Banco de Datos de la Economía Mexicana 1980 - 2020 · Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación. Mls. de...
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Banco de Datos de la Economía Mexicana 1980 - 2020 Para uso exclusivo de la Universidad del Valle de México CAMACRO, S.C. [email protected] D.R. © CAMACRO, S.C. Derechos reservados, prohibida su reproducción parcial o total para fines de lucro. Banco Mensual No. 141 / Junio de 2014
Transcript of Banco de Datos de la Economía Mexicana 1980 - 2020 · Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación. Mls. de...
Banco de Datos de la Economía Mexicana
1980 - 2020
Para uso exclusivo de la Universidad del Valle de México
CAMACRO, [email protected]
D.R. © CAMACRO, S.C. Derechos reservados, prohibida su reproducción parcial o total para �nes de lucro.
Banco Mensual No. 141 / Junio de 2014
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ÍNDICE GENERAL
Carta de Presentación
Resumen Ejecutivo en Gráficas
CAPÍTULO IEscenario Macroeconómico: Corto y Mediano Plazo
2011-2016
CAPÍTULO IIEscenario Macroeconómico: Largo Plazo
2014-2020
CAPÍTULO IIICrecimiento Económico por Sexenios 1982-2018
y Criterios Generales de Política Económica para 2013 y 2014
CAPÍTULO IVProyecciones Macroeconómicas
2014-2020
CAPÍTULO VIndicadores Económicos de Coyuntura
2013-2014
Carta de Presentación!!!!!
El Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico es una empresa de consultoría independiente especializada en estudios de prospectiva macroeconómica, y está
conformada por investigadores de diversas disciplinas de las ciencias sociales. Entre los trabajos de investigación que realiza, se encuentra la elaboración mensual del BANCO DE DATOS DE LA ECONOMÍA MEXICANA 1980-2020. El Banco Mensual tiene como objetivo
proporcionar información histórica, coyuntural y de índole prospectiva de la economía mexicana, así como de las principales economías avanzadas y emergentes del mundo. !!
La información estadística contenida en el BANCO DE DATOS DE LA ECONOMÍA MEXICANA 1980-2020, está organizada de tal manera que su localización resulte fácil, mediante vínculos lógicos, ya que la información está clasificada por temas y subtemas.
Además, la información estadística de cada uno de los cuadros está organizada del tal forma que su lectura e interpretación sea sencilla y útil para el análisis macroeconómico. Del total de los 287 cuadros que conforman el Banco de Datos, 220 en específico cubren el periodo que va de 1980 a 2020: la información histórica abarca el lapso 1980-2013, en tanto que el escenario prospectivo “base” el periodo 2014-2020. Finalmente, los cuadros estadísticos y
las proyecciones macroeconómicas se actualizan mensualmente, conforme las instituciones generadoras de información -tanto oficiales como privadas, nacionales e internacionales- la
difunden. Las Bases de Datos del presente documento se pueden exportar a Excel mediante el programa Adobe Acrobat versión XI Pro.!!!
La Economía en Gráficas
Gráfica 1. Crecimiento de la Economía Mundial: Países Avanzados y Emergentes
Gráfica 2. Crecimiento Económico de los Países Miembros del TLC: Estados Unidos, Canadá y México
Gráfica 3. Crecimiento Económico de América Latina y México
Gráfica 4. Índice Relativo de Desarrollo Económico de México
Gráfica 5. Evolución de la Pobreza en México
Gráfica 6. Índice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor
Gráfica 7. Inflación Subyacente vs. No Subyacente
Gráfica 8. Precio Anual Promedio de la Gasolina: México vs. EUA
Gráfica 9. Tasas de Interés en México: Nominal vs. Real
Gráfica 10. Índice del Tipo de Cambio Real Bilateral México-EUA
Gráfica 11. Exportaciones de la Industria Manufacturera
Gráfica 12. Exportación de Mercancías: Petroleras vs. No Petroleras
Gráfica 13. Precio Internacional del Petróleo: Mezcla Mexicana vs. WTI
Gráfica 14. Producción de Crudo y Plataforma Petrolera de Exportación
Grafica 15. Participación en el Mercado de EUA: México vs. China
Grafica 16. Balanza de Pagos de México: Cuenta Corriente, de Capital y Reserva Internacional
Gráfica 17. Sector Público: Ingreso, Gasto y Balance Fiscal
Gráfica 18. Sector Público: Gasto Corriente vs. Inversión Física Presupuestal
-‐6.0
-‐4.0
-‐2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
%
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-‐2020
Gráfica 1 Crecimiento de la Economía Mundial: Países Avanzados y Emergentes, 2000-‐2020
(Variación % anual del PIB real)
PIB Mundo PIB Países Avanzados PIB Países Emergentes
-‐6.0
-‐4.0
-‐2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
%
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-‐2020
Gráfica 2 Crecimiento Económico de los Países Miembros del TLC: Estados Unidos, Canadá y México, 2000-‐2020
(Variación % anual del PIB real)
PIB México PIB Canadá PIB Estados Unidos
-‐6.0
-‐4.0
-‐2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
%
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-‐2020
Gráfica 3 Crecimiento Económico de América LaIna y México, 2000-‐2020
(Variación % anual del PIB real)
PIB América La-na y el Caribe PIB México
120.0
130.0
140.0
150.0
160.0
170.0
180.0
190.0
200.0
210.0
Indice PIB Per Cáp
ita M
undo
=100
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-‐2020
Gráfica 4 Indice RelaIvo de Desarrollo Económico de México, 1980-‐2020
(PIB Per Cápita Mundial PPP = 100)
0.00
10.00
20.00
30.00
40.00
50.00
60.00
70.00
80.00
%
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-‐2020
Gráfica 5 Evolución de la Pobreza en México, 1980-‐2020
(Porcentajes del total de la población)
Pobreza Alimentaria Pobreza de Capacidades Pobreza de Patrimonio
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
%
Gráfica 6 Indice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor, 2000-‐2020
(Variación % promedio anual)
Datos observados Proyecciones CAMACRO
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
10.00
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
%
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-‐2020
Gráfica 7 Inflación Subyacente vs. No Subyacente, 2000-‐2020
(Variación % promedio anual)
Inflación Subyacente Inflación No Subyacente
Meta Inflacionaria del Banco de México: 3.0% (+/-‐ un punto porcentual)
$4.00
$6.00
$8.00
$10.00
$12.00
$14.00
$16.00
$18.00
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Pesos p
or litro
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-‐2020
Gráfica 8 Precio Anual Promedio de la Gasolina Automotriz: México vs. EUA, 2003-‐2020
(Pesos por litro)
Precio Gasolina EUA Precio Gasolina Magna en la Frontera Norte Precio Gasolina Premium en la Frontera Norte
-‐2.00
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
%
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-‐2020
Grafica 9 Tasas de Interés en México: Nominal vs. Real, 2000-‐2020
(Promedio anual en porciento)
Tasa Nominal Cetes a 28 días Tasa Real Cetes a 28 días
60.00
70.00
80.00
90.00
100.00
110.00
120.00
130.00
140.00
150.00
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Indice 199
0=10
0
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-‐2020
Gráfica 10 Indice del Tipo de Cambio Real Bilateral México-‐EUA, 1975-‐2020
(Nivel de equilibrio del .po de cambio peso-‐dólar 1990=100 )
Perdidad de compe66vidad: menos de 80 puntos
Peso subvaluado Peso sobrevaluado
-‐30.0
-‐20.0
-‐10.0
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
%
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-‐2020
Gráfica 11 Exportación de Mercancías: Manufacturas vs. Industria Automotriz, 2000-‐2020
(Variación % anual)
Manufacturas Industria Automotriz
-‐40.0
-‐20.0
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
%
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-‐2020
Gráfica 12 Exportación de Mercancías: Petroleras vs. No Petroleras, 2000-‐2020
(Variación % anual)
Exportaciones Petroleras Exportaciones No Petroleras
10
30
50
70
90
110
130
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Dólares p
or barril de pe
tróleo
crudo
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-‐2020
Gráfica 13 Precio Internacional del Petróleo: Mezcla Mexicana vs. WTI, 2000-‐2020
(Dólares por barril)
West Texas Intermediate Mezcla Mexicana
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Miles d
e ba
rriles d
iario
s en prom
edio
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-‐2020
Gráfica 14 Producción de Crudo y Plataforma Petrolera de Exportación, 1980-‐2020
(Miles de barriles diarios en promedio)
Producción de Crudo Plataforma Petrolera de Exportación
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
22.0
1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
%
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-‐2020
Gráfica 15 ParBcipación Porcentual en el Mercado de EUA: México vs. China, 1985-‐2020
(% en el total de las importaciones de EUA)
China México
-‐100,000
-‐50,000
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Millon
es de dó
lares
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-‐2020
Gráfica 16 Balanza de Pagos de México:
Cuenta Corriente, de Capital y Reserva Internacional, 2000-‐2020 (Millones de dólares)
Cuenta Corriente Cuenta de Capital Reserva Internacional
-‐5.00
-‐2.50
0.00
2.50
5.00
7.50
10.00
12.50
15.00
17.50
20.00
22.50
25.00
27.50
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
% del PIB
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-‐2020
Gráfica 17 Sector Público: Ingreso, Gasto y Balance Fiscal, 2000-‐2020
(Porcentajes del PIB)
Ingreso Presupuestal Gasto Neto Presupuestal Requerimientos Financieros del Sector Público
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
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10.0
12.0
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2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
% del PIB
Proyecciones CAMACRO: 2014-‐2020
Gráfica 18 Sector Público: Gasto Corriente vs. Inversión Física Presupuestal, 2000-‐2020
(Porcentajes del PIB)
Gasto Corriente Inversión Física Presupuestal
CAPÍTULO IEscenario Macroeconómico
Corto y Mediano Plazo2011-2016
Escenario Macroeconómico(Primera Parte)
Escenario Macroeconómico(Segunda Parte)
Escenario Macroeconómico(Tercera Parte)
I-1
Escenario MacroeconómicoCorto y Mediano Plazo 2011-2016
Indicadores Datos observados Proyecciones CAMACROMacroeconómicos 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Población Total Mls. de Personas 115,683 117,054 118,395 119,713 121,006 122,273% Var. 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0Población Económicamente Activa Mls. de Personas 50,019 51,511 52,051 52,981 54,229 55,833% Var. 2.1 3.0 1.0 1.8 2.4 3.0Población Ocupada Mls. de Personas 38,172 39,164 39,521 40,008 40,897 42,191% Var. 1.4 2.6 0.9 1.2 2.2 3.2Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación Mls. de Personas 5,740 5,928 5,906 6,044 6,002 5,827% PEA 11.5 11.5 11.3 11.4 11.1 10.4Empleo Sector Informal Mls. de Personas 13,568 14,080 14,018 14,147 14,246 14,203% PEA 28.6 28.7 28.3 28.1 27.6 26.7Laboran en Estados Unidos Mls. de Personas 7,614 7,591 7,557 7,513 7,548 7,657% PEA de EUA 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7
PIB Nominal Mills. Pesos 14,550,014 15,615,012 16,104,402 17,043,316 18,292,235 19,897,633% Var. 9.5 7.3 3.1 5.8 7.3 8.8Deflactor del PIB Indice 2008=100 113.9 117.6 120.0 123.3 127.1 131.4% Var. 5.3 3.2 2.0 2.8 3.1 3.4
PIB Real Mills. Ps. 2008 12,774,243 13,283,052 13,425,236 13,820,186 14,392,811 15,146,156% Var. 4.0 4.0 1.1 2.9 4.1 5.2PIB Agropecuario Mills. Ps. 2008 377,193 404,479 405,640 409,387 400,846 412,742% Var. -2.3 7.2 0.3 0.9 -2.1 3.0PIB Industrial Mills. Ps. 2008 4,427,598 4,547,999 4,516,803 4,628,814 4,826,424 5,094,242% Var. 3.4 2.7 -0.7 2.5 4.3 5.5PIB Servicios Mills. Ps. 2008 7,640,629 7,988,600 8,157,158 8,426,137 8,794,884 9,249,132% Var. 4.7 4.6 2.1 3.3 4.4 5.2
PIB por Habitante Pesos de 2008 110,425 113,478 113,394 115,444 118,943 123,871% Var. 2.8 2.8 -0.1 1.8 3.0 4.1
Consumo Privado Mills. Ps. 2008 8,493,188 8,905,208 9,131,564 9,409,096 9,816,422 10,344,406% Var. 4.8 4.9 2.5 3.0 4.3 5.4
Continúa
I-2
Continuación
Indicadores Datos observados Proyecciones CAMACROMacroeconómicos 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Inversión Fija Bruta Mills. Ps. 2008 2,804,154 2,930,470 2,878,597 2,950,159 3,120,387 3,383,235% Var. 7.8 4.5 -1.8 2.5 5.8 8.4
Indice Nacional de Precios Consumidor 2q. dic. 2010=100 103.55 107.25 111.51 115.79 119.82 124.20% Var. Dic./dic. 3.8 3.6 4.0 3.8 3.5 3.7
Tipo de Cambio Peso-Dólar Prom. Anual 12.4354 13.1613 12.7724 13.0893 13.3145 13.4609% Var. -1.5 5.8 -3.0 2.5 1.7 1.1Indice Tipo de Cambio Real Indice 1990=100 85.7 89.0 84.4 84.7 84.7 84.4% Var. -1.8 3.8 -5.1 0.4 0.1 -0.4% de Sobre (-) o Sub (+) valuación del Peso -14.3 -11.0 -15.6 -15.3 -15.3 -15.6
Remuneración Media Mensual Real 7,553 7,599 7,655 7,768 7,940 8,146% Var. Pesos de 2008 2.2 0.6 0.7 1.5 2.2 2.6
Cuenta Corriente Mills. de dólares -12,556 -15,058 -25,856 -22,909 -33,269 -45,797 Balanza comercial -1,409 18 -1,184 -4,290 -9,849 -19,167 Balanza servicios y transferencias -11,088 -15,012 -24,834 -18,741 -23,420 -26,630Cuenta de Capital 50,787 54,463 59,460 67,891 65,035 75,190 Endeudamiento externo neto 13,075 14,357 42,591 34,072 28,578 28,394 Inversión extranjera directa 23,354 17,628 38,286 25,076 29,066 34,632 Inversión extranjera de cartera 25,086 56,517 21,030 42,388 46,133 58,060 Activos -10,728 -34,039 -42,447 -33,645 -38,742 -45,896Variación de la Reserva Internacional Neta 28,879 21,040 13,006 22,355 13,828 10,292Saldo de la Reserva Internacional 142,475 163,515 176,522 198,877 212,705 222,997
Deuda Externa Total Millones de dólares 201,344 213,410 240,703 275,104 304,446 333,662% PIB 18.0 17.1 19.5 21.0 22.2 22.8Intereses Millones de dólares 17,688 20,296 23,217 26,650 29,651 32,711% Exportación bienes y servicios 4.6 5.1 5.6 6.1 6.2 6.1
Continúa
I-3
Continuación
Indicadores Datos observados Proyecciones CAMACROMacroeconómicos 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Tasa Valores Privados Promedio anual 4.92 4.73 4.26 3.53 3.49 4.82% real 1.16 1.22 0.36 -0.24 0.07 1.23Tasa Cetes a 28 días Promedio anual 4.24 4.24 3.75 2.96 2.95 4.25% real 0.49 0.73 -0.15 -0.80 -0.47 0.65Tasa Política Monetaria Banxico Promedio anual 4.50 4.50 3.97 3.22 3.23 4.49% real 0.75 0.99 0.06 -0.55 -0.19 0.90
Ahorro Financiero Saldo Mills. Ps. 2010 8,367,526 9,278,536 9,750,048 10,619,392 11,803,374 13,371,365Var.% 12.2 10.9 5.1 8.9 11.1 13.3Crédito al Sector Privado Saldo Mills. Ps. 2010 1,979,851 2,133,764 2,247,946 2,452,946 2,767,770 3,217,478Var.% 12.7 7.8 5.4 9.1 12.8 16.2
Ingreso Presupuestal Millones de pesos 3,271,080 3,514,530 3,800,416 4,113,595 4,399,223 4,786,129Var. % real 6.9 3.2 4.2 4.1 3.2 4.9Gasto Presupuestal Neto Millones de pesos 3,631,316 3,920,305 4,178,322 4,737,412 4,991,587 5,366,201Var. % real 5.3 3.7 2.7 9.0 1.6 3.7Balance Fiscal Amplio RFSP Millones de pesos -388,987 -502,126 -483,714 -723,778 -683,535 -665,035% PIB -2.7 -3.2 -3.0 -4.2 -3.7 -3.3
PIB Real de Estados Unidos Bills. Dls. 2009 15,052 15,471 15,761 16,102 16,570 17,103Var.% 1.8 2.8 1.9 2.2 2.9 3.2Producción Industrial Indice 2007=100 93.6 97.1 99.9 103.8 107.7 112.1Var.% 3.3 3.8 2.9 3.8 3.8 4.1Indice Precios al Consumidor 2Q Dic. 2010=100 102.4 104.5 106.0 108.0 110.1 112.5Var.% Promedio anual 3.2 2.1 1.5 1.9 2.0 2.2Tasa de Desempleo % Fuerza de Trabajo 8.9 8.1 7.4 6.3 5.9 5.6Cuenta Corriente % del PIB -3.0 -2.8 -2.4 -2.6 -2.7 -2.8Balance Fiscal % del PIB -8.4 -6.7 -4.0 -2.8 -2.6 -2.8Tasa Política Monetaria FED % Promedio anual 0.10 0.14 0.11 0.09 0.31 1.12Tasa Libor % Promedio anual 0.34 0.43 0.27 0.24 0.45 1.26
Conclusión
CAPÍTULO IIEscenario Macroeconómico
Largo Plazo2016-2020
Escenario Macroeconómico(Primera Parte)
Escenario Macroeconómico(Segunda Parte)
Escenario Macroeconómico(Tercera Parte)
II-1
Escenario MacroeconómicoLargo Plazo 2014-2020
Indicadores Datos observados Proyecciones CAMACRO
Macroeconómicos 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Economía Mundial
PIB Mundial Var. % real PIB 5.2 3.9 3.2 3.0 3.4 3.9 4.4 4.9 4.6 4.3 4.1 Economías Avanzadas Var. % real PIB 3.0 1.7 1.3 1.2 1.9 2.3 2.8 3.3 3.0 2.6 2.4 Economías Emergentes Var. % real PIB 7.5 6.3 5.1 4.7 4.9 5.4 5.8 6.3 6.0 5.7 5.4Exportación de Mercancías Var. % 22.1 19.7 0.1 2.1 3.0 5.1 8.8 13.0 11.7 9.7 8.1Inflación Mundial % 3.6 4.9 3.9 3.6 3.5 3.6 3.8 4.2 4.1 3.8 3.6Tasa de Interés LIBOR 3 meses % 0.34 0.34 0.43 0.27 0.24 0.45 1.26 2.26 3.27 3.32 2.72Precio Crudo West Texas Intermediate Dls. Barril 79.40 94.87 94.11 97.91 100.58 95.16 93.08 98.65 103.83 107.64 111.24
Crecimiento Económico de México
PIB Real Var. % anual 5.1 4.0 4.0 1.1 2.9 4.1 5.2 6.0 5.8 5.2 4.9PIB Real por Habitante Var. % anual 3.8 2.8 2.8 -0.1 1.8 3.0 4.1 5.0 4.8 4.2 3.9Participación % en el PIB Mundial % 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3
Indice Relativo de Desarrollo Económico
México Mundo=100 128.8 129.0 130.0 127.6 127.7 127.9 129.1 131.5 133.7 135.3 136.7Estados Unidos Mundo=100 442.5 435.9 435.7 432.3 430.8 427.0 423.6 423.6 422.2 418.0 413.2
Población y Ocupación
Población Total Mils. Personas 114,256 115,683 117,054 118,395 119,713 121,006 122,273 123,518 124,738 125,929 127,092Var. % % 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9Población Económicamente Activa Mils. Personas 49,013 50,019 51,511 52,051 52,992 54,237 55,836 57,615 59,363 60,993 62,529Var. % % 1.4 2.1 3.0 1.0 1.8 2.3 2.9 3.2 3.0 2.7 2.5Población Ocupada Mils. Personas 37,636 38,172 39,164 39,521 40,054 40,949 42,249 43,823 45,454 46,928 48,301Var. % % 1.5 1.4 2.6 0.9 1.3 2.2 3.2 3.7 3.7 3.2 2.9Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación Mils. Personas 5,744 5,740 5,928 5,906 6,039 5,998 5,823 5,486 5,099 4,871 4,693% PEA % 11.7 11.5 11.5 11.3 11.4 11.1 10.4 9.5 8.6 8.0 7.5Empleo Sector Informal Mils. Personas 13,004 13,568 14,080 14,018 14,136 14,221 14,171 13,718 13,375 13,201 13,122% PEA % 26.5 27.1 27.3 26.9 26.7 26.2 25.4 23.8 22.5 21.6 21.0Laboran en Estados Unidos Mils. Personas 7,788 7,614 7,591 7,557 7,513 7,548 7,657 7,812 7,985 8,134 8,262% PEA de EUA % 5.1 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.8 4.8
Continúa
II-2
Continuación
Indicadores Datos observados Proyecciones CAMACROMacroeconómicos 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Precios al Consumidor INPC
Inflación General % Promedio anual 4.2 3.4 4.1 3.8 4.0 3.7 3.7 4.1 4.1 3.9 3.7 Inflación Subyacente % Promedio anual 3.9 3.2 3.4 2.7 3.2 3.1 3.3 3.8 3.9 3.7 3.6 Inflación No Subyacente % Promedio anual 5.0 3.9 6.4 7.3 6.7 5.5 4.8 4.9 4.5 4.3 4.1
Tipo de Cambio
Tipo de Cambio Peso-Dólar Promedio anual 12.63 12.44 13.16 12.77 13.09 13.31 13.46 13.68 13.98 14.25 14.48% Var. % -6.5 -1.5 5.8 -3.0 2.5 1.7 1.1 1.6 2.2 1.9 1.6Indice Tipo de Cambio Real Indice 1990=100 87.3 85.7 89.0 84.4 84.7 84.7 84.4 84.5 84.9 85.0 85.0% Var. % -8.8 -1.8 3.8 -5.1 0.4 0.1 -0.4 0.1 0.5 0.2 -0.1Porcentaje de sobre (-) o sub (+) valuación % -12.7 -14.3 -11.0 -15.6 -15.3 -15.3 -15.6 -15.5 -15.1 -15.0 -15.0
Remuneraciones y Salario Mínimo Real
Remuneración Media Anual Indice 2008=100 100.0 102.3 102.9 103.6 105.2 107.5 110.3 113.5 116.2 118.7 121.1Var. % Real % -0.2 2.2 0.6 0.7 1.5 2.2 2.6 2.9 2.4 2.2 2.0Industria Manufacturera Indice 2008=100 98.7 98.9 99.0 99.1 99.3 100.2 101.8 103.6 105.2 106.5 107.6Var. % Real % -0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.0 1.6 1.8 1.5 1.3 1.0Salario Mínimo General Indice 2008=100 100.0 100.7 100.8 101.3 101.2 101.7 102.4 103.4 104.3 105.0 105.5Var. % Real % 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.5 -0.1 0.5 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.5
Tasas de Interés
Tasa de Política Monetaria Banxico Promedio Anual 4.50 4.50 4.50 3.97 3.22 3.23 4.49 5.68 6.63 6.77 6.27% Real Anual % 0.18 0.75 0.99 0.06 -0.55 -0.19 0.90 1.60 2.86 3.08 2.78
Ahorro Financiero y Crédito Bancario
Ahorro Financiero Var. % Real 8.1 12.2 10.9 5.1 8.9 11.1 13.3 14.9 13.9 12.4 11.0Crédito Bancario al Sector Privado Var. % Real 4.0 12.7 7.8 5.4 9.1 12.8 16.2 20.2 17.9 16.0 14.8
Deuda Externa de México
Deuda Externa Total Mills. de Dls. 190,143 201,344 213,410 240,703 275,104 304,446 333,662 367,985 405,227 444,705 486,069% del PIB % 16.8 18.0 17.1 19.5 21.0 22.2 22.8 23.2 23.8 24.3 24.8Pago de Intereses Mills. de Dls. 14,161 17,688 20,296 23,217 26,650 29,651 32,711 36,439 40,095 43,862 47,767% Exportación de Bienes y Servicios % 4.3 4.6 5.1 5.6 6.1 6.2 6.1 5.9 5.7 5.6 5.5
Continúa
II-3
Continúa
Indicadores Datos observados Proyecciones CAMACROMacroeconómicos 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Finanzas PúblicasIngreso Presupuestal % del PIB 22.3 22.5 22.5 23.6 24.1 24.0 24.1 24.5 24.8 25.0 25.2 Ingreso Petrolero % del PIB 7.3 7.6 7.6 7.8 8.4 8.2 7.9 7.8 7.6 7.4 7.4 Ingreso No Petrolero % del PIB 15.0 14.9 14.9 15.8 15.7 15.8 16.1 16.7 17.2 17.6 17.9Gasto Neto Presupuestal % del PIB 25.1 25.0 25.1 25.9 27.8 27.3 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.1 27.4 Gasto Corriente % del PIB 14.7 14.8 15.1 15.2 16.6 16.3 16.1 16.0 15.8 15.8 15.9 Gasto de Capital % del PIB 5.0 4.8 4.7 5.4 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.7 5.7 5.9 5.9 Costo Financiero de la Deuda % del PIB 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8Balance Fiscal Tradicional % del PIB -2.8 -2.4 -2.6 -2.3 -3.6 -3.2 -2.9 -2.6 -2.1 -2.1 -2.2Balance Fiscal Amplio RFSP % del PIB -3.4 -2.7 -3.2 -3.0 -4.2 -3.7 -3.3 -2.9 -2.4 -2.4 -2.4
Balanza de PagosCuenta Corriente Mills. de Dls. -3,886 -12,556 -15,058 -25,856 -22,909 -33,269 -45,797 -56,653 -66,849 -79,398 -93,116% del PIB Porcentaje -0.4 -1.1 -1.3 -2.1 -1.8 -2.4 -3.1 -3.5 -3.9 -4.3 -4.7 Balanza Comercial Mills. de Dls. -3,009 -1,409 18 -1,184 -4,290 -9,849 -19,167 -25,897 -31,990 -40,827 -51,189 Balanza Servicios y Transferencias Mills. de Dls. -877 -11,088 -15,012 -24,834 -18,741 -23,420 -26,630 -30,756 -34,859 -38,571 -41,927Cuenta de Capital Mills. de Dls. 46,388 50,787 54,463 59,460 67,891 65,035 75,190 84,911 95,734 111,991 123,575 Endeudamiento Externo Neto Mills. de Dls. 45,428 13,075 14,357 42,591 34,072 28,578 28,394 32,494 36,735 38,491 40,449 Inversión Extranjera Directa Mills. de Dls. 23,353 23,354 17,628 38,286 25,076 29,066 34,632 38,938 45,212 49,371 54,239Saldo Reserva Internacional Mills. de Dls. 113,597 142,475 163,515 176,522 198,877 212,705 222,997 230,704 236,822 244,405 247,852 Variación anual Mills. de Dls. 22,759 28,879 21,040 13,006 22,355 13,828 10,292 7,707 6,118 7,583 3,447
Sector Externo y TLC
Exportación Total de Mercancías Mills. de Dls. 298,473 349,433 370,770 380,027 396,397 429,765 473,325 543,915 612,285 679,582 745,449Var. % anual % 29.9 17.1 6.1 2.5 4.3 8.4 10.1 14.9 12.6 11.0 9.7 A Estados Unidos Mills. de Dls. 238,684 274,427 287,842 299,439 316,223 345,837 382,776 441,856 498,756 555,204 611,283 Var. % anual % 28.9 15.0 4.9 4.0 5.6 9.4 10.7 15.4 12.9 11.3 10.1 % de penetración en el mercado de EUA % 12.0 11.9 12.2 12.4 12.2 12.5 12.8 13.2 13.5 13.8 14.2Importación Total de Mercancías Mills. de Dls. 301,482 350,843 370,752 381,210 400,687 439,614 492,492 569,812 644,275 720,409 796,638Var. % anual % 28.6 16.4 5.7 2.8 5.1 9.7 12.0 15.7 13.1 11.8 10.6 De Estados Unidos Mills. de Dls. 145,007 174,356 185,110 187,262 197,438 218,488 247,576 290,433 332,188 375,621 420,147 Var. % anual % 29.0 20.2 6.2 1.2 5.4 10.7 13.3 17.3 14.4 13.1 11.9 % Importado de EUA % 48.1 49.7 49.9 49.1 49.3 49.7 50.3 51.0 51.6 52.1 52.7Balanza Comercial México-EUA Mills. de Dls. 93,677 100,070 102,732 112,178 118,786 127,349 135,200 151,423 166,567 179,583 191,135Balanza Comercial México-Resto Mundo Mills. de Dls. -96,686 -101,480 -102,714 -113,361 -123,076 -137,198 -154,367 -177,320 -198,557 -220,410 -242,325
Conclusión
CAPÍTULO IIICrecimiento Económico por Sexenios
y Criterios Generalesde Política Económica
2013-2014
Evolución de la Economía Mexicana por Sexenios 1982-2018
Evolución de la Economía Mexicana en el Sexenio de Enrique Peña Nieto 2012-2018
Marco Macroeconómico 2014-2019: SHCP vs. CAMACRO
Marco Macroeconómico 2013-2014
Oferta y Demanda Agregadas 2013-2014
Finanzas Públicas 2013-2014 / Millones de Pesos
Finanzas Públicas 2013-2014 / % del PIB
Evolución de la Economía Mexicana por Sexenios, 1982-2018(Cifras acumuladas o promedio anual por sexenio)
Miguel Carlos Salinas Ernesto Vicente Felipe Enrique Acumulado o
Indicadores Macroeconómicos Unidad de medida Periodo de la Madrid de Gortari Zedillo Fox Calderón Peña Nieto Promedio Anual
1983-1988 1989-1994 1995-2000 2001-2006 2007-2012 2013-2018 1983-2018
PIB Mundial Var. % real Promedio Anual Sexenio 3.9 2.9 3.7 4.0 3.3 4.0 3.6PIB México Var. % real Promedio Anual Sexenio 0.3 4.0 3.2 2.2 2.1 4.2 2.6PIB Per Cápita Var. % real Promedio Anual Sexenio -1.7 2.2 1.8 1.0 0.8 3.1 1.1Coeficiente de Inversión Fija Bruta / PIB Porcentaje Promedio Anual Sexenio 18.3 18.7 17.7 20.3 22.1 22.5 19.9
SCNM Nuevos Empleos Miles Personas Acumulado en el Sexenio 452 4,085 4,067 2,600 1,930 6,219 19,353ENOE Tasa de Desocupación % PEA Acumulado en el Sexenio 5.0 4.8 5.6 3.4 4.5 4.7 4.7ENOE Tasa de Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación % PEA Promedio Sexenio 9.2 8.8 10.6 8.6 11.1 10.4 9.8ENOE Tasa Empleo Sector Informal % Población Ocupada Promedio Sexenio 22.5 23.6 27.9 28.3 28.0 26.5 26.1ENOE Indice Global de Productividad Laboral índice 2008=100 Promedio Anual Sexenio -1.1 1.1 1.8 0.6 0.2 1.5 0.7
Población en Pobreza Miles Personas Acumulado en el Sexenio 10,058 3,001 5,357 -7,678 14,801 -6,810 18,728 En Pobreza Alimentaria Miles Personas Acumulado en el Sexenio 8,180 -455 4,658 -9,262 7,941 -6,295 4,767% Población en Pobreza % Población Total Promedio Anual Sexenio 54.2 52.7 63.0 48.0 50.6 50.7 53.2 % Población en Pobreza Alimentaria % Población Total Promedio Anual Sexenio 23.6 21.7 32.5 18.5 19.7 18.7 22.4Coeficiente de Desigualdad Social Índice de Gini Promedio Anual Sexenio 0.448 0.469 0.469 0.456 0.445 0.438 0.454Ingreso Factor Trabajo / Ingreso Nacional Disponible % Ingreso Nacional Promedio Anual Sexenio 37.1 34.7 33.2 33.0 31.0 31.7 33.4
Precios al Consumidor INPC % Promedio Anual Sexenio 92.9 16.9 22.0 4.7 4.3 3.9 25.1Remuneración Media Anual Var. % real Crecimiento en el Sexenio -40.8 35.7 -6.5 14.1 5.9 12.9 2.5Salario Mínimo General Var. % real Crecimiento en el Sexenio -49.1 -23.4 -22.4 1.7 -0.3 3.4 -68.3
Tasa Nominal Cetes a plazo de 28 días % Promedio Anual Sexenio 69.56 23.96 26.84 7.97 5.53 4.31 23.03Tasa Real Anual Cetes a plazo de 28 días % Promedio Anual Sexenio 7.65 9.93 7.05 3.69 1.35 0.55 5.04
Coeficiente de Apertura Comercial % PIB Promedio Anual Sexenio 19.9 26.5 41.8 52.6 58.7 68.4 44.7
Endeudamiento Externo Neto Total Millones Dólares Acumulado en el Sexenio 2,077 47,907 20,316 1,646 117,868 202,864 392,678Servicio de la Deuda Externa Total Millones Dólares Acumulado en el Sexenio 57,052 60,067 78,358 75,635 98,717 188,762 558,591Inversión Extranjera Directa Millones Dólares Acumulado en el Sexenio 13,631 30,324 76,539 143,520 142,232 211,210 617,457Inversión Extranjera de Cartera Millones Dólares Acumulado en el Sexenio 0 45,137 -3,599 15,476 122,496 316,406 495,916
Reserva Internacional Banco de México Millones Dólares Acumulado en el Sexenio 4,756 -201 27,407 34,125 95,836 73,306 235,229
Ingreso Presupuestal Sector Público % PIB Promedio Anual Sexenio 23.7 20.1 18.4 20.2 22.6 24.2 21.5 Ingresos Petroleros % PIB Promedio Anual Sexenio 10.1 5.4 6.0 6.9 7.7 8.0 7.4 Ingresos No petroleros % PIB Promedio Anual Sexenio 13.6 14.7 12.4 13.3 14.9 16.2 14.2Gasto Neto Presupuestal Sector Público % PIB Promedio Anual Sexenio 31.0 20.1 19.0 20.7 24.3 27.0 23.7 Gasto Corriente % PIB Promedio Anual Sexenio 12.3 9.9 10.4 12.3 14.4 16.0 12.6 Gasto de Inversión % PIB Promedio Anual Sexenio 3.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 4.0 4.9 3.3Balance Fiscal Amplio RFSP % PIB Promedio Anual Sexenio -9.5 -0.6 -3.9 -1.7 -2.4 -3.3 -3.5
III-I
Evolución de la Economía Mexicana en el Sexenio de Enrique Peña Nieto, 2012-2018(Cifras acumuladas o promedio anual en el sexenio)
Datos CAMACRO Acumulado o
Indicadores Macroeconómicos Unidad de medida Periodo observados Proyecciones Promedio Anual
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2013-2018
PIB Mundial Var. % real Anual 3.0 3.4 3.9 4.4 4.9 4.6 4.0PIB México Var. % real Anual 1.1 2.9 4.1 5.2 6.0 5.8 4.2PIB Per Cápita Var. % real Anual -0.1 1.8 3.0 4.1 5.0 4.8 3.1Coeficiente de Inversión Fija Bruta / PIB Porcentaje Anual 21.4 21.3 21.7 22.3 23.4 24.5 22.5
SCNM Nuevos Empleos Miles Personas Anual 357 488 889 1,294 1,568 1,624 6,219ENOE Tasa de Desocupación % PEA Anual 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.6 4.1 4.7ENOE Tasa de Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación % PEA Anual 11.3 11.4 11.1 10.4 9.5 8.6 10.4ENOE Tasa Empleo Sector Informal % Población Ocupada Anual 28.3 28.1 27.6 26.7 24.9 23.5 26.5ENOE Indice Global de Productividad Laboral índice 2008=100 Anual 0.0 1.1 1.7 1.9 2.3 2.3 1.5
Población en Pobreza Miles Personas Anual 64,343 65,719 64,632 62,466 58,524 54,541 -6,810 En Pobreza Alimentaria Miles Personas Anual 25,302 25,890 25,102 23,503 20,031 16,794 -6,295% Población en Pobreza % Población Total Anual 54.3 54.8 53.3 51.0 47.3 43.7 50.7 % Población en Pobreza Alimentaria % Población Total Anual 21.3 21.6 20.7 19.2 16.2 13.4 18.7Coeficiente de Desigualdad Social Índice de Gini Anual 0.441 0.442 0.440 0.438 0.436 0.432 0.438Ingreso Factor Trabajo / Ingreso Nacional Disponible % Ingreso Nacional Anual 31.3 31.4 31.6 31.8 32.0 32.2 31.7
Precios al Consumidor INPC % Promedio Anual 3.8 4.0 3.7 3.7 4.1 4.1 3.9Remuneración Media Anual Var. % real Promedio Anual 0.7 1.5 2.2 2.6 2.9 2.4 12.9Salario Mínimo General Var. % real Promedio Anual 0.5 -0.1 0.5 0.7 1.0 0.8 3.4
Tasa Nominal Cetes a plazo de 28 días % Promedio Anual 3.75 2.96 2.95 4.25 5.46 6.44 4.31Tasa Real Anual Cetes a plazo de 28 días % Promedio Anual -0.15 -0.80 -0.47 0.65 1.38 2.66 0.55
Coeficiente de Apertura Comercial % PIB Anual 63.0 64.0 66.3 68.9 73.0 75.5 68.4
Endeudamiento Externo Neto Total Millones Dólares Anual 42,591 34,072 28,578 28,394 32,494 36,735 202,864Servicio de la Deuda Externa Total Millones Dólares Anual 23,217 26,650 29,651 32,711 36,439 40,095 188,762Inversión Extranjera Directa Millones Dólares Anual 38,286 25,076 29,066 34,632 38,938 45,212 211,210Inversión Extranjera de Cartera Millones Dólares Anual 21,030 42,388 46,133 58,060 70,112 78,683 316,406
Reserva Internacional Banco de México Millones Dólares Variación anual 13,006 22,355 13,828 10,292 7,707 6,118 73,306
Ingreso Presupuestal Sector Público % PIB Promedio Anual 23.6 24.1 24.0 24.1 24.5 24.8 24.2 Ingresos Petroleros % PIB Promedio Anual 7.8 8.4 8.2 7.9 7.8 7.6 8.0 Ingresos No petroleros % PIB Promedio Anual 15.8 15.7 15.8 16.1 16.7 17.2 16.2Gasto Neto Presupuestal Sector Público % PIB Promedio Anual 25.9 27.8 27.3 27.0 27.0 27.0 27.0 Gasto Corriente % PIB Promedio Anual 15.2 16.6 16.3 16.1 16.0 15.8 16.0 Gasto de Inversión % PIB Promedio Anual 4.6 5.1 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9Balance Fiscal Amplio RFSP % PIB Promedio Anual -3.0 -4.2 -3.7 -3.3 -2.9 -2.4 -3.3
III-2
Indicadores Fecha de ProyeccionesMacroeconómicos proyección 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
PIB de los Estado Unidos Var. % realSHCP Sep. 2013 2.6 3.1 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.6CAMACRO Jun. 2014 2.2 2.9 3.2 3.6 3.3 2.8
Producción Industrial en EUA Var. % realSHCP Sep. 2013 3.2 3.4 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.9CAMACRO Jun. 2014 3.8 3.8 4.1 4.8 4.4 4.2
Inflación en EUA Promedio anualSHCP Sep. 2013 1.9 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.4CAMACRO Jun. 2014 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.1
Tasa LIBOR 3 meses Promedio anualSHCP Sep. 2013 0.5 1.2 2.2 3.2 4.0 4.5CAMACRO Jun. 2014 0.2 0.4 1.3 2.2 3.3 3.3
PIB de México Var. % realSHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 3.5 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.5SHCP/Con reformas Sep. 2013 3.9 4.7 4.9 5.2 5.3 5.4CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 2.9 4.1 5.2 6.0 5.8 5.2
Inflación Var. % dic./dic.SHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 3.8 3.5 3.7 4.2 3.9 3.8
CETES Tasa de Interés Nominal Promedio anualSHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 4.00 4.30 4.80 5.30 5.80 6.00CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 2.96 2.95 4.25 5.46 6.44 6.60
CETES Tasa de Interés Real Promedio anualSHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 1.00 1.30 1.80 2.30 2.80 3.10CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 -0.80 -0.47 0.65 1.38 2.66 2.91
Precio Petróleo Mexicano Dólares por BarrilSHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 81.00 77.00 77.00 77.00 77.00 77.00CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 94.85 89.86 87.86 94.19 100.32 104.38
Plataforma Exportación Crudo MBDSHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 1,170 1,259 1,284 1,428 1,616 1,699CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 1,143 1,228 1,245 1,285 1,374 1,461
ContinúaIII-3
Marco Macroeconómico para 2014-2019Criterios Generales de Política Económica para 2014 vs. Proyecciones CAMACRO
Continuación
Indicadores Fecha de ProyeccionesMacroeconómicos proyección 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Cuenta Corriente % PIBSHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 -1.5 -1.7 -1.7 -1.8 -1.9 -2.0CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 -1.8 -2.4 -3.1 -3.5 -3.9 -4.3
Exportaciones a precios reales Var. % realSHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 6.8 7.1 6.7 6.6 6.4 6.4CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 4.3 7.6 8.2 11.5 8.7 6.7
Importaciones a precios reales Var. % realSHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 8.2 8.1 7.9 7.5 7.3 7.3CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 4.7 8.4 10.3 13.3 10.3 8.7
Consumo Privado y Gobierno Var. % realSHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 4.0 3.8 3.8 3.6 3.5 3.5CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 2.9 3.9 4.9 5.7 5.5 4.9
Inversión Privada y Pública Var. % realSHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 5.9 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 2.5 5.8 8.4 11.2 10.6 9.2
Ingreso Presupuestal Total % PIBSHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 21.8 21.8 22.6 23.3 24.0 24.6CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 24.1 24.0 24.1 24.5 24.8 25.0
Ingresos Petroleros % del PIBSHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 7.0 6.9 7.6 8.2 8.8 9.2CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 8.4 8.2 7.9 7.8 7.6 7.4
Ingresos No Petroleros % del PIBSHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 14.8 14.9 15.0 15.1 15.2 15.4CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 15.7 15.8 16.1 16.7 17.2 17.6
Déficit Fiscal Tradicional % del PIBSHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 -3.5 -3.0 -2.5 -2.0 -2.0 -2.0CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 -3.6 -3.2 -2.9 -2.6 -2.1 -2.1
Déficit Fiscal Amplio RFSP % del PIBSHCP/Escenario inercial Sep. 2013 -4.1 -3.6 -3.0 -2.5 -2.5 -2.5CAMACRO/Con reformas Jun. 2014 -4.2 -3.7 -3.3 -2.9 -2.4 -2.4
ConclusiónIII-4
MARCO MACROECONOMICOCriterios Generales de Política Económica para 2013 y 2014
2013 2014CGPE Datos CGPE Estimación
Proyecto Aprobado observados Proyecto CAMACRO(Diciembre 2012) (Junio 2014) (Septiembre 2013) (Junio 2014)
Producto Interno Bruto Crecimiento % real 3.5 1.1 3.9 2.9 Nominal (mmp) 16,715.6 16,104.4 17,591.8 17,043.3 Deflactor del PIB Base 2008=100 3.5 2.0 3.8 2.8 Inflación Dic./dic. 3.0 4.0 3.0 3.8 Tipo de Cambio Nominal Promedio anual 12.90 12.77 12.60 13.09 Cetes 28 días Nominal, promedio anual 4.60 3.75 4.00 2.96 Real anual 1.60 -0.15 1.00 -0.80 Cuenta Corriente Balanza de Pagos Millones de dólares -15,465 -25,856 -21,477 -22,909 % del PIB -1.2 -2.1 -1.5 -1.8 Balance Público % PIB Con inversión de PEMEX -2.0 -2.3 -3.5 -3.6 Sin inversión de PEMEX 0.0 -0.3 -1.5 -1.6 Balance Público Amplio RFSP % del PIB -2.4 -3.0 -4.1 -4.2 PIB EE.UU. Crecimiento % real 2.0 1.9 2.6 2.2 Producción Industrial EE.UU. Crecimiento % real 2.3 2.9 3.2 3.8 Inflación EE.UU. Promedio anual 2.0 1.5 1.9 1.9 Petróleo Precio promedio (dls./barril) 86.00 98.56 81.00 94.85 Plataforma de exportación (mbd) 1,184 1,189 1,170 1,143 Tasa de Interés externa LIBOR 3 meses (%) 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.2
III-5
Concepto!
OFERTA Y DEMANDA AGREGADAS 2013 y 2014Criterios Generales de Política Económica
(Variación % anual real)
2013 2014CGPE Datos CGPE Estimación
Proyecto observados Proyecto CAMACRO
Oferta Agregada 4.1 1.2 5.0 3.4
PIB 3.5 1.1 3.9 2.9
Importaciones 5.7 1.5 8.2 4.7
Demanda Agregada 4.1 1.2 5.0 3.4
Consumo total 3.4 2.3 4.0 2.9
Formación Bruta de Capital 6.0 -1.8 5.9 2.5
Exportaciones 4.1 1.2 6.8 4.3
III-6
Concepto!
FINANZAS PUBLICA, 2013 y 2014Criterios Generales de Política Económica
(Millones de pesos)
2013 2014Proyecto Aprobado Datos Proyecto Aprobado Estimación
del Ejecutivo H. Congreso observados del Ejecutivo H. Congreso CAMACROIngreso Presupuestal 3,576,000 3,601,072 3,800,191 3,829,476 3,816,748 4,113,595 Sector Petrolero 1,238,066 1,243,000 1,261,702 1,224,734 1,265,725 1,439,856 Sector No Petrolero 2,337,934 2,358,072 2,538,489 2,604,742 2,551,023 2,673,739 Gobierno Federal 1,713,941 1,734,079 1,924,585 1,960,313 1,906,594 2,013,089 Tributarios 1,621,177 1,628,202 1,644,313 1,808,188 1,752,179 1,767,580 Sistema renta 864,325 866,624 946,515 1,039,026 1,006,377 992,888 IVA 617,900 622,626 556,794 632,369 609,393 598,788 IEPS 77,477 77,477 78,572 118,300 117,959 115,042 Importación 28,082 28,082 29,260 26,759 26,759 31,718 Otros impuestos 33,392 33,392 33,171 -8,265 -8,308 29,144 No Tributarios 92,764 105,878 280,272 152,125 154,415 245,509 Organismos y Empresas 623,993 623,993 613,905 644,429 644,429 660,650
Gasto Neto Presupuestal 3,902,324 3,927,396 4,178,322 4,449,891 4,437,163 4,737,412 Gasto Programable 2,995,118 3,031,810 3,316,609 3,456,822 3,463,609 3,806,624 Corriente 2,305,210 2,330,282 2,440,772 2,649,411 2,656,198 2,828,705 Servicios Personales 963,690 963,690 963,100 1,028,125 1,028,125 1,026,374 Otros 1,341,520 1,366,592 1,477,671 1,651,349 1,658,136 1,802,331 Capital 689,908 701,527 875,837 807,411 807,411 977,919 Inversión Física 669,263 680,883 735,501 783,534 783,534 863,478 Inversión Fínanciera 20,645 20,645 140,337 23,877 23,877 114,441 Gasto No Programable 907,206 895,586 861,713 993,069 973,554 930,788 Costo Financiero 350,387 345,387 314,551 383,365 380,365 371,072 Participaciones a Edos. y Municip. 533,646 535,116 532,456 585,654 577,639 539,946 Adefas y Ajenas Netas 23,173 15,084 14,706 24,050 15,550 19,770
Balance Económico -326,324 -326,324 -374,456 -620,415 -620,415 -619,726 Inversión PEMEX 326,324 326,324 328,572 357,527 357,527 354,501Balance Económico sin PEMEX 0 0 -45,884 -262,888 -262,888 -265,225Balance Fiscal Amplio RFSP -401,174 -401,174 -483,714 -721,264 -721,264 -723,778
III-7
Concepto!
FINANZAS PUBLICAS, 2013 y 2014Criterios Generales de Política Económica
(% del PIB)
2013 2014Proyecto Aprobado Datos Proyecto Aprobado Estimación
del Ejecutivo H. Congreso observados del Ejecutivo H. Congreso CAMACROIngreso Presupuestal 21.39 21.54 23.60 21.77 21.70 24.14 Sector Petrolero 7.41 7.44 7.83 6.96 7.19 8.45 Sector No Petrolero 13.99 14.11 15.76 14.81 14.50 15.69 Gobierno Federal 10.25 10.37 11.95 11.14 10.84 11.81 Tributarios 9.70 9.74 10.21 10.28 9.96 10.37 Sistema renta 5.17 5.18 5.88 5.91 5.72 5.83 IVA 3.70 3.72 3.46 3.59 3.46 3.51 IEPS 0.46 0.46 0.49 0.67 0.67 0.68 Importación 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.15 0.15 0.19 Otros impuestos 0.20 0.20 0.21 -0.05 -0.05 0.17 No Tributarios 0.55 0.63 1.74 0.86 0.88 1.44 Organismos y Empresas 3.73 3.73 3.81 3.66 3.66 3.88
Gasto Neto Presupuestal 23.35 23.50 25.95 25.30 25.22 27.80 Gasto Programable 17.92 18.14 20.59 19.65 19.69 22.33 Corriente 13.79 13.94 15.16 15.06 15.10 16.60 Servicios Personales 5.77 5.77 5.98 5.84 5.84 6.02 Otros 8.03 8.18 9.18 9.39 9.43 10.58 Capital 4.13 4.20 5.44 4.59 4.59 5.74 Inversión Física 4.00 4.07 4.57 4.45 4.45 5.07 Inversión Fínanciera 0.12 0.12 0.87 0.14 0.14 0.67 Gasto No Programable 5.43 5.36 5.35 5.65 5.53 5.46 Costo Financiero 2.10 2.07 1.95 2.18 2.16 2.18 Participaciones a Edos. y Municip. 3.19 3.20 3.31 3.33 3.28 3.17 Adefas y Ajenas Netas 0.14 0.09 0.09 0.14 0.09 0.12
Balance Económico -1.95 -1.95 -2.33 -3.53 -3.53 -3.64 Inversión PEMEX 1.95 1.95 2.04 2.03 2.03 2.08Balance Económico sin PEMEX 0.00 0.00 -0.28 -1.49 -1.49 -1.56Balance Fiscal Amplio RFSP -2.40 -2.40 -3.00 -4.10 -4.10 -4.25
III-8
Concepto!
CAPÍTULO IVProyecciones Macroeconómicas
2014-2020
A. Crecimiento Económico, Ingreso Nacional y Evolución de la PobrezaB. Oferta y Demanda Global
C. Producción de Bienes y Servicios por Sectores EconómicosD. Población Ocupada Remunerada e Indicadores Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo
E. Remuneraciones, Productividad y Costo Laboral UnitarioF. Indice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor
G. Mercado CambiarioH. Tasas de InterésI. Sector FinancieroJ. Comercio ExteriorK. Balanza de Pagos
L. Deuda Externa de MéxicoM. Finanzas Públicas
N. Economía de Estados UnidosO. Tratado de Libre Comercio de América del Norte TLCAN
P. Economía Mundial
A. Crecimiento Económico, Ingreso Nacional,
Evolución de la Pobreza y Desigualdad Social
Cuadro A-1.Producto Interno Bruto 1980-2020
Cuadro A-2.Población y PIB Per Capita 1980-2020
Cuadro A-3.Índice del Grado de Desarrollo Económico de México 1980-2020
Cuadro A-4.Ingreso Nacional Disponible 1980-2020
Cuadro A-5.Consumo Privado Total y Per Cápita 1980-2020
Cuadro A-6.Evolución de la Pobreza y la Desigualdad en México 1980-2020
Cuadro A-7.La Distribución del Ingreso en México 1980-2020
A-1. Producto Interno Bruto: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Millones de pesos y dólares)
PIB Nominal Deflactor del PIB PIB Real PIB en Dólares PIB de México
Pesos Var.% 2008=100 Var.% Ps. 2008 Var.% Dólares Var.% Dls. 2008 Var.% % Mundo % EUA
1980 5,882 39.4 0.1 27.6 6,112,050 9.2 256,537 38.3 573,047 26.9 3.0 12.21981 8,062 37.1 0.1 26.3 6,633,140 8.5 329,233 28.3 672,647 17.4 3.2 12.91982 12,981 61.0 0.2 61.8 6,598,594 -0.5 223,763 -32.0 430,453 -36.0 3.2 13.11983 23,381 80.1 0.4 86.6 6,368,539 -3.5 155,553 -30.5 287,875 -33.1 3.0 12.01984 38,547 64.9 0.6 59.4 6,585,758 3.4 208,433 34.0 372,515 29.4 3.0 11.61985 62,524 62.2 0.9 58.7 6,729,834 2.2 201,508 -3.3 348,978 -6.3 2.9 11.41986 102,625 64.1 1.6 69.4 6,522,625 -3.1 161,529 -19.8 274,211 -21.4 2.7 10.71987 253,504 147.0 3.8 142.8 6,634,974 1.7 181,336 12.3 300,174 9.5 2.7 10.51988 514,663 103.0 7.7 100.4 6,720,118 1.3 225,031 24.1 359,904 19.9 2.6 10.21989 679,422 32.0 9.7 26.8 6,996,013 4.1 273,781 21.7 421,482 17.1 2.6 10.21990 916,075 34.8 12.4 28.2 7,358,110 5.2 322,735 17.9 479,120 13.7 2.6 10.51991 1,178,365 28.6 15.4 23.4 7,668,237 4.2 390,739 21.1 561,402 17.2 2.7 11.01992 1,401,208 18.9 17.6 14.8 7,939,777 3.5 452,812 15.9 636,082 13.3 2.6 11.01993 1,570,147 12.1 19.3 9.4 8,132,915 2.4 504,022 11.3 691,561 8.7 2.6 11.01994 1,779,754 13.3 20.9 8.2 8,517,387 4.7 527,316 4.6 708,441 2.4 2.6 11.11995 2,206,943 24.0 27.5 31.6 8,026,897 -5.8 343,814 -34.8 452,470 -36.1 2.4 10.11996 3,020,033 36.8 35.5 29.2 8,498,459 5.9 397,356 15.6 513,554 13.5 2.4 10.31997 3,805,272 26.0 41.9 17.8 9,090,197 7.0 480,474 20.9 610,532 18.9 2.5 10.61998 4,586,366 20.5 48.2 15.1 9,517,604 4.7 501,209 4.3 630,046 3.2 2.5 10.61999 5,539,866 20.8 56.7 17.7 9,771,440 2.7 579,625 15.6 718,360 14.0 2.5 10.42000 6,464,302 16.7 62.8 10.8 10,288,982 5.3 683,571 17.9 828,362 15.3 2.5 10.52001 6,770,398 4.7 66.2 5.4 10,226,682 -0.6 724,956 6.1 858,837 3.7 2.5 10.42002 7,160,499 5.8 69.9 5.6 10,240,173 0.1 740,814 2.2 864,341 0.6 2.4 10.22003 7,695,624 7.5 74.1 6.0 10,385,857 1.4 712,865 -3.8 815,436 -5.7 2.3 10.12004 8,693,240 13.0 80.3 8.3 10,832,004 4.3 770,277 8.1 857,600 5.2 2.3 10.22005 9,441,350 8.6 84.6 5.4 11,160,493 3.0 866,665 12.5 934,928 9.0 2.3 10.12006 10,538,115 11.6 89.9 6.3 11,718,672 5.0 966,736 11.5 1,011,778 8.2 2.3 10.32007 11,403,263 8.2 94.3 4.9 12,087,602 3.1 1,043,419 7.9 1,063,802 5.1 2.2 10.52008 12,256,863 7.5 100.0 6.0 12,256,863 1.4 1,099,071 5.3 1,099,071 3.3 2.2 10.72009 12,093,890 -1.3 103.5 3.5 11,680,749 -4.7 895,337 -18.5 888,499 -19.2 2.1 10.42010 13,282,061 9.8 108.2 4.5 12,277,659 5.1 1,051,604 17.5 1,031,091 16.0 2.1 10.72011 14,550,014 9.5 113.9 5.3 12,774,243 4.0 1,170,045 11.3 1,125,125 9.1 2.1 10.92012 15,615,012 7.3 117.6 3.2 13,283,052 4.0 1,186,434 1.4 1,121,281 -0.3 2.2 11.12013 16,104,402 3.1 120.0 2.0 13,425,236 1.1 1,260,877 6.3 1,173,906 4.7 2.1 11.0
2014 17,043,316 5.8 123.3 2.8 13,820,186 2.9 1,302,078 3.3 1,193,993 1.7 2.1 11.12015 18,292,235 7.3 127.1 3.1 14,392,811 4.1 1,373,863 5.5 1,238,910 3.8 2.1 11.22016 19,897,633 8.8 131.4 3.4 15,146,156 5.2 1,478,178 7.6 1,308,364 5.6 2.1 11.42017 21,900,244 10.1 136.4 3.8 16,060,250 6.0 1,600,699 8.3 1,386,473 6.0 2.2 11.62018 24,083,382 10.0 141.7 3.9 16,999,241 5.8 1,722,205 7.6 1,459,626 5.3 2.2 11.92019 26,278,028 9.1 146.9 3.7 17,883,685 5.2 1,844,287 7.1 1,532,701 5.0 2.2 12.22020 28,549,345 8.6 152.2 3.6 18,751,667 4.9 1,971,560 6.9 1,608,220 4.9 2.3 12.5
A-1
Años!
A-2. Población Total y PIB Per Cápita: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Pesos y dólares)
Población PIB Per Cápita en Pesos PIB Per Cápita en DólaresAños Total Nominal Real Nominal Real
Personas Var.% Pesos Var.% Ps. de 2008 Var.% Dólares Var.% Dls. de 2008 Var.%
1980 71,073,785 2.4 83 36.1 85,996 6.7 3,609 35.0 8,063 23.91981 72,666,912 2.2 111 34.1 91,281 6.1 4,531 25.5 9,257 14.81982 74,186,037 2.1 175 57.7 88,947 -2.6 3,016 -33.4 5,802 -37.31983 75,668,142 2.0 309 76.6 84,164 -5.4 2,056 -31.8 3,804 -34.41984 77,166,135 2.0 500 61.7 85,345 1.4 2,701 31.4 4,827 26.91985 78,717,744 2.0 794 59.0 85,493 0.2 2,560 -5.2 4,433 -8.21986 80,335,575 2.1 1,277 60.8 81,192 -5.0 2,011 -21.5 3,413 -23.01987 82,006,831 2.1 3,091 142.0 80,908 -0.4 2,211 10.0 3,660 7.21988 83,712,835 2.1 6,148 98.9 80,276 -0.8 2,688 21.6 4,299 17.51989 85,424,041 2.0 7,954 29.4 81,897 2.0 3,205 19.2 4,934 14.81990 87,064,847 1.9 10,522 32.3 84,513 3.2 3,707 15.7 5,503 11.51991 88,630,941 1.8 13,295 26.4 86,519 2.4 4,409 18.9 6,334 15.11992 90,132,585 1.7 15,546 16.9 88,090 1.8 5,024 14.0 7,057 11.41993 91,600,655 1.6 17,141 10.3 88,787 0.8 5,502 9.5 7,550 7.01994 93,055,300 1.6 19,126 11.6 91,530 3.1 5,667 3.0 7,613 0.81995 94,490,336 1.5 23,356 22.1 84,949 -7.2 3,639 -35.8 4,789 -37.11996 95,876,664 1.5 31,499 34.9 88,639 4.3 4,144 13.9 5,356 11.91997 97,204,604 1.4 39,147 24.3 93,516 5.5 4,943 19.3 6,281 17.31998 98,485,424 1.3 46,569 19.0 96,640 3.3 5,089 3.0 6,397 1.91999 99,706,067 1.2 55,562 19.3 98,002 1.4 5,813 14.2 7,205 12.62000 100,895,811 1.2 64,069 15.3 101,976 4.1 6,775 16.5 8,210 14.02001 102,122,295 1.2 66,297 3.5 100,142 -1.8 7,099 4.8 8,410 2.42002 103,417,944 1.3 69,238 4.4 99,017 -1.1 7,163 0.9 8,358 -0.62003 104,719,891 1.3 73,488 6.1 99,178 0.2 6,807 -5.0 7,787 -6.82004 105,951,569 1.2 82,049 11.7 102,235 3.1 7,270 6.8 8,094 3.92005 107,151,011 1.1 88,113 7.4 104,157 1.9 8,088 11.3 8,725 7.82006 108,408,827 1.2 97,207 10.3 108,097 3.8 8,918 10.3 9,333 7.02007 109,787,388 1.3 103,867 6.9 110,100 1.9 9,504 6.6 9,690 3.82008 111,299,015 1.4 110,126 6.0 110,126 0.0 9,875 3.9 9,875 1.92009 112,852,594 1.4 107,165 -2.7 103,504 -6.0 7,934 -19.7 7,873 -20.32010 114,255,555 1.2 116,249 8.5 107,458 3.8 9,204 16.0 9,024 14.62011 115,682,868 1.2 125,775 8.2 110,425 2.8 10,114 9.9 9,726 7.82012 117,053,750 1.2 133,400 6.1 113,478 2.8 10,136 0.2 9,579 -1.52013 118,395,054 1.1 136,023 2.0 113,394 -0.1 10,650 5.1 9,915 3.5
2014 119,713,203 1.1 142,368 4.7 115,444 1.8 10,877 2.1 9,974 0.62015 121,005,815 1.1 151,168 6.2 118,943 3.0 11,354 4.4 10,238 2.72016 122,273,473 1.0 162,731 7.6 123,871 4.1 12,089 6.5 10,700 4.52017 123,518,270 1.0 177,304 9.0 130,023 5.0 12,959 7.2 11,225 4.92018 124,737,789 1.0 193,072 8.9 136,280 4.8 13,807 6.5 11,702 4.22019 125,929,439 1.0 208,673 8.1 142,014 4.2 14,645 6.1 12,171 4.02020 127,091,642 0.9 224,636 7.6 147,544 3.9 15,513 5.9 12,654 4.0
A-2
A-3. Indice Relativo del Desarrollo Económico de México: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Personas y dólares de EUA con ajuste PPP)
Población Tamaño de la Economía PIB Per Cápita Indice de Desarrollo EconómicoAños Mundo % Mundo PIB Mundo % Mundo Mundo Dólares Internacionales PPP PIB Per Cápita PPP Mundo=100
Personas México EUA Canadá M.Mills.Dls. México EUA Canadá Dólares México EUA Canadá México EUA Canadá
1980 4,453,007 1.60 5.16 0.55 11,476 3.04 24.94 2.47 2,577 4,901 12,455 11,557 190.2 483.3 448.51981 4,531,799 1.60 5.12 0.55 12,812 3.23 25.06 2.50 2,827 5,689 13,838 12,945 201.2 489.5 457.91982 4,612,120 1.61 5.08 0.54 13,683 3.19 24.45 2.42 2,967 5,887 14,279 13,223 198.4 481.3 445.71983 4,694,097 1.61 5.04 0.54 14,610 3.00 24.90 2.42 3,112 5,790 15,382 13,979 186.0 494.2 449.11984 4,777,828 1.62 5.00 0.53 15,859 2.96 25.48 2.44 3,319 6,080 16,921 15,153 183.2 509.8 456.51985 4,863,290 1.62 4.96 0.53 17,009 2.91 25.56 2.46 3,497 6,284 18,027 16,193 179.7 515.4 463.01986 4,950,591 1.62 4.92 0.53 17,937 2.73 25.59 2.44 3,623 6,086 18,851 16,699 168.0 520.3 460.91987 5,039,478 1.63 4.88 0.53 19,085 2.67 25.52 2.45 3,787 6,221 19,804 17,604 164.3 522.9 464.81988 5,129,113 1.63 4.84 0.53 20,631 2.59 25.46 2.46 4,022 6,387 21,147 18,851 158.8 525.7 468.61989 5,218,375 1.64 4.81 0.52 22,243 2.60 25.44 2.43 4,262 6,771 22,553 19,812 158.9 529.1 464.81990 5,306,425 1.64 4.77 0.52 23,810 2.65 25.11 2.36 4,487 7,245 23,603 20,309 161.5 526.0 452.61991 5,392,939 1.64 4.74 0.52 25,100 2.71 24.60 2.27 4,654 7,662 24,135 20,289 164.6 518.6 435.91992 5,478,009 1.65 4.71 0.52 28,187 2.55 23.20 2.08 5,146 7,981 25,319 20,687 155.1 492.1 402.01993 5,561,744 1.65 4.69 0.52 29,457 2.56 23.35 2.09 5,296 8,247 26,375 21,434 155.7 498.0 404.71994 5,644,416 1.65 4.67 0.51 31,040 2.60 23.55 2.12 5,499 8,683 27,740 22,701 157.9 504.4 412.81995 5,726,239 1.65 4.65 0.51 32,855 2.37 23.33 2.10 5,738 8,227 28,777 23,571 143.4 501.5 410.81996 5,807,212 1.65 4.64 0.51 34,699 2.42 23.34 2.06 5,975 8,741 30,068 24,174 146.3 503.2 404.61997 5,887,260 1.65 4.63 0.51 36,763 2.48 23.42 2.06 6,244 9,379 31,574 25,403 150.2 505.6 406.81998 5,966,465 1.65 4.63 0.50 38,112 2.53 23.85 2.09 6,388 9,798 32,933 26,507 153.4 515.6 415.01999 6,044,931 1.65 4.62 0.50 40,038 2.51 24.14 2.12 6,623 10,078 34,607 27,978 152.2 522.5 422.42000 6,122,770 1.65 4.61 0.50 42,875 2.52 24.00 2.13 7,003 10,725 36,424 29,802 153.2 520.2 425.62001 6,200,003 1.65 4.61 0.50 44,837 2.45 23.70 2.12 7,232 10,773 37,211 30,699 149.0 514.5 424.52002 6,276,722 1.65 4.60 0.50 46,781 2.39 23.47 2.12 7,453 10,816 38,064 31,722 145.1 510.7 425.62003 6,353,196 1.65 4.58 0.50 49,523 2.34 23.25 2.08 7,795 11,050 39,521 32,638 141.8 507.0 418.72004 6,429,758 1.65 4.57 0.50 53,443 2.34 22.97 2.05 8,312 11,787 41,750 34,243 141.8 502.3 412.02005 6,506,649 1.65 4.56 0.50 57,652 2.30 22.71 2.02 8,860 12,356 44,119 36,005 139.5 497.9 406.42006 6,583,959 1.65 4.55 0.50 62,474 2.29 22.18 1.97 9,489 13,218 46,260 37,683 139.3 487.5 397.12007 6,661,637 1.65 4.54 0.50 67,466 2.25 21.46 1.91 10,128 13,820 47,903 39,042 136.5 473.0 385.52008 6,739,610 1.65 4.53 0.49 70,558 2.22 20.86 1.88 10,469 14,093 48,265 39,849 134.6 461.0 380.62009 6,817,737 1.66 4.51 0.49 70,627 2.13 20.41 1.84 10,359 13,348 46,859 38,663 128.9 452.3 373.22010 6,895,889 1.66 4.50 0.49 75,099 2.13 19.92 1.81 10,890 14,026 48,193 40,046 128.8 442.5 367.72011 6,974,036 1.66 4.49 0.49 79,381 2.14 19.57 1.79 11,382 14,685 49,615 41,459 129.0 435.9 364.22012 7,052,135 1.66 4.48 0.49 83,258 2.16 19.51 1.77 11,806 15,344 51,441 42,502 130.0 435.7 360.02013 7,130,014 1.66 4.47 0.49 86,995 2.12 19.31 1.75 12,201 15,563 52,747 43,610 127.6 432.3 357.4
2014 7,207,460 1.66 4.46 0.49 90,765 2.12 19.20 1.74 12,593 16,086 54,253 44,831 127.7 430.8 356.02015 7,284,296 1.66 4.45 0.49 96,038 2.13 18.99 1.72 13,184 16,866 56,300 46,354 127.9 427.0 351.62016 7,360,430 1.66 4.44 0.49 102,025 2.14 18.79 1.70 13,861 17,894 58,717 48,227 129.1 423.6 347.92017 7,435,810 1.66 4.43 0.49 108,267 2.18 18.76 1.69 14,560 19,150 61,684 50,436 131.5 423.6 346.42018 7,510,341 1.66 4.42 0.49 114,953 2.22 18.66 1.67 15,306 20,465 64,626 52,605 133.7 422.2 343.72019 7,583,938 1.66 4.41 0.49 121,900 2.25 18.44 1.65 16,074 21,754 67,193 54,599 135.3 418.0 339.72020 7,656,528 1.66 4.40 0.49 129,171 2.27 18.19 1.63 16,871 23,054 69,715 56,628 136.7 413.2 335.7
A-3
A-4. Ingreso Nacional Disponible: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Millones de pesos)
Ingreso Nacional Disponible Ingreso del Factor Trabajo Ingreso del Factor Capital y Otros ImpuestosAños Nominal Real Nominal Real Nominal Real Indirectos Netos
Pesos % IND Ps. de 2008 % Var. Pesos % IND Ps. de 2008 % Var. Pesos % IND Ps. de 2008 % Var. Pesos
1980 4,973 100.0 5,167,248 8.3 2,131 42.9 2,214,350 3.7 2,644 53.2 2,747,695 9.5 1971981 6,757 100.0 5,559,434 7.6 3,039 45.0 2,500,603 12.9 3,455 51.1 2,842,757 3.5 2631982 10,146 100.0 5,157,592 -7.2 4,567 45.0 2,321,803 -7.2 5,102 50.3 2,593,530 -8.8 4771983 17,664 100.0 4,811,225 -6.7 6,915 39.1 1,883,396 -18.9 10,068 57.0 2,742,144 5.7 6821984 29,858 100.0 5,101,217 6.0 11,153 37.4 1,905,571 1.2 17,391 58.2 2,971,344 8.4 1,3131985 48,534 100.0 5,223,984 2.4 17,961 37.0 1,933,283 1.5 28,058 57.8 3,020,061 1.6 2,5141986 76,018 100.0 4,831,537 -7.5 29,774 39.2 1,892,339 -2.1 42,792 56.3 2,719,786 -9.9 3,4521987 189,302 100.0 4,954,609 2.5 68,407 36.1 1,790,420 -5.4 110,103 58.2 2,881,739 6.0 10,7921988 401,289 100.0 5,239,765 5.8 134,888 33.6 1,761,277 -1.6 245,145 61.1 3,200,934 11.1 21,2571989 537,965 100.0 5,539,433 5.7 175,305 32.6 1,805,122 2.5 333,790 62.0 3,437,038 7.4 28,8701990 737,027 100.0 5,919,960 6.9 234,625 31.8 1,884,558 4.4 461,261 62.6 3,704,949 7.8 41,1411991 945,964 100.0 6,155,878 4.0 313,231 33.1 2,038,357 8.2 578,061 61.1 3,761,746 1.5 54,6711992 1,116,357 100.0 6,325,703 2.8 392,881 35.2 2,226,214 9.2 657,736 58.9 3,726,981 -0.9 65,7401993 1,238,544 100.0 6,415,309 1.4 461,841 37.3 2,392,207 7.5 707,831 57.2 3,666,366 -1.6 68,8721994 1,397,307 100.0 6,687,109 4.2 531,216 38.0 2,542,249 6.3 788,884 56.5 3,775,372 3.0 77,2071995 1,739,601 100.0 6,327,120 -5.4 603,782 34.7 2,196,023 -13.6 1,029,974 59.2 3,746,130 -0.8 105,8441996 2,431,220 100.0 6,841,524 8.1 774,117 31.8 2,178,387 -0.8 1,504,395 61.9 4,233,411 13.0 152,7081997 3,105,619 100.0 7,418,836 8.4 1,000,064 32.2 2,388,995 9.7 1,902,538 61.3 4,544,864 7.4 203,0181998 3,777,230 100.0 7,838,489 5.7 1,254,304 33.2 2,602,927 9.0 2,300,552 60.9 4,774,095 5.0 222,3731999 4,545,091 100.0 8,016,814 2.3 1,523,737 33.5 2,687,629 3.3 2,755,997 60.6 4,861,138 1.8 265,3572000 5,438,731 100.0 8,656,620 8.0 1,824,063 33.5 2,903,292 8.0 3,266,347 60.1 5,198,919 6.9 348,3202001 5,756,569 100.0 8,695,294 0.4 2,005,540 34.8 3,029,366 4.3 3,379,354 58.7 5,104,511 -1.8 371,6762002 6,266,903 100.0 8,962,248 3.1 2,166,209 34.6 3,097,879 2.3 3,733,579 59.6 5,339,362 4.6 367,1152003 6,897,866 100.0 9,309,220 3.9 2,329,800 33.8 3,144,251 1.5 4,122,849 59.8 5,564,113 4.2 445,2172004 7,863,567 100.0 9,798,210 5.3 2,518,473 32.0 3,138,083 -0.2 4,907,019 62.4 6,114,274 9.9 438,0752005 8,529,597 100.0 10,082,722 2.9 2,701,428 31.7 3,193,322 1.8 5,378,674 63.1 6,358,058 4.0 449,4952006 9,527,382 100.0 10,594,710 5.1 2,944,694 30.9 3,274,580 2.5 6,118,527 64.2 6,803,969 7.0 464,1612007 10,284,557 100.0 10,901,759 2.9 3,164,427 30.8 3,354,332 2.4 6,612,872 64.3 7,009,727 3.0 507,2582008 11,037,180 100.0 11,037,180 1.2 3,421,291 31.0 3,421,291 2.0 7,230,333 65.5 7,230,333 3.1 385,5562009 10,711,707 100.0 10,345,783 -6.3 3,479,948 32.5 3,361,069 -1.8 6,650,843 62.1 6,423,643 -11.2 580,9162010 11,894,187 100.0 10,994,737 6.3 3,668,897 30.8 3,391,451 0.9 7,598,158 63.9 7,023,578 9.3 627,1322011 12,966,394 100.0 11,383,897 3.5 3,933,627 30.3 3,453,544 1.8 8,438,839 65.1 7,408,912 5.5 593,9282012 13,811,631 100.0 11,748,990 3.2 4,228,773 30.6 3,597,244 4.2 9,016,200 65.3 7,669,713 3.5 566,6582013 14,265,786 100.0 11,892,497 1.2 4,461,526 31.3 3,719,296 3.4 9,219,363 64.6 7,685,608 0.2 584,897
2014 15,161,551 100.0 12,294,290 3.4 4,766,932 31.4 3,865,438 3.9 9,762,383 64.4 7,916,180 3.0 632,2372015 16,336,337 100.0 12,853,859 4.6 5,162,991 31.6 4,062,377 5.1 10,493,754 64.2 8,256,761 4.3 679,5922016 17,799,358 100.0 13,548,941 5.4 5,665,194 31.8 4,312,368 6.2 11,402,610 64.1 8,679,712 5.1 731,5542017 19,634,171 100.0 14,398,456 6.3 6,292,127 32.0 4,614,247 7.0 12,542,933 63.9 9,198,192 6.0 799,1112018 21,604,875 100.0 15,249,789 5.9 6,953,472 32.2 4,908,104 6.4 13,782,888 63.8 9,728,644 5.8 868,5162019 23,519,575 100.0 16,006,402 5.0 7,617,712 32.4 5,184,284 5.6 14,951,672 63.6 10,175,459 4.6 950,1912020 25,520,428 100.0 16,762,226 4.7 8,291,876 32.5 5,446,237 5.1 16,205,183 63.5 10,643,824 4.6 1,023,369
A-4
Continuación
Personal Ocupado Remuneración Total del Personal Ocupado Remuneración Media Anual del Personal OcupadoAños Remunerado Nominal Real Nominal Real
Personas % Var. Pesos % Var. % IND Pesos de 2008 % Var. Pesos % Var. Pesos de 2008 % Var.
1980 24,602,687 6.4 2,125 33.4 42.7 2,481,667 5.5 8.64 25.4 10,086.98 -0.81981 26,121,780 6.2 3,032 42.7 44.9 2,767,928 11.5 11.61 34.4 10,596.24 5.01982 26,030,084 -0.4 4,554 50.2 44.9 2,615,588 -5.5 17.49 50.7 10,048.33 -5.21983 25,318,960 -2.7 6,885 51.2 39.0 1,958,842 -25.1 27.19 55.4 7,736.66 -23.01984 25,927,555 2.4 11,096 61.2 37.2 1,908,142 -2.6 42.80 57.4 7,359.51 -4.91985 26,484,078 2.1 17,845 60.8 36.8 1,945,322 1.9 67.38 57.4 7,345.25 -0.21986 26,063,667 -1.6 29,506 65.3 38.8 1,727,152 -11.2 113.21 68.0 6,626.67 -9.81987 26,299,106 0.9 67,746 129.6 35.8 1,710,576 -1.0 257.60 127.5 6,504.31 -1.81988 26,482,049 0.7 133,645 97.3 33.3 1,575,694 -7.9 504.66 95.9 5,950.05 -8.51989 27,198,534 2.7 173,867 30.1 32.3 1,708,147 8.4 639.25 26.7 6,280.29 5.61990 28,402,365 4.4 232,898 34.0 31.6 1,806,603 5.8 819.99 28.3 6,360.75 1.31991 29,194,592 2.8 311,374 33.7 32.9 1,969,103 9.0 1,066.55 30.1 6,744.75 6.01992 29,592,852 1.4 390,929 25.5 35.0 2,140,290 8.7 1,321.02 23.9 7,232.46 7.21993 29,861,321 0.9 459,800 17.6 37.1 2,293,682 7.2 1,539.78 16.6 7,681.11 6.21994 30,567,389 2.4 529,089 15.1 37.9 2,467,448 7.6 1,730.89 12.4 8,072.16 5.11995 29,635,986 -3.0 599,315 13.3 34.5 2,070,348 -16.1 2,022.26 16.8 6,985.93 -13.51996 30,631,556 3.4 768,605 28.2 31.6 1,975,886 -4.6 2,509.19 24.1 6,450.49 -7.71997 31,819,963 3.9 994,672 29.4 32.0 2,119,820 7.3 3,125.94 24.6 6,661.92 3.31998 33,186,333 4.3 1,246,299 25.3 33.0 2,291,139 8.1 3,755.46 20.1 6,903.86 3.61999 33,943,910 2.3 1,516,646 21.7 33.4 2,391,489 4.4 4,468.09 19.0 7,045.41 2.12000 34,634,241 2.0 1,815,053 19.7 33.4 2,613,924 9.3 5,240.63 17.3 7,547.22 7.12001 34,388,016 -0.7 1,993,857 9.9 34.6 2,699,527 3.3 5,798.12 10.6 7,850.20 4.02002 34,096,303 -0.8 2,154,451 8.1 34.4 2,777,243 2.9 6,318.72 9.0 8,145.29 3.82003 34,244,084 0.4 2,313,438 7.4 33.5 2,852,489 2.7 6,755.73 6.9 8,329.87 2.32004 35,608,452 4.0 2,501,182 8.1 31.8 2,945,865 3.3 7,024.12 4.0 8,272.94 -0.72005 35,847,428 0.7 2,689,951 7.5 31.5 3,046,691 3.4 7,503.89 6.8 8,499.05 2.72006 37,233,963 3.9 2,934,059 9.1 30.8 3,206,784 5.3 7,880.06 5.0 8,612.52 1.32007 37,917,305 1.8 3,155,457 7.5 30.7 3,317,174 3.4 8,321.94 5.6 8,748.44 1.62008 38,486,251 1.5 3,411,300 8.1 30.9 3,411,300 2.8 8,863.68 6.5 8,863.68 1.32009 37,096,910 -3.6 3,469,532 1.7 32.4 3,294,985 -3.4 9,352.62 5.5 8,882.10 0.22010 37,636,192 1.5 3,659,093 5.5 30.8 3,336,327 1.3 9,722.27 4.0 8,864.68 -0.22011 38,171,733 1.4 3,923,847 7.2 30.3 3,459,839 3.7 10,279.46 5.7 9,063.88 2.22012 39,163,690 2.6 4,216,570 7.5 30.5 3,571,125 3.2 10,766.53 4.7 9,118.46 0.62013 39,520,561 0.9 4,449,742 5.5 31.2 3,630,412 1.7 11,259.31 4.6 9,186.13 0.7
2014 40,008,330 1.2 4,754,317 6.8 31.4 3,729,183 2.7 11,883.32 5.5 9,321.02 1.52015 40,896,978 2.2 5,149,481 8.3 31.5 3,896,610 4.5 12,591.35 6.0 9,527.87 2.22016 42,191,111 3.2 5,649,958 9.7 31.7 4,124,129 5.8 13,391.35 6.4 9,774.88 2.62017 43,758,783 3.7 6,275,497 11.1 32.0 4,402,433 6.7 14,341.11 7.1 10,060.68 2.92018 45,383,145 3.7 6,935,410 10.5 32.1 4,674,017 6.2 15,281.91 6.6 10,299.01 2.42019 46,852,270 3.2 7,598,027 9.6 32.3 4,929,961 5.5 16,216.99 6.1 10,522.35 2.22020 48,220,291 2.9 8,270,413 8.8 32.4 5,174,047 5.0 17,151.31 5.8 10,730.02 2.0
Conclusión
A-5
A-5. Consumo Privado Total y Per Cápita: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Pesos a precios de 2008)
Población Consumo Privado Consumo Consumo Per Cápita Real Años Total Real Indice Real Privado Real Indice Real
Personas Var.% Mills. de Ps. Var.% 2008=100 Var.% % PIB Ps. de 2008 Var.% 2008=100 Var.%
1980 71,073,785 2.4 3,804,037 10.3 46.4 10.3 62.2 53,522 7.7 72.7 7.71981 72,666,912 2.2 4,065,866 6.9 49.6 6.9 61.3 55,952 4.5 76.0 4.51982 74,186,037 2.1 4,025,020 -1.0 49.1 -1.0 61.0 54,256 -3.0 73.7 -3.01983 75,668,142 2.0 3,856,858 -4.2 47.0 -4.2 60.6 50,971 -6.1 69.2 -6.11984 77,166,135 2.0 3,966,002 2.8 48.4 2.8 60.2 51,396 0.8 69.8 0.81985 78,717,744 2.0 4,086,076 3.0 49.8 3.0 60.7 51,908 1.0 70.5 1.01986 80,335,575 2.1 3,999,098 -2.1 48.8 -2.1 61.3 49,780 -4.1 67.6 -4.11987 82,006,831 2.1 4,005,891 0.2 48.9 0.2 60.4 48,848 -1.9 66.3 -1.91988 83,712,835 2.1 4,057,521 1.3 49.5 1.3 60.4 48,470 -0.8 65.8 -0.81989 85,424,041 2.0 4,353,040 7.3 53.1 7.3 62.2 50,958 5.1 69.2 5.11990 87,064,847 1.9 4,632,871 6.4 56.5 6.4 63.0 53,212 4.4 72.2 4.41991 88,630,941 1.8 4,849,631 4.7 59.2 4.7 63.2 54,717 2.8 74.3 2.81992 90,132,585 1.7 5,076,539 4.7 61.9 4.7 63.9 56,323 2.9 76.5 2.91993 91,600,655 1.6 5,182,959 2.1 63.2 2.1 63.7 56,582 0.5 76.8 0.51994 93,055,300 1.6 5,422,813 4.6 66.1 4.6 63.7 58,275 3.0 79.1 3.01995 94,490,336 1.5 4,947,122 -8.8 60.3 -8.8 61.6 52,356 -10.2 71.1 -10.21996 95,876,664 1.5 5,161,928 4.3 63.0 4.3 60.7 53,839 2.8 73.1 2.81997 97,204,604 1.4 5,473,707 6.0 66.8 6.0 60.2 56,311 4.6 76.4 4.61998 98,485,424 1.3 5,789,745 5.8 70.6 5.8 60.8 58,788 4.4 79.8 4.41999 99,706,067 1.2 6,062,432 4.7 73.9 4.7 62.0 60,803 3.4 82.5 3.42000 100,895,811 1.2 6,420,895 5.9 78.3 5.9 62.4 63,639 4.7 86.4 4.72001 102,122,295 1.2 6,550,213 2.0 79.9 2.0 64.1 64,141 0.8 87.1 0.82002 103,417,944 1.3 6,641,542 1.4 81.0 1.4 64.9 64,220 0.1 87.2 0.12003 104,719,891 1.3 6,715,116 1.1 81.9 1.1 64.7 64,125 -0.1 87.0 -0.12004 105,951,569 1.2 7,088,885 5.6 86.5 5.6 65.4 66,907 4.3 90.8 4.32005 107,151,011 1.1 7,400,756 4.4 90.3 4.4 66.3 69,068 3.2 93.8 3.22006 108,408,827 1.2 7,808,965 5.5 95.2 5.5 66.6 72,033 4.3 97.8 4.32007 109,787,388 1.3 8,046,201 3.0 98.1 3.0 66.6 73,289 1.7 99.5 1.72008 111,299,015 1.4 8,198,835 1.9 100.0 1.9 66.9 73,665 0.5 100.0 0.52009 112,852,594 1.4 7,669,325 -6.5 93.5 -6.5 65.7 67,959 -7.7 92.3 -7.72010 114,255,555 1.2 8,103,919 5.7 98.8 5.7 66.0 70,928 4.4 96.3 4.42011 115,682,868 1.2 8,493,188 4.8 103.6 4.8 66.5 73,418 3.5 99.7 3.52012 117,053,750 1.2 8,905,208 4.9 108.6 4.9 67.0 76,078 3.6 103.3 3.62013 118,395,054 1.1 9,131,564 2.5 111.4 2.5 68.0 77,128 1.4 104.7 1.4
2014 119,713,203 1.1 9,409,096 3.0 114.8 3.0 68.1 78,597 1.9 106.7 1.92015 121,005,815 1.1 9,816,422 4.3 119.7 4.3 68.2 81,124 3.2 110.1 3.22016 122,273,473 1.0 10,344,406 5.4 126.2 5.4 68.3 84,601 4.3 114.8 4.32017 123,518,270 1.0 10,981,965 6.2 133.9 6.2 68.4 88,910 5.1 120.7 5.12018 124,737,789 1.0 11,634,359 5.9 141.9 5.9 68.4 93,271 4.9 126.6 4.92019 125,929,439 1.0 12,247,575 5.3 149.4 5.3 68.5 97,257 4.3 132.0 4.32020 127,091,642 0.9 12,847,090 4.9 156.7 4.9 68.5 101,085 3.9 137.2 3.9
A-6
A-6. Evolución de la Pobreza por Nivel de Ingreso y Desigualdad Social: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Personas, porcentajes e índices)
Población Población Pobre Porcentaje de la Población Total Población Indice deAños Total Alimentaria Capacidades Patrimonio Alimentaria Capacidades Patrimonio No Pobre Desigualdad
Personas % Personas Personas Personas % % % Personas % de Gini1980-III 71,332,341 100.0 11,598,639 16,484,904 35,209,644 16.3 23.1 49.4 36,122,698 50.6 0.4501981-III 72,908,786 100.0 9,288,579 13,932,869 32,196,520 12.7 19.1 44.2 40,712,266 55.8 0.4371982-III 74,423,101 100.0 12,026,773 16,998,236 35,812,396 16.2 22.8 48.1 38,610,705 51.9 0.4421983-III 75,903,827 100.0 18,216,918 23,628,861 42,756,626 24.0 31.1 56.3 33,147,201 43.7 0.4501984-III 77,404,098 100.0 17,415,922 23,376,038 41,024,172 22.5 30.2 53.0 36,379,926 47.0 0.4241985-III 78,957,485 100.0 16,312,616 21,571,185 38,815,500 20.7 27.3 49.2 40,141,986 50.8 0.4311986-III 80,577,538 100.0 20,015,461 26,912,898 44,962,266 24.8 33.4 55.8 35,615,272 44.2 0.4501987-III 82,245,525 100.0 20,898,588 27,889,457 46,312,455 25.4 33.9 56.3 35,933,070 43.7 0.4661988-III 83,949,682 100.0 20,206,688 26,612,049 45,870,106 24.1 31.7 54.6 38,079,576 45.4 0.4671989-III 85,658,404 100.0 19,444,458 25,097,912 45,827,246 22.7 29.3 53.5 39,831,158 46.5 0.4641990-III 87,296,633 100.0 18,812,424 24,443,057 44,992,685 21.6 28.0 51.5 42,303,948 48.5 0.4671991-III 88,865,524 100.0 18,990,562 25,175,603 45,907,930 21.4 28.3 51.7 42,957,594 48.3 0.4661992-III 90,371,559 100.0 19,321,439 26,804,204 47,978,261 21.4 29.7 53.1 42,393,298 46.9 0.4691993-III 91,842,618 100.0 20,113,533 28,287,526 49,686,856 21.9 30.8 54.1 42,155,762 45.9 0.4721994-III 93,300,175 100.0 19,751,647 27,943,402 48,870,632 21.2 30.0 52.4 44,429,543 47.6 0.4741995-III 94,738,299 100.0 32,997,350 41,438,532 62,622,016 34.8 43.7 66.1 32,116,283 33.9 0.4691996-III 96,128,033 100.0 35,942,272 45,055,209 66,337,956 37.4 46.9 69.0 29,790,077 31.0 0.4551997-III 97,458,591 100.0 33,915,590 42,745,338 63,835,377 34.8 43.9 65.5 33,623,214 34.5 0.4641998-III 98,741,392 100.0 32,841,387 41,204,783 62,888,393 33.3 41.7 63.7 35,852,999 36.3 0.4731999-III 99,964,813 100.0 30,289,338 38,416,478 60,038,867 30.3 38.4 60.1 39,925,946 39.9 0.4772000-III 101,158,779 100.0 24,409,407 32,120,705 54,227,340 24.1 31.8 53.6 46,931,439 46.4 0.4792001-III 102,388,036 100.0 22,730,144 30,306,859 52,934,615 22.2 29.6 51.7 49,453,421 48.3 0.4702002-III 103,686,637 100.0 20,705,343 27,845,996 51,821,589 20.0 26.9 50.0 51,865,048 50.0 0.4532003-III 104,994,747 100.0 20,053,997 27,403,629 51,447,426 19.1 26.1 49.0 53,547,321 51.0 0.4552004-III 106,218,317 100.0 18,476,280 26,232,861 50,149,830 17.4 24.7 47.2 56,068,487 52.8 0.4552005-III 107,358,426 100.0 19,578,716 26,515,497 50,506,470 18.2 24.7 47.0 56,851,956 53.0 0.4572006-III 108,578,347 100.0 15,147,499 22,657,319 46,549,346 14.0 20.9 42.9 62,029,001 57.1 0.4452007-III 110,055,240 100.0 16,618,341 24,542,319 49,337,590 15.1 22.3 44.8 60,717,650 55.2 0.4492008-III 111,611,545 100.0 20,789,646 28,486,370 53,381,457 18.6 25.5 47.8 58,230,088 52.2 0.4572009-III 113,179,581 100.0 30,105,769 38,299,970 63,720,104 26.6 33.8 56.3 49,459,477 43.7 0.4482010-III 114,559,931 100.0 21,535,243 30,493,420 58,519,936 18.8 26.6 51.1 56,039,995 48.9 0.4352011-III 115,857,912 100.0 22,175,204 31,165,778 59,388,766 19.1 26.9 51.3 56,469,146 48.7 0.4402012-III 117,284,429 100.0 23,088,909 32,881,563 61,350,435 19.7 28.0 52.3 55,933,994 47.7 0.4402013-III 118,585,423 100.0 25,301,686 35,440,137 64,343,389 21.3 29.9 54.3 54,242,034 45.7 0.441
2014-III 119,883,471 100.0 25,890,338 36,379,533 65,719,046 21.6 30.3 54.8 54,164,425 45.2 0.4422015-III 121,172,178 100.0 25,102,335 35,461,941 64,632,155 20.7 29.3 53.3 56,540,023 46.7 0.4402016-III 122,436,218 100.0 23,503,166 33,603,532 62,465,863 19.2 27.4 51.0 59,970,356 49.0 0.4382017-III 123,678,528 100.0 20,031,287 29,739,423 58,523,572 16.2 24.0 47.3 65,154,955 52.7 0.4362018-III 124,895,214 100.0 16,793,726 26,097,785 54,540,622 13.4 20.9 43.7 70,354,592 56.3 0.4322019-III 126,084,075 100.0 13,839,307 22,853,678 50,936,838 11.0 18.1 40.4 75,147,237 59.6 0.4292020-III 127,243,120 100.0 11,498,010 20,340,761 48,173,107 9.0 16.0 37.9 79,070,014 62.1 0.426
A-7
A-7. Distribución del Ingreso en México: Escenario Base 2014-2020Ingreso Corriente Total Trimestral por Hogar
(Millones de pesos constantes de 2012)
Ingreso Corriente Total Trimestral Grupos de IngresoAños Deciles de hogares Bajo Medio Alto
TOTAL I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X I-V VI-VIII IX-X
1980-III 645,431 11,747 19,363 25,236 32,852 38,532 47,826 58,218 75,903 108,045 227,708 127,731 181,947 335,7531981-III 698,477 12,712 20,954 27,730 35,483 43,864 54,551 68,032 85,354 116,506 233,291 140,743 207,936 349,7971982-III 592,474 10,605 17,833 23,521 29,505 36,319 45,206 57,115 72,400 99,002 200,967 117,784 174,721 299,9701983-III 511,941 9,010 14,539 20,017 25,188 30,768 38,498 49,044 61,996 84,880 178,002 99,521 149,538 262,8821984-III 534,808 9,402 17,016 22,889 28,822 34,659 42,578 52,357 65,247 89,533 172,949 112,789 160,182 262,4821985-III 559,459 10,406 17,231 22,938 28,756 35,526 44,085 54,715 68,254 93,486 184,062 114,857 167,054 277,5481986-III 527,362 9,176 15,241 20,409 25,735 31,958 39,869 49,677 62,809 90,864 181,623 102,519 152,355 272,4881987-III 538,638 8,241 14,357 19,714 24,885 31,133 39,159 51,224 67,007 92,517 190,400 98,331 157,390 282,9171988-III 594,231 9,151 16,329 21,699 27,869 35,060 43,379 54,966 71,427 98,058 216,293 110,109 169,772 314,3511989-III 676,902 10,960 19,471 25,745 32,429 40,486 49,937 61,220 77,509 105,812 253,343 129,090 188,666 359,1551990-III 723,749 11,435 20,482 27,358 34,668 42,846 52,544 65,355 83,376 113,774 271,911 136,789 201,275 385,6861991-III 793,016 12,530 22,654 30,360 37,906 46,629 57,414 71,689 91,276 127,114 295,443 150,080 220,379 422,5571992-III 841,153 13,345 23,550 31,669 40,027 48,902 60,579 75,563 95,948 134,787 316,743 157,494 232,090 451,5301993-III 866,216 14,033 24,081 32,095 40,862 49,981 61,868 76,660 98,489 139,429 328,718 161,051 237,017 468,1481994-III 920,707 14,827 25,721 34,175 43,019 52,722 65,350 80,928 104,837 148,518 350,555 170,464 251,115 499,0731995-III 724,487 12,461 20,720 28,400 34,051 42,020 51,584 62,813 80,128 115,747 276,563 137,653 194,525 392,3101996-III 682,620 12,237 20,567 27,005 33,515 40,862 50,149 61,300 78,312 108,768 249,889 134,187 189,760 358,6571997-III 734,704 12,123 20,719 27,845 35,560 43,495 53,707 65,976 84,564 117,400 273,316 139,741 204,248 390,7161998-III 779,327 11,832 21,005 28,673 36,882 45,692 56,545 69,850 89,859 124,477 294,474 144,083 216,253 418,9511999-III 856,348 13,102 22,755 31,022 39,906 49,411 61,743 76,557 97,709 137,276 326,867 156,196 236,009 464,1422000-III 954,514 14,540 25,338 34,569 44,072 54,733 68,012 84,759 107,583 152,671 368,171 173,251 260,354 520,8422001-III 952,453 14,954 26,288 35,336 45,337 55,909 69,243 85,911 109,627 150,460 359,388 177,823 264,782 509,8482002-III 969,496 16,014 28,365 37,954 47,867 59,514 72,209 89,648 114,842 158,780 344,299 189,715 276,700 503,0792003-III 999,720 16,595 29,392 38,992 49,686 60,983 74,079 91,274 116,767 161,647 360,304 195,648 282,121 521,9512004-III 1,047,872 17,333 30,872 41,676 52,170 63,320 77,244 95,764 121,982 168,696 378,800 205,371 294,990 547,4972005-III 1,083,254 17,786 31,794 42,540 53,245 64,798 79,813 99,042 126,370 173,005 394,839 210,163 305,225 567,8442006-III 1,199,303 21,396 37,067 48,797 60,821 74,300 89,501 110,761 139,388 189,906 427,365 242,381 339,650 617,2722007-III 1,202,875 21,171 37,530 48,031 59,903 73,375 88,892 110,544 139,052 192,102 432,274 240,010 338,489 624,3762008-III 1,194,851 19,891 34,731 46,808 58,499 71,436 87,808 109,773 139,607 192,778 433,520 231,365 337,188 626,2972009-III 1,102,102 18,846 34,165 44,194 55,436 67,118 82,217 102,385 129,387 178,052 390,302 219,759 313,989 568,3542010-III 1,110,560 19,605 34,502 46,141 58,078 70,856 85,889 105,238 133,268 180,688 376,295 229,181 324,395 556,9832011-III 1,151,340 20,609 35,289 46,975 59,524 72,074 87,387 107,996 136,664 185,481 399,342 234,470 332,047 584,8232012-III 1,203,203 22,083 37,220 49,656 61,583 75,472 91,087 112,257 141,540 192,555 419,749 246,014 344,884 612,3042013-III 1,188,819 21,755 36,651 48,944 60,713 74,206 89,851 110,845 139,995 190,473 415,385 242,269 340,692 605,858
2014-III 1,209,112 21,982 37,083 49,586 61,532 75,098 91,179 112,544 142,627 194,026 423,455 245,280 346,350 617,4812015-III 1,259,597 23,088 38,922 51,984 64,617 79,140 95,503 117,558 148,305 201,661 438,818 257,751 361,366 640,4802016-III 1,337,109 24,563 41,517 55,517 69,008 84,733 101,754 124,966 157,097 213,229 464,726 275,338 383,817 677,9542017-III 1,427,937 26,345 44,566 59,645 74,181 91,345 109,109 133,598 167,154 227,185 494,809 296,083 409,861 721,9942018-III 1,515,451 28,309 48,161 64,104 79,258 99,414 116,538 142,149 176,489 240,350 520,679 319,245 435,177 761,0292019-III 1,597,325 30,157 51,035 68,078 84,003 106,526 123,441 150,724 185,130 252,857 545,375 339,799 459,295 798,2312020-III 1,679,283 32,225 54,224 72,024 88,717 113,755 130,279 159,045 193,957 264,991 570,066 360,945 483,281 835,057
Continúa
A-8
Continuación
Total de Hogares Grupo de IngresoAños Deciles de hogares Bajo Medio Alto
TOTAL I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X I-V VI-VIII IX-X
1980-III 14,868,228 1,486,823 1,486,823 1,486,823 1,486,823 1,486,823 1,486,823 1,486,823 1,486,823 1,486,823 1,486,823 7,434,114 4,460,468 2,973,6461981-III 15,300,028 1,530,003 1,530,003 1,530,003 1,530,003 1,530,003 1,530,003 1,530,003 1,530,003 1,530,003 1,530,003 7,650,014 4,590,008 3,060,0061982-III 15,724,606 1,572,461 1,572,461 1,572,461 1,572,461 1,572,461 1,572,461 1,572,461 1,572,461 1,572,461 1,572,461 7,862,303 4,717,382 3,144,9211983-III 16,147,885 1,614,789 1,614,789 1,614,789 1,614,789 1,614,789 1,614,789 1,614,789 1,614,789 1,614,789 1,614,789 8,073,943 4,844,366 3,229,5771984-III 16,581,220 1,658,122 1,658,122 1,658,122 1,658,122 1,658,122 1,658,122 1,658,122 1,658,122 1,658,122 1,658,122 8,290,610 4,974,366 3,316,2441985-III 17,032,064 1,703,206 1,703,206 1,703,206 1,703,206 1,703,206 1,703,206 1,703,206 1,703,206 1,703,206 1,703,206 8,516,032 5,109,619 3,406,4131986-III 17,503,728 1,750,373 1,750,373 1,750,373 1,750,373 1,750,373 1,750,373 1,750,373 1,750,373 1,750,373 1,750,373 8,751,864 5,251,118 3,500,7461987-III 17,992,557 1,799,256 1,799,256 1,799,256 1,799,256 1,799,256 1,799,256 1,799,256 1,799,256 1,799,256 1,799,256 8,996,279 5,397,767 3,598,5111988-III 18,496,328 1,849,633 1,849,633 1,849,633 1,849,633 1,849,633 1,849,633 1,849,633 1,849,633 1,849,633 1,849,633 9,248,164 5,548,898 3,699,2661989-III 19,008,347 1,900,835 1,900,835 1,900,835 1,900,835 1,900,835 1,900,835 1,900,835 1,900,835 1,900,835 1,900,835 9,504,174 5,702,504 3,801,6691990-III 19,512,018 1,951,202 1,951,202 1,951,202 1,951,202 1,951,202 1,951,202 1,951,202 1,951,202 1,951,202 1,951,202 9,756,009 5,853,605 3,902,4041991-III 20,007,418 2,000,742 2,000,742 2,000,742 2,000,742 2,000,742 2,000,742 2,000,742 2,000,742 2,000,742 2,000,742 10,003,709 6,002,225 4,001,4841992-III 20,495,835 2,049,584 2,049,584 2,049,584 2,049,584 2,049,584 2,049,584 2,049,584 2,049,584 2,049,584 2,049,584 10,247,918 6,148,751 4,099,1671993-III 20,983,485 2,098,348 2,098,348 2,098,348 2,098,348 2,098,348 2,098,348 2,098,348 2,098,348 2,098,348 2,098,348 10,491,742 6,295,045 4,196,6971994-III 21,475,291 2,147,529 2,147,529 2,147,529 2,147,529 2,147,529 2,147,529 2,147,529 2,147,529 2,147,529 2,147,529 10,737,646 6,442,587 4,295,0581995-III 21,969,974 2,196,997 2,196,997 2,196,997 2,196,997 2,196,997 2,196,997 2,196,997 2,196,997 2,196,997 2,196,997 10,984,987 6,590,992 4,393,9951996-III 22,460,831 2,246,083 2,246,083 2,246,083 2,246,083 2,246,083 2,246,083 2,246,083 2,246,083 2,246,083 2,246,083 11,230,416 6,738,249 4,492,1661997-III 22,945,237 2,294,524 2,294,524 2,294,524 2,294,524 2,294,524 2,294,524 2,294,524 2,294,524 2,294,524 2,294,524 11,472,619 6,883,571 4,589,0471998-III 23,425,752 2,342,575 2,342,575 2,342,575 2,342,575 2,342,575 2,342,575 2,342,575 2,342,575 2,342,575 2,342,575 11,712,876 7,027,726 4,685,1501999-III 23,899,506 2,389,951 2,389,951 2,389,951 2,389,951 2,389,951 2,389,951 2,389,951 2,389,951 2,389,951 2,389,951 11,949,753 7,169,852 4,779,9012000-III 24,373,552 2,437,355 2,437,355 2,437,355 2,437,355 2,437,355 2,437,355 2,437,355 2,437,355 2,437,355 2,437,355 12,186,776 7,312,066 4,874,7102001-III 24,863,619 2,486,362 2,486,362 2,486,362 2,486,362 2,486,362 2,486,362 2,486,362 2,486,362 2,486,362 2,486,362 12,431,809 7,459,086 4,972,7242002-III 25,378,423 2,537,842 2,537,842 2,537,842 2,537,842 2,537,842 2,537,842 2,537,842 2,537,842 2,537,842 2,537,842 12,689,211 7,613,527 5,075,6852003-III 25,903,794 2,590,379 2,590,379 2,590,379 2,590,379 2,590,379 2,590,379 2,590,379 2,590,379 2,590,379 2,590,379 12,951,897 7,771,138 5,180,7592004-III 26,416,597 2,641,660 2,641,660 2,641,660 2,641,660 2,641,660 2,641,660 2,641,660 2,641,660 2,641,660 2,641,660 13,208,299 7,924,979 5,283,3192005-III 26,916,797 2,691,680 2,691,680 2,691,680 2,691,680 2,691,680 2,691,680 2,691,680 2,691,680 2,691,680 2,691,680 13,458,399 8,075,039 5,383,3592006-III 27,445,356 2,744,536 2,744,536 2,744,536 2,744,536 2,744,536 2,744,536 2,744,536 2,744,536 2,744,536 2,744,536 13,722,678 8,233,607 5,489,0712007-III 27,651,306 2,765,131 2,765,131 2,765,131 2,765,131 2,765,131 2,765,131 2,765,131 2,765,131 2,765,131 2,765,131 13,825,653 8,295,392 5,530,2612008-III 27,874,625 2,787,462 2,787,462 2,787,462 2,787,462 2,787,462 2,787,462 2,787,462 2,787,462 2,787,462 2,787,462 13,937,312 8,362,387 5,574,9252009-III 28,725,841 2,872,584 2,872,584 2,872,584 2,872,584 2,872,584 2,872,584 2,872,584 2,872,584 2,872,584 2,872,584 14,362,920 8,617,752 5,745,1682010-III 29,556,772 2,955,677 2,955,677 2,955,677 2,955,677 2,955,677 2,955,677 2,955,677 2,955,677 2,955,677 2,955,677 14,778,386 8,867,032 5,911,3542011-III 30,520,094 3,052,009 3,052,009 3,052,009 3,052,009 3,052,009 3,052,009 3,052,009 3,052,009 3,052,009 3,052,009 15,260,047 9,156,028 6,104,0192012-III 31,559,379 3,155,938 3,155,938 3,155,938 3,155,938 3,155,938 3,155,938 3,155,938 3,155,938 3,155,938 3,155,938 15,779,689 9,467,814 6,311,8762013-III 32,189,787 3,218,979 3,218,979 3,218,979 3,218,979 3,218,979 3,218,979 3,218,979 3,218,979 3,218,979 3,218,979 16,094,894 9,656,936 6,437,957
2014-III 32,830,564 3,283,056 3,283,056 3,283,056 3,283,056 3,283,056 3,283,056 3,283,056 3,283,056 3,283,056 3,283,056 16,415,282 9,849,169 6,566,1132015-III 33,480,219 3,348,022 3,348,022 3,348,022 3,348,022 3,348,022 3,348,022 3,348,022 3,348,022 3,348,022 3,348,022 16,740,110 10,044,066 6,696,0442016-III 34,134,721 3,413,472 3,413,472 3,413,472 3,413,472 3,413,472 3,413,472 3,413,472 3,413,472 3,413,472 3,413,472 17,067,361 10,240,416 6,826,9442017-III 34,795,029 3,479,503 3,479,503 3,479,503 3,479,503 3,479,503 3,479,503 3,479,503 3,479,503 3,479,503 3,479,503 17,397,514 10,438,509 6,959,0062018-III 35,460,196 3,546,020 3,546,020 3,546,020 3,546,020 3,546,020 3,546,020 3,546,020 3,546,020 3,546,020 3,546,020 17,730,098 10,638,059 7,092,0392019-III 36,129,728 3,612,973 3,612,973 3,612,973 3,612,973 3,612,973 3,612,973 3,612,973 3,612,973 3,612,973 3,612,973 18,064,864 10,838,918 7,225,9462020-III 36,803,170 3,680,317 3,680,317 3,680,317 3,680,317 3,680,317 3,680,317 3,680,317 3,680,317 3,680,317 3,680,317 18,401,585 11,040,951 7,360,634
Continúa
A-9
Continuación
Participación porcentual en el ingreso corriente total por hogares Grupos de IngresoAños Deciles de hogares Bajo Medio Alto
TOTAL I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X I-V VI-VIII IX-X
1980-III 100.0 1.82 3.00 3.91 5.09 5.97 7.41 9.02 11.76 16.74 35.28 19.79 28.19 52.021981-III 100.0 1.82 3.00 3.97 5.08 6.28 7.81 9.74 12.22 16.68 33.40 20.15 29.77 50.081982-III 100.0 1.79 3.01 3.97 4.98 6.13 7.63 9.64 12.22 16.71 33.92 19.88 29.49 50.631983-III 100.0 1.76 2.84 3.91 4.92 6.01 7.52 9.58 12.11 16.58 34.77 19.44 29.21 51.351984-III 100.0 1.76 3.18 4.28 5.39 6.48 7.96 9.79 12.20 16.74 32.34 21.09 29.95 49.081985-III 100.0 1.86 3.08 4.10 5.14 6.35 7.88 9.78 12.20 16.71 32.90 20.53 29.86 49.611986-III 100.0 1.74 2.89 3.87 4.88 6.06 7.56 9.42 11.91 17.23 34.44 19.44 28.89 51.671987-III 100.0 1.53 2.67 3.66 4.62 5.78 7.27 9.51 12.44 17.18 35.35 18.26 29.22 52.521988-III 100.0 1.54 2.75 3.65 4.69 5.90 7.30 9.25 12.02 16.50 36.40 18.53 28.57 52.901989-III 100.0 1.62 2.88 3.80 4.79 5.98 7.38 9.04 11.45 15.63 37.43 19.07 27.87 53.061990-III 100.0 1.58 2.83 3.78 4.79 5.92 7.26 9.03 11.52 15.72 37.57 18.90 27.81 53.291991-III 100.0 1.58 2.86 3.83 4.78 5.88 7.24 9.04 11.51 16.03 37.26 18.93 27.79 53.281992-III 100.0 1.59 2.80 3.76 4.76 5.81 7.20 8.98 11.41 16.02 37.66 18.72 27.59 53.681993-III 100.0 1.62 2.78 3.71 4.72 5.77 7.14 8.85 11.37 16.10 37.95 18.59 27.36 54.051994-III 100.0 1.61 2.79 3.71 4.67 5.73 7.10 8.79 11.39 16.13 38.07 18.51 27.27 54.211995-III 100.0 1.72 2.86 3.92 4.70 5.80 7.12 8.67 11.06 15.98 38.17 19.00 26.85 54.151996-III 100.0 1.79 3.01 3.96 4.91 5.99 7.35 8.98 11.47 15.93 36.61 19.66 27.80 52.541997-III 100.0 1.65 2.82 3.79 4.84 5.92 7.31 8.98 11.51 15.98 37.20 19.02 27.80 53.181998-III 100.0 1.52 2.70 3.68 4.73 5.86 7.26 8.96 11.53 15.97 37.79 18.49 27.75 53.761999-III 100.0 1.53 2.66 3.62 4.66 5.77 7.21 8.94 11.41 16.03 38.17 18.24 27.56 54.202000-III 100.0 1.52 2.65 3.62 4.62 5.73 7.13 8.88 11.27 15.99 38.57 18.15 27.28 54.572001-III 100.0 1.57 2.76 3.71 4.76 5.87 7.27 9.02 11.51 15.80 37.73 18.67 27.80 53.532002-III 100.0 1.65 2.93 3.91 4.94 6.14 7.45 9.25 11.85 16.38 35.51 19.57 28.54 51.892003-III 100.0 1.66 2.94 3.90 4.97 6.10 7.41 9.13 11.68 16.17 36.04 19.57 28.22 52.212004-III 100.0 1.65 2.95 3.98 4.98 6.04 7.37 9.14 11.64 16.10 36.15 19.60 28.15 52.252005-III 100.0 1.64 2.94 3.93 4.92 5.98 7.37 9.14 11.67 15.97 36.45 19.40 28.18 52.422006-III 100.0 1.78 3.09 4.07 5.07 6.20 7.46 9.24 11.62 15.83 35.63 20.21 28.32 51.472007-III 100.0 1.76 3.12 3.99 4.98 6.10 7.39 9.19 11.56 15.97 35.94 19.95 28.14 51.912008-III 100.0 1.66 2.91 3.92 4.90 5.98 7.35 9.19 11.68 16.13 36.28 19.36 28.22 52.422009-III 100.0 1.71 3.10 4.01 5.03 6.09 7.46 9.29 11.74 16.16 35.41 19.94 28.49 51.572010-III 100.0 1.77 3.11 4.15 5.23 6.38 7.73 9.48 12.00 16.27 33.88 20.64 29.21 50.152011-III 100.0 1.79 3.07 4.08 5.17 6.26 7.59 9.38 11.87 16.11 34.69 20.37 28.84 50.802012-III 100.0 1.84 3.09 4.13 5.12 6.27 7.57 9.33 11.76 16.00 34.89 20.45 28.66 50.892013-III 100.0 1.83 3.08 4.12 5.11 6.24 7.56 9.32 11.78 16.02 34.94 20.38 28.66 50.96
2014-III 100.0 1.82 3.07 4.10 5.09 6.21 7.54 9.31 11.80 16.05 35.02 20.29 28.65 51.072015-III 100.0 1.83 3.09 4.13 5.13 6.28 7.58 9.33 11.77 16.01 34.84 20.46 28.69 50.852016-III 100.0 1.84 3.11 4.15 5.16 6.34 7.61 9.35 11.75 15.95 34.76 20.59 28.71 50.702017-III 100.0 1.85 3.12 4.18 5.20 6.40 7.64 9.36 11.71 15.91 34.65 20.74 28.70 50.562018-III 100.0 1.87 3.18 4.23 5.23 6.56 7.69 9.38 11.65 15.86 34.36 21.07 28.72 50.222019-III 100.0 1.89 3.20 4.26 5.26 6.67 7.73 9.44 11.59 15.83 34.14 21.27 28.75 49.972020-III 100.0 1.92 3.23 4.29 5.28 6.77 7.76 9.47 11.55 15.78 33.95 21.49 28.78 49.73
Continúa
A-10
Continuación
Ingreso Corriente Total Promedio Trimestral por Hogar a Precios Constantes de 2012 Grupos de IngresoAños Deciles de hogares Bajo Medio Alto
TOTAL I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X I-V VI-VIII IX-X
1980-III 43,410 7,901 13,023 16,973 22,096 25,916 32,167 39,156 51,050 72,669 153,151 17,182 40,791 112,9101981-III 45,652 8,309 13,696 18,124 23,191 28,669 35,654 44,465 55,787 76,147 152,478 18,398 45,302 114,3131982-III 37,678 6,744 11,341 14,958 18,764 23,097 28,748 36,322 46,043 62,960 127,804 14,981 37,038 95,3821983-III 31,703 5,580 9,004 12,396 15,598 19,054 23,841 30,372 38,393 52,564 110,232 12,326 30,868 81,3981984-III 32,254 5,671 10,262 13,804 17,382 20,903 25,678 31,576 39,350 53,997 104,304 13,604 32,201 79,1501985-III 32,847 6,110 10,117 13,467 16,884 20,858 25,884 32,125 40,074 54,888 108,068 13,487 32,694 81,4781986-III 30,129 5,242 8,707 11,660 14,703 18,258 22,777 28,381 35,883 51,911 103,763 11,714 29,014 77,8371987-III 29,937 4,580 7,979 10,957 13,831 17,303 21,764 28,470 37,241 51,420 105,822 10,930 29,158 78,6211988-III 32,127 4,948 8,828 11,732 15,068 18,955 23,453 29,717 38,617 53,015 116,938 11,906 30,596 84,9771989-III 35,611 5,766 10,243 13,544 17,060 21,299 26,271 32,207 40,776 55,666 133,280 13,582 33,085 94,4731990-III 37,092 5,861 10,497 14,021 17,767 21,959 26,929 33,494 42,731 58,310 139,356 14,021 34,385 98,8331991-III 39,636 6,263 11,323 15,174 18,946 23,306 28,697 35,831 45,621 63,534 147,667 15,002 36,716 105,6001992-III 41,040 6,511 11,490 15,452 19,530 23,860 29,557 36,867 46,813 65,763 154,540 15,368 37,746 110,1521993-III 41,281 6,687 11,476 15,295 19,473 23,819 29,484 36,534 46,936 66,447 156,656 15,350 37,651 111,5511994-III 42,873 6,904 11,977 15,914 20,032 24,550 30,430 37,684 48,818 69,158 163,237 15,875 38,977 116,1971995-III 32,976 5,672 9,431 12,927 15,499 19,126 23,479 28,590 36,472 52,684 125,882 12,531 29,514 89,2831996-III 30,392 5,448 9,157 12,023 14,922 18,193 22,327 27,292 34,866 48,426 111,255 11,949 28,162 79,8411997-III 32,020 5,283 9,030 12,136 15,498 18,956 23,407 28,754 36,855 51,165 119,117 12,180 29,672 85,1411998-III 33,268 5,051 8,966 12,240 15,744 19,505 24,138 29,818 38,359 53,137 125,705 12,301 30,771 89,4211999-III 35,831 5,482 9,521 12,980 16,697 20,675 25,834 32,033 40,883 57,439 136,767 13,071 32,917 97,1032000-III 39,162 5,965 10,396 14,183 18,082 22,456 27,904 34,775 44,139 62,638 151,054 14,216 35,606 106,8462001-III 38,307 6,014 10,573 14,212 18,234 22,486 27,849 34,553 44,091 60,514 144,544 14,304 35,498 102,5292002-III 38,202 6,310 11,177 14,955 18,861 23,451 28,453 35,325 45,252 62,565 135,666 14,951 36,343 99,1162003-III 38,594 6,407 11,347 15,053 19,181 23,542 28,598 35,236 45,077 62,403 139,093 15,106 36,304 100,7482004-III 39,667 6,561 11,687 15,776 19,749 23,970 29,241 36,252 46,176 63,860 143,395 15,549 37,223 103,6272005-III 40,245 6,608 11,812 15,804 19,781 24,073 29,652 36,796 46,948 64,274 146,689 15,616 37,799 105,4812006-III 43,698 7,796 13,506 17,780 22,161 27,072 32,610 40,357 50,788 69,194 155,715 17,663 41,252 112,4552007-III 43,502 7,656 13,572 17,370 21,664 26,536 32,148 39,978 50,288 69,473 156,330 17,360 40,804 112,9022008-III 42,865 7,136 12,460 16,792 20,986 25,628 31,501 39,381 50,084 69,159 155,525 16,600 40,322 112,3422009-III 38,366 6,561 11,894 15,385 19,298 23,365 28,621 35,642 45,042 61,983 135,871 15,300 36,435 98,9272010-III 37,574 6,633 11,673 15,611 19,650 23,973 29,059 35,605 45,089 61,132 127,313 15,508 36,584 94,2232011-III 37,724 6,753 11,562 15,391 19,503 23,615 28,633 35,385 44,778 60,773 130,846 15,365 36,265 95,8102012-III 38,125 6,997 11,794 15,734 19,513 23,914 28,862 35,570 44,849 61,014 133,003 15,591 36,427 97,0082013-III 36,932 6,758 11,386 15,205 18,861 23,053 27,913 34,435 43,491 59,172 129,043 15,053 35,279 94,107
2014-III 36,829 6,695 11,295 15,104 18,742 22,874 27,773 34,280 43,443 59,099 128,982 14,942 35,165 94,0412015-III 37,622 6,896 11,625 15,527 19,300 23,638 28,525 35,113 44,296 60,233 131,068 15,397 35,978 95,6502016-III 39,172 7,196 12,163 16,264 20,216 24,823 29,810 36,610 46,023 62,467 136,145 16,132 37,481 99,3062017-III 41,039 7,572 12,808 17,142 21,320 26,252 31,358 38,396 48,040 65,292 142,207 17,019 39,264 103,7502018-III 42,737 7,983 13,582 18,078 22,351 28,035 32,865 40,087 49,771 67,780 146,835 18,006 40,908 107,3082019-III 44,211 8,347 14,125 18,843 23,250 29,484 34,166 41,717 51,240 69,986 150,949 18,810 42,375 110,4672020-III 45,629 8,756 14,734 19,570 24,106 30,909 35,399 43,215 52,701 72,002 154,896 19,615 43,772 113,449
Continúa
A-11
Continuación
Variación % anual a Precios Constantes de 2012 del Ingreso Corriente Total Promedio por Hogar Grupos de IngresoAños Deciles de hogares Bajo Medio Alto
TOTAL I II III IV V VI VII VIII IX X I-V VI-VIII IX-X
1980-III -5.6 -4.8 -5.0 -4.9 -5.0 -5.3 -5.2 -5.1 -5.3 -5.1 -6.4 -5.0 -5.2 -6.01981-III 5.2 5.2 5.2 6.8 5.0 10.6 10.8 13.6 9.3 4.8 -0.4 7.1 11.1 1.21982-III -17.5 -18.8 -17.2 -17.5 -19.1 -19.4 -19.4 -18.3 -17.5 -17.3 -16.2 -18.6 -18.2 -16.61983-III -15.9 -17.3 -20.6 -17.1 -16.9 -17.5 -17.1 -16.4 -16.6 -16.5 -13.7 -17.7 -16.7 -14.71984-III 1.7 1.6 14.0 11.4 11.4 9.7 7.7 4.0 2.5 2.7 -5.4 10.4 4.3 -2.81985-III 1.8 7.7 -1.4 -2.4 -2.9 -0.2 0.8 1.7 1.8 1.7 3.6 -0.9 1.5 2.91986-III -8.3 -14.2 -13.9 -13.4 -12.9 -12.5 -12.0 -11.7 -10.5 -5.4 -4.0 -13.1 -11.3 -4.51987-III -0.6 -12.6 -8.4 -6.0 -5.9 -5.2 -4.4 0.3 3.8 -0.9 2.0 -6.7 0.5 1.01988-III 7.3 8.0 10.6 7.1 8.9 9.5 7.8 4.4 3.7 3.1 10.5 8.9 4.9 8.11989-III 10.8 16.5 16.0 15.4 13.2 12.4 12.0 8.4 5.6 5.0 14.0 14.1 8.1 11.21990-III 4.2 1.6 2.5 3.5 4.1 3.1 2.5 4.0 4.8 4.7 4.6 3.2 3.9 4.61991-III 6.9 6.9 7.9 8.2 6.6 6.1 6.6 7.0 6.8 9.0 6.0 7.0 6.8 6.81992-III 3.5 4.0 1.5 1.8 3.1 2.4 3.0 2.9 2.6 3.5 4.7 2.4 2.8 4.31993-III 0.6 2.7 -0.1 -1.0 -0.3 -0.2 -0.2 -0.9 0.3 1.0 1.4 -0.1 -0.3 1.31994-III 3.9 3.2 4.4 4.0 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.1 4.0 4.1 4.2 3.4 3.5 4.21995-III -23.1 -17.8 -21.3 -18.8 -22.6 -22.1 -22.8 -24.1 -25.3 -23.8 -22.9 -21.1 -24.3 -23.21996-III -7.8 -3.9 -2.9 -7.0 -3.7 -4.9 -4.9 -4.5 -4.4 -8.1 -11.6 -4.6 -4.6 -10.61997-III 5.4 -3.0 -1.4 0.9 3.9 4.2 4.8 5.4 5.7 5.7 7.1 1.9 5.4 6.61998-III 3.9 -4.4 -0.7 0.9 1.6 2.9 3.1 3.7 4.1 3.9 5.5 1.0 3.7 5.01999-III 7.7 8.5 6.2 6.0 6.1 6.0 7.0 7.4 6.6 8.1 8.8 6.3 7.0 8.62000-III 9.3 8.8 9.2 9.3 8.3 8.6 8.0 8.6 8.0 9.1 10.4 8.8 8.2 10.02001-III -2.2 0.8 1.7 0.2 0.8 0.1 -0.2 -0.6 -0.1 -3.4 -4.3 0.6 -0.3 -4.02002-III -0.3 4.9 5.7 5.2 3.4 4.3 2.2 2.2 2.6 3.4 -6.1 4.5 2.4 -3.32003-III 1.0 1.5 1.5 0.7 1.7 0.4 0.5 -0.3 -0.4 -0.3 2.5 1.0 -0.1 1.62004-III 2.8 2.4 3.0 4.8 3.0 1.8 2.2 2.9 2.4 2.3 3.1 2.9 2.5 2.92005-III 1.5 0.7 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 1.4 1.5 1.7 0.6 2.3 0.4 1.5 1.82006-III 8.6 18.0 14.3 12.5 12.0 12.5 10.0 9.7 8.2 7.7 6.2 13.1 9.1 6.62007-III -0.4 -1.8 0.5 -2.3 -2.2 -2.0 -1.4 -0.9 -1.0 0.4 0.4 -1.7 -1.1 0.42008-III -1.5 -6.8 -8.2 -3.3 -3.1 -3.4 -2.0 -1.5 -0.4 -0.5 -0.5 -4.4 -1.2 -0.52009-III -10.5 -8.1 -4.5 -8.4 -8.0 -8.8 -9.1 -9.5 -10.1 -10.4 -12.6 -7.8 -9.6 -11.92010-III -2.1 1.1 -1.9 1.5 1.8 2.6 1.5 -0.1 0.1 -1.4 -6.3 1.4 0.4 -4.82011-III 0.4 1.8 -0.9 -1.4 -0.7 -1.5 -1.5 -0.6 -0.7 -0.6 2.8 -0.9 -0.9 1.72012-III 1.1 3.6 2.0 2.2 0.1 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.4 1.6 1.5 0.4 1.32013-III -3.1 -3.4 -3.5 -3.4 -3.3 -3.6 -3.3 -3.2 -3.0 -3.0 -3.0 -3.5 -3.2 -3.0
2014-III -0.3 -0.9 -0.8 -0.7 -0.6 -0.8 -0.5 -0.4 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 -0.7 -0.3 -0.12015-III 2.2 3.0 2.9 2.8 3.0 3.3 2.7 2.4 2.0 1.9 1.6 3.0 2.3 1.72016-III 4.1 4.3 4.6 4.7 4.7 5.0 4.5 4.3 3.9 3.7 3.9 4.8 4.2 3.82017-III 4.8 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.8 5.2 4.9 4.4 4.5 4.5 5.5 4.8 4.52018-III 4.1 5.4 6.0 5.5 4.8 6.8 4.8 4.4 3.6 3.8 3.3 5.8 4.2 3.42019-III 3.4 4.6 4.0 4.2 4.0 5.2 4.0 4.1 3.0 3.3 2.8 4.5 3.6 2.92020-III 3.2 4.9 4.3 3.9 3.7 4.8 3.6 3.6 2.9 2.9 2.6 4.3 3.3 2.7
Conclusión
A-12
B. Oferta y Demanda Global
Sección: B-IOferta y Demanda Global 1980-2020
Sección: B-II.Consumo Privado por Tipo de Bien 1980-2020
Sección: B-III.Exportación e Importación de Bienes y Servicios 1980-2020
Sección: B-IV.Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo 1980-2020
Sección: B-V.PIB Trimestral Nominal y Real, Deflactor del PIB y Series Ajustadas por Estacionalidad 2005-2014
Sección: B-I. Oferta y Demanda Global
Cuadro B-1. Oferta y Demanda Global Anual
Página: B-1 / Millones de pesos constantes y variaciones porcentualesPágina: B-2 / Millones de pesos constantes y variaciones porcentuales
Página: B-3 / Estructura porcentual del PIBPágina: B-4 / Contribución porcentual crecimiento real del PIB
Cuadro B-2. Oferta y Demanda Global Trimestral
Página: B-5 / Millones de pesos constantes y variaciones porcentualesPágina: B-6 / Millones de pesos constantes y variaciones porcentuales
Página: B-7 / Estructura porcentual del PIBPágina: B-8 / Contribución porcentual al crecimiento real del PIB
B-1. Oferta y Demanda Global Anual: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Millones de pesos a precios de 2008)
Oferta Global Demanda GlobalProducto Importación de Consumo
Interno Bruto Bienes y Servicios Total Privado GobiernoPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
1980 6,112,050 9.2 586,848 36.4 6,698,898 11.2 4,357,114 10.2 3,804,037 10.3 553,078 9.51981 6,633,140 8.5 684,547 16.6 7,317,687 9.2 4,677,568 7.4 4,065,866 6.9 611,702 10.61982 6,598,594 -0.5 429,464 -37.3 7,028,058 -4.0 4,642,225 -0.8 4,025,020 -1.0 617,205 0.91983 6,368,539 -3.5 293,690 -31.6 6,662,229 -5.2 4,485,161 -3.4 3,856,858 -4.2 628,303 1.81984 6,585,758 3.4 346,998 18.2 6,932,756 4.1 4,637,352 3.4 3,966,002 2.8 671,350 6.91985 6,729,834 2.2 383,454 10.5 7,113,288 2.6 4,765,523 2.8 4,086,076 3.0 679,447 1.21986 6,522,625 -3.1 355,232 -7.4 6,877,857 -3.3 4,686,292 -1.7 3,999,098 -2.1 687,194 1.11987 6,634,974 1.7 379,496 6.8 7,014,470 2.0 4,682,162 -0.1 4,005,891 0.2 676,271 -1.61988 6,720,118 1.3 511,826 34.9 7,231,944 3.1 4,727,194 1.0 4,057,521 1.3 669,672 -1.01989 6,996,013 4.1 616,103 20.4 7,612,116 5.3 5,037,423 6.6 4,353,040 7.3 684,384 2.21990 7,358,110 5.2 725,812 17.8 8,083,922 6.2 5,340,074 6.0 4,632,871 6.4 707,203 3.31991 7,668,237 4.2 840,851 15.8 8,509,088 5.3 5,595,205 4.8 4,849,631 4.7 745,574 5.41992 7,939,777 3.5 1,006,832 19.7 8,946,609 5.1 5,835,976 4.3 5,076,539 4.7 759,438 1.91993 8,132,915 2.4 1,024,345 1.7 9,157,260 2.4 6,305,541 8.0 5,182,959 2.1 1,122,582 47.81994 8,517,387 4.7 1,209,001 18.0 9,726,387 6.2 6,570,734 4.2 5,422,813 4.6 1,147,922 2.31995 8,026,897 -5.8 970,315 -19.7 8,997,212 -7.5 6,102,234 -7.1 4,947,122 -8.8 1,155,113 0.61996 8,498,459 5.9 1,336,397 37.7 9,834,856 9.3 6,314,690 3.5 5,161,928 4.3 1,152,762 -0.21997 9,090,197 7.0 1,553,195 16.2 10,643,393 8.2 6,646,002 5.2 5,473,707 6.0 1,172,295 1.71998 9,517,604 4.7 1,774,622 14.3 11,292,226 6.1 6,953,121 4.6 5,789,745 5.8 1,163,376 -0.81999 9,771,440 2.7 2,028,227 14.3 11,799,666 4.5 7,246,246 4.2 6,062,432 4.7 1,183,815 1.82000 10,288,982 5.3 2,456,035 21.1 12,745,016 8.0 7,637,571 5.4 6,420,895 5.9 1,216,676 2.82001 10,226,682 -0.6 2,441,208 -0.6 12,667,890 -0.6 7,728,765 1.2 6,550,213 2.0 1,178,552 -3.12002 10,240,173 0.1 2,508,075 2.7 12,748,248 0.6 7,806,067 1.0 6,641,542 1.4 1,164,525 -1.22003 10,385,857 1.4 2,568,125 2.4 12,953,982 1.6 7,585,653 -2.8 6,715,116 1.1 870,537 -25.22004 10,832,004 4.3 2,817,488 9.7 13,649,492 5.4 8,017,152 5.7 7,088,885 5.6 928,267 6.62005 11,160,493 3.0 3,034,699 7.7 14,195,191 4.0 8,622,762 7.6 7,400,756 4.4 1,222,006 31.62006 11,718,672 5.0 3,344,013 10.2 15,062,685 6.1 9,072,496 5.2 7,808,965 5.5 1,263,531 3.42007 12,087,602 3.1 3,542,255 5.9 15,629,857 3.8 9,340,724 3.0 8,046,201 3.0 1,294,523 2.52008 12,256,863 1.4 3,698,252 4.4 15,955,116 2.1 9,532,642 2.1 8,198,835 1.9 1,333,807 3.02009 11,680,749 -4.7 3,047,831 -17.6 14,728,580 -7.7 9,033,121 -5.2 7,669,325 -6.5 1,363,796 2.22010 12,277,659 5.1 3,671,446 20.5 15,949,105 8.3 9,491,048 5.1 8,103,919 5.7 1,387,128 1.72011 12,774,243 4.0 3,966,992 8.0 16,741,235 5.0 9,914,282 4.5 8,493,188 4.8 1,421,094 2.42012 13,283,052 4.0 4,183,838 5.5 17,466,890 4.3 10,375,040 4.6 8,905,208 4.9 1,469,833 3.42013 13,425,236 1.1 4,244,597 1.5 17,669,834 1.2 10,618,441 2.3 9,131,564 2.5 1,486,876 1.2
2014 13,820,186 2.9 4,442,189 4.7 18,262,375 3.4 10,930,116 2.9 9,409,096 3.0 1,521,020 2.32015 14,392,811 4.1 4,816,034 8.4 19,208,844 5.2 11,358,128 3.9 9,816,422 4.3 1,541,706 1.42016 15,146,156 5.2 5,313,960 10.3 20,460,117 6.5 11,919,104 4.9 10,344,406 5.4 1,574,699 2.12017 16,060,250 6.0 6,018,369 13.3 22,078,618 7.9 12,598,550 5.7 10,981,965 6.2 1,616,586 2.72018 16,999,241 5.8 6,638,717 10.3 23,637,958 7.1 13,290,390 5.5 11,634,359 5.9 1,656,030 2.42019 17,883,685 5.2 7,216,160 8.7 25,099,846 6.2 13,940,700 4.9 12,247,575 5.3 1,693,125 2.22020 18,751,667 4.9 7,731,270 7.1 26,482,938 5.5 14,574,755 4.5 12,847,090 4.9 1,727,665 2.0
Continúa
B-1
Años!TOTAL!
Oferta = Demanda!
Continuación
Demanda GlobalFormación Bruta de Capital Fijo Variación
Total Privada Pública de
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Existencias Pesos Var.%
1980 1,530,910 13.9 879,865 11.9 651,045 16.8 69,170 557,832 28.9 183,8721981 1,755,936 14.7 959,461 9.0 796,475 22.3 81,206 646,149 15.8 156,8281982 1,531,821 -12.8 882,290 -8.0 649,531 -18.4 -46,805 801,941 24.1 98,8761983 1,155,884 -24.5 739,017 -16.2 416,867 -35.8 -42,273 891,912 11.2 171,5451984 1,220,359 5.6 786,774 6.5 433,585 4.0 -35,502 933,709 4.7 176,8381985 1,300,182 6.5 863,203 9.7 436,980 0.8 -29,104 885,661 -5.1 191,0261986 1,166,205 -10.3 791,404 -8.3 374,801 -14.2 -61,811 900,361 1.7 186,8101987 1,184,543 1.6 854,842 8.0 329,701 -12.0 -28,395 975,602 8.4 200,5581988 1,201,448 1.4 885,059 3.5 316,390 -4.0 32,109 1,022,051 4.8 249,1421989 1,275,671 6.2 949,126 7.2 326,545 3.2 27,853 1,032,205 1.0 238,9631990 1,385,110 8.6 1,016,269 7.1 368,840 13.0 31,686 1,065,928 3.3 261,1241991 1,474,539 6.5 1,121,867 10.4 352,673 -4.4 51,221 1,119,925 5.1 268,1971992 1,624,494 10.2 1,289,181 14.9 335,314 -4.9 93,267 1,132,834 1.2 260,0371993 1,395,641 -14.1 814,876 -36.8 580,765 73.2 79,965 1,229,662 8.5 146,4511994 1,575,604 12.9 962,403 18.1 613,202 5.6 99,945 1,394,538 13.4 85,5661995 1,176,832 -25.3 562,345 -41.6 614,487 0.2 131,122 1,659,114 19.0 -72,0901996 1,365,318 16.0 743,860 32.3 621,459 1.1 181,602 1,961,526 18.2 11,7191997 1,609,831 17.9 932,137 25.3 677,695 9.0 147,074 2,129,200 8.5 111,2851998 1,766,181 9.7 1,108,266 18.9 657,915 -2.9 152,354 2,289,234 7.5 131,3361999 1,897,234 7.4 1,294,997 16.8 602,236 -8.5 140,240 2,438,692 6.5 77,2552000 2,053,821 8.3 1,493,365 15.3 560,456 -6.9 156,511 2,706,747 11.0 190,3672001 1,986,059 -3.3 1,519,554 1.8 466,505 -16.8 95,336 2,614,830 -3.4 242,9012002 1,996,651 0.5 1,574,302 3.6 422,349 -9.5 115,935 2,668,608 2.1 160,9872003 2,055,861 3.0 1,607,055 2.1 448,806 6.3 99,728 2,692,286 0.9 520,4542004 2,210,486 7.5 1,735,682 8.0 474,804 5.8 130,510 2,938,157 9.1 353,1872005 2,340,995 5.9 1,821,449 4.9 519,545 9.4 107,802 3,106,033 5.7 17,6002006 2,544,390 8.7 1,997,410 9.7 546,981 5.3 175,546 3,344,215 7.7 -73,9622007 2,696,835 6.0 2,132,131 6.7 564,704 3.2 123,879 3,466,167 3.6 2,2522008 2,830,420 5.0 2,143,456 0.5 686,964 21.7 164,703 3,419,442 -1.3 7,9092009 2,568,103 -9.3 1,875,390 -12.5 692,713 0.8 27,776 3,016,579 -11.8 83,0022010 2,600,823 1.3 1,911,276 1.9 689,546 -0.5 112,436 3,636,382 20.5 108,4172011 2,804,154 7.8 2,142,622 12.1 661,532 -4.1 56,148 3,935,141 8.2 31,5102012 2,930,470 4.5 2,331,648 8.8 598,822 -9.5 86,614 4,168,771 5.9 -94,0052013 2,878,597 -1.8 2,301,410 -1.3 577,187 -3.6 66,639 4,217,287 1.2 -111,129
2014 2,950,159 2.5 2,362,504 2.7 587,655 1.8 86,447 4,396,593 4.3 -100,9402015 3,120,387 5.8 2,507,773 6.1 612,614 4.2 67,875 4,729,505 7.6 -67,0512016 3,383,235 8.4 2,734,531 9.0 648,704 5.9 90,897 5,115,361 8.2 -48,4812017 3,762,854 11.2 3,066,416 12.1 696,438 7.4 83,890 5,701,512 11.5 -68,1882018 4,161,077 10.6 3,423,908 11.7 737,169 5.8 113,568 6,195,034 8.7 -122,1102019 4,543,630 9.2 3,766,786 10.0 776,844 5.4 96,743 6,612,875 6.7 -94,1032020 4,930,648 8.5 4,116,788 9.3 813,861 4.8 108,346 6,960,784 5.3 -91,596
Continúa
B-2
Exportación de
Bienes y ServiciosAños!
!Discrepancia!Estadística!
!
Continuación
Estructura Porcentual del Producto Interno BrutoAño PIB Consumo Inversión Inversión Bruta Fija Variación de
Real Total Privado Gobierno Bruta Total Total Privada Pública Existencias Saldo Exportación Importación
1980 100.0 71.3 62.2 9.0 26.2 25.0 14.4 10.7 1.1 -0.5 9.1 9.6 3.01981 100.0 70.5 61.3 9.2 27.7 26.5 14.5 12.0 1.2 -0.6 9.7 10.3 2.41982 100.0 70.4 61.0 9.4 22.5 23.2 13.4 9.8 -0.7 5.6 12.2 6.5 1.51983 100.0 70.4 60.6 9.9 17.5 18.1 11.6 6.5 -0.7 9.4 14.0 4.6 2.71984 100.0 70.4 60.2 10.2 18.0 18.5 11.9 6.6 -0.5 8.9 14.2 5.3 2.71985 100.0 70.8 60.7 10.1 18.9 19.3 12.8 6.5 -0.4 7.5 13.2 5.7 2.81986 100.0 71.8 61.3 10.5 16.9 17.9 12.1 5.7 -0.9 8.4 13.8 5.4 2.91987 100.0 70.6 60.4 10.2 17.4 17.9 12.9 5.0 -0.4 9.0 14.7 5.7 3.01988 100.0 70.3 60.4 10.0 18.4 17.9 13.2 4.7 0.5 7.6 15.2 7.6 3.71989 100.0 72.0 62.2 9.8 18.6 18.2 13.6 4.7 0.4 5.9 14.8 8.8 3.41990 100.0 72.6 63.0 9.6 19.3 18.8 13.8 5.0 0.4 4.6 14.5 9.9 3.51991 100.0 73.0 63.2 9.7 19.9 19.2 14.6 4.6 0.7 3.6 14.6 11.0 3.51992 100.0 73.5 63.9 9.6 21.6 20.5 16.2 4.2 1.2 1.6 14.3 12.7 3.31993 100.0 77.5 63.7 13.8 18.1 17.2 10.0 7.1 1.0 2.5 15.1 12.6 1.81994 100.0 77.1 63.7 13.5 19.7 18.5 11.3 7.2 1.2 2.2 16.4 14.2 1.01995 100.0 76.0 61.6 14.4 16.3 14.7 7.0 7.7 1.6 8.6 20.7 12.1 -0.91996 100.0 74.3 60.7 13.6 18.2 16.1 8.8 7.3 2.1 7.4 23.1 15.7 0.11997 100.0 73.1 60.2 12.9 19.3 17.7 10.3 7.5 1.6 6.3 23.4 17.1 1.21998 100.0 73.1 60.8 12.2 20.2 18.6 11.6 6.9 1.6 5.4 24.1 18.6 1.41999 100.0 74.2 62.0 12.1 20.9 19.4 13.3 6.2 1.4 4.2 25.0 20.8 0.82000 100.0 74.2 62.4 11.8 21.5 20.0 14.5 5.4 1.5 2.4 26.3 23.9 1.92001 100.0 75.6 64.1 11.5 20.4 19.4 14.9 4.6 0.9 1.7 25.6 23.9 2.42002 100.0 76.2 64.9 11.4 20.6 19.5 15.4 4.1 1.1 1.6 26.1 24.5 1.62003 100.0 73.0 64.7 8.4 20.8 19.8 15.5 4.3 1.0 1.2 25.9 24.7 5.02004 100.0 74.0 65.4 8.6 21.6 20.4 16.0 4.4 1.2 1.1 27.1 26.0 3.32005 100.0 77.3 66.3 10.9 21.9 21.0 16.3 4.7 1.0 0.6 27.8 27.2 0.22006 100.0 77.4 66.6 10.8 23.2 21.7 17.0 4.7 1.5 0.0 28.5 28.5 -0.62007 100.0 77.3 66.6 10.7 23.3 22.3 17.6 4.7 1.0 -0.6 28.7 29.3 0.02008 100.0 77.8 66.9 10.9 24.4 23.1 17.5 5.6 1.3 -2.3 27.9 30.2 0.12009 100.0 77.3 65.7 11.7 22.2 22.0 16.1 5.9 0.2 -0.3 25.8 26.1 0.72010 100.0 77.3 66.0 11.3 22.1 21.2 15.6 5.6 0.9 -0.3 29.6 29.9 0.92011 100.0 77.6 66.5 11.1 22.4 22.0 16.8 5.2 0.4 -0.2 30.8 31.1 0.22012 100.0 78.1 67.0 11.1 22.7 22.1 17.6 4.5 0.7 -0.1 31.4 31.5 -0.72013 100.0 79.1 68.0 11.1 21.9 21.4 17.1 4.3 0.5 -0.2 31.4 31.6 -0.8
2014 100.0 79.1 68.1 11.0 22.0 21.3 17.1 4.3 0.6 -0.3 31.8 32.1 -0.72015 100.0 78.9 68.2 10.7 22.2 21.7 17.4 4.3 0.5 -0.6 32.9 33.5 -0.52016 100.0 78.7 68.3 10.4 22.9 22.3 18.1 4.3 0.6 -1.3 33.8 35.1 -0.32017 100.0 78.4 68.4 10.1 24.0 23.4 19.1 4.3 0.5 -2.0 35.5 37.5 -0.42018 100.0 78.2 68.4 9.7 25.1 24.5 20.1 4.3 0.7 -2.6 36.4 39.1 -0.72019 100.0 78.0 68.5 9.5 25.9 25.4 21.1 4.3 0.5 -3.4 37.0 40.4 -0.52020 100.0 77.7 68.5 9.2 26.9 26.3 22.0 4.3 0.6 -4.1 37.1 41.2 -0.5
Conclusión
B-3
Balanza de Bienes y Servicios!
Discrepancia!Estadística!
!
