.9 0.8 103.4 -4.4 100.6 8.7 99.3 2.41984 103.9 4.3 104.5 4.9 103.2 3.8 100.9 1.0 101.1 -2.2 106.9 6.2 103.7 4.41985 107.6 3.5 109.1 4.4 105.6 2.3 101.6 0.7 100.9 -0.1 113.5 6.2 106.5 2.61986 109.6 1.9 113.5 4.0 108.9 3.2 88.2 -13.2 78.6 -22.1 122.0 7.5 102.3 -3.91987 113.6 3.7 118.2 4.1 113.5 4.2 88.6 0.4 80.8 2.8 130.1 6.6 105.4 3.01988 118.3 4.1 123.4 4.4 118.2 4.1 89.3 0.8 81.3 0.7 138.6 6.5 108.7 3.11989 124.0 4.8 129.0 4.5 125.1 5.8 94.3 5.7 89.5 10.0 149.3 7.7 114.1 5.01990 130.7 5.4 135.5 5.0 132.4 5.8 102.1 8.2 102.8 14.8 162.8 9.1 120.5 5.61991 136.2 4.2 142.1 4.9 136.3 2.9 102.5 0.4 101.0 -1.7 177.0 8.7 123.8 2.81992 140.3 3.0 147.3 3.7 137.9 1.2 103.0 0.5 100.4 -0.6 190.1 7.4 126.5 2.21993 144.5 3.0 152.2 3.3 140.9 2.2 104.2 1.1 99.0 -1.4 201.4 6.0 130.4 3.01994 148.2 2.6 156.5 2.9 144.3 2.4 104.6 0.5 99.1 0.1 211.0 4.8 134.3 3.01995 152.4 2.8 161.2 3.0 148.4 2.9 105.2 0.6 101.7 2.7 220.5 4.5 139.1 3.61996 156.9 2.9 165.6 2.7 153.3 3.3 110.1 4.6 108.7 6.9 228.2 3.5 143.0 2.81997 160.5 2.3 169.5 2.4 157.3 2.6 111.5 1.3 109.0 0.3 234.6 2.8 144.3 0.91998 163.0 1.6 173.4 2.3 160.7 2.2 102.9 -7.7 94.2 -13.6 242.1 3.2 141.6 -1.91999 166.6 2.2 177.0 2.1 164.1 2.1 106.6 3.6 103.1 9.5 250.6 3.5 144.4 2.02000 172.2 3.4 181.3 2.4 167.8 2.3 124.6 16.9 131.9 28.0 260.8 4.1 153.3 6.22001 177.1 2.8 186.1 2.7 173.1 3.1 129.3 3.8 129.3 -2.0 272.8 4.6 154.3 0.62002 179.9 1.6 190.5 2.3 176.2 1.8 121.7 -5.9 121.6 -5.9 285.6 4.7 152.9 -0.92003 184.0 2.3 193.2 1.5 180.0 2.1 136.5 12.2 138.3 13.7 297.1 4.0 157.6 3.12004 188.9 2.7 196.6 1.8 186.2 3.4 151.4 10.9 162.3 17.4 310.1 4.4 163.1 3.52005 195.3 3.4 200.9 2.2 190.7 2.4 177.1 16.9 197.3 21.6 323.2 4.2 173.9 6.62006 201.6 3.2 205.9 2.5 195.2 2.3 196.9 11.2 222.4 12.7 336.2 4.0 180.9 4.02007 207.3 2.9 210.7 2.3 202.9 4.0 207.7 5.5 240.5 8.2 351.1 4.4 184.7 2.12008 215.3 3.8 215.6 2.3 214.1 5.5 236.7 13.9 280.0 16.4 364.1 3.7 195.5 5.92009 214.5 -0.4 219.2 1.7 218.0 1.8 193.1 -18.4 202.7 -27.6 375.6 3.2 179.3 -8.32010 218.1 1.6 221.3 1.0 219.6 0.8 211.4 9.5 239.4 18.1 388.4 3.4 193.4 7.92011 224.9 3.2 225.0 1.7 227.8 3.7 243.9 15.4 301.7 26.0 400.3 3.0 212.4 9.82012 229.6 2.1 229.8 2.1 233.8 2.6 246.1 0.9 311.5 3.2 414.9 3.7 217.3 2.32013 233.0 1.5 233.8 1.8 237.0 1.4 244.4 -0.7 302.6 -2.9 425.1 2.5 217.4 0.02014 236.7 1.6 237.9 1.7 242.7 2.4 243.6 -0.3 289.0 -4.5 435.3 2.4 215.9 -0.7
2015 238.9 0.9 241.6 1.6 248.2 2.2 220.3 -9.6 200.2 -30.7 446.3 2.5 206.0 -4.62016 244.2 2.2 246.3 2.0 253.9 2.3 227.4 3.2 234.0 16.9 458.5 2.7 207.2 0.62017 249.9 2.4 251.9 2.3 259.6 2.3 233.2 2.6 247.6 5.8 472.9 3.1 210.1 1.42018 255.6 2.3 257.5 2.2 265.4 2.2 237.8 2.0 263.3 6.4 487.2 3.0 214.3 2.02019 260.8 2.0 262.7 2.0 270.7 2.0 241.5 1.5 273.9 4.0 501.1 2.8 218.2 1.82020 266.4 2.2 268.4 2.2 276.2 2.0 245.7 1.7 283.4 3.4 514.2 2.6 221.7 1.6
N-10
N-7. Tasas de Interés Nominales y Reales en EUA: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Promedio porcentual anual)
Tasa de Interés Tasa de Fondos Letras del Tesoro Papel Depósitos en LondresAños Preferencial Federales de EE.UU. a 3 meses Comercial a 1 mes Eurodólares a 1 mes Libor a 3 meses
Nominal Real Nominal Real Nominal Real Nominal Real Nominal Real Nominal Real
1980 15.26 3.43 13.35 1.49 11.43 -0.41 12.72 0.86 13.81 1.96 13.96 2.111981 18.87 10.71 16.39 8.04 14.03 5.55 15.71 7.32 16.72 8.40 16.79 8.471982 14.85 11.63 12.24 8.78 10.61 7.05 11.84 8.35 12.78 9.37 12.95 9.551983 10.79 7.27 9.09 5.48 8.61 4.98 8.87 5.25 9.37 5.77 9.50 5.911984 12.04 8.45 10.23 6.52 9.52 5.77 10.07 6.35 10.43 6.73 10.60 6.911985 9.93 6.35 8.10 4.44 7.48 3.80 7.94 4.27 8.12 4.46 8.20 4.541986 8.33 7.48 6.80 5.85 5.98 4.99 6.61 5.65 6.79 5.84 6.90 5.961987 8.21 3.92 6.66 2.33 5.78 1.43 6.74 2.41 6.88 2.55 7.18 2.861988 9.32 5.08 7.57 3.27 6.67 2.35 7.58 3.28 7.69 3.40 7.97 3.691989 10.87 6.48 9.21 4.74 8.11 3.61 9.11 4.64 9.16 4.69 9.28 4.821990 10.01 4.12 8.10 2.17 7.49 1.55 8.15 2.22 8.16 2.22 8.28 2.351991 8.46 5.56 5.69 2.69 5.38 2.37 5.89 2.90 5.82 2.82 5.98 2.991992 6.25 3.43 3.52 0.66 3.43 0.57 3.71 0.85 3.63 0.76 3.83 0.971993 6.00 3.33 3.02 0.31 3.00 0.28 3.17 0.45 3.07 0.35 3.30 0.591994 7.15 4.59 4.21 1.58 4.25 1.61 4.43 1.80 4.34 1.71 4.74 2.121995 8.83 6.49 5.83 3.36 5.49 3.02 5.93 3.46 5.86 3.39 6.04 3.581996 8.27 5.11 5.30 2.05 5.01 1.75 5.43 2.19 5.32 2.07 5.51 2.281997 8.44 6.95 5.46 3.83 5.06 3.42 5.55 3.93 5.52 3.89 5.74 4.121998 8.35 6.95 5.35 3.81 4.78 3.22 5.42 3.88 5.45 3.91 5.56 4.021999 8.00 5.47 4.97 2.34 4.64 2.00 5.11 2.48 5.14 2.51 5.41 2.792000 9.23 6.04 6.24 2.94 5.82 2.50 6.27 2.97 6.32 3.02 6.53 3.232001 6.91 5.50 3.88 2.36 3.39 1.86 3.79 2.27 3.80 2.27 3.78 2.262002 4.67 2.34 1.67 -0.68 1.60 -0.74 1.68 -0.67 1.70 -0.64 1.79 -0.552003 4.12 2.28 1.13 -0.73 1.01 -0.85 1.13 -0.73 1.14 -0.72 1.22 -0.652004 4.34 1.13 1.35 -1.84 1.37 -1.82 1.40 -1.79 1.43 -1.76 1.62 -1.572005 6.19 2.86 3.22 -0.14 3.15 -0.22 3.27 -0.09 3.33 -0.04 3.56 0.192006 7.96 5.57 4.97 2.48 4.73 2.23 5.00 2.51 5.09 2.60 5.19 2.712007 8.05 4.10 5.02 1.01 4.35 0.35 5.07 1.06 5.28 1.27 5.30 1.292008 5.09 5.11 1.92 1.84 1.37 1.28 2.38 2.31 3.02 2.97 2.91 2.862009 3.25 0.56 0.16 -2.49 0.15 -2.50 0.26 -2.39 0.61 -2.05 0.69 -1.972010 3.25 1.78 0.18 -1.30 0.14 -1.34 0.20 -1.28 0.34 -1.13 0.34 -1.142011 3.25 0.33 0.10 -2.78 0.05 -2.83 0.13 -2.75 0.30 -2.59 0.34 -2.552012 3.25 1.53 0.14 -1.57 0.09 -1.63 0.11 -1.60 0.31 -1.41 0.43 -1.292013 3.25 1.77 0.11 -1.37 0.11 -1.37 0.09 -1.39 0.22 -1.26 0.27 -1.222014 3.25 2.52 0.09 -0.66 0.03 -0.72 0.09 -0.66 0.18 -0.57 0.23 -0.52
2015 3.45 1.24 0.30 -1.89 0.22 -1.97 0.31 -1.88 0.38 -1.81 0.44 -1.752016 4.24 1.68 1.11 -1.46 1.02 -1.54 1.15 -1.41 1.19 -1.38 1.25 -1.322017 5.23 2.73 2.10 -0.43 2.01 -0.52 2.25 -0.28 2.18 -0.34 2.24 -0.282018 6.23 4.17 3.11 0.99 3.01 0.88 3.27 1.14 3.19 1.07 3.26 1.132019 6.27 4.46 3.16 1.28 3.05 1.17 3.35 1.47 3.25 1.37 3.31 1.432020 5.65 3.38 2.56 0.24 2.44 0.12 2.77 0.45 2.65 0.32 2.71 0.39
N-11
N-8. Producción Industrial en EUA: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Indice 2007=100)
Producción Manufacturas Electricidad AdendumAños Total Total Bienes Durables Bienes No Durables Otros Bienes Minería y Gas Natural Vehículos y Partes
Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. %
1980 50.2 -2.5 43.8 -3.8 32.1 -4.3 65.7 -3.0 91.9 3.5 114.5 1.8 57.3 0.7 37.9 -26.31981 50.9 1.3 44.2 1.0 32.5 1.1 66.3 0.9 94.1 2.4 117.5 2.6 58.1 1.4 36.9 -2.51982 48.3 -5.2 41.7 -5.7 29.7 -8.5 65.3 -1.5 95.2 1.1 111.7 -4.9 56.2 -3.2 33.3 -9.81983 49.6 2.7 43.8 4.9 31.2 5.0 68.4 4.7 97.8 2.8 105.8 -5.3 56.7 0.8 42.5 27.61984 54.0 8.9 48.1 10.0 35.6 14.1 71.5 4.6 102.3 4.6 112.6 6.5 60.0 5.8 50.9 19.81985 54.7 1.2 48.9 1.5 36.4 2.2 71.9 0.6 106.3 3.9 110.4 -1.9 61.3 2.2 52.9 3.81986 55.2 1.0 50.0 2.2 37.0 1.7 74.0 2.9 108.4 2.0 102.4 -7.2 61.8 0.9 52.8 -0.11987 58.1 5.2 52.8 5.7 39.2 5.9 78.0 5.4 114.7 5.8 103.4 0.9 64.7 4.7 54.7 3.61988 61.1 5.2 55.8 5.6 42.1 7.4 80.6 3.4 114.2 -0.4 106.0 2.5 68.4 5.7 58.5 6.81989 61.6 0.9 56.3 0.9 42.6 1.1 81.1 0.6 112.6 -1.4 104.8 -1.2 70.6 3.2 57.9 -1.01990 62.2 1.0 56.8 0.9 42.7 0.3 82.4 1.6 111.2 -1.2 106.3 1.5 71.9 1.9 54.4 -6.01991 61.3 -1.5 55.7 -1.8 41.4 -3.1 82.1 -0.4 106.7 -4.1 104.0 -2.2 73.7 2.4 52.0 -4.41992 63.0 2.8 57.9 3.9 43.5 5.1 84.2 2.6 104.5 -2.0 101.7 -2.2 73.6 -0.1 59.2 13.81993 65.1 3.3 60.0 3.6 45.9 5.5 85.4 1.4 105.3 0.8 101.7 0.0 76.2 3.6 65.4 10.51994 68.5 5.3 63.8 6.3 49.8 8.5 88.4 3.5 104.4 -0.9 104.0 2.3 77.7 2.0 75.1 14.91995 71.8 4.7 67.3 5.5 54.0 8.5 89.9 1.8 104.4 0.0 103.9 -0.1 80.5 3.5 77.3 2.91996 74.9 4.4 70.7 5.1 58.9 8.9 90.2 0.3 103.4 -0.9 105.6 1.7 82.8 2.9 77.9 0.81997 80.4 7.2 76.7 8.4 65.9 12.0 93.5 3.7 112.1 8.4 107.6 1.8 82.8 0.0 84.0 7.81998 85.0 5.8 81.8 6.7 72.9 10.5 94.9 1.5 118.8 5.9 105.6 -1.8 84.9 2.6 88.4 5.11999 88.7 4.3 86.0 5.1 78.9 8.4 95.5 0.6 122.2 2.9 100.1 -5.3 87.4 2.9 98.1 11.02000 92.2 4.0 89.8 4.5 84.8 7.4 95.9 0.5 121.9 -0.2 102.8 2.7 89.9 2.9 97.4 -0.72001 89.1 -3.4 86.3 -3.9 80.9 -4.6 93.1 -3.0 114.0 -6.5 103.2 0.4 89.5 -0.5 88.8 -8.92002 89.3 0.2 86.7 0.5 80.8 0.0 94.2 1.2 110.1 -3.4 98.4 -4.7 92.3 3.1 97.6 9.92003 90.4 1.2 88.0 1.5 82.9 2.6 94.4 0.2 106.9 -2.9 98.5 0.1 94.1 1.9 101.1 3.62004 92.5 2.3 90.6 2.9 86.2 4.0 95.9 1.6 107.8 0.8 98.2 -0.3 95.3 1.4 101.7 0.52005 95.5 3.2 94.4 4.2 91.2 5.8 98.3 2.5 107.4 -0.4 97.0 -1.3 97.3 2.1 102.3 0.62006 97.6 2.2 97.0 2.7 95.4 4.6 98.8 0.6 106.1 -1.1 99.2 2.4 96.7 -0.6 100.8 -1.52007 100.0 2.5 100.0 3.1 100.0 4.8 100.0 1.2 100.0 -5.8 100.0 0.8 100.0 3.4 100.0 -0.82008 96.6 -3.4 95.4 -4.6 96.6 -3.4 94.1 -5.9 93.5 -6.5 101.2 1.2 99.9 -0.1 80.0 -20.02009 85.7 -11.3 82.4 -13.6 78.6 -18.6 86.9 -7.7 80.7 -13.7 95.7 -5.4 97.5 -2.5 58.6 -26.82010 90.6 5.7 87.9 6.6 87.2 11.0 88.7 2.2 76.4 -5.3 100.7 5.2 101.0 3.6 77.8 32.72011 93.6 3.3 91.1 3.6 93.2 6.8 88.9 0.2 74.3 -2.8 106.8 6.1 100.8 -0.2 84.8 9.02012 97.1 3.8 95.1 4.4 100.0 7.3 90.0 1.2 72.8 -2.0 113.5 6.3 98.7 -2.1 97.4 14.82013 99.9 2.9 97.9 2.9 104.4 4.4 91.2 1.3 68.9 -5.3 118.9 4.7 100.7 2.1 105.0 7.82014 104.2 4.3 101.7 3.9 110.0 5.4 93.2 2.2 66.0 -4.2 129.7 9.0 101.9 1.2 113.4 8.0
2015 108.5 4.2 106.2 4.4 116.4 5.8 96.3 3.4 64.8 -1.9 136.4 5.2 102.6 0.6 120.5 6.22016 112.5 3.7 110.5 4.0 122.5 5.2 99.2 3.0 65.2 0.7 139.6 2.3 105.4 2.8 133.7 11.02017 117.3 4.3 115.7 4.7 129.4 5.6 103.2 4.0 66.5 2.0 143.6 2.9 108.7 3.1 153.5 14.82018 122.1 4.1 120.9 4.5 136.2 5.3 107.1 3.8 67.7 1.7 147.4 2.6 112.1 3.1 172.5 12.42019 126.7 3.7 125.9 4.1 143.0 5.0 110.7 3.4 68.6 1.4 150.7 2.3 115.0 2.7 190.6 10.52020 131.7 4.0 131.4 4.4 150.6 5.3 114.7 3.6 69.7 1.6 154.5 2.5 118.3 2.8 212.1 11.3
N-12
N-9. Finanzas Públicas de Estados Unidos: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Billones de dólares; año fiscal)
Ingresos Egresos Déficit o Deuda BrutaAños Nominal Real Nominal Real Superávit Fiscal Federal
Dólares Var. % % PIB Dólares 2009 Var. % Dólares Var. % % PIB Dólares 2009 Var. % Dólares % PIB Dólares % PIB
1980 517 11.6 18.1 1,309 1.0 591 17.2 20.6 1,496 6.1 -73.8 -2.6 909 31.81981 599 15.9 18.7 1,366 4.3 678 14.8 21.1 1,546 3.3 -79.0 -2.5 995 31.01982 618 3.1 18.5 1,310 -4.1 746 10.0 22.3 1,581 2.3 -128.0 -3.8 1,137 34.01983 601 -2.8 16.5 1,214 -7.3 808 8.4 22.2 1,633 3.3 -207.8 -5.7 1,372 37.71984 666 11.0 16.5 1,290 6.3 852 5.4 21.1 1,649 1.0 -185.4 -4.6 1,565 38.71985 734 10.1 16.9 1,376 6.7 946 11.1 21.8 1,774 7.6 -212.3 -4.9 1,817 41.81986 769 4.8 16.8 1,404 2.0 990 4.7 21.6 1,808 1.9 -221.2 -4.8 2,121 46.21987 854 11.1 17.5 1,517 8.0 1,004 1.4 20.6 1,783 -1.4 -149.7 -3.1 2,346 48.21988 909 6.4 17.3 1,562 3.0 1,064 6.0 20.3 1,829 2.6 -155.2 -3.0 2,601 49.51989 991 9.0 17.5 1,640 5.0 1,144 7.5 20.2 1,893 3.5 -152.6 -2.7 2,868 50.71990 1,032 4.1 17.3 1,657 1.1 1,253 9.6 21.0 2,013 6.3 -221.0 -3.7 3,206 53.61991 1,055 2.2 17.1 1,619 -2.3 1,324 5.7 21.4 2,033 1.0 -269.2 -4.4 3,598 58.31992 1,091 3.4 16.7 1,615 -0.3 1,382 4.3 21.1 2,044 0.6 -290.3 -4.4 4,002 61.21993 1,154 5.8 16.8 1,659 2.7 1,409 2.0 20.5 2,026 -0.9 -255.1 -3.7 4,351 63.31994 1,259 9.0 17.2 1,776 7.0 1,462 3.7 20.0 2,063 1.8 -203.2 -2.8 4,643 63.51995 1,352 7.4 17.6 1,853 4.4 1,516 3.7 19.8 2,078 0.8 -164.0 -2.1 4,921 64.21996 1,453 7.5 17.9 1,950 5.2 1,560 3.0 19.3 2,094 0.8 -107.4 -1.3 5,181 64.01997 1,579 8.7 18.3 2,077 6.5 1,601 2.6 18.6 2,106 0.6 -21.9 -0.3 5,369 62.41998 1,722 9.0 18.9 2,245 8.1 1,652 3.2 18.2 2,154 2.3 69.3 0.8 5,478 60.31999 1,827 6.1 18.9 2,353 4.8 1,702 3.0 17.6 2,191 1.7 125.6 1.3 5,606 58.02000 2,025 10.8 19.7 2,544 8.1 1,789 5.1 17.4 2,247 2.6 236.2 2.3 5,629 54.72001 1,991 -1.7 18.7 2,436 -4.2 1,863 4.1 17.5 2,279 1.4 128.2 1.2 5,770 54.32002 1,853 -6.9 16.9 2,229 -8.5 2,011 7.9 18.3 2,419 6.2 -157.8 -1.4 6,198 56.52003 1,782 -3.8 15.5 2,086 -6.4 2,160 7.4 18.8 2,528 4.5 -377.6 -3.3 6,760 58.72004 1,880 5.5 15.3 2,143 2.7 2,293 6.2 18.7 2,613 3.4 -412.7 -3.4 7,355 59.92005 2,154 14.5 16.4 2,372 10.7 2,472 7.8 18.9 2,722 4.2 -318.3 -2.4 7,905 60.42006 2,407 11.8 17.4 2,562 8.0 2,655 7.4 19.2 2,826 3.8 -248.2 -1.8 8,451 61.02007 2,568 6.7 17.7 2,663 3.9 2,729 2.8 18.8 2,830 0.1 -160.7 -1.1 8,951 61.82008 2,524 -1.7 17.1 2,529 -5.0 2,983 9.3 20.3 2,989 5.6 -458.6 -3.1 9,986 67.82009 2,105 -16.6 14.6 2,105 -16.8 3,518 17.9 24.4 3,518 17.7 -1,412.7 -9.8 11,876 82.42010 2,163 2.7 14.5 2,137 1.5 3,457 -1.7 23.1 3,417 -2.9 -1,294.4 -8.6 13,529 90.42011 2,303 6.5 14.8 2,233 4.5 3,603 4.2 23.2 3,492 2.2 -1,299.6 -8.4 14,764 95.12012 2,450 6.4 15.2 2,331 4.4 3,537 -1.8 21.9 3,365 -3.6 -1,087.0 -6.7 16,051 99.32013 2,775 13.3 16.5 2,598 11.4 3,455 -2.3 20.6 3,234 -3.9 -679.5 -4.1 16,719 99.72014 3,002 8.2 17.2 2,766 6.5 3,651 5.7 21.0 3,364 4.0 -648.8 -3.7 17,893 102.7
2015 3,337 11.2 18.3 3,033 9.6 3,901 6.9 21.4 3,545 5.4 -563.6 -3.1 18,713 102.82016 3,568 6.9 18.7 3,191 5.2 4,099 5.1 21.5 3,666 3.4 -531.1 -2.8 19,512 102.12017 3,811 6.8 18.9 3,345 4.8 4,269 4.1 21.2 3,747 2.2 -457.8 -2.3 20,262 100.52018 4,030 5.7 19.0 3,478 4.0 4,443 4.1 21.0 3,835 2.3 -413.3 -1.9 20,961 98.82019 4,226 4.9 19.0 3,590 3.2 4,729 6.4 21.3 4,017 4.8 -502.7 -2.3 21,671 97.72020 4,420 4.6 19.0 3,703 3.1 4,929 4.2 21.2 4,129 2.8 -509.1 -2.2 22,468 96.6
N-13
O. Tratado de Libre Comerciode América del Norte TLCAN
Cuadro O-1.Indicadores Básicos del Tratado de Libre Comercio TLCAN 1980-2020
Cuadro O-2.Tratado de Libre Comercio entre Estados Unidos y México 1980-2020
Cuadro O-3.Tratado de Libre Comercio entre México y Estados Unidos 1980-2020
Cuadro O-4.Comercio Exterior de México por Países 2013-2014
Cuadro O-5.Comercio Exterior de Estados Unidos por Países 2013-2014
Cuadro O-6.Participación de México, Canadá y China en el Mercado
de Estados Unidos 1994-2014
O-1. Indicadores Básicos del TLC: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Personas, dólares y porcentajes)
Población Producto Interno BrutoMillones de Personas % Población Mundial Billones de Dólares Internacionales PPP % PIB Mundial
Total Países Miembros del TLC Países Miembros del TLC Total Países Miembros del TLC Países Miembros del TLCMundo TLC EUA CAN MEX TLC EUA CAN MEX Mundo TLC EUA CAN MEX TLC EUA CAN MEX
1980 4,453.0 325.4 229.8 24.5 71.1 7.3 5.2 0.6 1.6 12,794 3,533 2,863 281 389 27.6 22.4 2.2 3.01981 4,531.8 329.5 232.0 24.8 72.7 7.3 5.1 0.5 1.6 14,289 3,991 3,211 318 462 27.9 22.5 2.2 3.21982 4,612.1 333.5 234.3 25.0 74.2 7.2 5.1 0.5 1.6 15,272 4,161 3,345 328 488 27.2 21.9 2.1 3.21983 4,694.1 337.4 236.5 25.3 75.7 7.2 5.0 0.5 1.6 16,293 4,478 3,638 350 490 27.5 22.3 2.1 3.01984 4,777.8 341.5 238.8 25.5 77.2 7.1 5.0 0.5 1.6 17,671 4,949 4,041 384 524 28.0 22.9 2.2 3.01985 4,863.3 345.7 241.1 25.8 78.7 7.1 5.0 0.5 1.6 18,939 5,314 4,347 415 553 28.1 23.0 2.2 2.91986 4,950.6 350.0 243.5 26.2 80.3 7.1 4.9 0.5 1.6 19,961 5,570 4,590 433 546 27.9 23.0 2.2 2.71987 5,039.5 354.5 245.9 26.6 82.0 7.0 4.9 0.5 1.6 21,224 5,904 4,870 463 570 27.8 22.9 2.2 2.71988 5,129.1 359.0 248.4 26.9 83.7 7.0 4.8 0.5 1.6 22,937 6,354 5,253 503 598 27.7 22.9 2.2 2.61989 5,218.4 363.6 250.9 27.3 85.4 7.0 4.8 0.5 1.6 24,740 6,841 5,658 537 646 27.7 22.9 2.2 2.61990 5,306.4 368.1 253.3 27.7 87.1 6.9 4.8 0.5 1.6 26,529 7,242 5,980 558 705 27.3 22.5 2.1 2.71991 5,392.9 372.5 255.8 28.1 88.6 6.9 4.7 0.5 1.6 28,021 7,497 6,174 564 759 26.8 22.0 2.0 2.71992 5,478.0 376.8 258.3 28.4 90.1 6.9 4.7 0.5 1.6 31,873 7,925 6,539 582 804 24.9 20.5 1.8 2.51993 5,561.7 381.1 260.8 28.7 91.6 6.9 4.7 0.5 1.6 33,312 8,333 6,879 610 844 25.0 20.6 1.8 2.51994 5,644.4 385.5 263.5 29.0 93.1 6.8 4.7 0.5 1.6 35,074 8,864 7,309 653 903 25.3 20.8 1.9 2.61995 5,726.2 390.1 266.3 29.3 94.5 6.8 4.7 0.5 1.7 37,129 9,217 7,664 685 869 24.8 20.6 1.8 2.31996 5,807.2 394.9 269.4 29.6 95.9 6.8 4.6 0.5 1.7 39,254 9,746 8,100 709 937 24.8 20.6 1.8 2.41997 5,887.3 399.7 272.6 29.9 97.2 6.8 4.6 0.5 1.7 41,607 10,379 8,609 752 1,019 24.9 20.7 1.8 2.41998 5,966.5 404.6 276.0 30.1 98.5 6.8 4.6 0.5 1.7 43,090 10,959 9,089 791 1,078 25.4 21.1 1.8 2.51999 6,044.9 409.4 279.3 30.4 99.7 6.8 4.6 0.5 1.6 45,297 11,628 9,661 843 1,124 25.7 21.3 1.9 2.52000 6,122.8 414.1 282.5 30.7 100.9 6.8 4.6 0.5 1.6 48,571 12,402 10,285 907 1,211 25.5 21.2 1.9 2.52001 6,200.0 418.6 285.5 31.0 102.1 6.8 4.6 0.5 1.6 50,862 12,796 10,622 943 1,231 25.2 20.9 1.9 2.42002 6,276.7 423.2 288.5 31.3 103.4 6.7 4.6 0.5 1.6 53,157 13,213 10,978 984 1,251 24.9 20.7 1.9 2.42003 6,353.2 427.6 291.3 31.6 104.7 6.7 4.6 0.5 1.6 56,490 13,828 11,511 1,023 1,294 24.5 20.4 1.8 2.32004 6,429.8 432.0 294.1 31.9 106.0 6.7 4.6 0.5 1.6 61,105 14,746 12,275 1,084 1,387 24.1 20.1 1.8 2.32005 6,506.6 436.3 296.8 32.3 107.2 6.7 4.6 0.5 1.6 66,087 15,724 13,094 1,155 1,475 23.8 19.8 1.7 2.22006 6,584.0 440.6 299.6 32.6 108.4 6.7 4.5 0.5 1.6 71,819 16,674 13,856 1,221 1,596 23.2 19.3 1.7 2.22007 6,661.6 445.1 302.3 33.0 109.8 6.7 4.5 0.5 1.6 77,797 17,447 14,478 1,279 1,691 22.4 18.6 1.6 2.22008 6,739.6 449.6 305.0 33.3 111.3 6.7 4.5 0.5 1.7 81,632 17,786 14,719 1,320 1,748 21.8 18.0 1.6 2.12009 6,817.7 454.2 307.7 33.7 112.8 6.7 4.5 0.5 1.7 82,013 17,391 14,419 1,294 1,678 21.2 17.6 1.6 2.02010 6,895.9 458.7 310.4 34.0 114.3 6.7 4.5 0.5 1.7 87,427 18,104 14,964 1,354 1,786 20.7 17.1 1.5 2.02011 6,974.0 463.1 313.1 34.3 115.7 6.6 4.5 0.5 1.7 92,781 18,831 15,518 1,416 1,896 20.3 16.7 1.5 2.02012 7,052.1 467.5 315.8 34.7 117.1 6.6 4.5 0.5 1.7 97,322 19,637 16,163 1,466 2,007 20.2 16.6 1.5 2.12013 7,130.0 471.9 318.5 35.0 118.4 6.6 4.5 0.5 1.7 101,934 20,345 16,768 1,518 2,059 20.0 16.4 1.5 2.02014 7,207.5 476.2 321.2 35.3 119.7 6.6 4.5 0.5 1.7 107,142 21,140 17,421 1,581 2,138 19.7 16.3 1.5 2.0
2015 7,284.3 480.5 323.9 35.6 121.0 6.6 4.4 0.5 1.7 115,183 22,090 18,200 1,648 2,243 19.2 15.8 1.4 1.92016 7,360.4 484.8 326.6 35.9 122.3 6.6 4.4 0.5 1.7 122,257 23,194 19,102 1,714 2,378 19.0 15.6 1.4 1.92017 7,435.8 489.0 329.2 36.2 123.6 6.6 4.4 0.5 1.7 129,964 24,516 20,168 1,797 2,552 18.9 15.5 1.4 2.02018 7,510.3 493.2 331.9 36.6 124.8 6.6 4.4 0.5 1.7 137,831 25,820 21,207 1,878 2,735 18.7 15.4 1.4 2.02019 7,583.9 497.4 334.5 36.9 126.1 6.6 4.4 0.5 1.7 146,228 27,060 22,185 1,957 2,918 18.5 15.2 1.3 2.02020 7,656.5 501.6 337.1 37.2 127.3 6.6 4.4 0.5 1.7 155,311 28,423 23,253 2,045 3,126 18.3 15.0 1.3 2.0
(Continuación)
O-1
Años
(Continúa)
Exportación de MercancíasMiles de Millones de Dólares Crecimiento % anual Participación % en el Comercio Mundial
Total Países Miembros del TLC Resto Total Países Miembros del TLC Resto Total Países Miembros del TLC Resto
Mundo TLC EUA CAN MEX Mundo Mundo TLC EUA CAN MEX Mundo Mundo TLC EUA CAN MEX Mundo
1980 2,034.0 310.0 224.3 67.7 18.0 1,705.9 22.6 21.9 21.6 16.2 56.6 22.6 100.0 15.2 11.0 3.3 0.9 84.81981 2,010.0 333.1 237.0 72.7 23.3 1,654.9 -1.2 7.4 5.7 7.4 29.3 -3.0 100.0 16.6 11.8 3.6 1.2 83.41982 1,883.0 306.4 211.2 71.2 24.1 1,554.2 -6.3 -8.0 -10.9 -2.1 3.2 -6.1 100.0 16.3 11.2 3.8 1.3 83.71983 1,846.0 304.5 201.8 76.7 26.0 1,519.3 -2.0 -0.6 -4.4 7.7 7.9 -2.2 100.0 16.5 10.9 4.2 1.4 83.51984 1,956.0 339.3 219.9 90.3 29.1 1,590.6 6.0 11.4 9.0 17.6 12.1 4.7 100.0 17.3 11.2 4.6 1.5 82.71985 1,954.0 333.6 215.9 91.0 26.8 1,593.0 -0.1 -1.7 -1.8 0.8 -8.1 0.2 100.0 17.1 11.0 4.7 1.4 82.91986 2,138.0 335.5 223.3 90.3 21.8 1,771.6 9.4 0.6 3.4 -0.7 -18.5 11.2 100.0 15.7 10.4 4.2 1.0 84.31987 2,516.0 376.0 250.2 98.2 27.6 2,100.6 17.7 12.1 12.0 8.7 26.6 18.6 100.0 14.9 9.9 3.9 1.1 85.11988 2,869.0 468.0 320.2 117.1 30.7 2,353.5 14.0 24.5 28.0 19.3 11.2 12.0 100.0 16.3 11.2 4.1 1.1 83.71989 3,098.0 516.9 359.9 121.8 35.2 2,528.5 8.0 10.4 12.4 4.0 14.6 7.4 100.0 16.7 11.6 3.9 1.1 83.31990 3,449.0 555.7 387.4 127.6 40.7 2,831.2 11.3 7.5 7.6 4.8 15.8 12.0 100.0 16.1 11.2 3.7 1.2 83.91991 3,516.0 583.9 414.1 127.2 42.7 2,860.2 1.9 5.1 6.9 -0.4 4.9 1.0 100.0 16.6 11.8 3.6 1.2 83.41992 3,767.0 620.3 439.6 134.4 46.2 3,061.8 7.1 6.2 6.2 5.7 8.2 7.1 100.0 16.5 11.7 3.6 1.2 83.51993 3,783.0 654.0 456.9 145.2 51.9 3,037.2 0.4 5.4 3.9 8.0 12.3 -0.8 100.0 17.3 12.1 3.8 1.4 82.71994 4,327.0 729.1 502.9 165.4 60.9 3,476.9 14.4 11.5 10.0 13.9 17.3 14.5 100.0 16.9 11.6 3.8 1.4 83.11995 5,166.0 846.9 575.2 192.2 79.5 4,170.3 19.4 16.2 14.4 16.2 30.6 19.9 100.0 16.4 11.1 3.7 1.5 83.61996 5,404.0 909.7 612.1 201.6 96.0 4,343.2 4.6 7.4 6.4 4.9 20.7 4.1 100.0 16.8 11.3 3.7 1.8 83.21997 5,593.0 1,003.2 678.4 214.4 110.4 4,407.0 3.5 10.3 10.8 6.3 15.0 1.5 100.0 17.9 12.1 3.8 2.0 82.11998 5,503.0 1,002.3 670.4 214.3 117.5 4,317.0 -1.6 -0.1 -1.2 0.0 6.4 -2.0 100.0 18.2 12.2 3.9 2.1 81.81999 5,714.0 1,073.3 698.5 238.4 136.4 4,445.7 3.8 7.1 4.2 11.3 16.0 3.0 100.0 18.8 12.2 4.2 2.4 81.22000 6,459.0 1,227.7 784.9 276.6 166.1 4,982.1 13.0 14.4 12.4 16.0 21.8 12.1 100.0 19.0 12.2 4.3 2.6 81.02001 6,195.0 1,150.0 731.3 259.9 158.8 4,778.9 -4.1 -6.3 -6.8 -6.1 -4.4 -4.1 100.0 18.6 11.8 4.2 2.6 81.42002 6,495.0 1,111.5 698.0 252.4 161.0 5,057.9 4.8 -3.3 -4.6 -2.9 1.4 5.8 100.0 17.1 10.7 3.9 2.5 82.92003 7,589.0 1,168.0 730.4 272.7 164.8 5,982.8 16.8 5.1 4.6 8.1 2.3 18.3 100.0 15.4 9.6 3.6 2.2 84.62004 9,222.0 1,328.3 823.6 316.8 188.0 7,300.3 21.5 13.7 12.8 16.1 14.1 22.0 100.0 14.4 8.9 3.4 2.0 85.62005 10,412.0 1,487.7 913.0 360.5 214.2 8,162.4 12.9 12.0 10.9 13.8 14.0 11.8 100.0 14.3 8.8 3.5 2.1 85.72006 12,050.1 1,679.0 1,040.9 388.2 249.9 9,402.1 15.7 12.9 14.0 7.7 16.7 15.2 100.0 13.9 8.6 3.2 2.1 86.12007 13,907.8 1,857.7 1,165.2 420.7 271.9 10,829.7 15.4 10.6 11.9 8.4 8.8 15.2 100.0 13.4 8.4 3.0 2.0 86.62008 16,020.9 2,056.6 1,308.8 456.5 291.3 12,533.6 15.2 10.7 12.3 8.5 7.2 15.7 100.0 12.8 8.2 2.8 1.8 87.22009 12,414.3 1,616.1 1,070.3 316.1 229.7 9,596.6 -22.5 -21.4 -18.2 -30.8 -21.2 -23.4 100.0 13.0 8.6 2.5 1.9 87.02010 15,163.0 1,976.2 1,290.3 387.5 298.5 11,609.0 22.1 22.3 20.5 22.6 29.9 21.0 100.0 13.0 8.5 2.6 2.0 87.02011 18,162.1 2,300.8 1,499.2 452.1 349.4 13,962.9 19.8 16.4 16.2 16.7 17.1 20.3 100.0 12.7 8.3 2.5 1.9 87.32012 18,171.1 2,387.3 1,561.7 454.8 370.8 13,735.1 0.0 3.8 4.2 0.6 6.1 -1.6 100.0 13.1 8.6 2.5 2.0 86.92013 18,558.7 2,431.1 1,592.8 458.3 380.0 13,918.6 2.1 1.8 2.0 0.8 2.5 1.3 100.0 13.1 8.6 2.5 2.0 86.92014 18,740.2 2,505.2 1,632.4 475.3 397.5 14,071.7 1.0 3.0 2.5 3.7 4.6 1.1 100.0 13.4 8.7 2.5 2.1 86.6
2015 18,634.9 2,575.5 1,672.6 494.8 408.2 13,565.1 -0.6 2.8 2.5 4.1 2.7 -3.6 100.0 13.8 9.0 2.7 2.2 86.22016 20,723.3 2,745.7 1,761.2 528.4 456.1 15,206.5 11.2 6.6 5.3 6.8 11.7 12.1 100.0 13.2 8.5 2.5 2.2 86.82017 23,851.7 3,047.5 1,939.8 584.4 523.3 17,609.1 15.1 11.0 10.1 10.6 14.7 15.8 100.0 12.8 8.1 2.5 2.2 87.22018 26,543.4 3,330.8 2,100.0 639.3 591.4 19,598.9 11.3 9.3 8.3 9.4 13.0 11.3 100.0 12.5 7.9 2.4 2.2 87.52019 29,079.0 3,601.9 2,255.4 690.5 656.0 21,480.4 9.6 8.1 7.4 8.0 10.9 9.6 100.0 12.4 7.8 2.4 2.3 87.62020 31,489.7 3,863.6 2,393.0 736.8 733.8 23,241.8 8.3 7.3 6.1 6.7 11.9 8.2 100.0 12.3 7.6 2.3 2.3 87.7
(Conclusión)
O-2
Años
O-2. Tratado de Libre Comercio entre Estados Unidos y México: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Millones de dólares)
Comercio Exterior de Estados UnidosAños Exportación de Mercancías Importación de Mercancías Balanza Comercial
Total Var.% A México Var.% % Total Total Var.% De México Var.% % Total Total Con México Resto Mundo
1980 225,566 21.0 15,234 53.2 6.75 -245,262 16.6 -12,640 43.5 5.15 -19,696 2,594 -22,2901981 238,715 5.8 18,207 19.5 7.63 -260,982 6.4 -13,768 8.9 5.28 -22,267 4,439 -26,7061982 216,442 -9.3 11,736 -35.5 5.42 -243,952 -6.5 -15,556 13.0 6.38 -27,510 -3,820 -23,6901983 205,639 -5.0 9,093 -22.5 4.42 -258,048 5.8 -16,595 6.7 6.43 -52,409 -7,502 -44,9071984 223,976 8.9 12,020 32.2 5.37 -330,678 28.1 -18,077 8.9 5.47 -106,702 -6,057 -100,6451985 218,815 -2.3 13,635 13.4 6.23 -336,526 1.8 -19,132 5.8 5.69 -117,711 -5,497 -112,2141986 227,159 3.8 12,392 -9.1 5.46 -365,438 8.6 -17,302 -9.6 4.73 -138,279 -4,910 -133,3691987 254,122 11.9 14,582 17.7 5.74 -406,241 11.2 -20,271 17.2 4.99 -152,119 -5,689 -146,4311988 322,426 26.9 20,629 41.5 6.40 -440,952 8.5 -23,260 14.7 5.27 -118,526 -2,631 -115,8951989 363,812 12.8 24,982 21.1 6.87 -473,211 7.3 -27,162 16.8 5.74 -109,399 -2,180 -107,2191990 393,572 8.2 28,279 13.2 7.19 -495,311 4.7 -30,157 11.0 6.09 -101,738 -1,878 -99,8611991 421,730 7.2 33,277 17.7 7.89 -488,453 -1.4 -31,130 3.2 6.37 -66,723 2,148 -68,8711992 448,165 6.3 40,592 22.0 9.06 -532,662 9.1 -35,211 13.1 6.61 -84,497 5,381 -89,8781993 465,090 3.8 41,581 2.4 8.94 -580,656 9.0 -39,918 13.4 6.87 -115,566 1,663 -117,2301994 512,625 10.2 50,844 22.3 9.92 -663,252 14.2 -49,494 24.0 7.46 -150,627 1,350 -151,9771995 584,740 14.1 46,292 -9.0 7.92 -743,545 12.1 -62,100 25.5 8.35 -158,805 -15,808 -142,9961996 625,073 6.9 56,792 22.7 9.09 -795,287 7.0 -74,297 19.6 9.34 -170,213 -17,506 -152,7081997 689,180 10.3 71,389 25.7 10.36 -869,703 9.4 -85,938 15.7 9.88 -180,523 -14,549 -165,9741998 682,139 -1.0 78,773 10.3 11.55 -911,897 4.9 -94,629 10.1 10.38 -229,758 -15,856 -213,9021999 695,797 2.0 86,909 10.3 12.49 -1,024,616 12.4 -109,721 15.9 10.71 -328,819 -22,812 -306,0072000 781,918 12.4 111,349 28.1 14.24 -1,218,023 18.9 -135,926 23.9 11.16 -436,105 -24,577 -411,5272001 729,101 -6.8 101,297 -9.0 13.89 -1,140,998 -6.3 -131,338 -3.4 11.51 -411,898 -30,041 -381,8562002 693,101 -4.9 97,470 -3.8 14.06 -1,161,366 1.8 -134,616 2.5 11.59 -468,265 -37,146 -431,1192003 724,771 4.6 97,412 -0.1 13.44 -1,257,121 8.2 -138,060 2.6 10.98 -532,350 -40,648 -491,7022004 814,875 12.4 110,731 13.7 13.59 -1,469,705 16.9 -155,902 12.9 10.61 -654,830 -45,170 -609,6602005 901,082 10.6 120,248 8.6 13.34 -1,673,454 13.9 -170,109 9.1 10.17 -772,372 -49,861 -722,5112006 1,025,968 13.9 133,722 11.2 13.03 -1,853,938 10.8 -198,253 16.5 10.69 -827,971 -64,531 -763,4392007 1,148,199 11.9 135,918 1.6 11.84 -1,956,961 5.6 -210,714 6.3 10.77 -808,762 -74,796 -733,9672008 1,287,442 12.1 151,220 11.3 11.75 -2,103,641 7.5 -215,942 2.5 10.27 -816,199 -64,722 -751,4772009 1,056,043 -18.0 128,892 -14.8 12.21 -1,559,625 -25.9 -176,654 -18.2 11.33 -503,582 -47,762 -455,8202010 1,278,495 21.1 163,473 26.8 12.79 -1,913,857 22.7 -229,908 30.1 12.01 -635,362 -66,435 -568,9272011 1,480,290 15.8 198,378 21.4 13.40 -2,208,055 15.4 -262,864 14.3 11.90 -727,765 -64,487 -663,2782012 1,545,703 4.4 215,931 8.8 13.97 -2,276,302 3.1 -277,570 5.6 12.19 -730,599 -61,639 -668,9602013 1,579,593 2.2 226,079 4.7 14.31 -2,268,321 -0.4 -280,529 1.1 12.37 -688,728 -54,450 -634,2792014 1,623,273 2.8 240,326 6.3 14.81 -2,345,778 3.4 -294,157 4.9 12.54 -722,504 -53,831 -668,673
2015 1,662,201 2.4 257,870 7.3 15.51 -2,400,954 2.4 -300,335 2.1 12.51 -738,753 -42,465 -696,2892016 1,749,692 5.3 284,173 10.2 16.24 -2,516,848 4.8 -329,167 9.6 13.08 -767,156 -44,994 -722,1622017 1,927,061 10.1 327,083 15.1 16.97 -2,794,277 11.0 -372,946 13.3 13.35 -867,215 -45,863 -821,3522018 2,086,432 8.3 369,931 13.1 17.73 -3,036,880 8.7 -415,089 11.3 13.67 -950,448 -45,158 -905,2892019 2,240,960 7.4 412,103 11.4 18.39 -3,273,584 7.8 -453,277 9.2 13.85 -1,032,624 -41,174 -991,4492020 2,379,687 6.2 464,852 12.8 19.53 -3,491,755 6.7 -499,058 10.1 14.29 -1,112,068 -34,206 -1,077,862
O-3
O-3. Tratado de Libre Comercio entre México y Estados Unidos: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Millones de dólares)
Comercio Exterior de MéxicoAños Exportación de Mercancías Importación de Mercancías Balanza Comercial
Total Var.% A EE.UU. Var.% % Total Total Var.% De EE.UU. Var.% % Total Total Con EE.UU. Resto Mundo
1980 18,031 56.6 12,640 43.5 70.10 -21,089 53.9 -15,234 53.2 72.24 -3,058 -2,594 -4641981 23,307 29.3 13,768 8.9 59.07 -27,184 28.9 -18,207 19.5 66.98 -3,877 -4,439 5621982 24,055 3.2 15,556 13.0 64.67 -17,011 -37.4 -11,736 -35.5 68.99 7,045 3,820 3,2251983 25,953 7.9 16,595 6.7 63.94 -11,848 -30.3 -9,093 -22.5 76.75 14,105 7,502 6,6031984 29,100 12.1 18,077 8.9 62.12 -15,916 34.3 -12,020 32.2 75.52 13,184 6,057 7,1271985 26,757 -8.1 19,132 5.8 71.50 -18,359 15.3 -13,635 13.4 74.27 8,398 5,497 2,9011986 21,804 -18.5 17,302 -9.6 79.35 -16,784 -8.6 -12,392 -9.1 73.83 5,020 4,910 1101987 27,600 26.6 20,271 17.2 73.45 -18,812 12.1 -14,582 17.7 77.51 8,787 5,689 3,0991988 30,692 11.2 23,260 14.7 75.79 -28,082 49.3 -20,629 41.5 73.46 2,610 2,631 -221989 35,171 14.6 27,162 16.8 77.23 -34,766 23.8 -24,982 21.1 71.86 405 2,180 -1,7751990 40,711 15.8 30,157 11.0 74.08 -41,593 19.6 -28,279 13.2 67.99 -882 1,878 -2,7601991 42,688 4.9 31,130 3.2 72.92 -49,967 20.1 -33,277 17.7 66.60 -7,279 -2,148 -5,1311992 46,196 8.2 35,211 13.1 76.22 -62,129 24.3 -40,592 22.0 65.34 -15,934 -5,381 -10,5531993 51,856 12.3 42,912 21.9 82.75 -65,367 5.2 -45,295 11.6 69.29 -13,510 -2,383 -11,1271994 60,860 17.4 51,619 20.3 84.82 -79,346 21.4 -54,834 21.1 69.11 -18,486 -3,216 -15,2711995 79,536 30.7 66,274 28.4 83.33 -72,453 -8.7 -53,902 -1.7 74.40 7,083 12,371 -5,2881996 95,986 20.7 80,570 21.6 83.94 -89,469 23.5 -67,536 25.3 75.49 6,518 13,034 -6,5161997 110,411 15.0 94,377 17.1 85.48 -109,808 22.7 -82,002 21.4 74.68 602 12,375 -11,7721998 117,514 6.4 103,002 9.1 87.65 -125,373 14.2 -93,258 13.7 74.38 -7,859 9,743 -17,6021999 136,333 16.0 120,262 16.8 88.21 -141,975 13.2 -105,267 12.9 74.15 -5,642 14,995 -20,6362000 166,098 21.8 147,400 22.6 88.74 -174,458 22.9 -127,534 21.2 73.10 -8,360 19,866 -28,2262001 158,761 -4.4 140,564 -4.6 88.54 -168,396 -3.5 -113,767 -10.8 67.56 -9,635 26,798 -36,4332002 161,021 1.4 141,898 0.9 88.12 -168,679 0.2 -106,557 -6.3 63.17 -7,658 35,341 -42,9992003 164,748 2.3 144,293 1.7 87.58 -170,546 1.1 -105,361 -1.1 61.78 -5,798 38,933 -44,7302004 187,999 14.1 164,522 14.0 87.51 -196,810 15.4 -110,827 5.2 56.31 -8,811 53,695 -62,5062005 214,233 14.0 183,563 11.6 85.68 -221,820 12.7 -118,547 7.0 53.44 -7,587 65,016 -72,6022006 249,925 16.7 211,799 15.4 84.75 -256,058 15.4 -130,311 9.9 50.89 -6,133 81,488 -87,6222007 271,875 8.8 223,133 5.4 82.07 -281,949 10.1 -139,473 7.0 49.47 -10,074 83,660 -93,7342008 291,343 7.2 233,523 4.7 80.15 -308,603 9.5 -151,335 8.5 49.04 -17,261 82,188 -99,4492009 229,704 -21.2 185,101 -20.7 80.58 -234,385 -24.0 -112,434 -25.7 47.97 -4,681 72,667 -77,3492010 298,473 29.9 238,684 28.9 79.97 -301,482 28.6 -145,007 29.0 48.10 -3,009 93,677 -96,6862011 349,433 17.1 274,427 15.0 78.53 -350,843 16.4 -174,356 20.2 49.70 -1,409 100,070 -101,4802012 370,770 6.1 287,842 4.9 77.63 -370,752 5.7 -185,110 6.2 49.93 18 102,732 -102,7142013 380,027 2.5 299,439 4.0 78.79 -381,210 2.8 -187,262 1.2 49.12 -1,184 112,178 -113,3612014 397,535 4.6 318,890 6.5 80.22 -399,977 4.9 -195,278 4.3 48.82 -2,442 123,612 -126,053
2015 408,212 2.7 334,258 4.8 81.88 -426,470 6.6 -206,540 5.8 48.43 -18,259 127,719 -145,9772016 456,079 11.7 377,560 13.0 82.78 -467,517 9.6 -224,315 8.6 47.98 -11,438 153,245 -164,6832017 523,281 14.7 437,710 15.9 83.65 -535,012 14.4 -254,077 13.3 47.49 -11,730 183,633 -195,3632018 591,426 13.0 498,435 13.9 84.28 -603,569 12.8 -283,255 11.5 46.93 -12,144 215,180 -227,3242019 655,999 10.9 556,911 11.7 84.90 -672,602 11.4 -311,751 10.1 46.35 -16,603 245,160 -261,7632020 733,792 11.9 627,508 12.7 85.52 -759,158 12.9 -347,770 11.6 45.81 -25,365 279,738 -305,103
O-4
O-4. Comercio Exterior de México por Países: Banco de Datos 2013-2014(Millones de dólares)
Exportaciones de México Importaciones de México Balanza Comercial Países Enero-Diciembre Variación Estructura Porcentual Enero-Diciembre Variación Estructura Porcentual Enero-Diciembre
2013 2014 % 2013 2014 2013 2014 % 2013 2014 2013 2014
Total 380,027 397,535 4.6 100.0 100.0 381,210 399,977 4.9 100.0 100.0 -1,184 -2,442 América 337,728 355,231 5.2 88.9 89.4 212,417 220,846 4.0 55.7 55.2 125,311 134,385 América del Norte 309,892 329,560 6.3 81.5 82.9 197,109 205,323 4.2 51.7 51.3 112,783 124,237 Estados Unidos 299,439 318,890 6.5 78.8 80.2 187,262 195,278 4.3 49.1 48.8 112,178 123,612 Canadá 10,453 10,670 2.1 2.8 2.7 9,847 10,045 2.0 2.6 2.5 606 625 Centro y Sudamérica 27,836 25,671 -7.8 7.3 6.5 15,308 15,523 1.4 4.0 3.9 12,528 10,148 Argentina 1,966 1,302 -33.8 0.5 0.3 1,167 1,050 -10.1 0.3 0.3 799 252 Brasil 5,386 4,740 -12.0 1.4 1.2 4,421 4,473 1.2 1.2 1.1 966 267 Colombia 4,735 4,734 0.0 1.2 1.2 912 934 2.5 0.2 0.2 3,823 3,799 Chile 2,085 2,148 3.0 0.5 0.5 1,438 1,398 -2.8 0.4 0.3 646 750 Perú 1,770 1,730 -2.3 0.5 0.4 585 1,106 89.0 0.2 0.3 1,185 624 Venezuela 2,155 1,552 -28.0 0.6 0.4 97 72 -26.1 0.0 0.0 2,057 1,480 Otros países 9,739 9,466 -2.8 2.6 2.4 6,688 6,490 -3.0 1.8 1.6 3,051 2,976 Europa 21,836 22,522 3.1 5.7 5.7 47,108 49,210 4.5 12.4 12.3 -25,272 -26,687 Unión Europea 19,710 20,296 3.0 5.2 5.1 42,772 44,105 3.1 11.2 11.0 -23,062 -23,809 Alemania 3,797 3,502 -7.8 1.0 0.9 13,461 13,762 2.2 3.5 3.4 -9,664 -10,261 España 7,138 5,946 -16.7 1.9 1.5 4,311 4,753 10.3 1.1 1.2 2,827 1,193 Francia 1,288 1,631 26.7 0.3 0.4 3,686 3,786 2.7 1.0 0.9 -2,398 -2,155 Países Bajos 1,589 2,272 43.0 0.4 0.6 4,202 3,688 -12.2 1.1 0.9 -2,613 -1,416 Italia 1,251 1,702 36.0 0.3 0.4 5,621 5,217 -7.2 1.5 1.3 -4,370 -3,515 Portugal 62 45 -28.2 0.0 0.0 420 554 31.7 0.1 0.1 -358 -509 Reino Unido 1,438 1,806 25.6 0.4 0.5 2,508 2,513 0.2 0.7 0.6 -1,070 -707 Otros países de la UE 3,146 3,392 7.8 0.8 0.9 8,562 9,831 14.8 2.2 2.5 -5,416 -6,440 Otros países 2,126 2,226 4.7 0.6 0.6 4,337 5,104 17.7 1.1 1.3 -2,211 -2,878 Asia 18,499 17,687 -4.4 4.9 4.4 119,436 127,626 6.9 31.3 31.9 -100,937 -109,938 China 6,470 5,979 -7.6 1.7 1.5 61,321 66,256 8.0 16.1 16.6 -54,851 -60,276 Corea 1,527 2,028 32.8 0.4 0.5 13,507 13,782 2.0 3.5 3.4 -11,981 -11,754 Hong Kong 957 1,029 7.5 0.3 0.3 289 290 0.4 0.1 0.1 667 739 India 3,795 2,668 -29.7 1.0 0.7 2,868 3,727 29.9 0.8 0.9 927 -1,058 Japón 2,244 2,609 16.3 0.6 0.7 17,076 17,545 2.7 4.5 4.4 -14,832 -14,935 Malasia 176 195 11.1 0.0 0.0 5,379 6,561 22.0 1.4 1.6 -5,203 -6,365 Singapur 577 529 -8.3 0.2 0.1 1,456 1,200 -17.6 0.4 0.3 -880 -671 Taiwán 487 392 -19.5 0.1 0.1 6,689 6,368 -4.8 1.8 1.6 -6,202 -5,976 Otros países 2,266 2,257 -0.4 0.6 0.6 10,850 11,898 9.7 2.8 3.0 -8,583 -9,641 Resto del Mundo 1,963 2,095 6.7 0.5 0.5 2,248 2,296 2.1 0.6 0.6 -285 -201
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Banco de México
O-5
O-5. Comercio Exterior de Estados Unidos por Países: Banco de Datos 2013-2014(Millones de dólares)
Exportaciones de Estados Unidos Importaciones de Estados Unidos Balanza Comercial Países Enero-Diciembre Variación Estructura Porcentual Enero-Diciembre Variación Estructura Porcentual Enero-Diciembre
2013 2014 porcentual 2013 2014 2013 2014 porcentual 2013 2014 2013 2014
Total 1,579,593 1,623,273 2.8 100.0 100.0 2,268,321 2,345,778 3.4 100.0 100.0 -688,728 -722,505North America 527,689 552,358 4.7 33.4 34.0 613,082 640,220 4.4 27.0 27.3 -85,393 -87,862 Canada 301,610 312,032 3.5 19.1 19.2 332,553 346,063 4.1 14.7 14.8 -30,943 -34,031 Mexico 226,079 240,326 6.3 14.3 14.8 280,529 294,157 4.9 12.4 12.5 -54,450 -53,831Europe 326,727 334,519 2.4 20.7 20.6 460,664 490,913 6.6 20.3 20.9 -133,937 -156,394 European Union 262,151 276,698 5.5 16.6 17.0 387,591 417,837 7.8 17.1 17.8 -125,440 -141,139 Belgium 31,941 34,824 9.0 2.0 2.1 19,012 20,905 10.0 0.8 0.9 12,929 13,919 France 31,745 31,197 -1.7 2.0 1.9 45,708 47,015 2.9 2.0 2.0 -13,963 -15,818 Germany 47,362 49,443 4.4 3.0 3.0 114,345 123,181 7.7 5.0 5.3 -66,983 -73,738 Ireland 6,640 7,773 17.1 0.4 0.5 31,496 33,982 7.9 1.4 1.4 -24,856 -26,209 Italy 16,755 16,988 1.4 1.1 1.0 38,692 42,081 8.8 1.7 1.8 -21,937 -25,093 Netherlands 42,572 43,669 2.6 2.7 2.7 19,231 20,807 8.2 0.8 0.9 23,341 22,862 Spain 10,241 10,108 -1.3 0.6 0.6 11,679 14,400 23.3 0.5 0.6 -1,438 -4,292 United Kingdom 47,353 53,865 13.8 3.0 3.3 52,817 54,049 2.3 2.3 2.3 -5,464 -184 Other 27,542 28,831 4.7 1.7 1.8 54,611 61,417 12.5 2.4 2.6 -27,069 -32,586 Other Europe 64,576 57,821 -10.5 4.1 3.6 73,073 73,076 0.0 3.2 3.1 -8,497 -15,255Pacific Rim Countries 388,085 395,761 2.0 24.6 24.4 771,310 807,857 4.7 34.0 34.4 -383,225 -412,096 Australia 26,130 26,668 2.1 1.7 1.6 9,272 10,670 15.1 0.4 0.5 16,858 15,998 China 121,736 124,024 1.9 7.7 7.6 440,448 466,656 6.0 19.4 19.9 -318,712 -342,632 Indonesia 9,100 8,331 -8.5 0.6 0.5 18,877 19,362 2.6 0.8 0.8 -9,777 -11,031 Japan 65,206 66,964 2.7 4.1 4.1 138,573 133,939 -3.3 6.1 5.7 -73,367 -66,975 Malaysia 13,007 13,136 1.0 0.8 0.8 27,289 30,448 11.6 1.2 1.3 -14,282 -17,312 Philippines 8,404 8,461 0.7 0.5 0.5 9,269 10,160 9.6 0.4 0.4 -865 -1,699 Newly Industrialized Countries 140,201 142,788 1.8 8.9 8.8 123,854 132,435 6.9 5.5 5.6 16,347 10,353 Hong Kong 42,342 40,877 -3.5 2.7 2.5 5,684 5,794 1.9 0.3 0.2 36,658 35,083 Korea 41,715 44,544 6.8 2.6 2.7 62,386 69,606 11.6 2.8 3.0 -20,671 -25,062 Singapore 30,672 30,532 -0.5 1.9 1.9 17,843 16,463 -7.7 0.8 0.7 12,829 14,069 Taiwan 25,472 26,836 5.4 1.6 1.7 37,940 40,572 6.9 1.7 1.7 -12,468 -13,736 Other Pacific Rim 4,301 5,388 25.3 0.3 0.3 3,727 4,186 12.3 0.2 0.2 574 1,202South/Central America 184,398 184,797 0.2 11.7 11.4 158,513 150,430 -5.1 7.0 6.4 25,885 34,367 Argentina 10,354 10,828 4.6 0.7 0.7 4,644 4,243 -8.6 0.2 0.2 5,710 6,585 Brazil 44,119 42,418 -3.9 2.8 2.6 27,634 30,337 9.8 1.2 1.3 16,485 12,081 Chile 17,515 16,630 -5.1 1.1 1.0 10,384 9,491 -8.6 0.5 0.4 7,131 7,139 Colombia 18,392 20,317 10.5 1.2 1.3 21,626 18,234 -15.7 1.0 0.8 -3,234 2,083OPEC 84,679 82,729 -2.3 5.4 5.1 152,690 132,132 -13.5 6.7 5.6 -68,011 -49,403Africa 35,175 37,966 7.9 2.2 2.3 50,061 34,568 -30.9 2.2 1.5 -14,886 3,398Other Countries 64,049 66,047 3.1 4.1 4.1 133,346 144,559 8.4 5.9 6.2 -69,297 -78,512 India 21,842 21,628 -1.0 1.4 1.3 41,845 45,228 8.1 1.8 1.9 -20,003 -23,600 Thailand 11,797 11,791 -0.1 0.7 0.7 26,173 27,121 3.6 1.2 1.2 -14,376 -15,330 Other 30,410 32,628 7.3 1.9 2.0 65,328 72,210 10.5 2.9 3.1 -34,918 -39,582
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Departamente of Commerce de Estados Unidos.
