Perú construcción en progreso

7/28/2019 Per construccin en progreso

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Economic UpdatePer: Construccin en progresoLatin America | 22 Mar 2012

In English

El rpido crecimiento econmico de los ltimos aos ha originado un boom en el sector co

que ha transformado el panorama urbano del Per. Sin embargo, a pesar de la expansin

del segmento en los ltimos cinco aos, se estima que el dficit de vivienda todava requi

inversin de $13.500 millones en los prximos diez aos para cerrar la brecha, segn la C

Comercio de Lima.

sta es una situacin prometedora para las compaas de construccin, especialmente

considerando que los fuertes fundamentos macroeconmicos han resultado en un impresi

crecimiento del PBI, a casi un promedio de 7% en el perodo de cinco aos mencionado

anteriormente, incluso en medio de un ambiente exgeno dbil. Se espera que el crecimie

econmico siga su trayectoria ascendente, con un promedio de 6,5% del 2011 al 2013, se

previsiones del Banco Central de Reserva del Per (BCRP).

El efecto de este crecimiento en el sector construccin ha sido impresionante, el relativam

nivel de desempleo y el aumento de los sueldos ha sido una pieza fundamental en la exp

mercado inmobiliario. Ms an, los proyectos de infraestructura patrocinados por el estad

$20.500 millones para los siguientes cinco aos impulsarn incluso ms el desarrollo del s

Segn la informacin que maneja el Banco Mundial, la proporcin de la poblacin que se

por debajo de la lnea de pobreza se redujo de 44,5% a 31,3% de 2006 a 2010. Entre tant

nacional bruta per cpita ha aumentado de $2950 a $4700 durante el mismo perodo, un

anual promedio de 11,9%.

El aumento de poder adquisitivo de la clase media del pas est teniendo un efecto palpa

compra de una vivienda. El "segmento B" de la poblacin fue responsable de 49% de tod

compras de viviendas en Lima y Callao en 2011, de acuerdo con Gino Layseca, General

la consultora Tinsa Per.

La tendencia del sector se orienta ya no a construir proyectos sociales de 10 o 20 unidad

habitacionales, sino hacia los denominados megaproyectos, con 500 o ms viviendas, co

Layseca a la prensa local. Tambin indic que actualmente hay por lo menos 20 proyecto

tipo en las reas metropolitanas de Lima y Callao, lo que ha reducido los costos de constr

debido a las economas de escala.

El reciente auge del sector vivienda se ha centrado principalmente en el desarrollo de vivi

compradores de medianos y altos ingresos, usualmente excluyendo a compradores de baj

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recursos. La Cmara Peruana de la Construccin recientemente observ que slo en el

Lima Metropolitana se tuvo un dficit de 394,903 viviendas. Se calcula que alrededor del

dficit total es de viviendas con un valor mximo de slo $ 30.000.

Ante la falta de desarrollo del sector privado, en 1998 el Ministerio de Vivienda, Construcci

Saneamiento (MVCS) inici el fondo MiVivienda, que proporciona viviendas econmicas y

costo para los segmentos C, D y E de la poblacin.

La Asociacin de Bancos (Asbanc) anunci recientemente que las tasas de inters sobre l

prstamos concedidos por MiVivienda se reducira a 5% este ao. La reduccin podra re

aumento del 30% en los prstamos hipotecarios durante todo el ao.

De acuerdo con el Plan Estratgico 2008-15 del MVCS, el dficit nacional de vivienda cua

(ciudadanos sin vivienda) fue de 260.927, mientras que el dficit cualitativo de vivienda (a

viviendas inadecuadas) fue de 1,25 millones. Alrededor del 60% del dficit es en las zona

y el 21,5% del dficit nacional de viviendas se encuentra slo en Lima, seguida por las ciu

Piura (7,1%), Cajamarca (7%) y Cusco (5,6%). Tambin se estim que el Per tiene una

promedio anual de 200.000 viviendas, un signo muy positivo para el mercado de bienes r

En un futuro cercano, las compaas de construccin tambin tendrn varias oportunidad

las grandes inversiones en la red de infraestructura. Existen planes para invertir $20.500

importantes proyectos de infraestructura durante los prximos cinco aos que se enfocar

construccin y pavimentacin de la red vial nacional, de los cuales $11.000 millones de la

total sern reservados para obras viales. La mayor parte del presupuesto restante, alrede

$8.300 millones, se destinar a la expansin de las redes ferroviarias.