Continuación
Contribución al Crecimiento Real del Producto Interno Bruto por ComponentesPIB Puntos Porcentuales
Real Consumo Inversión Bruta Fija Variación de Sector Externo
Total Privado Gobierno Total Privada Pública Existencias Exportación Importación
1980 9.23 7.28 6.41 0.86 3.49 1.72 1.79 -0.01 2.63 3.501981 8.53 5.19 4.22 0.98 3.89 1.31 2.68 0.21 1.54 1.721982 -0.52 -0.53 -0.61 0.08 -2.96 -1.08 -1.82 1.12 2.93 -2.431983 -3.49 -2.38 -2.53 0.18 -4.45 -1.88 -2.34 0.06 1.57 -1.461984 3.41 2.39 1.70 0.70 1.03 0.77 0.26 0.09 0.66 0.961985 2.19 1.96 1.84 0.12 1.26 1.25 0.05 0.08 -0.68 0.601986 -3.08 -1.19 -1.31 0.12 -1.84 -1.01 -0.82 -1.06 0.23 -0.401987 1.72 -0.06 0.10 -0.16 0.28 1.03 -0.60 0.23 1.23 0.391988 1.28 0.68 0.78 -0.10 0.26 0.47 -0.19 -1.02 0.72 2.661989 4.11 4.73 4.53 0.21 1.13 0.98 0.15 -0.05 0.15 1.791990 5.18 4.36 4.05 0.32 1.61 0.98 0.65 0.06 0.47 1.761991 4.21 3.49 2.96 0.53 1.24 1.52 -0.20 0.41 0.74 1.741992 3.54 3.16 2.99 0.18 2.08 2.42 -0.21 0.96 0.16 2.501993 2.43 6.24 1.34 6.60 -2.42 -3.69 5.23 -0.14 1.29 0.221994 4.73 3.24 2.95 0.30 2.39 2.05 0.40 0.29 2.20 2.561995 -5.76 -5.42 -5.41 0.09 -3.71 -2.91 0.02 0.51 3.92 -2.391996 5.87 2.59 2.64 -0.03 2.57 2.83 0.08 0.82 4.21 5.931997 6.96 3.84 3.64 0.22 3.17 2.60 0.67 -0.31 2.00 2.771998 4.70 3.38 3.51 -0.09 1.80 2.20 -0.20 0.06 1.81 2.661999 2.67 3.13 2.92 0.21 1.44 2.23 -0.52 -0.11 1.63 2.972000 5.30 4.01 3.69 0.33 1.65 2.22 -0.38 0.18 2.89 5.032001 -0.61 0.90 1.29 -0.36 -0.64 0.26 -0.76 -0.36 -0.87 -0.142002 0.13 0.76 0.90 -0.14 0.10 0.55 -0.39 0.24 0.54 0.672003 1.42 -2.06 0.72 -2.12 0.59 0.32 0.27 -0.13 0.23 0.592004 4.30 4.21 3.64 0.57 1.53 1.28 0.25 0.37 2.48 2.532005 3.03 5.84 2.92 3.46 1.24 0.81 0.44 -0.17 1.59 2.102006 5.00 4.04 3.68 0.37 1.89 1.65 0.25 0.94 2.19 2.912007 3.15 2.28 2.02 0.26 1.34 1.19 0.15 -0.30 1.05 1.742008 1.40 1.60 1.27 0.33 1.14 0.09 1.21 0.44 -0.38 1.332009 -4.70 -4.05 -4.24 0.26 -2.04 -2.01 0.05 -0.20 -3.04 -4.592010 5.11 3.92 3.74 0.19 0.27 0.30 -0.03 2.79 6.09 6.122011 4.04 3.46 3.19 0.27 1.72 2.03 -0.21 -0.22 2.53 2.502012 3.98 3.63 3.25 0.38 0.99 1.55 -0.43 0.35 1.86 1.722013 1.07 1.86 1.73 0.13 -0.38 -0.22 -0.16 -0.11 0.37 0.46
2014 2.94 2.32 2.07 0.25 0.53 0.45 0.08 0.19 1.35 1.502015 4.14 3.09 2.95 0.15 1.25 1.07 0.18 -0.10 2.49 2.822016 5.23 3.89 3.67 0.22 1.88 1.63 0.25 0.20 2.76 3.632017 6.04 4.47 4.21 0.27 2.63 2.32 0.32 -0.04 4.07 4.972018 5.85 4.29 4.07 0.24 2.59 2.35 0.25 0.24 3.15 4.032019 5.20 3.81 3.61 0.21 2.34 2.11 0.23 -0.08 2.49 3.512020 4.85 3.54 3.35 0.19 2.24 2.04 0.21 0.07 1.95 2.94
Conclusión
B-4
Años!
B-2. Oferta y Demanda Global Trimestral: Escenario Base 2013-2014(Millones de pesos a precios de 2008)
Oferta Global Demanda GlobalProducto Importación de TOTAL Consumo
Interno Bruto Bienes y Servicios Total Privado GobiernoPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2011 12,774,243 4.0 3,966,992 8.0 16,741,235 5.0 9,914,282 4.5 8,493,188 4.8 1,421,094 2.4
I 12,377,242 4.5 3,672,443 11.5 16,049,684 6.0 9,473,038 4.3 8,074,566 4.7 1,398,472 2.2II 12,597,463 3.2 3,974,782 9.3 16,572,245 4.6 9,662,704 3.6 8,260,915 4.2 1,401,789 0.6
III 12,813,924 4.2 4,136,837 8.5 16,950,761 5.2 10,041,391 5.7 8,637,785 6.2 1,403,606 2.8IV 13,308,342 4.3 4,083,907 3.5 17,392,249 4.1 10,479,995 4.1 8,999,485 4.1 1,480,510 4.2
2012 13,283,052 4.0 4,183,838 5.5 17,466,890 4.3 10,375,040 4.6 8,905,208 4.9 1,469,833 3.4
I 12,982,273 4.9 3,910,999 6.5 16,893,273 5.3 10,143,150 7.1 8,683,059 7.5 1,460,091 4.4II 13,164,150 4.5 4,189,901 5.4 17,354,051 4.7 10,114,431 4.7 8,649,508 4.7 1,464,923 4.5III 13,222,137 3.2 4,229,304 2.2 17,451,441 3.0 10,359,594 3.2 8,918,646 3.3 1,440,948 2.7IV 13,763,649 3.4 4,405,147 7.9 18,168,796 4.5 10,882,987 3.8 9,369,618 4.1 1,513,370 2.2
2013 13,425,236 1.1 4,244,597 1.5 17,669,834 1.2 10,618,441 2.3 9,131,564 2.5 1,486,876 1.2
I 13,064,767 0.6 3,874,075 -0.9 16,938,842 0.3 10,315,948 1.7 8,851,356 1.9 1,464,592 0.3II 13,374,408 1.6 4,373,398 4.4 17,747,806 2.3 10,461,626 3.4 8,993,566 4.0 1,468,059 0.2III 13,406,776 1.4 4,338,324 2.6 17,745,100 1.7 10,647,376 2.8 9,177,206 2.9 1,470,170 2.0IV 13,854,994 0.7 4,392,593 -0.3 18,247,587 0.4 11,048,813 1.5 9,504,129 1.4 1,544,684 2.1
2014 13,820,186 2.9 4,442,189 4.7 18,262,375 3.4 10,930,116 2.9 9,409,096 3.0 1,521,020 2.3
I 13,304,823 1.8 4,042,795 4.4 17,347,618 2.4 10,480,671 1.6 8,974,293 1.4 1,506,378 2.9II e/ 13,638,970 2.0 4,421,426 1.1 18,060,397 1.8 10,698,114 2.3 9,191,885 2.2 1,506,229 2.6III e/ 13,904,563 3.7 4,539,761 4.6 18,444,324 3.9 11,010,616 3.4 9,511,630 3.6 1,498,985 2.0IV e/ 14,432,388 4.2 4,764,775 8.5 19,197,162 5.2 11,531,062 4.4 9,958,573 4.8 1,572,489 1.8
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Continúa
B-5
Años!
Continuación
Demanda GlobalFormación Bruta de Capital Fijo Variación Exportación de
Total Privada Pública de Bienes y ServiciosPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Existencias Pesos Var.%
2011 2,804,154 7.8 2,142,622 12.1 661,532 -4.1 56,148 3,935,141 8.2 31,510
I 2,591,602 7.6 1,968,051 9.9 623,551 0.7 -32,831 3,778,293 14.4 239,583II 2,719,159 7.7 2,081,460 12.0 637,699 -4.2 128,181 3,971,122 9.3 91,078III 2,861,819 8.7 2,191,239 13.1 670,579 -3.8 36,340 3,951,762 6.5 59,449IV 3,044,036 7.4 2,329,739 13.2 714,297 -8.0 92,900 4,039,388 3.5 -264,069
2012 2,930,470 4.5 2,331,648 8.8 598,822 -9.5 86,614 4,168,771 5.9 -94,005
I 2,745,166 5.9 2,173,552 10.4 571,614 -8.3 13,635 4,081,785 8.0 -90,463II 2,853,108 4.9 2,256,948 8.4 596,160 -6.5 230,473 4,502,649 13.4 -346,610III 2,976,148 4.0 2,379,092 8.6 597,056 -11.0 -23,244 4,092,466 3.6 46,477IV 3,147,459 3.4 2,517,000 8.0 630,458 -11.7 125,590 3,998,186 -1.0 14,574
2013 2,878,597 -1.8 2,301,410 -1.3 577,187 -3.6 66,639 4,217,287 1.2 -111,129
I 2,718,286 -1.0 2,184,217 0.5 534,069 -6.6 -69,534 3,899,657 -4.5 74,485II 2,875,954 0.8 2,312,510 2.5 563,444 -5.5 173,400 4,417,822 -1.9 -180,995III 2,867,098 -3.7 2,289,141 -3.8 577,957 -3.2 -16,808 4,321,481 5.6 -74,047IV 3,053,050 -3.0 2,419,773 -3.9 633,277 0.4 179,497 4,230,187 5.8 -263,960
2014 2,950,159 2.5 2,362,504 2.7 587,655 1.8 86,447 4,396,593 4.3 -100,940
I 2,696,759 -0.8 2,208,271 1.1 488,488 -8.5 52,489 4,181,966 7.2 -64,267II e/ 2,859,662 -0.6 2,306,497 -0.3 553,164 -1.8 186,563 4,663,704 5.6 -347,646III e/ 2,995,887 4.5 2,380,936 4.0 614,952 6.4 -13,987 4,340,385 0.4 111,423IV e/ 3,248,328 6.4 2,554,312 5.6 694,016 9.6 120,725 4,400,316 4.0 -103,269
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Continúa
B-6
Años! Discrepancia!Estadística!
!
Continuación
Estructura Porcentual del Producto Interno BrutoAños PIB Consumo Inversión Inversión Bruta Fija Variación de Balanza de Bienes y Servicios Discrepancia
Real Total Privado Gobierno Bruta Total Total Privada Pública Existencias Saldo Exportación Importación Estadística
2011 100.0 77.6 66.5 11.1 22.4 22.0 16.8 5.2 0.4 -0.2 30.8 31.1 0.2
I 100.0 76.5 65.2 11.3 20.7 20.9 15.9 5.0 -0.3 0.9 30.5 29.7 1.9II 100.0 76.7 65.6 11.1 22.6 21.6 16.5 5.1 1.0 0.0 31.5 31.6 0.7III 100.0 78.4 67.4 11.0 22.6 22.3 17.1 5.2 0.3 -1.4 30.8 32.3 0.5IV 100.0 78.7 67.6 11.1 23.6 22.9 17.5 5.4 0.7 -0.3 30.4 30.7 -2.0
2012 100.0 78.1 67.0 11.1 22.7 22.1 17.6 4.5 0.7 -0.1 31.4 31.5 -0.7
I 100.0 78.1 66.9 11.2 21.3 21.1 16.7 4.4 0.1 1.3 31.4 30.1 -0.7II 100.0 76.8 65.7 11.1 23.4 21.7 17.1 4.5 1.8 2.4 34.2 31.8 -2.6III 100.0 78.4 67.5 10.9 22.3 22.5 18.0 4.5 -0.2 -1.0 31.0 32.0 0.4IV 100.0 79.1 68.1 11.0 23.8 22.9 18.3 4.6 0.9 -3.0 29.0 32.0 0.1
2013 100.0 79.1 68.0 11.1 21.9 21.4 17.1 4.3 0.5 -0.2 31.4 31.6 -0.8
I 100.0 79.0 67.7 11.2 20.3 20.8 16.7 4.1 -0.5 0.2 29.8 29.7 0.6II 100.0 78.2 67.2 11.0 22.8 21.5 17.3 4.2 1.3 0.3 33.0 32.7 -1.4III 100.0 79.4 68.5 11.0 21.3 21.4 17.1 4.3 -0.1 -0.1 32.2 32.4 -0.6IV 100.0 79.7 68.6 11.1 23.3 22.0 17.5 4.6 1.3 -1.2 30.5 31.7 -1.9
2014 100.0 79.1 68.1 11.0 22.0 21.3 17.1 4.3 0.6 -0.3 31.8 32.1 -0.7
I 100.0 78.8 67.5 11.3 20.7 20.3 16.6 3.7 0.4 1.0 31.4 30.4 -0.5II e/ 100.0 78.4 67.4 11.0 22.3 21.0 16.9 4.1 1.4 1.8 34.2 32.4 -2.5III e/ 100.0 79.2 68.4 10.8 21.4 21.5 17.1 4.4 -0.1 -1.4 31.2 32.6 0.8IV e/ 100.0 79.9 69.0 10.9 23.3 22.5 17.7 4.8 0.8 -2.5 30.5 33.0 -0.7
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Continúa
C-7
Continuación
Contribución al Crecimiento Real del Producto Interno Bruto por ComponentesPIB Puntos PorcentualesReal Consumo Inversión Bruta Fija Variación de Sector Externo
Total Privado Gobierno Total Privada Pública Existencias Exportación Importación
2011 4.04 3.46 3.19 0.27 1.72 2.03 -0.21 -0.22 2.53 2.50
I 4.45 3.32 3.08 0.25 1.58 1.58 0.04 0.39 4.40 3.42II 3.23 2.79 2.73 0.07 1.66 1.98 -0.21 -0.43 2.94 2.94III 4.17 4.48 4.18 0.30 1.94 2.25 -0.20 1.24 2.01 2.75IV 4.32 3.26 2.80 0.46 1.68 2.30 -0.43 -0.28 1.07 1.08
2012 3.98 3.63 3.25 0.38 0.99 1.55 -0.43 0.35 1.86 1.72
I 4.89 5.53 5.04 0.50 1.25 1.75 -0.37 -0.15 2.53 1.96II 4.50 3.59 3.09 0.50 1.07 1.45 -0.29 1.40 4.58 1.72III 3.19 2.48 2.19 0.29 0.90 1.54 -0.50 0.29 1.10 0.71IV 3.42 3.04 2.80 0.24 0.78 1.47 -0.54 0.32 -0.30 2.52
2013 1.07 1.86 1.73 0.13 -0.38 -0.22 -0.16 -0.11 0.37 0.46
I 0.64 1.35 1.31 0.03 -0.20 0.08 -0.27 3.25 -1.33 -0.28II 1.60 2.69 2.67 0.02 0.17 0.43 -0.23 -0.32 -0.62 1.43III 1.40 2.21 1.98 0.22 -0.78 -0.65 -0.14 0.03 1.80 0.83IV 0.66 1.22 0.98 0.23 -0.66 -0.67 0.02 0.56 1.77 -0.09
2014 2.94 2.32 2.07 0.25 0.53 0.45 0.08 0.19 1.35 1.50
I 1.84 1.26 0.94 0.32 -0.16 0.18 -0.31 -0.69 2.28 1.32II e/ 1.98 1.77 1.49 0.29 -0.12 -0.04 -0.07 0.10 1.90 0.36III e/ 3.71 2.70 2.49 0.21 0.97 0.69 0.28 0.02 0.14 1.52IV e/ 4.17 3.49 3.30 0.20 1.44 0.98 0.46 -0.27 1.23 2.80
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Conclusión
B-8
Años!
Sección: B-II. Gasto Privado en Consumo de los Hogares
Cuadro B-3. Consumo Privado Anual por Tipo de Bien
Cuadro B-4. Consumo Privado Trimestral por Tipo de Bien
B-3. Consumo Privado Anual por Tipo de Bien: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Millones de pesos a precios de 2008)
Gastos de Consumo Privado por Tipo de BienTotal Total Bienes Total Compras Netas
Bienes y Servicios Bienes Duraderos Semiduraderos No Duraderos Servicios en el ExteriorPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos
1980 3,716,233 9.5 2,136,998 7.4 278,557 9.2 216,519 6.9 1,641,922 7.2 1,591,050 6.2 -11,8161981 3,937,767 6.0 2,160,406 1.1 298,408 7.1 215,179 -0.6 1,646,819 0.3 1,701,604 6.9 75,7571982 3,947,507 0.2 2,257,862 4.5 295,120 -1.1 228,587 6.2 1,734,155 5.3 1,754,551 3.1 -64,9051983 3,848,101 -2.5 2,323,666 2.9 276,224 -6.4 241,325 5.6 1,806,118 4.1 1,762,592 0.5 -238,1581984 3,954,707 2.8 2,417,109 4.0 284,861 3.1 251,575 4.2 1,880,673 4.1 1,770,695 0.5 -233,0961985 4,061,240 2.7 2,477,580 2.5 296,902 4.2 256,783 2.1 1,923,895 2.3 1,787,760 1.0 -204,1001986 4,004,604 -1.4 2,496,208 0.8 285,706 -3.8 261,681 1.9 1,948,821 1.3 1,785,587 -0.1 -277,1901987 4,052,743 1.2 2,593,360 3.9 279,104 -2.3 275,782 5.4 2,038,475 4.6 1,845,088 3.3 -385,7051988 4,087,490 0.9 2,549,404 -1.7 279,004 0.0 270,084 -2.1 2,000,315 -1.9 1,880,163 1.9 -342,0771989 4,323,570 5.8 2,545,933 -0.1 297,274 6.5 265,595 -1.7 1,983,064 -0.9 1,973,944 5.0 -196,3071990 4,565,866 5.6 2,599,221 2.1 311,553 4.8 269,374 1.4 2,018,293 1.8 2,071,376 4.9 -104,7311991 4,772,035 4.5 2,693,656 3.6 322,624 3.6 279,216 3.7 2,091,816 3.6 2,163,138 4.4 -84,7601992 4,942,324 3.6 2,642,233 -1.9 331,771 2.8 270,503 -3.1 2,039,959 -2.5 2,238,464 3.5 61,6271993 5,044,125 2.1 2,753,757 4.2 326,363 -1.6 286,210 5.8 2,141,184 5.0 2,295,147 2.5 -4,7791994 5,270,117 4.5 2,873,373 4.3 356,651 9.3 295,082 3.1 2,221,640 3.8 2,409,909 5.0 -13,1651995 4,816,495 -8.6 2,555,917 -11.0 239,654 -32.8 279,627 -5.2 2,036,635 -8.3 2,310,860 -4.1 -50,2821996 4,912,470 2.0 2,614,866 2.3 265,664 10.9 281,550 0.7 2,067,651 1.5 2,344,456 1.5 -46,8511997 5,210,107 6.1 2,812,060 7.5 330,140 24.3 292,962 4.1 2,188,958 5.9 2,449,301 4.5 -51,2551998 5,482,898 5.2 2,982,835 6.1 370,912 12.3 306,174 4.5 2,305,749 5.3 2,554,249 4.3 -54,1861999 5,715,295 4.2 3,109,735 4.3 389,449 5.0 318,591 4.1 2,401,695 4.2 2,654,361 3.9 -48,8012000 6,163,569 7.8 3,416,673 9.9 466,043 19.7 341,606 7.2 2,609,025 8.6 2,794,509 5.3 -47,6142001 6,325,616 2.6 3,487,869 2.1 448,541 -3.8 354,737 3.8 2,684,591 2.9 2,875,277 2.9 -37,5312002 6,418,865 1.5 3,518,617 0.9 463,757 3.4 355,376 0.2 2,699,485 0.6 2,932,408 2.0 -32,1602003 6,715,116 4.6 3,765,482 7.0 456,130 -1.6 519,488 46.2 2,789,864 3.3 2,991,140 2.0 -41,5062004 7,088,885 5.6 4,037,351 7.2 490,522 7.5 563,080 8.4 2,983,748 6.9 3,103,588 3.8 -52,0542005 7,400,756 4.4 4,265,689 5.7 550,519 12.2 613,659 9.0 3,101,511 3.9 3,184,402 2.6 -49,3352006 7,808,965 5.5 4,385,136 2.8 668,412 21.4 661,367 7.8 3,055,357 -1.5 3,468,955 8.9 -45,1262007 8,046,201 3.0 4,474,332 2.0 657,160 -1.7 672,053 1.6 3,145,120 2.9 3,619,537 4.3 -47,6692008 8,198,835 1.9 4,546,201 1.6 722,609 10.0 652,234 -2.9 3,171,358 0.8 3,704,695 2.4 -52,0612009 7,669,325 -6.5 4,053,259 -10.8 467,851 -35.3 566,091 -13.2 3,019,317 -4.8 3,685,138 -0.5 -69,0712010 8,103,919 5.7 4,361,566 7.6 649,211 38.8 660,555 16.7 3,051,800 1.1 3,803,150 3.2 -60,7972011 8,493,188 4.8 4,624,637 6.0 710,411 9.4 765,512 15.9 3,148,714 3.2 3,916,384 3.0 -47,8342012 8,905,208 4.9 4,822,600 4.3 736,015 3.6 819,508 7.1 3,267,077 3.8 4,137,402 5.6 -54,7942013 9,131,564 2.5 4,942,803 2.5 795,126 8.0 872,886 6.5 3,274,791 0.2 4,238,197 2.4 -49,436
2014 9,409,096 3.0 5,092,038 3.0 800,353 0.7 903,595 3.5 3,388,090 3.5 4,370,839 3.1 -53,7822015 9,816,422 4.3 5,325,163 4.6 838,770 4.8 956,003 5.8 3,530,390 4.2 4,550,044 4.1 -58,7852016 10,344,406 5.4 5,644,997 6.0 907,046 8.1 1,036,690 8.4 3,701,261 4.8 4,763,896 4.7 -64,4872017 10,981,965 6.2 6,015,580 6.6 985,052 8.6 1,127,919 8.8 3,902,609 5.4 5,037,343 5.7 -70,9582018 11,634,359 5.9 6,393,900 6.3 1,068,191 8.4 1,218,603 8.0 4,107,106 5.2 5,316,412 5.5 -75,9522019 12,247,575 5.3 6,770,924 5.9 1,153,646 8.0 1,303,174 6.9 4,314,104 5.0 5,556,714 4.5 -80,0632020 12,847,090 4.9 7,141,858 5.5 1,241,784 7.6 1,385,796 6.3 4,514,278 4.6 5,788,985 4.2 -83,753
Continúa
B-9
Años!
B-4. Consumo Privado Trimestral por Tipo de Bien: Escenario Base 2013-2014(Millones de pesos a precios de 2008)
Gastos de Consumo Privado por Tipo de BienTotal Total Bienes Total Compras Netas
Bienes y Servicios Bienes Duraderos Semiduraderos No Duraderos Servicios en el Exterior
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos
2011 8,493,188 4.8 4,624,637 6.0 710,411 9.4 765,512 15.9 3,148,714 3.2 3,916,384 3.0 -47,834
I 8,074,566 4.7 4,332,160 7.2 640,050 11.2 697,020 14.7 2,995,090 4.8 3,815,988 1.3 -73,583II 8,260,915 4.2 4,453,311 5.5 657,645 11.5 724,773 14.1 3,070,892 2.5 3,846,292 2.1 -38,688III 8,637,785 6.2 4,709,767 7.8 709,220 10.4 810,693 20.5 3,189,854 4.4 3,954,780 3.9 -26,762IV 8,999,485 4.1 5,003,312 3.9 834,727 5.8 829,563 14.2 3,339,021 1.2 4,048,478 4.6 -52,304
2012 8,905,208 4.9 4,822,600 4.3 736,015 3.6 819,508 7.1 3,267,077 3.8 4,137,402 5.6 -54,794
I 8,683,059 7.5 4,715,765 8.9 669,314 4.6 776,801 11.4 3,269,651 9.2 4,053,278 6.2 -85,983II 8,649,508 4.7 4,653,827 4.5 676,449 2.9 793,337 9.5 3,184,041 3.7 4,054,408 5.4 -58,728III 8,918,646 3.3 4,779,143 1.5 708,884 0.0 856,845 5.7 3,213,414 0.7 4,171,567 5.5 -32,064IV 9,369,618 4.1 5,141,664 2.8 889,413 6.6 851,050 2.6 3,401,201 1.9 4,270,356 5.5 -42,402
2013 9,131,564 2.5 4,942,803 2.5 795,126 8.0 872,886 6.5 3,274,791 0.2 4,238,197 2.4 -49,436
I 8,851,356 1.9 4,730,490 0.3 732,956 9.5 819,811 5.5 3,177,723 -2.8 4,200,557 3.6 -79,691II 8,993,566 4.0 4,871,968 4.7 758,002 12.1 879,264 10.8 3,234,702 1.6 4,168,735 2.8 -47,136
III 9,177,206 2.9 4,946,142 3.5 760,731 7.3 902,290 5.3 3,283,121 2.2 4,258,501 2.1 -27,436IV 9,504,129 1.4 5,222,613 1.6 928,816 4.4 890,179 4.6 3,403,618 0.1 4,324,996 1.3 -43,480
2014 9,409,096 3.0 5,092,038 3.0 800,353 0.7 903,595 3.5 3,388,090 3.5 4,370,839 3.1 -53,782
I 8,974,293 1.4 4,823,739 2.0 700,317 -4.5 853,493 4.1 3,269,929 2.9 4,251,007 1.2 -100,453II e/ 9,191,885 2.2 4,945,498 1.5 745,876 -1.6 905,026 2.9 3,294,596 1.9 4,286,312 2.8 -39,924III e/ 9,511,630 3.6 5,121,914 3.6 783,220 3.0 933,971 3.5 3,404,724 3.7 4,415,506 3.7 -25,790IV e/ 9,958,573 4.8 5,477,000 4.9 972,001 4.6 921,889 3.6 3,583,111 5.3 4,530,531 4.8 -48,958
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
B-10
Años!
Sección: B-III. Exportación e Importación
de Bienes y Servicios
Cuadro B-5. Exportación e Importación Anualde Bienes y Servicios
Página: B-68 / Exportaciones AnualesPágina: B-69 / Importaciones Anuales
Cuadro B-6. Exportación e Importación Trimestralde Bienes y Servicios
Página: B-70 / Exportaciones TrimestralesPágina: B-71 / Importaciones Trimestrales
B-5. Exportación e Importación de Bienes y Servicios Anual: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Millones de pesos a precios de 2008)
Exportación Exportaciones de Bienes FOB ExportaciónTOTAL Total Exportaciones No Petroleras Exportaciones Total
de Bienes Total Manufacturas Otras Petroleras de ServiciosPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
1980 557,832 28.9 473,839 33.6 149,287 -4.4 105,277 -8.2 44,010 6.3 324,552 63.5 83,993 7.41981 646,149 15.8 571,605 20.6 153,416 2.8 106,359 1.0 47,057 6.9 418,189 28.9 74,544 -11.21982 801,941 24.1 711,578 24.5 148,924 -2.9 104,827 -1.4 44,098 -6.3 562,653 34.5 90,363 21.21983 891,912 11.2 781,997 9.9 207,056 39.0 161,439 54.0 45,617 3.4 574,942 2.2 109,915 21.61984 933,709 4.7 828,220 5.9 262,493 26.8 209,148 29.6 53,345 16.9 565,728 -1.6 105,488 -4.01985 885,661 -5.1 779,539 -5.9 254,674 -3.0 203,403 -2.7 51,271 -3.9 524,865 -7.2 106,122 0.61986 900,361 1.7 784,323 0.6 310,581 22.0 252,861 24.3 57,721 12.6 473,741 -9.7 116,038 9.31987 975,602 8.4 850,771 8.5 360,608 16.1 303,258 19.9 57,350 -0.6 490,163 3.5 124,830 7.61988 1,022,051 4.8 898,017 5.6 418,389 16.0 359,715 18.6 58,674 2.3 479,629 -2.1 124,034 -0.61989 1,032,205 1.0 897,004 -0.1 430,389 2.9 376,037 4.5 54,352 -7.4 466,615 -2.7 135,202 9.01990 1,065,928 3.3 928,588 3.5 464,450 7.9 404,943 7.7 59,507 9.5 464,138 -0.5 137,340 1.61991 1,119,925 5.1 985,360 6.1 487,450 5.0 427,933 5.7 59,517 0.0 497,910 7.3 134,565 -2.01992 1,132,834 1.2 1,000,050 1.5 504,000 3.4 456,186 6.6 47,814 -19.7 496,050 -0.4 132,784 -1.31993 1,229,662 8.5 1,037,905 3.8 601,471 19.3 536,106 17.5 65,364 36.7 436,434 -12.0 191,757 44.41994 1,394,538 13.4 1,191,095 14.8 717,804 19.3 645,625 20.4 72,179 10.4 473,291 8.4 203,443 6.11995 1,659,114 19.0 1,395,574 17.2 933,736 30.1 844,697 30.8 89,039 23.4 461,838 -2.4 263,540 29.51996 1,961,526 18.2 1,706,028 22.2 1,128,031 20.8 1,039,913 23.1 88,118 -1.0 577,997 25.2 255,498 -3.11997 2,129,200 8.5 1,901,566 11.5 1,292,603 14.6 1,200,372 15.4 92,231 4.7 608,963 5.4 227,634 -10.91998 2,289,234 7.5 2,054,277 8.0 1,476,171 14.2 1,363,643 13.6 112,528 22.0 578,106 -5.1 234,957 3.21999 2,438,692 6.5 2,228,339 8.5 1,665,518 12.8 1,561,227 14.5 104,291 -7.3 562,821 -2.6 210,353 -10.52000 2,706,747 11.0 2,487,282 11.6 1,926,149 15.6 1,830,153 17.2 95,996 -8.0 561,134 -0.3 219,464 4.32001 2,614,830 -3.4 2,425,573 -2.5 1,858,451 -3.5 1,770,196 -3.3 88,256 -8.1 567,122 1.1 189,256 -13.82002 2,668,608 2.1 2,482,725 2.4 1,891,143 1.8 1,799,254 1.6 91,889 4.1 591,581 4.3 185,883 -1.82003 2,692,286 0.9 2,524,703 1.7 1,906,872 0.8 1,810,894 0.6 95,978 4.4 617,831 4.4 167,583 -9.82004 2,938,157 9.1 2,753,203 9.1 2,126,547 11.5 2,017,137 11.4 109,410 14.0 626,656 1.4 184,954 10.42005 3,106,033 5.7 2,906,532 5.6 2,297,925 8.1 2,186,143 8.4 111,781 2.2 608,607 -2.9 199,501 7.92006 3,344,215 7.7 3,152,039 8.4 2,550,246 11.0 2,430,098 11.2 120,149 7.5 601,793 -1.1 192,177 -3.72007 3,466,167 3.6 3,263,911 3.5 2,700,709 5.9 2,576,499 6.0 124,210 3.4 563,202 -6.4 202,256 5.22008 3,419,442 -1.3 3,216,396 -1.5 2,748,221 1.8 2,623,917 1.8 124,304 0.1 468,175 -16.9 203,045 0.42009 3,016,579 -11.8 2,820,464 -12.3 2,411,025 -12.3 2,288,021 -12.8 123,004 -1.0 409,439 -12.5 196,115 -3.42010 3,636,382 20.5 3,450,267 22.3 2,991,279 24.1 2,854,183 24.7 137,096 11.5 458,989 12.1 186,114 -5.12011 3,935,141 8.2 3,754,422 8.8 3,303,707 10.4 3,152,413 10.4 151,293 10.4 450,715 -1.8 180,719 -2.92012 4,168,771 5.9 3,978,186 6.0 3,554,914 7.6 3,382,987 7.3 171,927 13.6 423,272 -6.1 190,586 5.52013 4,217,287 1.2 4,005,593 0.7 3,611,569 1.6 3,453,223 2.1 158,346 -7.9 394,024 -6.9 211,694 11.1
2014 4,396,593 4.3 4,163,930 4.0 3,789,463 4.9 3,625,507 5.0 163,956 3.5 374,467 -5.0 232,663 9.92015 4,729,505 7.6 4,472,903 7.4 4,074,588 7.5 3,907,209 7.8 167,379 2.1 398,315 6.4 256,602 10.32016 5,115,361 8.2 4,826,477 7.9 4,426,718 8.6 4,242,057 8.6 184,661 10.3 399,759 0.4 288,884 12.62017 5,701,512 11.5 5,370,245 11.3 4,962,534 12.1 4,762,133 12.3 200,401 8.5 407,711 2.0 331,267 14.72018 6,195,034 8.7 5,818,816 8.4 5,387,138 8.6 5,167,867 8.5 219,271 9.4 431,678 5.9 376,218 13.62019 6,612,875 6.7 6,191,706 6.4 5,738,130 6.5 5,506,879 6.6 231,251 5.5 453,577 5.1 421,169 11.92020 6,960,784 5.3 6,495,364 4.9 6,022,867 5.0 5,774,513 4.9 248,354 7.4 472,497 4.2 465,420 10.5
Continúa
B-11
Años!
Continuación
Importación Importaciones de Bienes CIF Importación BalanzaTOTAL Total Bienes Bienes Bienes Total de Bienes
de Bienes de Consumo Intermedios de Capital de Servicios y ServiciosPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos % PIB
1980 586,848 36.4 453,267 36.4 37,823 66.5 325,889 33.2 89,555 37.7 133,581 36.6 -29,016 -0.51981 684,547 16.6 523,040 15.4 43,459 14.9 365,205 12.1 114,376 27.7 161,508 20.9 -38,398 -0.61982 429,464 -37.3 315,667 -39.6 26,527 -39.0 225,075 -38.4 64,065 -44.0 113,797 -29.5 372,477 5.61983 293,690 -31.6 212,718 -32.6 13,510 -49.1 167,931 -25.4 31,278 -51.2 80,972 -28.8 598,222 9.41984 346,998 18.2 257,606 21.1 17,609 30.3 204,890 22.0 35,108 12.2 89,392 10.4 586,710 8.91985 383,454 10.5 293,681 14.0 21,672 23.1 230,933 12.7 41,076 17.0 89,773 0.4 502,207 7.51986 355,232 -7.4 270,130 -8.0 18,577 -14.3 214,109 -7.3 37,445 -8.8 85,101 -5.2 545,129 8.41987 379,496 6.8 294,609 9.1 16,731 -9.9 244,451 14.2 33,427 -10.7 84,887 -0.3 596,106 9.01988 511,826 34.9 418,148 41.9 31,939 90.9 333,862 36.6 52,347 56.6 93,678 10.4 510,225 7.61989 616,103 20.4 503,955 20.5 55,712 74.4 389,433 16.6 58,810 12.3 112,149 19.7 416,102 5.91990 725,812 17.8 592,402 17.6 77,237 38.6 434,809 11.7 80,357 36.6 133,410 19.0 340,116 4.61991 840,851 15.8 705,059 19.0 98,746 27.8 506,187 16.4 100,125 24.6 135,792 1.8 279,074 3.61992 1,006,832 19.7 866,225 22.9 127,496 29.1 606,892 19.9 131,837 31.7 140,607 3.5 126,002 1.61993 1,024,345 1.7 870,523 0.5 93,840 -26.4 668,299 10.1 108,385 -17.8 153,821 9.4 205,317 2.51994 1,209,001 18.0 1,058,134 21.6 135,980 44.9 783,840 17.3 138,313 27.6 150,867 -1.9 185,538 2.21995 970,315 -19.7 859,764 -18.7 68,000 -50.0 698,128 -10.9 93,636 -32.3 110,550 -26.7 688,799 8.61996 1,336,397 37.7 1,218,871 41.8 91,258 34.2 986,986 41.4 140,627 50.2 117,526 6.3 625,129 7.41997 1,553,195 16.2 1,420,763 16.6 107,275 17.6 1,129,739 14.5 183,749 30.7 132,432 12.7 576,004 6.31998 1,774,622 14.3 1,649,480 16.1 129,457 20.7 1,303,091 15.3 216,932 18.1 125,142 -5.5 514,612 5.41999 2,028,227 14.3 1,898,528 15.1 171,085 32.2 1,472,531 13.0 254,912 17.5 129,698 3.6 410,465 4.22000 2,456,035 21.1 2,305,640 21.4 226,932 32.6 1,781,643 21.0 297,064 16.5 150,395 16.0 250,712 2.42001 2,441,208 -0.6 2,286,629 -0.8 262,541 15.7 1,756,681 -1.4 267,407 -10.0 154,579 2.8 173,622 1.72002 2,508,075 2.7 2,345,362 2.6 289,364 10.2 1,801,383 2.5 254,615 -4.8 162,713 5.3 160,533 1.62003 2,568,125 2.4 2,403,197 2.5 290,423 0.4 1,857,163 3.1 255,611 0.4 164,928 1.4 124,161 1.22004 2,817,488 9.7 2,650,548 10.3 313,997 8.1 2,045,408 10.1 291,142 13.9 166,941 1.2 120,669 1.12005 3,034,699 7.7 2,855,841 7.7 362,059 15.3 2,161,754 5.7 332,029 14.0 178,857 7.1 71,334 0.62006 3,344,013 10.2 3,167,178 10.9 412,738 14.0 2,376,153 9.9 378,287 13.9 176,835 -1.1 202 0.02007 3,542,255 5.9 3,359,007 6.1 432,337 4.7 2,513,616 5.8 413,055 9.2 183,248 3.6 -76,088 -0.62008 3,698,252 4.4 3,520,853 4.8 460,132 6.4 2,638,685 5.0 422,036 2.2 177,400 -3.2 -278,811 -2.32009 3,047,831 -17.6 2,870,353 -18.5 345,251 -25.0 2,171,654 -17.7 353,448 -16.3 177,478 0.0 -31,252 -0.32010 3,671,446 20.5 3,494,212 21.7 424,439 22.9 2,719,928 25.2 349,845 -1.0 177,234 -0.1 -35,065 -0.32011 3,966,992 8.0 3,763,367 7.7 444,474 4.7 2,894,914 6.4 423,979 21.2 203,626 14.9 -31,851 -0.22012 4,183,838 5.5 3,974,385 5.6 465,307 4.7 3,035,456 4.9 473,621 11.7 209,453 2.9 -15,066 -0.12013 4,244,597 1.5 4,029,024 1.4 492,747 5.9 3,038,375 0.1 497,902 5.1 215,574 2.9 -27,311 -0.2
2014 4,442,189 4.7 4,218,172 4.7 526,129 6.8 3,176,187 4.5 515,856 3.6 224,017 3.9 -45,596 -0.32015 4,816,034 8.4 4,566,852 8.3 576,427 9.6 3,413,131 7.5 577,295 11.9 249,181 11.2 -86,529 -0.62016 5,313,960 10.3 5,029,294 10.1 650,383 12.8 3,711,097 8.7 667,814 15.7 284,666 14.2 -198,600 -1.32017 6,018,369 13.3 5,688,926 13.1 757,436 16.5 4,143,069 11.6 788,422 18.1 329,443 15.7 -316,857 -2.02018 6,638,717 10.3 6,266,019 10.1 873,626 15.3 4,472,857 8.0 919,536 16.6 372,698 13.1 -443,683 -2.62019 7,216,160 8.7 6,803,196 8.6 999,778 14.4 4,746,596 6.1 1,056,823 14.9 412,964 10.8 -603,285 -3.42020 7,731,270 7.1 7,282,762 7.0 1,134,048 13.4 4,950,699 4.3 1,198,014 13.4 448,509 8.6 -770,486 -4.1
Conclusión
B-12
Años!
B-6. Exportación de Bienes y Servicios Trimestral: Escenario Base 2013-2014(Millones de pesos a precios de 2008)
Exportación Exportaciones de Bienes FOB Exportación
TOTAL Total Exportaciones No Petroleras Exportaciones Total
de Bienes Total Manufacturas Otras Petroleras de Servicios
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2011 3,935,141 8.2 3,754,422 8.8 3,303,707 10.4 3,152,413 10.4 151,293 10.4 450,715 -1.8 180,719 -2.9
I 3,778,293 14.4 3,583,988 16.4 3,128,708 17.2 2,962,729 17.5 165,979 11.1 455,280 11.3 194,304 -12.9II 3,971,122 9.3 3,803,856 10.0 3,346,404 11.5 3,186,022 11.8 160,382 6.5 457,451 0.0 167,266 -3.6
III 3,951,762 6.5 3,794,739 7.3 3,356,304 9.2 3,229,610 8.8 126,694 20.1 438,436 -4.8 157,022 -9.9IV 4,039,388 3.5 3,835,104 2.9 3,383,411 5.1 3,231,292 5.0 152,118 6.5 451,693 -11.2 204,284 17.8
2012 4,168,771 5.9 3,978,186 6.0 3,554,914 7.6 3,382,987 7.3 171,927 13.6 423,272 -6.1 190,586 5.5
I 4,081,785 8.0 3,867,259 7.9 3,454,112 10.4 3,253,436 9.8 200,676 20.9 413,147 -9.3 214,526 10.4II 4,502,649 13.4 4,305,317 13.2 3,890,770 16.3 3,686,951 15.7 203,819 27.1 414,547 -9.4 197,332 18.0III 4,092,466 3.6 3,920,921 3.3 3,495,367 4.1 3,354,360 3.9 141,007 11.3 425,554 -2.9 171,546 9.2IV 3,998,186 -1.0 3,819,247 -0.4 3,379,405 -0.1 3,237,200 0.2 142,205 -6.5 439,842 -2.6 178,938 -12.4
2013 4,217,287 1.2 4,005,593 0.7 3,611,569 1.6 3,453,223 2.1 158,346 -7.9 394,024 -6.9 211,694 11.1
I 3,899,657 -4.5 3,696,554 -4.4 3,301,423 -4.4 3,127,415 -3.9 174,007 -13.3 395,131 -4.4 203,103 -5.3II 4,417,822 -1.9 4,148,447 -3.6 3,768,692 -3.1 3,581,368 -2.9 187,324 -8.1 379,756 -8.4 269,374 36.5III 4,321,481 5.6 4,141,885 5.6 3,750,148 7.3 3,624,648 8.1 125,501 -11.0 391,736 -7.9 179,597 4.7IV 4,230,187 5.8 4,035,487 5.7 3,626,014 7.3 3,479,461 7.5 146,553 3.1 409,472 -6.9 194,700 8.8
2014 4,396,593 4.3 4,163,930 4.0 3,789,463 4.9 3,625,507 5.0 163,956 3.5 374,467 -5.0 232,663 9.9
I 4,181,966 7.2 3,951,185 6.9 3,564,165 8.0 3,366,688 7.7 197,477 13.5 387,020 -2.1 230,781 13.6II e/ 4,663,704 5.6 4,369,365 5.3 4,010,593 6.4 3,817,992 6.6 192,601 2.8 358,772 -5.5 294,338 9.3III e/ 4,340,385 0.4 4,148,787 0.2 3,795,152 1.2 3,662,801 1.1 132,350 5.5 353,636 -9.7 191,598 6.7IV e/ 4,400,316 4.0 4,186,382 3.7 3,787,941 4.5 3,654,547 5.0 133,394 -9.0 398,441 -2.7 213,935 9.9
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Continúa
B-13
Años!
Continuación
Importación Importaciones de Bienes CIF Importación Balanza
TOTAL Total Bienes Bienes Bienes Total de Bienes
de Bienes de Consumo Intermedios de Capital de Servicios y Servicios
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos % PIB
2011 3,047,831 -17.6 2,870,353 -18.5 345,251 -25.0 2,171,654 -17.7 353,448 -16.3 177,478 0.0 -31,252 -0.3
I 2,748,306 -20.7 2,566,487 -22.1 310,031 -29.4 1,923,856 -22.5 332,600 -11.6 181,818 7.2 92,725 0.8II 2,814,103 -25.9 2,660,999 -26.3 307,633 -30.9 2,033,910 -25.4 319,455 -27.4 153,105 -17.3 26,629 0.2
III 3,181,654 -19.2 2,992,608 -20.5 351,059 -26.4 2,285,694 -19.3 355,855 -21.5 189,046 7.0 -182,519 -1.6IV 3,447,261 -4.0 3,261,318 -4.4 412,280 -13.9 2,443,155 -2.9 405,883 -3.1 185,943 4.4 -61,845 -0.5
2012 3,671,446 20.5 3,494,212 21.7 424,439 22.9 2,719,928 25.2 349,845 -1.0 177,234 -0.1 -35,065 -0.3
I 3,292,724 19.8 3,124,862 21.8 397,350 28.2 2,430,178 26.3 297,334 -10.6 167,862 -7.7 9,333 0.1II 3,635,608 29.2 3,461,343 30.1 396,941 29.0 2,732,494 34.3 331,909 3.9 174,265 13.8 -3,216 0.0III 3,812,225 19.8 3,622,913 21.1 426,979 21.6 2,834,219 24.0 361,716 1.6 189,311 0.1 -102,750 -0.8IV 3,945,228 14.4 3,767,730 15.5 476,485 15.6 2,882,823 18.0 408,421 0.6 177,499 -4.5 -43,626 -0.3
2013 3,966,992 8.0 3,763,367 7.7 444,474 4.7 2,894,914 6.4 423,979 21.2 203,626 14.9 -31,851 -0.2
I 3,672,443 11.5 3,502,533 12.1 403,221 1.5 2,719,275 11.9 380,037 27.8 169,910 1.2 105,850 0.9II 3,974,782 9.3 3,770,712 8.9 416,100 4.8 2,937,179 7.5 417,432 25.8 204,070 17.1 -3,660 0.0III 4,136,837 8.5 3,909,487 7.9 463,661 8.6 3,002,463 5.9 443,364 22.6 227,350 20.1 -185,075 -1.4IV 4,083,907 3.5 3,870,736 2.7 494,915 3.9 2,920,738 1.3 455,083 11.4 213,172 20.1 -44,520 -0.3
2014 4,183,838 5.5 3,974,385 5.6 465,307 4.7 3,035,456 4.9 473,621 11.7 209,453 2.9 -15,066 -0.1
I 3,910,999 6.5 3,724,649 6.3 435,176 7.9 2,840,416 4.5 449,056 18.2 186,351 9.7 170,785 1.3II e/ 4,189,901 5.4 3,982,764 5.6 433,399 4.2 3,089,563 5.2 459,803 10.2 207,137 1.5 312,748 2.4III e/ 4,229,304 2.2 4,010,352 2.6 467,477 0.8 3,068,244 2.2 474,631 7.1 218,952 -3.7 -136,837 -1.0IV e/ 4,405,147 7.9 4,179,773 8.0 525,177 6.1 3,143,601 7.6 510,995 12.3 225,374 5.7 -406,961 -3.0
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Conclusión
B-14
Años!
Sección: B-IV. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo
Cuadro B-7. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Anual por Origen y Tipo de Bien
Cuadro B-8. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Trimestral por Origen y Tipo de Bien
Cuadro B-9. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Anual por Tipo de Bien y de Comprador
Cuadro B-10. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Trimestral por Tipo de Bien y de Comprador
B-7. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Anual por Origen y Tipo de Bien: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Millones de pesos a precios de 2008)
Sector de la Maquinaria y Equipo Estructura PorcentualAños Construcción Suma Nacional Importado Cons- Maquinaria y Equipo
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% TOTAL trucción Total Nacional Importado
1980 1,530,910 13.9 1,110,758 11.2 420,152 22.1 168,867 13.0 251,285 29.0 100.0 72.6 27.4 11.0 16.41981 1,755,936 14.7 1,246,493 12.2 509,443 21.3 190,003 12.5 319,440 27.1 100.0 71.0 29.0 10.8 18.21982 1,531,821 -12.8 1,180,615 -5.3 351,206 -31.1 160,789 -15.4 190,417 -40.4 100.0 77.1 22.9 10.5 12.41983 1,155,884 -24.5 944,434 -20.0 211,450 -39.8 115,387 -28.2 96,063 -49.6 100.0 81.7 18.3 10.0 8.31984 1,220,359 5.6 984,683 4.3 235,677 11.5 128,048 11.0 107,628 12.0 100.0 80.7 19.3 10.5 8.81985 1,300,182 6.5 1,030,294 4.6 269,888 14.5 147,565 15.2 122,323 13.7 100.0 79.2 20.8 11.3 9.41986 1,166,205 -10.3 936,517 -9.1 229,689 -14.9 121,916 -17.4 107,773 -11.9 100.0 80.3 19.7 10.5 9.21987 1,184,543 1.6 972,246 3.8 212,297 -7.6 120,784 -0.9 91,513 -15.1 100.0 82.1 17.9 10.2 7.71988 1,201,448 1.4 959,365 -1.3 242,083 14.0 133,993 10.9 108,090 18.1 100.0 79.9 20.1 11.2 9.01989 1,275,671 6.2 999,937 4.2 275,734 13.9 147,909 10.4 127,825 18.3 100.0 78.4 21.6 11.6 10.01990 1,385,110 8.6 1,057,375 5.7 327,734 18.9 170,983 15.6 156,751 22.6 100.0 76.3 23.7 12.3 11.31991 1,474,539 6.5 1,104,037 4.4 370,503 13.0 188,727 10.4 181,775 16.0 100.0 74.9 25.1 12.8 12.31992 1,624,494 10.2 1,205,303 9.2 419,192 13.1 193,912 2.7 225,280 23.9 100.0 74.2 25.8 11.9 13.91993 1,395,641 -14.1 1,091,383 -9.5 304,257 -27.4 142,655 -26.4 161,603 -28.3 100.0 78.2 21.8 10.2 11.61994 1,575,604 12.9 1,223,142 12.1 352,462 15.8 145,646 2.1 206,816 28.0 100.0 77.6 22.4 9.2 13.11995 1,176,832 -25.3 920,217 -24.8 256,616 -27.2 117,137 -19.6 139,479 -32.6 100.0 78.2 21.8 10.0 11.91996 1,365,318 16.0 1,014,412 10.2 350,906 36.7 140,364 19.8 210,543 50.9 100.0 74.3 25.7 10.3 15.41997 1,609,831 17.9 1,159,003 14.3 450,829 28.5 175,832 25.3 274,997 30.6 100.0 72.0 28.0 10.9 17.11998 1,766,181 9.7 1,252,575 8.1 513,607 13.9 189,681 7.9 323,926 17.8 100.0 70.9 29.1 10.7 18.31999 1,897,234 7.4 1,316,585 5.1 580,649 13.1 199,862 5.4 380,787 17.6 100.0 69.4 30.6 10.5 20.12000 2,053,821 8.3 1,397,217 6.1 656,604 13.1 211,365 5.8 445,239 16.9 100.0 68.0 32.0 10.3 21.72001 1,986,059 -3.3 1,384,260 -0.9 601,799 -8.3 202,163 -4.4 399,636 -10.2 100.0 69.7 30.3 10.2 20.12002 1,996,651 0.5 1,413,070 2.1 583,582 -3.0 201,249 -0.5 382,333 -4.3 100.0 70.8 29.2 10.1 19.12003 2,055,862 3.0 1,472,541 4.2 583,321 0.0 201,026 -0.1 382,295 0.0 100.0 71.6 28.4 9.8 18.62004 2,210,485 7.5 1,557,690 5.8 652,795 11.9 218,199 8.5 434,596 13.7 100.0 70.5 29.5 9.9 19.72005 2,340,995 5.9 1,610,565 3.4 730,430 11.9 235,433 7.9 494,997 13.9 100.0 68.8 31.2 10.1 21.12006 2,544,390 8.7 1,729,477 7.4 814,913 11.6 251,621 6.9 563,292 13.8 100.0 68.0 32.0 9.9 22.12007 2,696,835 6.0 1,817,910 5.1 878,925 7.9 264,745 5.2 614,180 9.0 100.0 67.4 32.6 9.8 22.82008 2,830,420 5.0 1,930,440 6.2 899,980 2.4 272,221 2.8 627,758 2.2 100.0 68.2 31.8 9.6 22.22009 2,568,103 -9.3 1,820,622 -5.7 747,480 -16.9 224,436 -17.6 523,044 -16.7 100.0 70.9 29.1 8.7 20.42010 2,600,823 1.3 1,817,498 -0.2 783,325 4.8 266,920 18.9 516,405 -1.3 100.0 69.9 30.1 10.3 19.92011 2,804,154 7.8 1,872,916 3.0 931,238 18.9 306,890 15.0 624,348 20.9 100.0 66.8 33.2 10.9 22.32012 2,930,470 4.5 1,902,365 1.6 1,028,105 10.4 331,402 8.0 696,703 11.6 100.0 64.9 35.1 11.3 23.82013 2,878,597 -1.8 1,807,464 -5.0 1,071,133 4.2 338,240 2.1 732,893 5.2 100.0 62.8 37.2 11.8 25.5
2014 2,950,159 2.5 1,830,117 1.3 1,120,042 4.6 346,371 2.4 773,670 5.6 100.0 62.0 38.0 11.7 26.22015 3,120,387 5.8 1,910,460 4.4 1,209,928 8.0 497,880 43.7 712,047 -8.0 100.0 61.2 38.8 16.0 22.82016 3,383,235 8.4 2,038,424 6.7 1,344,811 11.1 556,717 11.8 788,094 10.7 100.0 60.3 39.7 16.5 23.32017 3,762,854 11.2 2,199,337 7.9 1,563,517 16.3 637,034 14.4 926,483 17.6 100.0 58.4 41.6 16.9 24.62018 4,161,077 10.6 2,371,756 7.8 1,789,321 14.4 712,470 11.8 1,076,851 16.2 100.0 57.0 43.0 17.1 25.92019 4,543,630 9.2 2,533,986 6.8 2,009,644 12.3 783,864 10.0 1,225,780 13.8 100.0 55.8 44.2 17.3 27.02020 4,930,648 8.5 2,688,189 6.1 2,242,460 11.6 870,076 11.0 1,372,383 12.0 100.0 54.5 45.5 17.6 27.8
B-15
TOTAL!
B-8. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Trimestral por Origen y Tipo de Bien: Escenario Base 2013-2014(Millones de pesos a precios de 2008)
Sector de la Maquinaria y Equipo Estructura PorcentualAños Construcción Suma Nacional Importado Cons- Maquinaria y Equipo
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%TOTAL
trucción Total Nacional Importado
2011 2,804,154 7.8 1,872,916 3.0 931,238 18.9 306,890 15.0 624,348 20.9 100.0 66.8 33.2 10.9 22.3
I 2,591,602 7.6 1,743,159 0.4 848,443 25.9 288,319 23.0 560,124 27.5 100.0 67.3 32.7 11.1 21.6II 2,719,159 7.7 1,809,371 1.2 909,789 23.4 295,946 19.7 613,842 25.2 100.0 66.5 33.5 10.9 22.6III 2,861,819 8.7 1,898,779 3.8 963,040 19.8 310,170 14.9 652,870 22.3 100.0 66.3 33.7 10.8 22.8IV 3,044,036 7.4 2,040,355 6.4 1,003,681 9.3 333,124 5.4 670,557 11.3 100.0 67.0 33.0 10.9 22.0
2012 2,930,470 4.5 1,902,365 1.6 1,028,105 10.4 331,402 8.0 696,703 11.6 100.0 64.9 35.1 11.3 23.8
I 2,745,166 5.9 1,782,172 2.2 962,994 13.5 302,153 4.8 660,841 18.0 100.0 64.9 35.1 11.0 24.1II 2,853,108 4.9 1,866,631 3.2 986,477 8.4 309,785 4.7 676,692 10.2 100.0 65.4 34.6 10.9 23.7III 2,976,148 4.0 1,932,759 1.8 1,043,388 8.3 345,874 11.5 697,514 6.8 100.0 64.9 35.1 11.6 23.4IV 3,147,459 3.4 2,027,898 -0.6 1,119,560 11.5 367,796 10.4 751,764 12.1 100.0 64.4 35.6 11.7 23.9
2013 2,878,597 -1.8 1,807,464 -5.0 1,071,133 4.2 338,240 2.1 732,893 5.2 100.0 62.8 37.2 11.8 25.5
I 2,718,286 -1.0 1,717,055 -3.7 1,001,231 4.0 320,328 6.0 680,903 3.0 100.0 63.2 36.8 11.8 25.0II 2,875,954 0.8 1,790,157 -4.1 1,085,797 10.1 325,498 5.1 760,299 12.4 100.0 62.2 37.8 11.3 26.4III 2,867,098 -3.7 1,800,069 -6.9 1,067,029 2.3 347,551 0.5 719,478 3.1 100.0 62.8 37.2 12.1 25.1IV 3,053,050 -3.0 1,922,575 -5.2 1,130,475 1.0 359,585 -2.2 770,890 2.5 100.0 63.0 37.0 11.8 25.2
2014 2,950,159 2.5 1,830,117 1.3 1,120,042 4.6 346,371 2.4 773,670 5.6 100.0 62.0 38.0 11.7 26.2
I 2,696,759 -0.8 1,660,485 -3.3 1,036,274 3.5 314,619 -1.8 721,655 6.0 100.0 61.6 38.4 11.7 26.8II e/ 2,859,662 -0.6 1,760,277 -1.7 1,099,384 1.3 331,014 1.7 768,371 1.1 100.0 61.6 38.4 11.6 26.9III e/ 2,995,887 4.5 1,885,013 4.7 1,110,874 4.1 361,527 4.0 749,347 4.2 100.0 62.9 37.1 12.1 25.0IV e/ 3,248,328 6.4 2,014,695 4.8 1,233,634 9.1 378,325 5.2 855,309 11.0 100.0 62.0 38.0 11.6 26.3
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
B-16
TOTAL!
B-9. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Anual por Tipo de Bien y de Comprador: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Millones de pesos a precios de 2008)
AñosPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
1980 1,530,910 13.9 1,110,758 11.2 420,152 22.1 879,865 11.9 644,311 6.7 235,555 29.4 651,045 16.8 466,448 18.0 184,597 13.91981 1,755,936 14.7 1,246,493 12.2 509,443 21.3 959,461 9.0 687,236 6.7 272,225 15.6 796,475 22.3 559,257 19.9 237,218 28.51982 1,531,821 -12.8 1,180,615 -5.3 351,206 -31.1 882,290 -8.0 680,818 -0.9 201,473 -26.0 649,531 -18.4 499,797 -10.6 149,734 -36.91983 1,155,884 -24.5 944,434 -20.0 211,450 -39.8 739,017 -16.2 604,933 -11.1 134,084 -33.4 416,867 -35.8 339,501 -32.1 77,366 -48.31984 1,220,359 5.6 984,683 4.3 235,677 11.5 786,774 6.5 637,260 5.3 149,514 11.5 433,585 4.0 347,422 2.3 86,162 11.41985 1,300,182 6.5 1,030,294 4.6 269,888 14.5 863,203 9.7 686,734 7.8 176,469 18.0 436,980 0.8 343,560 -1.1 93,420 8.41986 1,166,205 -10.3 936,517 -9.1 229,689 -14.9 791,404 -8.3 641,260 -6.6 150,144 -14.9 374,801 -14.2 295,257 -14.1 79,544 -14.91987 1,184,543 1.6 972,246 3.8 212,297 -7.6 854,842 8.0 700,468 9.2 154,374 2.8 329,701 -12.0 271,777 -8.0 57,923 -27.21988 1,201,448 1.4 959,365 -1.3 242,083 14.0 885,059 3.5 689,778 -1.5 195,281 26.5 316,390 -4.0 269,588 -0.8 46,802 -19.21989 1,275,671 6.2 999,937 4.2 275,734 13.9 949,126 7.2 738,287 7.0 210,840 8.0 326,545 3.2 261,651 -2.9 64,894 38.71990 1,385,110 8.6 1,057,375 5.7 327,734 18.9 1,016,269 7.1 751,710 1.8 264,559 25.5 368,840 13.0 305,665 16.8 63,175 -2.61991 1,474,539 6.5 1,104,037 4.4 370,503 13.0 1,121,867 10.4 811,087 7.9 310,780 17.5 352,673 -4.4 292,950 -4.2 59,723 -5.51992 1,624,494 10.2 1,205,303 9.2 419,192 13.1 1,289,181 14.9 924,810 14.0 364,370 17.2 335,314 -4.9 280,492 -4.3 54,822 -8.21993 1,395,641 -14.1 1,091,383 -9.5 304,257 -27.4 814,876 -36.8 532,462 -42.4 282,414 -22.5 580,765 73.2 558,921 99.3 21,844 -60.21994 1,575,604 12.9 1,223,142 12.1 352,462 15.8 962,403 18.1 636,064 19.5 326,338 15.6 613,202 5.6 587,078 5.0 26,124 19.61995 1,176,832 -25.3 920,217 -24.8 256,616 -27.2 562,345 -41.6 326,678 -48.6 235,667 -27.8 614,487 0.2 593,539 1.1 20,949 -19.81996 1,365,318 16.0 1,014,412 10.2 350,906 36.7 743,860 32.3 419,425 28.4 324,434 37.7 621,459 1.1 594,987 0.2 26,472 26.41997 1,609,831 17.9 1,159,003 14.3 450,829 28.5 932,137 25.3 509,102 21.4 423,035 30.4 677,695 9.0 649,901 9.2 27,794 5.01998 1,766,181 9.7 1,252,575 8.1 513,607 13.9 1,108,266 18.9 624,206 22.6 484,060 14.4 657,915 -2.9 628,368 -3.3 29,546 6.31999 1,897,234 7.4 1,316,585 5.1 580,649 13.1 1,294,997 16.8 745,726 19.5 549,272 13.5 602,236 -8.5 570,859 -9.2 31,377 6.22000 2,053,821 8.3 1,397,217 6.1 656,604 13.1 1,493,365 15.3 875,305 17.4 618,060 12.5 560,456 -6.9 521,912 -8.6 38,544 22.82001 1,986,059 -3.3 1,384,260 -0.9 601,799 -8.3 1,519,554 1.8 945,052 8.0 574,502 -7.0 466,505 -16.8 439,208 -15.8 27,297 -29.22002 1,996,651 0.5 1,413,070 2.1 583,582 -3.0 1,574,302 3.6 1,021,373 8.1 552,928 -3.8 422,349 -9.5 391,696 -10.8 30,653 12.32003 2,055,862 3.0 1,472,541 4.2 583,321 0.0 1,607,056 2.1 1,072,234 5.0 534,821 -3.3 448,806 6.3 400,307 2.2 48,499 58.22004 2,210,486 7.5 1,557,690 5.8 652,795 11.9 1,735,682 8.0 1,126,624 5.1 609,058 13.9 474,804 5.8 431,067 7.7 43,737 -9.82005 2,340,995 5.9 1,610,565 3.4 730,430 11.9 1,821,449 4.9 1,154,801 2.5 666,649 9.5 519,545 9.4 455,764 5.7 63,781 45.82006 2,544,390 8.7 1,729,477 7.4 814,913 11.6 1,997,410 9.7 1,257,005 8.9 740,405 11.1 546,981 5.3 472,472 3.7 74,508 16.82007 2,696,835 6.0 1,817,910 5.1 878,925 7.9 2,132,131 6.7 1,304,376 3.8 827,756 11.8 564,704 3.2 513,535 8.7 51,169 -31.32008 2,830,420 5.0 1,930,440 6.2 899,980 2.4 2,143,456 0.5 1,319,373 1.1 824,083 -0.4 686,964 21.7 611,068 19.0 75,896 48.32009 2,568,103 -9.3 1,820,622 -5.7 747,480 -16.9 1,875,390 -12.5 1,182,401 -10.4 692,989 -15.9 692,713 0.8 638,221 4.4 54,492 -28.22010 2,600,823 1.3 1,817,498 -0.2 783,325 4.8 1,911,276 1.9 1,200,349 1.5 710,928 2.6 689,546 -0.5 617,149 -3.3 72,397 32.92011 2,804,154 7.8 1,872,916 3.0 931,238 18.9 2,142,622 12.1 1,288,127 7.3 854,495 20.2 661,532 -4.1 584,789 -5.2 76,743 6.02012 2,930,470 4.5 1,902,365 1.6 1,028,105 10.4 2,331,648 8.8 1,366,043 6.0 965,605 13.0 598,822 -9.5 536,322 -8.3 62,500 -18.62013 2,878,597 -1.8 1,807,464 -5.0 1,071,133 4.2 2,301,410 -1.3 1,314,681 -3.8 986,729 2.2 577,187 -3.6 492,783 -8.1 84,404 35.0
2014 2,950,159 2.5 1,830,117 1.3 1,120,042 4.6 2,362,504 2.7 1,330,377 1.2 1,032,127 4.6 587,655 1.8 499,740 1.4 87,915 4.22015 3,120,387 5.8 1,910,460 4.4 1,209,928 8.0 2,507,773 6.1 1,394,727 4.8 1,113,046 7.8 612,614 4.2 515,732 3.2 96,882 10.22016 3,383,235 8.4 2,038,424 6.7 1,344,811 11.1 2,734,531 9.0 1,497,937 7.4 1,236,594 11.1 648,704 5.9 540,487 4.8 108,217 11.72017 3,762,854 11.2 2,199,337 7.9 1,563,517 16.3 3,066,416 12.1 1,628,258 8.7 1,438,158 16.3 696,438 7.4 571,079 5.7 125,359 15.82018 4,161,077 10.6 2,371,756 7.8 1,789,321 14.4 3,423,908 11.7 1,775,778 9.1 1,648,130 14.6 737,169 5.8 595,978 4.4 141,192 12.62019 4,543,630 9.2 2,533,986 6.8 2,009,644 12.3 3,766,786 10.0 1,914,289 7.8 1,852,498 12.4 776,844 5.4 619,698 4.0 157,146 11.32020 4,930,648 8.5 2,688,189 6.1 2,242,460 11.6 4,116,788 9.3 2,048,289 7.0 2,068,499 11.7 813,861 4.8 639,900 3.3 173,961 10.7
PúblicaTotal Construcción Maquinaria
B-17
Construcción MaquinariaTotalInversión Total Privada
Total Construcción Maquinaria
B-10. Formación Bruta de Capital Fijo Trimestral por Tipo de Bien y de Comprador: Escenario Base 2013-2014(Millones de pesos a precios de 2008)
AñosPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2011 2,804,154 7.8 1,872,916 3.0 931,238 18.9 2,142,622 12.1 1,288,127 7.3 854,495 20.2 661,532 -4.1 584,789 -5.2 76,743 6.0
I 2,591,602 7.6 1,743,159 0.4 848,443 25.9 1,968,051 9.9 1,189,614 0.9 778,437 27.5 623,551 0.7 553,545 -0.5 70,006 11.0II 2,719,159 7.7 1,809,371 1.2 909,789 23.4 2,081,460 12.0 1,246,017 4.7 835,443 24.8 637,699 -4.2 563,354 -5.7 74,346 9.4III 2,861,819 8.7 1,898,779 3.8 963,040 19.8 2,191,239 13.1 1,307,692 8.4 883,548 21.1 670,579 -3.8 591,087 -5.1 79,492 7.5IV 3,044,036 7.4 2,040,355 6.4 1,003,681 9.3 2,329,739 13.2 1,409,185 15.0 920,554 10.4 714,297 -8.0 631,171 -8.8 83,127 -1.8
2012 2,930,470 4.5 1,902,365 1.6 1,028,105 10.4 2,331,648 8.8 1,366,043 6.0 965,605 13.0 598,822 -9.5 536,322 -8.3 62,500 -18.6
I 2,745,166 5.9 1,782,172 2.2 962,994 13.5 2,173,552 10.4 1,269,143 6.7 904,409 16.2 571,614 -8.3 513,029 -7.3 58,585 -16.3II 2,853,108 4.9 1,866,631 3.2 986,477 8.4 2,256,948 8.4 1,330,347 6.8 926,601 10.9 596,160 -6.5 536,283 -4.8 59,876 -19.5III 2,976,148 4.0 1,932,759 1.8 1,043,388 8.3 2,379,092 8.6 1,398,992 7.0 980,100 10.9 597,056 -11.0 533,768 -9.7 63,289 -20.4IV 3,147,459 3.4 2,027,898 -0.6 1,119,560 11.5 2,517,000 8.0 1,465,690 4.0 1,051,311 14.2 630,458 -11.7 562,209 -10.9 68,250 -17.9
2013 2,878,597 -1.8 1,807,464 -5.0 1,071,133 4.2 2,301,410 -1.3 1,314,681 -3.8 986,729 2.2 577,187 -3.6 492,783 -8.1 84,404 35.0
I 2,718,286 -1.0 1,717,055 -3.7 1,001,231 4.0 2,184,217 0.5 1,261,902 -0.6 922,315 2.0 534,069 -6.6 455,153 -11.3 78,916 34.7II 2,875,954 0.8 1,790,157 -4.1 1,085,797 10.1 2,312,510 2.5 1,311,520 -1.4 1,000,989 8.0 563,444 -5.5 478,636 -10.7 84,807 41.6III 2,867,098 -3.7 1,800,069 -6.9 1,067,029 2.3 2,289,141 -3.8 1,307,389 -6.5 981,751 0.2 577,957 -3.2 492,680 -7.7 85,277 34.7IV 3,053,050 -3.0 1,922,575 -5.2 1,130,475 1.0 2,419,773 -3.9 1,377,913 -6.0 1,041,860 -0.9 633,277 0.4 544,662 -3.1 88,616 29.8
2014 2,950,159 2.5 1,830,117 1.3 1,120,042 4.6 2,362,504 2.7 1,330,377 1.2 1,032,127 4.6 587,655 1.8 499,740 1.4 87,915 4.2
I 2,696,759 -0.8 1,660,485 -3.3 1,036,274 3.5 2,208,271 1.1 1,248,784 -1.0 959,487 4.0 488,488 -8.5 411,701 -9.5 76,787 -2.7II e/ 2,859,662 -0.6 1,760,277 -1.7 1,099,384 1.3 2,306,497 -0.3 1,295,756 -1.2 1,010,741 1.0 553,164 -1.8 464,521 -2.9 88,643 4.5III e/ 2,995,887 4.5 1,885,013 4.7 1,110,874 4.1 2,380,936 4.0 1,360,639 4.1 1,020,296 3.9 614,952 6.4 524,374 6.4 90,578 6.2IV e/ 3,248,328 6.4 2,014,695 4.8 1,233,634 9.1 2,554,312 5.6 1,416,329 2.8 1,137,983 9.2 694,016 9.6 598,365 9.9 95,651 7.9
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
B-18
Inversión Total Privada PúblicaTotal Construcción Maquinaria Total Construcción Maquinaria Total Construcción Maquinaria
Sección: B-V.
Cuadro B-11. PIB Trimestral Nominal y Real, Deflactor del PIB y Series Ajustadas por Estacionalidad,
2005-2014
B-11. PIB Trimestral, Deflactor del PIB y Series Ajustadas por Estacionalidad: Escenario Base 2013-2014(Millones de pesos)
PIB Nominal Deflactor del PIB PIB Real PIB Real PIB RealSerie original Serie original Serie original Corregida por efecto calendario Serie desestacionalizada
Precios Var. % Indice Var. % Precios Var. % Precios Var. % Precios Var. %Corrientes anual 2008=100 anual de 2008 anual de 2008 anual de 2008 trimestral
2005-1 9,024,574 8.4 83.2 6.8 10,842,331 1.5 10,962,050 3.7 11,052,133 0.72005-2 9,391,885 8.9 84.0 5.2 11,179,667 3.5 11,085,754 2.3 11,047,267 0.02005-3 9,447,420 8.9 85.4 5.3 11,067,923 3.4 11,067,923 3.4 11,184,939 1.22005-4 9,901,521 8.3 85.7 4.5 11,552,049 3.7 11,552,049 3.7 11,369,002 1.62006-1 10,097,729 11.9 88.0 5.8 11,469,030 5.8 11,459,302 4.5 11,570,377 1.82006-2 10,552,368 12.4 90.0 7.1 11,725,051 4.9 11,764,913 6.1 11,728,705 1.42006-3 10,603,134 12.2 90.9 6.5 11,665,657 5.4 11,665,657 5.4 11,776,250 0.42006-4 10,899,227 10.1 90.7 5.8 12,014,949 4.0 12,014,949 4.0 11,807,595 0.32007-1 10,923,208 8.2 92.5 5.1 11,804,324 2.9 11,794,312 2.9 11,934,982 1.12007-2 11,258,213 6.7 93.5 3.8 12,047,218 2.7 12,088,175 2.7 12,062,809 1.12007-3 11,402,682 7.5 94.8 4.2 12,033,956 3.2 12,033,956 3.2 12,129,420 0.62007-4 12,028,950 10.4 96.5 6.4 12,464,910 3.7 12,464,910 3.7 12,224,299 0.82008-1 11,836,739 8.4 98.2 6.1 12,057,842 2.1 12,067,488 2.3 12,242,322 0.12008-2 12,480,722 10.9 100.5 7.5 12,418,358 3.1 12,314,039 1.9 12,305,550 0.52008-3 12,376,958 8.5 101.2 6.8 12,225,310 1.6 12,225,310 1.6 12,300,093 0.02008-4 12,333,035 2.5 100.1 3.7 12,325,944 -1.1 12,325,944 -1.1 12,067,483 -1.92009-1 11,727,045 -0.9 102.6 4.5 11,427,213 -5.2 11,417,520 -5.4 11,599,698 -3.92009-2 11,789,875 -5.5 103.1 2.6 11,432,364 -7.9 11,471,232 -6.8 11,486,270 -1.02009-3 12,084,469 -2.4 103.6 2.3 11,666,112 -4.6 11,666,112 -4.6 11,722,768 2.12009-4 12,774,172 3.6 104.7 4.7 12,197,308 -1.0 12,197,308 -1.0 11,920,185 1.72010-1 12,750,150 8.7 107.6 4.8 11,849,859 3.7 11,874,875 4.0 12,076,667 1.32010-2 13,081,655 11.0 107.2 3.9 12,203,118 6.7 12,208,446 6.4 12,241,933 1.42010-3 13,299,160 10.1 108.1 4.4 12,300,747 5.4 12,300,747 5.4 12,354,042 0.92010-4 13,997,278 9.6 109.7 4.8 12,756,911 4.6 12,756,911 4.6 12,451,042 0.82011-1 13,916,943 9.2 112.4 4.5 12,377,242 4.5 12,366,743 4.1 12,579,053 1.02011-2 14,166,987 8.3 112.5 4.9 12,597,463 3.2 12,640,291 3.5 12,692,025 0.92011-3 14,513,567 9.1 113.3 4.8 12,813,924 4.2 12,813,924 4.2 12,869,112 1.42011-4 15,602,560 11.5 117.2 6.8 13,308,342 4.3 13,308,342 4.3 12,972,296 0.82012-1 15,277,111 9.8 117.7 4.7 12,982,273 4.9 12,839,863 3.8 13,063,473 0.72012-2 15,405,174 8.7 117.0 4.1 13,164,150 4.5 13,208,905 4.5 13,272,757 1.62012-3 15,584,705 7.4 117.9 4.1 13,222,137 3.2 13,222,137 3.2 13,282,746 0.12012-4 16,193,058 3.8 117.7 0.4 13,763,649 3.4 13,763,649 3.4 13,403,753 0.92013-1 15,659,556 2.5 119.9 1.9 13,064,767 0.6 13,209,025 2.9 13,436,904 0.22013-2 15,921,660 3.4 119.0 1.7 13,374,408 1.6 13,262,058 0.4 13,338,083 -0.72013-3 16,111,808 3.4 120.2 2.0 13,406,776 1.4 13,406,776 1.4 13,467,580 1.02013-4 16,724,584 3.3 120.7 2.6 13,854,994 0.7 13,854,994 0.7 13,485,493 0.12014-1 16,451,895 5.1 123.7 3.2 13,304,823 1.8 13,293,538 0.6 13,522,870 0.3
2014-2 e/ 16,770,303 5.3 123.0 3.3 13,638,970 2.0 13,678,970 3.1 13,660,920 1.02014-3 e/ 17,170,009 6.6 123.5 2.8 13,904,563 3.7 13,904,563 3.7 13,952,742 2.12014-4 e/ 17,781,055 6.3 123.2 2.1 14,432,388 4.2 14,432,388 4.2 14,172,565 1.6
Fuente: INEGI, Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
B-19
Años!
C. Producto Interno Bruto por Sectores Económicos
Cuadro C-1.PIB Anual y por Grandes Sectores de Actividad Económica 1980-2020
Cuadro C-2.PIB Anual del Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica 1980-2020
Cuadro C-3.PIB Anual del Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica 1980-2020
Cuadro C-4.PIB Anual de la Industria Manufacturera por Actividad Económica 1980-2020
Cuadro C-5.PIB Anual del Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas 1980-2020
Cuadro C-6.PIB Anual del Sector Servicios por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas 1980-2020
Cuadro C-7.PIB Trimestral y por Grandes Sectores de Actividad Económica 2013-2014
Cuadro C-8.PIB Trimestral del Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica 2013-2014
Cuadro C-9.PIB Trimestral del Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica 2013-2014
Cuadro C-10.PIB Trimestral de la Industria Manufacturera por Actividad Económica 2013-2014
Cuadro C-11.PIB Trimestral del Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas 2013-2014
Cuadro C-12.PIB Trimestral del Sector Servicios por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas 2013-2014
PIB Total Impuestos Valor PIB Agropecuario PIB Industrial PIB Servicios Estructura Porcentual Pesos Var.% Netos Agregado Bruto Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
1980 6,112,050 9.2 157,140 5,954,910 246,303 7.2 2,372,847 11.5 3,288,256 8.81981 6,633,140 8.5 170,537 6,462,602 265,412 7.8 2,628,510 10.8 3,560,851 8.31982 6,598,594 -0.5 169,649 6,428,945 259,416 -2.3 2,627,147 -0.1 3,610,421 1.41983 6,368,539 -3.5 163,734 6,204,805 264,608 2.0 2,410,180 -8.3 3,596,704 -0.41984 6,585,758 3.4 169,319 6,416,439 268,339 1.4 2,515,015 4.3 3,710,835 3.21985 6,729,834 2.2 173,023 6,556,811 276,459 3.0 2,598,403 3.3 3,740,128 0.81986 6,522,625 -3.1 167,696 6,354,930 272,776 -1.3 2,446,266 -5.9 3,686,345 -1.41987 6,634,974 1.7 170,584 6,464,389 276,196 1.3 2,536,496 3.7 3,733,959 1.31988 6,720,118 1.3 172,773 6,547,344 266,845 -3.4 2,578,789 1.7 3,777,483 1.21989 6,996,013 4.1 179,867 6,816,146 263,080 -1.4 2,676,946 3.8 3,917,134 3.71990 7,358,110 5.2 189,176 7,168,934 282,186 7.3 2,831,870 5.8 4,083,694 4.31991 7,668,237 4.2 197,149 7,471,087 288,511 2.2 2,900,329 2.4 4,281,023 4.81992 7,939,777 3.5 204,131 7,735,646 282,082 -2.2 3,002,201 3.5 4,433,827 3.61993 8,132,915 2.4 209,096 7,923,819 295,607 4.8 3,017,474 0.5 4,610,738 4.01994 8,517,387 4.7 218,981 8,298,406 305,806 3.5 3,153,261 4.5 4,839,339 5.01995 8,026,897 -5.8 206,370 7,820,527 303,126 -0.9 2,894,599 -8.2 4,622,802 -4.51996 8,498,459 5.9 218,494 8,279,965 318,216 5.0 3,165,539 9.4 4,796,210 3.81997 9,090,197 7.0 233,708 8,856,489 319,109 0.3 3,462,150 9.4 5,075,230 5.81998 9,517,604 4.7 244,696 9,272,908 324,162 1.6 3,655,577 5.6 5,293,169 4.31999 9,771,440 2.7 251,222 9,520,217 335,935 3.6 3,715,256 1.6 5,469,027 3.32000 10,288,982 5.3 264,528 10,024,453 341,617 1.7 3,890,134 4.7 5,792,703 5.92001 10,226,682 -0.6 262,927 9,963,756 350,545 2.6 3,832,380 -1.5 5,780,831 -0.22002 10,240,173 0.1 263,273 9,976,900 349,156 -0.4 3,832,918 0.0 5,794,825 0.22003 10,385,857 1.4 267,019 10,118,838 359,230 2.9 3,884,165 1.3 5,875,443 1.42004 10,832,004 4.3 278,292 10,553,712 372,649 3.7 4,043,151 4.1 6,137,912 4.52005 11,160,493 3.0 287,007 10,873,486 354,836 -4.8 4,142,410 2.5 6,376,239 3.92006 11,718,672 5.0 301,379 11,417,293 379,391 6.9 4,322,843 4.4 6,715,059 5.32007 12,087,602 3.1 311,150 11,776,452 387,883 2.2 4,385,686 1.5 7,002,883 4.32008 12,256,863 1.4 315,664 11,941,199 392,984 1.3 4,365,207 -0.5 7,183,008 2.62009 11,680,749 -4.7 300,809 11,379,940 383,159 -2.5 4,094,017 -6.2 6,902,764 -3.92010 12,277,659 5.1 316,480 11,961,179 386,056 0.8 4,280,609 4.6 7,294,514 5.72011 12,774,243 4.0 328,823 12,445,420 377,193 -2.3 4,427,598 3.4 7,640,629 4.72012 13,283,052 4.0 341,975 12,941,077 404,479 7.2 4,547,999 2.7 7,988,600 4.62013 13,425,236 1.1 345,636 13,079,601 405,640 0.3 4,516,803 -0.7 8,157,158 2.1
2014 13,820,186 2.9 355,849 13,464,337 409,387 0.9 4,628,814 2.5 8,426,137 3.32015 14,392,811 4.1 370,656 14,022,155 400,846 -2.1 4,826,424 4.3 8,794,884 4.42016 15,146,156 5.2 390,040 14,756,116 412,742 3.0 5,094,242 5.5 9,249,132 5.22017 16,060,250 6.0 413,550 15,646,700 403,221 -2.3 5,463,936 7.3 9,779,542 5.72018 16,999,241 5.8 437,710 16,561,531 416,122 3.2 5,844,328 7.0 10,301,082 5.32019 17,883,685 5.2 460,500 17,423,185 412,074 -1.0 6,193,852 6.0 10,817,260 5.02020 18,751,667 4.9 482,823 18,268,844 423,224 2.7 6,528,444 5.4 11,317,176 4.6
C-1
C-1. PIB Anual Total y por Grandes Sectores de Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Millones de pesos de 2008)
Años!
C-2. PIB Anual del Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Millones de pesos de 2008)
PIB Sector IndustrialAños Total Minería Manufacturas Construcción Electricidad
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
1980 2,372,847 11.5 672,006 21.7 1,073,030 5.8 560,739 12.4 67,072 6.31981 2,628,510 10.8 767,822 14.3 1,144,267 6.6 641,562 14.4 74,860 11.61982 2,627,147 -0.1 833,453 8.5 1,115,342 -2.5 596,258 -7.1 82,094 9.71983 2,410,180 -8.3 810,378 -2.8 1,034,930 -7.2 481,847 -19.2 83,025 1.11984 2,515,015 4.3 830,248 2.5 1,089,886 5.3 507,702 5.4 87,179 5.01985 2,598,403 3.3 829,792 -0.1 1,152,673 5.8 521,513 2.7 94,425 8.31986 2,446,266 -5.9 786,874 -5.2 1,093,826 -5.1 467,707 -10.3 97,859 3.61987 2,536,496 3.7 825,992 5.0 1,128,210 3.1 480,775 2.8 101,519 3.71988 2,578,789 1.7 827,913 0.2 1,164,418 3.2 478,826 -0.4 107,632 6.01989 2,676,946 3.8 825,504 -0.3 1,251,813 7.5 487,186 1.7 112,443 4.51990 2,831,870 5.8 853,520 3.4 1,331,022 6.3 531,977 9.2 115,352 2.61991 2,900,329 2.4 862,423 1.0 1,364,162 2.5 557,947 4.9 115,797 0.41992 3,002,201 3.5 873,247 1.3 1,414,360 3.7 595,244 6.7 119,349 3.11993 3,017,474 0.5 887,277 1.6 1,399,033 -1.1 608,861 2.3 122,303 2.51994 3,153,261 4.5 894,508 0.8 1,442,957 3.1 685,325 12.6 130,471 6.71995 2,894,599 -8.2 884,310 -1.1 1,367,675 -5.2 509,442 -25.7 133,172 2.11996 3,165,539 9.4 964,807 9.1 1,495,132 9.3 566,263 11.2 139,337 4.61997 3,462,150 9.4 1,013,369 5.0 1,652,075 10.5 649,096 14.6 147,610 5.91998 3,655,577 5.6 1,039,744 2.6 1,769,095 7.1 691,561 6.5 155,176 5.11999 3,715,256 1.6 998,138 -4.0 1,817,048 2.7 731,040 5.7 169,028 8.92000 3,890,134 4.7 1,022,932 2.5 1,922,051 5.8 774,359 5.9 170,791 1.02001 3,832,380 -1.5 1,052,383 2.9 1,862,165 -3.1 747,924 -3.4 169,908 -0.52002 3,832,918 0.0 1,052,252 0.0 1,849,633 -0.7 763,711 2.1 167,322 -1.52003 3,884,165 1.3 1,101,350 4.7 1,824,420 -1.4 787,139 3.1 171,256 2.42004 4,043,151 4.1 1,118,537 1.6 1,889,526 3.6 842,252 7.0 192,836 12.62005 4,142,410 2.5 1,119,429 0.1 1,941,123 2.7 872,476 3.6 209,383 8.62006 4,322,843 4.4 1,111,413 -0.7 2,028,482 4.5 948,296 8.7 234,651 12.12007 4,385,686 1.5 1,095,487 -1.4 2,047,910 1.0 992,914 4.7 249,375 6.32008 4,365,207 -0.5 1,054,691 -3.7 2,027,255 -1.0 1,030,710 3.8 252,552 1.32009 4,094,017 -6.2 1,012,072 -4.0 1,857,907 -8.4 968,200 -6.1 255,838 1.32010 4,280,609 4.6 1,020,993 0.9 2,016,704 8.5 975,507 0.8 267,405 4.52011 4,427,598 3.4 1,017,204 -0.4 2,109,315 4.6 1,015,099 4.1 285,979 6.92012 4,547,999 2.7 1,026,249 0.9 2,193,069 4.0 1,035,854 2.0 292,826 2.42013 4,516,803 -0.7 1,009,276 -1.7 2,224,839 1.4 989,417 -4.5 293,271 0.2
2014 4,629,292 2.5 1,009,139 0.0 2,315,280 4.1 1,004,633 1.5 300,240 2.42015 4,826,424 4.3 1,025,349 1.6 2,439,815 5.4 1,052,034 4.7 309,226 3.02016 5,094,242 5.5 1,052,075 2.6 2,599,545 6.5 1,122,890 6.7 319,733 3.42017 5,463,936 7.3 1,114,085 5.9 2,805,867 7.9 1,212,688 8.0 331,297 3.62018 5,844,328 7.0 1,181,703 6.1 3,008,916 7.2 1,311,952 8.2 341,756 3.22019 6,193,852 6.0 1,225,026 3.7 3,213,005 6.8 1,404,995 7.1 350,826 2.72020 6,528,444 5.4 1,267,033 3.4 3,410,961 6.2 1,491,014 6.1 359,436 2.5
C-2
C-3. PIB Anual del Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Millones de pesos de 2008)
PIB Sector ServiciosComercio, Transporte, Almacenaje Servicios Financieros, Servicios Comunales,
Total Restaurantes y Hoteles y Comunicaciones Seguros e Inmuebles Sociales y PersonalesPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
1980 3,288,256 8.8 926,476 13.2 332,687 10.9 658,507 4.7 1,370,587 7.51981 3,560,851 8.3 1,019,259 10.0 366,152 10.1 703,874 6.9 1,471,566 7.41982 3,610,421 1.4 1,014,739 -0.4 337,855 -7.7 740,030 5.1 1,517,796 3.11983 3,596,704 -0.4 940,843 -7.3 328,960 -2.6 770,012 4.1 1,556,889 2.61984 3,710,835 3.2 953,113 1.3 345,837 5.1 814,914 5.8 1,596,971 2.61985 3,740,128 0.8 951,286 -0.2 355,674 2.8 843,362 3.5 1,589,807 -0.41986 3,686,345 -1.4 892,186 -6.2 343,106 -3.5 874,345 3.7 1,576,708 -0.81987 3,733,959 1.3 899,849 0.9 352,989 2.9 905,159 3.5 1,575,962 0.01988 3,777,483 1.2 914,221 1.6 360,547 2.1 918,013 1.4 1,584,703 0.61989 3,917,134 3.7 956,480 4.6 377,429 4.7 950,105 3.5 1,633,119 3.11990 4,083,694 4.3 1,015,910 6.2 390,902 3.6 992,345 4.4 1,684,537 3.11991 4,281,023 4.8 1,077,714 6.1 404,302 3.4 1,038,970 4.7 1,760,037 4.51992 4,433,827 3.6 1,134,825 5.3 425,696 5.3 1,086,593 4.6 1,786,713 1.51993 4,610,738 4.0 1,115,928 -1.7 449,723 5.6 1,141,042 5.0 1,904,044 6.61994 4,839,339 5.0 1,217,268 9.1 479,142 6.5 1,201,013 5.3 1,941,917 2.01995 4,622,802 -4.5 1,086,085 -10.8 450,190 -6.0 1,207,641 0.6 1,878,887 -3.21996 4,796,210 3.8 1,199,580 10.4 481,315 6.9 1,217,512 0.8 1,897,803 1.01997 5,075,230 5.8 1,354,514 12.9 524,390 8.9 1,230,431 1.1 1,965,896 3.61998 5,293,169 4.3 1,451,162 7.1 555,711 6.0 1,257,894 2.2 2,028,402 3.21999 5,469,027 3.3 1,516,397 4.5 582,628 4.8 1,285,352 2.2 2,084,651 2.82000 5,792,703 5.9 1,683,292 11.0 624,735 7.2 1,319,325 2.6 2,165,350 3.92001 5,780,831 -0.2 1,658,216 -1.5 618,929 -0.9 1,350,663 2.4 2,153,023 -0.62002 5,794,825 0.2 1,651,678 -0.4 614,815 -0.7 1,376,958 1.9 2,151,374 -0.12003 5,875,443 1.4 1,681,963 1.8 614,867 0.0 1,420,338 3.2 2,158,275 0.32004 6,137,912 4.5 1,779,876 5.8 638,168 3.8 1,493,107 5.1 2,226,761 3.22005 6,376,239 3.9 1,866,229 4.9 650,555 1.9 1,548,423 3.7 2,311,032 3.82006 6,715,059 5.3 1,982,570 6.2 677,734 4.2 1,641,050 6.0 2,413,705 4.42007 7,002,883 4.3 2,060,861 3.9 701,085 3.4 1,722,687 5.0 2,518,250 4.32008 7,183,008 2.6 2,063,763 0.1 700,557 -0.1 1,838,926 6.7 2,579,762 2.42009 6,902,764 -3.9 1,814,588 -12.1 650,008 -7.2 1,867,976 1.6 2,570,192 -0.42010 7,294,514 5.7 2,004,943 10.5 700,120 7.7 1,993,162 6.7 2,596,290 1.02011 7,640,629 4.7 2,178,883 8.7 728,423 4.0 2,071,827 3.9 2,661,496 2.52012 7,988,600 4.6 2,283,726 4.8 758,126 4.1 2,156,309 4.1 2,790,439 4.82013 8,157,158 2.1 2,345,218 2.7 769,345 1.5 2,201,540 2.1 2,841,055 1.8
2014 8,426,137 3.3 2,424,915 3.4 791,818 2.9 2,281,423 3.6 2,927,980 3.12015 8,794,884 4.4 2,546,012 5.0 834,259 5.4 2,384,173 4.5 3,030,440 3.52016 9,249,132 5.2 2,718,594 6.8 887,151 6.3 2,495,139 4.7 3,148,248 3.92017 9,779,542 5.7 2,926,869 7.7 949,784 7.1 2,620,275 5.0 3,282,615 4.32018 10,301,082 5.3 3,133,865 7.1 1,013,515 6.7 2,742,146 4.7 3,411,557 3.92019 10,817,260 5.0 3,345,918 6.8 1,078,177 6.4 2,859,316 4.3 3,533,848 3.62020 11,317,176 4.6 3,562,363 6.5 1,141,142 5.8 2,964,275 3.7 3,649,395 3.3
C-3
Años!
C-4. PIB Anual de la Industria Manufacturera por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Millones de pesos de 2008)
Industria Alimentos, Textiles, Madera Imprenta Años Manufacturera Bebidas y Tabaco Vestidos y Cuero y sus Productos y Editoriales
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
1980 1,073,030 5.8 263,284 4.8 114,203 2.2 52,229 6.1 27,015 11.11981 1,144,267 6.6 275,013 4.5 120,830 5.8 51,941 -0.6 28,677 6.21982 1,115,342 -2.5 288,241 4.8 115,066 -4.8 51,234 -1.4 28,721 0.21983 1,034,930 -7.2 280,472 -2.7 108,869 -5.4 47,357 -7.6 26,053 -9.31984 1,089,886 5.3 284,378 1.4 110,044 1.1 48,852 3.2 27,370 5.11985 1,152,673 5.8 295,991 4.1 113,061 2.7 50,597 3.6 29,979 9.51986 1,093,826 -5.1 293,611 -0.8 107,586 -4.8 49,325 -2.5 28,846 -3.81987 1,128,210 3.1 293,996 0.1 102,288 -4.9 50,931 3.3 29,119 0.91988 1,164,418 3.2 297,352 1.1 103,176 0.9 49,741 -2.3 30,455 4.61989 1,251,813 7.5 320,918 7.9 108,171 4.8 49,787 0.1 33,415 9.71990 1,331,022 6.3 335,472 4.5 114,426 5.8 49,597 -0.4 36,102 8.01991 1,364,162 2.5 346,287 3.2 117,418 2.6 49,935 0.7 37,489 3.81992 1,414,360 3.7 360,424 4.1 117,312 -0.1 51,333 2.8 38,784 3.51993 1,399,033 -1.1 375,655 4.2 114,417 -2.5 43,878 -14.5 36,906 -4.81994 1,442,957 3.1 387,106 3.0 113,575 -0.7 44,425 1.2 37,823 2.51995 1,367,675 -5.2 388,310 0.3 102,733 -9.5 40,605 -8.6 37,365 -1.21996 1,495,132 9.3 399,782 3.0 113,360 10.3 43,269 6.6 39,697 6.21997 1,652,075 10.5 410,927 2.8 120,382 6.2 49,264 13.9 44,245 11.51998 1,769,095 7.1 432,920 5.4 122,776 2.0 51,604 4.7 46,605 5.31999 1,817,048 2.7 449,141 3.7 124,358 1.3 51,975 0.7 49,210 5.62000 1,922,051 5.8 465,499 3.6 128,999 3.7 55,123 6.1 50,245 2.12001 1,862,165 -3.1 473,084 1.6 119,618 -7.3 51,779 -6.1 48,977 -2.52002 1,849,633 -0.7 482,268 1.9 115,365 -3.6 48,300 -6.7 48,621 -0.72003 1,824,420 -1.4 488,339 1.3 107,620 -6.7 48,067 -0.5 48,433 -0.42004 1,889,526 3.6 506,715 3.8 109,406 1.7 48,847 1.6 49,925 3.12005 1,941,123 2.7 522,765 3.2 106,699 -2.5 48,801 -0.1 51,219 2.62006 2,028,482 4.5 535,307 2.4 108,368 1.6 48,884 0.2 54,290 6.02007 2,047,910 1.0 547,744 2.3 105,139 -3.0 49,317 0.9 55,459 2.22008 2,027,255 -1.0 555,064 1.3 102,791 -2.2 46,515 -5.7 57,170 3.12009 1,857,907 -8.4 554,117 -0.2 95,472 -7.1 43,845 -5.7 55,851 -2.32010 2,016,704 8.5 562,265 1.5 101,104 5.9 46,665 6.4 58,907 5.52011 2,109,315 4.6 576,989 2.6 99,984 -1.1 47,976 2.8 59,258 0.62012 2,193,069 4.0 590,398 2.3 100,854 0.9 51,418 7.2 60,545 2.22013 2,224,839 1.4 593,783 0.6 102,504 1.6 49,149 -4.4 60,478 -0.1
2014 2,315,280 4.1 605,071 1.9 102,611 0.1 49,464 0.6 61,955 2.42015 2,439,815 5.4 624,792 3.3 105,316 2.6 51,635 4.4 64,148 3.52016 2,599,545 6.5 650,466 4.1 108,054 2.6 54,462 5.5 66,814 4.22017 2,805,867 7.9 680,252 4.6 111,301 3.0 57,892 6.3 69,987 4.72018 3,008,916 7.2 707,150 4.0 114,139 2.5 61,142 5.6 72,888 4.12019 3,213,005 6.8 733,233 3.7 116,925 2.4 64,214 5.0 75,685 3.82020 3,410,961 6.2 757,450 3.3 119,494 2.2 67,086 4.5 78,347 3.5
(Continúa)
C-4
(Continuación)
Químicos, Minerales Industrias Maquinaria Otras
Años Petróleo y Caucho No Metálicos Metálicas Básicas y Equipo Industrias
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
1980 215,548 9.7 54,681 8.1 118,656 3.5 201,598 9.6 25,816 -20.01981 237,232 10.1 56,408 3.2 124,700 5.1 220,281 9.3 29,186 13.11982 241,787 1.9 55,023 -2.5 112,490 -9.8 194,734 -11.6 28,046 -3.91983 238,590 -1.3 50,777 -7.7 105,384 -6.3 154,623 -20.6 22,804 -18.71984 253,245 6.1 53,674 5.7 117,359 11.4 169,573 9.7 25,391 11.31985 266,907 5.4 57,807 7.7 119,205 1.6 191,638 13.0 27,489 8.31986 257,577 -3.5 54,089 -6.4 111,481 -6.5 166,192 -13.3 25,117 -8.61987 268,993 4.4 59,338 9.7 125,807 12.9 173,412 4.3 24,327 -3.11988 273,946 1.8 58,437 -1.5 132,032 4.9 193,937 11.8 25,344 4.21989 299,714 9.4 61,214 4.8 135,218 2.4 215,289 11.0 28,086 10.81990 312,733 4.3 65,180 6.5 144,976 7.2 239,354 11.2 33,183 18.11991 315,757 1.0 67,496 3.6 138,052 -4.8 258,802 8.1 32,926 -0.81992 321,374 1.8 71,759 6.3 140,187 1.5 274,963 6.2 38,223 16.11993 308,496 -4.0 78,921 10.0 135,662 -3.2 269,514 -2.0 35,582 -6.91994 317,728 3.0 82,754 4.9 142,868 5.3 281,350 4.4 35,327 -0.71995 322,605 1.5 70,317 -15.0 133,114 -6.8 240,810 -14.4 31,817 -9.91996 337,667 4.7 76,178 8.3 166,006 24.7 282,997 17.5 36,174 13.71997 366,025 8.4 83,270 9.3 187,343 12.9 351,966 24.4 38,653 6.91998 382,618 4.5 89,772 7.8 198,004 5.7 405,816 15.3 38,980 0.81999 380,952 -0.4 92,790 3.4 201,689 1.9 426,795 5.2 40,139 3.02000 390,334 2.5 96,829 4.4 210,393 4.3 483,403 13.3 41,228 2.72001 377,052 -3.4 93,414 -3.5 192,936 -8.3 463,369 -4.1 41,936 1.72002 382,402 1.4 98,007 4.9 194,879 1.0 437,721 -5.5 42,071 0.32003 388,031 1.5 97,916 -0.1 196,600 0.9 409,243 -6.5 40,172 -4.52004 400,503 3.2 102,190 4.4 207,205 5.4 424,142 3.6 40,593 1.02005 405,129 1.2 109,213 6.9 217,117 4.8 437,714 3.2 42,465 4.62006 416,116 2.7 115,781 6.0 224,969 3.6 479,707 9.6 45,061 6.12007 419,158 0.7 118,151 2.0 219,369 -2.5 488,473 1.8 45,099 0.12008 410,480 -2.1 113,690 -3.8 217,238 -1.0 478,362 -2.1 45,945 1.92009 397,264 -3.2 102,979 -9.4 183,209 -15.7 381,284 -20.3 43,887 -4.52010 396,638 -0.2 107,780 4.7 203,776 11.2 494,849 29.8 44,719 1.92011 397,318 0.2 111,756 3.7 214,273 5.2 554,750 12.1 47,011 5.12012 402,607 1.3 114,457 2.4 220,332 2.8 605,313 9.1 47,145 0.32013 405,747 0.8 111,517 -2.6 220,578 0.1 633,492 4.7 47,592 0.9
2014 414,712 2.2 113,378 1.7 234,250 6.2 683,972 8.0 49,867 4.82015 427,343 3.0 117,188 3.4 243,227 3.8 754,454 10.3 51,712 3.72016 444,656 4.1 122,532 4.6 254,860 4.8 843,940 11.9 53,760 4.02017 465,823 4.8 129,099 5.4 269,092 5.6 965,939 14.5 56,480 5.12018 486,122 4.4 135,296 4.8 282,509 5.0 1,090,614 12.9 59,055 4.62019 506,284 4.1 141,466 4.6 295,378 4.6 1,218,213 11.7 61,607 4.32020 524,594 3.6 147,492 4.3 307,703 4.2 1,344,872 10.4 63,923 3.8
(Conclusión)
C-5
C-5. PIB Anual del Sector Industrial por Subsectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Millones de pesos de 2008)
Minería Electricidad ConstrucciónTotal Generación, Agua y sumistro Construcción Trabajos
Años Sector Extracción metálicos y no transmisión de gas por ductos de obras de especializadosIndustrial de petróleo metálicos, excepto y suministro de al consumidor ingeniería para la
Total subsector y gas petróleo y gas Total subsector energía eléctrica final Total subsector Edificación civil construcciónPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
1980 2,372,847 11.5 672,006 21.7 67,072 6.3 560,739 12.41981 2,628,510 10.8 767,822 14.3 74,860 11.6 641,562 14.41982 2,627,147 -0.1 833,453 8.5 82,094 9.7 596,258 -7.11983 2,410,180 -8.3 810,378 -2.8 83,025 1.1 481,847 -19.21984 2,515,015 4.3 830,248 2.5 87,179 5.0 507,702 5.41985 2,598,403 3.3 829,792 -0.1 94,425 8.3 521,513 2.71986 2,446,266 -5.9 786,874 -5.2 97,859 3.6 467,707 -10.31987 2,536,496 3.7 825,992 5.0 101,519 3.7 480,775 2.81988 2,578,789 1.7 827,913 0.2 107,632 6.0 478,826 -0.41989 2,676,946 3.8 825,504 -0.3 112,443 4.5 487,186 1.71990 2,831,870 5.8 853,520 3.4 115,352 2.6 531,977 9.21991 2,900,329 2.4 862,423 1.0 115,797 0.4 557,947 4.91992 3,002,201 3.5 873,247 1.3 119,349 3.1 595,244 6.71993 3,017,474 0.5 887,277 1.6 814,563 64,421 122,303 2.5 91,836 30,467 608,861 2.3 447,012 101,500 60,3501994 3,153,261 4.5 894,508 0.8 819,257 0.6 67,904 5.4 130,471 6.7 99,242 8.1 31,228 2.5 685,325 12.6 502,146 12.3 114,265 12.6 68,914 14.21995 2,894,599 -8.2 884,310 -1.1 805,930 -1.6 68,236 0.5 133,172 2.1 101,547 2.3 31,625 1.3 509,442 -25.7 374,721 -25.4 85,170 -25.5 49,551 -28.11996 3,165,539 9.4 964,807 9.1 880,656 9.3 72,799 6.7 139,337 4.6 107,386 5.8 31,952 1.0 566,263 11.2 411,483 9.8 94,487 10.9 60,294 21.71997 3,462,150 9.4 1,013,369 5.0 923,585 4.9 77,646 6.7 147,610 5.9 114,818 6.9 32,792 2.6 649,096 14.6 468,211 13.8 109,810 16.2 71,076 17.91998 3,655,577 5.6 1,039,744 2.6 940,584 1.8 81,002 4.3 155,176 5.1 121,512 5.8 33,664 2.7 691,561 6.5 501,890 7.2 117,979 7.4 71,692 0.91999 3,715,256 1.6 998,138 -4.0 896,903 -4.6 80,920 -0.1 169,028 8.9 134,672 10.8 34,357 2.1 731,040 5.7 525,073 4.6 124,189 5.3 81,778 14.12000 3,890,134 4.7 1,022,932 2.5 919,479 2.5 82,209 1.6 170,791 1.0 135,962 1.0 34,829 1.4 774,359 5.9 559,111 6.5 130,692 5.2 84,556 3.42001 3,832,380 -1.5 1,052,383 2.9 937,940 2.0 78,666 -4.3 169,908 -0.5 134,831 -0.8 35,078 0.7 747,924 -3.4 539,948 -3.4 127,690 -2.3 80,285 -5.12002 3,832,918 0.0 1,052,252 0.0 941,707 0.4 74,915 -4.8 167,322 -1.5 132,035 -2.1 35,287 0.6 763,711 2.1 553,748 2.6 129,120 1.1 80,842 0.72003 3,884,165 1.3 1,101,350 4.7 980,154 4.1 76,228 1.8 171,256 2.4 135,871 2.9 35,385 0.3 787,139 3.1 568,622 2.7 134,183 3.9 84,334 4.32004 4,043,151 4.1 1,118,537 1.6 990,920 1.1 78,940 3.6 192,836 12.6 157,170 15.7 35,666 0.8 842,252 7.0 608,602 7.0 141,213 5.2 92,438 9.62005 4,142,410 2.5 1,119,429 0.1 982,928 -0.8 86,795 10.0 209,383 8.6 172,403 9.7 36,979 3.7 872,476 3.6 622,942 2.4 155,953 10.4 93,581 1.22006 4,322,843 4.4 1,111,413 -0.7 976,049 -0.7 84,357 -2.8 234,651 12.1 196,402 13.9 38,249 3.4 948,296 8.7 690,907 10.9 160,551 2.9 96,838 3.52007 4,385,686 1.5 1,095,487 -1.4 945,288 -3.2 92,787 10.0 249,375 6.3 209,832 6.8 39,543 3.4 992,914 4.7 714,821 3.5 178,583 11.2 99,509 2.82008 4,365,207 -0.5 1,054,691 -3.7 892,297 -5.6 91,216 -1.7 252,552 1.3 216,101 3.0 36,451 -7.8 1,030,710 3.8 729,230 2.0 214,301 20.0 87,178 -12.42009 4,094,017 -6.2 1,012,072 -4.0 848,201 -4.9 89,526 -1.9 255,838 1.3 216,899 0.4 38,940 6.8 968,200 -6.1 648,259 -11.1 228,611 6.7 91,330 4.82010 4,280,609 4.6 1,020,993 0.9 842,720 -0.6 103,512 15.6 267,405 4.5 227,974 5.1 39,431 1.3 975,507 0.8 645,603 -0.4 236,795 3.6 93,109 1.92011 4,427,598 3.4 1,017,204 -0.4 828,271 -1.7 114,388 10.5 285,979 6.9 246,384 8.1 39,595 0.4 1,015,099 4.1 673,091 4.3 243,728 2.9 98,280 5.62012 4,547,999 2.7 1,026,249 0.9 824,549 -0.4 124,822 9.1 292,826 2.4 252,554 2.5 40,273 1.7 1,035,854 2.0 687,151 2.1 246,223 1.0 102,480 4.32013 4,516,803 -0.7 1,009,276 -1.7 814,914 -1.2 123,687 -0.9 293,271 0.2 252,803 0.1 40,468 0.5 989,417 -4.5 653,530 -4.9 235,782 -4.2 100,105 -2.3
2014 4,629,292 2.5 1,009,139 0.0 811,914 -0.4 127,634 3.2 300,240 2.4 258,484 2.2 41,756 3.2 1,004,633 1.5 664,898 1.7 235,202 -0.2 104,533 4.42015 4,826,424 4.3 1,025,349 1.6 822,591 1.3 131,080 2.7 309,226 3.0 266,497 3.1 42,729 2.3 1,052,034 4.7 696,148 4.7 246,021 4.6 109,865 5.12016 5,094,242 5.5 1,052,075 2.6 841,181 2.3 136,062 3.8 319,733 3.4 275,931 3.5 43,802 2.5 1,122,890 6.7 743,765 6.8 262,603 6.7 116,522 6.12017 5,463,936 7.3 1,114,085 5.9 891,231 6.0 143,681 5.6 331,297 3.6 286,251 3.7 45,046 2.8 1,212,688 8.0 805,051 8.2 283,191 7.8 124,446 6.82018 5,844,328 7.0 1,181,703 6.1 948,252 6.4 150,003 4.4 341,756 3.2 295,526 3.2 46,230 2.6 1,311,952 8.2 872,353 8.4 306,243 8.1 133,356 7.22019 6,193,852 6.0 1,225,026 3.7 981,536 3.5 155,703 3.8 350,826 2.7 303,505 2.7 47,321 2.4 1,404,995 7.1 936,559 7.4 326,639 6.7 141,798 6.32020 6,528,444 5.4 1,267,033 3.4 1,014,123 3.3 160,997 3.4 359,436 2.5 311,093 2.5 48,343 2.2 1,491,014 6.1 993,876 6.1 347,315 6.3 149,823 5.7
Continúa
C-6
Minería de minerales
Continuación
ManufacturasIndustrias alimentaria, de las bebidas y del tabaco Textiles, prendas de vestir y productos de cuero
Total Confección deAños Subsector Industria Fabricación productos textiles, Fabricación piel y materiales
Manufacturero Industria de las bebidas de insumos excepto prendas de prendas sucedáneos, exceptoTotal rama alimentaria y del tabaco Total rama textiles de vestir de vestir prendas de vestir
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
1980 1,073,030 5.8 263,284 4.8 114,203 2.21981 1,144,267 6.6 275,013 4.5 120,830 5.81982 1,115,342 -2.5 288,241 4.8 115,066 -4.81983 1,034,930 -7.2 280,472 -2.7 108,869 -5.41984 1,089,886 5.3 284,378 1.4 110,044 1.11985 1,152,673 5.8 295,991 4.1 113,061 2.71986 1,093,826 -5.1 293,611 -0.8 107,586 -4.81987 1,128,210 3.1 293,996 0.1 102,288 -4.91988 1,164,418 3.2 297,352 1.1 103,176 0.91989 1,251,813 7.5 320,918 7.9 108,171 4.81990 1,331,022 6.3 335,472 4.5 114,426 5.81991 1,364,162 2.5 346,287 3.2 117,418 2.61992 1,414,360 3.7 360,424 4.1 117,312 -0.11993 1,399,033 -1.1 375,655 4.2 314,033 61,623 114,417 -2.5 18,290 8,926 66,917 20,2841994 1,442,957 3.1 387,106 3.0 323,534 3.0 63,572 3.2 113,575 -0.7 18,085 -1.1 8,958 0.4 67,227 0.5 19,305 -4.81995 1,367,675 -5.2 388,310 0.3 325,547 0.6 62,763 -1.3 102,733 -9.5 16,821 -7.0 9,015 0.6 60,106 -10.6 16,791 -13.01996 1,495,132 9.3 399,782 3.0 333,402 2.4 66,381 5.8 113,360 10.3 19,216 14.2 10,200 13.1 65,282 8.6 18,663 11.11997 1,652,075 10.5 410,927 2.8 342,234 2.6 68,693 3.5 120,382 6.2 20,751 8.0 11,812 15.8 67,884 4.0 19,935 6.81998 1,769,095 7.1 432,920 5.4 357,928 4.6 74,992 9.2 122,776 2.0 21,408 3.2 12,791 8.3 68,959 1.6 19,618 -1.61999 1,817,048 2.7 449,141 3.7 370,762 3.6 78,379 4.5 124,358 1.3 22,007 2.8 13,104 2.4 69,610 0.9 19,636 0.12000 1,922,051 5.8 465,499 3.6 384,800 3.8 80,699 3.0 128,999 3.7 22,319 1.4 15,285 16.6 72,010 3.4 19,385 -1.32001 1,862,165 -3.1 473,084 1.6 392,481 2.0 80,603 -0.1 119,618 -7.3 20,167 -9.6 13,544 -11.4 68,292 -5.2 17,616 -9.12002 1,849,633 -0.7 482,268 1.9 400,232 2.0 82,036 1.8 115,365 -3.6 19,937 -1.1 13,517 -0.2 64,372 -5.7 17,539 -0.42003 1,824,420 -1.4 488,339 1.3 405,815 1.4 82,524 0.6 107,620 -6.7 18,280 -8.3 12,426 -8.1 59,821 -7.1 17,093 -2.52004 1,889,526 3.6 506,715 3.8 418,711 3.2 88,004 6.6 109,406 1.7 19,134 4.7 13,283 6.9 59,679 -0.2 17,311 1.32005 1,941,123 2.7 522,765 3.2 429,717 2.6 93,048 5.7 106,699 -2.5 18,259 -4.6 13,248 -0.3 57,300 -4.0 17,892 3.42006 2,028,482 4.5 535,307 2.4 436,794 1.6 98,512 5.9 108,368 1.6 18,500 1.3 13,693 3.4 57,620 0.6 18,556 3.72007 2,047,910 1.0 547,744 2.3 446,531 2.2 101,213 2.7 105,139 -3.0 17,876 -3.4 13,993 2.2 55,123 -4.3 18,147 -2.22008 2,027,255 -1.0 555,064 1.3 451,440 1.1 103,625 2.4 102,791 -2.2 16,624 -7.0 12,884 -7.9 55,986 1.6 17,297 -4.72009 1,857,907 -8.4 554,117 -0.2 450,167 -0.3 103,950 0.3 95,472 -7.1 15,400 -7.4 11,880 -7.8 51,725 -7.6 16,468 -4.82010 2,016,704 8.5 562,265 1.5 457,724 1.7 104,541 0.6 101,104 5.9 17,085 10.9 12,174 2.5 54,102 4.6 17,743 7.72011 2,109,315 4.6 576,989 2.6 467,612 2.2 109,377 4.6 99,984 -1.1 16,328 -4.4 11,821 -2.9 54,214 0.2 17,622 -0.72012 2,193,069 4.0 590,398 2.3 478,163 2.3 112,234 2.6 100,854 0.9 16,840 3.1 11,807 -0.1 53,964 -0.5 18,242 3.52013 2,224,839 1.4 593,783 0.6 480,416 0.5 113,367 1.0 102,504 1.6 16,312 -3.1 12,156 3.0 55,645 3.1 18,391 0.8
2014 2,315,280 4.1 605,071 1.9 489,250 1.8 115,821 2.2 102,611 0.1 15,872 -2.7 12,254 0.8 55,866 0.4 18,619 1.22015 2,439,815 5.4 624,792 3.3 505,102 3.2 119,690 3.3 105,316 2.6 16,119 1.6 12,786 4.3 57,352 2.7 19,059 2.42016 2,599,545 6.5 650,466 4.1 526,013 4.1 124,453 4.0 108,054 2.6 16,503 2.4 13,267 3.8 58,717 2.4 19,568 2.72017 2,805,867 7.9 680,252 4.6 549,999 4.6 130,253 4.7 111,301 3.0 16,958 2.8 13,792 4.0 60,384 2.8 20,166 3.12018 3,008,916 7.2 707,150 4.0 571,999 4.0 135,150 3.8 114,139 2.5 17,358 2.4 14,281 3.5 61,809 2.4 20,691 2.62019 3,213,005 6.8 733,233 3.7 593,163 3.7 140,070 3.6 116,925 2.4 17,740 2.2 14,756 3.3 63,250 2.3 21,179 2.42020 3,410,961 6.2 757,450 3.3 613,094 3.4 144,356 3.1 119,494 2.2 18,106 2.1 15,208 3.1 64,552 2.1 21,628 2.1
(Continúa)
C-7
Fabricación de cuero,
Continuación
ManufacturasMadera y sus productos Impresión e industrias conexas Químicos, petróleo y caucho
Fabricación Fabricación deAños de muebles Impresión productos derivados Industria
Industria y productos Industria e industrias del petróleo Industria del plásticoTotal rama de la madera relacionados Total rama del papel conexas Total rama y del carbón química y del hule
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos
1980 52,229 6.1 27,015 11.1 215,548 9.71981 51,941 -0.6 28,677 6.2 237,232 10.11982 51,234 -1.4 28,721 0.2 241,787 1.91983 47,357 -7.6 26,053 -9.3 238,590 -1.31984 48,852 3.2 27,370 5.1 253,245 6.11985 50,597 3.6 29,979 9.5 266,907 5.41986 49,325 -2.5 28,846 -3.8 257,577 -3.51987 50,931 3.3 29,119 0.9 268,993 4.41988 49,741 -2.3 30,455 4.6 273,946 1.81989 49,787 0.1 33,415 9.7 299,714 9.41990 49,597 -0.4 36,102 8.0 312,733 4.31991 49,935 0.7 37,489 3.8 315,757 1.01992 51,333 2.8 38,784 3.5 321,374 1.81993 43,878 -14.5 20,960 22,918 36,906 -4.8 23,866 13,040 308,496 -4.0 66,229 196,034 46,2331994 44,425 1.2 20,843 -0.6 23,583 2.9 37,823 2.5 24,610 3.1 13,213 1.3 317,728 3.0 73,303 10.7 198,716 1.4 45,7101995 40,605 -8.6 20,069 -3.7 20,536 -12.9 37,365 -1.2 24,913 1.2 12,452 -5.8 322,605 1.5 71,747 -2.1 207,841 4.6 43,0181996 43,269 6.6 21,892 9.1 21,377 4.1 39,697 6.2 27,394 10.0 12,303 -1.2 337,667 4.7 70,761 -1.4 219,534 5.6 47,3721997 49,264 13.9 23,488 7.3 25,776 20.6 44,245 11.5 29,304 7.0 14,940 21.4 366,025 8.4 76,409 8.0 237,742 8.3 51,8731998 51,604 4.7 24,437 4.0 27,167 5.4 46,605 5.3 30,712 4.8 15,893 6.4 382,618 4.5 86,725 13.5 241,744 1.7 54,1491999 51,975 0.7 24,722 1.2 27,253 0.3 49,210 5.6 32,664 6.4 16,546 4.1 380,952 -0.4 84,861 -2.1 243,686 0.8 52,4042000 55,123 6.1 26,068 5.4 29,055 6.6 50,245 2.1 33,574 2.8 16,670 0.7 390,334 2.5 83,333 -1.8 251,873 3.4 55,1272001 51,779 -6.1 23,536 -9.7 28,243 -2.8 48,977 -2.5 33,341 -0.7 15,636 -6.2 377,052 -3.4 83,804 0.6 241,442 -4.1 51,8052002 48,300 -6.7 20,248 -14.0 28,053 -0.7 48,621 -0.7 33,834 1.5 14,787 -5.4 382,402 1.4 84,310 0.6 245,234 1.6 52,8572003 48,067 -0.5 20,037 -1.0 28,029 -0.1 48,433 -0.4 34,182 1.0 14,251 -3.6 388,031 1.5 87,579 3.9 247,941 1.1 52,5112004 48,847 1.6 20,096 0.3 28,751 2.6 49,925 3.1 36,146 5.7 13,779 -3.3 400,503 3.2 90,464 3.3 255,830 3.2 54,2092005 48,801 -0.1 19,846 -1.2 28,955 0.7 51,219 2.6 37,117 2.7 14,102 2.3 405,129 1.2 89,171 -1.4 261,335 2.2 54,6232006 48,884 0.2 20,099 1.3 28,785 -0.6 54,290 6.0 38,710 4.3 15,580 10.5 416,116 2.7 88,514 -0.7 271,741 4.0 55,8612007 49,317 0.9 20,821 3.6 28,496 -1.0 55,459 2.2 39,781 2.8 15,678 0.6 419,158 0.7 86,968 -1.7 275,102 1.2 57,0892008 46,515 -5.7 19,213 -7.7 27,302 -4.2 57,170 3.1 40,732 2.4 16,438 4.8 410,480 -2.1 86,728 -0.3 268,686 -2.3 55,0662009 43,845 -5.7 18,315 -4.7 25,530 -6.5 55,851 -2.3 40,487 -0.6 15,364 -6.5 397,264 -3.2 87,153 0.5 260,318 -3.1 49,7942010 46,665 6.4 19,319 5.5 27,346 7.1 58,907 5.5 42,001 3.7 16,907 10.0 396,638 -0.2 80,852 -7.2 259,264 -0.4 56,5222011 47,976 2.8 20,299 5.1 27,677 1.2 59,258 0.6 41,646 -0.8 17,612 4.2 397,318 0.2 77,923 -3.6 259,084 -0.1 60,3122012 51,418 7.2 22,941 13.0 28,477 2.9 60,545 2.2 43,646 4.8 16,899 -4.0 402,607 1.3 78,656 0.9 258,635 -0.2 65,3172013 49,149 -4.4 22,313 -2.7 26,836 -5.8 60,478 -0.1 44,784 2.6 15,694 -7.1 405,747 0.8 80,512 2.4 260,351 0.7 64,884
2014 49,464 0.6 22,729 1.9 26,735 -0.4 61,955 2.4 46,054 2.8 15,901 1.3 414,712 2.2 81,550 1.3 265,399 1.9 67,7632015 51,635 4.4 23,788 4.7 27,847 4.2 64,148 3.5 47,602 3.4 16,547 4.1 427,343 3.0 84,942 4.2 272,565 2.7 69,8372016 54,462 5.5 25,039 5.3 29,423 5.7 66,814 4.2 49,496 4.0 17,318 4.7 444,656 4.1 88,883 4.6 283,031 3.8 72,7422017 57,892 6.3 26,539 6.0 31,353 6.6 69,987 4.7 51,793 4.6 18,194 5.1 465,823 4.8 93,310 5.0 296,164 4.6 76,3502018 61,142 5.6 28,015 5.6 33,128 5.7 72,888 4.1 53,864 4.0 19,023 4.6 486,122 4.4 97,602 4.6 308,780 4.3 79,7402019 64,214 5.0 29,483 5.2 34,731 4.8 75,685 3.8 55,836 3.7 19,849 4.3 506,284 4.1 101,926 4.4 321,317 4.1 83,0412020 67,086 4.5 30,851 4.6 36,235 4.3 78,347 3.5 57,712 3.4 20,635 4.0 524,594 3.6 105,758 3.8 332,756 3.6 86,080
Continúa
C-8
Continuación
ManufacturasFabricación de Industrias metálicas Maquinaria y equipo
productos a base Fabricación equipo Fabricación de equipoAños de minerales Industrias Fabricación Fabricación de computación, de generación Fabricación Otras
no metálicos metálicas de productos de maquinaria comunicación y eléctrica y accesorios de equipo industriasTotal rama Total rama básicas metálicos Total rama y equipo otros electrónicos eléctricos de transporte Total rama
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
1980 54,681 8.1 118,656 3.5 201,598 9.6 25,816 -20.01981 56,408 3.2 124,700 5.1 220,281 9.3 29,186 13.11982 55,023 -2.5 112,490 -9.8 194,734 -11.6 28,046 -3.91983 50,777 -7.7 105,384 -6.3 154,623 -20.6 22,804 -18.71984 53,674 5.7 117,359 11.4 169,573 9.7 25,391 11.31985 57,807 7.7 119,205 1.6 191,638 13.0 27,489 8.31986 54,089 -6.4 111,481 -6.5 166,192 -13.3 25,117 -8.61987 59,338 9.7 125,807 12.9 173,412 4.3 24,327 -3.11988 58,437 -1.5 132,032 4.9 193,937 11.8 25,344 4.21989 61,214 4.8 135,218 2.4 215,289 11.0 28,086 10.81990 65,180 6.5 144,976 7.2 239,354 11.2 33,183 18.11991 67,496 3.6 138,052 -4.8 258,802 8.1 32,926 -0.81992 71,759 6.3 140,187 1.5 274,963 6.2 38,223 16.11993 78,921 10.0 135,662 -3.2 90,277 45,385 269,514 -2.0 45,921 60,374 37,842 125,377 35,582 -6.91994 82,754 4.9 142,868 5.3 94,663 4.9 48,205 6.2 281,350 4.4 48,260 5.1 65,983 9.3 39,236 3.7 127,871 2.0 35,327 -0.71995 70,317 -15.0 133,114 -6.8 93,147 -1.6 39,967 -17.1 240,810 -14.4 41,390 -14.2 58,596 -11.2 36,067 -8.1 104,757 -18.1 31,817 -9.91996 76,178 8.3 166,006 24.7 118,984 27.7 47,022 17.7 282,997 17.5 47,616 15.0 56,678 -3.3 41,822 16.0 136,882 30.7 36,174 13.71997 83,270 9.3 187,343 12.9 132,827 11.6 54,516 15.9 351,966 24.4 58,388 22.6 83,170 46.7 50,682 21.2 159,726 16.7 38,653 6.91998 89,772 7.8 198,004 5.7 140,011 5.4 57,993 6.4 405,816 15.3 61,002 4.5 105,526 26.9 58,100 14.6 181,188 13.4 38,980 0.81999 92,790 3.4 201,689 1.9 140,600 0.4 61,089 5.3 426,795 5.2 58,213 -4.6 111,476 5.6 61,448 5.8 195,657 8.0 40,139 3.02000 96,829 4.4 210,393 4.3 144,931 3.1 65,461 7.2 483,403 13.3 59,654 2.5 133,594 19.8 66,460 8.2 223,695 14.3 41,228 2.72001 93,414 -3.5 192,936 -8.3 133,291 -8.0 59,645 -8.9 463,369 -4.1 57,455 -3.7 125,723 -5.9 62,987 -5.2 217,204 -2.9 41,936 1.72002 98,007 4.9 194,879 1.0 135,109 1.4 59,770 0.2 437,721 -5.5 58,043 1.0 106,473 -15.3 59,658 -5.3 213,547 -1.7 42,071 0.32003 97,916 -0.1 196,600 0.9 138,256 2.3 58,344 -2.4 409,243 -6.5 55,111 -5.1 92,841 -12.8 60,623 1.6 200,668 -6.0 40,172 -4.52004 102,190 4.4 207,205 5.4 144,748 4.7 62,457 7.1 424,142 3.6 61,211 11.1 87,766 -5.5 65,057 7.3 210,108 4.7 40,593 1.02005 109,213 6.9 217,117 4.8 150,983 4.3 66,134 5.9 437,714 3.2 64,778 5.8 89,657 2.2 65,246 0.3 218,033 3.8 42,465 4.62006 115,781 6.0 224,969 3.6 153,823 1.9 71,146 7.6 479,707 9.6 67,035 3.5 97,087 8.3 69,264 6.2 246,319 13.0 45,061 6.12007 118,151 2.0 219,369 -2.5 148,349 -3.6 71,020 -0.2 488,473 1.8 65,847 -1.8 98,288 1.2 67,508 -2.5 256,830 4.3 45,099 0.12008 113,690 -3.8 217,238 -1.0 146,715 -1.1 70,523 -0.7 478,362 -2.1 65,930 0.1 89,746 -8.7 65,710 -2.7 256,976 0.1 45,945 1.92009 102,979 -9.4 183,209 -15.7 122,612 -16.4 60,597 -14.1 381,284 -20.3 52,778 -19.9 80,628 -10.2 58,690 -10.7 189,188 -26.4 43,887 -4.52010 107,780 4.7 203,776 11.2 137,836 12.4 65,940 8.8 494,849 29.8 77,695 47.2 83,606 3.7 64,607 10.1 268,941 42.2 44,719 1.92011 111,756 3.7 214,273 5.2 143,710 4.3 70,563 7.0 554,750 12.1 88,015 13.3 89,224 6.7 63,926 -1.1 313,585 16.6 47,011 5.12012 114,457 2.4 220,332 2.8 146,991 2.3 73,341 3.9 605,313 9.1 92,730 5.4 89,682 0.5 65,082 1.8 357,819 14.1 47,145 0.32013 111,517 -2.6 220,578 0.1 147,005 0.0 73,572 0.3 633,492 4.7 91,147 -1.7 101,980 13.7 63,630 -2.2 376,735 5.3 47,592 0.9
2014 113,378 1.7 234,250 6.2 159,477 8.5 74,772 1.6 683,972 8.0 92,861 1.9 109,317 7.2 66,648 4.7 415,146 10.2 49,867 4.82015 117,188 3.4 243,227 3.8 165,793 4.0 77,434 3.6 754,454 10.3 96,817 4.3 120,949 10.6 68,887 3.4 467,801 12.7 51,712 3.72016 122,532 4.6 254,860 4.8 173,817 4.8 81,043 4.7 843,940 11.9 102,974 6.4 130,818 8.2 72,194 4.8 537,954 15.0 53,760 4.02017 129,099 5.4 269,092 5.6 183,690 5.7 85,403 5.4 965,939 14.5 110,450 7.3 143,874 10.0 76,309 5.7 635,306 18.1 56,480 5.12018 135,296 4.8 282,509 5.0 193,058 5.1 89,451 4.7 1,090,614 12.9 118,005 6.8 156,247 8.6 80,353 5.3 736,009 15.9 59,055 4.62019 141,466 4.6 295,378 4.6 202,054 4.7 93,324 4.3 1,218,213 11.7 125,475 6.3 168,372 7.8 84,371 5.0 839,996 14.1 61,607 4.32020 147,492 4.3 307,703 4.2 210,824 4.3 96,880 3.8 1,344,872 10.4 132,953 6.0 179,939 6.9 88,303 4.7 943,677 12.3 63,923 3.8
Conclusión
C-9
C-6. PIB Anual del Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Millones de pesos de 2008)
Comercio, restaurantes y hoteles Servicios financieros, seguros y actividades inmobiliariasTotal Servicios de Transporte, Servicios
Años Sector alojamiento temporal almacenaje y Servicios inmobiliarios yServicios y de preparación de comunicaciones financieros de alquiler de bienes
Total subsector Comercio alimentos y bebidas Total subsector Total subsector y de seguros muebles e intangiblesPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
1980 3,288,256 8.8 926,476 13.2 332,687 10.9 658,507 4.71981 3,560,851 8.3 1,019,259 10.0 366,152 10.1 703,874 6.91982 3,610,421 1.4 1,014,739 -0.4 337,855 -7.7 740,030 5.11983 3,596,704 -0.4 940,843 -7.3 328,960 -2.6 770,012 4.11984 3,710,835 3.2 953,113 1.3 345,837 5.1 814,914 5.81985 3,740,128 0.8 951,286 -0.2 355,674 2.8 843,362 3.51986 3,686,345 -1.4 892,186 -6.2 343,106 -3.5 874,345 3.71987 3,733,959 1.3 899,849 0.9 352,989 2.9 905,159 3.51988 3,777,483 1.2 914,221 1.6 360,547 2.1 918,013 1.41989 3,917,134 3.7 956,480 4.6 377,429 4.7 950,105 3.51990 4,083,694 4.3 1,015,910 6.2 390,902 3.6 992,345 4.41991 4,281,023 4.8 1,077,714 6.1 404,302 3.4 1,038,970 4.71992 4,433,827 3.6 1,134,825 5.3 425,696 5.3 1,086,593 4.61993 4,610,738 4.0 1,115,928 -1.7 863,664 252,264 449,723 5.6 1,141,042 5.0 238,613 902,4291994 4,839,339 5.0 1,217,268 9.1 947,268 9.7 270,000 7.0 479,142 6.5 1,201,013 5.3 265,377 11.2 935,637 3.71995 4,622,802 -4.5 1,086,085 -10.8 849,313 -10.3 236,771 -12.3 450,190 -6.0 1,207,641 0.6 241,610 -9.0 966,031 3.21996 4,796,210 3.8 1,199,580 10.4 961,319 13.2 238,261 0.6 481,315 6.9 1,217,512 0.8 220,701 -8.7 996,811 3.21997 5,075,230 5.8 1,354,514 12.9 1,099,582 14.4 254,932 7.0 524,390 8.9 1,230,431 1.1 209,607 -5.0 1,020,824 2.41998 5,293,169 4.3 1,451,162 7.1 1,187,973 8.0 263,190 3.2 555,711 6.0 1,257,894 2.2 216,785 3.4 1,041,109 2.01999 5,469,027 3.3 1,516,397 4.5 1,253,643 5.5 262,754 -0.2 582,628 4.8 1,285,352 2.2 210,549 -2.9 1,074,803 3.22000 5,792,703 5.9 1,683,292 11.0 1,408,846 12.4 274,447 4.5 624,735 7.2 1,319,325 2.6 203,788 -3.2 1,115,537 3.82001 5,780,831 -0.2 1,658,216 -1.5 1,392,468 -1.2 265,748 -3.2 618,929 -0.9 1,350,663 2.4 198,285 -2.7 1,152,377 3.32002 5,794,825 0.2 1,651,678 -0.4 1,396,958 0.3 254,721 -4.1 614,815 -0.7 1,376,958 1.9 187,214 -5.6 1,189,744 3.22003 5,875,443 1.4 1,681,963 1.8 1,431,039 2.4 250,925 -1.5 614,867 0.0 1,420,338 3.2 190,060 1.5 1,230,278 3.42004 6,137,912 4.5 1,779,876 5.8 1,519,689 6.2 260,187 3.7 638,168 3.8 1,493,107 5.1 218,828 15.1 1,274,280 3.62005 6,376,239 3.9 1,866,229 4.9 1,602,195 5.4 264,034 1.5 650,555 1.9 1,548,423 3.7 245,337 12.1 1,303,086 2.32006 6,715,059 5.3 1,982,570 6.2 1,713,187 6.9 269,382 2.0 677,734 4.2 1,641,050 6.0 283,784 15.7 1,357,266 4.22007 7,002,883 4.3 2,060,861 3.9 1,783,203 4.1 277,658 3.1 701,085 3.4 1,722,687 5.0 320,270 12.9 1,402,417 3.32008 7,183,008 2.6 2,063,763 0.1 1,785,940 0.2 277,822 0.1 700,557 -0.1 1,838,926 6.7 390,550 21.9 1,448,376 3.32009 6,902,764 -3.9 1,814,588 -12.1 1,563,520 -12.5 251,067 -9.6 650,008 -7.2 1,867,976 1.6 403,945 3.4 1,464,031 1.12010 7,294,514 5.7 2,004,943 10.5 1,749,038 11.9 255,905 1.9 700,120 7.7 1,993,162 6.7 488,618 21.0 1,504,544 2.82011 7,640,629 4.7 2,178,883 8.7 1,919,062 9.7 259,820 1.5 728,423 4.0 2,071,827 3.9 523,318 7.1 1,548,510 2.92012 7,988,600 4.6 2,283,726 4.8 2,009,661 4.7 274,065 5.5 758,126 4.1 2,156,309 4.1 567,904 8.5 1,588,406 2.62013 8,157,158 2.1 2,345,218 2.7 2,065,369 2.8 279,849 2.1 769,345 1.5 2,201,540 2.1 589,595 3.8 1,611,945 1.5
2014 8,426,137 3.3 2,424,915 3.4 2,137,140 3.5 287,775 2.8 791,818 2.9 2,281,423 3.6 621,286 5.4 1,660,137 3.02015 8,794,884 4.4 2,546,012 5.0 2,247,417 5.2 298,595 3.8 834,259 5.4 2,384,173 4.5 668,255 7.6 1,715,918 3.42016 9,249,132 5.2 2,718,594 6.8 2,406,084 7.1 312,510 4.7 887,151 6.3 2,495,139 4.7 710,756 6.4 1,784,383 4.02017 9,779,542 5.7 2,926,869 7.7 2,597,609 8.0 329,260 5.4 949,784 7.1 2,620,275 5.0 758,093 6.7 1,862,182 4.42018 10,301,082 5.3 3,133,865 7.1 2,788,273 7.3 345,592 5.0 1,013,515 6.7 2,742,146 4.7 809,946 6.8 1,932,200 3.82019 10,817,260 5.0 3,345,918 6.8 2,984,568 7.0 361,351 4.6 1,078,177 6.4 2,859,316 4.3 860,649 6.3 1,998,668 3.42020 11,317,176 4.6 3,562,363 6.5 3,185,727 6.7 376,636 4.2 1,141,142 5.8 2,964,275 3.7 908,845 5.6 2,055,430 2.8
ContinuaciónC-10
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios Servicios de
profesionales, Dirección apoyo a los negocios y Años científicos de corporativos manejo de desechos y Servicios
Total subsector y técnicos y empresas servicios de remediación educativosPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
1980 1,370,587 7.51981 1,471,566 7.41982 1,517,796 3.11983 1,556,889 2.61984 1,596,971 2.61985 1,589,807 -0.41986 1,576,708 -0.81987 1,575,962 0.01988 1,584,703 0.61989 1,633,119 3.11990 1,684,537 3.11991 1,760,037 4.51992 1,786,713 1.51993 1,904,044 6.6 208,650 49,725 297,731 350,3211994 1,941,917 2.0 216,214 3.6 50,412 1.4 301,146 1.1 358,197 2.21995 1,878,887 -3.2 204,214 -5.6 45,294 -10.2 287,825 -4.4 369,025 3.01996 1,897,803 1.0 209,671 2.7 46,982 3.7 301,649 4.8 377,760 2.41997 1,965,896 3.6 218,494 4.2 52,154 11.0 307,588 2.0 386,261 2.31998 2,028,402 3.2 226,306 3.6 52,900 1.4 324,343 5.4 395,900 2.51999 2,084,651 2.8 231,104 2.1 51,650 -2.4 333,575 2.8 407,286 2.92000 2,165,350 3.9 243,052 5.2 53,486 3.6 343,714 3.0 417,675 2.62001 2,153,023 -0.6 241,314 -0.7 52,757 -1.4 341,722 -0.6 426,092 2.02002 2,151,374 -0.1 242,774 0.6 53,127 0.7 340,999 -0.2 436,821 2.52003 2,158,275 0.3 247,027 1.8 56,110 5.6 339,674 -0.4 442,838 1.42004 2,226,761 3.2 254,742 3.1 58,045 3.4 351,789 3.6 448,837 1.42005 2,311,032 3.8 262,461 3.0 60,645 4.5 364,852 3.7 457,137 1.82006 2,413,705 4.4 270,417 3.0 68,291 12.6 378,364 3.7 459,204 0.52007 2,518,250 4.3 280,117 3.6 69,163 1.3 390,362 3.2 466,809 1.72008 2,579,762 2.4 288,855 3.1 74,350 7.5 398,773 2.2 472,159 1.12009 2,570,192 -0.4 274,463 -5.0 68,244 -8.2 370,787 -7.0 473,027 0.22010 2,596,290 1.0 274,171 -0.1 71,835 5.3 373,416 0.7 473,852 0.22011 2,661,496 2.5 288,288 5.1 74,383 3.5 395,696 6.0 481,281 1.62012 2,790,439 4.8 291,560 1.1 79,409 6.8 413,124 4.4 491,994 2.22013 2,841,055 1.8 288,578 -1.0 74,925 -5.6 429,115 3.9 497,357 1.1
2014 2,927,980 3.1 292,867 1.5 78,732 5.1 444,921 3.7 508,203 2.22015 3,030,440 3.5 300,657 2.7 82,164 4.4 463,964 4.3 522,382 2.82016 3,148,248 3.9 311,360 3.6 85,993 4.7 484,564 4.4 540,091 3.42017 3,282,615 4.3 324,936 4.4 90,431 5.2 506,660 4.6 560,830 3.82018 3,411,557 3.9 338,128 4.1 94,554 4.6 527,737 4.2 580,796 3.62019 3,533,848 3.6 350,436 3.6 98,488 4.2 548,002 3.8 600,136 3.32020 3,649,395 3.3 361,860 3.3 102,092 3.7 566,853 3.4 617,900 3.0
Continúa
C-11
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios de esparcimiento,
Servicios culturales y deportivos, Otros serviciosAños de salud y otros servicios Información en excepto actividades Actividades
y de asistencia social recreativos medios masivos del gobierno del gobiernoPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
19801981198219831984198519861987198819891990199119921993 198,832 49,985 91,109 194,858 462,8331994 203,197 2.2 50,128 0.3 92,479 1.5 197,521 1.4 472,622 2.11995 200,863 -1.1 45,693 -8.8 86,559 -6.4 171,412 -13.2 468,002 -1.01996 199,421 -0.7 43,649 -4.5 84,803 -2.0 170,927 -0.3 462,941 -1.11997 201,579 1.1 46,351 6.2 94,016 10.9 185,652 8.6 473,801 2.31998 205,416 1.9 48,883 5.5 118,587 26.1 194,630 4.8 461,439 -2.61999 208,996 1.7 50,056 2.4 128,492 8.4 204,061 4.8 469,432 1.72000 212,999 1.9 51,779 3.4 139,006 8.2 216,315 6.0 487,324 3.82001 216,296 1.5 50,894 -1.7 146,681 5.5 218,733 1.1 458,532 -5.92002 216,100 -0.1 51,842 1.9 149,803 2.1 223,015 2.0 436,893 -4.72003 214,680 -0.7 51,501 -0.7 156,175 4.3 222,665 -0.2 427,605 -2.12004 217,743 1.4 52,347 1.6 186,656 19.5 228,663 2.7 427,940 0.12005 222,057 2.0 52,101 -0.5 218,672 17.2 235,712 3.1 437,395 2.22006 241,525 8.8 54,610 4.8 254,096 16.2 243,354 3.2 443,844 1.52007 246,940 2.2 57,194 4.7 306,153 20.5 252,390 3.7 449,122 1.22008 250,109 1.3 57,353 0.3 324,484 6.0 255,615 1.3 458,064 2.02009 255,234 2.0 55,024 -4.1 351,963 8.5 254,098 -0.6 467,351 2.02010 254,938 -0.1 57,296 4.1 355,337 1.0 256,674 1.0 478,770 2.42011 260,344 2.1 56,876 -0.7 371,055 4.4 261,470 1.9 472,103 -1.42012 265,943 2.2 58,547 2.9 432,576 16.6 267,043 2.1 490,243 3.82013 271,270 2.0 58,598 0.1 455,520 5.3 271,523 1.7 494,171 0.8
2014 277,631 2.3 59,872 2.2 481,519 5.7 277,466 2.2 506,770 2.52015 285,350 2.8 62,362 4.2 510,699 6.1 285,957 3.1 516,905 2.02016 293,853 3.0 65,268 4.7 543,690 6.5 295,565 3.4 527,863 2.12017 303,961 3.4 68,819 5.4 580,444 6.8 307,269 4.0 539,265 2.22018 313,567 3.2 72,301 5.1 616,431 6.2 318,208 3.6 549,835 2.02019 322,409 2.8 75,670 4.7 651,568 5.7 327,627 3.0 559,512 1.82020 330,276 2.4 78,818 4.2 687,013 5.4 336,342 2.7 568,240 1.6
Conclusión
C-12
PIB Total Impuestos Valor PIB Agropecuario PIB Industrial PIB ServiciosPesos Var.% Netos Agregado Bruto Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2011 12,774,243 4.0 328,823 12,445,420 377,193 -2.3 4,427,598 3.4 7,640,629 4.7
I 12,377,242 4.5 318,604 12,058,638 345,247 0.2 4,271,320 3.8 7,442,071 5.0II 12,597,463 3.2 324,272 12,273,190 379,831 -11.1 4,376,663 3.3 7,516,696 4.0III 12,813,924 4.2 329,844 12,484,080 334,263 3.3 4,481,218 2.8 7,668,600 5.1IV 13,308,342 4.3 342,571 12,965,771 449,430 0.2 4,581,191 3.9 7,935,150 4.8
2012 13,283,052 4.0 341,975 12,941,077 404,479 7.2 4,547,999 2.7 7,988,600 4.6
I 12,982,273 4.9 334,231 12,648,042 365,321 5.8 4,445,953 4.1 7,836,768 5.3II 13,164,150 4.5 338,914 12,825,236 430,877 13.4 4,530,071 3.5 7,864,289 4.6III 13,222,137 3.2 340,407 12,881,731 334,022 -0.1 4,592,713 2.5 7,954,996 3.7IV 13,763,649 3.4 354,348 13,409,301 487,694 8.5 4,623,261 0.9 8,298,346 4.6
2013 13,425,236 1.1 345,636 13,079,601 405,640 0.3 4,516,803 -0.7 8,157,158 2.1
I 13,064,767 0.6 336,355 12,728,412 357,268 -2.2 4,373,297 -1.6 7,997,847 2.1II 13,374,408 1.6 344,327 13,030,081 441,953 2.6 4,517,278 -0.3 8,070,849 2.6III 13,406,776 1.4 345,160 13,061,616 336,809 0.8 4,570,450 -0.5 8,154,357 2.5IV 13,854,994 0.7 356,700 13,498,295 486,531 -0.2 4,606,185 -0.4 8,405,578 1.3
2014 13,820,186 2.9 355,849 13,464,337 409,387 0.9 4,628,814 2.5 8,426,137 3.3
I 13,304,823 1.8 342,535 12,962,288 374,624 4.9 4,442,553 1.6 8,145,110 1.8II e/ 13,638,970 2.0 351,260 13,287,710 431,714 -2.3 4,557,094 0.9 8,298,902 2.8III e/ 13,904,563 3.7 358,020 13,546,543 331,634 -1.5 4,742,666 3.8 8,472,244 3.9IV e/ 14,432,388 4.2 371,580 14,060,808 499,576 2.7 4,772,941 3.6 8,788,290 4.6
Fuente: INEGI, Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
C-13
C-7. PIB Trimestral Total y por Grandes Sectores de Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2013-2014(Millones de pesos de 2008)
Años!