O-6
O-6. Participación de México, Canadá y China en el Mercado de EUA: Banco de Datos 1994-2014(Millones de dólares)
Importación Total de Mercancías de Estados UnidosPeriodo Total Importado por EUA De México De Canadá De China De Resto Mundo
Dólares Var. % % Total Dólares Var. % % EUA Dólares Var. % % EUA Dólares Var. % % EUA Dólares Var. % % EUA
1994 663,252 14.2 100.00 49,494 24.0 7.46 128,406 15.5 19.36 38,787 23.0 5.85 446,565 12.2 67.331995 743,545 12.1 100.00 62,100 25.5 8.35 144,370 12.4 19.42 45,543 17.4 6.13 491,532 10.1 66.111996 795,287 7.0 100.00 74,297 19.6 9.34 155,893 8.0 19.60 51,513 13.1 6.48 513,584 4.5 64.581997 869,703 9.4 100.00 85,938 15.7 9.88 167,234 7.3 19.23 62,558 21.4 7.19 553,974 7.9 63.701998 911,897 4.9 100.00 94,629 10.1 10.38 173,256 3.6 19.00 71,169 13.8 7.80 572,843 3.4 62.821999 1,024,616 12.4 100.00 109,721 15.9 10.71 198,711 14.7 19.39 81,788 14.9 7.98 634,396 10.7 61.922000 1,218,023 18.9 100.00 135,926 23.9 11.16 230,838 16.2 18.95 100,018 22.3 8.21 751,240 18.4 61.682001 1,140,998 -6.3 100.00 131,338 -3.4 11.51 216,268 -6.3 18.95 102,278 2.3 8.96 691,114 -8.0 60.572002 1,161,366 1.8 100.00 134,616 2.5 11.59 209,088 -3.3 18.00 125,193 22.4 10.78 692,470 0.2 59.632003 1,257,121 8.2 100.00 138,060 2.6 10.98 221,595 6.0 17.63 152,436 21.8 12.13 745,030 7.6 59.262004 1,469,705 16.9 100.00 155,902 12.9 10.61 256,360 15.7 17.44 196,682 29.0 13.38 860,762 15.5 58.572005 1,673,454 13.9 100.00 170,109 9.1 10.17 290,384 13.3 17.35 243,470 23.8 14.55 969,491 12.6 57.932006 1,853,938 10.8 100.00 198,253 16.5 10.69 302,438 4.2 16.31 287,774 18.2 15.52 1,065,473 9.9 57.472007 1,956,961 5.6 100.00 210,714 6.3 10.77 317,057 4.8 16.20 321,443 11.7 16.43 1,107,747 4.0 56.612008 2,103,641 7.5 100.00 215,942 2.5 10.27 339,491 7.1 16.14 337,773 5.1 16.06 1,210,435 9.3 57.542009 1,559,625 -25.9 100.00 176,654 -18.2 11.33 226,249 -33.4 14.51 296,374 -12.3 19.00 860,348 -28.9 55.162010 1,913,857 22.7 100.00 229,908 30.1 12.01 277,637 22.7 14.51 364,953 23.1 19.07 1,041,359 21.0 54.412011 2,208,055 15.4 100.00 262,864 14.3 11.90 315,367 13.6 14.28 399,379 9.4 18.09 1,230,445 18.2 55.732012 2,276,302 3.1 101.00 277,570 5.6 12.19 323,937 2.7 14.23 425,579 6.6 18.70 1,249,217 1.5 54.882013 2,268,321 -0.4 102.00 280,456 1.0 12.36 332,553 2.7 14.66 440,448 3.5 19.42 1,214,865 -2.8 53.56
2014 2,345,778 3.4 100.00 294,157 4.9 12.54 346,063 4.1 14.75 466,656 6.0 19.89 1,238,901 2.0 52.81
Enero 184,701 -0.3 100.00 21,903 1.6 11.86 26,707 -4.8 14.46 38,197 2.7 20.68 97,894 -0.5 53.00Febrero 169,665 -0.4 100.00 22,321 1.1 13.16 25,401 -1.7 14.97 30,741 -6.1 18.12 91,203 1.7 53.75Marzo 193,346 6.3 100.00 24,956 7.8 12.91 29,426 3.8 15.22 31,234 14.4 16.15 107,731 4.5 55.72Abril 200,517 5.2 100.00 24,481 0.5 12.21 29,213 2.4 14.57 36,310 9.6 18.11 110,513 5.7 55.11Mayo 200,077 1.7 100.00 25,315 3.4 12.65 30,224 6.0 15.11 37,992 3.7 18.99 106,546 -0.5 53.25Junio 197,446 6.7 100.00 24,999 9.0 12.66 30,323 11.9 15.36 39,411 9.8 19.96 102,713 3.7 52.02Julio 204,253 3.5 100.00 25,116 6.6 12.30 29,165 11.1 14.28 40,151 3.5 19.66 109,821 1.0 53.77Agosto 196,536 1.8 100.00 24,766 3.2 12.60 28,903 4.0 14.71 39,829 1.7 20.27 103,038 0.9 52.43Septiembre 202,814 5.6 100.00 24,856 6.8 12.26 30,656 8.9 15.12 44,891 11.8 22.13 102,411 2.0 50.50Octubre 210,736 2.7 100.00 27,411 8.3 13.01 30,613 3.3 14.53 45,244 8.1 21.47 107,468 -0.8 51.00Noviembre 189,794 0.6 100.00 24,171 1.9 12.74 26,778 -2.2 14.11 42,127 5.0 22.20 96,718 -0.8 50.96Diciembre 195,892 7.4 100.00 23,862 7.8 12.18 28,654 6.3 14.63 40,531 8.1 20.69 102,844 7.3 52.50
Ene.-Dic.
2013 2,268,321 -0.4 100.00 280,529 1.1 12.37 332,553 2.7 14.66 440,448 3.5 19.42 1,214,792 -2.8 53.552014 2,345,778 3.4 100.00 294,157 4.9 12.54 346,063 4.1 14.75 466,656 6.0 19.89 1,238,901 2.0 52.81
e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Departamente of Commerce de Estados Unidos.
O-7
P. Economía Mundial
Cuadro P-1.Principales Indicadores de la Economía Mundial 1980-2020
Cuadro P-2.Indice Relativo del Grado de Desarrollo Económico de México, EUA y Canadá 1980-2020
Cuadro P-3.Población Mundial por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados 1980-2020
Cuadro P-4.Distribución Porcentual de la Población por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados 1980-2020
Cuadro P-5.PIB Mundial por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados 1980-2020
Cuadro P-6.Distribución Porcentual del PIB Mundial por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados 1980-2020
Cuadro P-7.PIB Per Cápita por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados 1980-2020
Cuadro P-8.Crecimiento del PIB Real por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados 1980-2020
Cuadro P-9.Inflación Mundial por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados 1980-2020
Cuadro P-10.Indice Relativo de Desarrollo Económico por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados 1980-2020
P-1. Principales Indicadores de la Economía Mundial: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Personas y dólares)
Población PIB Mundial Nominal PIB Per Cápita Mundial PIB Mundial Real Inflación Mundial Tasa de Exportación Precio del CrudoAños Mundial Ajuste PPP Ajuste PPP Precios de 1980 Precios al Consumidor Interés de Bienes West Texas Int.
Personas Var.% Bills. de Dls. Var.% Dólares Var.% Bills. de Dls. Var.% 1980=100 Var.% LIBOR M. Mills. Dls. Var.% Dls./Barril Var.%
1980 4,453,007 1.8 12,794.2 22.3 2,873 20.2 11,035.4 2.2 100.0 18.3 13.96 2,034.0 22.6 37.88 26.11981 4,531,799 1.8 14,289.5 11.7 3,153 9.7 11,292.5 2.3 116.4 16.4 16.79 2,010.0 -1.2 36.17 -4.51982 4,612,120 1.8 15,272.2 6.9 3,311 5.0 11,383.0 0.8 134.6 15.7 12.95 1,883.0 -6.3 32.67 -9.71983 4,694,097 1.8 16,292.5 6.7 3,471 4.8 11,700.7 2.8 155.7 15.6 9.50 1,846.0 -2.0 30.60 -6.31984 4,777,828 1.8 17,670.7 8.5 3,698 6.6 12,270.1 4.9 182.5 17.2 10.60 1,956.0 6.0 29.39 -4.01985 4,863,290 1.8 18,938.9 7.2 3,894 5.3 12,749.0 3.9 212.1 16.2 8.20 1,954.0 -0.1 27.99 -4.81986 4,950,591 1.8 19,960.6 5.4 4,032 3.5 13,185.3 3.4 238.7 12.5 6.90 2,138.0 9.4 15.05 -46.21987 5,039,478 1.8 21,224.2 6.3 4,212 4.5 13,684.7 3.8 276.3 15.8 7.18 2,516.0 17.7 19.20 27.61988 5,129,113 1.8 22,937.1 8.1 4,472 6.2 14,310.8 4.6 335.6 21.4 7.97 2,869.0 14.0 15.97 -16.81989 5,218,375 1.7 24,740.0 7.9 4,741 6.0 14,875.6 3.9 428.1 27.6 9.28 3,098.0 8.0 19.64 23.01990 5,306,425 1.7 26,529.2 7.2 4,999 5.5 15,389.3 3.5 555.8 29.8 8.28 3,449.0 11.3 24.53 24.91991 5,392,939 1.6 28,021.4 5.6 5,196 3.9 15,761.4 2.4 658.4 18.5 5.98 3,516.0 1.9 21.54 -12.21992 5,478,009 1.6 31,872.9 13.7 5,818 12.0 16,137.3 2.4 917.6 39.4 3.83 3,767.0 7.1 20.58 -4.51993 5,561,744 1.5 33,311.6 4.5 5,989 2.9 16,489.9 2.2 1,278.9 39.4 3.30 3,783.0 0.4 18.43 -10.41994 5,644,416 1.5 35,074.1 5.3 6,214 3.7 17,045.3 3.4 1,677.0 31.1 4.74 4,327.0 14.4 17.20 -6.71995 5,726,239 1.4 37,128.8 5.9 6,484 4.3 17,625.9 3.4 1,948.9 16.2 6.04 5,166.0 19.4 18.43 7.21996 5,807,212 1.4 39,254.0 5.7 6,760 4.2 18,317.8 3.9 2,132.5 9.4 5.51 5,404.0 4.6 22.12 20.01997 5,887,260 1.4 41,606.9 6.0 7,067 4.6 19,083.0 4.2 2,272.8 6.6 5.74 5,593.0 3.5 20.61 -6.81998 5,966,465 1.3 43,089.7 3.6 7,222 2.2 19,560.6 2.5 2,418.2 6.4 5.56 5,503.0 -1.6 14.42 -30.01999 6,044,931 1.3 45,297.2 5.1 7,493 3.8 20,271.7 3.6 2,565.1 6.1 5.41 5,714.0 3.8 19.34 34.12000 6,122,770 1.3 48,571.1 7.2 7,933 5.9 21,241.9 4.8 2,688.8 4.8 6.53 6,459.0 13.0 30.38 57.12001 6,200,003 1.3 50,861.9 4.7 8,204 3.4 21,764.6 2.5 2,811.9 4.6 3.78 6,195.0 -4.1 25.98 -14.52002 6,276,722 1.2 53,157.4 4.5 8,469 3.2 22,420.2 3.0 2,920.5 3.9 1.79 6,495.0 4.8 26.18 0.82003 6,353,196 1.2 56,489.9 6.3 8,892 5.0 23,325.0 4.0 3,036.8 4.0 1.22 7,589.0 16.8 31.08 18.72004 6,429,758 1.2 61,104.9 8.2 9,503 6.9 24,593.2 5.4 3,153.5 3.8 1.62 9,222.0 21.5 41.51 33.62005 6,506,649 1.2 66,086.8 8.2 10,157 6.9 25,794.1 4.9 3,283.5 4.1 3.56 10,412.0 12.9 56.64 36.42006 6,583,959 1.2 71,818.6 8.7 10,908 7.4 27,227.5 5.6 3,419.9 4.2 5.19 12,050.1 15.7 66.05 16.62007 6,661,637 1.2 77,797.3 8.3 11,678 7.1 28,772.1 5.7 3,569.4 4.4 5.30 13,907.8 15.4 72.34 9.52008 6,739,610 1.2 81,632.1 4.9 12,112 3.7 29,646.2 3.0 3,798.9 6.4 2.91 16,020.9 15.2 99.67 37.82009 6,817,737 1.2 82,013.3 0.5 12,029 -0.7 29,650.1 0.0 3,905.3 2.8 0.69 12,414.3 -22.5 61.65 -38.12010 6,895,889 1.1 87,426.8 6.6 12,678 5.4 31,260.7 5.4 4,055.8 3.9 0.34 15,163.0 22.1 79.40 28.82011 6,974,036 1.1 92,780.8 6.1 13,304 4.9 32,555.8 4.1 4,266.8 5.2 0.34 18,162.1 19.8 94.87 19.52012 7,052,135 1.1 97,322.3 4.9 13,800 3.7 33,651.3 3.4 4,447.7 4.2 0.43 18,171.1 0.0 94.11 -0.82013 7,130,014 1.1 101,933.9 4.7 14,296 3.6 34,754.7 3.3 4,620.4 3.9 0.27 18,558.7 2.1 97.91 4.02014 7,207,460 1.1 107,141.6 5.1 14,865 4.0 35,891.1 3.3 4,791.6 3.7 0.23 18,740.2 1.0 93.26 -4.7
2015 7,284,296 1.1 115,182.9 7.5 15,812 6.4 37,150.1 3.5 4,964.3 3.6 0.44 18,634.9 -0.6 56.80 -39.12016 7,360,430 1.0 122,256.5 6.1 16,610 5.0 38,644.4 4.0 5,157.7 3.9 1.25 20,723.3 11.2 71.80 26.42017 7,435,810 1.0 129,963.7 6.3 17,478 5.2 40,322.7 4.3 5,369.7 4.1 2.24 23,851.7 15.1 78.90 9.92018 7,510,341 1.0 137,830.9 6.1 18,352 5.0 42,033.9 4.2 5,576.5 3.9 3.26 26,543.4 11.3 90.17 14.32019 7,583,938 1.0 146,227.9 6.1 19,281 5.1 43,724.8 4.0 5,779.6 3.6 3.31 29,079.0 9.6 98.00 8.72020 7,656,528 1.0 155,311.0 6.2 20,285 5.2 45,573.7 4.2 5,996.8 3.8 2.71 31,489.7 8.3 101.71 3.8
P-1
P-2. Indice Relativo del Grado de Desarrollo Económico de México, EUA y Canadá: Escenario Básico 2015-2020(PIB Per Cápita Mundial PPP=100)
PIB Nominal PPP PIB Per Cápita PPP Indice Relativo del Grado de Desarrollo EconómicoAños Billones de Dólares Internacionales % del PIB Mundial Dólares Internacionales por Persona PIB Per Cápita Mundial PPP=100
Mundo México Canadá EUA México Canadá EUA Mundo México Canadá EUA Mundo México Canadá EUA
1980 12,794 389 281 2,863 3.0 2.2 22.4 2,873 5,478 11,454 12,455 100.0 190.7 398.7 433.51981 14,289 462 318 3,211 3.2 2.2 22.5 3,153 6,358 12,829 13,838 100.0 201.6 406.9 438.91982 15,272 488 328 3,345 3.2 2.1 21.9 3,311 6,580 13,106 14,279 100.0 198.7 395.8 431.21983 16,293 490 350 3,638 3.0 2.1 22.3 3,471 6,471 13,854 15,382 100.0 186.4 399.2 443.21984 17,671 524 384 4,041 3.0 2.2 22.9 3,698 6,795 15,018 16,921 100.0 183.7 406.1 457.51985 18,939 553 415 4,347 2.9 2.2 23.0 3,894 7,023 16,049 18,027 100.0 180.4 412.1 462.91986 19,961 546 433 4,590 2.7 2.2 23.0 4,032 6,802 16,551 18,851 100.0 168.7 410.5 467.51987 21,224 570 463 4,870 2.7 2.2 22.9 4,212 6,952 17,448 19,804 100.0 165.1 414.3 470.21988 22,937 598 503 5,253 2.6 2.2 22.9 4,472 7,138 18,683 21,147 100.0 159.6 417.8 472.91989 24,740 646 537 5,658 2.6 2.2 22.9 4,741 7,567 19,636 22,553 100.0 159.6 414.2 475.71990 26,529 705 558 5,980 2.7 2.1 22.5 4,999 8,097 20,129 23,603 100.0 162.0 402.6 472.11991 28,021 759 564 6,174 2.7 2.0 22.0 5,196 8,563 20,109 24,135 100.0 164.8 387.0 464.51992 31,873 804 582 6,539 2.5 1.8 20.5 5,818 8,920 20,503 25,319 100.0 153.3 352.4 435.21993 33,312 844 610 6,879 2.5 1.8 20.6 5,989 9,217 21,243 26,375 100.0 153.9 354.7 440.41994 35,074 903 653 7,309 2.6 1.9 20.8 6,214 9,704 22,499 27,741 100.0 156.2 362.1 446.41995 37,129 869 685 7,664 2.3 1.8 20.6 6,484 9,194 23,361 28,777 100.0 141.8 360.3 443.81996 39,254 937 709 8,100 2.4 1.8 20.6 6,760 9,769 23,958 30,068 100.0 144.5 354.4 444.81997 41,607 1,019 752 8,609 2.4 1.8 20.7 7,067 10,482 25,177 31,574 100.0 148.3 356.2 446.81998 43,090 1,078 791 9,089 2.5 1.8 21.1 7,222 10,950 26,271 32,934 100.0 151.6 363.8 456.01999 45,297 1,124 843 9,661 2.5 1.9 21.3 7,493 11,275 27,757 34,589 100.0 150.5 370.4 461.62000 48,571 1,211 907 10,285 2.5 1.9 21.2 7,933 11,999 29,567 36,407 100.0 151.3 372.7 458.92001 50,862 1,231 943 10,622 2.4 1.9 20.9 8,204 12,051 30,454 37,198 100.0 146.9 371.2 453.42002 53,157 1,251 984 10,978 2.4 1.9 20.7 8,469 12,099 31,468 38,055 100.0 142.9 371.6 449.32003 56,490 1,294 1,023 11,511 2.3 1.8 20.4 8,892 12,360 32,375 39,516 100.0 139.0 364.1 444.42004 61,105 1,387 1,084 12,275 2.3 1.8 20.1 9,503 13,092 33,950 41,742 100.0 137.8 357.2 439.22005 66,087 1,475 1,155 13,094 2.2 1.7 19.8 10,157 13,766 35,770 44,113 100.0 135.5 352.2 434.32006 71,819 1,596 1,221 13,856 2.2 1.7 19.3 10,908 14,725 37,436 46,253 100.0 135.0 343.2 424.02007 77,797 1,691 1,279 14,478 2.2 1.6 18.6 11,678 15,397 38,789 47,894 100.0 131.8 332.1 410.12008 81,632 1,748 1,320 14,719 2.1 1.6 18.0 12,112 15,703 39,594 48,259 100.0 129.6 326.9 398.42009 82,013 1,678 1,294 14,419 2.0 1.6 17.6 12,029 14,873 38,412 46,862 100.0 123.6 319.3 389.62010 87,427 1,786 1,354 14,964 2.0 1.5 17.1 12,678 15,624 39,790 48,213 100.0 123.2 313.9 380.32011 92,781 1,896 1,416 15,518 2.0 1.5 16.7 13,304 16,392 41,235 49,564 100.0 123.2 309.9 372.62012 97,322 2,007 1,466 16,163 2.1 1.5 16.6 13,800 17,147 42,292 51,183 100.0 124.3 306.5 370.92013 101,934 2,059 1,518 16,768 2.0 1.5 16.4 14,296 17,390 43,391 52,647 100.0 121.6 303.5 368.32014 107,142 2,138 1,581 17,421 2.0 1.5 16.3 14,865 17,859 44,778 54,237 100.0 120.1 301.2 364.9
2015 115,183 2,243 1,648 18,200 1.9 1.4 15.8 15,812 18,538 46,249 56,191 100.0 117.2 292.5 355.42016 122,257 2,378 1,714 19,102 1.9 1.4 15.6 16,610 19,444 47,697 58,494 100.0 117.1 287.2 352.22017 129,964 2,552 1,797 20,168 2.0 1.4 15.5 17,478 20,653 49,561 61,259 100.0 118.2 283.6 350.52018 137,831 2,735 1,878 21,207 2.0 1.4 15.4 18,352 21,908 51,365 63,902 100.0 119.4 279.9 348.22019 146,228 2,918 1,957 22,185 2.0 1.3 15.2 19,281 23,143 53,097 66,323 100.0 120.0 275.4 344.02020 155,311 3,126 2,045 23,253 2.0 1.3 15.0 20,285 24,544 55,025 68,979 100.0 121.0 271.3 340.1
P-2
P-3. Población Mundial por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Miles de Personas)
Economías Avanzadas Economías de Mercados EmergentesZona Otras Africa Europa
Oriente Medio
Años Mundo Total Principales Economías Avanzadas del Economías Total Sub- Central y y NorteG-7 EUA Japón Alemania Francia Inglaterra Italia Canadá EURO Avanzadas sahariana Oriental de Africa
1980 4,453,007 822,040 614,949 229,825 115,915 78,289 53,880 56,303 56,221 24,516 294,638 82,095 3,630,968 359,069 149,666 203,0001981 4,531,799 827,380 618,583 232,035 116,824 78,124 54,136 56,318 56,376 24,770 295,504 82,865 3,704,420 369,295 151,420 209,7141982 4,612,120 832,631 622,194 234,261 117,711 77,945 54,409 56,341 56,510 25,016 296,264 83,658 3,779,488 379,953 153,163 216,7211983 4,694,097 837,833 625,813 236,511 118,554 77,784 54,696 56,379 56,622 25,267 296,959 84,473 3,856,264 391,008 154,884 223,9361984 4,777,828 843,028 629,476 238,794 119,321 77,687 54,989 56,437 56,710 25,539 297,647 85,304 3,934,800 402,401 156,567 231,2441985 4,863,290 848,252 633,208 241,120 119,991 77,685 55,281 56,517 56,772 25,843 298,371 86,149 4,015,038 414,088 158,200 238,5561986 4,950,591 853,516 637,023 243,496 120,553 77,783 55,575 56,623 56,809 26,183 299,136 87,004 4,097,075 426,053 159,784 245,8411987 5,039,478 858,829 640,922 245,921 121,024 77,975 55,871 56,754 56,823 26,555 299,944 87,874 4,180,650 438,302 161,312 253,0941988 5,129,113 864,223 644,909 248,382 121,435 78,260 56,163 56,902 56,825 26,943 300,825 88,770 4,264,889 450,841 162,745 260,2741989 5,218,375 869,735 648,985 250,858 121,833 78,637 56,444 57,058 56,825 27,330 301,812 89,705 4,348,639 463,686 164,034 267,3431990 5,306,425 875,386 653,144 253,339 122,251 79,098 56,708 57,214 56,832 27,701 302,923 90,688 4,431,039 476,843 165,150 274,2761991 5,392,939 881,204 657,396 255,807 122,703 79,652 56,956 57,370 56,856 28,052 304,195 91,723 4,511,735 490,322 166,074 281,0571992 5,478,009 887,174 661,733 258,276 123,178 80,283 57,190 57,525 56,895 28,386 305,610 92,801 4,590,835 504,104 166,825 287,6911993 5,561,744 893,216 666,119 260,803 123,653 80,926 57,412 57,682 56,938 28,705 307,063 93,895 4,668,528 518,123 167,463 294,2041994 5,644,416 899,215 670,504 263,469 124,098 81,495 57,629 57,839 56,965 29,009 308,407 94,966 4,745,201 532,292 168,067 300,6361995 5,726,239 905,096 674,852 266,324 124,487 81,929 57,845 57,997 56,968 29,302 309,547 95,988 4,821,144 546,557 168,699 307,0251996 5,807,212 910,822 679,144 269,394 124,815 82,200 58,058 58,157 56,938 29,582 310,427 96,956 4,896,390 560,891 169,383 313,3801997 5,887,260 916,427 683,389 272,643 125,092 82,326 58,270 58,319 56,888 29,850 311,100 97,878 4,970,832 575,327 170,105 319,7191998 5,966,465 921,992 687,612 275,986 125,326 82,350 58,496 58,488 56,852 30,114 311,715 98,754 5,044,473 589,944 170,848 326,0971999 6,044,931 927,629 691,854 279,300 125,532 82,342 58,752 58,671 56,874 30,384 312,484 99,588 5,117,303 604,851 171,577 332,5792000 6,122,770 933,420 696,141 282,496 125,720 82,349 59,048 58,874 56,986 30,667 313,552 100,387 5,189,350 620,133 172,270 339,2192001 6,200,003 939,375 700,477 285,545 125,894 82,384 59,391 59,097 57,199 30,967 314,967 101,141 5,260,628 635,822 172,922 346,0192002 6,276,722 945,458 704,843 288,467 126,048 82,432 59,775 59,340 57,499 31,282 316,664 101,857 5,331,264 651,909 173,548 352,9852003 6,353,196 951,659 709,220 291,291 126,184 82,484 60,184 59,604 57,864 31,609 318,550 102,584 5,401,537 668,381 174,170 360,1682004 6,429,758 957,953 713,583 294,063 126,299 82,524 60,597 59,892 58,264 31,944 320,481 103,389 5,471,804 685,210 174,818 367,6302005 6,506,649 964,313 717,908 296,820 126,393 82,541 60,997 60,203 58,671 32,283 322,347 104,314 5,542,336 702,380 175,513 375,4002006 6,583,959 970,748 722,192 299,564 126,465 82,536 61,378 60,538 59,082 32,628 324,128 105,384 5,613,210 719,890 176,262 383,5152007 6,661,637 977,232 726,430 302,285 126,515 82,516 61,745 60,896 59,495 32,977 325,836 106,575 5,684,405 737,765 177,055 391,9282008 6,739,610 983,656 730,597 304,989 126,545 82,475 62,098 61,270 59,891 33,328 327,434 107,825 5,755,954 756,043 177,873 400,4902009 6,817,737 989,881 734,665 307,687 126,552 82,405 62,445 61,652 60,249 33,675 328,885 109,046 5,827,856 774,776 178,690 408,9972010 6,895,889 995,807 738,613 310,384 126,536 82,302 62,787 62,036 60,551 34,017 330,166 110,172 5,900,082 793,999 179,485 417,3002011 6,974,036 1,001,384 742,427 313,085 126,497 82,163 63,126 62,417 60,789 34,350 331,252 111,183 5,972,652 813,721 180,252 425,3372012 7,052,135 1,006,638 746,112 315,791 126,435 81,991 63,458 62,798 60,964 34,675 332,148 112,097 6,045,497 833,927 180,993 433,1412013 7,130,014 1,011,638 749,689 318,498 126,345 81,804 63,783 63,177 61,087 34,994 332,900 112,942 6,118,376 854,596 181,708 440,7802014 7,207,460 1,016,490 753,191 321,197 126,225 81,626 64,101 63,556 61,175 35,310 333,580 113,762 6,190,970 875,694 182,398 448,367
2015 7,284,296 1,021,272 756,641 323,885 126,072 81,471 64,413 63,935 61,241 35,624 334,238 114,588 6,263,024 897,190 183,065 455,9832016 7,360,430 1,026,002 760,046 326,560 125,885 81,347 64,717 64,313 61,286 35,938 334,891 115,428 6,334,429 919,080 183,705 463,6392017 7,435,810 1,030,654 763,398 329,222 125,664 81,249 65,016 64,688 61,310 36,249 335,525 116,268 6,405,156 941,354 184,315 471,2972018 7,510,341 1,035,214 766,687 331,868 125,410 81,167 65,307 65,062 61,316 36,558 336,135 117,105 6,475,128 963,973 184,895 478,9322019 7,583,938 1,039,655 769,899 334,496 125,123 81,083 65,594 65,433 61,308 36,863 336,703 117,933 6,544,283 986,893 185,444 486,5012020 7,656,528 1,043,960 773,023 337,102 124,804 80,988 65,874 65,802 61,290 37,163 337,219 118,746 6,612,568 1,010,078 185,961 493,974
Continúa
P-3
Continuación
Economías de Mercados Emergentes Partidas Partidas InformativasComunidad de Estados América Países Informativas
Años Independientes Latina y el Caribe en Desarrollo de Asia UniónTotal Rusia Total Argentina Chile Brasil México Total China India ASEAN-5 OECD Europea TLCAN BRIC
1980 259,702 138,655 362,326 28,131 11,179 121,712 71,074 2,250,351 983,171 700,059 313,222 983,279 412,604 322,501 1,943,5961981 262,027 139,619 370,296 28,562 11,348 124,588 72,667 2,293,920 996,668 716,493 320,423 991,522 414,164 326,493 1,977,3691982 264,394 140,598 378,278 29,001 11,527 127,515 74,186 2,338,471 1,010,575 733,152 327,808 999,659 415,597 330,423 2,011,8401983 266,810 141,594 386,279 29,448 11,714 130,459 75,668 2,384,171 1,025,090 750,034 335,335 1,007,727 416,962 334,345 2,047,1771984 269,279 142,610 394,315 29,900 11,908 133,380 77,166 2,431,175 1,040,398 767,147 342,940 1,015,769 418,340 338,337 2,083,5351985 271,791 143,642 402,393 30,354 12,107 136,247 78,718 2,479,528 1,056,579 784,491 350,571 1,023,820 419,790 342,455 2,120,9591986 274,358 144,696 410,515 30,811 12,311 139,049 80,336 2,529,346 1,073,792 802,052 358,217 1,031,886 421,328 346,723 2,159,5891987 276,938 145,749 418,666 31,270 12,519 141,791 82,007 2,580,445 1,091,905 819,800 365,871 1,039,976 422,940 351,123 2,199,2451988 279,400 146,741 426,823 31,729 12,733 144,470 83,713 2,632,184 1,110,339 837,700 373,483 1,048,124 424,614 355,609 2,239,2501989 281,572 147,591 434,952 32,187 12,956 147,089 85,424 2,683,698 1,128,298 855,707 380,992 1,056,372 426,326 360,114 2,278,6851990 283,332 148,244 443,032 32,642 13,188 149,650 87,065 2,734,334 1,145,195 873,785 388,357 1,064,743 428,051 364,591 2,316,8741991 284,636 148,674 451,045 33,094 13,429 152,147 88,631 2,783,820 1,160,800 891,910 395,554 1,073,266 429,809 369,013 2,353,5301992 285,515 148,898 458,992 33,540 13,678 154,582 90,133 2,832,219 1,175,230 910,065 402,589 1,081,923 431,596 373,401 2,388,7751993 286,017 148,946 466,892 33,982 13,929 156,986 91,601 2,879,629 1,188,688 928,226 409,489 1,090,621 433,340 377,819 2,422,8451994 286,221 148,866 474,772 34,420 14,175 159,399 93,055 2,926,280 1,201,523 946,373 416,293 1,099,228 434,946 382,352 2,456,1611995 286,197 148,699 482,647 34,855 14,409 161,848 94,490 2,972,329 1,213,987 964,486 423,035 1,107,661 436,353 387,062 2,489,0201996 285,964 148,457 490,523 35,287 14,631 164,343 95,877 3,017,772 1,226,134 982,553 429,711 1,115,877 437,524 391,973 2,521,4871997 285,530 148,139 498,382 35,715 14,840 166,869 97,205 3,062,477 1,237,850 1,000,558 436,317 1,123,920 438,502 397,050 2,553,4161998 284,943 147,749 506,184 36,135 15,039 169,410 98,485 3,106,340 1,249,020 1,018,471 442,883 1,131,871 439,410 402,193 2,584,6501999 284,256 147,287 513,879 36,541 15,232 171,936 99,706 3,149,222 1,259,477 1,036,259 449,448 1,139,849 440,420 407,265 2,614,9592000 283,519 146,758 521,429 36,931 15,420 174,425 100,896 3,191,040 1,269,117 1,053,898 456,033 1,147,942 441,653 412,167 2,644,1982001 282,750 146,162 528,823 37,302 15,604 176,877 102,122 3,231,774 1,277,904 1,071,374 462,661 1,156,156 443,144 416,863 2,672,3172002 281,976 145,520 536,071 37,657 15,784 179,289 103,418 3,271,500 1,285,934 1,088,694 469,316 1,164,461 444,855 421,383 2,699,4372003 281,272 144,880 543,179 38,001 15,960 181,633 104,720 3,310,353 1,293,397 1,105,886 475,941 1,172,861 446,747 425,781 2,725,7962004 280,727 144,307 550,163 38,341 16,132 183,873 105,952 3,348,520 1,300,552 1,122,991 482,457 1,181,349 448,750 430,140 2,751,7242005 280,400 143,843 557,038 38,681 16,302 185,987 107,156 3,386,160 1,307,593 1,140,043 488,809 1,189,912 450,808 434,523 2,777,4662006 280,328 143,510 563,796 39,024 16,469 187,958 108,417 3,423,281 1,314,581 1,157,039 494,973 1,198,562 452,922 438,941 2,803,0882007 280,495 143,295 570,442 39,368 16,633 189,798 109,796 3,459,904 1,321,482 1,173,972 500,969 1,207,269 455,089 443,374 2,828,5462008 280,836 143,163 577,011 39,714 16,796 191,543 111,304 3,496,216 1,328,276 1,190,864 506,846 1,215,932 457,241 447,823 2,853,8462009 281,258 143,064 583,547 40,062 16,956 193,247 112,849 3,532,444 1,334,909 1,207,740 512,674 1,224,405 459,292 452,271 2,878,9602010 281,689 142,958 590,082 40,412 17,114 194,946 114,292 3,568,730 1,341,335 1,224,614 518,503 1,232,591 461,184 456,718 2,903,8542011 282,107 142,836 596,629 40,765 17,270 196,655 115,685 3,605,161 1,347,565 1,241,492 524,347 1,240,448 462,881 461,170 2,928,5482012 282,524 142,703 603,174 41,119 17,423 198,361 117,055 3,641,646 1,353,601 1,258,351 530,185 1,247,982 464,399 465,612 2,953,0162013 282,937 142,558 609,686 41,474 17,574 200,050 118,397 3,677,929 1,359,368 1,275,138 535,988 1,255,243 465,787 470,035 2,977,1152014 283,350 142,400 616,119 41,827 17,723 201,701 119,715 3,713,646 1,364,773 1,291,780 541,715 1,262,324 467,124 474,430 3,000,654
2015 283,765 142,229 622,437 42,177 17,868 203,294 121,011 3,748,518 1,369,743 1,308,221 547,334 1,269,287 468,466 478,788 3,023,4862016 284,175 142,041 628,628 42,522 18,010 204,828 122,291 3,782,453 1,374,247 1,324,435 552,836 1,276,143 469,825 483,105 3,045,5512017 284,564 141,829 634,697 42,863 18,148 206,307 123,559 3,815,480 1,378,294 1,340,420 558,228 1,282,862 471,182 487,375 3,066,8512018 284,918 141,591 640,643 43,199 18,283 207,734 124,821 3,847,604 1,381,887 1,356,165 563,509 1,289,424 472,522 491,590 3,087,3762019 285,219 141,322 646,471 43,530 18,414 209,108 126,082 3,878,869 1,385,048 1,371,663 568,680 1,295,802 473,818 495,744 3,107,1422020 285,454 141,022 652,182 43,856 18,540 210,433 127,348 3,909,300 1,387,792 1,386,909 573,743 1,301,971 475,052 499,829 3,126,156
Conclusión
P-4
P-4. Distribución Porcentual de la Población por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados: Escenario Base 2015-2020(% del total de la población mundial)
Economías Avanzadas Economías de Mercados EmergentesZona Otras Africa Europa
Oriente Medio
Años Mundo Total Principales Economías Avanzadas del Economías Total Sub- Central y y NorteG-7 EUA Japón Alemania Francia Inglaterra Italia Canadá EURO Avanzadas sahariana Oriental de Africa
1980 100.0 18.5 13.8 5.2 2.6 1.8 1.2 1.3 1.3 0.6 6.6 1.8 81.5 8.1 3.4 4.61981 100.0 18.3 13.6 5.1 2.6 1.7 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.5 6.5 1.8 81.7 8.1 3.3 4.61982 100.0 18.1 13.5 5.1 2.6 1.7 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.5 6.4 1.8 81.9 8.2 3.3 4.71983 100.0 17.8 13.3 5.0 2.5 1.7 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.5 6.3 1.8 82.2 8.3 3.3 4.81984 100.0 17.6 13.2 5.0 2.5 1.6 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.5 6.2 1.8 82.4 8.4 3.3 4.81985 100.0 17.4 13.0 5.0 2.5 1.6 1.1 1.2 1.2 0.5 6.1 1.8 82.6 8.5 3.3 4.91986 100.0 17.2 12.9 4.9 2.4 1.6 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.5 6.0 1.8 82.8 8.6 3.2 5.01987 100.0 17.0 12.7 4.9 2.4 1.5 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.5 6.0 1.7 83.0 8.7 3.2 5.01988 100.0 16.8 12.6 4.8 2.4 1.5 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.5 5.9 1.7 83.2 8.8 3.2 5.11989 100.0 16.7 12.4 4.8 2.3 1.5 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.5 5.8 1.7 83.3 8.9 3.1 5.11990 100.0 16.5 12.3 4.8 2.3 1.5 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.5 5.7 1.7 83.5 9.0 3.1 5.21991 100.0 16.3 12.2 4.7 2.3 1.5 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.5 5.6 1.7 83.7 9.1 3.1 5.21992 100.0 16.2 12.1 4.7 2.2 1.5 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.5 5.6 1.7 83.8 9.2 3.0 5.31993 100.0 16.1 12.0 4.7 2.2 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 5.5 1.7 83.9 9.3 3.0 5.31994 100.0 15.9 11.9 4.7 2.2 1.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 5.5 1.7 84.1 9.4 3.0 5.31995 100.0 15.8 11.8 4.7 2.2 1.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 5.4 1.7 84.2 9.5 2.9 5.41996 100.0 15.7 11.7 4.6 2.1 1.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 5.3 1.7 84.3 9.7 2.9 5.41997 100.0 15.6 11.6 4.6 2.1 1.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 5.3 1.7 84.4 9.8 2.9 5.41998 100.0 15.5 11.5 4.6 2.1 1.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 5.2 1.7 84.5 9.9 2.9 5.51999 100.0 15.3 11.4 4.6 2.1 1.4 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.5 5.2 1.6 84.7 10.0 2.8 5.52000 100.0 15.2 11.4 4.6 2.1 1.3 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.5 5.1 1.6 84.8 10.1 2.8 5.52001 100.0 15.2 11.3 4.6 2.0 1.3 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.5 5.1 1.6 84.8 10.3 2.8 5.62002 100.0 15.1 11.2 4.6 2.0 1.3 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.5 5.0 1.6 84.9 10.4 2.8 5.62003 100.0 15.0 11.2 4.6 2.0 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.5 5.0 1.6 85.0 10.5 2.7 5.72004 100.0 14.9 11.1 4.6 2.0 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.5 5.0 1.6 85.1 10.7 2.7 5.72005 100.0 14.8 11.0 4.6 1.9 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.5 5.0 1.6 85.2 10.8 2.7 5.82006 100.0 14.7 11.0 4.5 1.9 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.5 4.9 1.6 85.3 10.9 2.7 5.82007 100.0 14.7 10.9 4.5 1.9 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.5 4.9 1.6 85.3 11.1 2.7 5.92008 100.0 14.6 10.8 4.5 1.9 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.5 4.9 1.6 85.4 11.2 2.6 5.92009 100.0 14.5 10.8 4.5 1.9 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.5 4.8 1.6 85.5 11.4 2.6 6.02010 100.0 14.4 10.7 4.5 1.8 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.5 4.8 1.6 85.6 11.5 2.6 6.12011 100.0 14.4 10.6 4.5 1.8 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.5 4.7 1.6 85.6 11.7 2.6 6.12012 100.0 14.3 10.6 4.5 1.8 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.5 4.7 1.6 85.7 11.8 2.6 6.12013 100.0 14.2 10.5 4.5 1.8 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.5 4.7 1.6 85.8 12.0 2.5 6.22014 100.0 14.1 10.5 4.5 1.8 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.5 4.6 1.6 85.9 12.1 2.5 6.2
