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    6Nov98

    Power System Dynamics Analysis

    Complexity in the WSCC

    August 10, 1996 System Disturbance

    David P. Chassin, October 16, 2002

    Contact: [email protected]

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    August 1996 West Coast BlackoutSummary of Events

    WSCC 8-10-96 15:48 PAST major disturbance

    4 islands, 7.5M customers out up to 9 hours

    Initiating event: 500 kV Keeler-Allston flashover to trees

    Trip cause: poor right-of-way maintenance Numerous supporting events

    Follow-up events

    COI limit lowered to 3200 MW (Aug 11)

    Account for limits at McNary (exciter) and The Dalles (fish) Raised Aug 12-14 to 3600 MW to avoid blackouts in CA

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    PNNL and Power Systems

    DOE Transmission Reliability Program Real-Time Grid Reliability Management

    Reliability and Markets, Load as a Resource

    Distributed Energy Resources Integration

    Infrastructure Assurance Outreach Program Utility vulnerability assessments

    Interaction with NERC, others on security topics

    Interest in SCADA security

    Energy System Transformation Initiative Integrated econophysics modeling and simulation

    Next generation power technology development

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    Wide-Area Measurement SystemDynamic monitor network supports advanced

    analysis

    Better information supports better

    - and faster - decisions.

    System planning

    Observedresponse

    Power

    System

    Unobservedresponse

    Information

    Automatic control

    System operation

    Disturbances

    DecisionProcesses

    Measurement

    Based

    Information

    System

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    Real-Time System DataCollected from various monitors throughout the grid

    Bonneville Power Administration Phasor Data Concentrator

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    Power System Measurement ToolsTools for managing data & signal analysis

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    Ringdown Analysis ToolAdvanced dynamic analysis

    model fitting w indow

    Time in Seconds

    165 170 175 180

    Malin MW

    Unfiltered signals

    Brake insertion #2, 09/04/97(Alberta strong ly connected)

    Reference time 09-04-97 23H42m35s

    PACI Mode: 0.294 Hz @ 5.3% dampingAlberta : 0.418 Hz @ 5.1% damping

    900

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    Data collected on Dittmer P PSMsample rate = 60/second

    Extracting a linear modelfrom measured data

    Dynamic analysis

    Model validation

    Control design

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    Advanced Dynamic SystemAnalysis and Model Validation

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    Simulated COI Power (initial WSCC base case)

    Observed COI Power (Dittmer Control Center)

    August 10, 1996 post-disturbance analysis

    Determine if model

    calibration is needed.

    Currently working with western utilities to improve power grid models

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    Abstract

    Transactive

    Machine

    Power System Econophysics

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    Controlprocess

    State m

    Thermodynamicprocess

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    Qwaste

    Qin

    QoutCin

    Cout

    Cprofit

    control

    data

    85.026.12

    2

    3

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    85.02

    6.14

    Q

    eQ

    QPPJM 1999 Load/Price Probability Distributions

    Q= Qmax (11/P2)4.54

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    Overview of WSCC August 10, 1996

    15:48 PAST Disturbance

    Based on WSCC Disturbance Report

    Approved by WSCC OperationsCommittee on October 18, 1996

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    High northwest transmission loading

    High imports to CA

    Heavy imports from Canadaand Idaho

    COI at 4750 MW

    Similar to conditions prior to7/2/96 disturbance

    Warning signs visible

    Previous high-load issues

    Small power/large voltageswings

    Suggested voltage supportproblems in NW

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    Equipment out of service

    Lines 500 kV: Big Eddy-Ostrander,

    John Day-Marion, and Marion-Lane (reactive support aroundPortland) flashover to trees

    115 kV: Allston-Rainer degraded

    hdwr, Longview-Lexington cableinstallation.

    Breakers 500 kV: Marion, Keeler

    (modifications)

    Transformers

    500/230 kV: Keeler (modification)Static VAR Comp (SVC) Keeler reduced support to

    500 kV(tied to 230 kV side)

    xxx

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    Triggering Events

    15:42:37 Keller-Allston Sags into trees, flashes, trips Overload par-lines hold 5 min McNary react-power at max

    15:47:29 St. Johns-Merwin Lines trip on relay malfunc.

    KA par-line loads increase15:47:36 Ross-Lexington Tree flashover and trip 207 MW from Swift lost System voltage sags

    15:47:36 McNary Units trip, exciter problem

    System power/voltage osc. beginsID-UT-CO-AZ-NM-NV Surge COI power flows down east side Out-of-step trips CA-AZ remain tied together

    ! ! !

    !

    !

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    Final Result

    28,000 MW of under-frequency load shedding20,000 MW of undesired generation lossFour major islands Northern California (North of LA to Oregon border)

    Losses: 11,600 MW load; 7,900 MW generation Frequency excursions: 58.5460.758.3, restored in 2.5 hrs.

    Southern California (SoCal, NV, AZ, NM, El Paso, Baja) Losses: 15 820 MW load; 13,500 MW generation Frequency excursions: 61.358.5, restored in 70 min.

    Northern (BC, OR, WA, MT, WY, ID) Losses: 2,100 MW load; 5,700 MW generation Frequency excursions: 60.4, restored in 7 minutes

    Alberta Losses: 970 MW load; 146 MW generation Frequency excursions: 60.459.0, restored in 6 minutes

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    Open Questions re. Complexity

    Report only identifies the incontrovertible pointsand fails to address more controversial questions: Why was line maintenance inadequate?

    Why was system operated in single-contingency mode?

    Why did AZ-CA separation scheme fail to operate? Why did models fail to predict oscillations?

    Why did system damping fail?

    Lesson for us: Dont go just by the official reports. Much more is not

    reported or discussed because of sensitivities. Thesocial dynamics of a tightly knit community factors intowhat is knowable. We have to look deeper.

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    Problems PersistWECC Oct 8 2002 15:31 PDT

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    2900 MW generation tripped

    1400 MW Chief Joe brake inserted

    ~86 MW UFLS

    ~350 MW load loss

    480 MW generation dropped

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    Questions and Comments