C-8. PIB Trimestral del Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2013-2014(Millones de pesos de 2008)
PIB Sector IndustrialAños Total Minería Manufacturas Construcción Electricidad
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2011 4,427,598 3.4 1,017,204 -0.4 2,109,315 4.6 1,015,099 4.1 285,979 6.9
I 4,271,320 3.8 1,003,668 -0.7 2,049,526 6.1 945,243 2.0 272,883 11.3II 4,376,663 3.3 1,019,076 -1.3 2,106,925 4.0 982,869 4.8 267,794 12.0III 4,481,218 2.8 1,014,430 -1.4 2,129,636 4.2 1,032,554 4.7 304,598 1.0IV 4,581,191 3.9 1,031,643 1.9 2,151,174 4.2 1,099,730 4.6 298,643 5.2
2012 4,547,999 2.7 1,026,249 0.9 2,193,069 4.0 1,035,854 2.0 292,826 2.4
I 4,445,953 4.1 1,013,310 1.0 2,174,041 6.1 972,742 2.9 285,859 4.8II 4,530,071 3.5 1,024,100 0.5 2,213,207 5.0 1,017,870 3.6 274,893 2.7III 4,592,713 2.5 1,031,834 1.7 2,197,238 3.2 1,053,876 2.1 309,764 1.7IV 4,623,261 0.9 1,035,753 0.4 2,187,792 1.7 1,098,928 -0.1 300,788 0.7
2013 4,516,803 -0.7 1,009,276 -1.7 2,224,839 1.4 989,417 -4.5 293,271 0.2
I 4,373,297 -1.6 994,990 -1.8 2,151,765 -1.0 943,874 -3.0 282,668 -1.1II 4,517,278 -0.3 1,002,847 -2.1 2,257,593 2.0 981,580 -3.6 275,259 0.1III 4,570,450 -0.5 1,012,890 -1.8 2,261,276 2.9 984,028 -6.6 312,255 0.8IV 4,606,185 -0.4 1,026,375 -0.9 2,228,723 1.9 1,048,185 -4.6 302,902 0.7
2014 4,628,814 2.5 1,009,366 0.0 2,315,280 4.1 1,004,692 1.5 299,476 2.1
I 4,442,553 1.6 994,712 0.0 2,243,517 4.3 917,579 -2.8 286,745 1.4II e/ 4,557,094 0.9 1,001,787 -0.1 2,309,792 2.3 965,317 -1.7 280,198 1.8III e/ 4,742,666 3.8 1,014,234 0.1 2,374,571 5.0 1,033,925 5.1 319,936 2.5IV e/ 4,772,941 3.6 1,026,730 0.0 2,333,239 4.7 1,101,947 5.1 311,026 2.7
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. Continúae/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
C-14
C-9. PIB Trimestral del Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2013-2014(Millones de pesos de 2008)
PIB Sector ServiciosComercio, Transporte, Almacenaje Servicios Financieros, Servicios Comunales,
Total Restaurantes y Hoteles y Comunicaciones Seguros e Inmuebles Sociales y Personales
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2011 7,640,629 4.7 2,178,883 8.7 728,423 4.0 2,071,827 3.9 2,661,496 2.5
I 7,442,071 5.0 2,078,640 10.3 703,262 4.7 2,062,611 5.3 2,597,558 1.1II 7,516,696 4.0 2,163,664 8.6 725,789 3.4 2,009,937 2.9 2,617,306 1.5III 7,668,600 5.1 2,202,214 9.3 733,069 4.2 2,069,210 3.2 2,664,107 3.4IV 7,935,150 4.8 2,271,012 6.7 751,572 3.9 2,145,552 4.3 2,767,013 4.0
2012 7,988,600 4.6 2,283,726 4.8 758,126 4.1 2,156,309 4.1 2,790,439 4.8
I 7,836,768 5.3 2,222,259 6.9 746,547 6.2 2,152,064 4.3 2,715,898 4.6II 7,864,289 4.6 2,278,054 5.3 757,534 4.4 2,097,035 4.3 2,731,666 4.4III 7,954,996 3.7 2,260,051 2.6 755,102 3.0 2,158,454 4.3 2,781,388 4.4IV 8,298,346 4.6 2,374,540 4.6 773,319 2.9 2,217,684 3.4 2,932,802 6.0
2013 8,157,158 2.1 2,345,218 2.7 769,345 1.5 2,201,540 2.1 2,841,055 1.8
I 7,997,847 2.1 2,243,200 0.9 750,042 0.5 2,202,140 2.3 2,802,464 3.2II 8,070,849 2.6 2,356,185 3.4 771,473 1.8 2,161,553 3.1 2,781,638 1.8III 8,154,357 2.5 2,352,131 4.1 772,525 2.3 2,199,236 1.9 2,830,465 1.8IV 8,405,578 1.3 2,429,356 2.3 783,338 1.3 2,243,232 1.2 2,949,652 0.6
2014 8,426,137 3.3 2,424,915 3.4 791,818 2.9 2,281,423 3.6 2,927,980 3.1
I 8,145,110 1.8 2,290,070 2.1 762,251 1.6 2,248,488 2.1 2,844,302 1.5II e/ 8,298,902 2.8 2,410,278 2.3 788,445 2.2 2,228,824 3.1 2,871,355 3.2III e/ 8,472,244 3.9 2,449,089 4.1 800,336 3.6 2,294,931 4.4 2,927,888 3.4IV e/ 8,788,290 4.6 2,550,224 5.0 816,238 4.2 2,353,451 4.9 3,068,377 4.0
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
C-15
Años!
C-10. PIB Trimestral de la Industria Manufacturera por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2013-2014(Millones de pesos de 2008)
Industria Alimentos, Textiles, Madera Imprenta Años Manufacturera Bebidas y Tabaco Vestidos y Cuero y sus Productos y Editoriales
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2011 2,109,315 4.6 576,989 2.6 99,984 -1.1 47,976 2.8 59,258 0.6
I 2,049,526 6.1 571,012 3.2 97,054 2.1 45,122 6.8 57,503 1.7II 2,106,925 4.0 574,117 2.1 98,973 -1.0 48,067 4.7 59,435 -1.2III 2,129,636 4.2 572,435 2.7 102,372 -2.3 44,500 -8.1 59,988 0.6IV 2,151,174 4.2 590,391 2.5 101,538 -2.9 54,213 8.2 60,107 1.4
2012 2,193,069 4.0 590,398 2.3 100,854 0.9 51,418 7.2 60,545 2.2
I 2,174,041 6.1 592,118 3.7 97,940 0.9 47,400 5.1 58,539 1.8II 2,213,207 5.0 590,984 2.9 98,078 -0.9 51,204 6.5 62,834 5.7III 2,197,238 3.2 578,051 1.0 104,006 1.6 52,456 17.9 61,619 2.7IV 2,187,792 1.7 600,437 1.7 103,391 1.8 54,610 0.7 59,189 -1.5
2013 2,224,839 1.4 593,783 0.6 102,504 1.6 49,149 -4.4 60,478 -0.1
I 2,151,765 -1.0 588,852 -0.6 96,346 -1.6 45,765 -3.4 58,512 0.0II 2,257,593 2.0 601,438 1.8 104,344 6.4 48,730 -4.8 62,306 -0.8III 2,261,276 2.9 584,325 1.1 105,732 1.7 48,435 -7.7 60,774 -1.4IV 2,228,723 1.9 600,517 0.0 103,593 0.2 53,664 -1.7 60,319 1.9
2014 2,315,280 4.1 605,071 1.9 102,611 0.1 49,464 0.6 61,955 2.4
I 2,243,517 4.3 594,706 1.0 96,582 0.2 44,875 -1.9 59,707 2.0II e/ 2,309,792 2.3 610,297 1.5 98,137 -5.9 46,856 -3.8 62,393 0.1III e/ 2,374,571 5.0 605,187 3.6 107,386 1.6 50,087 3.4 62,986 3.6IV e/ 2,333,239 4.7 610,095 1.6 108,340 4.6 56,037 4.4 62,734 4.0
Continúa
C-16
Continuación
Químicos, Minerales Industrias Maquinaria OtrasAños Petróleo y Caucho No Metálicos Metálicas Básicas y Equipo Industrias
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2011 397,318 0.2 111,756 3.7 214,273 5.2 554,750 12.1 47,011 5.1
I 393,137 -0.1 102,662 4.7 206,404 5.1 531,387 17.3 45,246 2.7II 403,658 -0.4 115,639 4.2 214,223 3.9 545,538 10.7 47,274 10.3III 403,243 0.6 113,840 4.9 220,684 6.0 565,233 10.6 47,341 5.7IV 389,236 0.7 114,883 1.2 215,781 5.6 576,844 10.4 48,182 2.1
2012 402,607 1.3 114,457 2.4 220,332 2.8 605,313 9.1 47,145 0.3
I 402,750 2.4 107,350 4.6 218,570 5.9 602,915 13.5 46,457 2.7II 410,541 1.7 116,494 0.7 226,630 5.8 608,667 11.6 47,776 1.1III 402,340 -0.2 118,523 4.1 221,504 0.4 611,196 8.1 47,543 0.4IV 394,798 1.4 115,462 0.5 214,625 -0.5 598,474 3.7 46,805 -2.9
2013 405,747 0.8 111,517 -2.6 220,578 0.1 633,492 4.7 47,592 0.9
I 394,765 -2.0 105,191 -2.0 214,695 -1.8 602,701 0.0 44,938 -3.3II 410,806 0.1 116,455 0.0 220,025 -2.9 646,072 6.1 47,418 -0.8III 417,256 3.7 113,178 -4.5 228,287 3.1 656,462 7.4 46,826 -1.5IV 400,162 1.4 111,242 -3.7 219,304 2.2 628,734 5.1 51,186 9.4
2014 414,712 2.2 113,378 1.7 234,250 6.2 683,972 8.0 49,867 4.8
I 399,825 1.3 106,919 1.6 234,752 9.3 658,318 9.2 47,833 6.4II e/ 403,133 -1.9 118,075 1.4 232,904 5.9 687,894 6.5 50,103 5.7III e/ 435,904 4.5 117,111 3.5 237,690 4.1 709,595 8.1 48,624 3.8IV e/ 419,985 5.0 111,408 0.1 231,652 5.6 680,081 8.2 52,907 3.4
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Conclusión
C-17
C-11. PIB Trimestral del Sector Industrial por Subsectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2013-2014(Millones de pesos de 2008)
Minería Electricidad ConstrucciónTotal Minería de minerales Generación, Agua y sumistro Construcción Trabajos
Años Sector Extracción metálicos y no transmisión de gas por ductos de obras de especializadosIndustrial de petróleo metálicos, excepto y suministro de al consumidor ingeniería para la
Total subsector y gas petróleo y gas Total subsector energía eléctrica final Total subsector Edificación civil construcciónPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2011 4,427,598 3.4 1,017,204 -0.4 828,271 -1.7 114,388 10.5 285,979 6.9 246,384 8.1 39,595 0.4 1,015,099 4.1 673,091 4.3 243,728 2.9 98,280 5.6
I 4,271,320 3.8 1,003,668 -0.7 827,624 -1.0 107,949 10.8 272,883 11.3 233,790 13.6 39,093 -0.6 945,243 2.0 631,257 0.9 219,889 4.0 94,097 4.7
II 4,376,663 3.3 1,019,076 -1.3 830,742 -1.0 116,527 13.5 267,794 12.0 228,125 14.3 39,669 0.4 982,869 4.8 648,408 6.1 236,521 1.0 97,939 6.1
III 4,481,218 2.8 1,014,430 -1.4 826,751 -2.8 112,996 8.1 304,598 1.0 264,891 1.0 39,707 0.7 1,032,554 4.7 685,740 5.4 246,805 3.0 100,009 4.4
IV 4,581,191 3.9 1,031,643 1.9 827,969 -2.0 120,080 9.8 298,643 5.2 258,730 5.9 39,913 1.2 1,099,730 4.6 726,959 4.6 271,695 3.7 101,076 7.0
2012 4,547,999 2.7 1,026,249 0.9 824,549 -0.4 124,822 9.1 292,826 2.4 252,554 2.5 40,273 1.7 1,035,854 2.0 687,151 2.1 246,223 1.0 102,480 4.3
I 4,445,953 4.1 1,013,310 1.0 818,838 -1.1 122,141 13.1 285,859 4.8 246,154 5.3 39,705 1.6 972,742 2.9 650,204 3.0 225,389 2.5 97,149 3.2
II 4,530,071 3.5 1,024,100 0.5 820,062 -1.3 128,304 10.1 274,893 2.7 234,658 2.9 40,235 1.4 1,017,870 3.6 675,166 4.1 240,576 1.7 102,128 4.3
III 4,592,713 2.5 1,031,834 1.7 828,271 0.2 124,536 10.2 309,764 1.7 269,280 1.7 40,484 2.0 1,053,876 2.1 693,722 1.2 252,893 2.5 107,261 7.3
IV 4,623,261 0.9 1,035,753 0.4 831,026 0.4 124,307 3.5 300,788 0.7 260,122 0.5 40,667 1.9 1,098,928 -0.1 729,513 0.4 266,035 -2.1 103,381 2.3
2013 4,516,803 -0.7 1,009,276 -1.7 814,914 -1.2 123,687 -0.9 293,271 0.2 252,803 0.1 40,468 0.5 989,417 -4.5 653,530 -4.9 235,782 -4.2 100,105 -2.3
I 4,373,297 -1.6 994,990 -1.8 811,125 -0.9 118,659 -2.9 282,668 -1.1 242,797 -1.4 39,870 0.4 943,874 -3.0 631,596 -2.9 216,739 -3.8 95,538 -1.7
II 4,517,278 -0.3 1,002,847 -2.1 808,083 -1.5 124,204 -3.2 275,259 0.1 234,801 0.1 40,458 0.6 981,580 -3.6 648,988 -3.9 231,179 -3.9 101,412 -0.7
III 4,570,450 -0.5 1,012,890 -1.8 816,539 -1.4 122,312 -1.8 312,255 0.8 271,534 0.8 40,721 0.6 984,028 -6.6 643,200 -7.3 237,980 -5.9 102,848 -4.1
IV 4,606,185 -0.4 1,026,375 -0.9 823,907 -0.9 129,574 4.2 302,902 0.7 262,081 0.8 40,822 0.4 1,048,185 -4.6 690,334 -5.4 257,230 -3.3 100,622 -2.7
2014 4,628,814 2.5 1,009,139 0.0 811,914 -0.4 127,634 3.2 300,240 2.4 258,484 2.2 41,756 3.2 1,004,633 1.5 664,898 1.7 235,202 -0.2 104,533 4.4
I 4,442,553 1.6 994,712 0.0 800,901 -1.3 127,809 7.7 286,745 1.4 246,410 1.5 40,336 1.2 917,579 -2.8 610,660 -3.3 205,566 -5.2 101,354 6.1
II e/ 4,557,094 0.9 1,001,490 -0.1 808,554 0.1 130,065 4.7 280,983 2.1 239,376 1.9 41,607 2.8 965,096 -1.7 646,166 -0.4 217,019 -6.1 101,911 0.5
III e/ 4,742,666 3.8 1,014,125 0.1 816,634 0.0 125,171 2.3 320,896 2.8 278,611 2.6 42,285 3.8 1,033,907 5.1 677,277 5.3 248,109 4.3 108,521 5.5
IV e/ 4,772,941 3.6 1,026,229 0.0 821,567 -0.3 127,492 -1.6 312,338 3.1 269,541 2.8 42,797 4.8 1,101,951 5.1 725,489 5.1 270,114 5.0 106,347 5.7
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. Continúae/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
C-18
Continuación
ManufacturasIndustrias alimentaria, de las bebidas y del tabaco Textiles, prendas de vestir y productos de cuero
Total Confección de Fabricación de cuero,Años Subsector Industria Fabricación productos textiles, Fabricación piel y materiales
Manufacturero Industria de las bebidas de insumos excepto prendas de prendas sucedáneos, exceptoTotal rama alimentaria y del tabaco Total rama textiles de vestir de vestir prendas de vestir
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2011 2,109,315 4.6 576,989 2.6 467,612 2.2 109,377 4.6 99,984 -1.1 16,328 -4.4 11,821 -2.9 54,214 0.2 17,622 -0.7
I 2,049,526 6.1 571,012 3.2 472,572 2.2 98,439 8.2 97,054 2.1 16,284 2.7 11,360 0.2 51,990 3.3 17,421 -0.5II 2,106,925 4.0 574,117 2.1 457,734 1.0 116,383 6.8 98,973 -1.0 16,124 -4.1 11,374 -5.0 53,748 1.0 17,727 -1.6III 2,129,636 4.2 572,435 2.7 459,734 2.7 112,701 2.6 102,372 -2.3 16,927 -7.3 12,206 -3.6 55,187 -0.8 18,052 -0.9IV 2,151,174 4.2 590,391 2.5 480,408 2.8 109,983 1.5 101,538 -2.9 15,977 -8.2 12,342 -3.0 55,930 -2.3 17,289 0.3
2012 2,193,069 4.0 590,398 2.3 478,163 2.3 112,234 2.6 100,854 0.9 16,840 3.1 11,807 -0.1 53,964 -0.5 18,242 3.5
I 2,174,041 6.1 592,118 3.7 488,695 3.4 103,423 5.1 97,940 0.9 16,010 -1.7 11,302 -0.5 52,016 0.1 18,613 6.8II 2,213,207 5.0 590,984 2.9 473,111 3.4 117,874 1.3 98,078 -0.9 16,781 4.1 11,504 1.1 51,745 -3.7 18,048 1.8III 2,197,238 3.2 578,051 1.0 463,538 0.8 114,513 1.6 104,006 1.6 17,905 5.8 12,433 1.9 55,106 -0.1 18,562 2.8IV 2,187,792 1.7 600,437 1.7 487,309 1.4 113,128 2.9 103,391 1.8 16,665 4.3 11,990 -2.8 56,989 1.9 17,746 2.6
2013 2,224,839 1.4 593,783 0.6 480,416 0.5 113,367 1.0 102,504 1.6 16,312 -3.1 12,156 3.0 55,645 3.1 18,391 0.8
I 2,151,765 -1.0 588,852 -0.6 486,773 -0.4 102,079 -1.3 96,346 -1.6 15,840 -1.1 11,876 5.1 50,744 -2.4 17,886 -3.9II 2,257,593 2.0 601,438 1.8 480,976 1.7 120,462 2.2 104,344 6.4 16,959 1.1 12,315 7.1 56,372 8.9 18,699 3.6III 2,261,276 2.9 584,325 1.1 466,717 0.7 117,608 2.7 105,732 1.7 16,828 -6.0 13,018 4.7 57,124 3.7 18,762 1.1IV 2,228,723 1.9 600,517 0.0 487,198 0.0 113,319 0.2 103,593 0.2 15,621 -6.3 11,415 -4.8 58,341 2.4 18,215 2.6
2014 2,315,280 4.1 605,071 1.9 489,250 1.8 115,821 2.2 102,611 0.1 15,872 -2.7 12,254 0.8 55,866 0.4 18,619 1.2
I 2,243,517 4.3 594,706 1.0 491,670 1.0 103,036 0.9 96,582 0.2 15,794 -0.3 11,983 0.9 50,935 0.4 17,871 -0.1II e/ 2,309,792 2.3 610,297 1.5 487,254 1.3 123,043 2.1 98,137 -5.9 15,705 -7.4 11,712 -4.9 52,892 -6.2 17,828 -4.7IIIe/ 2,374,571 5.0 605,187 3.6 483,176 3.5 122,011 3.7 107,386 1.6 16,678 -0.9 13,654 4.9 57,588 0.8 19,465 3.7IV e/ 2,333,239 4.7 610,095 1.6 494,901 1.6 115,194 1.7 108,340 4.6 15,309 -2.0 11,669 2.2 62,049 6.4 19,313 6.0
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. Continúae/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
C-19
Continuación
ManufacturasMadera y sus productos Impresión e industrias conexas Químicos, petróleo y caucho
Fabricación Fabricación deAños de muebles Impresión productos derivados Industria
Industria y productos Industria e industrias del petróleo Industria del plásticoTotal rama de la madera relacionados Total rama del papel conexas Total rama y del carbón química y del hule
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2011 47,976 2.8 47,976 5.1 27,677 1.2 59,258 0.6 41,646 -0.8 17,612 4.2 397,318 0.2 77,923 -3.6 259,084 -0.1 60,312 6.7
I 45,122 6.8 45,122 8.4 25,499 5.6 57,503 1.7 41,922 1.5 15,581 2.0 393,137 -0.1 77,955 -7.0 257,502 0.1 57,679 9.6II 48,067 4.7 48,067 6.8 25,949 3.0 59,435 -1.2 42,309 -1.5 17,127 -0.4 403,658 -0.4 77,761 -7.6 265,567 0.5 60,329 6.0III 44,500 -8.1 44,500 6.9 24,394 -17.6 59,988 0.6 41,430 -2.0 18,557 7.1 403,243 0.6 77,361 -5.5 263,634 1.2 62,248 5.9IV 54,213 8.2 54,213 -1.6 34,865 14.5 60,107 1.4 40,925 -1.3 19,183 7.6 389,236 0.7 78,612 6.8 249,631 -2.2 60,993 5.6
2012 51,418 7.2 51,418 13.0 28,477 2.9 60,545 2.2 43,646 4.8 16,899 -4.0 402,607 1.3 78,656 0.9 258,635 -0.2 65,317 8.3
I 47,400 5.1 47,400 4.0 27,001 5.9 58,539 1.8 42,421 1.2 16,118 3.4 402,750 2.4 78,548 0.8 259,662 0.8 64,540 11.9II 51,204 6.5 51,204 8.7 27,158 4.7 62,834 5.7 45,296 7.1 17,538 2.4 410,541 1.7 81,070 4.3 263,293 -0.9 66,178 9.7III 52,456 17.9 52,456 13.4 29,663 21.6 61,619 2.7 43,381 4.7 18,238 -1.7 402,340 -0.2 76,911 -0.6 259,216 -1.7 66,213 6.4IV 54,610 0.7 54,610 26.8 30,087 -13.7 59,189 -1.5 43,486 6.3 15,703 -18.1 394,798 1.4 78,093 -0.7 252,370 1.1 64,335 5.5
2013 49,149 -4.4 49,149 -2.7 26,836 -5.8 60,478 -0.1 44,784 2.6 15,694 -7.1 405,747 0.8 80,512 2.4 260,351 0.7 64,884 -0.7
I 45,765 -3.4 45,765 6.2 24,100 -10.7 58,512 0.0 44,050 3.8 14,462 -10.3 394,765 -2.0 77,698 -1.1 254,580 -2.0 62,487 -3.2II 48,730 -4.8 48,730 -3.6 25,544 -5.9 62,306 -0.8 46,150 1.9 16,157 -7.9 410,806 0.1 84,654 4.4 260,304 -1.1 65,848 -0.5III 48,435 -7.7 48,435 -4.1 26,579 -10.4 60,774 -1.4 44,452 2.5 16,322 -10.5 417,256 3.7 79,950 4.0 270,728 4.4 66,577 0.6IV 53,664 -1.7 53,664 -8.1 31,122 3.4 60,319 1.9 44,483 2.3 15,837 0.9 400,162 1.4 79,747 2.1 255,793 1.4 64,622 0.4
2014 49,464 0.6 49,464 1.9 26,735 -0.4 61,955 2.4 46,054 2.8 15,901 1.3 414,712 2.2 81,550 1.3 265,399 1.9 64,884 4.4
I 44,875 -1.9 44,875 -1.9 23,622 -2.0 59,707 2.0 45,306 2.9 14,402 -0.4 399,825 1.3 75,443 -2.9 258,587 1.6 65,794 5.3II e/ 46,856 -3.8 46,856 -2.0 24,138 -5.5 62,393 0.1 47,092 2.0 15,300 -5.3 403,133 -1.9 81,970 -3.2 253,370 -2.7 67,794 3.0III e/ 50,087 3.4 50,087 4.0 27,347 2.9 62,986 3.6 45,801 3.0 17,185 5.3 435,904 4.5 85,314 6.7 281,666 4.0 68,923 3.5IV e/ 56,037 4.4 56,037 7.4 31,831 2.3 62,734 4.0 46,017 3.4 16,717 5.6 419,985 5.0 83,471 4.7 267,972 4.8 68,542 6.1
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. Continúae/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
C-20
Continuación
ManufacturasFabricación de Industrias metálicas Maquinaria y equipo
productos a base Fabricación equipo Fabricación de equipoAños de minerales Industrias Fabricación Fabricación de computación, de generación Fabricación Otras
no metálicos metálicas de productos de maquinaria comunicación y eléctrica y accesorios de equipo industriasTotal rama Total rama básicas metálicos Total rama y equipo otros electrónicos eléctricos de transporte Total rama
Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2011 111,756 3.7 214,273 5.2 143,710 4.3 70,563 7.0 554,750 12.1 88,015 13.3 89,224 6.7 63,926 -1.1 313,585 16.6 47,011 5.1
I 102,662 4.7 206,404 5.1 137,719 2.5 68,685 10.7 531,387 17.3 79,315 17.5 82,752 3.9 63,239 4.1 306,081 24.9 45,246 2.7II 115,639 4.2 214,223 3.9 145,043 3.8 69,180 4.0 545,538 10.7 91,525 14.7 85,394 2.9 63,804 -3.2 304,815 15.4 47,274 10.3III 113,840 4.9 220,684 6.0 147,644 5.3 73,040 7.4 565,233 10.6 91,015 11.1 91,784 7.5 63,990 -4.2 318,442 14.9 47,341 5.7IV 114,883 1.2 215,781 5.6 144,434 5.4 71,346 6.2 576,844 10.4 90,206 10.6 96,966 12.2 64,672 -0.5 325,000 12.3 48,182 2.1
2012 114,457 2.4 220,332 2.8 146,991 2.3 73,341 3.9 605,313 9.1 92,730 5.4 89,682 0.5 65,082 1.8 357,819 14.1 47,145 0.3
I 107,350 4.6 218,570 5.9 146,346 6.3 72,225 5.2 602,915 13.5 95,486 20.4 87,360 5.6 63,243 0.0 356,827 16.6 46,457 2.7II 116,494 0.7 226,630 5.8 151,639 4.5 74,991 8.4 608,667 11.6 97,284 6.3 89,659 5.0 64,296 0.8 357,427 17.3 47,776 1.1III 118,523 4.1 221,504 0.4 146,207 -1.0 75,297 3.1 611,196 8.1 91,879 0.9 90,107 -1.8 66,730 4.3 362,480 13.8 47,543 0.4IV 115,462 0.5 214,625 -0.5 143,775 -0.5 70,851 -0.7 598,474 3.7 86,270 -4.4 91,604 -5.5 66,059 2.1 354,541 9.1 46,805 -2.9
2013 111,517 -2.6 220,578 0.1 147,005 0.0 73,572 0.3 633,492 4.7 91,147 -1.7 101,980 13.7 63,630 -2.2 376,735 5.3 47,592 0.9
I 105,191 -2.0 214,695 -1.8 142,705 -2.5 71,990 -0.3 602,701 0.0 87,230 -8.6 97,534 11.6 60,636 -4.1 357,301 0.1 44,938 -3.3II 116,455 0.0 220,025 -2.9 144,481 -4.7 75,543 0.7 646,072 6.1 96,515 -0.8 102,737 14.6 64,308 0.0 382,512 7.0 47,418 -0.8III 113,178 -4.5 228,287 3.1 153,534 5.0 74,754 -0.7 656,462 7.4 94,521 2.9 109,050 21.0 65,118 -2.4 387,772 7.0 46,826 -1.5IV 111,242 -3.7 219,304 2.2 147,301 2.5 72,003 1.6 628,734 5.1 86,321 0.1 98,598 7.6 64,460 -2.4 379,355 7.0 51,186 9.4
2014 113,378 1.7 234,250 6.2 159,477 8.5 74,772 1.6 683,972 8.0 92,861 1.9 109,317 7.2 66,648 4.7 415,146 10.2 49,867 4.8
I 106,919 1.6 234,752 9.3 162,794 14.1 71,958 0.0 658,318 9.2 88,901 1.9 101,659 4.2 65,370 7.8 402,387 12.6 47,833 6.4II e/ 118,075 1.4 232,904 5.9 156,464 8.3 76,440 1.2 687,894 6.5 93,889 -2.7 104,710 1.9 66,021 2.7 423,274 10.7 50,103 5.7III e/ 117,111 3.5 237,690 4.1 161,726 5.3 75,964 1.6 709,595 8.1 100,113 5.9 120,452 10.5 67,882 4.2 421,147 8.6 48,624 3.8IV e/ 111,408 0.1 231,652 5.6 156,925 6.5 74,727 3.8 680,081 8.2 88,540 2.6 110,448 12.0 67,318 4.4 413,775 9.1 52,907 3.4
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. Conclusióne/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
C-21
C-12. PIB Trimestral del Sector Servicios por Subsector Económico: Escenario Base 2013-2014(Millones de pesos de 2008)
Comercio, restaurantes y hoteles Servicios financieros, seguros y actividades inmobiliariasTotal Servicios de Transporte, Servicios
Sector alojamiento temporal almacenaje y Servicios inmobiliarios yAños Servicios y de preparación de comunicaciones financieros de alquiler de bienes
Total subsector Comercio alimentos y bebidas Total subsector Total subsector y de seguros muebles e intangiblesPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2011 7,640,629 4.7 2,178,883 8.7 1,919,062 9.7 259,820 1.5 728,423 4.0 2,071,827 3.9 523,318 7.1 1,548,510 2.9
I 7,442,071 5.0 2,078,640 10.3 1,825,406 12.0 253,234 -0.8 703,262 4.7 2,062,611 5.3 504,814 10.8 1,557,797 3.7II 7,516,696 4.0 2,163,664 8.6 1,908,926 9.7 254,737 0.7 725,789 3.4 2,009,937 2.9 497,145 3.7 1,512,792 2.6III 7,668,600 5.1 2,202,214 9.3 1,937,574 10.4 264,640 2.3 733,069 4.2 2,069,210 3.2 526,743 5.6 1,542,466 2.5IV 7,935,150 4.8 2,271,012 6.7 2,004,343 7.1 266,669 3.8 751,572 3.9 2,145,552 4.3 564,568 8.5 1,580,984 2.9
2012 7,988,600 4.6 2,283,726 4.8 2,009,661 4.7 274,065 5.5 758,126 4.1 2,156,309 4.1 567,904 8.5 1,588,406 2.6
I 7,836,768 5.3 2,222,259 6.9 1,955,460 7.1 266,799 5.4 746,547 6.2 2,152,064 4.3 553,936 9.7 1,598,128 2.6II 7,864,289 4.6 2,278,054 5.3 2,009,846 5.3 268,208 5.3 757,534 4.4 2,097,035 4.3 545,916 9.8 1,551,118 2.5III 7,954,996 3.7 2,260,051 2.6 1,980,733 2.2 279,318 5.5 755,102 3.0 2,158,454 4.3 572,388 8.7 1,586,066 2.8IV 8,298,346 4.6 2,374,540 4.6 2,092,603 4.4 281,937 5.7 773,319 2.9 2,217,684 3.4 599,375 6.2 1,618,309 2.4
2013 8,157,158 2.1 2,345,218 2.7 2,065,369 2.8 279,849 2.1 769,345 1.5 2,201,540 2.1 589,595 3.8 1,611,945 1.5
I 7,997,847 2.1 2,243,200 0.9 1,965,977 0.5 277,223 3.9 750,042 0.5 2,202,140 2.3 575,112 3.8 1,627,028 1.8II 8,070,849 2.6 2,356,185 3.4 2,085,006 3.7 271,179 1.1 771,473 1.8 2,161,553 3.1 585,158 7.2 1,576,396 1.6III 8,154,357 2.5 2,352,131 4.1 2,068,086 4.4 284,044 1.7 772,525 2.3 2,199,236 1.9 590,065 3.1 1,609,171 1.5IV 8,405,578 1.3 2,429,356 2.3 2,142,405 2.4 286,951 1.8 783,338 1.3 2,243,232 1.2 608,046 1.4 1,635,186 1.0
2014 8,426,137 3.3 2,424,915 3.4 2,137,140 3.5 287,775 2.8 791,818 2.9 2,281,423 3.6 621,286 5.4 1,660,137 3.0
I 8,145,110 1.8 2,290,070 2.1 2,007,783 2.1 282,286 1.8 762,251 1.6 2,248,488 2.1 585,670 1.8 1,662,817 2.2II e/ 8,298,902 2.8 2,410,278 2.3 2,130,042 2.2 280,236 3.3 788,445 2.2 2,228,824 3.1 616,171 5.3 1,612,653 2.3III e/ 8,472,244 3.9 2,449,089 4.1 2,157,232 4.3 291,857 2.8 800,336 3.6 2,294,931 4.4 627,829 6.4 1,667,101 3.6IV e/ 8,788,290 4.6 2,550,224 5.0 2,253,504 5.2 296,721 3.4 816,238 4.2 2,353,451 4.9 655,474 7.8 1,697,977 3.8
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. Continuacióne/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
C-22
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios Servicios de
profesionales, Dirección apoyo a los negocios y Años científicos de corporativos manejo de desechos y Servicios
Total subsector y técnicos y empresas servicios de remediación educativosPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2011 2,661,496 2.5 288,288 5.1 74,383 3.5 395,696 6.0 481,281 1.6
I 2,597,558 1.1 278,549 4.5 69,587 0.1 386,082 4.5 485,049 -0.3II 2,617,306 1.5 287,160 5.6 73,079 1.6 388,921 6.0 459,777 0.8III 2,664,107 3.4 280,142 4.3 73,985 3.0 398,828 7.2 480,045 3.1IV 2,767,013 4.0 307,302 6.2 80,881 9.1 408,954 6.2 500,251 2.7
2012 2,790,439 4.8 291,560 1.1 79,409 6.8 413,124 4.4 491,994 2.2
I 2,715,898 4.6 280,957 0.9 71,581 2.9 397,173 2.9 501,155 3.3II 2,731,666 4.4 282,585 -1.6 77,556 6.1 404,578 4.0 467,538 1.7III 2,781,388 4.4 287,990 2.8 81,398 10.0 410,395 2.9 488,873 1.8IV 2,932,802 6.0 314,706 2.4 87,099 7.7 440,351 7.7 510,411 2.0
2013 2,841,055 1.8 288,578 -1.0 74,925 -5.6 429,115 3.9 497,357 1.1
I 2,802,464 3.2 283,724 1.0 70,781 -1.1 422,087 6.3 499,975 -0.2II 2,781,638 1.8 280,766 -0.6 75,352 -2.8 419,893 3.8 475,853 1.8III 2,830,465 1.8 279,225 -3.0 79,838 -1.9 421,879 2.8 495,334 1.3IV 2,949,652 0.6 310,595 -1.3 73,727 -15.4 452,600 2.8 518,266 1.5
2014 2,927,980 3.1 292,867 1.5 78,732 5.1 444,921 3.7 508,203 2.2
I 2,844,302 1.5 283,164 -0.2 74,117 4.7 419,058 -0.7 513,656 2.7II e/ 2,871,355 3.2 285,258 1.6 78,216 3.8 435,849 3.8 486,322 2.2III e/ 2,927,888 3.4 285,927 2.4 83,191 4.2 445,926 5.7 505,241 2.0IV e/ 3,068,377 4.0 317,118 2.1 79,404 7.7 478,851 5.8 527,595 1.8
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. Continúae/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
C-23
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios de esparcimiento,
Servicios culturales y deportivos, Otros serviciosAños de salud y otros servicios Información en excepto actividades Actividades
y de asistencia social recreativos medios masivos del gobierno del gobiernoPesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.% Pesos Var.%
2011 260,344 2.1 56,876 -0.7 371,055 4.4 261,470 1.9 472,103 -1.4
I 263,136 2.7 55,263 0.8 347,615 -0.7 255,712 0.7 456,565 -1.3II 250,462 2.5 54,907 0.3 364,808 2.2 256,799 2.4 481,393 -4.4III 266,167 2.7 56,576 -1.9 385,131 8.3 264,552 2.2 458,680 -2.0IV 261,610 0.6 60,756 -1.8 386,665 7.8 268,818 2.2 491,774 2.3
2012 265,943 2.2 58,547 2.9 432,576 16.6 267,043 2.1 490,243 3.8
I 267,217 1.6 54,484 -1.4 405,157 16.6 262,383 2.6 475,791 4.2II 254,462 1.6 55,884 1.8 417,765 14.5 261,381 1.8 509,918 5.9III 272,905 2.5 59,201 4.6 438,969 14.0 270,316 2.2 471,341 2.8IV 269,188 2.9 64,618 6.4 468,414 21.1 274,092 2.0 503,924 2.5
2013 271,270 2.0 58,598 0.1 455,520 5.3 271,523 1.7 494,171 0.8
I 276,561 3.5 56,030 2.8 449,165 10.9 268,577 2.4 475,564 0.0II 261,064 2.6 54,915 -1.7 444,216 6.3 266,561 2.0 503,017 -1.4III 275,439 0.9 58,841 -0.6 460,521 4.9 275,002 1.7 484,385 2.8IV 272,017 1.1 64,605 0.0 468,176 -0.1 275,950 0.7 513,717 1.9
2014 277,631 2.3 59,872 2.2 481,519 5.7 277,466 2.2 506,770 2.5
I 277,155 0.2 53,919 -3.8 463,008 3.1 266,975 -0.6 493,250 3.7II e/ 267,852 2.6 56,673 3.2 465,095 4.7 273,758 2.7 522,333 3.8III e/ 284,253 3.2 61,253 4.1 489,534 6.3 284,353 3.4 488,210 0.8IV e/ 281,265 3.4 67,641 4.7 508,439 8.6 284,780 3.2 523,285 1.9
Fuente: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México. Conclusióne/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
C-24
D. Población Ocupada Indicadores Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo
Sección: D-I.Población Ocupada, PEA y Tasa de Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación 1980-2020
Sección: D-II.Asegurados Permanentes y Eventuales Urbanos en el IMSS 1980-2020
Sección: D-III.ENOE Población Ocupada por Sectores Económicos 1980-2020
Sección: D-IV.ENOE Población Ocupada, PEA y Tasas de Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación 1980-2020
Sección: D-V.ENOE Informalidad Laboral en México 1980-2020
Sección: D-VI.ENOE Indicadores Trimestrales Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo 2013-2014
Sección: D-VII.INEGI Indicadores de Ocupación por Sectores Económicos 1980-2020
Sección: D-I. Población Ocupada
Cuadro D-1.Población Ocupada, PEA y Tasa de Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación 1980-2020
Cuadro D-2.Personal Ocupado por Grandes Sectores Económicos 1980-2020
Cuadro D-3.
Personal Ocupado en el Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica 1980-2020
Cuadro D-4.Personal Ocupado en el Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica 1980-2020
Cuadro D-5.Personal Ocupado en la Industria Manufacturera por Actividad Económica 1980-2020
Cuadro D-6.Personal Ocupado en el Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas 1980-2020
Cuadro D-7.Personal Ocupado en el Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos 1980-2020
D-1. Población Ocupada, PEA y Tasa de Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Miles de personas)
Población Ocupada Remunerada Población Ocupación Parcial Empleo en el Laboran en EUAAños Total Nuevos Con IMSS / ISSSTE Nuevos % con Económicamente Activa y Desocupación Sector Informal Total Flujo % PEA
Personas Var.% Empleos Personas Var.% Asegurados Seguro Social Personas Var.% % PEA Personas % PEA Personas % PEA Personas Anual de EUA
1980 24,603 6.4 1,477 7,409 12.6 827 30.1 27,998 4.7 100.0 2,854 10.2 5,656 20.2 1,309 56 1.221981 26,122 6.2 1,519 8,193 10.6 784 31.4 29,219 4.4 100.0 1,843 6.3 5,156 17.6 1,371 61 1.261982 26,030 -0.4 -92 8,215 0.3 22 31.6 29,746 1.8 100.0 2,497 8.4 5,551 18.7 1,441 70 1.311983 25,319 -2.7 -711 8,246 0.4 31 32.6 29,424 -1.1 100.0 2,947 10.0 5,997 20.4 1,518 77 1.361984 25,928 2.4 609 8,939 8.4 693 34.5 30,081 2.2 100.0 2,380 7.9 6,174 20.5 1,600 82 1.411985 26,484 2.1 557 9,494 6.2 556 35.8 31,004 3.1 100.0 2,470 8.0 6,366 20.5 1,692 92 1.471986 26,064 -1.6 -420 9,459 -0.4 -35 36.3 31,160 0.5 100.0 3,113 10.0 6,812 21.9 1,793 101 1.521987 26,299 0.9 235 10,272 8.6 813 39.1 31,806 2.1 100.0 3,134 9.9 7,118 22.4 1,911 118 1.591988 26,482 0.7 183 10,423 1.5 151 39.4 32,522 2.3 100.0 3,042 9.4 7,306 22.5 2,091 180 1.721989 27,199 2.7 716 10,909 4.7 487 40.1 33,238 2.2 100.0 2,701 8.1 7,521 22.6 2,313 222 1.871990 28,402 4.4 1,204 11,620 6.5 711 40.9 34,760 4.6 100.0 2,724 7.8 7,640 22.0 2,578 265 2.051991 29,195 2.8 792 12,105 4.2 485 41.5 35,822 3.1 100.0 2,701 7.5 7,879 22.0 2,861 282 2.261992 29,593 1.4 398 12,061 -0.4 -44 40.8 36,444 1.7 100.0 3,029 8.3 8,226 22.6 3,163 302 2.471993 29,861 0.9 268 11,914 -1.2 -147 39.9 37,473 2.8 100.0 3,722 9.9 8,516 22.7 3,465 303 2.681994 30,567 2.4 706 12,102 1.6 188 39.6 38,790 3.5 100.0 4,175 10.8 8,802 22.7 3,775 309 2.881995 29,636 -3.0 -931 11,313 -6.5 -789 38.2 37,278 -3.9 100.0 5,598 15.0 9,500 25.5 4,204 429 3.181996 30,632 3.4 996 12,146 7.4 833 39.7 37,946 1.8 100.0 4,475 11.8 9,733 25.6 4,034 -170 3.011997 31,820 3.9 1,188 12,741 4.9 595 40.0 39,447 4.0 100.0 4,260 10.8 10,179 25.8 4,415 381 3.241998 33,186 4.3 1,366 13,447 5.5 706 40.5 40,289 2.1 100.0 4,100 10.2 10,953 27.2 4,578 163 3.331999 33,944 2.3 758 14,146 5.2 699 41.7 40,095 -0.5 100.0 3,195 8.0 10,857 27.1 4,619 41 3.312000 34,634 2.0 690 14,725 4.1 579 42.5 41,006 2.3 100.0 3,267 8.0 11,272 27.5 5,005 387 3.512001 34,388 -0.7 -246 14,480 -1.7 -245 42.1 41,084 0.2 100.0 3,057 7.4 11,281 27.5 5,335 329 3.712002 34,096 -0.8 -292 14,556 0.5 77 42.7 41,266 0.4 100.0 3,115 7.5 11,357 27.5 6,349 1,014 4.382003 34,244 0.4 148 14,570 0.1 14 42.5 42,068 1.9 100.0 3,564 8.5 11,752 27.9 6,458 110 4.412004 35,608 4.0 1,364 14,927 2.4 356 41.9 43,195 2.7 100.0 4,084 9.5 11,994 27.8 6,726 268 4.562005 35,847 0.7 239 15,370 3.0 443 42.9 43,997 1.9 100.0 4,126 9.4 11,959 27.2 6,937 210 4.652006 37,234 3.9 1,387 15,999 4.1 630 43.0 45,342 3.1 100.0 4,285 9.5 11,896 26.2 7,151 214 4.722007 37,917 1.8 683 16,591 3.7 591 43.8 46,290 2.1 100.0 4,658 10.1 12,138 26.2 7,663 512 5.002008 38,486 1.5 569 16,605 0.1 14 43.1 47,130 1.8 100.0 4,781 10.1 12,408 26.3 7,630 -33 4.952009 37,097 -3.6 -1,389 16,464 -0.8 -141 44.4 48,340 2.6 100.0 5,627 11.6 12,942 26.8 7,720 90 5.012010 37,636 1.5 539 17,256 4.8 792 45.8 49,013 1.4 100.0 5,744 11.7 13,004 26.5 7,788 69 5.062011 38,172 1.4 536 17,883 3.6 627 46.8 50,019 2.1 100.0 5,740 11.5 13,568 27.1 7,614 -174 4.962012 39,164 2.6 992 18,627 4.2 745 47.6 51,511 3.0 100.0 5,928 11.5 14,080 27.3 7,591 -24 4.902013 39,521 0.9 357 19,111 2.6 484 48.4 52,051 1.0 100.0 5,906 11.3 14,018 26.9 7,557 -34 4.86
2014 40,008 1.2 488 19,739 3.3 628 49.3 52,981 1.8 100.0 6,044 11.4 14,147 28.1 7,513 -44 4.802015 40,897 2.2 889 20,520 4.0 781 50.2 54,229 2.4 100.0 6,002 11.1 14,246 27.6 7,548 35 4.762016 42,191 3.2 1,294 21,516 4.9 996 51.0 55,833 3.0 100.0 5,827 10.4 14,203 26.7 7,657 109 4.742017 43,759 3.7 1,568 22,739 5.7 1,223 52.0 57,621 3.2 100.0 5,490 9.5 13,763 24.9 7,812 156 4.752018 45,383 3.7 1,624 23,955 5.3 1,216 52.8 59,381 3.1 100.0 5,103 8.6 13,426 23.5 7,985 173 4.782019 46,852 3.2 1,469 25,090 4.7 1,135 53.6 61,028 2.8 100.0 4,876 8.0 13,258 22.5 8,134 148 4.802020 48,220 2.9 1,368 26,207 4.5 1,117 54.3 62,585 2.6 100.0 4,698 7.5 13,185 21.8 8,262 128 4.82
D-1
D-2. Personal Ocupado por Grandes Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Puestos de trabajo ocupados remunerados)
Población Ocupada por Sectores Económicos Estructura PorcentualAños Total Sector Agropecuario Sector Industrial Sector Servicios Total Primario Secundario Terciario
Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% % % % %
1980 24,602,687 6.4 5,480,791 3.5 6,992,209 8.0 12,129,687 6.8 100.0 22.3 28.4 49.31981 26,121,780 6.2 5,634,952 2.8 7,570,168 8.3 12,916,660 6.5 100.0 21.6 29.0 49.41982 26,030,084 -0.4 5,448,835 -3.3 7,411,375 -2.1 13,169,874 2.0 100.0 20.9 28.5 50.61983 25,318,960 -2.7 5,678,026 4.2 6,620,132 -10.7 13,020,803 -1.1 100.0 22.4 26.1 51.41984 25,927,555 2.4 5,742,952 1.1 6,875,983 3.9 13,308,621 2.2 100.0 22.1 26.5 51.31985 26,484,078 2.1 5,893,187 2.6 7,084,137 3.0 13,506,753 1.5 100.0 22.3 26.7 51.01986 26,063,667 -1.6 5,748,103 -2.5 6,877,150 -2.9 13,438,415 -0.5 100.0 22.1 26.4 51.61987 26,299,106 0.9 5,835,026 1.5 6,928,079 0.7 13,536,002 0.7 100.0 22.2 26.3 51.51988 26,482,049 0.7 5,981,898 2.5 6,948,143 0.3 13,552,007 0.1 100.0 22.6 26.2 51.21989 27,198,534 2.7 5,858,050 -2.1 7,318,921 5.3 14,021,563 3.5 100.0 21.5 26.9 51.61990 28,402,365 4.4 5,952,809 1.6 7,799,203 6.6 14,650,354 4.5 100.0 21.0 27.5 51.61991 29,194,592 2.8 5,937,717 -0.3 7,959,547 2.1 15,297,328 4.4 100.0 20.3 27.3 52.41992 29,592,852 1.4 5,883,435 -0.9 8,014,596 0.7 15,694,821 2.6 100.0 19.9 27.1 53.01993 29,861,321 0.9 5,966,736 1.4 7,972,564 -0.5 15,922,021 1.4 100.0 20.0 26.7 53.31994 30,567,389 2.4 6,037,268 1.2 8,085,237 1.4 16,444,885 3.3 100.0 19.8 26.5 53.81995 29,635,986 -3.0 5,917,653 -2.0 7,395,642 -8.5 16,322,691 -0.7 100.0 20.0 25.0 55.11996 30,631,556 3.4 6,028,340 1.9 8,043,230 8.8 16,559,987 1.5 100.0 19.7 26.3 54.11997 31,819,963 3.9 5,843,954 -3.1 8,843,118 9.9 17,132,891 3.5 100.0 18.4 27.8 53.81998 33,186,333 4.3 6,062,875 3.7 9,382,921 6.1 17,740,538 3.5 100.0 18.3 28.3 53.51999 33,943,910 2.3 6,107,305 0.7 9,657,090 2.9 18,179,515 2.5 100.0 18.0 28.5 53.62000 34,634,241 2.0 6,006,207 -1.7 9,993,388 3.5 18,634,645 2.5 100.0 17.3 28.9 53.82001 34,388,016 -0.7 6,073,331 1.1 9,538,150 -4.6 18,776,535 0.8 100.0 17.7 27.7 54.62002 34,096,303 -0.8 6,001,847 -1.2 9,273,947 -2.8 18,820,510 0.2 100.0 17.6 27.2 55.22003 34,244,084 0.4 6,110,151 1.8 9,267,295 -0.1 18,866,638 0.2 100.0 17.8 27.1 55.12004 35,608,452 4.0 6,627,532 8.5 9,811,426 5.9 19,169,494 1.6 100.0 18.6 27.6 53.82005 35,847,428 0.7 6,351,669 -4.2 9,981,776 1.7 19,513,983 1.8 100.0 17.7 27.8 54.42006 37,233,963 3.9 6,701,007 5.5 10,572,446 5.9 19,960,510 2.3 100.0 18.0 28.4 53.62007 37,917,305 1.8 6,697,303 -0.1 10,710,564 1.3 20,509,438 2.8 100.0 17.7 28.2 54.12008 38,486,251 1.5 6,668,835 -0.4 10,942,142 2.2 20,875,274 1.8 100.0 17.3 28.4 54.22009 37,096,910 -3.6 6,522,941 -2.2 9,975,607 -8.8 20,598,362 -1.3 100.0 17.6 26.9 55.52010 37,636,192 1.5 6,804,995 4.3 9,969,962 -0.1 20,861,235 1.3 100.0 18.1 26.5 55.42011 38,171,733 1.4 6,524,460 -4.1 10,355,583 3.9 21,291,690 2.1 100.0 17.1 27.1 55.82012 39,163,690 2.6 6,888,105 5.6 10,486,247 1.3 21,789,338 2.3 100.0 17.6 26.8 55.62013 39,520,561 0.9 7,069,750 2.6 10,328,836 -1.5 22,121,974 1.5 100.0 17.9 26.1 56.0
2014 40,008,330 1.2 6,948,280 -1.7 10,471,843 1.4 22,588,207 2.1 100.0 17.4 26.2 56.52015 40,896,978 2.2 6,843,083 -1.5 10,924,537 4.3 23,129,358 2.4 100.0 16.7 26.7 56.62016 42,191,111 3.2 6,856,908 0.2 11,518,642 5.4 23,815,561 3.0 100.0 16.3 27.3 56.42017 43,758,783 3.7 6,832,504 -0.4 12,290,072 6.7 24,636,207 3.4 100.0 15.6 28.1 56.32018 45,383,145 3.7 6,906,237 1.1 13,099,713 6.6 25,377,195 3.0 100.0 15.2 28.9 55.92019 46,852,270 3.2 6,909,524 0.0 13,871,001 5.9 26,071,745 2.7 100.0 14.7 29.6 55.62020 48,220,291 2.9 6,924,278 0.2 14,572,118 5.1 26,723,895 2.5 100.0 14.4 30.2 55.4
Continúa
D-2
D-3. Personal Ocupado en el Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Puestos de trabajo ocupados remunerados)
Personal OcupadoAños Total Minería Manufacturas Construcción Electricidad
Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.%
1980 6,992,209 8.0 242,366 9.1 4,481,777 5.9 2,155,122 12.7 112,944 8.61981 7,570,168 8.3 259,135 6.9 4,676,538 4.3 2,514,490 16.7 120,005 6.31982 7,411,375 -2.1 274,952 6.1 4,563,975 -2.4 2,448,040 -2.6 124,407 3.71983 6,620,132 -10.7 276,052 0.4 4,241,289 -7.1 1,976,805 -19.2 125,985 1.31984 6,875,983 3.9 287,225 4.0 4,348,781 2.5 2,109,213 6.7 130,763 3.81985 7,084,137 3.0 299,284 4.2 4,463,444 2.6 2,183,346 3.5 138,063 5.61986 6,877,150 -2.9 298,354 -0.3 4,326,394 -3.1 2,111,744 -3.3 140,658 1.91987 6,928,079 0.7 312,846 4.9 4,351,734 0.6 2,118,903 0.3 144,596 2.81988 6,948,143 0.3 320,326 2.4 4,353,902 0.0 2,125,746 0.3 148,170 2.51989 7,318,921 5.3 301,719 -5.8 4,477,427 2.8 2,387,851 12.3 151,924 2.51990 7,799,203 6.6 311,708 3.3 4,558,116 1.8 2,770,856 16.0 158,523 4.31991 7,959,547 2.1 307,221 -1.4 4,567,961 0.2 2,922,197 5.5 162,168 2.31992 8,014,596 0.7 260,098 -15.3 4,594,805 0.6 2,995,989 2.5 163,704 0.91993 7,972,564 -0.5 229,018 -11.9 4,468,832 -2.7 3,109,752 3.8 164,962 0.81994 8,085,237 1.4 218,635 -4.5 4,357,115 -2.5 3,346,165 7.6 163,321 -1.01995 7,395,642 -8.5 216,258 -1.1 4,113,677 -5.6 2,899,211 -13.4 166,495 1.91996 8,043,230 8.8 216,283 0.0 4,355,211 5.9 3,302,707 13.9 169,029 1.51997 8,843,118 9.9 220,932 2.1 4,672,002 7.3 3,777,014 14.4 173,170 2.41998 9,382,921 6.1 225,981 2.3 4,901,226 4.9 4,075,845 7.9 179,869 3.91999 9,657,090 2.9 225,883 0.0 5,042,038 2.9 4,194,870 2.9 194,299 8.02000 9,993,388 3.5 229,529 1.6 5,232,032 3.8 4,335,507 3.4 196,321 1.02001 9,538,150 -4.6 225,095 -1.9 5,008,628 -4.3 4,101,980 -5.4 202,446 3.12002 9,273,947 -2.8 221,887 -1.4 4,703,619 -6.1 4,138,580 0.9 209,860 3.72003 9,267,295 -0.1 222,051 0.1 4,586,888 -2.5 4,240,373 2.5 217,983 3.92004 9,811,426 5.9 228,360 2.8 4,595,544 0.2 4,769,203 12.5 218,319 0.22005 9,981,776 1.7 227,695 -0.3 4,606,913 0.2 4,926,621 3.3 220,547 1.02006 10,572,446 5.9 232,306 2.0 4,619,041 0.3 5,496,485 11.6 224,614 1.82007 10,710,564 1.3 249,252 7.3 4,508,624 -2.4 5,725,208 4.2 227,480 1.32008 10,942,142 2.2 257,311 3.2 4,312,031 -4.4 6,145,436 7.3 227,364 -0.12009 9,975,607 -8.8 255,956 -0.5 3,920,174 -9.1 5,583,899 -9.1 215,578 -5.22010 9,969,962 -0.1 257,876 0.8 3,977,811 1.5 5,539,036 -0.8 195,239 -9.42011 10,355,583 3.9 261,343 1.3 3,995,456 0.4 5,893,241 6.4 205,543 5.32012 10,486,247 1.3 266,488 2.0 4,028,781 0.8 5,979,254 1.5 211,724 3.02013 10,328,836 -1.5 271,193 1.8 4,053,965 0.6 5,787,382 -3.2 216,297 2.2
2014 10,471,843 1.4 280,968 3.6 4,146,547 2.3 5,820,808 0.6 223,520 3.32015 10,924,537 4.3 287,419 2.3 4,287,624 3.4 6,115,543 5.1 233,951 4.72016 11,518,642 5.4 296,918 3.3 4,470,971 4.3 6,503,751 6.3 247,002 5.62017 12,290,072 6.7 310,183 4.5 4,696,999 5.1 7,020,328 7.9 262,563 6.32018 13,099,713 6.6 323,832 4.4 4,904,358 4.4 7,593,311 8.2 278,212 6.02019 13,871,001 5.9 335,462 3.6 5,101,132 4.0 8,141,158 7.2 293,249 5.42020 14,572,118 5.1 347,471 3.6 5,281,515 3.5 8,635,541 6.1 307,591 4.9
C-3
D-4. Personal Ocupado en el Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Puestos de trabajo ocupados remunerados)
Personal OcupadoComercio, Transporte, Almacenaje Servicios Financieros, Servicios Comunales,
Total Restaurantes y Hoteles y Comunicaciones Seguros e Inmuebles Sociales y PersonalesPersonas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.%
1980 12,129,687 6.8 3,353,314 4.1 1,043,694 16.3 282,591 8.8 7,450,088 6.81981 12,916,660 6.5 3,569,113 6.4 1,121,710 7.5 310,035 9.7 7,915,801 6.31982 13,169,874 2.0 3,601,144 0.9 1,196,524 6.7 341,973 10.3 8,030,233 1.41983 13,020,803 -1.1 3,503,694 -2.7 1,142,374 -4.5 350,857 2.6 8,023,878 -0.11984 13,308,621 2.2 3,566,855 1.8 1,160,986 1.6 373,467 6.4 8,207,312 2.31985 13,506,753 1.5 3,589,748 0.6 1,187,246 2.3 376,940 0.9 8,352,820 1.81986 13,438,415 -0.5 3,544,311 -1.3 1,194,480 0.6 377,744 0.2 8,321,879 -0.41987 13,536,002 0.7 3,594,616 1.4 1,217,944 2.0 384,525 1.8 8,338,916 0.21988 13,552,007 0.1 3,650,160 1.5 1,188,243 -2.4 391,119 1.7 8,322,485 -0.21989 14,021,563 3.5 3,862,456 5.8 1,253,855 5.5 397,833 1.7 8,507,420 2.21990 14,650,354 4.5 4,193,159 8.6 1,348,397 7.5 404,043 1.6 8,704,755 2.31991 15,297,328 4.4 4,441,731 5.9 1,392,214 3.2 418,342 3.5 9,045,042 3.91992 15,694,821 2.6 4,631,993 4.3 1,395,540 0.2 425,672 1.8 9,241,616 2.21993 15,922,021 1.4 4,676,715 1.0 1,404,932 0.7 432,259 1.5 9,408,115 1.81994 16,444,885 3.3 4,818,235 3.0 1,480,560 5.4 439,594 1.7 9,706,496 3.21995 16,322,691 -0.7 4,825,704 0.2 1,425,833 -3.7 433,677 -1.3 9,637,477 -0.71996 16,559,987 1.5 4,831,375 0.1 1,523,096 6.8 443,917 2.4 9,761,598 1.31997 17,132,891 3.5 5,010,624 3.7 1,592,922 4.6 466,053 5.0 10,063,292 3.11998 17,740,538 3.5 5,197,428 3.7 1,678,824 5.4 473,008 1.5 10,391,278 3.31999 18,179,515 2.5 5,368,784 3.3 1,740,699 3.7 476,137 0.7 10,593,895 1.92000 18,634,645 2.5 5,517,932 2.8 1,813,034 4.2 478,605 0.5 10,825,075 2.22001 18,776,535 0.8 5,657,739 2.5 1,840,146 1.5 483,796 1.1 10,794,854 -0.32002 18,820,510 0.2 5,638,679 -0.3 1,798,565 -2.3 487,708 0.8 10,895,558 0.92003 18,866,638 0.2 5,692,094 0.9 1,782,893 -0.9 486,185 -0.3 10,905,466 0.12004 19,169,494 1.6 5,813,712 2.1 1,815,075 1.8 505,434 4.0 11,035,273 1.22005 19,513,983 1.8 5,955,333 2.4 1,849,715 1.9 521,460 3.2 11,187,475 1.42006 19,960,510 2.3 6,146,744 3.2 1,892,970 2.3 553,714 6.2 11,367,082 1.62007 20,509,438 2.8 6,305,687 2.6 1,942,380 2.6 582,912 5.3 11,678,459 2.72008 20,875,274 1.8 6,455,048 2.4 1,953,159 0.6 581,999 -0.2 11,885,068 1.82009 20,598,362 -1.3 6,287,384 -2.6 1,933,453 -1.0 558,999 -4.0 11,818,526 -0.62010 20,861,235 1.3 6,388,974 1.6 1,972,327 2.0 572,884 2.5 11,927,050 0.92011 21,291,690 2.1 6,545,465 2.4 2,003,670 1.6 595,862 4.0 12,146,693 1.82012 21,789,338 2.3 6,728,563 2.8 1,995,158 -0.4 602,838 1.2 12,462,779 2.62013 22,121,974 1.5 6,821,935 1.4 1,984,983 -0.5 607,786 0.8 12,707,270 2.0
2014 22,588,207 2.1 6,995,397 2.5 1,979,619 -0.3 619,692 2.0 12,993,499 2.32015 23,129,358 2.4 7,169,456 2.5 2,005,506 1.3 644,239 4.0 13,310,157 2.42016 23,815,561 3.0 7,402,629 3.3 2,048,660 2.2 679,298 5.4 13,684,974 2.82017 24,636,207 3.4 7,690,533 3.9 2,115,039 3.2 729,930 7.5 14,100,705 3.02018 25,377,195 3.0 7,930,899 3.1 2,178,531 3.0 776,720 6.4 14,491,045 2.82019 26,071,745 2.7 8,159,048 2.9 2,234,832 2.6 821,607 5.8 14,856,258 2.52020 26,723,895 2.5 8,379,628 2.7 2,285,359 2.3 863,199 5.1 15,195,709 2.3
C-4
Años!
D-5. Personal Ocupado en la Industria Manufacturera por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Puestos de trabajo ocupados remunerados)
Industria Alimentos, Textiles, Madera Imprenta Años Manufacturera Bebidas y Tabaco Vestidos y Cuero y sus Productos y Editoriales
Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.%
1980 4,481,777 5.9 930,755 3.8 666,034 4.1 483,141 8.4 187,537 6.91981 4,676,538 4.3 967,692 4.0 696,405 4.6 478,264 -1.0 193,759 3.31982 4,563,975 -2.4 997,222 3.1 678,476 -2.6 449,467 -6.0 189,685 -2.11983 4,241,289 -7.1 980,556 -1.7 630,831 -7.0 383,447 -14.7 173,970 -8.31984 4,348,781 2.5 993,909 1.4 632,960 0.3 389,755 1.6 178,713 2.71985 4,463,444 2.6 1,020,354 2.7 645,134 1.9 401,395 3.0 187,484 4.91986 4,326,394 -3.1 1,033,533 1.3 629,316 -2.5 382,410 -4.7 186,339 -0.61987 4,351,734 0.6 1,030,425 -0.3 620,306 -1.4 403,352 5.5 186,585 0.11988 4,353,902 0.0 1,026,617 -0.4 604,165 -2.6 392,805 -2.6 187,433 0.51989 4,477,427 2.8 1,061,039 3.4 610,795 1.1 389,679 -0.8 197,449 5.31990 4,558,116 1.8 1,079,544 1.7 610,617 0.0 380,959 -2.2 209,449 6.11991 4,567,961 0.2 1,102,793 2.2 614,583 0.6 379,048 -0.5 215,300 2.81992 4,594,805 0.6 1,131,993 2.6 599,823 -2.4 383,253 1.1 219,243 1.81993 4,468,832 -2.7 1,143,624 1.0 597,036 -0.5 357,984 -6.6 215,434 -1.71994 4,357,115 -2.5 1,124,632 -1.7 575,720 -3.6 351,530 -1.8 207,286 -3.81995 4,113,677 -5.6 1,096,342 -2.5 557,801 -3.1 316,940 -9.8 192,816 -7.01996 4,355,211 5.9 1,113,587 1.6 634,230 13.7 340,204 7.3 190,995 -0.91997 4,672,002 7.3 1,124,423 1.0 717,649 13.2 362,722 6.6 199,068 4.21998 4,901,226 4.9 1,154,283 2.7 760,632 6.0 380,706 5.0 203,623 2.31999 5,042,038 2.9 1,184,388 2.6 815,027 7.2 378,571 -0.6 206,382 1.42000 5,232,032 3.8 1,181,100 -0.3 865,161 6.2 390,530 3.2 208,658 1.12001 5,008,628 -4.3 1,182,932 0.2 804,736 -7.0 360,394 -7.7 204,372 -2.12002 4,703,619 -6.1 1,179,750 -0.3 713,061 -11.4 320,026 -11.2 197,877 -3.22003 4,586,888 -2.5 1,179,152 -0.1 664,983 -6.7 310,430 -3.0 192,410 -2.82004 4,595,544 0.2 1,186,459 0.6 650,623 -2.2 311,507 0.3 187,758 -2.42005 4,606,913 0.2 1,188,684 0.2 631,756 -2.9 305,103 -2.1 186,337 -0.82006 4,619,041 0.3 1,204,280 1.3 606,491 -4.0 306,665 0.5 184,104 -1.22007 4,508,624 -2.4 1,181,165 -1.9 567,919 -6.4 304,014 -0.9 177,401 -3.62008 4,312,031 -4.4 1,173,320 -0.7 513,348 -9.6 279,577 -8.0 171,797 -3.22009 3,920,174 -9.1 1,169,036 -0.4 467,266 -9.0 257,848 -7.8 166,240 -3.22010 3,977,811 1.5 1,158,589 -0.9 472,242 1.1 262,107 1.7 166,714 0.32011 3,995,456 0.4 1,173,924 1.3 449,173 -4.9 254,488 -2.9 169,018 1.42012 4,028,781 0.8 1,184,674 0.9 443,962 -1.2 255,750 0.5 158,918 -6.02013 4,053,965 0.6 1,190,111 0.5 439,965 -0.9 250,906 -1.9 151,331 -4.8
2014 4,146,547 2.3 1,197,523 0.6 433,916 -1.4 251,598 0.3 152,245 0.62015 4,287,624 3.4 1,219,782 1.9 441,860 1.8 258,948 2.9 155,361 2.02016 4,470,971 4.3 1,254,178 2.8 453,942 2.7 269,498 4.1 159,719 2.82017 4,696,999 5.1 1,294,111 3.2 469,335 3.4 283,386 5.2 165,391 3.62018 4,904,358 4.4 1,328,119 2.6 483,274 3.0 296,123 4.5 170,078 2.82019 5,101,132 4.0 1,358,157 2.3 496,152 2.7 309,092 4.4 174,434 2.62020 5,281,515 3.5 1,383,966 1.9 508,312 2.5 320,791 3.8 178,243 2.2
Continúa
C-5
Continuación
Químicos, Minerales Industrias Maquinaria Otras
Años Petróleo y Caucho No Metálicos Metálicas Básicas y Equipo Industrias
Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.%
1980 372,385 6.0 311,621 8.1 673,404 5.4 781,274 8.2 75,626 0.21981 402,107 8.0 325,048 4.3 704,826 4.7 829,132 6.1 79,306 4.91982 416,357 3.5 311,666 -4.1 681,420 -3.3 762,903 -8.0 76,778 -3.21983 407,674 -2.1 292,854 -6.0 656,138 -3.7 643,070 -15.7 72,750 -5.21984 420,764 3.2 308,814 5.4 694,783 5.9 653,720 1.7 75,363 3.61985 428,757 1.9 330,852 7.1 681,544 -1.9 689,117 5.4 78,808 4.61986 429,054 0.1 314,903 -4.8 609,889 -10.5 657,006 -4.7 83,944 6.51987 443,337 3.3 337,475 7.2 573,231 -6.0 666,089 1.4 90,934 8.31988 450,758 1.7 327,168 -3.1 584,803 2.0 682,225 2.4 97,929 7.71989 463,170 2.8 348,259 6.4 548,206 -6.3 735,514 7.8 123,316 25.91990 479,492 3.5 370,887 6.5 499,785 -8.8 780,241 6.1 147,141 19.31991 489,319 2.0 371,586 0.2 462,188 -7.5 788,222 1.0 144,920 -1.51992 481,259 -1.6 380,169 2.3 397,034 -14.1 838,003 6.3 164,030 13.21993 467,441 -2.9 379,957 -0.1 335,806 -15.4 808,806 -3.5 162,745 -0.81994 451,668 -3.4 362,803 -4.5 317,174 -5.5 803,718 -0.6 162,584 -0.11995 424,530 -6.0 311,148 -14.2 298,220 -6.0 757,611 -5.7 158,268 -2.71996 444,986 4.8 304,959 -2.0 315,773 5.9 834,548 10.2 175,929 11.21997 467,922 5.2 316,533 3.8 333,026 5.5 951,322 14.0 199,336 13.31998 482,312 3.1 326,527 3.2 341,065 2.4 1,041,667 9.5 210,410 5.61999 487,632 1.1 327,060 0.2 333,230 -2.3 1,094,690 5.1 215,058 2.22000 494,584 1.4 334,034 2.1 336,082 0.9 1,185,910 8.3 235,971 9.72001 479,829 -3.0 322,783 -3.4 324,083 -3.6 1,096,066 -7.6 233,432 -1.12002 460,870 -4.0 309,011 -4.3 305,988 -5.6 1,002,762 -8.5 214,274 -8.22003 442,055 -4.1 302,176 -2.2 305,056 -0.3 971,332 -3.1 219,294 2.32004 419,889 -5.0 302,953 0.3 317,226 4.0 1,001,900 3.1 217,229 -0.92005 409,579 -2.5 319,157 5.3 321,309 1.3 1,022,741 2.1 222,247 2.32006 397,160 -3.0 321,729 0.8 330,331 2.8 1,040,078 1.7 228,203 2.72007 387,946 -2.3 320,245 -0.5 323,299 -2.1 1,023,602 -1.6 223,033 -2.32008 375,370 -3.2 301,322 -5.9 318,710 -1.4 958,718 -6.3 219,869 -1.42009 345,240 -8.0 262,591 -12.9 276,637 -13.2 774,655 -19.2 200,661 -8.72010 349,611 1.3 281,320 7.1 275,268 -0.5 810,185 4.6 201,775 0.62011 351,995 0.7 277,191 -1.5 282,147 2.5 830,497 2.5 207,023 2.62012 349,953 -0.6 276,404 -0.3 281,691 -0.2 864,493 4.1 212,936 2.92013 348,493 -0.4 278,493 0.8 287,112 1.9 889,105 2.8 218,449 2.6
2014 357,583 2.6 282,296 1.4 300,920 4.8 939,729 5.7 230,738 5.62015 364,456 1.9 284,387 0.7 311,824 3.6 1,012,447 7.7 238,559 3.42016 374,377 2.7 288,414 1.4 324,303 4.0 1,099,030 8.6 247,511 3.82017 387,578 3.5 295,022 2.3 338,684 4.4 1,207,804 9.9 255,688 3.32018 399,510 3.1 301,055 2.0 352,467 4.1 1,310,335 8.5 263,397 3.02019 410,991 2.9 306,806 1.9 365,763 3.8 1,408,754 7.5 270,982 2.92020 421,416 2.5 312,379 1.8 377,710 3.3 1,501,137 6.6 277,563 2.4
Conclusión
C-6
D-6. Personal Ocupado en el Sector Industrial por Subsectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Puestos de trabajo ocupados remunerados)
Minería Electricidad ConstrucciónTotal Generación, Agua y sumistro Construcción Trabajos
Años Sector Extracción metálicos y no transmisión de gas por ductos de obras de especializadosIndustrial de petróleo metálicos, excepto y suministro de al consumidor ingeniería para la
Total subsector y gas petróleo y gas Total subsector energía eléctrica final Total subsector Edificación civil construcciónPersonas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.%
1980 6,992,209 8.0 242,366 9.1 112,944 8.6 2,155,122 12.71981 7,570,168 8.3 259,135 6.9 120,005 6.3 2,514,490 16.71982 7,411,375 -2.1 274,952 6.1 124,407 3.7 2,448,040 -2.61983 6,620,132 -10.7 276,052 0.4 125,985 1.3 1,976,805 -19.21984 6,875,983 3.9 287,225 4.0 130,763 3.8 2,109,213 6.71985 7,084,137 3.0 299,284 4.2 138,063 5.6 2,183,346 3.51986 6,877,150 -2.9 298,354 -0.3 140,658 1.9 2,111,744 -3.31987 6,928,079 0.7 312,846 4.9 144,596 2.8 2,118,903 0.31988 6,948,143 0.3 320,326 2.4 148,170 2.5 2,125,746 0.31989 7,318,921 5.3 301,719 -5.8 151,924 2.5 2,387,851 12.31990 7,799,203 6.6 311,708 3.3 158,523 4.3 2,770,856 16.01991 7,959,547 2.1 307,221 -1.4 162,168 2.3 2,922,197 5.51992 8,014,596 0.7 260,098 -15.3 163,704 0.9 2,995,989 2.51993 7,972,564 -0.5 229,018 -11.9 164,962 0.8 3,109,752 3.81994 8,085,237 1.4 218,635 -4.5 163,321 -1.0 3,346,165 7.61995 7,395,642 -8.5 216,258 -1.1 166,495 1.9 2,899,211 -13.41996 8,043,230 8.8 216,283 0.0 169,029 1.5 3,302,707 13.91997 8,843,118 9.9 220,932 2.1 173,170 2.4 3,777,014 14.41998 9,382,921 6.1 225,981 2.3 179,869 3.9 4,075,845 7.91999 9,657,090 2.9 225,883 0.0 194,299 8.0 4,194,870 2.92000 9,993,388 3.5 229,529 1.6 196,321 1.0 4,335,507 3.42001 9,538,150 -4.6 225,095 -1.9 202,446 3.1 4,101,980 -5.42002 9,273,947 -2.8 221,887 -1.4 209,860 3.7 4,138,580 0.92003 9,267,295 -0.1 222,051 0.1 46,646 175,405 217,983 3.9 118,039 99,944 4,240,373 2.5 3,180,720 626,746 432,9072004 9,811,426 5.9 228,360 2.8 47,833 2.5 180,527 2.9 218,319 0.2 118,099 0.1 100,220 0.3 4,769,203 12.5 3,601,424 13.2 672,080 7.2 495,699 14.52005 9,981,776 1.7 227,695 -0.3 48,945 2.3 178,750 -1.0 220,547 1.0 119,060 0.8 101,487 1.3 4,926,621 3.3 3,706,376 2.9 710,046 5.6 510,199 2.92006 10,572,446 5.9 232,306 2.0 49,144 0.4 183,162 2.5 224,614 1.8 120,342 1.1 104,272 2.7 5,496,485 11.6 4,214,954 13.7 748,763 5.5 532,768 4.42007 10,710,564 1.3 249,252 7.3 49,399 0.5 199,853 9.1 227,480 1.3 121,473 0.9 106,007 1.7 5,725,208 4.2 4,349,128 3.2 827,039 10.5 549,041 3.12008 10,942,142 2.2 257,311 3.2 50,418 2.1 206,893 3.5 227,364 -0.1 124,131 2.2 103,233 -2.6 6,145,436 7.3 4,516,620 3.9 1,114,475 34.8 514,341 -6.32009 9,975,607 -8.8 255,956 -0.5 51,409 2.0 204,547 -1.1 215,578 -5.2 111,155 -10.5 104,423 1.2 5,583,899 -9.1 3,951,883 -12.5 1,091,719 -2.0 540,297 5.02010 9,969,962 -0.1 257,876 0.8 50,773 -1.2 207,103 1.2 195,239 -9.4 88,529 -20.4 106,710 2.2 5,539,036 -0.8 3,892,861 -1.5 1,098,455 0.6 547,720 1.42011 10,355,583 3.9 261,343 1.3 50,866 0.2 210,477 1.6 205,543 5.3 95,934 8.4 109,609 2.7 5,893,241 6.4 4,164,045 7.0 1,143,748 4.1 585,448 6.92012 10,486,247 1.3 266,488 2.0 51,872 2.0 214,616 2.0 211,724 3.0 98,262 2.4 113,462 3.5 5,979,254 1.5 4,254,632 2.2 1,113,015 -2.7 611,607 4.52013 10,328,836 -1.5 271,193 1.8 52,851 1.9 218,342 1.7 216,297 2.2 99,959 1.7 116,338 2.5 5,787,382 -3.2 4,087,331 -3.9 1,071,174 -3.8 628,877 2.8
2014 10,471,843 1.4 280,968 3.6 53,841 1.9 227,126 4.0 223,520 3.3 103,237 3.3 120,283 3.4 5,820,808 0.6 4,117,260 0.7 1,045,536 -2.4 658,012 4.62015 10,924,537 4.3 287,419 2.3 56,469 4.9 230,949 1.7 233,951 4.7 108,610 5.2 125,342 4.2 6,115,543 5.1 4,323,743 5.0 1,092,538 4.5 699,263 6.32016 11,518,642 5.4 296,918 3.3 61,431 8.8 235,487 2.0 247,002 5.6 116,292 7.1 130,710 4.3 6,503,751 6.3 4,591,935 6.2 1,162,687 6.4 749,129 7.12017 12,290,072 6.7 310,183 4.5 69,686 13.4 240,497 2.1 262,563 6.3 125,537 8.0 137,025 4.8 7,020,328 7.9 4,955,444 7.9 1,255,096 7.9 809,788 8.12018 13,099,713 6.6 323,832 4.4 78,877 13.2 244,955 1.9 278,212 6.0 135,005 7.5 143,207 4.5 7,593,311 8.2 5,353,658 8.0 1,361,345 8.5 878,308 8.52019 13,871,001 5.9 335,462 3.6 86,673 9.9 248,790 1.6 293,249 5.4 144,127 6.8 149,122 4.1 8,141,158 7.2 5,741,945 7.3 1,454,921 6.9 944,292 7.52020 14,572,118 5.1 347,471 3.6 95,266 9.9 252,205 1.4 307,591 4.9 152,772 6.0 154,820 3.8 8,635,541 6.1 6,081,190 5.9 1,548,566 6.4 1,005,785 6.5
Continúa
D-7
Minería de minerales
Continuación
ManufacturasIndustrias alimentaria, de las bebidas y del tabaco Textiles, prendas de vestir y productos de cuero
Total Confección de Fabricación de cuero,Años Subsector Industria Fabricación productos textiles, Fabricación piel y materiales
Manufacturero Industria de las bebidas de insumos excepto prendas de prendas sucedáneos, exceptoTotal rama alimentaria y del tabaco Total rama textiles de vestir de vestir prendas de vestir
Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.%
1980 4,481,777 5.9 930,755 3.8 666,034 4.11981 4,676,538 4.3 967,692 4.0 696,405 4.61982 4,563,975 -2.4 997,222 3.1 678,476 -2.61983 4,241,289 -7.1 980,556 -1.7 630,831 -7.01984 4,348,781 2.5 993,909 1.4 632,960 0.31985 4,463,444 2.6 1,020,354 2.7 645,134 1.91986 4,326,394 -3.1 1,033,533 1.3 629,316 -2.51987 4,351,734 0.6 1,030,425 -0.3 620,306 -1.41988 4,353,902 0.0 1,026,617 -0.4 604,165 -2.61989 4,477,427 2.8 1,061,039 3.4 610,795 1.11990 4,558,116 1.8 1,079,544 1.7 610,617 0.01991 4,567,961 0.2 1,102,793 2.2 614,583 0.61992 4,594,805 0.6 1,131,993 2.6 599,823 -2.41993 4,468,832 -2.7 1,143,624 1.0 597,036 -0.51994 4,357,115 -2.5 1,124,632 -1.7 575,720 -3.61995 4,113,677 -5.6 1,096,342 -2.5 557,801 -3.11996 4,355,211 5.9 1,113,587 1.6 634,230 13.71997 4,672,002 7.3 1,124,423 1.0 717,649 13.21998 4,901,226 4.9 1,154,283 2.7 760,632 6.01999 5,042,038 2.9 1,184,388 2.6 815,027 7.22000 5,232,032 3.8 1,181,100 -0.3 865,161 6.22001 5,008,628 -4.3 1,182,932 0.2 804,736 -7.02002 4,703,619 -6.1 1,179,750 -0.3 713,061 -11.42003 4,586,888 -2.5 1,179,152 -0.1 997,499 181,653 664,983 -6.7 92,108 61,205 374,229 137,4412004 4,595,544 0.2 1,186,459 0.6 1,011,289 1.4 175,170 -3.6 650,623 -2.2 89,190 -3.2 61,112 -0.2 365,140 -2.4 135,181 -1.62005 4,606,913 0.2 1,188,684 0.2 1,026,936 1.5 161,748 -7.7 631,756 -2.9 86,660 -2.8 58,634 -4.1 347,887 -4.7 138,575 2.52006 4,619,041 0.3 1,204,280 1.3 1,035,542 0.8 168,738 4.3 606,491 -4.0 83,568 -3.6 58,918 0.5 324,388 -6.8 139,617 0.82007 4,508,624 -2.4 1,181,165 -1.9 1,022,866 -1.2 158,299 -6.2 567,919 -6.4 78,039 -6.6 55,175 -6.4 301,918 -6.9 132,787 -4.92008 4,312,031 -4.4 1,173,320 -0.7 1,014,829 -0.8 158,491 0.1 513,348 -9.6 70,780 -9.3 47,668 -13.6 271,707 -10.0 123,193 -7.22009 3,920,174 -9.1 1,169,036 -0.4 1,012,994 -0.2 156,042 -1.5 467,266 -9.0 62,481 -11.7 41,180 -13.6 245,972 -9.5 117,633 -4.52010 3,977,811 1.5 1,158,589 -0.9 1,006,489 -0.6 152,100 -2.5 472,242 1.1 64,075 2.6 39,602 -3.8 246,713 0.3 121,852 3.62011 3,995,456 0.4 1,173,924 1.3 1,025,757 1.9 148,167 -2.6 449,173 -4.9 61,152 -4.6 38,594 -2.5 228,482 -7.4 120,945 -0.72012 4,028,781 0.8 1,184,674 0.9 1,043,064 1.7 141,610 -4.4 443,962 -1.2 60,731 -0.7 39,100 1.3 218,667 -4.3 125,464 3.72013 4,053,965 0.6 1,190,111 0.5 1,056,429 1.3 133,681 -5.6 439,965 -0.9 58,475 -3.7 39,312 0.5 212,715 -2.7 129,463 3.2
2014 4,146,547 2.3 1,197,523 0.6 1,063,099 0.6 134,425 0.6 433,916 -1.4 56,056 -4.1 39,749 1.1 204,363 -3.9 133,749 3.32015 4,287,624 3.4 1,219,782 1.9 1,083,458 1.9 136,324 1.4 441,860 1.8 54,583 -2.6 41,893 5.4 205,685 0.6 139,699 4.42016 4,470,971 4.3 1,254,178 2.8 1,114,934 2.9 139,244 2.1 453,942 2.7 55,715 2.1 44,085 5.2 208,083 1.2 146,058 4.62017 4,696,999 5.1 1,294,111 3.2 1,150,814 3.2 143,296 2.9 469,335 3.4 56,912 2.1 46,576 5.7 212,717 2.2 153,131 4.82018 4,904,358 4.4 1,328,119 2.6 1,181,488 2.7 146,631 2.3 483,274 3.0 58,138 2.2 48,761 4.7 216,869 2.0 159,505 4.22019 5,101,132 4.0 1,358,157 2.3 1,208,287 2.3 149,871 2.2 496,152 2.7 59,240 1.9 50,894 4.4 220,599 1.7 165,420 3.72020 5,281,515 3.5 1,383,966 1.9 1,231,642 1.9 152,324 1.6 508,312 2.5 60,279 1.8 52,981 4.1 224,246 1.7 170,805 3.3
Continúa
D-8
Continuación
ManufacturasMadera y sus productos Impresión e industrias conexas Químicos, petróleo y caucho
Fabricación Fabricación deAños de muebles Impresión productos derivados Industria
Industria y productos Industria e industrias del petróleo Industria del plásticoTotal rama de la madera relacionados Total rama del papel conexas Total rama y del carbón química y del hule
Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.%
1980 483,141 8.4 187,537 6.9 372,385 6.01981 478,264 -1.0 193,759 3.3 402,107 8.01982 449,467 -6.0 189,685 -2.1 416,357 3.51983 383,447 -14.7 173,970 -8.3 407,674 -2.11984 389,755 1.6 178,713 2.7 420,764 3.21985 401,395 3.0 187,484 4.9 428,757 1.91986 382,410 -4.7 186,339 -0.6 429,054 0.11987 403,352 5.5 186,585 0.1 443,337 3.31988 392,805 -2.6 187,433 0.5 450,758 1.71989 389,679 -0.8 197,449 5.3 463,170 2.81990 380,959 -2.2 209,449 6.1 479,492 3.51991 379,048 -0.5 215,300 2.8 489,319 2.01992 383,253 1.1 219,243 1.8 481,259 -1.61993 357,984 -6.6 215,434 -1.7 467,441 -2.91994 351,530 -1.8 207,286 -3.8 451,668 -3.41995 316,940 -9.8 192,816 -7.0 424,530 -6.01996 340,204 7.3 190,995 -0.9 444,986 4.81997 362,722 6.6 199,068 4.2 467,922 5.21998 380,706 5.0 203,623 2.3 482,312 3.11999 378,571 -0.6 206,382 1.4 487,632 1.12000 390,530 3.2 208,658 1.1 494,584 1.42001 360,394 -7.7 204,372 -2.1 479,829 -3.02002 320,026 -11.2 197,877 -3.2 460,870 -4.02003 310,430 -3.0 144,750 165,680 192,410 -2.8 96,064 96,346 442,055 -4.1 32,595 226,796 182,6642004 311,507 0.3 141,355 -2.3 170,152 2.7 187,758 -2.4 95,036 -1.1 92,722 -3.8 419,889 -5.0 31,727 -2.7 209,001 -7.8 179,161 -1.92005 305,103 -2.1 136,166 -3.7 168,937 -0.7 186,337 -0.8 94,191 -0.9 92,146 -0.6 409,579 -2.5 32,085 1.1 201,947 -3.4 175,547 -2.02006 306,665 0.5 136,755 0.4 169,910 0.6 184,104 -1.2 94,211 0.0 89,893 -2.4 397,160 -3.0 32,161 0.2 194,951 -3.5 170,048 -3.12007 304,014 -0.9 140,713 2.9 163,301 -3.9 177,401 -3.6 88,211 -6.4 89,190 -0.8 387,946 -2.3 30,994 -3.6 188,798 -3.2 168,154 -1.12008 279,577 -8.0 126,876 -9.8 152,701 -6.5 171,797 -3.2 86,739 -1.7 85,058 -4.6 375,370 -3.2 31,545 1.8 181,187 -4.0 162,638 -3.32009 257,848 -7.8 122,693 -3.3 135,155 -11.5 166,240 -3.2 83,592 -3.6 82,648 -2.8 345,240 -8.0 31,071 -1.5 176,063 -2.8 138,106 -15.12010 262,107 1.7 125,452 2.2 136,655 1.1 166,714 0.3 84,813 1.5 81,901 -0.9 349,611 1.3 31,304 0.7 175,522 -0.3 142,785 3.42011 254,488 -2.9 122,424 -2.4 132,064 -3.4 169,018 1.4 84,332 -0.6 84,686 3.4 351,995 0.7 32,104 2.6 176,007 0.3 143,884 0.82012 255,750 0.5 120,162 -1.8 135,588 2.7 158,918 -6.0 83,443 -1.1 75,475 -10.9 349,953 -0.6 31,472 -2.0 173,870 -1.2 144,611 0.52013 250,906 -1.9 116,406 -3.1 134,499 -0.8 151,331 -4.8 81,931 -1.8 69,399 -8.0 348,493 -0.4 30,681 -2.5 172,268 -0.9 145,544 0.6
2014 251,598 0.3 116,253 -0.1 135,345 0.6 152,245 0.6 82,766 1.0 69,479 0.1 357,583 2.6 31,775 3.6 174,560 1.3 151,248 3.92015 258,948 2.9 120,465 3.6 138,483 2.3 155,361 2.0 84,200 1.7 71,161 2.4 364,456 1.9 33,911 6.7 176,973 1.4 153,572 1.52016 269,498 4.1 126,046 4.6 143,452 3.6 159,719 2.8 86,342 2.5 73,377 3.1 374,377 2.7 36,394 7.3 180,697 2.1 157,287 2.42017 283,386 5.2 132,931 5.5 150,455 4.9 165,391 3.6 89,365 3.5 76,025 3.6 387,578 3.5 38,986 7.1 186,103 3.0 162,488 3.32018 296,123 4.5 139,347 4.8 156,776 4.2 170,078 2.8 91,838 2.8 78,240 2.9 399,510 3.1 41,527 6.5 190,788 2.5 167,195 2.92019 309,092 4.4 146,356 5.0 162,737 3.8 174,434 2.6 94,163 2.5 80,271 2.6 410,991 2.9 43,893 5.7 195,215 2.3 171,882 2.82020 320,791 3.8 152,688 4.3 168,102 3.3 178,243 2.2 96,268 2.2 81,975 2.1 421,416 2.5 46,004 4.8 199,177 2.0 176,235 2.5
Continúa
D-9
Continuación
ManufacturasFabricación de Industrias metálicas Maquinaria y equipo
productos a base Fabricación equipo Fabricación de equipoAños de minerales Industrias Fabricación Fabricación de computación, de generación Fabricación Otras
no metálicos metálicas de productos de maquinaria comunicación y eléctrica y accesorios de equipo industriasTotal rama Total rama básicas metálicos Total rama y equipo otros electrónicos eléctricos de transporte Total rama
Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.%
1980 311,621 8.1 673,404 5.4 781,274 8.2 75,626 0.21981 325,048 4.3 704,826 4.7 829,132 6.1 79,306 4.91982 311,666 -4.1 681,420 -3.3 762,903 -8.0 76,778 -3.21983 292,854 -6.0 656,138 -3.7 643,070 -15.7 72,750 -5.21984 308,814 5.4 694,783 5.9 653,720 1.7 75,363 3.61985 330,852 7.1 681,544 -1.9 689,117 5.4 78,808 4.61986 314,903 -4.8 609,889 -10.5 657,006 -4.7 83,944 6.51987 337,475 7.2 573,231 -6.0 666,089 1.4 90,934 8.31988 327,168 -3.1 584,803 2.0 682,225 2.4 97,929 7.71989 348,259 6.4 548,206 -6.3 735,514 7.8 123,316 25.91990 370,887 6.5 499,785 -8.8 780,241 6.1 147,141 19.31991 371,586 0.2 462,188 -7.5 788,222 1.0 144,920 -1.51992 380,169 2.3 397,034 -14.1 838,003 6.3 164,030 13.21993 379,957 -0.1 335,806 -15.4 808,806 -3.5 162,745 -0.81994 362,803 -4.5 317,174 -5.5 803,718 -0.6 162,584 -0.11995 311,148 -14.2 298,220 -6.0 757,611 -5.7 158,268 -2.71996 304,959 -2.0 315,773 5.9 834,548 10.2 175,929 11.21997 316,533 3.8 333,026 5.5 951,322 14.0 199,336 13.31998 326,527 3.2 341,065 2.4 1,041,667 9.5 210,410 5.61999 327,060 0.2 333,230 -2.3 1,094,690 5.1 215,058 2.22000 334,034 2.1 336,082 0.9 1,185,910 8.3 235,971 9.72001 322,783 -3.4 324,083 -3.6 1,096,066 -7.6 233,432 -1.12002 309,011 -4.3 305,988 -5.6 1,002,762 -8.5 214,274 -8.22003 302,176 -2.2 305,056 -0.3 64,268 240,788 971,332 -3.1 93,720 283,187 189,899 404,526 219,294 2.32004 302,953 0.3 317,226 4.0 64,386 0.2 252,840 5.0 1,001,900 3.1 99,637 6.3 297,408 5.0 196,378 3.4 408,477 1.0 217,229 -0.92005 319,157 5.3 321,309 1.3 64,588 0.3 256,721 1.5 1,022,741 2.1 101,106 1.5 305,012 2.6 193,699 -1.4 422,924 3.5 222,247 2.32006 321,729 0.8 330,331 2.8 64,498 -0.1 265,833 3.5 1,040,078 1.7 105,745 4.6 317,996 4.3 187,138 -3.4 429,199 1.5 228,203 2.72007 320,245 -0.5 323,299 -2.1 63,081 -2.2 260,218 -2.1 1,023,602 -1.6 107,627 1.8 315,922 -0.7 173,898 -7.1 426,155 -0.7 223,033 -2.32008 301,322 -5.9 318,710 -1.4 62,522 -0.9 256,188 -1.5 958,718 -6.3 111,511 3.6 296,338 -6.2 160,162 -7.9 390,707 -8.3 219,869 -1.42009 262,591 -12.9 276,637 -13.2 57,209 -8.5 219,428 -14.3 774,655 -19.2 100,309 -10.0 250,045 -15.6 139,984 -12.6 284,317 -27.2 200,661 -8.72010 281,320 7.1 275,268 -0.5 57,053 -0.3 218,215 -0.6 810,185 4.6 108,106 7.8 255,700 2.3 147,769 5.6 298,610 5.0 201,775 0.62011 277,191 -1.5 282,147 2.5 59,045 3.5 223,102 2.2 830,497 2.5 114,510 5.9 242,636 -5.1 142,277 -3.7 331,074 10.9 207,023 2.62012 276,404 -0.3 281,691 -0.2 60,356 2.2 221,335 -0.8 864,493 4.1 116,820 2.0 240,101 -1.0 144,886 1.8 362,686 9.5 212,936 2.92013 278,493 0.8 287,112 1.9 61,468 1.8 225,644 1.9 889,105 2.8 119,610 2.4 237,619 -1.0 142,223 -1.8 389,653 7.4 218,449 2.6
2014 282,296 1.4 300,920 4.8 67,630 10.0 233,290 3.4 939,729 5.7 124,984 4.5 230,304 -3.1 148,522 4.4 435,919 11.9 230,738 5.62015 284,387 0.7 311,824 3.6 71,670 6.0 240,154 2.9 1,012,447 7.7 129,018 3.2 235,715 2.3 151,543 2.0 496,171 13.8 238,559 3.42016 288,414 1.4 324,303 4.0 76,672 7.0 247,631 3.1 1,099,030 8.6 134,270 4.1 245,144 4.0 155,246 2.4 564,370 13.7 247,511 3.82017 295,022 2.3 338,684 4.4 82,345 7.4 256,339 3.5 1,207,804 9.9 141,194 5.2 259,739 6.0 159,781 2.9 647,090 14.7 255,688 3.32018 301,055 2.0 352,467 4.1 87,684 6.5 264,783 3.3 1,310,335 8.5 148,184 5.0 271,750 4.6 163,986 2.6 726,415 12.3 263,397 3.02019 306,806 1.9 365,763 3.8 92,791 5.8 272,972 3.1 1,408,754 7.5 154,931 4.6 282,662 4.0 167,822 2.3 803,340 10.6 270,982 2.92020 312,379 1.8 377,710 3.3 97,697 5.3 280,013 2.6 1,501,137 6.6 161,420 4.2 292,148 3.4 171,358 2.1 876,211 9.1 277,563 2.4
Conclusión
D-10
D-7. Personal Ocupado en el Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Puestos de trabajo ocupados remunerados)
Comercio, restaurantes y hoteles Servicios financieros, seguros y actividades inmobiliariasTotal Servicios de Transporte, Servicios
Años Sector alojamiento temporal almacenaje y Servicios inmobiliarios yServicios y de preparación de comunicaciones financieros de alquiler de bienes
Total subsector Comercio alimentos y bebidas Total subsector Total subsector y de seguros muebles e intangiblesPersonas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.%
1980 12,129,687 6.8 3,353,314 4.1 1,043,694 16.3 282,591 8.81981 12,916,660 6.5 3,569,113 6.4 1,121,710 7.5 310,035 9.71982 13,169,874 2.0 3,601,144 0.9 1,196,524 6.7 341,973 10.31983 13,020,803 -1.1 3,503,694 -2.7 1,142,374 -4.5 350,857 2.61984 13,308,621 2.2 3,566,855 1.8 1,160,986 1.6 373,467 6.41985 13,506,753 1.5 3,589,748 0.6 1,187,246 2.3 376,940 0.91986 13,438,415 -0.5 3,544,311 -1.3 1,194,480 0.6 377,744 0.21987 13,536,002 0.7 3,594,616 1.4 1,217,944 2.0 384,525 1.81988 13,552,007 0.1 3,650,160 1.5 1,188,243 -2.4 391,119 1.71989 14,021,563 3.5 3,862,456 5.8 1,253,855 5.5 397,833 1.71990 14,650,354 4.5 4,193,159 8.6 1,348,397 7.5 404,043 1.61991 15,297,328 4.4 4,441,731 5.9 1,392,214 3.2 418,342 3.51992 15,694,821 2.6 4,631,993 4.3 1,395,540 0.2 425,672 1.81993 15,922,021 1.4 4,676,715 1.0 1,404,932 0.7 432,259 1.51994 16,444,885 3.3 4,818,235 3.0 1,480,560 5.4 439,594 1.71995 16,322,691 -0.7 4,825,704 0.2 1,425,833 -3.7 433,677 -1.31996 16,559,987 1.5 4,831,375 0.1 1,523,096 6.8 443,917 2.41997 17,132,891 3.5 5,010,624 3.7 1,592,922 4.6 466,053 5.01998 17,740,538 3.5 5,197,428 3.7 1,678,824 5.4 473,008 1.51999 18,179,515 2.5 5,368,784 3.3 1,740,699 3.7 476,137 0.72000 18,634,645 2.5 5,517,932 2.8 1,813,034 4.2 478,605 0.52001 18,776,535 0.8 5,657,739 2.5 1,840,146 1.5 483,796 1.12002 18,820,510 0.2 5,638,679 -0.3 1,798,565 -2.3 487,708 0.82003 18,866,638 0.2 5,692,094 0.9 4,444,857 1,247,237 1,782,893 -0.9 486,185 -0.3 214,299 271,8862004 19,169,494 1.6 5,813,712 2.1 4,555,978 2.5 1,257,734 0.8 1,815,075 1.8 505,434 4.0 212,834 -0.7 292,600 7.62005 19,513,983 1.8 5,955,333 2.4 4,683,545 2.8 1,271,788 1.1 1,849,715 1.9 521,460 3.2 222,405 4.5 299,055 2.22006 19,960,510 2.3 6,146,744 3.2 4,875,570 4.1 1,271,174 0.0 1,892,970 2.3 553,714 6.2 234,865 5.6 318,849 6.62007 20,509,438 2.8 6,305,687 2.6 5,026,713 3.1 1,278,974 0.6 1,942,380 2.6 582,912 5.3 250,665 6.7 332,247 4.22008 20,875,274 1.8 6,455,048 2.4 5,167,461 2.8 1,287,587 0.7 1,953,159 0.6 581,999 -0.2 239,608 -4.4 342,391 3.12009 20,598,362 -1.3 6,287,384 -2.6 5,027,940 -2.7 1,259,444 -2.2 1,933,453 -1.0 558,999 -4.0 242,020 1.0 316,979 -7.42010 20,861,235 1.3 6,388,974 1.6 5,128,499 2.0 1,260,475 0.1 1,972,327 2.0 572,884 2.5 264,073 9.1 308,811 -2.62011 21,291,690 2.1 6,545,465 2.4 5,297,739 3.3 1,247,726 -1.0 2,003,670 1.6 595,862 4.0 287,465 8.9 308,397 -0.12012 21,789,338 2.3 6,728,563 2.8 5,467,267 3.2 1,261,296 1.1 1,995,158 -0.4 602,838 1.2 291,072 1.3 311,766 1.12013 22,121,974 1.5 6,821,935 1.4 5,550,549 1.5 1,271,386 0.8 1,984,983 -0.5 607,786 0.8 294,532 1.2 313,254 0.5
2014 22,588,207 2.1 6,995,397 2.5 5,703,506 2.8 1,291,891 1.6 1,979,619 -0.3 619,692 2.0 303,089 2.9 316,604 1.12015 23,129,358 2.4 7,169,456 2.5 5,862,959 2.8 1,306,497 1.1 2,005,506 1.3 644,239 4.0 320,238 5.7 324,001 2.32016 23,815,561 3.0 7,402,629 3.3 6,076,364 3.6 1,326,266 1.5 2,048,660 2.2 679,298 5.4 344,046 7.4 335,253 3.52017 24,636,207 3.4 7,690,533 3.9 6,344,335 4.4 1,346,198 1.5 2,115,039 3.2 729,930 7.5 381,454 10.9 348,476 3.92018 25,377,195 3.0 7,930,899 3.1 6,567,029 3.5 1,363,870 1.3 2,178,531 3.0 776,720 6.4 415,863 9.0 360,857 3.62019 26,071,745 2.7 8,159,048 2.9 6,778,542 3.2 1,380,506 1.2 2,234,832 2.6 821,607 5.8 449,081 8.0 372,525 3.22020 26,723,895 2.5 8,379,628 2.7 6,983,992 3.0 1,395,636 1.1 2,285,359 2.3 863,199 5.1 480,476 7.0 382,722 2.7
Continúa
D-11
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios Servicios de
Años profesionales, Dirección apoyo a los negocios y científicos de corporativos manejo de desechos y Servicios
Total subsector y técnicos y empresas servicios de remediación educativosPersonas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.%
1980 7,450,088 6.81981 7,915,801 6.31982 8,030,233 1.41983 8,023,878 -0.11984 8,207,312 2.31985 8,352,820 1.81986 8,321,879 -0.41987 8,338,916 0.21988 8,322,485 -0.21989 8,507,420 2.21990 8,704,755 2.31991 9,045,042 3.91992 9,241,616 2.21993 9,408,115 1.81994 9,706,496 3.21995 9,637,477 -0.71996 9,761,598 1.31997 10,063,292 3.11998 10,391,278 3.31999 10,593,895 1.92000 10,825,075 2.22001 10,794,854 -0.32002 10,895,558 0.92003 10,905,466 0.1 488,933 12,691 2,619,762 2,077,0082004 11,035,273 1.2 497,029 1.7 12,902 1.7 2,698,826 3.0 2,100,024 1.12005 11,187,475 1.4 508,232 2.3 13,004 0.8 2,659,811 -1.4 2,134,963 1.72006 11,367,082 1.6 514,448 1.2 13,567 4.3 2,704,834 1.7 2,147,633 0.62007 11,678,459 2.7 525,034 2.1 14,120 4.1 2,800,640 3.5 2,179,126 1.52008 11,885,068 1.8 530,776 1.1 14,452 2.4 2,899,851 3.5 2,198,153 0.92009 11,818,526 -0.6 514,744 -3.0 16,683 15.4 2,782,079 -4.1 2,204,043 0.32010 11,927,050 0.9 518,554 0.7 19,067 14.3 2,782,340 0.0 2,210,010 0.32011 12,146,693 1.8 521,685 0.6 19,322 1.3 2,919,588 4.9 2,230,479 0.92012 12,462,779 2.6 517,734 -0.8 19,585 1.4 3,070,419 5.2 2,258,973 1.32013 12,707,270 2.0 508,877 -1.7 18,424 -5.9 3,198,862 4.2 2,276,766 0.8
2014 12,993,499 2.3 509,813 0.2 19,418 5.4 3,326,670 4.0 2,307,954 1.42015 13,310,157 2.4 514,625 0.9 20,428 5.2 3,465,586 4.2 2,341,901 1.52016 13,684,974 2.8 523,522 1.7 21,750 6.5 3,612,234 4.2 2,380,818 1.72017 14,100,705 3.0 533,543 1.9 23,435 7.7 3,765,655 4.2 2,423,766 1.82018 14,491,045 2.8 543,253 1.8 25,055 6.9 3,910,574 3.8 2,463,250 1.62019 14,856,258 2.5 552,529 1.7 26,629 6.3 4,052,635 3.6 2,500,272 1.52020 15,195,709 2.3 561,557 1.6 28,110 5.6 4,187,858 3.3 2,533,740 1.3
Continúa
D-12
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios de esparcimiento,
Servicios culturales y deportivos, Otros serviciosAños de salud y otros servicios Información en excepto actividades Actividades
y de asistencia social recreativos medios masivos del gobierno del gobiernoPersonas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.% Personas Var.%
198019811982198319841985198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003 925,305 102,498 174,255 2,359,831 2,145,1832004 930,021 0.5 100,902 -1.6 180,091 3.3 2,380,414 0.9 2,135,064 -0.52005 934,809 0.5 101,422 0.5 188,942 4.9 2,502,935 5.1 2,143,357 0.42006 936,061 0.1 104,372 2.9 188,853 0.0 2,569,683 2.7 2,187,631 2.12007 968,537 3.5 105,948 1.5 200,872 6.4 2,688,530 4.6 2,195,652 0.42008 979,287 1.1 107,526 1.5 204,773 1.9 2,707,394 0.7 2,242,856 2.12009 991,065 1.2 106,013 -1.4 205,200 0.2 2,727,213 0.7 2,271,486 1.32010 1,008,911 1.8 110,933 4.6 194,247 -5.3 2,797,811 2.6 2,285,177 0.62011 1,020,451 1.1 109,640 -1.2 194,386 0.1 2,838,690 1.5 2,292,452 0.32012 1,029,284 0.9 110,565 0.8 193,655 -0.4 2,917,917 2.8 2,344,647 2.32013 1,034,385 0.5 111,441 0.8 190,585 -1.6 2,975,793 2.0 2,392,136 2.0
2014 1,044,025 0.9 111,631 0.2 192,603 1.1 3,025,806 1.7 2,455,578 2.72015 1,057,712 1.3 113,550 1.7 196,608 2.1 3,087,521 2.0 2,512,226 2.32016 1,074,193 1.6 116,855 2.9 201,840 2.7 3,175,385 2.8 2,578,377 2.62017 1,096,886 2.1 121,271 3.8 207,997 3.1 3,278,183 3.2 2,649,970 2.82018 1,117,026 1.8 125,401 3.4 213,629 2.7 3,374,638 2.9 2,718,219 2.62019 1,134,908 1.6 129,178 3.0 218,804 2.4 3,464,135 2.7 2,777,168 2.22020 1,149,950 1.3 132,563 2.6 223,770 2.3 3,549,182 2.5 2,828,979 1.9
Conclusión
C-13
Sección: D-II. Asegurados Permanentes y Eventuales en el IMSS
Cuadro D-8.
Asegurados Permanentes y Eventuales Urbanos en el IMSS por Sectores Económicos 1980-2020
Cuadro 8.1 Total de Asegurados
Cuadro 8.2 Variación Anual Absoluta
Cuadro 8.3 Variación Porcentual Anual
D-8.1. Asegurados Permanentes y Eventuales Urbanos en el IMSS: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Número de trabajadores afiliados al IMSS al cierre de año)
Sector Secundario Sector ServiciosIndustrias Industria Transportes Servicios para Servicios
Años Total Sector Industrias de la Eléctrica y y Empresas, SocialesPrimario Total Extractivas Transformación Construcción Suministro Total Comercio Comunicaciones Personas y
de Agua y el Hogar Comunales
1980 5,974,071 457,073 2,836,734 71,021 2,593,814 61,473 110,426 2,680,264 943,958 265,397 1,266,974 203,9351981 6,661,151 506,840 3,212,482 90,402 2,943,347 70,791 107,942 2,941,829 1,133,054 296,933 1,302,426 209,4171982 6,630,881 653,249 2,803,648 95,641 2,479,535 128,924 99,548 3,173,983 1,330,249 442,221 1,211,006 190,5081983 6,595,360 622,970 2,756,743 94,377 2,444,235 122,387 95,744 3,215,647 1,318,381 427,432 1,040,541 429,2931984 7,110,349 625,908 2,972,425 99,940 2,638,494 134,997 98,994 3,512,016 1,386,847 434,106 1,131,392 559,6711985 7,636,691 627,301 3,205,509 101,690 2,848,484 150,653 104,682 3,803,881 1,489,463 461,468 1,203,070 649,8801986 7,454,904 594,264 3,042,655 93,321 2,694,111 155,658 99,565 3,817,985 1,470,110 455,788 1,243,578 648,5091987 8,176,666 631,877 3,371,148 102,883 2,984,478 176,617 107,170 4,173,640 1,586,977 493,841 1,370,923 721,8991988 8,324,174 537,915 3,487,408 93,286 3,099,566 197,587 96,969 4,298,852 1,569,147 496,263 1,490,547 742,8951989 8,811,933 532,355 3,696,077 96,107 3,282,710 215,074 102,186 4,583,501 1,679,254 503,326 1,592,116 808,8051990 9,607,999 558,524 3,952,090 97,159 3,482,080 263,880 108,971 5,097,385 1,848,892 545,017 1,778,949 924,5271991 10,086,532 566,410 4,107,156 91,573 3,604,145 297,695 113,742 5,412,967 1,957,449 583,992 1,888,036 983,4891992 10,015,344 493,535 3,982,292 80,730 3,458,684 323,919 118,959 5,539,517 1,995,140 574,541 1,910,471 1,059,3651993 9,806,889 477,385 3,791,371 69,377 3,279,925 322,358 119,711 5,538,133 1,965,878 557,659 1,920,022 1,094,5751994 9,952,105 461,864 3,866,562 74,531 3,339,201 328,613 124,218 5,623,679 2,005,553 564,626 1,961,512 1,091,9871995 9,132,267 431,953 3,516,874 66,620 3,083,846 244,988 121,420 5,183,440 1,800,880 518,989 1,796,582 1,066,9891996 9,957,490 454,442 3,967,123 72,841 3,488,764 280,493 125,026 5,535,925 1,931,920 538,155 1,946,054 1,119,7961997 10,520,396 425,540 4,531,461 72,759 3,620,575 702,671 135,456 5,563,395 1,923,263 552,990 1,943,285 1,143,8571998 11,171,891 401,056 4,896,202 67,830 3,887,543 802,731 138,098 5,874,633 2,058,960 589,552 2,073,523 1,152,5981999 11,841,237 388,010 5,246,428 67,570 4,175,628 862,448 140,782 6,206,799 2,185,560 617,828 2,188,612 1,214,7992000 12,386,783 364,334 5,432,314 70,220 4,324,053 894,257 143,784 6,590,135 2,328,306 657,213 2,327,387 1,277,2292001 12,111,003 365,305 4,989,621 65,848 3,907,900 868,260 147,613 6,756,077 2,407,625 663,345 2,343,164 1,341,9432002 12,183,784 352,964 4,916,411 64,067 3,823,002 878,413 150,929 6,914,409 2,465,459 668,138 2,391,378 1,389,4342003 12,202,712 345,005 4,819,694 66,572 3,697,414 902,596 153,112 7,038,013 2,460,747 666,508 2,447,437 1,463,3212004 12,547,425 353,750 4,908,128 68,381 3,753,945 931,163 154,639 7,285,549 2,514,465 679,667 2,577,645 1,513,7722005 12,971,301 351,281 5,023,179 69,472 3,780,250 1,015,931 157,526 7,596,841 2,603,239 701,393 2,737,184 1,555,0252006 13,574,701 345,080 5,187,843 75,218 3,852,272 1,098,591 161,762 8,041,778 2,720,799 733,073 2,970,651 1,617,2552007 14,100,087 347,634 5,264,108 83,083 3,874,861 1,141,473 164,691 8,488,345 2,853,882 761,229 3,214,336 1,658,8982008 14,062,552 343,686 4,983,045 94,703 3,617,186 1,099,430 171,726 8,735,821 2,924,108 765,065 3,349,936 1,696,7122009 13,881,281 339,862 4,780,149 103,655 3,504,165 1,042,572 129,757 8,761,270 2,905,026 747,140 3,373,275 1,735,8292010 14,611,629 354,786 5,155,128 104,706 3,778,374 1,128,104 143,944 9,101,715 3,041,994 771,980 3,504,456 1,783,2852011 15,202,426 365,767 5,386,397 117,450 3,936,742 1,183,717 148,488 9,450,262 3,188,294 817,800 3,609,618 1,834,5502012 15,901,832 378,917 5,658,873 132,729 4,133,785 1,241,451 150,908 9,864,042 3,349,687 848,138 3,782,680 1,883,5372013 16,355,551 377,417 5,842,119 136,192 4,289,760 1,266,890 149,277 10,136,015 3,440,624 873,582 3,888,512 1,933,297
2014 16,951,835 384,211 6,077,988 140,005 4,448,481 1,337,836 151,665 10,489,637 3,554,165 913,767 4,024,610 1,997,0962015 17,697,360 391,511 6,431,984 147,155 4,709,999 1,419,687 155,143 10,873,865 3,673,585 953,607 4,177,696 2,068,9782016 18,654,741 413,435 6,888,181 158,348 5,032,484 1,538,021 159,328 11,353,125 3,841,100 1,009,298 4,351,250 2,151,4782017 19,832,079 418,810 7,462,137 175,598 5,436,938 1,685,625 163,975 11,951,133 4,070,030 1,083,582 4,552,067 2,245,4542018 21,006,152 443,101 8,035,999 194,158 5,824,950 1,848,886 168,004 12,527,052 4,271,089 1,158,457 4,768,341 2,329,1652019 22,103,143 435,125 8,597,343 208,072 6,208,395 2,009,589 171,287 13,070,675 4,452,183 1,233,526 4,981,626 2,403,3402020 23,185,514 445,742 9,157,555 219,368 6,597,108 2,166,787 174,292 13,582,217 4,618,695 1,306,797 5,184,415 2,472,310
Continúa
D-14
D-8.2. Asegurados Permanentes y Eventuales Urbanos en el IMSS: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Variación anual absoluta)
Sector Secundario Sector ServiciosIndustrias Industria Transportes Servicios para Servicios
Años Total Sector Industrias de la Eléctrica y y Empresas, SocialesPrimario Total Extractivas Transformación Construcción Suministro Total Comercio Comunicaciones Personas y
de Agua y el Hogar Comunales
1980 799,580 48,997 440,662 13,272 394,619 11,837 20,935 309,921 155,313 37,373 103,549 13,6861981 687,080 49,767 375,748 19,381 349,533 9,317 -2,483 261,566 189,096 31,536 35,452 5,4821982 -30,270 146,410 -408,834 5,240 -463,812 58,133 -8,394 232,154 197,195 145,288 -91,420 -18,9091983 -35,521 -30,279 -46,905 -1,264 -35,300 -6,537 -3,804 41,663 -11,868 -14,789 -170,465 238,7851984 514,989 2,938 215,682 5,563 194,259 12,610 3,250 296,369 68,466 6,674 90,851 130,3781985 526,342 1,393 233,084 1,750 209,990 15,656 5,688 291,866 102,617 27,362 71,678 90,2081986 -181,787 -33,036 -162,854 -8,369 -154,373 5,005 -5,117 14,103 -19,354 -5,680 40,508 -1,3711987 721,762 37,613 328,493 9,563 290,367 20,959 7,605 355,656 116,867 38,052 127,345 73,3901988 147,508 -93,963 116,259 -9,597 115,087 20,970 -10,201 125,211 -17,830 2,422 119,624 20,9951989 487,759 -5,560 208,670 2,821 183,145 17,488 5,217 284,649 110,107 7,063 101,569 65,9101990 796,066 26,169 256,013 1,052 199,370 48,806 6,785 513,884 169,638 41,691 186,833 115,7221991 478,533 7,886 155,066 -5,585 122,065 33,815 4,771 315,582 108,557 38,975 109,087 58,9621992 -71,188 -72,875 -124,864 -10,843 -145,461 26,223 5,217 126,551 37,691 -9,451 22,434 75,8761993 -208,455 -16,150 -190,921 -11,354 -178,759 -1,561 752 -1,384 -29,263 -16,883 9,552 35,2101994 145,216 -15,520 75,191 5,154 59,276 6,254 4,507 85,546 39,675 6,968 41,490 -2,5871995 -819,838 -29,911 -349,688 -7,911 -255,355 -83,624 -2,798 -440,239 -204,673 -45,638 -164,930 -24,9981996 825,223 22,488 450,249 6,221 404,918 35,504 3,606 352,485 131,040 19,166 149,472 52,8071997 562,906 -28,902 564,338 -82 131,811 422,178 10,430 27,470 -8,657 14,835 -2,769 24,0611998 651,495 -24,484 364,741 -4,929 266,968 100,060 2,642 311,238 135,697 36,562 130,238 8,7411999 669,346 -13,046 350,226 -260 288,085 59,717 2,684 332,166 126,600 28,276 115,089 62,2012000 545,546 -23,676 185,886 2,650 148,425 31,809 3,002 383,336 142,746 39,385 138,775 62,4302001 -275,780 971 -442,693 -4,372 -416,153 -25,997 3,829 165,942 79,319 6,132 15,777 64,7142002 72,781 -12,341 -73,210 -1,781 -84,898 10,153 3,316 158,332 57,834 4,793 48,214 47,4912003 18,928 -7,959 -96,717 2,505 -125,588 24,183 2,183 123,604 -4,712 -1,630 56,059 73,8872004 344,713 8,745 88,434 1,809 56,531 28,567 1,527 247,536 53,718 13,159 130,208 50,4512005 423,876 -2,469 115,051 1,091 26,305 84,768 2,887 311,292 88,774 21,726 159,539 41,2532006 603,400 -6,201 164,664 5,746 72,022 82,660 4,236 444,937 117,560 31,680 233,467 62,2302007 525,386 2,554 76,265 7,865 22,589 42,882 2,929 446,567 133,083 28,156 243,685 41,6432008 -37,535 -3,948 -281,063 11,620 -257,675 -42,043 7,035 247,476 70,226 3,836 135,600 37,8142009 -181,271 -3,824 -202,896 8,952 -113,021 -56,858 -41,969 25,449 -19,082 -17,925 23,339 39,1172010 730,348 14,924 374,979 1,051 274,209 85,532 14,187 340,445 136,968 24,840 131,181 47,4562011 590,797 10,981 231,269 12,744 158,368 55,613 4,544 348,547 146,300 45,820 105,162 51,2652012 699,406 13,150 272,476 15,279 197,043 57,734 2,420 413,780 161,393 30,338 173,062 48,9872013 453,719 -1,500 183,246 3,463 155,975 25,439 -1,631 271,973 90,937 25,444 105,832 49,760
2014 596,284 6,794 235,869 3,813 158,721 70,946 2,388 353,622 113,541 40,185 136,098 63,7992015 745,525 7,300 353,997 7,149 261,518 81,852 3,478 384,228 119,420 39,840 153,087 71,8822016 957,381 21,925 456,196 11,193 322,485 118,333 4,185 479,260 167,515 55,691 173,553 82,5002017 1,177,338 5,375 573,956 17,251 404,454 147,604 4,647 598,008 228,930 74,284 200,818 93,9762018 1,174,072 24,291 573,862 18,560 388,013 163,261 4,029 575,919 201,059 74,876 216,273 83,7112019 1,096,991 -7,976 561,344 13,914 383,444 160,703 3,283 543,622 181,094 75,068 213,285 74,1752020 1,082,372 10,617 560,212 11,296 388,713 157,198 3,005 511,542 166,512 73,271 202,790 68,969
Continúa
D-15
D-8.3. Asegurados Permanentes y Eventuales Urbanos en el IMSS: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Variación % anual)
Sector Secundario Sector ServiciosIndustrias Industria Transportes Servicios para Servicios
Años Total Sector Industrias de la Eléctrica y y Empresas, SocialesPrimario Total Extractivas Transformación Construcción Suministro Total Comercio Comunicaciones Personas y
de Agua y el Hogar Comunales
1980 15.5 12.0 18.4 23.0 17.9 23.8 23.4 13.1 19.7 16.4 8.9 7.21981 11.5 10.9 13.2 27.3 13.5 15.2 -2.2 9.8 20.0 11.9 2.8 2.71982 -0.5 28.9 -12.7 5.8 -15.8 82.1 -7.8 7.9 17.4 48.9 -7.0 -9.01983 -0.5 -4.6 -1.7 -1.3 -1.4 -5.1 -3.8 1.3 -0.9 -3.3 -14.1 125.31984 7.8 0.5 7.8 5.9 7.9 10.3 3.4 9.2 5.2 1.6 8.7 30.41985 7.4 0.2 7.8 1.8 8.0 11.6 5.7 8.3 7.4 6.3 6.3 16.11986 -2.4 -5.3 -5.1 -8.2 -5.4 3.3 -4.9 0.4 -1.3 -1.2 3.4 -0.21987 9.7 6.3 10.8 10.2 10.8 13.5 7.6 9.3 7.9 8.3 10.2 11.31988 1.8 -14.9 3.4 -9.3 3.9 11.9 -9.5 3.0 -1.1 0.5 8.7 2.91989 5.9 -1.0 6.0 3.0 5.9 8.9 5.4 6.6 7.0 1.4 6.8 8.91990 9.0 4.9 6.9 1.1 6.1 22.7 6.6 11.2 10.1 8.3 11.7 14.31991 5.0 1.4 3.9 -5.7 3.5 12.8 4.4 6.2 5.9 7.2 6.1 6.41992 -0.7 -12.9 -3.0 -11.8 -4.0 8.8 4.6 2.3 1.9 -1.6 1.2 7.71993 -2.1 -3.3 -4.8 -14.1 -5.2 -0.5 0.6 0.0 -1.5 -2.9 0.5 3.31994 1.5 -3.3 2.0 7.4 1.8 1.9 3.8 1.5 2.0 1.2 2.2 -0.21995 -8.2 -6.5 -9.0 -10.6 -7.6 -25.4 -2.3 -7.8 -10.2 -8.1 -8.4 -2.31996 9.0 5.2 12.8 9.3 13.1 14.5 3.0 6.8 7.3 3.7 8.3 4.91997 5.7 -6.4 14.2 -0.1 3.8 150.5 8.3 0.5 -0.4 2.8 -0.1 2.11998 6.2 -5.8 8.0 -6.8 7.4 14.2 2.0 5.6 7.1 6.6 6.7 0.81999 6.0 -3.3 7.2 -0.4 7.4 7.4 1.9 5.7 6.1 4.8 5.6 5.42000 4.6 -6.1 3.5 3.9 3.6 3.7 2.1 6.2 6.5 6.4 6.3 5.12001 -2.2 0.3 -8.1 -6.2 -9.6 -2.9 2.7 2.5 3.4 0.9 0.7 5.12002 0.6 -3.4 -1.5 -2.7 -2.2 1.2 2.2 2.3 2.4 0.7 2.1 3.52003 0.2 -2.3 -2.0 3.9 -3.3 2.8 1.4 1.8 -0.2 -0.2 2.3 5.32004 2.8 2.5 1.8 2.7 1.5 3.2 1.0 3.5 2.2 2.0 5.3 3.42005 3.4 -0.7 2.3 1.6 0.7 9.1 1.9 4.3 3.5 3.2 6.2 2.72006 4.7 -1.8 3.3 8.3 1.9 8.1 2.7 5.9 4.5 4.5 8.5 4.02007 3.9 0.7 1.5 10.5 0.6 3.9 1.8 5.6 4.9 3.8 8.2 2.62008 -0.3 -1.1 -5.3 14.0 -6.6 -3.7 4.3 2.9 2.5 0.5 4.2 2.32009 -1.3 -1.1 -4.1 9.5 -3.1 -5.2 -24.4 0.3 -0.7 -2.3 0.7 2.32010 5.3 4.4 7.8 1.0 7.8 8.2 10.9 3.9 4.7 3.3 3.9 2.72011 4.0 3.1 4.5 12.2 4.2 4.9 3.2 3.8 4.8 5.9 3.0 2.92012 4.6 3.6 5.1 13.0 5.0 4.9 1.6 4.4 5.1 3.7 4.8 2.72013 2.9 -0.4 3.2 2.6 3.8 2.0 -1.1 2.8 2.7 3.0 2.8 2.6
2014 3.6 1.8 4.0 2.8 3.7 5.6 1.6 3.5 3.3 4.6 3.5 3.32015 4.4 1.9 5.8 5.1 5.9 6.1 2.3 3.7 3.4 4.4 3.8 3.62016 5.4 5.6 7.1 7.6 6.8 8.3 2.7 4.4 4.6 5.8 4.2 4.02017 6.3 1.3 8.3 10.9 8.0 9.6 2.9 5.3 6.0 7.4 4.6 4.42018 5.9 5.8 7.7 10.6 7.1 9.7 2.5 4.8 4.9 6.9 4.8 3.72019 5.2 -1.8 7.0 7.2 6.6 8.7 2.0 4.3 4.2 6.5 4.5 3.22020 4.9 2.4 6.5 5.4 6.3 7.8 1.8 3.9 3.7 5.9 4.1 2.9
Conclusión
D-16
Sección: D-III. ENOE Población Ocupadapor Sectores Económicos
Cuadro D-9.
ENOE Población Ocupada por Sectores Económicos 1980-2020
Cuadro D-9.1. Población Ocupada
Cuadro D-9.2. Variación % Anual
Cuadro D-9.3. Estructura Porcentual
D-9.1. ENOE Población Ocupada por Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Personas)
Población Ocupada por Sectores EconómicosSector Secundario Sector Servicios
Industria Transportes, Servicios GobiernoAños TOTAL Sector Total extractiva Total Restaurantes comunicaciones, profesionales, y
Primario y de la Industria y servicios correo y financieros y Servicios Servicios organismos Noelectricidad manufacturera Construcción Comercio de alojamiento almacenamiento corporativos sociales diversos internacionales especificado
1980 26,430,989 5,303,105 7,955,184 230,876 5,989,410 1,734,898 13,172,700 5,307,833 989,488 1,417,969 722,674 1,799,058 1,874,422 1,048,886 12,3691981 28,151,386 5,590,149 8,486,778 248,669 6,201,771 2,036,339 14,074,459 5,596,336 1,066,029 1,509,783 803,698 1,928,610 2,032,832 1,122,844 14,3271982 28,348,589 5,550,856 8,264,079 264,417 6,002,882 1,996,779 14,533,654 5,702,522 1,090,521 1,595,382 898,543 1,974,813 2,106,941 1,148,059 16,8741983 27,803,043 5,928,660 7,425,660 268,834 5,530,438 1,626,387 14,448,724 5,610,935 1,077,368 1,507,227 935,366 1,992,010 2,151,626 1,156,335 17,8561984 28,740,960 6,150,598 7,655,257 282,189 5,626,359 1,746,709 14,935,106 5,779,415 1,114,028 1,516,711 1,009,673 2,056,474 2,248,150 1,192,020 18,6351985 29,613,830 6,471,412 7,848,104 298,080 5,729,697 1,820,327 15,294,315 5,891,640 1,140,116 1,535,850 1,034,208 2,112,470 2,337,467 1,222,690 19,8741986 29,447,643 6,480,349 7,583,497 302,195 5,507,929 1,773,372 15,383,797 5,899,552 1,146,208 1,529,849 1,051,926 2,124,713 2,380,233 1,227,942 23,3741987 30,080,411 6,746,834 7,605,827 317,904 5,496,125 1,791,798 15,727,750 6,062,230 1,181,961 1,544,603 1,086,589 2,149,248 2,437,471 1,240,280 25,3681988 30,838,697 7,092,075 7,593,787 328,765 5,454,894 1,810,127 16,152,836 6,393,511 1,219,136 1,491,490 1,121,521 2,165,431 2,486,293 1,247,758 27,6961989 31,721,098 7,129,636 7,933,633 321,630 5,566,017 2,045,987 16,657,829 6,486,261 1,308,329 1,558,932 1,157,596 2,234,120 2,596,239 1,285,467 30,8851990 33,224,031 7,430,334 8,346,882 336,607 5,621,795 2,388,480 17,446,815 6,774,225 1,438,665 1,660,887 1,193,030 2,307,167 2,713,578 1,325,568 33,6961991 34,292,671 7,604,686 8,463,989 339,370 5,588,963 2,535,655 18,223,996 7,008,056 1,542,652 1,698,250 1,253,145 2,419,276 2,879,356 1,387,991 35,2691992 34,747,612 7,732,885 8,504,336 309,804 5,577,096 2,617,436 18,510,390 6,940,571 1,627,244 1,685,325 1,293,901 2,494,837 3,005,278 1,429,260 33,9741993 35,424,734 8,043,427 8,405,825 291,102 5,379,576 2,735,147 18,975,482 7,115,760 1,660,854 1,679,814 1,333,330 2,563,486 3,125,538 1,466,444 30,2561994 36,508,930 8,347,636 8,449,410 285,130 5,202,054 2,962,227 19,711,884 7,340,856 1,727,721 1,753,440 1,375,956 2,669,141 3,293,428 1,524,685 26,6581995 34,080,888 7,853,735 7,555,992 213,108 4,820,037 2,522,848 18,671,161 6,578,940 1,714,062 1,679,787 1,354,762 2,619,212 3,206,932 1,491,100 26,3671996 35,439,153 7,621,558 8,173,178 316,758 5,347,738 2,508,683 19,644,417 6,363,565 1,760,352 1,564,143 1,488,371 2,758,514 3,893,866 1,793,538 22,0691997 37,429,368 8,608,796 8,528,187 279,510 5,753,583 2,495,095 20,292,384 6,762,918 1,723,502 1,634,456 1,613,866 2,892,980 3,887,891 1,764,900 11,8721998 38,464,114 7,287,762 9,728,143 309,577 6,420,116 2,998,450 21,448,209 7,012,616 2,011,935 1,829,985 1,561,048 3,014,304 4,194,528 1,801,050 22,7431999 38,826,189 7,734,390 10,043,488 302,472 6,760,617 2,980,399 21,048,310 6,808,051 1,967,285 1,852,001 1,476,055 2,831,430 4,189,539 1,910,576 13,3742000 39,677,479 6,765,277 10,776,137 306,603 7,080,313 3,389,221 22,136,064 7,233,280 2,066,358 1,906,971 1,693,803 3,097,478 4,158,692 1,969,697 9,7852001 39,601,183 6,734,608 10,583,067 318,017 7,039,674 3,225,375 22,283,509 7,323,345 2,124,966 1,900,051 1,714,448 3,092,856 4,117,068 1,998,694 12,0822002 40,049,306 6,967,016 10,673,802 301,100 7,142,191 3,230,511 22,408,487 7,396,485 2,123,854 1,951,619 1,677,080 3,162,727 4,125,973 1,963,401 7,3502003 40,647,004 6,727,632 10,733,037 314,325 7,116,429 3,302,283 23,186,335 7,788,023 2,243,267 2,006,564 1,684,916 3,252,035 4,211,326 1,992,916 7,2882004 41,519,311 6,527,886 10,949,492 348,741 7,232,482 3,368,269 24,041,933 8,041,102 2,335,769 2,069,999 1,759,001 3,402,549 4,368,011 2,058,950 6,5522005 42,430,926 6,346,048 10,823,052 372,849 7,103,943 3,346,261 25,261,826 8,333,290 2,521,106 2,126,318 2,260,676 3,449,510 4,261,145 1,990,194 319,5882006 43,725,714 6,253,756 11,252,016 371,282 7,323,678 3,557,056 26,219,943 8,576,066 2,598,789 2,228,367 2,420,434 3,551,390 4,420,115 2,087,632 337,1512007 44,605,873 6,177,911 11,486,351 396,412 7,354,361 3,735,578 26,941,611 8,825,623 2,728,268 2,172,385 2,592,245 3,607,967 4,526,637 2,153,122 335,3652008 45,294,695 6,237,375 11,351,418 404,214 7,199,176 3,748,028 27,705,903 8,936,702 2,883,861 2,239,473 2,756,473 3,673,476 4,633,660 2,228,714 353,5442009 45,745,675 6,328,855 10,909,989 428,665 6,871,760 3,609,565 28,506,831 9,114,004 3,000,439 2,335,407 2,831,090 3,835,412 4,766,930 2,311,513 312,0362010 46,406,174 6,471,357 11,096,487 365,365 7,117,862 3,613,260 28,838,330 9,189,637 3,070,791 2,259,414 2,903,913 3,861,109 4,921,805 2,330,167 301,4942011 47,425,601 6,501,516 11,274,613 361,809 7,241,704 3,671,100 29,649,472 9,368,444 3,230,662 2,279,708 3,123,489 3,887,274 5,078,171 2,365,884 315,8412012 48,977,199 6,714,249 11,525,446 417,208 7,468,270 3,639,969 30,737,505 9,652,533 3,364,667 2,346,301 3,305,828 4,042,097 5,282,572 2,403,840 339,6672013 49,483,638 6,753,437 11,784,893 432,728 7,743,075 3,609,089 30,945,308 9,720,650 3,432,956 2,425,917 3,362,323 4,065,128 5,277,881 2,370,382 290,072
2014 50,380,356 6,865,609 12,169,464 448,113 8,038,795 3,682,556 31,345,284 9,863,942 3,526,283 2,487,902 3,454,741 4,099,757 5,259,730 2,391,113 261,8162015 51,610,116 6,727,335 12,699,073 467,141 8,432,879 3,799,053 32,183,709 10,129,104 3,642,234 2,577,657 3,557,042 4,166,872 5,309,016 2,435,039 366,7442016 53,291,009 6,720,744 13,359,989 489,682 8,894,679 3,975,629 33,210,276 10,478,793 3,789,829 2,679,521 3,704,372 4,259,211 5,405,429 2,493,870 399,2522017 55,253,188 6,676,662 14,146,836 516,612 9,442,187 4,188,037 34,429,690 10,875,856 3,959,962 2,793,135 3,898,983 4,384,341 5,526,395 2,559,655 431,3632018 57,180,115 6,768,744 14,971,688 543,814 9,981,780 4,446,094 35,439,683 11,194,027 4,099,570 2,896,535 4,094,328 4,496,941 5,640,694 2,617,714 399,8742019 58,935,397 6,751,659 15,746,820 566,814 10,502,054 4,677,952 36,436,918 11,493,658 4,229,801 2,988,772 4,261,336 4,605,779 5,749,010 2,670,599 437,9632020 60,583,551 6,786,331 16,457,350 589,437 10,999,445 4,868,468 37,339,870 11,781,403 4,352,613 3,068,299 4,396,090 4,706,410 5,845,875 2,712,926 476,252
Continúa
D-17
D-9.2. ENOE Población Ocupada por Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Variación % anual)
Variación % anual de la Población Ocupada por Sectores EconómicosSector Secundario Sector Servicios
Industria Transportes, Servicios GobiernoAños TOTAL Sector Total extractiva Total Restaurantes comunicaciones, profesionales, y
Primario y de la Industria y servicios correo y financieros y Servicios Servicios organismos Noelectricidad manufacturera Construcción Comercio de alojamiento almacenamiento corporativos sociales diversos internacionales especificado
1980 6.6 6.1 6.9 9.9 5.1 13.4 6.6 3.1 5.3 15.3 10.3 7.7 9.0 7.6 …..1981 6.5 5.4 6.7 7.7 3.5 17.4 6.8 5.4 7.7 6.5 11.2 7.2 8.5 7.1 …..1982 0.7 -0.7 -2.6 6.3 -3.2 -1.9 3.3 1.9 2.3 5.7 11.8 2.4 3.6 2.2 …..1983 -1.9 6.8 -10.1 1.7 -7.9 -18.5 -0.6 -1.6 -1.2 -5.5 4.1 0.9 2.1 0.7 …..1984 3.4 3.7 3.1 5.0 1.7 7.4 3.4 3.0 3.4 0.6 7.9 3.2 4.5 3.1 …..1985 3.0 5.2 2.5 5.6 1.8 4.2 2.4 1.9 2.3 1.3 2.4 2.7 4.0 2.6 …..1986 -0.6 0.1 -3.4 1.4 -3.9 -2.6 0.6 0.1 0.5 -0.4 1.7 0.6 1.8 0.4 …..1987 2.1 4.1 0.3 5.2 -0.2 1.0 2.2 2.8 3.1 1.0 3.3 1.2 2.4 1.0 …..1988 2.5 5.1 -0.2 3.4 -0.8 1.0 2.7 5.5 3.1 -3.4 3.2 0.8 2.0 0.6 …..1989 2.9 0.5 4.5 -2.2 2.0 13.0 3.1 1.5 7.3 4.5 3.2 3.2 4.4 3.0 …..1990 4.7 4.2 5.2 4.7 1.0 16.7 4.7 4.4 10.0 6.5 3.1 3.3 4.5 3.1 …..1991 3.2 2.3 1.4 0.8 -0.6 6.2 4.5 3.5 7.2 2.2 5.0 4.9 6.1 4.7 …..1992 1.3 1.7 0.5 -8.7 -0.2 3.2 1.6 -1.0 5.5 -0.8 3.3 3.1 4.4 3.0 …..1993 1.9 4.0 -1.2 -6.0 -3.5 4.5 2.5 2.5 2.1 -0.3 3.0 2.8 4.0 2.6 …..1994 3.1 3.8 0.5 -2.1 -3.3 8.3 3.9 3.2 4.0 4.4 3.2 4.1 5.4 4.0 …..1995 -6.7 -5.9 -10.6 -25.3 -7.3 -14.8 -5.3 -10.4 -0.8 -4.2 -1.5 -1.9 -2.6 -2.2 …..1996 4.0 -3.0 8.2 48.6 10.9 -0.6 5.2 -3.3 2.7 -6.9 9.9 5.3 21.4 20.3 …..1997 5.6 13.0 4.3 -11.8 7.6 -0.5 3.3 6.3 -2.1 4.5 8.4 4.9 -0.2 -1.6 …..1998 2.8 -15.3 14.1 10.8 11.6 20.2 5.7 3.7 16.7 12.0 -3.3 4.2 7.9 2.0 …..1999 0.9 6.1 3.2 -2.3 5.3 -0.6 -1.9 -2.9 -2.2 1.2 -5.4 -6.1 -0.1 6.1 …..2000 2.2 -12.5 7.3 1.4 4.7 13.7 5.2 6.2 5.0 3.0 14.8 9.4 -0.7 3.1 …..2001 -0.2 -0.5 -1.8 3.7 -0.6 -4.8 0.7 1.2 2.8 -0.4 1.2 -0.1 -1.0 1.5 …..2002 1.1 3.5 0.9 -5.3 1.5 0.2 0.6 1.0 -0.1 2.7 -2.2 2.3 0.2 -1.8 …..2003 1.5 -3.4 0.6 4.4 -0.4 2.2 3.5 5.3 5.6 2.8 0.5 2.8 2.1 1.5 …..2004 2.1 -3.0 2.0 10.9 1.6 2.0 3.7 3.2 4.1 3.2 4.4 4.6 3.7 3.3 …..2005 2.2 -2.8 -1.2 6.9 -1.8 -0.7 5.1 3.6 7.9 2.7 28.5 1.4 -2.4 -3.3 …..2006 3.1 -1.5 4.0 -0.4 3.1 6.3 3.8 2.9 3.1 4.8 7.1 3.0 3.7 4.9 …..2007 2.0 -1.2 2.1 6.8 0.4 5.0 2.8 2.9 5.0 -2.5 7.1 1.6 2.4 3.1 …..2008 1.5 1.0 -1.2 2.0 -2.1 0.3 2.8 1.3 5.7 3.1 6.3 1.8 2.4 3.5 …..2009 1.0 1.5 -3.9 6.0 -4.5 -3.7 2.9 2.0 4.0 4.3 2.7 4.4 2.9 3.7 …..2010 1.4 2.3 1.7 -14.8 3.6 0.1 1.2 0.8 2.3 -3.3 2.6 0.7 3.2 0.8 …..2011 2.2 0.5 1.6 -1.0 1.7 1.6 2.8 1.9 5.2 0.9 7.6 0.7 3.2 1.5 …..2012 3.3 3.3 2.2 15.3 3.1 -0.8 3.7 3.0 4.1 2.9 5.8 4.0 4.0 1.6 …..2013 1.0 0.6 2.3 3.7 3.7 -0.8 0.7 0.7 2.0 3.4 1.7 0.6 -0.1 -1.4 …..
2014 1.8 1.7 3.3 3.6 3.8 2.0 1.3 1.5 2.7 2.6 2.7 0.9 -0.3 0.9 …..2015 2.4 -2.0 4.4 4.2 4.9 3.2 2.7 2.7 3.3 3.6 3.0 1.6 0.9 1.8 …..2016 3.3 -0.1 5.2 4.8 5.5 4.6 3.2 3.5 4.1 4.0 4.1 2.2 1.8 2.4 …..2017 3.7 -0.7 5.9 5.5 6.2 5.3 3.7 3.8 4.5 4.2 5.3 2.9 2.2 2.6 …..2018 3.5 1.4 5.8 5.3 5.7 6.2 2.9 2.9 3.5 3.7 5.0 2.6 2.1 2.3 …..2019 3.1 -0.3 5.2 4.2 5.2 5.2 2.8 2.7 3.2 3.2 4.1 2.4 1.9 2.0 …..2020 2.8 0.5 4.5 4.0 4.7 4.1 2.5 2.5 2.9 2.7 3.2 2.2 1.7 1.6 …..