2015 100.0 14.0 10.4 4.4 1.7 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.5 4.6 1.6 86.0 12.3 2.5 6.32016 100.0 13.9 10.3 4.4 1.7 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.5 4.5 1.6 86.1 12.5 2.5 6.32017 100.0 13.9 10.3 4.4 1.7 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.5 4.5 1.6 86.1 12.7 2.5 6.32018 100.0 13.8 10.2 4.4 1.7 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.5 4.5 1.6 86.2 12.8 2.5 6.42019 100.0 13.7 10.2 4.4 1.6 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.5 4.4 1.6 86.3 13.0 2.4 6.42020 100.0 13.6 10.1 4.4 1.6 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.5 4.4 1.6 86.4 13.2 2.4 6.5
Continúa
P-5
Continuación
Economías de Mercados Emergentes Partidas Partidas InformativasComunidad de Estados América Países Informativas
Años Independientes Latina y el Caribe en Desarrollo de Asia UniónTotal Rusia Total Argentina Chile Brasil México Total China India ASEAN-5 OECD Europea TLCAN BRIC
1980 5.8 3.1 8.1 0.6 0.3 2.7 1.6 50.5 22.1 15.7 7.0 22.1 9.3 7.2 43.61981 5.8 3.1 8.2 0.6 0.3 2.7 1.6 50.6 22.0 15.8 7.1 21.9 9.1 7.2 43.61982 5.7 3.0 8.2 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.6 50.7 21.9 15.9 7.1 21.7 9.0 7.2 43.61983 5.7 3.0 8.2 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.6 50.8 21.8 16.0 7.1 21.5 8.9 7.1 43.61984 5.6 3.0 8.3 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.6 50.9 21.8 16.1 7.2 21.3 8.8 7.1 43.61985 5.6 3.0 8.3 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.6 51.0 21.7 16.1 7.2 21.1 8.6 7.0 43.61986 5.5 2.9 8.3 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.6 51.1 21.7 16.2 7.2 20.8 8.5 7.0 43.61987 5.5 2.9 8.3 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.6 51.2 21.7 16.3 7.3 20.6 8.4 7.0 43.61988 5.4 2.9 8.3 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.6 51.3 21.6 16.3 7.3 20.4 8.3 6.9 43.71989 5.4 2.8 8.3 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.6 51.4 21.6 16.4 7.3 20.2 8.2 6.9 43.71990 5.3 2.8 8.3 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.6 51.5 21.6 16.5 7.3 20.1 8.1 6.9 43.71991 5.3 2.8 8.4 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.6 51.6 21.5 16.5 7.3 19.9 8.0 6.8 43.61992 5.2 2.7 8.4 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.6 51.7 21.5 16.6 7.3 19.8 7.9 6.8 43.61993 5.1 2.7 8.4 0.6 0.3 2.8 1.6 51.8 21.4 16.7 7.4 19.6 7.8 6.8 43.61994 5.1 2.6 8.4 0.6 0.3 2.8 1.6 51.8 21.3 16.8 7.4 19.5 7.7 6.8 43.51995 5.0 2.6 8.4 0.6 0.3 2.8 1.7 51.9 21.2 16.8 7.4 19.3 7.6 6.8 43.51996 4.9 2.6 8.4 0.6 0.3 2.8 1.7 52.0 21.1 16.9 7.4 19.2 7.5 6.7 43.41997 4.8 2.5 8.5 0.6 0.3 2.8 1.7 52.0 21.0 17.0 7.4 19.1 7.4 6.7 43.41998 4.8 2.5 8.5 0.6 0.3 2.8 1.7 52.1 20.9 17.1 7.4 19.0 7.4 6.7 43.31999 4.7 2.4 8.5 0.6 0.3 2.8 1.6 52.1 20.8 17.1 7.4 18.9 7.3 6.7 43.32000 4.6 2.4 8.5 0.6 0.3 2.8 1.6 52.1 20.7 17.2 7.4 18.7 7.2 6.7 43.22001 4.6 2.4 8.5 0.6 0.3 2.9 1.6 52.1 20.6 17.3 7.5 18.6 7.1 6.7 43.12002 4.5 2.3 8.5 0.6 0.3 2.9 1.6 52.1 20.5 17.3 7.5 18.6 7.1 6.7 43.02003 4.4 2.3 8.5 0.6 0.3 2.9 1.6 52.1 20.4 17.4 7.5 18.5 7.0 6.7 42.92004 4.4 2.2 8.6 0.6 0.3 2.9 1.6 52.1 20.2 17.5 7.5 18.4 7.0 6.7 42.82005 4.3 2.2 8.6 0.6 0.3 2.9 1.6 52.0 20.1 17.5 7.5 18.3 6.9 6.7 42.72006 4.3 2.2 8.6 0.6 0.3 2.9 1.6 52.0 20.0 17.6 7.5 18.2 6.9 6.7 42.62007 4.2 2.2 8.6 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.6 51.9 19.8 17.6 7.5 18.1 6.8 6.7 42.52008 4.2 2.1 8.6 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.7 51.9 19.7 17.7 7.5 18.0 6.8 6.6 42.32009 4.1 2.1 8.6 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.7 51.8 19.6 17.7 7.5 18.0 6.7 6.6 42.22010 4.1 2.1 8.6 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.7 51.8 19.5 17.8 7.5 17.9 6.7 6.6 42.12011 4.0 2.0 8.6 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.7 51.7 19.3 17.8 7.5 17.8 6.6 6.6 42.02012 4.0 2.0 8.6 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.7 51.6 19.2 17.8 7.5 17.7 6.6 6.6 41.92013 4.0 2.0 8.6 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.7 51.6 19.1 17.9 7.5 17.6 6.5 6.6 41.82014 3.9 2.0 8.5 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.7 51.5 18.9 17.9 7.5 17.5 6.5 6.6 41.6
2015 3.9 2.0 8.5 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.7 51.5 18.8 18.0 7.5 17.4 6.4 6.6 41.52016 3.9 1.9 8.5 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.7 51.4 18.7 18.0 7.5 17.3 6.4 6.6 41.42017 3.8 1.9 8.5 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.7 51.3 18.5 18.0 7.5 17.3 6.3 6.6 41.22018 3.8 1.9 8.5 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.7 51.2 18.4 18.1 7.5 17.2 6.3 6.5 41.12019 3.8 1.9 8.5 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.7 51.1 18.3 18.1 7.5 17.1 6.2 6.5 41.02020 3.7 1.8 8.5 0.6 0.2 2.7 1.7 51.1 18.1 18.1 7.5 17.0 6.2 6.5 40.8
Conclusión
P-6
P-5. PIB Mundial por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionado: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Billones de dólares con ajuste PPP Purchasing Power Parity)
Economías Avanzadas Economías de Mercados EmergentesZona Otras Africa Europa
Oriente Medio
Años Mundo Total Principales Economías Avanzadas del Economías Total Sub- Central y y NorteG-7 EUA Japón Alemania Francia Inglaterra Italia Canadá EURO Avanzadas sahariana Oriental de Africa
1980 12,794 8,158 6,561 2,863 997 837 578 434 571 281 ….. 731 4,636 362 ….. 9201981 14,289 9,093 7,317 3,211 1,135 916 639 468 629 318 ….. 829 5,196 420 ….. 1,0241982 15,272 9,675 7,762 3,345 1,246 966 696 509 673 328 ….. 900 5,597 448 ….. 1,0851983 16,293 10,368 8,330 3,638 1,335 1,019 732 549 706 350 ….. 971 5,925 461 ….. 1,1451984 17,671 11,259 9,064 4,041 1,444 1,085 770 585 754 384 ….. 1,070 6,411 490 ….. 1,2181985 18,939 12,067 9,726 4,347 1,585 1,145 808 627 800 415 ….. 1,151 6,872 517 ….. 1,2831986 19,961 12,718 10,233 4,590 1,663 1,196 843 668 840 433 ….. 1,239 7,242 530 ….. 1,2801987 21,224 13,520 10,849 4,870 1,775 1,245 887 720 889 463 ….. 1,350 7,704 546 ….. 1,3061988 22,937 14,665 11,767 5,253 1,969 1,336 961 787 958 503 ….. 1,467 8,272 590 ….. 1,3381989 24,740 15,854 12,702 5,658 2,155 1,442 1,042 838 1,029 537 ….. 1,596 8,886 633 ….. 1,4621990 26,529 16,970 13,565 5,980 2,359 1,581 1,112 885 1,089 558 ….. 1,731 9,559 677 ….. 1,6531991 28,021 17,796 14,179 6,174 2,519 1,716 1,161 903 1,142 564 5,411 1,849 10,226 701 ….. 1,8071992 31,873 18,652 14,820 6,539 2,598 1,781 1,207 935 1,177 582 5,611 1,963 13,221 713 1,032 1,9361993 33,312 19,423 15,372 6,879 2,664 1,805 1,228 991 1,195 610 5,699 2,093 13,888 738 1,093 2,0081994 35,074 20,512 16,189 7,309 2,744 1,890 1,284 1,062 1,247 653 5,966 2,268 14,562 768 1,114 2,1021995 37,129 21,677 16,938 7,664 2,856 1,964 1,338 1,123 1,309 685 6,267 2,567 15,452 812 1,230 2,1871996 39,254 22,736 17,722 8,100 2,984 2,016 1,381 1,183 1,349 709 6,478 2,737 16,518 874 1,315 2,3341997 41,607 23,944 18,621 8,609 3,083 2,088 1,437 1,256 1,397 752 6,758 2,906 17,663 923 1,443 2,4771998 43,090 24,829 19,332 9,089 3,054 2,145 1,505 1,315 1,433 791 7,021 2,952 18,260 959 1,515 2,6081999 45,297 26,097 20,244 9,661 3,095 2,216 1,580 1,374 1,476 843 7,326 3,155 19,200 1,001 1,536 2,7072000 48,571 27,786 21,479 10,285 3,237 2,341 1,678 1,467 1,565 907 7,776 3,411 20,786 1,090 1,664 2,9282001 50,862 28,826 22,234 10,622 3,322 2,434 1,750 1,533 1,630 943 8,111 3,551 22,035 1,174 1,696 3,0682002 53,157 29,768 22,868 10,978 3,383 2,472 1,797 1,592 1,663 984 8,311 3,745 23,390 1,284 1,797 3,2262003 56,490 30,991 23,784 11,511 3,509 2,511 1,848 1,688 1,695 1,023 8,538 3,920 25,499 1,383 1,920 3,6662004 61,105 32,871 25,160 12,275 3,690 2,598 1,951 1,789 1,772 1,084 8,952 4,228 28,234 1,529 2,118 4,0712005 66,087 34,858 26,611 13,094 3,859 2,705 2,047 1,907 1,846 1,155 9,388 4,543 31,228 1,681 2,315 4,4242006 71,819 37,022 28,141 13,856 4,044 2,896 2,160 2,019 1,944 1,221 9,991 4,905 34,797 1,851 2,538 4,8642007 77,797 39,052 29,517 14,478 4,243 3,074 2,269 2,144 2,030 1,279 10,563 5,290 38,745 2,047 2,743 5,2792008 81,632 39,869 30,012 14,719 4,281 3,159 2,318 2,169 2,045 1,320 10,809 5,489 41,763 2,215 2,885 5,6602009 82,013 38,789 29,097 14,419 4,075 3,021 2,267 2,073 1,948 1,294 10,410 5,475 43,225 2,318 2,800 5,8322010 87,427 40,444 30,290 14,964 4,317 3,176 2,340 2,133 2,005 1,354 10,742 5,862 46,983 2,507 2,964 6,2252011 92,781 41,954 31,368 15,518 4,386 3,352 2,438 2,201 2,056 1,416 11,127 6,180 50,827 2,724 3,188 6,5332012 97,322 43,169 32,384 16,163 4,530 3,443 2,490 2,247 2,043 1,466 11,244 6,415 54,153 2,883 3,289 6,7482013 101,934 44,465 33,357 16,768 4,668 3,513 2,535 2,320 2,035 1,518 11,361 6,658 57,469 3,070 3,430 6,9982014 107,142 45,807 34,447 17,421 4,751 3,625 2,587 2,421 2,062 1,581 11,671 6,958 61,335 3,281 3,580 7,295
2015 115,183 47,159 35,769 18,200 4,869 3,749 2,657 2,535 2,112 1,648 12,029 7,302 68,024 3,529 3,757 7,6842016 122,257 49,346 37,296 19,102 5,012 3,889 2,744 2,661 2,175 1,714 12,413 7,684 72,910 3,809 3,952 8,1402017 129,964 51,441 39,116 20,168 5,187 4,056 2,851 2,805 2,254 1,797 12,891 8,125 78,522 4,133 4,179 8,6832018 137,831 53,557 40,907 21,207 5,361 4,223 2,959 2,944 2,335 1,878 13,380 8,576 84,274 4,475 4,414 9,2582019 146,228 55,726 42,626 22,185 5,532 4,392 3,065 3,083 2,412 1,957 13,873 9,035 90,502 4,824 4,656 9,8462020 155,311 58,110 44,525 23,253 5,725 4,581 3,185 3,241 2,496 2,045 14,459 9,532 97,201 5,113 4,902 10,486
Continúa
P-7
Continuación
Economías de Mercados Emergentes Partidas Partidas InformativasComunidad de Estados América Países Informativas
Años Independientes Latina y el Caribe en Desarrollo de Asia UniónTotal Rusia Total Argentina Chile Brasil México Total China India ASEAN-5 OECD Europea TLCAN BRIC
1980 ….. ….. 1,560 175 38 554 389 1,190 298 389 430 8,842 3,810 3,533 2,5221981 ….. ….. 1,715 180 45 579 462 1,378 343 452 499 9,860 4,157 3,991 2,6991982 ….. ….. 1,811 186 41 618 488 1,539 398 500 550 10,473 4,452 4,161 2,8801983 ….. ….. 1,828 200 41 621 490 1,713 458 560 597 11,185 4,717 4,478 3,0371984 ….. ….. 1,966 211 45 677 524 1,899 547 602 643 12,124 5,008 4,949 3,2521985 ….. ….. 2,090 203 48 754 553 2,091 641 653 670 12,983 5,293 5,314 3,4891986 ….. ….. 2,219 222 51 827 546 2,263 711 698 716 13,643 5,554 5,570 3,6771987 ….. ….. 2,350 233 56 879 570 2,478 814 745 775 14,490 5,861 5,904 3,8641988 ….. ….. 2,456 237 62 912 598 2,801 937 845 865 15,674 6,312 6,354 4,0921989 ….. ….. 2,569 229 72 978 646 3,084 1,014 930 974 16,920 6,784 6,841 4,2771990 ….. ….. 2,675 234 77 972 705 3,375 1,091 1,018 1,086 18,097 7,213 7,242 4,3821991 ….. ….. 2,870 267 86 1,014 759 3,681 1,231 1,063 1,193 18,941 7,526 7,497 4,5451992 2,187 1,594 3,030 301 99 1,032 804 4,090 1,438 1,147 1,298 19,840 7,846 7,925 5,2111993 2,022 1,490 3,225 328 108 1,106 844 4,558 1,678 1,230 1,429 20,680 8,075 8,333 5,5041994 1,782 1,328 3,448 354 117 1,190 903 5,089 1,939 1,339 1,572 21,792 8,492 8,864 5,7971995 1,719 1,301 3,564 352 132 1,269 869 5,660 2,196 1,471 1,738 22,967 9,084 9,217 6,2361996 1,687 1,277 3,759 378 144 1,320 937 6,246 2,459 1,611 1,903 24,131 9,445 9,746 6,6661997 1,739 1,316 4,027 415 156 1,387 1,019 6,741 2,734 1,705 2,012 25,465 9,880 10,379 7,1431998 1,690 1,259 4,161 436 163 1,403 1,078 7,000 2,979 1,830 1,847 26,461 10,275 10,959 7,4721999 1,808 1,360 4,224 428 164 1,428 1,124 7,577 3,255 2,022 1,929 27,744 10,733 11,628 8,0652000 2,020 1,531 4,479 434 175 1,524 1,211 8,236 3,608 2,148 2,074 29,541 11,425 12,402 8,8102001 2,191 1,645 4,604 424 185 1,579 1,231 8,919 3,997 2,303 2,186 30,599 11,939 12,796 9,5232002 2,341 1,750 4,676 384 192 1,646 1,251 9,643 4,427 2,427 2,329 31,589 12,294 13,213 10,2502003 2,572 1,914 4,859 427 203 1,698 1,294 10,648 4,968 2,670 2,509 32,899 12,737 13,828 11,2492004 2,855 2,107 5,299 477 222 1,844 1,387 11,866 5,620 2,961 2,732 34,934 13,441 14,746 12,5322005 3,145 2,314 5,723 538 244 1,963 1,475 13,382 6,456 3,340 2,973 37,078 14,193 15,724 14,0732006 3,527 2,580 6,229 601 266 2,104 1,596 15,177 7,498 3,761 3,233 39,430 15,157 16,674 15,9432007 3,945 2,874 6,762 666 287 2,291 1,691 17,307 8,791 4,240 3,524 41,591 16,091 17,447 18,1962008 4,237 3,084 7,162 700 303 2,457 1,748 18,894 9,827 4,491 3,767 42,519 16,511 17,786 19,8592009 3,990 2,865 7,117 706 302 2,468 1,678 20,444 10,814 4,909 3,871 41,348 15,902 17,391 21,0562010 4,238 3,031 7,631 780 323 2,686 1,786 22,665 12,085 5,479 4,188 43,119 16,411 18,104 23,2812011 4,533 3,227 8,136 864 349 2,816 1,896 24,913 13,482 5,963 4,474 44,845 17,041 18,831 25,4882012 4,772 3,396 8,519 888 374 2,896 2,007 27,043 14,774 6,358 4,836 46,270 17,293 19,637 27,4252013 4,945 3,492 8,880 928 396 3,013 2,059 29,250 16,149 6,776 5,165 47,624 17,578 20,345 29,4302014 5,073 3,576 9,159 944 410 3,066 2,138 31,663 17,632 7,277 5,492 49,326 18,053 21,140 31,551
2015 5,094 3,536 9,473 947 430 3,147 2,243 34,431 19,213 7,883 5,882 51,440 18,607 22,090 33,7782016 5,229 3,575 9,900 970 455 3,261 2,378 37,536 20,972 8,558 6,313 53,722 19,261 23,194 36,3662017 5,429 3,693 10,461 1,002 485 3,435 2,552 41,028 22,990 9,330 6,806 56,181 20,096 24,516 39,4472018 5,658 3,835 11,032 1,026 514 3,603 2,735 44,726 25,145 10,156 7,320 58,736 20,951 25,820 42,7392019 5,881 4,000 11,599 1,047 543 3,766 2,918 48,713 27,457 11,030 7,846 61,348 21,779 27,060 46,2532020 6,128 4,184 12,235 1,068 575 3,950 3,126 53,102 30,065 12,001 8,419 64,162 22,752 28,423 50,201
Conclusión
P-8
P-6. Distribución Porcentual del PIB Mundial por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados: Escenario Base 2015-2020(% del total del PIB Mundial)
Economías Avanzadas Economías de Mercados EmergentesZona Otras Africa Europa
Oriente Medio
Años Mundo Total Principales Economías Avanzadas del Economías Total Sub- Central y y NorteG-7 EUA Japón Alemania Francia Inglaterra Italia Canadá EURO Avanzadas sahariana Oriental de Africa
1980 100.0 63.8 51.3 22.4 7.8 6.5 4.5 3.4 4.5 2.2 ….. 5.7 36.2 2.8 ….. 7.21981 100.0 63.6 51.2 22.5 7.9 6.4 4.5 3.3 4.4 2.2 ….. 5.8 36.4 2.9 ….. 7.21982 100.0 63.4 50.8 21.9 8.2 6.3 4.6 3.3 4.4 2.1 ….. 5.9 36.6 2.9 ….. 7.11983 100.0 63.6 51.1 22.3 8.2 6.3 4.5 3.4 4.3 2.1 ….. 6.0 36.4 2.8 ….. 7.01984 100.0 63.7 51.3 22.9 8.2 6.1 4.4 3.3 4.3 2.2 ….. 6.1 36.3 2.8 ….. 6.91985 100.0 63.7 51.4 23.0 8.4 6.0 4.3 3.3 4.2 2.2 ….. 6.1 36.3 2.7 ….. 6.81986 100.0 63.7 51.3 23.0 8.3 6.0 4.2 3.3 4.2 2.2 ….. 6.2 36.3 2.7 ….. 6.41987 100.0 63.7 51.1 22.9 8.4 5.9 4.2 3.4 4.2 2.2 ….. 6.4 36.3 2.6 ….. 6.21988 100.0 63.9 51.3 22.9 8.6 5.8 4.2 3.4 4.2 2.2 ….. 6.4 36.1 2.6 ….. 5.81989 100.0 64.1 51.3 22.9 8.7 5.8 4.2 3.4 4.2 2.2 ….. 6.5 35.9 2.6 ….. 5.91990 100.0 64.0 51.1 22.5 8.9 6.0 4.2 3.3 4.1 2.1 ….. 6.5 36.0 2.6 ….. 6.21991 100.0 63.5 50.6 22.0 9.0 6.1 4.1 3.2 4.1 2.0 19.3 6.6 36.5 2.5 ….. 6.41992 100.0 58.5 46.5 20.5 8.1 5.6 3.8 2.9 3.7 1.8 17.6 6.2 41.5 2.2 3.2 6.11993 100.0 58.3 46.1 20.6 8.0 5.4 3.7 3.0 3.6 1.8 17.1 6.3 41.7 2.2 3.3 6.01994 100.0 58.5 46.2 20.8 7.8 5.4 3.7 3.0 3.6 1.9 17.0 6.5 41.5 2.2 3.2 6.01995 100.0 58.4 45.6 20.6 7.7 5.3 3.6 3.0 3.5 1.8 16.9 6.9 41.6 2.2 3.3 5.91996 100.0 57.9 45.1 20.6 7.6 5.1 3.5 3.0 3.4 1.8 16.5 7.0 42.1 2.2 3.3 5.91997 100.0 57.5 44.8 20.7 7.4 5.0 3.5 3.0 3.4 1.8 16.2 7.0 42.5 2.2 3.5 6.01998 100.0 57.6 44.9 21.1 7.1 5.0 3.5 3.1 3.3 1.8 16.3 6.9 42.4 2.2 3.5 6.11999 100.0 57.6 44.7 21.3 6.8 4.9 3.5 3.0 3.3 1.9 16.2 7.0 42.4 2.2 3.4 6.02000 100.0 57.2 44.2 21.2 6.7 4.8 3.5 3.0 3.2 1.9 16.0 7.0 42.8 2.2 3.4 6.02001 100.0 56.7 43.7 20.9 6.5 4.8 3.4 3.0 3.2 1.9 15.9 7.0 43.3 2.3 3.3 6.02002 100.0 56.0 43.0 20.7 6.4 4.6 3.4 3.0 3.1 1.9 15.6 7.0 44.0 2.4 3.4 6.12003 100.0 54.9 42.1 20.4 6.2 4.4 3.3 3.0 3.0 1.8 15.1 6.9 45.1 2.4 3.4 6.52004 100.0 53.8 41.2 20.1 6.0 4.3 3.2 2.9 2.9 1.8 14.7 6.9 46.2 2.5 3.5 6.72005 100.0 52.7 40.3 19.8 5.8 4.1 3.1 2.9 2.8 1.7 14.2 6.9 47.3 2.5 3.5 6.72006 100.0 51.5 39.2 19.3 5.6 4.0 3.0 2.8 2.7 1.7 13.9 6.8 48.5 2.6 3.5 6.82007 100.0 50.2 37.9 18.6 5.5 4.0 2.9 2.8 2.6 1.6 13.6 6.8 49.8 2.6 3.5 6.82008 100.0 48.8 36.8 18.0 5.2 3.9 2.8 2.7 2.5 1.6 13.2 6.7 51.2 2.7 3.5 6.92009 100.0 47.3 35.5 17.6 5.0 3.7 2.8 2.5 2.4 1.6 12.7 6.7 52.7 2.8 3.4 7.12010 100.0 46.3 34.6 17.1 4.9 3.6 2.7 2.4 2.3 1.5 12.3 6.7 53.7 2.9 3.4 7.12011 100.0 45.2 33.8 16.7 4.7 3.6 2.6 2.4 2.2 1.5 12.0 6.7 54.8 2.9 3.4 7.02012 100.0 44.4 33.3 16.6 4.7 3.5 2.6 2.3 2.1 1.5 11.6 6.6 55.6 3.0 3.4 6.92013 100.0 43.6 32.7 16.4 4.6 3.4 2.5 2.3 2.0 1.5 11.1 6.5 56.4 3.0 3.4 6.92014 100.0 42.8 32.2 16.3 4.4 3.4 2.4 2.3 1.9 1.5 10.9 6.5 57.2 3.1 3.3 6.8
2015 100.0 40.9 31.1 15.8 4.2 3.3 2.3 2.2 1.8 1.4 10.4 6.3 59.1 3.1 3.3 6.72016 100.0 40.4 30.5 15.6 4.1 3.2 2.2 2.2 1.8 1.4 10.2 6.3 59.6 3.1 3.2 6.72017 100.0 39.6 30.1 15.5 4.0 3.1 2.2 2.2 1.7 1.4 9.9 6.3 60.4 3.2 3.2 6.72018 100.0 38.9 29.7 15.4 3.9 3.1 2.1 2.1 1.7 1.4 9.7 6.2 61.1 3.2 3.2 6.72019 100.0 38.1 29.2 15.2 3.8 3.0 2.1 2.1 1.6 1.3 9.5 6.2 61.9 3.3 3.2 6.72020 100.0 37.4 28.7 15.0 3.7 2.9 2.1 2.1 1.6 1.3 9.3 6.1 62.6 3.3 3.2 6.8
Continúa
P-9
Continuación
Economías de Mercados Emergentes Partidas Partidas InformativasComunidad de Estados América Países Informativas
Años Independientes Latina y el Caribe en Desarrollo de Asia UniónTotal Rusia Total Argentina Chile Brasil México Total China India ASEAN-5 OECD Europea TLCAN BRIC
1980 ….. ….. 12.2 1.4 0.3 4.3 3.0 9.3 2.3 3.0 3.4 69.1 29.8 27.6 19.71981 ….. ….. 12.0 1.3 0.3 4.0 3.2 9.6 2.4 3.2 3.5 69.0 29.1 27.9 18.91982 ….. ….. 11.9 1.2 0.3 4.0 3.2 10.1 2.6 3.3 3.6 68.6 29.2 27.2 18.91983 ….. ….. 11.2 1.2 0.3 3.8 3.0 10.5 2.8 3.4 3.7 68.7 28.9 27.5 18.61984 ….. ….. 11.1 1.2 0.3 3.8 3.0 10.7 3.1 3.4 3.6 68.6 28.3 28.0 18.41985 ….. ….. 11.0 1.1 0.3 4.0 2.9 11.0 3.4 3.5 3.5 68.6 27.9 28.1 18.41986 ….. ….. 11.1 1.1 0.3 4.1 2.7 11.3 3.6 3.5 3.6 68.4 27.8 27.9 18.41987 ….. ….. 11.1 1.1 0.3 4.1 2.7 11.7 3.8 3.5 3.7 68.3 27.6 27.8 18.21988 ….. ….. 10.7 1.0 0.3 4.0 2.6 12.2 4.1 3.7 3.8 68.3 27.5 27.7 17.81989 ….. ….. 10.4 0.9 0.3 4.0 2.6 12.5 4.1 3.8 3.9 68.4 27.4 27.7 17.31990 ….. ….. 10.1 0.9 0.3 3.7 2.7 12.7 4.1 3.8 4.1 68.2 27.2 27.3 16.51991 ….. ….. 10.2 1.0 0.3 3.6 2.7 13.1 4.4 3.8 4.3 67.6 26.9 26.8 16.21992 6.9 5.0 9.5 0.9 0.3 3.2 2.5 12.8 4.5 3.6 4.1 62.2 24.6 24.9 16.41993 6.1 4.5 9.7 1.0 0.3 3.3 2.5 13.7 5.0 3.7 4.3 62.1 24.2 25.0 16.51994 5.1 3.8 9.8 1.0 0.3 3.4 2.6 14.5 5.5 3.8 4.5 62.1 24.2 25.3 16.51995 4.6 3.5 9.6 0.9 0.4 3.4 2.3 15.2 5.9 4.0 4.7 61.9 24.5 24.8 16.81996 4.3 3.3 9.6 1.0 0.4 3.4 2.4 15.9 6.3 4.1 4.8 61.5 24.1 24.8 17.01997 4.2 3.2 9.7 1.0 0.4 3.3 2.4 16.2 6.6 4.1 4.8 61.2 23.7 24.9 17.21998 3.9 2.9 9.7 1.0 0.4 3.3 2.5 16.2 6.9 4.2 4.3 61.4 23.8 25.4 17.31999 4.0 3.0 9.3 0.9 0.4 3.2 2.5 16.7 7.2 4.5 4.3 61.2 23.7 25.7 17.82000 4.2 3.2 9.2 0.9 0.4 3.1 2.5 17.0 7.4 4.4 4.3 60.8 23.5 25.5 18.12001 4.3 3.2 9.1 0.8 0.4 3.1 2.4 17.5 7.9 4.5 4.3 60.2 23.5 25.2 18.72002 4.4 3.3 8.8 0.7 0.4 3.1 2.4 18.1 8.3 4.6 4.4 59.4 23.1 24.9 19.32003 4.6 3.4 8.6 0.8 0.4 3.0 2.3 18.8 8.8 4.7 4.4 58.2 22.5 24.5 19.92004 4.7 3.4 8.7 0.8 0.4 3.0 2.3 19.4 9.2 4.8 4.5 57.2 22.0 24.1 20.52005 4.8 3.5 8.7 0.8 0.4 3.0 2.2 20.2 9.8 5.1 4.5 56.1 21.5 23.8 21.32006 4.9 3.6 8.7 0.8 0.4 2.9 2.2 21.1 10.4 5.2 4.5 54.9 21.1 23.2 22.22007 5.1 3.7 8.7 0.9 0.4 2.9 2.2 22.2 11.3 5.4 4.5 53.5 20.7 22.4 23.42008 5.2 3.8 8.8 0.9 0.4 3.0 2.1 23.1 12.0 5.5 4.6 52.1 20.2 21.8 24.32009 4.9 3.5 8.7 0.9 0.4 3.0 2.0 24.9 13.2 6.0 4.7 50.4 19.4 21.2 25.72010 4.8 3.5 8.7 0.9 0.4 3.1 2.0 25.9 13.8 6.3 4.8 49.3 18.8 20.7 26.62011 4.9 3.5 8.8 0.9 0.4 3.0 2.0 26.9 14.5 6.4 4.8 48.3 18.4 20.3 27.52012 4.9 3.5 8.8 0.9 0.4 3.0 2.1 27.8 15.2 6.5 5.0 47.5 17.8 20.2 28.22013 4.9 3.4 8.7 0.9 0.4 3.0 2.0 28.7 15.8 6.6 5.1 46.7 17.2 20.0 28.92014 4.7 3.3 8.5 0.9 0.4 2.9 2.0 29.6 16.5 6.8 5.1 46.0 16.9 19.7 29.4
2015 4.4 3.1 8.2 0.8 0.4 2.7 1.9 29.9 16.7 6.8 5.1 44.7 16.2 19.2 29.32016 4.3 2.9 8.1 0.8 0.4 2.7 1.9 30.7 17.2 7.0 5.2 43.9 15.8 19.0 29.72017 4.2 2.8 8.0 0.8 0.4 2.6 2.0 31.6 17.7 7.2 5.2 43.2 15.5 18.9 30.42018 4.1 2.8 8.0 0.7 0.4 2.6 2.0 32.5 18.2 7.4 5.3 42.6 15.2 18.7 31.02019 4.0 2.7 7.9 0.7 0.4 2.6 2.0 33.3 18.8 7.5 5.4 42.0 14.9 18.5 31.62020 3.9 2.7 7.9 0.7 0.4 2.5 2.0 34.2 19.4 7.7 5.4 41.3 14.6 18.3 32.3
Conclusión
P-10
P-7. PIB Per Cápita por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Dólares internacionales por persona)
Economías Avanzadas Economías de Mercados EmergentesZona Otras Africa Europa
Oriente Medio
Años Mundo Total Principales Economías Avanzadas del Economías Total Sub- Central y y NorteG-7 EUA Japón Alemania Francia Inglaterra Italia Canadá EURO Avanzadas sahariana Oriental de Africa
1980 2,873 9,925 10,668 12,455 8,599 10,695 10,734 7,707 10,156 11,454 ….. 8,908 1,277 1,007 ….. 4,5311981 3,153 10,991 11,829 13,838 9,718 11,731 11,807 8,318 11,160 12,829 ….. 10,004 1,403 1,138 ….. 4,8811982 3,311 11,620 12,476 14,279 10,589 12,389 12,790 9,029 11,903 13,106 ….. 10,757 1,481 1,180 ….. 5,0071983 3,471 12,374 13,311 15,382 11,264 13,105 13,391 9,739 12,462 13,854 ….. 11,492 1,536 1,180 ….. 5,1131984 3,698 13,356 14,399 16,921 12,106 13,971 14,003 10,370 13,300 15,018 ….. 12,539 1,629 1,217 ….. 5,2661985 3,894 14,226 15,360 18,027 13,210 14,735 14,607 11,101 14,094 16,049 ….. 13,359 1,712 1,248 ….. 5,3781986 4,032 14,901 16,063 18,851 13,793 15,376 15,172 11,790 14,779 16,551 ….. 14,240 1,768 1,244 ….. 5,2081987 4,212 15,743 16,927 19,804 14,669 15,960 15,875 12,684 15,636 17,448 ….. 15,358 1,843 1,245 ….. 5,1591988 4,472 16,969 18,246 21,147 16,213 17,074 17,120 13,823 16,862 18,683 ….. 16,530 1,940 1,310 ….. 5,1401989 4,741 18,229 19,572 22,553 17,689 18,343 18,467 14,693 18,111 19,636 ….. 17,795 2,043 1,365 ….. 5,4671990 4,999 19,386 20,768 23,603 19,300 19,993 19,616 15,472 19,164 20,129 ….. 19,083 2,157 1,421 ….. 6,0271991 5,196 20,195 21,568 24,135 20,529 21,543 20,391 15,738 20,078 20,109 17,788 20,160 2,266 1,429 ….. 6,4281992 5,818 21,024 22,396 25,319 21,088 22,190 21,103 16,261 20,693 20,503 18,360 21,150 2,880 1,414 6,186 6,7291993 5,989 21,745 23,077 26,375 21,543 22,309 21,389 17,182 20,989 21,243 18,561 22,295 2,975 1,424 6,525 6,8261994 6,214 22,811 24,144 27,741 22,112 23,198 22,273 18,367 21,886 22,499 19,345 23,885 3,069 1,443 6,626 6,9911995 6,484 23,950 25,099 28,777 22,940 23,973 23,125 19,359 22,986 23,361 20,246 26,738 3,205 1,486 7,292 7,1241996 6,760 24,962 26,094 30,068 23,905 24,529 23,786 20,345 23,684 23,958 20,868 28,227 3,373 1,559 7,761 7,4491997 7,067 26,127 27,248 31,574 24,648 25,357 24,668 21,533 24,560 25,177 21,722 29,690 3,553 1,605 8,481 7,7471998 7,222 26,930 28,115 32,934 24,370 26,049 25,723 22,478 25,203 26,271 22,522 29,894 3,620 1,625 8,868 7,9961999 7,493 28,133 29,261 34,589 24,654 26,912 26,889 23,420 25,949 27,757 23,444 31,677 3,752 1,655 8,950 8,1402000 7,933 29,767 30,854 36,407 25,745 28,428 28,423 24,911 27,455 29,567 24,800 33,980 4,005 1,757 9,660 8,6302001 8,204 30,687 31,741 37,198 26,389 29,540 29,468 25,937 28,497 30,454 25,753 35,105 4,189 1,846 9,805 8,8672002 8,469 31,485 32,444 38,055 26,839 29,984 30,061 26,830 28,914 31,468 26,245 36,770 4,387 1,970 10,355 9,1402003 8,892 32,565 33,536 39,516 27,805 30,444 30,701 28,319 29,291 32,375 26,801 38,217 4,721 2,070 11,026 10,1782004 9,503 34,314 35,259 41,742 29,218 31,483 32,204 29,877 30,407 33,950 27,934 40,890 5,160 2,231 12,117 11,0732005 10,157 36,148 37,067 44,113 30,528 32,766 33,553 31,672 31,458 35,770 29,123 43,553 5,635 2,393 13,189 11,7842006 10,908 38,137 38,966 46,253 31,980 35,086 35,185 33,358 32,907 37,436 30,824 46,544 6,199 2,572 14,400 12,6842007 11,678 39,962 40,632 47,894 33,538 37,249 36,755 35,211 34,113 38,789 32,417 49,632 6,816 2,774 15,495 13,4682008 12,112 40,532 41,079 48,259 33,832 38,307 37,335 35,408 34,152 39,594 33,012 50,905 7,256 2,930 16,222 14,1322009 12,029 39,185 39,606 46,862 32,203 36,664 36,310 33,623 32,328 38,412 31,653 50,204 7,417 2,992 15,668 14,2592010 12,678 40,614 41,009 48,213 34,117 38,592 37,271 34,385 33,121 39,790 32,535 53,208 7,963 3,157 16,513 14,9162011 13,304 41,896 42,251 49,564 34,674 40,798 38,623 35,270 33,823 41,235 33,590 55,580 8,510 3,348 17,688 15,3612012 13,800 42,884 43,403 51,183 35,831 41,991 39,242 35,784 33,519 42,292 33,852 57,230 8,958 3,457 18,172 15,5792013 14,296 43,953 44,495 52,647 36,943 42,941 39,736 36,729 33,320 43,391 34,128 58,953 9,393 3,593 18,878 15,8772014 14,865 45,064 45,734 54,237 37,637 44,408 40,351 38,092 33,704 44,778 34,986 61,162 9,907 3,746 19,629 16,271
2015 15,812 46,176 47,273 56,191 38,620 46,017 41,247 39,650 34,481 46,249 35,989 63,720 10,861 3,933 20,521 16,8512016 16,610 48,096 49,071 58,494 39,816 47,803 42,393 41,377 35,491 47,697 37,066 66,570 11,510 4,144 21,514 17,5562017 17,478 49,911 51,240 61,259 41,276 49,916 43,850 43,355 36,766 49,561 38,421 69,881 12,259 4,390 22,671 18,4242018 18,352 51,735 53,356 63,902 42,747 52,032 45,302 45,257 38,081 51,365 39,805 73,236 13,015 4,642 23,875 19,3312019 19,281 53,600 55,366 66,323 44,210 54,164 46,730 47,122 39,337 53,097 41,201 76,609 13,829 4,888 25,105 20,2382020 20,285 55,663 57,599 68,979 45,874 56,560 48,346 49,247 40,726 55,025 42,878 80,270 14,699 5,062 26,362 21,227
Continúa
P-11
Continuación
Economías de Mercados Emergentes Partidas Partidas InformativasComunidad de Estados América Países Informativas
Años Independientes Latina y el Caribe en Desarrollo de Asia UniónTotal Rusia Total Argentina Chile Brasil México Total China India ASEAN-5 OECD Europea TLCAN BRIC
1980 ….. ….. 4,306 6,225 3,437 4,549 5,478 529 304 556 1,372 8,992 9,233 10,954 1,2971981 ….. ….. 4,631 6,319 3,932 4,645 6,358 601 344 631 1,559 9,944 10,038 12,223 1,3651982 ….. ….. 4,787 6,401 3,553 4,849 6,580 658 394 681 1,679 10,477 10,712 12,593 1,4321983 ….. ….. 4,731 6,797 3,532 4,759 6,471 719 447 746 1,780 11,099 11,312 13,393 1,4841984 ….. ….. 4,986 7,071 3,810 5,075 6,795 781 526 784 1,876 11,935 11,972 14,626 1,5611985 ….. ….. 5,193 6,688 3,943 5,533 7,023 843 606 833 1,912 12,681 12,608 15,518 1,6451986 ….. ….. 5,405 7,202 4,177 5,948 6,802 895 662 871 1,999 13,222 13,183 16,065 1,7031987 ….. ….. 5,613 7,462 4,490 6,197 6,952 960 745 908 2,119 13,933 13,857 16,814 1,7571988 ….. ….. 5,753 7,462 4,902 6,312 7,138 1,064 844 1,009 2,315 14,954 14,865 17,867 1,8271989 ….. ….. 5,907 7,107 5,536 6,646 7,567 1,149 898 1,087 2,556 16,017 15,912 18,996 1,8771990 ….. ….. 6,039 7,169 5,847 6,492 8,097 1,234 953 1,165 2,797 16,996 16,851 19,864 1,8911991 ….. ….. 6,363 8,074 6,404 6,666 8,563 1,322 1,061 1,192 3,016 17,648 17,510 20,317 1,9311992 7,659 10,706 6,601 8,988 7,216 6,679 8,920 1,444 1,224 1,260 3,224 18,338 18,179 21,225 2,1821993 7,069 10,004 6,907 9,649 7,757 7,048 9,217 1,583 1,412 1,325 3,489 18,961 18,635 22,055 2,2721994 6,224 8,924 7,262 10,296 8,226 7,467 9,704 1,739 1,614 1,415 3,777 19,825 19,524 23,184 2,3601995 6,007 8,746 7,384 10,085 9,127 7,839 9,194 1,904 1,809 1,525 4,109 20,735 20,817 23,814 2,5051996 5,898 8,599 7,663 10,704 9,826 8,030 9,769 2,070 2,006 1,640 4,429 21,626 21,587 24,863 2,6441997 6,091 8,886 8,080 11,629 10,504 8,315 10,482 2,201 2,209 1,704 4,610 22,658 22,532 26,140 2,7971998 5,931 8,524 8,220 12,066 10,820 8,282 10,950 2,253 2,385 1,797 4,171 23,378 23,383 27,248 2,8911999 6,360 9,233 8,219 11,704 10,770 8,306 11,275 2,406 2,584 1,952 4,292 24,340 24,371 28,552 3,0842000 7,123 10,430 8,591 11,751 11,367 8,735 11,999 2,581 2,843 2,038 4,549 25,734 25,868 30,090 3,3322001 7,748 11,256 8,706 11,374 11,873 8,926 12,051 2,760 3,128 2,149 4,726 26,466 26,940 30,695 3,5642002 8,303 12,024 8,723 10,194 12,176 9,178 12,099 2,948 3,443 2,229 4,962 27,127 27,636 31,357 3,7972003 9,144 13,211 8,945 11,225 12,698 9,346 12,360 3,216 3,841 2,414 5,272 28,050 28,510 32,478 4,1272004 10,170 14,603 9,632 12,451 13,785 10,029 13,092 3,544 4,321 2,636 5,663 29,571 29,951 34,283 4,5542005 11,217 16,087 10,273 13,910 14,968 10,557 13,766 3,952 4,938 2,929 6,082 31,161 31,484 36,186 5,0672006 12,582 17,975 11,049 15,400 16,162 11,193 14,725 4,433 5,704 3,251 6,532 32,898 33,466 37,987 5,6882007 14,066 20,059 11,853 16,926 17,283 12,073 15,397 5,002 6,652 3,611 7,034 34,451 35,358 39,351 6,4332008 15,086 21,545 12,413 17,638 18,014 12,828 15,703 5,404 7,398 3,771 7,433 34,968 36,111 39,717 6,9592009 14,186 20,029 12,196 17,627 17,796 12,769 14,873 5,787 8,101 4,065 7,550 33,770 34,622 38,452 7,3142010 15,047 21,202 12,932 19,303 18,872 13,778 15,624 6,351 9,010 4,474 8,077 34,982 35,584 39,638 8,0172011 16,070 22,590 13,636 21,203 20,187 14,321 16,392 6,910 10,005 4,803 8,532 36,152 36,814 40,832 8,7032012 16,892 23,799 14,123 21,600 21,478 14,602 17,147 7,426 10,915 5,052 9,122 37,076 37,238 42,174 9,2872013 17,479 24,493 14,565 22,372 22,511 15,061 17,390 7,953 11,880 5,314 9,637 37,940 37,739 43,285 9,8852014 17,903 25,113 14,865 22,571 23,114 15,200 17,859 8,526 12,919 5,634 10,137 39,075 38,648 44,558 10,515
2015 17,951 24,859 15,219 22,451 24,074 15,481 18,538 9,185 14,026 6,025 10,747 40,527 39,718 46,138 11,1722016 18,402 25,168 15,748 22,803 25,260 15,922 19,444 9,924 15,261 6,462 11,420 42,097 40,996 48,010 11,9412017 19,078 26,036 16,481 23,368 26,708 16,648 20,653 10,753 16,680 6,961 12,192 43,794 42,650 50,302 12,8622018 19,857 27,085 17,221 23,743 28,090 17,343 21,908 11,624 18,196 7,489 12,991 45,552 44,338 52,523 13,8432019 20,618 28,305 17,942 24,057 29,495 18,009 23,143 12,559 19,824 8,041 13,797 47,344 45,965 54,585 14,8862020 21,467 29,670 18,760 24,356 31,022 18,772 24,544 13,584 21,664 8,653 14,674 49,281 47,893 56,866 16,058
