II Seminario Internacional en Desarrollo Economico Territorial ... - CEPAL · Monica Brezzi - OECD...
Transcript of II Seminario Internacional en Desarrollo Economico Territorial ... - CEPAL · Monica Brezzi - OECD...
Monica Brezzi - OECD Regional Development Policy Division
OECD Regions at a GlanceII Seminario Internacional en Desarrollo Economico Territorial
ILPES/CEPAL Santiago 19-21 October
Agenda
1. What to measure
2. How to measure
3. Looking forward
Measuring regional development
H How to improve our evidence base
Some stylized facts on regional development from OECD Regions at a Glance 2009
A web tool to explore regional information, share insights and increase awareness
Regional policy in OECD countriesA place-based policy to foster competitiveness and well-being for all regions, implemented through cooperation among different levels of government;
Regional development is multidimensional.
Comparative (within and across countries) statistical information on around 2,000 regions in OECD countries. Large and small regions; Rural and urban regions.
The OECD regional indicators range from demographic characteristics to economic output, from industrial concentration to labour market performance, from innovation activities to education levels, from health status to environmental conditions
OECD metrodatabase provides statistics on 90 large metropolitan areas in the OECD countries and shows how these regions have changed over the past decade.
The Territorial Development Policy Committee (TDPC) and its Working Parties is a unique forum where analysits and policy-makers discuss tools and policy for regional development
Nations and regions are struggling to remain competitive and adapt in the context of globalization.The impact of globalization is far greater on regions than nationsThe regional dimension at the core of a sustainable development model: competitiveness, well-being and sustainabilityRegional resilience to external shocks varies greatly (mix of structural factors, institutions, policy and sustainability over time)
Some stylized facts from the “OECD Regions at a Glance 2009”
Regions at a glance 2009Section I: Regions as the actors of national growth
Section II: Making the best of regional assets
Section III: Key drivers of regional growth
Section IV: Competing on the basis of regional well-being
Section V : Regional focus on innovation
Concentration of resources (population, elderly population, GDP) within countries and regional contribution to economic growth and employment
Regional disparities as a result of unused regional assets (labour productivity, employment, female employment, unemployment and young unemployment, regional specialization)
Marked variation in regional growth as a result of concentration of resources and a region’s ability to mobilize its assets. What accounts for GDP change?
Regional disparities in the access and quality of education, health, environmental services affects social cohesion but also the capacity of a region to increase its competitiveness
To better explore the role of innovation in regional policy. Regional indicators on R&D inv and personnel, patenting and co-patenting activities, employment and labour force skills
Initial level and growth of GDP per capita in OECD regions (TL2), 1996-2007
Regional differences in economic competitiveness within countries in the past years have been at least twice as much among countries
Gini index of regional GDP per capita Range in regional productivity ( as a % of national productivity), 2007
Or more precisely, regional differences in sustainable development within and across countries remain large
Age-adjusted mortality rate (2006)
Citizens of certain US counties have an average life expectancy equal to that of an American of 30 years ago
Suggesting strong geographic concentration of resources within countries
Per cent of national GDP increase contributed by the top 10% of regions, 1995-2007
40% of the increase in total GDP between 1995 and 2007 was driven by 10% of regions
Not only economic resources: population, labour etc.
Per cent of national population living in the top 10% of regions, 2008
Distribution of population in predominantly urban, intermediate and predominantly rural regions
Negative net inter-regional flows rural
Negative net inter-regional flows metropolitan areas
Different patterns of labour mobility across regions
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
-4.0% -3.0% -2.0% -1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0%
Initial per capita GDP in PPP
Average annual growth rates 1995-2005Predominantly Rural Predominantly Urban
III IVIII
II I
Komárom-Esztergom
Border
South-West Dublin
Sterea Ellada
Miasto Warszawa
InnerLondon - West
Paris
Oslo
Hauts-de-Seine Bruxelles
Luxembourg
Different patterns of growth for different types of regions
13
Regional characteristics by degree of persistence in out-migration (total regions =1)
Regional output differences are in large part due to disparities in productivity
Profile fragile regions: loss of pop and low productivity
Between 1999-2006 almost half of employment was created in 10% of OECD regions...