Continúa
D-18
D-9.3. ENOE Población Ocupada por Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Estructura porcentual)
Estructura Porcentual de la Población Ocupada por Sectores EconómicosSector Secundario Sector Servicios
Industria Transportes, Servicios GobiernoAños TOTAL Sector Total extractiva Total Restaurantes comunicaciones, profesionales, y
Primario y de la Industria y servicios correo y financieros y Servicios Servicios organismos Noelectricidad manufacturera Construcción Comercio de alojamiento almacenamiento corporativos sociales diversos internacionales especificado
1980 100.0 20.1 30.1 0.9 22.7 6.6 49.8 20.1 3.7 5.4 2.7 6.8 7.1 4.0 0.01981 100.0 19.9 30.1 0.9 22.0 7.2 50.0 19.9 3.8 5.4 2.9 6.9 7.2 4.0 0.11982 100.0 19.6 29.2 0.9 21.2 7.0 51.3 20.1 3.8 5.6 3.2 7.0 7.4 4.0 0.11983 100.0 21.3 26.7 1.0 19.9 5.8 52.0 20.2 3.9 5.4 3.4 7.2 7.7 4.2 0.11984 100.0 21.4 26.6 1.0 19.6 6.1 52.0 20.1 3.9 5.3 3.5 7.2 7.8 4.1 0.11985 100.0 21.9 26.5 1.0 19.3 6.1 51.6 19.9 3.8 5.2 3.5 7.1 7.9 4.1 0.11986 100.0 22.0 25.8 1.0 18.7 6.0 52.2 20.0 3.9 5.2 3.6 7.2 8.1 4.2 0.11987 100.0 22.4 25.3 1.1 18.3 6.0 52.3 20.2 3.9 5.1 3.6 7.1 8.1 4.1 0.11988 100.0 23.0 24.6 1.1 17.7 5.9 52.4 20.7 4.0 4.8 3.6 7.0 8.1 4.0 0.11989 100.0 22.5 25.0 1.0 17.5 6.4 52.5 20.4 4.1 4.9 3.6 7.0 8.2 4.1 0.11990 100.0 22.4 25.1 1.0 16.9 7.2 52.5 20.4 4.3 5.0 3.6 6.9 8.2 4.0 0.11991 100.0 22.2 24.7 1.0 16.3 7.4 53.1 20.4 4.5 5.0 3.7 7.1 8.4 4.0 0.11992 100.0 22.3 24.5 0.9 16.1 7.5 53.3 20.0 4.7 4.9 3.7 7.2 8.6 4.1 0.11993 100.0 22.7 23.7 0.8 15.2 7.7 53.6 20.1 4.7 4.7 3.8 7.2 8.8 4.1 0.11994 100.0 22.9 23.1 0.8 14.2 8.1 54.0 20.1 4.7 4.8 3.8 7.3 9.0 4.2 0.11995 100.0 23.0 22.2 0.6 14.1 7.4 54.8 19.3 5.0 4.9 4.0 7.7 9.4 4.4 0.11996 100.0 21.5 23.1 0.9 15.1 7.1 55.4 18.0 5.0 4.4 4.2 7.8 11.0 5.1 0.11997 100.0 23.0 22.8 0.7 15.4 6.7 54.2 18.1 4.6 4.4 4.3 7.7 10.4 4.7 0.01998 100.0 18.9 25.3 0.8 16.7 7.8 55.8 18.2 5.2 4.8 4.1 7.8 10.9 4.7 0.11999 100.0 19.9 25.9 0.8 17.4 7.7 54.2 17.5 5.1 4.8 3.8 7.3 10.8 4.9 0.02000 100.0 17.1 27.2 0.8 17.8 8.5 55.8 18.2 5.2 4.8 4.3 7.8 10.5 5.0 0.02001 100.0 17.0 26.7 0.8 17.8 8.1 56.3 18.5 5.4 4.8 4.3 7.8 10.4 5.0 0.02002 100.0 17.4 26.7 0.8 17.8 8.1 56.0 18.5 5.3 4.9 4.2 7.9 10.3 4.9 0.02003 100.0 16.6 26.4 0.8 17.5 8.1 57.0 19.2 5.5 4.9 4.1 8.0 10.4 4.9 0.02004 100.0 15.7 26.4 0.8 17.4 8.1 57.9 19.4 5.6 5.0 4.2 8.2 10.5 5.0 0.02005 100.0 15.0 25.5 0.9 16.7 7.9 59.5 19.6 5.9 5.0 5.3 8.1 10.0 4.7 0.82006 100.0 14.3 25.7 0.8 16.7 8.1 60.0 19.6 5.9 5.1 5.5 8.1 10.1 4.8 0.82007 100.0 13.8 25.8 0.9 16.5 8.4 60.4 19.8 6.1 4.9 5.8 8.1 10.1 4.8 0.82008 100.0 13.8 25.1 0.9 15.9 8.3 61.2 19.7 6.4 4.9 6.1 8.1 10.2 4.9 0.82009 100.0 13.8 23.8 0.9 15.0 7.9 62.3 19.9 6.6 5.1 6.2 8.4 10.4 5.1 0.72010 100.0 13.9 23.9 0.8 15.3 7.8 62.1 19.8 6.6 4.9 6.3 8.3 10.6 5.0 0.62011 100.0 13.7 23.8 0.8 15.3 7.7 62.5 19.8 6.8 4.8 6.6 8.2 10.7 5.0 0.72012 100.0 13.7 23.5 0.9 15.2 7.4 62.8 19.7 6.9 4.8 6.7 8.3 10.8 4.9 0.72013 100.0 13.6 23.8 0.9 15.6 7.3 62.5 19.6 6.9 4.9 6.8 8.2 10.7 4.8 0.6
2014 100.0 13.6 24.2 0.9 16.0 7.3 62.2 19.6 7.0 4.9 6.9 8.1 10.4 4.7 0.52015 100.0 13.0 24.6 0.9 16.3 7.4 62.4 19.6 7.1 5.0 6.9 8.1 10.3 4.7 0.72016 100.0 12.6 25.1 0.9 16.7 7.5 62.3 19.7 7.1 5.0 7.0 8.0 10.1 4.7 0.72017 100.0 12.1 25.6 0.9 17.1 7.6 62.3 19.7 7.2 5.1 7.1 7.9 10.0 4.6 0.82018 100.0 11.8 26.2 1.0 17.5 7.8 62.0 19.6 7.2 5.1 7.2 7.9 9.9 4.6 0.72019 100.0 11.5 26.7 1.0 17.8 7.9 61.8 19.5 7.2 5.1 7.2 7.8 9.8 4.5 0.72020 100.0 11.2 27.2 1.0 18.2 8.0 61.6 19.4 7.2 5.1 7.3 7.8 9.6 4.5 0.8
Conclusión
D-19
Sección: D-IV. ENOE Población Ocupada, PEA
y Tasas de Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación
Cuadro D-10.ENOE Población Ocupada, PEA y Tasas de Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación 1980-2020
D-10. ENOE Población Ocupada, PEA y Tasas de Ocupación Parcial y Desocupación: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Personas, variación % anual y porcentajes de la población ocupada y de la PEA)
Población Población Ocupada Ocupación ParcialPoblación Económicamente Sector Sector y Desocupación
Años Total Activa Total Formal Informal Total Ocupación Parcial DesocupaciónPersonas Var. % Personas Var. % % Personas Var. % % Personas % POC Personas % POC Personas % PEA Personas % PEA Personas % PEA
1980 71,073,785 2.4 27,998,214 4.7 100.0 26,430,989 6.6 100.0 20,774,626 78.6 5,656,363 21.4 2,854,468 10.2 1,287,243 4.6 1,567,225 5.61981 72,666,912 2.2 29,219,041 4.4 100.0 28,151,386 6.5 100.0 22,995,061 81.7 5,156,325 18.3 1,843,120 6.3 775,465 2.7 1,067,655 3.71982 74,186,037 2.1 29,745,757 1.8 100.0 28,348,589 0.7 100.0 22,797,848 80.4 5,550,741 19.6 2,496,878 8.4 1,099,710 3.7 1,397,168 4.71983 75,668,142 2.0 29,423,838 -1.1 100.0 27,803,043 -1.9 100.0 21,806,169 78.4 5,996,874 21.6 2,947,352 10.0 1,326,557 4.5 1,620,795 5.51984 77,166,135 2.0 30,081,208 2.2 100.0 28,740,960 3.4 100.0 22,567,433 78.5 6,173,527 21.5 2,379,684 7.9 1,039,436 3.5 1,340,248 4.51985 78,717,744 2.0 31,003,678 3.1 100.0 29,613,830 3.0 100.0 23,248,134 78.5 6,365,696 21.5 2,469,659 8.0 1,079,811 3.5 1,389,848 4.51986 80,335,575 2.1 31,159,987 0.5 100.0 29,447,643 -0.6 100.0 22,636,055 76.9 6,811,588 23.1 3,113,088 10.0 1,400,744 4.5 1,712,344 5.51987 82,006,831 2.1 31,806,427 2.1 100.0 30,080,411 2.1 100.0 22,962,154 76.3 7,118,257 23.7 3,133,968 9.9 1,407,952 4.4 1,726,016 5.41988 83,712,835 2.1 32,522,380 2.3 100.0 30,838,697 2.5 100.0 23,532,841 76.3 7,305,856 23.7 3,042,142 9.4 1,358,459 4.2 1,683,683 5.21989 85,424,041 2.0 33,237,766 2.2 100.0 31,721,098 2.9 100.0 24,200,402 76.3 7,520,696 23.7 2,700,958 8.1 1,184,290 3.6 1,516,668 4.61990 87,064,847 1.9 34,759,745 4.6 100.0 33,224,031 4.7 100.0 25,583,803 77.0 7,640,228 23.0 2,723,831 7.8 1,188,117 3.4 1,535,714 4.41991 88,630,941 1.8 35,822,253 3.1 100.0 34,292,671 3.2 100.0 26,413,746 77.0 7,878,925 23.0 2,700,941 7.5 1,171,359 3.3 1,529,582 4.31992 90,132,585 1.7 36,444,139 1.7 100.0 34,747,612 1.3 100.0 26,521,216 76.3 8,226,396 23.7 3,028,613 8.3 1,332,086 3.7 1,696,527 4.71993 91,600,655 1.6 37,472,916 2.8 100.0 35,424,734 1.9 100.0 26,908,319 76.0 8,516,415 24.0 3,721,635 9.9 1,673,453 4.5 2,048,182 5.51994 93,055,300 1.6 38,790,182 3.5 100.0 36,508,930 3.1 100.0 27,706,943 75.9 8,801,987 24.1 4,174,602 10.8 1,893,350 4.9 2,281,252 5.91995 94,490,336 1.5 37,278,497 -3.9 100.0 34,080,888 -6.7 100.0 24,580,699 72.1 9,500,189 27.9 5,597,959 15.0 2,400,350 6.4 3,197,609 8.61996 95,876,664 1.5 37,946,152 1.8 100.0 35,439,153 4.0 100.0 25,706,260 72.5 9,732,893 27.5 4,475,334 11.8 1,968,335 5.2 2,506,999 6.61997 97,204,604 1.4 39,446,816 4.0 100.0 37,429,368 5.6 100.0 27,249,939 72.8 10,179,430 27.2 4,260,388 10.8 2,242,941 5.7 2,017,447 5.11998 98,485,424 1.3 40,289,061 2.1 100.0 38,464,114 2.8 100.0 27,511,176 71.5 10,952,938 28.5 4,100,434 10.2 2,275,487 5.6 1,824,947 4.51999 99,706,067 1.2 40,094,817 -0.5 100.0 38,826,189 0.9 100.0 27,969,021 72.0 10,857,167 28.0 3,194,672 8.0 1,926,043 4.8 1,268,629 3.22000 100,895,811 1.2 41,005,518 2.3 100.0 39,677,479 2.2 100.0 28,405,341 71.6 11,272,137 28.4 3,266,631 8.0 1,938,591 4.7 1,328,039 3.22001 102,122,295 1.2 41,083,906 0.2 100.0 39,601,183 -0.2 100.0 28,319,697 71.5 11,281,486 28.5 3,056,880 7.4 1,574,158 3.8 1,482,723 3.62002 103,417,944 1.3 41,266,365 0.4 100.0 40,049,306 1.1 100.0 28,692,651 71.6 11,356,655 28.4 3,115,229 7.5 1,898,170 4.6 1,217,060 2.92003 104,719,891 1.3 42,068,495 1.9 100.0 40,647,004 1.5 100.0 28,895,161 71.1 11,751,843 28.9 3,564,044 8.5 2,142,553 5.1 1,421,490 3.42004 105,951,569 1.2 43,194,696 2.7 100.0 41,519,311 2.1 100.0 29,525,147 71.1 11,994,164 28.9 4,083,533 9.5 2,408,148 5.6 1,675,385 3.92005 107,151,011 1.1 43,997,183 1.9 100.0 42,430,926 2.2 100.0 30,471,864 71.8 11,959,062 28.2 4,126,290 9.4 2,560,033 5.8 1,566,258 3.62006 108,408,827 1.2 45,341,667 3.1 100.0 43,725,714 3.1 100.0 31,829,292 72.8 11,896,423 27.2 4,284,856 9.5 2,668,904 5.9 1,615,952 3.62007 109,787,388 1.3 46,290,446 2.1 100.0 44,605,873 2.0 100.0 32,467,375 72.8 12,138,498 27.2 4,658,459 10.1 2,973,886 6.4 1,684,573 3.62008 111,299,015 1.4 47,130,219 1.8 100.0 45,294,695 1.5 100.0 32,887,138 72.6 12,407,557 27.4 4,781,206 10.1 2,945,682 6.3 1,835,524 3.92009 112,852,594 1.4 48,339,846 2.6 100.0 45,745,675 1.0 100.0 32,803,895 71.7 12,941,780 28.3 5,626,916 11.6 3,032,745 6.3 2,594,171 5.42010 114,255,555 1.2 49,013,369 1.4 100.0 46,406,174 1.4 100.0 33,402,380 72.0 13,003,794 28.0 5,743,762 11.7 3,136,567 6.4 2,607,196 5.32011 115,682,868 1.2 50,018,965 2.1 100.0 47,425,601 2.2 100.0 33,857,896 71.4 13,567,706 28.6 5,740,315 11.5 3,146,951 6.3 2,593,364 5.22012 117,053,750 1.2 51,511,199 3.0 100.0 48,977,199 3.3 100.0 34,897,548 71.3 14,079,652 28.7 5,927,626 11.5 3,393,626 6.6 2,534,000 4.92013 118,395,054 1.1 52,050,930 1.0 100.0 49,483,638 1.0 100.0 35,465,259 71.7 14,018,378 28.3 5,905,660 11.3 3,338,367 6.4 2,567,293 4.9
2014 119,713,203 1.1 52,980,997 1.8 100.0 50,380,356 1.8 100.0 36,233,592 71.9 14,146,764 28.1 6,044,361 11.4 3,443,721 6.5 2,600,640 4.92015 121,005,815 1.1 54,228,636 2.4 100.0 51,610,116 2.4 100.0 37,364,325 72.4 14,245,791 27.6 6,001,663 11.1 3,383,143 6.2 2,618,520 4.82016 122,273,473 1.0 55,833,365 3.0 100.0 53,291,009 3.3 100.0 39,087,955 73.3 14,203,054 26.7 5,827,296 10.4 3,284,940 5.9 2,542,356 4.62017 123,518,270 1.0 57,620,556 3.2 100.0 55,253,188 3.7 100.0 41,490,429 75.1 13,762,759 24.9 5,489,565 9.5 3,122,197 5.4 2,367,368 4.12018 124,737,789 1.0 59,381,085 3.1 100.0 57,180,115 3.5 100.0 43,754,543 76.5 13,425,572 23.5 5,102,638 8.6 2,901,667 4.9 2,200,971 3.72019 125,929,439 1.0 61,028,463 2.8 100.0 58,935,397 3.1 100.0 45,677,645 77.5 13,257,752 22.5 4,875,753 8.0 2,782,687 4.6 2,093,066 3.42020 127,091,642 0.9 62,584,960 2.6 100.0 60,583,551 2.8 100.0 47,398,717 78.2 13,184,834 21.8 4,697,512 7.5 2,696,103 4.3 2,001,410 3.2
D-20
Sección: D-V. ENOE Informalidad Laboral
en México
Cuadro D-11.1. ENOE Informalidad Laboral en México 1980-2020
Cuadro D-11.2. ENOE Tasa de Informalidad Laboral TIL
y Tasa de Ocupación en el Sector Informal TOSI 1980-2020
D-11.1. ENOE Informalidad Laboral en México: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Personas y tasas en porciento de la población ocupada)
Población Ocupada Tasas calculadas contra la población ocupadaDesglose Ocupación Informal Desglose Ocupación Informal
Años Total Ocupación Ocupación Sector Ámbito Empresas Trabajo Total Ocupación Ocupación Sector Ámbito Empresas TrabajoFormal Informal Informal Agropecuario y Gobierno Doméstico Formal Informal Informal Agropecuario y Gobierno Doméstico
1980 26,430,989 12,626,990 13,804,000 5,656,363 4,684,233 2,768,746 694,658 100.0 47.8 52.2 21.4 17.7 10.5 2.61981 28,151,386 14,492,017 13,659,368 5,156,325 4,934,424 2,836,578 732,041 100.0 51.5 48.5 18.3 17.5 10.1 2.61982 28,348,589 14,186,324 14,162,265 5,550,741 4,896,410 2,932,366 782,748 100.0 50.0 50.0 19.6 17.3 10.3 2.81983 27,803,043 12,662,083 15,140,960 5,996,874 5,233,228 3,087,622 823,236 100.0 45.5 54.5 21.6 18.8 11.1 3.01984 28,740,960 13,063,834 15,677,126 6,173,527 5,423,597 3,213,787 866,215 100.0 45.5 54.5 21.5 18.9 11.2 3.01985 29,613,830 13,293,340 16,320,490 6,365,696 5,701,961 3,322,748 930,085 100.0 44.9 55.1 21.5 19.3 11.2 3.11986 29,447,643 12,489,595 16,958,048 6,811,588 5,718,260 3,465,333 962,867 100.0 42.4 57.6 23.1 19.4 11.8 3.31987 30,080,411 12,381,187 17,699,224 7,118,257 5,963,527 3,588,696 1,028,744 100.0 41.2 58.8 23.7 19.8 11.9 3.41988 30,838,697 12,516,679 18,322,018 7,305,856 6,260,174 3,662,147 1,093,841 100.0 40.6 59.4 23.7 20.3 11.9 3.51989 31,721,098 13,069,585 18,651,513 7,520,696 6,285,487 3,721,568 1,123,762 100.0 41.2 58.8 23.7 19.8 11.7 3.51990 33,224,031 14,033,551 19,190,481 7,640,228 6,556,527 3,823,159 1,170,567 100.0 42.2 57.8 23.0 19.7 11.5 3.51991 34,292,671 14,486,902 19,805,769 7,878,925 6,720,261 3,995,214 1,211,369 100.0 42.2 57.8 23.0 19.6 11.7 3.51992 34,747,612 14,357,768 20,389,844 8,226,396 6,819,632 4,087,582 1,256,234 100.0 41.3 58.7 23.7 19.6 11.8 3.61993 35,424,734 14,274,894 21,149,839 8,516,415 7,089,476 4,196,585 1,347,363 100.0 40.3 59.7 24.0 20.0 11.8 3.81994 36,508,930 14,511,989 21,996,942 8,801,987 7,484,491 4,288,568 1,421,896 100.0 39.7 60.3 24.1 20.5 11.7 3.91995 34,080,888 11,723,272 22,357,616 9,500,189 6,984,326 4,376,360 1,496,741 100.0 34.4 65.6 27.9 20.5 12.8 4.41996 35,439,153 12,718,000 22,721,153 9,732,893 6,839,586 4,523,674 1,625,000 100.0 35.9 64.1 27.5 19.3 12.8 4.61997 37,429,368 13,212,468 24,216,900 10,179,430 7,727,256 4,676,757 1,633,458 100.0 35.3 64.7 27.2 20.6 12.5 4.41998 38,464,114 14,411,819 24,052,295 10,952,938 6,626,033 4,773,687 1,699,636 100.0 37.5 62.5 28.5 17.2 12.4 4.41999 38,826,189 14,208,324 24,617,864 10,857,167 7,120,280 4,890,636 1,749,781 100.0 36.6 63.4 28.0 18.3 12.6 4.52000 39,677,479 15,426,749 24,250,729 11,272,137 6,238,262 4,968,974 1,771,356 100.0 38.9 61.1 28.4 15.7 12.5 4.52001 39,601,183 15,529,475 24,071,708 11,281,486 5,867,190 5,040,874 1,882,158 100.0 39.2 60.8 28.5 14.8 12.7 4.82002 40,049,306 15,589,390 24,459,915 11,356,655 6,057,124 5,120,078 1,926,058 100.0 38.9 61.1 28.4 15.1 12.8 4.82003 40,647,004 15,851,308 24,795,696 11,751,843 5,880,623 5,201,868 1,961,362 100.0 39.0 61.0 28.9 14.5 12.8 4.82004 41,519,311 16,356,858 25,162,453 11,994,164 5,837,889 5,353,878 1,976,522 100.0 39.4 60.6 28.9 14.1 12.9 4.82005 42,430,926 16,588,694 25,842,232 11,959,062 6,109,104 5,519,901 2,254,166 100.0 39.1 60.9 28.2 14.4 13.0 5.32006 43,725,714 17,742,917 25,982,797 11,896,423 5,981,240 5,633,070 2,472,064 100.0 40.6 59.4 27.2 13.7 12.9 5.72007 44,605,873 18,481,609 26,124,264 12,138,498 5,922,371 5,859,672 2,203,723 100.0 41.4 58.6 27.2 13.3 13.1 4.92008 45,294,695 18,820,571 26,474,124 12,407,557 5,858,724 6,197,592 2,010,251 100.0 41.6 58.4 27.4 12.9 13.7 4.42009 45,745,675 18,584,253 27,161,421 12,941,780 5,858,719 6,458,986 1,901,937 100.0 40.6 59.4 28.3 12.8 14.1 4.22010 46,406,174 18,687,750 27,718,424 13,003,794 5,873,298 6,822,387 2,018,945 100.0 40.3 59.7 28.0 12.7 14.7 4.42011 47,425,601 19,132,107 28,293,494 13,567,706 5,907,032 6,753,669 2,065,087 100.0 40.3 59.7 28.6 12.5 14.2 4.42012 48,977,199 19,666,550 29,310,650 14,079,652 6,130,363 6,956,592 2,144,043 100.0 40.2 59.8 28.7 12.5 14.2 4.42013 49,483,638 20,293,420 29,190,217 14,018,378 6,120,316 6,884,660 2,166,864 100.0 41.0 59.0 28.3 12.4 13.9 4.4
2014 50,380,356 20,925,924 29,454,432 14,146,764 6,210,920 6,918,130 2,178,618 100.0 41.5 58.5 28.1 12.3 13.7 4.32015 51,610,116 21,837,553 29,772,563 14,245,791 6,316,506 7,001,148 2,209,118 100.0 42.3 57.7 27.6 12.2 13.6 4.32016 53,291,009 23,309,706 29,981,303 14,203,054 6,430,203 7,099,164 2,248,883 100.0 43.7 56.3 26.7 12.1 13.3 4.22017 55,253,188 25,457,515 29,795,673 13,762,759 6,526,656 7,205,651 2,300,607 100.0 46.1 53.9 24.9 11.8 13.0 4.22018 57,180,115 27,499,397 29,680,717 13,425,572 6,611,502 7,299,325 2,344,318 100.0 48.1 51.9 23.5 11.6 12.8 4.12019 58,935,397 29,229,627 29,705,770 13,257,752 6,684,229 7,379,617 2,384,172 100.0 49.6 50.4 22.5 11.3 12.5 4.02020 60,583,551 30,791,441 29,792,110 13,184,834 6,751,071 7,438,654 2,417,550 100.0 50.8 49.2 21.8 11.1 12.3 4.0
D-21
D-11.2. ENOE Tasa de Informalidad Labora TIL y Tasa de Ocupación en el Sector Informal TOSI: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Personas y tasas en porciento)
Población ocupada Población ocupada no agropecuaria Población % de la población ocupada % de la población ocupada no agropecuariapor condición de informalidad por condición de informalidad ocupada Tasa de ocupación Tasa de informalidad Tasa de ocupación Tasa de informalidad
Años Ocupación Ocupación Ocupación Ocupación en el sector sector informal laboral sector informal laboralTotal formal informal Total formal informal informal TOSI 1 TIL 1 TOSI 2 TIL 2
1980 26,430,989 12,626,990 13,804,000 21,127,884 12,008,117 9,119,767 5,656,363 21.40 52.23 26.77 43.161981 28,151,386 14,492,017 13,659,368 22,561,237 13,836,293 8,724,944 5,156,325 18.32 48.52 22.85 38.671982 28,348,589 14,186,324 14,162,265 22,797,733 13,531,878 9,265,855 5,550,741 19.58 49.96 24.35 40.641983 27,803,043 12,662,083 15,140,960 21,874,383 11,966,651 9,907,732 5,996,874 21.57 54.46 27.42 45.291984 28,740,960 13,063,834 15,677,126 22,590,363 12,336,834 10,253,529 6,173,527 21.48 54.55 27.33 45.391985 29,613,830 13,293,340 16,320,490 23,142,419 12,523,890 10,618,529 6,365,696 21.50 55.11 27.51 45.881986 29,447,643 12,489,595 16,958,048 22,967,294 11,727,506 11,239,788 6,811,588 23.13 57.59 29.66 48.941987 30,080,411 12,381,187 17,699,224 23,333,577 11,597,880 11,735,697 7,118,257 23.66 58.84 30.51 50.301988 30,838,697 12,516,679 18,322,018 23,746,623 11,684,779 12,061,844 7,305,856 23.69 59.41 30.77 50.791989 31,721,098 13,069,585 18,651,513 24,591,462 12,225,436 12,366,026 7,520,696 23.71 58.80 30.58 50.291990 33,224,031 14,033,551 19,190,481 25,793,697 13,159,743 12,633,954 7,640,228 23.00 57.76 29.62 48.981991 34,292,671 14,486,902 19,805,769 26,687,985 13,602,477 13,085,508 7,878,925 22.98 57.76 29.52 49.031992 34,747,612 14,357,768 20,389,844 27,014,727 13,444,515 13,570,212 8,226,396 23.67 58.68 30.45 50.231993 35,424,734 14,274,894 21,149,839 27,381,307 13,320,944 14,060,363 8,516,415 24.04 59.70 31.10 51.351994 36,508,930 14,511,989 21,996,942 28,161,294 13,648,843 14,512,451 8,801,987 24.11 60.25 31.26 51.531995 34,080,888 11,723,272 22,357,616 26,227,153 10,853,863 15,373,290 9,500,189 27.88 65.60 36.22 58.621996 35,439,153 12,718,000 22,721,153 27,817,595 11,936,028 15,881,567 9,732,893 27.46 64.11 34.99 57.091997 37,429,368 13,212,468 24,216,900 28,820,572 12,330,927 16,489,645 10,179,430 27.20 64.70 35.32 57.211998 38,464,114 14,411,819 24,052,295 31,176,352 13,750,091 17,426,261 10,952,938 28.48 62.53 35.13 55.901999 38,826,189 14,208,324 24,617,864 31,091,798 13,594,214 17,497,584 10,857,167 27.96 63.41 34.92 56.282000 39,677,479 15,426,749 24,250,729 32,912,201 14,899,734 18,012,467 11,272,137 28.41 61.12 34.25 54.732001 39,601,183 15,529,475 24,071,708 32,866,576 14,662,058 18,204,518 11,281,486 28.49 60.79 34.33 55.392002 40,049,306 15,589,390 24,459,915 33,082,289 14,679,498 18,402,791 11,356,655 28.36 61.07 34.33 55.632003 40,647,004 15,851,308 24,795,696 33,919,373 15,004,300 18,915,073 11,751,843 28.91 61.00 34.65 55.762004 41,519,311 16,356,858 25,162,453 34,991,424 15,666,861 19,324,564 11,994,164 28.89 60.60 34.28 55.232005 42,430,926 16,588,694 25,842,232 36,084,877 16,364,977 19,719,900 11,959,062 28.18 60.90 33.14 54.652006 43,725,714 17,742,917 25,982,797 37,471,959 17,622,530 19,849,429 11,896,423 27.21 59.42 31.75 52.972007 44,605,873 18,481,609 26,124,264 38,427,962 18,290,555 20,137,407 12,138,498 27.21 58.57 31.59 52.402008 45,294,695 18,820,571 26,474,124 39,057,321 18,456,070 20,601,250 12,407,557 27.39 58.45 31.77 52.752009 45,745,675 18,584,253 27,161,421 39,416,819 18,124,165 21,292,654 12,941,780 28.29 59.37 32.83 54.022010 46,406,174 18,687,750 27,718,424 39,934,817 18,089,690 21,845,126 13,003,794 28.02 59.73 32.56 54.702011 47,425,601 19,132,107 28,293,494 40,924,085 18,534,950 22,389,135 13,567,706 28.61 59.66 33.15 54.712012 48,977,199 19,666,550 29,310,650 42,262,951 19,082,665 23,180,286 14,079,652 28.75 59.85 33.31 54.852013 49,483,638 20,293,420 29,190,217 42,730,201 19,660,299 23,069,901 14,018,378 28.33 58.99 32.81 53.99
2014 50,380,356 20,925,924 29,454,432 43,514,748 20,354,690 23,160,057 14,146,764 28.08 58.46 32.51 53.222015 51,610,116 21,837,553 29,772,563 44,882,782 21,248,319 23,634,463 14,245,791 27.60 57.69 31.74 52.662016 53,291,009 23,309,706 29,981,303 46,570,265 22,681,250 23,889,015 14,203,054 26.65 56.26 30.50 51.302017 55,253,188 25,457,515 29,795,673 48,576,526 24,768,283 23,808,243 13,762,759 24.91 53.93 28.33 49.012018 57,180,115 27,499,397 29,680,717 50,411,371 26,756,052 23,655,319 13,425,572 23.48 51.91 26.63 46.922019 58,935,397 29,229,627 29,705,770 52,183,738 28,439,953 23,743,785 13,257,752 22.50 50.40 25.41 45.502020 60,583,551 30,791,441 29,792,110 53,797,220 29,959,766 23,837,454 13,184,834 21.76 49.18 24.51 44.31
D-22
Sección: D-VI. ENOE Indicadores Trimestrales
Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo
Cuadro D-12. ENOE Indicadores Trimestrales Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo 2013-2014
Cuadro D-12.1. Población Ocupada
Cuadro D-12.2. Variación % anual
Cuadro D-12.3. Promedios y Tasas
D-12.1. ENOE: Indicadores Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo en México 2013-2014(Personas)
2013 2014 Promedio AnualI II III IV I II e/ III e/ IV e/ 2013 2014 e/
Población Total 117,898,203 118,229,132 118,564,077 118,896,009 119,824,772 119,752,338 119,622,818 119,652,886 118,396,855 119,713,203Población de 14 años y más 87,836,305 87,960,006 88,151,969 88,326,076 88,595,829 88,874,790 89,148,086 89,421,319 88,068,589 89,010,006Población Económicamenta Activa PEA 51,061,902 52,156,700 52,309,335 52,675,784 51,790,637 52,765,393 53,406,857 53,961,099 52,050,930 52,980,997 Población Ocupada 48,564,992 49,549,331 49,576,734 50,243,493 49,305,839 50,150,202 50,638,732 51,426,652 49,483,638 50,380,356 Primario 6,485,411 6,688,635 6,860,345 6,979,357 6,660,593 6,788,965 6,935,809 7,077,068 6,753,437 6,865,609 Agricultura y ganadería 6,485,411 6,688,635 6,860,345 6,979,357 6,660,593 6,788,965 6,935,809 7,077,068 6,753,437 6,865,609 Secundario 11,534,825 11,676,727 11,877,004 12,051,015 11,957,708 11,987,522 12,269,350 12,463,277 11,784,893 12,169,464 Industria extractiva y de la electricidad 428,144 412,456 448,159 442,154 441,366 426,892 468,774 455,419 432,728 448,113 Industria manufacturera 7,525,196 7,675,586 7,819,025 7,952,494 7,894,959 7,928,880 8,100,510 8,230,831 7,743,075 8,038,795 Construcción 3,581,485 3,588,685 3,609,820 3,656,367 3,621,383 3,631,749 3,700,066 3,777,027 3,609,089 3,682,556 Terciario 30,247,515 30,883,639 30,563,813 30,925,976 30,420,552 31,105,822 31,183,354 31,624,144 30,655,236 31,083,468 Comercio 9,522,417 9,729,983 9,748,284 9,881,916 9,605,567 9,837,013 9,923,753 10,089,436 9,720,650 9,863,942 Restaurantes y servicios de alojamiento 3,390,155 3,501,478 3,409,251 3,430,938 3,511,898 3,585,513 3,501,301 3,506,419 3,432,956 3,526,283 Transportes y comunicaciones 2,430,657 2,453,300 2,354,040 2,465,670 2,446,481 2,477,833 2,448,202 2,579,091 2,425,917 2,487,902 Servicios profesionales y financieros 3,291,577 3,358,858 3,368,626 3,430,232 3,410,522 3,432,753 3,452,842 3,522,848 3,362,323 3,454,741 Servicios sociales 4,041,446 4,142,511 4,013,661 4,062,892 3,981,389 4,167,366 4,093,934 4,156,339 4,065,128 4,099,757 Servicios diversos 5,238,787 5,313,323 5,288,202 5,271,210 5,135,060 5,228,310 5,341,084 5,334,465 5,277,881 5,259,730 Gobierno y organismos internacionales 2,332,476 2,384,186 2,381,749 2,383,118 2,329,635 2,377,033 2,422,239 2,435,547 2,370,382 2,391,113 No especificado 297,241 300,330 275,572 287,145 266,986 267,894 250,219 262,163 290,072 261,816 Población Desocupada 2,496,910 2,607,369 2,732,601 2,432,291 2,484,798 2,615,191 2,768,125 2,534,447 2,567,293 2,600,640Población No Económicamente Activa PNEA 36,774,403 35,803,306 35,842,634 35,650,292 36,805,192 36,109,397 35,741,229 35,460,220 36,017,659 36,029,010
Población Ocupada 48,564,992 49,549,331 49,576,734 50,243,493 49,305,839 50,150,202 50,638,732 51,426,652 49,483,638 50,380,356Empresas y negocios 23,811,985 24,186,736 24,238,031 24,897,945 24,771,424 24,608,688 24,697,916 25,572,794 24,283,674 24,912,705 Empresas constituidas en sociedad 11,507,657 11,792,841 12,001,284 12,248,337 12,196,407 12,146,626 12,448,932 12,750,519 11,887,530 12,385,621 Negocios no constituidos en sociedad 12,304,328 12,393,895 12,236,747 12,649,608 12,575,017 12,462,061 12,248,984 12,822,275 12,396,145 12,527,084Instituciones 6,668,531 6,769,687 6,732,269 6,771,122 6,591,694 6,850,976 6,838,444 6,943,984 6,735,402 6,806,274 Privadas 938,585 961,984 968,046 995,409 942,136 998,539 999,992 1,083,005 966,006 1,005,918 Públicas 5,729,946 5,807,703 5,764,223 5,775,713 5,649,558 5,852,437 5,838,452 5,860,979 5,769,396 5,800,356 Administradas por los gobiernos 5,401,742 5,441,492 5,415,102 5,413,054 5,291,937 5,474,141 5,474,668 5,478,011 5,417,848 5,429,689 No administradas por los gobiernos 328,204 366,211 349,121 362,659 357,621 378,296 363,784 382,968 351,549 370,667Sector de los hogares 18,084,476 18,592,908 18,606,434 18,574,426 17,942,721 18,708,304 19,146,754 18,947,365 18,464,561 18,686,286 Sector informal 13,922,882 14,176,963 13,946,457 14,027,211 13,736,968 14,233,671 14,378,797 14,237,619 14,018,378 14,146,764 Trabajo doméstico remunerado 2,203,390 2,206,740 2,227,083 2,276,726 2,209,821 2,214,310 2,241,698 2,315,047 2,228,485 2,245,219 Agricultura de autosubsistencia 1,671,151 1,909,506 2,164,320 1,991,280 1,733,751 1,978,248 2,276,865 2,144,609 1,934,064 2,033,368Situaciones de carácter especial y no especificadas 287,053 299,699 268,574 279,209 262,181 282,074 249,394 250,091 283,634 260,935
Continúae/ Estimaciones del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO.Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI, "Encuesta Nacional de Ocupación y Empleo".
D-23
Conceptos!
D-12.2. ENOE: Indicadores Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo en México 2013-2014(Variación % anual)
2013 2014 Promedio AnualI II III IV I II e/ III e/ IV e/ 2013 2014 e/
Población Total 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.6 1.3 0.9 0.6 1.1 1.1Población de 14 años y más 1.7 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.1Población Económicamenta Activa PEA 1.2 0.8 0.1 2.1 1.4 1.2 2.1 2.4 1.0 1.8 Población Ocupada 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.4 1.5 1.2 2.1 2.4 1.0 1.8 Primario 1.5 0.3 0.5 0.0 2.7 1.5 1.1 1.4 0.6 1.7 Agricultura y ganadería 1.5 0.3 0.5 0.0 2.7 1.5 1.1 1.4 0.6 1.7 Secundario 1.3 1.8 1.7 4.2 3.7 2.7 3.3 3.4 2.3 3.3 Industria extractiva y de la electricidad 11.0 3.4 -0.3 1.7 3.1 3.5 4.6 3.0 3.7 3.6 Industria manufacturera 2.0 3.7 3.8 5.3 4.9 3.3 3.6 3.5 3.7 3.8 Construcción -1.0 -2.2 -2.2 2.2 1.1 1.2 2.5 3.3 -0.8 2.0 Terciario 1.3 0.3 -0.6 2.4 0.6 0.7 2.0 2.3 0.8 1.4 Comercio 0.9 -0.6 -1.4 4.0 0.9 1.1 1.8 2.1 0.7 1.5 Restaurantes y servicios de alojamiento 2.5 2.6 0.9 2.2 3.6 2.4 2.7 2.2 2.0 2.7 Transportes y comunicaciones 3.6 4.4 1.6 3.9 0.7 1.0 4.0 4.6 3.4 2.6 Servicios profesionales y financieros 3.1 2.0 -3.1 5.2 3.6 2.2 2.5 2.7 1.7 2.7 Servicios sociales 2.0 0.8 0.0 -0.5 -1.5 0.6 2.0 2.3 0.6 0.9 Servicios diversos 0.7 -1.3 -0.4 0.7 -2.0 -1.6 1.0 1.2 -0.1 -0.3 Gobierno y organismos internacionales -2.9 -2.7 0.5 -0.4 -0.1 -0.3 1.7 2.2 -1.4 0.9 No especificado -14.6 -15.9 -16.0 -11.7 -10.2 -10.8 -9.2 -8.7 -14.6 -9.7 Población Desocupada 0.9 4.9 2.4 -3.0 -0.5 0.3 1.3 4.2 1.3 1.3Población No Económicamente Activa PNEA 2.3 2.2 2.5 -0.9 0.1 0.9 -0.3 -0.5 1.5 0.0
Población Ocupada 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.4 1.5 1.2 2.1 2.4 1.0 1.8Empresas y negocios 1.4 1.9 1.7 4.1 4.0 1.7 1.9 2.7 2.3 2.6 Empresas constituidas en sociedad 5.0 5.1 6.3 4.7 6.0 3.0 3.7 4.1 5.3 4.2 Negocios no constituidos en sociedad -1.8 -0.9 -2.5 3.5 2.2 0.6 0.1 1.4 -0.4 1.1Instituciones 0.4 -1.9 1.3 -0.3 -1.2 1.2 1.6 2.6 -0.2 1.1 Privadas 2.2 -1.0 9.2 8.0 0.4 3.8 3.3 8.8 4.5 4.1 Públicas 0.1 -2.1 0.1 -1.6 -1.4 0.8 1.3 1.5 -0.9 0.5 Administradas por los gobiernos 0.0 -2.4 -0.4 -2.0 -2.0 0.6 1.1 1.2 -1.2 0.2 No administradas por los gobiernos 0.7 2.3 7.8 6.1 9.0 3.3 4.2 5.6 4.2 5.4Sector de los hogares 1.4 -0.3 -2.6 1.1 -0.8 0.6 2.9 2.0 -0.1 1.2 Sector informal 0.7 -1.2 -3.6 2.6 -1.3 0.4 3.1 1.5 -0.4 0.9 Trabajo doméstico remunerado 3.6 0.7 -0.6 -1.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.7 0.6 0.8 Agricultura de autosubsistencia 9.4 8.9 4.7 -4.2 3.7 3.6 5.2 7.7 4.2 5.1Situaciones de carácter especial y no especificadas -18.3 -15.4 -17.6 -11.0 -8.7 -5.9 -7.1 -10.4 -15.7 -8.0
Continúae/ Estimaciones del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO.Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI, "Encuesta Nacional de Ocupación y Empleo".
D-24
Conceptos!
D-12.3. ENOE: Indicadores Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo en México 2013-2014(Promedios y tasas)
2013 2014 Promedio AnualI II III IV I II e/ III e/ IV e/ 2013 2014 e/
PROMEDIOS
Edad promedio de la PEA 38.31 38.25 38.28 38.28 38.44 38.34 38.36 30.37 38.28 36.38
Años de escolaridad de la PEA 9.52 9.54 9.55 9.54 9.57 9.59 9.60 9.62 9.54 9.60
Horas trabajadas a la semana de la población ocupada 42.56 42.30 42.87 42.72 42.51 42.01 43.21 43.19 42.61 42.73
Índice remuneraciones nominales (2008=100) 109.9 109.1 108.0 108.8 112.3 111.2 112.1 113.6 108.9 112.3 Variación % anual 5.1 3.0 2.7 0.9 2.2 1.9 3.8 4.4 2.9 3.1
Índice remuneraciones reales (2008=100) 90.4 89.3 88.2 87.5 88.7 87.8 87.9 87.8 88.9 88.1 Variación % anual 1.3 -1.4 -0.7 -2.7 -1.9 -1.6 -0.4 0.4 -0.9 -0.9
TASAS
Tasas calculadas contra la población en edad de trabajar
Tasa de participación 58.13 59.30 59.34 59.64 58.46 59.35 59.39 59.43 59.10 59.16
Tasas calculadas contra la población económicamente activa
Tasa de desocupación 4.89 5.00 5.22 4.62 4.80 4.91 5.12 4.61 4.93 4.86
Tasa de ocupación parcial y desocupación 10.83 11.61 11.58 11.35 11.13 11.53 11.48 11.37 11.34 11.38
Tasa de presión general 9.01 9.14 9.17 8.49 8.85 9.10 9.04 9.10 8.95 9.02
Tasas calculadas contra la población ocupada
Tasa de trabajo asalariado 62.82 62.53 62.49 62.98 63.53 62.77 62.61 62.68 62.70 62.90
Tasa de subocupación 8.19 8.53 8.49 8.17 8.34 8.44 8.41 8.31 8.35 8.38
Tasa de condiciones críticas de ocupación 11.80 12.03 12.16 11.92 11.70 12.11 12.02 12.00 11.98 11.96
Tasa de Informalidad Laboral 58.90 59.09 59.13 58.84 58.19 58.50 58.59 58.43 58.99 58.43
Tasa de ocupación en el sector informal 28.67 28.61 28.13 27.92 27.86 28.38 28.39 27.69 28.33 28.08
e/ Estimaciones del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO.Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI, "Encuesta Nacional de Ocupación y Empleo". Conclusión
D-25
Conceptos!
Sección: D-VII. INEGI Indicadores
de Ocupación por Sectores Económicos
Cuadro D-13. INEGI Indicadores de Ocupación por Sectores Económicos 1980-2020
D-13. Indicadores de Ocupación por Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020Encuesta Mensual del INEGI
Industria Industria Establecimientos Servicios PrivadosAños Manufacturera de la Construcción Comerciales No Financieros
Indice 2008=100 % Indice 2008=100 % Indice 2008=100 % Indice 2008=100 %
1980 152.1 7.2 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. …..1981 160.5 5.6 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. …..1982 156.7 -2.4 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. …..1983 141.7 -9.6 156.0 ….. ….. ….. ….. …..1984 140.3 -1.0 172.9 10.9 ….. ….. ….. …..1985 143.5 2.3 171.4 -0.9 ….. ….. ….. …..1986 137.6 -4.1 113.5 -33.8 62.7 ….. ….. …..1987 132.4 -3.8 140.3 23.5 63.7 1.7 ….. …..1988 132.1 -0.2 112.1 -20.1 65.9 3.5 ….. …..1989 135.2 2.3 145.3 29.6 67.5 2.4 ….. …..1990 135.3 0.1 184.4 26.9 70.0 3.8 ….. …..1991 133.0 -1.7 206.2 11.8 71.9 2.7 ….. …..1992 127.9 -3.8 239.5 16.2 73.3 1.9 ….. …..1993 119.1 -6.9 231.2 -3.5 72.1 -1.7 ….. …..1994 115.5 -3.0 222.5 -3.8 70.4 -2.3 ….. …..1995 105.2 -8.9 126.6 -43.1 66.7 -5.3 ….. …..1996 107.7 2.3 132.6 4.7 66.3 -0.5 ….. …..1997 112.8 4.7 134.6 1.5 69.0 4.0 ….. …..1998 116.9 3.7 138.4 2.8 72.9 5.7 ….. …..1999 117.7 0.6 135.5 -2.1 75.7 3.8 ….. …..2000 118.8 1.0 116.5 -14.0 78.2 3.3 ….. …..2001 113.6 -4.4 106.0 -9.0 82.2 5.0 ….. …..2002 107.9 -5.0 93.1 -12.2 83.7 1.8 ….. …..2003 104.2 -3.4 90.2 -3.1 85.6 2.3 ….. …..2004 100.9 -3.2 92.4 2.5 88.1 2.9 ….. …..2005 100.0 -0.8 96.5 4.4 90.6 2.8 99.4 …..2006 101.5 1.4 100.9 4.5 94.4 4.1 103.7 4.32007 101.2 -0.2 102.6 1.7 97.3 3.1 105.8 2.02008 100.0 -1.2 100.0 -2.6 100.0 2.8 100.0 -5.52009 91.3 -8.7 94.0 -6.0 97.3 -2.7 97.8 -2.22010 94.5 3.5 94.5 0.6 99.2 2.0 97.7 -0.12011 97.3 3.0 97.2 2.8 102.5 3.3 98.8 1.12012 99.5 2.2 99.6 2.5 105.8 3.2 102.2 3.52013 101.3 1.8 95.7 -3.9 107.4 1.5 102.2 0.0
2014 103.5 2.2 93.0 -2.9 110.5 2.9 104.0 1.72015 106.0 2.4 96.8 4.1 113.6 2.8 107.0 2.92016 108.8 2.7 101.9 5.3 117.7 3.6 111.2 4.02017 112.5 3.3 108.9 6.9 122.9 4.4 116.8 5.02018 115.7 2.9 116.7 7.1 127.2 3.5 122.2 4.62019 118.8 2.7 123.9 6.2 131.3 3.2 127.4 4.22020 121.7 2.4 130.2 5.0 135.3 3.0 132.5 4.0
D-26
!!!!!!!
!!!!! !!!!!
!
!!
!Sección: E-I. !
Remuneración Mensual Nominal 1980-2020!
Sección: E-II. !Remuneración Mensual Real 1980-2020!
Sección: E-III. !Productividad Media Laboral 1980-2020!
Sección: E-IV. !Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra 1980-2020!
Sección: E-V. !Otros Indicadores Salariales 1980-2020!
Sección: E-VI. !Índice Global de Productividad Laboral de la Economía 1980-2020!
Sección: E-VII. !PTF Productividad Total de los Factores 1991-2011!
!E. Remuneración Media Mensual, !
Productividad Laboral, Costo Laboral Unitario y PTF
Sección: E-I. Remuneración Mensual Nominal
Cuadro E-1.
Grandes Sectores Económicos
Cuadro E-2.
Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica
Cuadro E-3. Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica
Cuadro E-4. Industria Manufacturera
Cuadro E-5. Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas
Cuadro E-6.
Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos
E-1. Remuneración Media Mensual por Grandes Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020(En pesos nominales por persona)
Remuneración Media Mensual Nominal % del Total de las Remuneración de los AsalariadosAños Total Sector Agropecuario Sector Industrial Sector Servicios Total Primario Secundario Terciario
Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% % % % %
1980 7.20 25.4 1.52 21.8 9.75 22.7 8.29 26.0 100.0 4.7 38.5 56.81981 9.67 34.4 2.08 36.9 12.84 31.6 11.13 34.3 100.0 4.6 38.5 56.91982 14.58 50.7 2.98 43.5 19.21 49.6 16.77 50.6 100.0 4.3 37.5 58.21983 22.66 55.4 5.02 68.3 30.51 58.9 26.36 57.2 100.0 5.0 35.2 59.81984 35.66 57.4 7.90 57.4 47.25 54.8 41.66 58.0 100.0 4.9 35.1 60.01985 56.15 57.4 12.51 58.2 74.92 58.6 65.35 56.9 100.0 5.0 35.7 59.41986 94.34 68.0 23.39 87.0 126.37 68.7 108.29 65.7 100.0 5.5 35.3 59.21987 214.66 127.5 50.43 115.6 290.69 130.0 246.55 127.7 100.0 5.2 35.7 59.11988 420.55 95.9 92.07 82.6 591.92 103.6 477.69 93.8 100.0 4.9 36.9 58.11989 532.71 26.7 108.01 17.3 732.79 23.8 605.70 26.8 100.0 4.4 37.0 58.61990 683.33 28.3 122.62 13.5 913.98 24.7 788.37 30.2 100.0 3.8 36.7 59.51991 888.79 30.1 150.86 23.0 1,152.26 26.1 1,038.13 31.7 100.0 3.5 35.3 61.21992 1,100.85 23.9 170.89 13.3 1,388.08 20.5 1,302.79 25.5 100.0 3.1 34.1 62.81993 1,283.15 16.6 185.17 8.4 1,541.83 11.1 1,565.09 20.1 100.0 2.9 32.1 65.01994 1,442.41 12.4 195.90 5.8 1,694.09 9.9 1,776.29 13.5 100.0 2.7 31.1 66.31995 1,685.21 16.8 228.87 16.8 2,000.29 18.1 2,070.44 16.6 100.0 2.7 29.6 67.71996 2,091.00 24.1 278.35 21.6 2,480.65 24.0 2,561.60 23.7 100.0 2.6 31.2 66.21997 2,604.95 24.6 338.02 21.4 3,012.35 21.4 3,167.90 23.7 100.0 2.4 32.1 65.51998 3,129.55 20.1 392.97 16.3 3,600.57 19.5 3,815.66 20.4 100.0 2.3 32.5 65.21999 3,723.41 19.0 450.11 14.5 4,242.92 17.8 4,547.09 19.2 100.0 2.2 32.4 65.42000 4,367.19 17.3 513.04 14.0 4,918.98 15.9 5,313.53 16.9 100.0 2.0 32.5 65.52001 4,831.76 10.6 565.47 10.2 5,479.46 11.4 5,882.69 10.7 100.0 2.1 31.5 66.52002 5,265.60 9.0 609.53 7.8 5,865.53 7.0 6,454.80 9.7 100.0 2.0 30.3 67.72003 5,629.78 6.9 642.32 5.4 6,178.14 5.3 6,975.66 8.1 100.0 2.0 29.7 68.32004 5,853.44 4.0 665.81 3.7 6,442.79 4.3 7,345.33 5.3 100.0 2.1 30.3 67.62005 6,253.24 6.8 703.20 5.6 6,728.45 4.4 7,816.66 6.4 100.0 2.0 30.0 68.02006 6,566.72 5.0 728.05 3.5 7,001.19 4.1 8,296.71 6.1 100.0 2.0 30.3 67.72007 6,934.95 5.6 751.48 3.2 7,319.93 4.6 8,753.10 5.5 100.0 1.9 29.8 68.32008 7,386.40 6.5 783.38 4.2 7,655.05 4.6 9,354.99 6.9 100.0 1.8 29.5 68.72009 7,793.85 5.5 826.94 5.6 8,011.31 4.7 9,894.76 5.8 100.0 1.9 27.6 70.52010 8,101.89 4.0 868.72 5.1 8,203.46 2.4 10,412.83 5.2 100.0 1.9 26.8 71.22011 8,566.21 5.7 924.33 6.4 8,557.03 4.3 10,912.40 4.8 100.0 1.8 27.1 71.12012 8,972.11 4.7 950.32 2.8 9,073.79 6.0 11,459.04 5.0 100.0 1.9 27.1 71.12013 9,382.76 4.6 988.43 4.0 9,511.38 4.8 12,005.37 4.8 100.0 1.9 26.5 71.6
2014 9,902.77 5.5 1,037.56 5.0 9,988.46 5.0 12,590.03 4.9 100.0 1.8 26.4 71.82015 10,492.79 6.0 1,097.34 5.8 10,505.25 5.2 13,266.65 5.4 100.0 1.7 26.7 71.52016 11,159.46 6.4 1,158.16 5.5 11,106.64 5.7 14,064.55 6.0 100.0 1.7 27.2 71.12017 11,950.93 7.1 1,241.14 7.2 11,823.00 6.4 14,984.96 6.5 100.0 1.6 27.8 70.62018 12,734.92 6.6 1,316.21 6.0 12,550.91 6.2 15,937.44 6.4 100.0 1.6 28.4 70.02019 13,514.16 6.1 1,393.96 5.9 13,257.00 5.6 16,863.06 5.8 100.0 1.5 29.0 69.42020 14,292.76 5.8 1,469.25 5.4 13,971.38 5.4 17,790.63 5.5 100.0 1.5 29.5 69.0
Continúa
E-1
E-2. Remuneración Mensual en el Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020(En pesos nominales por persona)
Remuneración Media Mensual NominalAños Total Minería Manufacturas Construcción Electricidad
Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.%
1980 9.75 22.7 18.24 23.0 8.52 23.2 10.93 20.7 18.25 20.51981 12.84 31.6 23.79 30.5 11.26 32.2 14.11 29.1 23.94 31.21982 19.21 49.6 33.92 42.6 17.44 54.9 19.85 40.7 38.93 62.61983 30.51 58.9 52.77 55.5 27.30 56.5 32.48 63.7 59.02 51.61984 47.25 54.8 81.45 54.4 42.40 55.3 50.36 55.0 83.40 41.31985 74.92 58.6 141.83 74.1 66.82 57.6 79.13 57.1 125.00 49.91986 126.37 68.7 227.10 60.1 114.32 71.1 131.69 66.4 203.59 62.91987 290.69 130.0 518.87 128.5 264.76 131.6 294.67 123.8 518.94 154.91988 591.92 103.6 1,044.58 101.3 565.61 113.6 553.96 88.0 930.69 79.31989 732.79 23.8 1,263.53 21.0 739.54 30.7 626.97 13.2 1,143.22 22.81990 913.98 24.7 1,526.35 20.8 932.09 26.0 782.87 24.9 1,480.69 29.51991 1,152.26 26.1 2,136.18 40.0 1,173.77 25.9 974.61 24.5 1,883.63 27.21992 1,388.08 20.5 2,668.64 24.9 1,428.10 21.7 1,162.89 19.3 2,351.44 24.81993 1,541.83 11.1 3,108.06 16.5 1,574.11 10.2 1,310.47 12.7 2,854.42 21.41994 1,694.09 9.9 3,234.33 4.1 1,748.44 11.1 1,442.64 10.1 3,333.88 16.81995 2,000.29 18.1 4,138.65 28.0 2,057.55 17.7 1,640.42 13.7 4,074.87 22.21996 2,480.65 24.0 5,347.08 29.2 2,539.63 23.4 2,082.31 26.9 5,076.35 24.61997 3,012.35 21.4 6,503.31 21.6 3,063.75 20.6 2,600.62 24.9 6,152.42 21.21998 3,600.57 19.5 7,405.60 13.9 3,666.00 19.7 3,157.24 21.4 7,083.11 15.11999 4,242.92 17.8 8,428.31 13.8 4,324.99 18.0 3,722.50 17.9 8,483.39 19.82000 4,918.98 15.9 10,833.36 28.5 5,051.17 16.8 4,212.66 13.2 10,079.33 18.82001 5,479.46 11.4 12,183.30 12.5 5,650.28 11.9 4,623.26 9.7 11,147.53 10.62002 5,865.53 7.0 13,328.72 9.4 6,102.46 8.0 4,869.40 5.3 12,308.60 10.42003 6,178.14 5.3 13,422.97 0.7 6,441.33 5.6 5,151.79 5.8 13,225.42 7.42004 6,442.79 4.3 14,580.41 8.6 6,801.01 5.6 5,352.05 3.9 14,218.11 7.52005 6,728.45 4.4 14,924.94 2.4 7,190.84 5.7 5,548.78 3.7 14,959.40 5.22006 7,001.19 4.1 15,972.11 7.0 7,571.65 5.3 5,779.50 4.2 15,888.00 6.22007 7,319.93 4.6 17,040.99 6.7 7,944.89 4.9 6,031.03 4.4 16,720.88 5.22008 7,655.05 4.6 19,176.86 12.5 8,382.77 5.5 6,280.37 4.1 17,970.82 7.52009 8,011.31 4.7 20,867.52 8.8 8,709.07 3.9 6,488.22 3.3 19,509.57 8.62010 8,203.46 2.4 20,504.04 -1.7 8,897.75 2.2 6,718.83 3.6 19,930.70 2.22011 8,557.03 4.3 22,469.19 9.6 9,277.37 4.3 6,995.20 4.1 21,645.92 8.62012 9,073.79 6.0 24,334.43 8.3 9,889.53 6.6 7,349.90 5.1 23,027.62 6.42013 9,511.38 4.8 25,915.23 6.5 10,272.78 3.9 7,652.43 4.1 24,412.78 6.0
2014 9,988.46 5.0 27,340.87 5.5 10,725.73 4.4 8,013.92 4.7 25,919.05 6.22015 10,505.25 5.2 29,250.84 7.0 11,255.15 4.9 8,434.88 5.3 27,852.48 7.52016 11,106.64 5.7 31,617.61 8.1 11,866.00 5.4 8,917.99 5.7 30,334.08 8.92017 11,823.00 6.4 34,647.95 9.6 12,600.36 6.2 9,489.94 6.4 33,333.10 9.92018 12,550.91 6.2 37,949.49 9.5 13,337.97 5.9 10,079.02 6.2 36,578.98 9.72019 13,257.00 5.6 41,142.65 8.4 14,040.74 5.3 10,654.89 5.7 39,963.34 9.32020 13,971.38 5.4 44,535.63 8.2 14,725.46 4.9 11,227.48 5.4 43,530.74 8.9
E-2
E-3. Remuneración Mensual en el Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020(En pesos nominales por persona)
Remuneración Media Mensual NominalComercio, Transporte, Almacenaje Servicios Financieros, Servicios Comunales,
Total Restaurantes y Hoteles y Comunicaciones Seguros e Inmuebles Sociales y PersonalesNominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.%
1980 8.29 26.0 7.03 22.3 9.54 17.9 18.60 24.4 8.30 28.41981 11.13 34.3 9.10 29.6 12.83 34.5 24.74 33.0 11.28 35.91982 16.77 50.6 12.94 42.1 18.64 45.3 37.19 50.3 17.34 53.81983 26.36 57.2 21.45 65.8 31.57 69.3 57.33 54.1 26.41 52.31984 41.66 58.0 33.10 54.3 49.42 56.6 90.69 58.2 42.04 59.21985 65.35 56.9 51.56 55.8 78.49 58.8 145.12 60.0 65.80 56.51986 108.29 65.7 86.71 68.2 134.43 71.3 253.38 74.6 107.15 62.81987 246.55 127.7 189.65 118.7 305.94 127.6 609.69 140.6 245.65 129.31988 477.69 93.8 359.47 89.5 648.35 111.9 1,187.31 94.7 471.82 92.11989 605.70 26.8 466.97 29.9 790.89 22.0 1,487.53 25.3 600.16 27.21990 788.37 30.2 613.77 31.4 992.08 25.4 2,070.58 39.2 781.41 30.21991 1,038.13 31.7 800.33 30.4 1,293.58 30.4 2,815.33 36.0 1,033.39 32.21992 1,302.79 25.5 976.25 22.0 1,600.04 23.7 3,800.77 35.0 1,306.51 26.41993 1,565.09 20.1 1,128.85 15.6 1,836.06 14.8 4,633.30 21.9 1,600.51 22.51994 1,776.29 13.5 1,240.44 9.9 1,980.10 7.8 5,078.70 9.6 1,861.64 16.31995 2,070.44 16.6 1,426.83 15.0 2,420.11 22.2 5,699.38 12.2 2,177.67 17.01996 2,561.60 23.7 1,716.51 20.3 2,993.32 23.7 6,618.50 16.1 2,728.01 25.31997 3,167.90 23.7 2,067.83 20.5 3,614.99 20.8 8,236.52 24.4 3,410.14 25.01998 3,815.66 20.4 2,448.00 18.4 4,268.97 18.1 9,302.28 12.9 4,176.73 22.51999 4,547.09 19.2 2,863.70 17.0 5,102.37 19.5 10,238.22 10.1 5,053.18 21.02000 5,313.53 16.9 3,322.88 16.0 5,911.73 15.9 10,881.76 6.3 5,981.86 18.42001 5,882.69 10.7 3,554.69 7.0 6,383.58 8.0 11,409.31 4.8 6,769.76 13.22002 6,454.80 9.7 3,763.09 5.9 6,810.66 6.7 13,134.57 15.1 7,490.07 10.62003 6,975.66 8.1 3,933.07 4.5 7,214.59 5.9 12,743.78 -3.0 8,267.51 10.42004 7,345.33 5.3 4,157.63 5.7 7,720.20 7.0 13,223.95 3.8 8,693.79 5.22005 7,816.66 6.4 4,455.98 7.2 8,210.18 6.3 14,355.37 8.6 9,235.78 6.22006 8,296.71 6.1 4,646.80 4.3 8,599.45 4.7 15,134.17 5.4 9,886.91 7.12007 8,753.10 5.5 4,802.71 3.4 9,084.30 5.6 16,325.51 7.9 10,453.03 5.72008 9,354.99 6.9 5,033.05 4.8 9,560.54 5.2 18,680.59 14.4 11,211.90 7.32009 9,894.76 5.8 5,156.85 2.5 9,970.76 4.3 19,648.37 5.2 11,941.54 6.52010 10,412.83 5.2 5,334.37 3.4 10,518.58 5.5 20,786.79 5.8 12,617.45 5.72011 10,912.40 4.8 5,453.55 2.2 11,125.71 5.8 21,449.18 3.2 13,301.93 5.42012 11,459.04 5.0 5,615.31 3.0 11,750.82 5.6 22,306.02 4.0 14,042.63 5.62013 12,005.37 4.8 5,964.03 6.2 12,361.87 5.2 22,504.71 0.9 14,690.81 4.6
2014 12,590.03 4.9 6,182.48 3.7 13,017.05 5.3 22,899.86 1.8 15,482.95 5.42015 13,266.65 5.4 6,341.54 2.6 13,772.03 5.8 23,557.10 2.9 16,422.60 6.12016 14,064.55 6.0 6,539.71 3.1 14,667.22 6.5 24,439.73 3.7 17,529.74 6.72017 14,984.96 6.5 6,773.28 3.6 15,664.59 6.8 25,682.44 5.1 18,807.90 7.32018 15,937.44 6.4 6,999.37 3.3 16,698.45 6.6 26,802.55 4.4 20,132.44 7.02019 16,863.06 5.8 7,199.79 2.9 17,650.26 5.7 27,787.67 3.7 21,447.53 6.52020 17,790.63 5.5 7,390.16 2.6 18,585.73 5.3 28,645.16 3.1 22,789.77 6.3
E-3
Años!
E-4. Remuneración Mensual en la Industria Manufacturera por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020(En pesos nominales por persona)
Industria Alimentos, Textiles, Madera Imprenta Años Manufacturera Bebidas y Tabaco Vestidos y Cuero y sus Productos y Editoriales
Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.%
1980 8.52 23.2 6.03 22.1 6.58 22.7 5.40 26.0 11.10 25.21981 11.26 32.2 7.82 29.7 8.48 28.7 7.32 35.7 13.89 25.11982 17.44 54.9 11.76 50.3 12.92 52.4 10.95 49.5 20.84 50.11983 27.30 56.5 18.21 54.9 20.74 60.6 17.86 63.1 32.78 57.31984 42.40 55.3 28.41 56.0 31.86 53.6 27.58 54.4 50.13 52.91985 66.82 57.6 44.36 56.1 50.05 57.1 42.64 54.6 77.50 54.61986 114.32 71.1 75.60 70.4 84.14 68.1 75.38 76.8 131.77 70.01987 264.76 131.6 169.88 124.7 188.01 123.5 167.14 121.7 307.35 133.21988 565.61 113.6 344.62 102.9 396.75 111.0 325.31 94.6 660.24 114.81989 739.54 30.7 464.91 34.9 527.99 33.1 418.00 28.5 806.95 22.21990 932.09 26.0 600.99 29.3 664.29 25.8 545.55 30.5 997.54 23.61991 1,173.77 25.9 790.46 31.5 826.45 24.4 686.59 25.9 1,239.97 24.31992 1,428.10 21.7 978.14 23.7 1,013.23 22.6 814.36 18.6 1,548.62 24.91993 1,574.11 10.2 1,143.21 16.9 1,097.76 8.3 898.18 10.3 1,709.88 10.41994 1,748.44 11.1 1,284.49 12.4 1,198.18 9.1 1,000.16 11.4 1,924.67 12.61995 2,057.55 17.7 1,479.94 15.2 1,301.70 8.6 1,149.42 14.9 2,185.61 13.61996 2,539.63 23.4 1,834.82 24.0 1,556.79 19.6 1,409.47 22.6 2,727.28 24.81997 3,063.75 20.6 2,212.55 20.6 1,866.15 19.9 1,697.81 20.5 3,127.84 14.71998 3,666.00 19.7 2,658.54 20.2 2,237.20 19.9 2,015.55 18.7 3,717.99 18.91999 4,324.99 18.0 3,135.33 17.9 2,614.37 16.9 2,457.30 21.9 4,448.10 19.62000 5,051.17 16.8 3,647.71 16.3 3,109.50 18.9 2,848.74 15.9 5,119.11 15.12001 5,650.28 11.9 4,114.33 12.8 3,448.02 10.9 3,233.58 13.5 5,661.46 10.62002 6,102.46 8.0 4,482.40 8.9 3,801.75 10.3 3,539.04 9.4 6,138.07 8.42003 6,441.33 5.6 4,720.98 5.3 4,021.78 5.8 3,786.68 7.0 6,466.66 5.42004 6,801.01 5.6 5,001.65 5.9 4,256.95 5.8 3,910.02 3.3 6,770.24 4.72005 7,190.84 5.7 5,223.35 4.4 4,535.51 6.5 4,137.67 5.8 7,134.92 5.42006 7,571.65 5.3 5,519.20 5.7 4,716.06 4.0 4,369.32 5.6 7,196.57 0.92007 7,944.89 4.9 5,719.92 3.6 4,827.71 2.4 4,613.55 5.6 7,357.62 2.22008 8,382.77 5.5 5,832.95 2.0 5,072.91 5.1 4,876.12 5.7 7,771.77 5.62009 8,709.07 3.9 5,956.19 2.1 5,232.21 3.1 4,995.84 2.5 8,134.83 4.72010 8,897.75 2.2 6,198.34 4.1 5,376.30 2.8 5,213.84 4.4 8,427.11 3.62011 9,277.37 4.3 6,395.71 3.2 5,632.39 4.8 5,463.91 4.8 8,730.83 3.62012 9,889.53 6.6 6,748.83 5.5 5,838.53 3.7 5,672.21 3.8 9,334.48 6.92013 10,272.78 3.9 7,044.78 4.4 6,051.77 3.7 5,869.60 3.5 9,838.51 5.4
2014 10,725.73 4.4 7,362.85 4.5 6,279.18 3.8 6,054.34 3.1 10,286.34 4.62015 11,255.15 4.9 7,724.25 4.9 6,544.19 4.2 6,272.35 3.6 10,798.48 5.02016 11,866.00 5.4 8,148.47 5.5 6,826.38 4.3 6,526.00 4.0 11,405.26 5.62017 12,600.36 6.2 8,658.02 6.3 7,150.55 4.7 6,829.81 4.7 12,104.49 6.12018 13,337.97 5.9 9,173.38 6.0 7,468.64 4.4 7,126.91 4.4 12,805.24 5.82019 14,040.74 5.3 9,661.91 5.3 7,759.41 3.9 7,398.06 3.8 13,480.44 5.32020 14,725.46 4.9 10,147.66 5.0 8,044.61 3.7 7,654.95 3.5 14,149.57 5.0
Continúa
E-4
Continuación
Químicos, Minerales Industrias Maquinaria Otras
Años Petróleo y Caucho No Metálicos Metálicas Básicas y Equipo Industrias
Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.%
1980 14.49 25.7 6.63 24.8 10.26 22.6 10.85 20.6 8.38 20.21981 18.85 30.1 8.67 30.7 13.81 34.6 14.47 33.4 10.89 30.01982 28.82 52.9 13.68 57.8 22.33 61.7 22.94 58.6 16.37 50.31983 44.96 56.0 21.51 57.2 34.43 54.2 36.00 56.9 26.46 61.61984 70.32 56.4 33.29 54.8 53.18 54.4 55.64 54.6 40.85 54.41985 114.93 63.4 52.24 56.9 82.45 55.0 89.14 60.2 62.07 51.91986 201.54 75.4 92.51 77.1 137.38 66.6 154.59 73.4 109.06 75.71987 471.73 134.1 208.03 124.9 345.20 151.3 355.36 129.9 239.89 120.01988 1,029.08 118.2 449.09 115.9 750.06 117.3 765.55 115.4 468.64 95.41989 1,303.95 26.7 580.69 29.3 1,028.14 37.1 992.21 29.6 597.02 27.41990 1,639.54 25.7 724.48 24.8 1,286.47 25.1 1,246.15 25.6 729.09 22.11991 2,088.44 27.4 932.34 28.7 1,531.85 19.1 1,578.82 26.7 925.10 26.91992 2,562.14 22.7 1,113.97 19.5 1,927.89 25.9 1,890.91 19.8 1,149.96 24.31993 2,852.74 11.3 1,233.16 10.7 2,017.77 4.7 2,087.38 10.4 1,313.96 14.31994 3,142.83 10.2 1,372.56 11.3 2,251.86 11.6 2,322.49 11.3 1,444.75 10.01995 3,827.48 21.8 1,702.03 24.0 2,708.96 20.3 2,775.25 19.5 1,673.50 15.81996 4,913.88 28.4 1,963.55 15.4 3,281.97 21.2 3,403.13 22.6 2,090.47 24.91997 5,956.03 21.2 2,296.96 17.0 3,880.80 18.2 4,130.75 21.4 2,569.27 22.91998 7,206.52 21.0 2,702.89 17.7 4,590.90 18.3 4,897.43 18.6 3,077.01 19.81999 8,557.74 18.8 3,225.20 19.3 5,206.13 13.4 5,827.33 19.0 3,591.89 16.72000 9,947.04 16.2 3,679.09 14.1 5,882.79 13.0 6,835.24 17.3 4,309.85 20.02001 10,943.49 10.0 4,289.60 16.6 6,404.07 8.9 7,783.93 13.9 4,683.42 8.72002 11,761.92 7.5 4,654.01 8.5 6,858.93 7.1 8,297.12 6.6 5,039.43 7.62003 12,797.80 8.8 4,973.92 6.9 7,267.79 6.0 8,584.60 3.5 5,329.98 5.82004 13,880.65 8.5 5,258.52 5.7 7,449.74 2.5 8,986.68 4.7 5,859.41 9.92005 15,098.43 8.8 5,314.52 1.1 7,764.33 4.2 9,504.93 5.8 6,143.69 4.92006 15,832.20 4.9 5,457.23 2.7 8,180.68 5.4 10,135.54 6.6 6,635.54 8.02007 16,880.14 6.6 5,678.20 4.0 8,766.91 7.2 10,599.66 4.6 7,010.55 5.72008 17,834.40 5.7 6,087.34 7.2 9,219.46 5.2 11,351.97 7.1 7,503.71 7.02009 19,606.17 9.9 6,388.26 4.9 9,989.63 8.4 12,055.69 6.2 7,694.15 2.52010 19,572.94 -0.2 6,421.22 0.5 10,394.42 4.1 12,060.00 0.0 8,030.81 4.42011 20,650.15 5.5 6,353.32 -1.1 10,802.58 3.9 12,488.00 3.5 8,280.08 3.12012 22,187.74 7.4 6,542.05 3.0 12,049.25 11.5 13,371.71 7.1 8,427.81 1.82013 22,795.09 2.7 6,699.06 2.4 12,716.39 5.5 13,853.51 3.6 8,512.08 1.0
2014 23,487.94 3.0 6,833.04 2.0 13,465.54 5.9 14,338.34 3.5 8,622.74 1.32015 24,566.01 4.6 7,044.87 3.1 14,292.20 6.1 14,948.97 4.3 8,777.95 1.82016 25,842.40 5.2 7,305.53 3.7 15,212.56 6.4 15,666.56 4.8 8,971.07 2.22017 27,338.93 5.8 7,634.28 4.5 16,277.03 7.0 16,535.41 5.5 9,204.31 2.62018 28,836.09 5.5 7,954.92 4.2 17,357.52 6.6 17,415.26 5.3 9,416.01 2.32019 30,231.48 4.8 8,249.25 3.7 18,426.27 6.2 18,253.91 4.8 9,604.33 2.02020 31,560.01 4.4 8,529.72 3.4 19,503.50 5.8 19,067.10 4.5 9,758.00 1.6
Conclusión
E-5
Minería Electricidad ConstrucciónTotal Generación, Agua y sumistro Construcción Trabajos
Sector Extracción metálicos y no transmisión de gas por ductos de obras de especializadosIndustrial de petróleo metálicos, excepto y suministro de al consumidor ingeniería para la
Total subsector y gas petróleo y gas Total subsector energía eléctrica final Total subsector Edificación civil construcciónNominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.%
1980 9.75 22.7 18.24 23.0 18.25 20.5 10.93 20.71981 12.84 31.6 23.79 30.5 23.94 31.2 14.11 29.11982 19.21 49.6 33.92 42.6 38.93 62.6 19.85 40.71983 30.51 58.9 52.77 55.5 59.02 51.6 32.48 63.71984 47.25 54.8 81.45 54.4 83.40 41.3 50.36 55.01985 74.92 58.6 141.83 74.1 125.00 49.9 79.13 57.11986 126.37 68.7 227.10 60.1 203.59 62.9 131.69 66.41987 290.69 130.0 518.87 128.5 518.94 154.9 294.67 123.81988 591.92 103.6 1,044.58 101.3 930.69 79.3 553.96 88.01989 732.79 23.8 1,263.53 21.0 1,143.22 22.8 626.97 13.21990 913.98 24.7 1,526.35 20.8 1,480.69 29.5 782.87 24.91991 1,152.26 26.1 2,136.18 40.0 1,883.63 27.2 974.61 24.51992 1,388.08 20.5 2,668.64 24.9 2,351.44 24.8 1,162.89 19.31993 1,541.83 11.1 3,108.06 16.5 2,854.42 21.4 1,310.47 12.71994 1,694.09 9.9 3,234.33 4.1 3,333.88 16.8 1,442.64 10.11995 2,000.29 18.1 4,138.65 28.0 4,074.87 22.2 1,640.42 13.71996 2,480.65 24.0 5,347.08 29.2 5,076.35 24.6 2,082.31 26.91997 3,012.35 21.4 6,503.31 21.6 6,152.42 21.2 2,600.62 24.91998 3,600.57 19.5 7,405.60 13.9 7,083.11 15.1 3,157.24 21.41999 4,242.92 17.8 8,428.31 13.8 8,483.39 19.8 3,722.50 17.92000 4,918.98 15.9 10,833.36 28.5 10,079.33 18.8 4,212.66 13.22001 5,479.46 11.4 12,183.30 12.5 11,147.53 10.6 4,623.26 9.72002 5,865.53 7.0 13,328.72 9.4 12,308.60 10.4 4,869.40 5.32003 6,178.14 5.3 13,422.97 0.7 26,563.55 9,928.45 13,225.42 7.4 17,610.70 8,046.17 5,151.79 5.8 5,216.22 5,338.15 4,408.572004 6,442.79 4.3 14,580.41 8.6 28,017.62 5.5 11,020.05 11.0 14,218.11 7.5 19,154.13 8.8 8,401.52 4.4 5,352.05 3.9 5,413.23 3.8 5,597.80 4.9 4,574.35 3.82005 6,728.45 4.4 14,924.94 2.4 26,979.26 -3.7 11,624.24 5.5 14,959.40 5.2 20,355.28 6.3 8,629.18 2.7 5,548.78 3.7 5,603.29 3.5 5,846.80 4.4 4,738.02 3.62006 7,001.19 4.1 15,972.11 7.0 30,317.37 12.4 12,123.15 4.3 15,888.00 6.2 22,056.58 8.4 8,768.73 1.6 5,779.50 4.2 5,829.82 4.0 6,103.73 4.4 4,925.69 4.02007 7,319.93 4.6 17,040.99 6.7 33,801.29 11.5 12,898.23 6.4 16,720.88 5.2 23,449.66 6.3 9,010.41 2.8 6,031.03 4.4 6,060.99 4.0 6,493.95 6.4 5,096.46 3.52008 7,655.05 4.6 19,176.86 12.5 36,430.44 7.8 14,972.31 16.1 17,970.82 7.5 24,884.33 6.1 9,657.76 7.2 6,280.37 4.1 6,330.32 4.4 6,524.60 0.5 5,312.46 4.22009 8,011.31 4.7 20,867.52 8.8 40,429.04 11.0 15,951.10 6.5 19,509.57 8.6 28,380.04 14.0 10,067.23 4.2 6,488.22 3.3 6,564.36 3.7 6,665.79 2.2 5,572.55 4.92010 8,203.46 2.4 20,504.04 -1.7 35,896.70 -11.2 16,730.40 4.9 19,930.70 2.2 31,562.16 11.2 10,280.98 2.1 6,718.83 3.6 6,881.81 4.8 6,589.79 -1.1 5,819.28 4.42011 8,557.03 4.3 22,469.19 9.6 43,529.40 21.3 17,379.57 3.9 21,645.92 8.6 34,389.96 9.0 10,491.84 2.1 6,995.20 4.1 7,167.85 4.2 6,828.57 3.6 6,092.77 4.72012 9,073.79 6.0 24,334.43 8.3 48,446.18 11.3 18,506.70 6.5 23,027.62 6.4 37,334.71 8.6 10,637.19 1.4 7,349.90 5.1 7,515.24 4.8 7,257.09 6.3 6,368.60 4.52013 9,511.38 4.8 25,915.23 6.5 51,934.30 7.2 19,617.10 6.0 24,412.78 6.0 40,396.16 8.2 10,679.74 0.4 7,652.43 4.1 7,845.91 4.4 7,518.35 3.6 6,623.35 4.0
2014 9,988.46 5.0 27,340.87 5.5 55,206.16 6.3 20,735.27 5.7 25,919.05 6.2 43,587.45 7.9 10,754.50 0.7 8,013.92 4.7 8,238.21 5.0 7,826.60 4.1 6,908.15 4.32015 10,505.25 5.2 29,250.84 7.0 58,904.97 6.7 22,000.13 6.1 27,852.48 7.5 47,423.15 8.8 10,894.30 1.3 8,434.88 5.3 8,683.07 5.4 8,186.62 4.6 7,288.10 5.52016 11,106.64 5.7 31,617.61 8.1 63,087.23 7.1 23,408.13 6.4 30,334.08 8.9 51,975.77 9.6 11,079.51 1.7 8,917.99 5.7 9,186.69 5.8 8,620.51 5.3 7,732.68 6.12017 11,823.00 6.4 34,647.95 9.6 67,944.94 7.7 24,999.89 6.8 33,333.10 9.9 57,381.25 10.4 11,301.10 2.0 9,489.94 6.4 9,783.82 6.5 9,129.12 5.9 8,250.76 6.72018 12,550.91 6.2 37,949.49 9.5 73,040.81 7.5 26,649.88 6.6 36,578.98 9.7 63,176.76 10.1 11,504.52 1.8 10,079.02 6.2 10,400.20 6.3 9,649.48 5.7 8,787.06 6.52019 13,257.00 5.6 41,142.65 8.4 78,153.67 7.0 28,248.87 6.0 39,963.34 9.3 69,241.73 9.6 11,665.58 1.4 10,654.89 5.7 11,003.42 5.8 10,160.90 5.3 9,296.71 5.82020 13,971.38 5.4 44,535.63 8.2 83,389.97 6.7 29,859.06 5.7 43,530.74 8.9 75,681.21 9.3 11,805.57 1.2 11,227.48 5.4 11,608.60 5.5 10,658.79 4.9 9,798.74 5.4
Continúa
E-6
Años
Minería de minerales
E-5. Remuneración Mensual en el Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas: Escenario Base 2014-2020(En pesos nominales por persona)
Continuación
ManufacturasIndustrias alimentaria, de las bebidas y del tabaco Textiles, prendas de vestir y productos de cuero
Total Confección de Fabricación de cuero,Años Subsector Industria Fabricación productos textiles, Fabricación piel y materiales
Manufacturero Industria de las bebidas de insumos excepto prendas de prendas sucedáneos, exceptoTotal rama alimentaria y del tabaco Total rama textiles de vestir de vestir prendas de vestir
Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.%
1980 8.52 23.2 6.03 22.1 6.58 22.71981 11.26 32.2 7.82 29.7 8.48 28.71982 17.44 54.9 11.76 50.3 12.92 52.41983 27.30 56.5 18.21 54.9 20.74 60.61984 42.40 55.3 28.41 56.0 31.86 53.61985 66.82 57.6 44.36 56.1 50.05 57.11986 114.32 71.1 75.60 70.4 84.14 68.11987 264.76 131.6 169.88 124.7 188.01 123.51988 565.61 113.6 344.62 102.9 396.75 111.01989 739.54 30.7 464.91 34.9 527.99 33.11990 932.09 26.0 600.99 29.3 664.29 25.81991 1,173.77 25.9 790.46 31.5 826.45 24.41992 1,428.10 21.7 978.14 23.7 1,013.23 22.61993 1,574.11 10.2 1,143.21 16.9 1,097.76 8.31994 1,748.44 11.1 1,284.49 12.4 1,198.18 9.11995 2,057.55 17.7 1,479.94 15.2 1,301.70 8.61996 2,539.63 23.4 1,834.82 24.0 1,556.79 19.61997 3,063.75 20.6 2,212.55 20.6 1,866.15 19.91998 3,666.00 19.7 2,658.54 20.2 2,237.20 19.91999 4,324.99 18.0 3,135.33 17.9 2,614.37 16.92000 5,051.17 16.8 3,647.71 16.3 3,109.50 18.92001 5,650.28 11.9 4,114.33 12.8 3,448.02 10.92002 6,102.46 8.0 4,482.40 8.9 3,801.75 10.32003 6,441.33 5.6 4,720.98 5.3 4,344.87 6,786.29 4,021.78 5.8 2,659.02 9,720.07 3,504.98 3,804.662004 6,801.01 5.6 5,001.65 5.9 4,560.19 5.0 7,550.28 11.3 4,256.95 5.8 2,931.01 10.2 10,036.22 3.3 3,686.94 5.2 4,058.76 6.72005 7,190.84 5.7 5,223.35 4.4 4,732.28 3.8 8,341.16 10.5 4,535.51 6.5 3,097.35 5.7 11,236.37 12.0 3,877.22 5.2 4,252.21 4.82006 7,571.65 5.3 5,519.20 5.7 4,992.88 5.5 8,749.26 4.9 4,716.06 4.0 3,459.26 11.7 10,606.55 -5.6 4,080.50 5.2 4,459.22 4.92007 7,944.89 4.9 5,719.92 3.6 5,173.86 3.6 9,248.32 5.7 4,827.71 2.4 3,518.54 1.7 10,613.20 0.1 4,214.44 3.3 4,587.55 2.92008 8,382.77 5.5 5,832.95 2.0 5,318.06 2.8 9,129.86 -1.3 5,072.91 5.1 3,540.31 0.6 11,428.00 7.7 4,549.63 8.0 4,648.53 1.32009 8,709.07 3.9 5,956.19 2.1 5,471.57 2.9 9,102.25 -0.3 5,232.21 3.1 3,469.05 -2.0 12,188.36 6.7 4,752.57 4.5 4,736.48 1.92010 8,897.75 2.2 6,198.34 4.1 5,762.11 5.3 9,085.03 -0.2 5,376.30 2.8 3,299.52 -4.9 13,393.68 9.9 4,891.31 2.9 4,844.67 2.32011 9,277.37 4.3 6,395.71 3.2 5,955.85 3.4 9,440.92 3.9 5,632.39 4.8 3,515.83 6.6 13,620.42 1.7 5,129.14 4.9 5,104.25 5.42012 9,889.53 6.6 6,748.83 5.5 6,249.14 4.9 10,429.47 10.5 5,838.53 3.7 3,773.47 7.3 13,497.44 -0.9 5,351.36 4.3 5,300.33 3.82013 10,272.78 3.9 7,044.78 4.4 6,524.10 4.4 11,159.53 7.0 6,051.77 3.7 4,022.52 6.6 13,362.47 -1.0 5,586.82 4.4 5,512.34 4.0
2014 10,725.73 4.4 7,362.85 4.5 6,798.11 4.2 11,829.10 6.0 6,279.18 3.8 4,247.78 5.6 13,522.82 1.2 5,810.30 4.0 5,694.25 3.32015 11,255.15 4.9 7,724.25 4.9 7,124.42 4.8 12,491.53 5.6 6,544.19 4.2 4,477.16 5.4 13,793.27 2.0 6,042.71 4.0 5,916.32 3.92016 11,866.00 5.4 8,148.47 5.5 7,523.39 5.6 13,153.58 5.3 6,826.38 4.3 4,732.36 5.7 14,165.69 2.7 6,296.50 4.2 6,164.81 4.22017 12,600.36 6.2 8,658.02 6.3 8,004.89 6.4 13,903.34 5.7 7,150.55 4.7 5,021.03 6.1 14,647.33 3.4 6,579.84 4.5 6,454.55 4.72018 13,337.97 5.9 9,173.38 6.0 8,493.18 6.1 14,654.12 5.4 7,468.64 4.4 5,312.25 5.8 15,101.39 3.1 6,862.78 4.3 6,745.01 4.52019 14,040.74 5.3 9,661.91 5.3 8,951.81 5.4 15,386.82 5.0 7,759.41 3.9 5,599.12 5.4 15,494.03 2.6 7,123.56 3.8 7,001.32 3.82020 14,725.46 4.9 10,147.66 5.0 9,408.36 5.1 16,125.39 4.8 8,044.61 3.7 5,884.67 5.1 15,865.89 2.4 7,380.01 3.6 7,253.36 3.6
Continúa
E-7
Continuación
ManufacturasMadera y sus productos Impresión e industrias conexas Químicos, petróleo y caucho
Fabricación Fabricación deAños de muebles Impresión productos derivados Industria
Industria y productos Industria e industrias del petróleo Industria del plásticoTotal rama de la madera relacionados Total rama del papel conexas Total rama y del carbón química y del hule
Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.%
1980 5.40 26.0 11.10 25.2 14.49 25.71981 7.32 35.7 13.89 25.1 18.85 30.11982 10.95 49.5 20.84 50.1 28.82 52.91983 17.86 63.1 32.78 57.3 44.96 56.01984 27.58 54.4 50.13 52.9 70.32 56.41985 42.64 54.6 77.50 54.6 114.93 63.41986 75.38 76.8 131.77 70.0 201.54 75.41987 167.14 121.7 307.35 133.2 471.73 134.11988 325.31 94.6 660.24 114.8 1,029.08 118.21989 418.00 28.5 806.95 22.2 1,303.95 26.71990 545.55 30.5 997.54 23.6 1,639.54 25.71991 686.59 25.9 1,239.97 24.3 2,088.44 27.41992 814.36 18.6 1,548.62 24.9 2,562.14 22.71993 898.18 10.3 1,709.88 10.4 2,852.74 11.31994 1,000.16 11.4 1,924.67 12.6 3,142.83 10.21995 1,149.42 14.9 2,185.61 13.6 3,827.48 21.81996 1,409.47 22.6 2,727.28 24.8 4,913.88 28.41997 1,697.81 20.5 3,127.84 14.7 5,956.03 21.21998 2,015.55 18.7 3,717.99 18.9 7,206.52 21.01999 2,457.30 21.9 4,448.10 19.6 8,557.74 18.82000 2,848.74 15.9 5,119.11 15.1 9,947.04 16.22001 3,233.58 13.5 5,661.46 10.6 10,943.49 10.02002 3,539.04 9.4 6,138.07 8.4 11,761.92 7.52003 3,786.68 7.0 3,571.68 3,974.53 6,466.66 5.4 7,553.99 5,382.51 12,797.80 8.8 28,792.76 15,078.16 7,112.332004 3,910.02 3.3 3,667.48 2.7 4,111.52 3.4 6,770.24 4.7 7,861.93 4.1 5,651.30 5.0 13,880.65 8.5 29,724.95 3.2 16,969.22 12.5 7,471.86 5.12005 4,137.67 5.8 3,888.02 6.0 4,338.90 5.5 7,134.92 5.4 8,460.65 7.6 5,779.78 2.3 15,098.43 8.8 32,956.73 10.9 18,562.21 9.4 7,849.75 5.12006 4,369.32 5.6 4,123.55 6.1 4,567.12 5.3 7,196.57 0.9 8,546.42 1.0 5,781.87 0.0 15,832.20 4.9 36,441.65 10.6 19,013.75 2.4 8,286.88 5.62007 4,613.55 5.6 4,399.62 6.7 4,797.89 5.1 7,357.62 2.2 8,726.24 2.1 6,004.04 3.8 16,880.14 6.6 43,653.61 19.8 19,877.06 4.5 8,580.43 3.52008 4,876.12 5.7 4,726.40 7.4 5,000.51 4.2 7,771.77 5.6 9,215.39 5.6 6,299.62 4.9 17,834.40 5.7 45,112.80 3.3 21,168.28 6.5 8,829.42 2.92009 4,995.84 2.5 4,871.92 3.1 5,108.33 2.2 8,134.83 4.7 9,522.44 3.3 6,731.36 6.9 19,606.17 9.9 48,874.62 8.3 22,642.46 7.0 9,150.58 3.62010 5,213.84 4.4 5,052.40 3.7 5,362.04 5.0 8,427.11 3.6 9,848.14 3.4 6,955.55 3.3 19,572.94 -0.2 49,612.94 1.5 22,588.81 -0.2 9,279.69 1.42011 5,463.91 4.8 5,205.27 3.0 5,703.67 6.4 8,730.83 3.6 10,289.69 4.5 7,178.48 3.2 20,650.15 5.5 50,904.87 2.6 23,890.62 5.8 9,935.67 7.12012 5,672.21 3.8 5,442.65 4.6 5,875.64 3.0 9,334.48 6.9 10,740.87 4.4 7,779.62 8.4 22,187.74 7.4 60,561.77 19.0 24,803.49 3.8 10,691.33 7.62013 5,869.60 3.5 5,638.59 3.6 6,069.54 3.3 9,838.51 5.4 11,213.46 4.4 8,215.28 5.6 22,795.09 2.7 60,804.02 0.4 25,746.03 3.8 11,290.04 5.6
2014 6,054.34 3.1 5,824.66 3.3 6,251.63 3.0 10,286.34 4.6 11,673.22 4.1 8,634.26 5.1 23,487.94 3.0 61,594.47 1.3 26,621.39 3.4 11,865.83 5.12015 6,272.35 3.6 6,051.82 3.9 6,464.18 3.4 10,798.48 5.0 12,233.53 4.8 9,100.51 5.4 24,566.01 4.6 62,703.17 1.8 27,712.87 4.1 12,518.45 5.52016 6,526.00 4.0 6,324.16 4.5 6,703.36 3.7 11,405.26 5.6 12,930.84 5.7 9,610.13 5.6 25,842.40 5.2 64,396.15 2.7 29,043.09 4.8 13,244.52 5.82017 6,829.81 4.7 6,646.69 5.1 6,991.60 4.3 12,104.49 6.1 13,719.62 6.1 10,205.96 6.2 27,338.93 5.8 66,456.83 3.2 30,698.54 5.7 14,105.42 6.52018 7,126.91 4.4 6,972.37 4.9 7,264.27 3.9 12,805.24 5.8 14,515.36 5.8 10,797.91 5.8 28,836.09 5.5 68,450.54 3.0 32,356.26 5.4 14,979.95 6.22019 7,398.06 3.8 7,272.19 4.3 7,511.26 3.4 13,480.44 5.3 15,270.16 5.2 11,380.99 5.4 30,231.48 4.8 70,024.90 2.3 33,974.08 5.0 15,818.83 5.62020 7,654.95 3.5 7,548.53 3.8 7,751.62 3.2 14,149.57 5.0 16,003.13 4.8 11,972.81 5.2 31,560.01 4.4 71,285.35 1.8 35,570.86 4.7 16,657.23 5.3
Continúa
E-8
Continuación
ManufacturasFabricación de Industrias metálicas Maquinaria y equipo
productos a base Fabricación equipo Fabricación de equipoAños de minerales Industrias Fabricación Fabricación de computación, de generación Fabricación Otras
no metálicos metálicas de productos de maquinaria comunicación y eléctrica y accesorios de equipo industriasTotal rama Total rama básicas metálicos Total rama y equipo otros electrónicos eléctricos de transporte Total rama
Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.%
1980 6.63 24.8 10.26 22.6 10.85 20.6 8.38 20.21981 8.67 30.7 13.81 34.6 14.47 33.4 10.89 30.01982 13.68 57.8 22.33 61.7 22.94 58.6 16.37 50.31983 21.51 57.2 34.43 54.2 36.00 56.9 26.46 61.61984 33.29 54.8 53.18 54.4 55.64 54.6 40.85 54.41985 52.24 56.9 82.45 55.0 89.14 60.2 62.07 51.91986 92.51 77.1 137.38 66.6 154.59 73.4 109.06 75.71987 208.03 124.9 345.20 151.3 355.36 129.9 239.89 120.01988 449.09 115.9 750.06 117.3 765.55 115.4 468.64 95.41989 580.69 29.3 1,028.14 37.1 992.21 29.6 597.02 27.41990 724.48 24.8 1,286.47 25.1 1,246.15 25.6 729.09 22.11991 932.34 28.7 1,531.85 19.1 1,578.82 26.7 925.10 26.91992 1,113.97 19.5 1,927.89 25.9 1,890.91 19.8 1,149.96 24.31993 1,233.16 10.7 2,017.77 4.7 2,087.38 10.4 1,313.96 14.31994 1,372.56 11.3 2,251.86 11.6 2,322.49 11.3 1,444.75 10.01995 1,702.03 24.0 2,708.96 20.3 2,775.25 19.5 1,673.50 15.81996 1,963.55 15.4 3,281.97 21.2 3,403.13 22.6 2,090.47 24.91997 2,296.96 17.0 3,880.80 18.2 4,130.75 21.4 2,569.27 22.91998 2,702.89 17.7 4,590.90 18.3 4,897.43 18.6 3,077.01 19.81999 3,225.20 19.3 5,206.13 13.4 5,827.33 19.0 3,591.89 16.72000 3,679.09 14.1 5,882.79 13.0 6,835.24 17.3 4,309.85 20.02001 4,289.60 16.6 6,404.07 8.9 7,783.93 13.9 4,683.42 8.72002 4,654.01 8.5 6,858.93 7.1 8,297.12 6.6 5,039.43 7.62003 4,973.92 6.9 7,267.79 6.0 11,799.55 6,058.23 8,584.60 3.5 8,616.98 8,453.78 7,355.66 9,245.59 5,329.98 5.82004 5,258.52 5.7 7,449.74 2.5 12,300.81 4.2 6,214.40 2.6 8,986.68 4.7 9,266.97 7.5 8,759.57 3.6 7,762.67 5.5 9,672.11 4.6 5,859.41 9.92005 5,314.52 1.1 7,764.33 4.2 13,228.72 7.5 6,389.56 2.8 9,504.93 5.8 10,120.57 9.2 9,211.93 5.2 8,255.94 6.4 10,141.10 4.8 6,143.69 4.92006 5,457.23 2.7 8,180.68 5.4 14,287.26 8.0 6,699.07 4.8 10,135.54 6.6 10,199.06 0.8 10,071.41 9.3 8,847.75 7.2 10,728.90 5.8 6,635.54 8.02007 5,678.20 4.0 8,766.91 7.2 15,143.23 6.0 7,221.19 7.8 10,599.66 4.6 10,700.54 4.9 10,427.42 3.5 9,368.04 5.9 11,204.45 4.4 7,010.55 5.72008 6,087.34 7.2 9,219.46 5.2 15,593.18 3.0 7,663.97 6.1 11,351.97 7.1 11,418.90 6.7 10,889.03 4.4 10,323.40 10.2 12,105.62 8.0 7,503.71 7.02009 6,388.26 4.9 9,989.63 8.4 16,444.09 5.5 8,306.83 8.4 12,055.69 6.2 12,072.70 5.7 11,691.23 7.4 10,568.47 2.4 13,102.45 8.2 7,694.15 2.52010 6,421.22 0.5 10,394.42 4.1 16,765.11 2.0 8,728.78 5.1 12,060.00 0.0 12,603.37 4.4 11,499.80 -1.6 10,652.32 0.8 13,039.58 -0.5 8,030.81 4.42011 6,353.32 -1.1 10,802.58 3.9 17,355.41 3.5 9,068.35 3.9 12,488.00 3.5 13,380.93 6.2 11,632.99 1.2 10,787.06 1.3 13,536.75 3.8 8,280.08 3.12012 6,542.05 3.0 12,049.25 11.5 19,440.21 12.0 10,033.81 10.6 13,371.71 7.1 14,368.97 7.4 13,074.36 12.4 11,579.22 7.3 13,963.41 3.2 8,427.81 1.82013 6,699.06 2.4 12,716.39 5.5 20,353.90 4.7 10,635.84 6.0 13,853.51 3.6 15,130.53 5.3 13,152.81 0.6 12,042.39 4.0 14,549.87 4.2 8,512.08 1.0
2014 6,833.04 2.0 13,465.54 5.9 21,208.76 4.2 11,220.81 5.5 14,338.34 3.5 15,887.05 5.0 13,310.64 1.2 12,427.74 3.2 15,088.22 3.7 8,622.74 1.32015 7,044.87 3.1 14,292.20 6.1 22,290.41 5.1 11,905.28 6.1 14,948.97 4.3 16,792.62 5.7 13,630.09 2.4 12,900.00 3.8 15,721.92 4.2 8,777.95 1.82016 7,305.53 3.7 15,212.56 6.4 23,471.80 5.3 12,655.31 6.3 15,666.56 4.8 17,850.55 6.3 13,998.11 2.7 13,467.60 4.4 16,476.58 4.8 8,971.07 2.22017 7,634.28 4.5 16,277.03 7.0 24,833.17 5.8 13,528.53 6.9 16,535.41 5.5 19,046.54 6.7 14,516.04 3.7 14,100.58 4.7 17,399.26 5.6 9,204.31 2.62018 7,954.92 4.2 17,357.52 6.6 26,223.82 5.6 14,421.41 6.6 17,415.26 5.3 20,265.52 6.4 15,009.58 3.4 14,735.10 4.5 18,338.82 5.4 9,416.01 2.32019 8,249.25 3.7 18,426.27 6.2 27,535.02 5.0 15,329.96 6.3 18,253.91 4.8 21,440.92 5.8 15,459.87 3.0 15,309.77 3.9 19,237.43 4.9 9,604.33 2.02020 8,529.72 3.4 19,503.50 5.8 28,829.16 4.7 16,249.76 6.0 19,067.10 4.5 22,620.17 5.5 15,877.29 2.7 15,860.92 3.6 20,103.11 4.5 9,758.00 1.6
Conclusión
E-9
Comercio, restaurantes y hoteles Servicios financieros, seguros y actividades inmobiliariasTotal Servicios de Transporte, Servicios
Años Sector alojamiento temporal almacenaje y Servicios inmobiliarios yServicios y de preparación de comunicaciones financieros de alquiler de bienes
Total subsector Comercio alimentos y bebidas Total subsector Total subsector y de seguros muebles e intangiblesNominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.%
1980 8.29 26.0 7.03 22.3 9.54 17.9 18.60 24.41981 11.13 34.3 9.10 29.6 12.83 34.5 24.74 33.01982 16.77 50.6 12.94 42.1 18.64 45.3 37.19 50.31983 26.36 57.2 21.45 65.8 31.57 69.3 57.33 54.11984 41.66 58.0 33.10 54.3 49.42 56.6 90.69 58.21985 65.35 56.9 51.56 55.8 78.49 58.8 145.12 60.01986 108.29 65.7 86.71 68.2 134.43 71.3 253.38 74.61987 246.55 127.7 189.65 118.7 305.94 127.6 609.69 140.61988 477.69 93.8 359.47 89.5 648.35 111.9 1,187.31 94.71989 605.70 26.8 466.97 29.9 790.89 22.0 1,487.53 25.31990 788.37 30.2 613.77 31.4 992.08 25.4 2,070.58 39.21991 1,038.13 31.7 800.33 30.4 1,293.58 30.4 2,815.33 36.01992 1,302.79 25.5 976.25 22.0 1,600.04 23.7 3,800.77 35.01993 1,565.09 20.1 1,128.85 15.6 1,836.06 14.8 4,633.30 21.91994 1,776.29 13.5 1,240.44 9.9 1,980.10 7.8 5,078.70 9.61995 2,070.44 16.6 1,426.83 15.0 2,420.11 22.2 5,699.38 12.21996 2,561.60 23.7 1,716.51 20.3 2,993.32 23.7 6,618.50 16.11997 3,167.90 23.7 2,067.83 20.5 3,614.99 20.8 8,236.52 24.41998 3,815.66 20.4 2,448.00 18.4 4,268.97 18.1 9,302.28 12.91999 4,547.09 19.2 2,863.70 17.0 5,102.37 19.5 10,238.22 10.12000 5,313.53 16.9 3,322.88 16.0 5,911.73 15.9 10,881.76 6.32001 5,882.69 10.7 3,554.69 7.0 6,383.58 8.0 11,409.31 4.82002 6,454.80 9.7 3,763.09 5.9 6,810.66 6.7 13,134.57 15.12003 6,975.66 8.1 3,933.07 4.5 4,093.35 3,361.90 7,214.59 5.9 12,743.78 -3.0 23,073.68 4,601.812004 7,345.33 5.3 4,157.63 5.7 4,334.84 5.9 3,515.71 4.6 7,720.20 7.0 13,223.95 3.8 24,774.39 7.4 4,822.28 4.82005 7,816.66 6.4 4,455.98 7.2 4,668.58 7.7 3,673.04 4.5 8,210.18 6.3 14,355.37 8.6 26,995.80 9.0 4,954.77 2.72006 8,296.71 6.1 4,646.80 4.3 4,855.31 4.0 3,847.03 4.7 8,599.45 4.7 15,134.17 5.4 28,563.57 5.8 5,242.03 5.82007 8,753.10 5.5 4,802.71 3.4 5,005.79 3.1 4,004.58 4.1 9,084.30 5.6 16,325.51 7.9 30,790.76 7.8 5,412.14 3.22008 9,354.99 6.9 5,033.05 4.8 5,241.08 4.7 4,198.16 4.8 9,560.54 5.2 18,680.59 14.4 37,288.68 21.1 5,658.49 4.62009 9,894.76 5.8 5,156.85 2.5 5,351.11 2.1 4,381.30 4.4 9,970.76 4.3 19,648.37 5.2 37,664.59 1.0 5,892.61 4.12010 10,412.83 5.2 5,334.37 3.4 5,506.34 2.9 4,634.69 5.8 10,518.58 5.5 20,786.79 5.8 37,849.38 0.5 6,196.08 5.12011 10,912.40 4.8 5,453.55 2.2 5,599.94 1.7 4,831.99 4.3 11,125.71 5.8 21,449.18 3.2 37,472.68 -1.0 6,513.25 5.12012 11,459.04 5.0 5,615.31 3.0 5,751.18 2.7 5,026.38 4.0 11,750.82 5.6 22,306.02 4.0 38,989.78 4.0 6,729.67 3.32013 12,005.37 4.8 5,964.03 6.2 6,137.36 6.7 5,207.33 3.6 12,361.87 5.2 22,504.71 0.9 39,067.76 0.2 6,931.56 3.0
2014 12,590.03 4.9 6,182.48 3.7 6,364.44 3.7 5,379.17 3.3 13,017.05 5.3 22,899.86 1.8 39,341.23 0.7 7,160.31 3.32015 13,266.65 5.4 6,341.54 2.6 6,504.46 2.2 5,610.47 4.3 13,772.03 5.8 23,557.10 2.9 39,813.33 1.2 7,489.68 4.62016 14,064.55 6.0 6,539.71 3.1 6,680.08 2.7 5,896.61 5.1 14,667.22 6.5 24,439.73 3.7 40,569.78 1.9 7,886.63 5.32017 14,984.96 6.5 6,773.28 3.6 6,880.48 3.0 6,268.09 6.3 15,664.59 6.8 25,682.44 5.1 41,543.46 2.4 8,320.40 5.52018 15,937.44 6.4 6,999.37 3.3 7,073.13 2.8 6,644.18 6.0 16,698.45 6.6 26,802.55 4.4 42,457.41 2.2 8,761.38 5.32019 16,863.06 5.8 7,199.79 2.9 7,235.81 2.3 7,022.90 5.7 17,650.26 5.7 27,787.67 3.7 43,221.65 1.8 9,181.92 4.82020 17,790.63 5.5 7,390.16 2.6 7,387.77 2.1 7,402.13 5.4 18,585.73 5.3 28,645.16 3.1 43,826.75 1.4 9,585.93 4.4
Continúa
E-10
E-6. Remuneración Mensual en el Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020(En pesos nominales por persona)
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios Servicios de
Años profesionales, Dirección apoyo a los negocios y científicos de corporativos manejo de desechos y Servicios
Total subsector y técnicos y empresas servicios de remediación educativosNominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.%
1980 8.30 28.41981 11.28 35.91982 17.34 53.81983 26.41 52.31984 42.04 59.21985 65.80 56.51986 107.15 62.81987 245.65 129.31988 471.82 92.11989 600.16 27.21990 781.41 30.21991 1,033.39 32.21992 1,306.51 26.41993 1,600.51 22.51994 1,861.64 16.31995 2,177.67 17.01996 2,728.01 25.31997 3,410.14 25.01998 4,176.73 22.51999 5,053.18 21.02000 5,981.86 18.42001 6,769.76 13.22002 7,490.07 10.62003 8,267.51 10.4 9,834.17 44,848.06 5,857.15 11,342.242004 8,693.79 5.2 10,147.46 3.2 44,502.14 -0.8 6,080.67 3.8 11,785.50 3.92005 9,235.78 6.2 10,632.28 4.8 47,120.12 5.9 6,429.59 5.7 12,813.61 8.72006 9,886.91 7.1 11,147.87 4.8 61,988.65 31.6 6,789.11 5.6 13,938.83 8.82007 10,453.03 5.7 11,798.12 5.8 50,914.78 -17.9 7,132.00 5.1 14,838.17 6.52008 11,211.90 7.3 12,462.73 5.6 60,902.76 19.6 7,456.30 4.5 16,073.99 8.32009 11,941.54 6.5 13,004.52 4.3 48,392.58 -20.5 7,819.93 4.9 16,956.45 5.52010 12,617.45 5.7 13,716.35 5.5 49,492.14 2.3 8,203.20 4.9 17,967.23 6.02011 13,301.93 5.4 14,413.07 5.1 55,303.97 11.7 8,593.08 4.8 19,115.59 6.42012 14,042.63 5.6 14,993.54 4.0 58,518.42 5.8 8,984.96 4.6 20,777.66 8.72013 14,690.81 4.6 15,533.31 3.6 61,502.86 5.1 9,371.31 4.3 22,024.32 6.0
2014 15,482.95 5.4 16,045.91 3.3 64,885.52 5.5 9,802.39 4.6 23,411.85 6.32015 16,422.60 6.1 16,816.11 4.8 69,038.19 6.4 10,302.31 5.1 25,050.68 7.02016 17,529.74 6.7 17,757.82 5.6 74,008.94 7.2 10,920.45 6.0 27,004.63 7.82017 18,807.90 7.3 18,858.80 6.2 79,929.66 8.0 11,619.36 6.4 29,192.01 8.12018 20,132.44 7.0 19,990.33 6.0 86,004.31 7.6 12,339.76 6.2 31,468.98 7.82019 21,447.53 6.5 21,089.80 5.5 92,196.62 7.2 13,043.13 5.7 33,766.22 7.32020 22,789.77 6.3 22,207.55 5.3 98,466.00 6.8 13,747.46 5.4 36,129.85 7.0
Continúa
E-11
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios de esparcimiento,
Años Servicios culturales y deportivos, Otros serviciosde salud y otros servicios Información en excepto actividades Actividades
y de asistencia social recreativos medios masivos del gobierno del gobiernoNominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.% Nominal Var.%
198019811982198319841985198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003 11,527.82 7,831.05 21,107.00 2,340.56 11,752.222004 12,280.73 6.5 8,006.12 2.2 23,887.92 13.2 2,455.63 4.9 12,544.59 6.72005 12,732.81 3.7 8,366.03 4.5 26,116.04 9.3 2,573.61 4.8 13,401.10 6.82006 13,493.69 6.0 8,947.96 7.0 28,727.81 10.0 2,754.98 7.0 14,372.09 7.22007 14,086.28 4.4 9,676.92 8.1 30,236.09 5.3 2,880.26 4.5 15,652.75 8.92008 15,892.43 12.8 9,882.11 2.1 31,334.70 3.6 3,005.93 4.4 16,774.71 7.22009 16,975.68 6.8 10,579.68 7.1 33,112.82 5.7 3,088.47 2.7 18,198.84 8.52010 18,314.38 7.9 11,534.74 9.0 35,294.84 6.6 3,183.56 3.1 19,421.11 6.72011 19,899.37 8.7 11,986.96 3.9 36,605.86 3.7 3,279.45 3.0 20,596.29 6.12012 21,211.67 6.6 12,500.19 4.3 35,495.68 -3.0 3,421.19 4.3 21,967.56 6.72013 22,272.25 5.0 12,950.20 3.6 36,773.53 3.6 3,523.83 3.0 23,219.71 5.7
2014 23,497.23 5.5 13,325.75 2.9 38,575.43 4.9 3,647.16 3.5 24,682.55 6.32015 25,071.54 6.7 13,792.15 3.5 40,735.66 5.6 3,793.05 4.0 26,410.33 7.02016 27,002.05 7.7 14,316.25 3.8 43,220.53 6.1 3,959.94 4.4 28,417.51 7.62017 29,324.23 8.6 14,903.22 4.1 45,986.64 6.4 4,146.06 4.7 30,804.58 8.42018 31,728.81 8.2 15,484.45 3.9 48,837.82 6.2 4,332.63 4.5 33,299.76 8.12019 34,171.93 7.7 15,995.43 3.3 51,523.90 5.5 4,505.94 4.0 35,830.54 7.62020 36,700.66 7.4 16,491.29 3.1 54,203.14 5.2 4,668.15 3.6 38,482.00 7.4
Conclusión
E-12
Sección: E-II. Remuneración Mensual Real
Cuadro E-7.
Grandes Sectores Económicos
Cuadro E-8.
Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica
Cuadro E-9. Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica
Cuadro E-10. Industria Manufacturera
Cuadro E-11. Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas
Cuadro E-12.
Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos
E-7. Remuneración Media Mensual por Grandes Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020(En pesos reales de 2008 por persona)
Remuneración Media Mensual Real Indice de las Remuneraciones Reales 1980=100Años Total Sector Agropecuario Sector Industrial Sector Servicios Total Primario Secundario Terciario
Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% 1980=100 1980=100 1980=100 1980=100
1980 8,405.81 -0.8 1,773.71 -3.6 11,389.04 -2.9 9,682.83 -0.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.01981 8,830.20 5.0 1,897.99 7.0 11,716.30 2.9 10,162.93 5.0 105.0 107.0 102.9 105.01982 8,373.60 -5.2 1,714.44 -9.7 11,032.65 -5.8 9,632.35 -5.2 99.6 96.7 96.9 99.51983 6,447.22 -23.0 1,429.01 -16.6 8,681.71 -21.3 7,499.44 -22.1 76.7 80.6 76.2 77.51984 6,132.93 -4.9 1,359.07 -4.9 8,125.53 -6.4 7,163.46 -4.5 73.0 76.6 71.3 74.01985 6,121.04 -0.2 1,363.25 0.3 8,167.10 0.5 7,123.80 -0.6 72.8 76.9 71.7 73.61986 5,522.22 -9.8 1,369.22 0.4 7,397.20 -9.4 6,339.09 -11.0 65.7 77.2 65.0 65.51987 5,420.26 -1.8 1,273.44 -7.0 7,339.90 -0.8 6,225.33 -1.8 64.5 71.8 64.4 64.31988 4,958.37 -8.5 1,085.55 -14.8 6,978.77 -4.9 5,631.99 -9.5 59.0 61.2 61.3 58.21989 5,233.58 5.6 1,061.18 -2.2 7,199.29 3.2 5,950.70 5.7 62.3 59.8 63.2 61.51990 5,300.62 1.3 951.19 -10.4 7,089.80 -1.5 6,115.43 2.8 63.1 53.6 62.3 63.21991 5,620.63 6.0 954.00 0.3 7,286.82 2.8 6,565.04 7.4 66.9 53.8 64.0 67.81992 6,027.05 7.2 935.62 -1.9 7,599.56 4.3 7,132.64 8.6 71.7 52.7 66.7 73.71993 6,400.93 6.2 923.72 -1.3 7,691.34 1.2 7,807.35 9.5 76.1 52.1 67.5 80.61994 6,726.80 5.1 913.59 -1.1 7,900.52 2.7 8,283.88 6.1 80.0 51.5 69.4 85.61995 5,821.61 -13.5 790.65 -13.5 6,910.06 -12.5 7,152.37 -13.7 69.3 44.6 60.7 73.91996 5,375.41 -7.7 715.57 -9.5 6,377.10 -7.7 6,585.21 -7.9 63.9 40.3 56.0 68.01997 5,551.60 3.3 720.37 0.7 6,419.85 0.7 6,751.36 2.5 66.0 40.6 56.4 69.71998 5,753.22 3.6 722.42 0.3 6,619.12 3.1 7,014.53 3.9 68.4 40.7 58.1 72.41999 5,871.18 2.1 709.74 -1.8 6,690.36 1.1 7,169.98 2.2 69.8 40.0 58.7 74.02000 6,289.35 7.1 738.84 4.1 7,084.00 5.9 7,652.21 6.7 74.8 41.7 62.2 79.02001 6,541.83 4.0 765.60 3.6 7,418.76 4.7 7,964.71 4.1 77.8 43.2 65.1 82.32002 6,787.74 3.8 785.73 2.6 7,561.09 1.9 8,320.70 4.5 80.8 44.3 66.4 85.92003 6,941.56 2.3 791.99 0.8 7,617.70 0.7 8,601.04 3.4 82.6 44.7 66.9 88.82004 6,894.11 -0.7 784.18 -1.0 7,588.25 -0.4 8,651.24 0.6 82.0 44.2 66.6 89.32005 7,082.54 2.7 796.46 1.6 7,620.78 0.4 8,853.30 2.3 84.3 44.9 66.9 91.42006 7,177.10 1.3 795.72 -0.1 7,651.96 0.4 9,067.90 2.4 85.4 44.9 67.2 93.62007 7,290.37 1.6 790.00 -0.7 7,695.08 0.6 9,201.70 1.5 86.7 44.5 67.6 95.02008 7,386.40 1.3 783.38 -0.8 7,655.05 -0.5 9,355.00 1.7 87.9 44.2 67.2 96.62009 7,401.75 0.2 785.34 0.2 7,608.27 -0.6 9,396.97 0.4 88.1 44.3 66.8 97.02010 7,387.23 -0.2 792.10 0.9 7,479.84 -1.7 9,494.33 1.0 87.9 44.7 65.7 98.12011 7,553.23 2.2 815.02 2.9 7,545.14 0.9 9,621.97 1.3 89.9 46.0 66.2 99.42012 7,598.72 0.6 804.85 -1.2 7,684.83 1.9 9,704.97 0.9 90.4 45.4 67.5 100.22013 7,655.11 0.7 806.43 0.2 7,760.05 1.0 9,794.82 0.9 91.1 45.5 68.1 101.2
2014 7,767.51 1.5 813.84 0.9 7,834.73 1.0 9,875.35 0.8 92.4 45.9 68.8 102.02015 7,939.89 2.2 830.36 2.0 7,949.32 1.5 10,038.87 1.7 94.5 46.8 69.8 103.72016 8,145.73 2.6 845.39 1.8 8,107.18 2.0 10,266.27 2.3 96.9 47.7 71.2 106.02017 8,383.90 2.9 870.69 3.0 8,294.16 2.3 10,512.36 2.4 99.7 49.1 72.8 108.62018 8,582.51 2.4 887.04 1.9 8,458.50 2.0 10,740.80 2.2 102.1 50.0 74.3 110.92019 8,768.63 2.2 904.47 2.0 8,601.77 1.7 10,941.56 1.9 104.3 51.0 75.5 113.02020 8,941.68 2.0 919.18 1.6 8,740.63 1.6 11,129.99 1.7 106.4 51.8 76.7 114.9
E-13
E-8. Remuneración Mensual en el Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020(En pesos reales de 2008 por persona)
Remuneración Media Mensual RealAños Total Minería Manufacturas Construcción Electricidad
Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.%
1980 11,389.04 -2.9 21,294.62 -2.7 9,944.10 -2.5 12,760.26 -4.5 21,305.17 -4.61981 11,716.30 2.9 21,715.67 2.0 10,277.97 3.4 12,877.25 0.9 21,849.85 2.61982 11,032.65 -5.8 19,485.27 -10.3 10,018.11 -2.5 11,399.17 -11.5 22,358.71 2.31983 8,681.71 -21.3 15,012.96 -23.0 7,767.30 -22.5 9,242.61 -18.9 16,791.70 -24.91984 8,125.53 -6.4 14,007.01 -6.7 7,290.96 -6.1 8,659.93 -6.3 14,342.14 -14.61985 8,167.10 0.5 15,461.15 10.4 7,284.61 -0.1 8,626.07 -0.4 13,627.21 -5.01986 7,397.20 -9.4 13,293.50 -14.0 6,691.65 -8.1 7,708.59 -10.6 11,917.15 -12.51987 7,339.90 -0.8 13,101.42 -1.4 6,685.24 -0.1 7,440.47 -3.5 13,103.26 10.01988 6,978.77 -4.9 12,315.67 -6.0 6,668.66 -0.2 6,531.32 -12.2 10,972.92 -16.31989 7,199.29 3.2 12,413.53 0.8 7,265.55 9.0 6,159.65 -5.7 11,231.53 2.41990 7,089.80 -1.5 11,840.03 -4.6 7,230.29 -0.5 6,072.81 -1.4 11,485.84 2.31991 7,286.82 2.8 13,509.02 14.1 7,422.84 2.7 6,163.35 1.5 11,911.90 3.71992 7,599.56 4.3 14,610.48 8.2 7,818.67 5.3 6,366.66 3.3 12,873.84 8.11993 7,691.34 1.2 15,504.35 6.1 7,852.36 0.4 6,537.22 2.7 14,239.11 10.61994 7,900.52 2.7 15,083.56 -2.7 8,154.01 3.8 6,727.86 2.9 15,547.81 9.21995 6,910.06 -12.5 14,297.07 -5.2 7,107.84 -12.8 5,666.85 -15.8 14,076.74 -9.51996 6,377.10 -7.7 13,745.98 -3.9 6,528.73 -8.1 5,353.08 -5.5 13,049.98 -7.31997 6,419.85 0.7 13,859.68 0.8 6,529.38 0.0 5,542.37 3.5 13,111.89 0.51998 6,619.12 3.1 13,614.11 -1.8 6,739.40 3.2 5,804.13 4.7 13,021.26 -0.71999 6,690.36 1.1 13,289.99 -2.4 6,819.77 1.2 5,869.74 1.1 13,376.84 2.72000 7,084.00 5.9 15,601.51 17.4 7,274.37 6.7 6,066.80 3.4 14,515.61 8.52001 7,418.76 4.7 16,495.24 5.7 7,650.04 5.2 6,259.54 3.2 15,092.89 4.02002 7,561.09 1.9 17,181.69 4.2 7,866.51 2.8 6,277.01 0.3 15,866.68 5.12003 7,617.70 0.7 16,550.64 -3.7 7,942.22 1.0 6,352.20 1.2 16,307.06 2.82004 7,588.25 -0.4 17,172.65 3.8 8,010.15 0.9 6,303.58 -0.8 16,745.93 2.72005 7,620.78 0.4 16,904.28 -1.6 8,144.49 1.7 6,284.66 -0.3 16,943.31 1.22006 7,651.96 0.4 17,456.74 3.3 8,275.44 1.6 6,316.71 0.5 17,364.81 2.52007 7,695.08 0.6 17,914.33 2.6 8,352.06 0.9 6,340.12 0.4 17,577.83 1.22008 7,655.05 -0.5 19,176.86 7.0 8,382.77 0.4 6,280.37 -0.9 17,970.82 2.22009 7,608.27 -0.6 19,817.71 3.3 8,270.93 -1.3 6,161.81 -1.9 18,528.07 3.12010 7,479.84 -1.7 18,695.40 -5.7 8,112.89 -1.9 6,126.17 -0.6 18,172.63 -1.92011 7,545.14 0.9 19,812.14 6.0 8,180.29 0.8 6,168.00 0.7 19,086.22 5.02012 7,684.83 1.9 20,609.48 4.0 8,375.71 2.4 6,224.83 0.9 19,502.71 2.22013 7,760.05 1.0 21,143.46 2.6 8,381.26 0.1 6,243.39 0.3 19,917.66 2.1
2014 7,834.73 1.0 21,445.59 1.4 8,413.03 0.4 6,285.94 0.7 20,330.34 2.12015 7,949.32 1.5 22,134.10 3.2 8,516.76 1.2 6,382.67 1.5 21,075.96 3.72016 8,107.18 2.0 23,078.95 4.3 8,661.47 1.7 6,509.60 2.0 22,142.05 5.12017 8,294.16 2.3 24,306.48 5.3 8,839.50 2.1 6,657.45 2.3 23,384.09 5.62018 8,458.50 2.0 25,575.50 5.2 8,988.93 1.7 6,792.61 2.0 24,651.86 5.42019 8,601.77 1.7 26,695.30 4.4 9,110.30 1.4 6,913.40 1.8 25,930.12 5.22020 8,740.63 1.6 27,861.91 4.4 9,212.38 1.1 7,024.02 1.6 27,233.23 5.0
E-14
E-9. Remuneración Mensual en el Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020(En pesos reales de 2008 por persona)
Remuneración Media Mensual RealComercio, Transporte, Almacenaje Servicios Financieros, Servicios Comunales,
Total Restaurantes y Hoteles y Comunicaciones Seguros e Inmuebles Sociales y PersonalesReal Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.%
1980 9,682.83 -0.3 8,205.49 -3.2 11,141.81 -6.7 21,724.04 -1.5 9,686.66 1.61981 10,162.93 5.0 8,309.21 1.3 11,709.82 5.1 22,582.77 4.0 10,293.10 6.31982 9,632.35 -5.2 7,429.58 -10.6 10,707.20 -8.6 21,362.37 -5.4 9,960.49 -3.21983 7,499.44 -22.1 6,101.88 -17.9 8,981.02 -16.1 16,310.85 -23.6 7,513.48 -24.61984 7,163.46 -4.5 5,692.10 -6.7 8,498.44 -5.4 15,596.19 -4.4 7,230.33 -3.81985 7,123.80 -0.6 5,620.68 -1.3 8,556.88 0.7 15,820.55 1.4 7,173.64 -0.81986 6,339.09 -11.0 5,075.63 -9.7 7,869.11 -8.0 14,831.72 -6.3 6,272.09 -12.61987 6,225.33 -1.8 4,788.76 -5.7 7,725.05 -1.8 15,394.75 3.8 6,202.72 -1.11988 5,631.99 -9.5 4,238.19 -11.5 7,644.18 -1.0 13,998.51 -9.1 5,562.81 -10.31989 5,950.70 5.7 4,587.74 8.2 7,770.07 1.6 14,614.19 4.4 5,896.23 6.01990 6,115.43 2.8 4,761.03 3.8 7,695.62 -1.0 16,061.62 9.9 6,061.42 2.81991 6,565.04 7.4 5,061.24 6.3 8,180.52 6.3 17,803.95 10.8 6,535.05 7.81992 7,132.64 8.6 5,344.87 5.6 8,760.03 7.1 20,808.75 16.9 7,153.01 9.51993 7,807.35 9.5 5,631.20 5.4 9,159.07 4.6 23,112.93 11.1 7,984.03 11.61994 8,283.88 6.1 5,784.89 2.7 9,234.38 0.8 23,684.91 2.5 8,681.90 8.71995 7,152.37 -13.7 4,929.01 -14.8 8,360.34 -9.5 19,688.65 -16.9 7,522.81 -13.41996 6,585.21 -7.9 4,412.71 -10.5 7,695.06 -8.0 17,014.47 -13.6 7,013.01 -6.81997 6,751.36 2.5 4,406.91 -0.1 7,704.18 0.1 17,553.46 3.2 7,267.59 3.61998 7,014.53 3.9 4,500.30 2.1 7,847.88 1.9 17,100.89 -2.6 7,678.32 5.71999 7,169.98 2.2 4,515.56 0.3 8,045.55 2.5 16,143.92 -5.6 7,967.99 3.82000 7,652.21 6.7 4,785.41 6.0 8,513.69 5.8 15,671.21 -2.9 8,614.70 8.12001 7,964.71 4.1 4,812.78 0.6 8,642.87 1.5 15,447.32 -1.4 9,165.73 6.42002 8,320.70 4.5 4,850.90 0.8 8,779.44 1.6 16,931.41 9.6 9,655.25 5.32003 8,601.04 3.4 4,849.51 0.0 8,895.65 1.3 15,713.19 -7.2 10,193.92 5.62004 8,651.24 0.6 4,896.81 1.0 9,092.77 2.2 15,575.02 -0.9 10,239.45 0.42005 8,853.30 2.3 5,046.93 3.1 9,299.02 2.3 16,259.17 4.4 10,460.63 2.22006 9,067.90 2.4 5,078.72 0.6 9,398.78 1.1 16,540.91 1.7 10,805.91 3.32007 9,201.70 1.5 5,048.85 -0.6 9,549.87 1.6 17,162.19 3.8 10,988.75 1.72008 9,355.00 1.7 5,033.05 -0.3 9,560.54 0.1 18,680.59 8.8 11,211.90 2.02009 9,396.97 0.4 4,897.41 -2.7 9,469.15 -1.0 18,659.89 -0.1 11,340.78 1.12010 9,494.33 1.0 4,863.83 -0.7 9,590.75 1.3 18,953.20 1.6 11,504.47 1.42011 9,621.97 1.3 4,808.65 -1.1 9,810.06 2.3 18,912.74 -0.2 11,728.93 2.02012 9,704.97 0.9 4,755.76 -1.1 9,952.09 1.4 18,891.56 -0.1 11,893.08 1.42013 9,794.82 0.9 4,865.87 2.3 10,085.68 1.3 18,360.92 -2.8 11,985.79 0.8
2014 9,875.35 0.8 4,849.40 -0.3 10,210.29 1.2 17,962.15 -2.2 12,144.49 1.32015 10,038.87 1.7 4,798.64 -1.0 10,421.29 2.1 17,825.64 -0.8 12,426.98 2.32016 10,266.27 2.3 4,773.59 -0.5 10,706.18 2.7 17,839.53 0.1 12,795.65 3.02017 10,512.36 2.4 4,751.64 -0.5 10,989.14 2.6 18,016.94 1.0 13,194.26 3.12018 10,740.80 2.2 4,717.12 -0.7 11,253.67 2.4 18,063.18 0.3 13,567.96 2.82019 10,941.56 1.9 4,671.57 -1.0 11,452.33 1.8 18,029.96 -0.2 13,916.18 2.62020 11,129.99 1.7 4,623.35 -1.0 11,627.40 1.5 17,920.68 -0.6 14,257.49 2.5
E-15
Años!