Conclusión
P-12
P-8. Crecimiento del PIB Real por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Variación % anual a precios reales)
Economías Avanzadas Economías de Mercados EmergentesZona Otras Africa Europa
Oriente Medio
Años Mundo Total Principales Economías Avanzadas del Economías Total Sub- Central y y NorteG-7 EUA Japón Alemania Francia Inglaterra Italia Canadá EURO Avanzadas sahariana Oriental de Africa
1980 2.2 1.0 0.5 -0.2 3.2 1.3 1.8 -2.0 -1.4 2.2 ….. 3.6 4.3 4.4 -0.9 -1.41981 2.3 2.0 2.0 2.6 4.2 0.1 1.1 -1.3 0.8 3.5 ….. 3.8 2.9 6.9 -0.6 2.61982 0.8 0.2 -0.1 -1.9 3.4 -0.8 2.5 2.2 0.7 -2.9 ….. 2.3 1.8 0.5 1.3 1.01983 2.8 3.1 3.3 4.6 3.1 1.6 1.3 3.8 0.9 2.7 ….. 4.0 2.2 -0.8 4.5 2.11984 4.9 4.9 5.1 7.3 4.5 2.8 1.5 2.9 3.2 5.8 ….. 6.5 4.8 2.7 4.0 3.21985 3.9 3.9 4.0 4.2 6.3 2.2 1.6 3.9 2.8 4.8 ….. 4.3 4.0 2.5 2.4 2.41986 3.4 3.3 3.1 3.5 2.8 2.4 2.4 4.3 2.9 2.4 ….. 5.7 3.6 0.8 4.3 -1.51987 3.8 3.7 3.4 3.5 4.1 1.5 2.6 5.2 3.2 4.3 ….. 6.4 3.9 0.8 5.0 -0.31988 4.6 4.8 4.8 4.2 7.1 3.7 4.7 5.6 4.2 5.0 ….. 5.2 4.1 4.7 1.6 0.01989 3.9 4.1 3.9 3.7 5.4 3.9 4.4 2.6 3.4 2.6 ….. 4.8 3.7 3.3 0.2 5.81990 3.5 3.3 3.0 1.9 5.6 5.7 2.9 1.8 2.1 0.2 ….. 4.6 3.8 2.7 -0.4 8.31991 2.4 1.6 1.2 -0.1 3.3 5.0 1.0 -1.3 1.4 -2.1 ….. 3.6 3.9 0.2 -5.7 6.71992 2.4 2.3 2.2 3.6 0.8 1.5 1.6 1.3 0.8 0.9 1.4 3.9 2.5 -0.8 0.9 5.91993 2.2 1.5 1.3 2.7 0.2 -1.0 -0.6 3.5 -0.9 2.3 -0.8 4.3 3.2 1.6 3.7 1.81994 3.4 3.4 3.1 4.0 0.9 2.5 2.3 5.0 2.2 4.8 2.5 6.2 3.3 2.1 0.0 2.61995 3.4 2.9 2.5 2.7 1.9 1.8 2.1 3.5 2.9 2.7 2.9 5.2 4.1 3.7 6.1 2.11996 3.9 3.0 2.8 3.8 2.6 0.8 1.4 3.5 1.1 1.7 1.5 4.8 5.2 5.9 5.1 4.91997 4.2 3.5 3.3 4.5 1.6 1.8 2.3 4.4 1.9 4.3 2.6 4.4 5.0 4.1 4.6 4.81998 2.5 2.6 2.8 4.4 -2.0 1.7 3.6 3.6 1.4 4.1 2.8 0.7 2.3 2.9 2.9 4.31999 3.6 3.6 3.2 4.7 -0.2 1.7 3.4 2.9 1.5 5.0 2.9 5.3 3.7 2.9 0.0 2.42000 4.8 4.1 3.7 4.1 2.3 3.3 3.9 4.4 3.7 5.1 3.8 5.8 5.7 4.0 5.2 5.92001 2.5 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.4 1.6 2.0 2.2 1.9 1.7 2.0 1.8 3.8 5.6 -0.2 2.52002 3.0 1.7 1.3 1.8 0.3 0.0 1.1 2.3 0.5 2.8 0.9 3.9 4.6 8.6 4.4 3.62003 4.0 2.1 2.0 2.8 1.7 -0.4 0.8 3.9 0.0 1.9 0.7 2.6 6.4 5.9 4.8 7.12004 5.4 3.2 3.0 3.8 2.4 0.7 2.8 3.2 1.7 3.1 2.2 5.0 8.0 7.9 7.4 9.22005 4.9 2.7 2.5 3.3 1.3 0.9 1.6 3.2 0.9 3.2 1.7 4.1 7.3 6.6 5.9 5.32006 5.6 3.0 2.6 2.7 1.7 3.9 2.4 2.8 2.2 2.6 3.3 4.8 8.2 7.0 6.4 6.82007 5.7 2.7 2.2 1.8 2.2 3.4 2.4 3.4 1.7 2.0 3.0 5.1 8.6 7.9 5.3 5.82008 3.0 0.1 -0.3 -0.3 -1.0 0.8 0.2 -0.8 -1.2 1.2 0.4 1.8 5.8 6.3 3.2 5.32009 0.0 -3.4 -3.8 -2.8 -5.5 -5.1 -2.9 -5.2 -5.5 -2.7 -4.5 -1.0 3.1 4.1 -3.6 2.42010 5.4 3.1 2.9 2.5 4.7 3.9 2.0 1.7 1.7 3.4 2.0 5.9 7.5 6.9 4.7 5.52011 4.1 1.6 1.5 1.6 -0.5 3.4 2.1 1.1 0.5 2.5 1.6 3.3 6.2 5.1 5.5 4.52012 3.4 1.1 1.4 2.3 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.3 -2.4 1.7 -0.7 2.0 5.1 4.4 1.4 4.82013 3.3 1.3 1.5 2.2 1.6 0.2 0.3 1.7 -1.9 2.0 -0.4 2.2 4.7 5.1 2.8 2.22014 3.3 1.8 1.7 2.4 0.1 1.5 0.4 2.6 -0.4 2.4 0.8 2.8 4.4 5.2 2.7 2.7
2015 3.5 2.3 2.2 3.1 0.6 1.6 0.9 2.8 0.6 2.3 1.2 3.0 4.4 5.7 3.0 3.42016 4.0 2.6 2.3 2.9 1.0 1.8 1.4 3.0 1.1 2.1 1.4 3.3 5.0 6.0 3.3 4.02017 4.3 3.1 2.8 3.4 1.4 2.2 1.8 3.3 1.6 2.7 2.0 3.6 5.2 6.4 3.6 4.62018 4.2 2.8 2.5 3.2 1.2 2.0 1.6 2.8 1.5 2.4 1.9 3.4 5.1 6.1 3.5 4.42019 4.0 2.6 2.3 2.8 1.1 1.9 1.5 2.6 1.2 2.1 1.7 3.2 4.9 5.7 3.3 4.22020 4.2 2.7 2.5 3.0 1.4 2.2 1.8 3.0 1.4 2.4 2.1 3.6 5.2 6.0 3.5 4.4
Continúa
P-13
Continuación
Economías de Mercados Emergentes Partidas Partidas InformativasComunidad de Estados América Países Informativas
Años Independientes Latina y el Caribe en Desarrollo de Asia UniónTotal Rusia Total Argentina Chile Brasil México Total China India ASEAN-5 OECD Europea TLCAN BRIC
1980 ….. ….. 6.4 0.7 7.9 9.2 9.2 8.3 7.9 3.6 7.0 1.3 0.6 1.0 3.51981 ….. ….. 0.8 -5.7 6.2 -4.4 8.5 5.9 5.2 6.2 6.3 2.2 -0.1 3.4 0.81982 ….. ….. -0.5 -3.1 -13.6 0.6 -0.5 5.3 9.1 4.1 3.8 0.1 0.9 -1.8 2.11983 ….. ….. -2.8 3.7 -2.8 -3.4 -3.5 7.2 10.9 7.8 4.4 2.9 1.9 3.6 2.41984 ….. ….. 3.9 2.0 5.9 5.3 3.4 7.4 15.2 3.8 4.4 4.8 2.6 6.7 4.41985 ….. ….. 3.2 -7.0 2.0 7.9 2.2 6.4 13.5 5.3 1.1 3.9 2.4 4.1 5.21986 ….. ….. 4.3 7.1 5.6 7.5 -3.1 6.0 8.8 4.8 4.8 3.0 2.9 2.8 4.31987 ….. ….. 3.3 2.5 6.6 3.6 1.7 6.9 11.6 4.0 5.6 3.5 2.9 3.4 4.01988 ….. ….. 1.1 -2.0 7.3 0.3 1.3 9.3 11.3 9.6 7.8 4.6 4.1 4.0 4.61989 ….. ….. 1.1 -7.0 10.6 3.2 4.1 6.0 4.1 5.9 8.4 3.9 3.5 3.6 3.01990 ….. ….. 0.6 -1.3 3.7 -4.2 5.2 5.6 3.8 5.5 7.6 3.1 2.6 2.1 1.31991 ….. ….. 3.9 10.5 7.9 1.0 4.2 5.7 9.2 1.1 6.4 1.5 1.1 0.2 3.01992 ….. ….. 3.4 10.3 12.2 -0.5 3.5 8.8 14.2 5.5 6.4 2.3 1.0 3.4 5.01993 -9.6 -8.7 4.0 6.3 6.9 4.7 2.4 9.0 14.0 4.8 7.6 1.5 -0.1 2.7 3.91994 -13.9 -12.7 4.8 5.8 5.7 5.3 4.7 9.4 13.1 6.7 7.8 3.1 3.0 4.2 4.11995 -5.4 -4.1 1.5 -2.8 10.5 4.4 -5.8 9.0 10.9 7.6 8.3 2.5 3.0 1.9 5.71996 -3.6 -3.6 3.6 5.5 7.4 2.2 5.9 8.4 10.0 7.6 7.5 3.1 2.1 3.8 5.21997 1.4 1.4 5.4 8.1 6.6 3.4 7.0 6.2 9.3 4.1 4.0 3.7 2.9 4.7 5.41998 -3.8 -5.3 2.3 3.9 3.3 0.0 4.7 2.8 7.8 6.2 -8.8 2.8 2.9 4.5 3.71999 5.4 6.4 0.1 -3.4 -0.7 0.3 2.7 6.7 7.6 8.8 2.9 3.4 2.9 4.5 6.42000 9.3 10.0 3.7 -0.8 4.5 4.3 5.3 6.3 8.4 3.8 5.2 4.1 4.0 4.3 6.92001 6.1 5.1 0.5 -4.4 3.3 1.3 -0.6 5.9 8.3 4.8 3.1 1.3 2.2 0.9 5.72002 5.3 4.7 0.3 -10.9 2.2 2.7 0.1 6.5 9.1 3.8 4.9 1.7 1.4 1.7 6.12003 7.7 7.3 2.0 9.0 3.4 1.1 1.4 8.3 10.0 7.9 5.7 2.2 1.6 2.6 7.72004 8.1 7.2 6.2 8.9 6.8 5.7 4.3 8.5 10.1 7.9 6.0 3.3 2.7 3.8 8.42005 6.8 6.4 4.7 9.2 6.3 3.2 3.0 9.3 11.3 9.3 5.4 2.8 2.3 3.3 8.92006 8.9 8.2 5.7 8.4 5.8 4.0 5.0 10.1 12.7 9.3 5.5 3.1 3.6 2.9 10.02007 9.0 8.5 5.8 8.0 5.2 6.1 3.1 11.2 14.2 9.8 6.2 2.7 3.4 1.9 11.32008 5.4 5.2 3.9 3.1 3.2 5.2 1.4 7.1 9.6 3.9 4.9 0.2 0.7 0.0 7.12009 -6.2 -7.8 -1.3 0.1 -1.0 -0.3 -4.7 7.5 9.2 8.5 2.1 -3.5 -4.4 -3.0 5.62010 5.0 4.5 6.0 9.1 5.7 7.5 5.1 9.5 10.4 10.3 6.9 3.0 2.0 2.8 9.32011 4.8 4.3 4.5 8.6 5.8 2.7 4.0 7.7 9.3 6.6 4.7 2.0 1.9 1.9 7.32012 3.4 3.4 2.9 0.9 5.5 1.0 4.0 6.7 7.7 4.7 6.2 1.5 -0.3 2.4 5.82013 2.2 1.3 2.8 2.9 4.2 2.5 1.4 6.6 7.8 5.0 5.2 1.3 0.2 2.1 5.82014 1.0 0.7 1.1 0.1 1.8 0.1 2.1 6.6 7.4 5.6 4.6 1.7 1.0 2.4 5.5
2015 -1.4 -3.0 1.6 1.0 3.1 0.8 3.0 6.7 7.0 6.4 5.2 2.2 1.2 3.0 5.22016 0.8 -0.8 2.4 2.0 3.8 1.7 4.0 7.1 7.1 6.6 5.3 2.3 1.6 3.0 5.72017 1.7 1.2 3.4 3.1 4.4 3.2 5.2 6.8 7.4 6.8 5.6 2.8 2.2 3.5 6.32018 2.1 1.7 3.0 2.8 3.8 2.7 5.0 6.8 7.1 6.6 5.3 2.5 2.1 3.3 6.12019 1.8 2.2 2.8 2.4 3.6 2.4 4.6 6.5 7.0 6.4 5.0 2.4 1.9 3.0 6.12020 2.0 2.5 3.2 2.7 3.8 2.8 5.0 6.7 7.3 6.7 5.2 2.8 2.4 3.2 6.4
Conclusión
P-14
P-9. Inflación Mundial por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Variación % anual promedio del Índice de Precios al Consumidor)
Economías Avanzadas Economías de Mercados EmergentesZona Otras Africa Europa
Oriente Medio
Años Mundo Total Principales Economías Avanzadas del Economías Total Sub- Central y y NorteG-7 EUA Japón Alemania Francia Inglaterra Italia Canadá EURO Avanzadas sahariana Oriental de Africa
1980 18.3 13.6 12.4 13.5 7.8 5.4 13.1 16.8 21.8 10.2 ….. 24.8 28.4 17.0 28.9 11.71981 16.4 11.1 10.3 10.3 4.9 6.3 13.3 12.2 19.5 12.5 ….. 16.3 26.8 18.0 17.1 11.41982 15.7 8.3 7.3 6.2 2.7 5.3 12.0 8.5 16.5 10.8 ….. 13.0 30.9 13.9 36.8 9.91983 15.6 6.0 4.7 3.2 1.9 3.3 9.5 5.2 14.7 5.8 ….. 11.6 36.5 19.4 17.1 8.91984 17.2 6.4 4.6 4.3 2.3 2.4 7.7 4.4 10.7 4.3 ….. 17.4 42.0 18.5 32.6 7.41985 16.2 5.4 3.9 3.6 2.0 2.1 5.8 5.2 9.0 4.0 ….. 15.3 41.5 12.9 18.0 6.11986 12.5 2.8 2.1 1.9 0.6 -0.1 2.5 3.6 5.8 4.2 ….. 5.8 33.3 15.8 16.2 12.61987 15.8 3.2 2.8 3.6 0.1 0.2 3.3 4.1 4.7 4.4 ….. 5.3 43.7 17.9 20.3 16.31988 21.4 3.6 3.2 4.1 0.7 1.3 2.7 4.6 5.1 4.1 ….. 5.8 65.9 19.2 40.1 11.81989 27.6 4.7 4.4 4.8 2.3 2.8 6.6 5.2 6.2 5.0 ….. 6.2 87.3 22.5 70.2 9.81990 29.8 4.9 4.4 5.4 3.0 2.7 0.3 7.0 6.4 4.8 ….. 7.1 90.0 15.5 133.0 7.31991 18.5 4.7 4.3 4.2 3.3 3.5 3.4 7.5 6.2 5.6 ….. 6.4 46.9 31.1 87.6 13.71992 39.4 3.5 3.2 3.0 1.7 5.0 2.5 4.3 5.0 1.5 3.6 4.1 113.8 43.4 73.4 13.91993 39.4 3.2 2.8 3.0 1.3 4.5 2.2 2.5 4.5 1.9 3.3 3.8 112.0 42.6 86.0 11.31994 31.1 2.7 2.2 2.6 0.7 2.7 1.7 2.0 4.2 0.1 2.7 3.9 85.2 53.5 76.3 14.41995 16.2 2.6 2.3 2.8 -0.1 1.7 1.8 2.7 5.4 2.2 2.4 4.0 38.2 42.7 51.1 17.31996 9.4 2.5 2.2 3.0 0.1 1.2 2.1 2.5 4.0 1.6 1.6 3.5 19.8 35.5 48.2 10.01997 6.6 2.1 2.0 2.3 1.8 1.5 1.3 1.8 1.9 1.6 1.7 2.7 13.0 16.0 68.1 6.21998 6.4 1.5 1.2 1.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 1.6 2.0 1.0 1.2 3.1 13.4 10.2 44.5 5.81999 6.1 1.4 1.4 2.2 -0.3 0.6 0.6 1.3 1.7 1.7 1.2 0.9 12.8 13.2 32.6 5.12000 4.8 2.3 2.2 3.4 -0.7 1.4 1.8 0.8 2.6 2.7 2.2 2.1 8.3 15.7 31.1 3.32001 4.6 2.2 1.9 2.8 -0.8 1.9 1.8 1.2 2.3 2.5 2.4 2.5 7.8 13.5 27.3 3.32002 3.9 1.6 1.3 1.6 -0.9 1.3 1.9 1.3 2.6 2.3 2.3 1.7 6.9 10.4 19.7 4.52003 4.0 1.9 1.8 2.3 -0.3 1.0 2.2 1.4 2.8 2.7 2.1 1.7 6.6 10.8 11.8 4.82004 3.8 2.0 2.0 2.7 0.0 1.8 2.3 1.3 2.3 1.8 2.2 1.9 6.0 9.0 6.8 6.22005 4.1 2.3 2.4 3.4 -0.3 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.0 6.2 9.5 6.0 6.92006 4.2 2.4 2.4 3.2 0.2 1.8 1.9 2.3 2.2 2.0 2.2 2.0 6.1 7.5 6.0 8.42007 4.4 2.2 2.2 2.8 0.1 2.3 1.6 2.3 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.0 6.6 5.4 6.0 10.42008 6.4 3.4 3.2 3.8 1.4 2.7 3.2 3.6 3.5 2.4 3.3 4.3 9.4 13.0 8.0 11.72009 2.8 0.1 -0.1 -0.4 -1.3 0.2 0.1 2.2 0.8 0.3 0.3 1.3 5.3 9.8 4.8 6.02010 3.9 1.5 1.4 1.6 -0.7 1.2 1.7 3.3 1.6 1.8 1.6 2.2 5.9 8.3 5.5 6.22011 5.2 2.7 2.6 3.2 -0.3 2.5 2.3 4.5 2.9 2.9 2.7 3.1 7.3 9.5 5.4 8.62012 4.2 2.0 1.9 2.1 0.0 2.0 2.0 2.8 3.3 1.5 2.5 2.0 6.1 9.3 5.9 9.62013 3.9 1.4 1.3 1.5 0.3 1.5 0.9 2.6 1.2 1.0 1.3 1.5 5.9 6.6 4.2 9.22014 3.7 1.4 1.6 1.6 2.8 0.9 0.5 1.5 0.3 1.9 0.6 1.7 5.4 6.8 4.0 8.3
2015 3.6 0.7 1.0 0.8 1.6 1.3 0.7 1.7 0.6 1.4 1.1 2.1 5.6 7.3 4.2 8.62016 3.9 1.6 1.9 2.2 1.7 1.8 1.1 2.1 1.1 1.8 1.4 2.3 5.5 7.0 4.6 8.42017 4.1 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.0 1.7 1.5 2.4 1.4 2.1 1.6 2.5 5.6 6.6 4.5 8.82018 3.9 1.7 2.0 2.2 1.8 1.6 1.4 2.2 1.2 1.9 1.4 2.3 5.3 6.2 4.4 8.42019 3.6 1.5 1.8 2.0 1.6 1.5 1.2 2.0 1.1 1.7 1.4 2.1 5.0 5.7 4.2 7.72020 3.8 1.6 1.9 2.1 1.4 1.6 1.3 2.3 1.3 1.8 1.5 2.3 5.1 6.1 4.5 7.8
Continúa
P-15
Continuación
Economías de Mercados Emergentes Partidas Partidas InformativasComunidad de Estados América Países Informativas
Años Independientes Latina y el Caribe en Desarrollo de Asia UniónTotal Rusia Total Argentina Chile Brasil México Total China India ASEAN-5 OECD Europea TLCAN BRIC
1980 ….. ….. 54.4 100.8 35.1 90.2 26.4 12.1 6.0 11.4 17.5 14.8 12.5 14.7 22.31981 ….. ….. 55.7 104.5 19.7 101.7 27.9 10.7 2.4 13.1 14.8 11.9 12.1 12.5 24.31982 ….. ….. 68.1 164.8 9.9 100.5 58.9 7.5 1.9 7.9 11.9 10.4 14.0 12.7 23.21983 ….. ….. 104.1 343.8 27.3 135.0 101.9 7.8 1.5 11.9 10.0 10.0 8.7 14.2 30.01984 ….. ….. 122.0 626.7 19.9 192.1 65.4 8.9 2.8 8.3 16.3 8.6 9.4 10.8 42.01985 ….. ….. 135.9 672.2 30.7 226.0 57.7 8.6 9.3 5.6 11.0 7.4 6.1 9.2 51.61986 ….. ….. 87.7 90.1 19.5 147.1 86.2 9.5 6.5 8.7 14.8 6.5 4.0 10.3 36.01987 ….. ….. 127.6 131.3 19.9 228.3 131.8 9.8 7.3 8.8 15.7 8.6 4.1 16.1 55.21988 ….. ….. 233.9 343.0 14.7 629.1 114.2 14.8 18.8 9.4 16.8 9.3 5.8 14.5 146.41989 ….. ….. 390.7 3,079.5 17.0 1,430.7 20.0 11.8 18.0 6.2 10.4 6.3 14.5 6.3 332.71990 ….. ….. 496.1 2,314.0 26.0 2,947.7 26.7 8.4 3.1 12.8 9.1 7.0 27.8 7.4 657.31991 ….. ….. 142.3 171.7 21.8 477.4 22.7 9.8 3.4 13.5 12.5 6.6 13.8 6.2 110.61992 ….. ….. 161.4 24.9 15.4 1,022.5 15.5 8.2 6.4 9.9 8.1 5.3 10.5 4.2 206.51993 1,164.6 874.6 213.8 10.6 12.7 1,927.4 9.8 10.1 14.7 7.3 7.0 4.7 17.3 3.6 630.21994 448.8 307.6 218.0 4.2 11.4 2,075.8 7.0 14.3 24.1 10.3 7.4 4.8 7.9 2.8 507.11995 224.8 197.5 38.3 3.4 8.2 66.0 35.0 12.1 17.1 10.0 8.0 6.0 5.2 5.8 63.01996 51.9 47.7 22.5 0.2 7.4 15.8 34.4 8.1 8.3 9.4 7.0 5.6 4.9 5.9 17.61997 17.4 14.8 13.4 0.5 6.1 6.9 20.6 4.8 2.8 6.8 5.3 4.8 10.7 4.0 6.81998 24.9 27.7 10.1 0.9 5.1 3.2 15.9 10.6 -0.8 13.1 28.3 4.2 3.1 2.9 8.21999 71.8 85.7 9.4 -1.2 3.3 4.9 16.6 3.3 -1.4 3.4 10.4 3.6 2.4 3.6 15.62000 23.4 20.8 8.4 -0.9 3.8 7.0 9.5 2.1 0.4 3.8 2.9 4.0 3.3 3.9 5.92001 20.2 21.5 6.6 -1.1 3.6 6.8 6.4 3.3 0.7 4.3 6.2 3.6 3.1 3.2 6.22002 14.1 15.8 8.8 25.9 2.5 8.5 5.0 2.6 -0.8 4.0 6.2 2.8 2.6 2.0 4.62003 12.3 13.7 10.7 13.4 2.8 14.7 4.5 2.9 1.2 3.9 4.0 2.4 2.2 2.5 6.02004 10.3 10.9 6.8 4.4 1.1 6.6 4.7 4.1 3.9 3.8 4.7 2.4 2.4 2.8 5.52005 12.1 12.7 6.4 9.6 3.1 6.9 4.0 4.0 1.8 4.4 7.5 2.6 2.3 3.4 4.92006 9.5 9.7 5.4 10.9 3.4 4.2 3.6 4.7 1.5 7.0 8.5 2.6 2.3 3.2 4.52007 9.7 9.0 5.5 8.8 4.4 3.6 4.0 5.4 4.8 5.9 4.7 2.5 2.4 2.9 5.62008 15.5 14.1 8.1 8.6 8.7 5.7 5.1 7.6 5.9 9.2 9.2 3.7 3.7 3.9 7.92009 11.1 11.7 6.1 6.4 1.5 4.9 5.3 2.9 -0.7 10.6 3.3 0.5 0.9 0.2 4.32010 7.1 6.9 6.2 10.3 1.4 5.0 4.2 5.2 3.3 9.5 4.5 1.9 2.0 1.9 5.42011 9.8 8.4 6.8 9.8 3.3 6.6 3.4 6.5 5.4 9.5 5.8 2.9 3.1 3.2 6.92012 6.2 5.1 6.1 10.0 3.0 5.4 4.1 4.7 2.6 10.2 3.8 2.2 2.6 2.2 5.02013 6.4 6.8 7.1 10.6 1.8 6.2 3.8 4.7 2.6 10.9 4.6 1.6 1.5 1.7 5.42014 7.6 7.8 6.6 21.4 4.4 6.0 4.0 4.1 1.3 6.4 4.8 1.7 0.8 1.9 3.7
2015 8.0 7.3 7.0 17.9 3.4 6.8 3.0 4.3 2.2 6.2 5.0 2.0 1.2 1.1 4.12016 6.7 7.1 7.4 18.4 3.1 5.6 3.5 4.5 2.7 6.7 4.8 2.2 1.6 2.3 4.32017 6.3 6.0 7.1 17.7 3.3 6.7 3.8 4.7 3.0 6.8 4.4 2.5 1.8 2.5 4.52018 5.7 5.3 6.7 16.1 3.0 6.0 3.9 4.3 2.8 6.4 4.2 2.4 1.7 2.4 4.22019 5.4 5.0 6.4 15.6 2.8 5.6 3.7 4.0 2.6 6.2 4.0 2.2 1.6 2.2 3.92020 5.6 5.2 6.6 12.0 3.1 6.4 3.4 4.2 2.8 6.4 4.2 2.0 1.8 2.2 4.1
Conclusión
P-16
P-10. Indice Relativo de Desarrollo Económico por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionado: Escenario Base 2015-2020(Indice Per Cápita Mundo PPP =100)
Economías Avanzadas Economías de Mercados EmergentesZona Otras Africa Europa
Oriente Medio
Años Mundo Total Principales Economías Avanzadas del Economías Total Sub- Central y y NorteG-7 EUA Japón Alemania Francia Inglaterra Italia Canadá EURO Avanzadas sahariana Oriental de Africa
1980 100.0 345.4 371.3 433.5 299.3 372.2 373.6 268.2 353.5 398.7 ….. 310.0 44.4 35.1 ….. 157.71981 100.0 348.6 375.2 438.9 308.2 372.0 374.5 263.8 353.9 406.9 ….. 317.3 44.5 36.1 ….. 154.81982 100.0 350.9 376.8 431.2 319.8 374.1 386.2 272.7 359.5 395.8 ….. 324.9 44.7 35.6 ….. 151.21983 100.0 356.5 383.5 443.2 324.5 377.6 385.8 280.6 359.0 399.2 ….. 331.1 44.3 34.0 ….. 147.31984 100.0 361.1 389.3 457.5 327.3 377.8 378.6 280.4 359.6 406.1 ….. 339.0 44.1 32.9 ….. 142.41985 100.0 365.3 394.4 462.9 339.2 378.4 375.1 285.0 361.9 412.1 ….. 343.0 44.0 32.1 ….. 138.11986 100.0 369.6 398.4 467.5 342.1 381.3 376.3 292.4 366.6 410.5 ….. 353.2 43.8 30.9 ….. 129.21987 100.0 373.8 401.9 470.2 348.3 379.0 376.9 301.2 371.3 414.3 ….. 364.7 43.8 29.6 ….. 122.51988 100.0 379.5 408.0 472.9 362.5 381.8 382.8 309.1 377.1 417.8 ….. 369.6 43.4 29.3 ….. 114.91989 100.0 384.5 412.8 475.7 373.1 386.9 389.5 309.9 382.0 414.2 ….. 375.3 43.1 28.8 ….. 115.31990 100.0 387.8 415.4 472.1 386.0 399.9 392.4 309.5 383.3 402.6 ….. 381.7 43.2 28.4 ….. 120.51991 100.0 388.7 415.1 464.5 395.1 414.6 392.4 302.9 386.4 387.0 342.3 388.0 43.6 27.5 ….. 123.71992 100.0 361.3 384.9 435.2 362.4 381.4 362.7 279.5 355.6 352.4 315.6 363.5 49.5 24.3 106.3 115.61993 100.0 363.1 385.3 440.4 359.7 372.5 357.1 286.9 350.4 354.7 309.9 372.2 49.7 23.8 108.9 114.01994 100.0 367.1 388.5 446.4 355.8 373.3 358.4 295.6 352.2 362.1 311.3 384.4 49.4 23.2 106.6 112.51995 100.0 369.4 387.1 443.8 353.8 369.7 356.6 298.6 354.5 360.3 312.2 412.4 49.4 22.9 112.5 109.91996 100.0 369.3 386.0 444.8 353.6 362.9 351.9 301.0 350.4 354.4 308.7 417.6 49.9 23.1 114.8 110.21997 100.0 369.7 385.6 446.8 348.8 358.8 349.0 304.7 347.5 356.2 307.4 420.1 50.3 22.7 120.0 109.61998 100.0 372.9 389.3 456.0 337.4 360.7 356.2 311.2 349.0 363.8 311.9 413.9 50.1 22.5 122.8 110.71999 100.0 375.4 390.5 461.6 329.0 359.1 358.8 312.5 346.3 370.4 312.9 422.7 50.1 22.1 119.4 108.62000 100.0 375.2 388.9 458.9 324.5 358.4 358.3 314.0 346.1 372.7 312.6 428.3 50.5 22.2 121.8 108.82001 100.0 374.1 386.9 453.4 321.7 360.1 359.2 316.2 347.4 371.2 313.9 427.9 51.1 22.5 119.5 108.12002 100.0 371.8 383.1 449.3 316.9 354.0 355.0 316.8 341.4 371.6 309.9 434.2 51.8 23.3 122.3 107.92003 100.0 366.2 377.2 444.4 312.7 342.4 345.3 318.5 329.4 364.1 301.4 429.8 53.1 23.3 124.0 114.52004 100.0 361.1 371.0 439.2 307.4 331.3 338.9 314.4 320.0 357.2 293.9 430.3 54.3 23.5 127.5 116.52005 100.0 355.9 364.9 434.3 300.6 322.6 330.3 311.8 309.7 352.2 286.7 428.8 55.5 23.6 129.9 116.02006 100.0 349.6 357.2 424.0 293.2 321.6 322.6 305.8 301.7 343.2 282.6 426.7 56.8 23.6 132.0 116.32007 100.0 342.2 347.9 410.1 287.2 319.0 314.7 301.5 292.1 332.1 277.6 425.0 58.4 23.8 132.7 115.32008 100.0 334.6 339.1 398.4 279.3 316.3 308.2 292.3 282.0 326.9 272.6 420.3 59.9 24.2 133.9 116.72009 100.0 325.7 329.2 389.6 267.7 304.8 301.8 279.5 268.7 319.3 263.1 417.3 61.7 24.9 130.3 118.52010 100.0 320.3 323.5 380.3 269.1 304.4 294.0 271.2 261.2 313.9 256.6 419.7 62.8 24.9 130.2 117.72011 100.0 314.9 317.6 372.6 260.6 306.7 290.3 265.1 254.2 309.9 252.5 417.8 64.0 25.2 133.0 115.52012 100.0 310.7 314.5 370.9 259.6 304.3 284.4 259.3 242.9 306.5 245.3 414.7 64.9 25.1 131.7 112.92013 100.0 307.4 311.2 368.3 258.4 300.4 277.9 256.9 233.1 303.5 238.7 412.4 65.7 25.1 132.0 111.12014 100.0 303.1 307.7 364.9 253.2 298.7 271.4 256.2 226.7 301.2 235.4 411.4 66.6 25.2 132.0 109.5
2015 100.0 292.0 299.0 355.4 244.2 291.0 260.9 250.8 218.1 292.5 227.6 403.0 68.7 24.9 129.8 106.62016 100.0 289.6 295.4 352.2 239.7 287.8 255.2 249.1 213.7 287.2 223.2 400.8 69.3 24.9 129.5 105.72017 100.0 285.6 293.2 350.5 236.2 285.6 250.9 248.1 210.4 283.6 219.8 399.8 70.1 25.1 129.7 105.42018 100.0 281.9 290.7 348.2 232.9 283.5 246.8 246.6 207.5 279.9 216.9 399.1 70.9 25.3 130.1 105.32019 100.0 278.0 287.1 344.0 229.3 280.9 242.4 244.4 204.0 275.4 213.7 397.3 71.7 25.3 130.2 105.02020 100.0 274.4 284.0 340.1 226.2 278.8 238.3 242.8 200.8 271.3 211.4 395.7 72.5 25.0 130.0 104.6
Continúa
P-17
Continuación
Economías de Mercados Emergentes Partidas Partidas InformativasComunidad de Estados América Países Informativas
Años Independientes Latina y el Caribe en Desarrollo de Asia UniónTotal Rusia Total Argentina Chile Brasil México Total China India ASEAN-5 OECD Europea TLCAN BRIC
1980 ….. ….. 149.9 216.7 119.6 158.3 190.7 18.4 10.6 19.4 47.8 313.0 321.4 381.2 45.21981 ….. ….. 146.9 200.4 124.7 147.3 201.6 19.0 10.9 20.0 49.4 315.4 318.3 387.7 43.31982 ….. ….. 144.6 193.3 107.3 146.4 198.7 19.9 11.9 20.6 50.7 316.4 323.5 380.3 43.21983 ….. ….. 136.3 195.8 101.8 137.1 186.4 20.7 12.9 21.5 51.3 319.8 325.9 385.9 42.71984 ….. ….. 134.8 191.2 103.0 137.2 183.7 21.1 14.2 21.2 50.7 322.7 323.7 395.5 42.21985 ….. ….. 133.4 171.7 101.3 142.1 180.4 21.7 15.6 21.4 49.1 325.6 323.7 398.5 42.21986 ….. ….. 134.1 178.6 103.6 147.5 168.7 22.2 16.4 21.6 49.6 327.9 327.0 398.4 42.21987 ….. ….. 133.3 177.2 106.6 147.1 165.1 22.8 17.7 21.6 50.3 330.8 329.0 399.2 41.71988 ….. ….. 128.7 166.9 109.6 141.1 159.6 23.8 18.9 22.6 51.8 334.4 332.4 399.5 40.91989 ….. ….. 124.6 149.9 116.8 140.2 159.6 24.2 19.0 22.9 53.9 337.8 335.6 400.7 39.61990 ….. ….. 120.8 143.4 116.9 129.9 162.0 24.7 19.1 23.3 55.9 340.0 337.1 397.3 37.81991 ….. ….. 122.5 155.4 123.2 128.3 164.8 25.4 20.4 22.9 58.1 339.7 337.0 391.0 37.21992 131.6 184.0 113.4 154.5 124.0 114.8 153.3 24.8 21.0 21.7 55.4 315.2 312.4 364.8 37.51993 118.0 167.0 115.3 161.1 129.5 117.7 153.9 26.4 23.6 22.1 58.3 316.6 311.1 368.2 37.91994 100.2 143.6 116.9 165.7 132.4 120.2 156.2 28.0 26.0 22.8 60.8 319.0 314.2 373.1 38.01995 92.6 134.9 113.9 155.5 140.8 120.9 141.8 29.4 27.9 23.5 63.4 319.8 321.1 367.3 38.61996 87.3 127.2 113.4 158.3 145.4 118.8 144.5 30.6 29.7 24.3 65.5 319.9 319.4 367.8 39.11997 86.2 125.7 114.3 164.5 148.6 117.7 148.3 31.1 31.3 24.1 65.2 320.6 318.8 369.9 39.61998 82.1 118.0 113.8 167.1 149.8 114.7 151.6 31.2 33.0 24.9 57.8 323.7 323.8 377.3 40.01999 84.9 123.2 109.7 156.2 143.7 110.8 150.5 32.1 34.5 26.0 57.3 324.8 325.2 381.0 41.22000 89.8 131.5 108.3 148.1 143.3 110.1 151.3 32.5 35.8 25.7 57.3 324.4 326.1 379.3 42.02001 94.4 137.2 106.1 138.7 144.7 108.8 146.9 33.6 38.1 26.2 57.6 322.6 328.4 374.2 43.42002 98.0 142.0 103.0 120.4 143.8 108.4 142.9 34.8 40.7 26.3 58.6 320.3 326.3 370.3 44.82003 102.8 148.6 100.6 126.2 142.8 105.1 139.0 36.2 43.2 27.2 59.3 315.5 320.6 365.3 46.42004 107.0 153.7 101.4 131.0 145.1 105.5 137.8 37.3 45.5 27.7 59.6 311.2 315.2 360.7 47.92005 110.4 158.4 101.1 137.0 147.4 103.9 135.5 38.9 48.6 28.8 59.9 306.8 310.0 356.3 49.92006 115.3 164.8 101.3 141.2 148.2 102.6 135.0 40.6 52.3 29.8 59.9 301.6 306.8 348.2 52.12007 120.4 171.8 101.5 144.9 148.0 103.4 131.8 42.8 57.0 30.9 60.2 295.0 302.8 337.0 55.12008 124.6 177.9 102.5 145.6 148.7 105.9 129.6 44.6 61.1 31.1 61.4 288.7 298.1 327.9 57.52009 117.9 166.5 101.4 146.5 147.9 106.2 123.6 48.1 67.3 33.8 62.8 280.7 287.8 319.6 60.82010 118.7 167.2 102.0 152.3 148.9 108.7 123.2 50.1 71.1 35.3 63.7 275.9 280.7 312.7 63.22011 120.8 169.8 102.5 159.4 151.7 107.6 123.2 51.9 75.2 36.1 64.1 271.7 276.7 306.9 65.42012 122.4 172.5 102.3 156.5 155.6 105.8 124.3 53.8 79.1 36.6 66.1 268.7 269.8 305.6 67.32013 122.3 171.3 101.9 156.5 157.5 105.3 121.6 55.6 83.1 37.2 67.4 265.4 264.0 302.8 69.12014 120.4 168.9 100.0 151.8 155.5 102.3 120.1 57.4 86.9 37.9 68.2 262.9 260.0 299.7 70.7
2015 113.5 157.2 96.2 142.0 152.2 97.9 117.2 58.1 88.7 38.1 68.0 256.3 251.2 291.8 70.72016 110.8 151.5 94.8 137.3 152.1 95.9 117.1 59.7 91.9 38.9 68.8 253.4 246.8 289.0 71.92017 109.2 149.0 94.3 133.7 152.8 95.2 118.2 61.5 95.4 39.8 69.8 250.6 244.0 287.8 73.62018 108.2 147.6 93.8 129.4 153.1 94.5 119.4 63.3 99.1 40.8 70.8 248.2 241.6 286.2 75.42019 106.9 146.8 93.1 124.8 153.0 93.4 120.0 65.1 102.8 41.7 71.6 245.5 238.4 283.1 77.22020 105.8 146.3 92.5 120.1 152.9 92.5 121.0 67.0 106.8 42.7 72.3 242.9 236.1 280.3 79.2
Conclusión
P-18
CAPÍTULO V Indicadores de Coyuntura
1.0 Actividad Económica
2.0 PIB Trimestral
3.0 Inflación
4.0 Tasas de Interés
5.0 Tipo de Cambio
6.0 Ocupación, Salarios y Productividad
7.0 Salarios y Remuneraciones
8.0 Comercio Exterior
9.0 Balanza de Pagos de México
10.0 Deuda Externa Total
11.0 Agregados Monetarios y Actividad Financiera
12.0 Finanzas Públicas
13.0 Economía de Estados Unidos
14.0 Oferta y Demanda Global de EUA
1.0 Actividad Económica
1.0 Oferta y Demanda Global Anual 2011-2016
1.1 Oferta y Demanda Global Trimestral 2014-2015
1.2 Crecimiento Económico Mensual de México y EUA 2014-2015
1.3 Indicador Mensual del Consumo Privado 2008-2015
1.4 Producción del Sector Industrial de México 2008-2015
1.5-a Producción de la Industria Manufacturera 2008-2015
1.5-b Producción de la Industria Manufacturera 2008-2015
1.6 Producción de la Industria Automotriz México y EUA 2008-2015
1.7 Inversión Fija Bruta 2008-2015
1.8 Inversión Pública y Privada 2010-2015
1.9 Indicadores Adelantados y de Confianza del Consumidor de México y EUA 2013-2015
Escenario Macroeconómico 1.0
Datos Históricos Proyecciones2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Oferta 4.4 1.7 3.0 4.1 6.1 8.1Producto interno bruto 4.0 1.4 2.1 3.0 4.0 5.2 Sector Agropecuario 7.4 0.9 2.8 -0.9 2.7 -2.7 Sector Industrial 2.8 -0.5 1.9 3.4 5.1 6.7 Minería 0.9 -0.1 -2.3 0.7 1.2 3.3 Industria manufacturera 4.0 1.1 3.7 4.6 6.7 7.9 Construcción 2.5 -4.8 1.9 3.8 5.8 7.7 Electricidad, gas y agua 2.1 0.5 1.8 2.7 3.2 3.7Sector Servicios 4.5 2.5 2.2 3.0 3.5 4.7 Comercio 4.8 2.3 3.3 3.6 4.1 4.8 Servicios inmobiliarios y de alquiler 2.5 1.0 2.1 2.7 3.1 4.6 Transporte, correos y almacenamiento 4.1 2.6 2.0 2.8 4.1 5.8 Otros servicios 5.4 3.3 1.7 2.8 3.3 4.5
Oferta y Demanda Global Anual(Variación % anual a precios de 2003)
Datos Históricos Proyecciones2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Oferta Global 4.4 1.7 3.0 4.1 6.1 8.1Producto interno bruto 4.0 1.4 2.1 3.0 4.0 5.2Importación de bienes y servicios 5.5 2.5 5.9 7.4 12.0 16.0 Importación de bienes 5.6 2.5 6.1 7.3 12.1 16.2 Consumo 4.7 7.1 4.6 9.6 11.0 15.1 Intermedios 4.9 1.4 6.4 6.3 12.1 16.2 Capital 11.7 5.1 5.9 10.6 13.4 17.5 Importación de servicios 2.9 2.6 1.4 9.8 9.7 12.1
Demanda Global 4.4 1.7 3.0 4.1 6.1 8.1Consumo 4.7 2.1 2.1 2.8 3.6 4.6 Consumo privado 4.9 2.2 2.0 3.0 3.9 5.0 Consumo de gobierno 3.5 1.4 2.5 2.3 2.0 2.1Formación bruta de capital fijo 4.8 -1.6 2.3 4.4 7.1 10.5 Privada 9.0 -1.5 4.1 6.1 9.0 12.0 Pública -9.0 -1.7 -4.8 -3.1 -1.6 3.0Exportación de bienes y servicios 5.8 2.2 6.5 7.1 11.0 13.6 Exportación de bienes 5.9 1.8 6.6 6.8 10.7 13.4 Exportaciones no petroleras 7.5 2.8 7.9 7.7 11.3 14.2 Manufacturas 7.2 3.0 7.9 8.2 11.3 14.2 Otras 13.6 -1.8 6.3 -3.3 12.3 13.7 Exportaciones petroleras -6.1 -6.6 -5.3 -2.6 3.4 4.2 Exportación de servicios 5.5 12.1 5.4 13.5 16.1 17.0
Datos Históricos: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.Proyecciones: CAMACRO, Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
PIB Anual por Sectores Económicos(Variación % anual a precios de 2008)
Concepto
Concepto
Escenario Macroeconómico 1.1
(Variación % anual a precios de 2008)2014 2015
I II III IV I e/ II e/ III e/ IV e/
Producto interno bruto 2.0 1.6 2.2 2.6 2.2 3.3 3.4 3.2Sector Agropecuario 2.7 1.9 6.8 1.1 -2.6 -0.2 -2.6 1.0Sector Industrial 1.9 1.1 2.0 2.4 2.2 4.4 3.8 3.3 Minería -0.3 -0.9 -2.1 -5.7 -1.2 4.7 0.5 -1.0 Industria manufacturera 4.5 2.6 3.3 4.6 3.4 5.0 5.0 4.8 Construcción -1.6 -0.6 3.7 5.9 3.5 3.3 4.4 3.9 Electricidad, gas y agua 2.2 1.6 1.5 1.7 1.4 2.3 3.3 3.7Sector Servicios 2.0 1.9 2.1 2.9 2.4 2.8 3.4 3.2 Comercio 2.1 1.8 3.9 5.4 2.7 2.9 3.9 4.6 Servicios inmobiliarios y de alquiler 1.9 2.2 2.3 2.1 2.3 3.0 3.4 2.3 Transporte, correos y almacenamiento 2.3 2.1 1.2 2.5 2.1 2.8 3.4 3.0 Otros servicios 1.9 1.8 1.3 1.8 2.3 2.7 3.2 2.9
Oferta y Demanda Global Trimestral(Variación % anual a precios de 2008)
2014 2015I II III IV e/ I e/ II e/ III e/ IV e/
Oferta Global 2.7 2.1 3.0 4.2 2.7 3.7 4.9 5.0Producto interno bruto 2.0 1.6 2.2 2.6 2.2 3.3 3.4 3.2Importación de bienes y servicios 5.2 3.5 5.6 9.1 4.2 5.1 9.5 10.2 Importación de bienes 5.1 4.2 5.5 9.4 4.1 5.3 8.9 10.2 Consumo 2.3 1.2 3.2 10.7 4.3 6.6 11.8 14.2 Intermedios 5.3 5.1 5.7 9.3 4.5 4.4 8.0 8.2 Capital 6.3 1.6 7.1 8.8 1.3 9.6 11.8 18.3 Importación de servicios 7.0 -8.9 6.6 2.1 6.6 1.1 21.2 9.1
Demanda Global 2.7 2.1 3.0 4.2 2.7 3.7 4.9 5.0Consumo 1.8 1.4 2.3 2.8 2.4 2.9 2.9 3.1 Consumo privado 1.6 1.3 2.2 2.8 2.4 3.0 3.1 3.4 Consumo de gobierno 2.9 1.9 3.1 2.2 2.2 2.0 1.4 1.2Formación bruta de capital fijo -0.5 -0.6 4.3 5.6 1.8 3.6 5.7 6.0 Privada 0.5 1.6 6.9 7.1 3.4 5.1 7.6 8.1 Pública -5.0 -9.4 -5.9 0.4 -5.5 -3.2 -2.8 -1.7Exportación de bienes y servicios 6.4 5.0 7.1 7.5 4.8 6.9 7.2 9.3 Exportación de bienes 6.1 6.9 6.5 6.7 4.7 5.9 7.2 9.1 Exportaciones no petroleras 7.0 8.1 8.0 8.2 5.8 6.4 8.0 10.3 Manufacturas 7.2 8.1 7.5 8.8 6.3 7.1 8.7 10.4 Otras 4.9 7.5 21.1 -5.3 -3.8 -7.7 -8.0 7.7 Exportaciones petroleras -1.9 -4.4 -7.6 -7.1 -4.6 1.1 -2.4 -4.4 Exportación de servicios 12.5 -23.6 20.0 23.7 6.6 28.1 7.3 13.1
Datos Históricos: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
PIB Trimestral por Sectores Económicos
Concepto
Concepto
Escenario Macroeconómico 1.3
Indicador Mensual del Consumo Privado(Indice 2008=100)
Indicador Mensual del Consumo Privado en el Mercado InteriorAño Total Origen Nacional Importado
y mes Bienes y Servicios BienesIndice Var.% anual Indice Var.% anual Indice Var.% anual Indice Var.% anual Indice Var.% anual
2008 100.0 1.9 100.0 1.0 100.0 -0.2 100.0 2.3 100.0 10.42009 93.8 -6.2 96.3 -3.7 93.2 -6.8 99.6 -0.4 71.3 -28.72010 98.9 5.5 99.9 3.7 97.1 4.3 102.6 3.1 90.6 27.12011 103.5 4.6 104.5 4.7 103.4 6.4 105.7 3.0 94.4 4.12012 108.6 4.9 109.7 4.9 107.7 4.2 111.7 5.6 99.3 5.22013 110.9 2.1 111.6 1.7 108.6 0.8 114.6 2.6 104.7 5.5
2014 113.3 2.1 114.0 2.2 111.7 2.8 116.3 1.5 106.6 1.8
Ene 112.1 1.1 113.8 1.4 112.7 1.7 115.0 1.1 96.4 -2.3Feb 107.5 1.3 109.3 1.6 105.6 1.9 113.0 1.3 91.9 -1.2Mar 110.1 3.0 111.4 2.8 105.3 4.0 117.6 1.7 98.5 5.3Abr 109.5 0.5 110.2 0.9 105.7 -0.8 114.6 2.6 103.8 -3.6May 112.5 1.6 113.5 1.8 111.7 1.9 115.4 1.6 103.5 0.1Jun 110.6 2.5 111.8 1.9 108.3 1.7 115.3 2.1 99.8 8.1Jul 116.4 2.5 116.8 2.3 116.2 3.4 117.4 1.2 112.5 4.4Ago 113.8 1.4 114.2 1.4 111.7 2.3 116.8 0.6 109.7 0.8Sep 111.4 3.2 111.1 2.9 108.0 4.8 114.1 1.1 114.0 6.1Oct 120.0 3.4 119.2 3.8 120.6 5.7 117.8 1.9 127.1 0.3Nov 118.1 2.3 118.4 2.3 118.5 3.2 118.4 1.4 114.7 2.6Dic e/ 117.3 2.7 118.3 2.7 116.0 3.7 120.7 1.8 107.6 2.2
2015 116.7 3.1 117.6 3.2 115.5 3.4 119.6 2.8 107.7 1.0
Ene 114.9 2.5 116.5 2.3 116.5 3.3 116.5 1.3 98.1 1.7Feb 110.5 2.8 112.1 2.6 108.9 3.1 115.2 2.0 93.6 1.8Mar 113.0 2.6 114.7 2.9 108.4 3.0 120.7 2.6 95.2 -3.3Abr 112.9 3.1 113.5 3.0 109.6 3.7 117.2 2.2 106.9 3.0May 116.0 3.1 117.1 3.2 115.7 3.6 118.5 2.7 104.9 1.4Jun 113.9 3.0 115.7 3.6 112.7 4.0 118.7 3.0 95.6 -4.2Jul 119.6 2.8 120.4 3.1 120.1 3.4 120.7 2.8 111.7 -0.7Ago 117.5 3.2 118.0 3.3 115.3 3.2 120.7 3.3 112.5 2.6Sep 114.9 3.1 114.8 3.4 111.3 3.0 118.2 3.6 115.3 1.2Oct 123.9 3.3 123.2 3.3 124.5 3.3 121.8 3.4 131.1 3.2Nov 122.3 3.6 122.9 3.8 123.0 3.8 122.7 3.7 116.7 1.7Dic 121.2 3.4 122.4 3.4 120.2 3.6 124.7 3.3 110.4 2.6
Ene.-Nov.2012 108.3 5.2 108.7 5.2 106.6 4.8 110.8 5.6 97.2 5.62013 110.6 2.1 110.8 2.0 107.7 1.0 114.0 2.9 103.9 6.92014 112.9 2.1 113.1 2.1 110.6 2.7 115.7 1.5 105.7 1.72015 116.3 3.0 116.6 3.1 114.3 3.4 118.8 2.7 106.5 0.7
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI.e/ Empieza estimación del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO.
