PRUEBA DE TODO Analisis de riesgo de hotel firma 3 ao 13precio unitario de venta225.70utilidad neta (negativo)227776otros costos de operacin602195costo del servicio (distribucion uniforme)costo de mano de obravalor minimo156.2utilidad media1202455.23173301crecimineto de la demanda% PARTICIPACION DE MERCADO POR HOTELmenormayorcosto mano de obravalor maximo159deviacion estandar153577.205231486AO:123AO:Total das cama utilizados en La PuntaAO:1230%10%40utilidad minima698037.42559543516659241013629916705919.9301 35.9400 54.1299 11%30%41utilidad maxima1653000.8678033326912250173768026960929.9298 35.9393 54.1309 31%70%42demanda (distribucion normal)numero de perdidas037288263793973037339739.9296 35.9402 54.1303 71%90%43media 77870probabilidad de perdidas047752280584225847806849.9298 35.9405 54.1297 90%100%44desviacion estandar4,200.00 58541309144656158601659.9295 35.9398 54.1306 69297336475067769362169.9305 35.9396 54.1299 ensayo de simulacion7100053621254550710075779.9298 35.9399 54.1402 8107173878058421810792789.9299 35.9317 54.1301 ensayocosto unitario deCOSTO SEL SERVICIOdemanda durante 9117924512767461912438099.4806 36.2816 54.2378 mano de obra directael primer aoutilidad1012338496727450810136518109.0376 36.3849 54.5774 142157.365470441670823.66819599951035136.983539061112794.466666666749127.666666666673707.666666666711135630.2119.4333 36.2218 54.3446 244158.439008138378515.9570679581996388.0383748581213460.715151515151916.20606060677870.060606060712143247.472727273129.3968 36.2423 54.3605 344156.937857357977695.08377220071093925.74696026442157.036862720677018.59395932241223586.34380333542157.278222386778806.98236103511252249.56231971INTERPRETACION 642157.23407491673390.73091509241112382.58626235Ante el aumento constante ao tras ao de la demanda turistica a la zona de la punta nos vemos en la necesidad de ampliar las instalaciones para captar la mayor parte de la participacion en el mercado que ha sido del 54% en promedio.742157.380989504282979.88812629731353977.54653319El precio fijado de la habitacion es de 225,7, mas del 10% mas que los costos de operacin por cama.842157.485236268481446.19070393271305121.64613888La poblacion esperada expresada en dias turista es de 77870 como minimo si comparamos la tabla de evolucion de la demanda , donde nuestro grupo considero que 81500 seria el numero para el nivel deseado de personal a tener .941158.741926601170872.35813071161009738.87431058La ganacia minima que esperamos obtener para el siguiente ao es de 720848 tomando un numero aleatorio1041158.666009306287146.64646789441438803.983141321141156.672638363875609.20338389871289155.486267361242156.886529904977532.90518254731248955.234500581342156.795504052271731.69088774881099933.986814771444158.59982346979942.21682822431016708.321013641542158.504092635784673.11382886971303444.932278941642156.283814098178119.23616086351311760.501097421741158.160202416379904.41457651241290675.988905841842157.92543076576328.05431325611137351.7204691942157.792455495370889.68489041291006606.666222152044158.363681059779327.67623571481021244.953431322141156.441959959476261.82385446281325038.67204532241156.27235173182427.09719750971513237.526962272343157.975353903382231.90390885631203183.722007032444156.457547661775634.77894619931079236.302667792540157.496847584574604.42825448841274109.060929222641158.746498198177613.08466069861184360.332590052740156.47364683377555.4566029041436692.164707692843157.561833119578426.16055993531141518.911949052941156.58323369973724.08441620761242911.852285763040158.117955945172137.94973740351159741.107689883144156.721188101484705.38044654291285868.764971943242156.775479722774797.9817583541183928.776551933343157.21033331177138.29632503981136258.462279823442156.365922558774995.84189848581219971.150228773542158.634509575578885.1484772711147323.933790063640158.341032800380717.56484597421378378.209060123743157.705782794783291.60458359761251837.456337173842157.029095708176950.22352841991222361.046970213943157.676708228973557.60041864231010682.297257074040158.466352983478585.1709097841310189.805296534140157.410633784479069.48980401861406854.753550134242158.051347980977870.90949847341167312.860137144342156.329150844380897.52745068151384263.020918394443157.467160349275697.98514973041080104.121173034542158.742184154465527.2702895835805446.544752494643158.649676030872241.1743260026907452.6464541564742157.800757468875353.60632613841121630.32584494840158.61858666278254.11217953211289260.957333454942158.133020831379158.58401809341193874.868616055044158.868146639270318.3992830145775528.380994395140157.896633138278898.96063001871363685.747411175241157.485118374778831.61725896791315422.1320365342158.435740980676061.90454690031091676.657980915440158.038966800778008.22824585111327817.191326345543156.943570332772554.80209773111038781.657258255642157.09165532677000.67110773151218889.39696715742156.662807621675240.54265041211204322.026292175842157.414737152778193.12782383721225355.917698525942158.274617191682294.52223446171262398.730847776043158.865907983869961.5339411786837498.6375465276141156.21558285885580.22981201841607731.965076516240157.58372113981789.37277908431469641.812923726342157.10077858474768.82582225531158821.553063316442157.239040653977898.25753129321231291.625669776541156.658533151874714.61744808941265136.468250066640156.646890220273839.24556218611315288.707377186743158.952996250273346.5868478817911790.6729080976843156.60090879878353.91174234391214994.888596656941156.867568389874534.32534217861244500.512699647042158.206515953179787.87819950831204100.000018537142157.250498954878987.62663759261259212.313309757242156.784448812480440.58069443261335131.567240927341157.118110539879674.60850700991367605.244621677443157.397149389674894.56825723741065075.072139927540157.360152710772227.05210669211216932.62685737643157.808988792175347.32179098531045500.031184487740157.496244944980253.49285702911433478.854854797842157.232608347181254.49843232741320623.63356547942157.586671322586031.22621644231416590.686720048043157.760344053477261.11019044911096894.506203998142158.353466974678656.20494329081163691.09624698242158.587763078877254.87612980331110071.752693338343157.333942592181182.54001434061229309.970524098443156.671176953978748.0916838831219749.143656488541158.484656080586952.51917769221449519.194906258642156.603714713282620.35410475241408733.685314828743156.575788720772366.07580986721060535.653913628843158.582564821175363.1584416062987595.0885960088942158.956944872874215.10368190321006337.401669579044157.101902381477042.3645706381065124.604473769142158.81559773372525.8786958751974792.1402385119242156.868551695778422.81488095261274226.703357379343157.358876682173943.81114309691043848.236771019442157.307319593381604.59144227641323792.901654939542157.684832580581871.79901181651299937.558225139642158.819821066971815.2619889242956805.5684083539740157.475726028476607.61787369191332223.395177319842157.531809836878420.21338423521222144.056481179942158.594463022781817.52448324271224101.8863092310041157.332862182971342.55427925371122470.5151823610142158.915225006379183.41661550851132572.1640462710241158.042364431676987.02825814641222321.142797610344158.344531639780394.15056606741047672.0398955510441157.313038196580424.74927834161372618.536538610544156.638329688782094.54579321641227455.4410261110642157.204184313582559.94245718941357522.0184349510741156.655663419583224.50675414441504005.0791558410840156.73215422481151.59995180361520816.0318763610941158.327748890181037.830315931307179.010492811044156.804299255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