E-10. Remuneración Mensual en la Industria Manufacturera por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020(En pesos reales de 2008 por persona)
Industria Alimentos, Textiles, Madera Imprenta Años Manufacturera Bebidas y Tabaco Vestidos y Cuero y sus Productos y Editoriales
Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.%
1980 9,944.10 -2.5 7,041.84 -3.4 7,688.73 -2.9 6,301.10 -0.3 12,963.70 -0.91981 10,277.97 3.4 7,140.91 1.4 7,736.32 0.6 6,682.77 6.1 12,676.74 -2.21982 10,018.11 -2.5 6,752.09 -5.4 7,418.12 -4.1 6,288.34 -5.9 11,971.05 -5.61983 7,767.30 -22.5 5,180.96 -23.3 5,901.98 -20.4 5,080.61 -19.2 9,326.52 -22.11984 7,290.96 -6.1 4,885.14 -5.7 5,479.27 -7.2 4,742.75 -6.7 8,620.85 -7.61985 7,284.61 -0.1 4,835.42 -1.0 5,455.64 -0.4 4,648.58 -2.0 8,448.21 -2.01986 6,691.65 -8.1 4,425.43 -8.5 4,925.19 -9.7 4,412.70 -5.1 7,713.22 -8.71987 6,685.24 -0.1 4,289.47 -3.1 4,747.36 -3.6 4,220.32 -4.4 7,760.53 0.61988 6,668.66 -0.2 4,063.17 -5.3 4,677.68 -1.5 3,835.40 -9.1 7,784.25 0.31989 7,265.55 9.0 4,567.53 12.4 5,187.17 10.9 4,106.63 7.1 7,927.81 1.81990 7,230.29 -0.5 4,661.94 2.1 5,152.96 -0.7 4,231.88 3.0 7,737.95 -2.41991 7,422.84 2.7 4,998.81 7.2 5,226.41 1.4 4,341.97 2.6 7,841.47 1.31992 7,818.67 5.3 5,355.18 7.1 5,547.32 6.1 4,458.55 2.7 8,478.52 8.11993 7,852.36 0.4 5,702.82 6.5 5,476.12 -1.3 4,480.52 0.5 8,529.61 0.61994 8,154.01 3.8 5,990.31 5.0 5,587.80 2.0 4,664.32 4.1 8,975.85 5.21995 7,107.84 -12.8 5,112.50 -14.7 4,496.77 -19.5 3,970.69 -14.9 7,550.24 -15.91996 6,528.73 -8.1 4,716.84 -7.7 4,002.12 -11.0 3,623.38 -8.7 7,011.13 -7.11997 6,529.38 0.0 4,715.34 0.0 3,977.10 -0.6 3,618.33 -0.1 6,665.98 -4.91998 6,739.40 3.2 4,887.34 3.6 4,112.77 3.4 3,705.29 2.4 6,834.99 2.51999 6,819.77 1.2 4,943.87 1.2 4,122.40 0.2 3,874.73 4.6 7,013.88 2.62000 7,274.37 6.7 5,253.20 6.3 4,478.11 8.6 4,102.58 5.9 7,372.22 5.12001 7,650.04 5.2 5,570.48 6.0 4,668.35 4.2 4,378.02 6.7 7,665.17 4.02002 7,866.51 2.8 5,778.14 3.7 4,900.74 5.0 4,562.08 4.2 7,912.41 3.22003 7,942.22 1.0 5,821.01 0.7 4,958.89 1.2 4,669.01 2.3 7,973.45 0.82004 8,010.15 0.9 5,890.89 1.2 5,013.78 1.1 4,605.18 -1.4 7,973.92 0.02005 8,144.49 1.7 5,916.07 0.4 5,137.00 2.5 4,686.41 1.8 8,081.15 1.32006 8,275.44 1.6 6,032.22 2.0 5,154.43 0.3 4,775.45 1.9 7,865.50 -2.72007 8,352.06 0.9 6,013.06 -0.3 5,075.13 -1.5 4,849.99 1.6 7,734.70 -1.72008 8,382.77 0.4 5,832.95 -3.0 5,072.91 0.0 4,876.12 0.5 7,771.77 0.52009 8,270.93 -1.3 5,656.54 -3.0 4,968.98 -2.0 4,744.50 -2.7 7,725.57 -0.62010 8,112.89 -1.9 5,651.59 -0.1 4,902.06 -1.3 4,753.93 0.2 7,683.76 -0.52011 8,180.29 0.8 5,639.40 -0.2 4,966.34 1.3 4,817.79 1.3 7,698.38 0.22012 8,375.71 2.4 5,715.77 1.4 4,944.80 -0.4 4,803.94 -0.3 7,905.62 2.72013 8,381.26 0.1 5,747.63 0.6 4,937.46 -0.1 4,788.83 -0.3 8,026.95 1.5
2014 8,413.03 0.4 5,775.26 0.5 4,925.25 -0.2 4,748.90 -0.8 8,068.38 0.52015 8,516.76 1.2 5,844.94 1.2 4,951.99 0.5 4,746.28 -0.1 8,171.21 1.32016 8,661.47 1.7 5,947.90 1.8 4,982.85 0.6 4,763.59 0.4 8,325.16 1.92017 8,839.50 2.1 6,073.84 2.1 5,016.31 0.7 4,791.30 0.6 8,491.63 2.02018 8,988.93 1.7 6,182.27 1.8 5,033.38 0.3 4,803.08 0.2 8,629.90 1.62019 9,110.30 1.4 6,269.11 1.4 5,034.68 0.0 4,800.21 -0.1 8,746.75 1.42020 9,212.38 1.1 6,348.47 1.3 5,032.78 0.0 4,789.01 -0.2 8,852.10 1.2
Continúa
E-16
Continuación
Químicos, Minerales Industrias Maquinaria Otras
Años Petróleo y Caucho No Metálicos Metálicas Básicas y Equipo Industrias
Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.%
1980 16,919.11 -0.5 7,744.08 -1.2 11,980.60 -3.0 12,665.73 -4.5 9,781.33 -4.91981 17,207.44 1.7 7,914.52 2.2 12,607.22 5.2 13,205.81 4.3 9,937.03 1.61982 16,555.86 -3.8 7,857.92 -0.7 12,828.07 1.8 13,178.09 -0.2 9,401.07 -5.41983 12,791.92 -22.7 6,118.84 -22.1 9,796.98 -23.6 10,242.58 -22.3 7,527.12 -19.91984 12,092.07 -5.5 5,725.64 -6.4 9,144.46 -6.7 9,568.53 -6.6 7,025.60 -6.71985 12,528.58 3.6 5,695.18 -0.5 8,987.90 -1.7 9,717.18 1.6 6,766.87 -3.71986 11,797.39 -5.8 5,415.29 -4.9 8,041.78 -10.5 9,048.86 -6.9 6,384.11 -5.71987 11,911.12 1.0 5,252.78 -3.0 8,716.25 8.4 8,972.95 -0.8 6,057.13 -5.11988 12,133.04 1.9 5,294.82 0.8 8,843.26 1.5 9,025.89 0.6 5,525.31 -8.81989 12,810.62 5.6 5,705.01 7.7 10,100.88 14.2 9,747.94 8.0 5,865.41 6.21990 12,718.05 -0.7 5,619.80 -1.5 9,979.27 -1.2 9,666.48 -0.8 5,655.59 -3.61991 13,207.14 3.8 5,896.06 4.9 9,687.30 -2.9 9,984.34 3.3 5,850.23 3.41992 14,027.43 6.2 6,098.85 3.4 10,554.97 9.0 10,352.51 3.7 6,295.90 7.61993 14,230.71 1.4 6,151.53 0.9 10,065.54 -4.6 10,412.77 0.6 6,554.60 4.11994 14,656.84 3.0 6,401.04 4.1 10,501.74 4.3 10,831.13 4.0 6,737.73 2.81995 13,222.10 -9.8 5,879.71 -8.1 9,358.18 -10.9 9,587.17 -11.5 5,781.14 -14.21996 12,632.31 -4.5 5,047.79 -14.1 8,437.10 -9.8 8,748.58 -8.7 5,374.06 -7.01997 12,693.34 0.5 4,895.22 -3.0 8,270.66 -2.0 8,803.36 0.6 5,475.56 1.91998 13,248.13 4.4 4,968.87 1.5 8,439.70 2.0 9,003.21 2.3 5,656.64 3.31999 13,494.08 1.9 5,085.58 2.3 8,209.17 -2.7 9,188.69 2.1 5,663.79 0.12000 14,325.10 6.2 5,298.39 4.2 8,472.02 3.2 9,843.68 7.1 6,206.78 9.62001 14,816.63 3.4 5,807.79 9.6 8,670.61 2.3 10,538.83 7.1 6,340.99 2.22002 15,161.96 2.3 5,999.36 3.3 8,841.66 2.0 10,695.59 1.5 6,496.19 2.42003 15,779.80 4.1 6,132.89 2.2 8,961.25 1.4 10,584.89 -1.0 6,571.92 1.22004 16,348.48 3.6 6,193.42 1.0 8,774.22 -2.1 10,584.41 0.0 6,901.15 5.02005 17,100.78 4.6 6,019.33 -2.8 8,794.04 0.2 10,765.47 1.7 6,958.46 0.82006 17,303.82 1.2 5,964.49 -0.9 8,941.09 1.7 11,077.65 2.9 7,252.32 4.22007 17,745.25 2.6 5,969.21 0.1 9,216.21 3.1 11,142.89 0.6 7,369.84 1.62008 17,834.40 0.5 6,087.34 2.0 9,219.46 0.0 11,351.97 1.9 7,503.71 1.82009 18,619.81 4.4 6,066.88 -0.3 9,487.06 2.9 11,449.19 0.9 7,307.07 -2.62010 17,846.43 -4.2 5,854.81 -3.5 9,477.53 -0.1 10,996.20 -4.0 7,322.42 0.22011 18,208.20 2.0 5,602.02 -4.3 9,525.14 0.5 11,011.26 0.1 7,300.93 -0.32012 18,791.39 3.2 5,540.64 -1.1 10,204.84 7.1 11,324.86 2.8 7,137.73 -2.22013 18,597.83 -1.0 5,465.57 -1.4 10,374.92 1.7 11,302.66 -0.2 6,944.76 -2.7
2014 18,423.43 -0.9 5,359.69 -1.9 10,562.08 1.8 11,246.68 -0.5 6,763.49 -2.62015 18,589.09 0.9 5,330.85 -0.5 10,814.90 2.4 11,311.88 0.6 6,642.27 -1.82016 18,863.40 1.5 5,332.60 0.0 11,104.25 2.7 11,435.65 1.1 6,548.34 -1.42017 19,179.01 1.7 5,355.66 0.4 11,418.79 2.8 11,600.04 1.4 6,457.08 -1.42018 19,433.66 1.3 5,361.10 0.1 11,697.85 2.4 11,736.76 1.2 6,345.78 -1.72019 19,615.62 0.9 5,352.51 -0.2 11,955.84 2.2 11,844.01 0.9 6,231.75 -1.82020 19,744.24 0.7 5,336.28 -0.3 12,201.57 2.1 11,928.56 0.7 6,104.70 -2.0
Conclusión
E-17
Minería Electricidad ConstrucciónTotal Generación, Agua y sumistro Construcción Trabajos
Sector Extracción metálicos y no transmisión de gas por ductos de obras de especializadosIndustrial de petróleo metálicos, excepto y suministro de al consumidor ingeniería para la
Total subsector y gas petróleo y gas Total subsector energía eléctrica final Total subsector Edificación civil construcciónReal Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.%
1980 11,389.04 -2.9 21,294.62 -2.7 21,305.17 -4.6 12,760.26 -4.51981 11,716.30 2.9 21,715.67 2.0 21,849.85 2.6 12,877.25 0.91982 11,032.65 -5.8 19,485.27 -10.3 22,358.71 2.3 11,399.17 -11.51983 8,681.71 -21.3 15,012.96 -23.0 16,791.70 -24.9 9,242.61 -18.91984 8,125.53 -6.4 14,007.01 -6.7 14,342.14 -14.6 8,659.93 -6.31985 8,167.10 0.5 15,461.15 10.4 13,627.21 -5.0 8,626.07 -0.41986 7,397.20 -9.4 13,293.50 -14.0 11,917.15 -12.5 7,708.59 -10.61987 7,339.90 -0.8 13,101.42 -1.4 13,103.26 10.0 7,440.47 -3.51988 6,978.77 -4.9 12,315.67 -6.0 10,972.92 -16.3 6,531.32 -12.21989 7,199.29 3.2 12,413.53 0.8 11,231.53 2.4 6,159.65 -5.71990 7,089.80 -1.5 11,840.03 -4.6 11,485.84 2.3 6,072.81 -1.41991 7,286.82 2.8 13,509.02 14.1 11,911.90 3.7 6,163.35 1.51992 7,599.56 4.3 14,610.48 8.2 12,873.84 8.1 6,366.66 3.31993 7,691.34 1.2 15,504.35 6.1 14,239.11 10.6 6,537.22 2.71994 7,900.52 2.7 15,083.56 -2.7 15,547.81 9.2 6,727.86 2.91995 6,910.06 -12.5 14,297.07 -5.2 14,076.74 -9.5 5,666.85 -15.81996 6,377.10 -7.7 13,745.98 -3.9 13,049.98 -7.3 5,353.08 -5.51997 6,419.85 0.7 13,859.68 0.8 13,111.89 0.5 5,542.37 3.51998 6,619.12 3.1 13,614.11 -1.8 13,021.26 -0.7 5,804.13 4.71999 6,690.36 1.1 13,289.99 -2.4 13,376.84 2.7 5,869.74 1.12000 7,084.00 5.9 15,601.51 17.4 14,515.61 8.5 6,066.80 3.42001 7,418.76 4.7 16,495.24 5.7 15,092.89 4.0 6,259.54 3.22002 7,561.09 1.9 17,181.69 4.2 15,866.68 5.1 6,277.01 0.32003 7,617.70 0.7 16,550.64 -3.7 32,753.09 12,241.87 16,307.06 2.8 21,714.15 9,921.00 6,352.20 1.2 6,431.64 6,581.99 5,435.802004 7,588.25 -0.4 17,172.65 3.8 32,998.85 0.8 12,979.30 6.0 16,745.93 2.7 22,559.52 3.9 9,895.22 -0.3 6,303.58 -0.8 6,375.64 -0.9 6,593.02 0.2 5,387.62 -0.92005 7,620.78 0.4 16,904.28 -1.6 30,557.24 -7.4 13,165.85 1.4 16,943.31 1.2 23,054.79 2.2 9,773.58 -1.2 6,284.66 -0.3 6,346.40 -0.5 6,622.21 0.4 5,366.38 -0.42006 7,651.96 0.4 17,456.74 3.3 33,135.41 8.4 13,250.01 0.6 17,364.81 2.5 24,106.77 4.6 9,583.80 -1.9 6,316.71 0.5 6,371.71 0.4 6,671.08 0.7 5,383.54 0.32007 7,695.08 0.6 17,914.33 2.6 35,533.60 7.2 13,559.26 2.3 17,577.83 1.2 24,651.45 2.3 9,472.19 -1.2 6,340.12 0.4 6,371.61 0.0 6,826.76 2.3 5,357.66 -0.52008 7,655.05 -0.5 19,176.86 7.0 36,430.44 2.5 14,972.31 10.4 17,970.82 2.2 24,884.33 0.9 9,657.76 2.0 6,280.37 -0.9 6,330.32 -0.6 6,524.60 -4.4 5,312.46 -0.82009 7,608.27 -0.6 19,817.71 3.3 38,395.12 5.4 15,148.63 1.2 18,528.07 3.1 26,952.28 8.3 9,560.76 -1.0 6,161.81 -1.9 6,234.12 -1.5 6,330.44 -3.0 5,292.21 -0.42010 7,479.84 -1.7 18,695.40 -5.7 32,730.28 -14.8 15,254.63 0.7 18,172.63 -1.9 28,778.09 6.8 9,374.10 -2.0 6,126.17 -0.6 6,274.77 0.7 6,008.51 -5.1 5,305.96 0.32011 7,545.14 0.9 19,812.14 6.0 38,381.91 17.3 15,324.38 0.5 19,086.22 5.0 30,323.24 5.4 9,251.14 -1.3 6,168.00 0.7 6,320.23 0.7 6,021.07 0.2 5,372.28 1.22012 7,684.83 1.9 20,609.48 4.0 41,030.36 6.9 15,673.82 2.3 19,502.71 2.2 31,619.76 4.3 9,008.92 -2.6 6,224.83 0.9 6,364.86 0.7 6,146.22 2.1 5,393.74 0.42013 7,760.05 1.0 21,143.46 2.6 42,371.64 3.3 16,005.00 2.1 19,917.66 2.1 32,958.02 4.2 8,713.28 -3.3 6,243.39 0.3 6,401.24 0.6 6,133.99 -0.2 5,403.79 0.2
2014 7,834.73 1.0 21,445.59 1.4 43,302.52 2.2 16,264.30 1.6 20,330.34 2.1 34,189.05 3.7 8,435.59 -3.2 6,285.94 0.7 6,461.87 0.9 6,139.01 0.1 5,418.61 0.32015 7,949.32 1.5 22,134.10 3.2 44,573.37 2.9 16,647.49 2.4 21,075.96 3.7 35,885.08 5.0 8,243.71 -2.3 6,382.67 1.5 6,570.48 1.7 6,194.81 0.9 5,514.90 1.82016 8,107.18 2.0 23,078.95 4.3 46,049.88 3.3 17,086.53 2.6 22,142.05 5.1 37,939.18 5.7 8,087.37 -1.9 6,509.60 2.0 6,705.73 2.1 6,292.45 1.6 5,644.39 2.32017 8,294.16 2.3 24,306.48 5.3 47,665.24 3.5 17,538.11 2.6 23,384.09 5.6 40,254.52 6.1 7,928.03 -2.0 6,657.45 2.3 6,863.62 2.4 6,404.33 1.8 5,788.14 2.52018 8,458.50 2.0 25,575.50 5.2 49,224.78 3.3 17,960.29 2.4 24,651.86 5.4 42,577.04 5.8 7,753.30 -2.2 6,792.61 2.0 7,009.06 2.1 6,503.13 1.5 5,921.91 2.32019 8,601.77 1.7 26,695.30 4.4 50,709.82 3.0 18,329.21 2.1 25,930.12 5.2 44,927.33 5.5 7,569.18 -2.4 6,913.40 1.8 7,139.54 1.9 6,592.88 1.4 6,032.15 1.92020 8,740.63 1.6 27,861.91 4.4 52,169.54 2.9 18,680.11 1.9 27,233.23 5.0 47,346.87 5.4 7,385.67 -2.4 7,024.02 1.6 7,262.45 1.7 6,668.24 1.1 6,130.18 1.6
Continúa
E-18
Años
Minería de minerales
E-11. Remuneración Mensual en el Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas: Escenario Base 2014-2020(En pesos reales de 2008 por persona)
Continuación
ManufacturasIndustrias alimentaria, de las bebidas y del tabaco Textiles, prendas de vestir y productos de cuero
Total Confección de Fabricación de cuero,Años Subsector Industria Fabricación productos textiles, Fabricación piel y materiales
Manufacturero Industria de las bebidas de insumos excepto prendas de prendas sucedáneos, exceptoTotal rama alimentaria y del tabaco Total rama textiles de vestir de vestir prendas de vestir
Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.%
1980 9,944.10 -2.5 7,041.84 -3.4 7,688.73 -2.91981 10,277.97 3.4 7,140.91 1.4 7,736.32 0.61982 10,018.11 -2.5 6,752.09 -5.4 7,418.12 -4.11983 7,767.30 -22.5 5,180.96 -23.3 5,901.98 -20.41984 7,290.96 -6.1 4,885.14 -5.7 5,479.27 -7.21985 7,284.61 -0.1 4,835.42 -1.0 5,455.64 -0.41986 6,691.65 -8.1 4,425.43 -8.5 4,925.19 -9.71987 6,685.24 -0.1 4,289.47 -3.1 4,747.36 -3.61988 6,668.66 -0.2 4,063.17 -5.3 4,677.68 -1.51989 7,265.55 9.0 4,567.53 12.4 5,187.17 10.91990 7,230.29 -0.5 4,661.94 2.1 5,152.96 -0.71991 7,422.84 2.7 4,998.81 7.2 5,226.41 1.41992 7,818.67 5.3 5,355.18 7.1 5,547.32 6.11993 7,852.36 0.4 5,702.82 6.5 5,476.12 -1.31994 8,154.01 3.8 5,990.31 5.0 5,587.80 2.01995 7,107.84 -12.8 5,112.50 -14.7 4,496.77 -19.51996 6,528.73 -8.1 4,716.84 -7.7 4,002.12 -11.01997 6,529.38 0.0 4,715.34 0.0 3,977.10 -0.61998 6,739.40 3.2 4,887.34 3.6 4,112.77 3.41999 6,819.77 1.2 4,943.87 1.2 4,122.40 0.22000 7,274.37 6.7 5,253.20 6.3 4,478.11 8.62001 7,650.04 5.2 5,570.48 6.0 4,668.35 4.22002 7,866.51 2.8 5,778.14 3.7 4,900.74 5.02003 7,942.22 1.0 5,821.01 0.7 5,357.26 8,367.56 4,958.89 1.2 3,278.59 11,984.93 4,321.68 4,691.182004 8,010.15 0.9 5,890.89 1.2 5,370.94 0.3 8,892.64 6.3 5,013.78 1.1 3,452.11 5.3 11,820.55 -1.4 4,342.44 0.5 4,780.36 1.92005 8,144.49 1.7 5,916.07 0.4 5,359.87 -0.2 9,447.37 6.2 5,137.00 2.5 3,508.12 1.6 12,726.53 7.7 4,391.41 1.1 4,816.14 0.72006 8,275.44 1.6 6,032.22 2.0 5,456.97 1.8 9,562.52 1.2 5,154.43 0.3 3,780.80 7.8 11,592.44 -8.9 4,459.79 1.6 4,873.71 1.22007 8,352.06 0.9 6,013.06 -0.3 5,439.02 -0.3 9,722.30 1.7 5,075.13 -1.5 3,698.86 -2.2 11,157.13 -3.8 4,430.43 -0.7 4,822.66 -1.02008 8,382.77 0.4 5,832.95 -3.0 5,318.06 -2.2 9,129.86 -6.1 5,072.91 0.0 3,540.31 -4.3 11,428.00 2.4 4,549.63 2.7 4,648.53 -3.62009 8,270.93 -1.3 5,656.54 -3.0 5,196.30 -2.3 8,644.33 -5.3 4,968.98 -2.0 3,294.53 -6.9 11,575.18 1.3 4,513.48 -0.8 4,498.20 -3.22010 8,112.89 -1.9 5,651.59 -0.1 5,253.84 1.1 8,283.65 -4.2 4,902.06 -1.3 3,008.47 -8.7 12,212.24 5.5 4,459.85 -1.2 4,417.33 -1.82011 8,180.29 0.8 5,639.40 -0.2 5,251.55 0.0 8,324.50 0.5 4,966.34 1.3 3,100.07 3.0 12,009.76 -1.7 4,522.60 1.4 4,500.65 1.92012 8,375.71 2.4 5,715.77 1.4 5,292.56 0.8 8,832.99 6.1 4,944.80 -0.4 3,195.85 3.1 11,431.34 -4.8 4,532.21 0.2 4,488.99 -0.32013 8,381.26 0.1 5,747.63 0.6 5,322.82 0.6 9,104.73 3.1 4,937.46 -0.1 3,281.85 2.7 10,902.04 -4.6 4,558.12 0.6 4,497.35 0.2
2014 8,413.03 0.4 5,775.26 0.5 5,332.29 0.2 9,278.49 1.9 4,925.25 -0.2 3,331.87 1.5 10,607.01 -2.7 4,557.47 0.0 4,466.44 -0.72015 8,516.76 1.2 5,844.94 1.2 5,391.05 1.1 9,452.34 1.9 4,951.99 0.5 3,387.87 1.7 10,437.36 -1.6 4,572.52 0.3 4,476.88 0.22016 8,661.47 1.7 5,947.90 1.8 5,491.62 1.9 9,601.32 1.6 4,982.85 0.6 3,454.34 2.0 10,340.10 -0.9 4,596.07 0.5 4,499.94 0.52017 8,839.50 2.1 6,073.84 2.1 5,615.65 2.3 9,753.57 1.6 5,016.31 0.7 3,522.39 2.0 10,275.50 -0.6 4,615.94 0.4 4,528.05 0.62018 8,988.93 1.7 6,182.27 1.8 5,723.86 1.9 9,875.92 1.3 5,033.38 0.3 3,580.11 1.6 10,177.36 -1.0 4,625.07 0.2 4,545.70 0.42019 9,110.30 1.4 6,269.11 1.4 5,808.36 1.5 9,983.70 1.1 5,034.68 0.0 3,632.97 1.5 10,053.26 -1.2 4,622.11 -0.1 4,542.79 -0.12020 9,212.38 1.1 6,348.47 1.3 5,885.96 1.3 10,088.19 1.0 5,032.78 0.0 3,681.50 1.3 9,925.85 -1.3 4,617.00 -0.1 4,537.77 -0.1
Continúa
E-19
Continuación
ManufacturasMadera y sus productos Impresión e industrias conexas Químicos, petróleo y caucho
Fabricación Fabricación deAños de muebles Impresión productos derivados Industria
Industria y productos Industria e industrias del petróleo Industria del plásticoTotal rama de la madera relacionados Total rama del papel conexas Total rama y del carbón química y del hule
Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.%
1980 6,301.10 -0.3 12,963.70 -0.9 16,919.11 -0.51981 6,682.77 6.1 12,676.74 -2.2 17,207.44 1.71982 6,288.34 -5.9 11,971.05 -5.6 16,555.86 -3.81983 5,080.61 -19.2 9,326.52 -22.1 12,791.92 -22.71984 4,742.75 -6.7 8,620.85 -7.6 12,092.07 -5.51985 4,648.58 -2.0 8,448.21 -2.0 12,528.58 3.61986 4,412.70 -5.1 7,713.22 -8.7 11,797.39 -5.81987 4,220.32 -4.4 7,760.53 0.6 11,911.12 1.01988 3,835.40 -9.1 7,784.25 0.3 12,133.04 1.91989 4,106.63 7.1 7,927.81 1.8 12,810.62 5.61990 4,231.88 3.0 7,737.95 -2.4 12,718.05 -0.71991 4,341.97 2.6 7,841.47 1.3 13,207.14 3.81992 4,458.55 2.7 8,478.52 8.1 14,027.43 6.21993 4,480.52 0.5 8,529.61 0.6 14,230.71 1.41994 4,664.32 4.1 8,975.85 5.2 14,656.84 3.01995 3,970.69 -14.9 7,550.24 -15.9 13,222.10 -9.81996 3,623.38 -8.7 7,011.13 -7.1 12,632.31 -4.51997 3,618.33 -0.1 6,665.98 -4.9 12,693.34 0.51998 3,705.29 2.4 6,834.99 2.5 13,248.13 4.41999 3,874.73 4.6 7,013.88 2.6 13,494.08 1.92000 4,102.58 5.9 7,372.22 5.1 14,325.10 6.22001 4,378.02 6.7 7,665.17 4.0 14,816.63 3.42002 4,562.08 4.2 7,912.41 3.2 15,161.96 2.32003 4,669.01 2.3 4,403.91 4,900.63 7,973.45 0.8 9,314.14 6,636.68 15,779.80 4.1 35,501.72 18,591.50 8,769.572004 4,605.18 -1.4 4,319.52 -1.9 4,842.50 -1.2 7,973.92 0.0 9,259.70 -0.6 6,656.04 0.3 16,348.48 3.6 35,009.72 -1.4 19,986.16 7.5 8,800.28 0.42005 4,686.41 1.8 4,403.65 1.9 4,914.32 1.5 8,081.15 1.3 9,582.69 3.5 6,546.29 -1.6 17,100.78 4.6 37,327.44 6.6 21,023.93 5.2 8,890.78 1.02006 4,775.45 1.9 4,506.84 2.3 4,991.64 1.6 7,865.50 -2.7 9,340.82 -2.5 6,319.31 -3.5 17,303.82 1.2 39,828.95 6.7 20,781.11 -1.2 9,057.15 1.92007 4,849.99 1.6 4,625.10 2.6 5,043.78 1.0 7,734.70 -1.7 9,173.45 -1.8 6,311.74 -0.1 17,745.25 2.6 45,890.85 15.2 20,895.76 0.6 9,020.17 -0.42008 4,876.12 0.5 4,726.40 2.2 5,000.51 -0.9 7,771.77 0.5 9,215.39 0.5 6,299.62 -0.2 17,834.40 0.5 45,112.80 -1.7 21,168.28 1.3 8,829.43 -2.12009 4,744.50 -2.7 4,626.82 -2.1 4,851.34 -3.0 7,725.57 -0.6 9,043.38 -1.9 6,392.71 1.5 18,619.81 4.4 46,415.81 2.9 21,503.35 1.6 8,690.23 -1.62010 4,753.93 0.2 4,606.73 -0.4 4,889.06 0.8 7,683.76 -0.5 8,979.44 -0.7 6,342.01 -0.8 17,846.43 -4.2 45,236.62 -2.5 20,596.27 -4.2 8,461.13 -2.62011 4,817.79 1.3 4,589.73 -0.4 5,029.20 2.9 7,698.38 0.2 9,072.90 1.0 6,329.60 -0.2 18,208.20 2.0 44,885.20 -0.8 21,065.48 2.3 8,760.74 3.52012 4,803.94 -0.3 4,609.53 0.4 4,976.24 -1.1 7,905.62 2.7 9,096.72 0.3 6,588.77 4.1 18,791.39 3.2 51,291.38 14.3 21,006.74 -0.3 9,054.77 3.42013 4,788.83 -0.3 4,600.36 -0.2 4,951.96 -0.5 8,026.95 1.5 9,148.73 0.6 6,702.60 1.7 18,597.83 -1.0 49,608.18 -3.3 21,005.41 0.0 9,211.21 1.7
2014 4,748.90 -0.8 4,568.74 -0.7 4,903.64 -1.0 8,068.38 0.5 9,156.22 0.1 6,772.52 1.0 18,423.43 -0.9 48,313.37 -2.6 20,881.24 -0.6 9,307.30 1.02015 4,746.28 -0.1 4,579.41 0.2 4,891.44 -0.2 8,171.21 1.3 9,257.11 1.1 6,886.35 1.7 18,589.09 0.9 47,447.46 -1.8 20,970.32 0.4 9,472.71 1.82016 4,763.59 0.4 4,616.25 0.8 4,893.05 0.0 8,325.16 1.9 9,438.74 2.0 7,014.82 1.9 18,863.40 1.5 47,005.32 -0.9 21,199.70 1.1 9,667.70 2.12017 4,791.30 0.6 4,662.83 1.0 4,904.80 0.2 8,491.63 2.0 9,624.69 2.0 7,159.76 2.1 19,179.01 1.7 46,621.29 -0.8 21,535.87 1.6 9,895.34 2.42018 4,803.08 0.2 4,698.93 0.8 4,895.65 -0.2 8,629.90 1.6 9,782.41 1.6 7,277.09 1.6 19,433.66 1.3 46,131.23 -1.1 21,806.02 1.3 10,095.52 2.02019 4,800.21 -0.1 4,718.54 0.4 4,873.66 -0.4 8,746.75 1.4 9,908.01 1.3 7,384.53 1.5 19,615.62 0.9 45,435.48 -1.5 22,044.00 1.1 10,264.01 1.72020 4,789.01 -0.2 4,722.43 0.1 4,849.48 -0.5 8,852.10 1.2 10,011.71 1.0 7,490.30 1.4 19,744.24 0.7 44,596.78 -1.8 22,253.46 1.0 10,420.92 1.5
Continúa
E-20
Continuación
ManufacturasFabricación de Industrias metálicas Maquinaria y equipo
productos a base Fabricación equipo Fabricación de equipoAños de minerales Industrias Fabricación Fabricación de computación, de generación Fabricación Otras
no metálicos metálicas de productos de maquinaria comunicación y eléctrica y accesorios de equipo industriasTotal rama Total rama básicas metálicos Total rama y equipo otros electrónicos eléctricos de transporte Total rama
Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.%
1980 7,744.08 -1.2 11,980.60 -3.0 12,665.73 -4.5 9,781.33 -4.91981 7,914.52 2.2 12,607.22 5.2 13,205.81 4.3 9,937.03 1.61982 7,857.92 -0.7 12,828.07 1.8 13,178.09 -0.2 9,401.07 -5.41983 6,118.84 -22.1 9,796.98 -23.6 10,242.58 -22.3 7,527.12 -19.91984 5,725.64 -6.4 9,144.46 -6.7 9,568.53 -6.6 7,025.60 -6.71985 5,695.18 -0.5 8,987.90 -1.7 9,717.18 1.6 6,766.87 -3.71986 5,415.29 -4.9 8,041.78 -10.5 9,048.86 -6.9 6,384.11 -5.71987 5,252.78 -3.0 8,716.25 8.4 8,972.95 -0.8 6,057.13 -5.11988 5,294.82 0.8 8,843.26 1.5 9,025.89 0.6 5,525.31 -8.81989 5,705.01 7.7 10,100.88 14.2 9,747.94 8.0 5,865.41 6.21990 5,619.80 -1.5 9,979.27 -1.2 9,666.48 -0.8 5,655.59 -3.61991 5,896.06 4.9 9,687.30 -2.9 9,984.34 3.3 5,850.23 3.41992 6,098.85 3.4 10,554.97 9.0 10,352.51 3.7 6,295.90 7.61993 6,151.53 0.9 10,065.54 -4.6 10,412.77 0.6 6,554.60 4.11994 6,401.04 4.1 10,501.74 4.3 10,831.13 4.0 6,737.73 2.81995 5,879.71 -8.1 9,358.18 -10.9 9,587.17 -11.5 5,781.14 -14.21996 5,047.79 -14.1 8,437.10 -9.8 8,748.58 -8.7 5,374.06 -7.01997 4,895.22 -3.0 8,270.66 -2.0 8,803.36 0.6 5,475.56 1.91998 4,968.87 1.5 8,439.70 2.0 9,003.21 2.3 5,656.64 3.31999 5,085.58 2.3 8,209.17 -2.7 9,188.69 2.1 5,663.79 0.12000 5,298.39 4.2 8,472.02 3.2 9,843.68 7.1 6,206.78 9.62001 5,807.79 9.6 8,670.61 2.3 10,538.83 7.1 6,340.99 2.22002 5,999.36 3.3 8,841.66 2.0 10,695.59 1.5 6,496.19 2.42003 6,132.89 2.2 8,961.25 1.4 14,548.95 7,469.86 10,584.89 -1.0 10,624.81 10,423.58 9,069.60 11,399.90 6,571.92 1.22004 6,193.42 1.0 8,774.22 -2.1 14,487.76 -0.4 7,319.26 -2.0 10,584.41 0.0 10,914.54 2.7 10,316.93 -1.0 9,142.78 0.8 11,391.70 -0.1 6,901.15 5.02005 6,019.33 -2.8 8,794.04 0.2 14,983.11 3.4 7,236.94 -1.1 10,765.47 1.7 11,462.75 5.0 10,433.62 1.1 9,350.84 2.3 11,486.01 0.8 6,958.46 0.82006 5,964.49 -0.9 8,941.09 1.7 15,615.29 4.2 7,321.76 1.2 11,077.65 2.9 11,147.08 -2.8 11,007.56 5.5 9,670.16 3.4 11,726.17 2.1 7,252.32 4.22007 5,969.21 0.1 9,216.21 3.1 15,919.32 1.9 7,591.27 3.7 11,142.89 0.6 11,248.94 0.9 10,961.82 -0.4 9,848.15 1.8 11,778.68 0.4 7,369.84 1.62008 6,087.34 2.0 9,219.46 0.0 15,593.18 -2.0 7,663.97 1.0 11,351.97 1.9 11,418.90 1.5 10,889.03 -0.7 10,323.40 4.8 12,105.62 2.8 7,503.71 1.82009 6,066.88 -0.3 9,487.06 2.9 15,616.81 0.2 7,888.92 2.9 11,449.19 0.9 11,465.34 0.4 11,103.06 2.0 10,036.79 -2.8 12,443.29 2.8 7,307.07 -2.62010 5,854.81 -3.5 9,477.53 -0.1 15,286.28 -2.1 7,958.82 0.9 10,996.20 -4.0 11,491.64 0.2 10,485.42 -5.6 9,712.69 -3.2 11,889.37 -4.5 7,322.42 0.22011 5,602.02 -4.3 9,525.14 0.5 15,303.07 0.1 7,995.99 0.5 11,011.26 0.1 11,798.59 2.7 10,257.36 -2.2 9,511.45 -2.1 11,935.99 0.4 7,300.93 -0.32012 5,540.64 -1.1 10,204.84 7.1 16,464.43 7.6 8,497.90 6.3 11,324.86 2.8 12,169.47 3.1 11,073.02 8.0 9,806.75 3.1 11,825.98 -0.9 7,137.73 -2.22013 5,465.57 -1.4 10,374.92 1.7 16,606.14 0.9 8,677.46 2.1 11,302.66 -0.2 12,344.55 1.4 10,730.98 -3.1 9,825.02 0.2 11,870.81 0.4 6,944.76 -2.7
2014 5,359.69 -1.9 10,562.08 1.8 16,635.69 0.2 8,801.36 1.4 11,246.68 -0.5 12,461.46 0.9 10,440.58 -2.7 9,748.05 -0.8 11,834.87 -0.3 6,763.49 -2.62015 5,330.85 -0.5 10,814.90 2.4 16,867.14 1.4 9,008.72 2.4 11,311.88 0.6 12,706.97 2.0 10,313.89 -1.2 9,761.42 0.1 11,896.77 0.5 6,642.27 -1.82016 5,332.60 0.0 11,104.25 2.7 17,133.00 1.6 9,237.62 2.5 11,435.65 1.1 13,029.83 2.5 10,217.78 -0.9 9,830.54 0.7 12,026.91 1.1 6,548.34 -1.42017 5,355.66 0.4 11,418.79 2.8 17,421.15 1.7 9,490.63 2.7 11,600.04 1.4 13,361.67 2.5 10,183.40 -0.3 9,891.94 0.6 12,206.06 1.5 6,457.08 -1.42018 5,361.10 0.1 11,697.85 2.4 17,673.16 1.4 9,719.10 2.4 11,736.76 1.2 13,657.64 2.2 10,115.49 -0.7 9,930.50 0.4 12,359.18 1.3 6,345.78 -1.72019 5,352.51 -0.2 11,955.84 2.2 17,866.03 1.1 9,946.81 2.3 11,844.01 0.9 13,911.89 1.9 10,031.10 -0.8 9,933.71 0.0 12,482.16 1.0 6,231.75 -1.82020 5,336.28 -0.3 12,201.57 2.1 18,035.79 1.0 10,166.00 2.2 11,928.56 0.7 14,151.39 1.7 9,932.98 -1.0 9,922.74 -0.1 12,576.69 0.8 6,104.70 -2.0
Conclusión
E-21
Comercio, restaurantes y hoteles Servicios financieros, seguros y actividades inmobiliariasTotal Servicios de Transporte, Servicios
Años Sector alojamiento temporal almacenaje y Servicios inmobiliarios yServicios y de preparación de comunicaciones financieros de alquiler de bienes
Total subsector Comercio alimentos y bebidas Total subsector Total subsector y de seguros muebles e intangiblesReal Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.%
1980 9,682.83 -0.3 8,205.49 -3.2 11,141.81 -6.7 21,724.04 -1.51981 10,162.93 5.0 8,309.21 1.3 11,709.82 5.1 22,582.77 4.01982 9,632.35 -5.2 7,429.58 -10.6 10,707.20 -8.6 21,362.37 -5.41983 7,499.44 -22.1 6,101.88 -17.9 8,981.02 -16.1 16,310.85 -23.61984 7,163.46 -4.5 5,692.10 -6.7 8,498.44 -5.4 15,596.19 -4.41985 7,123.80 -0.6 5,620.68 -1.3 8,556.88 0.7 15,820.55 1.41986 6,339.09 -11.0 5,075.63 -9.7 7,869.11 -8.0 14,831.72 -6.31987 6,225.33 -1.8 4,788.76 -5.7 7,725.05 -1.8 15,394.75 3.81988 5,631.99 -9.5 4,238.19 -11.5 7,644.18 -1.0 13,998.51 -9.11989 5,950.70 5.7 4,587.74 8.2 7,770.07 1.6 14,614.19 4.41990 6,115.43 2.8 4,761.03 3.8 7,695.62 -1.0 16,061.62 9.91991 6,565.04 7.4 5,061.24 6.3 8,180.52 6.3 17,803.95 10.81992 7,132.64 8.6 5,344.87 5.6 8,760.03 7.1 20,808.75 16.91993 7,807.35 9.5 5,631.20 5.4 9,159.07 4.6 23,112.93 11.11994 8,283.88 6.1 5,784.89 2.7 9,234.38 0.8 23,684.91 2.51995 7,152.37 -13.7 4,929.01 -14.8 8,360.34 -9.5 19,688.65 -16.91996 6,585.21 -7.9 4,412.71 -10.5 7,695.06 -8.0 17,014.47 -13.61997 6,751.36 2.5 4,406.91 -0.1 7,704.18 0.1 17,553.46 3.21998 7,014.53 3.9 4,500.30 2.1 7,847.88 1.9 17,100.89 -2.61999 7,169.98 2.2 4,515.56 0.3 8,045.55 2.5 16,143.92 -5.62000 7,652.21 6.7 4,785.41 6.0 8,513.69 5.8 15,671.21 -2.92001 7,964.71 4.1 4,812.78 0.6 8,642.87 1.5 15,447.32 -1.42002 8,320.70 4.5 4,850.90 0.8 8,779.44 1.6 16,931.41 9.62003 8,601.04 3.4 4,849.51 0.0 5,047.13 4,145.25 8,895.65 1.3 15,713.19 -7.2 28,450.05 5,674.072004 8,651.24 0.6 4,896.81 1.0 5,105.52 1.2 4,140.77 -0.1 9,092.77 2.2 15,575.02 -0.9 29,179.01 2.6 5,679.63 0.12005 8,853.30 2.3 5,046.93 3.1 5,287.72 3.6 4,160.16 0.5 9,299.02 2.3 16,259.17 4.4 30,575.97 4.8 5,611.87 -1.22006 9,067.90 2.4 5,078.72 0.6 5,306.62 0.4 4,204.62 1.1 9,398.78 1.1 16,540.91 1.7 31,218.59 2.1 5,729.29 2.12007 9,201.70 1.5 5,048.85 -0.6 5,262.34 -0.8 4,209.81 0.1 9,549.87 1.6 17,162.19 3.8 32,368.79 3.7 5,689.51 -0.72008 9,355.00 1.7 5,033.05 -0.3 5,241.08 -0.4 4,198.16 -0.3 9,560.54 0.1 18,680.59 8.8 37,288.68 15.2 5,658.49 -0.52009 9,396.97 0.4 4,897.41 -2.7 5,081.91 -3.0 4,160.88 -0.9 9,469.15 -1.0 18,659.89 -0.1 35,769.74 -4.1 5,596.16 -1.12010 9,494.33 1.0 4,863.83 -0.7 5,020.63 -1.2 4,225.87 1.6 9,590.75 1.3 18,953.20 1.6 34,510.72 -3.5 5,649.53 1.02011 9,621.97 1.3 4,808.65 -1.1 4,937.73 -1.7 4,260.59 0.8 9,810.06 2.3 18,912.74 -0.2 33,041.41 -4.3 5,743.04 1.72012 9,704.97 0.9 4,755.76 -1.1 4,870.83 -1.4 4,256.97 -0.1 9,952.09 1.4 18,891.56 -0.1 33,021.48 -0.1 5,699.54 -0.82013 9,794.82 0.9 4,865.87 2.3 5,007.29 2.8 4,248.50 -0.2 10,085.68 1.3 18,360.92 -2.8 31,874.22 -3.5 5,655.26 -0.8
2014 9,875.35 0.8 4,849.40 -0.3 4,992.13 -0.3 4,219.30 -0.7 10,210.29 1.2 17,962.15 -2.2 30,858.41 -3.2 5,616.39 -0.72015 10,038.87 1.7 4,798.64 -1.0 4,921.92 -1.4 4,245.44 0.6 10,421.29 2.1 17,825.64 -0.8 30,126.73 -2.4 5,667.44 0.92016 10,266.27 2.3 4,773.59 -0.5 4,876.05 -0.9 4,304.17 1.4 10,706.18 2.7 17,839.53 0.1 29,613.50 -1.7 5,756.77 1.62017 10,512.36 2.4 4,751.64 -0.5 4,826.84 -1.0 4,397.24 2.2 10,989.14 2.6 18,016.94 1.0 29,143.87 -1.6 5,836.99 1.42018 10,740.80 2.2 4,717.12 -0.7 4,766.83 -1.2 4,477.75 1.8 11,253.67 2.4 18,063.18 0.3 28,613.55 -1.8 5,904.60 1.22019 10,941.56 1.9 4,671.57 -1.0 4,694.94 -1.5 4,556.79 1.8 11,452.33 1.8 18,029.96 -0.2 28,044.26 -2.0 5,957.67 0.92020 11,129.99 1.7 4,623.35 -1.0 4,621.86 -1.6 4,630.84 1.6 11,627.40 1.5 17,920.68 -0.6 27,418.42 -2.2 5,997.05 0.7
Continúa
E-22
E-12. Remuneración Mensual en el Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020(En pesos reales de 2008 por persona)
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios Servicios de
profesionales, Dirección apoyo a los negocios y científicos de corporativos manejo de desechos y Servicios
Total subsector y técnicos y empresas servicios de remediación educativosReal Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.%
1980 9,686.66 1.61981 10,293.10 6.31982 9,960.49 -3.21983 7,513.48 -24.61984 7,230.33 -3.81985 7,173.64 -0.81986 6,272.09 -12.61987 6,202.72 -1.11988 5,562.81 -10.31989 5,896.23 6.01990 6,061.42 2.81991 6,535.05 7.81992 7,153.01 9.51993 7,984.03 11.61994 8,681.90 8.71995 7,522.81 -13.41996 7,013.01 -6.81997 7,267.59 3.61998 7,678.32 5.71999 7,967.99 3.82000 8,614.70 8.12001 9,165.73 6.42002 9,655.25 5.32003 10,193.92 5.6 12,125.62 55,298.04 7,221.91 13,985.082004 10,239.45 0.4 11,951.57 -1.4 52,414.14 -5.2 7,161.75 -0.8 13,880.83 -0.72005 10,460.63 2.2 12,042.33 0.8 53,369.17 1.8 7,282.28 1.7 14,512.95 4.62006 10,805.91 3.3 12,184.08 1.2 67,750.58 26.9 7,420.17 1.9 15,234.47 5.02007 10,988.75 1.7 12,402.78 1.8 53,524.15 -21.0 7,497.51 1.0 15,598.63 2.42008 11,211.90 2.0 12,462.73 0.5 60,902.76 13.8 7,456.30 -0.5 16,073.99 3.02009 11,340.78 1.1 12,350.28 -0.9 45,958.02 -24.5 7,426.52 -0.4 16,103.40 0.22010 11,504.47 1.4 12,506.44 1.3 45,126.48 -1.8 7,479.60 0.7 16,382.35 1.72011 11,728.93 2.0 12,708.68 1.6 48,764.10 8.1 7,576.92 1.3 16,855.11 2.92012 11,893.08 1.4 12,698.43 -0.1 49,560.81 1.6 7,609.60 0.4 17,597.15 4.42013 11,985.79 0.8 12,673.16 -0.2 50,178.35 1.2 7,645.77 0.5 17,968.98 2.1
2014 12,144.49 1.3 12,586.06 -0.7 50,894.80 1.4 7,688.78 0.6 18,363.75 2.22015 12,426.98 2.3 12,724.75 1.1 52,241.17 2.6 7,795.76 1.4 18,955.84 3.22016 12,795.65 3.0 12,962.14 1.9 54,022.07 3.4 7,971.27 2.3 19,711.75 4.02017 13,194.26 3.1 13,229.96 2.1 56,072.85 3.8 8,151.30 2.3 20,478.99 3.92018 13,567.96 2.8 13,472.19 1.8 57,961.33 3.4 8,316.20 2.0 21,208.06 3.62019 13,916.18 2.6 13,684.06 1.6 59,821.55 3.2 8,463.00 1.8 21,909.13 3.32020 14,257.49 2.5 13,893.25 1.5 61,601.25 3.0 8,600.54 1.6 22,603.17 3.2
Continúa
E-23
Años
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios de esparcimiento,
Servicios culturales y deportivos, Otros serviciosde salud y otros servicios Información en excepto actividades Actividades
y de asistencia social recreativos medios masivos del gobierno del gobiernoReal Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.% Real Var.%
198019811982198319841985198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003 14,213.90 9,655.75 26,025.11 2,885.93 14,490.592004 14,464.11 1.8 9,429.52 -2.3 28,134.94 8.1 2,892.21 0.2 14,774.88 2.02005 14,421.44 -0.3 9,475.54 0.5 29,579.54 5.1 2,914.92 0.8 15,178.34 2.72006 14,747.95 2.3 9,779.69 3.2 31,398.10 6.1 3,011.06 3.3 15,708.00 3.52007 14,808.20 0.4 10,172.86 4.0 31,785.68 1.2 3,027.87 0.6 16,454.96 4.82008 15,892.43 7.3 9,882.11 -2.9 31,334.70 -1.4 3,005.93 -0.7 16,774.71 1.92009 16,121.66 1.4 10,047.43 1.7 31,446.96 0.4 2,933.09 -2.4 17,283.29 3.02010 16,698.89 3.6 10,517.27 4.7 32,181.51 2.3 2,902.74 -1.0 17,707.99 2.52011 17,546.21 5.1 10,569.46 0.5 32,277.10 0.3 2,891.64 -0.4 18,160.71 2.62012 17,964.73 2.4 10,586.74 0.2 30,062.24 -6.9 2,897.50 0.2 18,604.91 2.42013 18,171.27 1.1 10,565.68 -0.2 30,002.42 -0.2 2,874.98 -0.8 18,944.27 1.8
2014 18,430.72 1.4 10,452.43 -1.1 30,257.73 0.9 2,860.75 -0.5 19,360.46 2.22015 18,971.63 2.9 10,436.52 -0.2 30,824.65 1.9 2,870.20 0.3 19,984.68 3.22016 19,709.87 3.9 10,450.00 0.1 31,548.39 2.3 2,890.52 0.7 20,743.07 3.82017 20,571.75 4.4 10,455.02 0.0 32,260.89 2.3 2,908.57 0.6 21,610.26 4.22018 21,383.17 3.9 10,435.51 -0.2 32,913.52 2.0 2,919.91 0.4 22,441.88 3.82019 22,172.38 3.7 10,378.60 -0.5 33,431.15 1.6 2,923.67 0.1 23,248.56 3.62020 22,960.27 3.6 10,317.11 -0.6 33,909.99 1.4 2,920.44 -0.1 24,074.70 3.6
Conclusión
E-24
Años
Sección: E-III. Productividad Media Laboral
Cuadro E-13.
Grandes Sectores Económicos
Cuadro E-14.
Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica
Cuadro E-15. Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica
Cuadro E-16. Industria Manufacturera
Cuadro E-17. Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas
Cuadro E-18.
Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos
E-13. Productividad Media Laboral por Grandes Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Indice 2008=100)
Productividad Media Laboral Indice Productividad Media Laboral 1980=100Años Total Sector Agropecuario Sector Industrial Sector Servicios Total Primario Secundario Terciario
Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Indice Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 1980 Indice 1980 Indice 1980 Indice 1980
1980 78.0 2.7 78.7 3.6 85.1 3.2 78.8 1.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.01981 79.7 2.2 82.5 4.8 87.0 2.3 80.1 1.7 102.7 103.6 103.2 101.81982 79.6 -0.2 83.4 1.1 88.9 2.1 79.7 -0.6 104.9 108.6 105.6 103.61983 79.0 -0.8 81.6 -2.1 91.3 2.7 80.3 0.8 104.8 109.7 107.8 103.01984 79.8 1.0 81.8 0.3 91.7 0.5 81.0 0.9 104.0 107.4 110.7 103.81985 79.8 0.0 82.1 0.4 91.9 0.3 80.5 -0.7 105.0 107.7 111.2 104.81986 78.6 -1.5 83.1 1.2 89.2 -3.0 79.7 -0.9 105.0 108.1 111.5 104.01987 79.2 0.8 82.9 -0.3 91.8 2.9 80.2 0.6 103.4 109.4 108.1 103.11988 79.7 0.6 78.1 -5.8 93.0 1.4 81.0 1.0 104.3 109.1 111.3 103.61989 80.8 1.4 78.6 0.7 91.7 -1.5 81.2 0.2 104.9 102.8 112.8 104.71990 81.3 0.7 83.0 5.6 91.0 -0.7 81.0 -0.2 106.3 103.5 111.2 105.01991 82.5 1.4 85.1 2.5 91.3 0.4 81.3 0.4 107.1 109.3 110.4 104.71992 84.2 2.1 83.9 -1.3 93.9 2.8 82.1 0.9 108.6 112.0 110.8 105.11993 85.5 1.5 83.1 -1.0 94.9 1.0 84.2 2.5 110.9 110.5 113.9 106.11994 87.5 2.3 84.8 2.1 97.8 3.0 85.5 1.6 112.6 109.4 115.1 108.81995 85.0 -2.8 85.6 1.0 98.1 0.4 82.3 -3.8 115.2 111.7 118.6 110.61996 87.1 2.4 88.2 3.0 98.7 0.6 84.2 2.3 111.9 112.7 119.0 106.41997 89.7 3.0 91.5 3.7 98.1 -0.5 86.1 2.3 114.7 116.1 119.7 108.81998 90.1 0.4 89.9 -1.7 97.7 -0.5 86.7 0.7 118.1 120.4 119.0 111.31999 90.4 0.4 92.7 3.0 96.4 -1.3 87.4 0.8 118.5 118.4 118.4 112.12000 93.3 3.2 96.1 3.7 97.6 1.2 90.3 3.3 119.0 122.0 117.0 113.02001 93.4 0.1 97.7 1.6 100.7 3.2 89.5 -1.0 122.8 126.6 118.3 116.82002 94.3 1.0 98.6 0.9 103.6 2.9 89.5 0.0 122.9 128.7 122.2 115.72003 95.2 1.0 99.5 0.9 105.1 1.4 90.5 1.1 124.1 129.9 125.7 115.72004 95.5 0.3 95.2 -4.3 103.3 -1.7 93.1 2.8 125.3 131.0 127.4 117.02005 97.8 2.3 94.5 -0.7 104.0 0.7 95.0 2.0 125.7 125.3 125.3 120.32006 98.8 1.1 95.9 1.5 102.5 -1.5 97.8 3.0 128.7 124.4 126.2 122.82007 100.1 1.3 98.1 2.3 102.6 0.1 99.2 1.5 130.1 126.3 124.3 126.42008 100.0 -0.1 100.0 1.9 100.0 -2.6 100.0 0.8 131.8 129.2 124.5 128.32009 98.9 -1.1 99.7 -0.3 102.9 2.9 97.4 -2.6 131.6 131.7 121.3 129.32010 102.4 3.6 95.9 -3.8 107.6 4.6 101.6 4.3 130.1 131.2 124.8 125.92011 105.1 2.6 97.6 1.8 107.2 -0.4 104.3 2.6 134.8 126.3 130.5 131.42012 106.5 1.3 99.3 1.7 108.7 1.4 106.5 2.2 138.3 128.5 130.0 134.82013 106.7 0.2 97.4 -1.9 109.6 0.8 107.2 0.6 140.2 130.8 131.9 137.7
2014 108.5 1.7 99.7 2.4 110.8 1.1 108.4 1.2 140.4 128.3 132.9 138.52015 110.5 1.9 98.9 -0.8 110.7 -0.1 110.5 1.9 142.8 131.3 134.4 140.12016 112.7 2.0 101.8 2.8 110.9 0.1 112.9 2.1 145.5 130.3 134.3 142.92017 115.2 2.2 99.6 -2.1 111.4 0.5 115.4 2.2 148.4 134.0 134.5 145.92018 117.6 2.1 101.7 2.1 111.8 0.4 118.0 2.3 151.7 131.1 135.2 149.12019 119.9 1.9 100.6 -1.1 111.9 0.1 120.6 2.2 154.8 133.9 135.6 152.52020 122.1 1.9 103.1 2.5 112.3 0.3 123.1 2.1 157.8 132.5 135.8 155.9
E-25
E-14. Productividad Media Laboral en el Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Indice 2008=100)
Productividad Media LaboralAños Total Minería Manufacturas Construcción Electricidad
Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 85.1 3.2 67.6 11.6 50.9 -0.1 155.1 -0.3 53.5 -2.11981 87.0 2.3 72.3 6.9 52.0 2.2 152.1 -1.9 56.2 5.01982 88.9 2.1 74.0 2.3 52.0 -0.1 145.2 -4.5 59.4 5.81983 91.3 2.7 71.6 -3.2 51.9 -0.1 145.3 0.1 59.3 -0.11984 91.7 0.5 70.5 -1.5 53.3 2.7 143.5 -1.2 60.0 1.21985 91.9 0.3 67.6 -4.1 54.9 3.0 142.4 -0.8 61.6 2.61986 89.2 -3.0 64.3 -4.9 53.8 -2.1 132.1 -7.3 62.6 1.71987 91.8 2.9 64.4 0.1 55.1 2.5 135.3 2.4 63.2 0.91988 93.0 1.4 63.1 -2.1 56.9 3.2 134.3 -0.7 65.4 3.51989 91.7 -1.5 66.7 5.9 59.5 4.5 121.6 -9.4 66.6 1.91990 91.0 -0.7 66.8 0.1 62.1 4.4 114.5 -5.9 65.5 -1.71991 91.3 0.4 68.5 2.5 63.5 2.3 113.8 -0.5 64.3 -1.91992 93.9 2.8 81.9 19.6 65.5 3.1 118.5 4.1 65.6 2.11993 94.9 1.0 94.5 15.4 66.6 1.7 116.7 -1.5 66.7 1.71994 97.8 3.0 99.8 5.6 70.4 5.8 122.1 4.6 71.9 7.71995 98.1 0.4 99.8 -0.1 70.7 0.4 104.8 -14.2 72.0 0.11996 98.7 0.6 108.8 9.1 73.0 3.3 102.2 -2.4 74.2 3.11997 98.1 -0.5 111.9 2.8 75.2 3.0 102.5 0.2 76.7 3.41998 97.7 -0.5 112.3 0.3 76.8 2.1 101.2 -1.3 77.7 1.21999 96.4 -1.3 107.8 -4.0 76.7 -0.2 103.9 2.7 78.3 0.82000 97.6 1.2 108.7 0.9 78.1 1.9 106.5 2.5 78.3 0.02001 100.7 3.2 114.1 4.9 79.1 1.2 108.7 2.1 75.6 -3.52002 103.6 2.9 115.7 1.4 83.6 5.8 110.0 1.2 71.8 -5.02003 105.1 1.4 121.0 4.6 84.6 1.1 110.7 0.6 70.7 -1.52004 103.3 -1.7 119.5 -1.2 87.5 3.4 105.3 -4.9 79.5 12.42005 104.0 0.7 119.9 0.4 89.6 2.5 105.6 0.3 85.5 7.52006 102.5 -1.5 116.7 -2.7 93.4 4.2 102.9 -2.6 94.0 10.02007 102.6 0.1 107.2 -8.1 96.6 3.4 103.4 0.5 98.7 4.92008 100.0 -2.6 100.0 -6.7 100.0 3.5 100.0 -3.3 100.0 1.32009 102.9 2.9 96.5 -3.5 100.8 0.8 103.4 3.4 106.8 6.82010 107.6 4.6 96.6 0.1 107.8 7.0 105.0 1.6 123.3 15.42011 107.2 -0.4 95.0 -1.7 112.3 4.1 102.7 -2.2 125.3 1.62012 108.7 1.4 94.0 -1.1 115.8 3.1 103.3 0.6 124.5 -0.62013 109.6 0.8 90.8 -3.4 116.7 0.8 101.9 -1.3 122.1 -2.0
2014 110.8 1.1 87.6 -3.5 118.8 1.7 102.9 1.0 120.9 -0.92015 110.7 -0.1 87.0 -0.7 121.0 1.9 102.6 -0.3 119.0 -1.62016 110.9 0.1 86.4 -0.7 123.7 2.2 102.9 0.4 116.5 -2.12017 111.4 0.5 87.6 1.4 127.1 2.7 103.0 0.1 113.6 -2.52018 111.8 0.4 89.0 1.6 130.5 2.7 103.0 0.0 110.6 -2.62019 111.9 0.1 89.1 0.1 134.0 2.7 102.9 -0.1 107.7 -2.62020 112.3 0.3 89.0 -0.1 137.4 2.5 102.9 0.0 105.2 -2.3
E-26
E-15. Productividad Media Laboral en el Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Indice 2008=100)
Productividad Media LaboralComercio, Transporte, Almacenaje Servicios Financieros, Servicios Comunales,
Total Restaurantes y Hoteles y Comunicaciones Seguros e Inmuebles Sociales y PersonalesIndice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 78.8 1.8 86.4 8.8 88.9 -4.6 73.7 -3.8 84.8 0.61981 80.1 1.7 89.3 3.4 91.0 2.4 71.9 -2.6 85.6 1.11982 79.7 -0.6 88.1 -1.3 78.7 -13.5 68.5 -4.7 87.1 1.71983 80.3 0.8 84.0 -4.7 80.3 2.0 69.5 1.4 89.4 2.71984 81.0 0.9 83.6 -0.5 83.0 3.4 69.1 -0.6 89.6 0.31985 80.5 -0.7 82.9 -0.8 83.5 0.6 70.8 2.5 87.7 -2.21986 79.7 -0.9 78.7 -5.0 80.1 -4.1 73.3 3.5 87.3 -0.51987 80.2 0.6 78.3 -0.6 80.8 0.9 74.5 1.7 87.1 -0.31988 81.0 1.0 78.3 0.1 84.6 4.7 74.3 -0.3 87.7 0.81989 81.2 0.2 77.5 -1.1 83.9 -0.8 75.6 1.7 88.4 0.81990 81.0 -0.2 75.8 -2.2 80.8 -3.7 77.7 2.8 89.2 0.81991 81.3 0.4 75.9 0.1 81.0 0.2 78.6 1.1 89.6 0.61992 82.1 0.9 76.6 1.0 85.0 5.0 80.8 2.8 89.1 -0.61993 84.2 2.5 74.6 -2.6 89.2 4.9 83.5 3.4 93.2 4.71994 85.5 1.6 79.0 5.9 90.2 1.1 86.5 3.5 92.2 -1.11995 82.3 -3.8 70.4 -10.9 88.0 -2.4 88.1 1.9 89.8 -2.61996 84.2 2.3 77.7 10.3 88.1 0.1 86.8 -1.5 89.6 -0.31997 86.1 2.3 84.6 8.9 91.8 4.2 83.6 -3.7 90.0 0.51998 86.7 0.7 87.3 3.3 92.3 0.6 84.2 0.7 89.9 -0.11999 87.4 0.8 88.3 1.2 93.3 1.1 85.4 1.5 90.7 0.82000 90.3 3.3 95.4 8.0 96.1 2.9 87.2 2.1 92.2 1.72001 89.5 -1.0 91.7 -3.9 93.8 -2.4 88.4 1.3 91.9 -0.32002 89.5 0.0 91.6 -0.1 95.3 1.6 89.4 1.1 91.0 -1.02003 90.5 1.1 92.4 0.9 96.2 0.9 92.5 3.5 91.2 0.22004 93.1 2.8 95.8 3.6 98.0 1.9 93.5 1.1 93.0 2.02005 95.0 2.0 98.0 2.4 98.1 0.0 94.0 0.5 95.2 2.42006 97.8 3.0 100.9 2.9 99.8 1.8 93.8 -0.2 97.8 2.82007 99.2 1.5 102.2 1.3 100.6 0.8 93.5 -0.3 99.3 1.52008 100.0 0.8 100.0 -2.2 100.0 -0.6 100.0 6.9 100.0 0.72009 97.4 -2.6 90.3 -9.7 93.7 -6.3 105.8 5.8 100.2 0.22010 101.6 4.3 98.2 8.7 99.0 5.6 110.1 4.1 100.3 0.12011 104.3 2.6 104.1 6.1 101.4 2.4 110.0 -0.1 100.9 0.72012 106.5 2.2 106.2 2.0 105.9 4.5 113.2 2.9 103.2 2.22013 107.2 0.6 107.5 1.3 108.1 2.0 114.6 1.3 103.0 -0.1
2014 108.4 1.2 108.4 0.8 111.5 3.2 116.5 1.6 103.8 0.82015 110.5 1.9 111.1 2.4 116.0 4.0 117.1 0.5 104.9 1.02016 112.9 2.1 114.9 3.4 120.7 4.1 116.2 -0.7 106.0 1.02017 115.4 2.2 119.0 3.6 125.2 3.7 113.6 -2.3 107.3 1.22018 118.0 2.3 123.6 3.8 129.7 3.6 111.7 -1.7 108.5 1.12019 120.6 2.2 128.3 3.8 134.5 3.7 110.1 -1.4 109.6 1.02020 123.1 2.1 133.0 3.7 139.2 3.5 108.7 -1.3 110.6 1.0
E-27
Años!
E-16. Productividad Media Laboral en la Industria Manufacturera: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Indice 2008=100)
Industria Alimentos, Textiles, Madera Imprenta Años Manufacturera Bebidas y Tabaco Vestidos y Cuero y sus Productos y Editoriales
Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 50.9 -0.1 59.8 0.9 85.6 -1.9 65.0 -2.1 43.3 3.91981 52.0 2.2 60.1 0.5 86.7 1.2 65.3 0.5 44.5 2.71982 52.0 -0.1 61.1 1.7 84.7 -2.3 68.5 5.0 45.5 2.31983 51.9 -0.1 60.5 -1.0 86.2 1.8 74.2 8.3 45.0 -1.11984 53.3 2.7 60.5 0.0 86.8 0.7 75.3 1.5 46.0 2.31985 54.9 3.0 61.3 1.4 87.5 0.8 75.8 0.6 48.1 4.41986 53.8 -2.1 60.1 -2.1 85.4 -2.5 77.5 2.3 46.5 -3.21987 55.1 2.5 60.3 0.4 82.4 -3.5 75.9 -2.1 46.9 0.81988 56.9 3.2 61.2 1.5 85.3 3.6 76.1 0.3 48.8 4.11989 59.5 4.5 63.9 4.4 88.4 3.7 76.8 0.9 50.9 4.21990 62.1 4.4 65.7 2.7 93.6 5.8 78.2 1.9 51.8 1.91991 63.5 2.3 66.4 1.0 95.4 2.0 79.2 1.2 52.3 1.01992 65.5 3.1 67.3 1.4 97.7 2.4 80.5 1.7 53.2 1.61993 66.6 1.7 69.4 3.2 95.7 -2.0 73.7 -8.5 51.5 -3.21994 70.4 5.8 72.8 4.8 98.5 2.9 76.0 3.1 54.8 6.51995 70.7 0.4 74.9 2.9 92.0 -6.6 77.0 1.4 58.2 6.21996 73.0 3.3 75.9 1.4 89.3 -3.0 76.4 -0.7 62.5 7.31997 75.2 3.0 77.3 1.8 83.8 -6.1 81.6 6.8 66.8 6.91998 76.8 2.1 79.3 2.6 80.6 -3.8 81.5 -0.2 68.8 3.01999 76.7 -0.2 80.2 1.1 76.2 -5.5 82.5 1.3 71.7 4.22000 78.1 1.9 83.3 3.9 74.5 -2.3 84.8 2.8 72.4 1.02001 79.1 1.2 84.5 1.5 74.2 -0.3 86.4 1.8 72.0 -0.52002 83.6 5.8 86.4 2.2 80.8 8.8 90.7 5.0 73.8 2.52003 84.6 1.1 87.5 1.3 80.8 0.0 93.1 2.6 75.6 2.42004 87.5 3.4 90.3 3.1 84.0 3.9 94.2 1.3 79.9 5.62005 89.6 2.5 93.0 3.0 84.3 0.4 96.1 2.0 82.6 3.42006 93.4 4.2 94.0 1.1 89.2 5.8 95.8 -0.3 88.6 7.32007 96.6 3.4 98.0 4.3 92.5 3.6 97.5 1.8 93.9 6.02008 100.0 3.5 100.0 2.0 100.0 8.2 100.0 2.6 100.0 6.42009 100.8 0.8 100.2 0.2 102.0 2.0 102.2 2.2 101.0 1.02010 107.8 7.0 102.6 2.4 106.9 4.8 107.0 4.7 106.2 5.22011 112.3 4.1 103.9 1.3 111.2 4.0 113.3 5.9 105.4 -0.82012 115.8 3.1 105.3 1.4 113.4 2.1 120.8 6.6 114.5 8.72013 116.7 0.8 105.5 0.1 116.4 2.6 117.7 -2.6 120.1 4.9
2014 118.8 1.7 106.8 1.3 118.1 1.5 118.2 0.4 122.3 1.82015 121.0 1.9 108.3 1.4 119.0 0.8 119.9 1.4 124.1 1.52016 123.7 2.2 109.6 1.3 118.9 -0.1 121.5 1.3 125.7 1.32017 127.1 2.7 111.1 1.4 118.4 -0.4 122.8 1.1 127.2 1.22018 130.5 2.7 112.6 1.3 118.0 -0.4 124.1 1.1 128.8 1.32019 134.0 2.7 114.1 1.4 117.7 -0.2 124.9 0.6 130.4 1.22020 137.4 2.5 115.7 1.4 117.4 -0.2 125.7 0.7 132.1 1.3
Continúa
E-28
Continuación
Químicos, Minerales Industrias Maquinaria Otras
Años Petróleo y Caucho No Metálicos Metálicas Básicas y Equipo Industrias
Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 52.9 3.5 46.5 0.0 25.9 -1.8 51.7 1.3 163.4 -20.11981 54.0 1.9 46.0 -1.1 26.0 0.4 53.2 3.0 176.1 7.81982 53.1 -1.6 46.8 1.7 24.2 -6.7 51.2 -3.9 174.8 -0.71983 53.5 0.8 46.0 -1.8 23.6 -2.7 48.2 -5.8 150.0 -14.21984 55.0 2.8 46.1 0.2 24.8 5.2 52.0 7.9 161.2 7.51985 56.9 3.4 46.3 0.5 25.7 3.5 55.7 7.2 166.9 3.51986 54.9 -3.6 45.5 -1.7 26.8 4.5 50.7 -9.0 143.2 -14.21987 55.5 1.1 46.6 2.4 32.2 20.1 52.2 2.9 128.0 -10.61988 55.6 0.2 47.3 1.6 33.1 2.9 57.0 9.2 123.8 -3.31989 59.2 6.5 46.6 -1.6 36.2 9.3 58.7 3.0 109.0 -12.01990 59.6 0.8 46.6 0.0 42.6 17.6 61.5 4.8 107.9 -1.01991 59.0 -1.1 48.1 3.4 43.8 3.0 65.8 7.0 108.7 0.71992 61.1 3.5 50.0 3.9 51.8 18.2 65.8 -0.1 111.5 2.61993 60.4 -1.2 55.1 10.0 59.3 14.4 66.8 1.6 104.6 -6.21994 64.3 6.6 60.5 9.8 66.1 11.5 70.2 5.1 104.0 -0.61995 69.5 8.0 59.9 -0.9 65.5 -0.9 63.7 -9.2 96.2 -7.51996 69.4 -0.1 66.2 10.5 77.1 17.8 68.0 6.7 98.4 2.31997 71.5 3.1 69.7 5.3 82.5 7.0 74.1 9.1 92.8 -5.71998 72.5 1.4 72.9 4.5 85.2 3.2 78.1 5.3 88.7 -4.51999 71.4 -1.5 75.2 3.2 88.8 4.3 78.1 0.1 89.3 0.72000 72.2 1.0 76.8 2.2 91.8 3.4 81.7 4.6 83.6 -6.42001 71.9 -0.4 76.7 -0.2 87.3 -4.9 84.7 3.7 86.0 2.82002 75.9 5.6 84.1 9.6 93.4 7.0 87.5 3.3 94.0 9.32003 80.3 5.8 85.9 2.2 94.6 1.2 84.4 -3.5 87.7 -6.72004 87.2 8.7 89.4 4.1 95.8 1.4 84.8 0.5 89.4 2.02005 90.5 3.7 90.7 1.4 99.1 3.5 85.8 1.1 91.4 2.32006 95.8 5.9 95.4 5.2 99.9 0.8 92.4 7.8 94.5 3.32007 98.8 3.1 97.8 2.5 99.5 -0.4 95.6 3.5 96.8 2.42008 100.0 1.2 100.0 2.3 100.0 0.5 100.0 4.6 100.0 3.32009 105.2 5.2 103.9 3.9 97.2 -2.8 98.6 -1.4 104.7 4.72010 103.7 -1.4 101.5 -2.3 108.6 11.8 122.4 24.1 106.1 1.32011 103.2 -0.5 106.9 5.2 111.4 2.6 133.9 9.4 108.7 2.52012 105.2 1.9 109.8 2.7 114.8 3.0 140.3 4.8 106.0 -2.52013 106.5 1.2 106.1 -3.3 112.7 -1.8 142.8 1.8 104.3 -1.6
2014 106.1 -0.4 106.4 0.3 114.2 1.3 145.9 2.2 103.4 -0.82015 107.2 1.1 109.2 2.6 114.4 0.2 149.3 2.4 103.7 0.32016 108.6 1.3 112.6 3.1 115.3 0.8 153.9 3.0 103.9 0.22017 109.9 1.2 116.0 3.0 116.6 1.1 160.3 4.1 105.7 1.72018 111.3 1.2 119.1 2.7 117.6 0.9 166.8 4.1 107.3 1.52019 112.6 1.2 122.2 2.6 118.5 0.8 173.3 3.9 108.8 1.42020 113.8 1.1 125.1 2.4 119.5 0.9 179.6 3.6 110.2 1.3
Conclusión
E-29
Minería Electricidad ConstrucciónTotal Generación, Agua y sumistro Construcción Trabajos
Sector Extracción metálicos y no transmisión de gas por ductos de obras de especializadosIndustrial de petróleo metálicos, excepto y suministro de al consumidor ingeniería para la
Total subsector y gas petróleo y gas Total subsector energía eléctrica final Total subsector Edificación civil construcciónIndice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 85.1 3.2 67.6 11.6 53.5 -2.1 155.1 -0.31981 87.0 2.3 72.3 6.9 56.2 5.0 152.1 -1.91982 88.9 2.1 74.0 2.3 59.4 5.8 145.2 -4.51983 91.3 2.7 71.6 -3.2 59.3 -0.1 145.3 0.11984 91.7 0.5 70.5 -1.5 60.0 1.2 143.5 -1.21985 91.9 0.3 67.6 -4.1 61.6 2.6 142.4 -0.81986 89.2 -3.0 64.3 -4.9 62.6 1.7 132.1 -7.31987 91.8 2.9 64.4 0.1 63.2 0.9 135.3 2.41988 93.0 1.4 63.1 -2.1 65.4 3.5 134.3 -0.71989 91.7 -1.5 66.7 5.9 66.6 1.9 121.6 -9.41990 91.0 -0.7 66.8 0.1 65.5 -1.7 114.5 -5.91991 91.3 0.4 68.5 2.5 64.3 -1.9 113.8 -0.51992 93.9 2.8 81.9 19.6 65.6 2.1 118.5 4.11993 94.9 1.0 94.5 15.4 66.7 1.7 116.7 -1.51994 97.8 3.0 99.8 5.6 71.9 7.7 122.1 4.61995 98.1 0.4 99.8 -0.1 72.0 0.1 104.8 -14.21996 98.7 0.6 108.8 9.1 74.2 3.1 102.2 -2.41997 98.1 -0.5 111.9 2.8 76.7 3.4 102.5 0.21998 97.7 -0.5 112.3 0.3 77.7 1.2 101.2 -1.31999 96.4 -1.3 107.8 -4.0 78.3 0.8 103.9 2.72000 97.6 1.2 108.7 0.9 78.3 0.0 106.5 2.52001 100.7 3.2 114.1 4.9 75.6 -3.5 108.7 2.12002 103.6 2.9 115.7 1.4 71.8 -5.0 110.0 1.22003 105.1 1.4 121.0 4.6 118.7 98.6 70.7 -1.5 66.1 100.3 110.7 0.6 110.7 111.3 114.92004 103.3 -1.7 119.5 -1.2 117.1 -1.4 99.2 0.6 79.5 12.4 76.4 15.6 100.8 0.5 105.3 -4.9 104.7 -5.5 109.3 -1.9 110.0 -4.32005 104.0 0.7 119.9 0.4 113.5 -3.1 110.1 11.0 85.5 7.5 83.2 8.8 103.2 2.4 105.6 0.3 104.1 -0.5 114.2 4.5 108.2 -1.62006 102.5 -1.5 116.7 -2.7 112.2 -1.1 104.5 -5.2 94.0 10.0 93.7 12.7 103.9 0.7 102.9 -2.6 101.5 -2.5 111.5 -2.4 107.2 -0.92007 102.6 0.1 107.2 -8.1 108.1 -3.7 105.3 0.8 98.7 4.9 99.2 5.8 105.6 1.7 103.4 0.5 101.8 0.3 112.3 0.7 106.9 -0.32008 100.0 -2.6 100.0 -6.7 100.0 -7.5 100.0 -5.0 100.0 1.3 100.0 0.8 100.0 -5.3 100.0 -3.3 100.0 -1.8 100.0 -10.9 100.0 -6.52009 102.9 2.9 96.5 -3.5 93.2 -6.8 99.3 -0.7 106.8 6.8 112.1 12.1 105.6 5.6 103.4 3.4 101.6 1.6 108.9 8.9 99.7 -0.32010 107.6 4.6 96.6 0.1 93.8 0.6 113.4 14.2 123.3 15.4 147.9 32.0 104.6 -0.9 105.0 1.6 102.7 1.1 112.1 2.9 100.3 0.62011 107.2 -0.4 95.0 -1.7 92.0 -1.9 123.3 8.7 125.3 1.6 147.5 -0.3 102.3 -2.2 102.7 -2.2 100.1 -2.5 110.8 -1.1 99.0 -1.22012 108.7 1.4 94.0 -1.1 89.8 -2.4 131.9 7.0 124.5 -0.6 147.6 0.1 100.5 -1.7 103.3 0.6 100.0 -0.1 115.0 3.8 98.9 -0.22013 109.6 0.8 90.8 -3.4 87.1 -3.0 128.5 -2.6 122.1 -2.0 145.3 -1.6 98.5 -2.0 101.9 -1.3 99.0 -1.0 114.5 -0.5 93.9 -5.0
2014 110.8 1.1 87.6 -3.5 85.2 -2.2 127.5 -0.8 120.9 -0.9 143.8 -1.0 98.3 -0.2 102.9 1.0 100.0 1.0 117.0 2.2 93.7 -0.22015 110.7 -0.1 87.0 -0.7 82.3 -3.4 128.7 1.0 119.0 -1.6 140.9 -2.0 96.5 -1.8 102.6 -0.3 99.7 -0.3 117.1 0.1 92.7 -1.12016 110.9 0.1 86.4 -0.7 77.4 -6.0 131.1 1.8 116.5 -2.1 136.3 -3.3 94.9 -1.7 102.9 0.4 100.3 0.6 117.5 0.3 91.8 -1.02017 111.4 0.5 87.6 1.4 72.3 -6.6 135.5 3.4 113.6 -2.5 131.0 -3.9 93.1 -1.9 103.0 0.1 100.6 0.3 117.3 -0.1 90.7 -1.22018 111.8 0.4 89.0 1.6 67.9 -6.0 138.9 2.5 110.6 -2.6 125.7 -4.0 91.4 -1.8 103.0 0.0 100.9 0.3 117.0 -0.3 89.6 -1.22019 111.9 0.1 89.1 0.1 64.0 -5.8 142.0 2.2 107.7 -2.6 121.0 -3.8 89.9 -1.7 102.9 -0.1 101.0 0.1 116.8 -0.2 88.6 -1.12020 112.3 0.3 89.0 -0.1 60.1 -6.0 144.8 2.0 105.2 -2.3 117.0 -3.3 88.4 -1.6 102.9 0.0 101.2 0.2 116.6 -0.1 87.9 -0.8
Continúa
E-30
Años
Minería de minerales
E-17. Productividad Media Laboral en el Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Indice 2008=100)
Continuación
ManufacturasIndustrias alimentaria, de las bebidas y del tabaco Textiles, prendas de vestir y productos de cuero
Total Confección de Fabricación de cuero,Años Subsector Industria Fabricación productos textiles, Fabricación piel y materiales
Manufacturero Industria de las bebidas de insumos excepto prendas de prendas sucedáneos, exceptoTotal rama alimentaria y del tabaco Total rama textiles de vestir de vestir prendas de vestir
Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 50.9 -0.1 59.8 0.9 85.6 -1.91981 52.0 2.2 60.1 0.5 86.7 1.21982 52.0 -0.1 61.1 1.7 84.7 -2.31983 51.9 -0.1 60.5 -1.0 86.2 1.81984 53.3 2.7 60.5 0.0 86.8 0.71985 54.9 3.0 61.3 1.4 87.5 0.81986 53.8 -2.1 60.1 -2.1 85.4 -2.51987 55.1 2.5 60.3 0.4 82.4 -3.51988 56.9 3.2 61.2 1.5 85.3 3.61989 59.5 4.5 63.9 4.4 88.4 3.71990 62.1 4.4 65.7 2.7 93.6 5.81991 63.5 2.3 66.4 1.0 95.4 2.01992 65.5 3.1 67.3 1.4 97.7 2.41993 66.6 1.7 69.4 3.2 95.7 -2.01994 70.4 5.8 72.8 4.8 98.5 2.91995 70.7 0.4 74.9 2.9 92.0 -6.61996 73.0 3.3 75.9 1.4 89.3 -3.01997 75.2 3.0 77.3 1.8 83.8 -6.11998 76.8 2.1 79.3 2.6 80.6 -3.81999 76.7 -0.2 80.2 1.1 76.2 -5.52000 78.1 1.9 83.3 3.9 74.5 -2.32001 79.1 1.2 84.5 1.5 74.2 -0.32002 83.6 5.8 86.4 2.2 80.8 8.82003 84.6 1.1 87.5 1.3 91.5 69.5 80.8 0.0 84.5 75.1 77.6 88.62004 87.5 3.4 90.3 3.1 93.1 1.8 76.8 10.6 84.0 3.9 91.3 8.1 80.4 7.1 79.3 2.2 91.2 3.02005 89.6 2.5 93.0 3.0 94.1 1.1 88.0 14.5 84.3 0.4 89.7 -1.8 83.6 4.0 79.9 0.8 92.0 0.82006 93.4 4.2 94.0 1.1 94.8 0.8 89.3 1.5 89.2 5.8 94.3 5.1 86.0 2.9 86.2 7.8 94.7 2.92007 96.6 3.4 98.0 4.3 98.1 3.5 97.8 9.5 92.5 3.6 97.5 3.5 93.8 9.1 88.6 2.8 97.3 2.82008 100.0 3.5 100.0 2.0 100.0 1.9 100.0 2.3 100.0 8.2 100.0 2.5 100.0 6.6 100.0 12.9 100.0 2.72009 100.8 0.8 100.2 0.2 99.9 -0.1 101.9 1.9 102.0 2.0 104.9 4.9 106.7 6.7 102.1 2.1 99.7 -0.32010 107.8 7.0 102.6 2.4 102.2 2.3 105.1 3.2 106.9 4.8 113.5 8.2 113.7 6.6 106.4 4.3 103.7 4.02011 112.3 4.1 103.9 1.3 102.5 0.2 112.9 7.4 111.2 4.0 113.7 0.1 113.3 -0.4 115.2 8.2 103.8 0.12012 115.8 3.1 105.3 1.4 103.1 0.6 121.2 7.4 113.4 2.1 118.1 3.9 111.7 -1.4 119.8 4.0 103.6 -0.22013 116.7 0.8 105.5 0.1 102.2 -0.8 129.7 7.0 116.4 2.6 118.8 0.6 114.4 2.4 127.0 6.0 101.2 -2.3
2014 118.8 1.7 106.8 1.3 103.5 1.2 131.8 1.6 118.1 1.5 120.5 1.5 114.1 -0.3 132.7 4.5 99.1 -2.02015 121.0 1.9 108.3 1.4 104.8 1.3 134.3 1.9 119.0 0.8 125.7 4.3 112.9 -1.0 135.3 2.0 97.2 -2.02016 123.7 2.2 109.6 1.3 106.1 1.2 136.7 1.8 118.9 -0.1 126.1 0.3 111.3 -1.4 136.9 1.2 95.4 -1.82017 127.1 2.7 111.1 1.4 107.4 1.3 139.0 1.7 118.4 -0.4 126.9 0.6 109.6 -1.6 137.8 0.6 93.8 -1.72018 130.5 2.7 112.6 1.3 108.8 1.3 141.0 1.4 118.0 -0.4 127.1 0.2 108.4 -1.1 138.3 0.4 92.4 -1.52019 134.0 2.7 114.1 1.4 110.4 1.4 142.9 1.4 117.7 -0.2 127.5 0.3 107.3 -1.0 139.1 0.6 91.2 -1.32020 137.4 2.5 115.7 1.4 111.9 1.4 144.9 1.4 117.4 -0.2 127.9 0.3 106.2 -1.0 139.7 0.4 90.2 -1.1
Continúa
E-31
Continuación
ManufacturasMadera y sus productos Impresión e industrias conexas Químicos, petróleo y caucho
Fabricación Fabricación deAños de muebles Impresión productos derivados Industria
Industria y productos Industria e industrias del petróleo Industria del plásticoTotal rama de la madera relacionados Total rama del papel conexas Total rama y del carbón química y del hule
Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 65.0 -2.1 43.3 3.9 52.9 3.51981 65.3 0.5 44.5 2.7 54.0 1.91982 68.5 5.0 45.5 2.3 53.1 -1.61983 74.2 8.3 45.0 -1.1 53.5 0.81984 75.3 1.5 46.0 2.3 55.0 2.81985 75.8 0.6 48.1 4.4 56.9 3.41986 77.5 2.3 46.5 -3.2 54.9 -3.61987 75.9 -2.1 46.9 0.8 55.5 1.11988 76.1 0.3 48.8 4.1 55.6 0.21989 76.8 0.9 50.9 4.2 59.2 6.51990 78.2 1.9 51.8 1.9 59.6 0.81991 79.2 1.2 52.3 1.0 59.0 -1.11992 80.5 1.7 53.2 1.6 61.1 3.51993 73.7 -8.5 51.5 -3.2 60.4 -1.21994 76.0 3.1 54.8 6.5 64.3 6.61995 77.0 1.4 58.2 6.2 69.5 8.01996 76.4 -0.7 62.5 7.3 69.4 -0.11997 81.6 6.8 66.8 6.9 71.5 3.11998 81.5 -0.2 68.8 3.0 72.5 1.41999 82.5 1.3 71.7 4.2 71.4 -1.52000 84.8 2.8 72.4 1.0 72.2 1.02001 86.4 1.8 72.0 -0.5 71.9 -0.42002 90.7 5.0 73.8 2.5 75.9 5.62003 93.1 2.6 91.4 94.6 75.6 2.4 75.8 76.5 80.3 5.8 97.7 73.7 84.92004 94.2 1.3 93.9 2.7 94.5 -0.1 79.9 5.6 81.0 6.9 76.9 0.5 87.2 8.7 103.7 6.1 82.5 12.0 89.4 5.32005 96.1 2.0 96.2 2.5 95.9 1.4 82.6 3.4 83.9 3.6 79.2 3.0 90.5 3.7 101.1 -2.5 87.3 5.7 91.9 2.82006 95.8 -0.3 97.1 0.8 94.8 -1.2 88.6 7.3 87.5 4.3 89.7 13.2 95.8 5.9 100.1 -1.0 94.0 7.7 97.0 5.62007 97.5 1.8 97.7 0.7 97.6 3.0 93.9 6.0 96.0 9.8 91.0 1.4 98.8 3.1 102.1 2.0 98.3 4.5 100.3 3.32008 100.0 2.6 100.0 2.3 100.0 2.5 100.0 6.4 100.0 4.1 100.0 9.9 100.0 1.2 100.0 -2.0 100.0 1.8 100.0 -0.32009 102.2 2.2 98.6 -1.4 105.7 5.7 101.0 1.0 103.1 3.1 96.2 -3.8 105.2 5.2 102.0 2.0 99.7 -0.3 106.5 6.52010 107.0 4.7 101.7 3.2 111.9 5.9 106.2 5.2 105.5 2.2 106.8 11.0 103.7 -1.4 93.9 -7.9 99.6 -0.1 116.9 9.82011 113.3 5.9 109.5 7.7 117.2 4.7 105.4 -0.8 105.2 -0.3 107.6 0.7 103.2 -0.5 88.3 -6.0 99.3 -0.3 123.8 5.92012 120.8 6.6 126.1 15.1 117.5 0.2 114.5 8.7 111.4 5.9 115.9 7.7 105.2 1.9 90.9 3.0 100.3 1.1 133.4 7.82013 117.7 -2.6 126.6 0.4 111.6 -5.0 120.1 4.9 116.4 4.5 117.0 1.0 106.5 1.2 95.4 5.0 101.9 1.6 131.7 -1.3
2014 118.2 0.4 129.1 2.0 110.5 -1.0 122.3 1.8 118.5 1.8 118.4 1.2 106.1 -0.4 93.3 -2.2 102.5 0.6 132.3 0.52015 119.9 1.4 130.4 1.0 112.5 1.8 124.1 1.5 120.4 1.6 120.3 1.6 107.2 1.1 91.1 -2.4 103.9 1.3 134.3 1.52016 121.5 1.3 131.2 0.6 114.7 2.0 125.7 1.3 122.1 1.4 122.1 1.5 108.6 1.3 88.8 -2.5 105.6 1.7 136.6 1.72017 122.8 1.1 131.8 0.5 116.6 1.6 127.2 1.2 123.4 1.1 123.8 1.4 109.9 1.2 87.1 -2.0 107.3 1.6 138.8 1.62018 124.1 1.1 132.8 0.7 118.2 1.4 128.8 1.3 124.9 1.2 125.8 1.6 111.3 1.2 85.5 -1.8 109.1 1.7 140.9 1.52019 124.9 0.6 133.0 0.2 119.4 1.0 130.4 1.2 126.3 1.1 128.0 1.7 112.6 1.2 84.5 -1.2 111.0 1.7 142.7 1.32020 125.7 0.7 133.4 0.3 120.6 1.0 132.1 1.3 127.7 1.1 130.3 1.8 113.8 1.1 83.6 -1.0 112.7 1.5 144.3 1.1
Continúa
E-32
Continuación
ManufacturasFabricación de Industrias metálicas Maquinaria y equipo
productos a base Fabricación equipo Fabricación de equipoAños de minerales Industrias Fabricación Fabricación de computación, de generación Fabricación Otras
no metálicos metálicas de productos de maquinaria comunicación y eléctrica y accesorios de equipo industriasTotal rama Total rama básicas metálicos Total rama y equipo otros electrónicos eléctricos de transporte Total rama
Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 46.5 0.0 25.9 -1.8 51.7 1.3 163.4 -20.11981 46.0 -1.1 26.0 0.4 53.2 3.0 176.1 7.81982 46.8 1.7 24.2 -6.7 51.2 -3.9 174.8 -0.71983 46.0 -1.8 23.6 -2.7 48.2 -5.8 150.0 -14.21984 46.1 0.2 24.8 5.2 52.0 7.9 161.2 7.51985 46.3 0.5 25.7 3.5 55.7 7.2 166.9 3.51986 45.5 -1.7 26.8 4.5 50.7 -9.0 143.2 -14.21987 46.6 2.4 32.2 20.1 52.2 2.9 128.0 -10.61988 47.3 1.6 33.1 2.9 57.0 9.2 123.8 -3.31989 46.6 -1.6 36.2 9.3 58.7 3.0 109.0 -12.01990 46.6 0.0 42.6 17.6 61.5 4.8 107.9 -1.01991 48.1 3.4 43.8 3.0 65.8 7.0 108.7 0.71992 50.0 3.9 51.8 18.2 65.8 -0.1 111.5 2.61993 55.1 10.0 59.3 14.4 66.8 1.6 104.6 -6.21994 60.5 9.8 66.1 11.5 70.2 5.1 104.0 -0.61995 59.9 -0.9 65.5 -0.9 63.7 -9.2 96.2 -7.51996 66.2 10.5 77.1 17.8 68.0 6.7 98.4 2.31997 69.7 5.3 82.5 7.0 74.1 9.1 92.8 -5.71998 72.9 4.5 85.2 3.2 78.1 5.3 88.7 -4.51999 75.2 3.2 88.8 4.3 78.1 0.1 89.3 0.72000 76.8 2.2 91.8 3.4 81.7 4.6 83.6 -6.42001 76.7 -0.2 87.3 -4.9 84.7 3.7 86.0 2.82002 84.1 9.6 93.4 7.0 87.5 3.3 94.0 9.32003 85.9 2.2 94.6 1.2 91.7 88.0 84.4 -3.5 99.5 108.3 77.8 75.4 87.7 -6.72004 89.4 4.1 95.8 1.4 95.8 4.5 89.7 1.9 84.8 0.5 103.9 4.5 97.4 -10.0 80.7 3.8 78.2 3.7 89.4 2.02005 90.7 1.4 99.1 3.5 99.6 4.0 93.6 4.3 85.8 1.1 108.4 4.3 97.1 -0.4 82.1 1.7 78.4 0.2 91.4 2.32006 95.4 5.2 99.9 0.8 101.6 2.0 97.2 3.9 92.4 7.8 107.2 -1.1 100.8 3.9 90.2 9.9 87.3 11.3 94.5 3.32007 97.8 2.5 99.5 -0.4 100.2 -1.4 99.1 2.0 95.6 3.5 103.5 -3.5 102.7 1.9 94.6 4.9 91.6 5.0 96.8 2.42008 100.0 2.3 100.0 0.5 100.0 -0.2 100.0 0.9 100.0 4.6 100.0 -3.4 100.0 -2.7 100.0 5.7 100.0 9.1 100.0 3.32009 103.9 3.9 97.2 -2.8 91.3 -8.7 100.3 0.3 98.6 -1.4 89.0 -11.0 106.5 6.5 102.2 2.2 101.2 1.2 104.7 4.72010 101.5 -2.3 108.6 11.8 103.0 12.7 109.8 9.4 122.4 24.1 121.6 36.6 108.0 1.4 106.6 4.3 136.9 35.4 106.1 1.32011 106.9 5.2 111.4 2.6 103.7 0.7 114.9 4.7 133.9 9.4 130.0 6.9 121.4 12.5 109.5 2.8 144.0 5.2 108.7 2.52012 109.8 2.7 114.8 3.0 103.8 0.1 120.4 4.8 140.3 4.8 134.3 3.3 123.3 1.6 109.5 0.0 150.0 4.2 106.0 -2.52013 106.1 -3.3 112.7 -1.8 101.9 -1.8 118.4 -1.6 142.8 1.8 128.9 -4.0 141.7 14.9 109.0 -0.4 147.0 -2.0 104.3 -1.6
2014 106.4 0.3 114.2 1.3 100.5 -1.4 116.4 -1.7 145.9 2.2 125.7 -2.5 156.7 10.6 109.4 0.3 144.8 -1.5 103.4 -0.82015 109.2 2.6 114.4 0.2 98.6 -1.9 117.1 0.6 149.3 2.4 126.9 1.0 169.4 8.1 110.8 1.3 143.3 -1.0 103.7 0.32016 112.6 3.1 115.3 0.8 96.6 -2.0 118.9 1.5 153.9 3.0 129.7 2.2 176.2 4.0 113.3 2.3 144.9 1.1 103.9 0.22017 116.0 3.0 116.6 1.1 95.1 -1.6 121.0 1.8 160.3 4.1 132.3 2.0 182.9 3.8 116.4 2.7 149.3 3.0 105.7 1.72018 119.1 2.7 117.6 0.9 93.8 -1.3 122.7 1.4 166.8 4.1 134.7 1.8 189.9 3.8 119.4 2.6 154.0 3.2 107.3 1.52019 122.2 2.6 118.5 0.8 92.8 -1.1 124.2 1.2 173.3 3.9 137.0 1.7 196.7 3.6 122.5 2.6 159.0 3.2 108.8 1.42020 125.1 2.4 119.5 0.9 92.0 -0.9 125.7 1.2 179.6 3.6 139.3 1.7 203.4 3.4 125.6 2.5 163.7 3.0 110.2 1.3
Conclusión
E-33
Comercio, restaurantes y hoteles Servicios financieros, seguros y actividades inmobiliariasTotal Servicios de Transporte, Servicios
Sector alojamiento temporal almacenaje y Servicios inmobiliarios yServicios y de preparación de comunicaciones financieros de alquiler de bienes
Total subsector Comercio alimentos y bebidas Total subsector Total subsector y de seguros muebles e intangiblesIndice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 78.8 1.8 86.4 8.8 88.9 -4.6 73.7 -3.81981 80.1 1.7 89.3 3.4 91.0 2.4 71.9 -2.61982 79.7 -0.6 88.1 -1.3 78.7 -13.5 68.5 -4.71983 80.3 0.8 84.0 -4.7 80.3 2.0 69.5 1.41984 81.0 0.9 83.6 -0.5 83.0 3.4 69.1 -0.61985 80.5 -0.7 82.9 -0.8 83.5 0.6 70.8 2.51986 79.7 -0.9 78.7 -5.0 80.1 -4.1 73.3 3.51987 80.2 0.6 78.3 -0.6 80.8 0.9 74.5 1.71988 81.0 1.0 78.3 0.1 84.6 4.7 74.3 -0.31989 81.2 0.2 77.5 -1.1 83.9 -0.8 75.6 1.71990 81.0 -0.2 75.8 -2.2 80.8 -3.7 77.7 2.81991 81.3 0.4 75.9 0.1 81.0 0.2 78.6 1.11992 82.1 0.9 76.6 1.0 85.0 5.0 80.8 2.81993 84.2 2.5 74.6 -2.6 89.2 4.9 83.5 3.41994 85.5 1.6 79.0 5.9 90.2 1.1 86.5 3.51995 82.3 -3.8 70.4 -10.9 88.0 -2.4 88.1 1.91996 84.2 2.3 77.7 10.3 88.1 0.1 86.8 -1.51997 86.1 2.3 84.6 8.9 91.8 4.2 83.6 -3.71998 86.7 0.7 87.3 3.3 92.3 0.6 84.2 0.71999 87.4 0.8 88.3 1.2 93.3 1.1 85.4 1.52000 90.3 3.3 95.4 8.0 96.1 2.9 87.2 2.12001 89.5 -1.0 91.7 -3.9 93.8 -2.4 88.4 1.32002 89.5 0.0 91.6 -0.1 95.3 1.6 89.4 1.12003 90.5 1.1 92.4 0.9 93.2 93.2 96.2 0.9 92.5 3.5 54.4 107.02004 93.1 2.8 95.8 3.6 96.5 3.6 95.9 2.8 98.0 1.9 93.5 1.1 63.1 15.9 103.0 -3.82005 95.0 2.0 98.0 2.4 99.0 2.6 96.2 0.4 98.1 0.0 94.0 0.5 67.7 7.3 103.0 0.12006 97.8 3.0 100.9 2.9 101.7 2.7 98.2 2.1 99.8 1.8 93.8 -0.2 74.1 9.5 100.6 -2.32007 99.2 1.5 102.2 1.3 102.6 1.0 100.6 2.4 100.6 0.8 93.5 -0.3 78.4 5.7 99.8 -0.82008 100.0 0.8 100.0 -2.2 100.0 -2.6 100.0 -0.6 100.0 -0.6 100.0 6.9 100.0 27.6 100.0 0.22009 97.4 -2.6 90.3 -9.7 90.0 -10.0 92.4 -7.6 93.7 -6.3 105.8 5.8 102.4 2.4 109.2 9.22010 101.6 4.3 98.2 8.7 98.7 9.7 94.1 1.8 99.0 5.6 110.1 4.1 113.5 10.9 115.2 5.52011 104.3 2.6 104.1 6.1 104.8 6.2 96.5 2.6 101.4 2.4 110.0 -0.1 111.7 -1.6 118.7 3.12012 106.5 2.2 106.2 2.0 106.4 1.5 100.7 4.3 105.9 4.5 113.2 2.9 119.7 7.2 120.4 1.52013 107.2 0.6 107.5 1.3 107.7 1.2 102.0 1.3 108.1 2.0 114.6 1.3 122.8 2.6 121.6 1.0
2014 108.4 1.2 108.4 0.8 108.4 0.7 103.2 1.2 111.5 3.2 116.5 1.6 125.8 2.4 124.0 1.92015 110.5 1.9 111.1 2.4 110.9 2.3 105.9 2.6 116.0 4.0 117.1 0.5 128.0 1.8 125.2 1.02016 112.9 2.1 114.9 3.4 114.6 3.3 109.2 3.1 120.7 4.1 116.2 -0.7 126.7 -1.0 125.8 0.52017 115.4 2.2 119.0 3.6 118.5 3.4 113.4 3.8 125.2 3.7 113.6 -2.3 121.9 -3.8 126.3 0.42018 118.0 2.3 123.6 3.8 122.9 3.7 117.4 3.6 129.7 3.6 111.7 -1.7 119.5 -2.0 126.6 0.22019 120.6 2.2 128.3 3.8 127.4 3.7 121.3 3.3 134.5 3.7 110.1 -1.4 117.6 -1.6 126.8 0.22020 123.1 2.1 133.0 3.7 132.0 3.6 125.1 3.1 139.2 3.5 108.7 -1.3 116.0 -1.3 127.0 0.1
Continúa
E-34
E-18. Productividad Media Laboral en el Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Indice 2008=100)
Años
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios Servicios de
profesionales, Dirección apoyo a los negocios y científicos de corporativos manejo de desechos y Servicios
Total subsector y técnicos y empresas servicios de remediación educativosIndice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 84.8 0.61981 85.6 1.11982 87.1 1.71983 89.4 2.71984 89.6 0.31985 87.7 -2.21986 87.3 -0.51987 87.1 -0.31988 87.7 0.81989 88.4 0.81990 89.2 0.81991 89.6 0.61992 89.1 -0.61993 93.2 4.71994 92.2 -1.11995 89.8 -2.61996 89.6 -0.31997 90.0 0.51998 89.9 -0.11999 90.7 0.82000 92.2 1.72001 91.9 -0.32002 91.0 -1.02003 91.2 0.2 92.8 85.9 94.3 99.32004 93.0 2.0 94.2 1.4 87.4 1.8 94.8 0.5 99.5 0.22005 95.2 2.4 94.9 0.8 90.6 3.7 99.8 5.2 99.7 0.22006 97.8 2.8 96.6 1.8 97.8 7.9 101.7 2.0 99.5 -0.12007 99.3 1.5 98.0 1.5 95.2 -2.7 101.4 -0.4 99.7 0.22008 100.0 0.7 100.0 2.0 100.0 5.0 100.0 -1.3 100.0 0.32009 100.2 0.2 98.0 -2.0 79.5 -20.5 96.9 -3.1 99.9 -0.12010 100.3 0.1 97.2 -0.8 73.2 -7.9 97.6 0.7 99.8 -0.12011 100.9 0.7 101.5 4.5 74.8 2.2 98.6 1.0 100.5 0.62012 103.2 2.2 103.5 1.9 78.8 5.3 97.8 -0.7 101.4 0.92013 103.0 -0.1 104.2 0.7 79.0 0.3 97.6 -0.3 101.7 0.3
2014 103.8 0.8 105.6 1.3 78.8 -0.3 97.3 -0.3 102.5 0.82015 104.9 1.0 107.4 1.7 78.2 -0.8 97.4 0.1 103.8 1.32016 106.0 1.0 109.3 1.8 76.9 -1.7 97.5 0.2 105.6 1.72017 107.3 1.2 111.9 2.4 75.0 -2.4 97.8 0.3 107.7 2.02018 108.5 1.1 114.4 2.2 73.4 -2.2 98.1 0.3 109.8 1.92019 109.6 1.0 116.5 1.9 71.9 -2.0 98.3 0.2 111.7 1.82020 110.6 1.0 118.4 1.6 70.6 -1.8 98.4 0.1 113.5 1.6
Continúa
Años
E-35
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios de esparcimiento,
Servicios culturales y deportivos, Otros serviciosde salud y otros servicios Información en excepto actividades Actividades
y de asistencia social recreativos medios masivos del gobierno del gobiernoIndice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
198019811982198319841985198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003 90.8 94.2 56.6 99.9 97.62004 91.7 0.9 97.3 3.3 65.4 15.6 101.7 1.8 98.1 0.62005 93.0 1.5 96.3 -1.0 73.0 11.7 99.7 -2.0 99.9 1.82006 101.0 8.6 98.1 1.9 84.9 16.3 100.3 0.6 99.3 -0.62007 99.8 -1.2 101.2 3.2 96.2 13.3 99.4 -0.9 100.2 0.82008 100.0 0.2 100.0 -1.2 100.0 4.0 100.0 0.6 100.0 -0.22009 100.8 0.8 97.3 -2.7 108.2 8.2 98.7 -1.3 100.7 0.72010 98.9 -1.9 96.8 -0.5 115.4 6.7 97.2 -1.5 102.6 1.82011 99.9 1.0 97.3 0.4 120.5 4.3 97.6 0.4 100.8 -1.72012 101.2 1.3 99.3 2.1 141.0 17.0 96.9 -0.6 102.4 1.52013 102.7 1.5 98.6 -0.7 150.8 7.0 96.6 -0.3 101.2 -1.2
2014 104.1 1.4 100.6 2.0 157.8 4.6 97.1 0.5 101.0 -0.12015 105.6 1.5 103.0 2.4 163.9 3.9 98.1 1.0 100.7 -0.32016 107.1 1.4 104.7 1.7 170.0 3.7 98.6 0.5 100.2 -0.52017 108.5 1.3 106.4 1.6 176.1 3.6 99.3 0.7 99.6 -0.62018 109.9 1.3 108.1 1.6 182.1 3.4 99.9 0.6 99.0 -0.62019 111.2 1.2 109.8 1.6 187.9 3.2 100.2 0.3 98.6 -0.42020 112.5 1.1 111.5 1.5 193.8 3.1 100.4 0.2 98.4 -0.3
Conclusión
E-36
Años
Sección: E-IV. Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra
Cuadro E-19.
Grandes Sectores Económicos
Cuadro E-20.
Sector Industrial por Actividad Económica
Cuadro E-21. Sector Servicios por Actividad Económica
Cuadro E-22. Industria Manufacturera
Cuadro E-23. Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas
Cuadro E-24.
Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos
E-19. Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra por Grandes Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Indice 2008=100)
Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra Indice del Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra 1980=100Años Total Sector Agropecuario Sector Industrial Sector Servicios Total Primario Secundario Terciario
Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 1980 Indice 1980 Indice 1980 Indice 1980
1980 145.9 -3.4 287.8 -7.0 174.9 -5.9 131.4 -2.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.01981 149.9 2.8 293.8 2.1 175.8 0.5 135.6 3.2 96.6 93.0 94.1 97.91982 142.4 -5.0 262.6 -10.6 162.2 -7.8 129.2 -4.7 99.3 95.0 94.6 101.11983 110.5 -22.4 223.6 -14.8 124.3 -23.4 99.9 -22.7 94.3 84.9 87.3 96.31984 104.1 -5.8 212.1 -5.1 115.8 -6.8 94.5 -5.4 73.2 72.3 66.9 74.41985 103.9 -0.2 211.9 -0.1 116.0 0.2 94.6 0.1 68.9 68.6 62.3 70.41986 95.1 -8.4 210.4 -0.7 108.4 -6.6 85.0 -10.2 68.8 68.5 62.4 70.51987 92.6 -2.6 196.2 -6.8 104.5 -3.6 83.0 -2.3 63.0 68.0 58.3 63.31988 84.2 -9.1 177.4 -9.5 98.0 -6.2 74.3 -10.5 61.4 63.4 56.2 61.91989 87.7 4.1 172.3 -2.9 102.6 4.7 78.3 5.4 55.8 57.4 52.7 55.41990 88.2 0.6 146.3 -15.1 101.8 -0.8 80.7 3.0 58.1 55.7 55.2 58.41991 92.3 4.6 143.2 -2.2 104.2 2.4 86.3 6.9 58.4 47.3 54.8 60.11992 96.9 5.0 142.3 -0.6 105.7 1.4 92.9 7.6 61.1 46.3 56.1 64.31993 101.3 4.6 141.9 -0.3 105.9 0.2 99.2 6.8 64.1 46.0 56.9 69.21994 104.1 2.7 137.5 -3.1 105.6 -0.3 103.5 4.4 67.1 45.9 57.0 73.91995 92.7 -11.0 117.9 -14.3 92.0 -12.8 92.9 -10.3 68.9 44.5 56.8 77.21996 83.5 -9.9 103.6 -12.1 84.4 -8.2 83.6 -10.0 61.4 38.1 49.5 69.21997 83.8 0.3 100.5 -2.9 85.5 1.2 83.8 0.2 55.3 33.5 45.4 62.31998 86.5 3.2 102.5 2.0 88.5 3.6 86.5 3.2 55.5 32.5 46.0 62.51999 87.9 1.7 97.8 -4.7 90.6 2.4 87.7 1.4 57.3 33.1 47.6 64.42000 91.3 3.8 98.1 0.3 94.8 4.6 90.5 3.3 58.2 31.6 48.8 65.32001 94.8 3.9 100.0 1.9 96.2 1.5 95.2 5.1 60.5 31.7 51.0 67.52002 97.4 2.7 101.7 1.7 95.3 -0.9 99.4 4.5 62.8 32.3 51.8 70.92003 98.7 1.3 101.6 -0.1 94.7 -0.7 101.6 2.2 64.5 32.9 51.3 74.12004 97.7 -1.0 105.2 3.5 96.0 1.3 99.4 -2.2 65.4 32.9 51.0 75.72005 98.1 0.4 107.6 2.3 95.7 -0.3 99.7 0.3 64.7 34.0 51.6 74.12006 98.3 0.2 105.9 -1.6 97.5 1.9 99.1 -0.5 65.0 34.8 51.5 74.32007 98.6 0.3 102.8 -3.0 97.9 0.4 99.1 0.0 65.1 34.2 52.5 73.92008 100.0 1.4 100.0 -2.7 100.0 2.1 100.0 0.9 65.3 33.2 52.7 73.92009 101.4 1.4 100.6 0.6 96.6 -3.4 103.1 3.1 66.2 32.3 53.8 74.52010 97.6 -3.7 105.4 4.8 90.8 -6.0 99.9 -3.2 67.1 32.5 52.0 76.92011 97.3 -0.3 106.6 1.1 92.0 1.3 98.6 -1.2 64.7 34.1 48.8 74.42012 96.6 -0.7 103.4 -2.9 92.3 0.4 97.4 -1.3 64.5 34.5 49.5 73.52013 97.2 0.6 105.7 2.2 92.5 0.1 97.7 0.3 64.0 33.4 49.7 72.6
2014 97.0 -0.2 104.2 -1.4 92.4 -0.1 97.4 -0.3 64.4 34.2 49.8 72.82015 97.3 0.3 107.1 2.8 93.8 1.5 97.1 -0.3 64.2 33.7 49.7 72.62016 97.8 0.6 106.1 -1.0 95.5 1.9 97.2 0.1 64.4 34.6 50.5 72.42017 98.5 0.7 111.6 5.2 97.2 1.8 97.4 0.2 64.8 34.3 51.4 72.52018 98.8 0.3 111.3 -0.2 98.8 1.6 97.3 -0.1 65.2 36.1 52.3 72.62019 99.0 0.3 114.8 3.1 100.4 1.6 97.0 -0.3 65.4 36.0 53.2 72.52020 99.1 0.1 113.8 -0.9 101.7 1.3 96.7 -0.3 65.6 37.1 54.0 72.3
E-37
E-20. Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra en el Sector Industrial: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Indice 2008=100)
Costo Unitario de la Mano de ObraAños Total Minería Manufacturas Construcción Electricidad
Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.%
1980 174.9 -5.9 164.2 -12.8 232.9 -2.4 131.0 -4.2 221.8 -2.61981 175.8 0.5 156.6 -4.6 235.6 1.1 134.8 2.9 216.5 -2.41982 162.2 -7.8 137.4 -12.3 229.9 -2.4 125.0 -7.3 209.4 -3.31983 124.3 -23.4 109.3 -20.4 178.5 -22.4 101.3 -19.0 157.5 -24.81984 115.8 -6.8 103.6 -5.2 163.2 -8.6 96.1 -5.1 133.0 -15.61985 116.0 0.2 119.2 15.1 158.2 -3.0 96.4 0.4 123.2 -7.41986 108.4 -6.6 107.7 -9.6 148.4 -6.2 92.9 -3.6 105.9 -14.01987 104.5 -3.6 106.1 -1.6 144.6 -2.6 87.6 -5.8 115.4 9.01988 98.0 -6.2 101.8 -4.0 139.8 -3.3 77.4 -11.6 93.4 -19.11989 102.6 4.7 97.0 -4.8 145.7 4.2 80.6 4.1 93.8 0.51990 101.8 -0.8 92.4 -4.7 138.9 -4.7 84.5 4.8 97.6 4.01991 104.2 2.4 102.9 11.3 139.4 0.4 86.2 2.1 103.1 5.71992 105.7 1.4 93.0 -9.6 142.5 2.2 85.6 -0.7 109.1 5.91993 105.9 0.2 85.5 -8.0 140.7 -1.3 89.2 4.2 118.7 8.81994 105.6 -0.3 78.8 -7.9 138.1 -1.8 87.7 -1.6 120.3 1.31995 92.0 -12.8 74.7 -5.2 119.9 -13.2 86.1 -1.8 108.8 -9.61996 84.4 -8.2 65.9 -11.9 106.7 -11.0 83.4 -3.2 97.9 -10.01997 85.5 1.2 64.6 -1.9 103.6 -2.9 86.1 3.3 95.1 -2.81998 88.5 3.6 63.2 -2.1 104.7 1.1 91.4 6.1 93.3 -1.91999 90.6 2.4 64.3 1.6 106.1 1.4 89.9 -1.5 95.0 1.92000 94.8 4.6 74.8 16.4 111.1 4.6 90.7 0.8 103.1 8.52001 96.2 1.5 75.4 0.8 115.4 3.9 91.7 1.1 111.2 7.82002 95.3 -0.9 77.4 2.7 112.2 -2.8 90.8 -0.9 123.0 10.72003 94.7 -0.7 71.3 -7.9 112.0 -0.2 91.4 0.6 128.3 4.32004 96.0 1.3 74.9 5.1 109.3 -2.4 95.3 4.3 117.2 -8.72005 95.7 -0.3 73.5 -1.9 108.4 -0.8 94.8 -0.6 110.3 -5.92006 97.5 1.9 78.0 6.1 105.7 -2.5 97.8 3.2 102.7 -6.92007 97.9 0.4 87.1 11.7 103.1 -2.4 97.6 -0.2 99.1 -3.52008 100.0 2.1 100.0 14.8 100.0 -3.0 100.0 2.4 100.0 0.92009 96.6 -3.4 107.1 7.1 97.9 -2.1 94.9 -5.1 96.5 -3.52010 90.8 -6.0 100.9 -5.8 89.7 -8.3 92.9 -2.1 82.0 -15.02011 92.0 1.3 108.8 7.8 86.9 -3.2 95.6 2.9 84.8 3.42012 92.3 0.4 114.4 5.1 86.3 -0.7 96.0 0.3 87.2 2.82013 92.5 0.1 121.4 6.2 85.7 -0.7 97.5 1.6 90.8 4.2
2014 92.4 -0.1 127.6 5.1 84.5 -1.3 97.3 -0.3 93.6 3.02015 93.8 1.5 132.6 3.9 83.9 -0.7 99.1 1.9 98.6 5.42016 95.5 1.9 139.2 5.0 83.5 -0.5 100.7 1.6 105.7 7.32017 97.2 1.8 144.6 3.9 83.0 -0.7 102.9 2.2 114.6 8.32018 98.8 1.6 149.8 3.6 82.2 -1.0 105.0 2.0 124.0 8.32019 100.4 1.6 156.3 4.3 81.1 -1.3 107.0 1.9 134.0 8.02020 101.7 1.3 163.3 4.5 80.0 -1.4 108.6 1.6 144.0 7.5
E-38
E-21. Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra en el Sector Servicios: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Indice 2003=100)
Costo Unitario de la Mano de ObraComercio, Transporte, Almacenaje Servicios Financieros, Servicios Comunales,
Total Restaurantes y Hoteles y Comunicaciones Seguros e Inmuebles Sociales y PersonalesIndice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.%
1980 131.4 -2.1 188.7 -11.0 131.1 -2.1 157.7 2.3 101.9 1.01981 135.6 3.2 184.8 -2.0 134.6 2.6 168.2 6.7 107.2 5.21982 129.2 -4.7 167.5 -9.4 142.3 5.7 167.0 -0.8 102.0 -4.81983 99.9 -22.7 144.3 -13.8 117.0 -17.8 125.7 -24.7 75.0 -26.51984 94.5 -5.4 135.3 -6.3 107.0 -8.5 120.9 -3.8 71.9 -4.01985 94.6 0.1 134.7 -0.4 107.2 0.1 119.6 -1.1 73.0 1.41986 85.0 -10.2 128.1 -4.9 102.8 -4.1 108.4 -9.4 64.1 -12.21987 83.0 -2.3 121.5 -5.1 100.0 -2.7 110.6 2.1 63.5 -0.91988 74.3 -10.5 107.5 -11.5 94.5 -5.5 100.9 -8.8 56.6 -11.01989 78.3 5.4 117.7 9.5 96.8 2.5 103.5 2.6 59.5 5.11990 80.7 3.0 124.8 6.1 99.6 2.8 110.6 6.9 60.6 2.01991 86.3 6.9 132.5 6.1 105.7 6.1 121.3 9.6 65.0 7.21992 92.9 7.6 138.6 4.6 107.7 1.9 137.9 13.7 71.6 10.21993 99.2 6.8 149.9 8.2 107.3 -0.4 148.1 7.4 76.4 6.61994 103.5 4.4 145.5 -3.0 107.1 -0.3 146.6 -1.0 84.0 10.01995 92.9 -10.3 139.1 -4.4 99.3 -7.2 119.6 -18.4 74.7 -11.11996 83.6 -10.0 112.9 -18.8 91.4 -8.0 104.9 -12.3 69.8 -6.51997 83.8 0.2 103.6 -8.3 87.8 -3.9 112.5 7.2 72.0 3.11998 86.5 3.2 102.4 -1.1 88.9 1.3 108.8 -3.3 76.2 5.71999 87.7 1.4 101.6 -0.8 90.2 1.4 101.2 -7.0 78.4 2.92000 90.5 3.3 99.6 -1.9 92.7 2.8 96.2 -4.9 83.4 6.42001 95.2 5.1 104.3 4.7 96.4 4.0 93.6 -2.7 89.0 6.72002 99.4 4.5 105.2 0.9 96.4 -0.1 101.4 8.4 94.7 6.42003 101.6 2.2 104.3 -0.9 96.8 0.4 91.0 -10.3 99.7 5.32004 99.4 -2.2 101.6 -2.5 97.0 0.3 89.2 -2.0 98.2 -1.52005 99.7 0.3 102.3 0.7 99.2 2.2 92.6 3.9 98.0 -0.22006 99.1 -0.5 100.0 -2.2 98.5 -0.7 94.4 1.9 98.5 0.52007 99.1 0.0 98.1 -1.9 99.3 0.8 98.2 4.1 98.7 0.12008 100.0 0.9 100.0 1.9 100.0 0.7 100.0 1.8 100.0 1.42009 103.1 3.1 107.8 7.8 105.7 5.7 94.4 -5.6 101.0 1.02010 99.9 -3.2 98.5 -8.7 101.4 -4.1 92.1 -2.4 102.3 1.32011 98.6 -1.2 91.8 -6.8 101.2 -0.1 92.0 -0.2 103.6 1.32012 97.4 -1.3 89.0 -3.0 98.3 -2.9 89.3 -2.9 102.8 -0.82013 97.7 0.3 89.9 1.0 97.6 -0.6 85.7 -4.0 103.8 0.9
2014 97.4 -0.3 88.9 -1.2 95.8 -1.9 82.5 -3.7 104.3 0.52015 97.1 -0.3 85.8 -3.4 94.0 -1.9 81.5 -1.3 105.7 1.32016 97.2 0.1 82.6 -3.8 92.8 -1.3 82.1 0.8 107.7 1.92017 97.4 0.2 79.3 -3.9 91.8 -1.0 84.9 3.3 109.7 1.92018 97.3 -0.1 75.8 -4.4 90.8 -1.2 86.5 1.9 111.6 1.72019 97.0 -0.3 72.4 -4.6 89.1 -1.9 87.6 1.3 113.3 1.52020 96.7 -0.3 69.1 -4.5 87.4 -1.9 88.3 0.7 114.9 1.5
E-39
Años!
E-22. Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obral en la Industria Manufacturera: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Indice 2008=100)
Industria Alimentos, Textiles, Madera Imprenta Años Manufacturera Bebidas y Tabaco Vestidos y Cuero y sus Productos y Editoriales
Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.%
1980 232.9 -2.4 201.9 -4.3 177.0 -1.1 198.9 1.9 385.3 -4.61981 235.6 1.1 203.8 0.9 176.0 -0.6 210.0 5.6 366.8 -4.81982 229.9 -2.4 189.5 -7.0 172.7 -1.9 188.2 -10.3 338.5 -7.71983 178.5 -22.4 146.9 -22.5 135.0 -21.8 140.4 -25.4 266.7 -21.21984 163.2 -8.6 138.5 -5.7 124.4 -7.8 129.1 -8.0 241.0 -9.61985 158.2 -3.0 135.2 -2.4 122.9 -1.2 125.8 -2.5 226.2 -6.11986 148.4 -6.2 126.3 -6.5 113.7 -7.5 116.7 -7.2 213.3 -5.71987 144.6 -2.6 121.9 -3.5 113.6 -0.1 114.0 -2.3 212.9 -0.21988 139.8 -3.3 113.8 -6.7 108.1 -4.9 103.3 -9.4 205.1 -3.71989 145.7 4.2 122.5 7.7 115.6 6.9 109.7 6.1 200.6 -2.21990 138.9 -4.7 121.7 -0.7 108.5 -6.1 110.9 1.1 192.2 -4.21991 139.4 0.4 129.1 6.1 108.0 -0.5 112.5 1.4 192.8 0.31992 142.5 2.2 136.4 5.7 112.0 3.7 113.6 1.0 205.2 6.41993 140.7 -1.3 140.8 3.2 112.8 0.7 124.7 9.8 213.2 3.91994 138.1 -1.8 141.1 0.2 111.8 -0.9 125.9 1.0 210.6 -1.21995 119.9 -13.2 117.1 -17.1 96.4 -13.8 105.8 -16.0 166.8 -20.81996 106.7 -11.0 106.6 -9.0 88.4 -8.3 97.2 -8.1 144.4 -13.41997 103.6 -2.9 104.6 -1.8 93.6 5.9 90.9 -6.5 128.4 -11.11998 104.7 1.1 105.7 1.0 100.6 7.5 93.3 2.6 127.9 -0.41999 106.1 1.4 105.7 0.0 106.6 6.0 96.3 3.2 126.0 -1.52000 111.1 4.6 108.1 2.2 118.5 11.2 99.2 3.0 131.1 4.12001 115.4 3.9 113.0 4.5 124.0 4.6 104.0 4.8 137.0 4.52002 112.2 -2.8 114.6 1.5 119.6 -3.6 103.1 -0.8 137.9 0.72003 112.0 -0.2 114.0 -0.6 120.9 1.2 102.9 -0.2 135.6 -1.62004 109.3 -2.4 111.9 -1.9 117.7 -2.7 100.2 -2.6 128.4 -5.32005 108.4 -0.8 109.1 -2.5 120.1 2.0 100.0 -0.2 125.9 -2.02006 105.7 -2.5 110.1 0.9 113.9 -5.2 102.2 2.2 114.2 -9.32007 103.1 -2.4 105.2 -4.5 108.2 -5.0 102.0 -0.2 105.9 -7.22008 100.0 -3.0 100.0 -4.9 100.0 -7.6 100.0 -2.0 100.0 -5.62009 97.9 -2.1 96.8 -3.2 96.0 -4.0 95.2 -4.8 98.5 -1.52010 89.7 -8.3 94.4 -2.4 90.4 -5.8 91.1 -4.3 93.1 -5.42011 86.9 -3.2 93.1 -1.5 88.1 -2.6 87.2 -4.3 94.0 1.02012 86.3 -0.7 93.0 0.0 85.9 -2.4 81.5 -6.5 88.9 -5.52013 85.7 -0.7 93.4 0.4 83.7 -2.6 83.4 2.3 86.0 -3.2
2014 84.5 -1.3 92.7 -0.8 82.2 -1.7 82.4 -1.2 84.9 -1.32015 83.9 -0.7 92.5 -0.2 82.0 -0.2 81.2 -1.5 84.7 -0.22016 83.5 -0.5 93.0 0.5 82.6 0.8 80.4 -1.0 85.2 0.62017 83.0 -0.7 93.7 0.8 83.5 1.0 80.0 -0.5 85.9 0.82018 82.2 -1.0 94.2 0.5 84.1 0.8 79.4 -0.8 86.2 0.32019 81.1 -1.3 94.2 0.0 84.3 0.2 78.8 -0.7 86.3 0.12020 80.0 -1.4 94.1 -0.1 84.5 0.2 78.1 -0.9 86.2 -0.1
Continúa
E-40
Continuación
Químicos, Minerales Industrias Maquinaria Otras
Años Petróleo y Caucho No Metálicos Metálicas Básicas y Equipo Industrias
Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.% Indice 2008 Var.%
1980 179.2 -3.8 273.5 -1.2 502.7 -1.2 215.7 -5.8 79.8 19.11981 178.8 -0.2 282.7 3.3 526.8 4.8 218.5 1.3 75.2 -5.81982 174.8 -2.3 275.9 -2.4 574.5 9.1 226.9 3.9 71.7 -4.71983 134.0 -23.3 218.7 -20.7 451.0 -21.5 187.2 -17.5 66.9 -6.71984 123.2 -8.1 204.2 -6.7 400.2 -11.2 162.1 -13.4 58.1 -13.21985 123.4 0.2 202.0 -1.1 379.9 -5.1 153.6 -5.3 54.0 -7.01986 120.5 -2.4 195.4 -3.3 325.3 -14.4 157.2 2.4 59.4 10.01987 120.4 -0.1 185.2 -5.2 293.6 -9.7 151.5 -3.7 63.1 6.11988 122.4 1.7 183.7 -0.8 289.6 -1.4 139.6 -7.9 59.5 -5.71989 121.4 -0.8 201.2 9.5 302.8 4.5 146.4 4.9 71.7 20.61990 119.6 -1.5 198.2 -1.5 254.3 -16.0 138.5 -5.4 69.8 -2.61991 125.5 5.0 201.2 1.5 239.8 -5.7 133.7 -3.5 71.7 2.71992 128.8 2.6 200.3 -0.5 221.0 -7.8 138.7 3.8 75.2 4.91993 132.2 2.6 183.6 -8.3 184.2 -16.7 137.3 -1.0 83.5 11.01994 127.8 -3.4 173.9 -5.2 172.4 -6.4 136.0 -1.0 86.4 3.41995 106.7 -16.5 161.3 -7.3 155.0 -10.1 132.6 -2.5 80.1 -7.31996 102.1 -4.3 125.2 -22.3 118.7 -23.5 113.4 -14.5 72.8 -9.11997 99.5 -2.5 115.3 -7.9 108.7 -8.4 104.6 -7.8 78.6 8.01998 102.4 2.9 112.0 -2.9 107.5 -1.1 101.6 -2.9 85.0 8.11999 105.9 3.4 111.1 -0.8 100.3 -6.7 103.6 2.0 84.5 -0.62000 111.3 5.1 113.3 2.0 100.1 -0.2 106.1 2.5 98.9 17.12001 115.6 3.9 124.4 9.8 107.7 7.6 109.6 3.2 98.3 -0.62002 112.0 -3.1 117.2 -5.7 102.6 -4.7 107.7 -1.7 92.1 -6.32003 110.2 -1.6 117.3 0.1 102.8 0.2 110.4 2.5 99.9 8.42004 105.1 -4.7 113.8 -3.0 99.3 -3.4 109.9 -0.5 102.8 2.92005 106.0 0.9 109.0 -4.2 96.2 -3.1 110.6 0.6 101.4 -1.42006 101.3 -4.5 102.7 -5.8 97.1 0.9 105.6 -4.5 102.3 0.92007 100.7 -0.6 100.3 -2.4 100.4 3.5 102.6 -2.8 101.5 -0.82008 100.0 -0.7 100.0 -0.3 100.0 -0.4 100.0 -2.6 100.0 -1.52009 99.2 -0.8 95.9 -4.1 105.9 5.9 102.2 2.2 93.0 -7.02010 96.5 -2.8 94.7 -1.2 94.7 -10.6 79.1 -22.6 92.0 -1.12011 98.9 2.5 86.1 -9.1 92.7 -2.0 72.5 -8.4 89.5 -2.72012 100.2 1.3 82.9 -3.7 96.5 4.0 71.1 -1.9 89.8 0.32013 97.9 -2.2 84.6 2.0 99.8 3.5 69.7 -1.9 88.8 -1.1
2014 97.4 -0.6 82.7 -2.2 100.3 0.5 67.9 -2.6 87.2 -1.82015 97.2 -0.2 80.2 -3.1 102.5 2.2 66.7 -1.8 85.3 -2.12016 97.4 0.2 77.8 -3.0 104.5 1.9 65.5 -1.9 84.0 -1.62017 97.8 0.5 75.9 -2.5 106.3 1.7 63.8 -2.6 81.4 -3.02018 97.9 0.1 73.9 -2.5 107.9 1.5 62.0 -2.8 78.8 -3.22019 97.6 -0.3 72.0 -2.7 109.5 1.4 60.2 -2.9 76.3 -3.22020 97.3 -0.4 70.1 -2.6 110.7 1.2 58.5 -2.8 73.8 -3.3
Conclusión
E-41
Minería Electricidad ConstrucciónTotal Generación, Agua y sumistro Construcción Trabajos
Sector Extracción metálicos y no transmisión de gas por ductos de obras de especializadosIndustrial de petróleo metálicos, excepto y suministro de al consumidor ingeniería para la
Total subsector y gas petróleo y gas Total subsector energía eléctrica final Total subsector Edificación civil construcciónIndice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 174.9 -5.9 164.2 -12.8 221.8 -2.6 131.0 -4.21981 175.8 0.5 156.6 -4.6 216.5 -2.4 134.8 2.91982 162.2 -7.8 137.4 -12.3 209.4 -3.3 125.0 -7.31983 124.3 -23.4 109.3 -20.4 157.5 -24.8 101.3 -19.01984 115.8 -6.8 103.6 -5.2 133.0 -15.6 96.1 -5.11985 116.0 0.2 119.2 15.1 123.2 -7.4 96.4 0.41986 108.4 -6.6 107.7 -9.6 105.9 -14.0 92.9 -3.61987 104.5 -3.6 106.1 -1.6 115.4 9.0 87.6 -5.81988 98.0 -6.2 101.8 -4.0 93.4 -19.1 77.4 -11.61989 102.6 4.7 97.0 -4.8 93.8 0.5 80.6 4.11990 101.8 -0.8 92.4 -4.7 97.6 4.0 84.5 4.81991 104.2 2.4 102.9 11.3 103.1 5.7 86.2 2.11992 105.7 1.4 93.0 -9.6 109.1 5.9 85.6 -0.71993 105.9 0.2 85.5 -8.0 118.7 8.8 89.2 4.21994 105.6 -0.3 78.8 -7.9 120.3 1.3 87.7 -1.61995 92.0 -12.8 74.7 -5.2 108.8 -9.6 86.1 -1.81996 84.4 -8.2 65.9 -11.9 97.9 -10.0 83.4 -3.21997 85.5 1.2 64.6 -1.9 95.1 -2.8 86.1 3.31998 88.5 3.6 63.2 -2.1 93.3 -1.9 91.4 6.11999 90.6 2.4 64.3 1.6 95.0 1.9 89.9 -1.52000 94.8 4.6 74.8 16.4 103.1 8.5 90.7 0.82001 96.2 1.5 75.4 0.8 111.2 7.8 91.7 1.12002 95.3 -0.9 77.4 2.7 123.0 10.7 90.8 -0.92003 94.7 -0.7 71.3 -7.9 75.7 82.9 128.3 4.3 132.0 102.4 91.4 0.6 91.8 90.6 89.02004 96.0 1.3 74.9 5.1 77.4 2.2 87.4 5.4 117.2 -8.7 118.6 -10.1 101.7 -0.8 95.3 4.3 96.2 4.9 92.5 2.1 92.2 3.52005 95.7 -0.3 73.5 -1.9 73.9 -4.5 79.8 -8.7 110.3 -5.9 111.4 -6.1 98.1 -3.5 94.8 -0.6 96.3 0.1 88.9 -3.9 93.3 1.32006 97.5 1.9 78.0 6.1 81.0 9.6 84.7 6.1 102.7 -6.9 103.3 -7.2 95.5 -2.6 97.8 3.2 99.1 2.9 91.7 3.2 94.5 1.22007 97.9 0.4 87.1 11.7 90.2 11.3 86.0 1.5 99.1 -3.5 99.8 -3.4 92.8 -2.8 97.6 -0.2 98.9 -0.3 93.2 1.6 94.3 -0.22008 100.0 2.1 100.0 14.8 100.0 10.9 100.0 16.3 100.0 0.9 100.0 0.2 100.0 7.7 100.0 2.4 100.0 1.1 100.0 7.3 100.0 6.02009 96.6 -3.4 107.1 7.1 113.1 13.1 101.9 1.9 96.5 -3.5 96.6 -3.4 93.7 -6.3 94.9 -5.1 96.9 -3.1 89.1 -10.9 99.9 -0.12010 90.8 -6.0 100.9 -5.8 95.8 -15.3 89.9 -11.8 82.0 -15.0 78.2 -19.1 92.8 -1.1 92.9 -2.1 96.5 -0.4 82.1 -7.8 99.6 -0.32011 92.0 1.3 108.8 7.8 114.5 19.5 83.0 -7.6 84.8 3.4 82.6 5.7 93.6 0.9 95.6 2.9 99.7 3.3 83.3 1.4 102.1 2.52012 92.3 0.4 114.4 5.1 125.4 9.5 79.4 -4.4 87.2 2.8 86.1 4.2 92.8 -0.9 96.0 0.3 100.5 0.8 81.9 -1.7 102.7 0.62013 92.5 0.1 121.4 6.2 133.5 6.5 83.2 4.8 90.8 4.2 91.2 5.9 91.6 -1.3 97.5 1.6 102.1 1.6 82.1 0.3 108.3 5.5
2014 92.4 -0.1 127.6 5.1 139.5 4.5 85.2 2.4 93.6 3.0 95.5 4.8 88.8 -3.0 97.3 -0.3 102.1 -0.1 80.4 -2.1 108.8 0.52015 93.8 1.5 132.6 3.9 148.6 6.6 86.4 1.3 98.6 5.4 102.3 7.1 88.4 -0.5 99.1 1.9 104.1 2.0 81.1 0.8 112.0 2.92016 95.5 1.9 139.2 5.0 163.4 9.9 87.1 0.8 105.7 7.3 111.9 9.3 88.2 -0.2 100.7 1.6 105.6 1.4 82.1 1.3 115.8 3.42017 97.2 1.8 144.6 3.9 181.1 10.8 86.4 -0.7 114.6 8.3 123.5 10.4 88.2 -0.1 102.9 2.2 107.8 2.0 83.7 1.9 120.2 3.82018 98.8 1.6 149.8 3.6 198.9 9.9 86.4 -0.1 124.0 8.3 136.1 10.2 87.8 -0.4 105.0 2.0 109.7 1.8 85.2 1.8 124.4 3.62019 100.4 1.6 156.3 4.3 217.5 9.4 86.2 -0.1 134.0 8.0 149.3 9.7 87.2 -0.7 107.0 1.9 111.6 1.8 86.5 1.6 128.2 3.02020 101.7 1.3 163.3 4.5 238.1 9.4 86.2 -0.1 144.0 7.5 162.7 9.0 86.5 -0.8 108.6 1.6 113.3 1.5 87.6 1.2 131.3 2.4
Continúa
E-42
Años
Minería de minerales
E-23. Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra en el Sector Industrial por Subsectores y Ramas Económicas: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Indice 2008=100)
Continuación
ManufacturasIndustrias alimentaria, de las bebidas y del tabaco Textiles, prendas de vestir y productos de cuero
Total Confección de Fabricación de cuero,Años Subsector Industria Fabricación productos textiles, Fabricación piel y materiales
Manufacturero Industria de las bebidas de insumos excepto prendas de prendas sucedáneos, exceptoTotal rama alimentaria y del tabaco Total rama textiles de vestir de vestir prendas de vestir
Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 232.9 -2.4 201.9 -4.3 177.0 -1.11981 235.6 1.1 203.8 0.9 176.0 -0.61982 229.9 -2.4 189.5 -7.0 172.7 -1.91983 178.5 -22.4 146.9 -22.5 135.0 -21.81984 163.2 -8.6 138.5 -5.7 124.4 -7.81985 158.2 -3.0 135.2 -2.4 122.9 -1.21986 148.4 -6.2 126.3 -6.5 113.7 -7.51987 144.6 -2.6 121.9 -3.5 113.6 -0.11988 139.8 -3.3 113.8 -6.7 108.1 -4.91989 145.7 4.2 122.5 7.7 115.6 6.91990 138.9 -4.7 121.7 -0.7 108.5 -6.11991 139.4 0.4 129.1 6.1 108.0 -0.51992 142.5 2.2 136.4 5.7 112.0 3.71993 140.7 -1.3 140.8 3.2 112.8 0.71994 138.1 -1.8 141.1 0.2 111.8 -0.91995 119.9 -13.2 117.1 -17.1 96.4 -13.81996 106.7 -11.0 106.6 -9.0 88.4 -8.31997 103.6 -2.9 104.6 -1.8 93.6 5.91998 104.7 1.1 105.7 1.0 100.6 7.51999 106.1 1.4 105.7 0.0 106.6 6.02000 111.1 4.6 108.1 2.2 118.5 11.22001 115.4 3.9 113.0 4.5 124.0 4.62002 112.2 -2.8 114.6 1.5 119.6 -3.62003 112.0 -0.2 114.0 -0.6 110.1 131.9 120.9 1.2 109.6 139.6 122.4 113.92004 109.3 -2.4 111.9 -1.9 108.5 -1.5 126.8 -3.9 117.7 -2.7 106.8 -2.6 128.6 -7.9 120.3 -1.7 112.7 -1.02005 108.4 -0.8 109.1 -2.5 107.1 -1.3 117.6 -7.2 120.1 2.0 110.5 3.5 133.2 3.6 120.8 0.3 112.7 -0.12006 105.7 -2.5 110.1 0.9 108.2 1.0 117.3 -0.3 113.9 -5.2 113.3 2.6 118.0 -11.4 113.7 -5.8 110.8 -1.72007 103.1 -2.4 105.2 -4.5 104.2 -3.7 108.9 -7.2 108.2 -5.0 107.1 -5.5 104.0 -11.8 109.9 -3.4 106.6 -3.82008 100.0 -3.0 100.0 -4.9 100.0 -4.0 100.0 -8.2 100.0 -7.6 100.0 -6.7 100.0 -3.9 100.0 -9.0 100.0 -6.22009 97.9 -2.1 96.8 -3.2 97.8 -2.2 92.9 -7.1 96.0 -4.0 88.7 -11.3 94.9 -5.1 97.2 -2.8 97.1 -2.92010 89.7 -8.3 94.4 -2.4 96.6 -1.2 86.3 -7.1 90.4 -5.8 74.9 -15.6 94.0 -1.0 92.1 -5.2 91.6 -5.62011 86.9 -3.2 93.1 -1.5 96.4 -0.3 80.8 -6.4 88.1 -2.6 77.0 2.9 92.7 -1.3 86.3 -6.3 93.3 1.82012 86.3 -0.7 93.0 0.0 96.6 0.2 79.8 -1.2 85.9 -2.4 76.5 -0.7 89.5 -3.5 83.2 -3.6 93.3 0.02013 85.7 -0.7 93.4 0.4 97.9 1.4 76.9 -3.7 83.7 -2.6 78.1 2.1 83.4 -6.9 78.9 -5.1 95.6 2.5
2014 84.5 -1.3 92.7 -0.8 96.9 -1.0 77.1 0.3 82.2 -1.7 78.1 0.0 81.4 -2.4 75.5 -4.3 96.9 1.32015 83.9 -0.7 92.5 -0.2 96.7 -0.2 77.1 0.0 82.0 -0.2 76.1 -2.5 80.9 -0.6 74.3 -1.6 99.1 2.32016 83.5 -0.5 93.0 0.5 97.4 0.7 76.9 -0.2 82.6 0.8 77.4 1.7 81.3 0.5 73.8 -0.7 101.5 2.42017 83.0 -0.7 93.7 0.8 98.3 0.9 76.8 -0.1 83.5 1.0 78.4 1.4 82.1 1.0 73.6 -0.2 103.9 2.42018 82.2 -1.0 94.2 0.5 98.9 0.6 76.7 -0.1 84.1 0.8 79.5 1.4 82.2 0.1 73.5 -0.2 105.8 1.92019 81.1 -1.3 94.2 0.0 99.0 0.1 76.5 -0.3 84.3 0.2 80.5 1.2 82.0 -0.2 73.0 -0.7 107.2 1.32020 80.0 -1.4 94.1 -0.1 98.9 -0.1 76.2 -0.3 84.5 0.2 81.3 1.0 81.8 -0.3 72.6 -0.5 108.2 1.0
Continúa
E-43
Continuación
ManufacturasMadera y sus productos Impresión e industrias conexas Químicos, petróleo y caucho
Fabricación Fabricación deAños de muebles Impresión productos derivados Industria
Industria y productos Industria e industrias del petróleo Industria del plásticoTotal rama de la madera relacionados Total rama del papel conexas Total rama y del carbón química y del hule
Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 198.9 1.9 385.3 -4.6 179.2 -3.81981 210.0 5.6 366.8 -4.8 178.8 -0.21982 188.2 -10.3 338.5 -7.7 174.8 -2.31983 140.4 -25.4 266.7 -21.2 134.0 -23.31984 129.1 -8.0 241.0 -9.6 123.2 -8.11985 125.8 -2.5 226.2 -6.1 123.4 0.21986 116.7 -7.2 213.3 -5.7 120.5 -2.41987 114.0 -2.3 212.9 -0.2 120.4 -0.11988 103.3 -9.4 205.1 -3.7 122.4 1.71989 109.7 6.1 200.6 -2.2 121.4 -0.81990 110.9 1.1 192.2 -4.2 119.6 -1.51991 112.5 1.4 192.8 0.3 125.5 5.01992 113.6 1.0 205.2 6.4 128.8 2.61993 124.7 9.8 213.2 3.9 132.2 2.61994 125.9 1.0 210.6 -1.2 127.8 -3.41995 105.8 -16.0 166.8 -20.8 106.7 -16.51996 97.2 -8.1 144.4 -13.4 102.1 -4.31997 90.9 -6.5 128.4 -11.1 99.5 -2.51998 93.3 2.6 127.9 -0.4 102.4 2.91999 96.3 3.2 126.0 -1.5 105.9 3.42000 99.2 3.0 131.1 4.1 111.3 5.12001 104.0 4.8 137.0 4.5 115.6 3.92002 103.1 -0.8 137.9 0.7 112.0 -3.12003 102.9 -0.2 101.9 103.6 135.6 -1.6 133.4 137.6 110.2 -1.6 80.5 119.1 117.02004 100.2 -2.6 97.3 -4.5 102.5 -1.1 128.4 -5.3 124.1 -7.0 137.4 -0.2 105.1 -4.7 74.8 -7.1 114.4 -4.0 111.5 -4.72005 100.0 -0.2 96.8 -0.6 102.5 0.0 125.9 -2.0 123.9 -0.1 131.2 -4.5 106.0 0.9 81.9 9.4 113.8 -0.5 109.6 -1.82006 102.2 2.2 98.3 1.5 105.3 2.8 114.2 -9.3 115.8 -6.5 111.9 -14.8 101.3 -4.5 88.2 7.7 104.4 -8.2 105.7 -3.52007 102.0 -0.2 100.1 1.9 103.3 -1.9 105.9 -7.2 103.7 -10.5 110.2 -1.5 100.7 -0.6 99.7 13.0 100.5 -3.8 101.9 -3.62008 100.0 -2.0 100.0 -0.1 100.0 -3.2 100.0 -5.6 100.0 -3.5 100.0 -9.2 100.0 -0.7 100.0 0.3 100.0 -0.5 100.0 -1.82009 95.2 -4.8 99.3 -0.7 91.8 -8.2 98.5 -1.5 95.1 -4.9 105.5 5.5 99.2 -0.8 100.8 0.8 101.9 1.9 92.4 -7.62010 91.1 -4.3 95.8 -3.5 87.4 -4.9 93.1 -5.4 92.4 -2.9 94.2 -10.7 96.5 -2.8 106.7 5.8 97.7 -4.1 82.0 -11.32011 87.2 -4.3 88.7 -7.5 85.8 -1.8 94.0 1.0 93.6 1.3 93.4 -0.9 98.9 2.5 112.7 5.6 100.3 2.6 80.1 -2.22012 81.5 -6.5 77.4 -12.8 84.7 -1.3 88.9 -5.5 88.6 -5.3 90.3 -3.3 100.2 1.3 125.1 11.0 98.9 -1.3 76.9 -4.12013 83.4 2.3 76.9 -0.6 88.7 4.7 86.0 -3.2 85.3 -3.8 90.9 0.7 97.9 -2.2 115.2 -7.9 97.4 -1.6 79.2 3.1
2014 82.4 -1.2 74.9 -2.6 88.8 0.0 84.9 -1.3 83.9 -1.7 90.8 -0.2 97.4 -0.6 114.7 -0.4 96.2 -1.2 79.7 0.52015 81.2 -1.5 74.3 -0.8 87.0 -2.0 84.7 -0.2 83.4 -0.5 90.9 0.1 97.2 -0.2 115.4 0.6 95.4 -0.9 79.9 0.32016 80.4 -1.0 74.5 0.2 85.3 -1.9 85.2 0.6 83.9 0.6 91.2 0.4 97.4 0.2 117.3 1.6 94.8 -0.6 80.2 0.42017 80.0 -0.5 74.8 0.5 84.2 -1.3 85.9 0.8 84.6 0.9 91.8 0.7 97.8 0.5 118.7 1.2 94.8 0.0 80.8 0.72018 79.4 -0.8 74.9 0.1 82.8 -1.6 86.2 0.3 85.0 0.4 91.8 0.0 97.9 0.1 119.6 0.8 94.4 -0.4 81.2 0.52019 78.8 -0.7 75.0 0.2 81.6 -1.4 86.3 0.1 85.1 0.2 91.6 -0.2 97.6 -0.3 119.2 -0.3 93.8 -0.6 81.5 0.42020 78.1 -0.9 74.9 -0.2 80.4 -1.5 86.2 -0.1 85.1 -0.1 91.3 -0.4 97.3 -0.4 118.2 -0.9 93.3 -0.5 81.8 0.4
Continúa
E-44
Continuación
ManufacturasFabricación de Industrias metálicas Maquinaria y equipo
productos a base Fabricación equipo Fabricación de equipoAños de minerales Industrias Fabricación Fabricación de computación, de generación Fabricación Otras
no metálicos metálicas de productos de maquinaria comunicación y eléctrica y accesorios de equipo industriasTotal rama Total rama básicas metálicos Total rama y equipo otros electrónicos eléctricos de transporte Total rama
Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 273.5 -1.2 502.7 -1.2 215.7 -5.8 79.8 19.11981 282.7 3.3 526.8 4.8 218.5 1.3 75.2 -5.81982 275.9 -2.4 574.5 9.1 226.9 3.9 71.7 -4.71983 218.7 -20.7 451.0 -21.5 187.2 -17.5 66.9 -6.71984 204.2 -6.7 400.2 -11.2 162.1 -13.4 58.1 -13.21985 202.0 -1.1 379.9 -5.1 153.6 -5.3 54.0 -7.01986 195.4 -3.3 325.3 -14.4 157.2 2.4 59.4 10.01987 185.2 -5.2 293.6 -9.7 151.5 -3.7 63.1 6.11988 183.7 -0.8 289.6 -1.4 139.6 -7.9 59.5 -5.71989 201.2 9.5 302.8 4.5 146.4 4.9 71.7 20.61990 198.2 -1.5 254.3 -16.0 138.5 -5.4 69.8 -2.61991 201.2 1.5 239.8 -5.7 133.7 -3.5 71.7 2.71992 200.3 -0.5 221.0 -7.8 138.7 3.8 75.2 4.91993 183.6 -8.3 184.2 -16.7 137.3 -1.0 83.5 11.01994 173.9 -5.2 172.4 -6.4 136.0 -1.0 86.4 3.41995 161.3 -7.3 155.0 -10.1 132.6 -2.5 80.1 -7.31996 125.2 -22.3 118.7 -23.5 113.4 -14.5 72.8 -9.11997 115.3 -7.9 108.7 -8.4 104.6 -7.8 78.6 8.01998 112.0 -2.9 107.5 -1.1 101.6 -2.9 85.0 8.11999 111.1 -0.8 100.3 -6.7 103.6 2.0 84.5 -0.62000 113.3 2.0 100.1 -0.2 106.1 2.5 98.9 17.12001 124.4 9.8 107.7 7.6 109.6 3.2 98.3 -0.62002 117.2 -5.7 102.6 -4.7 107.7 -1.7 92.1 -6.32003 117.3 0.1 102.8 0.2 101.8 110.7 110.4 2.5 93.6 88.4 112.9 124.9 99.9 8.42004 113.8 -3.0 99.3 -3.4 97.0 -4.7 106.4 -3.9 109.9 -0.5 92.0 -1.7 97.2 10.0 109.7 -2.9 120.3 -3.6 102.8 2.92005 109.0 -4.2 96.2 -3.1 96.5 -0.5 100.9 -5.2 110.6 0.6 92.6 0.7 98.7 1.5 110.3 0.6 121.0 0.6 101.4 -1.42006 102.7 -5.8 97.1 0.9 98.5 2.2 98.3 -2.6 105.6 -4.5 91.0 -1.7 100.3 1.6 103.8 -5.9 111.0 -8.3 102.3 0.92007 100.3 -2.4 100.4 3.5 101.9 3.4 99.9 1.7 102.6 -2.8 95.2 4.6 98.0 -2.3 100.8 -2.9 106.2 -4.3 101.5 -0.82008 100.0 -0.3 100.0 -0.4 100.0 -1.8 100.0 0.1 100.0 -2.6 100.0 5.0 100.0 2.0 100.0 -0.8 100.0 -5.8 100.0 -1.52009 95.9 -4.1 105.9 5.9 109.7 9.7 102.6 2.6 102.2 2.2 112.8 12.8 95.8 -4.2 95.1 -4.9 101.6 1.6 93.0 -7.02010 94.7 -1.2 94.7 -10.6 95.2 -13.2 94.6 -7.8 79.1 -22.6 82.8 -26.6 89.2 -6.9 88.3 -7.2 71.7 -29.4 92.0 -1.12011 86.1 -9.1 92.7 -2.0 94.6 -0.6 90.8 -4.0 72.5 -8.4 79.5 -4.0 77.6 -13.0 84.1 -4.7 68.5 -4.5 89.5 -2.72012 82.9 -3.7 96.5 4.0 101.7 7.5 92.1 1.4 71.1 -1.9 79.4 -0.1 82.4 6.3 86.8 3.1 65.1 -4.9 89.8 0.32013 84.6 2.0 99.8 3.5 104.5 2.7 95.6 3.8 69.7 -1.9 83.9 5.7 69.5 -15.7 87.3 0.6 66.7 2.4 88.8 -1.1
2014 82.7 -2.2 100.3 0.5 106.2 1.6 98.6 3.2 67.9 -2.6 86.8 3.5 61.2 -12.0 86.3 -1.1 67.5 1.2 87.2 -1.82015 80.2 -3.1 102.5 2.2 109.7 3.4 100.4 1.7 66.7 -1.8 87.7 1.0 55.9 -8.6 85.3 -1.1 68.6 1.5 85.3 -2.12016 77.8 -3.0 104.5 1.9 113.7 3.6 101.4 1.0 65.5 -1.9 88.0 0.3 53.3 -4.7 84.0 -1.6 68.6 0.0 84.0 -1.62017 75.9 -2.5 106.3 1.7 117.5 3.3 102.3 0.9 63.8 -2.6 88.4 0.5 51.1 -4.0 82.3 -2.0 67.5 -1.5 81.4 -3.02018 73.9 -2.5 107.9 1.5 120.8 2.8 103.3 1.0 62.0 -2.8 88.8 0.4 48.9 -4.3 80.5 -2.2 66.3 -1.9 78.8 -3.22019 72.0 -2.7 109.5 1.4 123.5 2.2 104.5 1.1 60.2 -2.9 88.9 0.2 46.8 -4.3 78.5 -2.5 64.9 -2.1 76.3 -3.22020 70.1 -2.6 110.7 1.2 125.8 1.9 105.5 1.0 58.5 -2.8 89.0 0.0 44.9 -4.2 76.5 -2.5 63.4 -2.2 73.8 -3.3
Conclusión
E-45
Comercio, restaurantes y hoteles Servicios financieros, seguros y actividades inmobiliariasTotal Servicios de Transporte, Servicios
Años Sector alojamiento temporal almacenaje y Servicios inmobiliarios yServicios y de preparación de comunicaciones financieros de alquiler de bienes
Total subsector Comercio alimentos y bebidas Total subsector Total subsector y de seguros muebles e intangiblesIndice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 131.4 -2.1 188.7 -11.0 131.1 -2.1 157.7 2.31981 135.6 3.2 184.8 -2.0 134.6 2.6 168.2 6.71982 129.2 -4.7 167.5 -9.4 142.3 5.7 167.0 -0.81983 99.9 -22.7 144.3 -13.8 117.0 -17.8 125.7 -24.71984 94.5 -5.4 135.3 -6.3 107.0 -8.5 120.9 -3.81985 94.6 0.1 134.7 -0.4 107.2 0.1 119.6 -1.11986 85.0 -10.2 128.1 -4.9 102.8 -4.1 108.4 -9.41987 83.0 -2.3 121.5 -5.1 100.0 -2.7 110.6 2.11988 74.3 -10.5 107.5 -11.5 94.5 -5.5 100.9 -8.81989 78.3 5.4 117.7 9.5 96.8 2.5 103.5 2.61990 80.7 3.0 124.8 6.1 99.6 2.8 110.6 6.91991 86.3 6.9 132.5 6.1 105.7 6.1 121.3 9.61992 92.9 7.6 138.6 4.6 107.7 1.9 137.9 13.71993 99.2 6.8 149.9 8.2 107.3 -0.4 148.1 7.41994 103.5 4.4 145.5 -3.0 107.1 -0.3 146.6 -1.01995 92.9 -10.3 139.1 -4.4 99.3 -7.2 119.6 -18.41996 83.6 -10.0 112.9 -18.8 91.4 -8.0 104.9 -12.31997 83.8 0.2 103.6 -8.3 87.8 -3.9 112.5 7.21998 86.5 3.2 102.4 -1.1 88.9 1.3 108.8 -3.31999 87.7 1.4 101.6 -0.8 90.2 1.4 101.2 -7.02000 90.5 3.3 99.6 -1.9 92.7 2.8 96.2 -4.92001 95.2 5.1 104.3 4.7 96.4 4.0 93.6 -2.72002 99.4 4.5 105.2 0.9 96.4 -0.1 101.4 8.42003 101.6 2.2 104.3 -0.9 103.4 105.9 96.8 0.4 91.0 -10.3 140.2 93.72004 99.4 -2.2 101.6 -2.5 100.9 -2.4 102.9 -2.9 97.0 0.3 89.2 -2.0 124.1 -11.5 97.5 4.02005 99.7 0.3 102.3 0.7 101.9 1.0 103.0 0.1 99.2 2.2 92.6 3.9 121.2 -2.3 96.3 -1.22006 99.1 -0.5 100.0 -2.2 99.6 -2.3 102.0 -1.0 98.5 -0.7 94.4 1.9 112.9 -6.8 100.6 4.52007 99.1 0.0 98.1 -1.9 97.8 -1.8 99.7 -2.3 99.3 0.8 98.2 4.1 110.7 -1.9 100.8 0.12008 100.0 0.9 100.0 1.9 100.0 2.2 100.0 0.3 100.0 0.7 100.0 1.8 100.0 -9.7 100.0 -0.82009 103.1 3.1 107.8 7.8 107.8 7.8 107.3 7.3 105.7 5.7 94.4 -5.6 93.7 -6.3 90.6 -9.42010 99.9 -3.2 98.5 -8.7 97.1 -9.9 107.0 -0.3 101.4 -4.1 92.1 -2.4 81.5 -13.0 86.7 -4.32011 98.6 -1.2 91.8 -6.8 89.9 -7.4 105.2 -1.7 101.2 -0.1 92.0 -0.2 79.3 -2.7 85.5 -1.42012 97.4 -1.3 89.0 -3.0 87.4 -2.8 100.7 -4.2 98.3 -2.9 89.3 -2.9 74.0 -6.8 83.6 -2.22013 97.7 0.3 89.9 1.0 88.7 1.6 99.2 -1.5 97.6 -0.6 85.7 -4.0 69.6 -5.9 82.2 -1.8
2014 97.4 -0.3 88.9 -1.2 87.9 -1.0 97.4 -1.9 95.8 -1.9 82.5 -3.7 65.8 -5.5 80.1 -2.52015 97.1 -0.3 85.8 -3.4 84.7 -3.6 95.5 -1.9 94.0 -1.9 81.5 -1.3 63.1 -4.1 80.0 -0.12016 97.2 0.1 82.6 -3.8 81.2 -4.1 93.9 -1.7 92.8 -1.3 82.1 0.8 62.7 -0.7 80.9 1.12017 97.4 0.2 79.3 -3.9 77.7 -4.3 92.4 -1.6 91.8 -1.0 84.9 3.3 64.1 2.3 81.7 1.02018 97.3 -0.1 75.8 -4.4 74.0 -4.8 90.8 -1.7 90.8 -1.2 86.5 1.9 64.2 0.2 82.4 1.02019 97.0 -0.3 72.4 -4.6 70.3 -5.0 89.5 -1.5 89.1 -1.9 87.6 1.3 64.0 -0.4 83.0 0.72020 96.7 -0.3 69.1 -4.5 66.8 -5.0 88.2 -1.4 87.4 -1.9 88.3 0.7 63.4 -0.9 83.5 0.6
Continúa
E-46
E-24. Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra en el Sector Servicios por Subsectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Indice 2008=100)
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios Servicios de
profesionales, Dirección apoyo a los negocios y científicos de corporativos manejo de desechos y Servicios
Total subsector y técnicos y empresas servicios de remediación educativosIndice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
1980 101.9 1.01981 107.2 5.21982 102.0 -4.81983 75.0 -26.51984 71.9 -4.01985 73.0 1.41986 64.1 -12.21987 63.5 -0.91988 56.6 -11.01989 59.5 5.11990 60.6 2.01991 65.0 7.21992 71.6 10.21993 76.4 6.61994 84.0 10.01995 74.7 -11.11996 69.8 -6.51997 72.0 3.11998 76.2 5.71999 78.4 2.92000 83.4 6.42001 89.0 6.72002 94.7 6.42003 99.7 5.3 104.8 105.7 102.7 87.72004 98.2 -1.5 101.8 -2.8 98.4 -6.9 101.3 -1.4 86.8 -1.02005 98.0 -0.2 101.8 0.0 96.7 -1.8 97.9 -3.4 90.6 4.42006 98.5 0.5 101.2 -0.6 113.7 17.6 97.8 -0.1 95.2 5.12007 98.7 0.1 101.5 0.3 92.3 -18.8 99.2 1.4 97.3 2.22008 100.0 1.4 100.0 -1.5 100.0 8.3 100.0 0.8 100.0 2.82009 101.0 1.0 101.1 1.1 94.9 -5.1 102.8 2.8 100.3 0.32010 102.3 1.3 103.3 2.1 101.2 6.6 102.8 0.0 102.1 1.82011 103.6 1.3 100.4 -2.8 107.0 5.8 103.1 0.3 104.4 2.22012 102.8 -0.8 98.5 -1.9 103.3 -3.5 104.3 1.2 108.0 3.42013 103.8 0.9 97.6 -0.9 104.2 0.9 105.1 0.8 109.9 1.8
2014 104.3 0.5 95.7 -2.0 106.0 1.7 106.0 0.9 111.4 1.42015 105.7 1.3 95.1 -0.6 109.7 3.5 107.4 1.3 113.6 1.92016 107.7 1.9 95.2 0.1 115.4 5.2 109.6 2.0 116.1 2.22017 109.7 1.9 94.9 -0.3 122.7 6.3 111.7 2.0 118.3 1.92018 111.6 1.7 94.5 -0.4 129.7 5.7 113.7 1.7 120.2 1.62019 113.3 1.5 94.2 -0.3 136.6 5.3 115.4 1.6 122.0 1.52020 114.9 1.5 94.1 -0.1 143.3 4.9 117.2 1.5 123.9 1.5
Continúa
Años
E-47
Continuación
Servicios comunales, sociales y personalesServicios de esparcimiento,
Servicios culturales y deportivos, Otros serviciosde salud y otros servicios Información en excepto actividades Actividades
y de asistencia social recreativos medios masivos del gobierno del gobiernoIndice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
198019811982198319841985198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003 98.5 103.7 146.8 96.1 88.52004 99.3 0.8 98.1 -5.4 137.3 -6.5 94.6 -1.6 89.7 1.42005 97.6 -1.7 99.6 1.5 129.2 -5.8 97.2 2.8 90.6 0.92006 91.9 -5.9 100.9 1.3 118.0 -8.7 99.9 2.7 94.3 4.12007 93.3 1.6 101.7 0.8 105.5 -10.6 101.3 1.4 97.9 3.92008 100.0 7.1 100.0 -1.7 100.0 -5.2 100.0 -1.3 100.0 2.12009 100.6 0.6 104.5 4.5 92.7 -7.3 98.9 -1.1 102.3 2.32010 106.2 5.6 109.9 5.2 89.0 -4.0 99.4 0.5 102.9 0.62011 110.5 4.1 110.0 0.1 85.5 -3.9 98.6 -0.8 107.4 4.32012 111.7 1.1 107.9 -1.9 68.1 -20.4 99.4 0.8 108.3 0.92013 111.4 -0.3 108.5 0.5 63.5 -6.7 99.0 -0.5 111.6 3.1
2014 111.4 0.0 105.2 -3.0 61.2 -3.6 98.0 -1.0 114.2 2.32015 113.0 1.5 102.6 -2.5 60.0 -2.0 97.3 -0.7 118.3 3.52016 115.8 2.5 101.0 -1.5 59.2 -1.3 97.5 0.2 123.4 4.32017 119.3 3.0 99.4 -1.5 58.5 -1.3 97.5 -0.1 129.3 4.82018 122.4 2.6 97.7 -1.8 57.7 -1.3 97.3 -0.2 135.1 4.52019 125.4 2.5 95.6 -2.1 56.8 -1.6 97.1 -0.2 140.5 4.02020 128.5 2.4 93.7 -2.1 55.9 -1.6 96.8 -0.3 145.9 3.9
Conclusión
E-48
Años
Sección E-V. Otros Indicadores Salariales
Cuadro E-25.