Subtotal Bienes Servicios
Escenario Macroeconómico 1.2
Crecimiento Económico Mensual en Estados Unidos y México(Indice 2008=100)
Estados Unidos MéxicoAño PIB Real Indicador Global de la Actividad Económica
y mes Indicador Global Indicador Global Sector Agropecuario Sector Industrial Sector ServiciosIndice Var.% anual Indice Var.% anual Indice Var.% anual Indice Var.% anual Indice Var.% anual
2008 100.0 -0.3 100.0 1.3 100.0 1.7 100.0 -0.5 100.0 2.52009 97.2 -2.8 95.3 -4.7 97.4 -2.6 93.8 -6.2 96.2 -3.82010 99.7 2.5 100.2 5.1 98.1 0.7 98.1 4.6 101.7 5.72011 101.3 1.6 104.3 4.1 95.8 -2.3 101.4 3.4 106.6 4.82012 103.6 2.3 108.5 4.0 103.4 7.9 104.3 2.8 111.4 4.62013 105.9 2.2 110.0 1.4 104.6 1.1 103.7 -0.5 114.3 2.6
2014 108.5 2.4 112.4 2.1 107.3 2.6 105.6 1.9 116.9 2.3
Ene 104.6 1.7 109.2 1.0 106.7 -2.8 102.8 1.1 113.4 1.2Feb 104.8 1.7 107.0 1.7 100.1 7.7 99.0 0.7 112.4 1.9Mar 104.9 1.7 111.5 3.4 82.9 4.5 105.1 3.9 117.0 3.0Abr 105.0 1.7 109.0 0.4 97.9 1.7 102.5 -0.9 113.7 1.1May 105.2 1.7 112.8 1.7 124.4 3.6 106.7 2.0 116.1 1.5Jun 105.5 1.9 111.9 2.9 123.4 0.4 104.8 2.1 115.8 3.5Jul 106.0 2.0 113.8 2.5 114.0 7.1 107.6 2.0 117.7 2.5Ago 106.4 2.2 112.0 1.3 83.0 7.5 107.3 1.1 116.4 1.2Sep 106.7 2.5 110.8 3.0 72.2 5.1 105.8 2.9 115.9 3.0Oct 107.2 3.2 116.4 2.6 92.0 -2.0 111.8 2.3 120.6 2.9Nov 107.4 3.2 117.3 2.0 140.6 -0.6 108.3 1.9 121.8 2.2Dic 107.3 3.0 116.8 3.2 150.6 3.4 106.0 3.0 121.8 3.2
2015 111.8 3.1 115.8 3.0 105.8 -1.5 109.3 3.4 120.4 3.0
Ene e/ 106.7 2.0 112.3 2.8 109.6 2.7 104.8 2.0 116.5 2.8Feb 106.7 1.8 109.5 2.3 93.0 -7.1 101.8 2.8 114.9 2.2Mar 106.9 1.8 113.1 1.5 81.0 -2.2 107.1 1.9 119.3 2.0Abr 107.5 2.4 113.0 3.7 99.0 1.1 107.8 5.2 117.0 2.9May 107.9 2.6 116.4 3.2 121.0 -2.7 111.1 4.1 119.7 3.1Jun 108.4 2.7 115.2 2.9 124.8 1.1 108.9 3.9 118.7 2.5Jul 108.8 2.6 117.8 3.5 108.8 -4.6 111.8 3.9 121.4 3.2Ago 109.2 2.7 116.2 3.8 78.6 -5.3 111.6 4.1 120.9 3.8Sep 109.7 2.8 114.0 2.9 69.3 -4.0 109.5 3.5 119.7 3.3Oct 109.7 2.3 120.4 3.4 95.0 3.2 116.4 4.1 124.6 3.3Nov 110.0 2.4 121.5 3.6 142.3 1.2 112.0 3.5 126.1 3.5Dic 110.2 2.7 119.8 2.6 146.7 -2.6 108.4 2.3 125.4 3.0
Ene.-Dic.2012 103.6 2.3 108.5 4.0 103.4 7.9 104.3 2.8 111.4 4.62013 105.9 2.2 110.0 1.4 104.6 1.1 103.7 -0.5 114.3 2.62014 108.5 2.4 112.4 2.1 107.3 2.6 105.6 1.9 116.9 2.32015 111.8 3.1 115.8 3.0 105.8 -1.5 109.3 3.4 120.4 3.0
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI y del U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.e/ Empieza estimación del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO.
Escenario Macroeconómico 1.4
Producción del Sector Industrial(Indice 2008=100)
Indice del Volumen Físico de la Actividad IndustrialAño Variación % anual real
y mes Total Minería Manufacturas Construcción ElectricidadIndice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
2008 100.0 -0.5 100.0 -3.7 100.0 -1.0 100.0 3.8 100.0 1.32009 93.8 -6.2 96.0 -4.0 91.6 -8.4 93.9 -6.1 101.3 1.32010 98.1 4.6 96.8 0.9 99.5 8.5 94.6 0.8 105.9 4.52011 101.4 3.4 96.4 -0.4 104.0 4.6 98.5 4.1 113.2 6.92012 104.3 2.8 97.3 0.9 108.2 4.0 100.9 2.5 115.7 2.12013 103.7 -0.5 97.2 -0.1 109.4 1.1 96.1 -4.8 116.3 0.5
2014 105.6 1.9 95.0 -2.3 113.5 3.7 98.0 1.9 118.3 1.8
Ene 102.8 1.1 99.3 -0.7 110.0 3.3 89.2 -2.0 115.2 0.9Feb 99.0 0.7 90.1 -0.4 106.4 2.7 90.3 -2.5 113.0 0.6Mar 105.1 3.9 98.2 0.3 114.5 7.3 91.2 -0.2 115.3 5.3Abr 102.5 -0.9 94.7 -1.3 111.0 0.1 92.0 -3.8 109.3 2.3May 106.7 2.0 97.5 -0.2 116.6 4.1 95.6 -0.3 110.1 1.2Jun 104.8 2.1 93.8 -1.3 113.9 3.7 96.4 2.3 112.4 1.4Jul 107.6 2.0 95.8 -2.0 116.0 3.6 99.6 3.2 122.7 0.6Ago 107.3 1.1 97.4 -1.8 114.7 1.4 98.6 3.6 124.3 1.4Sep 105.8 2.9 93.2 -2.7 112.8 4.9 99.1 4.3 129.7 2.5Oct 111.8 2.3 94.8 -5.1 122.1 4.1 104.9 6.0 128.1 2.2Nov 108.3 1.9 91.6 -5.7 115.7 4.1 107.8 4.9 120.5 0.6Dic 106.0 3.0 93.9 -6.2 108.3 5.7 110.8 6.8 119.1 2.3
2015 109.3 3.4 95.1 0.1 118.7 4.6 101.6 3.8 121.5 2.7
Ene e/ 104.8 2.0 95.3 -4.0 114.1 3.7 93.2 4.4 117.6 2.1Feb 101.8 2.8 88.0 -2.3 111.2 4.5 94.2 4.3 115.5 2.3Mar 107.1 1.9 97.0 -1.2 116.7 2.0 92.8 1.7 114.9 -0.3Abr 107.8 5.2 95.8 1.2 117.2 5.6 94.6 2.9 111.2 1.7May 111.1 4.1 98.5 1.0 121.9 4.5 98.7 3.2 112.8 2.5Jun 108.9 3.9 94.0 0.2 119.4 4.8 100.0 3.7 115.6 2.8Jul 111.8 3.9 96.2 0.4 122.1 5.2 103.6 4.1 126.5 3.1Ago 111.6 4.1 98.1 0.8 121.1 5.6 103.2 4.7 128.4 3.3Sep 109.5 3.5 93.8 0.6 117.7 4.3 103.4 4.4 134.2 3.5Oct 116.4 4.1 96.1 1.4 128.4 5.1 109.2 4.1 133.6 4.3Nov 112.0 3.5 92.9 1.4 122.6 6.0 111.8 3.7 124.7 3.5Dic 108.4 2.3 95.6 1.8 111.8 3.2 115.1 3.9 123.0 3.2
Ene.-Dic.2012 104.3 2.8 97.3 0.9 108.2 4.0 100.9 2.5 115.7 2.12013 103.7 -0.5 97.2 -0.1 109.4 1.1 96.1 -4.8 116.3 0.52014 105.6 1.9 95.0 -2.3 113.5 3.7 98.0 1.9 118.3 1.82015 109.3 3.4 95.1 0.1 118.7 4.6 101.6 3.8 121.5 2.7
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI.e/ Empieza estimación del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO.
Escenario Macroeconómico 1.5a
Industrias Manufactureras por Subsector(Variación % anual real a precios de 2008)
Industria Fabricación Confección Fabricación fabricación Industria Industria Impresión FabricaciónAño Industria bebidas de insumos productos prendas productos de la del e industrias productos
y mes alimentaria y tabaco textiles textiles de vestir de cuero madera papel conexas del petróleoVar.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.%
2008 1.1 2.4 -7.0 -7.9 1.6 -4.7 -7.7 2.4 4.8 -0.32009 -0.3 0.3 -7.4 -7.8 -7.6 -4.8 -4.7 -0.6 -6.5 0.52010 1.7 0.6 10.9 2.5 4.6 7.7 5.5 3.7 10.0 -7.22011 2.2 4.6 -4.4 -2.9 0.2 -0.7 5.1 -0.8 4.2 -3.62012 2.6 2.6 3.1 -0.1 -0.5 3.5 13.0 4.8 -4.1 1.12013 0.2 0.6 -3.2 3.7 3.3 1.0 -2.8 2.2 -7.0 3.2
2014 0.9 4.8 -3.3 5.8 -3.5 -1.4 1.2 3.2 -2.4 -4.5
Ene 0.6 2.7 -2.2 -0.6 10.1 -3.4 -15.5 1.6 -5.9 -3.1Feb -0.7 2.0 -3.9 -2.0 3.9 -4.3 -2.4 2.1 -3.5 -11.2Mar 2.6 5.2 7.0 6.0 7.1 7.2 9.2 5.1 -2.4 3.1Abr -0.8 2.7 -12.3 -2.7 -10.5 -10.7 -1.8 -1.9 -3.3 -0.4May 1.5 5.2 -7.1 -0.8 -2.4 -4.5 2.6 4.7 -5.0 -6.7Jun 2.0 5.1 -6.4 9.9 -2.9 0.9 1.2 4.0 -4.7 -6.0Jul 3.2 6.2 2.1 8.3 -6.5 -0.3 -1.1 3.7 0.8 1.0Ago -0.6 4.3 -4.8 4.8 -6.0 -2.3 6.1 0.7 -7.5 -7.5Sep 1.7 9.6 -5.8 0.6 -3.9 2.6 -0.2 5.0 -9.2 3.2Oct 0.2 3.3 -0.6 13.1 -7.3 -3.1 7.1 6.6 0.3 -6.6Nov -0.4 0.5 -1.9 13.8 -1.2 -0.6 -6.2 2.6 7.2 -2.8Dic 2.1 10.3 -1.8 21.8 -16.8 4.1 16.1 4.7 4.2 -15.9
2015 2.1 4.6 1.8 3.7 1.9 1.7 1.6 3.3 1.7 1.1
Ene e/ 1.6 4.7 -1.2 3.6 -6.6 2.7 9.3 2.7 2.3 1.7Feb 2.2 4.2 -1.8 4.8 0.6 3.6 3.6 3.1 1.4 4.6Mar -0.7 3.6 -3.6 -2.6 1.1 -2.6 -4.7 1.4 1.0 -1.2Abr 1.6 4.8 6.0 5.8 5.6 6.8 3.6 4.7 1.7 1.8May 1.3 4.4 4.4 4.7 1.1 4.4 2.7 3.0 2.8 3.0Jun 2.4 4.7 3.7 3.3 1.8 -0.6 4.3 2.6 2.4 5.1Jul 2.2 4.1 -1.1 3.8 3.4 1.3 5.6 2.3 -1.1 3.0Ago 3.3 4.6 4.1 4.6 3.3 2.6 -3.3 4.8 3.6 -2.6Sep 2.0 4.3 4.7 6.0 2.4 0.6 3.6 3.7 4.3 -2.9Oct 2.4 5.8 2.7 3.3 1.8 3.7 -2.1 2.8 2.7 5.7Nov 3.4 6.6 2.0 3.7 2.2 1.4 3.8 4.6 -1.3 1.6Dic 3.7 2.8 2.2 3.2 5.7 -3.3 -4.6 3.7 1.6 -6.8
Ene.-Dic.2012 2.6 2.6 3.1 -0.1 -0.5 3.5 13.0 4.8 -4.1 1.12013 0.2 0.6 -3.2 3.7 3.3 1.0 -2.8 2.2 -7.0 3.22014 0.9 4.8 -3.3 5.8 -3.5 -1.4 1.2 3.2 -2.4 -4.52015 2.1 4.6 1.8 3.7 1.9 1.7 1.6 3.3 1.7 1.1
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI.e/ Empieza estimación del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO.
Escenario Macroeconómico 1.5b
Industrias Manufactureras por Subsector(Variación % anual real a precios de 2008)
Industria Fabricación Industrias Fabricación Fabricación Fabricación Fabricación Fabricación FabricaciónAño Industria del plastico minerales metálicas productos maquinaria equipos equipos equipo de de muebles
y mes química y del hule no metálicos básicas metálicos y equipo electrónicos eléctricos transporte y similaresVar.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.%
2008 -2.3 -3.5 -3.8 -1.1 -0.7 0.1 -8.7 -2.7 0.1 -4.22009 -3.1 -9.6 -9.4 -16.4 -14.1 -19.9 -10.2 -10.7 -26.4 -6.52010 -0.4 13.5 4.7 12.4 8.8 47.2 3.7 10.1 42.2 7.12011 -0.1 6.7 3.7 4.3 7.0 13.3 6.7 -1.1 16.6 1.22012 -0.3 9.0 2.3 2.2 3.9 5.3 0.5 1.8 14.1 2.82013 2.4 -1.2 -2.9 -0.2 -5.4 1.6 4.2 -3.7 5.4 -6.0
2014 -0.4 5.3 2.2 9.5 8.4 -3.0 5.8 6.3 11.5 -1.8
Ene 3.0 3.7 -0.6 13.6 -1.8 -2.8 5.3 -3.1 12.1 -9.1Feb 0.7 2.9 -0.1 14.8 2.1 6.1 4.4 2.3 7.8 -5.5Mar 4.7 11.9 4.9 16.3 7.1 -1.9 3.0 9.8 17.1 1.0Abr -3.9 0.7 -1.7 2.5 2.7 -8.8 -0.8 -2.7 9.1 -9.7May -3.0 7.5 1.7 17.3 4.6 0.0 4.4 3.8 13.5 -7.8Jun -2.4 5.5 0.4 13.8 5.7 0.5 0.2 5.4 11.3 -7.6Jul -3.8 4.6 -0.3 5.6 10.9 -1.7 1.1 4.3 12.2 -7.4Ago -2.1 2.5 0.1 2.4 10.9 -4.2 5.3 6.2 5.9 0.7Sep 0.1 4.3 6.0 7.3 17.6 -5.4 11.1 14.2 9.7 -2.2Oct -1.6 6.4 6.7 7.7 12.6 -8.9 10.6 13.6 12.3 -3.8Nov 2.2 6.0 4.2 8.3 15.0 -5.2 13.2 8.8 10.5 1.0Dic 1.7 8.7 5.7 5.9 13.8 -2.2 10.5 13.5 18.3 23.5
2015 2.3 4.1 2.6 6.8 6.0 3.4 5.4 4.3 10.0 1.8
Ene e/ 1.1 3.3 3.3 5.1 12.1 1.7 8.3 10.8 6.2 3.7Feb 1.8 3.8 2.6 4.7 8.6 -2.8 7.8 3.8 11.4 2.8Mar 0.6 -2.7 -3.7 5.0 5.1 3.6 8.3 -3.6 7.6 -0.7Abr 3.0 2.8 2.6 9.8 7.6 6.4 9.0 5.0 12.1 6.6May 3.2 4.6 2.1 5.6 6.0 2.1 4.1 5.6 10.3 4.7Jun 2.7 5.4 2.8 6.1 5.0 2.3 5.6 6.1 9.6 4.4Jul 3.2 6.0 3.3 8.0 5.8 3.6 3.8 6.7 11.1 4.8Ago 2.6 4.2 3.6 8.7 6.6 4.4 5.4 6.0 12.5 4.4Sep 1.3 5.3 2.8 6.6 4.0 5.0 3.3 3.3 10.5 -1.3Oct 3.4 4.8 2.6 7.4 3.7 6.7 3.9 2.6 9.6 3.6Nov 2.3 6.2 3.7 7.8 4.0 5.0 3.4 3.8 14.3 2.6Dic 2.2 4.7 5.3 7.4 4.2 3.1 4.1 2.3 3.9 -8.8
Ene.-Dic.2012 -0.3 9.0 2.3 2.2 3.9 5.3 0.5 1.8 14.1 2.82013 2.4 -1.2 -2.9 -0.2 -5.4 1.6 4.2 -3.7 5.4 -6.02014 -0.4 5.3 2.2 9.5 8.4 -3.0 5.8 6.3 11.5 -1.82015 2.3 4.1 2.6 6.8 6.0 3.4 5.4 4.3 10.0 1.8
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI.e/ Empieza estimación del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO.
Escenario Macroeconómico 1.6
Producción de la Industria Automotriz en EUA y México(Número de unidades)
Estados Unidos MéxicoAño Producción Ventas
y mes Total Exportadas Importadas al PúblicoUnidades Var.% Unidades Var.% Unidades Var.% Unidades Var.% Unidades Var.%
2008 8,672,125 -19.3 2,102,801 4.0 1,661,406 3.0 611,267 -12.6 1,025,520 -6.82009 5,710,308 -34.2 1,507,527 -28.3 1,223,333 -26.4 430,705 -29.5 754,918 -26.42010 7,743,733 35.6 2,260,774 50.0 1,859,517 52.0 445,760 3.5 820,406 8.72011 8,663,158 11.9 2,557,550 13.1 2,143,884 15.3 473,314 6.2 905,886 10.42012 10,335,758 19.3 2,884,869 12.8 2,355,564 9.9 521,639 10.2 987,747 9.02013 11,066,417 7.1 2,933,465 1.7 2,423,084 2.9 542,471 4.0 1,063,363 7.7
2014 11,638,083 5.2 3,219,786 9.8 2,642,887 9.1 600,614 10.7 1,135,409 6.8
Ene 890,783 0.2 249,400 2.7 177,928 -0.4 43,905 4.1 85,504 1.5Feb 970,833 7.1 248,017 0.7 197,504 12.6 42,173 1.5 79,938 -0.3Mar 1,050,808 9.8 277,314 16.3 230,772 12.9 45,579 8.8 85,682 3.5Abr 1,001,867 0.0 248,031 3.9 202,328 9.0 41,030 -5.3 76,865 -8.0May 1,019,800 1.8 287,488 12.5 234,629 22.7 48,306 4.8 88,244 0.8Jun 1,008,700 9.4 287,344 7.9 230,410 2.1 44,463 6.1 84,127 0.5Jul 850,192 26.9 259,634 8.5 231,934 20.2 50,082 13.2 96,211 11.0Ago 1,006,450 1.1 271,406 4.7 226,757 -0.1 55,478 23.4 103,881 17.6Sep 1,015,117 5.3 267,674 10.7 220,239 2.0 50,884 28.1 89,116 13.7Oct 1,088,983 -0.3 330,164 15.8 257,372 7.1 53,079 19.0 100,923 14.3Nov 879,008 -4.8 284,816 11.4 237,923 5.8 56,874 11.9 111,645 11.2Dic 855,542 15.1 208,498 27.0 195,091 21.0 68,761 12.4 133,273 11.7
2015 12,217,646 5.0 3,503,557 8.8 2,870,728 8.6 669,714 11.5 1,236,435 8.9
Ene 929,978 4.4 266,424 6.8 204,907 15.2 55,932 27.4 103,697 21.3Feb e/ 1,000,929 3.1 271,827 9.6 205,997 4.3 45,716 8.4 85,294 6.7Mar 1,067,621 1.6 292,289 5.4 243,926 5.7 48,177 5.7 89,623 4.6Abr 1,044,947 4.3 274,818 10.8 211,635 4.6 44,887 9.4 84,244 9.6May 1,071,810 5.1 309,625 7.7 269,119 14.7 50,818 5.2 92,921 5.3Jun 1,041,987 3.3 312,056 8.6 239,166 3.8 48,776 9.7 89,848 6.8Jul 794,079 -6.6 286,376 10.3 251,416 8.4 56,242 12.3 105,447 9.6Ago 1,058,785 5.2 302,346 11.4 254,648 12.3 63,522 14.5 107,725 3.7Sep 1,119,674 10.3 292,032 9.1 234,995 6.7 55,362 8.8 93,661 5.1Oct 1,188,081 9.1 357,898 8.4 271,785 5.6 58,175 9.6 109,602 8.6Nov 978,336 11.3 322,697 13.3 256,243 7.7 63,926 12.4 124,707 11.7Dic 921,418 7.7 215,170 3.2 226,891 16.3 78,181 13.7 149,666 12.3
Enero2012 827,617 31.7 200,673 0.2 158,342 -4.1 42,331 12.3 75,297 9.52013 888,833 7.4 242,855 21.0 178,562 12.8 42,166 -0.4 84,269 11.92014 890,783 0.2 249,400 2.7 177,928 -0.4 43,905 4.1 85,504 1.52015 929,978 4.4 266,424 6.8 204,907 15.2 55,932 27.4 103,697 21.3
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos de la Asociación Mexicana de la Industria Automotriz, A.C. y Federal Reserve Statistical Realese.e/ Empieza estimación del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO.
ProducciónTotal
Unidades Unidades
Escenario Macroeconómico 1.7
Inversión Fija BrutaAño Indicador Maquinaria y Equipo Sector de la
y mes Total Total Nacional Importado Construcción Privada PúblicaIndice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Var.% Var.%
2008 100.0 5.0 100.0 2.4 100.0 2.8 100.0 2.2 100.0 6.2 0.5 21.72009 90.7 -9.3 83.1 -16.9 82.4 -17.6 83.3 -16.7 94.3 -5.7 -12.5 0.82010 91.9 1.3 87.0 4.8 98.1 18.9 82.3 -1.3 94.1 -0.2 1.9 -0.52011 99.1 7.8 103.5 18.9 112.7 15.0 99.5 20.9 97.0 3.0 12.1 -4.12012 103.8 4.8 114.2 10.3 121.5 7.8 111.0 11.6 99.0 2.0 9.0 -9.02013 102.2 -1.6 118.5 3.8 122.7 1.0 116.7 5.1 94.6 -4.4 -1.5 -1.7
2014 104.5 2.3 124.4 5.0 126.9 3.5 123.3 5.7 95.2 0.7 4.1 -4.8
Ene 94.2 -2.7 111.1 -1.6 110.2 -4.0 111.5 -0.5 86.3 -3.3 -1.6 -7.0Feb 94.6 -1.5 111.0 2.7 112.0 -2.5 110.6 5.2 87.0 -3.8 -0.5 -5.9Mar 99.2 2.5 121.1 7.6 116.8 -5.3 123.0 13.9 89.0 -0.5 3.6 -2.0Abr 99.7 -4.2 120.6 -3.6 114.8 0.3 123.2 -5.1 89.9 -4.5 -2.1 -12.7May 102.8 0.4 125.4 4.1 122.4 1.9 126.7 5.0 92.2 -1.8 2.6 -8.5Jun 102.0 2.1 119.8 4.1 123.3 2.2 118.3 4.9 93.8 0.9 4.3 -7.0Jul 107.8 3.1 131.6 5.1 138.2 7.4 128.7 4.0 96.7 1.9 5.8 -6.9Ago 105.4 4.0 125.6 6.7 136.4 7.4 120.9 6.4 96.0 2.4 6.6 -6.1Sep 105.2 5.6 120.5 8.4 124.7 3.4 118.7 10.9 98.1 4.1 8.3 -4.6Oct 114.6 6.8 142.0 11.7 141.7 9.0 142.1 12.9 101.8 3.8 8.3 1.5Nov 112.4 4.7 129.4 8.8 142.3 15.3 123.8 5.8 104.5 2.6 6.2 -0.4Dic e/ 115.9 5.2 134.6 5.6 140.6 4.6 132.1 6.0 107.1 5.1 6.7 0.0
2015 109.1 4.4 133.3 7.1 132.0 4.0 133.8 8.6 97.8 2.7 6.1 -3.1
Ene 96.5 2.4 112.1 0.9 114.4 3.8 111.1 -0.3 89.2 3.3 4.0 -4.9Feb 97.1 2.6 112.6 1.4 114.5 2.2 111.7 1.1 89.8 3.2 4.2 -4.8Mar 99.8 0.6 121.6 0.4 122.1 4.6 121.4 -1.4 89.6 0.7 2.2 -6.6Abr 102.5 2.8 125.8 4.3 116.9 1.8 129.7 5.3 91.6 1.9 4.3 -4.0May 105.9 3.0 131.0 4.4 124.8 2.0 133.6 5.4 94.2 2.1 4.5 -3.8Jun 107.1 4.9 130.5 8.9 127.8 3.6 131.6 11.3 96.2 2.6 6.5 -2.0Jul 112.9 4.8 141.5 7.6 141.9 2.7 141.3 9.8 99.6 3.0 6.7 -3.6Ago 112.3 6.5 140.0 11.5 142.4 4.4 139.0 14.9 99.4 3.5 8.5 -2.0Sep 111.2 5.7 132.3 9.8 131.3 5.3 132.8 11.8 101.3 3.3 7.6 -2.8Oct 121.3 5.8 156.5 10.2 151.4 6.8 158.7 11.7 104.9 3.0 7.9 -1.8Nov 119.5 6.3 145.6 12.6 145.6 2.3 145.6 17.7 107.3 2.7 8.3 -1.4Dic 122.8 6.0 149.9 11.3 150.8 7.3 149.4 13.2 110.1 2.8 8.0 -1.7
Ene.-Nov.2012 103.3 5.4 113.9 11.7 120.7 8.8 110.9 13.1 98.4 2.3 12.0 -3.52013 101.5 -1.8 117.7 3.4 121.6 0.8 116.0 4.6 93.9 -4.6 9.8 -8.62014 103.5 2.0 123.5 4.9 125.7 3.4 122.5 5.6 94.1 0.2 -1.6 -2.62015 107.8 4.2 131.8 6.7 130.3 3.6 132.4 8.1 96.6 2.7 3.8 -5.3
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI.e/ Empieza estimación del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO.
EstimaciónMensual
Inversión Fija Bruta(Indice 2008=100)
Escenario Macroeconómico 1.8
Inversión Pública y Privada(Variación porcentual anual a precios de 2008)
Año y Inversión Total Privada Públicatrimestre Total Privada Pública Total Construcción Maquinaria Total Construcción Maquinaria
2010 1.3 1.9 -0.5 1.9 1.5 2.6 -0.5 -3.3 32.9
I -2.8 1.9 -14.2 1.9 6.8 -6.3 -14.2 -17.1 22.5II 2.0 4.7 -5.0 4.7 3.3 7.2 -5.0 -8.1 36.4III 2.2 1.0 5.8 1.0 -1.0 4.5 5.8 3.1 35.3IV 3.4 0.3 12.5 0.3 -2.4 4.6 12.5 10.1 36.5
2011 7.8 12.1 -4.1 12.1 7.3 20.2 -4.1 -5.2 6.0
I 7.5 9.7 1.1 9.7 0.6 27.5 1.1 0.0 11.0II 7.7 11.8 -3.8 11.8 4.5 24.8 -3.8 -5.3 9.4III 8.7 13.1 -3.8 13.1 8.3 21.1 -3.8 -5.1 7.5IV 7.4 13.5 -8.6 13.5 15.6 10.4 -8.6 -9.5 -1.8
2012 4.8 9.0 -9.0 9.0 6.4 13.1 -9.0 -7.6 -20.3
I 6.1 11.6 -11.2 11.6 8.5 16.3 -11.2 -10.3 -17.9II 5.2 9.1 -7.6 9.1 7.9 11.0 -7.6 -5.8 -21.0III 4.3 8.5 -9.2 8.5 6.7 11.0 -9.2 -7.5 -22.1IV 3.7 7.4 -8.2 7.4 2.9 14.2 -8.2 -6.7 -19.9
2013 -1.6 -1.5 -1.7 -1.5 -6.3 5.3 -1.7 0.3 -20.1
I -0.6 1.0 -6.9 1.0 -2.1 5.5 -6.9 -5.4 -20.1II 1.1 2.1 -3.1 2.1 -4.2 11.4 -3.1 -1.6 -16.3III -3.5 -4.0 -1.2 -4.0 -9.2 3.3 -1.2 1.0 -20.3IV -3.0 -4.7 3.3 -4.7 -9.3 1.7 3.3 6.3 -23.1
2014 2.3 4.1 -4.8 4.1 3.3 5.0 -4.8 -5.6 5.1
I -0.5 0.5 -5.0 0.5 -1.3 2.9 -5.0 -5.7 3.2II -0.6 1.6 -9.4 1.6 1.7 1.4 -9.4 -10.4 1.2
III 4.3 6.9 -5.9 6.9 7.1 6.7 -5.9 -6.9 6.1IV e/ 5.6 7.1 0.4 7.1 5.8 8.6 0.4 -0.4 9.6
2015 4.4 6.1 -3.1 6.1 5.4 7.1 -3.1 -4.2 7.3
I e/ 1.8 3.4 -5.5 3.4 5.7 0.6 -5.5 -6.8 7.1II e/ 3.6 5.1 -3.2 5.1 4.7 5.7 -3.2 -4.6 9.8III e/ 5.7 7.6 -2.8 7.6 6.0 9.7 -2.8 -3.8 7.0IV e/ 6.0 8.1 -1.7 8.1 5.1 11.6 -1.7 -2.3 5.4
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México del INEGI.e/ Estimación del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO.
Escenario Macroeconómico 1.9
Indicadores Adelantados e Indices de Confianza en EUA y México(Indices, puntos y porcentajes)
Indicadores Adelantados Opinión del Sector Indice de Encuesta Expectativas BanxicoDe la ISM ISM Manufacturero Confianza Coyuntura actual para que
Año Economía Manufacturero No Manufacturero Situación Económica México del Consumidor las empresas Inviertany mes EUA México EUA México EUA México Presente Futura EUA México Buen Mal No está
Indice Indice Puntos Puntos Puntos Puntos Puntos Puntos Indice Indice Momento Momento Seguro
2013Ene 100.0 100.1 52.3 51.7 54.9 51.8 54.8 58.6 58.4 100.0 50% 3% 47%Feb 100.1 100.1 53.1 51.8 54.8 51.1 54.2 58.4 68.0 95.5 53% 7% 40%Mar 100.1 100.1 51.5 50.5 54.5 51.3 54.5 59.5 61.9 95.4 50% 8% 42%Abr 100.2 100.1 50.0 51.6 53.8 52.5 55.0 59.0 69.0 95.7 43% 7% 50%May 100.3 100.0 50.0 48.9 54.0 50.4 54.3 59.2 74.3 95.2 52% 6% 42%Jun 100.3 99.9 52.5 46.6 53.4 51.8 53.1 58.2 81.4 93.3 35% 15% 50%Jul 100.4 99.9 54.9 48.5 55.9 51.2 52.5 57.7 80.3 98.0 34% 14% 52%Ago 100.4 99.8 56.3 49.4 57.9 49.8 51.6 57.8 80.0 97.4 31% 31% 38%Sep 100.4 99.8 56.0 49.7 54.5 49.3 48.4 53.7 80.2 94.1 30% 30% 40%Oct 100.4 99.8 56.6 48.7 55.1 50.7 47.0 52.2 72.4 91.2 23% 23% 55%Nov 100.3 99.8 57.0 51.1 54.1 52.0 46.7 51.7 72.0 88.7 34% 26% 40%Dic 100.3 99.8 56.5 49.8 53.0 54.7 46.8 52.5 77.5 89.7 46% 22% 32%2014
Ene 100.2 99.8 51.3 49.7 54.0 51.4 46.5 53.1 79.4 84.5 50% 11% 39%Feb 100.2 99.8 54.3 50.4 52.5 51.7 46.8 53.7 78.3 84.5 41% 18% 41%Mar 100.3 99.8 54.4 54.2 53.7 51.9 47.9 53.7 83.9 88.8 45% 11% 45%Abr 100.3 99.9 55.3 51.9 55.3 50.7 48.3 54.3 81.7 90.3 52% 6% 42%May 100.3 100.0 55.6 53.4 56.1 50.1 48.4 54.3 82.2 90.7 58% 6% 36%Jun 100.4 100.1 55.7 50.7 56.3 50.3 48.3 53.6 86.4 91.0 56% 11% 33%Jul 100.4 100.2 56.4 48.8 57.9 50.2 48.8 54.1 90.3 90.5 58% 3% 39%Ago 100.4 100.2 58.1 51.4 58.6 52.6 49.8 54.7 93.4 89.7 63% 3% 34%Sep 100.4 100.3 56.1 52.8 58.1 51.2 49.3 54.8 86.0 91.8 64% 3% 33%Oct 100.4 100.3 57.9 54.4 56.9 51.8 49.4 54.1 94.1 90.6 53% 11% 36%Nov 100.4 100.3 57.6 53.5 58.8 52.5 47.6 53.6 91.0 92.9 60% 3% 37%Dic 100.4 100.2 55.1 49.3 56.5 51.7 45.0 51.9 93.1 93.6 45% 13% 42%2015
Ene 53.5 50.4 56.7 48.5 45.1 52.5 102.9 91.1 58% 6% 36%FebMarAbrMayJunJulAgoSepOctNovDicFuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI, Banco de México, Indicador IMEF del Entorno Empresarial Mexicano, The Conference Board,Institute for Supply Management y OECD.Nota: Arriba de 50 puntos indica una expansión futura de la producción y abajo de ese nivel indica un decremento en los siguientes meses.
2.0 PIB Trimestral
2.0 Producto Interno Bruto Trimestral 2013-2015
2.1 Producto Interno Bruto 1970-2020
2.2 Población Total y PIB Per Capita 1970-2020
2.3 PIB Per Capita e Índice Relativo del Grado de Desarrollo
Económico de México, Canadá y EUA 1980-2020
Escenario Macroeconómico 2.0
Producto Interno Bruto Trimestral(Millones de pesos)
PIB Nominal Deflactor del PIB PIB Real PIB RealAño Precios corrientes 2008=100 Serie original Ajuste calendario
y trimestre Var. % con respecto al Var. % con respecto al Var. % con respecto al Var. % con respecto altrimestre del año anterior trimestre del año anterior trimestre del año anterior trimestre del año anterior
2013 16,121,442 119.7 13,470,942 13,479,281
I 15,700,801 119.8 13,108,936 13,250,640II 15,906,544 118.7 13,399,229 13,290,881III 16,102,225 119.8 13,437,797 13,437,797IV 16,776,198 120.4 13,937,805 13,937,805% 3.2 1.7 1.4 1.6
I 2.7 1.7 1.0 3.3II 3.2 1.3 1.8 0.7III 3.2 1.6 1.6 1.6IV 3.5 2.4 1.1 1.1
2014 17,050,555 123.9 13,757,167 13,766,188
I 16,510,236 123.5 13,372,369 13,363,897II 16,836,002 123.6 13,617,043 13,661,596III 17,045,023 124.1 13,734,122 13,734,122IV 17,810,957 124.5 14,305,135 14,305,135
% 5.8 3.6 2.1 2.1
I 5.2 3.1 2.0 0.9II 5.8 4.2 1.6 2.8III 5.9 3.6 2.2 2.2IV 6.2 3.4 2.6 2.6
2015 18,083,432 127.6 14,171,608 14,179,903
I e/ 17,346,393 126.9 13,664,492 13,639,407II e/ 17,794,702 126.6 14,061,174 14,119,437III e/ 18,196,486 128.1 14,200,081 14,200,081IV e/ 18,996,145 128.7 14,760,686 14,760,686
% 6.1 3.0 3.0 3.0
I e/ 5.1 2.8 2.2 2.1II e/ 5.7 2.4 3.3 3.4III e/ 6.8 3.3 3.4 3.4IV e/ 6.7 3.4 3.2 3.2
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México del INEGI.p/ Datos preliminares.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Escenario Macroeconómico 2.1
Producto Interno Bruto(Millones de pesos)
PIB Nominal Deflactor del PIB PIB RealPesos Var. % Indice 2008=100 Var. % Pesos de 2008 Var. %
1970 611 11.7 0.02 4.9 3,200,569 6.51971 674 10.3 0.02 6.3 3,320,989 3.81972 777 15.2 0.02 6.5 3,594,267 8.21973 950 22.3 0.02 13.4 3,876,816 7.91974 1,238 30.2 0.03 23.1 4,100,773 5.81975 1,513 22.3 0.03 15.6 4,336,342 5.71976 1,886 24.6 0.04 19.4 4,527,897 4.41977 2,544 34.9 0.05 30.5 4,681,422 3.41978 3,215 26.4 0.06 16.0 5,100,734 9.01979 4,219 31.2 0.08 19.6 5,595,412 9.71980 5,882 39.4 0.10 27.6 6,112,050 9.21981 8,062 37.1 0.12 26.3 6,633,140 8.51982 12,981 61.0 0.20 61.8 6,598,594 -0.51983 23,381 80.1 0.37 86.6 6,368,539 -3.51984 38,547 64.9 0.59 59.4 6,585,758 3.41985 62,524 62.2 0.93 58.7 6,729,834 2.21986 102,625 64.1 1.57 69.4 6,522,625 -3.11987 253,504 147.0 3.82 142.8 6,634,974 1.71988 514,663 103.0 7.66 100.4 6,720,118 1.31989 679,422 32.0 9.71 26.8 6,996,013 4.11990 916,075 34.8 12.45 28.2 7,358,110 5.21991 1,178,365 28.6 15.37 23.4 7,668,237 4.21992 1,401,208 18.9 17.65 14.8 7,939,777 3.51993 1,570,147 12.1 19.31 9.4 8,132,915 2.41994 1,779,754 13.3 20.90 8.2 8,517,387 4.71995 2,206,943 24.0 27.49 31.6 8,026,897 -5.81996 3,020,033 36.8 35.54 29.2 8,498,459 5.91997 3,805,272 26.0 41.86 17.8 9,090,197 7.01998 4,586,366 20.5 48.19 15.1 9,517,604 4.71999 5,539,866 20.8 56.69 17.7 9,771,440 2.72000 6,464,302 16.7 62.83 10.8 10,288,982 5.32001 6,770,398 4.7 66.20 5.4 10,226,682 -0.62002 7,160,499 5.8 69.93 5.6 10,240,173 0.12003 7,695,624 7.5 74.10 6.0 10,385,857 1.42004 8,693,240 13.0 80.26 8.3 10,832,004 4.32005 9,441,350 8.6 84.60 5.4 11,160,493 3.02006 10,538,115 11.6 89.93 6.3 11,718,672 5.02007 11,403,263 8.2 94.34 4.9 12,087,602 3.12008 12,256,863 7.5 100.00 6.0 12,256,863 1.42009 12,093,890 -1.3 103.54 3.5 11,680,749 -4.72010 13,282,061 9.8 108.18 4.5 12,277,659 5.12011 14,550,014 9.5 113.90 5.3 12,774,243 4.02012 15,627,712 7.4 117.62 3.3 13,286,154 4.02013 16,121,442 3.2 119.68 1.7 13,470,942 1.42014 17,050,555 5.8 123.94 3.6 13,757,167 2.1
2015 18,083,432 6.1 127.60 3.0 14,171,608 3.02016 19,422,876 7.4 131.73 3.2 14,744,649 4.02017 21,124,283 8.8 136.20 3.4 15,509,254 5.22018 22,994,419 8.9 141.25 3.7 16,279,400 5.02019 24,883,190 8.2 146.18 3.5 17,021,834 4.62020 26,980,560 8.4 150.93 3.2 17,875,837 5.0
NOTA: Estimaciones de CAMACRO para el periodo 2015-2020.
Años
Escenario Macroeconómico 2.2
Población Total y PIB Per Cápita Real(Pesos y dólares a precios reales de 2008)
Población Total PIB Per Cápita RealPersonas Var. % Pesos de 2008 Var. % Dólares de 2008 Var. %
1970 53,603,526 3.0 59,708 3.4 3,289 3.01971 55,229,509 3.0 60,131 0.7 3,354 1.91972 56,923,322 3.1 63,142 5.0 3,594 7.21973 58,669,996 3.1 66,078 4.6 4,040 12.41974 60,447,726 3.0 67,840 2.7 4,684 15.91975 62,237,830 3.0 69,674 2.7 5,083 8.51976 64,040,605 2.9 70,704 1.5 4,724 -7.11977 65,852,907 2.8 71,089 0.5 3,974 -15.91978 67,648,775 2.7 75,400 6.1 4,535 14.11979 69,396,026 2.6 80,630 6.9 6,517 43.71980 71,073,785 2.4 85,996 6.7 8,071 23.91981 72,666,912 2.2 91,281 6.1 9,266 14.81982 74,186,037 2.1 88,947 -2.6 5,809 -37.31983 75,668,142 2.0 84,164 -5.4 3,809 -34.41984 77,166,135 2.0 85,345 1.4 4,833 26.91985 78,717,744 2.0 85,493 0.2 4,438 -8.21986 80,335,575 2.1 81,192 -5.0 3,417 -23.01987 82,006,831 2.1 80,908 -0.4 3,664 7.21988 83,712,835 2.1 80,276 -0.8 4,304 17.51989 85,424,041 2.0 81,897 2.0 4,939 14.81990 87,064,847 1.9 84,513 3.2 5,509 11.51991 88,630,941 1.8 86,519 2.4 6,341 15.11992 90,132,585 1.7 88,090 1.8 7,065 11.41993 91,600,655 1.6 88,787 0.8 7,558 7.01994 93,055,300 1.6 91,530 3.1 7,621 0.81995 94,490,336 1.5 84,949 -7.2 4,794 -37.11996 95,876,664 1.5 88,639 4.3 5,362 11.91997 97,204,604 1.4 93,516 5.5 6,288 17.31998 98,485,424 1.3 96,640 3.3 6,404 1.91999 99,706,067 1.2 98,002 1.4 7,205 12.52000 100,895,811 1.2 101,976 4.1 8,210 13.92001 102,122,295 1.2 100,142 -1.8 8,411 2.42002 103,417,944 1.3 99,017 -1.1 8,359 -0.62003 104,719,891 1.3 99,178 0.2 7,788 -6.82004 105,951,569 1.2 102,235 3.1 8,095 3.92005 107,155,784 1.1 104,152 1.9 8,725 7.82006 108,416,556 1.2 108,089 3.8 9,333 7.02007 109,795,643 1.3 110,092 1.9 9,689 3.82008 111,304,405 1.4 110,120 0.0 9,873 1.92009 112,849,217 1.4 103,508 -6.0 7,873 -20.32010 114,291,638 1.3 107,424 3.8 9,021 14.62011 115,684,856 1.2 110,423 2.8 9,715 7.72012 117,055,022 1.2 113,503 2.8 9,572 -1.52013 118,396,855 1.1 113,778 0.2 9,912 3.62014 119,714,945 1.1 114,916 1.0 9,811 -1.0
2015 121,011,400 1.1 117,110 1.9 9,340 -4.82016 122,291,164 1.1 120,570 3.0 10,049 7.62017 123,559,276 1.0 125,521 4.1 10,772 7.22018 124,821,020 1.0 130,422 3.9 11,245 4.42019 126,081,924 1.0 135,006 3.5 11,610 3.22020 127,347,752 1.0 140,370 4.0 12,044 3.7
NOTA: Estimaciones de CAMACRO para el periodo 2015-2020.
Años
Escenario Macroeconómico 2.3
Indice Relativo del Grado de Desarrollo Económico de México(Indice PIB Per Cápita Mundo PPP=100)
PIB Per Cápita Indice del Grado de Desarrollo EconómicoAños Dólares Internacionales PPP PIB Per Cápita Mundo PPP=100
Mundo México Canadá EUA Mundo México Canadá EUA1980 2,873 5,478 11,454 12,455 100.0 190.7 398.7 433.51981 3,153 6,358 12,829 13,838 100.0 201.6 406.9 438.91982 3,311 6,580 13,106 14,279 100.0 198.7 395.8 431.21983 3,471 6,471 13,854 15,382 100.0 186.4 399.2 443.21984 3,698 6,795 15,018 16,921 100.0 183.7 406.1 457.51985 3,894 7,023 16,049 18,027 100.0 180.4 412.1 462.91986 4,032 6,802 16,551 18,851 100.0 168.7 410.5 467.51987 4,212 6,952 17,448 19,804 100.0 165.1 414.3 470.21988 4,472 7,138 18,683 21,147 100.0 159.6 417.8 472.91989 4,741 7,567 19,636 22,553 100.0 159.6 414.2 475.71990 4,999 8,097 20,129 23,603 100.0 162.0 402.6 472.11991 5,196 8,563 20,109 24,135 100.0 164.8 387.0 464.51992 5,818 8,920 20,503 25,319 100.0 153.3 352.4 435.21993 5,989 9,217 21,243 26,375 100.0 153.9 354.7 440.41994 6,214 9,704 22,499 27,741 100.0 156.2 362.1 446.41995 6,484 9,194 23,361 28,777 100.0 141.8 360.3 443.81996 6,760 9,769 23,958 30,068 100.0 144.5 354.4 444.81997 7,067 10,482 25,177 31,574 100.0 148.3 356.2 446.81998 7,222 10,950 26,271 32,934 100.0 151.6 363.8 456.01999 7,493 11,275 27,757 34,589 100.0 150.5 370.4 461.62000 7,933 11,999 29,567 36,407 100.0 151.3 372.7 458.92001 8,204 12,051 30,454 37,198 100.0 146.9 371.2 453.42002 8,469 12,099 31,468 38,055 100.0 142.9 371.6 449.32003 8,892 12,360 32,375 39,516 100.0 139.0 364.1 444.42004 9,503 13,092 33,950 41,742 100.0 137.8 357.2 439.22005 10,157 13,766 35,770 44,113 100.0 135.5 352.2 434.32006 10,908 14,725 37,436 46,253 100.0 135.0 343.2 424.02007 11,678 15,397 38,789 47,894 100.0 131.8 332.1 410.12008 12,112 15,703 39,594 48,259 100.0 129.6 326.9 398.42009 12,029 14,873 38,412 46,862 100.0 123.6 319.3 389.62010 12,678 15,624 39,790 48,213 100.0 123.2 313.9 380.32011 13,304 16,392 41,235 49,564 100.0 123.2 309.9 372.62012 13,800 17,147 42,292 51,183 100.0 124.3 306.5 370.92013 14,296 17,390 43,391 52,647 100.0 121.6 303.5 368.32014 14,907 17,859 44,778 54,237 100.0 119.8 300.4 363.8
2015 15,812 18,538 46,249 56,191 100.0 117.2 292.5 355.42016 16,610 19,444 47,697 58,494 100.0 117.1 287.2 352.22017 17,478 20,653 49,561 61,259 100.0 118.2 283.6 350.52018 18,352 21,908 51,365 63,902 100.0 119.4 279.9 348.22019 19,268 23,143 53,097 66,323 100.0 120.1 275.6 344.22020 20,272 24,544 55,025 68,979 100.0 121.1 271.4 340.3
FUENTE: Cuadro elaborado por CAMACRO, con datos del FMI, World Económic Outlook Database. Las cifras correspondientesal periodo 2015-2020 son estimaciones de CAMACRO.NOTA: Debido a que los tipos de cambio nominales no reflejan las diferencias de los precios relativos, los datos del PIB se han convertido a dólares internacionales mediante el uso de los tipos de cambio PPP. Los tipo de cambio PPP permiten hacer una comparación uniforme de los niveles de los precios reales entre países y permiten comparar los valores reales a través del tiempo.