64%62%61%
59%59%
58%57%
52%52%
50%50%
47%46%
45%40%39%39%
36%34%
33%29%
28%27%
24%22%
16%16%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
GreeceUnited States
SwedenIceland
Canada (NOG)Hungary
KoreaCzech Republic
SwitzerlandDenmark
FinlandOECD (26) average
Australia (NOG)Spain
NorwayItaly
New ZealandFrance
United KingdomMexico (TL2)
GermanyAustria
PortugalNetherlands
BelgiumSlovak Republic
Ireland
...and in 2006 in 15% of OECD regions less than 40% of working age women are employed
Way out: which local factors could be better mobilized?
1. Improve regional competitiveness through the supply and utilization of the labour force
2. Increase access to education and improve human capital and skills in the knowledge based economy
…
Almost one fourth of the OECD labour force in 2006 had received only basic education
New regions are faster specializing in high-tech manufacturing and knowledge intensive services
Percent of labour force with only basic education (2006)Specialization index in high-tech manufacturing (HTM) for
the fastest specializing regions (2008)
Number of partner regions for co-patenting in green technologies and ICT
3. Strengthen regional cooperation to produce and adopt innovation
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
LuxembourgChina
HungaryCzech RepublicSlovak Republic
BelgiumSwitzerland
TurkeyMexicoPolandGreeceAustriaIndia
GermanyKorea
PortugalFrance
United StatesItaly
SloveniaNorwayFinland
DenmarkUnited Kingdom
AustraliaCanadaIreland
NetherlandsSweden
SpainJapan
New ZealandChile
Estonia
Within Region Within Country Foreign Regions
Co-patents within region, within country and with foreign countries(2007)
Different propensity to cooperate within and outside national borders and increasing number of partners
Agenda
1. What to measure
2. How to measure
Measuring regional development
Some stylized facts on regional development from OECD Regions at a Glance 2009
A web tool to explore regional information, share insights and increase awareness
Statistics eXplorer ‐ author toolAnalyse ‐ Gain insight – Storytelling
Collaborate
Statistics PublisherPublish – Insight ‐ Knowledge
OECD explorer: a web tool to analyze regional information, collaborate in producing more info,
disseminate insights http://stats.oecd.org/OECDregionalstatistics
Agenda
1. What to measure
2. How to measure
3. Looking forward
Measuring regional development
Some stylized facts on regional development from OECD Regions at a Glance 2009
A web tool to explore regional information, share insights and increase awareness
How to improve our evidence base
1. Better measures of economic agglomerations and links between urban and rural regions
Future work:•Refined typology of rural areas to be extended to non OECD countries•Improved definition of large metropolitan areas and indicators of economic, social and envirnomentalperformance of metro regions• functional links among rural, urban and periurbanareas: labour mobility, use of land, infrastructure to connect
Rationale: Better understand of rural and urban areas and how these definitions should be adapted to non OECD countries. In particular on the links between rural and urban regions
2. Access to quality services and infrastructure
Rationale: Regional income disparities within countries show that redistribution among places is not at work efficiently and transfers to less-developed regions are not sustainable over time as they can harm the development of local competitive edge. The existence of sacks of social exclusion is linked to the unavailability/ or poor accessibility and quality of public goods and services
Future work: •Regional disposable income;•Monetary poverty and housing conditions; •Infrastructure for transport and ICT;•Health and education services
3. Institutional arrangements and policy indicators: the missing information?
Future work: •expenditure and public investment in regions;•Institutional mapping of responsibilities for regional development•indicators on the governance of water policy; •Urban policies for green growth;
Rationale: To include in the OECD regional database measures of governance of regional development and policy indicators
Link between measurement agenda and regional and national policy delivery
“Mind the Gaps” : a Tool for Diagnosis in producing indicators for policy
Administrative gap Information may be produced at a non relevant detail. For example availability and access to some services (child care, education, health, leisure time etc.) maybe more relevant with different boundaries
Information gap Local context and the system of values matter when defining indicators and targets (i.e. policy objectives). Need to take into account a regional and local perspective
Objective gap Possible incoherence between national or supra-national objectives and local needs/necessary actions. This calls for engaging citizens since the beginning of a policy design
Policy gap Sectoral fragmentation across Ministries will affect the design and use of indicators
Capacity gap Insufficient capacity of different actors to use effective indicators to define, monitor and evaluate policies.
Funding gap Unstable or insufficient revenues undermining effective implementation of responsibilities at sub-national level or for crossing policies. Producing information is costly
Accountability gap Need to strengthen accountability, building consensus for change and verify public action
Source: Adapted from C. Charbit (OECD 2010)
www.oecd.org/gov/ regional
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