Salario Mínimo General, Salario Base IMSS y
Salario Contractual 1980-2020
Cuadro E-26.
Encuesta Mensual del INEGI: Industria Manufacturera, Construcción y Establecimientos Comerciales 1980-2020
Cuadro E-27. Sector Manufacturero:
Productividad Media Laboral, Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra y Masa Salarial 1980-2020
E-25. Salario Mínimo General, Salario Base IMSS y Salario Contractual: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Pesos diarios e indices base 2008=100)
Salario Mínimo General Salario Base de Cotización al IMSS Salario ContractualAños Nominal Indice Real Nominal Indice Real Indice Nominal Indice Real
Pesos Diarios % 2008=100 % Pesos Diarios % 2008=100 % 2008=100 % 2008=100 %
1980 0.14 17.5 323.1 -7.0 …. …. …. …. 1.5 22.7 1,805.1 -2.91981 0.18 30.1 328.6 1.7 …. …. …. …. 2.0 30.7 1,843.5 2.11982 0.26 40.4 290.4 -11.6 0.60 …. 155.5 …. 2.6 30.7 1,516.2 -17.81983 0.43 68.7 242.7 -16.4 0.89 47.5 113.7 -26.9 3.4 27.5 957.5 -36.91984 0.67 54.3 226.2 -6.8 1.23 38.9 95.4 -16.1 4.4 31.5 761.1 -20.51985 1.04 55.1 222.4 -1.7 1.96 58.6 95.9 0.5 5.9 32.3 638.3 -16.11986 1.79 72.6 206.1 -7.3 3.37 72.1 88.6 -7.6 7.9 35.8 465.3 -27.11987 3.88 116.6 192.6 -6.6 7.03 108.9 79.8 -9.9 10.7 34.8 270.6 -41.81988 7.22 86.1 167.4 -13.1 14.18 101.7 75.2 -5.8 13.0 21.2 153.1 -43.41989 8.14 12.8 157.3 -6.0 18.14 28.0 80.2 6.6 14.6 12.6 143.7 -6.21990 9.41 15.7 143.6 -8.7 22.83 25.8 79.7 -0.7 17.1 17.0 132.7 -7.61991 11.00 16.9 136.9 -4.7 28.79 26.1 81.9 2.8 20.5 20.0 129.8 -2.21992 12.08 9.8 130.1 -4.9 34.74 20.7 85.6 4.5 23.3 13.4 127.4 -1.91993 13.06 8.1 128.1 -1.5 41.31 18.9 92.7 8.3 25.3 8.9 126.4 -0.81994 13.97 7.0 128.1 0.0 49.60 20.1 104.1 12.2 26.7 5.4 124.5 -1.51995 16.43 17.6 111.7 -12.9 56.52 14.0 87.8 -15.6 29.9 11.9 103.2 -17.11996 20.39 24.1 103.1 -7.7 67.63 19.7 78.2 -11.0 35.9 20.1 92.2 -10.61997 24.30 19.2 101.9 -1.2 80.23 18.6 76.9 -1.6 42.8 19.3 91.2 -1.11998 28.30 16.4 102.3 0.4 94.68 18.0 78.3 1.8 50.4 17.8 92.7 1.61999 31.91 12.8 99.0 -3.3 110.84 17.1 78.6 0.4 58.9 16.9 92.9 0.22000 35.12 10.1 99.5 0.5 129.69 17.0 84.0 6.9 66.3 12.5 95.5 2.82001 37.57 7.0 100.1 0.6 146.19 12.7 89.0 6.0 72.5 9.3 98.1 2.82002 39.74 5.8 100.8 0.7 158.04 8.1 91.6 2.9 76.9 6.1 99.1 1.02003 41.53 4.5 100.7 0.0 168.36 6.5 93.4 1.9 80.6 4.9 99.4 0.32004 43.30 4.3 100.3 -0.4 179.24 6.5 95.0 1.7 84.1 4.4 99.1 -0.32005 45.24 4.5 100.8 0.5 189.97 6.0 96.8 1.9 87.9 4.5 99.6 0.52006 47.05 4.0 101.1 0.4 200.07 5.3 98.4 1.6 91.7 4.3 100.3 0.72007 48.88 3.9 101.1 -0.1 211.05 5.5 99.8 1.5 95.7 4.3 100.6 0.32008 50.84 4.0 100.0 -1.1 222.30 5.3 100.0 0.2 100.0 4.5 100.0 -0.62009 53.19 4.6 99.4 -0.6 231.63 4.2 99.0 -1.0 104.5 4.5 99.2 -0.82010 55.77 4.8 100.0 0.7 239.16 3.2 98.1 -0.9 109.2 4.6 99.6 0.42011 58.06 4.1 100.7 0.7 249.32 4.2 98.9 0.8 114.2 4.5 100.7 1.12012 60.52 4.2 100.8 0.1 260.06 4.3 99.1 0.2 119.4 4.6 101.1 0.42013 63.12 4.3 101.3 0.5 270.18 3.9 99.2 0.1 124.5 4.3 101.6 0.5
2014 65.58 3.9 101.2 -0.1 281.29 4.1 99.3 0.1 129.7 4.1 101.7 0.12015 68.31 4.2 101.7 0.5 293.36 4.3 99.9 0.6 135.7 4.6 102.7 0.92016 71.30 4.4 102.4 0.7 306.88 4.6 100.8 0.9 142.4 5.0 104.0 1.32017 74.96 5.1 103.4 1.0 323.36 5.4 102.0 1.3 150.6 5.7 105.6 1.62018 78.65 4.9 104.3 0.8 340.04 5.2 103.1 1.0 158.9 5.5 107.1 1.42019 82.25 4.6 105.0 0.7 356.40 4.8 104.0 0.9 167.1 5.2 108.4 1.22020 85.75 4.3 105.5 0.5 372.44 4.5 104.8 0.8 175.2 4.8 109.6 1.1
E-49
E-26. Remuneraciones Medias Nominales y Reales por Sectores Económicos: Escenario Base 2014-2020Encuesta Mensual del INEGI
Industria Manufacturera Construcción Establecimientos ComercialesAños Nominal Indice Real Nominal Indice Real Nominal Indice Real
Pesos Diarios % 2008=100 % Pesos Diarios % 2008=100 % Pesos Diarios % 2008=100 %
1980 0.25 22.2 105.3 -3.2 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. …..1981 0.34 34.3 110.6 5.0 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. …..1982 0.53 59.1 110.7 0.1 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. …..1983 0.82 53.3 84.0 -24.1 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. …..1984 1.26 54.2 78.3 -6.8 1.00 ….. 88.0 ….. ….. ….. ….. …..1985 2.01 59.4 79.2 1.1 1.57 57.9 88.1 0.1 ….. ….. ….. …..1986 3.48 73.5 73.7 -6.9 2.89 83.3 86.7 -1.6 ….. ….. ….. …..1987 7.97 128.6 72.7 -1.4 5.61 94.2 72.6 -16.2 ….. ….. ….. …..1988 16.98 113.2 72.4 -0.5 11.04 97.0 66.8 -8.0 ….. ….. ….. …..1989 22.19 30.7 78.8 8.9 13.94 26.2 70.2 5.2 ….. ….. ….. …..1990 29.11 31.2 81.6 3.6 18.98 36.2 75.5 7.5 31.90 ….. 92.3 …..1991 37.88 30.1 86.6 6.1 23.90 25.9 77.5 2.7 41.70 30.7 98.4 6.61992 47.59 25.6 94.2 8.8 28.78 20.4 80.8 4.2 51.98 24.6 106.1 7.91993 54.58 14.7 98.4 4.5 33.45 16.3 85.6 5.9 59.73 14.9 111.1 4.71994 60.81 11.4 102.5 4.2 35.85 7.2 85.8 0.2 55.12 -7.7 95.9 -13.71995 71.76 18.0 89.6 -12.6 43.10 20.2 76.4 -10.9 64.29 16.6 82.8 -13.61996 86.89 21.1 80.7 -9.9 46.35 7.5 61.1 -20.0 78.69 22.4 75.5 -8.91997 104.21 19.9 80.3 -0.6 53.83 16.1 58.8 -3.7 96.38 22.5 76.6 1.51998 124.23 19.2 82.5 2.8 63.62 18.2 60.0 1.9 113.76 18.0 78.0 1.81999 147.03 18.4 83.8 1.5 74.82 17.6 60.5 0.9 132.84 16.8 78.1 0.22000 170.60 16.0 88.8 6.0 81.46 8.9 60.2 -0.6 154.13 16.0 82.8 6.02001 193.66 13.5 94.8 6.7 91.35 12.1 63.4 5.4 165.40 7.3 83.5 0.92002 207.19 7.0 96.5 1.9 107.66 17.9 71.2 12.2 176.03 6.4 84.6 1.32003 219.54 6.0 97.8 1.4 119.73 11.2 75.7 6.4 195.88 11.3 90.1 6.42004 230.45 5.0 98.1 0.3 128.12 7.0 77.4 2.2 229.04 16.9 100.6 11.72005 239.05 3.7 97.9 -0.2 135.53 5.8 78.7 1.7 247.97 8.3 104.8 4.12006 248.60 4.0 98.2 0.4 175.78 29.7 98.5 25.2 248.67 0.3 101.4 -3.22007 260.97 5.0 99.2 1.0 185.73 5.7 100.1 1.6 256.27 3.1 100.5 -0.92008 276.37 5.9 100.0 0.9 194.97 5.0 100.0 -0.1 268.10 4.6 100.0 -0.52009 289.41 4.7 99.3 -0.7 206.81 6.1 100.7 0.7 274.49 2.4 97.2 -2.82010 299.62 3.5 98.7 -0.7 216.06 4.5 101.0 0.3 282.42 2.9 96.0 -1.22011 310.17 3.5 98.9 0.2 225.48 4.4 102.0 0.9 287.32 1.7 94.5 -1.62012 323.15 4.2 99.0 0.1 236.33 4.8 102.7 0.7 294.28 2.4 93.0 -1.62013 335.90 3.9 99.1 0.1 245.12 3.7 102.6 -0.1 314.04 6.7 95.6 2.8
2014 349.93 4.2 99.3 0.2 254.43 3.8 102.4 -0.2 326.72 4.0 95.6 0.02015 366.24 4.7 100.2 1.0 266.44 4.7 103.4 1.0 343.48 5.1 96.9 1.42016 385.57 5.3 101.8 1.6 280.33 5.2 105.0 1.5 362.51 5.5 98.7 1.82017 408.48 5.9 103.6 1.8 296.87 5.9 106.8 1.8 383.82 5.9 100.4 1.82018 431.64 5.7 105.2 1.5 313.82 5.7 108.5 1.6 405.59 5.7 102.0 1.52019 453.95 5.2 106.5 1.3 330.04 5.2 109.8 1.3 427.12 5.3 103.4 1.42020 475.56 4.8 107.6 1.0 345.78 4.8 111.0 1.0 448.61 5.0 104.7 1.3
E-50
E-27. Productividad, Costo Unitario y Masa Salarial en la Industria Manufacturera: Escenario Base 2014-2020Encuesta Mensual del INEGI
Industria Manufacturera Productividad Costo Unitario MasaAños Producción Ocupación Remuneración Media Real Media Laboral de la Mano de Obra Salarial
2008=100 Var. % 2008=100 Var. % 2008=100 Var. % 2008=100 Var. % 2008=100 Var. % 2008=100 Var. %
1980 52.9 5.8 152.1 7.2 105.3 -3.2 34.8 -1.4 302.6 -1.8 160.2 3.81981 56.4 6.6 160.5 5.6 110.6 5.0 35.2 1.0 314.4 3.9 177.5 10.81982 55.0 -2.5 156.7 -2.4 110.7 0.1 35.1 -0.1 315.2 0.2 173.4 -2.31983 51.1 -7.2 141.7 -9.6 84.0 -24.1 36.0 2.6 233.2 -26.0 119.1 -31.31984 53.8 5.3 140.3 -1.0 78.3 -6.8 38.3 6.4 204.4 -12.4 109.9 -7.71985 56.9 5.8 143.5 2.3 79.2 1.1 39.6 3.4 199.8 -2.3 113.6 3.31986 54.0 -5.1 137.6 -4.1 73.7 -6.9 39.2 -1.1 188.1 -5.8 101.5 -10.61987 55.7 3.1 132.4 -3.8 72.7 -1.4 42.0 7.2 173.0 -8.0 96.3 -5.11988 57.4 3.2 132.1 -0.2 72.4 -0.5 43.5 3.4 166.5 -3.8 95.6 -0.71989 61.7 7.5 135.2 2.3 78.8 8.9 45.7 5.1 172.5 3.6 106.5 11.41990 65.7 6.3 135.3 0.1 81.6 3.6 48.5 6.2 168.2 -2.5 110.4 3.71991 67.3 2.5 133.0 -1.7 86.6 6.1 50.6 4.3 171.1 1.7 115.2 4.31992 69.8 3.7 127.9 -3.8 94.2 8.8 54.5 7.8 172.7 0.9 120.5 4.61993 69.0 -1.1 119.1 -6.9 98.4 4.5 57.9 6.2 169.8 -1.6 117.2 -2.71994 71.2 3.1 115.5 -3.0 102.5 4.2 61.6 6.3 166.4 -2.0 118.4 1.01995 67.5 -5.2 105.2 -8.9 89.6 -12.6 64.1 4.1 139.8 -16.0 94.3 -20.41996 73.8 9.3 107.7 2.3 80.7 -9.9 68.5 6.8 117.9 -15.7 87.0 -7.81997 81.5 10.5 112.8 4.7 80.3 -0.6 72.3 5.5 111.1 -5.8 90.5 4.11998 87.3 7.1 116.9 3.7 82.5 2.8 74.6 3.3 110.6 -0.4 96.5 6.61999 89.6 2.7 117.7 0.6 83.8 1.5 76.2 2.1 110.0 -0.5 98.6 2.22000 94.8 5.8 118.8 1.0 88.8 6.0 79.8 4.8 111.2 1.1 105.5 7.02001 91.9 -3.1 113.6 -4.4 94.8 6.7 80.9 1.3 117.2 5.3 107.6 2.12002 91.2 -0.7 107.9 -5.0 96.5 1.9 84.5 4.5 114.2 -2.6 104.2 -3.22003 90.0 -1.4 104.2 -3.4 97.8 1.4 86.4 2.1 113.3 -0.8 102.0 -2.12004 93.2 3.6 100.9 -3.2 98.1 0.3 92.4 7.0 106.2 -6.3 98.9 -3.02005 95.8 2.7 100.0 -0.8 97.9 -0.2 95.7 3.6 102.2 -3.7 97.9 -1.12006 100.1 4.5 101.5 1.4 98.2 0.4 98.6 3.0 99.6 -2.6 99.6 1.82007 101.0 1.0 101.2 -0.2 99.2 1.0 99.8 1.2 99.4 -0.2 100.4 0.72008 100.0 -1.0 100.0 -1.2 100.0 0.9 100.0 0.2 100.0 0.6 100.0 -0.42009 91.6 -8.4 91.3 -8.7 99.3 -0.7 100.4 0.4 98.9 -1.1 90.7 -9.32010 99.5 8.5 94.5 3.5 98.7 -0.7 105.3 4.9 93.7 -5.3 93.2 2.82011 104.0 4.6 97.3 3.0 98.9 0.2 106.9 1.6 92.5 -1.3 96.2 3.22012 108.2 4.0 99.5 2.2 99.0 0.1 108.8 1.7 91.0 -1.6 98.4 2.32013 109.7 1.4 101.3 1.8 99.1 0.1 108.4 -0.4 91.5 0.5 100.4 2.0
2014 114.2 4.1 103.5 2.2 99.3 0.2 110.4 1.9 89.9 -1.7 102.7 2.32015 120.4 5.4 106.0 2.4 100.2 1.0 113.5 2.9 88.3 -1.8 106.2 3.42016 128.2 6.5 108.8 2.7 101.8 1.6 117.8 3.8 86.4 -2.1 110.8 4.32017 138.4 7.9 112.5 3.3 103.6 1.8 123.1 4.4 84.2 -2.5 116.5 5.22018 148.4 7.2 115.7 2.9 105.2 1.5 128.3 4.2 82.0 -2.6 121.7 4.42019 158.5 6.8 118.8 2.7 106.5 1.3 133.4 4.0 79.9 -2.6 126.6 4.02020 168.3 6.2 121.7 2.4 107.6 1.0 138.2 3.6 77.8 -2.5 131.0 3.5
E-51
Sección E-VI. Índice Global de Productividad Laboral de la Economía
(Con base en la Población Ocupada ENOE)
Cuadro E-28.
Índice Global de Productividad Anual 1980-2020
Cuadro E-29.
Índice Global de Productividad Trimestral 2004-2014
E-28. Indice Global Anual de Productividad Laboral de la Economía: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Indice 2008=100)
AñosIndice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. %
1980 85.5 2.5 49.9 9.2 58.4 6.6 73.7 1.0 62.7 7.2 85.0 6.11981 87.1 1.9 54.1 8.5 62.2 6.5 75.4 2.2 67.5 7.8 89.6 5.41982 86.0 -1.2 53.8 -0.5 62.6 0.7 74.2 -1.6 66.0 -2.3 89.0 -0.71983 84.6 -1.6 52.0 -3.5 61.4 -1.9 70.8 -4.5 67.3 2.0 95.1 6.81984 84.7 0.0 53.7 3.4 63.5 3.4 69.2 -2.2 68.3 1.4 98.6 3.71985 84.0 -0.8 54.9 2.2 65.4 3.0 67.8 -2.1 70.3 3.0 103.8 5.21986 81.9 -2.5 53.2 -3.1 65.0 -0.6 66.8 -1.5 69.4 -1.3 103.9 0.11987 81.5 -0.4 54.1 1.7 66.4 2.1 65.0 -2.7 70.3 1.3 108.2 4.11988 80.5 -1.2 54.8 1.3 68.1 2.5 59.7 -8.1 67.9 -3.4 113.7 5.11989 81.5 1.2 57.1 4.1 70.0 2.9 58.6 -1.9 66.9 -1.4 114.3 0.51990 81.8 0.4 60.0 5.2 73.4 4.7 60.3 2.9 71.8 7.3 119.1 4.21991 82.6 1.0 62.6 4.2 75.7 3.2 60.2 -0.1 73.4 2.2 121.9 2.31992 84.4 2.2 64.8 3.5 76.7 1.3 57.9 -3.8 71.8 -2.2 124.0 1.71993 84.8 0.5 66.4 2.4 78.2 1.9 58.3 0.7 75.2 4.8 129.0 4.01994 86.2 1.6 69.5 4.7 80.6 3.1 58.1 -0.3 77.8 3.5 133.8 3.81995 87.0 1.0 65.5 -5.8 75.2 -6.7 61.3 5.4 77.1 -0.9 125.9 -5.91996 88.6 1.8 69.3 5.9 78.2 4.0 66.3 8.2 81.0 5.0 122.2 -3.01997 89.7 1.3 74.2 7.0 82.6 5.6 58.8 -11.2 81.2 0.3 138.0 13.01998 91.4 1.9 77.7 4.7 84.9 2.8 70.6 20.0 82.5 1.6 116.8 -15.31999 93.0 1.7 79.7 2.7 85.7 0.9 68.9 -2.4 85.5 3.6 124.0 6.12000 95.8 3.0 83.9 5.3 87.6 2.2 80.1 16.3 86.9 1.7 108.5 -12.52001 95.4 -0.4 83.4 -0.6 87.4 -0.2 82.6 3.1 89.2 2.6 108.0 -0.52002 94.5 -1.0 83.5 0.1 88.4 1.1 79.5 -3.7 88.8 -0.4 111.7 3.52003 94.4 -0.1 84.7 1.4 89.7 1.5 84.7 6.5 91.4 2.9 107.9 -3.42004 96.4 2.1 88.4 4.3 91.7 2.1 90.6 6.9 94.8 3.7 104.7 -3.02005 97.2 0.8 91.1 3.0 93.7 2.2 88.7 -2.1 90.3 -4.8 101.7 -2.82006 99.0 1.9 95.6 5.0 96.5 3.1 96.3 8.5 96.5 6.9 100.3 -1.52007 100.1 1.1 98.6 3.1 98.5 2.0 99.7 3.5 98.7 2.2 99.0 -1.22008 100.0 -0.1 100.0 1.4 100.0 1.5 100.0 0.3 100.0 1.3 100.0 1.02009 94.4 -5.6 95.3 -4.7 101.0 1.0 96.1 -3.9 97.5 -2.5 101.5 1.52010 97.8 3.6 100.2 5.1 102.5 1.4 94.7 -1.5 98.2 0.8 103.8 2.32011 99.5 1.8 104.2 4.0 104.7 2.2 92.1 -2.7 96.0 -2.3 104.2 0.52012 100.2 0.7 108.4 4.0 108.1 3.3 95.6 3.8 102.9 7.2 107.6 3.32013 100.3 0.0 109.5 1.1 109.2 1.0 95.3 -0.3 103.2 0.3 108.3 0.6
2014 101.4 1.1 112.8 2.9 111.2 1.8 94.6 -0.7 104.2 0.9 110.1 1.72015 103.1 1.7 117.4 4.1 113.9 2.4 94.6 -0.1 102.0 -2.1 107.9 -2.02016 105.0 1.9 123.6 5.2 117.7 3.3 97.5 3.1 105.0 3.0 107.7 -0.12017 107.4 2.3 131.0 6.0 122.0 3.7 95.9 -1.7 102.6 -2.3 107.0 -0.72018 109.9 2.3 138.7 5.8 126.2 3.5 97.6 1.8 105.9 3.2 108.5 1.42019 112.1 2.1 145.9 5.2 130.1 3.1 96.9 -0.7 104.9 -1.0 108.2 -0.32020 114.4 2.0 153.0 4.9 133.8 2.8 99.0 2.2 107.7 2.7 108.8 0.5
Continúa
E-52
Productividad Laboral
TotalPIB Real Población Ocupada
Sector PrimarioProductividad Laboral PIB Real Población Ocupada
Indice Global de Productividad Laboral
Continuación
AñosIndice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. %
1980 77.6 4.3 54.4 11.5 70.1 6.9 95.1 2.0 45.8 8.8 48.2 6.61981 80.5 3.8 60.2 10.8 74.8 6.7 96.3 1.4 49.6 8.3 51.5 6.81982 82.7 2.6 60.2 -0.1 72.8 -2.6 94.6 -1.8 50.3 1.4 53.1 3.31983 84.4 2.1 55.2 -8.3 65.4 -10.1 94.8 0.2 50.1 -0.4 52.8 -0.61984 85.4 1.2 57.6 4.3 67.4 3.1 94.6 -0.2 51.7 3.2 54.6 3.41985 86.1 0.8 59.5 3.3 69.1 2.5 93.1 -1.6 52.1 0.8 55.9 2.41986 83.9 -2.6 56.0 -5.9 66.8 -3.4 91.2 -2.0 51.3 -1.4 56.2 0.61987 86.7 3.4 58.1 3.7 67.0 0.3 90.4 -0.9 52.0 1.3 57.5 2.21988 88.3 1.8 59.1 1.7 66.9 -0.2 89.1 -1.5 52.6 1.2 59.1 2.71989 87.7 -0.6 61.3 3.8 69.9 4.5 89.5 0.6 54.5 3.7 60.9 3.11990 88.2 0.5 64.9 5.8 73.5 5.2 89.1 -0.5 56.9 4.3 63.8 4.71991 89.1 1.0 66.4 2.4 74.6 1.4 89.5 0.4 59.6 4.8 66.6 4.51992 91.8 3.0 68.8 3.5 74.9 0.5 91.2 2.0 61.7 3.6 67.7 1.61993 93.3 1.7 69.1 0.5 74.1 -1.2 92.5 1.4 64.2 4.0 69.4 2.51994 97.0 4.0 72.2 4.5 74.4 0.5 93.5 1.0 67.4 5.0 72.1 3.91995 99.6 2.7 66.3 -8.2 66.6 -10.6 94.3 0.9 64.4 -4.5 68.3 -5.31996 100.7 1.1 72.5 9.4 72.0 8.2 93.0 -1.4 66.8 3.8 71.8 5.21997 105.6 4.8 79.3 9.4 75.1 4.3 95.2 2.4 70.7 5.8 74.2 3.31998 97.7 -7.4 83.7 5.6 85.7 14.1 94.0 -1.3 73.7 4.3 78.4 5.71999 96.2 -1.6 85.1 1.6 88.5 3.2 98.9 5.3 76.1 3.3 77.0 -1.92000 93.9 -2.4 89.1 4.7 94.9 7.3 99.6 0.7 80.6 5.9 80.9 5.22001 94.2 0.3 87.8 -1.5 93.2 -1.8 98.8 -0.9 80.5 -0.2 81.5 0.72002 93.4 -0.8 87.8 0.0 94.0 0.9 98.5 -0.3 80.7 0.2 81.9 0.62003 94.1 0.8 89.0 1.3 94.6 0.6 96.5 -2.0 81.8 1.4 84.8 3.52004 96.0 2.0 92.6 4.1 96.5 2.0 97.2 0.7 85.5 4.5 87.9 3.72005 99.5 3.7 94.9 2.5 95.3 -1.2 96.1 -1.1 88.8 3.9 92.4 5.12006 99.9 0.4 99.0 4.4 99.1 4.0 97.5 1.5 93.5 5.3 95.9 3.82007 99.3 -0.6 100.5 1.5 101.2 2.1 99.0 1.5 97.5 4.3 98.5 2.82008 100.0 0.7 100.0 -0.5 100.0 -1.2 98.7 -0.3 100.0 2.6 101.3 2.82009 97.6 -2.4 93.8 -6.2 96.1 -3.9 92.2 -6.6 96.1 -3.9 104.2 2.92010 100.3 2.8 98.1 4.6 97.8 1.7 96.3 4.5 101.6 5.7 105.4 1.22011 102.1 1.8 101.4 3.4 99.3 1.6 98.1 1.9 106.4 4.7 108.4 2.82012 102.6 0.5 104.2 2.7 101.5 2.2 99.0 0.9 111.2 4.6 112.4 3.72013 99.7 -2.9 103.5 -0.7 103.8 2.3 100.4 1.4 113.6 2.1 113.1 0.7
2014 98.9 -0.8 106.0 2.5 107.2 3.3 102.4 2.0 117.3 3.3 114.6 1.32015 98.8 -0.1 110.6 4.3 111.9 4.4 104.1 1.7 122.4 4.4 117.7 2.72016 99.2 0.3 116.7 5.5 117.7 5.2 106.1 1.9 128.8 5.2 121.4 3.22017 100.4 1.3 125.2 7.3 124.6 5.9 108.2 2.0 136.1 5.7 125.9 3.72018 101.5 1.1 133.9 7.0 131.9 5.8 110.7 2.3 143.4 5.3 129.6 2.92019 102.3 0.8 141.9 6.0 138.7 5.2 113.0 2.1 150.6 5.0 133.2 2.82020 103.2 0.9 149.6 5.4 145.0 4.5 115.4 2.1 157.6 4.6 136.5 2.5
ConclusiónE-53
Productividad LaboralSector Industrial
PIB Real Población OcupadaSector Servicios
Productividad Laboral PIB Real Población Ocupada
Indice Global de Productividad Laboral
E-29. Indice Global Trimestral de Productividad Laboral de la Economía: Escenario Base 2013-2014(Indice 2008=100)
AñosIndice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. %
2004-1 96.2 2.5 87.2 4.2 90.7 1.7 93.3 16.3 96.1 8.0 102.9 -7.22004-2 95.6 0.7 88.1 4.1 92.2 3.4 91.3 1.3 96.4 2.5 105.6 1.12004-3 95.0 2.1 87.3 4.1 91.9 2.0 72.6 0.8 76.9 -2.0 105.9 -2.82004-4 99.0 3.2 90.9 4.7 91.9 1.5 105.5 8.6 109.9 5.6 104.2 -2.72005-1 95.9 -0.3 88.5 1.5 92.2 1.8 89.8 -3.8 89.3 -7.0 99.4 -3.42005-2 98.3 2.9 91.2 3.5 92.8 0.6 90.3 -1.1 90.1 -6.5 99.8 -5.52005-3 95.7 0.8 90.3 3.4 94.3 2.6 76.1 4.8 80.3 4.4 105.5 -0.42005-4 98.8 -0.1 94.2 3.7 95.4 3.8 99.2 -5.9 101.5 -7.7 102.3 -1.92006-1 98.5 2.7 93.6 5.8 95.0 3.0 95.3 6.1 93.2 4.3 97.8 -1.72006-2 99.5 1.2 95.7 4.9 96.2 3.7 99.0 9.6 99.8 10.7 100.8 1.02006-3 98.0 2.4 95.2 5.4 97.2 3.0 78.3 3.0 79.2 -1.4 101.0 -4.32006-4 100.3 1.4 98.0 4.0 97.8 2.5 112.4 13.3 114.1 12.4 101.5 -0.72007-1 99.5 1.0 96.3 2.9 96.8 1.9 98.5 3.4 95.2 2.2 96.7 -1.12007-2 100.3 0.8 98.3 2.7 98.0 2.0 105.8 6.8 103.2 3.4 97.6 -3.22007-3 100.0 2.0 98.2 3.2 98.2 1.1 80.9 3.2 81.0 2.3 100.1 -0.92007-4 100.9 0.6 101.7 3.7 100.8 3.1 113.3 0.8 115.4 1.2 101.8 0.32008-1 99.0 -0.4 98.4 2.1 99.3 2.6 95.1 -3.5 92.4 -3.0 97.1 0.42008-2 100.5 0.3 101.3 3.1 100.8 2.8 107.6 1.7 106.5 3.2 99.0 1.52008-3 99.4 -0.5 99.7 1.6 100.3 2.1 78.1 -3.4 79.8 -1.4 102.2 2.12008-4 101.0 0.1 100.6 -1.1 99.6 -1.2 119.3 5.3 121.4 5.2 101.7 -0.12009-1 94.1 -5.0 93.2 -5.2 99.1 -0.2 97.1 2.1 91.9 -0.5 94.6 -2.62009-2 93.2 -7.3 93.3 -7.9 100.1 -0.7 107.4 -0.2 105.9 -0.5 98.6 -0.42009-3 93.6 -5.8 95.2 -4.6 101.6 1.3 75.3 -3.6 78.9 -1.2 104.7 2.52009-4 96.5 -4.5 99.5 -1.0 103.2 3.6 105.1 -11.9 113.4 -6.6 107.9 6.12010-1 95.6 1.6 96.7 3.7 101.2 2.1 88.8 -8.5 87.7 -4.6 98.7 4.32010-2 96.2 3.2 99.6 6.7 103.5 3.5 103.8 -3.3 108.8 2.7 104.7 6.22010-3 97.2 3.8 100.4 5.4 103.3 1.6 78.1 3.8 82.4 4.5 105.5 0.72010-4 102.2 5.9 104.1 4.6 101.9 -1.2 107.5 2.4 114.1 0.7 106.1 -1.62011-1 98.9 3.5 101.0 4.5 102.1 0.9 89.8 1.1 87.9 0.2 97.9 -0.82011-2 98.7 2.6 102.8 3.2 104.2 0.6 94.9 -8.6 96.7 -11.1 101.9 -2.72011-3 99.4 2.3 104.5 4.2 105.2 1.8 78.3 0.2 85.1 3.3 108.7 3.12011-4 101.1 -1.1 108.6 4.3 107.4 5.5 105.4 -2.0 114.4 0.2 108.5 2.22012-1 100.0 1.1 105.9 4.9 105.9 3.8 90.8 1.1 93.0 5.8 102.4 4.62012-2 98.7 0.1 107.4 4.5 108.8 4.4 102.6 8.2 109.6 13.4 106.9 4.92012-3 98.5 -0.9 107.9 3.2 109.5 4.1 77.7 -0.7 85.0 -0.1 109.4 0.72012-4 103.6 2.6 112.3 3.4 108.3 0.8 110.9 5.2 124.1 8.5 111.9 3.12013-1 99.4 -0.6 106.6 0.6 107.2 1.2 87.4 -3.7 90.9 -2.2 104.0 1.52013-2 99.7 1.0 109.1 1.6 109.4 0.5 104.9 2.2 112.5 2.6 107.2 0.32013-3 99.9 1.4 109.4 1.4 109.5 0.0 77.9 0.3 85.7 0.8 110.0 0.52013-4 101.9 -1.7 113.0 0.7 110.9 2.4 110.6 -0.2 123.8 -0.2 111.9 0.02014-1 99.7 0.3 108.5 1.8 108.9 1.5 89.3 2.1 95.3 4.9 106.8 2.7
2014-2 e/ 100.5 0.8 111.3 2.0 110.7 1.2 100.9 -3.8 109.9 -2.3 108.8 1.5 2014.3 e/ 101.5 1.5 113.4 3.7 111.8 2.1 75.9 -2.6 84.4 -1.5 111.2 1.1 2014-4 e/ 103.7 1.8 117.7 4.2 113.5 2.4 112.0 1.3 127.1 2.7 113.5 1.4
Continúae/ Estimación CAMACRO
E-54
Productividad Laboral
TotalPIB Real Población Ocupada
Sector PrimarioProductividad Laboral PIB Real Población Ocupada
Indice Global de Productividad Laboral
Continuación
AñosIndice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. % Indice 2008 Var. %
2004-1 94.8 1.8 91.5 4.6 96.5 2.7 97.1 -0.2 84.1 3.7 86.6 3.92004-2 93.9 1.5 91.7 4.5 97.6 2.9 97.1 -0.3 85.5 4.0 88.1 4.32004-3 96.6 0.6 93.6 3.5 96.9 2.9 95.7 1.8 84.1 4.9 87.9 3.02004-4 98.8 4.3 93.7 3.8 94.9 -0.5 99.1 1.6 88.1 5.3 89.0 3.62005-1 96.7 2.0 91.9 0.4 95.0 -1.5 96.5 -0.6 86.3 2.7 89.5 3.32005-2 100.5 7.0 95.2 3.8 94.7 -3.0 98.1 1.0 88.9 4.0 90.6 2.92005-3 99.8 3.3 95.3 1.9 95.5 -1.4 96.3 0.6 87.8 4.4 91.2 3.82005-4 101.1 2.3 97.2 3.7 96.2 1.4 98.5 -0.6 92.0 4.5 93.5 5.12006-1 99.5 2.9 96.8 5.4 97.3 2.4 98.1 1.6 91.6 6.1 93.4 4.42006-2 100.4 -0.1 98.7 3.8 98.3 3.8 99.2 1.2 93.6 5.3 94.3 4.12006-3 100.1 0.3 100.7 5.6 100.6 5.3 97.7 1.5 92.7 5.6 94.9 4.02006-4 99.5 -1.6 99.8 2.7 100.3 4.3 100.1 1.7 96.1 4.3 95.9 2.62007-1 97.7 -1.9 98.7 1.9 101.0 3.8 99.7 1.7 94.9 3.6 95.2 1.92007-2 99.0 -1.4 99.7 1.0 100.7 2.4 100.0 0.8 97.1 3.8 97.1 3.02007-3 100.6 0.5 101.5 0.8 100.9 0.4 100.3 2.7 97.1 4.7 96.8 2.02007-4 99.8 0.3 102.0 2.1 102.1 1.8 100.8 0.7 100.8 4.9 100.0 4.22008-1 99.1 1.4 98.9 0.3 99.9 -1.1 98.8 -0.9 98.4 3.6 99.5 4.52008-2 98.5 -0.5 101.0 1.2 102.5 1.8 100.7 0.7 101.2 4.2 100.5 3.52008-3 100.9 0.3 100.8 -0.7 99.9 -1.0 100.1 -0.3 100.2 3.2 100.1 3.42008-4 101.6 1.8 99.3 -2.6 97.7 -4.3 100.3 -0.5 100.2 -0.6 99.9 -0.12009-1 94.4 -4.8 91.6 -7.4 97.0 -2.8 93.3 -5.6 94.3 -4.1 101.1 1.62009-2 96.0 -2.6 92.1 -8.8 96.0 -6.4 91.3 -9.4 93.3 -7.9 102.2 1.72009-3 99.0 -1.8 94.5 -6.3 95.4 -4.5 93.0 -7.1 96.5 -3.7 103.8 3.72009-4 101.0 -0.6 97.0 -2.3 96.1 -1.7 95.3 -5.0 100.3 0.1 105.2 5.32010-1 96.2 2.0 94.3 3.0 98.0 1.0 95.5 2.4 98.6 4.6 103.3 2.12010-2 99.2 3.4 97.0 5.4 97.8 1.9 95.0 4.1 100.6 7.8 105.9 3.52010-3 101.3 2.3 99.9 5.7 98.6 3.3 96.9 4.2 101.6 5.3 104.9 1.12010-4 104.5 3.5 101.0 4.2 96.7 0.6 102.0 7.0 105.4 5.1 103.3 -1.82011-1 100.3 4.2 97.8 3.8 97.6 -0.4 98.5 3.2 103.6 5.0 105.1 1.82011-2 100.1 0.9 100.3 3.3 100.2 2.4 98.1 3.3 104.6 4.0 106.6 0.72011-3 103.3 1.9 102.7 2.8 99.4 0.8 99.9 3.2 106.8 5.1 106.9 1.82011-4 104.8 0.3 104.9 3.9 100.1 3.6 100.1 -1.9 110.5 4.8 110.4 6.92012-1 101.6 1.3 101.8 4.1 100.3 2.7 100.0 1.4 109.1 5.3 109.1 3.82012-2 102.7 2.6 103.8 3.5 101.1 0.9 97.3 -0.9 109.5 4.6 112.5 5.62012-3 102.3 -1.0 105.2 2.5 102.9 3.5 98.5 -1.4 110.7 3.7 112.4 5.22012-4 103.9 -0.9 105.9 0.9 101.9 1.8 104.6 4.5 115.5 4.6 110.4 0.12013-1 98.6 -2.9 100.2 -1.6 101.6 1.3 100.7 0.7 111.3 2.1 110.6 1.32013-2 100.6 -2.0 103.5 -0.3 102.9 1.8 99.5 2.3 112.4 2.6 112.9 0.32013-3 100.1 -2.2 104.7 -0.5 104.6 1.7 101.6 3.1 113.5 2.5 111.7 -0.6 2013-4 99.4 -4.4 105.5 -0.4 106.2 4.2 103.5 -1.1 117.0 1.3 113.1 2.4 2014-1 96.6 -2.0 101.8 1.6 105.3 3.7 102.0 1.3 113.4 1.8 111.2 0.6
2014-2 e/ 98.9 -1.7 104.4 0.9 105.6 2.7 101.6 2.1 115.5 2.8 113.7 0.7 2014.3 e/ 100.5 0.4 108.6 3.8 108.1 3.3 103.5 1.8 117.9 3.9 114.0 2.0 2014-4 e/ 99.6 0.2 109.3 3.6 109.8 3.4 105.8 2.2 122.3 4.6 115.6 2.3
Conclusióne/ Estimación CAMACRO
E-55
Indice Global de Productividad Laboral
Productividad LaboralSector Industrial
PIB Real Población Ocupada Sector Servicios
Productividad Laboral PIB Real Población Ocupada
! !!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!
!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
!!!!
Sección E-VII. !PTF Productividad Total de los Factores 1991-2011!
(Modelo KLEMS) !!
Cuadro E-30. !PTF Total Economía 1991-2011 !
!Cuadro E-31. !
PTF Sector Primario 1991-2011!!
Cuadro E-31. !PTF Sector Secundario 1991-2011!
!Cuadro E-33. !
PTF Sector Terciario 1991-2011!!!!
PTF
Años Valor de Servicios de Servicios de Servicios de Servicios Energía Materiales Servicios Contribución Productividad producción capital total capital TIC capital No TIC laborales totales de los factores total de los factores
1991 4.70 1.31 0.17 1.14 0.68 0.26 1.07 0.94 4.27 0.43
1992 3.96 1.78 0.25 1.54 0.73 0.01 1.06 0.87 4.46 -0.50
1993 1.84 1.54 0.23 1.31 0.39 0.02 0.40 0.65 2.99 -1.16
1994 5.60 1.28 0.22 1.06 0.95 0.32 1.76 1.08 5.40 0.20
1995 -5.62 0.50 0.12 0.38 -0.39 -0.29 -0.14 -1.66 -1.99 -3.63
1996 7.55 0.04 0.09 -0.05 0.70 0.48 3.13 0.35 4.69 2.86
1997 8.08 1.06 0.28 0.78 1.45 0.05 2.81 1.39 6.76 1.33
1998 6.40 1.80 0.42 1.38 0.36 0.16 2.25 1.14 5.71 0.69
1999 5.08 2.06 0.57 1.50 1.00 0.11 1.72 1.07 5.95 -0.87
2000 8.36 2.39 0.76 1.64 0.08 0.20 2.82 1.32 6.81 1.55
2001 -1.12 2.15 0.68 1.47 0.39 -0.08 -1.03 0.31 1.73 -2.85
2002 1.35 1.48 0.36 1.12 0.00 0.05 0.38 0.47 2.38 -1.02
2003 1.62 1.19 0.21 0.98 0.22 0.27 0.47 0.12 2.26 -0.64
2004 5.50 1.42 0.34 1.08 0.64 0.10 1.64 1.01 4.81 0.69
2005 4.62 1.83 0.46 1.37 0.21 0.05 1.32 1.15 4.56 0.06
2006 7.41 2.20 0.56 1.64 0.64 -0.16 2.58 1.53 6.80 0.61
2007 4.49 2.47 0.63 1.84 0.48 0.17 1.06 1.23 5.42 -0.93
2008 0.87 2.52 0.59 1.93 0.38 0.02 -0.24 0.59 3.27 -2.40
2009 -8.05 1.78 0.43 1.35 -0.57 -0.17 -2.87 -0.70 -2.52 -5.52
2010 8.01 1.11 0.32 0.79 0.20 0.11 2.85 1.13 5.40 2.61
2011 4.58 1.33 0.37 0.96 0.41 0.30 1.34 0.79 4.17 0.41
Promedio 1991-2011 3.53 1.60 0.39 1.20 0.41 0.09 1.17 0.69 3.95 -0.43
La PTF emplea como marco conceptual y metodológico al modelo KLEMS. Este marco considera la contribución de los insumos de la producción -capital (K), trabajo (L), energía (E), materias primas (M) y servicios (S)- y su relación con la producción. Así, la PTF se interpreta como el perfil temporal de cómo son combinados los insumos para generar bienes. En la práctica, la PTF refleja el cambio en la eficiencia, las economías de escala, la variación en la utilización de la capacidad, entre otros.Nota 1: Servicios de capital TIC: Tecnologías de la Información y la ComunicaciónNota 2: Servicios de capital No TIC: Tecnologías no de la Información y la Comunicación Fuente: INEGI, "Productividad Total de los Factores, Modelo KLEMS, serie anual 1991-2011".
E-30. Productividad Total de los Factores y su contribución al crecimiento de la Economía de México, 1991-2011(Tasas porcentuales de crecimiento anual)
PTF TOTAL ECONOMÍA
E-56
PTF
Años Valor de Servicios de Servicios de Servicios de Servicios Energía Materiales Servicios Contribución Productividad producción capital total capital TIC capital No TIC laborales totales de los factores total de los factores
1991 3.79 0.81 0.00 0.81 0.03 0.28 1.04 0.54 2.71 1.08
1992 -2.60 1.23 0.00 1.23 0.47 -0.17 -0.65 -0.49 0.39 -2.99
1993 2.10 1.22 0.00 1.22 0.41 -0.04 0.50 0.15 2.24 -0.15
1994 0.82 1.18 0.00 1.18 0.40 0.10 1.89 -1.14 2.42 -1.61
1995 1.31 0.45 0.00 0.45 0.55 -0.22 5.25 -3.93 2.10 -0.78
1996 3.47 -0.09 0.00 -0.09 0.76 0.27 -1.59 2.24 1.60 1.87
1997 0.11 0.82 0.00 0.81 0.14 -0.39 1.98 -0.99 1.55 -1.45
1998 3.00 1.44 0.00 1.43 0.50 0.26 0.93 0.01 3.14 -0.14
1999 1.42 1.47 0.00 1.47 0.36 0.17 3.00 -1.43 3.58 -2.16
2000 0.67 1.55 0.00 1.54 -0.30 -0.59 3.41 -1.28 2.78 -2.11
2001 4.87 1.37 0.00 1.37 0.04 0.06 1.82 -0.02 3.27 1.60
2002 -0.51 1.14 0.00 1.14 -0.15 -0.20 0.23 0.09 1.11 -1.62
2003 3.09 1.02 0.00 1.02 0.15 0.08 1.62 -0.22 2.65 0.44
2004 2.90 0.97 0.00 0.97 -0.25 -0.14 -1.60 1.67 0.66 2.24
2005 0.27 1.06 0.00 1.05 -0.27 -0.28 0.00 0.82 1.32 -1.05
2006 2.90 1.35 0.00 1.35 0.23 -0.64 1.05 0.41 2.41 0.49
2007 4.05 1.66 0.00 1.66 0.05 0.21 -1.32 1.44 2.04 2.01
2008 1.80 1.61 0.00 1.61 -0.15 -0.32 -2.67 1.81 0.27 1.53
2009 -2.98 0.84 0.00 0.84 -0.15 0.44 2.22 -0.62 2.73 -5.71
2010 3.24 0.12 0.00 0.11 0.17 -0.33 -0.23 0.67 0.40 2.84
2011 -0.18 0.29 0.00 0.29 0.03 0.35 1.49 0.29 2.45 -2.63
Promedio 1991-2011 1.60 1.02 0.00 1.02 0.14 -0.05 0.87 0.00 1.99 -0.39
La PTF emplea como marco conceptual y metodológico al modelo KLEMS. Este marco considera la contribución de los insumos de la producción -capital (K), trabajo (L), energía (E), materias primas (M) y servicios (S)- y su relación con la producción. Así, la PTF se interpreta como el perfil temporal de cómo son combinados los insumos para generar bienes. En la práctica, la PTF refleja el cambio en la eficiencia, las economías de escala, la variación en la utilización de la capacidad, entre otros.Nota 1: Servicios de capital TIC: Tecnologías de la Información y la ComunicaciónNota 2: Servicios de capital No TIC: Tecnologías no de la Información y la Comunicación Fuente: INEGI, "Productividad Total de los Factores, Modelo KLEMS, serie anual 1991-2011".
E-57
E-31. Productividad Total de los Factores y su contribución al crecimiento de la Economía de México, 1991-2011(Tasas porcentuales de crecimiento anual)
PTF SECTOR PRIMARIO
PTF
Años Valor de Servicios de Servicios de Servicios de Servicios Energía Materiales Servicios Contribución Productividad producción capital total capital TIC capital No TIC laborales totales de los factores total de los factores
1991 4.33 0.89 0.03 0.86 0.43 0.37 1.62 0.84 4.15 0.18
1992 4.59 1.22 0.04 1.18 0.25 -0.09 2.06 0.87 4.33 0.26
1993 0.51 1.03 0.04 0.98 0.06 0.07 0.49 0.12 1.77 -1.26
1994 6.30 0.88 0.06 0.82 0.49 0.38 3.23 1.07 6.06 0.24
1995 -4.87 0.37 0.07 0.30 -0.72 -0.34 0.01 -1.73 -2.41 -2.45
1996 12.41 0.09 0.11 -0.02 0.68 0.70 6.45 0.95 8.86 3.55
1997 9.99 0.85 0.18 0.67 1.44 -0.04 4.75 1.90 8.91 1.08
1998 8.03 1.39 0.22 1.17 0.60 0.22 3.90 1.54 7.65 0.39
1999 5.94 1.54 0.26 1.28 0.62 0.07 2.70 1.51 6.44 -0.50
2000 9.63 1.63 0.28 1.35 0.37 0.22 4.78 1.75 8.76 0.87
2001 -3.37 1.44 0.23 1.21 -0.36 -0.14 -2.20 0.28 -0.98 -2.39
2002 1.30 1.03 0.11 0.92 -0.24 0.23 0.55 0.53 2.10 -0.80
2003 0.80 0.83 0.05 0.78 0.20 0.51 0.65 -0.20 1.98 -1.18
2004 5.89 0.92 0.06 0.86 0.66 0.20 3.08 0.99 5.85 0.04
2005 4.98 1.13 0.09 1.05 -0.02 0.14 2.28 1.38 4.93 0.06
2006 8.62 1.47 0.12 1.35 0.74 -0.34 4.60 1.59 8.07 0.55
2007 4.04 1.71 0.14 1.57 0.27 0.20 1.84 1.19 5.22 -1.18
2008 -0.96 1.79 0.15 1.64 0.14 0.08 -0.36 0.13 1.78 -2.74
2009 -11.05 1.23 0.13 1.10 -0.92 -0.18 -5.11 -1.05 -6.04 -5.02
2010 10.47 0.69 0.09 0.59 0.00 0.10 5.23 1.35 7.36 3.11
2011 3.61 0.88 0.08 0.80 0.29 0.27 1.83 0.39 3.66 -0.05
Promedio 1991-2011 3.87 1.10 0.12 0.97 0.24 0.13 2.02 0.73 4.21 -0.35
La PTF emplea como marco conceptual y metodológico al modelo KLEMS. Este marco considera la contribución de los insumos de la producción -capital (K), trabajo (L), energía (E), materias primas (M) y servicios (S)- y su relación con la producción. Así, la PTF se interpreta como el perfil temporal de cómo son combinados los insumos para generar bienes. En la práctica, la PTF refleja el cambio en la eficiencia, las economías de escala, la variación en la utilización de la capacidad, entre otros.Nota 1: Servicios de capital TIC: Tecnologías de la Información y la ComunicaciónNota 2: Servicios de capital No TIC: Tecnologías no de la Información y la Comunicación Fuente: INEGI, "Productividad Total de los Factores, Modelo KLEMS, serie anual 1991-2011".
E-58
E-32. Productividad Total de los Factores y su contribución al crecimiento de la Economía de México, 1991-2011(Tasas porcentuales de crecimiento anual)
PTF SECTOR SECUNDARIO
PTF
Años Valor de Servicios de Servicios de Servicios de Servicios Energía Materiales Servicios Contribución Productividad producción capital total capital TIC capital No TIC laborales totales de los factores total de los factores
1991 5.16 1.81 0.35 1.46 1.15 0.14 0.47 1.06 4.64 0.52
1992 4.03 2.42 0.50 1.91 1.19 0.14 0.29 0.99 5.02 -0.99
1993 3.14 2.06 0.47 1.59 0.58 -0.02 0.31 1.24 4.17 -1.03
1994 5.38 1.69 0.43 1.26 1.42 0.29 0.40 1.29 5.09 0.29
1995 -7.03 0.77 0.34 0.43 0.01 -0.24 -0.77 -1.35 -1.58 -5.45
1996 3.06 0.32 0.46 -0.14 0.63 0.28 0.19 -0.44 0.98 2.07
1997 6.80 1.71 0.85 0.87 1.76 0.19 0.75 1.14 5.56 1.24
1998 4.88 2.69 1.11 1.58 0.23 0.09 0.56 0.81 4.38 0.49
1999 4.43 3.11 1.41 1.70 1.49 0.14 0.56 0.85 6.15 -1.72
2000 7.57 3.72 1.82 1.90 0.02 0.26 0.64 1.09 5.74 1.83
2001 1.08 3.23 1.55 1.67 1.06 -0.03 0.07 0.38 4.70 -3.61
2002 1.58 2.10 0.84 1.25 0.23 -0.10 0.24 0.44 2.91 -1.33
2003 2.44 1.65 0.54 1.11 0.10 0.07 0.24 0.56 2.61 -0.18
2004 5.29 2.11 0.84 1.27 0.73 0.03 0.40 0.94 4.20 1.09
2005 4.58 2.77 1.11 1.67 0.56 -0.01 0.42 0.90 4.64 -0.06
2006 6.41 3.18 1.30 1.89 0.57 0.02 0.49 1.55 5.82 0.58
2007 5.04 3.43 1.44 1.98 0.76 0.12 0.37 1.23 5.91 -0.87
2008 2.92 3.45 1.36 2.10 0.77 -0.01 0.05 1.03 5.30 -2.38
2009 -5.09 2.49 1.01 1.48 -0.08 -0.17 -0.67 -0.26 1.30 -6.39
2010 5.81 1.69 0.75 0.94 0.39 0.13 0.51 0.91 3.63 2.18
2011 6.01 1.93 0.85 1.08 0.61 0.31 0.96 1.30 5.11 0.90
Promedio 1991-2011 3.50 2.30 0.92 1.38 0.68 0.08 0.31 0.74 4.11 -0.61
La PTF emplea como marco conceptual y metodológico al modelo KLEMS. Este marco considera la contribución de los insumos de la producción -capital (K), trabajo (L), energía (E), materias primas (M) y servicios (S)- y su relación con la producción. Así, la PTF se interpreta como el perfil temporal de cómo son combinados los insumos para generar bienes. En la práctica, la PTF refleja el cambio en la eficiencia, las economías de escala, la variación en la utilización de la capacidad, entre otros.Nota 1: Servicios de capital TIC: Tecnologías de la Información y la ComunicaciónNota 2: Servicios de capital No TIC: Tecnologías no de la Información y la Comunicación Fuente: INEGI, "Productividad Total de los Factores, Modelo KLEMS, serie anual 1991-2011".
E-33. Productividad Total de los Factores y su contribución al crecimiento de la Economía de México, 1991-2011(Tasas porcentuales de crecimiento anual)
PTF SECTOR TERCIARIO
E-59
F. Indice Nacionalde Precios al Consumidor
INPC
Cuadro F-1.Indice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor 1980-2020
Cuadro F-2. Inflación Mensual en México y en Estados unidos 2013-2014
Cuadro F-3.
INPC, Inflación Subyacente y Subíndices Complementarios Anual 1980-2020
Cuadro F-4.
INPC, Inflación Subyacente y Subíndices Complementarios Mensual 2013-2014
Cuadro F-5.Precios de las Gasolinas Automotrices en México y los EUA 1980-2020
F-1. Indice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor: Escenario Base 2014-2020 (Base 2a. quincena de diciembre de 2010=100)
México Brecha Estados UnidosAños Indice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor Inflacionaria Indice de Precios al Consumidor
Fin Período Var. % Promedio Var. % México-EUA Fin Período Var. % Promedio Var. %
1980 0.08 29.8 0.08 26.4 12.85 38.92 12.6 37.51 13.51981 0.11 28.7 0.10 27.9 17.62 42.65 9.6 41.37 10.31982 0.22 98.8 0.16 58.9 52.75 44.61 4.6 43.92 6.21983 0.39 80.8 0.31 101.9 98.66 46.06 3.3 45.33 3.21984 0.62 59.2 0.52 65.4 61.13 47.93 4.1 47.29 4.31985 1.02 63.7 0.82 57.7 54.19 49.61 3.5 48.98 3.61986 2.10 105.7 1.52 86.2 84.37 50.25 1.3 49.89 1.91987 5.44 159.2 3.53 131.8 128.18 52.53 4.5 51.71 3.61988 8.25 51.7 7.56 114.2 110.02 54.76 4.2 53.85 4.11989 9.87 19.7 9.07 20.0 15.19 57.31 4.7 56.44 4.81990 12.83 29.9 11.49 26.7 21.25 60.90 6.3 59.49 5.41991 15.24 18.8 14.09 22.7 18.45 62.72 3.0 61.99 4.21992 17.06 11.9 16.27 15.5 12.50 64.63 3.0 63.86 3.01993 18.43 8.0 17.86 9.8 6.76 66.36 2.7 65.77 3.01994 19.73 7.1 19.10 7.0 4.41 68.14 2.7 67.46 2.61995 29.98 52.0 25.79 35.0 32.17 69.91 2.6 69.37 2.81996 38.28 27.7 34.66 34.4 31.43 72.19 3.3 71.42 3.01997 44.30 15.7 41.80 20.6 18.33 73.51 1.8 73.05 2.31998 52.54 18.6 48.46 15.9 14.37 74.65 1.5 74.19 1.61999 59.02 12.3 56.50 16.6 14.38 76.60 2.6 75.83 2.22000 64.30 9.0 61.86 9.5 6.13 79.24 3.4 78.38 3.42001 67.13 4.4 65.80 6.4 3.52 80.75 1.9 80.61 2.82002 70.96 5.7 69.11 5.0 3.45 82.52 2.2 81.88 1.62003 73.78 4.0 72.26 4.5 2.27 83.98 1.8 83.75 2.32004 77.61 5.2 75.64 4.7 2.03 86.94 3.5 85.98 2.72005 80.20 3.3 78.66 4.0 0.60 89.94 3.5 88.89 3.42006 83.45 4.1 81.52 3.6 0.40 91.72 2.0 91.76 3.22007 86.59 3.8 84.75 4.0 1.12 95.67 4.3 94.37 2.82008 92.24 6.5 89.09 5.1 1.29 96.69 1.1 98.00 3.82009 95.54 3.6 93.81 5.3 5.65 98.47 1.8 97.65 -0.42010 99.74 4.4 97.71 4.2 2.52 99.59 1.1 99.25 1.62011 103.55 3.8 101.04 3.4 0.25 102.97 3.4 102.38 3.22012 107.25 3.6 105.20 4.1 2.04 104.79 1.8 104.50 2.12013 111.51 4.0 109.20 3.8 2.34 106.08 1.2 106.03 1.5
2014 115.79 3.8 113.58 4.0 2.15 108.19 2.0 108.01 1.92015 119.82 3.5 117.74 3.7 1.69 110.48 2.1 110.13 2.02016 124.20 3.7 122.06 3.7 1.50 113.25 2.5 112.51 2.22017 129.38 4.2 127.00 4.1 1.60 115.51 2.0 115.27 2.42018 134.39 3.9 132.20 4.1 1.76 118.66 2.7 117.96 2.32019 139.47 3.8 137.31 3.9 1.75 120.75 1.8 120.46 2.12020 144.45 3.6 142.41 3.7 1.72 123.27 2.1 122.85 2.0
F-1
F-2. Tasa Mensual de Inflación: Escenario Base 2014(Base 2a. quincena de diciembre de 2010=100)
México Brecha Estados UnidosMeses Indice Variación % Inflacionaria Indice Variación %
General Mensual Acumulada Anual México/EUA General Mensual Acumulada Anual
2013 109.20 0.33 3.97 3.81 2.34 106.03 0.12 1.50 1.46
Ene 107.68 0.40 0.40 3.25 1.66 104.82 0.30 0.30 1.59Feb 108.21 0.49 0.90 3.55 1.58 105.67 0.82 1.12 1.98Mar 109.00 0.73 1.64 4.25 2.78 105.95 0.26 1.38 1.47Abr 109.07 0.07 1.70 4.65 3.59 105.84 -0.10 1.28 1.06May 108.71 -0.33 1.37 4.63 3.27 106.03 0.18 1.46 1.36Jun 108.64 -0.06 1.30 4.09 2.33 106.28 0.24 1.70 1.75Jul 108.61 -0.03 1.27 3.47 1.51 106.32 0.04 1.74 1.96Ago 108.92 0.28 1.56 3.46 1.94 106.45 0.12 1.86 1.52Sep 109.33 0.38 1.94 3.39 2.21 106.58 0.12 1.98 1.18Oct 109.85 0.48 2.43 3.36 2.40 106.30 -0.26 1.72 0.96Nov 110.87 0.93 3.38 3.62 2.38 106.08 -0.20 1.51 1.24Dic 111.51 0.57 3.97 3.97 2.47 106.08 -0.01 1.50 1.50
2014 113.58 0.31 3.84 4.01 2.15 108.01 0.16 2.00 1.86
Ene 112.50 0.89 0.89 4.48 2.90 106.47 0.37 0.37 1.58Feb 112.79 0.25 1.15 4.23 3.11 106.86 0.37 0.74 1.13Mar 113.10 0.27 1.43 3.76 2.25 107.55 0.64 1.39 1.51Abr 112.89 -0.19 1.24 3.50 1.54 107.91 0.33 1.73 1.95May 112.53 -0.32 0.91 3.51 1.38 108.28 0.35 2.08 2.13Jun 112.72 0.17 1.09 3.75 1.74 108.42 0.13 2.21 2.01Jul e/ 113.14 0.38 1.47 4.18 2.15 108.48 0.06 2.27 2.03Ago 113.46 0.28 1.75 4.17 2.10 108.66 0.17 2.44 2.08Sep 114.15 0.60 2.37 4.41 2.41 108.71 0.04 2.48 2.00Oct 114.55 0.35 2.73 4.28 2.31 108.40 -0.29 2.19 1.97Nov 115.38 0.73 3.48 4.07 2.12 108.15 -0.23 1.96 1.95Dic 115.79 0.35 3.84 3.84 1.84 108.19 0.04 2.00 2.00
e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.NOTA: La inflación mensual de los EUA correspondiente al mes de junio de 2014 es una estimación de CAMACRO.
F-2
F-3. INPC, Inflación Subyacente y Subíndices Complementarios Anuales: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Variación porcentual de diciembre a diciembre de cada año)
INPC Inflación SubyacenteIndice Nacional Precios Precios
de Precios al Total de las Mercancías de los ServiciosConsumidor Total Alimentos Otros Total Vivienda Educación Otros
1980 29.85 ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... .......1981 28.68 ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... .......1982 98.84 ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... .......1983 80.78 86.59 94.46 ....... ....... 73.93 ....... 70.73 .......1984 59.16 59.45 63.16 ....... ....... 52.79 ....... 64.65 .......1985 63.75 61.28 59.43 ....... ....... 64.82 ....... 63.99 .......1986 105.75 107.88 118.74 ....... ....... 87.72 ....... 80.18 .......1987 159.17 158.02 162.10 ....... ....... 149.20 ....... 115.97 .......1988 51.66 48.76 38.33 ....... ....... 72.50 ....... 124.00 .......1989 19.70 21.45 11.54 ....... ....... 39.53 ....... 32.22 .......1990 29.93 29.37 23.80 ....... ....... 37.50 ....... 36.92 .......1991 18.79 17.65 15.39 ....... ....... 20.63 ....... 30.66 .......1992 11.94 12.86 9.32 ....... ....... 17.31 ....... 34.43 .......1993 8.01 8.42 6.54 ....... ....... 10.61 ....... 21.07 .......1994 7.05 7.68 7.72 ....... ....... 7.64 ....... 14.70 .......1995 51.97 50.60 63.46 ....... ....... 37.59 ....... 19.26 .......1996 27.70 25.95 27.84 28.30 27.49 23.73 22.64 20.52 25.521997 15.72 16.46 15.59 14.44 16.48 17.52 15.57 19.09 19.191998 18.61 17.44 18.28 20.34 16.71 16.43 15.99 17.71 16.611999 12.32 14.41 14.10 13.67 14.45 14.78 11.96 18.10 16.862000 8.96 7.85 6.69 6.70 6.68 9.23 6.93 15.16 10.202001 4.40 5.36 3.91 5.42 2.72 7.06 5.68 14.02 6.862002 5.70 4.12 1.95 3.77 0.60 6.35 6.03 10.04 5.462003 3.98 3.87 2.61 4.70 1.23 4.96 4.12 8.59 4.682004 5.19 3.92 3.88 7.04 1.71 3.96 3.70 7.50 3.132005 3.33 3.27 2.84 3.69 2.22 3.64 2.55 6.63 3.732006 4.05 3.65 3.42 5.10 2.19 3.84 3.73 5.71 3.322007 3.76 3.87 4.52 7.52 2.27 3.33 3.01 5.68 2.842008 6.53 5.54 6.50 9.46 4.17 4.72 4.22 5.76 4.822009 3.57 4.16 5.57 5.73 5.43 2.94 2.65 4.13 2.802010 4.40 3.58 3.82 4.35 3.38 3.36 2.64 4.64 3.582011 3.82 3.35 4.52 7.32 2.39 2.40 2.04 4.19 2.272012 3.57 2.90 5.00 6.11 4.13 1.15 2.05 4.48 -0.722013 3.97 2.78 1.89 2.67 1.26 3.54 2.19 4.42 4.69
2014 3.84 3.45 2.71 4.19 1.50 4.03 2.53 4.54 3.632015 3.48 3.03 2.12 3.68 0.96 3.75 2.68 4.83 3.932016 3.66 3.51 2.76 4.31 1.61 4.11 3.14 5.10 4.192017 4.17 3.97 3.19 4.76 2.02 4.59 3.69 5.54 4.572018 3.87 3.91 3.77 5.34 2.60 4.02 3.04 5.04 4.072019 3.78 3.51 3.32 4.90 2.14 3.65 2.67 4.66 3.702020 3.57 3.61 3.71 5.27 2.55 3.52 2.55 4.54 3.51
ContinuaciónF-3
Años!
Continuación
Inflación No SubyacenteAgropecuarios Energéticos y Tarifas autorizadas por el Gobierno
Total Frutas Carne Energéticos Tarifas del
y Verduras y Huevo Total Electricidad Gas doméstico Gasolina BO Gasolina AO Gobierno
1980 ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... 19.55 1.71 ....... ....... .......1981 ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... 19.56 39.29 ....... ....... .......1982 ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... ....... 66.03 108.50 ....... ....... .......1983 63.21 68.25 74.01 65.46 56.24 55.00 90.80 59.25 ....... ....... 59.361984 58.13 74.64 71.01 76.48 33.53 35.42 56.53 33.51 ....... ....... 28.911985 72.36 64.08 69.67 61.32 88.50 95.95 54.92 122.24 ....... ....... 69.351986 98.79 77.50 72.62 80.03 134.89 115.63 119.34 231.58 ....... ....... 192.261987 163.08 166.97 141.99 179.37 158.09 147.08 141.73 152.78 ....... ....... 182.281988 61.34 81.44 96.86 74.81 34.70 28.40 28.87 27.92 ....... ....... 46.821989 14.31 14.50 15.30 14.12 13.95 11.16 44.53 11.97 ....... ....... 18.661990 31.76 25.08 30.66 22.35 43.73 29.98 10.28 21.90 ....... ....... 65.391991 22.47 11.86 14.21 10.63 39.04 40.78 54.72 7.85 ....... ....... 36.891992 9.09 9.81 14.33 7.37 8.18 6.72 1.91 28.11 ....... ....... 10.031993 6.71 3.09 2.63 3.35 11.33 12.67 7.22 32.28 ....... ....... 9.671994 5.00 3.03 6.15 1.25 7.34 8.85 5.02 20.75 ....... ....... 5.421995 55.57 58.46 76.83 48.86 52.28 58.27 40.33 76.96 ....... ....... 45.841996 32.77 30.21 11.70 41.99 35.38 33.33 24.50 40.82 ....... ....... 37.841997 13.68 11.80 16.86 9.27 15.53 18.24 15.39 27.71 ....... ....... 12.391998 21.89 24.29 45.32 13.03 19.61 18.68 14.06 7.06 ....... ....... 20.751999 6.69 0.25 -3.66 2.94 13.06 15.74 12.95 23.90 ....... ....... 9.852000 12.17 10.07 20.24 3.52 14.02 18.63 9.85 38.68 ....... ....... 8.202001 1.75 1.35 -5.97 6.84 2.08 -1.26 8.54 -16.45 ....... ....... 6.712002 11.33 8.65 22.23 -0.10 13.73 16.84 34.97 25.96 ....... ....... 8.842003 4.37 3.65 -2.36 8.34 4.82 6.11 7.04 7.75 4.74 2.37 2.722004 9.67 10.11 6.43 12.69 9.40 10.02 9.15 18.27 5.42 8.47 8.362005 3.53 -0.18 -1.86 0.93 5.84 7.13 4.27 14.79 4.47 4.39 3.662006 5.42 8.30 15.46 3.69 3.72 4.42 5.07 1.53 5.59 8.46 2.512007 3.39 3.42 0.15 5.77 3.36 3.41 3.00 1.76 4.79 5.65 3.292008 9.80 11.63 10.58 12.34 8.68 8.03 9.45 10.72 4.91 5.77 9.842009 1.72 1.66 -1.12 3.52 1.76 0.28 1.13 -6.43 4.37 4.25 4.362010 7.09 6.96 14.00 2.46 7.16 6.44 3.96 1.41 12.74 5.36 8.392011 5.34 3.73 -4.37 9.76 6.19 8.30 6.51 7.05 11.13 4.96 2.392012 5.74 9.18 2.90 13.22 3.84 5.62 -2.26 9.27 11.05 7.32 0.452013 7.84 6.67 13.89 2.43 8.65 8.30 3.63 7.82 11.24 11.17 9.32
2014 5.36 3.96 -6.00 8.67 6.14 7.42 0.01 11.78 9.73 11.19 4.402015 4.90 7.10 2.20 9.10 3.42 3.02 3.24 4.82 2.25 2.98 3.842016 4.08 5.27 -1.30 9.45 3.24 3.18 3.01 2.22 3.53 4.13 3.102017 4.74 7.81 3.10 10.17 2.77 2.24 0.84 0.62 3.41 3.97 3.402018 3.66 5.80 -0.70 9.71 2.18 1.49 -1.15 -1.68 3.71 4.20 3.102019 4.58 8.37 3.60 9.51 2.04 1.50 -2.27 -2.48 4.37 4.76 2.732020 3.29 5.92 -1.10 8.86 1.40 0.92 -3.16 -3.33 3.80 4.19 1.99
ConclusiónF-4
Años!Total!!
Total!!
F-4. INPC, Inflación Subyacente y Subíndices Complementarios Mensuales: Escenario Base 2014(Variación % anual de los índices de precios al consumidor)
INPC Inflación SubyacenteIndice Nacional Precios Precios
de Precios al Total de las Mercancías de los Servicios
Consumidor Total Alimentos Otros Total Vivienda Educación Otros
2013 3.81 2.72 3.02 3.85 2.36 2.47 2.16 4.47 2.20
Ene 3.25 2.88 4.37 5.23 3.69 1.62 2.07 4.55 0.33Feb 3.55 2.96 3.86 4.59 3.27 2.21 2.09 4.55 1.66Mar 4.25 3.02 3.81 4.58 3.21 2.35 2.10 4.56 1.98Abr 4.65 2.95 3.63 4.48 2.95 2.37 2.10 4.57 2.01May 4.63 2.88 3.49 4.38 2.79 2.36 2.14 4.40 1.99Jun 4.09 2.79 3.14 3.94 2.49 2.49 2.21 4.34 2.24Jul 3.47 2.50 2.64 3.50 1.96 2.38 2.21 4.41 1.97Ago 3.46 2.37 2.51 3.46 1.75 2.24 2.26 4.55 1.55Sep 3.39 2.52 2.59 3.36 1.98 2.45 2.21 4.42 2.10Oct 3.36 2.48 2.41 3.28 1.71 2.54 2.19 4.42 2.34Nov 3.62 2.56 1.99 2.82 1.33 3.06 2.20 4.43 3.54Dic 3.97 2.78 1.89 2.67 1.26 3.54 2.19 4.42 4.69
2014 4.01 3.21 2.83 4.51 1.48 3.51 2.28 4.46 3.72
Ene 4.48 3.21 2.93 4.64 1.56 3.47 2.21 4.32 4.53Feb 4.23 2.98 2.91 4.73 1.45 3.05 2.25 4.38 3.50Mar 3.76 2.89 2.88 4.58 1.52 2.90 2.24 4.39 3.17Abr 3.50 3.11 2.97 4.60 1.67 3.23 2.24 4.39 3.94May 3.51 3.00 3.08 4.76 1.73 2.94 2.21 4.42 3.28Jun 3.75 3.09 3.24 5.06 1.78 2.96 2.15 4.46 3.40Jul e/ 4.18 3.11 3.28 4.91 1.96 2.96 2.17 4.44 3.36Ago 4.17 3.28 2.85 4.63 1.41 3.62 2.21 4.51 3.89Sep 4.41 3.51 2.31 4.19 0.80 4.47 2.33 4.55 4.20Oct 4.28 3.40 2.26 3.84 0.97 4.31 2.38 4.54 3.96Nov 4.07 3.48 2.60 4.06 1.39 4.17 2.42 4.54 3.83Dic 3.84 3.45 2.71 4.19 1.50 4.03 2.53 4.54 3.63
e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. Continuación
F-5
Años!
F-6
ContinuaciónInflación No Subyacente
Agropecuarios Energéticos y Tarifas autorizadas por el GobiernoTotal Frutas Carne Energéticos Tarifas del
y Verduras y Huevo Total Electricidad Gas doméstico Gasolina Bajo O Gasolina Alto O Gobierno
2013 7.34 7.71 6.47 8.40 7.17 7.60 -1.84 9.02 11.46 10.25 6.18
Ene 4.47 5.51 -2.21 10.52 3.89 5.60 -2.43 9.14 11.12 7.93 0.62Feb 5.47 7.48 4.66 9.20 4.36 5.48 -2.92 9.02 11.22 8.29 2.22Mar 8.29 14.29 19.85 11.00 5.02 5.86 -2.55 8.93 11.68 9.07 3.37Abr 10.32 17.25 25.13 12.66 6.47 6.48 -4.20 9.68 11.55 9.49 6.26May 10.56 15.30 15.51 15.08 7.75 8.24 -4.29 10.17 11.18 9.86 6.51Jun 8.39 8.99 -1.22 15.38 8.06 8.36 -4.62 9.67 11.62 10.56 7.15Jul 6.60 4.22 -6.01 10.60 8.12 8.26 -5.43 9.38 11.87 10.97 7.50Ago 7.01 5.19 0.22 8.15 8.16 8.13 -5.59 8.81 11.85 11.32 7.87Sep 6.20 2.33 -0.63 4.04 8.66 8.91 -3.53 9.07 11.77 11.33 7.87Oct 6.18 1.67 1.10 1.92 9.07 9.62 3.45 8.41 11.37 11.40 7.83Nov 7.02 5.53 11.46 2.03 8.01 8.20 3.72 8.25 11.06 11.32 7.65Dic 7.84 6.67 13.89 2.43 8.65 8.30 3.63 7.82 11.24 11.17 9.32
2014 6.71 4.64 0.11 6.54 8.00 8.66 2.94 11.06 10.94 11.62 6.94
Ene 8.58 6.21 10.54 3.65 10.13 9.67 5.06 10.41 12.25 12.18 11.02Feb 8.28 5.43 6.73 4.58 10.12 10.10 5.69 11.88 11.97 12.28 10.14Mar 6.54 1.49 -2.81 4.14 9.73 9.83 5.66 11.34 11.49 12.01 9.55Abr 4.75 -1.13 -9.90 4.39 8.52 9.45 4.11 10.30 11.66 11.99 6.86May 5.19 0.67 -7.97 5.70 8.14 8.86 14.47 9.62 11.55 11.61 6.89Jun 5.96 3.37 -2.15 6.34 7.59 8.42 -0.08 11.31 10.36 10.78 6.18Jul e/ 7.80 8.35 8.20 7.30 7.46 8.33 -0.09 11.29 11.05 11.70 5.99Ago 7.20 7.04 3.75 7.60 7.32 8.27 0.06 11.47 10.78 11.59 5.71Sep 7.48 7.97 5.75 7.52 7.20 8.10 0.13 11.60 10.51 11.49 5.69Oct 7.32 7.72 2.74 9.15 7.03 7.90 0.10 11.81 10.24 11.39 5.70Nov 6.23 5.20 -4.05 9.38 6.78 7.68 -0.02 11.75 9.98 11.29 5.74Dic 5.36 3.96 -6.00 8.67 6.14 7.42 0.01 11.78 9.73 11.19 4.40
Conclusióne/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Años!Total!!
Total!!
F-5. Precios de las Gasolinas Automotrices en México y EUA: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Promedio anual)
Precio de la Diferencia de precios México-EUA Precio de la Gasolina en México INPC del INEGI 2003=100Gasolina en EUA Precios en la Frontera Norte Precios en la Frontera Norte Precios en el Interior del País Gasolinas(Unleaded Regular) Pemex Magna vs. EUA Pemex Premium vs. EUA Pemex Magna Pemex Premium Pemex Magna Pemex Premium Bajo Octanaje Alto Octanaje
Pesos/Litro % Absoluta Relativa Absoluta Relativa Pesos/Litro % Pesos/Litro % Pesos/Litro % Pesos/Litro % Indice % Indice %
1980 0.01 39.0 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1981 0.01 18.2 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1982 0.02 122.7 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1983 0.05 148.2 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1984 0.06 20.2 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1985 0.10 66.3 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1986 0.16 58.0 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1987 0.35 125.0 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1988 0.57 63.2 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1989 0.67 17.2 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1990 0.87 30.3 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1991 0.91 4.0 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1992 0.92 1.4 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1993 0.91 -1.0 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1994 0.99 8.7 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1995 1.95 96.2 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1996 2.47 27.0 ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. …. ….. ….1997 2.58 4.4 ….. …. ….. …. 2.97 …. 3.31 …. 3.09 …. 3.40 …. ….. …. ….. ….1998 2.56 -0.8 ….. …. ….. …. 3.49 17.7 3.84 16.0 3.64 17.6 3.99 17.4 ….. …. ….. ….1999 2.94 14.9 ….. …. ….. …. 4.34 24.3 4.78 24.3 4.54 24.7 5.00 25.2 ….. …. ….. ….2000 3.77 28.2 ….. …. ….. …. 4.83 11.2 5.36 12.2 5.05 11.2 5.60 12.1 ….. …. ….. ….2001 3.60 -4.4 ….. …. ….. …. 5.22 8.1 5.85 9.2 5.45 8.0 6.11 9.1 ….. …. ….. ….2002 3.47 -3.8 ….. …. ….. …. 5.40 3.5 6.16 5.4 5.75 5.4 6.44 5.4 ….. …. ….. ….2003 4.54 30.9 0.75 16.6 1.85 40.7 5.29 -2.0 6.38 3.6 5.96 3.6 6.68 3.6 100.0 …. 100.0 ….2004 5.61 23.6 0.19 3.4 1.25 22.3 5.80 9.6 6.86 7.4 6.14 3.1 7.17 7.4 105.0 5.0 106.8 6.82005 6.61 17.8 -0.55 -8.3 0.55 8.3 6.06 4.4 7.15 4.3 6.33 3.2 7.48 4.3 109.2 4.0 111.8 4.72006 7.46 12.9 -0.03 -0.5 0.06 0.8 7.42 22.6 7.52 5.1 6.61 4.4 7.86 5.1 116.5 6.8 118.1 5.62007 8.09 8.5 -0.69 -8.5 0.06 0.7 7.40 -0.3 8.14 8.3 6.91 4.6 8.51 8.3 121.4 4.2 127.6 8.12008 9.62 19.0 -2.14 -22.2 -0.90 -9.3 7.49 1.2 8.73 7.2 7.28 5.3 9.11 7.0 127.0 4.6 135.8 6.52009 8.39 -12.8 -0.67 -8.0 0.79 9.5 7.72 3.1 9.18 5.2 7.72 6.1 9.57 5.0 134.0 5.5 143.1 5.42010 9.30 10.9 -0.98 -10.6 0.19 2.0 8.32 7.8 9.49 3.4 8.32 7.7 9.88 3.2 144.6 7.9 148.7 3.92011 11.59 24.6 -2.31 -19.9 -1.62 -13.9 9.28 11.5 9.97 5.1 9.28 11.5 10.36 4.9 161.2 11.5 156.1 4.92012 12.67 9.4 -2.36 -18.6 -2.10 -16.6 10.32 11.1 10.57 6.0 10.32 11.1 10.96 5.8 179.2 11.1 165.0 5.72013 11.90 -6.1 -0.37 -3.1 -0.20 -1.7 11.53 11.7 11.70 10.7 11.53 11.7 12.09 10.3 199.7 11.5 181.9 10.2
2014 12.14 2.0 0.67 5.5 1.36 11.2 12.82 11.2 13.51 15.5 12.82 11.2 13.51 11.8 221.6 10.9 203.0 11.62015 12.28 1.1 1.19 9.7 2.06 16.8 13.47 5.1 14.34 6.2 13.47 5.1 14.34 6.2 232.9 5.1 215.5 6.22016 12.77 4.0 1.10 8.6 2.09 16.3 13.87 3.0 14.86 3.6 13.87 3.0 14.86 3.6 239.8 3.0 223.3 3.62017 13.65 6.9 0.70 5.1 1.80 13.2 14.35 3.5 15.46 4.0 14.35 3.5 15.46 4.0 248.1 3.5 232.3 4.02018 14.58 6.8 0.28 1.9 1.51 10.3 14.86 3.6 16.09 4.1 14.86 3.6 16.09 4.1 257.0 3.6 241.8 4.12019 15.37 5.4 0.09 0.6 1.44 9.4 15.47 4.1 16.81 4.5 15.47 4.1 16.81 4.5 267.4 4.1 252.7 4.52020 16.04 4.3 0.05 0.3 1.52 9.5 16.10 4.1 17.56 4.4 16.10 4.1 17.56 4.4 278.3 4.1 264.0 4.4
F-7
Años!
G. Mercado Cambiario
Cuadro G-1.Tipo de Cambio del Peso respecto al Dólar de EE.UU. 1980-2020
Cuadro G-2. Tipo de Cambio Mensual 2013-2014
G-1. Tipo de Cambio del Peso Respecto al Dólar de EE.UU.: Escenario Básico 2014-2020(Punto de Equilibrio del Tipo de Cambio 1990=100)
Promedio Anual % Sobre (-) Tipo de Fin de Año TDC para solventar Año Nominal Indice Real o sub (+) Cambio Teórico Nominal obligaciones en dólares
Pesos/Dólar %Var. 1990=100 % Var. valuación Pesos/Dólar Pesos/Dólar % Var. Pesos/Dólar % Var.
1980 0.0229 0.8 76.7 -9.4 -23.31 0.0299 0.0233 2.2 0.0233 2.21981 0.0245 6.8 70.6 -7.9 -29.37 0.0347 0.0262 12.4 0.0262 12.41982 0.0580 136.9 111.8 58.3 11.77 0.0519 0.1493 470.5 0.0963 267.61983 0.1503 159.1 148.1 32.5 48.06 0.1015 0.1612 8.0 0.1436 49.11984 0.1849 23.0 114.9 -22.4 14.86 0.1610 0.2100 30.2 0.1920 33.71985 0.3103 67.8 126.5 10.1 26.51 0.2453 0.4535 116.0 0.3682 91.81986 0.6353 104.8 141.7 12.0 41.68 0.4484 0.9135 101.4 0.9151 148.51987 1.3980 120.0 139.4 -1.6 39.39 1.0030 2.2250 143.6 2.2097 141.51988 2.2871 63.6 110.9 -20.4 10.88 2.0626 2.2980 3.3 2.2810 3.21989 2.4816 8.5 105.1 -5.2 5.09 2.3615 2.6855 16.9 2.6410 15.81990 2.8385 14.4 100.0 -4.8 0.03 2.8376 2.9443 9.6 2.9454 11.51991 3.0157 6.2 90.3 -9.7 -9.71 3.3401 3.0780 4.5 3.0710 4.31992 3.0945 2.6 82.6 -8.5 -17.38 3.7453 3.1209 1.4 3.1154 1.41993 3.1152 0.7 78.1 -5.5 -21.94 3.9910 3.1071 -0.4 3.1059 -0.31994 3.3751 8.3 81.1 3.9 -18.92 4.1625 4.9950 60.8 5.3250 71.41995 6.4190 90.2 117.5 44.9 17.47 5.4644 7.7396 54.9 7.6425 43.51996 7.6003 18.4 106.6 -9.3 6.56 7.1324 7.8703 1.7 7.8509 2.71997 7.9198 4.2 94.2 -11.6 -5.83 8.4106 8.0681 2.5 8.0833 3.01998 9.1506 15.5 95.3 1.2 -4.69 9.6007 9.8963 22.7 9.8650 22.01999 9.5577 4.4 87.3 -8.4 -12.72 10.9512 9.4986 -4.0 9.5143 -3.62000 9.4567 -1.1 81.5 -6.6 -18.48 11.6007 9.6098 1.2 9.5722 0.62001 9.3390 -1.2 77.8 -4.5 -22.16 11.9979 9.1695 -4.6 9.1423 -4.52002 9.6657 3.5 77.9 0.1 -22.08 12.4054 10.4393 13.8 10.3125 12.82003 10.7953 11.7 85.1 9.3 -14.87 12.6805 11.2372 7.6 11.2360 9.02004 11.2859 4.5 87.3 2.5 -12.72 12.9306 11.1495 -0.8 11.2648 0.32005 10.8939 -3.5 83.8 -4.0 -16.24 13.0057 10.6344 -4.6 10.7777 -4.32006 10.9007 0.1 83.5 -0.3 -16.51 13.0565 10.8116 1.7 10.8810 1.02007 10.9288 0.3 82.8 -0.8 -17.20 13.1985 10.9157 1.0 10.8662 -0.12008 11.1520 2.0 83.5 0.8 -16.54 13.3619 13.8325 26.7 13.5383 24.62009 13.5076 21.1 95.7 14.6 -4.34 14.1200 13.0659 -5.5 13.0587 -3.52010 12.6303 -6.5 87.3 -8.8 -12.71 14.4696 12.3496 -5.5 12.3571 -5.42011 12.4354 -1.5 85.7 -1.8 -14.27 14.5048 13.9476 12.9 13.9787 13.12012 13.1613 5.8 89.0 3.8 -11.04 14.7949 12.9658 -7.0 13.0101 -6.92013 12.7724 -3.0 84.4 -5.1 -15.62 15.1364 13.0843 0.9 13.0765 0.5
2014 13.0893 2.5 84.7 0.4 -15.31 15.4563 13.0489 -0.3 13.0181 -0.42015 13.3145 1.7 84.7 0.1 -15.26 15.7125 13.3877 2.6 13.3621 2.62016 13.4609 1.1 84.4 -0.4 -15.57 15.9439 13.5713 1.4 13.5973 1.82017 13.6817 1.6 84.5 0.1 -15.51 16.1932 13.8329 1.9 13.8136 1.62018 13.9840 2.2 84.9 0.5 -15.10 16.4710 14.1162 2.0 14.1383 2.42019 14.2483 1.9 85.0 0.2 -14.95 16.7539 14.3645 1.8 14.3387 1.42020 14.4806 1.6 85.0 -0.1 -15.00 17.0370 14.5718 1.4 14.5422 1.4
G-1
G-2. Tipo de Cambio Mensual: Escenario Base 2014(Punto de Equilibrio del Tipo de Cambio 1990=100)
Promedio del Mes Fin de MesFecha de Determinación FIX Tipo de % Sobre (-) Fecha de Determinación FIX
Nominal Indice Real Cambio o sub (+) Nominal Indice Real
Pesos/Dólar Var. % 1990=100 Var. % Teórico valuación Pesos/Dólar Var. % 1990=100 Var. %
2013 12.7724 -2.95 84.4 -5.14 15.1364 -15.62 13.0843 0.91 84.7 -1.49
Ene 12.6990 -1.33 84.1 -1.44 15.0989 -15.89 12.7094 -1.98 84.2 -2.08Feb 12.7229 0.19 84.5 0.51 15.0501 -15.46 12.7795 0.55 84.9 0.88Mar 12.5247 -1.56 82.8 -2.02 15.1209 -17.17 12.3612 -3.27 81.7 -3.73Abr 12.2050 -2.55 80.6 -2.72 15.1466 -19.42 12.1456 -1.74 80.2 -1.91May 12.3115 0.87 81.7 1.39 15.0694 -18.30 12.8035 5.42 85.0 5.96Jun 12.9596 5.26 86.3 5.58 15.0241 -13.74 13.0279 1.75 86.7 2.06Jul 12.7659 -1.49 85.0 -1.42 15.0132 -14.97 12.8464 -1.39 85.6 -1.32Ago 12.9178 1.19 85.9 1.02 15.0379 -14.10 13.3415 3.85 88.7 3.68Sep 13.0759 1.22 86.7 0.96 15.0770 -13.27 13.1747 -1.25 87.4 -1.51Oct 12.9992 -0.59 85.6 -1.31 15.1878 -14.41 13.0067 -1.28 85.6 -2.00Nov 13.0796 0.62 85.1 -0.51 15.3607 -14.85 13.1101 0.79 85.3 -0.34Dic 13.0076 -0.55 84.2 -1.13 15.4503 -15.81 13.0843 -0.20 84.7 -0.78
2014 13.0893 2.48 84.7 0.36 15.4563 -15.31 13.0489 -0.27 83.0 -2.04
Ene 13.2230 1.66 85.1 1.13 15.5306 -14.86 13.3769 2.24 86.1 3.83Feb 13.2808 0.44 85.6 0.55 15.5125 -14.39 13.2379 -1.04 85.3 -0.92Mar 13.1951 -0.65 85.4 -0.28 15.4554 -14.62 13.0549 -1.38 84.5 -1.02Abr 13.0708 -0.94 85.0 -0.43 15.3760 -14.99 13.0901 0.27 85.1 0.79May 12.9247 -1.12 84.6 -0.45 15.2735 -15.38 12.8609 -1.75 84.2 -1.09Jun 12.9958 0.55 85.0 0.50 15.2804 -14.95 12.9712 0.86 84.9 0.81Jul e/ 13.0159 0.15 84.9 -0.16 15.3290 -15.09 13.0437 0.56 85.1 0.24Ago 13.0326 0.13 84.9 0.01 15.3468 -15.08 13.0270 -0.13 84.9 -0.24Sep 13.0932 0.47 84.8 -0.09 15.4327 -15.16 13.0600 0.25 84.6 -0.30Oct 13.1370 0.33 84.6 -0.31 15.5318 -15.42 13.1183 0.45 84.5 -0.19Nov 13.0733 -0.48 83.4 -1.43 15.6804 -16.63 13.1080 -0.08 83.6 -1.03Dic 13.0296 -0.33 82.8 -0.64 15.7293 -17.16 13.0489 -0.45 83.0 -0.76
e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
G-2
Meses!!
H. Tasas de Interés
Cuadro H-1.Tasas Anuales de Interés Nominales y Reales 1980-2020
Cuadro H-2. Tasas Mensuales de Interés 2013-2014
H-1. Tasas Anuales de Interés: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Promedio anual)
Cetes 28 días México Estados Unidos México CCP en MN Tasa Objetivo Tasas InternacionalesAños Anual Anual Valores Privados Papel Comercial Vs. Anual Anual BANXICO Estados Unidos Inglaterra
Nominal Real Nominal Real Anual Nominal Real Anual EE.UU. Nominal Real Nominal Real Anual PRIME FED Funds LIBOR
1980 22.46 -3.79 23.30 -3.00 12.72 0.86 10.58 20.71 -5.43 ..... ..... 15.26 13.35 13.961981 30.77 5.30 32.31 6.89 15.71 7.32 16.60 28.58 3.07 ..... ..... 18.87 16.39 16.791982 43.19 -23.13 48.18 -19.34 11.84 8.35 36.34 40.40 -25.17 ..... ..... 14.85 12.24 12.951983 56.72 -3.72 49.90 -9.81 8.87 5.25 41.03 56.65 -3.78 ..... ..... 10.79 9.09 9.501984 48.59 1.17 49.61 2.16 10.07 6.35 39.54 51.10 3.63 ..... ..... 12.04 10.23 10.601985 60.18 9.86 76.17 27.80 7.94 4.27 68.23 56.07 5.64 ..... ..... 9.93 8.10 8.201986 86.74 12.30 102.98 30.54 6.61 5.65 96.37 80.88 6.31 ..... ..... 8.33 6.80 6.901987 95.97 -2.86 123.49 24.99 6.74 2.41 116.75 94.64 -4.05 ..... ..... 8.21 6.66 7.181988 69.15 29.16 55.39 13.32 7.58 3.28 47.81 67.64 27.32 ..... ..... 9.32 7.57 7.971989 45.01 29.96 40.92 24.93 9.11 4.64 31.81 44.61 29.46 ..... ..... 10.87 9.21 9.281990 34.76 8.42 27.06 0.58 8.15 2.22 18.91 37.07 10.88 ..... ..... 10.01 8.10 8.281991 19.28 1.92 21.80 4.48 5.89 2.90 15.91 25.56 8.40 ..... ..... 8.46 5.69 5.981992 15.62 4.33 25.82 15.34 3.71 0.85 22.11 18.78 7.63 ..... ..... 6.25 3.52 3.831993 14.99 7.45 17.98 10.67 3.17 0.45 14.81 18.56 11.31 ..... ..... 6.00 3.02 3.301994 14.10 7.47 19.30 13.13 4.43 1.80 14.87 15.50 8.97 ..... ..... 7.15 4.21 4.741995 48.44 5.80 59.43 17.54 5.93 3.46 53.50 45.12 2.48 ..... ..... 8.83 5.83 6.041996 31.39 6.75 36.39 10.77 5.43 2.19 30.95 31.69 6.05 ..... ..... 8.27 5.30 5.511997 19.80 5.17 22.14 7.62 5.55 3.93 16.59 20.04 5.42 ..... ..... 8.44 5.46 5.741998 24.76 7.73 26.36 9.42 5.42 3.88 20.94 22.39 5.25 ..... ..... 8.35 5.35 5.561999 21.41 10.08 23.74 12.63 5.11 2.48 18.63 20.89 9.52 22.45 11.21 8.00 4.97 5.412000 15.24 6.79 16.93 8.58 6.27 2.97 10.66 14.59 6.10 16.16 7.76 9.23 6.24 6.532001 11.31 7.19 12.80 8.78 3.79 2.27 9.01 10.95 6.82 11.95 7.87 6.91 3.88 3.782002 7.09 1.53 8.21 2.67 1.68 -0.67 6.53 6.17 0.61 7.15 1.60 4.67 1.67 1.792003 6.23 2.34 7.02 3.15 1.13 -0.73 5.90 5.15 1.25 6.15 2.26 4.12 1.13 1.222004 6.82 1.75 7.44 2.38 1.40 -1.79 6.04 5.41 0.34 6.75 1.68 4.34 1.35 1.622005 9.20 6.07 9.70 6.59 3.27 -0.09 6.42 7.64 4.43 9.30 6.17 6.19 3.22 3.562006 7.19 3.25 7.51 3.58 5.00 2.51 2.51 6.06 2.09 7.23 3.29 7.96 4.97 5.192007 7.19 3.54 7.56 3.92 5.07 1.06 2.49 5.99 2.31 7.23 3.58 8.05 5.02 5.302008 7.68 1.34 8.71 2.38 2.38 2.31 6.32 6.73 0.39 7.84 1.50 5.09 1.92 2.912009 5.43 1.92 7.07 3.61 0.26 -2.39 6.81 5.07 1.56 5.42 1.91 3.25 0.16 0.692010 4.40 0.09 5.29 0.97 0.20 -1.28 5.09 4.17 -0.15 4.50 0.18 3.25 0.18 0.342011 4.24 0.49 4.92 1.16 0.13 -2.75 4.79 4.18 0.43 4.50 0.75 3.25 0.10 0.342012 4.24 0.73 4.73 1.22 0.11 -1.60 4.62 4.20 0.68 4.50 0.99 3.25 0.14 0.432013 3.75 -0.15 4.26 0.36 0.09 -1.39 4.18 3.86 -0.05 3.97 0.06 3.25 0.11 0.27
2014 2.96 -0.80 3.53 -0.24 0.08 -1.88 3.45 3.18 -0.59 3.22 -0.55 3.25 0.09 0.242015 2.95 -0.47 3.49 0.07 0.31 -1.76 3.18 3.22 -0.20 3.23 -0.19 3.45 0.31 0.452016 4.25 0.65 4.82 1.23 1.15 -1.32 3.67 4.49 0.90 4.49 0.90 4.24 1.12 1.262017 5.46 1.38 6.04 1.97 2.25 0.27 3.80 5.67 1.59 5.68 1.60 5.23 2.11 2.262018 6.44 2.66 7.05 3.29 3.27 0.58 3.79 6.61 2.84 6.63 2.86 6.23 3.12 3.272019 6.60 2.91 7.23 3.55 3.35 1.61 3.88 6.75 3.06 6.77 3.08 6.27 3.18 3.322020 6.13 2.64 6.80 3.32 2.77 0.71 4.02 6.26 2.77 6.27 2.78 5.65 2.58 2.72
H-1
H-2. Tasas Mensuales de Interés: Escenario Base 2014(Promedio aritmético en el mes en por ciento anual)
Cetes 28 días México Estados Unidos México Tasa Objetivo Tasas InternacionalesAños Anual Real Valores Privados Papel Comercial Vs. BANXICO Estados Unidos Inglaterra
Nominal Anual Nominal Real Anual Nominal Real Anual EUA Nominal Real Anual PRIME FED Funds LIBOR
2013 3.75 -0.15 4.26 0.36 0.09 -1.39 4.17 3.97 0.06 3.25 0.11 0.27
Ene 4.15 -0.67 4.76 -0.07 0.11 -3.38 4.64 4.50 -0.33 3.25 0.14 0.30Feb 4.19 -1.71 4.76 -1.15 0.11 -9.22 4.64 4.50 -1.40 3.25 0.15 0.29Mar 3.98 -4.68 4.38 -4.30 0.11 -2.98 4.27 4.11 -4.55 3.25 0.14 0.28Abr 3.82 3.07 4.35 3.61 0.10 1.36 4.25 4.00 3.25 3.25 0.15 0.28May 3.72 8.02 4.35 8.70 0.09 -2.02 4.26 4.00 8.32 3.25 0.11 0.27Jun 3.78 4.61 4.24 5.09 0.07 -2.77 4.17 4.00 4.84 3.25 0.09 0.27Jul 3.85 4.33 4.43 4.94 0.08 -0.39 4.35 4.00 4.49 3.25 0.09 0.27Ago 3.84 0.42 4.29 0.87 0.07 -1.36 4.22 4.00 0.58 3.25 0.08 0.26Sep 3.64 -0.88 4.13 -0.39 0.06 -1.33 4.07 3.79 -0.73 3.25 0.08 0.25Oct 3.39 -2.28 3.89 -1.79 0.10 3.25 3.79 3.70 -1.97 3.25 0.09 0.24Nov 3.39 -7.45 3.78 -7.09 0.07 2.56 3.71 3.50 -7.35 3.25 0.08 0.24Dic 3.29 -3.53 3.79 -3.04 0.07 0.17 3.72 3.50 -3.32 3.25 0.09 0.24
2014 2.96 -0.80 3.53 -0.24 0.08 -1.88 3.45 3.22 -0.55 3.25 0.09 0.24
Ene 3.14 -7.26 3.83 -6.62 0.07 -4.29 3.76 3.50 -6.93 3.25 0.07 0.24Feb 3.16 0.13 3.80 0.77 0.07 -4.27 3.73 3.50 0.47 3.25 0.07 0.24Mar 3.17 -0.12 3.93 0.64 0.07 -7.35 3.86 3.50 0.21 3.25 0.08 0.23Abr 3.23 5.61 3.88 6.29 0.07 -3.81 3.81 3.50 5.89 3.25 0.09 0.23May 3.28 7.38 3.80 7.94 0.07 -4.03 3.73 3.50 7.61 3.25 0.09 0.23Jun 3.02 0.95 3.44 1.37 0.07 -1.45 3.36 3.08 1.01 3.25 0.10 0.24Jul e/ 2.84 -1.64 3.35 -1.14 0.08 -0.60 3.27 3.00 -1.48 3.25 0.10 0.24Ago 2.73 -0.65 3.26 -0.12 0.08 -1.88 3.17 3.00 -0.37 3.25 0.10 0.24Sep 2.73 -4.40 3.26 -3.89 0.08 -0.44 3.18 3.00 -4.14 3.25 0.10 0.24Oct 2.75 -1.47 3.27 -0.95 0.09 3.61 3.18 3.00 -1.22 3.25 0.10 0.24Nov 2.76 -5.78 3.27 -5.30 0.09 2.85 3.18 3.00 -5.55 3.25 0.11 0.25Dic 2.78 -1.41 3.30 -0.90 0.09 -0.36 3.21 3.00 -1.19 3.25 0.11 0.25
e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
H-2 Tasa Prime
I. Sector Financiero
Cuadro I-1.Ahorro Financiero y Crédito de la Banca Comercial
Al Sector Privado 1980-2020
Cuadro I-2.
Base y Oferta Monetaria 1980-2020
Cuadro I-3. Agregados Monetarios 1980-2020
Cuadro I-4.Crédito otorgado por la Banca Comercial al Sector Privado 1980-2020
Cuadro I-5.Banxico: Agregados Monetarios y Actividad Financiera 2013-2014
I-1. Ahorro Financiero y Crédito de la Banca Comercial al Sector Privado: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Millones de pesos)
Ahorro Financiero Crédito de la Banca Comercial al Sector Privado Años Nominal Real Nominal Real
Saldo Var.% % PIB Saldo Var.% Saldo Var.% % PIB Saldo Var.%
1980 1,204 46.2 20.5 1,423,381 12.6 719 42.8 12.2 849,535 10.01981 1,794 49.0 22.3 1,647,762 15.8 1,070 48.8 13.3 982,522 15.71982 3,146 75.3 24.2 1,452,831 -11.8 1,551 45.0 11.9 716,339 -27.11983 5,417 72.2 23.2 1,383,962 -4.7 2,673 72.4 11.4 683,032 -4.61984 9,271 71.1 24.1 1,488,173 7.5 4,769 78.4 12.4 765,598 12.11985 13,998 51.0 22.4 1,372,227 -7.8 7,328 53.6 11.7 718,340 -6.21986 29,914 113.7 29.1 1,425,290 3.9 13,584 85.4 13.2 647,240 -9.91987 76,732 156.5 30.3 1,410,646 -1.0 34,917 157.0 13.8 641,911 -0.81988 114,591 49.3 22.3 1,389,082 -1.5 52,550 50.5 10.2 637,020 -0.81989 182,094 58.9 26.8 1,844,120 32.8 93,816 78.5 13.8 950,104 49.11990 269,085 47.8 29.4 2,097,374 13.7 152,449 62.5 16.6 1,188,262 25.11991 354,299 31.7 30.1 2,324,658 10.8 234,892 54.1 19.9 1,541,192 29.71992 420,372 18.6 30.0 2,464,025 6.0 342,373 45.8 24.4 2,006,829 30.21993 536,874 27.7 34.2 2,913,554 18.2 425,739 24.3 27.1 2,310,437 15.11994 672,198 25.2 37.8 3,407,650 17.0 535,654 25.8 30.1 2,715,455 17.51995 808,554 20.3 36.6 2,697,244 -20.8 591,162 10.4 26.8 1,972,049 -27.41996 1,041,988 28.9 34.5 2,721,866 0.9 595,867 0.8 19.7 1,556,514 -21.11997 1,329,001 27.5 34.9 3,000,035 10.2 579,247 -2.8 15.2 1,307,569 -16.01998 1,672,082 25.8 36.5 3,182,295 6.1 500,479 -13.6 10.9 952,508 -27.21999 1,975,098 18.1 35.7 3,346,722 5.2 470,401 -6.0 8.5 797,074 -16.32000 2,254,029 14.1 34.9 3,505,308 4.7 482,344 2.5 7.5 750,108 -5.92001 2,647,266 17.4 39.1 3,943,204 12.5 482,192 0.0 7.1 718,243 -4.22002 2,893,378 9.3 40.4 4,077,368 3.4 519,743 7.8 7.3 732,425 2.02003 3,261,306 12.7 42.4 4,420,088 8.4 558,049 7.4 7.3 756,330 3.32004 3,627,665 11.2 41.7 4,673,999 5.7 704,230 26.2 8.1 907,352 20.02005 4,209,729 16.0 44.6 5,249,012 12.3 888,523 26.2 9.4 1,107,879 22.12006 4,811,851 14.3 45.7 5,766,070 9.9 1,163,027 30.9 11.0 1,393,662 25.82007 5,289,910 9.9 46.4 6,109,281 6.0 1,485,885 27.8 13.0 1,716,039 23.12008 6,186,186 16.9 50.5 6,706,569 9.8 1,655,196 11.4 13.5 1,794,432 4.62009 6,589,749 6.5 54.5 6,897,592 2.8 1,615,013 -2.4 13.4 1,690,459 -5.82010 7,437,877 12.9 56.0 7,457,110 8.1 1,752,906 8.5 13.2 1,757,438 4.02011 8,664,657 16.5 59.6 8,367,526 12.2 2,050,155 17.0 14.1 1,979,851 12.72012 9,950,859 14.8 63.7 9,278,536 10.9 2,288,376 11.6 14.7 2,133,764 7.82013 10,872,132 9.3 67.5 9,750,048 5.1 2,506,651 9.5 15.6 2,247,946 5.4
2014 12,296,073 13.1 72.1 10,619,392 8.9 2,840,238 13.3 16.7 2,452,946 9.12015 14,142,595 15.0 77.3 11,803,374 11.1 3,316,293 16.8 18.1 2,767,770 12.82016 16,607,512 17.4 83.5 13,371,365 13.3 3,996,175 20.5 20.1 3,217,478 16.22017 19,877,082 19.7 90.8 15,363,738 14.9 5,004,793 25.2 22.9 3,868,391 20.22018 23,519,372 18.3 97.7 17,501,388 13.9 6,128,642 22.5 25.4 4,560,485 17.92019 27,434,004 16.6 104.4 19,670,021 12.4 7,380,836 20.4 28.1 5,292,016 16.02020 31,535,956 15.0 110.5 21,831,518 11.0 8,775,727 18.9 30.7 6,075,207 14.8
I-1
I-2. Base y Oferta Monetaria: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Millones de pesos)
Base Monetaria Por sus Fuentes Por sus UsosAños Saldo Nominal Saldo Real Reserva Crédito Billetes y monedas Depósitos
Pesos Var.% Flujo Pesos Var.% BANXICO Interno Neto Público Bancos bancarios
1980 195 30.1 45 230,100 0.2 93 102 195 0 01981 282 44.8 87 258,892 12.5 132 150 282 0 01982 503 78.6 222 232,501 -10.2 176 327 503 0 01983 678 34.7 175 173,219 -25.5 709 -31 678 0 01984 1,119 65.0 441 179,611 3.7 1,561 -442 1,119 0 01985 2,741 145.0 1,622 268,705 49.6 2,061 680 1,732 156 8531986 5,424 97.9 2,683 258,427 -3.8 6,029 -605 3,066 319 2,0391987 11,031 103.4 5,607 202,794 -21.5 28,814 -17,783 7,318 747 2,9661988 17,514 58.8 6,483 212,310 4.7 14,551 2,963 13,161 1,362 2,9921989 22,225 26.9 4,710 225,075 6.0 17,484 4,740 17,992 1,668 2,5641990 30,121 35.5 7,897 234,779 4.3 29,950 171 24,604 2,474 3,0441991 38,581 28.1 8,460 253,142 7.8 53,886 -15,304 32,418 3,754 2,4091992 43,972 14.0 5,391 257,746 1.8 57,803 -13,831 38,013 4,002 1,9571993 47,193 7.3 3,220 256,110 -0.6 76,211 -29,018 43,231 3,962 01994 56,935 20.6 9,743 288,630 12.7 32,739 24,196 51,858 5,063 151995 66,809 17.3 9,873 222,866 -22.8 120,301 -53,492 60,658 6,151 01996 83,991 25.7 17,182 219,400 -1.6 137,804 -53,813 74,089 9,902 01997 108,891 29.6 24,900 245,807 12.0 225,930 -117,039 94,196 14,540 1561998 131,528 20.8 22,637 250,323 1.8 298,273 -166,745 115,934 15,175 4191999 188,718 43.5 57,190 319,775 27.7 291,925 -103,206 164,195 24,523 02000 208,943 10.7 20,225 324,934 1.6 322,456 -113,513 182,016 26,864 632001 225,580 8.0 16,637 336,011 3.4 374,848 -149,268 198,919 26,304 3582002 263,937 17.0 38,356 371,942 10.7 500,920 -236,983 232,217 31,720 02003 303,614 15.0 39,677 411,492 10.6 645,407 -341,793 263,595 40,019 02004 340,178 12.0 36,564 438,296 6.5 685,653 -345,475 301,162 39,016 02005 380,034 11.7 39,856 473,855 8.1 730,253 -350,219 336,171 43,863 02006 449,821 18.4 69,788 539,024 13.8 731,725 -281,904 389,598 60,223 02007 494,743 10.0 44,922 571,376 6.0 851,324 -356,580 430,084 64,660 02008 577,543 16.7 82,799 626,126 9.6 1,181,863 -604,320 494,400 83,143 02009 632,032 9.4 54,490 661,558 5.7 1,186,878 -554,845 537,070 94,868 952010 693,423 9.7 61,391 695,216 5.1 1,402,872 -709,448 599,363 94,060 02011 763,492 10.1 70,069 737,310 6.1 1,987,191 -1,223,699 665,916 97,575 12012 846,019 10.8 82,528 788,859 7.0 2,120,108 -1,274,088 734,034 111,361 6242013 917,876 8.5 71,856 823,144 4.3 2,309,662 -1,391,787 792,928 124,947 1
2014 1,007,011 9.7 89,136 869,696 5.7 2,588,988 -1,581,976 886,493 120,518 02015 1,098,113 9.0 91,101 916,482 5.4 2,842,180 -1,744,068 964,505 133,608 02016 1,207,017 9.9 108,904 971,817 6.0 3,032,156 -1,825,138 1,053,239 153,778 02017 1,341,661 11.2 134,644 1,037,019 6.7 3,186,844 -1,845,184 1,155,403 186,257 02018 1,483,475 10.6 141,815 1,103,893 6.4 3,348,256 -1,864,781 1,250,146 233,329 02019 1,627,366 9.7 143,891 1,166,812 5.7 3,504,440 -1,877,074 1,345,157 282,209 02020 1,773,935 9.0 146,569 1,228,049 5.2 3,604,315 -1,830,379 1,440,664 333,272 0
(Continúa)
I-2
(Continuación)
Oferta Monetaria M1 Coeficiente de Multiplicador Velocidad de Coeficiente de % PIBAños Saldo Nominal Saldo Real Monetización Monetario Circulación Liquidez Base Oferta
Pesos Var.% Flujo Pesos Var.% de la Economía M1/BM PIB/M1 M1/PIB Monetaria Monetaria
1980 492 33.4 123 581,603 2.7 -8.24 2.528 11.953 0.0837 3.3 8.41981 656 33.3 164 602,570 3.6 3.67 2.327 12.288 0.0814 3.5 8.11982 1,011 54.1 355 466,887 -22.5 -9.72 2.008 12.841 0.0779 3.9 7.81983 1,430 41.4 419 365,280 -21.8 -22.81 2.109 16.353 0.0611 2.9 6.11984 2,321 62.3 891 372,609 2.0 0.27 2.075 16.606 0.0602 2.9 6.01985 3,447 48.5 1,126 337,921 -9.3 46.40 1.258 18.138 0.0551 4.4 5.51986 5,698 65.3 2,251 271,492 -19.7 -0.77 1.051 18.010 0.0555 5.3 5.61987 12,759 123.9 7,061 234,569 -13.6 -22.86 1.157 19.868 0.0503 4.4 5.01988 21,434 68.0 8,675 259,829 10.8 3.37 1.224 24.011 0.0416 3.4 4.21989 30,835 43.9 9,401 312,277 20.2 1.83 1.387 22.034 0.0454 3.3 4.51990 50,959 65.3 20,124 397,198 27.2 -0.82 1.692 17.977 0.0556 3.3 5.61991 113,636 123.0 62,677 745,596 87.7 3.46 2.945 10.370 0.0964 3.3 9.61992 131,733 15.9 18,097 772,157 3.6 -1.66 2.996 10.637 0.0940 3.1 9.41993 157,047 19.2 25,314 852,275 10.4 -2.99 3.328 9.998 0.1000 3.0 10.01994 163,816 4.3 6,769 830,451 -2.6 7.61 2.877 10.864 0.0920 3.2 9.21995 171,642 4.8 7,826 572,577 -31.1 -18.07 2.569 12.858 0.0778 3.0 7.81996 245,260 42.9 73,619 640,665 11.9 -7.02 2.920 12.314 0.0812 2.8 8.11997 325,760 32.8 80,500 735,358 14.8 4.74 2.992 11.681 0.0856 2.9 8.61998 388,240 19.2 62,480 738,896 0.5 -2.74 2.952 11.813 0.0847 2.9 8.51999 489,943 26.2 101,703 830,189 12.4 24.43 2.596 11.307 0.0884 3.4 8.82000 565,014 15.3 75,071 878,671 5.8 -3.50 2.704 11.441 0.0874 3.2 8.72001 680,706 20.5 115,692 1,013,938 15.4 4.04 3.018 9.946 0.1005 3.3 10.12002 766,486 12.6 85,780 1,080,137 6.5 10.55 2.904 9.342 0.1070 3.7 10.72003 857,692 11.9 91,206 1,162,440 7.6 9.08 2.825 8.972 0.1115 3.9 11.12004 946,567 10.4 88,875 1,219,587 4.9 2.13 2.783 9.184 0.1089 3.9 10.92005 1,068,500 12.9 121,933 1,332,288 9.2 4.93 2.812 8.836 0.1132 4.0 11.32006 1,218,520 14.0 150,020 1,460,159 9.6 8.34 2.709 8.648 0.1156 4.3 11.62007 1,350,053 10.8 131,534 1,559,167 6.8 2.77 2.729 8.447 0.1184 4.3 11.82008 1,482,920 9.8 132,867 1,607,664 3.1 8.07 2.568 8.265 0.1210 4.7 12.12009 1,614,642 8.9 131,722 1,690,071 5.1 10.87 2.555 7.490 0.1335 5.2 13.42010 1,833,317 13.5 218,675 1,838,058 8.8 -0.02 2.644 7.245 0.1380 5.2 13.82011 2,083,179 13.6 249,862 2,011,742 9.4 1.93 2.728 6.985 0.1432 5.2 14.32012 2,280,049 9.5 196,870 2,125,999 5.7 2.89 2.695 6.849 0.1460 5.4 14.62013 2,513,758 10.3 233,709 2,254,319 6.0 3.24 2.739 6.407 0.1561 5.7 15.6
2014 2,868,037 14.1 354,279 2,476,954 9.9 2.64 2.848 5.943 0.1683 5.9 16.82015 3,225,303 12.5 357,266 2,691,830 8.7 1.19 2.937 5.671 0.1763 6.0 17.62016 3,644,741 13.0 419,438 2,934,525 9.0 0.76 3.020 5.459 0.1832 6.1 18.32017 4,136,754 13.5 492,013 3,197,451 9.0 0.64 3.083 5.294 0.1889 6.1 18.92018 4,674,848 13.0 538,094 3,478,678 8.8 0.57 3.151 5.152 0.1941 6.2 19.42019 5,266,215 12.6 591,367 3,775,845 8.5 0.47 3.236 4.990 0.2004 6.2 20.02020 5,909,598 12.2 643,383 4,091,060 8.3 0.38 3.331 4.831 0.2070 6.2 20.7
(Conclusión)
I-3
Billetes Cuenta de Cuenta de Depósitos Captación Valores Valores Fondos para Captación Valores Captación en el exterior AHORRO
Años M1 y Cheques Cheques Corrientes M2 Bancaria Públicos Entidades la Vivienda M3 Bancaria no Públicos no M4 de Si de No FINANCIERO
Monedas M.N. M.E. y otros Residentes Residentes Privadas y otros Residentes Residentes Residentes Residentes (M4-ByM)
1980 492 195 267 30 …. 1,246 …. …. …. …. 1,285 …. …. 1,399 …. …. 1,2041981 656 282 330 44 …. 1,907 …. …. …. …. 1,975 …. …. 2,076 …. …. 1,7941982 1,011 503 489 18 …. 3,265 …. …. …. …. 3,526 …. …. 3,649 …. …. 3,1461983 1,430 678 725 27 …. 5,275 …. …. …. …. 5,691 …. …. 6,095 …. …. 5,4171984 2,321 1,119 1,168 34 …. 8,971 …. …. …. …. 9,695 …. …. 10,390 …. …. 9,2711985 3,447 1,732 1,707 8 …. 14,653 9,567 1,457 181 …. 15,484 113 …. 15,730 205 42 13,9981986 5,698 3,066 2,602 31 …. 29,940 19,929 3,710 603 …. 32,140 222 …. 32,980 732 109 29,9141987 12,759 7,318 5,194 247 …. 74,635 46,666 14,347 862 …. 80,276 435 …. 84,050 2,884 890 76,7321988 21,434 13,161 7,618 656 …. 114,400 56,760 34,687 1,519 …. 122,461 857 …. 127,751 3,622 1,668 114,5911989 30,835 17,992 11,201 923 719 183,083 89,114 56,317 6,816 …. 191,640 858 …. 200,086 5,800 2,646 182,0941990 50,959 24,604 22,482 1,333 2,541 262,666 124,439 76,491 10,777 …. 277,791 1,139 5,407 293,689 5,268 10,630 269,0851991 113,636 32,418 74,474 2,012 4,732 334,366 143,671 58,155 18,904 …. 357,975 1,222 17,700 386,716 6,529 22,213 354,2991992 131,733 38,013 84,651 2,912 6,156 380,488 190,433 30,156 22,654 5,512 426,853 929 45,436 458,385 7,057 24,475 420,3721993 157,047 43,231 101,843 3,741 8,231 469,517 222,059 46,769 27,654 15,988 540,624 872 70,235 580,104 6,625 32,856 536,8741994 163,816 51,858 95,001 7,028 9,929 554,782 293,942 41,932 26,272 28,820 656,954 2,502 99,671 724,056 16,863 50,238 672,1981995 171,642 60,658 88,706 11,215 11,063 754,410 443,841 68,031 22,447 48,450 784,498 4,664 25,424 869,212 29,090 55,624 808,5541996 245,258 74,089 134,132 17,833 19,204 995,164 534,023 104,944 31,683 79,256 1,025,833 5,401 25,268 1,116,077 40,343 49,901 1,041,9881997 325,760 94,196 175,530 24,512 31,522 1,312,888 608,217 215,818 43,039 120,054 1,343,364 5,137 25,340 1,423,196 41,388 38,444 1,329,0011998 388,240 115,934 193,832 37,181 41,293 1,675,591 765,882 326,893 58,646 135,930 1,702,126 4,265 22,270 1,788,015 41,598 44,291 1,672,0821999 489,943 164,195 233,116 43,087 49,545 2,048,717 784,437 545,106 54,975 174,254 2,065,598 6,774 10,108 2,139,293 33,938 39,757 1,975,0982000 565,014 182,016 266,939 48,914 67,145 2,351,286 694,437 786,021 85,048 220,766 2,379,664 19,576 8,802 2,436,045 35,700 20,681 2,254,0292001 680,706 198,919 316,197 84,225 81,365 2,768,943 694,269 1,038,103 92,031 263,834 2,797,357 11,244 17,170 2,846,185 32,973 15,855 2,647,2662002 766,486 232,217 352,339 84,289 97,641 3,056,567 646,033 1,224,062 131,860 288,127 3,081,821 7,685 17,569 3,125,595 30,257 13,517 2,893,3782003 857,692 263,595 396,038 73,993 124,065 3,458,401 733,174 1,358,028 175,368 334,140 3,492,236 9,081 24,755 3,524,901 19,139 13,525 3,261,3062004 946,567 301,162 408,726 96,836 139,842 3,800,700 808,297 1,459,194 204,259 382,384 3,889,855 10,787 78,368 3,928,827 29,375 9,597 3,627,6652005 1,068,500 336,171 471,703 95,279 165,347 4,366,056 870,375 1,776,394 213,642 437,144 4,503,844 24,548 113,241 4,545,899 27,322 14,734 4,209,7292006 1,218,520 389,598 532,663 97,698 198,561 4,972,338 874,047 2,131,531 248,396 499,845 5,149,697 32,587 144,772 5,201,449 42,812 8,940 4,811,8512007 1,350,053 430,084 604,757 97,679 217,534 5,384,859 998,556 2,213,152 297,527 525,570 5,647,690 35,147 227,684 5,719,994 47,930 24,374 5,289,9102008 1,482,920 494,400 623,403 117,784 247,334 6,269,942 1,253,636 2,422,824 307,751 802,810 6,596,618 48,018 278,658 6,680,585 53,559 30,409 6,186,1862009 1,614,642 537,070 654,923 139,506 283,144 6,672,271 1,255,330 2,654,726 307,096 840,476 7,052,965 54,406 326,289 7,126,818 44,983 28,870 6,589,7492010 1,833,317 599,363 794,128 128,134 311,693 7,207,837 1,260,108 2,873,783 332,008 908,620 7,952,033 108,118 636,078 8,037,240 43,146 42,060 7,437,8772011 2,083,179 665,916 934,698 132,854 349,712 8,065,740 1,339,323 3,274,023 383,161 986,054 9,227,071 126,321 1,035,010 9,330,572 32,035 71,466 8,664,6572012 2,280,049 734,034 979,413 163,611 402,991 8,740,157 1,441,523 3,583,883 391,875 1,042,827 10,573,933 119,812 1,713,964 10,684,893 22,552 88,408 9,950,8592013 2,513,758 792,928 1,082,702 189,020 449,108 9,507,203 1,528,338 3,913,774 435,277 1,116,056 11,566,141 136,194 1,922,743 11,665,060 25,763 73,156 10,872,132
2014 2,868,037 886,493 1,246,190 229,092 506,262 10,613,506 1,731,607 4,352,407 458,346 1,203,108 13,084,988 157,032 2,314,450 13,182,566 26,690 70,889 12,296,0732015 3,225,303 964,505 1,425,641 267,351 567,807 11,925,296 1,958,448 4,914,861 493,639 1,333,044 15,005,696 190,480 2,889,920 15,107,099 28,105 73,299 14,142,5952016 3,644,741 1,053,239 1,639,487 313,068 638,947 13,622,625 2,244,381 5,645,552 546,952 1,540,999 17,550,318 248,767 3,678,926 17,660,751 30,831 79,602 16,607,5122017 4,136,754 1,155,403 1,891,968 368,481 720,902 15,810,343 2,632,659 6,588,534 635,558 1,816,837 20,903,602 344,044 4,749,215 21,032,485 34,315 94,568 19,877,0822018 4,674,848 1,250,146 2,177,655 435,176 811,870 18,117,990 3,038,089 7,558,637 733,434 2,112,982 24,622,555 461,363 6,043,202 24,769,519 37,644 109,320 23,519,3722019 5,266,215 1,345,157 2,495,593 515,248 910,216 20,541,449 3,484,688 8,523,856 834,648 2,432,042 28,616,762 605,309 7,470,004 28,779,162 40,617 121,783 27,434,0042020 5,909,598 1,440,664 2,839,985 612,115 1,016,834 23,029,699 3,958,605 9,485,706 937,310 2,738,480 32,800,335 764,505 9,006,131 32,976,619 43,176 133,109 31,535,956
(Continuación)
I-3. Agregados Monetarios: Escenario Base 2014-2020Miles de Pesos Corrientes
I-4
Billetes Cuenta de Cuenta de Depósitos Captación Valores Valores Fondos para Captación Valores Captación en el exterior AHORRO
Años M1 y Cheques Cheques Corrientes M2 Bancaria Públicos Entidades la Vivienda M3 Bancaria no Públicos no M4 de Si de No FINANCIERO
Monedas M.N. M.E. y otros Residentes Residentes Privadas y otros Residentes Residentes Residentes Residentes (M4-ByM)
1980 2.7 0.2 4.5 4.0 …. 10.9 …. …. …. …. 12.2 …. …. 10.7 …. …. 12.61981 3.6 12.5 -4.0 13.6 …. 18.9 …. …. …. …. 19.4 …. …. 15.3 …. …. 15.81982 -22.5 -10.2 -25.4 -79.2 …. -13.9 …. …. …. …. -10.2 …. …. -11.6 …. …. -11.81983 -21.8 -25.5 -18.1 -18.1 …. -10.6 …. …. …. …. -10.7 …. …. -7.6 …. …. -4.71984 2.0 3.7 1.3 -20.5 …. 6.8 …. …. …. …. 7.0 …. …. 7.1 …. …. 7.51985 -9.3 -5.5 -10.8 -85.1 …. -0.3 …. …. …. …. -2.5 …. …. -7.5 …. …. -7.81986 -19.7 -14.0 -25.9 77.2 …. -0.7 1.2 23.7 61.8 …. 0.9 -4.6 …. 1.9 73.9 26.9 3.91987 -13.6 -7.9 -23.0 211.5 …. -3.8 -9.6 49.2 -44.8 …. -3.6 -24.4 …. -1.7 52.1 215.3 -1.01988 10.8 18.6 -3.3 75.1 …. 1.1 -19.8 59.4 16.1 …. 0.6 29.7 …. 0.2 -17.2 23.7 -1.51989 20.2 14.2 22.8 17.5 …. 33.7 31.2 35.6 274.9 …. 30.7 -16.3 …. 30.8 33.8 32.5 32.81990 27.2 5.2 54.5 11.2 172.0 10.4 7.5 4.5 21.7 …. 11.6 2.1 …. 13.0 -30.1 209.2 13.71991 87.7 10.9 178.9 27.1 56.8 7.2 -2.8 -36.0 47.7 …. 8.5 -9.7 175.5 10.8 4.3 75.9 10.81992 3.6 4.8 1.5 29.3 16.2 1.7 18.4 -53.7 7.1 …. 6.5 -32.1 129.3 5.9 -3.4 -1.6 6.01993 10.4 5.3 11.4 19.0 23.8 14.2 8.0 43.6 13.0 168.5 17.3 -13.1 43.1 17.2 -13.1 24.3 18.21994 -2.6 12.1 -12.9 75.5 12.7 10.4 23.7 -16.2 -11.3 68.4 13.5 168.1 32.6 16.6 137.8 42.8 17.01995 -31.1 -23.0 -38.6 5.0 -26.7 -10.5 -0.6 6.8 -43.8 10.6 -21.4 22.7 -83.2 -21.0 13.5 -27.1 -20.81996 11.9 -4.4 18.4 24.5 35.9 3.3 -5.8 20.8 10.5 28.1 2.4 -9.3 -22.2 0.5 8.6 -29.8 0.91997 14.8 9.9 13.1 18.8 41.8 14.0 -1.6 77.7 17.4 30.9 13.2 -17.8 -13.3 10.2 -11.3 -33.4 10.21998 0.5 3.8 -6.9 27.9 10.4 7.6 6.2 27.7 14.9 -4.5 6.8 -30.0 -25.9 5.9 -15.3 -2.9 6.11999 12.4 26.1 7.1 3.2 6.8 8.9 -8.8 48.5 -16.5 14.1 8.0 41.4 -59.6 6.5 -27.4 -20.1 5.22000 5.8 1.7 5.1 4.2 24.4 5.3 -18.8 32.3 42.0 16.3 5.7 165.2 -20.1 4.5 -3.5 -52.3 4.72001 15.4 4.7 13.5 64.9 16.1 12.8 -4.2 26.5 3.6 14.5 12.6 -45.0 86.8 11.9 -11.5 -26.6 12.52002 6.5 10.4 5.4 -5.3 13.5 4.4 -12.0 11.6 35.6 3.3 4.2 -35.3 -3.2 3.9 -13.2 -19.3 3.42003 7.6 9.2 8.1 -15.6 22.2 8.8 9.1 6.7 27.9 11.5 9.0 13.6 35.5 8.5 -39.2 -3.8 8.42004 4.9 8.6 -1.9 24.4 7.2 4.5 4.8 2.1 10.7 8.8 5.9 12.9 201.0 6.0 45.9 -32.5 5.72005 9.2 8.0 11.7 -4.8 14.4 11.2 4.2 17.8 1.2 10.6 12.1 120.2 39.8 12.0 -10.0 48.6 12.32006 9.6 11.4 8.5 -1.5 15.4 9.4 -3.5 15.3 11.7 9.9 9.9 27.6 22.9 10.0 50.6 -41.7 9.92007 6.8 6.4 9.4 -3.6 5.6 4.4 10.1 0.1 15.4 1.3 5.7 3.9 51.6 6.0 7.9 162.8 6.02008 3.1 7.9 -3.2 13.2 6.7 9.3 17.9 2.8 -2.9 43.4 9.6 28.2 14.9 9.6 4.9 17.1 9.82009 5.1 4.9 1.4 14.4 10.5 2.7 -3.3 5.8 -3.7 1.1 3.2 9.4 13.1 3.0 -18.9 -8.3 2.82010 8.8 6.9 16.1 -12.0 5.4 3.5 -3.9 3.7 3.6 3.5 8.0 90.3 86.7 8.0 -8.1 39.5 8.12011 9.4 7.0 13.4 -0.1 8.1 7.8 2.4 9.7 11.2 4.5 11.8 12.5 56.7 11.8 -28.5 63.7 12.22012 5.7 6.4 1.2 18.9 11.3 4.6 3.9 5.7 -1.2 2.1 10.6 -8.4 59.9 10.6 -32.0 19.4 10.92013 6.0 3.9 6.3 11.1 7.2 4.6 2.0 5.0 6.8 2.9 5.2 9.3 7.9 5.0 9.9 -20.4 5.1
2014 9.9 7.7 10.8 16.7 8.6 7.5 9.1 7.1 1.4 3.8 8.9 11.0 15.9 8.8 -0.2 -6.7 8.92015 8.7 5.1 10.6 12.8 8.4 8.6 9.3 9.1 4.1 7.1 10.8 17.2 20.7 10.7 1.8 -0.1 11.12016 9.0 5.3 10.9 13.0 8.6 10.2 10.6 10.8 6.9 11.5 12.8 26.0 22.8 12.8 5.8 4.8 13.32017 9.0 5.3 10.8 13.0 8.3 11.4 12.6 12.0 11.6 13.2 14.3 32.8 23.9 14.3 6.8 14.0 14.92018 8.8 4.2 10.8 13.7 8.4 10.3 11.1 10.4 11.1 12.0 13.4 29.1 22.5 13.4 5.6 11.3 13.92019 8.5 3.7 10.4 14.1 8.0 9.2 10.5 8.7 9.7 10.9 12.0 26.4 19.1 12.0 4.0 7.3 12.42020 8.3 3.4 9.9 14.7 7.9 8.2 9.7 7.4 8.4 8.7 10.7 21.9 16.4 10.6 2.6 5.5 11.0
(Continuación)
I-3. Agregados Monetarios: Escenario Base 2014-2020Variación % anual real
I-5
Billetes Cuenta de Cuenta de Depósitos Captación Valores Valores Fondos para Captación Valores Captación en el exterior AHORRO
Años M1 y Cheques Cheques Corrientes M2 Bancaria Públicos Entidades la Vivienda M3 Bancaria no Públicos no M4 de Si de No FINANCIERO
Monedas M.N. M.E. y otros Residentes Residentes Privadas y otros Residentes Residentes Residentes Residentes (M4-ByM)
1980 8.4 3.3 4.5 0.5 …. 21.2 …. …. …. …. 21.8 …. …. 23.8 …. …. 20.51981 8.1 3.5 4.1 0.5 …. 23.7 …. …. …. …. 24.5 …. …. 25.8 …. …. 22.31982 7.8 3.9 3.8 0.1 …. 25.1 …. …. …. …. 27.2 …. …. 28.1 …. …. 24.21983 6.1 2.9 3.1 0.1 …. 22.6 …. …. …. …. 24.3 …. …. 26.1 …. …. 23.21984 6.0 2.9 3.0 0.1 …. 23.3 …. …. …. …. 25.2 …. …. 27.0 …. …. 24.11985 5.5 2.8 2.7 0.0 …. 23.4 15.3 2.3 0.3 0.0 24.8 0.2 0.0 25.2 0.3 0.1 22.41986 5.6 3.0 2.5 0.0 …. 29.2 19.4 3.6 0.6 0.0 31.3 0.2 0.0 32.1 0.7 0.1 29.11987 5.0 2.9 2.0 0.1 …. 29.4 18.4 5.7 0.3 0.0 31.7 0.2 0.0 33.2 1.1 0.4 30.31988 4.2 2.6 1.5 0.1 …. 22.2 11.0 6.7 0.3 0.0 23.8 0.2 0.0 24.8 0.7 0.3 22.31989 4.5 2.6 1.6 0.1 0.1 26.9 13.1 8.3 1.0 0.0 28.2 0.1 0.0 29.4 0.9 0.4 26.81990 5.6 2.7 2.5 0.1 0.3 28.7 13.6 8.3 1.2 0.0 30.3 0.1 0.6 32.1 0.6 1.2 29.41991 9.6 2.8 6.3 0.2 0.4 28.4 12.2 4.9 1.6 0.0 30.4 0.1 1.5 32.8 0.6 1.9 30.11992 9.4 2.7 6.0 0.2 0.4 27.2 13.6 2.2 1.6 0.4 30.5 0.1 3.2 32.7 0.5 1.7 30.01993 10.0 2.8 6.5 0.2 0.5 29.9 14.1 3.0 1.8 1.0 34.4 0.1 4.5 36.9 0.4 2.1 34.21994 9.2 2.9 5.3 0.4 0.6 31.2 16.5 2.4 1.5 1.6 36.9 0.1 5.6 40.7 0.9 2.8 37.81995 7.8 2.7 4.0 0.5 0.5 34.2 20.1 3.1 1.0 2.2 35.5 0.2 1.2 39.4 1.3 2.5 36.61996 8.1 2.5 4.4 0.6 0.6 33.0 17.7 3.5 1.0 2.6 34.0 0.2 0.8 37.0 1.3 1.7 34.51997 8.6 2.5 4.6 0.6 0.8 34.5 16.0 5.7 1.1 3.2 35.3 0.1 0.7 37.4 1.1 1.0 34.91998 8.5 2.5 4.2 0.8 0.9 36.5 16.7 7.1 1.3 3.0 37.1 0.1 0.5 39.0 0.9 1.0 36.51999 8.8 3.0 4.2 0.8 0.9 37.0 14.2 9.8 1.0 3.1 37.3 0.1 0.2 38.6 0.6 0.7 35.72000 8.7 2.8 4.1 0.8 1.0 36.4 10.7 12.2 1.3 3.4 36.8 0.3 0.1 37.7 0.6 0.3 34.92001 10.1 2.9 4.7 1.2 1.2 40.9 10.3 15.3 1.4 3.9 41.3 0.2 0.3 42.0 0.5 0.2 39.12002 10.7 3.2 4.9 1.2 1.4 42.7 9.0 17.1 1.8 4.0 43.0 0.1 0.2 43.7 0.4 0.2 40.42003 11.1 3.4 5.1 1.0 1.6 44.9 9.5 17.6 2.3 4.3 45.4 0.1 0.3 45.8 0.2 0.2 42.42004 10.9 3.5 4.7 1.1 1.6 43.7 9.3 16.8 2.3 4.4 44.7 0.1 0.9 45.2 0.3 0.1 41.72005 11.3 3.6 5.0 1.0 1.8 46.2 9.2 18.8 2.3 4.6 47.7 0.3 1.2 48.1 0.3 0.2 44.62006 11.6 3.7 5.1 0.9 1.9 47.2 8.3 20.2 2.4 4.7 48.9 0.3 1.4 49.4 0.4 0.1 45.72007 11.8 3.8 5.3 0.9 1.9 47.2 8.8 19.4 2.6 4.6 49.5 0.3 2.0 50.2 0.4 0.2 46.42008 12.1 4.0 5.1 1.0 2.0 51.2 10.2 19.8 2.5 6.5 53.8 0.4 2.3 54.5 0.4 0.2 50.52009 13.4 4.4 5.4 1.2 2.3 55.2 10.4 22.0 2.5 6.9 58.3 0.4 2.7 58.9 0.4 0.2 54.52010 13.8 4.5 6.0 1.0 2.3 54.3 9.5 21.6 2.5 6.8 59.9 0.8 4.8 60.5 0.3 0.3 56.02011 14.3 4.6 6.4 0.9 2.4 55.4 9.2 22.5 2.6 6.8 63.4 0.9 7.1 64.1 0.2 0.5 59.62012 14.6 4.7 6.3 1.0 2.6 56.0 9.2 23.0 2.5 6.7 67.7 0.8 11.0 68.4 0.1 0.6 63.72013 15.6 4.9 6.7 1.2 2.8 59.0 9.5 24.3 2.7 6.9 71.8 0.8 11.9 72.4 0.2 0.5 67.5
2014 16.8 5.2 7.3 1.3 3.0 62.3 10.2 25.5 2.7 7.1 76.8 0.9 13.6 77.3 0.2 0.4 72.12015 17.6 5.3 7.8 1.5 3.1 65.2 10.7 26.9 2.7 7.3 82.0 1.0 15.8 82.6 0.2 0.4 77.32016 18.3 5.3 8.2 1.6 3.2 68.5 11.3 28.4 2.7 7.7 88.2 1.3 18.5 88.8 0.2 0.4 83.52017 18.9 5.3 8.6 1.7 3.3 72.2 12.0 30.1 2.9 8.3 95.4 1.6 21.7 96.0 0.2 0.4 90.82018 19.4 5.2 9.0 1.8 3.4 75.2 12.6 31.4 3.0 8.8 102.2 1.9 25.1 102.8 0.2 0.5 97.72019 20.0 5.1 9.5 2.0 3.5 78.2 13.3 32.4 3.2 9.3 108.9 2.3 28.4 109.5 0.2 0.5 104.42020 20.7 5.0 9.9 2.1 3.6 80.7 13.9 33.2 3.3 9.6 114.9 2.7 31.5 115.5 0.2 0.5 110.5
(Conclusión)
I-3. Agregados Monetarios: Escenario Base 2014-2020% del PIB
I-6
Total Intermediarios
Años Crédito Tarjetas Bienes Interés Media y Sector Industria Sector Sector Financieros
Vigente Subtotal de Crédito Duraderos Otros Subtotal Social Residencial Subtotal Primario Manufacturera Construcción Servicios No Bancarios
1980 718.8 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 617.1 80.6 190.2 53.8 292.5 26.81981 1,069.8 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 928.0 120.1 296.8 80.3 430.8 40.11982 1,551.0 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 1,319.9 153.9 581.6 121.6 462.7 73.31983 2,673.5 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 2,242.3 229.7 1,013.4 168.2 831.0 177.41984 4,769.4 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 3,997.7 474.4 1,679.2 274.0 1,570.1 218.71985 7,327.7 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 5,779.5 716.8 2,524.0 322.9 2,215.8 409.81986 13,584.4 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 10,488.0 1,015.3 5,095.2 437.0 3,940.4 1,203.11987 34,916.6 ….. 1,198.1 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 26,690.7 2,487.3 12,748.0 790.7 10,664.7 3,329.31988 52,550.2 ….. 2,454.0 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 39,327.7 5,432.8 17,913.1 1,111.1 14,870.8 2,638.61989 93,816.0 ….. 5,062.0 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 72,976.3 9,569.7 29,171.7 3,242.0 30,992.8 4,169.91990 152,449.5 ….. 10,818.0 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 113,477.9 15,291.1 38,818.7 8,666.6 50,701.5 8,459.21991 234,891.5 ….. 18,492.0 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 168,353.7 22,952.6 53,521.5 17,955.7 73,923.9 16,020.91992 342,372.5 ….. 25,504.0 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 248,236.8 29,610.7 67,692.8 35,536.7 115,396.6 18,710.41993 425,738.8 ….. 25,449.0 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 305,542.9 33,143.0 76,530.0 50,262.3 145,607.6 20,067.11994 535,654.5 38,226.3 25,205.6 3,488.1 9,532.6 95,367.3 50,896.1 44,471.2 376,888.9 38,579.0 102,206.0 41,353.0 193,203.3 26,719.51995 591,162.0 30,925.9 20,380.1 2,838.2 7,707.6 141,945.6 50,032.9 91,912.6 394,252.5 29,808.5 109,632.5 42,840.0 188,914.3 47,095.31996 595,866.6 22,947.0 15,103.8 2,131.1 5,712.1 168,062.5 28,561.9 139,500.5 392,585.1 31,768.7 116,394.6 46,456.0 176,213.5 34,024.31997 579,246.7 23,261.7 15,304.0 2,164.5 5,793.2 163,816.5 26,503.4 137,313.1 386,418.4 27,687.8 123,018.9 44,849.7 171,637.8 24,974.41998 500,478.6 24,281.7 15,354.6 2,419.4 6,507.6 162,153.0 27,304.4 134,848.6 308,212.3 10,208.7 125,331.1 31,701.6 135,978.4 10,824.11999 470,400.6 28,779.1 18,969.4 2,631.1 7,178.6 153,717.4 26,549.9 127,167.5 271,432.5 8,028.1 112,767.7 21,510.8 127,483.0 18,114.42000 482,343.9 38,695.6 25,494.1 3,545.7 9,655.9 140,725.0 26,467.6 114,257.4 282,471.1 7,805.4 105,991.8 14,999.6 150,241.3 23,885.32001 482,191.6 53,517.5 33,887.6 10,250.6 9,379.3 133,410.4 25,782.6 107,627.8 267,886.1 9,523.5 95,945.4 15,459.1 137,610.1 36,725.62002 519,743.1 76,226.9 44,572.0 19,223.8 12,431.0 127,942.0 22,130.2 105,811.8 292,105.3 10,789.1 102,095.7 15,885.5 154,377.7 32,426.22003 558,048.7 113,806.4 57,924.8 36,730.3 19,151.4 116,534.6 19,234.3 97,300.4 301,165.7 11,200.1 107,990.2 20,501.2 157,036.9 30,979.22004 704,229.7 170,201.9 87,110.9 49,401.5 33,689.5 123,271.2 17,081.2 106,190.1 369,311.6 15,185.0 128,217.8 26,338.3 195,400.3 45,615.12005 888,523.5 259,924.5 142,278.5 71,851.6 45,794.4 169,131.3 26,532.1 142,599.3 401,312.1 19,800.3 118,118.5 36,062.5 226,864.9 58,621.42006 1,163,026.7 367,827.7 211,247.0 92,041.3 64,539.4 230,543.3 40,536.7 190,006.6 504,276.2 20,972.2 138,122.4 50,941.6 289,594.5 65,025.02007 1,485,885.4 455,834.9 279,355.2 64,603.1 111,876.6 275,171.5 39,184.1 235,987.3 682,374.6 29,142.1 168,751.4 126,387.7 358,014.1 72,583.82008 1,655,196.4 442,446.8 271,240.6 60,850.2 110,356.0 306,885.4 35,005.7 271,879.7 842,839.6 35,046.4 207,898.7 172,270.5 427,489.9 63,158.82009 1,615,012.7 370,518.9 207,504.8 54,558.5 108,455.5 330,424.8 42,279.8 288,145.0 859,779.9 31,877.0 216,405.9 181,660.4 429,540.4 54,585.32010 1,752,905.8 396,826.3 202,157.3 57,112.3 137,556.7 368,327.3 53,507.8 314,819.5 936,101.3 37,220.2 234,399.1 207,601.8 456,676.2 51,855.02011 2,050,155.1 493,342.0 228,783.1 61,693.2 202,865.7 397,478.9 61,444.4 336,034.5 1,086,220.7 44,834.3 269,508.2 229,581.8 542,289.9 73,120.12012 2,288,376.5 587,466.5 266,665.0 64,155.5 256,646.0 438,234.2 68,646.1 369,588.1 1,171,176.2 55,957.6 266,867.9 271,385.9 576,964.7 91,499.72013 2,506,651.4 649,881.2 292,352.7 65,973.6 291,555.0 472,010.4 76,693.7 395,316.7 1,273,892.4 57,230.3 305,752.5 253,625.5 657,284.2 110,867.3
2014 2,840,238.2 731,725.2 325,096.2 69,008.4 337,620.7 522,544.8 86,510.5 436,034.3 1,451,153.6 64,870.6 352,532.6 262,756.0 770,994.3 134,814.72015 3,316,293.2 868,626.1 378,086.9 74,253.0 416,286.3 591,568.9 102,774.4 488,794.5 1,693,242.1 70,753.2 417,046.0 298,753.5 906,689.3 162,856.12016 3,996,174.9 1,104,312.1 463,534.5 84,202.9 556,574.7 686,210.1 127,029.2 559,180.9 2,008,108.2 78,829.7 496,284.8 353,126.7 1,079,867.0 197,544.42017 5,004,792.5 1,482,675.7 591,006.5 99,106.8 792,562.4 819,532.8 163,613.6 655,919.2 2,460,197.0 90,705.3 608,941.4 446,352.1 1,314,198.1 242,387.02018 6,128,641.9 1,928,890.2 728,711.0 112,783.6 1,087,395.7 971,445.8 206,644.0 764,801.8 2,934,048.1 102,852.4 722,204.6 550,352.2 1,558,639.0 294,257.82019 7,380,836.1 2,465,285.6 891,942.2 127,107.1 1,446,236.2 1,134,437.7 256,445.2 877,992.4 3,422,706.8 118,706.1 843,534.9 657,120.5 1,803,345.3 358,406.02020 8,775,727.1 3,086,370.2 1,045,356.3 142,105.7 1,898,908.2 1,310,627.7 312,350.3 998,277.4 3,943,982.8 132,175.4 977,657.0 767,516.7 2,066,633.7 434,746.5
(Continuación)
I-7
Consumo Vivienda Empresas y Personas Físicas con Actividad Empresarial
I-4. Crédito Otorgado por la Banca Comercial al Sector Privado: Escenario Base 2014-2020Miles de Pesos Corrientes
Total Intermediarios
Años Crédito Tarjetas Bienes Interés Media y Sector Industria Sector Sector Financieros
Vigente Subtotal de Crédito Duraderos Otros Subtotal Social Residencial Subtotal Primario Manufacturera Construcción Servicios No Bancarios
1980 10.0 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 10.4 8.0 6.1 2.6 15.8 5.81981 15.7 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 16.9 15.8 21.3 16.0 14.5 16.31982 -27.1 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. -28.5 -35.6 -1.5 -23.8 -46.0 -8.11983 -4.6 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. -6.0 -17.5 -3.6 -23.5 -0.7 33.91984 12.1 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 12.0 29.8 4.1 2.4 18.7 -22.51985 -6.2 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. -11.7 -7.7 -8.2 -28.0 -13.8 14.41986 -9.9 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. -11.8 -31.2 -1.9 -34.2 -13.6 42.71987 -0.8 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. -1.8 -5.5 -3.5 -30.2 4.4 6.81988 -0.8 ….. 35.1 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. -2.8 44.0 -7.3 -7.3 -8.1 -47.71989 49.1 ….. 72.3 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 55.0 47.2 36.1 143.8 74.1 32.01990 25.1 ….. 64.5 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 19.7 23.0 2.4 105.7 25.9 56.11991 29.7 ….. 43.9 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 24.9 26.4 16.1 74.4 22.7 59.41992 30.2 ….. 23.2 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 31.7 15.2 13.0 76.8 39.5 4.31993 15.1 ….. -7.6 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 14.0 3.6 4.7 30.9 16.8 -0.71994 17.5 ….. -7.5 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 15.2 8.7 24.8 -23.1 23.9 24.41995 -27.4 -46.8 -46.8 -46.5 -46.8 -2.1 -35.3 36.0 -31.2 -49.2 -29.4 -31.8 -35.7 16.01996 -21.1 -41.9 -42.0 -41.2 -42.0 -7.3 -55.3 18.8 -22.0 -16.5 -16.9 -15.1 -27.0 -43.41997 -16.0 -12.4 -12.4 -12.2 -12.4 -15.8 -19.8 -14.9 -14.9 -24.7 -8.7 -16.6 -15.8 -36.61998 -27.2 -12.0 -15.4 -5.8 -5.3 -16.5 -13.1 -17.2 -32.8 -68.9 -14.1 -40.4 -33.2 -63.51999 -16.3 5.5 10.0 -3.2 -1.8 -15.6 -13.4 -16.0 -21.6 -30.0 -19.9 -39.6 -16.5 49.02000 -5.9 23.4 23.3 23.7 23.4 -16.0 -8.5 -17.5 -4.5 -10.8 -13.7 -36.0 8.2 21.02001 -4.2 32.5 27.3 176.9 -7.0 -9.2 -6.7 -9.8 -9.2 16.9 -13.3 -1.3 -12.3 47.32002 2.0 34.8 24.4 77.4 25.4 -9.3 -18.8 -7.0 3.2 7.2 0.7 -2.8 6.1 -16.52003 3.3 43.6 25.0 83.8 48.2 -12.4 -16.4 -11.6 -0.8 -0.2 1.7 24.1 -2.2 -8.12004 20.0 42.2 43.0 27.9 67.2 0.6 -15.6 3.8 16.6 28.9 12.9 22.1 18.3 40.02005 22.1 47.8 58.1 40.8 31.5 32.8 50.3 30.0 5.2 26.2 -10.8 32.5 12.4 24.42006 25.8 36.0 42.7 23.1 35.4 31.0 46.8 28.1 20.8 1.8 12.4 35.8 22.7 6.62007 23.1 19.4 27.5 -32.4 67.1 15.0 -6.8 19.7 30.4 33.9 17.7 139.1 19.1 7.62008 4.6 -8.9 -8.9 -11.6 -7.4 4.7 -16.1 8.1 15.9 12.9 15.6 28.0 12.1 -18.32009 -5.8 -19.1 -26.1 -13.4 -5.1 4.0 16.6 2.3 -1.5 -12.2 0.5 1.8 -3.0 -16.62010 4.0 2.6 -6.7 0.3 21.5 6.8 21.2 4.7 4.3 11.8 3.7 9.5 1.8 -9.02011 12.7 19.7 9.0 4.0 42.1 3.9 10.6 2.8 11.8 16.0 10.7 6.5 14.4 35.82012 7.8 15.0 12.5 0.4 22.2 6.5 7.9 6.2 4.1 20.5 -4.4 14.1 2.7 20.82013 5.4 6.4 5.4 -1.1 9.3 3.6 7.5 2.9 4.6 -1.6 10.2 -10.1 9.6 16.5
2014 9.1 8.4 7.1 0.7 11.5 6.6 8.6 6.2 9.7 9.2 11.0 -0.2 13.0 17.12015 12.8 14.7 12.4 4.0 19.2 9.4 14.8 8.3 12.8 5.4 14.3 9.9 13.6 16.72016 16.2 22.6 18.3 9.4 29.0 11.9 19.2 10.4 14.4 7.5 14.8 14.0 14.9 17.02017 20.2 28.9 22.4 13.0 36.7 14.7 23.6 12.6 17.6 10.5 17.8 21.3 16.8 17.82018 17.9 25.2 18.7 9.6 32.1 14.1 21.6 12.3 14.8 9.2 14.2 18.7 14.2 16.92019 16.0 23.1 17.9 8.6 28.2 12.5 19.6 10.6 12.4 11.2 12.5 15.0 11.5 17.42020 14.8 20.9 13.2 7.9 26.8 11.5 17.6 9.8 11.3 7.5 11.9 12.8 10.6 17.1
(Continuación)
I-8
Consumo Vivienda Empresas y Personas Físicas con Actividad Empresarial
I-4. Crédito Otorgado por la Banca Comercial al Sector Privado: Escenario Base 2014-2020Variación % anual real
Total Intermediarios
Años Crédito Tarjetas Bienes Interés Media y Sector Industria Sector Sector Financieros
Vigente Subtotal de Crédito Duraderos Otros Subtotal Social Residencial Subtotal Primario Manufacturera Construcción Servicios No Bancarios
1980 12.2 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 10.5 1.4 3.2 0.9 5.0 0.51981 13.3 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 11.5 1.5 3.7 1.0 5.3 0.51982 11.9 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 10.2 1.2 4.5 0.9 3.6 0.61983 11.4 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 9.6 1.0 4.3 0.7 3.6 0.81984 12.4 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 10.4 1.2 4.4 0.7 4.1 0.61985 11.7 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 9.2 1.1 4.0 0.5 3.5 0.71986 13.2 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 10.2 1.0 5.0 0.4 3.8 1.21987 13.8 ….. 0.5 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 10.5 1.0 5.0 0.3 4.2 1.31988 10.2 ….. 0.5 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 7.6 1.1 3.5 0.2 2.9 0.51989 13.8 ….. 0.7 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 10.7 1.4 4.3 0.5 4.6 0.61990 16.6 ….. 1.2 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 12.4 1.7 4.2 0.9 5.5 0.91991 19.9 ….. 1.6 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 14.3 1.9 4.5 1.5 6.3 1.41992 24.4 ….. 1.8 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 17.7 2.1 4.8 2.5 8.2 1.31993 27.1 ….. 1.6 ….. ….. ….. ….. ….. 19.5 2.1 4.9 3.2 9.3 1.31994 30.1 2.1 1.4 0.2 0.5 5.4 2.9 2.5 21.2 2.2 5.7 2.3 10.9 1.51995 26.8 1.4 0.9 0.1 0.3 6.4 2.3 4.2 17.9 1.4 5.0 1.9 8.6 2.11996 19.7 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.2 5.6 0.9 4.6 13.0 1.1 3.9 1.5 5.8 1.11997 15.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.2 4.3 0.7 3.6 10.2 0.7 3.2 1.2 4.5 0.71998 10.9 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 3.5 0.6 2.9 6.7 0.2 2.7 0.7 3.0 0.21999 8.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.1 2.8 0.5 2.3 4.9 0.1 2.0 0.4 2.3 0.32000 7.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 2.2 0.4 1.8 4.4 0.1 1.6 0.2 2.3 0.42001 7.1 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 2.0 0.4 1.6 4.0 0.1 1.4 0.2 2.0 0.52002 7.3 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.2 1.8 0.3 1.5 4.1 0.2 1.4 0.2 2.2 0.52003 7.3 1.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 1.5 0.2 1.3 3.9 0.1 1.4 0.3 2.0 0.42004 8.1 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.4 1.4 0.2 1.2 4.2 0.2 1.5 0.3 2.2 0.52005 9.4 2.8 1.5 0.8 0.5 1.8 0.3 1.5 4.3 0.2 1.3 0.4 2.4 0.62006 11.0 3.5 2.0 0.9 0.6 2.2 0.4 1.8 4.8 0.2 1.3 0.5 2.7 0.62007 13.0 4.0 2.4 0.6 1.0 2.4 0.3 2.1 6.0 0.3 1.5 1.1 3.1 0.62008 13.5 3.6 2.2 0.5 0.9 2.5 0.3 2.2 6.9 0.3 1.7 1.4 3.5 0.52009 13.4 3.1 1.7 0.5 0.9 2.7 0.3 2.4 7.1 0.3 1.8 1.5 3.6 0.52010 13.2 3.0 1.5 0.4 1.0 2.8 0.4 2.4 7.0 0.3 1.8 1.6 3.4 0.42011 14.1 3.4 1.6 0.4 1.4 2.7 0.4 2.3 7.5 0.3 1.9 1.6 3.7 0.52012 14.7 3.8 1.7 0.4 1.6 2.8 0.4 2.4 7.5 0.4 1.7 1.7 3.7 0.62013 15.6 4.0 1.8 0.4 1.8 2.9 0.5 2.5 7.9 0.4 1.9 1.6 4.1 0.7
2014 16.7 4.3 1.9 0.4 2.0 3.1 0.5 2.6 8.5 0.4 2.1 1.5 4.5 0.82015 18.1 4.7 2.1 0.4 2.3 3.2 0.6 2.7 9.3 0.4 2.3 1.6 5.0 0.92016 20.1 5.5 2.3 0.4 2.8 3.4 0.6 2.8 10.1 0.4 2.5 1.8 5.4 1.02017 22.9 6.8 2.7 0.5 3.6 3.7 0.7 3.0 11.2 0.4 2.8 2.0 6.0 1.12018 25.4 8.0 3.0 0.5 4.5 4.0 0.9 3.2 12.2 0.4 3.0 2.3 6.5 1.22019 28.1 9.4 3.4 0.5 5.5 4.3 1.0 3.3 13.0 0.5 3.2 2.5 6.9 1.42020 30.7 10.8 3.7 0.5 6.7 4.6 1.1 3.5 13.8 0.5 3.4 2.7 7.2 1.5
(Conclusión)
I-9
Consumo Vivienda Empresas y Personas Físicas con Actividad Empresarial
I-4. Crédito Otorgado por la Banca Comercial al Sector Privado: Escenario Base 2014-2020% del PIB
I-5. Agregados Monetarios y Actividad Financiera: Banco de Datos, 2013-2014(Miles de millones de pesos)
2013 2014 Var. % anual realMayo Mayo May.12/May.13 May.13/May.14
Base Monetaria 772.2 875.6 -0.7 9.5M1 2,172.9 2,492.0 2.5 10.8 Billetes y monedas en poder del público 689.2 777.9 0.3 9.0 Cuentas de cheques en MN 913.2 1,042.9 -0.8 10.3 Cuentas de cheques en ME 165.7 209.3 14.3 22.0 Depósitos en cuenta corriente y otros 404.8 461.9 10.3 10.2M2=M1 + activos financieros internos de residentes 8,963.7 9,945.3 2.9 7.2 Captación interna de bancos residentes y otros 1,463.9 1,633.8 -0.2 7.8 Valores públicos en poder de residentes 3,807.1 4,222.9 4.7 7.2 Valores emitidos por el Gobierno Federal 2,501.7 2,716.4 5.6 4.9 Valores emitidos por el Banco de México 0.0 0.0 n.s. n.s. Valores emitidos por el IPAB 686.7 791.4 2.7 11.3 Otros valores públicos 618.7 715.2 3.0 11.7 Valores emitidos por entidades privadas 438.7 448.3 3.0 -1.3 Fondos de ahorro para el retiro 1,081.1 1,148.3 1.6 2.6M3=M2 + activos financieros internos de no residentes 11,001.0 12,141.2 8.5 6.6 Captación de bancos residentes 108.2 108.0 22.5 -3.6 Valores públicos en poder de no residentes 1,929.1 2,087.8 43.9 4.6M4=M3 + captación de bancos mexicanos en el exterior 11,102.1 12,248.8 8.4 6.6 Depósitos de residentes 24.1 36.6 -12.2 46.5 Depósitos de no residentes 77.0 71.0 3.0 -10.8Ahorro Financiero 10,412.9 11,470.9 9.0 6.4 Residentes 7,609.4 8,426.1 3.3 7.0 No Residentes 2,114.3 2,266.9 40.6 3.6Crédito vigente otorgado por la Banca Comercial 2,348.0 2,567.1 5.0 5.6 Consumo 605.6 659.7 10.5 5.2 Tarjetas de crédito 271.1 288.1 9.8 2.7 Bienes de consumo duradero 64.4 65.8 -1.1 -1.2 Otros 270.2 305.7 14.3 9.3 Vivienda 451.5 490.9 4.2 5.1 Interés social 75.0 80.3 8.6 3.4 Media y residencial 376.5 410.7 3.4 5.4 Empresa y personas físicas 1,193.2 1,300.3 1.8 5.3 Sector primario 56.0 57.3 14.4 -1.1 Industria manufacturera 295.7 301.7 3.9 -1.4 Construcción 257.7 246.5 0.1 -7.6 Servicios y otras actividades 583.8 694.8 0.5 15.0
I-10
Concepto!