3.0 Inflación
3.0 Índice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor 2014-2015
3.1 INPC por Objeto del Gasto, Subyacente y No Subyacente 2014-2015
3.2 Variación Porcentual Mensual de la InflaciónSubyacente y No Subyacente 2013-2015
3.3 Variación Porcentual Anual de la InflaciónSubyacente y No Subyacente 2013-2015
3.4 Índice Mensual del INPC 2000-2015
Escenario Macroeconómico 3.0
Indice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor(Base 2a. quincena de diciembre de 2010=100)
2014México Brecha Estados Unidos
Indice Variación % Inflacionaria Indice Variación %General Mensual Acumulada Anual Mex-EUA General Mensual Acumulada Anual
Ene 112.50 0.89 0.89 4.48 2.90 106.47 0.37 0.37 1.58Feb 112.79 0.25 1.15 4.23 3.11 106.86 0.37 0.74 1.13Mar 113.10 0.27 1.43 3.76 2.25 107.55 0.64 1.39 1.51Abr 112.89 -0.19 1.24 3.50 1.54 107.91 0.33 1.73 1.95May 112.53 -0.32 0.91 3.51 1.38 108.28 0.35 2.08 2.13Jun 112.72 0.17 1.09 3.75 1.68 108.49 0.19 2.27 2.07Jul 113.03 0.28 1.37 4.07 2.08 108.44 -0.04 2.23 1.99Ago 113.44 0.36 1.73 4.15 2.45 108.26 -0.17 2.06 1.70Sep 113.94 0.44 2.18 4.22 2.56 108.34 0.08 2.14 1.66Oct 114.57 0.55 2.74 4.30 2.63 108.07 -0.25 1.88 1.66Nov 115.49 0.81 3.57 4.17 2.85 107.49 -0.54 1.33 1.32Dic 116.06 0.49 4.08 4.08 3.32 106.88 -0.57 0.76 0.76
Año 113.59 0.33 4.08 4.02 2.40 107.75 0.06 0.76 1.62
2015México Brecha Estados Unidos
Indice Variación % Inflacionaria Indice Variación %General Mensual Acumulada Anual Mex-EUA General Mensual Acumulada Anual
Ene 115.95 -0.09 -0.09 3.07 3.15 106.38 -0.47 -0.47 -0.09Feb e/ 116.28 0.28 0.19 3.10 3.00 106.97 0.56 0.09 0.10Mar 116.71 0.37 0.56 3.19 3.15 107.60 0.59 0.67 0.04Abr 116.40 -0.27 0.29 3.11 2.92 108.11 0.47 1.15 0.19May 115.74 -0.57 -0.28 2.85 2.49 108.68 0.53 1.68 0.36Jun 115.66 -0.07 -0.35 2.60 1.83 109.33 0.60 2.29 0.78Jul 115.98 0.28 -0.07 2.61 1.70 109.42 0.08 2.38 0.90Ago 116.50 0.45 0.38 2.70 1.43 109.64 0.20 2.58 1.27Sep 117.30 0.69 1.07 2.95 1.27 110.17 0.49 3.08 1.68Oct 118.04 0.63 1.71 3.03 1.40 109.83 -0.31 2.76 1.63Nov 119.17 0.96 2.68 3.19 1.28 109.53 -0.27 2.48 1.90Dic 119.86 0.58 3.27 3.27 1.04 109.26 -0.25 2.23 2.23
Año 116.97 0.27 3.27 2.97 2.06 108.74 0.18 2.23 0.92Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI y U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Los datos de EUA son sin corrección estacional, para que puedan ser comparables con los de México.e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Mes
Mes
Escenario Macroeconómico 3.1
Indice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor (Variación porcentual)
Ponderación Enero Enero Ene.13 Ene.14INPC 2013 2014 Ene.14 Ene.15
Por Objeto del Gasto
INPC 100.00 0.89 -0.09 4.48 3.07Alimentos, bebidas y tabaco 23.15 1.23 0.00 5.19 5.24Ropa y calzado 5.66 -0.69 -0.91 1.51 2.03Vivienda 28.49 0.70 -0.51 3.75 0.80Muebles y enseres domésticos 4.40 0.46 0.36 1.21 1.47Salud y cuidado personal 7.29 1.14 0.44 2.78 2.16Transporte 13.58 1.30 -0.10 8.27 3.01Educación y esparcimiento 9.70 0.25 -0.03 3.80 3.57Otros servicios 7.74 1.68 0.78 4.45 5.85
Subíndices Complementarios
INPC 100.00 0.89 -0.09 4.48 3.07 Subyacente 77.43 0.85 -0.03 3.21 2.34 Mercancías 34.38 1.26 0.22 2.93 2.43 Alimentos 14.71 2.35 0.46 4.64 3.37 No alimentos 19.66 0.39 0.01 1.56 1.66 Servicios 43.06 0.51 -0.24 3.47 2.26 Vivienda 19.49 0.22 0.20 2.21 2.13 Educación 5.11 0.41 0.42 4.32 4.31 Otros 18.45 0.85 -0.91 4.53 1.79 No Subyacente 22.57 1.02 -0.27 8.58 5.34 Agropecuarios 8.43 -0.67 -0.78 6.21 8.50 Frutas y verduras 3.56 -4.27 -5.33 10.54 -1.01 Frutas frescas 1.21 5.25 2.59 6.94 2.63 Hortalizas frescas 0.81 -9.29 -10.63 19.82 -0.76 Legumbres secas 0.54 -2.98 1.80 -14.43 -12.85 Pecuarios 4.87 1.61 1.77 3.65 14.20 Carnes 2.47 1.61 1.27 3.56 15.50 Pescados y mariscos 0.43 1.66 0.70 7.70 3.57 Huevo 0.61 0.01 4.70 -1.21 8.84 Energéticos y tarifas autorizadas 14.13 2.04 0.05 10.13 3.49 Energéticos 8.78 1.86 -0.28 9.67 4.20 Electricidad 2.81 1.73 -2.05 5.06 0.64 Gas doméstico 1.48 2.21 0.63 10.41 6.63 Gasolina de bajo octanaje 3.79 1.78 0.25 12.25 4.95 Gasolina de alto octanaje 0.45 1.90 0.51 12.18 6.90 Tarifas autorizadas por el Gobierno 5.35 2.38 0.68 11.02 2.16 Transporte público urbano 1.00 3.63 0.36 8.10 1.11 Metro o trasporte eléctrico 0.23 15.45 0.00 51.20 -0.26 Taxi 0.72 0.37 0.13 4.61 2.28Fuente: Cuadro elaborado por CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI.
Concepto
Escenario Macroeconómico 3.2
INPC, Inflación Subyacente y Subíndices ComplementariosVariación Porcentual Mensual
Inflación Inflación No SubyacenteSubyacente Agropecuarios Energéticos y Tarifas Autorizadas
Precios Precios Frutas y Carnes Precios de los Tarifas
Mercancías Servicios verduras y huevo Energéticos Autorizadas
2013Ene 0.40 0.42 0.24 0.58 0.33 -0.24 -1.37 0.41 0.67 0.59 0.82Feb 0.49 0.51 0.15 0.82 0.44 0.02 1.37 -0.75 0.68 0.47 1.11Mar 0.73 0.30 0.21 0.38 2.11 4.63 10.28 1.32 0.66 0.81 0.38Abr 0.07 0.08 0.14 0.03 0.00 1.49 1.98 1.16 -0.90 -2.81 2.70May -0.33 0.20 0.17 0.22 -2.05 -1.01 -5.71 1.94 -2.71 -4.43 0.36Jun -0.06 0.13 0.01 0.22 -0.69 -3.00 -7.78 -0.22 0.83 0.88 0.74Jul -0.03 0.03 -0.16 0.20 -0.26 -1.51 -2.31 -1.08 0.53 0.63 0.36Ago 0.28 0.09 0.26 -0.05 0.94 1.52 5.25 -0.46 0.57 0.67 0.41Sep 0.38 0.32 0.41 0.25 0.55 0.74 1.80 0.14 0.44 0.59 0.18Oct 0.48 0.19 0.11 0.26 1.41 -0.72 0.30 -1.30 2.74 4.26 0.13Nov 0.93 0.14 -0.02 0.27 3.54 2.97 8.00 0.05 3.88 5.96 0.16Dic 0.57 0.33 0.36 0.30 1.35 1.82 2.75 1.24 1.07 0.78 1.632014Ene 0.89 0.85 1.26 0.51 1.02 -0.67 -4.27 1.61 2.04 1.86 2.38Feb 0.25 0.28 0.13 0.41 0.17 -0.71 -2.13 0.15 0.68 0.87 0.31Mar 0.27 0.21 0.18 0.24 0.46 0.71 0.42 0.89 0.31 0.56 -0.15Abr -0.19 0.29 0.23 0.34 -1.67 -1.12 -5.47 1.41 -2.00 -3.14 0.18May -0.32 0.09 0.28 -0.06 -1.64 0.79 -3.68 3.22 -3.06 -4.94 0.40Jun 0.17 0.21 0.17 0.25 0.04 -0.40 -1.95 0.38 0.32 0.46 0.06Jul 0.28 0.19 -0.04 0.38 0.56 0.78 3.04 -0.34 0.42 0.60 0.11Ago 0.36 0.21 0.45 0.02 0.83 1.95 2.11 1.87 0.16 0.15 0.16Sep 0.44 0.29 0.32 0.27 0.92 2.02 2.88 1.58 0.25 0.34 0.08Oct 0.55 0.17 0.17 0.17 1.79 0.10 0.42 -0.06 2.84 4.43 0.06Nov 0.81 0.16 0.12 0.20 2.83 1.62 2.89 0.95 3.58 5.46 0.14Dic 0.49 0.23 0.19 0.27 1.28 3.32 6.56 1.59 0.06 0.03 0.112015Ene -0.09 -0.03 0.22 -0.24 -0.27 -0.78 -5.33 1.77 0.05 -0.28 0.68Feb e/ 0.28 0.19 0.10 0.27 0.59 0.72 0.40 0.96 0.50 0.27 0.90Mar 0.37 0.18 0.19 0.18 1.02 2.15 4.45 0.49 0.35 0.29 0.46Abr -0.27 0.11 0.15 0.07 -1.56 -0.27 -1.11 0.33 -2.33 -3.80 0.10May -0.57 0.13 0.13 0.14 -2.97 -2.57 -6.24 0.15 -3.21 -5.25 0.12Jun -0.07 0.19 0.19 0.18 -0.95 -2.83 -6.88 0.17 0.18 0.33 -0.06Jul 0.28 0.22 0.25 0.19 0.49 0.84 1.48 0.38 0.27 0.36 0.14Ago 0.45 0.38 0.25 0.49 0.67 1.24 2.56 0.29 0.34 0.21 0.54Sep 0.69 0.70 0.29 1.03 0.64 1.21 2.12 0.55 0.30 0.36 0.21Oct 0.63 0.21 0.33 0.11 2.08 0.53 0.48 0.56 3.00 4.79 0.06Nov 0.96 0.29 0.46 0.15 3.28 2.53 5.14 0.63 3.71 5.93 0.07Dic 0.58 0.35 0.58 0.16 1.37 3.09 6.41 0.67 0.35 0.48 0.13Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos del INEGI.e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Años INPC Total Total TotalTotal
Escenario Macroeconómico 3.3
INPC, Inflación Subyacente y Subíndices ComplementariosVariación Porcentual Anual
Inflación Inflación No SubyacenteSubyacente Agropecuarios Energéticos y Tarifas Autorizadas
Precios Precios Frutas y Carnes Precios de los Tarifas
Mercancías Servicios verduras y huevo Energéticos Autorizadas
2013 3.81 2.72 3.02 2.47 7.34 7.71 6.47 8.40 7.17 7.60 6.18Ene 3.25 2.88 4.37 1.62 4.47 5.51 -2.21 10.52 3.89 5.60 0.62Feb 3.55 2.96 3.86 2.21 5.47 7.48 4.66 9.20 4.36 5.48 2.22Mar 4.25 3.02 3.81 2.35 8.29 14.29 19.85 11.00 5.02 5.86 3.37Abr 4.65 2.95 3.63 2.37 10.32 17.25 25.13 12.66 6.47 6.48 6.26May 4.63 2.88 3.49 2.36 10.56 15.30 15.51 15.08 7.75 8.24 6.51Jun 4.09 2.79 3.14 2.49 8.39 8.99 -1.22 15.38 8.06 8.36 7.15Jul 3.47 2.50 2.64 2.38 6.60 4.22 -6.01 10.60 8.12 8.26 7.50Ago 3.46 2.37 2.51 2.24 7.01 5.19 0.22 8.15 8.16 8.13 7.87Sep 3.39 2.52 2.59 2.45 6.20 2.33 -0.63 4.04 8.66 8.91 7.87Oct 3.36 2.48 2.41 2.54 6.18 1.67 1.10 1.92 9.07 9.62 7.83Nov 3.62 2.56 1.99 3.06 7.02 5.53 11.46 2.03 8.01 8.20 7.65Dic 3.97 2.78 1.89 3.54 7.84 6.67 13.89 2.43 8.65 8.30 9.322014 4.02 3.18 3.26 3.12 6.74 4.96 -0.45 8.09 7.87 8.44 6.83Ene 4.48 3.21 2.93 3.47 8.58 6.21 10.54 3.65 10.13 9.67 11.02Feb 4.23 2.98 2.91 3.05 8.28 5.43 6.73 4.58 10.12 10.10 10.14Mar 3.76 2.89 2.88 2.90 6.54 1.49 -2.81 4.14 9.73 9.83 9.55Abr 3.50 3.11 2.97 3.23 4.75 -1.13 -9.90 4.39 8.52 9.45 6.86May 3.51 3.00 3.08 2.94 5.19 0.67 -7.97 5.70 8.14 8.86 6.89Jun 3.75 3.09 3.24 2.96 5.96 3.37 -2.15 6.34 7.59 8.42 6.18Jul 4.07 3.25 3.37 3.15 6.83 5.78 3.22 7.14 7.47 8.38 5.92Ago 4.15 3.37 3.56 3.22 6.72 6.22 0.13 9.64 7.03 7.83 5.65Sep 4.22 3.34 3.46 3.24 7.11 7.57 1.20 11.22 6.82 7.56 5.55Oct 4.30 3.32 3.53 3.14 7.51 8.46 1.31 12.62 6.93 7.74 5.48Nov 4.17 3.34 3.68 3.06 6.78 7.04 -3.48 13.63 6.62 7.23 5.46Dic 4.08 3.24 3.50 3.03 6.70 8.61 0.10 14.03 5.55 6.43 3.882015 2.97 2.37 2.45 2.29 4.72 7.57 2.76 10.62 3.02 2.71 3.12Ene 3.07 2.34 2.43 2.26 5.34 8.50 -1.01 14.20 3.49 4.20 2.16Feb e/ 3.10 2.25 2.41 2.11 5.78 10.07 1.55 15.14 3.31 3.58 2.76Mar 3.19 2.21 2.41 2.04 6.38 11.64 5.62 14.68 3.35 3.30 3.39Abr 3.11 2.03 2.33 1.77 6.50 12.60 10.49 13.46 3.00 2.60 3.30May 2.85 2.07 2.18 1.97 5.06 8.84 7.56 10.09 2.83 2.27 3.02Jun 2.60 2.04 2.20 1.90 4.02 6.19 2.15 9.85 2.70 2.13 2.90Jul 2.61 2.07 2.50 1.71 3.95 6.26 0.60 10.65 2.54 1.89 2.92Ago 2.70 2.24 2.30 2.19 3.79 5.52 1.05 8.93 2.73 1.95 3.31Sep 2.95 2.66 2.27 2.96 3.50 4.69 0.30 7.83 2.79 1.97 3.44Oct 3.03 2.70 2.44 2.90 3.80 5.14 0.36 8.50 2.95 2.33 3.44Nov 3.19 2.83 2.78 2.86 4.25 6.08 2.55 8.15 3.08 2.78 3.38Dic 3.27 2.95 3.18 2.74 4.34 5.84 2.40 7.17 3.38 3.24 3.400.00Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos del INEGI.e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Años INPC Total Total TotalTotal
Escenario Macroeconómico 3.4
Indice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor(Base 2a. quincena de diciembre de 2010=100)
Mes 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
Ene 59.8083 64.6598 67.7546 71.2488 74.2423 77.6165 80.6707 83.8821Feb 60.3388 64.6170 67.7111 71.4467 74.6864 77.8751 80.7941 84.1166Mar 60.6734 65.0264 68.0574 71.8977 74.9395 78.2261 80.8955 84.2986Abr 61.0186 65.3544 68.4292 72.0204 75.0526 78.5047 81.0141 84.2483May 61.2467 65.5044 68.5679 71.7880 74.8643 78.3075 80.6535 83.8373Jun 61.6095 65.6593 68.9022 71.8474 74.9843 78.2323 80.7231 83.9380Jul 61.8498 65.4887 69.1000 71.9515 75.1808 78.5385 80.9445 84.2945Ago 62.1896 65.8767 69.3627 72.1673 75.6449 78.6323 81.3575 84.6379Sep 62.6439 66.4900 69.7800 72.5969 76.2704 78.9474 82.1788 85.2951Oct 63.0753 66.7905 70.0875 72.8631 76.7986 79.1412 82.5381 85.6275Nov 63.6146 67.0421 70.6544 73.4679 77.4537 79.7108 82.9712 86.2316Dic 64.3033 67.1349 70.9619 73.7837 77.6137 80.2004 83.4511 86.5881
Prom. 61.8643 65.8037 69.1141 72.2566 75.6443 78.6611 81.5160 84.7496
Mes 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Ene 86.9894 92.4545 96.5755 100.2280 104.2840 107.6775 112.5050 115.9535Feb 87.2480 92.6586 97.1341 100.6040 104.4955 108.2085 112.7895Mar 87.8804 93.1916 97.8236 100.7965 104.5555 109.0020 113.0985Abr 88.0804 93.5178 97.5119 100.7895 104.2275 109.0740 112.8885May 87.9852 93.2454 96.8975 100.0455 103.8990 108.7110 112.5275Jun 88.3493 93.4171 96.8672 100.0405 104.3780 108.6445 112.7220Jul 88.8417 93.6716 97.0775 100.5215 104.9640 108.6085 113.0320Ago 89.3547 93.8957 97.3471 100.6800 105.2790 108.9180 113.4375Sep 89.9637 94.3667 97.8574 100.9265 105.7430 109.3285 113.9390Oct 90.5767 94.6522 98.4615 101.6085 106.2775 109.8480 114.5690Nov 91.6063 95.1432 99.2504 102.7070 106.9995 110.8715 115.4935Dic 92.2407 95.5370 99.7421 103.5510 107.2460 111.5085 116.0595
Prom. 89.0930 93.8126 97.7122 101.0415 105.1957 109.2000 113.5885 115.9535Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI.Nota: El Sistema Nacional del Indice de Precios al Consumidor recopila durante cada quincena 117,500 cotizaciones directas en cuarenta y seis ciudades, sobre los precios de aproximadamente 1,600 artículos y servicios específicos. Los promedios de dichas cotizaciones dan lugar a los índices de los 283 conceptos genéricos sobre bienes y servicios que forman la canasta del Indice General en cada una de las ciudades y a nivel nacional.
4.0 Tasas de Interés
4.0 Tasas de Interés 2014-2015
4.1 Expectativa de Rendimiento de los Principales Instrumentosde Inversión en México en 2015
4.2 Tasa Objetivo del Banco de México, CETES y Tasa de Fondeo Bancaria 2014-2015
4.2 Tasa de Interés de Valores Privados, Tasa Interbancaria, CCP y Prima Riesgo-País México 2014-2015
Escenario Macroeconómico 4.0
Tasas de Interés(Promedio aritmético en el mes en por ciento anual)
2014Cetes Valores Privados Papel Comercial México Tasa Objetivo
28 días México Estados Unidos Vs. BANXICONominal Real Anual Nominal Real Anual Nominal Real Anual EUA Nominal Real Anual
Ene 3.14 -7.26 3.83 -6.62 0.11 -4.25 3.72 3.50 -6.93Feb 3.16 0.13 3.80 0.77 0.11 -4.23 3.69 3.50 0.47Mar 3.17 -0.12 3.93 0.64 0.11 -7.31 3.82 3.50 0.21Abr 3.23 5.61 3.88 6.29 0.10 -3.78 3.78 3.50 5.89May 3.28 7.38 3.80 7.94 0.09 -4.01 3.71 3.50 7.61Jun 3.02 0.95 3.43 1.36 0.07 -2.14 3.36 3.00 0.93Jul 2.83 -0.47 3.36 0.06 0.08 0.55 3.28 3.00 -0.30Ago 2.77 -1.52 3.32 -0.98 0.07 2.10 3.25 3.00 -1.29Sep 2.83 -2.44 3.36 -1.92 0.06 -0.84 3.30 3.00 -2.27Oct 2.90 -3.65 3.34 -3.23 0.10 3.17 3.24 3.00 -3.56Nov 2.85 -6.57 3.19 -6.25 0.07 6.79 3.12 3.00 -6.43Dic 2.81 -3.01 3.38 -2.46 0.07 7.14 3.31 3.00 -2.83
Año 3.00 -1.00 3.55 -0.45 0.09 -0.66 3.46 3.21 -0.79
2015Cetes Valores Privados Papel Comercial México Tasa Objetivo
28 días México Estados Unidos Vs. BANXICONominal Real Anual Nominal Real Anual Nominal Real Anual EUA Nominal Real Anual
Ene 2.67 3.84 3.33 4.52 0.12 6.51 3.21 3.00 4.18Feb e/ 2.71 -0.67 3.34 -0.05 0.12 -4.63 3.22 3.00 -0.39Mar 2.71 -1.71 3.33 -1.10 0.11 -7.20 3.21 3.00 -1.42Abr 2.73 6.11 3.32 6.73 0.11 -5.37 3.20 3.00 6.39May 2.74 10.06 3.31 10.69 0.11 -6.29 3.19 3.00 10.35Jun 2.76 3.66 3.31 4.23 0.17 -5.71 3.13 3.00 3.91Jul 3.09 -0.25 3.64 0.30 0.35 -1.99 3.28 3.31 -0.04Ago 3.29 -2.06 3.84 -1.52 0.34 -4.04 3.48 3.50 -1.85Sep 3.27 -4.85 3.82 -4.33 0.41 -1.56 3.39 3.50 -4.64Oct 3.27 -4.17 3.82 -3.65 0.59 2.20 3.21 3.50 -3.95Nov 3.26 -7.89 3.81 -7.38 0.59 3.84 3.20 3.50 -7.66Dic 3.24 -3.58 3.80 -3.05 0.59 4.18 3.19 3.50 -3.34
Año 2.98 -0.25 3.55 0.33 0.30 -1.77 3.24 3.23 0.01Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos del Banco de México y de la Reserva Federal de EE.UU.e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Mes
Mes
Escenario Macroeconómico 4.1
Expectativa de Rendimiento de los Principales Instrumentos de Inversión en México
(Porcentajes)
NOMINAL REALRendimiento Rendimiento
Concepto Promedio Anual Promedio Anual2014 2015 2014 2015
Observado Expectativa Observado Expectativa
Bolsa Mexicana de Valores Indice de Precios y Cotizaciones 1.47 1.28 -2.45 -1.89Tasas de Fondeo Papel Bancario 3.22 3.27 -0.78 0.05 Papel Gubernamental 3.25 3.25 -0.75 0.00Mercado de Dinero Cetes a 28 días 3.00 2.98 -1.00 -0.25 Valores Privados de Corto Plazo 3.55 3.55 -0.45 0.33 Pagarés a 28 días 2.85 2.83 -1.15 -0.39 CCP Moneda Nacional 3.23 2.98 -0.77 -0.24Tasa Interbancaria TIIE a 28 días 3.52 3.40 -0.49 0.18Mercado Cambiario Dólar Interbancario 4.17 8.77 0.09 5.33
Rendimiento Acumulado en el AñoNOMINAL REAL
Enero Enero2014 2015 2014 2015
Bolsa Mexicana de Valores Indice de Precios y Cotizaciones -7.54 -2.58 -11.83 -5.55Tasas de Fondeo Papel Bancario 3.49 3.01 -0.60 0.34 Papel Gubernamental 3.51 3.04 -0.60 0.34Mercado de Dinero Cetes a 28 días 3.14 2.67 -0.63 0.31 Valores Privados de Corto Plazo 3.83 3.33 -0.57 0.37 Pagarés a 28 días 3.00 2.54 -0.64 0.30 CCP-Moneda Nacional 3.47 3.01 -0.60 0.34Tasa Interbancaria TIIE a 28 días 3.78 3.30 -0.57 0.37Mercado Cambiario Dólar Interbancario 4.13 11.11 3.20 11.22Fuente: CAMACRO, elaborado con datos del Banco de México y Bolsa Mexicana de Valores.Expectativa: Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Concepto
Escenario Macroeconómico 4.2
Política Monetaria, Tasa de Fondeo Bancaria y CETES(Tasas promedio expresadas en porciento anual)
Política Monetaria Tasa de Fondeo Valores PúblicosTasa Objetivo Bancaria CETES
BANXICO Ponderada 28 días 91 días 182 días 364 días2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015
Ene 3.50 3.00 3.49 3.01 3.14 2.67 3.41 2.91 3.55 3.01 3.66 3.23Feb 3.50 ….. 3.49 ….. 3.16 ….. 3.39 ….. 3.52 ….. 3.78 …..Mar 3.50 ….. 3.49 ….. 3.17 ….. 3.29 ….. 3.46 ….. 3.68 …..Abr 3.50 ….. 3.50 ….. 3.23 ….. 3.37 ….. 3.49 ….. 3.66 …..May 3.50 ….. 3.50 ….. 3.28 ….. 3.42 ….. 3.51 ….. 3.61 …..Jun 3.00 ….. 3.11 ….. 3.02 ….. 3.08 ….. 3.17 ….. 3.10 …..Jul 3.00 ….. 3.00 ….. 2.83 ….. 2.90 ….. 2.99 ….. 3.03 …..Ago 3.00 ….. 3.01 ….. 2.77 ….. 2.89 ….. 2.97 ….. 3.01 …..Sep 3.00 ….. 3.00 ….. 2.83 ….. 2.86 ….. 2.97 ….. 3.09 …..Oct 3.00 ….. 3.01 ….. 2.90 ….. 2.95 ….. 3.04 ….. 3.17 …..Nov 3.00 ….. 3.02 ….. 2.85 ….. 2.92 ….. 3.01 ….. 3.17 …..Dic 3.00 ….. 3.05 ….. 2.81 ….. 2.92 ….. 3.02 ….. 3.22 …..
Prom. 3.21 3.00 3.22 3.01 3.00 2.67 3.12 2.91 3.23 3.01 3.35 3.23
Valores Privados, Tasas Interbancarias, CCP y Riesgo País(Tasas promedio expresadas en porciento anual)
Valores Privados Tasa de Interés Tasa de Fondeo Costo Tasa de Interés Indice Riesgo Paísde Corto Plazo Interbancaria Gubernamental de Captación Tarjetas de EMBI+ JP Morgan
28 días TIIE a 28 días Ponderada CCP-MN Crédito Bancarias Puntos Base/Fin Mes2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015
Ene 3.83 3.33 3.78 3.30 3.51 3.04 3.47 3.01 24.5 ….. 195 211Feb 3.80 ….. 3.79 ….. 3.52 ….. 3.46 ….. 24.1 ….. 163 …..Mar 3.93 ….. 3.80 ….. 3.52 ….. 3.44 ….. 24.1 ….. 153 …..Abr 3.88 ….. 3.81 ….. 3.53 ….. 3.41 ….. 24.6 ….. 146 …..May 3.80 ….. 3.80 ….. 3.53 ….. 3.42 ….. 24.6 ….. 138 …..Jun 3.43 ….. 3.43 ….. 3.14 ….. 3.30 ….. 25.0 ….. 133 …..Jul 3.36 ….. 3.30 ….. 3.02 ….. 3.12 ….. 25.0 ….. 148 …..Ago 3.32 ….. 3.30 ….. 3.05 ….. 3.05 ….. ….. ….. 145 …..Sep 3.36 ….. 3.29 ….. 3.02 ….. 3.02 ….. ….. ….. 162 …..Oct 3.34 ….. 3.29 ….. 3.04 ….. 3.03 ….. ….. ….. 162 …..Nov 3.19 ….. 3.29 ….. 3.05 ….. 3.04 ….. ….. ….. 171 …..Dic 3.38 ….. 3.30 ….. 3.08 ….. 3.03 ….. ….. ….. 188 …..
Prom. 3.55 3.33 3.52 3.30 3.25 3.04 3.23 3.01 24.6 ….. ….. …..Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Banco de México y JP Morgan.
Mes
Mes
5.0 Tipo de Cambio
5.0 Tipo de Cambio del Peso respectoal Dólar de EUA 2014-2015
5.1 índice del Tipo de Cambio Real Bilateral México-EUA 1977-2015
5.2 Cálculo del Índice del Tipo de Cambio Real Bajo Tres Criterios 1977-2015
Escenario Macroeconómico 5.0
Tipo de Cambio del Peso respecto al Dólar de EE.UU.(Punto de Equilibrio del Tipo de Cambio 1990=100)
2014Promedio del Mes Fin de Mes
Mes Fecha de Determinación FIX Tipo de % Sobre (-) Fecha de Determinación FIXNominal Indice Real Cambio o sub (+) Nominal Indice Real
Pesos Var. % 1990=100 Var. % Teórico valuación Pesos Var. % 1990=100 Var. %
Ene 13.2230 1.66 85.1 1.13 15.5306 -14.86 13.3769 2.24 84.2 -2.08Feb 13.2808 0.44 85.6 0.55 15.5125 -14.39 13.2379 -1.04 84.9 0.88Mar 13.1951 -0.65 85.4 -0.28 15.4554 -14.62 13.0549 -1.38 81.7 -3.73Abr 13.0708 -0.94 85.0 -0.43 15.3760 -14.99 13.0901 0.27 80.2 -1.91May 12.9247 -1.12 84.6 -0.45 15.2735 -15.38 12.8609 -1.75 85.0 5.96Jun 12.9958 0.55 85.1 0.56 15.2715 -14.90 12.9712 0.86 86.7 2.06Jul 12.9904 -0.04 84.8 -0.35 15.3195 -15.20 13.2269 1.97 85.6 -1.32Ago 13.1406 1.16 85.3 0.63 15.4002 -14.67 13.0763 -1.14 88.7 3.68Sep 13.2352 0.72 85.6 0.35 15.4566 -14.37 13.4330 2.73 87.4 -1.51Oct 13.4763 1.82 86.5 1.01 15.5812 -13.51 13.4773 0.33 85.6 -2.00Nov 13.6216 1.08 86.3 -0.27 15.7922 -13.74 13.8965 3.11 85.3 -0.34Dic 14.5129 6.54 90.9 5.42 15.9601 -9.07 14.7414 6.08 84.7 -0.78
Año 13.3056 4.17 85.9 1.77 15.4933 -14.12 14.7414 12.66 84.7 -1.49
2015Promedio del Mes Fin de Mes
Mes Fecha de Determinación FIX Tipo de % Sobre (-) Fecha de Determinación FIXNominal Indice Real Cambio o sub (+) Nominal Indice Real
Pesos Var. % 1990=100 Var. % Teórico valuación Pesos Var. % 1990=100 Var. %
Ene 14.6926 1.24 91.7 0.85 16.0209 -8.29 14.9875 1.68 86.1 -6.75Feb e/ 14.8760 1.25 93.1 1.53 15.9770 -6.89 14.8609 -0.84 85.3 -0.92Mar 14.8493 -0.18 93.1 0.04 15.9423 -6.86 14.7691 -0.62 84.5 -1.02Abr 14.7315 -0.79 93.1 -0.06 15.8247 -6.91 14.7368 -0.22 85.1 0.79May 14.5967 -0.91 93.3 0.18 15.6522 -6.74 14.6205 -0.79 84.2 -1.09Jun 14.4137 -1.25 92.7 -0.59 15.5482 -7.30 14.4716 -1.02 84.9 0.87Jul 14.2030 -1.46 91.2 -1.65 15.5783 -8.83 14.2847 -1.29 86.3 1.65Ago 14.2002 -0.02 90.9 -0.27 15.6175 -9.08 14.1880 -0.68 84.9 -1.66Sep 14.3689 1.19 91.8 0.98 15.6493 -8.18 14.2709 0.58 86.9 2.35Oct 14.3133 -0.39 90.6 -1.32 15.7965 -9.39 14.3275 0.40 86.5 -0.47Nov 14.2359 -0.54 89.0 -1.75 15.9910 -10.98 14.2610 -0.46 88.0 1.73Dic 14.1934 -0.30 88.0 -1.11 16.1227 -11.97 14.2010 -0.42 92.4 4.96
Año 14.4729 8.77 91.5 6.60 15.8090 -8.45 14.2010 -3.66 92.4 9.07Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Banco de México y Bureau of Labor Statistics de EUAp/ Datos preliminares.e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Escenario Macroeconómico 5.1
Indice del Tipo de Cambio Real Bilateral México-EE.UU.(Punto de Equilibrio del Tipo de Cambio 1990=100)
Indice de Precios Pesos % de sobre (-) Indice del TipoAños al Consumidor por o sub (+) de Cambio Real
México EE.UU. Dólar valuación 1990=100 Var.% Anual1977 0.38 46.38 0.0225 -2.71 97.29 21.061978 0.44 49.90 0.0227 -10.17 89.83 -7.671979 0.53 55.56 0.0227 -15.31 84.69 -5.721980 0.66 63.07 0.0229 -23.31 76.69 -9.451981 0.85 69.57 0.0245 -29.37 70.63 -7.911982 1.35 73.86 0.0580 11.77 111.77 58.251983 2.73 76.23 0.1503 48.06 148.06 32.481984 4.51 79.52 0.1849 14.86 114.86 -22.431985 7.12 82.35 0.3103 26.51 126.51 10.151986 13.25 83.88 0.6353 41.68 141.68 11.991987 30.72 86.94 1.3980 39.39 139.39 -1.621988 65.79 90.54 2.2871 10.88 110.88 -20.451989 78.96 94.90 2.4816 5.09 105.09 -5.231990 100.00 100.03 2.8385 0.03 100.03 -4.811991 122.66 104.24 3.0157 -9.71 90.29 -9.741992 141.68 107.38 3.0945 -17.38 82.62 -8.491993 155.50 110.59 3.1152 -21.94 78.06 -5.531994 166.33 113.43 3.3751 -18.92 81.08 3.881995 224.55 116.64 6.4190 17.47 117.47 44.871996 301.74 120.08 7.6003 6.56 106.56 -9.291997 363.98 122.84 7.9198 -5.83 94.17 -11.631998 421.96 124.75 9.1506 -4.69 95.31 1.221999 491.94 127.51 9.5577 -12.72 87.28 -8.432000 538.63 131.79 9.4567 -18.48 81.52 -6.602001 572.93 135.54 9.3390 -22.16 77.84 -4.512002 601.76 137.69 9.6657 -22.08 77.92 0.102003 629.12 140.83 10.7953 -14.87 85.13 9.262004 658.61 144.58 11.2859 -12.72 87.28 2.522005 684.88 149.47 10.8939 -16.24 83.76 -4.032006 709.74 154.30 10.9007 -16.51 83.49 -0.332007 737.89 158.69 10.9288 -17.20 82.80 -0.822008 775.71 164.78 11.1520 -16.54 83.46 0.802009 816.80 164.20 13.5076 -4.34 95.66 14.622010 850.75 166.89 12.6303 -12.71 87.29 -8.752011 879.74 172.16 12.4354 -14.27 85.73 -1.782012 915.91 175.72 13.1613 -11.04 88.96 3.762013 950.77 178.29 12.7724 -15.62 84.38 -5.142014 988.98 181.19 13.3056 -14.12 85.88 1.772015 1,018.39 182.85 14.4729 -8.45 91.55 6.60
Enero 1,009.57 178.87 14.6926 -8.29 91.71 7.71Febrero e/ 1,012.43 179.87 14.8760 -6.89 93.11 8.76Marzo 1,016.17 180.93 14.8493 -6.86 93.14 9.10Abril 1,013.47 181.79 14.7315 -6.91 93.09 9.51Mayo 1,007.70 182.74 14.5967 -6.74 93.26 10.20Junio 1,006.99 183.84 14.4137 -7.30 92.70 8.94Julio 1,009.80 183.99 14.2030 -8.83 91.17 7.52Agosto 1,014.32 184.35 14.2002 -9.08 90.92 6.56Septiembre 1,021.31 185.25 14.3689 -8.18 91.82 7.23Octubre 1,027.73 184.67 14.3133 -9.39 90.61 4.76Noviembre 1,037.60 184.18 14.2359 -10.98 89.02 3.21Diciembre 1,043.57 183.73 14.1934 -11.97 88.03 -3.19
Nota: Cuadro elaborado con base en la Teoría de la Paridad del Poder de Compra (PPP o Purchasing Power Parity), según la cualel tipo de cambio real es igual al tipo de cambio nominal inflactado por un índice de precios externo y deflactado por un índice de precios interno. p/ Datos preliminares.e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.Fuente: Cuadro elaborado por CAMACRO, con datos del Banco de México.
Escenario Macroeconómico 5.2
Cálculo del Indice del Tipo de Cambio Real del Peso Bajo Tres Criterios(Indice 1990=100)
Indice Bilateral México-EE.UU. Indice Multilateral México-111 Países Indice Multilateral México-49 paísesAños (Precios al Consumidor) (Precios al Consumidor) (Precios Ponderados con Comercio )
Base 1990=100 Var. % Base 1990=100 Var. % Base 1990=100 Var. %1977 97.3 21.1 87.7 27.0 ..... .....1978 89.8 -7.7 87.1 -0.7 ..... .....1979 84.7 -5.7 82.0 -5.9 ..... .....1980 76.7 -9.4 73.4 -10.5 ..... .....1981 70.6 -7.9 62.0 -15.5 ..... .....1982 111.8 58.3 83.9 35.3 ..... .....1983 148.1 32.5 95.2 13.5 ..... .....1984 114.9 -22.4 80.1 -15.9 ..... .....1985 126.5 10.1 78.2 -2.3 ..... .....1986 141.7 12.0 119.2 52.4 ..... .....1987 139.4 -1.6 134.3 12.7 ..... .....1988 110.9 -20.4 111.2 -17.2 ..... .....1989 105.1 -5.2 100.5 -9.6 ..... .....1990 100.0 -4.8 100.0 -0.5 100.0 .....1991 90.3 -9.7 91.4 -8.6 90.6 -9.41992 82.6 -8.5 85.9 -6.1 83.3 -8.01993 78.1 -5.5 73.5 -14.4 78.2 -6.21994 81.1 3.9 75.9 3.3 80.7 3.31995 117.5 44.9 117.2 54.3 121.1 50.01996 106.6 -9.3 103.0 -12.1 108.9 -10.11997 94.2 -11.6 85.8 -16.7 94.2 -13.51998 95.3 1.2 84.5 -1.6 92.7 -1.61999 87.3 -8.4 77.6 -8.1 84.4 -8.92000 81.5 -6.6 68.7 -11.5 77.4 -8.32001 77.8 -4.5 62.6 -8.8 72.4 -6.52002 77.9 0.1 60.9 -2.7 71.9 -0.62003 85.1 9.3 71.6 17.5 80.4 11.82004 87.3 2.5 77.0 7.5 84.0 4.42005 83.8 -4.0 73.6 -4.4 81.2 -3.22006 83.5 -0.3 72.7 -1.2 81.3 0.02007 82.8 -0.8 74.8 2.9 82.1 1.12008 83.5 0.8 78.1 4.5 83.9 2.22009 95.7 14.6 88.6 13.4 95.8 14.22010 87.3 -8.8 81.6 -7.9 88.6 -7.52011 85.7 -1.8 82.9 1.6 88.3 -0.42012 89.0 3.8 83.9 1.3 91.1 3.22013 84.4 -5.1 77.5 -7.7 86.0 -5.62014 85.9 1.8 77.1 -0.5 87.0 1.1
2015 91.5 6.6 79.2 2.7 86.0 -1.1
Enero 91.7 7.7 79.5 3.2 85.9 -0.7Febrero 93.1 8.8 81.3 4.5 86.3 -1.0Marzo 93.1 9.1 81.6 4.7 86.3 -0.7Abril 93.1 9.5 81.6 5.1 85.7 -1.0Mayo 93.3 10.2 81.8 5.6 85.0 -1.7Junio 92.7 8.9 80.9 4.7 85.3 -1.4Julio 91.2 7.5 79.3 3.2 85.3 -1.2Agosto 90.9 6.6 79.1 2.4 85.5 -1.7Septiembre 91.8 7.2 78.3 3.4 85.5 -1.0Octubre 90.6 4.8 77.0 1.1 86.5 -0.8Noviembre 89.0 3.2 74.7 0.2 85.2 -1.2Diciembre 88.0 -3.2 75.1 -5.3 89.4 -0.9
NOTA: Un aumento del Indice de Tipo de Cambio Real representa una depreciación real de la moneda mexicana con respecto al dólar.1/ Estados Unidos, Reino Unido, Francia, Italia, España, Alemania, Japón y Canadá.Nota: Los números en negrillas son estimaciones de CAMACRO.Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Banco de México y del Fondo Monetario Internacional FMI.
6.0 Ocupación, Salarios y Productividad
6.0 Ocupación, Salarios y Productividad Media Laboral 2012-2017
6.1 Ocupación en el Sector Formal de la Economía 2013-2014
6.2 Asegurados Permanentes y Eventuales en el IMSS 2014-2015
6.3 Productividad Media Laboral y Costo Laboral Unitario en la Industria Manufacturera 1994-2015
6.4 ENOE: Indicadores Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo en México 2012-2014
Escenario Macroeconómico 6.0
Ocupación, Salarios, Productividad y Masa Salarial(Indices y Pesos)
Datos Histórico Proyecciones2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Población Ocupada Indice 2008=100Nacional 102.0 101.3 102.1 103.4 105.5 108.6Tasa% 2.9 -0.7 0.8 1.3 2.0 3.0Sector Manufacturero 99.5 101.4 104.0 106.7 109.9 113.7Tasa% 2.2 2.0 2.5 2.7 3.0 3.4Remuneración Media Nominal Pesos DiariosNacional 24.59 25.84 27.05 28.56 30.38 32.52Tasa% 4.8 5.1 4.7 5.6 6.4 7.1Sector Manufacturero 323.18 335.99 351.36 366.30 385.49 408.77Tasa% 4.2 4.0 4.6 4.3 5.2 6.0Salario Mínimo General 60.52 63.12 65.58 68.29 71.39 75.20Tasa% 4.2 4.3 3.9 4.1 4.5 5.3Remuneración Media Real Indice Real 2008=100Nacional 85.8 86.8 87.4 89.6 92.0 94.9Tasa% 0.6 1.2 0.6 2.5 2.7 3.1Sector Manufacturero 99.0 99.1 99.7 100.9 102.6 104.7Tasa% 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 1.6 2.1Salario Mínimo General 100.8 101.3 101.2 102.3 103.3 104.8Tasa% 0.1 0.5 -0.1 1.1 1.0 1.4Productividad Media Laboral Indice Real 2008=100Nacional 106.3 108.5 109.9 111.8 114.1 116.5Tasa% 1.1 2.1 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.1Sector Manufacturero 108.8 107.9 109.2 111.2 115.1 120.1Tasa% 1.8 -0.9 1.2 1.8 3.6 4.3Costo Laboral Unitario Indice Real 2008=100Nacional 96.9 96.0 95.3 96.1 96.8 97.8Tasa% -0.5 -0.8 -0.7 0.8 0.8 1.0Sector Manufacturero 90.9 91.9 91.3 90.8 89.1 87.2Tasa% -1.6 1.0 -0.7 -0.6 -1.9 -2.1Masa Salarial Real Indice Real 2008=100Nacional 105.1 107.8 110.7 114.4 119.2 126.1Tasa% 4.4 2.6 2.7 3.3 4.3 5.7Sector Manufacturero 98.4 100.5 103.6 107.7 112.7 119.1Tasa% 2.3 2.1 3.1 4.0 4.7 5.6Productividad Media Laboral = Producción Real/Personal OcupadoCosto Laboral Unitario = Remuneración Media Real/Productividad Media LaboralMasa Salarial Real = Personal Ocupado por Remuneración Media Real.Remuneración Media Real = Sueldos, Salarios y Prestaciones Sociales.Proyecciones: Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Concepto
Escenario Macroeconómico 6.1
Ocupación en el Sector Formal de la Economía(Variación porcentual anual respecto al mismo período del año anterior)
Encuesta Mensual del INEGI por Sectores EconómicosMes Manufacturas Construcción Comercio al por Mayor Servicios Privados No Financieros
2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014
Ene 2.5 1.7 -1.8 -4.3 4.0 1.0 1.1 -0.8Feb 2.3 2.0 -0.8 -3.9 4.0 1.1 0.7 -0.4Mar 2.2 2.2 -2.9 -3.6 3.9 1.3 0.0 0.1Abr 2.3 1.9 0.9 -4.5 4.3 1.3 0.4 -0.6May 2.1 2.0 -1.8 -3.8 3.9 1.5 0.2 -1.3Jun 1.6 2.4 -3.9 -0.9 3.8 2.8 -0.7 -0.9Jul 1.9 2.5 -4.8 -0.5 3.6 1.2 -0.1 -0.6Ago 1.9 2.6 -6.7 0.4 3.7 1.8 0.1 -1.2Sep 1.8 2.7 -7.9 -0.2 4.6 0.3 -0.6 -0.7Oct 1.9 3.2 -8.2 0.2 4.5 1.5 -0.5 -0.7Nov 1.9 3.3 -4.9 0.6 4.2 1.6 -0.2 -0.8Dic 1.7 3.4 -3.3 …. 3.3 2.4 -0.4 -0.2
Prom. 2.0 2.5 -3.9 -1.9 4.0 1.5 0.0 -0.7Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos del INEGI.
Asegurados Permanentes y Eventuales Urbanos en el IMSS(Personas)
2014 2014 2015 Variación Absoluta Var. % anualConcepto Dic. 2014 Ene. 2014 Ene. 2014
Diciembre Enero Enero Ene. 2015 Ene. 2015 Ene. 2015
Total 17,052,027 16,359,779 17,097,352 45,325 737,573 4.5 Sector Agropecuario 390,213 379,704 393,750 3,537 14,046 3.7 Sector Industrial 6,180,129 5,898,867 6,259,622 79,493 360,755 6.1 Industrias extractivas 128,171 136,936 128,893 722 -8,043 -5.9 Industrias de transformación 4,501,789 4,337,622 4,560,166 58,377 222,544 5.1 Construcción 1,402,758 1,278,216 1,426,072 23,314 147,856 11.6 Industria electrica 147,411 146,093 144,491 -2,920 -1,602 -1.1 Sector Servicios 10,481,685 10,081,208 10,443,980 -37,705 362,772 3.6 Comercio 3,543,594 3,389,935 3,496,296 -47,298 106,361 3.1 Transportes y comunicaciones 919,992 875,286 918,900 -1,092 43,614 5.0 Servicios para empresas 4,037,049 3,863,997 4,022,911 -14,138 158,914 4.1 Servicios sociales 1,981,050 1,951,990 2,005,873 24,823 53,883 2.8
Total 17,052,027 16,359,779 17,097,352 45,325 737,573 4.5Asegurados Permanentes 14,782,649 14,227,698 14,794,354 11,705 566,656 4.0Asegurados Eventuales Urbanos 2,269,378 2,132,081 2,302,998 33,620 170,917 8.0Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social.