El BCRP prev que la industria de la construccin seguir expandindose en 2012 y 2013

registrando un crecimiento del 8,7% y 7,6% , respectivamente. Si bien esta tasa es slo la

la alcanzada en los ltimos cinco aos, las perspectivas a largo plazo para el sector constmuy positivas mientras el Per contina cerrando las brechas en sus dficits de vivienda

infraestructura.

Peru: Construction in progress

Rapid economic growth in recent years has seen a construction boom that has transforme

urban landscape. However, despite the sector expanding 75.2% over the past five years, t

deficit is still estimated to require $13.5bn worth of investment over the next decade to clos

according to the Lima Chamber of Commerce.

This bodes well for local construction companies, especially considering strong macroeco

fundamentals have resulted in impressive GDP growth averaging almost 7% over the sam

time period, even amidst a weak exogenous environment. Economic growth is expected to

its upward trajectory, averaging 6.5% from 2011 to 2013, according to forecasts from the

Reserve Bank of Peru (Banco Central de Reserva del Per, BCRP).

The effect of this growth on the construction sector has been remarkable as relatively low

unemployment and rising wages have been instrumental in driving the expansion of the re

market. Furthermore, $20.5bn in government-sponsored infrastructure projects over the n

years will further fuel the sectors development.




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MORE FROM OBG

According to World Bank data, the proportion of the population below the national poverty l

from 44.5% to 31.3% from 2006 to 2010. Meanwhile, gross national income (GNI) per capi

increased from $2950 to $4700 during the same time period, an average annual increase

The increased spending power of the countrys middle class is having a palpable effect on

buying as the B-segment of the population was responsible for 49% of all home purchas

and Callao in 2011, according to Gino Layseca, the general manager for consulting firm Ti

The recent tendency of the social housing sector is no longer oriented towards the develo

housing projects of 10 or 20 housing units, but towards mega-projects with 500 or more d

Layseca told local press. He also indicated that there are currently at least 20 such project

metropolitan areas of Lima and Callao, which have reduced construction costs due to eco

scale.

Indeed, the recent housing boom has focused primarily on developing homes for middle- a

income buyers, for the most part excluding low-income homebuyers. The Peruvian Chamb

Construction recently found that the Lima metropolitan area alone had a deficit of 394,903

Some 58% of the total deficit is reckoned to be for homes with a maximum value of just $3

In the absence of private sector development, in 1998 the Ministry of Housing, Constructio

Sanitation (Ministerio de Vivienda, Construccin y Saneamiento, MVCS) initiated the real

MiVivienda, which supplies economic and low-cost housing for the C, D and E segments o

population.

The Association of Banks (Asbanc) recently announced that interest rates on loans provid

MiVivienda would fall to 5% this year. The reduction could potentially result in a 30% incre

mortgage loans throughout the year.

According to the 2008-15 Strategic Plan of the MVCS, the national quantitative housing decitizens without homes) totalled 260,927, while the qualitative housing deficit (those with in

housing) was 1.25m. About 60% of the deficit is in urban zones, with 21.5% of the national

deficit alone found in Lima, which was followed by the cities of Piura (7.1%), Cajamarca (7

Cusco (5.6%). It was also estimated that Peru has an average annual demand for 200,000

very positive sign for the real estate market.

Construction companies will also have plenty of opportunities in the near future as a result

investments to the infrastructure network. Plans to pour $20.5bn into major infrastructure p

over the next five years will focus on the construction and paving of the national road netw

$11bn of the total investment reserved for road works. The majority of the remaining budg

$8.3bn, will go towards the expansion of rail networks.

The BCRP forecasts the construction industry to continue expanding in 2012 and 2013, po

and 7.6% growth, respectively. Although this rate is only half the level seen over the past fi

long-term prospects for the construction industry look bright as Peru continues to close ga

housing and infrastructure deficits.




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This will be Oxford Business Group's first report on Colombia and is

be published this year. Colombia has maintained significant growth i

years, with the economy having expanded 7.

Read more

REPORT SUMMARY THE REPORT: COLOMBIA 2013

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