J. Comercio Exterior
Cuadro J-1.Exportación e Importación Anual de Mercancías 1980-2020
Cuadro J-2. Exportación e Importación Mensual de Mercancías 2013-2014
Cuadro J-3. Exportación Anual de Petróleo Crudo 1980-2020
Cuadro J-4.
Exportación Mensual de Petróleo Crudo 2013-2014
J-1. Exportación e Importación de Mercancías: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Millones de dólares)
Exportación de Mercancías Exportación de MercancíasExportaciones Petroleras No Petroleras
Totales Suma Crudo Otras Suma Agropecuarias Extractivas ManufacturerasDólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.%Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Dólares
1980 18,031 56.6 10,441 162.7 9,449 150.9 993 373.5 7,590 0.6 1,528 -14.1 512 51.7 5,549 2.31981 23,307 29.3 14,573 39.6 13,305 40.8 1,268 27.8 8,734 15.1 1,482 -3.0 686 33.9 6,566 18.31982 24,055 3.2 16,477 13.1 15,623 17.4 854 -32.6 7,578 -13.2 1,233 -16.8 502 -26.9 5,843 -11.01983 25,953 7.9 16,017 -2.8 14,793 -5.3 1,224 43.3 9,936 31.1 1,189 -3.6 524 4.4 8,224 40.71984 29,100 12.1 16,601 3.6 14,968 1.2 1,634 33.5 12,499 25.8 1,461 22.9 539 2.9 10,499 27.71985 26,757 -8.1 14,767 -11.1 13,309 -11.1 1,458 -10.8 11,991 -4.1 1,409 -3.6 510 -5.3 10,071 -4.11986 21,804 -18.5 6,307 -57.3 5,580 -58.1 727 -50.1 15,496 29.2 2,098 48.9 510 -0.1 12,888 28.01987 27,600 26.6 8,630 36.8 7,877 41.2 753 3.6 18,970 22.4 1,543 -26.5 576 13.0 16,851 30.71988 30,692 11.2 6,711 -22.2 5,884 -25.3 828 10.0 23,980 26.4 1,670 8.2 660 14.6 21,650 28.51989 35,171 14.6 7,876 17.4 7,292 23.9 584 -29.4 27,295 13.8 1,754 5.0 605 -8.4 24,936 15.21990 40,711 15.8 10,104 28.3 8,921 22.3 1,183 102.5 30,607 12.1 2,162 23.3 617 2.0 27,828 11.61991 42,688 4.9 8,166 -19.2 7,265 -18.6 902 -23.8 34,521 12.8 2,373 9.7 547 -11.4 31,602 13.61992 46,196 8.2 8,307 1.7 7,420 2.1 887 -1.6 37,889 9.8 2,112 -11.0 356 -34.9 35,420 12.11993 51,856 12.3 7,685 -7.5 6,485 -12.6 1,200 35.2 44,171 16.6 2,790 32.1 308 -13.5 41,074 16.01994 60,860 17.4 7,619 -0.9 6,624 2.1 995 -17.0 53,240 20.5 3,037 8.9 382 24.0 49,821 21.31995 79,536 30.7 8,638 13.4 7,420 12.0 1,218 22.4 70,898 33.2 4,573 50.6 536 40.3 65,789 32.11996 95,986 20.7 11,817 36.8 10,705 44.3 1,112 -8.8 84,170 18.7 4,122 -9.9 438 -18.3 79,610 21.01997 110,411 15.0 11,455 -3.1 10,334 -3.5 1,122 0.9 98,955 17.6 4,436 7.6 464 5.9 94,055 18.11998 117,514 6.4 7,296 -36.3 6,448 -37.6 848 -24.4 110,218 11.4 4,320 -2.6 449 -3.3 105,449 12.11999 136,333 16.0 9,959 36.5 8,830 36.9 1,130 33.2 126,374 14.7 4,438 2.7 421 -6.1 121,515 15.22000 166,098 21.8 16,124 61.9 14,553 64.8 1,571 39.1 149,974 18.7 4,752 7.1 496 17.8 144,725 19.12001 158,761 -4.4 13,191 -18.2 11,928 -18.0 1,263 -19.6 145,570 -2.9 4,435 -6.7 386 -22.2 140,748 -2.72002 161,021 1.4 14,823 12.4 13,392 12.3 1,431 13.3 146,198 0.4 4,196 -5.4 367 -4.9 141,635 0.62003 164,748 2.3 18,597 25.5 16,676 24.5 1,921 34.2 146,151 0.0 5,023 19.7 496 35.2 140,632 -0.72004 187,999 14.1 23,663 27.2 21,258 27.5 2,405 25.2 164,335 12.4 5,666 12.8 901 81.5 157,768 12.22005 214,233 14.0 31,889 34.8 28,329 33.3 3,559 48.0 182,344 11.0 5,981 5.6 1,168 29.6 175,196 11.02006 249,925 16.7 39,017 22.4 34,707 22.5 4,310 21.1 210,908 15.7 6,836 14.3 1,321 13.1 202,752 15.72007 271,875 8.8 43,014 10.2 37,937 9.3 5,077 17.8 228,861 8.5 7,415 8.5 1,737 31.5 219,709 8.42008 291,343 7.2 50,635 17.7 43,342 14.2 7,294 43.7 240,707 5.2 7,895 6.5 1,931 11.2 230,882 5.12009 229,704 -21.2 30,831 -39.1 25,614 -40.9 5,217 -28.5 198,872 -17.4 7,726 -2.1 1,448 -25.0 189,698 -17.82010 298,473 29.9 41,693 35.2 35,919 40.2 5,775 10.7 256,780 29.1 8,610 11.4 2,424 67.4 245,745 29.52011 349,433 17.1 56,443 35.4 49,381 37.5 7,063 22.3 292,990 14.1 10,309 19.7 4,063 67.6 278,617 13.42012 370,770 6.1 52,956 -6.2 46,852 -5.1 6,103 -13.6 317,814 8.5 10,914 5.9 4,906 20.7 301,993 8.42013 380,027 2.5 49,493 -6.5 42,723 -8.8 6,770 10.9 330,534 4.0 11,246 3.0 4,714 -3.9 314,573 4.2
2014 396,397 4.3 45,782 -7.5 39,485 -7.6 6,297 -7.0 350,615 6.1 11,900 5.8 5,082 7.8 333,633 6.12015 429,765 8.4 46,785 2.2 40,259 2.0 6,526 3.6 382,980 9.2 12,415 4.3 5,670 11.6 364,894 9.42016 473,325 10.1 46,493 -0.6 39,939 -0.8 6,554 0.4 426,832 11.5 14,109 13.6 6,705 18.3 406,018 11.32017 543,915 14.9 51,550 10.9 44,184 10.6 7,366 12.4 492,365 15.4 15,263 8.2 8,314 24.0 468,789 15.52018 612,285 12.6 58,767 14.0 50,297 13.8 8,470 15.0 553,518 12.4 16,884 10.6 10,091 21.4 526,543 12.32019 679,582 11.0 65,092 10.8 55,668 10.7 9,425 11.3 614,490 11.0 18,180 7.7 11,530 14.3 584,779 11.12020 745,449 9.7 71,023 9.1 60,724 9.1 10,299 9.3 674,426 9.8 20,228 11.3 12,930 12.1 641,269 9.7
(Continúa)
J-1
Años!!
(Continuación)
Importación de Mercancías Balanza ComercialImportaciones Por Tipo de Bien (Fob-Fob)
Totales Consumo Intermedio Capital Balanza Sin Sector
Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Total Petrólero
1980 21,089 53.9 2,448 144.4 13,467 47.5 5,174 44.8 -3,058 -13,499.71981 27,184 28.9 2,808 14.7 16,801 24.8 7,574 46.4 -3,877 -18,450.01982 17,011 -37.4 1,517 -46.0 10,991 -34.6 4,502 -40.6 7,045 -9,432.61983 11,848 -30.3 614 -59.5 9,038 -17.8 2,197 -51.2 14,105 -1,912.31984 15,916 34.3 848 38.2 12,495 38.3 2,573 17.1 13,184 -3,417.21985 18,359 15.3 1,082 27.6 14,113 12.9 3,165 23.0 8,398 -6,368.51986 16,784 -8.6 846 -21.8 12,983 -8.0 2,954 -6.7 5,020 -1,287.51987 18,812 12.1 768 -9.3 15,414 18.7 2,631 -11.0 8,787 157.31988 28,082 49.3 1,922 150.3 22,134 43.6 4,027 53.1 2,610 -4,101.71989 34,766 23.8 3,499 82.1 26,499 19.7 4,769 18.4 405 -7,470.91990 41,593 19.6 5,099 45.7 29,705 12.1 6,790 42.4 -882 -10,986.01991 49,967 20.1 5,834 14.4 35,545 19.7 8,588 26.5 -7,279 -15,445.41992 62,129 24.3 7,744 32.7 42,830 20.5 11,556 34.6 -15,934 -24,240.31993 65,367 5.2 7,842 1.3 46,568 8.7 10,956 -5.2 -13,510 -21,195.31994 79,346 21.4 9,510 21.3 56,514 21.4 13,322 21.6 -18,486 -26,105.81995 72,453 -8.7 5,335 -43.9 58,421 3.4 8,697 -34.7 7,083 -1,555.11996 89,469 23.5 6,657 24.8 71,890 23.1 10,922 25.6 6,518 -5,299.21997 109,808 22.7 9,090 36.6 85,639 19.1 15,079 38.1 602 -10,852.91998 125,373 14.2 11,108 22.2 96,935 13.2 17,329 14.9 -7,859 -15,154.71999 141,975 13.2 12,175 9.6 109,270 12.7 20,530 18.5 -5,642 -15,601.22000 174,458 22.9 16,691 37.1 133,637 22.3 24,130 17.5 -8,360 -24,484.32001 168,396 -3.5 19,752 18.3 126,149 -5.6 22,496 -6.8 -9,635 -22,826.42002 168,679 0.2 21,178 7.2 126,508 0.3 20,992 -6.7 -7,658 -22,481.22003 170,546 1.1 21,509 1.6 128,831 1.8 20,205 -3.7 -5,798 -24,394.82004 196,810 15.4 25,409 18.1 148,804 15.5 22,597 11.8 -8,811 -32,474.22005 221,820 12.7 31,513 24.0 164,091 10.3 26,216 16.0 -7,587 -39,475.12006 256,058 15.4 36,901 17.1 188,632 15.0 30,525 16.4 -6,133 -45,150.12007 281,949 10.1 43,055 16.7 205,295 8.8 33,599 10.1 -10,074 -53,087.62008 308,603 9.5 47,941 11.3 221,565 7.9 39,097 16.4 -17,261 -67,896.02009 234,385 -24.0 32,828 -31.5 170,912 -22.9 30,645 -21.6 -4,681 -35,512.82010 301,482 28.6 41,423 26.2 229,812 34.5 30,247 -1.3 -3,009 -44,702.12011 350,843 16.4 51,790 25.0 264,020 14.9 35,032 15.8 -1,409 -57,852.92012 370,752 5.7 54,272 4.8 277,911 5.3 38,568 10.1 18 -52,937.42013 381,210 2.8 57,329 5.6 284,823 2.5 39,057 1.3 -1,184 -50,676.6
2014 400,687 5.1 60,036 4.7 300,644 5.6 40,007 2.4 -4,290 -50,072.22015 439,614 9.7 65,175 8.6 329,987 9.8 44,452 11.1 -9,849 -56,634.32016 492,492 12.0 72,820 11.7 368,694 11.7 50,978 14.7 -19,167 -65,659.92017 569,812 15.7 83,932 15.3 426,358 15.6 59,522 16.8 -25,897 -77,446.82018 644,275 13.1 95,968 14.3 479,482 12.5 68,825 15.6 -31,990 -90,757.02019 720,409 11.8 109,058 13.6 532,801 11.1 78,550 14.1 -40,827 -105,919.12020 796,638 10.6 123,050 12.8 585,015 9.8 88,573 12.8 -51,189 -122,212.2
(Conclusión)
J-2
Años!!
J-2. Exportación e Importación Mensual de Mercancías: Escenario Base 2014(Millones de dólares)
Exportación de MercancíasExportaciones Petroleras No Petroleras
Totales Suma Crudo Otras Suma Agropecuarias Extractivas Manufactureras
Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.%
2013 380,026.6 2.5 49,493.0 -6.5 42,723.2 -8.8 6,769.8 10.9 330,533.6 4.0 11,245.8 3.0 4,714.4 -3.9 314,573.4 4.2Ene 27,298.5 0.1 4,549.4 -1.7 4,021.1 0.3 528.3 -14.8 22,749.1 0.4 990.2 -7.1 288.7 -23.5 21,470.3 1.2Feb 29,091.5 -3.1 4,084.9 -10.6 3,599.9 -8.3 485.0 -24.6 25,006.6 -1.7 1,043.7 0.5 318.4 -21.7 23,644.5 -1.5Mar 31,838.1 -1.5 4,157.8 -19.5 3,521.3 -21.6 636.5 -5.9 27,680.3 2.0 1,161.5 3.2 447.0 -4.1 26,071.8 2.0Abr 32,729.1 5.9 4,439.1 -2.1 3,791.6 -5.9 647.5 28.3 28,290.0 7.3 1,195.7 6.6 427.3 51.6 26,667.0 6.8May 32,845.3 -0.9 3,679.0 -15.1 3,148.6 -17.1 530.4 -1.3 29,166.2 1.3 1,122.9 -6.6 363.1 -20.4 27,680.2 2.0Jun 31,088.3 2.7 3,726.6 1.2 3,199.1 -2.8 527.5 34.9 27,361.7 2.9 884.8 -1.5 426.2 -0.4 26,050.7 3.1Jul 32,252.2 6.5 4,303.8 13.6 3,786.8 14.1 517.0 10.2 27,948.4 5.4 710.9 -3.1 314.9 9.5 26,922.7 5.6Ago 32,677.3 3.2 4,174.5 -13.2 3,615.7 -14.7 558.8 -2.3 28,502.8 6.2 586.4 2.8 471.9 6.8 27,444.5 6.2Sep 31,377.7 7.2 4,014.6 -12.2 3,575.6 -12.8 439.0 -7.1 27,363.1 10.8 595.6 4.8 390.7 -29.1 26,376.8 11.8Oct 35,082.3 3.4 4,340.1 -6.5 3,512.0 -16.4 828.1 87.6 30,742.2 4.9 838.3 10.4 357.5 -10.9 29,546.4 5.0Nov 31,679.5 0.7 3,644.0 -15.6 3,229.4 -17.9 414.6 8.2 28,035.5 3.2 984.2 12.4 399.7 -9.8 26,651.6 3.2Dic 32,066.8 6.1 4,379.3 12.0 3,722.1 5.8 657.2 67.5 27,687.6 5.3 1,131.6 18.4 509.1 39.2 26,046.9 4.3
2014 396,397.2 4.3 45,782.1 -7.5 39,485.1 -7.6 6,297.0 -7.0 350,615.1 6.1 11,900.0 5.8 5,082.0 7.8 333,633.1 6.1Ene 27,052.0 -0.9 3,827.5 -15.9 3,291.1 -18.2 536.4 1.5 23,224.5 2.1 1,072.0 8.3 361.6 25.3 21,790.9 1.5Feb 30,461.7 4.7 3,924.7 -3.9 3,324.3 -7.7 600.4 23.8 26,537.0 6.1 1,102.1 5.6 424.8 33.4 25,010.1 5.8Mar 33,236.3 4.4 3,739.8 -10.1 3,274.3 -7.0 465.5 -26.9 29,496.5 6.6 1,204.3 3.7 478.2 7.0 27,814.0 6.7Abr 34,071.5 4.1 3,766.7 -15.1 2,996.3 -21.0 770.4 19.0 30,304.7 7.1 1,294.7 8.3 437.3 2.4 28,572.7 7.1May 34,382.9 4.7 3,810.8 3.6 3,353.9 6.5 456.8 -13.9 30,572.2 4.8 1,149.1 2.3 441.3 21.5 28,981.8 4.7Jun e/ 32,661.6 5.1 3,702.7 -0.6 3,244.5 1.4 458.1 -13.1 28,959.0 5.8 1,002.1 13.3 421.3 -1.2 27,535.6 5.7Jul 33,639.9 4.3 3,699.7 -14.0 3,226.1 -14.8 473.6 -8.4 29,940.2 7.1 862.7 21.4 431.8 37.1 28,645.7 6.4Ago 34,145.8 4.5 3,667.0 -12.2 3,200.6 -11.5 466.3 -16.5 30,478.9 6.9 654.3 11.6 376.6 -20.2 29,448.0 7.3Sep 31,461.3 0.3 3,746.9 -6.7 3,270.6 -8.5 476.2 8.5 27,714.5 1.3 657.3 10.4 469.4 20.1 26,587.8 0.8Oct 37,091.0 5.7 3,987.1 -8.1 3,458.9 -1.5 528.2 -36.2 33,103.9 7.7 864.8 3.2 417.6 16.8 31,821.5 7.7Nov 34,415.0 8.6 3,866.8 6.1 3,349.1 3.7 517.8 24.9 30,548.2 9.0 970.3 -1.4 439.7 10.0 29,138.2 9.3Dic 33,778.0 5.3 4,042.5 -7.7 3,495.1 -6.1 547.3 -16.7 29,735.5 7.4 1,066.3 -5.8 382.3 -24.9 28,286.9 8.6
p/ Cifras preliminares. e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. (Continúa)
J-3
Meses!!
(Continuación)
Importación de Mercancías Balanza ComercialImportaciones Por Tipo de Bien (Fob-Fob)
Totales Consumo Intermedio Capital Balanza Sin Sector
Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Total Petrólero
2013 381,210.2 2.8 57,329.4 5.6 284,823.4 2.5 39,057.4 1.3 -1,183.6 -52,937.4Ene 30,153.0 9.5 4,752.5 16.1 22,159.5 8.1 3,240.9 9.7 -2,854.4 -4,895.7Feb 29,066.0 -1.5 4,176.1 -4.4 21,971.6 -1.5 2,918.3 2.7 25.4 -4,072.2Mar 30,127.8 -2.3 4,718.7 8.3 22,488.6 -3.6 2,920.5 -7.5 1,710.3 -3,693.5Abr 34,087.5 11.8 5,466.0 17.5 25,095.4 10.1 3,526.2 16.3 -1,358.4 -4,116.1May 33,305.6 1.5 4,672.1 0.1 25,373.4 1.7 3,260.1 2.0 -460.3 -4,001.0Jun 30,168.2 1.7 4,200.1 5.2 22,963.7 1.8 3,004.3 -3.3 920.1 -3,067.6Jul 33,651.2 9.6 4,828.8 15.6 25,352.1 8.4 3,470.3 10.7 -1,399.0 -4,197.2Ago 32,902.2 0.8 4,981.6 4.2 24,685.1 0.9 3,235.5 -4.7 -224.9 -5,791.7Sep 30,726.4 5.7 4,689.9 10.0 23,134.0 6.1 2,902.5 -3.2 651.3 -4,363.1Oct 35,217.1 -1.0 5,492.6 2.2 26,124.6 -1.6 3,599.8 -1.2 -134.8 -6,266.1Nov 31,364.0 -4.1 4,775.8 -11.1 23,244.7 -1.7 3,343.4 -9.6 315.5 -5,563.4Dic 30,441.2 4.2 4,575.1 9.7 22,230.5 2.8 3,635.6 6.7 1,625.6 -2,910.0
2014 400,687.2 5.1 60,035.8 4.7 300,644.0 5.6 40,007.4 2.4 -4,290.1 -50,676.6Ene 30,233.5 0.3 4,745.5 -0.1 22,325.4 0.7 3,162.7 -2.4 -3,181.6 -7,403.8Feb 29,543.5 1.6 4,184.4 0.2 22,471.7 2.3 2,887.4 -1.1 918.2 -4,059.5Mar 32,287.4 7.2 4,335.1 -8.1 24,793.0 10.2 3,159.3 8.2 949.0 -2,447.5Abr 33,561.9 -1.5 5,082.5 -7.0 25,275.2 0.7 3,204.2 -9.1 509.6 -5,797.5May 34,251.1 2.8 4,545.7 -2.7 26,438.6 4.2 3,266.9 0.2 131.8 -4,139.3Jun e/ 32,249.7 6.9 4,873.3 16.0 24,272.7 5.7 3,103.7 3.3 412.0 -2,806.5Jul 35,386.8 5.2 5,186.7 7.4 26,873.3 6.0 3,326.8 -4.1 -1,746.8 -5,702.8Ago 35,350.4 7.4 5,596.3 12.3 26,437.7 7.1 3,316.4 2.5 -1,204.6 -4,399.4Sep 31,909.1 3.8 5,126.8 9.3 23,666.1 2.3 3,116.2 7.4 -447.8 -3,363.3Oct 38,185.4 8.4 5,986.3 9.0 28,293.0 8.3 3,906.1 8.5 -1,094.4 -4,474.8Nov 34,842.2 11.1 5,626.1 17.8 25,499.5 9.7 3,716.6 11.2 -427.1 -3,328.5Dic 32,886.4 8.0 4,747.2 3.8 24,298.0 9.3 3,841.2 5.7 891.7 -2,753.7p/ Cifras preliminares. e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. (Conclusión)
J-4
Meses!!
J-3. Producción y Exportación de Petróleo Crudo: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Volumen, valor y precio)
Producción Plataforma de Exportación del Sector Petrolero Precio de Referenciade Petróleo Volumen Valor Precio West Texas Intermediate
Crudo Miles de Barriles Diarios Proporción Total Dólares por Barril Dólares por Barril(Mbd) Total Istmo Maya Olmeca Total Istmo Maya Olmeca Mills. Dls. Mezcla Istmo Maya Olmeca WTI WTI-Mezcla
1980 1,941 842 466 376 ….. 100.0 55.4 44.6 ….. 9,450 31.05 33.30 28.39 ….. 35.71 -4.661981 2,312 1,113 494 619 ….. 100.0 44.4 55.6 ….. 13,307 33.18 36.23 30.76 ….. 34.04 -0.861982 2,746 1,513 690 823 ….. 100.0 45.6 54.4 ….. 15,624 28.81 32.89 25.33 ….. 31.54 -2.731983 2,666 1,581 710 871 ….. 100.0 44.9 55.1 ….. 14,794 26.46 29.57 23.99 ….. 29.47 -3.011984 2,685 1,545 631 915 ….. 100.0 40.8 59.2 ….. 14,969 26.82 29.00 25.33 ….. 28.55 -1.721985 2,669 1,458 615 843 ….. 100.0 42.2 57.8 ….. 13,309 25.38 27.21 24.05 ….. 27.37 -1.991986 2,442 1,306 580 726 ….. 100.0 44.4 55.6 ….. 5,563 12.01 13.57 10.14 ….. 15.05 -3.051987 2,541 1,364 534 830 ….. 100.0 39.1 60.9 ….. 7,918 16.00 17.52 15.20 ….. 19.20 -3.201988 2,506 1,340 467 768 106 100.0 34.8 57.3 7.9 5,857 12.22 13.70 11.05 14.42 15.97 -3.751989 2,513 1,278 344 786 148 100.0 26.9 61.5 11.5 7,281 15.62 17.15 14.36 18.73 19.64 -4.021990 2,548 1,277 293 827 158 100.0 22.9 64.7 12.3 8,914 18.77 21.89 16.76 23.44 24.53 -5.761991 2,676 1,369 329 877 163 100.0 24.0 64.1 11.9 7,286 14.57 18.12 12.23 20.04 21.54 -6.971992 2,668 1,368 287 923 157 100.0 21.0 67.5 11.5 7,445 14.86 18.01 13.08 19.55 20.58 -5.721993 2,673 1,337 262 857 218 100.0 19.6 64.1 16.3 6,442 13.21 15.82 11.40 17.28 18.43 -5.221994 2,685 1,308 180 800 328 100.0 13.8 61.2 25.1 6,624 13.88 15.51 12.57 16.24 17.20 -3.321995 2,618 1,305 158 719 429 100.0 12.1 55.1 32.9 7,480 15.72 16.79 14.39 17.51 18.43 -2.711996 2,858 1,544 190 863 491 100.0 12.3 55.9 31.8 10,702 18.91 20.07 17.23 21.43 22.12 -3.211997 3,022 1,720 216 1,019 486 100.0 12.5 59.2 28.2 10,341 16.51 18.30 14.69 19.52 20.61 -4.101998 3,071 1,740 208 1,062 470 100.0 12.0 61.0 27.0 6,463 10.18 11.95 8.56 13.14 14.42 -4.241999 2,906 1,554 190 929 436 100.0 12.2 59.8 28.0 8,858 15.70 17.10 14.37 17.97 19.34 -3.642000 3,012 1,652 115 1,133 405 100.0 7.0 68.6 24.5 14,889 24.64 27.66 22.87 28.95 30.38 -5.742001 3,127 1,711 82 1,319 309 100.0 4.8 77.1 18.1 11,592 18.57 22.16 17.16 23.78 25.98 -7.412002 3,177 1,704 47 1,412 245 100.0 2.8 82.9 14.4 13,395 21.53 24.12 20.87 24.92 26.18 -4.652003 3,370 1,844 25 1,603 216 100.0 1.4 86.9 11.7 16,676 24.75 18.82 24.08 29.33 31.08 -6.332004 3,383 1,870 27 1,621 221 100.0 1.5 86.7 11.8 21,262 30.96 37.82 29.74 39.28 41.51 -10.552005 3,334 1,818 81 1,521 216 100.0 4.4 83.7 11.9 28,329 42.76 49.91 40.82 53.93 56.64 -13.882006 3,256 1,794 69 1,494 231 100.0 3.8 83.3 12.9 34,709 53.05 59.43 51.03 64.79 66.05 -13.002007 3,077 1,688 41 1,473 173 100.0 2.4 87.3 10.2 37,938 61.71 67.39 60.33 72.52 72.34 -10.632008 2,792 1,403 23 1,251 130 100.0 1.6 89.1 9.2 43,342 84.41 93.22 82.77 99.82 99.67 -15.262009 2,602 1,222 14 1,065 143 100.0 1.2 87.1 11.7 25,603 57.56 57.57 56.88 62.62 61.65 -4.102010 2,577 1,359 75 1,073 212 100.0 5.5 78.9 15.6 35,988 72.26 77.40 70.54 79.44 79.40 -7.132011 2,552 1,337 99 1,035 203 100.0 7.4 77.4 15.2 49,380 101.21 105.40 99.10 109.81 94.87 6.332012 2,548 1,256 99 963 194 100.0 7.9 76.7 15.4 46,721 101.95 107.26 100.01 109.10 94.11 7.842013 2,522 1,189 102 988 99 100.0 8.5 83.2 8.3 42,725 98.56 105.32 96.99 107.10 97.91 0.65
2014 2,510 1,143 144 907 93 100.0 12.6 79.3 8.1 39,495 94.85 101.40 92.87 104.44 100.58 -5.732015 2,543 1,228 161 960 106 100.0 13.1 78.2 8.7 40,259 89.86 94.96 87.90 97.51 95.16 -5.302016 2,599 1,245 172 949 124 100.0 13.8 76.2 9.9 39,939 87.86 92.80 85.92 95.40 93.08 -5.222017 2,750 1,285 156 1,000 129 100.0 12.2 77.8 10.0 44,184 94.19 99.09 92.36 101.60 98.65 -4.462018 2,935 1,374 187 1,046 140 100.0 13.6 76.2 10.2 50,297 100.32 105.14 98.58 107.71 103.83 -3.512019 3,005 1,461 304 1,002 154 100.0 20.8 68.6 10.6 55,668 104.38 108.97 102.66 111.74 107.64 -3.262020 3,065 1,538 539 824 175 100.0 35.1 53.5 11.4 60,724 108.16 112.71 106.43 115.46 111.24 -3.08
J-5
Años!
J-4. Producción y Exportación Mensual de Petróleo Crudo: Escenario Base 2014(Volumen, valor y precio)
Producción Plataforma de Exportación del Sector Petrolero Precio de Referencia
de Petróleo Volumen Valor Precio West Texas Intermediate
Crudo Miles de Barriles Diarios Proporción Total Dólares por Barril Dólares por Barril
(Mbd) Total Istmo Maya Olmeca Total Istmo Maya Olmeca Mills. Dls. Mezcla Istmo Maya Olmeca WTI WTI-Mezcla
2013 2,522 1,189 102 988 99 100.0 8.5 83.2 8.3 42,725 98.56 105.32 96.99 107.10 97.91 0.65Ene 2,562 1,289 132 981 176 100.0 10.2 76.1 13.7 4,020 100.60 108.19 97.98 109.64 94.76 5.84Feb 2,555 1,220 71 1,017 131 100.0 5.8 83.4 10.8 3,601 105.43 113.66 103.35 117.26 95.31 10.12Mar 2,516 1,103 86 893 124 100.0 7.8 81.0 11.2 3,521 102.98 111.12 100.77 113.18 92.94 10.04Abr 2,518 1,275 109 1,057 109 100.0 8.5 82.9 8.5 3,791 99.12 104.97 97.76 107.00 92.02 7.10May 2,510 1,029 26 915 88 100.0 2.5 88.9 8.6 3,147 98.67 101.43 97.91 106.23 94.51 4.16Jun 2,519 1,090 56 944 90 100.0 5.1 86.6 8.3 3,200 97.86 101.61 96.99 105.42 95.77 2.09Jul 2,482 1,210 88 1,034 87 100.0 7.3 85.5 7.3 3,789 101.00 108.18 99.67 110.02 104.67 -3.67Ago 2,514 1,157 110 978 69 100.0 9.5 84.5 6.0 3,617 100.84 109.14 99.24 111.05 106.57 -5.73Sep 2,523 1,195 116 1,007 72 100.0 9.7 84.3 6.0 3,576 99.74 109.04 98.15 107.85 106.29 -6.55Oct 2,540 1,193 110 1,012 71 100.0 9.2 84.8 6.0 3,512 94.95 101.86 93.87 100.62 100.54 -5.59Nov 2,513 1,200 147 985 68 100.0 12.3 82.1 5.7 3,230 89.71 94.25 88.70 96.16 93.86 -4.15Dic 2,517 1,308 178 1,032 98 100.0 13.6 78.9 7.5 3,721 91.78 100.36 89.50 100.79 97.63 -5.85
2014 2,510 1,143 144 907 93 100.0 12.6 79.3 8.1 39,495 94.85 101.40 92.87 104.44 100.58 -5.73Ene 2,506 1,171 178 893 100 100.0 15.2 76.3 8.5 3,291 90.65 98.20 88.31 99.14 94.62 -3.97Feb 2,501 1,275 175 1,006 95 100.0 13.7 78.9 7.4 3,323 93.09 101.71 90.82 102.40 100.82 -7.73Mar 2,469 1,133 156 891 86 100.0 13.8 78.6 7.6 3,283 93.48 101.29 91.40 102.31 100.80 -7.32Abr 2,478 1,051 122 859 70 100.0 11.6 81.7 6.7 3,000 95.14 102.17 93.31 106.64 102.07 -6.93May 2,490 1,116 122 901 93 100.0 10.9 80.7 8.3 3,353 96.92 103.52 95.09 107.18 102.18 -5.26Jun e/ 2,511 1,077 127 869 81 100.0 11.8 80.7 7.6 3,245 100.44 106.97 98.56 110.30 105.79 -5.36Jul 2,480 1,054 127 847 80 100.0 12.0 80.4 7.6 3,226 98.77 104.94 96.94 108.42 104.36 -5.59Ago 2,532 1,067 131 848 88 100.0 12.3 79.5 8.3 3,201 96.77 102.78 94.86 106.23 102.07 -5.30Sep 2,531 1,138 147 895 95 100.0 12.9 78.7 8.4 3,271 95.82 101.65 93.87 105.10 101.18 -5.36Oct 2,553 1,187 147 936 104 100.0 12.4 78.9 8.7 3,459 94.02 99.70 92.08 103.51 99.26 -5.24Nov 2,533 1,214 147 958 109 100.0 12.1 78.9 9.0 3,349 91.97 97.47 90.06 101.38 97.38 -5.41Dic 2,532 1,238 147 976 115 100.0 11.9 78.9 9.3 3,495 91.09 96.42 89.16 100.64 96.39 -5.30
p/ Cifras preliminares. e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
J-6
Meses!!
K. Balanza de Pagos de México
Cuadro K-1.Cuenta Corriente, Cuenta de Capital
y Reservas Internacionales del Banco de México 1980-2020
Cuadro K-2.
Comportamiento Trimestral de la Balanza de Pagos 2013-2014
Cuadro K-3.
Resumen Mensual de la Balanza de Pagos 2013-2014
K-1. Cuenta Corriente, de Capital y Reserva Internacional del Banco de México: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Millones de dólares)
Saldo Cuenta CorrienteAños Cuenta Corriente Ingresos Egresos
Dólares % PIB Suma Mercancías Turismo Remesas Intereses Otros Suma Mercancías Turismo Fletes y S. Intereses Otros
1980 -10,434 -4.1 24,861 18,031 3,201 699 1,022 1,907 35,295 21,089 3,062 950 6,147 4,0461981 -16,241 -4.9 31,111 23,307 3,332 860 1,386 2,225 47,352 27,184 4,064 1,119 9,485 5,5001982 -5,890 -2.6 30,972 24,055 2,660 845 1,325 2,087 36,862 17,011 2,208 620 12,203 4,8201983 5,860 3.8 32,929 25,953 2,751 983 1,279 1,963 27,069 11,848 1,583 455 10,103 3,0801984 4,183 2.0 37,831 29,100 3,323 1,127 2,074 2,206 33,647 15,916 2,169 534 11,715 3,3131985 800 0.4 35,859 26,757 2,949 1,157 1,822 3,174 35,059 18,359 2,259 550 10,156 3,7351986 -1,374 -0.9 29,928 21,804 3,027 1,290 1,462 2,345 31,301 16,784 2,178 486 8,342 3,5111987 4,239 2.3 37,368 27,600 3,540 1,478 1,888 2,864 33,129 18,812 2,366 538 8,097 3,3171988 -2,376 -1.1 42,096 30,691 4,048 1,898 2,507 2,951 44,471 28,082 3,201 822 8,639 3,7271989 -5,821 -2.1 48,103 35,171 4,822 2,212 2,580 3,318 53,925 34,766 4,247 1,159 9,278 4,4751990 -7,451 -2.3 56,071 40,711 5,526 2,494 2,667 4,673 63,522 41,593 5,519 1,531 9,222 5,6571991 -14,647 -3.7 58,087 42,688 5,959 2,660 2,906 3,875 72,734 49,967 5,813 1,758 9,215 5,9811992 -24,438 -5.4 61,669 46,196 6,085 3,070 2,160 4,159 86,107 62,129 6,107 2,084 9,611 6,1761993 -23,399 -4.6 67,752 51,886 6,167 3,333 2,048 4,318 91,151 65,367 5,562 2,181 10,934 7,1081994 -29,662 -5.6 78,372 60,882 6,363 3,475 2,700 4,952 108,034 79,346 5,338 2,640 11,807 8,9031995 -1,577 -0.5 97,029 79,542 6,179 3,673 3,018 4,618 98,606 72,453 3,171 1,975 13,575 7,4321996 -2,508 -0.6 115,316 96,000 6,756 4,224 3,307 5,030 117,824 89,469 3,387 2,510 13,361 9,0971997 -7,665 -1.6 131,318 110,431 7,376 4,865 3,750 4,896 138,984 109,808 3,892 3,312 12,436 9,5351998 -15,993 -3.2 140,148 117,539 7,493 5,627 4,034 5,455 156,141 125,373 4,209 3,699 12,482 10,3781999 -14,000 -2.4 158,910 136,362 7,223 5,910 3,736 5,681 172,910 141,975 4,541 4,109 12,809 9,4762000 -18,752 -2.7 192,876 166,121 8,294 6,573 5,025 6,864 211,628 174,458 5,499 5,006 13,695 12,9702001 -17,753 -2.4 186,166 158,780 8,401 8,895 4,075 6,016 203,919 168,396 5,702 4,643 12,693 12,4842002 -14,842 -2.0 188,178 161,046 8,858 9,814 2,835 5,624 203,019 168,679 6,060 4,408 11,966 11,9072003 -8,338 -1.2 196,918 164,766 9,362 15,139 2,343 5,309 205,256 170,546 6,253 4,493 11,950 12,0152004 -7,007 -0.9 226,548 187,999 10,796 18,332 2,211 7,211 233,555 196,810 6,959 5,450 11,601 12,7362005 -8,956 -1.0 257,381 214,233 11,803 21,688 2,719 6,937 266,337 221,820 7,600 6,494 12,695 17,7282006 -7,795 -0.8 297,842 249,925 12,177 25,567 4,431 5,742 305,638 256,058 8,108 7,418 14,731 19,3232007 -14,658 -1.4 323,714 271,875 12,919 26,059 6,218 6,643 338,372 281,949 8,462 8,297 16,922 22,7422008 -20,015 -1.8 343,686 291,343 13,370 25,145 6,128 7,701 363,700 308,603 8,568 10,000 16,763 19,7662009 -8,152 -0.9 273,250 229,704 11,513 21,306 4,253 6,474 281,401 234,385 7,207 7,510 12,886 19,4132010 -3,886 -0.4 346,529 298,473 11,992 21,304 3,388 11,373 350,415 301,482 7,255 8,723 14,161 18,7942011 -12,556 -1.1 399,248 349,375 11,869 22,803 3,475 11,727 411,804 350,843 7,832 10,225 17,688 25,2162012 -15,058 -1.3 423,446 370,706 12,739 22,438 2,671 14,891 438,504 370,752 8,449 9,726 20,296 29,2822013 -25,856 -2.1 432,081 380,189 13,819 21,583 2,391 14,100 457,936 381,210 9,054 9,755 23,217 34,701
2014 -22,909 -1.8 453,659 396,519 15,592 22,937 2,415 16,196 476,567 400,687 9,981 11,170 26,650 28,0792015 -33,269 -2.4 491,774 429,765 17,502 24,262 2,605 17,640 525,043 439,614 11,192 13,100 29,651 31,4852016 -45,797 -3.1 541,438 473,325 19,887 25,873 2,896 19,456 587,235 492,492 12,569 16,400 32,711 33,0642017 -56,653 -3.5 619,761 543,915 22,894 27,915 3,341 21,696 676,414 569,812 14,253 20,741 36,439 35,1692018 -66,849 -3.9 695,692 612,285 25,792 29,824 3,796 23,994 762,541 644,275 15,835 24,805 40,095 37,5312019 -79,398 -4.3 770,530 679,582 28,743 31,637 4,270 26,298 849,928 720,409 17,356 28,528 43,862 39,7732020 -93,116 -4.7 843,746 745,449 31,681 33,374 4,735 28,507 936,862 796,638 18,848 31,627 47,767 41,982
(Continúa)K-1
(Continuación)
Total Pasivos Total PasivosEndeudamiento Externo Neto Inversión Extranjera
Sector Sector Banca Banco Inversión Inversión de Cartera
Público Privado Comercial de México Directa Suma Acciones Dinero
1980 11,377 12,622 10,532 3,754 3,750 3,160 -132 2,090 2,090 0 0 0 -1,2451981 26,597 30,857 27,781 18,282 3,851 5,647 0 3,076 3,076 0 0 0 -4,2601982 9,996 10,820 8,920 7,529 2,223 -2,269 1,438 1,900 1,900 0 0 0 -8241983 339 4,025 1,834 2,886 -2,309 1,415 -158 2,192 2,192 0 0 0 -3,6861984 1,306 3,208 1,667 2,613 -1,760 -416 1,229 1,541 1,541 0 0 0 -1,9021985 -316 1,060 -923 954 -1,231 -939 293 1,984 1,984 0 0 0 -1,3771986 2,716 2,549 148 1,646 -1,481 -732 714 2,401 2,401 0 0 0 1671987 -1,242 3,556 921 3,101 -2,654 47 428 2,635 2,635 0 0 0 -4,7981988 -444 1,310 -1,570 -258 -2,598 1,380 -94 2,880 2,880 0 0 0 -1,7541989 2,075 3,245 -424 -829 -2,251 980 1,677 3,669 3,176 493 493 0 -1,1701990 8,115 16,814 12,186 6,854 1,313 4,384 -365 4,628 2,633 1,994 1,994 0 -8,7001991 24,786 25,785 11,286 1,754 4,142 5,609 -220 14,500 4,761 9,738 6,332 3,406 -1,0001992 26,486 20,934 3,611 -1,978 5,134 916 -460 17,323 4,393 12,930 4,783 8,147 5,5521993 32,341 35,944 13,433 2,664 7,271 4,673 -1,175 22,511 4,389 18,122 10,717 7,406 -3,6031994 14,976 20,646 7,815 3,619 3,828 1,571 -1,203 12,831 10,973 1,858 4,084 -2,225 -5,6701995 15,332 22,689 26,503 14,446 2,833 -4,108 13,333 -3,814 9,526 -13,340 519 -13,860 -7,3581996 4,118 10,459 -2,225 -8 2,962 -1,655 -3,524 12,684 9,185 3,499 2,801 698 -6,3411997 16,574 9,858 -6,707 -6,716 5,365 -1,869 -3,487 16,565 12,830 3,736 3,215 520 6,7161998 19,075 18,643 6,571 3,401 5,169 -928 -1,072 12,073 12,757 -684 -666 -19 4311999 14,644 18,648 1,889 2,588 4,708 -1,723 -3,685 16,760 13,940 2,820 3,769 -949 -4,0052000 20,057 12,958 -5,715 -2,975 3,991 -2,446 -4,286 18,673 18,302 371 447 -76 7,0992001 28,418 32,253 1,243 2,126 2,263 -3,147 0 31,010 29,988 1,022 151 871 -3,8352002 23,547 19,704 -4,217 808 -2,061 -2,965 0 23,921 23,996 -75 -104 29 3,8442003 23,033 21,953 2,419 1,871 -2,676 3,224 0 19,534 18,898 636 -123 760 1,0802004 15,927 28,500 877 1,509 -1,975 1,343 0 27,623 25,095 2,528 -2,522 5,050 -12,5732005 12,320 36,257 5,530 -1,344 4,166 2,708 0 30,727 24,680 6,046 3,353 2,693 -23,9372006 7,169 21,976 -4,206 -15,002 7,139 3,657 0 26,182 20,863 5,319 2,805 2,513 -14,8062007 22,295 64,669 25,087 6,278 7,375 11,434 0 39,582 32,253 7,329 -482 7,811 -42,3742008 32,789 40,630 9,887 8,925 728 234 0 30,743 28,313 2,430 -3,503 5,933 -7,8422009 16,907 34,998 10,033 10,432 -3,711 -3,918 7,229 24,965 17,331 7,634 4,155 3,479 -18,0912010 46,388 92,282 45,428 13,669 5,657 29,323 -3,221 46,853 23,353 23,500 373 23,127 -45,8932011 50,787 61,515 13,075 5,628 8,401 -953 0 48,440 23,354 25,086 -6,566 31,651 -10,7282012 54,463 88,502 14,357 8,794 8,769 -3,206 0 74,145 17,628 56,517 9,877 46,640 -34,0392013 59,460 101,907 42,591 8,630 18,849 15,112 0 59,316 38,286 21,030 -943 21,973 -42,447
2014 67,891 101,536 34,072 17,444 11,240 5,388 0 67,464 25,076 42,388 8,407 33,981 -33,6452015 65,035 103,777 28,578 11,935 12,685 3,958 0 75,199 29,066 46,133 8,537 37,596 -38,7422016 75,190 121,086 28,394 12,387 11,333 4,674 0 92,692 34,632 58,060 8,827 49,233 -45,8962017 84,911 141,544 32,494 13,062 13,699 5,734 0 109,050 38,938 70,112 9,392 60,720 -56,6332018 95,734 160,630 36,735 14,314 17,496 4,925 0 123,895 45,212 78,683 9,817 68,866 -64,8962019 111,991 168,278 38,491 14,383 19,682 4,426 0 129,788 49,371 80,416 8,976 71,440 -56,2872020 123,575 175,844 40,449 15,019 21,463 3,966 0 135,395 54,239 81,157 7,852 73,304 -52,269
(Continúa)
K-2
Total!Activos!
Suma!!
Suma!!
Total!Pasivos!!
Cuenta!de!
Capital!!
Años!!
(Continuación)
Otros Conceptos Banco de México Indicadores Estratégicos de la Balanza de PagosErrores Ajustes Reserva Internacional Reserva Internacional Transferencia Neta de Inversión Extranjera
y Oro-plata y Variación Saldo Como % del Como % de las Como % de la Recursos del Exterior Directa en América Latina
Omisiones Valoración Anual Fin de Año PIB Importaciones Base Monetaria Dólares % PIB Dólares % México
1980 -142 -218 1,019 3,766 2.0 17.9 4.8 4,953 2.7 5,631 37.11981 -9,221 123 1,012 4,778 1.9 17.6 4.7 7,507 2.9 8,467 36.31982 -7,406 -115 -3,185 1,593 0.5 9.4 3.5 -9,466 -2.9 6,276 30.31983 -3,081 17 3,101 4,694 2.1 39.6 10.4 -11,765 -5.3 5,033 43.51984 -2,136 152 3,201 7,895 5.1 49.6 14.0 -10,793 -6.9 4,247 36.31985 -2,907 -95 -2,328 5,567 2.7 30.3 7.5 -12,092 -5.8 5,884 33.71986 -739 -382 985 6,552 3.3 39.0 11.1 -5,392 -2.7 3,955 60.71987 3,103 -824 6,924 13,476 8.3 71.6 26.1 -4,729 -2.9 5,665 46.51988 -3,914 394 -7,127 6,349 3.5 22.6 8.3 -11,405 -6.3 8,800 32.71989 4,142 124 272 6,620 2.9 19.0 7.9 -1,891 -0.8 7,347 43.21990 2,703 -181 3,548 10,168 3.7 24.4 9.9 2,493 0.9 6,830 38.61991 -2,445 316 7,378 17,547 5.4 35.1 14.0 14,067 4.4 11,499 41.41992 -1,028 12 1,008 18,554 4.7 29.9 13.1 16,241 4.2 13,359 32.91993 -3,001 -43 5,983 24,538 5.4 37.5 16.1 18,303 4.0 8,863 49.51994 -3,705 -2 -18,389 6,148 1.2 7.7 5.8 -1,100 -0.2 23,872 46.01995 -4,164 -2 9,593 15,741 3.0 21.7 18.0 -1,760 -0.3 25,247 37.71996 163 5 1,768 17,509 5.1 19.6 16.4 -9,425 -2.7 39,788 23.11997 1,603 18 10,494 28,003 7.0 25.5 20.7 5,753 1.4 58,394 22.01998 -944 2 2,137 30,140 6.3 24.0 22.7 5,175 1.1 62,560 20.41999 -52 -1 594 30,733 6.1 21.6 15.5 2,197 0.4 82,502 16.92000 1,520 3 2,821 33,555 5.8 19.2 15.4 6,848 1.2 72,943 25.12001 -3,341 0 7,325 40,880 6.0 24.3 16.6 11,497 1.7 69,501 43.12002 -1,616 -14 7,104 47,984 6.6 28.4 19.0 9,155 1.3 51,453 46.62003 -5,257 -13 9,451 57,435 7.8 33.7 21.3 4,832 0.7 40,446 46.72004 -4,862 -3 4,061 61,496 8.6 31.2 20.2 92 0.0 50,750 49.42005 3,801 -8 7,173 68,669 8.9 31.0 19.2 -878 -0.1 57,624 42.82006 -377 -14 -989 67,680 7.8 26.4 16.3 -13,523 -1.6 33,820 61.72007 2,649 -25 10,311 77,991 8.1 27.7 17.2 1,583 0.2 94,883 34.02008 -5,336 -12 7,450 85,441 8.2 27.7 20.5 7,445 0.7 100,851 28.12009 -3,422 -63 5,397 90,838 8.3 38.8 18.8 -1,534 -0.1 69,961 24.82010 -19,823 -79 22,759 113,597 12.7 37.7 20.2 14,095 1.6 80,492 29.02011 -9,793 -441 28,879 142,475 13.5 40.6 26.0 21,068 2.0 126,850 18.42012 -18,682 -317 21,040 163,515 14.0 44.1 25.1 12,227 1.0 128,997 13.72013 -15,960 4,639 13,006 176,522 14.9 46.3 25.2 8,579 0.7 154,681 24.8
2014 -18,293 4,334 22,355 198,877 15.3 49.6 25.7 18,761 1.4 159,785 15.72015 -14,197 3,741 13,828 212,705 15.5 48.4 25.9 15,260 1.1 168,733 17.22016 -15,774 3,326 10,292 222,997 15.1 45.3 25.1 21,265 1.4 182,401 19.02017 -16,863 3,688 7,707 230,704 14.4 40.5 23.8 26,732 1.7 207,937 18.72018 -18,742 4,025 6,118 236,822 13.7 36.8 22.6 32,312 1.9 229,355 19.72019 -21,258 3,752 7,583 244,405 13.3 33.9 21.5 42,800 2.3 249,079 19.82020 -23,726 3,287 3,447 247,852 12.6 31.1 20.3 48,504 2.5 266,016 20.4
(Conclusión)
K-3
Años!!
K-2. Cuenta Corriente, de Capital y Reserva Internacional del Banco de México Trimestral: Escenario Base 2014(Millones de dólares)
Saldo Cuenta CorrienteAños Cuenta Corriente Ingresos Egresos
Dólares % PIB Suma Mercancías Turismo Remesas Intereses Otros Suma Mercancías Turismo Fletes y S. Intereses Otros
2011 -12,556 -1.1 399,248 349,375 11,869 22,803 3,475 11,727 411,804 350,843 7,832 10,225 17,688 25,216
I -2,422 -0.2 92,634 81,801 3,365 5,110 729 1,629 95,057 79,893 1,676 2,280 3,728 7,480II -1,700 -0.1 103,208 89,283 2,881 6,072 932 4,041 104,907 88,044 1,947 2,615 5,054 7,247III -5,015 -0.4 100,399 88,088 2,572 6,137 911 2,693 105,414 91,968 2,025 2,703 3,729 4,988IV -3,419 -0.3 103,007 90,204 3,051 5,485 903 3,365 106,426 90,939 2,183 2,627 5,178 5,500
2012 -15,058 -1.3 423,446 370,706 12,739 22,438 2,671 14,891 438,504 370,752 8,449 9,726 20,296 29,282
I -3,327 -0.3 102,590 89,609 3,602 5,386 665 3,327 105,917 87,906 1,791 2,327 4,018 9,875II -1,881 -0.2 107,934 94,309 3,037 6,470 716 3,402 109,815 92,941 1,995 2,433 5,762 6,684III -2,524 -0.2 104,238 91,235 2,754 5,414 650 4,186 106,762 92,416 2,206 2,442 4,145 5,554IV -7,326 -0.6 108,683 95,552 3,347 5,168 640 3,976 116,009 97,489 2,457 2,523 6,371 7,169
2013 -25,856 -2.1 432,081 380,189 13,819 21,892 2,391 13,790 457,936 381,210 9,054 9,755 23,217 34,701
I -7,117 -0.6 101,790 88,325 3,864 4,889 657 4,054 108,907 89,347 1,930 2,318 4,374 10,938II -5,535 -0.4 112,328 96,721 3,255 5,941 649 5,763 117,863 97,561 2,060 2,482 7,002 8,758III -5,659 -0.5 107,975 96,265 3,041 5,570 561 2,538 113,634 97,280 2,425 2,500 4,584 6,846IV -7,545 -0.6 109,988 98,877 3,659 5,493 524 1,435 117,532 97,022 2,639 2,456 7,256 8,159
2014 -22,909 -1.8 453,659 396,519 15,592 22,937 2,415 16,196 476,567 400,687 9,981 11,170 26,650 28,079
I -4,533 -0.4 104,274 90,872 4,436 5,459 512 2,994 108,808 92,064 1,982 2,672 4,859 7,230II e/ -2,120 -0.2 118,314 101,116 3,890 6,182 679 6,446 120,434 100,063 2,269 2,712 8,033 7,357III e/ -10,483 -0.8 112,528 99,247 3,317 5,644 637 3,683 123,010 102,646 2,726 2,905 7,652 7,081IV e/ -5,773 -0.4 118,543 105,284 3,949 5,651 587 3,072 124,316 105,914 3,004 2,881 6,105 6,412
Fuente: Banco de México, Indicadores del Sector Externo.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. (Continúa)
K-4
(Continuación)
Total PasivosEndeudamiento Externo Neto Inversión Extranjera
Sector Sector Banca Banco Inversión Inversión de Cartera
Público Privado Comercial de México Directa Suma Acciones Dinero
2011 50,787 61,515 13,075 5,628 8,401 -953 0 48,440 23,354 25,086 -6,566 31,651 -10,728
I 17,695 24,970 8,534 -1,054 3,118 6,470 0 16,436 7,102 9,334 -1,205 10,539 -7,275II 15,306 19,285 9,015 418 350 8,247 0 10,270 5,304 4,967 -1,180 6,147 -3,979III 7,471 -705 -10,838 2,901 3,900 -17,640 0 10,134 4,464 5,670 -1,748 7,418 8,176IV 10,315 17,965 6,366 3,363 1,033 1,970 0 11,600 6,485 5,115 -2,432 7,547 -7,650
2012 54,463 88,502 14,357 8,794 8,769 -3,206 0 74,145 17,628 56,517 9,877 46,640 -34,039
I 23,433 23,753 2,076 4,387 1,045 -3,357 0 21,677 6,013 15,664 2,021 13,643 -320II -9,525 20,332 8,701 1,448 1,292 5,962 0 11,631 4,948 6,682 1,034 5,648 -29,857III 18,626 17,034 -2,732 434 4,532 -7,697 0 19,766 5,400 14,366 1,212 13,155 1,592IV 21,929 27,383 6,312 2,526 1,900 1,886 0 21,071 1,267 19,804 5,611 14,193 -5,454
2013 59,460 101,907 42,591 8,630 18,849 15,112 0 59,316 38,286 21,030 -943 21,973 -42,447
I 15,530 35,512 18,015 1,234 368 16,413 0 17,497 8,129 9,368 27 9,341 -19,983II 6,845 12,394 -4,473 -1,101 3,212 -6,584 0 16,867 20,062 -3,195 -4,939 1,744 -5,549III 17,000 22,815 12,529 3,725 8,005 799 0 10,287 3,586 6,701 3,669 3,032 -5,816IV 20,086 31,185 16,520 4,773 7,264 4,483 0 14,665 6,508 8,157 300 7,856 -11,099
2014 67,891 101,536 34,072 17,444 11,240 5,388 0 67,464 25,076 42,388 8,407 33,981 -33,645
I 10,504 15,171 4,565 7,786 2,267 -5,488 0 10,605 5,821 4,784 282 4,503 -4,666II e/ 14,674 19,344 7,200 3,867 1,656 1,677 0 12,144 3,533 8,610 2,677 5,933 -4,670III e/ 22,337 26,180 8,169 1,520 3,287 3,362 0 18,012 6,916 11,096 2,103 8,992 -3,844IV e/ 20,376 40,842 14,138 4,272 4,030 5,837 0 26,704 8,806 17,897 3,345 14,553 -20,466
Fuente: Banco de México, Indicadores del Sector Externo.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. (Continúa)
K-5
Total!Activos!Suma!
!Suma!!
Total!Pasivos!
!
Cuenta!de!
Capital!!
Años!!
(Continuación)
Otros Conceptos Banco de México Indicadores Estratégicos de la Balanza de PagosErrores Ajustes Reserva Internacional Reserva Internacional Transferencia Neta de
y Oro-plata y Variación Saldo Como % del Como % de las Como % de la Recursos del Exterior
Omisiones Valoración Anual Fin de Año PIB Importaciones Base Monetaria Dólares % PIB
2011 -9,793 -441 28,879 142,475 12.2 40.6 26.0 21,068 1.8
I -6,287 -126 9,112 122,708 10.6 38.4 23.0 4,031 0.3II -7,193 -227 6,641 129,349 10.7 36.7 23.9 2,753 0.2III 5,767 -390 8,613 137,962 11.7 37.5 29.6 10,667 0.9IV -2,080 302 4,513 142,475 12.5 39.2 26.0 3,618 0.3
2012 -18,682 -317 21,040 163,515 13.8 44.1 25.1 12,227 1.0
I -12,381 -64 7,789 150,264 12.8 42.7 26.6 2,959 0.3II 18,333 -146 7,073 157,337 13.8 42.3 28.2 2,478 0.2III -13,108 -1,551 4,545 161,882 13.7 43.8 28.6 2,873 0.2IV -11,526 1,444 1,634 163,515 13.1 41.9 25.1 3,917 0.3
2013 -15,960 4,639 13,006 176,522 14.0 46.3 25.2 8,579 0.7
I -3,617 1,348 3,447 166,962 13.5 46.7 25.7 3,377 0.3II 1,818 3,560 -432 166,530 13.1 42.7 28.1 -116 0.0III -6,810 -1,033 5,563 172,094 13.8 44.2 29.5 3,930 0.3IV -7,350 763 4,428 176,522 13.8 45.5 25.2 1,387 0.1
2014 -18,293 4,334 22,355 198,877 15.3 49.6 25.7 18,761 1.4
I 49 -218 6,238 182,759 14.7 49.6 27.8 4,258 0.3II e/ -2,512 2,468 7,575 190,334 14.8 47.6 28.2 3,804 0.3III e/ -6,237 988 4,629 194,963 14.8 47.5 30.5 7,334 0.6IV e/ -9,594 1,096 3,913 198,877 14.6 46.9 25.7 3,365 0.2
Fuente: Elaborado con datos del Banco de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. (Conclusión)
K-6
Años!!
K-3. Resumen Mensual de la Balanza de Pagos: Escenario Base 2014(Millones de dólares)
Saldo Principales Rubros de Ingresos y Egresos de la Cuenta Corriente
de la Balanza Comercial Balanza Turística
Cuenta Exportación Mercancías Importación Mercancías Saldo Ingresos por Turismo Egresos por Turismo Saldo
Corriente Dólares Var. % Dólares Var. % Comercial Dólares Var. % Dólares Var. % Turístico
2013 -25,856 380,027 2.5 381,210 2.8 -1,184 13,949 9.5 9,122 8.0 4,827Ene -4,854 27,299 0.1 30,153 9.5 -2,854 1,231 12.5 716 10.9 515Feb -1,974 29,091 -3.1 29,066 -1.5 25 1,210 4.3 569 5.6 642Mar -289 31,838 -1.5 30,128 -2.3 1,710 1,443 7.1 653 7.6 790Abr -2,904 32,729 5.9 34,088 11.8 -1,358 1,103 5.2 746 5.2 356May -2,006 32,845 -0.9 33,306 1.5 -460 1,028 7.9 672 -0.1 356Jun -625 31,088 2.7 30,168 1.7 920 1,156 11.5 648 5.8 509Jul -2,961 32,252 6.5 33,651 9.6 -1,399 1,209 9.4 826 6.1 382Ago -1,787 32,677 3.2 32,902 0.8 -225 1,044 15.5 844 9.7 199Sep -911 31,378 7.2 30,726 5.7 651 833 12.0 762 16.0 71Oct -3,252 35,082 3.4 35,217 -1.0 -135 997 13.7 844 15.9 153Nov -2,802 31,679 0.7 31,364 -4.1 315 1,163 11.9 840 -0.6 324Dic -1,491 32,067 6.1 30,441 4.2 1,626 1,531 7.0 1,002 13.4 530
2014 -22,909 396,397 4.3 400,687 5.1 -4,290 15,581 11.7 10,074 10.4 5,506Ene -4,255 27,052 -0.9 30,234 0.3 -3,182 1,389 12.9 808 12.8 582Feb -155 30,462 4.7 29,543 1.6 918 1,377 13.7 607 6.8 769Mar -124 33,236 4.4 32,287 7.2 949 1,659 15.0 660 1.1 999Abr -548 34,071 4.1 33,562 -1.5 510 1,334 21.0 785 5.2 549May -926 34,383 4.7 34,251 2.8 132 1,263 22.9 749 11.4 515Jun e/ -646 32,662 5.1 32,250 6.9 412 1,293 11.8 736 13.6 557Jul -4,108 33,640 4.3 35,387 5.2 -1,747 1,321 9.3 956 15.7 365Ago -3,566 34,146 4.5 35,350 7.4 -1,205 1,114 6.7 934 10.6 180Sep -2,809 31,461 0.3 31,909 3.8 -448 882 5.8 836 9.7 46Oct -2,809 37,091 5.7 38,185 8.4 -1,094 1,043 4.6 898 6.4 144Nov -2,141 34,415 8.6 34,842 11.1 -427 1,226 5.4 987 17.6 239Dic -823 33,778 5.3 32,886 8.0 892 1,680 9.7 1,118 11.6 562
e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. (Continúa)
K-7
Meses!!
(Continuación)
Principales Rubros de Ingresos y Egresos de la Cuenta Corriente Saldo Banco de México
Ingresos Ingresos Egresos Cuenta Reserva Pasivos Activos
Remesas Familiares Diversos Conceptos Pago de Intereses y otros de Capital Internacional FMI Internacionales
Dólares Var. % Dólares Var. % Dólares Var. % y otros Cambio Saldo y otros Cambio Saldo
2013 21,892 -2.4 16,181 -7.9 56,866 6.1 38,862 13,006 176,522 3,711 13,150 180,232Ene 1,486 -1.4 1,632 21.3 4,679 5.5 6,848 1,994 165,510 5,776 4,204 171,286Feb 1,605 -10.2 1,482 15.2 4,104 5.4 2,362 388 165,898 5,878 490 171,776Mar 1,798 -14.0 1,597 17.5 4,595 5.3 1,353 1,064 166,962 4,369 -445 171,331Abr 1,940 -4.5 2,234 63.3 4,672 4.8 4,309 1,405 168,367 4,366 1,402 172,733May 2,050 -12.5 1,992 48.1 4,738 6.4 768 -1,238 167,129 3,001 -2,603 170,130Jun 1,950 -7.0 2,186 55.5 4,765 9.8 26 -599 166,530 2,404 -1,196 168,934Jul 1,841 -1.2 960 -37.4 4,784 6.0 5,591 2,630 169,160 3,685 3,911 172,845Ago 1,901 0.6 1,059 -40.8 4,934 6.5 3,336 1,549 170,709 2,845 709 173,554Sep 1,828 10.0 1,080 -28.6 4,932 7.8 2,296 1,385 172,094 2,941 1,481 175,035Oct 1,912 7.9 766 -57.1 4,996 4.5 5,304 2,052 174,146 3,049 2,160 177,195Nov 1,732 2.3 669 -53.4 4,840 3.5 4,808 2,007 176,152 3,072 2,029 179,224Dic 1,849 8.5 523 -62.5 4,828 7.4 1,861 369 176,522 3,711 1,008 180,232
2014 22,937 4.8 18,610 15.0 60,463 6.3 45,264 22,355 198,877 3,155 21,799 202,031Ene 1,642 10.5 1,294 -20.8 4,836 3.4 7,303 3,048 179,570 3,467 2,804 183,037Feb 1,719 7.1 1,087 -26.6 4,194 2.2 1,440 1,285 180,855 2,942 761 183,797Mar 2,098 16.7 1,125 -29.6 4,771 3.8 2,028 1,904 182,759 2,740 1,702 185,499Abr 1,976 1.9 2,387 6.9 4,922 5.4 3,838 3,289 186,049 2,824 3,374 188,873May 2,145 4.6 2,497 25.4 5,088 7.4 3,143 2,217 188,266 2,363 1,755 190,628Jun e/ 2,062 5.7 2,241 2.5 5,072 6.4 2,714 2,069 190,334 2,238 1,944 192,572Jul 1,872 1.7 1,552 61.7 5,042 5.4 5,560 1,452 191,786 2,788 2,003 194,575Ago 1,964 3.3 1,459 37.8 5,398 9.4 4,656 1,090 192,876 2,776 1,078 195,652Sep 1,808 -1.1 1,309 21.2 5,416 9.8 4,896 2,087 194,963 2,766 2,077 197,729Oct 1,964 2.7 1,275 66.4 5,289 5.9 3,919 1,111 196,074 2,926 1,271 199,000Nov 1,797 3.8 1,127 68.4 5,236 8.2 3,731 1,589 197,663 2,923 1,587 200,587Dic 1,890 2.2 1,257 140.2 5,201 7.7 2,036 1,213 198,877 3,155 1,445 202,031
e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.Nota: Los saldos mensuales de la cuenta corriente y de la cuenta de capital son estimaciones propias. En la cuenta de capital se incluyen los rubros de errores y omisiones, ajustes oro-plata y valoración.
K-8
Meses!!
L. Deuda Externa de México !!!!
Cuadro L-1.!Deuda Externa de México clasificada por Sectores Económicos 1980-2020!
!Cuadro L-2. !
Endeudamiento Externo Neto, Pago de Intereses !e Indicadores del Peso de la Deuda Externa 1980-2020!
!Cuadro L-3. !
SHCP: Deuda Externa Anual de México clasificada por Sectores,!Tipos de Crédito y Monedas, 2000-2013!
!Cuadro L-4. !
SHCP: Deuda Externa Trimestral de México clasificada por Sectores,!Tipos de Crédito y Monedas, 2011-2013!
!!!!
L-1. Deuda Externa Total de México: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Millones de dólares)
Deuda Externa Deuda externa clasificada por sectoresAños Total Sector Público Sector Privado Banca Comercial Banco de México
Saldo Var. % % PIB Saldo % PIB Saldo % PIB Saldo % PIB Saldo % PIB
1980 54,426 35.2 19.3 33,813 12.0 16,900 6.0 3,713 1.3 0 0.01981 80,998 48.8 23.8 52,961 15.6 21,900 6.4 6,137 1.8 0 0.01982 90,103 11.2 54.1 58,874 35.4 23,031 13.8 7,958 4.8 240 0.11983 91,339 1.4 46.9 62,556 32.1 20,433 10.5 7,146 3.7 1,204 0.61984 96,667 5.8 41.9 69,378 30.1 17,631 7.7 7,225 3.1 2,433 1.11985 100,361 3.8 50.4 72,080 36.2 17,054 8.6 8,284 4.2 2,943 1.51986 103,480 3.1 73.5 75,351 53.5 16,284 11.6 7,818 5.6 4,028 2.91987 107,783 4.2 68.0 81,407 51.4 15,384 9.7 5,873 3.7 5,119 3.21988 100,088 -7.1 40.5 81,003 32.8 8,015 3.2 6,283 2.5 4,786 1.91989 94,443 -5.6 33.9 76,059 27.3 6,038 2.2 7,220 2.6 5,126 1.81990 106,074 12.3 30.0 77,770 22.0 7,697 2.2 14,098 4.0 6,508 1.81991 115,602 9.0 27.6 79,988 19.1 9,886 2.4 18,969 4.5 6,759 1.61992 114,508 -0.9 23.7 75,755 15.7 13,298 2.8 19,497 4.0 5,957 1.21993 126,997 10.9 23.9 78,747 14.8 20,244 3.8 23,210 4.4 4,795 0.91994 135,507 6.7 38.4 85,436 24.2 22,075 6.3 24,136 6.8 3,860 1.11995 162,403 19.8 49.2 100,934 30.6 23,457 7.1 20,730 6.3 17,282 5.21996 153,317 -5.6 35.6 98,285 22.8 23,286 5.4 18,468 4.3 13,279 3.11997 145,583 -5.0 28.2 88,321 17.1 31,350 6.1 16,825 3.3 9,088 1.81998 156,461 7.5 31.2 92,295 18.4 39,965 8.0 15,821 3.2 8,380 1.71999 158,274 1.2 25.4 92,290 14.8 47,392 7.6 14,124 2.3 4,468 0.72000 137,690 -13.0 19.6 84,600 12.0 41,887 6.0 11,203 1.6 0 0.02001 133,999 -2.7 17.7 80,339 10.6 45,179 6.0 8,481 1.1 0 0.02002 128,713 -3.9 17.8 78,818 10.9 44,245 6.1 5,650 0.8 0 0.02003 129,162 0.3 18.1 79,024 11.1 45,164 6.3 4,975 0.7 0 0.02004 128,001 -0.9 15.8 79,226 9.8 43,005 5.3 5,770 0.7 0 0.02005 122,656 -4.2 13.4 71,675 7.8 45,433 4.9 5,548 0.6 0 0.02006 107,641 -12.2 10.7 54,766 5.5 47,536 4.7 5,339 0.5 0 0.02007 123,094 14.4 11.1 55,355 5.0 60,432 5.5 7,308 0.7 0 0.02008 129,883 5.5 14.3 56,939 6.3 66,817 7.3 6,127 0.7 0 0.02009 163,801 26.1 16.7 96,354 9.8 61,229 6.3 6,218 0.6 0 0.02010 190,143 16.1 16.8 110,428 9.7 64,707 5.7 15,008 1.3 0 0.02011 201,344 5.9 18.0 116,420 10.4 68,650 6.2 16,273 1.5 0 0.02012 213,410 6.0 17.1 125,726 10.1 72,025 5.8 15,659 1.3 0 0.02013 240,703 12.8 19.5 134,436 10.9 87,709 7.1 18,558 1.5 0 0.0
2014 275,104 14.3 21.0 151,147 11.5 101,736 7.8 22,221 1.7 0 0.02015 304,446 10.7 22.2 162,756 11.9 117,777 8.6 23,913 1.7 0 0.02016 333,662 9.6 22.8 174,501 11.9 131,732 9.0 27,429 1.9 0 0.02017 367,985 10.3 23.2 187,230 11.8 149,267 9.4 31,488 2.0 0 0.02018 405,227 10.1 23.8 200,886 11.8 169,186 9.9 35,155 2.1 0 0.02019 444,705 9.7 24.3 214,856 11.7 191,994 10.5 37,855 2.1 0 0.02020 486,069 9.3 24.8 229,279 11.7 216,856 11.0 39,934 2.0 0 0.0
L-1
L-2. Endeudamiento Externo Neto e Indicadores del Peso de la Deuda Externa: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Millones de dólares)
Endeudamiento Externo Neto Intereses Indicadores Peso Deuda Externa TotalAños Neto Sector Sector Banca Banco de Pago Sector Sector Deuda Total Tasa de Intereses Deuda Total
Total Público Privado Comercial México Total Público Privado % PIB Interés Exportación Exportación
1980 10,532 3,754 3,750 3,160 -132 6,147 4,201 1,946 19.3 11.29 22.3 197.31981 27,781 18,282 3,851 5,647 0 9,485 5,939 3,547 23.8 11.71 26.6 227.21982 8,920 7,529 2,223 -2,269 1,438 12,203 8,240 3,963 54.1 13.54 52.9 390.81983 1,834 2,886 -2,309 1,415 -158 10,103 6,784 3,319 46.9 11.06 61.9 559.61984 1,667 2,613 -1,760 -416 1,229 11,715 8,091 3,624 41.9 12.12 55.4 457.21985 -923 954 -1,231 -939 293 10,156 7,321 2,835 50.4 10.12 42.5 420.41986 148 1,646 -1,481 -732 714 8,342 6,124 2,218 73.5 8.06 38.0 471.01987 921 3,101 -2,654 47 428 8,097 6,015 2,082 68.0 7.51 33.6 446.91988 -1,570 -258 -2,598 1,380 -94 8,639 7,258 1,381 40.5 8.63 25.1 291.31989 -424 -829 -2,251 980 1,677 9,278 8,061 1,217 33.9 9.82 21.8 221.51990 12,186 6,854 1,313 4,384 -365 9,222 7,667 1,555 30.0 8.69 17.8 204.41991 11,286 1,754 4,142 5,609 -220 9,215 7,342 1,874 27.6 7.97 15.1 189.81992 3,611 -1,978 5,134 916 -460 9,611 7,708 1,902 23.7 8.39 13.0 154.61993 13,433 2,664 7,271 4,673 -1,175 10,934 8,293 2,642 23.9 8.61 14.1 164.11994 7,815 3,619 3,828 1,571 -1,203 11,807 7,989 3,818 38.4 8.71 12.8 146.91995 26,503 14,446 2,833 -4,108 13,333 13,575 9,229 4,347 49.2 8.36 16.6 198.21996 -2,225 -8 2,962 -1,655 -3,524 13,361 8,680 4,681 35.6 8.71 13.4 153.21997 -6,707 -6,716 5,365 -1,869 -3,487 12,436 7,443 4,993 28.2 8.54 10.2 119.21998 6,571 3,401 5,169 -928 -1,072 12,482 7,114 5,368 31.2 7.98 9.0 113.21999 1,889 2,588 4,708 -1,723 -3,685 12,809 7,099 5,710 25.4 8.09 8.2 101.52000 -5,715 -2,975 3,991 -2,446 -4,286 13,695 7,528 6,167 19.6 9.95 7.2 72.12001 1,243 2,126 2,263 -3,147 0 12,693 7,053 5,640 17.7 9.47 6.9 72.42002 -4,217 808 -2,061 -2,965 0 11,966 6,575 5,391 17.8 9.30 6.4 69.12003 2,419 1,871 -2,676 3,224 0 11,950 6,831 5,119 18.1 9.25 6.3 68.62004 877 1,509 -1,975 1,343 0 11,601 6,684 4,916 15.8 9.06 5.4 59.12005 5,530 -1,344 4,166 2,708 0 12,695 7,390 5,305 13.4 10.35 5.2 50.22006 -4,206 -15,002 7,139 3,657 0 14,731 8,144 6,586 10.7 13.68 5.3 38.52007 25,087 6,278 7,375 11,434 0 16,922 8,476 8,446 11.1 13.75 5.5 40.12008 9,887 8,925 728 234 0 16,763 8,410 8,353 14.3 12.91 5.0 38.82009 10,033 10,432 -3,711 -3,918 7,229 12,886 6,700 6,186 16.7 7.87 5.0 63.12010 45,428 13,669 5,657 29,323 -3,221 14,161 7,507 6,653 16.8 7.45 4.3 58.12011 13,075 5,628 8,401 -953 0 17,688 9,557 8,132 18.0 8.79 4.6 52.82012 14,357 8,794 8,769 -3,206 0 20,296 11,728 8,568 17.1 9.51 5.1 53.12013 42,591 8,630 18,849 15,112 0 23,217 13,264 9,952 19.5 9.65 5.6 58.2
2014 34,072 17,444 11,240 5,388 0 26,650 14,948 11,702 21.0 9.69 6.1 63.22015 28,578 11,935 12,685 3,958 0 29,651 16,162 13,489 22.2 9.74 6.2 63.82016 28,394 12,387 11,333 4,674 0 32,711 17,415 15,295 22.8 9.80 6.1 62.32017 32,494 13,062 13,699 5,734 0 36,439 18,779 17,660 23.2 9.90 5.9 59.42018 36,735 14,314 17,496 4,925 0 40,095 20,008 20,087 23.8 9.89 5.7 57.92019 38,491 14,383 19,682 4,426 0 43,862 21,314 22,548 24.3 9.86 5.6 56.82020 40,449 15,019 21,463 3,966 0 47,767 22,653 25,114 24.8 9.83 5.5 56.3
L-2
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
A . SECTOR PUBLICO 84,600 80,339 78,818 79,024 79,226 71,675 54,766 55,355 56,939 96,354 110,428 116,420 125,726 134,4361. CON ACREEDORES PRIVADOS 39,886 45,793 45,654 51,673 53,510 48,917 40,136 38,518 37,442 66,523 73,810 78,692 87,788 96,480 MERCADO DE CAPITALES 36,091 42,532 42,668 48,806 51,107 46,462 38,558 36,964 34,688 58,731 63,591 68,914 79,394 90,302 Bonos 36,091 42,532 42,668 48,806 51,107 46,462 38,558 36,964 34,688 58,731 63,591 68,914 79,394 90,302 MERCADO BANCARIO 3,795 3,261 2,986 2,867 2,403 2,455 1,578 1,554 2,754 7,791 10,219 9,779 8,395 6,178 Directos 2,102 1,952 1,764 1,120 1,310 964 815 1,096 892 5,708 1,625 2,726 3,511 3,829 Sindicados 1,343 959 1,222 1,747 1,093 1,491 763 457 1,862 2,084 8,594 7,053 4,884 2,349 Papel Comercial C/Garantía Bancaria 350 350 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 02. ACREEDORES MULTILATERALES 16,326 16,043 16,883 17,451 16,703 16,625 8,201 9,155 10,673 17,144 21,134 23,428 25,309 27,350 B I D 5,840 5,974 6,755 7,217 7,473 7,631 4,032 4,603 4,791 7,047 8,779 9,810 10,580 12,202 B I R F 10,486 10,069 10,128 10,234 9,230 8,994 4,168 4,552 5,882 10,097 12,355 13,618 14,729 15,1483. COMERCIO EXTERIOR 8,097 7,591 7,318 6,161 5,148 3,311 3,139 2,933 3,065 12,288 15,151 14,014 12,312 10,321 Eximbaks 2,994 2,515 2,427 2,238 1,879 1,714 1,679 1,280 1,263 2,217 3,399 4,006 3,949 3,688 Bancos Comerciales 3,776 3,779 3,325 2,626 3,020 1,596 1,461 1,643 1,794 8,932 9,851 8,136 6,707 5,542 Proveedores 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 8 1,139 1,902 1,872 1,656 1,092 Sindicados 880 785 785 540 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Papel Comercial C/Garantía Bancaria 447 512 781 757 249 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 04. DEUDAS REESTRUCTURADAS 19,658 9,999 7,545 1,453 827 450 131 77 77 77 0 0 0 0 Brady's 16,065 7,340 5,573 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MYRA'S 1,051 723 458 311 156 78 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Comercio Ext. (Club de París) 14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 New Money 452 362 260 147 30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Otros 2,076 1,574 1,254 996 641 372 131 77 77 77 0 0 0 05. PIDIREGAS 633 913 1,418 2,286 3,038 2,372 3,159 4,674 5,683 323 333 286 316 2856. COMPOSICION TOTAL DEL SECTOR PUBLICO POR MONEDAS 84,600 80,339 78,818 79,024 79,226 71,675 54,766 55,355 56,939 96,354 110,428 116,420 125,726 134,436 Dólar Americano 71,065 69,933 69,804 70,520 71,220 65,480 50,250 44,309 47,851 77,919 90,882 97,048 105,836 111,647 Euro 0 104 744 317 1,355 1,201 1,341 6,888 5,475 10,830 9,421 9,377 9,530 11,489 Canasta de Monedas 4,272 3,979 3,996 3,721 3,293 2,752 1,903 1,538 1,421 367 9 14 18 17 Libra Esterlina 144 140 156 173 186 80 91 1,040 688 1,981 1,920 1,906 1,993 1,369 Yen Japonés 5,878 4,708 3,849 4,013 2,937 1,990 1,006 1,157 1,095 4,541 6,864 6,793 6,847 5,519 Franco Suizo 27 135 173 184 236 171 176 423 410 716 953 910 961 969 Otras 3,214 1,340 96 98 0 0 0 0 0 0 379 371 541 3,426B. SECTOR PRIVADO NO BANCARIO 41,887 45,178 44,245 45,164 43,005 45,433 47,535 60,432 66,817 61,229 64,707 68,650 72,025 87,7091. MERCADO DE CAPITALES 20,644 20,186 19,085 18,794 15,419 19,442 19,389 22,680 19,973 21,525 29,997 38,355 50,016 66,856 Bonos 20,644 20,186 19,085 18,794 15,419 19,442 19,389 22,680 19,973 21,525 29,997 38,355 50,016 66,8562. COMERCIO EXTERIOR 7,480 9,497 3,473 2,556 2,124 1,834 1,438 1,093 1,115 1,099 905 811 225 171 Eximbak 313 691 2,197 1,630 1,797 1,435 1,250 903 939 936 746 656 222 171 Banca Comercial 7,167 8,806 1,276 927 327 399 188 190 177 164 159 154 4 03. MERCADO BANCARIO 13,763 15,495 21,687 23,814 25,462 24,157 26,709 36,658 45,728 38,605 33,805 29,484 21,784 20,682 Directos 13,763 15,495 21,687 23,814 25,462 24,157 26,709 36,658 45,728 38,605 33,805 29,484 21,784 20,682C. SECTOR PRIVADO BANCARIO 11,203 8,481 5,650 4,975 5,770 5,548 5,339 7,308 6,127 6,218 15,008 16,273 15,659 18,558 1. Banca Comercial 7,242 5,496 3,577 3,002 3,975 2,509 2,829 2,860 1,386 1,196 5,570 5,119 2,720 4,372 2. Otros Pasivos con el Público 3,961 2,985 2,074 1,973 1,795 3,039 2,510 4,448 4,741 5,022 9,438 11,154 12,939 14,186D. TOTAL DEUDA EXTERNA 137,690 133,998 128,713 129,163 128,001 122,656 107,640 123,094 129,883 163,801 190,143 201,344 213,410 240,703
FUENTE: CAMACRO, con datos de la Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público.
L-3
L-3. Deuda Externa Total Anual de México clasificada por Sectores, Tipos de Crédito y Monedas, 2000-2013(Millones de dólares)
Concepto!
I II III IV I II III IV I II III IV
A . SECTOR PUBLICO 110,185 111,130 113,469 116,420 121,081 122,132 123,669 125,726 126,403 125,129 129,518 134,4361. CON ACREEDORES PRIVADOS 73,631 75,049 77,778 78,692 83,860 85,427 87,162 87,788 88,746 88,121 92,924 96,480 MERCADO DE CAPITALES 63,501 66,750 68,212 68,914 75,002 77,613 79,490 79,394 80,943 81,143 86,021 90,302 Bonos 63,501 66,750 68,212 68,914 75,002 77,613 79,490 79,394 80,943 81,143 86,021 90,302 MERCADO BANCARIO 10,130 8,300 9,566 9,779 8,859 7,815 7,672 8,395 7,802 6,978 6,903 6,178 Directos 1,551 1,226 2,508 2,726 2,572 2,908 2,782 3,511 2,934 2,991 3,432 3,829 Sindicados 8,579 7,074 7,058 7,053 6,287 4,906 4,890 4,884 4,868 3,987 3,471 2,349 Papel Comercial C/Garantía Bancaria 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 02. ACREEDORES MULTILATERALES 21,325 21,635 21,526 23,428 23,249 23,653 23,752 25,309 25,409 25,640 25,556 27,350 B I D 8,699 9,572 9,483 9,810 9,726 10,009 9,962 10,580 10,681 10,679 10,676 12,202 B I R F 12,626 12,063 12,044 13,618 13,524 13,644 13,790 14,729 14,728 14,961 14,880 15,1483. COMERCIO EXTERIOR 14,726 13,997 13,800 14,014 13,453 12,598 12,373 12,312 11,718 10,938 10,695 10,321 Eximbaks 3,384 3,318 3,482 4,006 3,952 3,814 4,073 3,949 3,840 3,789 3,747 3,688 Bancos Comerciales 9,515 8,924 8,576 8,136 7,825 6,962 6,682 6,707 6,390 5,892 5,681 5,542 Proveedores 1,827 1,756 1,742 1,872 1,677 1,821 1,618 1,656 1,488 1,257 1,267 1,092 Sindicados 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Papel Comercial C/Garantía Bancaria 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 04. DEUDAS REESTRUCTURADAS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Brady's 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 MYRA'S 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Comercio Ext. (Club de París) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 New Money 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Otros 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 05. PIDIREGAS 503 448 364 286 519 455 382 316 530 431 343 2856. COMPOSICION TOTAL DEL SECTOR PUBLICO POR MONEDAS 110,185 111,130 113,469 116,420 121,081 122,132 123,669 125,726 126,403 125,129 129,518 134,436 Dólar Americano 90,207 91,090 93,860 97,048 101,800 102,080 103,236 105,836 107,617 103,256 106,855 111,647 Euro 9,957 10,062 9,532 9,377 9,631 9,136 9,305 9,530 9,199 9,810 9,529 11,489 Canasta de Monedas 9 11 10 14 13 12 13 18 16 18 17 17 Libra Esterlina 1,968 1,963 1,909 1,906 1,960 1,924 1,980 1,993 1,853 1,876 1,986 1,369 Yen Japonés 6,680 6,576 6,854 6,793 6,335 7,514 7,642 6,847 6,246 5,897 6,753 5,519 Franco Suizo 976 1,036 963 910 942 938 946 961 916 908 971 969 Otras 388 391 341 371 401 528 547 541 557 3,365 3,407 3,426B. SECTOR PRIVADO NO BANCARIO 64,336 66,766 69,469 68,650 68,262 71,782 72,640 72,025 72,939 75,474 82,994 87,7091. MERCADO DE CAPITALES 31,323 32,795 37,102 38,355 40,410 39,952 46,470 50,016 51,318 54,266 61,701 66,856 Bonos 31,323 32,795 37,102 38,355 40,410 39,952 46,470 50,016 51,318 54,266 61,701 66,8562. COMERCIO EXTERIOR 888 862 836 811 786 545 464 225 202 189 188 171 Eximbak 730 706 680 656 639 541 460 222 199 186 188 171 Banca Comercial 158 157 156 154 147 3 4 4 3 3 0 03. MERCADO BANCARIO 32,125 33,108 31,531 29,484 27,067 31,286 25,707 21,784 21,419 21,020 21,106 20,682 Directos 32,125 33,108 31,531 29,484 27,067 31,286 25,707 21,784 21,419 21,020 21,106 20,682C. SECTOR PRIVADO BANCARIO 17,633 19,278 16,822 16,273 16,183 14,976 13,481 15,659 13,087 15,200 13,364 18,558 1. Banca Comercial 7,234 7,442 7,240 5,119 6,081 4,666 3,881 2,720 3,904 3,754 2,931 4,372 2. Otros Pasivos con el Público 10,399 11,835 9,582 11,154 10,101 10,310 9,600 12,939 9,183 11,446 10,433 14,186D. TOTAL DEUDA EXTERNA 192,154 197,173 199,760 201,344 205,526 208,890 209,790 213,410 212,429 215,804 225,876 240,703
FUENTE: CAMACRO, con datos de la Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público.
L-4
2011 2012 2013
L-4. Deuda Externa Total Trimestral de México clasificada por Sectores, Tipos de Crédito y Monedas, 2011-2013(Millones de dólares)
Concepto!
M. Finanzas Públicas de México
Cuadro M-1.Ingreso Presupuestal del Sector Público 1980-2020
Cuadro M-2.Gasto Neto Presupuestal del Sector Público 1980-2020
Cuadro M-3.Balance Presupuestal del Sector Público 1980-2020
Cuadro M-4.Ley de Ingresos y Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación para 2013
Cuadro M-5.Ley de Ingresos y Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación para 2014
Cuadro M-6.Evolución de la Deuda Interna del Gobierno Federal 2013-2014
Cuadro M-7.Evolución de la Deuda Externa del Sector Público 2013-2014
Cuadro M-8.Requerimientos Financieros del Sector Público 1990-2013
Cuadro M-9.Evolución de las Tasa Impositivas en México 1980-2014
Cuadro M-10.Tasas de ISR e IVA en Países Avanzados y Economías Emergentes 2009-2012
Cuadro M-11.Reforma Fiscal 2014
M-1. Ingreso Presupuestal del Sector Público: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Millones de pesos)
Ingreso Presupuestal del Sector PúblicoSector Petrolero Sector No Petrolero
Años Gobierno Federal OrganismosTotal Pemex Total Tributarios No y
Suma ISR IVA IEPS IMP Otros Tributarios Empresas
1980 1,150 371 191 181 779 503 468 247 120 31 44 26 35 2761981 1,524 471 216 255 1,054 681 626 339 159 42 67 20 54 3731982 2,688 1,090 517 574 1,598 959 852 465 217 61 83 26 107 6391983 5,679 2,832 1,396 1,436 2,847 1,745 1,562 727 543 151 93 48 183 1,1021984 9,183 4,278 2,133 2,145 4,904 2,830 2,599 1,213 943 212 154 78 231 2,0751985 15,336 7,060 3,665 3,395 8,276 4,596 4,183 1,923 1,478 345 327 111 413 3,6801986 25,057 10,478 6,057 4,421 14,579 8,250 7,482 3,365 2,498 690 688 240 768 6,3291987 57,062 22,106 8,759 13,347 34,956 19,627 17,545 7,655 6,266 1,585 1,565 474 2,082 15,3291988 115,507 36,969 16,320 20,649 78,538 47,366 40,108 19,468 14,024 3,611 1,819 1,187 7,258 31,1721989 141,550 42,835 17,114 25,720 98,715 64,484 53,152 25,909 17,024 4,645 4,006 1,567 11,333 34,2311990 186,938 56,618 25,501 31,118 130,320 86,593 74,088 32,972 26,636 6,039 6,381 2,060 12,505 43,7271991 252,818 63,149 25,191 37,958 189,669 139,414 94,690 42,991 32,533 5,759 9,916 3,492 44,724 50,2551992 296,456 72,505 25,598 46,907 223,951 163,539 114,095 57,945 30,452 5,521 12,884 7,293 49,444 60,4121993 290,724 76,191 27,930 48,261 214,533 146,552 129,755 69,221 33,125 5,918 12,684 8,808 16,797 67,9811994 328,798 85,218 32,409 52,809 243,580 167,574 138,541 72,900 38,537 6,168 12,708 8,227 29,033 76,0061995 418,883 138,997 49,299 89,699 279,886 190,446 152,977 73,706 51,785 7,381 11,145 8,960 37,469 89,4401996 580,722 206,599 73,353 133,246 374,123 259,320 205,594 97,162 72,110 9,283 14,855 12,185 53,726 114,8031997 731,991 248,982 85,040 163,941 483,010 339,613 277,732 135,101 97,742 10,967 18,103 15,819 61,881 143,3971998 783,046 233,063 82,066 150,997 549,983 394,179 342,604 169,476 119,871 14,977 21,488 16,791 51,575 155,8041999 956,495 286,215 101,166 185,050 670,280 489,299 434,221 216,123 151,184 19,243 27,303 20,369 55,077 180,9812000 1,187,704 393,138 108,583 284,555 794,566 583,713 515,493 258,754 189,606 15,333 32,861 18,938 68,220 210,8542001 1,271,377 386,579 103,524 283,055 884,798 656,059 567,682 285,523 208,408 23,500 28,902 21,348 88,378 228,7382002 1,387,236 410,038 150,032 260,006 977,198 729,347 616,062 318,380 218,442 24,036 27,233 27,972 113,285 247,8512003 1,600,286 533,421 175,777 357,644 1,066,866 775,341 679,003 337,016 254,433 30,179 26,898 30,478 96,338 291,5252004 1,771,314 637,360 190,772 446,588 1,133,954 823,623 716,785 345,218 285,023 31,911 29,521 25,113 106,838 310,3312005 1,947,816 726,537 185,529 541,008 1,221,280 871,498 793,007 384,522 318,432 34,441 26,821 28,792 78,491 349,7822006 2,263,603 861,279 317,655 543,624 1,402,323 1,015,184 930,686 448,100 380,576 36,976 31,726 33,308 84,498 387,1402007 2,485,785 880,698 374,840 505,858 1,605,087 1,205,362 1,047,256 527,184 409,013 41,532 32,188 37,339 158,107 399,7252008 2,860,926 1,054,626 362,531 692,096 1,806,300 1,357,841 1,207,721 626,509 457,248 49,284 35,783 38,897 150,120 448,4602009 2,817,185 874,164 381,953 492,211 1,943,022 1,508,237 1,125,429 594,796 407,795 47,364 30,196 45,277 382,809 434,7842010 2,960,443 973,038 385,437 587,601 1,987,405 1,492,412 1,314,282 679,622 504,509 60,617 24,531 45,003 178,130 494,9932011 3,271,080 1,101,879 395,232 706,647 2,169,201 1,613,595 1,436,715 759,168 537,143 69,246 26,881 44,278 176,880 555,6062012 3,514,530 1,183,895 463,121 720,774 2,330,634 1,731,760 1,516,951 803,897 579,988 72,953 27,906 32,208 214,809 598,8752013 3,800,191 1,261,702 482,936 778,766 2,538,489 1,924,585 1,644,313 946,515 556,794 78,572 29,260 33,171 280,272 613,905
2014 4,113,595 1,439,856 558,880 880,976 2,673,739 2,013,089 1,767,580 992,888 598,788 115,042 31,718 29,144 245,509 660,6502015 4,399,223 1,502,865 578,529 924,336 2,896,358 2,181,900 1,932,065 1,093,464 655,807 119,814 34,444 28,536 249,835 714,4582016 4,786,129 1,572,808 610,594 962,214 3,213,321 2,429,434 2,165,253 1,233,690 730,199 131,324 37,607 32,433 264,181 783,8872017 5,357,758 1,700,844 651,570 1,049,274 3,656,914 2,785,919 2,492,281 1,426,592 838,079 147,608 41,895 38,106 293,638 870,9952018 5,976,387 1,835,831 703,267 1,132,564 4,140,556 3,180,207 2,843,969 1,640,133 954,043 164,730 46,288 38,774 336,238 960,3492019 6,570,409 1,942,704 754,516 1,188,188 4,627,706 3,577,425 3,196,615 1,855,213 1,067,908 182,370 50,919 40,205 380,811 1,050,2802020 7,204,737 2,105,766 809,887 1,295,878 5,098,971 3,959,139 3,542,832 2,071,387 1,179,014 196,705 55,186 40,540 416,307 1,139,833
M-1
Total!!
Gobierno!Federal!!
Suma!!
M-1. Ingreso Presupuestal del Sector Público: Escenario Base 2014-2020(% del PIB)
Ingreso Presupuestal del Sector PúblicoSector Petrolero Sector No Petrolero
Años Gobierno Federal OrganismosTotal Pemex Total Tributarios No y
Suma ISR IVA IEPS IMP Otros Tributarios Empresas
1980 19.56 6.31 3.24 3.07 13.24 8.55 7.96 4.19 2.04 0.52 0.75 0.45 0.60 4.691981 18.91 5.84 2.68 3.16 13.07 8.44 7.77 4.20 1.97 0.52 0.83 0.25 0.67 4.631982 20.71 8.40 3.98 4.42 12.31 7.39 6.56 3.58 1.67 0.47 0.64 0.20 0.83 4.921983 24.29 12.11 5.97 6.14 12.18 7.46 6.68 3.11 2.32 0.65 0.40 0.21 0.78 4.711984 23.82 11.10 5.53 5.56 12.72 7.34 6.74 3.15 2.45 0.55 0.40 0.20 0.60 5.381985 24.53 11.29 5.86 5.43 13.24 7.35 6.69 3.08 2.36 0.55 0.52 0.18 0.66 5.891986 24.42 10.21 5.90 4.31 14.21 8.04 7.29 3.28 2.43 0.67 0.67 0.23 0.75 6.171987 22.51 8.72 3.46 5.26 13.79 7.74 6.92 3.02 2.47 0.63 0.62 0.19 0.82 6.051988 22.44 7.18 3.17 4.01 15.26 9.20 7.79 3.78 2.72 0.70 0.35 0.23 1.41 6.061989 20.83 6.30 2.52 3.79 14.53 9.49 7.82 3.81 2.51 0.68 0.59 0.23 1.67 5.041990 20.41 6.18 2.78 3.40 14.23 9.45 8.09 3.60 2.91 0.66 0.70 0.22 1.37 4.771991 21.45 5.36 2.14 3.22 16.10 11.83 8.04 3.65 2.76 0.49 0.84 0.30 3.80 4.261992 21.16 5.17 1.83 3.35 15.98 11.67 8.14 4.14 2.17 0.39 0.92 0.52 3.53 4.311993 18.52 4.85 1.78 3.07 13.66 9.33 8.26 4.41 2.11 0.38 0.81 0.56 1.07 4.331994 18.47 4.79 1.82 2.97 13.69 9.42 7.78 4.10 2.17 0.35 0.71 0.46 1.63 4.271995 18.98 6.30 2.23 4.06 12.68 8.63 6.93 3.34 2.35 0.33 0.50 0.41 1.70 4.051996 19.23 6.84 2.43 4.41 12.39 8.59 6.81 3.22 2.39 0.31 0.49 0.40 1.78 3.801997 19.24 6.54 2.23 4.31 12.69 8.92 7.30 3.55 2.57 0.29 0.48 0.42 1.63 3.771998 17.07 5.08 1.79 3.29 11.99 8.59 7.47 3.70 2.61 0.33 0.47 0.37 1.12 3.401999 17.27 5.17 1.83 3.34 12.10 8.83 7.84 3.90 2.73 0.35 0.49 0.37 0.99 3.272000 18.37 6.08 1.68 4.40 12.29 9.03 7.97 4.00 2.93 0.24 0.51 0.29 1.06 3.262001 18.78 5.71 1.53 4.18 13.07 9.69 8.38 4.22 3.08 0.35 0.43 0.32 1.31 3.382002 19.37 5.73 2.10 3.63 13.65 10.19 8.60 4.45 3.05 0.34 0.38 0.39 1.58 3.462003 20.79 6.93 2.28 4.65 13.86 10.08 8.82 4.38 3.31 0.39 0.35 0.40 1.25 3.792004 20.38 7.33 2.19 5.14 13.04 9.47 8.25 3.97 3.28 0.37 0.34 0.29 1.23 3.572005 20.63 7.70 1.97 5.73 12.94 9.23 8.40 4.07 3.37 0.36 0.28 0.30 0.83 3.702006 21.48 8.17 3.01 5.16 13.31 9.63 8.83 4.25 3.61 0.35 0.30 0.32 0.80 3.672007 21.80 7.72 3.29 4.44 14.08 10.57 9.18 4.62 3.59 0.36 0.28 0.33 1.39 3.512008 23.34 8.60 2.96 5.65 14.74 11.08 9.85 5.11 3.73 0.40 0.29 0.32 1.22 3.662009 23.29 7.23 3.16 4.07 16.07 12.47 9.31 4.92 3.37 0.39 0.25 0.37 3.17 3.602010 22.29 7.33 2.90 4.42 14.96 11.24 9.90 5.12 3.80 0.46 0.18 0.34 1.34 3.732011 22.48 7.57 2.72 4.86 14.91 11.09 9.87 5.22 3.69 0.48 0.18 0.30 1.22 3.822012 22.51 7.58 2.97 4.62 14.93 11.09 9.71 5.15 3.71 0.47 0.18 0.21 1.38 3.842013 23.60 7.83 3.00 4.84 15.76 11.95 10.21 5.88 3.46 0.49 0.18 0.21 1.74 3.81
2014 24.14 8.45 3.28 5.17 15.69 11.81 10.37 5.83 3.51 0.68 0.19 0.17 1.44 3.882015 24.05 8.22 3.16 5.05 15.83 11.93 10.56 5.98 3.59 0.66 0.19 0.16 1.37 3.912016 24.05 7.90 3.07 4.84 16.15 12.21 10.88 6.20 3.67 0.66 0.19 0.16 1.33 3.942017 24.46 7.77 2.98 4.79 16.70 12.72 11.38 6.51 3.83 0.67 0.19 0.17 1.34 3.982018 24.82 7.62 2.92 4.70 17.19 13.20 11.81 6.81 3.96 0.68 0.19 0.16 1.40 3.992019 25.00 7.39 2.87 4.52 17.61 13.61 12.16 7.06 4.06 0.69 0.19 0.15 1.45 4.002020 25.24 7.38 2.84 4.54 17.86 13.87 12.41 7.26 4.13 0.69 0.19 0.14 1.46 3.99
M-2
Total!!
Gobierno!Federal!!
Suma!!
M-1. Ingreso Presupuestal del Sector Público: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Variación % anual real)
Ingreso Presupuestal del Sector PúblicoSector Petrolero Sector No Petrolero
Años Gobierno Federal OrganismosTotal Pemex Total Tributarios No y
Suma ISR IVA IEPS IMP Otros Tributarios Empresas
1980 21.1 53.9 15.1 139.2 9.9 12.8 11.3 12.7 29.7 -23.8 28.4 -23.2 36.5 5.11981 3.6 -0.9 -11.3 10.1 5.7 5.7 4.6 7.4 3.4 5.8 17.9 -40.3 21.3 5.71982 10.9 45.7 50.4 41.7 -4.6 -11.4 -14.4 -13.8 -14.0 -7.3 -22.2 -18.3 24.1 7.81983 4.7 28.7 33.8 24.1 -11.7 -9.9 -9.2 -22.5 23.8 22.1 -44.2 -8.7 -15.3 -14.51984 -2.3 -8.7 -7.6 -9.7 4.1 -2.0 0.6 0.9 5.0 -15.6 0.0 -2.6 -23.8 13.81985 5.9 4.6 8.9 0.3 7.0 3.0 2.0 0.4 -0.6 3.3 34.8 -9.3 13.3 12.51986 -12.3 -20.3 -11.3 -30.1 -5.4 -3.6 -4.0 -6.0 -9.3 7.6 13.0 16.2 0.0 -7.71987 -1.8 -9.0 -37.6 30.2 3.4 2.6 1.2 -1.9 8.2 -1.0 -1.9 -14.8 16.9 4.51988 -5.5 -21.9 -13.0 -27.8 4.9 12.7 6.7 18.7 4.5 6.4 -45.7 16.9 62.8 -5.01989 2.1 -3.5 -12.6 3.8 4.7 13.4 10.4 10.9 1.1 7.2 83.6 10.1 30.1 -8.51990 4.3 4.4 17.6 -4.5 4.2 6.0 10.1 0.5 23.5 2.7 25.8 3.7 -12.9 0.91991 10.3 -9.1 -19.5 -0.6 18.7 31.3 4.2 6.3 -0.4 -22.3 26.7 38.2 191.6 -6.31992 1.5 -0.6 -12.0 7.0 2.2 1.6 4.3 16.7 -19.0 -17.0 12.5 80.8 -4.3 4.11993 -10.6 -4.3 -0.6 -6.3 -12.7 -18.3 3.6 8.8 -0.9 -2.3 -10.3 10.0 -69.0 2.51994 5.7 4.6 8.5 2.3 6.1 6.9 -0.2 -1.5 8.8 -2.6 -6.3 -12.7 61.6 4.51995 -5.6 20.8 12.7 25.8 -14.9 -15.8 -18.2 -25.1 -0.5 -11.4 -35.0 -19.3 -4.4 -12.81996 3.2 10.6 10.7 10.5 -0.5 1.3 0.0 -1.9 3.6 -6.4 -0.8 1.2 6.7 -4.51997 4.5 -0.1 -3.9 2.0 7.0 8.6 12.0 15.3 12.4 -2.1 1.0 7.6 -4.5 3.51998 -7.7 -19.3 -16.8 -20.6 -1.8 0.1 6.4 8.2 5.8 17.8 2.4 -8.4 -28.1 -6.31999 4.8 5.3 5.7 5.1 4.5 6.5 8.7 9.4 8.2 10.2 9.0 4.1 -8.4 -0.42000 13.4 25.5 -2.0 40.4 8.3 9.0 8.4 9.3 14.5 -27.2 9.9 -15.1 13.1 6.42001 0.6 -7.6 -10.4 -6.5 4.7 5.7 3.5 3.7 3.3 44.1 -17.3 6.0 21.8 2.02002 3.9 1.0 38.0 -12.5 5.2 5.8 3.3 6.2 -0.2 -2.6 -10.3 24.7 22.0 3.22003 10.3 24.4 12.1 31.6 4.4 1.7 5.4 1.2 11.4 20.1 -5.5 4.2 -18.7 12.52004 5.7 14.1 3.7 19.3 1.5 1.5 0.8 -2.2 7.0 1.0 4.8 -21.3 5.9 1.72005 5.7 9.6 -6.5 16.5 3.6 1.8 6.4 7.1 7.4 3.8 -12.6 10.2 -29.4 8.42006 12.1 14.4 65.2 -3.0 10.8 12.4 13.3 12.5 15.3 3.6 14.1 11.6 3.9 6.82007 5.6 -1.6 13.5 -10.5 10.1 14.2 8.2 13.2 3.4 8.0 -2.4 7.8 80.0 -0.72008 9.5 13.9 -8.0 30.1 7.0 7.2 9.7 13.0 6.3 12.9 5.7 -0.9 -9.7 6.72009 -6.5 -21.3 0.1 -32.5 2.2 5.5 -11.5 -9.8 -15.3 -8.7 -19.9 10.5 142.2 -7.92010 0.9 6.9 -3.1 14.6 -1.8 -5.0 12.1 9.7 18.8 22.9 -22.0 -4.6 -55.3 9.32011 6.9 9.5 -0.8 16.3 5.6 4.6 5.7 8.0 3.0 10.5 6.0 -4.9 -4.0 8.52012 3.2 3.2 12.5 -2.0 3.2 3.1 1.4 1.7 3.7 1.2 -0.3 -30.1 16.6 3.52013 4.2 2.7 0.5 4.1 4.9 7.1 4.4 13.4 -7.5 3.8 1.0 -0.8 25.7 -1.2
2014 4.1 9.7 11.3 8.8 1.3 0.6 3.3 0.9 3.4 40.8 4.2 -15.5 -15.8 3.52015 3.2 0.7 -0.1 1.2 4.5 4.6 5.4 6.2 5.7 0.5 4.8 -5.5 -1.8 4.32016 4.9 1.0 1.8 0.4 7.0 7.4 8.1 8.8 7.4 5.7 5.3 9.6 2.0 5.82017 7.6 3.9 2.6 4.8 9.4 10.2 10.6 11.1 10.3 8.0 7.1 12.9 6.8 6.82018 7.2 3.7 3.7 3.7 8.8 9.7 9.6 10.4 9.4 7.2 6.1 -2.2 10.0 5.92019 5.8 1.9 3.3 1.0 7.6 8.3 8.2 8.9 7.8 6.6 5.9 -0.2 9.0 5.32020 5.7 4.5 3.5 5.2 6.2 6.7 6.9 7.7 6.5 4.0 4.5 -2.8 5.4 4.6
M-3
Total!! Gobierno!
Federal!!
Suma!!
M-1. Ingreso Presupuestal del Sector Público: Escenario Básico 2014-2020(Estructura Porcentual)
Ingreso Presupuestal del Sector PúblicoSector Petrolero Sector No Petrolero
Años Gobierno Federal OrganismosTotal Pemex Total Tributarios No y
Suma ISR IVA IEPS IMP Otros Tributarios Empresas
1980 100.0 32.3 16.6 15.7 67.7 43.7 40.7 21.4 10.4 2.7 3.9 2.3 3.0 24.01981 100.0 30.9 14.2 16.7 69.1 44.6 41.1 22.2 10.4 2.7 4.4 1.3 3.6 24.51982 100.0 40.6 19.2 21.3 59.4 35.7 31.7 17.3 8.1 2.3 3.1 1.0 4.0 23.81983 100.0 49.9 24.6 25.3 50.1 30.7 27.5 12.8 9.6 2.7 1.6 0.8 3.2 19.41984 100.0 46.6 23.2 23.4 53.4 30.8 28.3 13.2 10.3 2.3 1.7 0.8 2.5 22.61985 100.0 46.0 23.9 22.1 54.0 30.0 27.3 12.5 9.6 2.2 2.1 0.7 2.7 24.01986 100.0 41.8 24.2 17.6 58.2 32.9 29.9 13.4 10.0 2.8 2.7 1.0 3.1 25.31987 100.0 38.7 15.4 23.4 61.3 34.4 30.7 13.4 11.0 2.8 2.7 0.8 3.6 26.91988 100.0 32.0 14.1 17.9 68.0 41.0 34.7 16.9 12.1 3.1 1.6 1.0 6.3 27.01989 100.0 30.3 12.1 18.2 69.7 45.6 37.5 18.3 12.0 3.3 2.8 1.1 8.0 24.21990 100.0 30.3 13.6 16.6 69.7 46.3 39.6 17.6 14.2 3.2 3.4 1.1 6.7 23.41991 100.0 25.0 10.0 15.0 75.0 55.1 37.5 17.0 12.9 2.3 3.9 1.4 17.7 19.91992 100.0 24.5 8.6 15.8 75.5 55.2 38.5 19.5 10.3 1.9 4.3 2.5 16.7 20.41993 100.0 26.2 9.6 16.6 73.8 50.4 44.6 23.8 11.4 2.0 4.4 3.0 5.8 23.41994 100.0 25.9 9.9 16.1 74.1 51.0 42.1 22.2 11.7 1.9 3.9 2.5 8.8 23.11995 100.0 33.2 11.8 21.4 66.8 45.5 36.5 17.6 12.4 1.8 2.7 2.1 8.9 21.41996 100.0 35.6 12.6 22.9 64.4 44.7 35.4 16.7 12.4 1.6 2.6 2.1 9.3 19.81997 100.0 34.0 11.6 22.4 66.0 46.4 37.9 18.5 13.4 1.5 2.5 2.2 8.5 19.61998 100.0 29.8 10.5 19.3 70.2 50.3 43.8 21.6 15.3 1.9 2.7 2.1 6.6 19.91999 100.0 29.9 10.6 19.3 70.1 51.2 45.4 22.6 15.8 2.0 2.9 2.1 5.8 18.92000 100.0 33.1 9.1 24.0 66.9 49.1 43.4 21.8 16.0 1.3 2.8 1.6 5.7 17.82001 100.0 30.4 8.1 22.3 69.6 51.6 44.7 22.5 16.4 1.8 2.3 1.7 7.0 18.02002 100.0 29.6 10.8 18.7 70.4 52.6 44.4 23.0 15.7 1.7 2.0 2.0 8.2 17.92003 100.0 33.3 11.0 22.3 66.7 48.5 42.4 21.1 15.9 1.9 1.7 1.9 6.0 18.22004 100.0 36.0 10.8 25.2 64.0 46.5 40.5 19.5 16.1 1.8 1.7 1.4 6.0 17.52005 100.0 37.3 9.5 27.8 62.7 44.7 40.7 19.7 16.3 1.8 1.4 1.5 4.0 18.02006 100.0 38.0 14.0 24.0 62.0 44.8 41.1 19.8 16.8 1.6 1.4 1.5 3.7 17.12007 100.0 35.4 15.1 20.4 64.6 48.5 42.1 21.2 16.5 1.7 1.3 1.5 6.4 16.12008 100.0 36.9 12.7 24.2 63.1 47.5 42.2 21.9 16.0 1.7 1.3 1.4 5.2 15.72009 100.0 31.0 13.6 17.5 69.0 53.5 39.9 21.1 14.5 1.7 1.1 1.6 13.6 15.42010 100.0 32.9 13.0 19.8 67.1 50.4 44.4 23.0 17.0 2.0 0.8 1.5 6.0 16.72011 100.0 33.7 12.1 21.6 66.3 49.3 43.9 23.2 16.4 2.1 0.8 1.4 5.4 17.02012 100.0 33.7 13.2 20.5 66.3 49.3 43.2 22.9 16.5 2.1 0.8 0.9 6.1 17.02013 100.0 33.2 12.7 20.5 66.8 50.6 43.3 24.9 14.7 2.1 0.8 0.9 7.4 16.2
2014 100.0 35.0 13.6 21.4 65.0 48.9 43.0 24.1 14.6 2.8 0.8 0.7 6.0 16.12015 100.0 34.2 13.2 21.0 65.8 49.6 43.9 24.9 14.9 2.7 0.8 0.6 5.7 16.22016 100.0 32.9 12.8 20.1 67.1 50.8 45.2 25.8 15.3 2.7 0.8 0.7 5.5 16.42017 100.0 31.7 12.2 19.6 68.3 52.0 46.5 26.6 15.6 2.8 0.8 0.7 5.5 16.32018 100.0 30.7 11.8 19.0 69.3 53.2 47.6 27.4 16.0 2.8 0.8 0.6 5.6 16.12019 100.0 29.6 11.5 18.1 70.4 54.4 48.7 28.2 16.3 2.8 0.8 0.6 5.8 16.02020 100.0 29.2 11.2 18.0 70.8 55.0 49.2 28.8 16.4 2.7 0.8 0.6 5.8 15.8
M-4
Total!!
Gobierno!Federal!!
Suma!!
M-2. Gasto Neto Presupuestal del Sector Público: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Millones de pesos)
Gasto Neto Presupuestal del Sector PúblicoGasto Programable Gasto No Programable
Años Gasto Corriente Gasto de Capital Costo Financiero Participación AdefasSub Total Servicios Otros Inversión Inversión Sub Total Pago de IPAB y a Estados y Ajenas
Personales Gastos Física Financiera Intereses Otros y Municipios Netas
1980 1,401 1,072 705 268 437 368 355 13 329 145 145 0 102 821981 2,251 1,672 998 385 613 674 657 17 579 287 287 0 153 1391982 4,066 2,428 1,592 676 916 836 790 46 1,638 1,157 1,157 0 218 2631983 6,991 3,932 2,817 1,026 1,791 1,116 1,040 76 3,059 2,265 2,265 0 499 2941984 11,070 6,139 4,520 1,661 2,859 1,620 1,504 116 4,931 3,658 3,658 0 843 4301985 18,698 11,259 7,877 2,725 5,152 3,382 2,561 820 7,440 5,554 5,554 0 1,275 6101986 35,729 19,264 15,297 4,440 10,857 3,966 3,222 744 16,149 13,389 13,389 0 2,042 7171987 84,401 39,611 29,725 11,089 18,636 9,886 7,876 2,010 44,790 38,375 38,375 0 5,133 1,2821988 151,485 71,250 56,356 20,019 36,338 14,894 12,797 2,097 77,726 66,938 66,938 0 11,132 -3451989 167,894 85,711 69,423 26,028 43,395 16,288 14,186 2,101 82,183 67,109 67,109 0 14,499 5751990 203,452 112,868 85,468 33,102 52,366 27,400 22,843 4,557 90,584 67,118 67,118 0 20,717 2,7491991 226,368 144,259 109,338 44,979 64,358 34,922 31,836 3,085 82,109 48,227 48,227 0 26,741 7,1421992 250,265 172,333 130,460 56,289 74,171 41,873 37,833 4,040 77,933 40,847 40,847 0 32,972 4,1131993 282,178 201,968 163,163 71,720 91,443 38,805 36,080 2,725 80,210 33,333 33,333 0 37,692 9,1851994 328,191 244,630 192,270 85,378 106,892 52,360 47,771 4,589 83,560 32,920 32,920 0 41,608 9,0331995 422,057 282,615 223,357 116,925 106,432 59,258 51,891 7,367 139,442 84,769 69,769 15,000 49,159 5,5141996 583,982 396,132 303,020 156,995 146,025 93,113 75,884 17,229 187,850 110,463 89,401 21,062 70,901 6,4871997 751,526 516,317 405,675 216,821 188,854 110,642 101,055 9,587 235,164 130,187 90,401 39,786 94,529 10,4481998 830,610 595,276 476,414 265,733 210,682 118,861 112,217 6,645 235,247 111,264 101,158 10,107 113,578 10,4051999 1,009,346 704,684 575,623 337,176 238,448 129,061 117,367 11,694 304,661 164,346 140,554 23,792 140,671 -3562000 1,248,157 860,920 714,572 392,122 322,450 146,349 139,356 6,992 387,237 201,017 140,499 60,518 178,136 8,0842001 1,311,670 925,257 774,389 423,009 351,381 150,868 141,276 9,592 386,413 188,062 148,212 39,850 196,931 1,4192002 1,459,951 1,060,772 862,714 478,172 384,542 198,058 146,276 51,782 399,179 178,375 134,392 43,983 214,910 5,8952003 1,648,243 1,216,023 1,006,575 506,355 500,220 209,448 186,830 22,618 432,220 190,863 160,452 30,411 225,228 16,1292004 1,792,297 1,317,011 1,044,632 517,897 526,735 272,379 227,633 44,745 475,286 206,830 161,895 44,935 239,890 28,5652005 1,958,012 1,458,540 1,171,191 557,422 613,769 287,350 234,545 52,805 499,472 210,186 182,731 27,455 278,892 10,3932006 2,255,221 1,656,938 1,321,397 610,652 710,745 335,541 273,340 62,201 598,283 250,065 211,465 38,600 329,337 18,8812007 2,482,504 1,894,953 1,489,976 653,560 836,416 404,977 338,764 66,213 587,551 238,956 210,943 28,013 332,758 15,8372008 2,872,608 2,210,197 1,678,214 709,820 968,393 531,983 373,961 158,022 662,411 227,113 197,070 30,043 423,455 11,8442009 3,088,877 2,436,549 1,829,909 765,431 1,064,478 606,640 549,325 57,315 652,328 262,813 231,736 31,076 375,717 13,7982010 3,333,948 2,618,907 1,958,839 800,072 1,158,767 660,069 622,501 37,568 715,041 255,755 242,034 13,721 437,328 21,9582011 3,631,316 2,860,941 2,157,393 861,401 1,295,992 703,548 650,135 53,414 770,375 273,931 258,485 15,446 477,256 19,1872012 3,920,305 3,102,198 2,360,695 926,102 1,434,593 741,503 680,976 60,528 818,107 305,119 291,789 13,330 494,265 18,7242013 4,178,322 3,316,609 2,440,772 963,100 1,477,671 875,837 735,501 140,337 861,713 314,551 300,846 13,705 532,456 14,706
2014 4,737,412 3,806,624 2,828,705 1,026,374 1,802,331 977,919 863,478 114,441 930,788 371,072 357,045 14,027 539,946 19,7702015 4,991,587 4,000,222 2,976,632 1,099,757 1,876,875 1,023,591 899,744 123,847 991,364 424,096 409,949 14,148 544,037 23,2312016 5,366,201 4,315,732 3,203,549 1,198,266 2,005,283 1,112,183 975,322 136,861 1,050,468 482,381 468,037 14,344 542,619 25,4692017 5,920,590 4,734,627 3,496,407 1,325,436 2,170,971 1,238,220 1,077,731 160,489 1,185,962 551,335 536,619 14,716 605,500 29,1272018 6,493,919 5,176,824 3,810,028 1,459,971 2,350,056 1,366,796 1,181,193 185,603 1,317,095 626,483 611,287 15,196 659,063 31,5492019 7,131,280 5,704,821 4,149,866 1,595,642 2,554,224 1,554,955 1,346,560 208,395 1,426,459 706,786 691,097 15,688 685,774 33,8992020 7,821,424 6,242,316 4,551,380 1,742,125 2,809,256 1,690,936 1,459,671 231,265 1,579,108 793,198 776,975 16,222 749,653 36,258
M-5
Suma!!
Suma!!
Suma!!
Total!!
M-2. Gasto Neto Presupuestal del Sector Público: Escenario Básico 2014-2020(% del PIB)
Gasto Neto Presupuestal del Sector PúblicoGasto Programable Gasto No Programable
Años Gasto Corriente Gasto de Capital Costo Financiero Participación AdefasSub Total Servicios Otros Inversión Inversión Sub Total Pago de IPAB y a Estados y Ajenas
Personales Gastos Física Financiera Intereses Otros y Municipios Netas
1980 23.82 18.23 11.98 4.55 7.43 6.25 6.03 0.22 5.59 2.46 2.46 0.00 1.74 1.391981 27.92 20.74 12.38 4.77 7.61 8.36 8.15 0.21 7.18 3.56 3.56 0.00 1.90 1.731982 31.32 18.70 12.26 5.20 7.06 6.44 6.09 0.35 12.62 8.91 8.91 0.00 1.68 2.031983 29.90 16.82 12.05 4.39 7.66 4.77 4.45 0.32 13.08 9.69 9.69 0.00 2.14 1.261984 28.72 15.93 11.72 4.31 7.42 4.20 3.90 0.30 12.79 9.49 9.49 0.00 2.19 1.121985 29.91 18.01 12.60 4.36 8.24 5.41 4.10 1.31 11.90 8.88 8.88 0.00 2.04 0.981986 34.82 18.77 14.91 4.33 10.58 3.86 3.14 0.73 15.74 13.05 13.05 0.00 1.99 0.701987 33.29 15.63 11.73 4.37 7.35 3.90 3.11 0.79 17.67 15.14 15.14 0.00 2.02 0.511988 29.43 13.84 10.95 3.89 7.06 2.89 2.49 0.41 15.10 13.01 13.01 0.00 2.16 -0.071989 24.71 12.62 10.22 3.83 6.39 2.40 2.09 0.31 12.10 9.88 9.88 0.00 2.13 0.081990 22.21 12.32 9.33 3.61 5.72 2.99 2.49 0.50 9.89 7.33 7.33 0.00 2.26 0.301991 19.21 12.24 9.28 3.82 5.46 2.96 2.70 0.26 6.97 4.09 4.09 0.00 2.27 0.611992 17.86 12.30 9.31 4.02 5.29 2.99 2.70 0.29 5.56 2.92 2.92 0.00 2.35 0.291993 17.97 12.86 10.39 4.57 5.82 2.47 2.30 0.17 5.11 2.12 2.12 0.00 2.40 0.581994 18.44 13.75 10.80 4.80 6.01 2.94 2.68 0.26 4.70 1.85 1.85 0.00 2.34 0.511995 19.12 12.81 10.12 5.30 4.82 2.69 2.35 0.33 6.32 3.84 3.16 0.68 2.23 0.251996 19.34 13.12 10.03 5.20 4.84 3.08 2.51 0.57 6.22 3.66 2.96 0.70 2.35 0.211997 19.75 13.57 10.66 5.70 4.96 2.91 2.66 0.25 6.18 3.42 2.38 1.05 2.48 0.271998 18.11 12.98 10.39 5.79 4.59 2.59 2.45 0.14 5.13 2.43 2.21 0.22 2.48 0.231999 18.22 12.72 10.39 6.09 4.30 2.33 2.12 0.21 5.50 2.97 2.54 0.43 2.54 -0.012000 19.31 13.32 11.05 6.07 4.99 2.26 2.16 0.11 5.99 3.11 2.17 0.94 2.76 0.132001 19.37 13.67 11.44 6.25 5.19 2.23 2.09 0.14 5.71 2.78 2.19 0.59 2.91 0.022002 20.39 14.81 12.05 6.68 5.37 2.77 2.04 0.72 5.57 2.49 1.88 0.61 3.00 0.082003 21.42 15.80 13.08 6.58 6.50 2.72 2.43 0.29 5.62 2.48 2.08 0.40 2.93 0.212004 20.62 15.15 12.02 5.96 6.06 3.13 2.62 0.51 5.47 2.38 1.86 0.52 2.76 0.332005 20.74 15.45 12.40 5.90 6.50 3.04 2.48 0.56 5.29 2.23 1.94 0.29 2.95 0.112006 21.40 15.72 12.54 5.79 6.74 3.18 2.59 0.59 5.68 2.37 2.01 0.37 3.13 0.182007 21.77 16.62 13.07 5.73 7.33 3.55 2.97 0.58 5.15 2.10 1.85 0.25 2.92 0.142008 23.44 18.03 13.69 5.79 7.90 4.34 3.05 1.29 5.40 1.85 1.61 0.25 3.45 0.102009 25.54 20.15 15.13 6.33 8.80 5.02 4.54 0.47 5.39 2.17 1.92 0.26 3.11 0.112010 25.10 19.72 14.75 6.02 8.72 4.97 4.69 0.28 5.38 1.93 1.82 0.10 3.29 0.172011 24.96 19.66 14.83 5.92 8.91 4.84 4.47 0.37 5.29 1.88 1.78 0.11 3.28 0.132012 25.11 19.87 15.12 5.93 9.19 4.75 4.36 0.39 5.24 1.95 1.87 0.09 3.17 0.122013 25.95 20.59 15.16 5.98 9.18 5.44 4.57 0.87 5.35 1.95 1.87 0.09 3.31 0.09
2014 27.80 22.33 16.60 6.02 10.58 5.74 5.07 0.67 5.46 2.18 2.09 0.08 3.17 0.122015 27.29 21.87 16.27 6.01 10.26 5.60 4.92 0.68 5.42 2.32 2.24 0.08 2.97 0.132016 26.97 21.69 16.10 6.02 10.08 5.59 4.90 0.69 5.28 2.42 2.35 0.07 2.73 0.132017 27.03 21.62 15.97 6.05 9.91 5.65 4.92 0.73 5.42 2.52 2.45 0.07 2.76 0.132018 26.96 21.50 15.82 6.06 9.76 5.68 4.90 0.77 5.47 2.60 2.54 0.06 2.74 0.132019 27.14 21.71 15.79 6.07 9.72 5.92 5.12 0.79 5.43 2.69 2.63 0.06 2.61 0.132020 27.40 21.87 15.94 6.10 9.84 5.92 5.11 0.81 5.53 2.78 2.72 0.06 2.63 0.13
M-6
Suma!!
Suma!!
Suma!!
Total!!
M-2. Gasto Neto Presupuestal del Sector Público: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Variación % anual real)
Gasto Neto Presupuestal del Sector PúblicoGasto Programable Gasto No Programable
Años Gasto Corriente Gasto de Capital Costo Financiero Participación AdefasSub Total Servicios Otros Inversión Inversión Sub Total Pago de IPAB y a Estados y Ajenas
Personales Gastos Física Financiera Intereses Otros y Municipios Netas
1980 20.8 16.1 17.8 8.5 24.4 12.8 37.9 -81.0 39.3 21.3 21.3 0.0 64.2 50.41981 25.6 21.9 10.7 12.4 9.7 43.2 44.8 -0.4 37.7 54.9 54.9 0.0 17.1 33.01982 13.7 -8.6 0.4 10.5 -6.0 -21.9 -24.3 72.6 78.0 153.8 153.8 0.0 -10.2 18.81983 -14.8 -19.8 -12.3 -24.8 -3.2 -33.9 -34.8 -18.0 -7.5 -3.0 -3.0 0.0 13.4 -44.61984 -4.3 -5.6 -3.0 -2.1 -3.5 -12.2 -12.6 -7.7 -2.6 -2.4 -2.4 0.0 2.0 -11.71985 7.1 16.3 10.5 4.0 14.2 32.4 8.0 349.4 -4.4 -3.7 -3.7 0.0 -4.1 -10.11986 2.6 -8.1 4.3 -12.5 13.2 -37.0 -32.5 -51.3 16.6 29.4 29.4 0.0 -14.0 -36.91987 1.9 -11.3 -16.2 7.7 -26.0 7.5 5.4 16.5 19.6 23.6 23.6 0.0 8.4 -22.91988 -16.2 -16.0 -11.5 -15.7 -9.0 -29.7 -24.1 -51.3 -19.0 -18.6 -18.6 0.0 1.3 -112.61989 -7.6 0.2 2.6 8.3 -0.5 -8.9 -7.6 -16.5 -11.9 -16.5 -16.5 0.0 8.5 -239.01990 -4.3 4.0 -2.8 0.4 -4.7 32.8 27.1 71.2 -13.0 -21.0 -21.0 0.0 12.8 277.51991 -9.3 4.2 4.3 10.8 0.2 3.9 13.6 -44.8 -26.1 -41.4 -41.4 0.0 5.2 111.81992 -4.3 3.4 3.3 8.3 -0.2 3.8 2.9 13.4 -17.8 -26.7 -26.7 0.0 6.7 -50.11993 2.7 6.8 14.0 16.1 12.3 -15.6 -13.1 -38.5 -6.2 -25.6 -25.6 0.0 4.2 103.51994 8.7 13.2 10.2 11.3 9.3 26.1 23.8 57.5 -2.6 -7.7 -7.7 0.0 3.2 -8.11995 -4.7 -14.4 -13.9 1.4 -26.2 -16.2 -19.5 18.9 23.6 90.7 57.0 0.0 -12.5 -54.81996 3.0 4.3 1.0 -0.1 2.1 16.9 8.8 74.0 0.3 -3.0 -4.6 4.5 7.3 -12.51997 6.7 8.1 11.0 14.5 7.2 -1.5 10.4 -53.9 3.8 -2.3 -16.2 56.6 10.5 33.51998 -4.7 -0.5 1.3 5.7 -3.8 -7.3 -4.2 -40.2 -13.7 -26.3 -3.5 -78.1 3.6 -14.11999 4.2 1.5 3.6 8.8 -2.9 -6.9 -10.3 51.0 11.1 26.7 19.2 101.9 6.2 -102.92000 12.9 11.6 13.4 6.2 23.5 3.6 8.4 -45.4 16.1 11.7 -8.7 132.3 15.7 -2,176.22001 -1.2 1.0 1.9 1.4 2.4 -3.1 -4.7 29.0 -6.2 -12.0 -0.8 -38.1 3.9 -83.52002 6.0 9.2 6.1 7.6 4.2 25.0 -1.4 414.0 -1.6 -9.7 -13.7 5.1 3.9 295.42003 8.0 9.7 11.6 1.3 24.4 1.2 22.2 -58.2 3.6 2.3 14.2 -33.9 0.2 161.72004 3.9 3.5 -0.9 -2.3 0.6 24.2 16.4 89.0 5.0 3.5 -3.6 41.1 1.7 69.22005 5.1 6.5 7.8 3.5 12.1 1.5 -0.9 13.5 1.1 -2.3 8.5 -41.2 11.8 -65.02006 11.1 9.6 8.9 5.7 11.7 12.7 12.5 13.7 15.6 14.8 11.7 35.7 14.0 75.32007 5.9 10.0 8.5 2.9 13.2 16.1 19.2 2.4 -5.5 -8.1 -4.1 -30.2 -2.8 -19.32008 10.1 10.9 7.1 3.3 10.1 25.0 5.0 127.0 7.2 -9.6 -11.1 2.0 21.1 -28.92009 2.1 4.7 3.6 2.4 4.4 8.3 39.5 -65.6 -6.5 9.9 11.7 -1.8 -15.7 10.62010 3.6 3.2 2.8 0.4 4.5 4.5 8.8 -37.1 5.2 -6.6 0.3 -57.6 11.8 52.82011 5.3 5.6 6.5 4.1 8.2 3.1 1.0 37.5 4.2 3.6 3.3 8.9 5.5 -15.52012 3.7 4.2 5.1 3.3 6.3 1.2 0.6 8.8 2.0 7.0 8.4 -17.1 -0.5 -6.32013 2.7 3.0 -0.4 0.2 -0.8 13.8 4.0 123.4 1.5 -0.7 -0.7 -1.0 3.8 -24.3
2014 9.0 10.3 11.4 2.5 17.3 7.3 12.9 -21.6 3.8 13.4 14.1 -1.6 -2.5 29.22015 1.6 1.4 1.5 3.4 0.5 1.0 0.5 4.4 2.7 10.3 10.8 -2.7 -2.8 13.42016 3.7 4.1 3.8 5.1 3.1 4.8 4.6 6.6 2.2 9.7 10.1 -2.2 -3.8 5.82017 6.0 5.4 4.9 6.3 4.0 7.0 6.2 12.7 8.5 9.8 10.2 -1.4 7.2 9.92018 5.4 5.0 4.7 5.8 4.0 6.0 5.3 11.1 6.7 9.2 9.4 -0.8 4.6 4.12019 5.7 6.1 4.9 5.2 4.6 9.5 9.8 8.1 4.3 8.6 8.8 -0.6 0.2 3.42020 5.7 5.5 5.7 5.3 6.0 4.9 4.5 7.0 6.7 8.2 8.4 -0.3 5.4 3.1
M-7
Suma!!