Escenario Macroeconómico 6.2
Masa Salarial,Productividad Laboral y Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra
(Variación % anual)Industria Manufacturera Productividad Costo Unitario Masa
Período Producción Personal Remuneración Media Real de la SalarialReal Ocupado Media Real Laboral Mano de Obra Real
1994 3.1 -3.0 4.2 6.3 -2.0 1.01995 -5.2 -8.9 -12.6 4.1 -16.0 -20.41996 9.3 2.3 -9.9 6.8 -15.7 -7.81997 10.5 4.7 -0.6 5.5 -5.8 4.11998 7.1 3.7 2.8 3.3 -0.4 6.61999 2.7 0.6 1.5 2.1 -0.5 2.22000 5.8 1.0 6.0 4.8 1.1 7.02001 -3.1 -4.4 6.7 1.3 5.3 2.12002 -0.7 -5.0 1.9 4.5 -2.6 -3.22003 -1.4 -3.4 1.4 2.1 -0.8 -2.12004 3.6 -3.2 0.3 7.0 -6.3 -3.02005 2.7 -0.8 -0.2 3.6 -3.7 -1.12006 4.5 1.4 0.4 3.0 -2.6 1.82007 1.0 -0.2 1.0 1.2 -0.2 0.72008 -1.0 -1.2 0.9 0.2 0.6 -0.42009 -8.4 -8.7 -0.7 0.4 -1.1 -9.32010 8.5 3.5 -0.7 4.9 -5.3 2.82011 4.6 3.0 0.2 1.6 -1.3 3.22012 4.0 2.2 0.1 1.8 -1.6 2.32013 1.1 2.0 0.2 -0.9 1.0 2.12014 3.7 2.5 0.5 1.2 -0.7 3.1
Ene 3.3 1.7 0.2 1.6 -1.4 1.9Feb 2.7 2.0 0.9 0.7 0.2 2.9Mar 7.3 2.2 -0.3 5.0 -5.1 1.9Abr 0.1 2.0 2.3 -1.8 4.2 4.3May 4.1 2.0 0.2 2.1 -1.8 2.2Jun 3.7 2.5 1.5 1.2 0.4 4.0Jul 3.6 2.5 2.3 1.1 1.2 4.8Ago 1.4 2.7 -1.5 -1.3 -0.3 1.1Sep 4.9 2.7 0.7 2.1 -1.4 3.5Oct 4.1 3.2 1.2 0.9 0.3 4.5Nov 4.1 3.2 -0.5 0.9 -1.4 2.7Dic 5.7 3.4 -0.3 2.2 -2.5 3.1
2015 4.6 2.7 1.2 1.8 -0.6 4.0
Ene e/ 3.7 2.8 0.9 0.9 0.0 3.8Feb 4.5 2.9 0.6 1.6 -1.0 3.5Mar 2.0 2.8 1.3 -0.8 2.1 4.1Abr 5.6 2.8 0.9 2.8 -1.9 3.7May 4.5 2.8 1.6 1.7 -0.1 4.4Jun 4.8 2.7 1.3 2.1 -0.7 4.0Jul 5.2 2.7 0.7 2.4 -1.6 3.5Ago 5.6 2.7 1.6 2.8 -1.3 4.3Sep 4.3 2.6 1.7 1.7 0.0 4.3Oct 5.1 2.5 1.8 2.5 -0.6 4.4Nov 6.0 2.5 1.2 3.4 -2.1 3.7Dic 3.2 2.5 1.2 0.7 0.5 3.7
Productividad Media Laboral = Producción Real/Personal OcupadoCosto Unitario de la Mano de Obra = Remuneración Media Real/Productividad Media LaboralMasa Salarial = Personal Ocupado por Remuneración Media Reale/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos del INEGI.
Escenario Macroeconómico 6.3
Indicadores Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo(Personas y tasas)
2012 2013 2014Año Año Año Absoluta Relativa
I. Población total 117,055,022 118,396,855 119,714,945 1,318,089 1.1
2. Población de 14 años y más 84,772,311 85,889,611 86,867,254 977,643 1.1Población económicamente activa (PEA) 51,228,767 51,787,087 51,924,053 136,967 0.3
Ocupada 48,706,734 49,227,313 49,415,412 188,099 0.4Desocupada 2,522,033 2,559,774 2,508,642 -51,132 -2.0
Población no económicamente activa (PNEA) 33,543,544 34,102,524 34,943,201 840,677 2.5
3. Informalidad Laboral 29,310,650 29,190,217 28,636,001 -554,216 -1.9% de la población ocupada 60.18 59.30 57.95 -1.35 -2.3
4. Población ocupada
3.1 Por tipo de unidad económica 48,706,734 49,227,313 49,415,412 188,099 0.4Empresas y negocios 23,651,110 24,192,865 24,930,047 737,182 3.0Instituciones privadas y públicas 6,744,612 6,735,026 6,577,660 -157,367 -2.3Sector de los hogares 18,311,012 18,299,422 17,907,705 -391,717 -2.1 Sector informal 13,969,897 13,920,707 13,546,233 -374,474 -2.7 Trabajo doméstico remunerado 2,207,495 2,219,096 2,270,702 51,605 2.3 Agricultura de subsistencia 1,803,025 1,880,556 1,827,243 -53,313 -2.8Situaciones de carácter especial no especificadas 330,595 279,062 263,527 -15,535 -5.6
3.2 Por actividad económica 48,706,734 49,227,313 49,415,412 188,099 0.4Primario 6,622,947 6,665,526 6,750,548 85,023 1.3Secundario 11,489,002 11,743,497 12,026,365 282,868 2.4
Industria extractiva y de la electricidad 417,151 432,715 413,824 -18,891 -4.4Industria manufacturera 7,442,989 7,710,812 7,888,379 177,567 2.3Construcción 3,628,862 3,599,971 3,724,163 124,192 3.4
Terciario 30,260,910 30,533,001 30,357,157 -175,844 -0.6Comercio 9,579,333 9,650,363 9,599,008 -51,356 -0.5Restaurantes y servicios de alojamiento 3,337,527 3,410,249 3,449,320 39,071 1.1Transportes y comunicaciones 2,343,727 2,423,577 2,414,845 -8,733 -0.4Servicios profesionales, financieros y corporativos 3,299,741 3,356,501 3,402,489 45,987 1.4Servicios sociales 4,041,906 4,064,888 4,007,617 -57,271 -1.4Servicios diversos 5,255,311 5,257,114 5,159,440 -97,675 -1.9Gobierno y organismos internacionales 2,403,366 2,370,308 2,324,439 -45,869 -1.9
No especificado 333,876 285,289 281,342 -3,947 -1.4
5. TasasTasas calculadas contra la población en edad de trabajar
Tasa de participación 60.43 60.29 59.77 -0.52 -0.9Tasas calculadas contra la PEA
Tasa de desocupación 4.92 4.94 4.83 -0.11 -2.3Tasa de ocupación parcial y desocupación 11.35 11.21 10.99 -0.23 -2.0Tasa de presión general 8.90 8.98 8.70 -0.28 -3.1
Tasas calculadas contra la población ocupadaTasa de trabajo asalariado 62.68 62.84 63.68 0.85 1.3Tasa de subocupación 8.54 8.36 8.15 -0.21 -2.5Tasa de condiciones críticas de ocupación 11.84 11.99 11.74 -0.25 -2.1Tasa de ocupación en el sector informal 28.68 28.28 27.41 -0.87 -3.1
6. Indicadores complementariosÍndice de remuneración (2008=100)
Nominal 106.6 109.6 108.6 -0.9Real 90.2 89.4 85.2 -4.7
Índice de la tendencia laboral de la pobreza (2010:I=100) 1.071 1.114 1.149 3.2
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI, "Encuesta Nacional de Empleo y Ocupación", y del CONEVAL.
Variación 2013/2014Concepto
7.0 Salario y Remuneraciones
7.0 Salario Mínimo General y Remuneración Media Real en el Sector Manufacturero 2014-2015
7.1 Remuneración Nominal Anual por Sectores Económicos 1993-2015
7.2 Remuneración Real Anualpor Sectores Económicos 1993-2015
7.3 Salarios Contractuales por Sector Económicoy por Tipo de Empresa 1994-2015
7.4 Remuneraciones Realesen el Sector Manufacturero 2013-2014
7.4 Remuneraciones Reales en el Sector Manufactureroen México y otros Países 2013-2014
Escenario Macroeconómico 7.0
Salario Mínimo y Remuneración Media Sector Manufacturero(Indice Real 2008=100)
2014Salario Mínimo General Remuneración Media Sector Manufacturero
Nominal Real Nominal RealPesos Diarios % Anual Indice Real % Anual Pesos Diarios % Anual Indice Real % Anual
Ene 65.58 3.90 147.1 -0.56 336.23 4.70 96.3 0.20Feb 65.58 3.90 146.7 -0.32 322.96 5.13 92.3 0.86Mar 65.58 3.90 146.3 0.13 334.21 3.44 95.3 -0.31Abr 65.58 3.90 146.6 0.39 339.10 5.86 96.8 2.29May 65.58 3.90 147.0 0.37 346.60 3.72 99.3 0.20Jun 65.58 3.90 146.8 0.14 339.63 5.35 97.1 1.54Jul 65.58 3.90 146.4 -0.17 348.85 6.50 99.5 2.33Ago 65.58 3.90 145.9 -0.24 336.59 2.57 95.7 -1.52Sep 65.58 3.90 145.2 -0.31 333.21 4.98 94.3 0.74Oct 65.58 3.90 144.4 -0.38 351.84 5.56 99.0 1.21Nov 65.58 3.90 143.3 -0.26 338.46 3.63 94.5 -0.52Dic 65.58 3.90 142.6 -0.18 420.19 3.73 116.7 -0.34
Prom. 65.58 3.90 145.7 -0.12 345.66 4.57 98.1 0.54
2015Salario Mínimo General Remuneración Media Sector Manufacturero
Nominal Real Nominal RealPesos Diarios % Anual Indice Real % Anual Pesos Diarios % Anual Indice Real % Anual
Ene e/ 68.29 4.13 148.6 1.04 349.76 4.02 97.2 0.93Feb 68.29 4.13 148.2 1.01 334.99 3.72 92.9 0.61Mar 68.29 4.13 147.6 0.91 349.23 4.49 96.5 1.26Abr 68.29 4.13 148.0 0.99 352.69 4.01 97.7 0.87May 68.29 4.13 148.9 1.24 362.09 4.47 100.9 1.57Jun 68.29 4.13 149.0 1.49 353.11 3.97 98.4 1.33Jul 68.29 4.13 148.6 1.49 360.55 3.36 100.2 0.73Ago 68.29 4.13 147.9 1.40 351.07 4.30 97.1 1.56Sep 68.29 4.13 146.9 1.15 348.91 4.71 95.9 1.71Oct 68.29 4.13 146.0 1.07 369.17 4.92 100.8 1.84Nov 68.29 4.13 144.6 0.92 353.36 4.40 95.6 1.18Dic 68.29 4.13 143.8 0.83 439.28 4.54 118.1 1.23
Prom. 68.29 4.13 147.3 1.13 360.35 4.25 99.3 1.24Fuente: INEGI y Comisión Nacional de los Salarios Mínimos.Remuneración Media Sector Manufacturero = Sueldos, Salarios y Prestaciones Sociales.e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Mes
Mes
Escenario Macroeconómico 7.1
Remuneración Nominal por Sectores Económicos(Pesos diarios nominales)
Salario Mínimo Salario Base de Industria Industria SectorPeríodo General Cotización en el IMSS Manufacturera de la Construcción Comercio
Nominal Var. % Nominal Var. % Nominal Var. % Nominal Var. % Nominal Var. %1993 13.06 8.08 41.31 18.91 54.58 14.69 39.82 16.61 59.21 15.451994 13.97 6.97 49.60 20.07 60.81 11.41 42.07 5.65 54.33 -8.241995 16.43 17.63 56.52 13.95 71.76 18.02 50.14 19.18 63.35 16.601996 20.39 24.06 67.63 19.66 86.89 21.08 54.12 7.94 77.31 22.041997 24.30 19.20 80.23 18.64 104.21 19.93 63.18 16.74 94.95 22.821998 28.30 16.44 94.68 18.00 124.23 19.21 74.63 18.12 112.08 18.041999 31.91 12.77 110.84 17.07 147.03 18.36 87.80 17.65 130.89 16.782000 35.12 10.06 129.69 17.01 170.60 16.03 100.17 14.09 152.64 16.622001 37.57 6.98 146.19 12.72 193.66 13.52 112.95 12.76 165.40 8.362002 39.74 5.78 158.04 8.10 207.19 6.98 132.78 17.55 176.03 6.432003 41.53 4.50 168.36 6.53 219.54 5.96 149.94 12.93 195.88 11.282004 43.30 4.25 179.24 6.46 230.45 4.97 157.14 4.80 229.04 16.932005 45.24 4.49 189.97 5.98 239.05 3.74 166.67 6.06 247.97 8.262006 47.05 4.00 200.07 5.32 248.60 3.99 175.78 5.47 248.67 0.282007 48.88 3.89 211.05 5.49 260.97 4.97 185.73 5.66 256.27 3.062008 50.84 4.01 222.30 5.33 276.31 5.88 194.97 4.98 268.10 4.622009 53.19 4.62 231.63 4.20 289.41 4.74 206.81 6.07 274.49 2.382010 55.77 4.85 239.16 3.25 299.62 3.53 216.06 4.47 282.42 2.892011 58.06 4.11 249.32 4.25 310.17 3.52 225.48 4.36 287.32 1.742012 60.52 4.24 260.06 4.31 323.18 4.19 236.33 4.81 294.28 2.422013 63.12 4.29 270.18 3.89 335.99 3.97 245.12 3.72 314.04 6.71
2014 65.58 3.90 282.09 4.41 351.36 4.57 254.92 3.99 325.54 3.66
Ene 65.58 3.90 282.32 3.85 336.23 4.70 228.72 4.16 307.69 8.48Feb 65.58 3.90 281.95 3.99 322.96 5.13 263.22 3.11 318.38 1.15Mar 65.58 3.90 280.10 4.06 334.21 3.44 241.73 2.32 308.86 4.86Abr 65.58 3.90 280.28 4.14 339.10 5.86 258.46 1.98 312.01 -1.08May 65.58 3.90 283.27 4.31 346.60 3.72 244.61 2.97 350.62 3.14Jun 65.58 3.90 282.59 4.34 339.63 5.35 247.74 1.81 315.38 4.07Jul 65.58 3.90 285.78 4.73 348.85 6.50 246.89 4.23 301.73 1.04Ago 65.58 3.90 284.77 4.63 336.59 2.57 252.64 4.32 307.09 2.70Sep 65.58 3.90 281.56 4.62 333.21 4.98 265.31 7.14 316.61 3.80Oct 65.58 3.90 280.04 4.57 351.84 5.56 246.05 5.89 309.31 4.60Nov 65.58 3.90 281.46 4.87 338.46 3.63 270.99 4.92 331.12 5.30Dic 65.58 3.90 280.93 4.79 420.19 3.73 292.63 5.00 427.77 5.80
2015 68.29 4.13 294.49 4.40 366.30 4.25 267.15 4.80 342.23 5.12
Ene 68.29 4.13 294.07 4.16 349.76 4.02 238.55 4.30 323.99 5.30Feb 68.29 4.13 293.91 4.24 334.99 3.72 275.06 4.50 325.38 2.20Mar 68.29 4.13 292.45 4.41 349.23 4.49 253.34 4.80 325.53 5.40Abr 68.29 4.13 292.50 4.36 352.69 4.01 270.35 4.60 322.30 3.30May 68.29 4.13 295.51 4.32 362.09 4.47 257.33 5.20 366.75 4.60Jun 68.29 4.13 295.14 4.44 353.11 3.97 259.63 4.80 328.31 4.10Jul 68.29 4.13 298.67 4.51 360.55 3.36 256.03 3.70 317.72 5.30Ago 68.29 4.13 297.64 4.52 351.07 4.30 263.75 4.40 324.28 5.60Sep 68.29 4.13 294.18 4.48 348.91 4.71 278.04 4.80 336.55 6.30Oct 68.29 4.13 292.53 4.46 369.17 4.92 259.09 5.30 329.73 6.60Nov 68.29 4.13 293.90 4.42 353.36 4.40 286.16 5.60 352.31 6.40Dic 68.29 4.13 293.37 4.43 439.28 4.54 308.43 5.40 453.86 6.10
Fuente: Cuadro elaborado por CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI, IMSS y de la Secretaría del Trabajo y Previsión Social.Nota: Los números en negrillas son estimaciones de CAMACRO.
Escenario Macroeconómico 7.2
Remuneración Real por Sectores Económicos(Pesos diarios a precios constantes de 2008)
Salario Mínimo Salario Base de Industria Industria SectorPeríodo General Cotización en el IMSS Manufacturera de la Construcción Comercio
Real Var. % Real Var. % Real Var. % Real Var. % Real Var. %1993 65.15 -1.53 206.07 8.34 272.26 4.50 198.64 6.25 295.36 5.191994 65.15 0.00 231.31 12.25 283.58 4.16 196.20 -1.23 253.37 -14.211995 56.77 -12.86 195.25 -15.59 247.91 -12.58 173.21 -11.72 218.84 -13.631996 52.41 -7.68 173.86 -10.96 223.38 -9.89 139.13 -19.68 198.74 -9.181997 51.79 -1.19 170.99 -1.65 222.09 -0.58 134.65 -3.22 202.36 1.821998 52.02 0.44 174.05 1.79 228.37 2.83 137.20 1.89 206.04 1.821999 50.32 -3.27 174.77 0.41 231.84 1.52 138.45 0.91 206.39 0.172000 50.58 0.52 186.77 6.87 245.69 5.97 144.26 4.20 219.82 6.512001 50.87 0.57 197.93 5.98 262.20 6.72 152.93 6.01 223.93 1.872002 51.23 0.71 203.73 2.93 267.08 1.86 171.16 11.92 226.92 1.332003 51.21 -0.04 207.59 1.90 270.69 1.35 184.88 8.02 241.52 6.442004 50.99 -0.41 211.11 1.70 271.42 0.27 185.08 0.11 269.77 11.692005 51.24 0.48 215.16 1.92 270.76 -0.24 188.77 2.00 280.86 4.112006 51.42 0.36 218.67 1.63 271.71 0.35 192.12 1.77 271.78 -3.232007 51.39 -0.07 221.86 1.46 274.34 0.97 195.24 1.62 269.40 -0.882008 50.84 -1.06 222.30 0.20 276.31 0.72 194.97 -0.14 268.10 -0.482009 50.51 -0.64 219.98 -1.04 274.85 -0.53 196.41 0.74 260.69 -2.772010 50.85 0.67 218.06 -0.87 273.19 -0.60 197.00 0.30 257.51 -1.222011 51.19 0.68 219.84 0.81 273.49 0.11 198.82 0.92 253.34 -1.622012 51.26 0.13 220.25 0.19 273.71 0.08 200.15 0.67 249.23 -1.622013 51.50 0.47 220.43 0.08 274.12 0.15 199.99 -0.08 256.22 2.802014 51.44 -0.12 221.26 0.37 275.59 0.53 199.94 -0.02 255.34 -0.34
Ene 42.12 0.48 181.32 0.47 215.94 3.05 146.89 -0.90 197.61 4.57Feb 42.01 0.43 180.63 0.49 206.90 -1.37 168.63 1.61 203.96 2.20Mar 41.90 0.21 178.95 0.22 213.52 -3.10 154.44 -2.06 197.32 0.69Abr 41.98 0.08 179.40 0.15 217.05 1.86 165.44 -0.25 199.71 -1.20May 42.11 0.08 181.90 0.13 222.56 0.60 157.07 -1.10 225.14 4.71Jun 42.04 0.37 181.15 0.48 217.71 0.30 158.81 -2.54 202.16 0.84Jul 41.92 0.66 182.69 0.65 223.00 3.80 157.83 0.49 192.88 -0.14Ago 41.77 0.60 181.39 0.57 214.40 -2.11 160.92 0.21 195.61 0.69Sep 41.59 0.60 178.56 0.66 211.31 1.16 168.25 1.70 200.78 2.76Oct 41.36 0.55 176.61 0.56 221.90 4.68 155.18 0.50 195.08 2.82Nov 41.03 0.37 176.09 0.74 211.75 -1.23 169.54 0.43 207.16 5.63Dic 40.83 -0.25 174.90 0.37 261.60 0.76 182.18 0.32 266.32 4.82
2015 52.02 1.13 224.31 1.38 279.01 1.24 203.49 1.77 260.67 2.09Ene 42.56 0.47 183.25 0.45 217.95 1.14 148.65 0.89 201.90 6.07Feb 42.44 0.68 182.63 0.87 208.16 1.48 170.92 0.27 202.19 -3.80Mar 42.28 1.04 181.06 1.48 216.21 0.95 156.84 0.15 201.54 3.22Abr 42.39 1.38 181.57 1.84 218.94 3.18 167.82 -0.05 200.07 -4.25May 42.63 1.62 184.49 2.21 226.06 1.77 160.65 1.75 228.97 1.34Jun 42.66 1.63 184.39 2.36 220.60 2.89 162.21 0.22 205.11 1.76Jul 42.55 1.32 186.08 2.50 224.63 3.07 159.51 1.21 197.94 -0.37Ago 42.36 1.15 184.61 2.24 217.74 0.02 163.59 1.82 201.13 1.39Sep 42.07 0.84 181.21 1.88 214.93 2.46 171.27 4.65 207.31 2.84Oct 41.80 0.68 179.07 1.66 225.98 3.07 158.60 3.76 201.84 3.77Nov 41.41 0.65 178.20 1.88 214.25 0.66 173.51 3.07 213.61 4.24Dic 41.17 0.65 176.86 1.81 264.82 0.89 185.94 2.96 273.61 4.43Fuente: Cuadro elaborado por CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI, del IMSS y de la Secretaría del Trabajo y Previsión Social.Nota: Los números en negrillas son estimaciones de CAMACRO.
Escenario Macroeconómico 7.3
Revisión de los Salarios Contractuales(Variación % anual)
Incremento Nominal Anual de los Salarios Contractuales Salarios Contractuales Inflación Período Por Sector Económico Por Tipo de Empresa Reales Ex-Ante
Total Industria Servicios Pública Privada Ex-Ante Ex-Post 12 meses1994 5.38 5.34 5.21 4.96 5.55 ....... 1.81 .......1995 11.93 11.64 12.85 14.84 10.01 ....... -21.00 .......1996 20.07 20.59 21.36 22.88 19.33 ....... -16.80 .......1997 19.29 19.75 19.35 19.23 19.83 4.59 -0.53 14.091998 17.77 17.80 17.69 17.59 17.87 3.34 2.94 14.001999 16.87 17.28 15.70 15.00 17.56 3.15 0.97 13.322000 12.54 12.89 11.81 11.47 12.97 3.37 6.72 8.882001 9.34 9.78 8.36 7.73 9.95 2.76 5.79 6.402002 6.07 6.14 5.44 4.93 6.37 1.78 4.11 4.212003 4.87 4.92 4.58 4.13 5.17 0.70 1.45 4.142004 4.36 4.40 3.89 3.47 4.61 0.31 0.18 4.032005 4.51 4.54 4.23 3.98 4.65 0.45 0.35 4.042006 4.31 4.33 3.93 3.78 4.38 0.72 0.85 3.572007 4.30 4.40 4.08 4.08 4.34 0.56 0.33 3.722008 4.52 4.63 4.25 4.25 4.53 0.43 -0.77 4.082009 4.46 4.64 4.19 4.34 4.43 0.09 -0.75 4.372010 4.58 4.85 3.94 3.85 4.70 0.37 0.29 4.202011 4.52 4.72 3.89 3.77 4.63 0.60 1.14 3.902012 4.57 4.66 4.23 4.12 4.64 0.71 0.40 4.902013 4.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.67 0.66 5.902013 4.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.902014 4.19 4.93 3.14 3.66 4.43 0.61 0.32 3.58
Ene 3.84 4.68 3.21 3.67 4.39 0.54 -0.20 3.69Feb 4.37 4.77 3.22 3.51 3.98 0.20 0.20 3.64Mar 4.43 4.76 3.20 4.46 4.36 0.78 0.67 3.56Abr 4.03 4.79 2.91 3.68 4.46 0.76 0.76 3.64May 4.39 7.37 3.14 3.52 4.29 0.36 1.02 3.66Jun 4.41 4.62 3.53 3.71 4.45 0.78 0.83 3.58Jul 4.14 4.23 2.89 3.43 4.60 0.82 0.04 3.56Ago 4.50 4.85 3.12 3.98 4.81 0.61 0.43 3.51Sep 4.20 3.85 3.14 3.63 4.72 0.92 0.19 3.54Oct 3.73 6.37 3.52 3.29 4.20 0.65 -0.30 3.52Nov 4.26 4.23 2.93 3.41 4.57 0.18 0.01 3.51Dic 3.95 4.63 2.85 3.63 4.32 0.69 0.15 3.54
2015 4.23 4.97 3.14 3.65 4.46 0.68 1.25 3.53Ene 4.24 4.59 3.05 3.41 4.59 0.29 1.15 3.65Feb e/ 4.44 4.85 3.28 3.57 4.04 0.75 1.27 3.69Mar 4.31 4.63 3.11 4.34 4.24 0.90 1.23 3.41Abr 4.26 5.06 3.08 3.89 4.71 0.86 0.92 3.40May 4.37 7.33 3.13 3.51 4.26 0.95 1.54 3.42Jun 4.26 4.47 3.41 3.58 4.30 0.72 1.80 3.54Jul 4.17 4.26 2.91 3.46 4.63 0.75 1.53 3.42Ago 4.16 4.49 2.89 3.68 4.45 0.64 1.80 3.52Sep 4.12 3.78 3.09 3.56 4.63 0.53 1.24 3.59Oct 4.18 7.13 3.95 3.68 4.71 0.65 0.70 3.53Nov 4.17 4.14 2.87 3.34 4.48 0.51 1.07 3.66Dic 4.14 4.85 2.98 3.80 4.53 0.66 0.68 3.48
NOTA: La inflación anual ex-ante es la consignada para los siguientes 12 meses por los analistas independientes en la Encuesta Mensual del Banxico.e/ Empieza estimación CAMACRO.Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos del Banco de México y de la Secretaría del Trabajo y Previsión Social.
Escenario Macroeconómico 7.4
Remuneraciones en el Sector Manufacturero(Variación porcentual anual a precios reales respecto al mismo período del año anterior)
Remuneraciones Medias Reales por Persona OcupadaMes Total Sueldos Salarios Prestaciones Sociales
2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014
Ene 2.8 0.2 1.7 1.1 5.1 -0.2 1.8 0.4Feb -2.2 0.9 -1.0 2.7 -2.3 -1.1 -1.9 2.7Mar -2.8 -0.3 -1.4 2.0 -3.0 -2.2 -3.0 1.1Abr -0.4 2.3 0.5 3.3 0.1 1.2 -0.6 3.0May 0.4 0.2 0.8 2.4 1.1 -1.1 -0.1 0.5Jun -1.2 1.5 -0.1 3.1 -1.5 2.1 -0.5 -0.8Jul 1.4 2.3 2.3 2.0 1.3 3.2 1.7 1.3Ago -0.6 -1.5 0.9 -0.4 -1.3 -2.5 0.2 -0.6Sep 0.4 0.7 1.0 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2Oct 3.4 1.2 3.4 1.8 4.2 1.4 3.1 0.6Nov -0.7 -0.5 0.9 0.6 -1.7 -0.8 0.2 -0.5Dic 1.1 -0.3 2.7 -0.8 0.7 0.1 0.6 0.7
Prom. 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.7Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos del INEGI.
Remuneraciones Sector Manufacturero en México y otros Países(Variación porcentual anual a precios reales respecto al mismo período del año anterior)
Remuneraciones Medias Reales por Persona OcupadaMes México Estados Unidos Canadá Japón
2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014
Ene 2.8 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.8 -3.6 -0.6 0.7Feb -2.2 0.9 1.1 1.4 4.2 -4.6 -0.8 0.2Mar -2.8 -0.3 1.0 1.7 2.3 -2.9 -1.1 0.7Abr -0.4 2.3 0.6 1.4 2.5 -1.8 -0.1 0.7May 0.4 0.2 1.1 1.5 -2.8 -1.8 -0.2 0.8Jun -1.2 1.5 1.1 1.4 2.3 -1.3 -0.4 0.9Jul 1.4 2.3 0.8 1.8 -0.9 0.9 -0.4 1.2Ago -0.6 -1.5 1.4 1.6 -1.3 3.5 0.1 0.8Sep 0.4 0.7 1.5 1.3 -1.8 3.5 0.0 1.1Oct 3.4 1.2 1.4 1.3 -0.8 4.0 0.3 0.8Nov -0.7 -0.5 1.5 1.3 -2.7 ….. 0.3 …..Dic 1.1 -0.3 1.7 1.3 -3.5 ….. 0.2 …..
Prom. 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.6 -0.1 -0.4 -0.2 0.8Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos del INEGI y del FMI, Estadísticas Financieras Internacionales.
8.0 Comercio Exterior de México
8.0 Comercio Exterior 2012-2017
8.1 Indicadores de Comercio Exterior 2013-2014
8.1 Precio Internacional del Petróleo 2013-2014
8.2 Comercio Exterior por Países Seleccionados 2013-2014
Escenario Macroeconómico 8.0
Comercio Exterior(Millones de dólares)
Datos Históricos Proyecciones2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Exportación Total 370,770 380,027 397,535 408,212 456,079 523,281Tasa% 6.1 2.5 4.6 2.7 11.7 14.7Petroleras 52,956 49,493 42,979 24,621 32,400 37,682Tasa% -6.2 -6.5 -13.2 -42.7 31.6 16.3 Petróleo crudo 46,852 42,723 36,248 20,670 27,809 32,298 Tasa% -5.1 -8.8 -15.2 -43.0 34.5 16.1 Otras 6,103 6,770 6,731 3,951 4,591 5,384 Tasa% -13.6 10.9 -0.6 -41.3 16.2 17.3No petroleras 317,814 330,534 354,556 383,591 423,680 485,600Tasa% 8.5 4.0 7.3 8.2 10.5 14.6 Agropecuarias 10,914 11,246 12,204 12,049 13,712 14,850 Tasa% 5.9 3.0 8.5 -1.3 13.8 8.3 Extractivas 4906.5 4714.4 5064.0 5244.4 5941.9 7332.3 Tasa% 20.7 -3.9 7.4 3.6 13.3 23.4 Manufactureras 301,993 314,573 337,289 366,297 404,026 463,418 Tasa% 8.4 4.2 7.2 8.6 10.3 14.7 Automotrices 88,377 97,781 109,395 124,535 144,723 170,179 Tasa% 11.6 10.6 11.9 13.8 16.2 17.6 Otras 213,616 216,793 227,894 241,762 259,303 293,238.2 Tasa% 7.1 1.5 5.1 6.1 7.3 13.1
Importación Total 370,752 381,210 399,977 426,470 467,517 535,012Tasa% 5.7 2.8 4.9 6.6 9.6 14.4 Bienes de consumo 54,272 57,329 58,299 59,690 63,450 69,922 Tasa% 4.8 5.6 1.7 2.4 6.3 10.2 Bienes de uso intermedio 277,911 284,823 302,031 323,846 355,259 407,837 Tasa% 5.3 2.5 6.0 7.2 9.7 14.8 Bienes de capital 38,568 39,057 39,647 42,935 48,809 57,253 Tasa% 10.1 1.3 1.5 8.3 13.7 17.3
Balanza Comercial Total 18 -1,184 -2,442 -18,259 -11,438 -11,730 Sin Exportaciones Petroleras -52,937 -50,677 -45,421 -42,880 -43,838 -49,412
Apéndice: Precio Petróleo Crudo US$Dólares por Barril 101.95 98.53 86.56 51.54 67.11 74.66 Tasa% 0.7 -3.4 -12.1 -40.5 30.2 11.3 Volumen Exportado Miles de barriles diarios 1,256 1,189 1,143 1,101 1,135 1,185 Tasa% -6.0 -5.3 -3.9 -3.7 3.2 4.4Datos Históricos: Banco de México y Pemex.Proyecciones: Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Exportación de Mercancías
Concepto
Escenario Macroeconómico 8.1
Indicadores de Comercio Exterior(Millones de dólares)
Enero-Diciembre Variación %2013 2014 2013 2014
Exportaciones Totales 380,026.6 397,535.4 2.5 4.6Petroleras 49,493.0 42,979.0 -6.5 -13.2 Petróleo crudo 42,723.2 36,248.0 -8.8 -15.2 Otras 6,769.8 6,731.0 10.9 -0.6
No petroleras 330,533.6 354,556.4 4.0 7.3 Agropecuarias 11,245.8 12,203.6 3.0 8.5 Extractivas 4,714.4 5,064.0 -3.9 7.4 Manufactureras 314,573.4 337,288.9 4.2 7.2 Automotrices 97,780.9 109,395.1 10.6 11.9 Otras 216,792.5 227,893.8 1.5 5.1
Importaciones Totales 381,210.2 399,977.2 2.8 4.9 Bienes de consumo 57,329.4 58,299.1 5.6 1.7 Bienes de uso intermedio 284,823.4 302,031.2 2.5 6.0 Bienes de capital 39,057.4 39,646.8 1.3 1.5
Balanza Comercial Total -1,183.6 -2,441.8 n.s. n.s. Sin Exportación Petrolera -50,676.6 -45,420.8 n.s. n.s.
Apéndice: Precio Promedio del Petróleo (Dls./barril) 98.53 86.56 -3.4 -12.1 Plataforma de Exportación (mbd) 1,189 1,143 -5.3 -3.9
Precio Internacional del Petróleo Crudo(Dólares)
Mezcla Mexicana West Texas Intermediate DiferenciaMes Dólares por Barril Dólares por Barril WTI-Mezcla Mexicana
2014 2015 2013 2014 2013 2014Ene 100.60 90.65 94.76 94.62 5.84 -3.97Feb 105.43 93.09 95.31 100.82 10.12 -7.73Mar 102.98 93.48 92.94 100.80 10.04 -7.32Abr 99.12 95.68 92.02 102.07 7.10 -6.39May 98.67 96.79 94.51 102.18 4.16 -5.39Jun 97.86 98.79 95.77 105.79 2.09 -7.00Jul 101.00 94.65 104.67 103.59 -3.67 -8.94Ago 100.84 90.80 106.57 96.54 -5.73 -5.74Sep 99.74 85.82 106.29 93.21 -6.55 -7.39Oct 94.95 75.23 100.54 84.40 -5.59 -9.17Nov 89.54 71.39 93.86 75.79 -4.32 -4.40Dic 91.65 52.36 97.63 59.29 -5.98 -6.93
Prom. 98.53 86.56 97.91 93.26 0.63 -6.70Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos de PEMEX y US Energy Information Administration.
Concepto
Escenario Macroeconómico 8.2
Comercio Exterior de México por Países(Millones de dólares)
Exportaciones Importaciones Balanza Comercial Países Enero-Diciembre Var. Enero-Diciembre Var. Enero-Diciembre
2013 2014 % 2013 2014 % 2013 2014
Total 380,027 397,535 4.6 381,210 399,977 4.9 -1,184 -2,442 América 337,728 355,231 5.2 212,417 220,846 4.0 125,311 134,385 América del Norte 309,892 329,560 6.3 197,109 205,323 4.2 112,783 124,237 Estados Unidos 299,439 318,890 6.5 187,262 195,278 4.3 112,178 123,612 Canadá 10,453 10,670 2.1 9,847 10,045 2.0 606 625 Centro y Sudamérica 27,836 25,671 -7.8 15,308 15,523 1.4 12,528 10,148 Argentina 1,966 1,302 -33.8 1,167 1,050 -10.1 799 252 Brasil 5,386 4,740 -12.0 4,421 4,473 1.2 966 267 Colombia 4,735 4,734 0.0 912 934 2.5 3,823 3,799 Chile 2,085 2,148 3.0 1,438 1,398 -2.8 646 750 Perú 1,770 1,730 -2.3 585 1,106 89.0 1,185 624 Venezuela 2,155 1,552 -28.0 97 72 -26.1 2,057 1,480 Otros países 9,739 9,466 -2.8 6,688 6,490 -3.0 3,051 2,976 Europa 21,836 22,522 3.1 47,108 49,210 4.5 -25,272 -26,687 Unión Europea 19,710 20,296 3.0 42,772 44,105 3.1 -23,062 -23,809 Alemania 3,797 3,502 -7.8 13,461 13,762 2.2 -9,664 -10,261 España 7,138 5,946 -16.7 4,311 4,753 10.3 2,827 1,193 Francia 1,288 1,631 26.7 3,686 3,786 2.7 -2,398 -2,155 Países Bajos 1,589 2,272 43.0 4,202 3,688 -12.2 -2,613 -1,416 Italia 1,251 1,702 36.0 5,621 5,217 -7.2 -4,370 -3,515 Portugal 62 45 -28.2 420 554 31.7 -358 -509 Reino Unido 1,438 1,806 25.6 2,508 2,513 0.2 -1,070 -707 Otros países 3,146 3,392 7.8 8,562 9,831 14.8 -5,416 -6,440 Otros países 2,126 2,226 4.7 4,337 5,104 17.7 -2,211 -2,878 Asia 18,499 17,687 -4.4 119,436 127,626 6.9 -100,937 -109,938 China 6,470 5,979 -7.6 61,321 66,256 8.0 -54,851 -60,276 Corea 1,527 2,028 32.8 13,507 13,782 2.0 -11,981 -11,754 Hong Kong 957 1,029 7.5 289 290 0.4 667 739 India 3,795 2,668 -29.7 2,868 3,727 29.9 927 -1,058 Japón 2,244 2,609 16.3 17,076 17,545 2.7 -14,832 -14,935 Malasia 176 195 11.1 5,379 6,561 22.0 -5,203 -6,365 Singapur 577 529 -8.3 1,456 1,200 -17.6 -880 -671 Taiwán 487 392 -19.5 6,689 6,368 -4.8 -6,202 -5,976 Otros países 2,266 2,257 -0.4 10,850 11,898 9.7 -8,583 -9,641 Resto del Mundo 1,963 2,095 6.7 2,248 2,296 2.1 -285 -201Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Banco de México.
9.0 Balanza de Pagos de México
9.0 Balanza de Pagos Anual 2012-2017
9.1 Balanza de Pagos Trimestral 2014-2015
9.2 Inversión Extranjera Directa por principales Países 1994-2014
9.3 Banco de México: Inversión Extranjera Directa y de Cartera 1975-2015
9.4 Resumen Mensual de la Cuenta Corriente, de Capital y Reserva Internacional del Banco de México 2014-2015
Escenario Macroeconómico 9.0
Balanza de Pagos de México(Millones de dólares)
Datos Históricos Proyecciones2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Cuenta Corriente -15,431 -26,485 -24,454 -36,116 -29,764 -33,230% del PIB -1.3 -2.1 -1.9 -2.9 -2.1 -2.2
Ingresos 423,510 434,414 453,759 472,862 528,063 603,503 Mercancías 370,770 380,027 397,535 408,212 456,079 523,281 Turismo 12,739 13,949 16,258 18,326 21,038 24,467 Remesas Familiares 22,438 21,892 23,607 25,489 27,615 30,145 Intereses 2,671 2,391 2,357 3,321 4,274 5,186 Otros 14,891 16,156 14,002 17,515 19,056 20,423Egresos 438,940 460,899 478,213 508,979 557,827 636,733 Mercancías 370,752 381,210 399,977 426,470 467,517 535,012 Turismo 8,449 9,122 9,657 10,202 11,191 12,713 Fletes y Seguros 9,726 9,755 11,680 12,437 14,072 17,869 Intereses 20,296 23,276 25,335 30,086 33,603 37,081 Otros 29,718 37,535 31,564 29,784 31,443 34,058
Cuenta de Capital 54,966 63,805 59,643 70,966 64,004 65,347
Pasivos 89,005 106,452 87,980 93,918 104,900 118,980 Endeudamiento Externo Neto 14,357 43,328 38,194 46,423 40,749 38,963 Sector Público 8,794 8,630 18,239 23,081 17,057 14,756 Sector Privado 8,769 19,586 11,726 13,590 16,633 18,074 Banca Comercial -3,206 15,112 8,228 9,751 7,059 6,132 Banco de México 0 0 0 0 0 0 Inversión Extranjera 74,648 63,124 49,786 47,495 64,151 80,018 Directa 18,131 42,093 21,489 26,785 32,321 37,077 De Cartera 56,517 21,030 28,297 20,710 31,830 42,940 Mercado Accionario 9,877 -943 4,833 7,682 10,323 11,676 Mercado de Dinero 46,640 21,973 23,464 13,028 21,507 31,264Activos -34,039 -42,647 -28,337 -22,952 -40,896 -53,633 Inversión Directa en el Exterior -22,470 -13,138 -9,529 -11,823 -26,896 -38,633 Resto -11,569 -29,509 -18,807 -11,129 -14,000 -15,000Errores y Omisiones -18,813 -19,675 -14,151 -15,576 -17,767 -18,898Ajustes oro-plata y valoración -317 4,639 4,321 4,633 5,326 5,688
Banco de MéxicoReserva Internacional Variación anual 21,040 13,006 16,717 14,640 11,146 7,530 Saldo fin de año 163,515 176,522 193,239 207,879 219,025 226,556Datos Históricos: Banco de México.Proyecciones: Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Concepto
Escenario Macroeconómico 9.1
Balanza de Pagos Trimestral(Millones de dólares)2014 2015
I II III IV e/ I e/ II e/ III e/ IV e/
Cuenta Corriente -8,989 -7,654 -2,702 -5,109 -8,562 -9,543 -10,611 -7,401% del PIB -0.7 -0.6 -0.2 -0.4 -0.7 -0.8 -0.8 -0.6
Ingresos 104,161 114,838 115,482 119,278 104,372 116,348 122,043 130,099 Mercancías 90,750 101,929 101,327 103,530 89,249 102,056 105,956 110,951 Turismo 4,425 4,010 3,603 4,220 4,948 4,458 4,038 4,883 Remesas Familiares 5,459 6,166 5,967 6,014 5,853 6,659 6,558 6,419 Intereses 512 578 611 656 656 703 865 1,097 Otros 3,015 2,155 3,973 4,859 3,666 2,473 4,627 6,749Egresos 113,150 122,492 118,184 124,387 112,934 125,891 132,654 137,500 Mercancías 92,064 100,864 102,840 104,209 93,791 105,408 112,746 114,526 Turismo 2,075 2,268 2,572 2,742 2,033 2,353 2,790 3,026 Fletes y Seguros 2,672 2,963 3,002 3,043 2,748 3,110 3,281 3,298 Intereses 4,865 7,734 5,087 7,649 6,487 7,424 6,624 9,551 Otros 11,472 8,664 4,683 6,744 7,875 7,596 7,214 7,099
Cuenta de Capital 11,859 26,733 1,516 19,534 11,707 17,803 20,827 20,629
Pasivos 15,955 36,728 7,789 27,507 14,163 22,974 26,612 30,168 Endeudamiento 1,779 20,466 2,974 12,975 5,182 13,288 13,362 14,592 Sector Público 7,786 4,747 842 4,865 5,742 6,890 5,463 4,987 Sector Privado -519 6,071 1,806 4,368 1,073 3,113 4,278 5,126 Banca Comercial -5,488 9,648 326 3,742 -1,634 3,285 3,621 4,478 Banco de México 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Inversión Extranjera 14,176 16,262 4,816 14,532 8,982 9,687 13,250 15,576 Directa 9,392 2,808 3,110 6,179 4,847 6,137 8,066 7,735 De cartera 4,784 13,454 1,706 8,353 4,134 3,550 5,184 7,842 Mercado Accionario 282 6,264 -658 -1,054 -1,126 1,384 3,115 4,309 Mercado de Dinero 4,503 7,190 2,364 9,407 5,261 2,166 2,069 3,533Activos -4,096 -9,995 -6,273 -7,973 -2,456 -5,171 -5,786 -9,539 Inversión Directa Exterior -2,381 826 -3,177 -4,796 -1,786 -2,786 -4,888 -2,363 Resto -1,715 -10,821 -3,096 -3,176 -669 -2,385 -898 -7,176Errores y Omisiones 3,150 -12,172 2,678 -7,807 795 -7,516 -3,685 -5,171Ajustes y Valoración -218 -667 1,243 3,963 -366 -545 1,887 3,657
Banco de MéxicoReserva Internacional Variación trimestral 6,238 7,575 249 2,656 4,307 1,289 4,644 4,400 Saldo fin de trimestre 182,759 190,334 190,583 193,239 197,546 198,835 203,479 207,879e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos del Banco de México.
Concepto
Escenario Macroeconómico 9.2
Inversión Extranjera Directa por País de Origen(Millones de dólares)
Años Total EE.UU. Reino Unido Alemania Japón Suiza España Canadá Holanda Otros
1999 13,940 7,559 -187 774 1,247 125 1,046 691 1,086 1,5982000 18,318 13,188 286 348 443 147 2,126 680 2,697 -1,5972001 30,028 21,549 152 -101 187 -161 2,894 1,047 2,654 1,8082002 24,026 13,228 1,261 599 179 462 5,008 283 1,741 1,2652003 18,887 9,000 1,143 446 139 2,585 2,850 408 817 1,4992004 25,096 9,208 323 393 392 1,157 7,893 804 3,380 1,5452005 24,708 11,836 1,349 334 173 324 1,704 690 4,018 4,2792006 20,891 13,255 973 751 -1,434 603 1,461 965 2,805 1,5122007 32,209 12,997 612 649 440 617 5,458 835 6,656 3,9452008 28,685 11,792 1,421 657 519 243 4,998 3,437 1,900 3,7202009 17,987 7,715 423 -32 483 105 3,004 1,832 2,602 1,8532010 25,897 6,909 701 334 536 265 4,185 1,856 9,245 1,8672011 23,628 12,276 -1,037 378 916 1,168 3,446 1,400 2,775 2,3062012 18,131 8,958 450 946 1,816 282 -781 1,768 1,488 3,2042013 42,093 13,346 1,254 1,773 1,632 284 -447 3,246 3,965 17,0402014
Ene.-Sep. 15,310 2,272 172 951 968 161 3,185 2,243 1,948 3,411
Inversión Extranjera Directa por Sectores Económicos(Millones de dólares)
Minería Electricidad Transportes, Servicios OtrosAños Total Agropecuario y Manufacturas y Construcción Comercio Almacenamiento Sector Sector
Extracción Agua y Comunicaciones Financiero Servicios
1999 13,940 88 245 9,114 189 215 1,486 883 415 1,3042000 18,318 98 303 10,320 167 226 2,408 -1,502 4,608 1,6912001 30,028 110 60 6,447 310 333 2,163 3,241 16,114 1,2512002 24,026 114 272 8,450 552 556 1,875 3,659 7,087 1,4612003 18,887 1 130 9,782 356 112 1,696 1,048 3,136 2,6272004 25,096 42 326 13,681 296 431 1,327 3,412 4,029 1,5522005 24,708 15 247 11,872 350 413 2,703 2,976 2,290 3,8442006 20,891 3 482 10,232 -62 588 578 769 4,254 4,0462007 32,209 73 1,818 12,901 206 2,744 2,134 280 6,174 5,8782008 28,685 58 4,491 8,707 508 1,036 2,409 1,844 7,041 2,5912009 17,987 20 1,331 6,771 46 709 1,849 745 3,021 3,4962010 25,897 91 1,362 13,988 117 381 2,838 2,823 2,507 1,7892011 23,628 40 806 10,124 222 1,608 2,898 1,259 2,768 3,9022012 18,131 108 2,897 7,736 639 1,374 2,946 1,376 -2,599 3,6542013 42,093 169 4,170 28,496 33 641 1,687 3,143 261 3,4932014
Ene.-Sep. 15,310 89 2,178 9,122 394 507 1,442 -3,954 3,793 1,738
Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos de la Dirección General de Inversiones Extranjeras de la Secretaría de Economía.Nota: En 2013 se consignan en el rubro de "otros" 16,900 millones de dólares de IED. De este total, 13,257 millones de dólares corresponden a Belgica.
Escenario Macroeconómico 9.3
Banco de México: Inversión Extranjera Directa y de Cartera(Millones de dólares)
Total Inversión Inversión Inversión de Cartera en México Inversión DirectaPeríodo Extranjera Directa Mercado Mercado de México en
en México en México de Valores de Dinero el Extranjero1975 652 505 147 0 147 01976 1,012 541 471 0 471 01977 1,918 540 1,378 0 1,378 01978 1,536 830 706 0 706 01979 989 1,327 -338 0 -338 01980 2,090 2,090 0 0 0 01981 3,076 3,076 0 0 0 01982 1,900 1,900 0 0 0 01983 2,192 2,192 0 0 0 01984 1,541 1,541 0 0 0 01985 1,984 1,984 0 0 0 01986 2,401 2,401 0 0 0 01987 2,635 2,635 0 0 0 01988 2,880 2,880 0 0 0 01989 3,669 3,176 493 493 0 01990 4,628 2,633 1,994 1,994 0 01991 14,500 4,761 9,738 6,332 3,406 01992 17,323 4,393 12,930 4,783 8,147 01993 22,511 4,389 18,122 10,717 7,406 01994 12,831 10,973 1,858 4,084 -2,225 01995 -3,814 9,526 -13,340 519 -13,860 01996 12,684 9,185 3,499 2,801 698 01997 16,565 12,830 3,736 3,215 520 01998 12,073 12,757 -684 -666 -19 01999 16,760 13,940 2,820 3,769 -949 02000 18,689 18,318 371 447 -76 02001 31,051 30,028 1,022 151 871 4,4042002 23,951 24,026 -75 -104 29 8912003 19,523 18,887 636 -123 760 1,2532004 27,623 25,096 2,528 -2,522 5,050 4,4322005 30,754 24,708 6,046 3,353 2,693 6,4742006 26,210 20,891 5,319 2,805 2,513 5,7582007 39,538 32,209 7,329 -482 7,811 8,2562008 31,115 28,685 2,430 -3,503 5,933 1,1572009 25,621 17,987 7,634 4,155 3,479 9,6042010 49,398 25,897 23,500 373 23,127 15,0502011 48,713 23,628 25,086 -6,566 31,651 12,6362012 74,648 18,131 56,517 9,877 46,640 22,4702013 63,124 42,093 21,030 -943 21,973 13,1382014 49,786 21,489 28,297 4,833 23,464 9,529
I 14,176 9,392 4,784 282 4,503 2,381II 16,262 2,808 13,454 6,264 7,190 -826III 4,816 3,110 1,706 -658 2,364 3,177
IV e/ 14,532 6,179 8,353 -1,054 9,407 4,7962015 47,495 26,785 20,710 7,682 13,028 11,823I e/ 8,982 4,847 4,134 -1,126 5,261 1,786II e/ 9,687 6,137 3,550 1,384 2,166 2,786
III e/ 13,250 8,066 5,184 3,115 2,069 4,888IV e/ 15,576 7,735 7,842 4,309 3,533 2,363
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Banco de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Total
Escenario Macroeconómico 9.4
Resumen Mensual de la Balanza de Pagos de México(Millones de dólares)
Saldo Principales rubros de la Cuenta Corriente Saldo Banco de MéxicoAño de la Saldo Saldo Ingresos Ingresos Egresos Cuenta Reserva
y mes Cuenta Balanza Balanza Remesas diversos Intereses de Capital InternacionalCorriente Comercial Turística Familiares Conceptos y otros y otros Cambio Saldo
2014 -24,454 -2,442 6,601 23,607 16,359 -60,325 41,171 16,717 193,239
Ene -5,740 -3,182 582 1,642 1,125 -4,968 8,788 3,048 179,570Feb -1,640 918 769 1,719 1,257 -4,464 2,925 1,285 180,855Mar -1,609 949 999 2,098 1,144 -4,890 3,514 1,904 182,759Abr -2,397 510 549 1,976 973 -4,908 5,686 3,289 186,049May -2,775 132 515 2,147 965 -4,959 4,991 2,217 188,266Jun -2,483 424 679 2,043 795 -4,791 4,551 2,069 190,334Jul -1,376 -980 610 1,998 1,633 -5,062 1,361 -15 190,319Ago -1,520 -1,123 290 2,004 1,280 -5,251 2,714 1,194 191,513Sep 194 590 130 1,965 1,671 -5,157 -1,124 -930 190,583Oct -1,333 143 240 2,042 1,999 -5,424 2,467 1,134 191,717Nov -2,553 -1,076 426 1,775 1,817 -5,343 3,554 1,001 192,718Dic -1,223 254 812 2,196 1,698 -5,110 1,743 521 193,239
Saldo Principales Rubrosde la Cuenta Corriente Saldo Banco de MéxicoAño de la Saldo Saldo Ingresos Ingresos Egresos Cuenta Reserva
y mes Cuenta Balanza Balanza Remesas diversos Intereses de Capital Internacional Corriente Comercial Turística Familiares Conceptos y otros y otros Cambio Saldo
2015 -36,117 -18,259 8,124 25,489 20,835 -64,390 50,757 14,640 207,879
Ene e/ -5,900 -4,560 768 1,762 1,436 -5,306 8,672 2,772 196,011Feb -1,295 45 929 1,867 1,311 -4,652 1,928 633 196,643Mar -1,366 -26 1,217 2,224 1,575 -5,290 2,269 903 197,546Abr -3,398 -1,335 678 2,168 1,023 -5,335 3,041 -358 197,188May -3,038 -974 620 2,288 993 -5,327 3,693 656 197,844Jun -3,107 -1,043 807 2,203 1,159 -5,125 4,098 991 198,835Jul -3,984 -2,710 683 2,192 1,865 -5,530 5,805 1,822 200,656Ago -4,485 -3,211 386 2,211 1,712 -5,398 6,505 2,020 202,676Sep -2,142 -868 178 2,156 1,914 -5,480 2,945 802 203,479Oct -2,201 -926 321 2,177 2,615 -5,787 4,156 1,955 205,433Nov -3,401 -2,126 592 1,932 2,610 -5,708 4,701 1,300 206,733Dic -1,799 -524 944 2,311 2,622 -5,452 2,944 1,146 207,879Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos del Banco de México.e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.Nota 1: Los saldos mensuales de la cuenta corriente y de la cuenta de capital son estimaciones propias.Nota 2: El saldo de la cuenta de capital incluye los rubros de errores y omisiones, más ajustes oro-plata y valoración.
10.0 Deuda Externa de México
10.0 Deuda Externa Total de México 2012-2017
10.1 Deuda Externa Total por Sectores Económicos 2009-2013s
Escenario Macroeconómico 10.0
Deuda Externa Total de México(Millones de dólares)
Datos Históricos Proyecciones2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Saldo de la Deuda Externa
Deuda Externa Total 213,410 240,703 261,337 308,502 342,410 374,200% PIB 17.1 19.5 22.5 24.2 24.6 24.5
Sector Público 125,726 134,436 147,666 174,684 188,426 200,689% PIB 10.1 10.9 12.7 13.7 13.5 13.2
Sector Privado 72,025 87,709 96,996 111,922 127,585 144,537% PIB 5.8 7.1 8.4 8.8 9.1 9.5
Banca Comercial 15,659 18,558 16,676 21,896 26,400 28,974% PIB 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.7 1.9 1.9
Banco de México/FMI 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% PIB 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Endeudamiento Externo Neto
Deuda Externa Total 14,357 43,328 38,194 46,423 40,749 38,963
Sector Público 8,794 8,630 18,239 23,081 17,057 14,756
Sector Privado 8,769 19,586 11,726 13,590 16,633 18,074
Banca Comercial -3,206 15,112 8,228 9,751 7,059 6,132
Banco de México/FMI 0 0 0 0 0 0
Indicadores del Peso de la Deuda Externa Total
Tasa de Interés Implícita 9.5 9.7 9.7 9.8 9.8 9.9
Intereses/Exportación ByS 5.1 5.6 5.8 6.5 6.6 6.4
Deuda Total/Exportación ByS 53.1 58.2 60.1 66.7 67.5 64.4NOTA: Cifras sujetas a revisiones por cambios y edecuaciones metodológicas.Umbral crítico del Coeficiente Intereses/Exportación de Bienes y Servicios: + de 20%Umbral crítico del Coeficiente Deuda Total/Exportación de Bienes y Servicios: + de 200%Datos Históricos: CAMACRO, con datos de la Secretaria de Hacienda y Crédito Público y del Banco de México.Proyecciones: Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Conceptos
Escenario Macroeconómico 10.1
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013Diciembre Diciembre Diciembre Diciembre Diciembre
A . SECTOR PUBLICO 96,354 110,428 116,420 125,726 134,436
1. CON ACREEDORES PRIVADOS 66,523 73,810 78,692 87,788 96,480 Mercado de Capitales 58,731 63,591 68,914 79,394 90,302 Mercado Bancario 7,791 10,219 9,779 8,395 6,1782. ACREEDORES MULTILATERALES 17,144 21,134 23,428 25,309 27,350 B I D 7,047 8,779 9,810 10,580 12,202 B I R F 10,097 12,355 13,618 14,729 15,1483. COMERCIO EXTERIOR 12,288 15,151 14,014 12,312 10,321 Eximbaks 2,217 3,399 4,006 3,949 3,688 Bancos Comerciales 8,932 9,851 8,136 6,707 5,542 Proveedores 1,139 1,902 1,872 1,656 1,0924. PIDIREGAS 323 333 286 316 2855. COMPOSICION TOTAL DEL SECTOR PUBLICO POR MONEDAS 96,354 110,428 116,420 125,726 134,436 Dólar Americano 77,919 90,882 97,048 105,836 111,647 Euro 10,830 9,421 9,377 9,530 11,489 Canasta de Monedas 367 9 14 18 17 Libra Esterlina 1,981 1,920 1,906 1,993 1,369 Yen Japonés 4,541 6,864 6,793 6,847 5,519 Franco Suizo 716 953 910 961 969 Otras 0 379 371 541 3,426
B. SECTOR PRIVADO 61,229 64,707 68,650 72,025 87,709
1. MERCADO DE CAPITALES 21,525 29,997 38,355 50,016 66,856 Bonos 21,525 29,997 38,355 50,016 66,8562. COMERCIO EXTERIOR 1,099 905 811 225 171 Eximbak 936 746 656 222 171 Banca Comercial 164 159 154 4 03. MERCADO BANCARIO 38,605 33,805 29,484 21,784 20,682 Directos 38,605 33,805 29,484 21,784 20,682
C. SECTOR BANCARIO 6,218 15,008 16,273 15,659 18,558
1. Banca Comercial 1,196 5,570 5,119 2,720 4,372 2. Otros Pasivos con el Público 5,022 9,438 11,154 12,939 14,186
D. TOTAL DEUDA EXTERNA 163,801 190,143 201,344 213,410 240,703Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos de la Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público.
Deuda Externa Total de México por Sectores(Millones de dólares)
Concepto
11.0 Agregados Monetarios y Actividad Financiera
11.0 Base Monetaria, Ahorro Financiero y Crédito de la Banca Comercial
al Sector Privado 2012-2017
11.1 BANXICO: Agregados Monetarios y Actividad Financiera 2013-2014
Escenario Macroeconómico 11.0
Agregados Monetarios y Actividad Financiera(Variación % anual real)
Datos Observados Proyecciones2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Base Monetaria 7.0 4.3 11.1 8.9 7.1 5.9M1 5.7 6.0 10.0 8.1 7.4 7.5 Billetes y monedas en poder del público 6.4 3.9 12.5 6.1 5.8 5.1 Cuentas de cheques en MN 1.2 6.3 7.8 10.0 8.9 9.5 Cuentas de cheques en ME 18.9 11.1 18.2 12.9 12.4 12.7 Depósitos en cuenta corriente y otros 11.3 7.2 7.4 4.8 4.1 4.1M2=M1 + activos financieros internos de residentes 4.6 4.6 6.6 8.8 10.1 11.7 Captación interna de bancos residentes y otros 3.9 2.0 4.6 9.0 10.7 12.9 Valores públicos en poder de residentes 5.7 5.0 7.8 10.0 11.5 13.1 Valores emitidos por el Gobierno Federal 5.7 4.4 9.8 9.6 10.4 11.6 Valores emitidos por el Banco de México n.s. n.s. n.s. n.s. n.s. n.s. Valores emitidos por el IPAB 6.4 1.0 1.6 7.7 9.8 10.7 Otros valores públicos 4.7 11.9 7.0 13.5 17.2 20.0 Valores emitidos por entidades privadas -1.2 6.8 -5.3 4.2 7.1 13.3 Fondos de ahorro para el retiro 2.1 2.9 1.5 7.2 11.7 13.9M3=M2 + activos financieros internos de no residentes 10.6 5.2 7.9 8.6 12.3 17.2 Captación de bancos residentes -8.4 9.3 16.8 22.6 29.6 38.0 Valores públicos en poder de no residentes 59.9 7.9 14.2 7.1 20.9 38.9M4=M3 + captación de bancos mexicanos en el exterior 10.6 4.9 8.1 8.6 12.2 17.1 Depósitos de residentes -32.0 -17.6 12.3 8.8 6.0 7.1 Depósitos de no residentes 19.4 -20.4 25.5 2.3 6.0 13.9Ahorro Financiero (M4 menos billetes y monedas) 10.9 5.0 7.7 8.8 12.7 18.0Crédito vigente otorgado por la Banca Comercial 7.8 5.4 4.0 9.3 14.1 19.3 Consumo 15.0 6.4 1.4 8.0 16.1 26.2 Tarjetas de crédito 12.5 5.4 -2.1 4.4 12.1 21.0 Bienes de consumo duradero 0.4 -1.1 0.4 3.0 6.9 11.0 Otros 22.2 9.3 5.1 12.5 21.5 33.0 Vivienda 6.5 3.6 4.8 9.1 12.3 15.1 Interés social 7.9 7.5 -4.3 6.7 14.4 22.5 Media y residencial 6.2 2.9 6.5 9.5 11.9 13.8 Empresa y personas físicas 4.1 4.6 4.7 9.2 13.4 17.6 Sector agropecuario y minería 20.5 -1.6 5.4 4.7 8.0 14.1 Industria manufacturera -4.4 10.2 3.7 8.4 13.3 16.5 Construcción 14.1 -10.1 -1.0 7.6 13.3 21.0 Servicios y otras actividades 2.7 9.6 7.2 10.6 13.9 17.1 Intermediarios financieros no bancarios 20.8 16.5 8.1 16.8 17.2 18.1Indicadores MonetariosM1/BM = Multiplicador Monetario 2.695 2.739 2.713 2.691 2.700 2.742PIB/M1 = Velocidad de Circulación 6.854 6.413 5.925 5.630 5.440 5.295M1/PIB = Coeficiente de Liquidez 0.146 0.156 0.169 0.178 0.184 0.189Coeficiente de Monetización 10.809 8.493 15.662 12.510 10.782 10.020
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Banco de México.
Concepto
BANCO DE DATOS
Escenario Macroeconómico 11.1
Agregados Monetarios y Actividad Financiera(Saldos en miles de millones de pesos)
Diciembre Var. % Real2013 2014 Dic.12/Dic.13 Dic.13/Dic.14
Base Monetaria 917.9 1,062.9 4.3 11.3M1 2,513.8 2,877.9 6.0 10.0Billetes y monedas en poder del público 792.9 928.7 3.9 12.5Cuentas de cheques en MN 1,082.7 1,214.9 6.3 7.8Cuentas de cheques en ME 189.0 232.5 11.1 18.2Depósitos en cuenta corriente y otros 449.1 501.9 7.2 7.4M2=M1 + activos financieros internos de residentes 9,507.2 10,543.6 4.6 6.6Captación interna de bancos residentes y otros 1,528.3 1,664.4 2.0 4.6Valores públicos en poder de residentes 3,913.8 4,393.0 5.0 7.8 Valores emitidos por el Gobierno Federal 2,529.1 2,889.7 4.4 9.8 Valores emitidos por el Banco de México 0.0 0.0 n.s. n.s. Valores emitidos por el IPAB 693.7 733.5 1.0 1.6 Otros valores públicos 691.0 769.7 11.9 7.0Valores emitidos por entidades privadas 435.3 429.2 6.8 -5.3Fondos de ahorro para el retiro 1,116.1 1,179.2 2.9 1.5M3=M2 + activos financieros internos de no residentes 11,566.1 12,993.7 5.2 7.9Captación de bancos residentes 136.2 165.6 9.3 16.8Valores públicos en poder de no residentes 1,922.7 2,284.5 7.9 14.2M4=M3 + captación de bancos mexicanos en el exterior 11,658.6 13,111.9 4.9 8.1Depósitos de residentes 19.3 22.6 -17.6 12.3Depósitos de no residentes 73.2 95.5 -20.4 25.5Ahorro Financiero 10,865.7 12,183.2 5.0 7.7 Residentes 7,940.7 8,706.9 4.7 5.3 No Residentes 2,132.1 2,545.6 6.7 14.7Crédito vigente otorgado por la Banca Comercial 2,506.7 2,712.9 5.4 4.0 Consumo 649.9 685.8 6.4 1.4 Tarjetas de crédito 292.4 297.9 5.4 -2.1 Bienes de consumo duradero 66.0 68.9 -1.1 0.4 Otros 291.6 319.0 9.3 5.1 Vivienda 472.0 514.7 3.6 4.8 Interés social 76.7 76.4 7.5 -4.3 Media y residencial 395.3 438.2 2.9 6.5 Empresa y personas físicas 1,273.9 1,387.7 4.6 4.7 Sector agropecuario y minería 57.2 62.8 -1.6 5.4 Industria manufacturera 305.8 330.0 10.2 3.7 Construcción 253.6 261.3 -10.1 -1.0 Servicios y otras actividades 657.3 733.7 9.6 7.2 Intermediarios financieros no bancarios 110.9 124.7 16.5 8.1
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Banco de México.
Concepto
BANCO DE DATOS
12.0 Finanzas Públicas
12.0 Fianzas del Sector Público 2012-2017
12.1 Presupuesto del Sector Público para 2014
12.1 Deuda Interna del Sector Público Federal 2013-2014
Escenario Macroeconómico 12.0
Finanzas del Sector Público (Millones de pesos)
Datos observados Proyecciones2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Ingreso Presupuestal 3,514,530 3,800,416 3,983,412 4,188,810 4,453,639 4,867,144 Sector Petrolero 1,183,895 1,261,702 1,213,348 1,250,511 1,285,501 1,359,764 Sector No Petrolero 2,330,634 2,538,714 2,770,064 2,938,299 3,168,139 3,507,379 Gobierno Federal 1,731,760 1,924,809 2,115,346 2,228,759 2,408,588 2,062,239 Tributarios 1,516,951 1,644,537 1,815,514 1,908,881 2,062,239 2,303,278 ISR 803,897 946,740 959,877 1,012,262 1,080,968 1,192,001 IVA 579,988 556,794 667,085 700,360 766,940 873,376 IEPS 72,953 78,572 124,016 133,817 145,672 160,545 Importaciones 27,906 29,260 33,928 34,232 37,001 40,601 Otros 32,208 33,171 30,608 28,210 31,659 36,756 No Tributarios 214,809 280,272 299,832 319,878 346,349 379,768 Organismos y Empresas 598,875 613,905 654,718 709,540 759,551 824,333Gasto Neto Presupuestal 3,920,305 4,178,322 4,530,629 4,828,516 5,062,302 5,416,615 Gasto Programable 3,102,198 3,316,609 3,580,285 3,846,670 4,060,581 4,304,715 Corriente 2,360,695 2,440,772 2,682,877 2,953,024 3,132,910 3,320,737 Capital 741,503 875,837 897,408 893,645 927,671 983,978 Gasto No Programable 818,107 861,713 950,343 981,846 1,001,721 1,111,900 Costo financiero 305,119 314,551 346,015 383,645 430,522 490,947 Participaciones 494,265 532,456 584,723 575,235 546,338 592,857 Adefas y Ajenas Netas 18,724 14,706 19,606 22,966 24,861 28,095Balance Económico -403,210 -374,231 -544,992 -636,812 -603,127 -550,929 Inversión PEMEX 311,993 328,572 356,689 386,443 409,823 443,610Balance Económico sin PEMEX -91,216 -45,659 -188,302 -250,369 -193,304 -107,319
Como porcentaje del PIBIngreso Presupuestal 22.5 23.6 23.4 23.2 22.9 23.0 Sector Petrolero 7.6 7.8 7.1 6.9 6.6 6.4 Sector No Petrolero 14.9 15.7 16.2 16.2 16.3 16.6 Gobierno Federal 11.1 11.9 12.4 12.3 12.4 12.7 Tributarios 9.7 10.2 10.6 10.6 10.6 10.9 ISR 5.1 5.9 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6 IVA 3.7 3.5 3.9 3.9 3.9 4.1 IEPS 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 Importaciones 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 Otros 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 No Tributarios 1.4 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 Organismos y Empresas 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.9 3.9Gasto Neto Presupuestal 25.1 25.9 26.6 26.7 26.1 25.6 Gasto Programable 19.9 20.6 21.0 21.3 20.9 20.4 Corriente 15.1 15.1 15.7 16.3 16.1 15.7 Capital 4.7 5.4 5.3 4.9 4.8 4.7 Gasto No Programable 5.2 5.3 5.6 5.4 5.2 5.3 Costo financiero 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 Participaciones 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.2 2.8 2.8 Adefas y Ajenas Netas 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1Balance Económico -2.6 -2.3 -3.2 -3.5 -3.1 -2.6 Inversión PEMEX -2.0 -2.0 -2.1 -2.1 -2.1 -2.1Balance Económico sin PEMEX -0.6 -0.3 -1.1 -1.4 -1.0 -0.5Datos Históricos: Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público. Proyecciones: Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Concepto
Escenario Macroeconómico 12.1
Presupuesto del Sector Público para 2014(Millones de pesos)
Presupuesto 2014 Enero-Diciembre Variación PorcentajePesos %PIB 2013 2014 % Real Ejercido
Ingreso Presupuestal 3,816,748 21.7 3,800,416 3,983,412 0.8 104.4Sector Petrolero 1,265,725 7.2 1,261,702 1,213,348 -7.5 95.9Sector No Petrolero 2,551,023 14.5 2,538,714 2,770,064 4.9 108.6 Gobierno Federal 1,906,594 10.8 1,924,809 2,115,346 5.7 110.9 Tributarios 1,752,179 10.0 1,644,537 1,815,514 6.1 103.6 ISR 1,006,377 5.7 946,740 959,877 -2.5 95.4 IVA 609,393 3.5 556,794 667,085 15.2 109.5 IEPS 117,959 0.7 78,572 124,016 51.7 105.1 Importaciones 26,759 0.2 29,260 33,928 11.5 126.8 Otros -8,308 0.0 33,171 30,608 -11.3 -368.4 No Tributarios 154,415 0.9 280,272 299,832 2.8 194.2 Organismos y Empresas 644,429 3.7 613,905 654,718 2.5 101.6Gasto Neto Presupuestal 4,437,163 25.2 4,178,322 4,530,629 4.2 102.1 Gasto Programable 3,463,609 19.7 3,316,609 3,580,285 3.8 103.4 Corriente 2,617,982 14.9 2,440,772 2,682,877 5.7 102.5 Capital 845,627 4.8 875,837 897,408 -1.5 106.1 Gasto No Programable 973,554 5.5 861,713 950,343 6.0 97.6 Costo financiero 380,365 2.2 314,551 346,015 5.8 91.0 Participaciones 577,639 3.3 532,456 584,723 5.6 101.2 Adefas y Ajenas Netas 15,550 0.1 14,706 19,606 28.2 126.1 Balance Económico -620,415 -3.5 -374,231 -544,991 Inversión PEMEX 357,527 2.0 328,572 356,689 4.4 99.8Balance Económico sin PEMEX -262,888 -1.5 -45,659 -188,302
Saldo de la Deuda Interna del Sector Público Federal(En millones de pesos)
2013 Endeudamiento acumulado 2014
Diciembre Disponibilidad Amortización Neto Ajustes Diciembre
Deuda Neta 4,230,924.9 4,809,976.9Activos 177,953.6 239,556.4Deuda Bruta 4,408,878.5 3,111,031.2 2,528,657.0 582,374.2 58,280.6 5,049,533.3Estructura por Usuario 4,408,878.5 3,111,031.2 2,528,657.0 582,374.2 58,280.6 5,049,533.3 Gobierno Federal 4,063,184.4 2,830,020.3 2,403,018.3 427,002.0 56,433.2 4,546,619.6 Organismos y empresas 267,290.2 192,370.9 64,930.9 127,440.0 1,672.5 396,402.7 Banca de Desarrollo 78,403.9 88,640.0 60,707.8 27,932.2 174.9 106,511.0Por fuentes de financiamiento 4,408,878.5 3,111,031.2 2,528,657.0 582,374.2 58,280.6 5,049,533.3 Emisión de Valores 4,013,747.1 2,755,586.7 2,232,016.8 523,569.9 44,230.3 4,581,547.3 Fondo de Ahorro SAR 99,920.1 178,391.1 184,944.8 -6,553.7 4,652.0 98,018.4 Banca Comercial 50,101.8 99,102.5 25,426.6 73,675.9 152.0 123,929.7 Obligaciones por Ley del ISSSTE 165,506.3 9,566.3 19,974.5 -10,408.2 6,353.9 161,452.0 Otros 79,603.2 68,384.6 66,294.3 2,090.3 2,892.4 84,585.9
Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos de la SHCP.
Concepto
Concepto
13.0 Economía de Estados Unidos
13.0 Indicadores Económicos de EUA 2012-2017
13.1 Población Ocupada y Tasa de Desempleo 2008-2015
13.2 Producción Industrial 2008-2015
13.3 Comercio Exterior de EUA por Países 2013-2014
13.4 Tasas de Interés Internacionales 2014-2015
13.5 Mercado Cambiario Internacional 2014-2015
Escenario Macroeconómico 13.0
Indicadores Económicos de Estados Unidos(Dólares)
Datos Históricos Proyecciones2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Población Total Miles 315,791 318,498 321,197 323,885 326,560 329,222Var.% 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8Fuerza Laboral Miles 154,975 155,389 155,922 157,910 160,461 163,215Var.% 0.9 0.3 0.3 1.3 1.6 1.7Población Ocupada Miles 142,469 143,929 146,305 149,027 151,897 154,828Var.% 1.9 1.0 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.9Población Desocupada Miles 12,506 11,460 9,617 8,883 8,564 8,387Var.% -9.0 -8.4 -16.1 -7.6 -3.6 -2.1Tasa de Desocupación 8.1 7.4 6.2 5.6 5.3 5.1
PIB Nominal Billones 16,163.2 16,768.1 17,420.7 18,199.6 19,101.8 20,167.6Var.% 4.2 3.7 3.9 4.5 5.0 5.6PIB Real Billones 2009 15,369.2 15,710.3 16,089.8 16,590.5 17,073.2 17,655.5Var.% 2.3 2.2 2.4 3.1 2.9 3.4Deflactor del PIB 2009=100 105.2 106.7 108.3 109.7 111.9 114.2Var.% 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.3 2.0 2.1
PIB Per Cápita Dólares 51,183 52,647 54,237 56,191 58,494 61,259Var.% 3.3 2.9 3.0 3.6 4.1 4.7PIB Per Cápita Real Dólares de 2009 48,669 49,326 50,093 51,223 52,282 53,628Var.% 1.4 1.4 1.6 2.3 2.1 2.6
Precios Consumidor Dic. 2010=100 104.5 106.0 107.8 108.6 111.1 113.6Var.% 2.1 1.5 1.6 0.8 2.2 2.3
Exportación ByS Millones 2,216,539 2,280,194 2,342,694 2,408,944 2,537,354 2,771,047Var.% 4.2 2.9 2.7 2.8 5.3 9.2Importación ByS Millones -2,754,145 -2,756,587 -2,850,978 -2,925,283 -3,067,204 -3,383,464Var.% 2.9 0.1 3.4 2.6 4.9 10.3Balanza ByS Millones -537,606 -476,393 -508,284 -516,339 -529,850 -612,416%PIB -3.3 -2.8 -2.9 -2.8 -2.8 -3.0Cuenta Corriente Millones -460,749 -400,254 -408,329 -415,683 -424,212 -494,116%PIB -2.9 -2.4 -2.3 -2.3 -2.2 -2.5
Balance Fiscal Billones -1,087.0 -679.5 -648.8 -563.6 -531.1 -457.8%PIB -6.7 -4.1 -3.7 -3.1 -2.8 -2.3
Tasa LIBOR 3 meses Promedio 0.43 0.27 0.23 0.44 1.25 2.24Tasa FED Funds Promedio 0.14 0.11 0.09 0.30 1.11 2.10Datos Históricos: Bureau of Economic Analysis y Federal Reserve Bank of New York.Proyecciones: Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Concepto
Escenario Macroeconómico 13.1
Población Ocupada y Tasa de Desempleo en EUA(Miles de personas)
Fuerza de Trabajo Empleo No Agrícola EmpleoAño Con Sin Tasa de Cons- Manu- Ser- Sector
y mes Empleo Empleo Desempleo trucción facturas vicios AgrícolaPersonas Personas Var.% Personas % FdeT Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.%
2008 154,287 145,362 -0.5 8,924 5.8 -0.6 5.9 -6.1 -3.4 0.1 1.02009 154,142 139,877 -3.8 14,265 9.3 -4.3 -9.5 -16.0 -11.6 -2.7 5.52010 153,889 139,064 -0.6 14,825 9.6 -0.7 1.6 -8.3 -2.7 -0.1 1.72011 153,617 139,869 0.6 13,747 8.9 1.2 11.8 0.3 1.7 1.1 -8.72012 154,975 142,469 1.9 12,506 8.1 1.7 7.6 2.0 1.7 1.7 4.22013 155,389 143,929 1.0 11,460 7.4 1.7 2.4 3.2 0.7 1.7 -9.6
2014 155,922 146,305 1.7 9,617 6.2 1.9 5.1 3.6 1.1 1.8 -2.2
Ene 155,486 145,206 1.3 10,280 6.6 1.7 2.5 4.5 1.0 1.7 -5.9Feb 155,688 145,301 1.3 10,387 6.7 1.6 2.0 4.0 1.0 1.6 -4.5Mar 156,180 145,796 1.7 10,384 6.6 1.7 2.3 4.2 1.0 1.7 1.2Abr 155,420 145,724 1.4 9,696 6.2 1.8 3.4 5.0 1.1 1.7 -5.4May 155,629 145,868 1.4 9,761 6.3 1.8 3.3 4.8 1.2 1.7 -6.6Jun 155,700 146,247 1.5 9,453 6.1 1.9 3.6 4.5 1.4 1.9 -5.5Jul 156,048 146,401 1.5 9,647 6.2 2.0 4.5 5.1 1.7 1.9 -7.8Ago 156,018 146,451 1.5 9,567 6.1 2.0 4.5 5.2 1.6 1.8 -7.0Sep 155,845 146,607 1.6 9,238 5.9 2.0 5.1 5.1 1.6 1.9 -6.5Oct 156,243 147,260 2.7 8,983 5.7 2.0 4.8 4.8 1.6 1.9 15.9Nov 156,402 147,331 2.0 9,071 5.8 2.1 4.7 4.7 1.7 2.0 -0.8Dic 156,129 147,442 1.9 8,687 5.6 2.3 5.1 5.7 1.8 2.1 -4.8
2015 157,910 149,027 1.9 8,883 5.6 2.1 1.0 5.8 1.9 2.0 -3.1
Ene 157,180 148,201 2.1 8,979 5.7 2.3 4.1 5.1 1.9 2.2 -2.8Feb e/ 156,841 147,950 1.8 8,891 5.7 2.3 4.9 5.0 1.9 2.2 -7.8Mar 157,369 148,322 1.7 9,047 5.7 2.2 5.0 4.7 1.9 2.1 -7.1Abr 157,143 148,584 2.0 8,559 5.4 2.0 4.0 4.2 1.8 1.9 0.6May 156,797 148,347 1.7 8,450 5.4 2.0 4.0 4.3 1.7 1.9 -3.3Jun 157,772 149,124 2.0 8,648 5.5 1.9 3.1 4.0 1.6 1.9 2.6Jul 157,899 148,877 1.7 9,022 5.7 1.9 2.2 4.0 1.5 1.9 -2.7Ago 158,577 149,488 2.1 9,089 5.7 2.0 2.3 5.1 1.4 1.9 4.3Sep 158,248 149,196 1.8 9,052 5.7 2.0 1.6 4.6 1.4 1.9 -2.7Oct 159,281 150,352 2.1 8,929 5.6 1.9 1.3 3.0 1.3 1.9 5.7Nov 158,832 149,880 1.7 8,952 5.6 1.9 1.0 2.7 1.0 2.0 -2.4Dic 158,981 150,001 1.7 8,980 5.6 1.9 1.1 2.2 1.0 2.0 -2.0
Enero2012 154,445 141,633 1.7 12,812 8.3 1.8 14.3 3.6 1.9 1.7 -0.22013 155,825 143,328 1.2 12,497 8.0 1.6 1.7 2.1 1.2 1.6 -4.62014 155,486 145,206 1.3 10,280 6.6 1.7 2.5 4.5 1.0 1.7 -5.92015 157,180 148,201 2.1 8,979 5.7 2.3 4.1 5.1 1.9 2.2 -2.8
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos de U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.e/ Empieza estimación del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO.
TotalTotal Minería
Escenario Macroeconómico 13.2
Producción Industrial en Estados Unidos(Datos mensuales con ajuste estacional)
Industria Manufacturera Electricidad Adendum:Año Bienes y Vehículos
y mes Durables No Durables Otros Gas y partes2007=100 Var.% Anual Var.% Anual Var.% Anual Var.% Anual Var.% Anual Var.% Anual Var.% Anual Var.% Anual
2008 96.6 -3.4 -4.6 -3.4 -5.9 -6.5 1.2 -0.1 -20.02009 85.7 -11.3 -13.6 -18.6 -7.7 -13.7 -5.4 -2.5 -26.82010 90.6 5.7 6.6 11.0 2.2 -5.3 5.2 3.6 32.72011 93.6 3.3 3.6 6.8 0.2 -2.8 6.1 -0.2 9.02012 97.1 3.8 4.4 7.3 1.2 -2.0 6.3 -2.1 14.82013 99.9 2.9 2.9 4.4 1.3 -5.3 4.7 2.1 7.8
2014 104.2 4.3 3.9 5.4 2.2 -4.2 9.0 1.2 8.0
Ene 101.3 2.9 1.6 3.0 0.1 -3.4 6.8 8.4 2.7Feb 102.3 3.2 2.3 3.9 0.6 -2.6 6.2 7.2 8.0Mar 103.1 3.6 3.1 4.4 1.7 -2.8 7.7 2.9 6.5Abr 103.2 3.9 3.7 4.8 2.4 -2.1 9.2 -1.1 6.9May 103.7 4.3 3.8 5.9 1.5 -2.2 9.6 1.1 8.9Jun 104.1 4.5 3.9 6.0 1.5 -1.4 10.4 0.8 7.6Jul 104.5 5.1 5.3 8.1 2.2 -3.7 9.2 -1.6 21.7Ago 104.4 4.4 4.1 5.6 2.4 -5.9 9.6 -0.5 8.8Sep 105.3 4.5 4.3 5.3 3.1 -8.5 9.4 0.9 4.9Oct 105.3 4.4 4.1 5.2 2.8 -7.0 10.2 -0.1 5.4Nov 106.6 5.2 5.1 5.6 4.6 -5.2 8.9 2.1 8.2Dic 106.5 4.9 5.2 6.4 3.8 -5.3 11.1 -5.4 7.0
2015 108.5 4.2 4.4 5.8 3.4 -1.9 5.2 0.6 6.2
Ene e/ 106.1 4.7 4.9 6.5 4.0 -4.8 10.8 -6.1 3.4Feb 107.1 4.7 4.9 6.5 3.8 -4.0 9.0 -3.0 4.1Mar 108.0 4.7 4.7 6.4 3.5 -3.4 8.5 -0.6 3.6Abr 108.1 4.8 4.6 6.3 3.4 -2.9 7.8 1.6 5.8May 108.4 4.5 4.7 6.0 3.8 -2.8 6.2 0.8 6.4Jun 108.5 4.2 4.6 6.0 3.6 -2.9 5.3 0.0 4.8Jul 108.6 3.9 4.3 5.5 3.6 -3.5 4.6 0.0 -5.0Ago 108.3 3.8 4.3 5.5 3.5 -1.9 2.8 1.2 6.6Sep 109.5 4.0 4.5 5.8 3.5 -0.1 2.6 1.9 11.9Oct 109.3 3.9 4.3 5.4 3.3 1.7 1.8 3.5 10.8Nov 110.2 3.3 3.6 5.3 1.9 1.3 2.6 2.3 13.1Dic 110.4 3.7 3.7 4.9 2.5 1.3 1.4 7.0 9.4
Ene.-Dic.2012 97.1 3.8 4.4 7.3 1.2 -2.0 6.3 -2.1 14.82013 99.9 2.9 2.9 4.4 1.3 -5.3 4.7 2.1 7.82014 104.2 4.3 3.9 5.4 2.2 -4.2 9.0 1.2 8.02015 108.5 4.2 4.4 5.8 3.4 -1.9 5.2 0.6 6.2
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos de U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.e/ Empieza estimación del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO.
Producción IndustrialTotalIndice
ActividadMineraTotal
Escenario Macroeconómico 13.3
Comercio Exterior de Estados Unidos por Países(Millones de dólares)
Exportaciones Importaciones Balanza Comercial Países Enero-Diciembre Var. Enero-Diciembre Var. Enero-Diciembre
2013 2014 % 2013 2014 % 2013 2014Total 1,579,593 1,623,273 2.8 2,268,321 2,345,778 3.4 -688,728 -722,505North America 527,689 552,358 4.7 613,082 640,220 4.4 -85,393 -87,862 Canada 301,610 312,032 3.5 332,553 346,063 4.1 -30,943 -34,031 Mexico 226,079 240,326 6.3 280,529 294,157 4.9 -54,450 -53,831Europe 326,727 334,519 2.4 460,664 490,913 6.6 -133,937 -156,394 European Union 262,151 276,698 5.5 387,591 417,837 7.8 -125,440 -141,139 Belgium 31,941 34,824 9.0 19,012 20,905 10.0 12,929 13,919 France 31,745 31,197 -1.7 45,708 47,015 2.9 -13,963 -15,818 Germany 47,362 49,443 4.4 114,345 123,181 7.7 -66,983 -73,738 Ireland 6,640 7,773 17.1 31,496 33,982 7.9 -24,856 -26,209 Italy 16,755 16,988 1.4 38,692 42,081 8.8 -21,937 -25,093 Netherlands 42,572 43,669 2.6 19,231 20,807 8.2 23,341 22,862 Spain 10,241 10,108 -1.3 11,679 14,400 23.3 -1,438 -4,292 United Kingdom 47,353 53,865 13.8 52,817 54,049 2.3 -5,464 -184 Other 27,542 28,831 4.7 54,611 61,417 12.5 -27,069 -32,586 Other Europe 64,576 57,821 -10.5 73,073 73,076 0.0 -8,497 -15,255Pacific Rim Countries 388,085 395,761 2.0 771,310 807,857 4.7 -383,225 -412,096 Australia 26,130 26,668 2.1 9,272 10,670 15.1 16,858 15,998 China 121,736 124,024 1.9 440,448 466,656 6.0 -318,712 -342,632 Indonesia 9,100 8,331 -8.5 18,877 19,362 2.6 -9,777 -11,031 Japan 65,206 66,964 2.7 138,573 133,939 -3.3 -73,367 -66,975 Malaysia 13,007 13,136 1.0 27,289 30,448 11.6 -14,282 -17,312 Philippines 8,404 8,461 0.7 9,269 10,160 9.6 -865 -1,699 Newly Industrialized Countries140,201 142,788 1.8 123,854 132,435 6.9 16,347 10,353 Hong Kong 42,342 40,877 -3.5 5,684 5,794 1.9 36,658 35,083 Korea 41,715 44,544 6.8 62,386 69,606 11.6 -20,671 -25,062 Singapore 30,672 30,532 -0.5 17,843 16,463 -7.7 12,829 14,069 Taiwan 25,472 26,836 5.4 37,940 40,572 6.9 -12,468 -13,736 Other Pacific Rim 4,301 5,388 25.3 3,727 4,186 12.3 574 1,202South/Central America 184,398 184,797 0.2 158,513 150,430 -5.1 25,885 34,367 Argentina 10,354 10,828 4.6 4,644 4,243 -8.6 5,710 6,585 Brazil 44,119 42,418 -3.9 27,634 30,337 9.8 16,485 12,081 Chile 17,515 16,630 -5.1 10,384 9,491 -8.6 7,131 7,139 Colombia 18,392 20,317 10.5 21,626 18,234 -15.7 -3,234 2,083OPEC 84,679 82,729 -2.3 152,690 132,132 -13.5 -68,011 -49,403Africa 35,175 37,966 7.9 50,061 34,568 -30.9 -14,886 3,398Other Countries 64,049 66,047 3.1 133,346 144,559 8.4 -69,297 -78,512 India 21,842 21,628 -1.0 41,845 45,228 8.1 -20,003 -23,600 Thailand 11,797 11,791 -0.1 26,173 27,121 3.6 -14,376 -15,330 Other 30,410 32,628 7.3 65,328 72,210 10.5 -34,918 -39,582
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos de U.S. Departamente of Commerce.
Escenario Macroeconómico 13.4
Tasas Internacionales de Interés(Promedio aritmético en el mes en porciento anual)
Estados Unidos LondresMes Tasa de Interés Preferencial Tasa de Fondos Federales Papel Comercial 1 mes Tasa Libor 3 meses
2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015
Ene 3.25 3.25 0.07 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.24 0.25Feb 3.25 3.25 0.07 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.24 0.24Mar 3.25 3.25 0.08 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.23 0.24Abr 3.25 3.25 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.12 0.23 0.24May 3.25 3.25 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.12 0.23 0.24Jun 3.25 3.32 0.10 0.17 0.07 0.12 0.23 0.31Jul 3.25 3.50 0.09 0.35 0.08 0.13 0.23 0.49Ago 3.25 3.50 0.09 0.35 0.07 0.14 0.23 0.49Sep 3.25 3.58 0.09 0.43 0.06 0.14 0.23 0.57Oct 3.25 3.75 0.09 0.60 0.10 0.14 0.23 0.74Nov 3.25 3.75 0.09 0.60 0.07 0.15 0.23 0.75Dic 3.25 3.75 0.12 0.61 0.07 0.16 0.24 0.75
Prom. 3.25 3.45 0.09 0.30 0.09 0.13 0.23 0.44
Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos de la Federal Reserve Bank of New York y del Bank of England.Nota: Los números en negrillas son estimaciones del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico.
Mercado Cambiario Internacional(Promedio mensual)
Unión Europea Japón Canadá Reino UnidoMes USDólar por Euro Yen por USDólar USDólar por Dólar Canadá USDólar por Libra
2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015 2014 2015
Ene 1.3618 1.1615 103.7614 118.2500 1.0940 1.2122 1.6470 1.5142Feb 1.3665 …….. 102.1253 …….. 1.1054 …….. 1.6558 ……..Mar 1.3828 …….. 102.3395 …….. 1.1107 …….. 1.6624 ……..Abr 1.3810 …….. 102.4582 …….. 1.0992 …….. 1.6748 ……..May 1.3739 …….. 101.7738 …….. 1.0894 …….. 1.6842 ……..Jun 1.3595 …….. 102.0629 …….. 1.0830 …….. 1.6908 ……..Jul 1.3533 …….. 101.7400 …….. 1.0739 …….. 1.7066 ……..Ago 1.3315 …….. 102.9438 …….. 1.0926 …….. 1.6700 ……..Sep 1.2889 …….. 107.4257 …….. 1.1011 …….. 1.6290 ……..Oct 1.2677 …….. 108.0264 …….. 1.1212 …….. 1.6074 ……..Nov 1.2473 …….. 116.2994 …….. 1.1325 …….. 1.5771 ……..Dic 1.2329 …….. 119.3233 …….. 1.1532 …….. 1.5644 ……..
Prom. 1.3297 1.1615 105.7398 118.2500 1.1043 1.2122 1.6484 1.5142
Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos de la Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
14.0 Estados Unidos: Oferta yDemanda Global
14.0 Oferta y Demanda Global Anual de EUA 2012-2017
14.1 PIB Trimestral de Estados Unidos 2014-2015
Escenario Macroeconómico 14.0
Estados Unidos: Oferta y Demanda Agregada(Variación porcentual anual a precios de 2009)
Datos Históricos Proyecciones2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Oferta Agregada 2.3 2.1 2.6 3.1 3.3 4.4
Producto Interno Bruto 2.3 2.2 2.4 3.1 2.9 3.4 Agricultura 0.3 16.4 7.6 -3.8 2.6 4.1 Producción Industrial 3.5 2.5 3.8 4.7 3.8 4.6 Minería 14.1 1.8 8.8 7.2 4.3 5.1 Electricidad y Gas 1.8 1.8 1.1 1.2 2.3 2.8 Construción 4.0 1.5 3.3 4.3 5.3 6.0 Manufacturas 1.9 3.0 3.4 4.9 3.5 4.4 Bienes Durables 4.1 1.0 2.4 4.3 2.7 3.4 Bienes no Durables -0.5 5.3 4.7 5.4 4.3 5.6 Servicios 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.4 3.2 3.6 Comercio 1.6 2.8 3.3 3.6 3.3 3.8 Otros Servicios 2.8 2.5 2.3 3.4 3.2 3.5 Gobierno -0.2 -1.1 -0.7 -0.3 -0.1 -0.1Importación Bienes y Servicios 2.3 1.1 3.9 3.1 5.4 10.7 Bienes 2.1 0.9 4.0 2.8 5.6 11.6 Servicios 3.4 2.2 3.2 4.7 4.6 6.7
Demanda Agregada 2.3 2.1 2.6 3.1 3.3 4.4
Consumo Privado 1.8 2.4 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.2 Bienes 2.8 3.4 3.5 4.3 4.2 4.4 Durables 7.3 6.7 7.0 7.0 6.4 6.6 No Durables 0.7 1.9 1.8 2.6 2.7 3.0 Servicios 1.3 1.9 2.0 2.3 2.4 2.6Inversión Privada Fija Bruta 9.2 4.9 6.0 6.9 7.3 10.9 Inversión Fija 8.3 4.7 5.2 7.5 7.1 10.8 No Residencial 7.2 3.0 6.1 7.5 7.1 11.4 Estructuras 13.1 -0.5 8.0 7.3 6.6 11.2 Equipo y Software 6.8 4.6 6.3 7.8 7.3 10.7 Propiedad Intelectual 3.9 3.4 4.6 6.7 7.2 12.7 Residencial 13.5 11.9 1.6 7.5 7.0 8.3Consumo e Inversión Pública -1.4 -2.0 -0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 Gobierno Federal -1.8 -5.7 -1.9 -0.6 -0.9 -0.6 Defensa Nacional -3.3 -6.6 -2.2 -0.4 -1.1 -0.6 Otros 1.0 -4.1 -1.5 -0.9 -0.6 -0.5 Estatal y Local -1.2 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.9Exportación Bienes y Servicios 3.3 3.0 3.1 3.1 5.6 9.3 Bienes 3.7 2.8 4.0 4.1 6.4 10.9 Servicios 2.3 3.6 1.1 0.9 3.6 5.4Datos Históricos: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.Proyecciones: Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Concepto
Escenario Macroeconómico 14.1
Producto Interno Bruto de Estados Unidos(Variación % real trimestral anualizada)
2014 2015I II III IV Año I e/ II e/ III e/ IV e/ Año
Producto Interno Bruto -2.1 4.6 5.0 2.6 2.4 3.1 2.5 2.5 2.1 3.1
Consumo Privado 1.2 2.5 3.2 4.3 2.5 2.3 3.0 2.6 2.4 3.0 Bienes 1.0 5.9 4.7 5.4 3.5 2.7 4.4 4.3 3.9 4.3 Bienes durables 3.2 14.1 9.2 7.4 7.0 4.0 6.9 6.8 6.8 7.0 Bienes no durables 0.0 2.2 2.5 4.4 1.8 1.4 2.7 2.5 1.9 2.6 Servicios 1.3 0.9 2.5 3.7 2.0 2.2 2.2 1.7 1.6 2.3 Inversión Privada Fija Bruta -6.9 19.1 7.2 7.4 6.0 8.3 4.0 -1.0 10.3 6.9 Inversión fija 0.2 9.5 7.7 2.3 5.2 10.3 9.4 7.4 1.6 7.5 No residencial 1.6 9.7 8.9 1.9 6.1 9.2 10.0 8.0 1.3 7.5 Estructuras 2.9 12.6 4.8 2.6 8.0 10.6 8.6 5.5 5.2 7.3 Equipo y software -1.0 11.2 11.0 -1.9 6.3 11.7 11.6 9.1 -4.5 7.8 Propiedad intelectual 4.6 5.5 8.8 7.1 4.6 2.9 8.5 8.2 7.7 6.7 Residencial -5.3 8.8 3.2 4.1 1.6 14.3 7.0 4.7 2.5 7.5
Exportaciones -9.2 11.1 4.5 2.8 3.1 -9.3 10.5 7.7 12.7 3.1 Bienes -11.9 14.3 7.5 1.9 4.0 -12.8 16.5 9.3 16.4 4.1 Servicios -2.8 4.0 -1.9 4.7 1.1 -0.8 -2.7 4.0 4.3 0.9 Importaciones 2.2 11.3 -0.9 8.9 3.9 -13.3 11.8 8.7 16.6 3.1 Bienes 2.5 12.5 -1.3 9.8 4.0 -18.4 14.5 9.9 20.0 2.8 Servicios 1.0 5.6 1.0 4.7 3.2 10.7 0.1 3.5 1.8 4.7 Consumo e Inversión Pública -0.8 1.7 4.4 -2.2 -0.2 -4.7 2.5 6.6 -1.8 0.2 Gobierno Federal -0.1 -0.9 9.9 -7.5 -1.9 -4.0 0.0 9.6 -6.7 -0.6 Defensa Nacional -4.0 0.9 16.0 -12.5 -2.2 -3.5 0.9 13.5 -10.9 -0.4 Otros 6.6 -3.8 0.4 1.7 -1.5 -4.7 -1.4 3.2 0.5 -0.9 Estatal y local -1.3 3.4 1.1 1.3 0.9 -4.8 4.1 4.7 1.3 0.8
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Concepto
Copyright
BANCO DE DATOS DE LA ECONOMÍA MEXICANA 1980-2020, Año V, Número 147,
ENERO de 2015, es una publicación mensual editada por CAMACRO, S. C. Centro
de Análisis Macroeconómico, Av. México 5525-39, Col. Huichapan, Delegación
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Editor responsable: Ricardo Peltier San Pedro. Reservas de Derechos al Uso Exclusivo No. 03-2012-012512532600-01 ISSN: en trámite Licitud de Título 0125 Licitud
de Contenido 1253, ambos otorgados por la Comisión Calificadora de Publicaciones y Revistas Ilustradas de la Secretaría de Gobernación.
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