Suma!!
Suma!!
Total!!
M-2. Gasto Neto Presupuestal del Sector Público: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Estructura Porcentual)
Gasto Neto Presupuestal del Sector PúblicoGasto Programable Gasto No Programable
Años Gasto Corriente Gasto de Capital Costo Financiero Participación AdefasSub Total Servicios Otros Inversión Inversión Sub Total Pago de IPAB y a Estados y Ajenas
Personales Gastos Física Financiera Intereses Otros y Municipios Netas
1980 100.0 76.5 50.3 19.1 31.2 26.3 25.3 0.9 23.5 10.3 10.3 0.0 7.3 5.81981 100.0 74.3 44.3 17.1 27.2 29.9 29.2 0.7 25.7 12.7 12.7 0.0 6.8 6.21982 100.0 59.7 39.1 16.6 22.5 20.6 19.4 1.1 40.3 28.4 28.4 0.0 5.4 6.51983 100.0 56.2 40.3 14.7 25.6 16.0 14.9 1.1 43.8 32.4 32.4 0.0 7.1 4.21984 100.0 55.5 40.8 15.0 25.8 14.6 13.6 1.0 44.5 33.0 33.0 0.0 7.6 3.91985 100.0 60.2 42.1 14.6 27.6 18.1 13.7 4.4 39.8 29.7 29.7 0.0 6.8 3.31986 100.0 53.9 42.8 12.4 30.4 11.1 9.0 2.1 45.2 37.5 37.5 0.0 5.7 2.01987 100.0 46.9 35.2 13.1 22.1 11.7 9.3 2.4 53.1 45.5 45.5 0.0 6.1 1.51988 100.0 47.0 37.2 13.2 24.0 9.8 8.4 1.4 51.3 44.2 44.2 0.0 7.3 -0.21989 100.0 51.1 41.3 15.5 25.8 9.7 8.4 1.3 48.9 40.0 40.0 0.0 8.6 0.31990 100.0 55.5 42.0 16.3 25.7 13.5 11.2 2.2 44.5 33.0 33.0 0.0 10.2 1.41991 100.0 63.7 48.3 19.9 28.4 15.4 14.1 1.4 36.3 21.3 21.3 0.0 11.8 3.21992 100.0 68.9 52.1 22.5 29.6 16.7 15.1 1.6 31.1 16.3 16.3 0.0 13.2 1.61993 100.0 71.6 57.8 25.4 32.4 13.8 12.8 1.0 28.4 11.8 11.8 0.0 13.4 3.31994 100.0 74.5 58.6 26.0 32.6 16.0 14.6 1.4 25.5 10.0 10.0 0.0 12.7 2.81995 100.0 67.0 52.9 27.7 25.2 14.0 12.3 1.7 33.0 20.1 16.5 3.6 11.6 1.31996 100.0 67.8 51.9 26.9 25.0 15.9 13.0 3.0 32.2 18.9 15.3 3.6 12.1 1.11997 100.0 68.7 54.0 28.9 25.1 14.7 13.4 1.3 31.3 17.3 12.0 5.3 12.6 1.41998 100.0 71.7 57.4 32.0 25.4 14.3 13.5 0.8 28.3 13.4 12.2 1.2 13.7 1.31999 100.0 69.8 57.0 33.4 23.6 12.8 11.6 1.2 30.2 16.3 13.9 2.4 13.9 0.02000 100.0 69.0 57.3 31.4 25.8 11.7 11.2 0.6 31.0 16.1 11.3 4.8 14.3 0.62001 100.0 70.5 59.0 32.2 26.8 11.5 10.8 0.7 29.5 14.3 11.3 3.0 15.0 0.12002 100.0 72.7 59.1 32.8 26.3 13.6 10.0 3.5 27.3 12.2 9.2 3.0 14.7 0.42003 100.0 73.8 61.1 30.7 30.3 12.7 11.3 1.4 26.2 11.6 9.7 1.8 13.7 1.02004 100.0 73.5 58.3 28.9 29.4 15.2 12.7 2.5 26.5 11.5 9.0 2.5 13.4 1.62005 100.0 74.5 59.8 28.5 31.3 14.7 12.0 2.7 25.5 10.7 9.3 1.4 14.2 0.52006 100.0 73.5 58.6 27.1 31.5 14.9 12.1 2.8 26.5 11.1 9.4 1.7 14.6 0.82007 100.0 76.3 60.0 26.3 33.7 16.3 13.6 2.7 23.7 9.6 8.5 1.1 13.4 0.62008 100.0 76.9 58.4 24.7 33.7 18.5 13.0 5.5 23.1 7.9 6.9 1.0 14.7 0.42009 100.0 78.9 59.2 24.8 34.5 19.6 17.8 1.9 21.1 8.5 7.5 1.0 12.2 0.42010 100.0 78.6 58.8 24.0 34.8 19.8 18.7 1.1 21.4 7.7 7.3 0.4 13.1 0.72011 100.0 78.8 59.4 23.7 35.7 19.4 17.9 1.5 21.2 7.5 7.1 0.4 13.1 0.52012 100.0 79.1 60.2 23.6 36.6 18.9 17.4 1.5 20.9 7.8 7.4 0.3 12.6 0.52013 100.0 79.4 58.4 23.0 35.4 21.0 17.6 3.4 20.6 7.5 7.2 0.3 12.7 0.4
2014 100.0 80.4 59.7 21.7 38.0 20.6 18.2 2.4 19.6 7.8 7.5 0.3 11.4 0.42015 100.0 80.1 59.6 22.0 37.6 20.5 18.0 2.5 19.9 8.5 8.2 0.3 10.9 0.52016 100.0 80.4 59.7 22.3 37.4 20.7 18.2 2.6 19.6 9.0 8.7 0.3 10.1 0.52017 100.0 80.0 59.1 22.4 36.7 20.9 18.2 2.7 20.0 9.3 9.1 0.2 10.2 0.52018 100.0 79.7 58.7 22.5 36.2 21.0 18.2 2.9 20.3 9.6 9.4 0.2 10.1 0.52019 100.0 80.0 58.2 22.4 35.8 21.8 18.9 2.9 20.0 9.9 9.7 0.2 9.6 0.52020 100.0 79.8 58.2 22.3 35.9 21.6 18.7 3.0 20.2 10.1 9.9 0.2 9.6 0.5
M-8
Suma!!
Suma!!
Suma!!
Total!!
M-3. Balance Financiero del Sector Público: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Millones de Pesos)
Posición Financiera del Sector PúblicoBalance Tradicional Requerimientos Financieros del Sector Público
Años Balance Público Balance RFSP Ingresos RFSPBalance Balance Balance MAS: Inversión Balance Primario Sin Ingresos No Con Ingresos
Presupuestal No Presupuestal Económico sin PEMEX PEMEX Económico con PEMEX Económico Recurrentes Recurrentes Recurrentes
1980 -251 -42 -293 0 -293 -135 -364 0 01981 -727 -70 -797 0 -797 -492 -790 0 01982 -1,378 -153 -1,532 0 -1,532 -351 -1,618 0 01983 -1,312 -143 -1,455 0 -1,455 867 -2,078 0 01984 -1,888 -218 -2,106 0 -2,106 1,610 -2,794 0 01985 -3,363 -539 -3,902 0 -3,902 1,752 -4,787 0 01986 -10,673 -1,110 -11,783 0 -11,783 2,069 -12,569 0 01987 -27,339 -1,721 -29,061 0 -29,061 10,914 -29,575 0 01988 -35,978 -6,502 -42,479 0 -42,479 31,359 -48,303 0 01989 -26,344 1,076 -25,268 0 -25,268 42,449 -29,379 0 01990 -16,514 -2,752 -19,266 0 -19,266 52,965 -32,052 5,138 -26,9141991 26,450 -1,261 25,189 0 25,189 45,564 -17,062 33,664 16,6021992 46,191 294 46,485 0 46,485 58,159 -10,249 40,147 29,8991993 8,546 -303 8,243 0 8,243 42,003 -30,884 5,872 -25,0121994 608 2,739 3,346 0 3,346 29,458 -55,830 13,698 -42,1321995 -3,174 2,974 -201 0 -201 85,803 -72,690 17,101 -55,5891996 -3,260 3,543 283 0 283 109,563 -140,784 20,733 -120,0511997 -19,535 -3,477 -23,011 0 -23,011 111,434 -178,069 33,978 -144,0911998 -47,564 -355 -47,919 0 -47,919 65,667 -243,446 14,898 -228,5481999 -52,851 863 -51,988 0 -51,988 115,110 -294,870 17,827 -277,0432000 -60,453 -143 -60,596 0 -60,596 143,439 -208,074 22,712 -185,3622001 -40,293 -1,902 -42,195 0 -42,195 148,728 -225,238 40,883 -184,3562002 -72,716 -2,891 -75,607 0 -75,607 107,995 -221,070 43,700 -177,3702003 -47,957 5,491 -42,466 0 -42,466 143,850 -184,016 46,764 -137,2522004 -20,983 1,774 -19,208 0 -19,208 191,577 -160,042 115,054 -44,9882005 -10,196 71 -10,125 0 -10,125 201,564 -141,464 20,187 -121,2772006 8,381 1,552 9,934 0 9,934 260,294 -157,663 31,668 -125,9952007 3,282 1,528 4,810 0 4,810 247,004 -188,350 72,641 -115,7092008 -11,682 3,736 -7,946 0 -7,946 216,501 -284,728 87,732 -196,9962009 -271,691 -1,795 -22,076 251,410 -273,486 -7,692 -634,652 321,201 -313,4512010 -373,505 2,985 -102,006 268,515 -370,521 -113,725 -543,728 92,046 -451,6812011 -360,236 6,778 -86,197 267,261 -353,458 -81,093 -493,493 104,506 -388,9872012 -405,776 2,566 -91,216 311,993 -403,210 -97,486 -596,179 94,053 -502,1262013 -377,906 3,675 -45,659 328,572 -374,231 -60,221 -639,998 156,284 -483,714
2014 -623,816 4,090 -265,225 354,501 -619,726 -252,245 -817,430 93,652 -723,7782015 -592,364 2,927 -203,471 385,966 -589,437 -167,768 -762,507 78,971 -683,5352016 -580,071 5,671 -152,570 421,830 -574,400 -97,190 -736,732 71,697 -665,0352017 -562,831 -1,511 -102,247 462,095 -564,343 -10,997 -709,893 67,598 -642,2952018 -517,532 4,504 -2,461 510,568 -513,029 109,450 -642,521 63,129 -579,3922019 -560,870 -3,258 -4,407 559,722 -564,129 146,415 -680,433 52,741 -627,6922020 -616,687 2,370 -3,362 610,956 -614,318 177,010 -716,969 42,988 -673,981
M-9
M-3. Balance Financiero del Sector Público: Escenario Básico 2014-2020(% del PIB)
Posición Financiera del Sector PúblicoBalance Tradicional Requerimientos Financieros del Sector Público
Años Balance Público Balance RFSP Ingresos RFSPBalance Balance Balance MAS: Inversión Balance Primario Sin Ingresos No Con Ingresos
Presupuestal No Presupuestal Económico sin PEMEX PEMEX Económico con PEMEX Económico Recurrentes Recurrentes Recurrentes
1980 -4.26 -0.71 -4.97 0.00 -4.97 -2.30 -6.18 0.00 0.001981 -9.01 -0.87 -9.89 0.00 -9.89 -6.10 -9.80 0.00 0.001982 -10.62 -1.18 -11.80 0.00 -11.80 -2.71 -12.46 0.00 0.001983 -5.61 -0.61 -6.22 0.00 -6.22 3.71 -8.89 0.00 0.001984 -4.90 -0.57 -5.46 0.00 -5.46 4.18 -7.25 0.00 0.001985 -5.38 -0.86 -6.24 0.00 -6.24 2.80 -7.66 0.00 0.001986 -10.40 -1.08 -11.48 0.00 -11.48 2.02 -12.25 0.00 0.001987 -10.78 -0.68 -11.46 0.00 -11.46 4.31 -11.67 0.00 0.001988 -6.99 -1.26 -8.25 0.00 -8.25 6.09 -9.39 0.00 0.001989 -3.88 0.16 -3.72 0.00 -3.72 6.25 -4.32 0.00 0.001990 -1.80 -0.30 -2.10 0.00 -2.10 5.78 -3.50 0.56 -2.941991 2.24 -0.11 2.14 0.00 2.14 3.87 -1.45 2.86 1.411992 3.30 0.02 3.32 0.00 3.32 4.15 -0.73 2.87 2.131993 0.54 -0.02 0.52 0.00 0.52 2.68 -1.97 0.37 -1.591994 0.03 0.15 0.19 0.00 0.19 1.66 -3.14 0.77 -2.371995 -0.14 0.13 -0.01 0.00 -0.01 3.89 -3.29 0.77 -2.521996 -0.11 0.12 0.01 0.00 0.01 3.63 -4.66 0.69 -3.981997 -0.51 -0.09 -0.60 0.00 -0.60 2.93 -4.68 0.89 -3.791998 -1.04 -0.01 -1.04 0.00 -1.04 1.43 -5.31 0.32 -4.981999 -0.95 0.02 -0.94 0.00 -0.94 2.08 -5.32 0.32 -5.002000 -0.94 0.00 -0.94 0.00 -0.94 2.22 -3.22 0.35 -2.872001 -0.60 -0.03 -0.62 0.00 -0.62 2.20 -3.33 0.60 -2.722002 -1.02 -0.04 -1.06 0.00 -1.06 1.51 -3.09 0.61 -2.482003 -0.62 0.07 -0.55 0.00 -0.55 1.87 -2.39 0.61 -1.782004 -0.24 0.02 -0.22 0.00 -0.22 2.20 -1.84 1.32 -0.522005 -0.11 0.00 -0.11 0.00 -0.11 2.13 -1.50 0.21 -1.282006 0.08 0.01 0.09 0.00 0.09 2.47 -1.50 0.30 -1.202007 0.03 0.01 0.04 0.00 0.04 2.17 -1.65 0.64 -1.012008 -0.10 0.03 -0.06 0.00 -0.06 1.77 -2.32 0.72 -1.612009 -2.25 -0.01 -0.18 2.08 -2.26 -0.06 -5.25 2.66 -2.592010 -2.81 0.02 -0.77 2.02 -2.79 -0.86 -4.09 0.69 -3.402011 -2.48 0.05 -0.59 1.84 -2.43 -0.56 -3.39 0.72 -2.672012 -2.60 0.02 -0.58 2.00 -2.58 -0.62 -3.82 0.60 -3.222013 -2.35 0.02 -0.28 2.04 -2.32 -0.37 -3.97 0.97 -3.00
2014 -3.66 0.02 -1.56 2.08 -3.64 -1.48 -4.80 0.55 -4.252015 -3.24 0.02 -1.11 2.11 -3.22 -0.92 -4.17 0.43 -3.742016 -2.92 0.03 -0.77 2.12 -2.89 -0.49 -3.70 0.36 -3.342017 -2.57 -0.01 -0.47 2.11 -2.58 -0.05 -3.24 0.31 -2.932018 -2.15 0.02 -0.01 2.12 -2.13 0.45 -2.67 0.26 -2.412019 -2.13 -0.01 -0.02 2.13 -2.15 0.56 -2.59 0.20 -2.392020 -2.16 0.01 -0.01 2.14 -2.15 0.62 -2.51 0.15 -2.36
M-10
M-4. Ley de Ingresos y Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación para 2013(Millones de Pesos)
Proyecto de Presupuesto Presupuesto Aprobado Ajuste 2012 2013 Variación % anual % de
Pesos %PIB Pesos %PIB Presupuestal Enero-Diciembre Nominal Real Avance
Ingreso Presupuestal 3,576,000 21.39 3,601,072 21.54 25,072 3,514,530 3,800,416 8.1 4.2 105.5Sector Petrolero 1,238,066 7.41 1,243,000 7.44 4,933 1,183,895 1,261,702 6.6 2.7 101.5 Pemex 474,984 2.84 478,433 2.86 3,448 463,121 482,936 4.3 0.5 100.9 Gobierno Federal 763,082 4.57 764,567 4.57 1,485 720,774 778,766 8.0 4.1 101.9Sector No Petrolero 2,337,934 13.99 2,358,072 14.11 20,139 2,330,634 2,538,714 8.9 4.9 107.7 Gobierno Federal 1,713,941 10.25 1,734,079 10.37 20,139 1,731,760 1,924,809 11.1 7.1 111.0 Tributarios 1,621,177 9.70 1,628,202 9.74 7,025 1,516,951 1,644,537 8.4 4.4 101.0 ISR/IETU/IDE 864,325 5.17 866,624 5.18 2,299 803,897 946,515 17.7 13.4 109.2 IVA 617,900 3.70 622,626 3.72 4,726 579,988 556,794 -4.0 -7.5 89.4 IEPS 77,477 0.46 77,477 0.46 0 72,953 78,572 7.7 3.8 101.4 Importaciones 28,082 0.17 28,082 0.17 0 27,906 29,260 4.8 1.0 104.2 Otros 33,392 0.20 33,392 0.20 0 32,208 33,171 3.0 -0.8 99.3 No Tributarios 92,764 0.55 105,878 0.63 13,114 214,809 280,272 30.5 25.7 264.7 Organismos y Empresas 623,993 3.73 623,993 3.73 0 598,875 613,905 2.5 -1.2 98.4
Gasto Neto Presupuestal 3,902,324 23.35 3,927,396 23.50 25,072 3,920,305 4,178,322 6.6 2.7 106.4 Gasto Programable 2,995,118 17.92 3,031,810 18.14 36,692 3,102,198 3,316,609 6.9 3.0 109.4 Corriente 2,305,210 13.79 2,330,282 13.94 25,072 2,360,695 2,440,772 3.4 -0.4 104.7 Servicios personales 963,690 5.77 963,690 5.77 0 926,102 963,100 4.0 0.2 99.9 Otros 1,341,520 8.03 1,366,592 8.18 25,072 1,434,593 1,477,671 3.0 -0.8 108.1 Capital 689,908 4.13 701,527 4.20 11,619 741,503 875,837 18.1 13.8 124.8 Inversión física 669,263 4.00 680,883 4.07 11,619 680,976 735,501 8.0 4.0 108.0 Inversión financiera 20,645 0.12 20,645 0.12 0 60,528 140,337 131.9 123.4 679.8 Gasto No Programable 907,206 5.43 895,586 5.36 -11,619 818,107 861,713 5.3 1.5 96.2 Costo financiero 350,387 2.10 345,387 2.07 -5,000 305,119 314,551 3.1 -0.7 91.1 Participaciones a Edos. y Mun. 533,646 3.19 535,116 3.20 1,469 494,265 532,456 7.7 3.8 99.5 Adefas y Ajenas Netas 23,173 0.14 15,084 0.09 -8,089 18,724 14,706 -21.5 -24.3 97.5
Balance Económico sin PEMEX 0 0.00 0 0.00 0 -91,216 -45,659 Inversión PEMEX 326,324 1.95 326,324 1.95 0 311,993 328,572 5.3 1.5 100.7Balance Económico -326,324 -1.95 -326,324 -1.95 0 -403,209 -374,231Superávit Económico Primario 24,563 0.15 19,563 0.12 -5,000 -97,486 -60,221Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos de la SHCP, Criterios Generales de Política Económica para 2013 y Ley de Ingresos y Proyecto de Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación para 2013.
M-11
Concepto!
M-5. Ley de Ingresos y Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación para 2014(Millones de Pesos)
Proyecto de Presupuesto Presupuesto Aprobado Ajuste 2013 2014 Variación % anual % de
Pesos %PIB Pesos %PIB Presupuestal Enero-Mayo Nominal Real Avance
Ingreso Presupuestal 3,829,476 21.77 3,816,748 21.70 -12,728 1,501,979 1,610,080 7.2 3.2 42.2Sector Petrolero 1,224,734 6.96 1,265,725 7.19 40,991 474,805 491,042 3.4 -0.5 38.8 Pemex 443,173 2.52 462,358 2.63 19,185 166,513 165,784 -0.4 -4.2 35.9 Gobierno Federal 781,561 4.44 803,367 4.57 21,806 308,292 325,258 5.5 1.5 40.5Sector No Petrolero 2,604,742 14.81 2,551,023 14.50 -53,720 1,027,174 1,119,038 8.9 4.9 43.9 Gobierno Federal 1,960,313 11.14 1,906,594 10.84 -53,720 802,227 873,551 8.9 4.8 45.8 Tributarios 1,808,188 10.28 1,752,179 9.96 -56,009 708,281 799,535 12.9 8.7 45.6 ISR 1,039,026 5.91 1,006,377 5.72 -32,649 420,430 445,168 5.9 1.9 44.2 IVA 632,369 3.59 609,393 3.46 -22,976 224,852 281,081 25.0 20.3 46.1 IEPS 118,300 0.67 117,959 0.67 -341 34,409 48,542 41.1 35.8 41.2 Importaciones 26,759 0.15 26,759 0.15 0 11,135 12,872 15.6 11.3 48.1 Otros -8,265 -0.05 -8,308 -0.05 -43 17,456 11,872 -32.0 -34.5 -142.9 No Tributarios 152,125 0.86 154,415 0.88 2,290 93,946 74,016 -21.2 -24.2 47.9 Organismos y Empresas 644,429 3.66 644,429 3.66 0 224,947 245,487 9.1 5.0 38.1
Gasto Neto Presupuestal 4,449,891 25.30 4,437,163 25.22 -12,728 1,465,728 1,714,048 16.9 12.6 38.6 Gasto Programable 3,456,822 19.65 3,463,609 19.69 6,787 1,159,986 1,377,653 18.8 14.3 39.8 Corriente 2,649,411 15.06 2,656,198 15.10 6,787 913,561 1,041,288 14.0 9.7 39.2 Servicios personales 1,028,125 5.84 1,028,125 5.84 0 383,612 410,707 7.1 3.0 39.9 Otros 1,651,349 9.39 1,658,136 9.43 6,787 529,949 630,581 19.0 14.5 38.0 Capital 807,411 4.59 807,411 4.59 0 246,424 336,365 36.5 31.4 41.7 Inversión física 783,534 4.45 783,534 4.45 0 225,957 323,779 43.3 37.9 41.3 Inversión financiera 23,877 0.14 23,877 0.14 0 20,468 12,586 -38.5 -40.8 52.7 Gasto No Programable 993,069 5.65 973,554 5.53 -19,516 305,742 336,395 10.0 5.9 34.6 Costo financiero 383,365 2.18 380,365 2.16 -3,000 62,280 60,120 -3.5 -7.1 15.8 Participaciones a Edos. y Mun. 585,654 3.33 577,639 3.28 -8,016 224,857 258,172 14.8 10.5 44.7 Adefas y Ajenas Netas 24,050 0.14 15,550 0.09 -8,500 18,605 18,103 -2.7 -6.3 116.4
Balance Económico sin PEMEX -262,888 -1.49 -262,888 -1.49 0 162,539 58,181 Inversión PEMEX 357,527 2.03 357,527 2.03 0 106,497 149,861 40.7 35.4 41.9Balance Económico -620,415 -3.53 -620,415 -3.53 0 56,042 -91,679Superávit Económico Primario -236,550 -1.34 -239,550 -1.36 -3,000 108,979 -25,989Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos de la SHCP, Criterios Generales de Política Económica para 2014, Ley de Ingresos y Proyecto de Presupuesto de Egresos de la Federación para 2014.
M-12
Concepto!
M-13
M-6. Evolución de la Deuda Interna del Gobierno Federal, 2013-2014(Saldo en Millones de Pesos)
Saldo Saldo
Concepto Diciembre Endeudamiento acumulado Mayo
2013 Disposición Amortización Neto Ajustes 2014
Deuda Neta 3,893,929.4 3,959,102.9
Activos 169,255.0 435,518.0
Deuda Bruta 4,063,184.4 1,201,029.7 889,670.0 311,359.7 20,076.8 4,394,620.9
Valores 3,734,084.5 1,119,399.0 790,370.3 329,028.7 13,662.4 4,076,775.6
Cetes 635,638.8 786,041.4 761,084.6 24,956.8 0.0 660,595.6
Bondes 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Bondes D 216,594.6 31,911.9 29,285.7 2,626.2 0.0 219,220.8
Bonos de desarrollo 1,989,572.8 219,373.9 0.0 219,373.9 0.0 2,208,946.7
Udibonos 888,664.5 81,176.1 0.0 81,176.1 13,602.2 983,442.8
Udibonos Udis 175,669.5 15,842.8 0.0 15,842.8 0.0 191,512.3
Udibonos Segregados 3,613.8 895.7 0.0 895.7 60.2 4,569.7
Udibonos Segregados Udis 714.4 175.5 0.0 175.5 0.0 889.9
Fondo de Ahorro SAR 99,920.1 80,804.5 87,733.9 -6,929.4 3,012.6 96,003.3
Obligaciones por Ley del ISSSTE 165,506.3 43.2 9,948.5 -9,905.3 2,444.3 158,045.3
Otros 63,673.5 783.0 1,617.3 -834.3 957.5 63,796.7
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos de la Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público.
M-14
M-7. Evolución de la Deuda Externa del Sector Público, 2013-2014(Saldo en Millones de Dólares)
Saldo SaldoConcepto Diciembre Endeudamiento acumulado Mayo
2013 Disposición Amortización Neto Ajustes 2014
Deuda Neta 130,949.7 143,696.9 Activos Financieros en moneda extranjera 3,486.2 2,846.9Deuda Bruta 134,435.9 25,499.1 13,634.7 11,864.4 243.5 146,543.8
Estructura por plazo 134,435.9 25,499.1 13,634.7 11,864.4 243.5 146,543.8
Largo plazo 130,908.7 16,916.1 5,263.7 11,652.4 241.8 142,802.9 Corto plazo 3,527.2 8,583.0 8,371.0 212.0 1.7 3,740.9
Estructura por Usuario 134,435.9 25,499.1 13,634.7 11,864.4 243.5 146,543.8
Gobierno Federal 72,180.4 8,583.6 4,402.0 4,181.6 280.5 76,642.5 Largo plazo 72,180.4 8,583.6 4,402.0 4,181.6 280.5 76,642.5 Corto plazo 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Organismos y Empresas 53,358.1 8,551.7 882.6 7,669.1 -117.9 60,909.3 Largo plazo 53,358.1 8,264.8 789.4 7,475.4 -117.9 60,715.6 Corto plazo 0.0 286.9 93.2 193.7 0.0 193.7 Banca de Desarrollo 8,897.4 8,363.8 8,350.1 13.7 80.9 8,992.0 Largo plazo 5,370.2 67.7 72.3 -4.6 79.2 5,444.8 Corto plazo 3,527.2 8,296.1 8,277.8 18.3 1.7 3,547.2
Por fuentes de financiamiento 134,435.9 25,499.1 13,634.7 11,864.4 243.5 146,543.8
Mercado Bancario 6,178.1 10,563.8 8,456.3 2,107.5 8.1 8,293.7 Comercio Exterior 10,321.3 673.9 639.8 34.1 4.9 10,360.3 Mercado de Capitales 90,301.7 13,826.5 4,132.0 9,694.5 256.9 100,253.1 Organismos Financieros internacionales (OFIS) 27,350.1 148.0 313.4 -165.4 63.6 27,248.3 Pidiregas 284.7 286.9 93.2 193.7 -90.0 388.4
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos de la Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público.
M-8. Requerimientos Financieros del Sector Público y Deuda Neta del Sector Público, 1990-2013(Millones de Pesos)
Requerimientos Financieros del Sector Público Deuda Neta TotalCon ingresos Ingresos Sin ingresos del Sector Público
extraordinarios extraordinarios extraordinarios Saldo Como porcentaje del PIBSaldo en Pesos %PIB Saldo en Pesos %PIB Saldo en Pesos %PIB en Pesos Deuda Total Deuda Interna Deuda Externa
1990 -26,914 -2.94 5,138 0.56 -32,052 -3.50 382,666 36.70 16.57 20.131991 16,602 1.41 33,664 2.86 -17,062 -1.45 365,696 28.41 12.79 15.631992 29,899 2.13 40,147 2.87 -10,249 -0.73 347,595 23.08 9.54 13.551993 -25,012 -1.59 5,872 0.37 -30,884 -1.97 360,732 21.88 9.25 12.631994 -42,132 -2.37 13,698 0.77 -55,830 -3.14 600,867 31.96 10.91 21.041995 -55,589 -2.52 17,101 0.77 -72,690 -3.29 916,641 36.37 10.47 25.901996 -120,051 -3.98 20,733 0.69 -140,784 -4.66 1,049,545 31.03 12.93 18.101997 -144,091 -3.79 33,978 0.89 -178,069 -4.68 1,317,989 31.63 16.98 14.651998 -228,548 -4.98 14,898 0.32 -243,446 -5.31 1,745,600 35.25 19.19 16.061999 -277,043 -5.00 17,827 0.32 -294,870 -5.32 2,164,906 36.52 22.89 13.642000 -185,362 -2.87 22,712 0.35 -208,074 -3.22 2,051,002 30.51 19.31 11.202001 -184,356 -2.72 40,883 0.60 -225,238 -3.33 2,185,277 31.61 21.10 10.522002 -177,370 -2.48 43,700 0.61 -221,070 -3.09 2,473,944 33.17 21.20 11.972003 -137,252 -1.78 46,764 0.61 -184,016 -2.39 2,738,362 34.21 21.10 13.102004 -44,988 -0.52 115,054 1.32 -160,042 -1.84 2,854,592 31.23 19.19 12.052005 -121,277 -1.28 20,187 0.21 -141,464 -1.50 2,974,208 30.04 19.92 10.122006 -125,995 -1.20 31,668 0.30 -157,663 -1.50 3,135,439 28.77 20.48 8.292007 -115,709 -1.01 72,641 0.64 -188,350 -1.65 3,314,463 27.55 20.30 7.252008 -196,996 -1.61 87,732 0.72 -284,728 -2.32 4,063,364 32.95 24.31 8.642009 -313,451 -2.59 321,201 2.66 -634,652 -5.25 4,382,263 34.31 25.03 9.282010 -451,681 -3.40 92,046 0.69 -543,728 -4.09 4,813,211 34.39 25.52 8.872011 -388,987 -2.67 104,506 0.72 -493,493 -3.39 5,450,590 34.93 25.05 9.882012 -502,126 -3.22 94,053 0.60 -596,179 -3.82 5,890,846 36.38 26.92 9.452013 -483,714 -3.00 156,284 0.97 -639,998 -3.97 6,504,319 38.89 29.03 9.862012
I -71,146 -0.47 4,531 0.03 -75,677 -0.50 5,432,742 35.56 26.12 9.44II -176,587 -1.15 38,895 0.25 -215,481 -1.40 5,644,903 36.64 26.32 10.32III -243,839 -1.58 59,483 0.39 -303,322 -1.97 5,607,099 35.98 26.10 9.87IV -502,126 -3.22 94,053 0.60 -596,179 -3.82 5,890,846 36.38 26.92 9.45
2013
I 8,239 0.05 22,738 0.15 -14,499 -0.09 5,828,238 37.22 27.75 9.47II -135,074 -0.86 37,620 0.24 -172,694 -1.09 6,062,003 38.07 28.25 9.82III -265,659 -1.67 44,037 0.28 -309,695 -1.95 6,170,526 38.30 28.33 9.97IV -483,714 -3.00 156,284 0.97 -639,998 -3.97 6,504,319 38.89 29.03 9.86
2014I -96,552 -0.59 12,247 0.07 -108,799 -0.66 6,629,753 40.30 29.69 10.61
II e/ -161,963 -0.98 64,689 0.39 -226,652 -1.36 6,699,739 39.95 29.57 10.38III e/ -338,743 -2.02 79,779 0.47 -418,522 -2.49 6,931,284 40.37 29.43 10.94IV e/ -723,778 -4.25 93,652 0.55 -817,430 -4.80 7,441,888 41.85 29.96 11.89
e/ Estimación CAMACRO.Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos de la Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público.
M-15
Años!
Tasas del Impuesto Especial Sobre Producción y ServiciosAños Empresas Personas Físicas IVA IVA Transporte Público Goma de Venta de Alimento para Importaciones Temporales
ISR ISR Tasa Máxima Tasa General Tasa Fronteriza Terrestre Foráneo Mascar Mascotas Mascotas de Bienes para Maquila
1980 42.0 55.0 10.0 6.0 …… …… …… …… ……1981 42.0 55.0 10.0 6.0 …… …… …… …… ……1982 42.0 55.0 10.0 6.0 …… …… …… …… ……1983 42.0 60.5 15.0 6.0 …… …… …… …… ……1984 42.0 55.0 15.0 6.0 …… …… …… …… ……1985 42.0 55.0 15.0 6.0 …… …… …… …… ……1986 42.0 60.5 15.0 6.0 …… …… …… …… ……1987 40.6 55.0 15.0 6.0 …… …… …… …… ……1988 39.2 50.0 15.0 6.0 …… …… …… …… ……1989 37.0 40.0 15.0 6.0 …… …… …… …… ……1990 36.0 35.0 15.0 6.0 …… …… …… …… ……1991 35.0 35.0 15.0 6.0 …… …… …… …… ……1992 35.0 35.0 10.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……1993 34.8 35.0 10.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……1994 34.0 35.0 10.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……1995 34.0 35.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……1996 34.0 35.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……1997 34.0 35.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……1998 34.0 35.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……1999 35.0 40.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……2000 35.0 40.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……2001 35.0 40.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……2002 35.0 35.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……2003 34.0 34.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……2004 33.0 33.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……2005 30.0 30.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……2006 29.0 29.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……2007 28.0 28.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……2008 28.0 28.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……2009 28.0 28.0 15.0 10.0 …… …… …… …… ……2010 30.0 30.0 16.0 11.0 …… …… …… …… ……2011 30.0 30.0 16.0 11.0 …… …… …… …… ……2012 30.0 30.0 16.0 11.0 …… …… …… …… ……2013 30.0 30.0 16.0 11.0 …… …… …… …… ……2014 30.0 35.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 Se grava con IVA2015 30.0 35.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 Se grava con IVA2016 30.0 35.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 Se grava con IVA2017 30.0 35.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 Se grava con IVA2018 30.0 35.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 Se grava con IVA
Continúa
M-16
Tasas del IVATasas del ISR
M-9. Evolución de las Tasas Impositivas en México, 1980-2018(Porcentajes, salvo indicación contraria)
Continuación
Derechos ImpuestosAños Bebidas Bebidas Alimentos y bebidas con Juegos sobre a los Dividendos
Cerveza Alcohólicas Azucaradas alto contenido calórico Telecomunicaciones y Sorteos Minería (Accionistas BMV)
1980 …… …… …… …… …… …… …… ……1981 18.0+CF 40.0 …… …… 60.0 …… …… ……1982 21.5 40.0 …… …… 60.0 …… …… ……1983 21.5 40.0 …… …… 60.0 …… …… ……1984 21.5 40.0 …… …… 60.0 …… …… ……1985 21.5 40.0 …… …… 60.0 …… …… ……1986 25.0 50.0 …… …… 72.0 …… …… ……1987 25.0 50.0 …… …… 72.0 …… …… ……1988 25.0 50.0 …… …… 72.0 …… …… ……1989 25.0 50.0 …… …… 60.0 …… …… ……1990 25.0 50.0 …… …… …… …… …… ……1991 25.0 50.0 …… …… …… …… …… ……1992 25.0 44.5 …… …… …… …… …… ……1993 23.5 44.5 …… …… …… …… …… ……1994 22.0 44.5 …… …… …… …… …… ……1995 20.5 44.5 y 60.0 …… …… …… …… …… ……1996 22.0 44.5 y 60.1 …… …… …… …… …… ……1997 22.0 44.5 y 60.2 …… …… …… …… …… ……1998 25.0 60.0 …… …… …… …… …… ……1999 25.0 60.0 …… …… …… …… …… ……2000 25.0 60.0 …… …… …… …… …… ……2001 25.0 60.0 …… …… …… …… …… ……2002 25.0 60.0 …… …… 10.0 …… …… ……2003 25.0 60.0 …… …… 10.0 …… …… ……2004 25.0 50.0 …… …… …… …… …… ……2005 25.0 50.0 …… …… …… …… …… ……2006 25.0 50.0 …… …… …… …… …… ……2007 25.0 50.0 …… …… …… …… …… ……2008 25.0 50.0 …… …… …… 20.0 …… ……2009 25.0 50.0 …… …… …… 20.0 …… ……2010 26.5 53.0 …… …… 3.0 30.0 …… ……2011 26.5 53.0 …… …… 3.0 30.0 …… ……2012 26.5 53.0 …… …… 3.0 30.0 …… ……2013 26.5 53.0 …… …… 3.0 30.0 …… ……2014 26.5 53.0 $ 1.00 por litro 8.0 3.0 30.0 7.50 10.0% de ISR2015 26.5 53.0 $ 1.00 por litro 8.0 3.0 30.0 7.50 10.0% de ISR2016 26.5 53.0 $ 1.00 por litro 8.0 3.0 30.0 7.50 10.0% de ISR2017 26.5 53.0 $ 1.00 por litro 8.0 3.0 30.0 7.50 10.0% de ISR2018 26.5 53.0 $ 1.00 por litro 8.0 3.0 30.0 7.50 10.0% de ISR
Notas sobre el ISR a las empresas: Conclusión1986: Hasta este año en el ISR a las empresas se aplicaba una tarifa.1987 y 1988: Tasa combinada de aplicar las dos bases existentes.1993: La tasa corresponde al promedio de hacer retroactiva la reducción de la tasa de 34% a partir del 1o. de octubre de 1993.
1999, 2000 y 2001: Adicionalmente se aplicaba un gravamen de 5% a los dividendos distribuidos, a fin de alcanzar la tasa marginal de 40% aplicable en la tarifa del ISR de personas físicas.Nota sobre Bebidas Alcohólicas: Bebidas con graduación alcohólica de más de 20 GL.Nota: El Gobierno Federal se compromete a no modificar la estructura tributaria de 2014 a 2018 según el "Acuerdo para la Certidumbre en Materia Tributaria" publicado el 27 de febrero de 2014.Fuente: Cuadro elaborado por CAMACRO, con datos de la Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público.
Tasas del Impuesto Especial Sobre Producción y Servicios IEPS
M-17
M-1O. Tasas de ISR e IVA en Países Avanzados y Economías Emergentes, 2009-2012(Porcentajes)
Tasa Máxima del ISR Tasa Máxima del ISR Tasa de Impuestos IndirectosPaíses Personas Morales Personas Físicas IVA
2009 2010 2011 2012 2009 2010 2011 2012 2009 2010 2011 2012
Alemania 29.44 29.41 29.37 29.48 45.00 45.00 45.00 45.00 19.00 19.00 19.00 19.00Canadá 33.00 31.00 28.00 26.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 29.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00Francia 33.33 33.33 33.33 33.33 40.00 41.00 41.00 45.00 19.60 19.60 19.60 19.60Japón 40.69 40.69 40.69 38.01 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00Italia 31.40 31.40 31.40 31.40 43.00 43.00 43.00 43.00 20.00 20.00 21.00 21.00Reino Unido 28.00 28.00 26.00 26.00 40.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 15.00 17.50 20.00 20.00Estados Unidos 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 …… …… …… ……Suiza 26.30 26.30 26.30 26.30 56.74 56.56 56.55 56.60 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00Austria 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 20.00 20.00 20.00 20.00Dinamarca 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 62.25 55.38 55.38 55.38 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00Noruega 28.00 28.00 28.00 28.00 47.80 47.80 47.80 47.80 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00Holanda 25.50 25.50 25.00 25.00 52.00 52.00 52.00 52.00 19.00 19.00 19.00 19.00Bélgica 33.99 33.99 33.99 33.99 50.00 50.00 50.00 50.00 21.00 21.00 21.00 21.00Portugal 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 42.00 45.88 46.50 46.50 20.00 21.00 23.00 23.00Argentina 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 21.00 21.00 21.00 21.00Chile 17.00 17.00 20.00 18.50 40.00 40.00 40.00 40.00 19.00 19.00 19.00 19.00Brasil 34.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 27.50 27.50 27.50 27.50 19.00 19.00 19.00 19.00MÉXICO 28.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 28.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 15.00 16.00 16.00 16.00Colombia 33.00 33.00 33.00 33.00 33.00 33.00 33.00 33.00 16.00 16.00 16.00 16.00Costa Rica 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 13.00 13.00 13.00 13.00Ecuador 25.00 25.00 24.00 23.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 35.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00R. Dominicana 25.00 25.00 29.00 29.00 …… …… …… …… 16.00 16.00 16.00 16.00Guatemala 31.00 31.00 31.00 31.00 31.00 31.00 31.00 31.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00Honduras 30.00 25.00 35.00 35.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00Panamá 30.00 27.50 25.00 25.00 27.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 5.00 7.00 7.00 7.00Paraguay 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 …… …… …… …… 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00Perú 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 19.00 19.00 18.00 18.00Venezuela 34.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 34.00 9.00 12.00 12.00 12.00China 25.00 25.00 25.00 25.00 45.00 45.00 45.00 45.00 17.00 17.00 17.00 17.00India 33.99 33.99 32.44 32.44 30.00 30.00 30.00 30.00 12.50 12.50 12.50 12.50
Promedio:
África 28.65 28.65 28.45 29.22 26.64 26.82 26.82 26.82 14.09 13.91 14.17 14.17Norte América 36.50 35.50 34.00 33.00 32.00 32.00 32.00 28.65 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00Asia 25.73 23.96 23.10 23.12 28.29 28.29 27.83 34.76 11.70 11.64 11.84 12.20Europa 21.70 21.52 20.88 20.60 34.22 34.73 34.49 34.76 18.88 19.67 19.71 19.86América Latina 27.96 27.52 29.02 28.30 31.30 31.96 31.30 31.30 14.08 14.37 12.78 12.83Oceanía 29.20 29.00 28.60 28.60 39.00 38.38 37.75 37.75 11.25 11.25 12.92 12.92Países OECD 25.73 25.79 25.50 25.37 39.93 40.46 40.08 40.58 17.57 18.21 18.53 18.66Global 25.35 24.66 24.47 24.47 31.45 31.75 31.40 31.76 15.39 15.70 15.33 15.42
Fuente: KPMG International.M-18
M-11. Reforma Social y Hacendaria 2014
Proyecto del Ejecutivo2014
%PIB MMP %PIB MMP
ISR Empresarial 0.7 131.0ISR Personal 0.3 58.6IVA 0.3 54.0IEPS no petrolero 0.2 33.8IEPS gasolinas 0.4 61.7Derechos 0.1 15.1Desaparición IETU -0.7 -114.5Total 1.4 239.7 1.1 186.0
IEPS Impuesto Especial sobre Productos y Servicios Impuesto
1.- Alimentos y bebidas con alto contenido calórico (275 kilocalorías por cada 100 gramos) 8.0%2.- Bebidas azucaradas 1 peso por cada litro vendido
IVA Impuesto al Valor Agregado Impuesto
1.- Transporte público terrestre foráneo de personas 16.0% IVA2.- Goma de mascar 16.0% IVA3.- Venta de mascotas 16.0% IVA4.- Alimento para mascotas 16.0% IVA5.- Importaciones temporales de bienes para maquila Ahora causan IVA
Derechos sobre Minería Impuesto
1.- Ganancias por el aprovechamiento de los recursos naturales 7.50%
Impuestos a Dividendos Impuesto
1.- Los accionistas que reciban dividendos 10.0% de ISR
Se crea el Régimen Opcional de Grupos de Sociedades
1.- Los conglomerados ya no podrán compensar las ganancias de algunas de sus empresas con las pérdidas de otras, y librarse de pagar el ISR por cinco años. Ahora sólo podrán hacerlo por tres años.
Reducción de Deducciones
1.- Ahora sólo se admitirá que se reduzca hasta 47% de las prestaciones (previsión social, cajas y fondos de ahorro, horas extras, reparto de utilidades), o hasta 53% siempre que las prestaciones no se reduzcan.
M-19
Nuevos Impuestos 2014
Efectos Recaudatorios de la Reforma Social y Hacendaria para 2014Propuesta del Poder Ejecutivo y Ley Aprobada por el Congreso de la Unión
Decreto Congreso de la Unión2014
N. Economía de los Estado unidos de América
Cuadro N-1.PIB Real y Producto por Habitante 1980-2020
Cuadro N-2.Población Ocupada, Tasa de Desempleo y Productividad Laboral 1980-2020
Cuadro N-3.Oferta y Demanda Agregada Anual 1980-2020
Cuadro N-4.Oferta y Demanda Agregada Trimestral 2013-2014
Cuadro N-5.Balanza de Pagos Anual y Trimestral de los EUA 1980-2020
Cuadro N-6.Índice de Precios al Consumidor en EUA 1980-2020
Cuadro N-7.Tasas de Interés Nominales y Reales en EUA 1980-2020
Cuadro N-8.Producción Industrial en EUA 1980-2020
Cuadro N-9.Finanzas Públicas en los EUA 1980-2020
N-1. Producto Interno Bruto y PIB Per Cápita de Estados Unidos: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Miles de Millones de Dólares)
Producto Interno Bruto PIB Per CápitaAños PIB Nominal Deflactor del PIB PIB Real Nominal Real
Dólares Var.% 2009=100 Var.% Dls. 2009 Var.% Dólares Var.% Dls. 2009 Var.%
1980 2,862.5 8.8 44.4 9.0 6,443.4 -0.2 12,455 7.7 28,036 -1.21981 3,210.9 12.2 48.6 9.3 6,610.6 2.6 13,838 11.1 28,490 1.61982 3,345.0 4.2 51.6 6.2 6,484.3 -1.9 14,279 3.2 27,680 -2.81983 3,638.1 8.8 53.6 3.9 6,784.7 4.6 15,382 7.7 28,687 3.61984 4,040.7 11.1 55.5 3.5 7,277.2 7.3 16,921 10.0 30,475 6.21985 4,346.7 7.6 57.3 3.2 7,585.7 4.2 18,027 6.5 31,460 3.21986 4,590.1 5.6 58.5 2.0 7,852.1 3.5 18,851 4.6 32,247 2.51987 4,870.2 6.1 59.9 2.6 8,123.9 3.5 19,804 5.1 33,035 2.41988 5,252.6 7.9 62.0 3.5 8,465.4 4.2 21,147 6.8 34,082 3.21989 5,657.7 7.7 64.5 3.9 8,777.0 3.7 22,553 6.6 34,988 2.71990 5,979.6 5.7 66.8 3.7 8,945.4 1.9 23,603 4.7 35,310 0.91991 6,174.0 3.3 69.1 3.3 8,938.9 -0.1 24,135 2.3 34,944 -1.01992 6,539.3 5.9 70.6 2.3 9,256.7 3.6 25,319 4.9 35,840 2.61993 6,878.7 5.2 72.3 2.4 9,510.8 2.7 26,375 4.2 36,467 1.71994 7,308.7 6.3 73.9 2.1 9,894.7 4.0 27,740 5.2 37,555 3.01995 7,664.0 4.9 75.4 2.1 10,163.7 2.7 28,777 3.7 38,163 1.61996 8,100.2 5.7 76.8 1.8 10,549.5 3.8 30,068 4.5 39,160 2.61997 8,608.5 6.3 78.1 1.7 11,022.9 4.5 31,574 5.0 40,430 3.21998 9,089.1 5.6 78.9 1.1 11,513.4 4.4 32,933 4.3 41,717 3.21999 9,665.7 6.3 80.1 1.4 12,071.4 4.8 34,607 5.1 43,220 3.62000 10,289.7 6.5 81.9 2.3 12,565.2 4.1 36,424 5.3 44,479 2.92001 10,625.3 3.3 83.8 2.3 12,684.4 0.9 37,211 2.2 44,422 -0.12002 10,980.2 3.3 85.1 1.5 12,909.7 1.8 38,064 2.3 44,753 0.72003 11,512.2 4.8 86.8 2.0 13,270.0 2.8 39,521 3.8 45,556 1.82004 12,277.0 6.6 89.1 2.7 13,774.0 3.8 41,750 5.6 46,840 2.82005 13,095.4 6.7 92.0 3.2 14,235.6 3.4 44,119 5.7 47,960 2.42006 13,857.9 5.8 94.8 3.1 14,615.2 2.7 46,260 4.9 48,788 1.72007 14,480.3 4.5 97.3 2.7 14,876.8 1.8 47,903 3.6 49,215 0.92008 14,720.3 1.7 99.2 2.0 14,833.6 -0.3 48,265 0.8 48,636 -1.22009 14,417.9 -2.1 100.0 0.8 14,417.9 -2.8 46,859 -2.9 46,859 -3.72010 14,958.3 3.7 101.2 1.2 14,779.4 2.5 48,193 2.8 47,617 1.62011 15,533.8 3.8 103.2 2.0 15,052.4 1.8 49,615 3.0 48,078 1.02012 16,244.6 4.6 105.0 1.7 15,470.7 2.8 51,441 3.7 48,990 1.92013 16,799.7 3.4 106.6 1.5 15,761.3 1.9 52,747 2.5 49,486 1.0
2014 17,426.0 3.7 108.2 1.5 16,102.5 2.2 54,253 2.9 50,133 1.32015 18,234.6 4.6 110.0 1.7 16,570.0 2.9 56,300 3.8 51,160 2.02016 19,174.7 5.2 112.1 1.9 17,102.5 3.2 58,717 4.3 52,372 2.42017 20,307.6 5.9 114.6 2.2 17,725.1 3.6 61,684 5.1 53,840 2.82018 21,447.2 5.6 117.1 2.2 18,317.1 3.3 64,626 4.8 55,194 2.52019 22,475.7 4.8 119.4 2.0 18,822.3 2.8 67,193 4.0 56,271 2.02020 23,501.0 4.6 121.7 1.9 19,317.5 2.6 69,715 3.8 57,305 1.8
N-1
N-2. Población Total, Ocupación y Tasa de Desempleo en Estados Unidos: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Miles de personas)
Población Fuerza de Trabajo Empleo No Agrícola EmpleoAños Total Total Ocupada Nuevos Sin Empleo Tasa de Total Minería Construcción Manufacturas Servicios Agrícola
Personas Var.% Personas Personas Var.% Empleos Personas Desempleo Var.% Anual Var.% Anual Var.% Anual Var.% Anual Var.% Anual Var.% Anual
1980 229,825 1.0 106,940 99,303 0.5 479 7,637 7.1 0.7 6.8 -2.4 -3.6 2.1 -1.41981 232,035 1.0 108,670 100,397 1.1 1,094 8,273 7.6 0.8 9.6 -3.4 -0.5 1.4 3.81982 234,261 1.0 110,204 99,526 -0.9 -871 10,678 9.7 -1.8 -1.4 -6.5 -6.8 -0.1 8.11983 236,511 1.0 111,550 100,834 1.3 1,308 10,717 9.6 0.7 -14.3 1.0 -1.8 1.6 7.11984 238,794 1.0 113,544 105,005 4.1 4,171 8,539 7.5 4.7 1.7 10.7 5.1 4.3 -0.81985 241,120 1.0 115,461 107,150 2.0 2,145 8,312 7.2 3.2 -3.9 6.5 -0.6 4.0 -8.01986 243,496 1.0 117,834 109,597 2.3 2,447 8,237 7.0 2.0 -14.9 3.0 -1.5 3.0 5.01987 245,921 1.0 119,865 112,440 2.6 2,843 7,425 6.2 2.6 -7.0 3.1 0.3 3.2 2.21988 248,382 1.0 121,669 114,968 2.2 2,528 6,701 5.5 3.2 -0.1 2.8 1.7 3.6 -7.11989 250,858 1.0 123,869 117,342 2.1 2,374 6,528 5.3 2.5 -2.6 1.5 0.4 3.1 -3.11990 253,339 1.0 125,840 118,793 1.2 1,451 7,047 5.6 1.4 2.0 -0.9 -1.6 2.1 -0.31991 255,807 1.0 126,346 117,718 -0.9 -1,075 8,628 6.8 -1.0 -3.4 -9.2 -3.5 0.0 0.31992 258,276 1.0 128,105 118,492 0.7 774 9,613 7.5 0.3 -6.8 -3.6 -1.6 1.0 4.31993 260,803 1.0 129,200 120,259 1.5 1,767 8,940 6.9 2.0 -3.3 3.7 -0.1 2.3 -3.81994 263,469 1.0 131,056 123,060 2.3 2,801 7,996 6.1 3.1 -1.1 6.6 1.5 3.3 -7.11995 266,324 1.1 132,304 124,900 1.5 1,840 7,404 5.6 2.6 -2.7 3.5 1.3 2.9 -13.51996 269,394 1.2 133,943 126,708 1.4 1,808 7,236 5.4 2.1 -0.6 5.0 0.0 2.3 -8.31997 272,643 1.2 136,297 129,558 2.2 2,850 6,739 4.9 2.6 2.7 5.0 1.1 2.7 -3.81998 275,986 1.2 137,673 131,463 1.5 1,905 6,210 4.5 2.6 -1.4 5.8 0.8 2.8 -19.71999 279,300 1.2 139,368 133,488 1.5 2,025 5,880 4.2 2.4 -7.3 6.4 -1.4 2.9 -19.92000 282,496 1.1 142,583 136,891 2.5 3,403 5,692 4.0 2.2 0.2 3.7 -0.3 2.5 14.72001 285,545 1.1 143,734 136,933 0.0 42 6,801 4.7 0.0 1.2 0.6 -4.8 0.8 -0.22002 288,467 1.0 144,863 136,485 -0.3 -448 8,378 5.8 -1.1 -3.8 -1.6 -7.2 -0.1 20.52003 291,291 1.0 146,510 137,736 0.9 1,251 8,774 6.0 -0.2 -1.9 0.3 -4.9 0.4 26.72004 294,063 1.0 147,401 139,252 1.1 1,516 8,149 5.5 1.1 3.3 3.6 -1.3 1.3 1.12005 296,820 0.9 149,320 141,730 1.8 2,478 7,591 5.1 1.7 6.3 5.2 -0.6 1.8 3.02006 299,564 0.9 151,428 144,427 1.9 2,697 7,001 4.6 1.8 8.9 4.8 -0.5 1.8 3.92007 302,285 0.9 153,124 146,047 1.1 1,620 7,078 4.6 1.1 5.8 -0.8 -1.9 1.6 1.02008 304,989 0.9 154,287 145,362 -0.5 -685 8,924 5.8 -0.6 5.9 -6.1 -3.4 0.1 1.02009 307,687 0.9 154,142 139,877 -3.8 -5,485 14,265 9.3 -4.3 -9.5 -16.0 -11.6 -2.7 5.52010 310,384 0.9 153,889 139,064 -0.6 -813 14,825 9.6 -0.7 1.6 -8.3 -2.7 -0.1 1.72011 313,085 0.9 153,617 139,869 0.6 805 13,747 8.9 1.2 11.8 0.3 1.7 1.1 -8.72012 315,791 0.9 154,975 142,469 1.9 2,600 12,506 8.1 1.7 7.6 2.0 1.7 1.7 4.22013 318,498 0.9 155,389 143,929 1.0 1,460 11,460 7.4 1.7 2.4 3.2 0.7 1.7 -9.6
2014 321,197 0.8 156,363 146,573 1.8 2,644 9,790 6.3 1.9 5.0 3.7 1.2 1.8 1.22015 323,885 0.8 158,714 149,366 1.9 2,793 9,348 5.9 1.9 1.6 3.9 0.6 2.0 1.32016 326,560 0.8 161,493 152,456 2.1 3,091 9,037 5.6 2.1 2.2 4.1 0.2 2.1 2.22017 329,222 0.8 164,570 155,746 2.2 3,290 8,823 5.4 2.3 3.3 6.2 -0.3 2.4 -1.32018 331,868 0.8 167,157 158,520 1.8 2,774 8,637 5.2 1.8 2.2 4.3 -0.4 1.8 2.12019 334,496 0.8 169,427 160,768 1.4 2,248 8,659 5.1 1.7 1.8 4.0 -0.5 1.7 -3.22020 337,102 0.8 171,471 162,892 1.3 2,124 8,578 5.0 1.3 1.3 3.2 -0.8 1.4 1.2
N-2
N-3. Oferta y Demanda Anual de Estados Unidos: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Miles de Millones de Dólares a Precios de 2009)
Oferta Global Demanda GlobalProducto Importación de TOTAL Consumo Consumo e Inversión
Interno Bruto Bienes y Servicios Privado del GobiernoDólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.%
1980 6,443.4 -0.2 370.3 -6.6 6,813.7 -0.6 3,991.6 -0.3 1,612.5 1.91981 6,610.6 2.6 380.0 2.6 6,990.6 2.6 4,050.8 1.5 1,628.0 1.01982 6,484.3 -1.9 375.2 -1.3 6,859.5 -1.9 4,108.4 1.4 1,658.0 1.81983 6,784.7 4.6 422.6 12.6 7,207.3 5.1 4,342.6 5.7 1,721.6 3.81984 7,277.2 7.3 525.4 24.3 7,802.6 8.3 4,571.6 5.3 1,783.2 3.61985 7,585.7 4.2 559.5 6.5 8,145.2 4.4 4,812.0 5.3 1,904.0 6.81986 7,852.1 3.5 607.3 8.5 8,459.4 3.9 5,014.1 4.2 2,007.7 5.41987 8,123.9 3.5 643.3 5.9 8,767.2 3.6 5,183.7 3.4 2,066.9 2.91988 8,465.4 4.2 668.6 3.9 9,134.0 4.2 5,400.5 4.2 2,094.8 1.31989 8,777.0 3.7 698.0 4.4 9,475.0 3.7 5,558.2 2.9 2,155.1 2.91990 8,945.4 1.9 723.0 3.6 9,668.4 2.0 5,672.7 2.1 2,224.3 3.21991 8,938.9 -0.1 721.9 -0.2 9,660.8 -0.1 5,685.7 0.2 2,250.9 1.21992 9,256.7 3.6 772.5 7.0 10,029.2 3.8 5,896.6 3.7 2,262.1 0.51993 9,510.8 2.7 839.3 8.6 10,350.1 3.2 6,101.5 3.5 2,243.3 -0.81994 9,894.7 4.0 939.5 11.9 10,834.2 4.7 6,338.1 3.9 2,245.5 0.11995 10,163.7 2.7 1,014.6 8.0 11,178.3 3.2 6,527.7 3.0 2,257.5 0.51996 10,549.5 3.8 1,102.9 8.7 11,652.4 4.2 6,755.7 3.5 2,279.2 1.01997 11,022.9 4.5 1,251.4 13.5 12,274.3 5.3 7,010.0 3.8 2,322.0 1.91998 11,513.4 4.4 1,397.7 11.7 12,911.1 5.2 7,384.8 5.3 2,370.5 2.11999 12,071.4 4.8 1,556.4 11.4 13,627.8 5.6 7,788.1 5.5 2,451.7 3.42000 12,565.2 4.1 1,755.1 12.8 14,320.3 5.1 8,182.1 5.1 2,498.2 1.92001 12,684.4 0.9 1,704.7 -2.9 14,389.1 0.5 8,387.5 2.5 2,592.4 3.82002 12,909.7 1.8 1,763.0 3.4 14,672.7 2.0 8,600.4 2.5 2,705.8 4.42003 13,270.0 2.8 1,838.8 4.3 15,108.8 3.0 8,866.2 3.1 2,764.3 2.22004 13,774.0 3.8 2,041.2 11.0 15,815.2 4.7 9,205.6 3.8 2,808.2 1.62005 14,235.6 3.4 2,165.5 6.1 16,401.1 3.7 9,527.8 3.5 2,826.2 0.62006 14,615.2 2.7 2,298.6 6.1 16,913.8 3.1 9,814.9 3.0 2,869.3 1.52007 14,876.8 1.8 2,350.9 2.3 17,227.7 1.9 10,035.5 2.2 2,914.4 1.62008 14,833.6 -0.3 2,288.7 -2.6 17,122.3 -0.6 9,999.2 -0.4 2,994.8 2.82009 14,417.9 -2.8 1,976.0 -13.7 16,393.9 -4.3 9,842.9 -1.6 3,089.1 3.12010 14,779.4 2.5 2,228.1 12.8 17,007.5 3.7 10,035.9 2.0 3,091.4 0.12011 15,052.4 1.8 2,336.4 4.9 17,388.8 2.2 10,291.3 2.5 2,992.3 -3.22012 15,470.7 2.8 2,388.2 2.2 17,858.9 2.7 10,517.6 2.2 2,963.1 -1.02013 15,761.3 1.9 2,422.3 1.4 18,183.6 1.8 10,727.9 2.0 2,897.0 -2.2
2014 16,102.5 2.2 2,546.8 5.1 18,649.2 2.6 11,010.9 2.6 2,865.1 -1.12015 16,570.0 2.9 2,743.6 7.7 19,313.7 3.6 11,325.8 2.9 2,843.9 -0.72016 17,102.5 3.2 3,007.4 9.6 20,109.9 4.1 11,667.3 3.0 2,828.5 -0.52017 17,725.1 3.6 3,352.9 11.5 21,078.1 4.8 12,043.7 3.2 2,818.9 -0.32018 18,317.1 3.3 3,710.1 10.7 22,027.2 4.5 12,392.0 2.9 2,820.6 0.12019 18,822.3 2.8 4,041.1 8.9 22,863.4 3.8 12,712.5 2.6 2,825.1 0.22020 19,317.5 2.6 4,329.4 7.1 23,646.9 3.4 12,998.1 2.2 2,832.5 0.3
Continúa
N-3
Años!
(Continuación)
Demanda GlobalFormación Bruta de Capital Fijo Exportación de
Total Residencial No Residencial Variación Bienes y ServiciosDólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Existencias Dólares Var.%
1980 881.2 -10.1 333.1 -20.9 585.0 0.0 -36.9 280.8 22.01981 958.7 8.8 305.7 -8.2 620.9 6.1 32.2 305.2 8.71982 833.7 -13.0 250.3 -18.1 598.6 -3.6 -15.2 283.2 -7.21983 911.5 9.3 355.4 42.0 596.0 -0.4 -39.9 277.0 -2.21984 1,160.3 27.3 407.8 14.8 695.3 16.7 57.1 302.4 9.21985 1,159.5 -0.1 417.2 2.3 741.2 6.6 1.1 303.2 0.31986 1,161.3 0.2 468.9 12.4 728.4 -1.7 -36.0 321.0 5.91987 1,194.4 2.9 478.2 2.0 729.1 0.1 -12.8 363.9 13.41988 1,223.8 2.5 473.9 -0.9 765.5 5.0 -15.7 444.6 22.21989 1,273.4 4.1 458.6 -3.2 808.9 5.7 5.9 504.3 13.41990 1,240.6 -2.6 419.7 -8.5 817.6 1.1 3.4 551.9 9.41991 1,158.8 -6.6 382.3 -8.9 785.5 -3.9 -9.0 594.9 7.81992 1,243.7 7.3 435.0 13.8 808.4 2.9 0.3 633.0 6.41993 1,343.1 8.0 470.5 8.2 869.0 7.5 3.6 654.8 3.41994 1,502.3 11.9 512.8 9.0 937.6 7.9 51.9 720.9 10.11995 1,550.8 3.2 495.4 -3.4 1,028.5 9.7 26.9 812.8 12.71996 1,686.7 8.8 535.9 8.2 1,122.1 9.1 28.8 867.6 6.71997 1,879.0 11.4 548.9 2.4 1,242.9 10.8 87.3 953.8 9.91998 2,058.3 9.5 596.3 8.6 1,376.5 10.8 85.5 952.9 -0.11999 2,231.4 8.4 633.8 6.3 1,510.1 9.7 75.5 989.2 3.82000 2,375.5 6.5 637.9 0.6 1,647.7 9.1 66.2 1,094.3 10.62001 2,231.4 -6.1 643.7 0.9 1,608.4 -2.4 -46.2 1,028.8 -6.02002 2,218.2 -0.6 682.7 6.1 1,498.0 -6.9 22.5 1,004.7 -2.32003 2,308.7 4.1 744.5 9.1 1,526.1 1.9 22.6 1,043.4 3.92004 2,511.3 8.8 818.9 10.0 1,605.4 5.2 71.4 1,183.1 13.42005 2,672.6 6.4 872.6 6.6 1,717.4 7.0 64.3 1,310.4 10.82006 2,730.0 2.1 806.6 -7.6 1,839.6 7.1 71.6 1,478.5 12.82007 2,644.1 -3.1 654.8 -18.8 1,948.4 5.9 35.5 1,665.7 12.72008 2,396.0 -9.4 497.7 -24.0 1,934.4 -0.7 -33.7 1,843.1 10.72009 1,878.1 -21.6 392.2 -21.2 1,633.4 -15.6 -147.6 1,583.8 -14.12010 2,120.4 12.9 382.4 -2.5 1,673.8 2.5 58.2 1,843.5 16.42011 2,224.6 4.9 384.3 0.5 1,800.5 7.6 33.6 2,101.2 14.02012 2,436.0 9.5 433.7 12.9 1,931.8 7.3 57.6 2,195.9 4.52013 2,566.4 5.4 486.6 12.2 1,984.4 2.7 81.6 2,010.1 -8.5
2014 2,702.6 5.3 503.3 3.4 2,064.8 4.1 116.8 2,108.9 4.92015 2,895.9 7.2 555.1 10.3 2,203.2 6.7 121.0 2,260.9 7.22016 3,165.7 9.3 606.2 9.2 2,414.7 9.6 126.6 2,468.9 9.22017 3,510.1 10.9 656.5 8.3 2,699.6 11.8 138.3 2,736.2 10.82018 3,838.1 9.3 706.4 7.6 2,977.7 10.3 137.4 3,003.1 9.82019 4,118.3 7.3 749.5 6.1 3,218.9 8.1 131.8 3,250.3 8.22020 4,382.9 6.4 784.7 4.7 3,450.6 7.2 127.5 3,476.5 7.0
(Continúa)
N-4
Años!
(Continuación)
Estructura Porcentual del Producto Interno BrutoAños PIB Consumo Gasto Inversión Bruta Fija Privada Variación de Balanza de Bienes y Servicios Ajuste
Real Privado Gobierno Total Residencial Otras Existencias Saldo Exportación Importación Residual
1980 100.0 61.9 25.0 13.7 5.2 9.1 -0.6 -1.4 4.4 5.7 0.71981 100.0 61.3 24.6 14.5 4.6 9.4 0.5 -1.1 4.6 5.7 0.71982 100.0 63.4 25.6 12.9 3.9 9.2 -0.2 -1.4 4.4 5.8 -0.41983 100.0 64.0 25.4 13.4 5.2 8.8 -0.6 -2.1 4.1 6.2 -0.71984 100.0 62.8 24.5 15.9 5.6 9.6 0.8 -3.1 4.2 7.2 -0.21985 100.0 63.4 25.1 15.3 5.5 9.8 0.0 -3.4 4.0 7.4 -0.41986 100.0 63.9 25.6 14.8 6.0 9.3 -0.5 -3.6 4.1 7.7 -0.61987 100.0 63.8 25.4 14.7 5.9 9.0 -0.2 -3.4 4.5 7.9 -0.51988 100.0 63.8 24.7 14.5 5.6 9.0 -0.2 -2.6 5.3 7.9 -0.41989 100.0 63.3 24.6 14.5 5.2 9.2 0.1 -2.2 5.7 8.0 -0.21990 100.0 63.4 24.9 13.9 4.7 9.1 0.0 -1.9 6.2 8.1 -0.21991 100.0 63.6 25.2 13.0 4.3 8.8 -0.1 -1.4 6.7 8.1 -0.31992 100.0 63.7 24.4 13.4 4.7 8.7 0.0 -1.5 6.8 8.3 -0.11993 100.0 64.2 23.6 14.1 4.9 9.1 0.0 -1.9 6.9 8.8 0.11994 100.0 64.1 22.7 15.2 5.2 9.5 0.5 -2.2 7.3 9.5 0.31995 100.0 64.2 22.2 15.3 4.9 10.1 0.3 -2.0 8.0 10.0 0.31996 100.0 64.0 21.6 16.0 5.1 10.6 0.3 -2.2 8.2 10.5 0.61997 100.0 63.6 21.1 17.0 5.0 11.3 0.8 -2.7 8.7 11.4 1.01998 100.0 64.1 20.6 17.9 5.2 12.0 0.7 -3.9 8.3 12.1 1.31999 100.0 64.5 20.3 18.5 5.3 12.5 0.6 -4.7 8.2 12.9 1.42000 100.0 65.1 19.9 18.9 5.1 13.1 0.5 -5.3 8.7 14.0 1.42001 100.0 66.1 20.4 17.6 5.1 12.7 -0.4 -5.3 8.1 13.4 1.22002 100.0 66.6 21.0 17.2 5.3 11.6 0.2 -5.9 7.8 13.7 1.12003 100.0 66.8 20.8 17.4 5.6 11.5 0.2 -6.0 7.9 13.9 1.02004 100.0 66.8 20.4 18.2 5.9 11.7 0.5 -6.2 8.6 14.8 0.82005 100.0 66.9 19.9 18.8 6.1 12.1 0.5 -6.0 9.2 15.2 0.52006 100.0 67.2 19.6 18.7 5.5 12.6 0.5 -5.6 10.1 15.7 0.12007 100.0 67.5 19.6 17.8 4.4 13.1 0.2 -4.6 11.2 15.8 -0.22008 100.0 67.4 20.2 16.2 3.4 13.0 -0.2 -3.0 12.4 15.4 -0.72009 100.0 68.3 21.4 13.0 2.7 11.3 -1.0 -2.7 11.0 13.7 0.02010 100.0 67.9 20.9 14.3 2.6 11.3 0.4 -2.6 12.5 15.1 -0.62011 100.0 68.4 19.9 14.8 2.6 12.0 0.2 -1.6 14.0 15.5 -1.52012 100.0 68.0 19.2 15.7 2.8 12.5 0.4 -1.2 14.2 15.4 -1.62013 100.0 68.1 18.4 16.3 3.1 12.6 0.5 -2.6 12.8 15.4 -0.1
2014 100.0 68.4 17.8 16.8 3.1 12.8 0.7 -2.7 13.1 15.8 -0.22015 100.0 68.4 17.2 17.5 3.4 13.3 0.7 -2.9 13.6 16.6 -0.12016 100.0 68.2 16.5 18.5 3.5 14.1 0.7 -3.1 14.4 17.6 -0.12017 100.0 67.9 15.9 19.8 3.7 15.2 0.8 -3.5 15.4 18.9 -0.22018 100.0 67.7 15.4 21.0 3.9 16.3 0.8 -3.9 16.4 20.3 -0.12019 100.0 67.5 15.0 21.9 4.0 17.1 0.7 -4.2 17.3 21.5 -0.22020 100.0 67.3 14.7 22.7 4.1 17.9 0.7 -4.4 18.0 22.4 -0.2
(Continuación)
N-5
N-4. Oferta y Demanda Trimestral de Estados Unidos: Escenario Base 2014(Miles de millones de dólares a precios de 2009 y variación % trimestral anualizada)
Oferta Global Demanda GlobalProducto Importación de TOTAL Consumo Consumo e Inversión
Interno Bruto Bienes y Servicios Privado del Gobierno
Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.%
2011 15,052.4 1.8 2,336.4 4.9 17,388.8 2.2 10,291.3 2.5 2,992.3 -3.2
I 14,894.0 -1.3 2,311.3 2.8 17,205.3 -0.7 10,221.3 2.1 3,012.0 -7.5II 15,011.3 3.2 2,315.2 0.7 17,326.5 2.8 10,258.9 1.5 3,002.4 -1.3III 15,062.1 1.4 2,342.8 4.9 17,404.9 1.8 10,311.9 2.1 2,983.2 -2.5IV 15,242.1 4.9 2,376.4 5.9 17,618.5 4.9 10,373.1 2.4 2,971.7 -1.5
2012 15,470.7 2.8 2,388.2 2.2 17,858.9 2.7 10,517.6 2.2 2,963.1 -1.0
I 15,381.6 3.7 2,380.6 0.7 17,762.2 3.3 10,447.8 2.9 2,961.3 -1.4II 15,427.7 1.2 2,395.1 2.5 17,822.8 1.4 10,496.8 1.9 2,963.5 0.3III 15,534.0 2.8 2,398.0 0.5 17,932.0 2.5 10,541.0 1.7 2,988.8 3.5IV 15,539.6 0.1 2,379.1 -3.1 17,918.7 -0.3 10,584.8 1.7 2,938.8 -6.5
2013 15,761.3 1.9 2,422.3 1.4 18,183.6 1.8 10,727.9 2.0 2,897.0 -2.2
I 15,583.9 1.1 2,382.7 0.6 17,966.6 1.1 10,644.0 2.3 2,907.4 -4.2II 15,679.7 2.5 2,422.9 6.9 18,102.6 3.0 10,691.9 1.8 2,904.5 -0.4
III 15,839.3 4.1 2,437.3 2.4 18,276.6 3.8 10,744.2 2.0 2,907.4 0.4IV 15,942.3 2.6 2,446.4 1.5 18,388.7 2.5 10,831.5 3.3 2,868.5 -5.2
2014 16,102.5 2.2 2,546.8 5.1 18,649.2 2.6 11,010.9 2.6 2,865.1 -1.1
I 15,824.2 -2.9 2,457.4 1.8 18,281.6 -2.3 10,859.2 1.0 2,863.0 -0.8II e/ 15,986.3 4.1 643.3 15.2 18,537.2 5.6 10,915.1 2.1 2,867.3 0.6III e/ 16,215.4 5.7 645.5 3.9 18,791.1 5.5 11,054.8 5.1 2,873.2 0.8IV e/ 16,383.9 4.2 654.8 4.4 18,987.8 4.2 11,183.5 4.7 2,846.7 -3.7
Fuente: Cuadro elaborado por CAMACRO con datos del Departament of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM. (Continúa)
N-6
Años!
N-7
(Continuación)
Demanda GlobalFormación Bruta de Capital Fijo Exportación de
Total Residencial No Residencial Variación Bienes y Servicios
Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Dólares Var.% Existencias Dólares Var.%
2011 2,224.6 4.9 384.3 0.5 1,800.5 7.6 33.6 2,101.2 14.0
I 2,124.3 -7.5 376.7 1.7 1,724.1 -0.9 22.0 1,854.7 3.8II 2,196.1 14.2 379.2 2.7 1,765.3 9.9 42.9 1,876.9 4.9III 2,209.9 2.5 384.9 6.1 1,835.0 16.7 -11.0 1,908.9 7.0IV 2,368.2 31.9 396.2 12.2 1,877.3 9.5 80.6 1,921.7 2.7
2012 2,436.0 9.5 433.7 12.9 1,931.8 7.3 57.6 2,195.9 4.5
I 2,427.8 10.5 417.2 23.0 1,903.8 5.8 89.2 1,941.4 4.2II 2,418.0 -1.6 423.0 5.7 1,925.0 4.5 56.8 1,959.8 3.8III 2,456.5 6.5 437.3 14.1 1,926.4 0.3 77.2 1,961.6 0.4IV 2,441.8 -2.4 457.5 19.8 1,971.9 9.8 7.3 1,967.0 1.1
2013 2,566.4 5.4 486.6 12.2 1,984.4 2.7 81.6 2,010.1 -8.5
I 2,470.1 4.7 471.2 12.5 1,949.0 -4.6 42.2 1,960.5 -1.3II 2,524.9 9.2 487.1 14.2 1,971.3 4.7 56.6 1,998.4 8.0
III 2,627.2 17.2 499.2 10.3 1,994.7 4.8 115.7 2,017.6 3.9IV 2,643.3 2.5 489.0 -7.9 2,022.5 5.7 111.7 2,063.7 9.5
2014 2,702.6 5.3 503.3 3.4 2,064.8 4.1 116.8 2,108.9 4.9
I 2,562.1 -11.7 483.8 -4.2 2,016.6 -1.2 45.9 2,016.3 -8.9II e/ 2,684.8 19.2 494.9 9.2 2,050.9 6.8 124.7 2,099.2 16.4III e/ 2,753.5 10.2 512.7 14.4 2,078.4 5.4 144.7 2,138.2 7.4IV e/ 2,806.2 7.6 521.8 7.1 2,113.4 6.7 151.8 2,182.1 8.2
Fuente: Cuadro elaborado por CAMACRO con datos del Departament of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Años!
N-5. Balanza de Pagos de los Estados Unidos: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Millones de dólares)
Bienes Servicios Ingresos, BalanzaAños Exportaciones Importaciones Saldo Exportaciones Importaciones Saldo Pagos y Cuenta Corriente
Mills. Dls. Var.% Mills. Dls. Var.% Bienes Mills. Dls. Var.% Mills. Dls. Var.% Servicios Transferencias Mills. Dls. %PIB
1980 224,250 21.6 -249,750 17.8 -25,500 47,584 19.9 -41,491 13.1 6,093 21,725 2,317 0.11981 237,044 5.7 -265,067 6.1 -28,023 57,354 20.5 -45,503 9.7 11,851 21,201 5,030 0.21982 211,157 -10.9 -247,642 -6.6 -36,485 64,079 11.7 -51,749 13.7 12,330 18,620 -5,536 -0.21983 201,799 -4.4 -268,901 8.6 -67,102 64,307 0.4 -54,973 6.2 9,334 19,076 -38,691 -1.11984 219,926 9.0 -332,418 23.6 -112,492 71,168 10.7 -67,748 23.2 3,420 14,728 -94,344 -2.31985 215,915 -1.8 -338,088 1.7 -122,173 73,155 2.8 -72,862 7.5 293 3,725 -118,155 -2.71986 223,344 3.4 -368,425 9.0 -145,081 86,689 18.5 -80,147 10.0 6,542 -8,639 -147,177 -3.21987 250,208 12.0 -409,765 11.2 -159,557 98,661 13.8 -90,787 13.3 7,874 -8,972 -160,655 -3.31988 320,230 28.0 -447,189 9.1 -126,959 110,919 12.4 -98,526 8.5 12,393 -6,587 -121,153 -2.31989 359,916 12.4 -477,665 6.8 -117,749 127,087 14.6 -102,479 4.0 24,608 -6,345 -99,486 -1.81990 387,401 7.6 -498,438 4.3 -111,037 147,832 16.3 -117,659 14.8 30,173 1,896 -78,968 -1.31991 414,083 6.9 -491,020 -1.5 -76,937 164,261 11.1 -118,459 0.7 45,802 34,034 2,898 0.01992 439,631 6.2 -536,528 9.3 -96,897 177,252 7.9 -119,566 0.9 57,686 -12,401 -51,613 -0.81993 456,943 3.9 -589,394 9.9 -132,451 185,920 4.9 -123,779 3.5 62,141 -14,496 -84,806 -1.21994 502,859 10.0 -668,690 13.5 -165,831 200,395 7.8 -133,057 7.5 67,338 -23,119 -121,612 -1.71995 575,204 14.4 -749,374 12.1 -174,170 219,183 9.4 -141,397 6.3 77,786 -17,183 -113,567 -1.51996 612,113 6.4 -803,113 7.2 -191,000 239,489 9.3 -152,554 7.9 86,935 -20,699 -124,764 -1.51997 678,366 10.8 -876,794 9.2 -198,428 256,087 6.9 -165,932 8.8 90,155 -32,453 -140,726 -1.61998 670,416 -1.2 -918,637 4.8 -248,221 262,758 2.6 -180,677 8.9 82,081 -48,922 -215,062 -2.41999 698,218 4.1 -1,035,592 12.7 -337,374 269,079 2.4 -190,323 5.3 78,756 -36,914 -295,531 -3.12000 784,781 12.4 -1,231,722 18.9 -446,941 287,474 6.8 -213,049 11.9 74,425 -38,240 -410,756 -4.02001 731,189 -6.8 -1,153,701 -6.3 -422,512 271,348 -5.6 -210,347 -1.3 61,001 -33,817 -395,328 -3.72002 697,439 -4.6 -1,173,281 1.7 -475,842 277,169 2.1 -220,281 4.7 56,888 -39,132 -458,087 -4.22003 729,816 4.6 -1,272,089 8.4 -542,273 287,650 3.8 -239,267 8.6 48,383 -27,452 -521,341 -4.52004 821,986 12.6 -1,488,349 17.0 -666,363 335,975 16.8 -279,494 16.8 56,481 -23,885 -633,768 -5.22005 911,686 10.9 -1,695,820 13.9 -784,134 371,411 10.5 -301,523 7.9 69,888 -31,190 -745,436 -5.72006 1,039,406 14.0 -1,878,194 10.8 -838,788 413,442 11.3 -336,370 11.6 77,072 -45,010 -806,726 -5.82007 1,163,605 11.9 -1,986,347 5.8 -822,742 484,631 17.2 -367,263 9.2 117,368 -13,268 -718,644 -5.02008 1,307,329 12.4 -2,141,287 7.8 -833,958 527,199 8.8 -401,969 9.4 125,230 22,085 -686,643 -4.72009 1,069,534 -18.2 -1,580,025 -26.2 -510,491 505,204 -4.2 -378,486 -5.8 126,718 2,982 -380,791 -2.62010 1,289,862 20.6 -1,938,950 22.7 -649,088 559,064 10.7 -404,633 6.9 154,431 50,727 -443,931 -3.02011 1,498,729 16.2 -2,239,886 15.5 -741,157 622,705 11.4 -430,174 6.3 192,531 89,281 -459,346 -3.02012 1,561,123 4.2 -2,303,785 2.9 -742,662 649,871 4.4 -444,815 3.4 205,056 76,856 -460,749 -2.82013 1,592,168 2.0 -2,294,453 -0.4 -702,285 682,248 5.0 -456,355 2.6 225,893 76,138 -400,254 -2.4
2014 1,661,820 4.4 -2,406,247 4.9 -744,427 709,165 3.9 -479,895 5.2 229,269 70,478 -444,680 -2.62015 1,783,797 7.3 -2,571,315 6.9 -787,518 747,034 5.3 -509,841 6.2 237,193 62,097 -488,228 -2.72016 1,959,323 9.8 -2,811,219 9.3 -851,896 796,039 6.6 -547,263 7.3 248,776 62,727 -540,393 -2.82017 2,197,968 12.2 -3,139,007 11.7 -941,039 852,558 7.1 -591,044 8.0 261,514 63,266 -616,258 -3.02018 2,440,624 11.0 -3,472,997 10.6 -1,032,373 905,076 6.2 -630,644 6.7 274,432 70,873 -687,069 -3.22019 2,666,626 9.3 -3,790,429 9.1 -1,123,804 950,873 5.1 -664,699 5.4 286,174 80,903 -756,727 -3.42020 2,868,223 7.6 -4,069,405 7.4 -1,201,182 991,380 4.3 -695,275 4.6 296,105 88,695 -816,383 -3.5
(Continúa)
N-8
N-9
(Continuación)
Bienes Servicios Ingresos, Balanza
Años Exportaciones Importaciones Saldo Exportaciones Importaciones Saldo Pagos y Cuenta Corriente
Mills. Dls. Var.% Mills. Dls. Var.% Bienes Mills. Dls. Var.% Mills. Dls. Var.% Servicios Transferencias Mills. Dls. %PIB
2011 1,498,730 16.2 -2,239,886 15.5 -741,156 622,706 11.4 -430,174 6.3 192,532 89,281 -459,343 -3.0
I 360,040 18.3 -541,686 18.6 -181,646 150,615 13.5 -103,288 5.3 47,327 15,738 -118,581 -3.1II 373,127 18.4 -559,978 16.6 -186,851 155,907 14.5 -107,935 8.3 47,972 18,271 -120,608 -3.1III 382,064 17.5 -565,490 14.5 -183,426 159,371 12.1 -109,906 7.1 49,465 25,983 -107,978 -2.8IV 383,499 11.1 -572,732 12.8 -189,233 156,813 5.9 -109,045 4.6 47,768 29,289 -112,176 -2.8
2012 1,561,124 4.2 -2,303,784 2.9 -742,660 649,871 4.4 -444,815 3.4 205,056 76,854 -460,750 -2.8
I 387,473 7.6 -581,054 7.3 -193,581 158,887 5.5 -109,760 6.3 49,127 20,492 -123,962 -3.1II 391,640 5.0 -580,003 3.6 -188,363 160,997 3.3 -110,670 2.5 50,327 19,161 -118,875 -2.9III 391,835 2.6 -570,941 1.0 -179,106 161,942 1.6 -111,355 1.3 50,587 16,387 -112,132 -2.7IV 390,176 1.7 -571,786 -0.2 -181,610 168,045 7.2 -113,030 3.7 55,015 20,814 -105,781 -2.6
2013 1,592,168 2.0 -2,294,452 -0.4 -702,284 682,247 5.0 -456,356 2.6 225,891 76,138 -400,255 -2.4
I 392,456 1.3 -570,164 -1.9 -177,708 168,690 6.2 -111,930 2.0 56,760 15,461 -105,487 -2.6II 394,819 0.8 -572,071 -1.4 -177,252 169,182 5.1 -113,730 2.8 55,452 15,653 -106,147 -2.5III 397,939 1.6 -576,024 0.9 -178,085 171,271 5.8 -114,382 2.7 56,889 19,892 -101,304 -2.4IV 406,954 4.3 -576,193 0.8 -169,239 173,104 3.0 -116,314 2.9 56,790 25,132 -87,317 -2.0
2014 1,661,820 4.4 -2,406,247 4.9 -744,427 709,165 3.9 -479,895 5.2 229,269 70,478 -444,680 -2.6
I 399,514 1.8 -581,998 2.1 -182,484 172,818 2.4 -117,148 4.7 55,670 15,658 -111,156 -2.6II e/ 411,412 4.2 -601,036 5.1 -189,624 176,249 4.2 -119,682 5.2 56,567 13,960 -119,097 -2.8III e/ 421,120 5.8 -607,479 5.5 -186,359 178,622 4.3 -120,567 5.4 58,055 18,112 -110,191 -2.5IV e/ 429,774 5.6 -615,734 6.9 -185,961 181,476 4.8 -122,499 5.3 58,977 22,748 -104,235 -2.3
e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.(Conclusión)
N-6. Indice de Precios al Consumidor en EUA: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Indice 1982-84=100)
Inflación Inflación sin Precios Precios de la Energía Precios de la Precios de Años General Alimentos y Energía de los Alimentos Energía Gasolina Asistencia Médica los Transportes
Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. %
1980 82.4 13.5 80.8 12.4 86.8 8.6 86.0 30.9 103.1 38.5 74.9 11.0 83.1 17.81981 90.9 10.3 89.2 10.5 93.6 7.8 97.7 13.6 114.2 10.8 82.9 10.8 93.2 12.11982 96.5 6.1 95.9 7.4 97.4 4.1 99.2 1.5 108.1 -5.3 92.6 11.6 97.0 4.11983 99.6 3.2 99.6 3.9 99.4 2.1 99.9 0.8 103.4 -4.4 100.6 8.7 99.3 2.41984 103.9 4.3 104.5 4.9 103.2 3.8 100.9 1.0 101.1 -2.2 106.9 6.2 103.7 4.41985 107.6 3.5 109.1 4.4 105.6 2.3 101.6 0.7 100.9 -0.1 113.5 6.2 106.5 2.61986 109.6 1.9 113.5 4.0 108.9 3.2 88.2 -13.2 78.6 -22.1 122.0 7.5 102.3 -3.91987 113.6 3.7 118.2 4.1 113.5 4.2 88.6 0.4 80.8 2.8 130.1 6.6 105.4 3.01988 118.3 4.1 123.4 4.4 118.2 4.1 89.3 0.8 81.3 0.7 138.6 6.5 108.7 3.11989 124.0 4.8 129.0 4.5 125.1 5.8 94.3 5.7 89.5 10.0 149.3 7.7 114.1 5.01990 130.7 5.4 135.5 5.0 132.4 5.8 102.1 8.2 102.8 14.8 162.8 9.1 120.5 5.61991 136.2 4.2 142.1 4.9 136.3 2.9 102.5 0.4 101.0 -1.7 177.0 8.7 123.8 2.81992 140.3 3.0 147.3 3.7 137.9 1.2 103.0 0.5 100.4 -0.6 190.1 7.4 126.5 2.21993 144.5 3.0 152.2 3.3 140.9 2.2 104.2 1.1 99.0 -1.4 201.4 6.0 130.4 3.01994 148.2 2.6 156.5 2.9 144.3 2.4 104.6 0.5 99.1 0.1 211.0 4.8 134.3 3.01995 152.4 2.8 161.2 3.0 148.4 2.9 105.2 0.6 101.7 2.7 220.5 4.5 139.1 3.61996 156.9 2.9 165.6 2.7 153.3 3.3 110.1 4.6 108.7 6.9 228.2 3.5 143.0 2.81997 160.5 2.3 169.5 2.4 157.3 2.6 111.5 1.3 109.0 0.3 234.6 2.8 144.3 0.91998 163.0 1.6 173.4 2.3 160.7 2.2 102.9 -7.7 94.2 -13.6 242.1 3.2 141.6 -1.91999 166.6 2.2 177.0 2.1 164.1 2.1 106.6 3.6 103.1 9.5 250.6 3.5 144.4 2.02000 172.2 3.4 181.3 2.4 167.8 2.3 124.6 16.9 131.9 28.0 260.8 4.1 153.3 6.22001 177.1 2.8 186.1 2.7 173.1 3.1 129.3 3.8 129.3 -2.0 272.8 4.6 154.3 0.62002 179.9 1.6 190.5 2.3 176.2 1.8 121.7 -5.9 121.6 -5.9 285.6 4.7 152.9 -0.92003 184.0 2.3 193.2 1.5 180.0 2.1 136.5 12.2 138.3 13.7 297.1 4.0 157.6 3.12004 188.9 2.7 196.6 1.8 186.2 3.4 151.4 10.9 162.3 17.4 310.1 4.4 163.1 3.52005 195.3 3.4 200.9 2.2 190.7 2.4 177.1 16.9 197.3 21.6 323.2 4.2 173.9 6.62006 201.6 3.2 205.9 2.5 195.2 2.3 196.9 11.2 222.4 12.7 336.2 4.0 180.9 4.02007 207.3 2.9 210.7 2.3 202.9 4.0 207.7 5.5 240.5 8.2 351.1 4.4 184.7 2.12008 215.3 3.8 215.6 2.3 214.1 5.5 236.7 13.9 280.0 16.4 364.1 3.7 195.5 5.92009 214.5 -0.4 219.2 1.7 218.0 1.8 193.1 -18.4 202.7 -27.6 375.6 3.2 179.3 -8.32010 218.1 1.6 221.3 1.0 219.6 0.8 211.4 9.5 239.4 18.1 388.4 3.4 193.4 7.92011 224.9 3.2 225.0 1.7 227.8 3.7 243.9 15.4 301.7 26.0 400.3 3.0 212.4 9.82012 229.6 2.1 229.8 2.1 233.8 2.6 246.1 0.9 311.5 3.2 414.9 3.7 217.3 2.32013 233.0 1.5 233.8 1.8 237.0 1.4 244.4 -0.7 302.6 -2.9 425.1 2.5 217.4 0.0
2014 237.3 1.9 238.5 2.0 242.5 2.3 245.6 0.5 301.3 -0.4 436.2 2.6 218.2 0.42015 242.0 2.0 243.6 2.1 247.7 2.1 246.4 0.3 299.5 -0.6 449.0 2.9 221.7 1.62016 247.2 2.2 248.9 2.2 253.0 2.2 250.7 1.7 308.1 2.9 463.1 3.1 226.9 2.32017 253.2 2.4 254.5 2.3 259.0 2.4 260.3 3.8 324.1 5.2 478.9 3.4 234.7 3.42018 259.2 2.3 260.2 2.2 264.8 2.2 268.2 3.0 338.7 4.5 496.1 3.6 240.8 2.62019 264.6 2.1 265.5 2.0 270.1 2.0 275.6 2.8 350.5 3.5 513.2 3.4 245.9 2.12020 269.9 2.0 270.6 1.9 275.2 1.9 282.3 2.4 359.8 2.7 529.7 3.2 250.8 2.0
N-10
N-7. Tasas de Interés Nominales y Reales en EUA: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Promedio porcentual anual)
Tasa de Interés Tasa de Fondos Letras del Tesoro Papel Depósitos en LondresAños Preferencial Federales de EE.UU. a 3 meses Comercial a 1 mes Eurodólares a 1 mes Libor a 3 meses
Nominal Real Nominal Real Nominal Real Nominal Real Nominal Real Nominal Real
1980 15.26 3.43 13.35 1.49 11.43 -0.41 12.72 0.86 13.81 1.96 13.96 2.111981 18.87 10.71 16.39 8.04 14.03 5.55 15.71 7.32 16.72 8.40 16.79 8.471982 14.85 11.63 12.24 8.78 10.61 7.05 11.84 8.35 12.78 9.37 12.95 9.551983 10.79 7.27 9.09 5.48 8.61 4.98 8.87 5.25 9.37 5.77 9.50 5.911984 12.04 8.45 10.23 6.52 9.52 5.77 10.07 6.35 10.43 6.73 10.60 6.911985 9.93 6.35 8.10 4.44 7.48 3.80 7.94 4.27 8.12 4.46 8.20 4.541986 8.33 7.48 6.80 5.85 5.98 4.99 6.61 5.65 6.79 5.84 6.90 5.961987 8.21 3.92 6.66 2.33 5.78 1.43 6.74 2.41 6.88 2.55 7.18 2.861988 9.32 5.08 7.57 3.27 6.67 2.35 7.58 3.28 7.69 3.40 7.97 3.691989 10.87 6.48 9.21 4.74 8.11 3.61 9.11 4.64 9.16 4.69 9.28 4.821990 10.01 4.12 8.10 2.17 7.49 1.55 8.15 2.22 8.16 2.22 8.28 2.351991 8.46 5.56 5.69 2.69 5.38 2.37 5.89 2.90 5.82 2.82 5.98 2.991992 6.25 3.43 3.52 0.66 3.43 0.57 3.71 0.85 3.63 0.76 3.83 0.971993 6.00 3.33 3.02 0.31 3.00 0.28 3.17 0.45 3.07 0.35 3.30 0.591994 7.15 4.59 4.21 1.58 4.25 1.61 4.43 1.80 4.34 1.71 4.74 2.121995 8.83 6.49 5.83 3.36 5.49 3.02 5.93 3.46 5.86 3.39 6.04 3.581996 8.27 5.11 5.30 2.05 5.01 1.75 5.43 2.19 5.32 2.07 5.51 2.281997 8.44 6.95 5.46 3.83 5.06 3.42 5.55 3.93 5.52 3.89 5.74 4.121998 8.35 6.95 5.35 3.81 4.78 3.22 5.42 3.88 5.45 3.91 5.56 4.021999 8.00 5.47 4.97 2.34 4.64 2.00 5.11 2.48 5.14 2.51 5.41 2.792000 9.23 6.04 6.24 2.94 5.82 2.50 6.27 2.97 6.32 3.02 6.53 3.232001 6.91 5.50 3.88 2.36 3.39 1.86 3.79 2.27 3.80 2.27 3.78 2.262002 4.67 2.34 1.67 -0.68 1.60 -0.74 1.68 -0.67 1.70 -0.64 1.79 -0.552003 4.12 2.28 1.13 -0.73 1.01 -0.85 1.13 -0.73 1.14 -0.72 1.22 -0.652004 4.34 1.13 1.35 -1.84 1.37 -1.82 1.40 -1.79 1.43 -1.76 1.62 -1.572005 6.19 2.86 3.22 -0.14 3.15 -0.22 3.27 -0.09 3.33 -0.04 3.56 0.192006 7.96 5.57 4.97 2.48 4.73 2.23 5.00 2.51 5.09 2.60 5.19 2.712007 8.05 4.10 5.02 1.01 4.35 0.35 5.07 1.06 5.28 1.27 5.30 1.292008 5.09 5.11 1.92 1.84 1.37 1.28 2.38 2.31 3.02 2.97 2.91 2.862009 3.25 0.56 0.16 -2.49 0.15 -2.50 0.26 -2.39 0.61 -2.05 0.69 -1.972010 3.25 1.78 0.18 -1.30 0.14 -1.34 0.20 -1.28 0.34 -1.13 0.34 -1.142011 3.25 0.33 0.10 -2.78 0.05 -2.83 0.13 -2.75 0.30 -2.59 0.34 -2.552012 3.25 1.53 0.14 -1.57 0.09 -1.63 0.11 -1.60 0.31 -1.41 0.43 -1.292013 3.25 1.77 0.11 -1.37 0.11 -1.37 0.09 -1.39 0.22 -1.26 0.27 -1.22
2014 3.25 1.28 0.09 -1.87 0.03 -1.92 0.08 -1.88 0.20 -1.76 0.24 -1.722015 3.45 1.36 0.31 -1.76 0.23 -1.84 0.31 -1.76 0.41 -1.66 0.45 -1.622016 4.24 1.77 1.12 -1.35 1.02 -1.44 1.15 -1.32 1.22 -1.25 1.26 -1.212017 5.23 3.29 2.11 0.13 2.01 0.03 2.25 0.27 2.22 0.24 2.26 0.282018 6.23 3.58 3.12 0.43 3.01 0.31 3.27 0.58 3.23 0.54 3.27 0.582019 6.27 4.61 3.18 1.44 3.05 1.30 3.35 1.61 3.28 1.54 3.32 1.582020 5.65 3.64 2.58 0.51 2.43 0.37 2.77 0.71 2.68 0.62 2.72 0.66
N-11
N-8. Producción Industrial en EUA: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Indice 2007=100)
Producción Manufacturas Electricidad AdendumAños Total Total Bienes Durables Bienes No Durables Otros Bienes Minería y Gas Natural Vehículos y Partes
Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. % Indice Var. %
1980 50.2 -2.5 43.8 -3.8 32.1 -4.3 65.7 -3.0 91.9 3.5 114.5 1.8 57.3 0.7 37.9 -26.31981 50.9 1.3 44.2 1.0 32.5 1.1 66.3 0.9 94.1 2.4 117.5 2.6 58.1 1.4 36.9 -2.51982 48.3 -5.2 41.7 -5.7 29.7 -8.5 65.3 -1.5 95.2 1.1 111.7 -4.9 56.2 -3.2 33.3 -9.81983 49.6 2.7 43.8 4.9 31.2 5.0 68.4 4.7 97.8 2.8 105.8 -5.3 56.7 0.8 42.5 27.61984 54.0 8.9 48.1 10.0 35.6 14.1 71.5 4.6 102.3 4.6 112.6 6.5 60.0 5.8 50.9 19.81985 54.7 1.2 48.9 1.5 36.4 2.2 71.9 0.6 106.3 3.9 110.4 -1.9 61.3 2.2 52.9 3.81986 55.2 1.0 50.0 2.2 37.0 1.7 74.0 2.9 108.4 2.0 102.4 -7.2 61.8 0.9 52.8 -0.11987 58.1 5.2 52.8 5.7 39.2 5.9 78.0 5.4 114.7 5.8 103.4 0.9 64.7 4.7 54.7 3.61988 61.1 5.2 55.8 5.6 42.1 7.4 80.6 3.4 114.2 -0.4 106.0 2.5 68.4 5.7 58.5 6.81989 61.6 0.9 56.3 0.9 42.6 1.1 81.1 0.6 112.6 -1.4 104.8 -1.2 70.6 3.2 57.9 -1.01990 62.2 1.0 56.8 0.9 42.7 0.3 82.4 1.6 111.2 -1.2 106.3 1.5 71.9 1.9 54.4 -6.01991 61.3 -1.5 55.7 -1.8 41.4 -3.1 82.1 -0.4 106.7 -4.1 104.0 -2.2 73.7 2.4 52.0 -4.41992 63.0 2.8 57.9 3.9 43.5 5.1 84.2 2.6 104.5 -2.0 101.7 -2.2 73.6 -0.1 59.2 13.81993 65.1 3.3 60.0 3.6 45.9 5.5 85.4 1.4 105.3 0.8 101.7 0.0 76.2 3.6 65.4 10.51994 68.5 5.3 63.8 6.3 49.8 8.5 88.4 3.5 104.4 -0.9 104.0 2.3 77.7 2.0 75.1 14.91995 71.8 4.7 67.3 5.5 54.0 8.5 89.9 1.8 104.4 0.0 103.9 -0.1 80.5 3.5 77.3 2.91996 74.9 4.4 70.7 5.1 58.9 8.9 90.2 0.3 103.4 -0.9 105.6 1.7 82.8 2.9 77.9 0.81997 80.4 7.2 76.7 8.4 65.9 12.0 93.5 3.7 112.1 8.4 107.6 1.8 82.8 0.0 84.0 7.81998 85.0 5.8 81.8 6.7 72.9 10.5 94.9 1.5 118.8 5.9 105.6 -1.8 84.9 2.6 88.4 5.11999 88.7 4.3 86.0 5.1 78.9 8.4 95.5 0.6 122.2 2.9 100.1 -5.3 87.4 2.9 98.1 11.02000 92.2 4.0 89.8 4.5 84.8 7.4 95.9 0.5 121.9 -0.2 102.8 2.7 89.9 2.9 97.4 -0.72001 89.1 -3.4 86.3 -3.9 80.9 -4.6 93.1 -3.0 114.0 -6.5 103.2 0.4 89.5 -0.5 88.8 -8.92002 89.3 0.2 86.7 0.5 80.8 0.0 94.2 1.2 110.1 -3.4 98.4 -4.7 92.3 3.1 97.6 9.92003 90.4 1.2 88.0 1.5 82.9 2.6 94.4 0.2 106.9 -2.9 98.5 0.1 94.1 1.9 101.1 3.62004 92.5 2.3 90.6 2.9 86.2 4.0 95.9 1.6 107.8 0.8 98.2 -0.3 95.3 1.4 101.7 0.52005 95.5 3.2 94.4 4.2 91.2 5.8 98.3 2.5 107.4 -0.4 97.0 -1.3 97.3 2.1 102.3 0.62006 97.6 2.2 97.0 2.7 95.4 4.6 98.8 0.6 106.1 -1.1 99.2 2.4 96.7 -0.6 100.8 -1.52007 100.0 2.5 100.0 3.1 100.0 4.8 100.0 1.2 100.0 -5.8 100.0 0.8 100.0 3.4 100.0 -0.82008 96.6 -3.4 95.4 -4.6 96.6 -3.4 94.1 -5.9 93.5 -6.5 101.2 1.2 99.9 -0.1 80.0 -20.02009 85.7 -11.3 82.4 -13.6 78.6 -18.6 86.9 -7.7 80.7 -13.7 95.7 -5.4 97.5 -2.5 58.6 -26.82010 90.6 5.7 87.9 6.6 87.2 11.0 88.7 2.2 76.4 -5.3 100.7 5.2 101.0 3.6 77.8 32.72011 93.6 3.3 91.1 3.6 93.2 6.8 88.9 0.2 74.3 -2.8 106.8 6.1 100.8 -0.2 84.8 9.02012 97.1 3.8 95.1 4.4 100.0 7.3 90.0 1.2 72.8 -2.0 113.5 6.3 98.7 -2.1 97.4 14.82013 99.9 2.9 97.9 2.9 104.4 4.4 91.2 1.3 68.9 -5.3 118.9 4.7 100.7 2.1 105.0 7.8
2014 103.8 3.8 101.4 3.7 109.6 4.9 93.5 2.5 67.3 -2.3 128.5 8.1 100.1 -0.6 110.3 5.12015 107.7 3.8 105.6 4.1 115.7 5.6 96.0 2.7 68.1 1.1 132.1 2.8 102.5 2.4 121.2 9.92016 112.1 4.1 110.5 4.6 122.8 6.2 99.0 3.1 69.2 1.7 135.2 2.4 105.4 2.8 134.6 11.02017 117.5 4.8 116.4 5.3 130.9 6.6 103.2 4.2 70.7 2.1 139.7 3.3 108.9 3.4 154.5 14.82018 122.7 4.4 122.2 5.0 139.1 6.3 107.1 3.8 71.9 1.7 143.4 2.7 112.3 3.1 173.6 12.42019 127.8 4.2 127.9 4.7 147.4 6.0 111.0 3.6 72.9 1.4 146.6 2.3 115.3 2.7 191.7 10.52020 132.6 3.8 133.4 4.3 155.6 5.6 114.5 3.2 73.7 1.1 149.2 1.8 118.0 2.4 209.1 9.0
N-12
N-9. Finanzas Públicas de Estados Unidos: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Billones de dólares; año fiscal)
Ingresos Egresos Déficit o Deuda BrutaAños Nominal Real Nominal Real Superávit Fiscal Federal
Dólares Var. % % PIB Dólares 2009 Var. % Dólares Var. % % PIB Dólares 2009 Var. % Dólares % PIB Dólares % PIB
1980 517 11.6 18.1 1,327 0.9 591 17.2 20.6 1,517 6.0 -73.8 -2.6 909 31.81981 599 15.9 18.7 1,387 4.5 678 14.8 21.1 1,570 3.5 -79.0 -2.5 995 31.01982 618 3.1 18.5 1,333 -3.9 746 10.0 22.3 1,609 2.5 -128.0 -3.8 1,137 34.01983 601 -2.8 16.5 1,234 -7.4 808 8.4 22.2 1,661 3.2 -207.8 -5.7 1,372 37.71984 666 11.0 16.5 1,301 5.4 852 5.4 21.1 1,663 0.1 -185.4 -4.6 1,565 38.71985 734 10.1 16.9 1,386 6.5 946 11.1 21.8 1,787 7.4 -212.3 -4.9 1,817 41.81986 769 4.8 16.8 1,416 2.1 990 4.7 21.6 1,823 2.0 -221.2 -4.8 2,121 46.21987 854 11.1 17.5 1,524 7.7 1,004 1.4 20.6 1,791 -1.7 -149.7 -3.1 2,346 48.21988 909 6.4 17.3 1,575 3.3 1,064 6.0 20.3 1,844 2.9 -155.2 -3.0 2,601 49.51989 991 9.0 17.5 1,655 5.1 1,144 7.5 20.2 1,910 3.6 -152.6 -2.7 2,868 50.71990 1,032 4.1 17.3 1,672 1.0 1,253 9.6 21.0 2,030 6.3 -221.0 -3.7 3,206 53.61991 1,055 2.2 17.1 1,632 -2.4 1,324 5.7 21.4 2,049 0.9 -269.2 -4.4 3,598 58.31992 1,091 3.4 16.7 1,626 -0.4 1,382 4.3 21.1 2,059 0.5 -290.3 -4.4 4,002 61.21993 1,154 5.8 16.8 1,675 3.0 1,409 2.0 20.5 2,045 -0.7 -255.1 -3.7 4,351 63.31994 1,259 9.0 17.2 1,793 7.0 1,462 3.7 20.0 2,082 1.8 -203.2 -2.8 4,643 63.51995 1,352 7.4 17.6 1,874 4.5 1,516 3.7 19.8 2,102 0.9 -164.0 -2.1 4,921 64.21996 1,453 7.5 17.9 1,967 5.0 1,560 3.0 19.3 2,113 0.5 -107.4 -1.3 5,181 64.01997 1,579 8.7 18.3 2,094 6.4 1,601 2.6 18.6 2,123 0.5 -21.9 -0.3 5,369 62.41998 1,722 9.0 18.9 2,262 8.0 1,652 3.2 18.2 2,171 2.2 69.3 0.8 5,478 60.31999 1,827 6.1 18.9 2,367 4.7 1,702 3.0 17.6 2,204 1.6 125.6 1.3 5,606 58.02000 2,025 10.8 19.7 2,560 8.1 1,789 5.1 17.4 2,261 2.6 236.2 2.3 5,629 54.72001 1,991 -1.7 18.7 2,455 -4.1 1,863 4.1 17.5 2,296 1.6 128.2 1.2 5,770 54.32002 1,853 -6.9 16.9 2,248 -8.4 2,011 7.9 18.3 2,439 6.2 -157.8 -1.4 6,198 56.52003 1,782 -3.8 15.5 2,107 -6.3 2,160 7.4 18.8 2,553 4.7 -377.6 -3.3 6,760 58.72004 1,880 5.5 15.3 2,161 2.6 2,293 6.2 18.7 2,635 3.2 -412.7 -3.4 7,355 59.92005 2,154 14.5 16.4 2,387 10.5 2,472 7.8 18.9 2,740 4.0 -318.3 -2.4 7,905 60.42006 2,407 11.8 17.4 2,577 7.9 2,655 7.4 19.2 2,842 3.7 -248.2 -1.8 8,451 61.02007 2,568 6.7 17.7 2,675 3.8 2,729 2.8 18.8 2,842 0.0 -160.7 -1.1 8,951 61.82008 2,524 -1.7 17.1 2,536 -5.2 2,983 9.3 20.3 2,997 5.4 -458.6 -3.1 9,986 67.82009 2,105 -16.6 14.6 2,105 -17.0 3,518 17.9 24.4 3,518 17.4 -1,412.7 -9.8 11,876 82.42010 2,163 2.7 14.5 2,137 1.5 3,457 -1.7 23.1 3,416 -2.9 -1,294.4 -8.7 13,529 90.42011 2,303 6.5 14.8 2,216 3.7 3,603 4.2 23.2 3,466 1.4 -1,299.6 -8.4 14,764 95.02012 2,450 6.4 15.1 2,306 4.1 3,537 -1.8 21.8 3,329 -3.9 -1,087.0 -6.7 16,051 98.82013 2,775 13.3 16.5 2,576 11.7 3,455 -2.3 20.6 3,206 -3.7 -679.5 -4.0 16,719 99.5
2014 3,032 9.3 17.4 2,770 7.5 3,523 2.0 20.2 3,218 0.4 -491.0 -2.8 17,735 101.82015 3,305 9.0 18.1 2,966 7.1 3,774 7.1 20.7 3,387 5.2 -469.0 -2.6 18,405 100.92016 3,475 5.1 18.1 3,057 3.1 4,011 6.3 20.9 3,529 4.2 -536.0 -2.8 19,140 99.82017 3,621 4.2 17.8 3,111 1.8 4,197 4.6 20.7 3,606 2.2 -576.0 -2.8 19,948 98.22018 3,764 3.9 17.6 3,167 1.8 4,391 4.6 20.5 3,695 2.5 -627.0 -2.9 20,815 97.12019 3,927 4.3 17.5 3,240 2.3 4,649 5.9 20.7 3,835 3.8 -722.0 -3.2 21,743 96.72020 4,099 4.4 17.4 3,322 2.5 4,903 5.5 20.9 3,973 3.6 -804.0 -3.4 22,742 96.8
N-13
O. Tratado de Libre Comerciode América del Norte TLCAN
Cuadro O-1.Indicadores Básicos del Tratado de Libre Comercio TLCAN 1980-2020
Cuadro O-2.Tratado de Libre Comercio entre Estados Unidos y México 1980-2020
Cuadro O-3.Tratado de Libre Comercio entre México y Estados Unidos 1980-2020
Cuadro O-4.Comercio Exterior de México por Países 2013-2014
Cuadro O-5.Comercio Exterior de Estados Unidos por Países 2013-2014
Cuadro O-6.Participación de México, Canadá y China en el Mercado
de Estados Unidos 1994-2014
O-1. Indicadores Básicos del TLC: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Personas, dólares y porcentajes)
Población Producto Interno BrutoMillones de Personas % Población Mundial Billones de Dólares Internacionales PPP % PIB Mundial
Total Países Miembros del TLC Países Miembros del TLC Total Países Miembros del TLC Países Miembros del TLCMundo TLC EUA CAN MEX TLC EUA CAN MEX Mundo TLC EUA CAN MEX TLC EUA CAN MEX
1980 4,453.0 325.4 229.8 24.5 71.1 7.3 5.2 0.6 1.6 11,476 3,494 2,863 283 348 30.4 24.9 2.5 3.01981 4,531.8 329.5 232.0 24.8 72.7 7.3 5.1 0.5 1.6 12,812 3,945 3,211 321 413 30.8 25.1 2.5 3.21982 4,612.1 333.5 234.3 25.0 74.2 7.2 5.1 0.5 1.6 13,683 4,113 3,345 331 437 30.1 24.4 2.4 3.21983 4,694.1 337.4 236.5 25.3 75.7 7.2 5.0 0.5 1.6 14,610 4,429 3,638 353 438 30.3 24.9 2.4 3.01984 4,777.8 341.5 238.8 25.5 77.2 7.1 5.0 0.5 1.6 15,859 4,897 4,041 387 469 30.9 25.5 2.4 3.01985 4,863.3 345.7 241.1 25.8 78.7 7.1 5.0 0.5 1.6 17,009 5,260 4,347 418 495 30.9 25.6 2.5 2.91986 4,950.6 350.0 243.5 26.2 80.3 7.1 4.9 0.5 1.6 17,937 5,516 4,590 437 489 30.8 25.6 2.4 2.71987 5,039.5 354.5 245.9 26.6 82.0 7.0 4.9 0.5 1.6 19,085 5,848 4,870 467 510 30.6 25.5 2.4 2.71988 5,129.1 359.0 248.4 26.9 83.7 7.0 4.8 0.5 1.6 20,631 6,295 5,253 508 535 30.5 25.5 2.5 2.61989 5,218.4 363.6 250.9 27.3 85.4 7.0 4.8 0.5 1.6 22,243 6,778 5,658 541 578 30.5 25.4 2.4 2.61990 5,306.4 368.1 253.3 27.7 87.1 6.9 4.8 0.5 1.6 23,810 7,173 5,980 563 631 30.1 25.1 2.4 2.61991 5,392.9 372.5 255.8 28.1 88.6 6.9 4.7 0.5 1.6 25,100 7,422 6,174 569 679 29.6 24.6 2.3 2.71992 5,478.0 376.8 258.3 28.4 90.1 6.9 4.7 0.5 1.6 28,187 7,846 6,539 587 719 27.8 23.2 2.1 2.61993 5,561.7 381.1 260.8 28.7 91.6 6.9 4.7 0.5 1.6 29,457 8,249 6,879 615 755 28.0 23.4 2.1 2.61994 5,644.4 385.5 263.5 29.0 93.1 6.8 4.7 0.5 1.6 31,040 8,775 7,309 659 808 28.3 23.5 2.1 2.61995 5,726.2 390.1 266.3 29.3 94.5 6.8 4.7 0.5 1.7 32,855 9,132 7,664 691 777 27.8 23.3 2.1 2.41996 5,807.2 394.9 269.4 29.6 95.9 6.8 4.6 0.5 1.7 34,699 9,653 8,100 715 838 27.8 23.3 2.1 2.41997 5,887.3 399.7 272.6 29.9 97.2 6.8 4.6 0.5 1.7 36,763 10,278 8,609 758 912 28.0 23.4 2.1 2.51998 5,966.5 404.6 276.0 30.1 98.5 6.8 4.6 0.5 1.7 38,112 10,852 9,089 798 965 28.5 23.8 2.1 2.51999 6,044.9 409.4 279.3 30.4 99.7 6.8 4.6 0.5 1.6 40,038 11,521 9,666 850 1,005 28.8 24.1 2.1 2.52000 6,122.8 414.1 282.5 30.7 100.9 6.8 4.6 0.5 1.6 42,875 12,286 10,290 914 1,082 28.7 24.0 2.1 2.52001 6,200.0 418.6 285.5 31.0 102.1 6.8 4.6 0.5 1.6 44,837 12,676 10,625 951 1,100 28.3 23.7 2.1 2.52002 6,276.7 423.2 288.5 31.3 103.4 6.7 4.6 0.5 1.6 46,781 13,091 10,980 992 1,119 28.0 23.5 2.1 2.42003 6,353.2 427.6 291.3 31.6 104.7 6.7 4.6 0.5 1.6 49,523 13,701 11,512 1,032 1,157 27.7 23.2 2.1 2.32004 6,429.8 432.0 294.1 31.9 106.0 6.7 4.6 0.5 1.6 53,443 14,620 12,277 1,094 1,249 27.4 23.0 2.0 2.32005 6,506.6 436.3 296.8 32.3 107.2 6.7 4.6 0.5 1.6 57,652 15,582 13,095 1,162 1,324 27.0 22.7 2.0 2.32006 6,584.0 440.6 299.6 32.6 108.4 6.7 4.5 0.5 1.6 62,474 16,520 13,858 1,230 1,433 26.4 22.2 2.0 2.32007 6,661.6 445.0 302.3 33.0 109.8 6.7 4.5 0.5 1.6 67,466 17,285 14,480 1,287 1,517 25.6 21.5 1.9 2.22008 6,739.6 449.6 305.0 33.3 111.3 6.7 4.5 0.5 1.7 70,558 17,617 14,720 1,328 1,569 25.0 20.9 1.9 2.22009 6,817.7 454.2 307.7 33.7 112.9 6.7 4.5 0.5 1.7 70,627 17,226 14,418 1,302 1,506 24.4 20.4 1.8 2.12010 6,895.9 458.7 310.4 34.0 114.3 6.7 4.5 0.5 1.7 75,099 17,923 14,958 1,362 1,603 23.9 19.9 1.8 2.12011 6,974.0 463.1 313.1 34.3 115.7 6.6 4.5 0.5 1.7 79,381 18,657 15,534 1,424 1,699 23.5 19.6 1.8 2.12012 7,052.1 467.5 315.8 34.7 117.1 6.6 4.5 0.5 1.7 83,258 19,514 16,245 1,474 1,796 23.4 19.5 1.8 2.22013 7,130.0 471.9 318.5 35.0 118.4 6.6 4.5 0.5 1.7 86,995 20,168 16,800 1,526 1,843 23.2 19.3 1.8 2.1
2014 7,207.5 476.2 321.2 35.3 119.7 6.6 4.5 0.5 1.7 90,765 20,935 17,426 1,583 1,926 23.1 19.2 1.7 2.12015 7,284.3 480.5 323.9 35.6 121.0 6.6 4.4 0.5 1.7 96,038 21,927 18,235 1,651 2,041 22.8 19.0 1.7 2.12016 7,360.4 484.8 326.6 35.9 122.3 6.6 4.4 0.5 1.7 102,025 23,096 19,175 1,733 2,188 22.6 18.8 1.7 2.12017 7,435.8 489.0 329.2 36.2 123.5 6.6 4.4 0.5 1.7 108,267 24,501 20,308 1,828 2,365 22.6 18.8 1.7 2.22018 7,510.3 493.2 331.9 36.6 124.7 6.6 4.4 0.5 1.7 114,953 25,923 21,447 1,923 2,553 22.6 18.7 1.7 2.22019 7,583.9 497.3 334.5 36.9 125.9 6.6 4.4 0.5 1.7 121,900 27,228 22,476 2,013 2,739 22.3 18.4 1.7 2.22020 7,656.5 501.4 337.1 37.2 127.1 6.5 4.4 0.5 1.7 129,171 28,535 23,501 2,104 2,930 22.1 18.2 1.6 2.3
(Continuación)
O-1
Años!
(Continúa)
Exportación de MercancíasMiles de Millones de Dólares Crecimiento % anual Participación % en el Comercio Mundial
Total Países Miembros del TLC Resto Total Países Miembros del TLC Resto Total Países Miembros del TLC Resto
Mundo TLC EUA CAN MEX Mundo Mundo TLC EUA CAN MEX Mundo Mundo TLC EUA CAN MEX Mundo
1980 2,034.0 310.0 224.3 67.7 18.0 1,705.9 22.6 21.9 21.6 16.2 56.6 22.6 100.0 15.2 11.0 3.3 0.9 84.81981 2,010.0 333.1 237.0 72.7 23.3 1,654.9 -1.2 7.4 5.7 7.4 29.3 -3.0 100.0 16.6 11.8 3.6 1.2 83.41982 1,883.0 306.4 211.2 71.2 24.1 1,554.2 -6.3 -8.0 -10.9 -2.1 3.2 -6.1 100.0 16.3 11.2 3.8 1.3 83.71983 1,846.0 304.5 201.8 76.7 26.0 1,519.3 -2.0 -0.6 -4.4 7.7 7.9 -2.2 100.0 16.5 10.9 4.2 1.4 83.51984 1,956.0 339.3 219.9 90.3 29.1 1,590.6 6.0 11.4 9.0 17.6 12.1 4.7 100.0 17.3 11.2 4.6 1.5 82.71985 1,954.0 333.6 215.9 91.0 26.8 1,593.0 -0.1 -1.7 -1.8 0.8 -8.1 0.2 100.0 17.1 11.0 4.7 1.4 82.91986 2,138.0 335.5 223.3 90.3 21.8 1,771.6 9.4 0.6 3.4 -0.7 -18.5 11.2 100.0 15.7 10.4 4.2 1.0 84.31987 2,516.0 376.0 250.2 98.2 27.6 2,100.6 17.7 12.1 12.0 8.7 26.6 18.6 100.0 14.9 9.9 3.9 1.1 85.11988 2,869.0 468.0 320.2 117.1 30.7 2,353.5 14.0 24.5 28.0 19.3 11.2 12.0 100.0 16.3 11.2 4.1 1.1 83.71989 3,098.0 516.9 359.9 121.8 35.2 2,528.5 8.0 10.4 12.4 4.0 14.6 7.4 100.0 16.7 11.6 3.9 1.1 83.31990 3,449.0 555.7 387.4 127.6 40.7 2,831.2 11.3 7.5 7.6 4.8 15.8 12.0 100.0 16.1 11.2 3.7 1.2 83.91991 3,516.0 583.9 414.1 127.2 42.7 2,860.2 1.9 5.1 6.9 -0.4 4.9 1.0 100.0 16.6 11.8 3.6 1.2 83.41992 3,767.0 620.3 439.6 134.4 46.2 3,061.8 7.1 6.2 6.2 5.7 8.2 7.1 100.0 16.5 11.7 3.6 1.2 83.51993 3,783.0 654.0 456.9 145.2 51.9 3,037.2 0.4 5.4 3.9 8.0 12.3 -0.8 100.0 17.3 12.1 3.8 1.4 82.71994 4,327.0 729.1 502.9 165.4 60.9 3,476.9 14.4 11.5 10.0 13.9 17.3 14.5 100.0 16.9 11.6 3.8 1.4 83.11995 5,166.0 846.9 575.2 192.2 79.5 4,170.3 19.4 16.2 14.4 16.2 30.6 19.9 100.0 16.4 11.1 3.7 1.5 83.61996 5,404.0 909.7 612.1 201.6 96.0 4,343.2 4.6 7.4 6.4 4.9 20.7 4.1 100.0 16.8 11.3 3.7 1.8 83.21997 5,593.0 1,003.2 678.4 214.4 110.4 4,407.0 3.5 10.3 10.8 6.3 15.0 1.5 100.0 17.9 12.1 3.8 2.0 82.11998 5,503.0 1,002.3 670.4 214.3 117.5 4,317.0 -1.6 -0.1 -1.2 0.0 6.4 -2.0 100.0 18.2 12.2 3.9 2.1 81.81999 5,714.0 1,073.0 698.2 238.4 136.4 4,446.0 3.8 7.1 4.1 11.3 16.0 3.0 100.0 18.8 12.2 4.2 2.4 81.22000 6,459.0 1,227.5 784.8 276.6 166.1 4,982.3 13.0 14.4 12.4 16.0 21.8 12.1 100.0 19.0 12.2 4.3 2.6 81.02001 6,195.0 1,149.8 731.2 259.9 158.8 4,779.1 -4.1 -6.3 -6.8 -6.1 -4.4 -4.1 100.0 18.6 11.8 4.2 2.6 81.42002 6,495.0 1,110.9 697.4 252.4 161.0 5,058.5 4.8 -3.4 -4.6 -2.9 1.4 5.8 100.0 17.1 10.7 3.9 2.5 82.92003 7,589.0 1,167.3 729.8 272.7 164.8 5,983.5 16.8 5.1 4.6 8.1 2.3 18.3 100.0 15.4 9.6 3.6 2.2 84.62004 9,222.0 1,326.7 822.0 316.8 188.0 7,301.9 21.5 13.7 12.6 16.1 14.1 22.0 100.0 14.4 8.9 3.4 2.0 85.62005 10,412.0 1,486.4 911.7 360.5 214.2 8,163.7 12.9 12.0 10.9 13.8 14.0 11.8 100.0 14.3 8.8 3.5 2.1 85.72006 12,050.1 1,677.5 1,039.4 388.2 249.9 9,403.6 15.7 12.9 14.0 7.7 16.7 15.2 100.0 13.9 8.6 3.2 2.1 86.12007 13,907.8 1,856.2 1,163.6 420.7 271.9 10,831.2 15.4 10.7 11.9 8.4 8.8 15.2 100.0 13.3 8.4 3.0 2.0 86.72008 16,020.9 2,055.1 1,307.3 456.5 291.3 12,535.1 15.2 10.7 12.4 8.5 7.2 15.7 100.0 12.8 8.2 2.8 1.8 87.22009 12,414.3 1,615.3 1,069.5 316.1 229.7 9,597.3 -22.5 -21.4 -18.2 -30.8 -21.2 -23.4 100.0 13.0 8.6 2.5 1.9 87.02010 15,163.2 1,975.8 1,289.9 387.5 298.5 11,609.7 22.1 22.3 20.6 22.6 29.9 21.0 100.0 13.0 8.5 2.6 2.0 87.02011 18,157.0 2,300.2 1,498.7 452.1 349.4 13,958.4 19.7 16.4 16.2 16.7 17.1 20.2 100.0 12.7 8.3 2.5 1.9 87.32012 18,172.5 2,386.6 1,561.1 454.8 370.7 13,737.2 0.1 3.8 4.2 0.6 6.1 -1.6 100.0 13.1 8.6 2.5 2.0 86.92013 18,549.1 2,430.6 1,592.2 458.4 380.0 13,909.5 2.1 1.8 2.0 0.8 2.5 1.3 100.0 13.1 8.6 2.5 2.0 86.9
2014 19,111.3 2,531.9 1,661.8 473.7 396.4 14,243.3 3.0 4.2 4.4 3.3 4.3 2.4 100.0 13.2 8.7 2.5 2.1 86.82015 20,091.0 2,717.6 1,783.8 504.0 429.8 14,813.1 5.1 7.3 7.3 6.4 8.4 4.0 100.0 13.5 8.9 2.5 2.1 86.52016 21,865.1 2,982.1 1,959.3 549.4 473.3 16,012.9 8.8 9.7 9.8 9.0 10.1 8.1 100.0 13.6 9.0 2.5 2.2 86.42017 24,696.9 3,353.4 2,198.0 611.5 543.9 18,094.6 13.0 12.5 12.2 11.3 14.9 13.0 100.0 13.6 8.9 2.5 2.2 86.42018 27,589.0 3,726.8 2,440.6 673.9 612.3 20,211.7 11.7 11.1 11.0 10.2 12.6 11.7 100.0 13.5 8.8 2.4 2.2 86.52019 30,277.5 4,079.4 2,666.6 733.2 679.6 22,143.9 9.7 9.5 9.3 8.8 11.0 9.6 100.0 13.5 8.8 2.4 2.2 86.52020 32,729.3 4,399.3 2,868.2 785.7 745.4 23,880.0 8.1 7.8 7.6 7.2 9.7 7.8 100.0 13.4 8.8 2.4 2.3 86.6
(Conclusión)
O-2
Años!
O-2. Tratado de Libre Comercio entre Estados Unidos y México: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Millones de dólares)
Comercio Exterior de Estados UnidosAños Exportación de Mercancías Importación de Mercancías Balanza Comercial
Total Var.% A México Var.% % Total Total Var.% De México Var.% % Total Total Con México Resto Mundo
1980 225,566 21.0 15,234 53.2 6.75 -245,262 16.6 -12,640 43.5 5.15 -19,696 2,594 -22,2901981 238,715 5.8 18,207 19.5 7.63 -260,982 6.4 -13,768 8.9 5.28 -22,267 4,439 -26,7061982 216,442 -9.3 11,736 -35.5 5.42 -243,952 -6.5 -15,556 13.0 6.38 -27,510 -3,820 -23,6901983 205,639 -5.0 9,093 -22.5 4.42 -258,048 5.8 -16,595 6.7 6.43 -52,409 -7,502 -44,9071984 223,976 8.9 12,020 32.2 5.37 -330,678 28.1 -18,077 8.9 5.47 -106,702 -6,057 -100,6451985 218,815 -2.3 13,635 13.4 6.23 -336,526 1.8 -19,132 5.8 5.69 -117,711 -5,497 -112,2141986 227,159 3.8 12,392 -9.1 5.46 -365,438 8.6 -17,302 -9.6 4.73 -138,279 -4,910 -133,3691987 254,122 11.9 14,582 17.7 5.74 -406,241 11.2 -20,271 17.2 4.99 -152,119 -5,689 -146,4311988 322,426 26.9 20,629 41.5 6.40 -440,952 8.5 -23,260 14.7 5.27 -118,526 -2,631 -115,8951989 363,812 12.8 24,982 21.1 6.87 -473,211 7.3 -27,162 16.8 5.74 -109,399 -2,180 -107,2191990 393,572 8.2 28,279 13.2 7.19 -495,311 4.7 -30,157 11.0 6.09 -101,738 -1,878 -99,8611991 421,730 7.2 33,277 17.7 7.89 -488,453 -1.4 -31,130 3.2 6.37 -66,723 2,148 -68,8711992 448,165 6.3 40,592 22.0 9.06 -532,662 9.1 -35,211 13.1 6.61 -84,497 5,381 -89,8781993 465,090 3.8 41,581 2.4 8.94 -580,656 9.0 -39,918 13.4 6.87 -115,566 1,663 -117,2301994 512,625 10.2 50,844 22.3 9.92 -663,252 14.2 -49,494 24.0 7.46 -150,627 1,350 -151,9771995 584,740 14.1 46,292 -9.0 7.92 -743,545 12.1 -62,100 25.5 8.35 -158,805 -15,808 -142,9961996 625,073 6.9 56,792 22.7 9.09 -795,287 7.0 -74,297 19.6 9.34 -170,213 -17,506 -152,7081997 689,180 10.3 71,389 25.7 10.36 -869,703 9.4 -85,938 15.7 9.88 -180,523 -14,549 -165,9741998 682,139 -1.0 78,773 10.3 11.55 -911,897 4.9 -94,629 10.1 10.38 -229,758 -15,856 -213,9021999 695,797 2.0 86,909 10.3 12.49 -1,024,616 12.4 -109,721 15.9 10.71 -328,819 -22,812 -306,0072000 781,918 12.4 111,349 28.1 14.24 -1,218,023 18.9 -135,926 23.9 11.16 -436,105 -24,577 -411,5272001 729,101 -6.8 101,297 -9.0 13.89 -1,140,998 -6.3 -131,338 -3.4 11.51 -411,898 -30,041 -381,8562002 693,101 -4.9 97,470 -3.8 14.06 -1,161,366 1.8 -134,616 2.5 11.59 -468,265 -37,146 -431,1192003 724,771 4.6 97,412 -0.1 13.44 -1,257,121 8.2 -138,060 2.6 10.98 -532,350 -40,648 -491,7022004 814,875 12.4 110,731 13.7 13.59 -1,469,705 16.9 -155,902 12.9 10.61 -654,830 -45,170 -609,6602005 901,082 10.6 120,248 8.6 13.34 -1,673,454 13.9 -170,109 9.1 10.17 -772,372 -49,861 -722,5112006 1,025,968 13.9 133,722 11.2 13.03 -1,853,938 10.8 -198,253 16.5 10.69 -827,971 -64,531 -763,4392007 1,148,199 11.9 135,918 1.6 11.84 -1,956,961 5.6 -210,714 6.3 10.77 -808,762 -74,796 -733,9672008 1,287,442 12.1 151,220 11.3 11.75 -2,103,641 7.5 -215,942 2.5 10.27 -816,199 -64,722 -751,4772009 1,056,043 -18.0 128,892 -14.8 12.21 -1,559,625 -25.9 -176,654 -18.2 11.33 -503,582 -47,762 -455,8202010 1,278,495 21.1 163,473 26.8 12.79 -1,913,857 22.7 -229,908 30.1 12.01 -635,362 -66,435 -568,9272011 1,480,290 15.8 198,378 21.4 13.40 -2,208,055 15.4 -262,864 14.3 11.90 -727,765 -64,487 -663,2782012 1,545,709 4.4 215,931 8.8 13.97 -2,275,320 3.0 -277,570 5.6 12.20 -729,611 -61,639 -667,9722013 1,579,593 2.2 226,079 4.7 14.31 -2,268,321 -0.3 -280,529 1.1 12.37 -688,728 -54,450 -634,279
2014 1,647,764 4.3 246,293 8.9 14.95 -2,432,121 7.2 -295,991 5.5 12.17 -784,356 -49,697 -734,6592015 1,771,429 7.5 271,415 10.2 15.32 -2,545,679 4.7 -317,894 7.4 12.49 -774,250 -46,479 -727,7712016 1,945,800 9.8 303,171 11.7 15.58 -2,787,193 9.5 -356,359 12.1 12.79 -841,393 -53,188 -788,2052017 2,182,227 12.2 345,008 13.8 15.81 -3,115,133 11.8 -411,951 15.6 13.22 -932,906 -66,943 -865,9632018 2,426,026 11.2 387,100 12.2 15.96 -3,449,365 10.7 -465,917 13.1 13.51 -1,023,339 -78,818 -944,5222019 2,651,154 9.3 430,068 11.1 16.22 -3,767,842 9.2 -520,429 11.7 13.81 -1,116,689 -90,362 -1,026,3272020 2,853,897 7.6 473,934 10.2 16.61 -4,047,442 7.4 -576,636 10.8 14.25 -1,193,545 -102,701 -1,090,844
O-3
O-3. Tratado de Libre Comercio entre México y Estados Unidos: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Millones de dólares)
Comercio Exterior de MéxicoAños Exportación de Mercancías Importación de Mercancías Balanza Comercial
Total Var.% A EE.UU. Var.% % Total Total Var.% De EE.UU. Var.% % Total Total Con EE.UU. Resto Mundo
1980 18,031 56.6 12,640 43.5 70.10 -21,089 53.9 -15,234 53.2 72.24 -3,058 -2,594 -4641981 23,307 29.3 13,768 8.9 59.07 -27,184 28.9 -18,207 19.5 66.98 -3,877 -4,439 5621982 24,055 3.2 15,556 13.0 64.67 -17,011 -37.4 -11,736 -35.5 68.99 7,045 3,820 3,2251983 25,953 7.9 16,595 6.7 63.94 -11,848 -30.3 -9,093 -22.5 76.75 14,105 7,502 6,6031984 29,100 12.1 18,077 8.9 62.12 -15,916 34.3 -12,020 32.2 75.52 13,184 6,057 7,1271985 26,757 -8.1 19,132 5.8 71.50 -18,359 15.3 -13,635 13.4 74.27 8,398 5,497 2,9011986 21,804 -18.5 17,302 -9.6 79.35 -16,784 -8.6 -12,392 -9.1 73.83 5,020 4,910 1101987 27,600 26.6 20,271 17.2 73.45 -18,812 12.1 -14,582 17.7 77.51 8,787 5,689 3,0991988 30,692 11.2 23,260 14.7 75.79 -28,082 49.3 -20,629 41.5 73.46 2,610 2,631 -221989 35,171 14.6 27,162 16.8 77.23 -34,766 23.8 -24,982 21.1 71.86 405 2,180 -1,7751990 40,711 15.8 30,157 11.0 74.08 -41,593 19.6 -28,279 13.2 67.99 -882 1,878 -2,7601991 42,688 4.9 31,130 3.2 72.92 -49,967 20.1 -33,277 17.7 66.60 -7,279 -2,148 -5,1311992 46,196 8.2 35,211 13.1 76.22 -62,129 24.3 -40,592 22.0 65.34 -15,934 -5,381 -10,5531993 51,856 12.3 42,912 21.9 82.75 -65,367 5.2 -45,295 11.6 69.29 -13,510 -2,383 -11,1271994 60,860 17.4 51,619 20.3 84.82 -79,346 21.4 -54,834 21.1 69.11 -18,486 -3,216 -15,2711995 79,536 30.7 66,274 28.4 83.33 -72,453 -8.7 -53,902 -1.7 74.40 7,083 12,371 -5,2881996 95,986 20.7 80,570 21.6 83.94 -89,469 23.5 -67,536 25.3 75.49 6,518 13,034 -6,5161997 110,411 15.0 94,377 17.1 85.48 -109,808 22.7 -82,002 21.4 74.68 602 12,375 -11,7721998 117,514 6.4 103,002 9.1 87.65 -125,373 14.2 -93,258 13.7 74.38 -7,859 9,743 -17,6021999 136,333 16.0 120,262 16.8 88.21 -141,975 13.2 -105,267 12.9 74.15 -5,642 14,995 -20,6362000 166,098 21.8 147,400 22.6 88.74 -174,458 22.9 -127,534 21.2 73.10 -8,360 19,866 -28,2262001 158,761 -4.4 140,564 -4.6 88.54 -168,396 -3.5 -113,767 -10.8 67.56 -9,635 26,798 -36,4332002 161,021 1.4 141,898 0.9 88.12 -168,679 0.2 -106,557 -6.3 63.17 -7,658 35,341 -42,9992003 164,748 2.3 144,293 1.7 87.58 -170,546 1.1 -105,361 -1.1 61.78 -5,798 38,933 -44,7302004 187,999 14.1 164,522 14.0 87.51 -196,810 15.4 -110,827 5.2 56.31 -8,811 53,695 -62,5062005 214,233 14.0 183,563 11.6 85.68 -221,820 12.7 -118,547 7.0 53.44 -7,587 65,016 -72,6022006 249,925 16.7 211,799 15.4 84.75 -256,058 15.4 -130,311 9.9 50.89 -6,133 81,488 -87,6222007 271,875 8.8 223,133 5.4 82.07 -281,949 10.1 -139,473 7.0 49.47 -10,074 83,660 -93,7342008 291,343 7.2 233,523 4.7 80.15 -308,603 9.5 -151,335 8.5 49.04 -17,261 82,188 -99,4492009 229,704 -21.2 185,101 -20.7 80.58 -234,385 -24.0 -112,434 -25.7 47.97 -4,681 72,667 -77,3492010 298,473 29.9 238,684 28.9 79.97 -301,482 28.6 -145,007 29.0 48.10 -3,009 93,677 -96,6862011 349,433 17.1 274,427 15.0 78.53 -350,843 16.4 -174,356 20.2 49.70 -1,409 100,070 -101,4802012 370,770 6.1 287,842 4.9 77.63 -370,752 5.7 -185,110 6.2 49.93 18 102,732 -102,7142013 380,027 2.5 299,439 4.0 78.79 -381,210 2.8 -187,262 1.2 49.12 -1,184 112,178 -113,361
2014 396,397 4.3 316,223 5.6 79.77 -400,687 5.1 -197,438 5.4 49.27 -4,290 118,786 -123,0762015 429,765 8.4 345,837 9.4 80.47 -439,614 9.7 -218,488 10.7 49.70 -9,849 127,349 -137,1982016 473,325 10.1 382,776 10.7 80.87 -492,492 12.0 -247,576 13.3 50.27 -19,167 135,200 -154,3672017 543,915 14.9 441,856 15.4 81.24 -569,812 15.7 -290,433 17.3 50.97 -25,897 151,423 -177,3202018 612,285 12.6 498,756 12.9 81.46 -644,275 13.1 -332,188 14.4 51.56 -31,990 166,567 -198,5572019 679,582 11.0 555,204 11.3 81.70 -720,409 11.8 -375,621 13.1 52.14 -40,827 179,583 -220,4102020 745,449 9.7 611,283 10.1 82.00 -796,638 10.6 -420,147 11.9 52.74 -51,189 191,135 -242,325
O-4
O-4. Comercio Exterior de México por Países: Banco de Datos 2013-2014(Millones de dólares)
Exportaciones de México Importaciones de México Balanza Comercial Países Enero-Mayo Variación Estructura Porcentual Enero-Mayo Variación Estructura Porcentual Enero-Mayo
2013 2014 % 2013 2014 2013 2014 % 2013 2014 2013 2014
Total 153,803 159,204 3.5 100.0 100.0 156,740 159,877 2.0 100.0 100.0 -2,937 -673 América 135,891 141,257 3.9 88.4 88.7 88,327 89,843 1.7 56.4 56.2 47,563 51,413 América del Norte 124,657 130,739 4.9 81.1 82.1 81,984 83,348 1.7 52.3 52.1 42,673 47,392 Estados Unidos 120,492 126,501 5.0 78.3 79.5 77,846 79,417 2.0 49.7 49.7 42,645 47,084 Canadá 4,165 4,238 1.7 2.7 2.7 4,138 3,931 -5.0 2.6 2.5 28 307 Centro y Sudamérica 11,234 10,518 -6.4 7.3 6.6 6,343 6,496 2.4 4.0 4.1 4,891 4,022 Argentina 742 550 -25.9 0.5 0.3 498 379 -23.9 0.3 0.2 244 172 Brasil 2,051 2,075 1.2 1.3 1.3 1,948 1,716 -11.9 1.2 1.1 103 359 Colombia 1,937 1,831 -5.5 1.3 1.2 389 408 4.7 0.2 0.3 1,547 1,423 Chile 867 843 -2.7 0.6 0.5 644 591 -8.2 0.4 0.4 223 253 Perú 758 722 -4.7 0.5 0.5 239 391 63.1 0.2 0.2 518 332 Venezuela 857 624 -27.3 0.6 0.4 55 22 -59.8 0.0 0.0 802 601 Otros países 4,021 3,872 -3.7 2.6 2.4 2,569 2,990 16.4 1.6 1.9 1,452 882 Europa 9,656 9,514 -1.5 6.3 6.0 19,807 19,923 0.6 12.6 12.5 -10,151 -10,409 Unión Europea 8,729 8,706 -0.3 5.7 5.5 18,080 17,731 -1.9 11.5 11.1 -9,351 -9,025 Alemania 1,875 1,532 -18.3 1.2 1.0 5,815 5,645 -2.9 3.7 3.5 -3,940 -4,113 España 3,063 2,903 -5.2 2.0 1.8 1,754 1,960 11.8 1.1 1.2 1,310 943 Francia 501 696 39.0 0.3 0.4 1,543 1,537 -0.4 1.0 1.0 -1,042 -840 Países Bajos 743 823 10.7 0.5 0.5 1,628 1,418 -12.9 1.0 0.9 -885 -595 Italia 418 751 79.7 0.3 0.5 2,507 2,180 -13.0 1.6 1.4 -2,089 -1,429 Portugal 25 20 -17.9 0.0 0.0 174 194 11.6 0.1 0.1 -149 -173 Reino Unido 662 644 -2.7 0.4 0.4 1,072 975 -9.1 0.7 0.6 -410 -331 Otros países de la UE 1,442 1,336 -7.3 0.9 0.8 3,587 3,822 6.6 2.3 2.4 -2,145 -2,486 Otros países 927 808 -12.8 0.6 0.5 1,727 2,192 26.9 1.1 1.4 -800 -1,384 Asia 7,480 7,597 1.6 4.9 4.8 47,584 49,055 3.1 30.4 30.7 -40,104 -41,459 China 2,652 2,563 -3.3 1.7 1.6 23,850 25,043 5.0 15.2 15.7 -21,199 -22,480 Corea 508 833 64.1 0.3 0.5 5,641 5,455 -3.3 3.6 3.4 -5,133 -4,622 Hong Kong 369 422 14.5 0.2 0.3 110 113 2.9 0.1 0.1 259 309 India 1,649 1,159 -29.7 1.1 0.7 1,218 1,552 27.4 0.8 1.0 431 -393 Japón 909 1,219 34.1 0.6 0.8 7,357 6,983 -5.1 4.7 4.4 -6,448 -5,764 Malasia 69 89 29.0 0.0 0.1 1,903 2,466 29.6 1.2 1.5 -1,834 -2,377 Singapur 261 201 -23.0 0.2 0.1 594 456 -23.3 0.4 0.3 -333 -255 Taiwán 198 180 -9.3 0.1 0.1 2,724 2,483 -8.8 1.7 1.6 -2,526 -2,304 Otros países 865 931 7.6 0.6 0.6 4,187 4,505 7.6 2.7 2.8 -3,321 -3,574 Resto del Mundo 776 837 7.9 0.5 0.5 1,022 1,056 3.3 0.7 0.7 -246 -219
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Banco de México
O-5
O-5. Comercio Exterior de Estados Unidos por Países: Banco de Datos 2013-2014(Millones de dólares)
Exportaciones de Estados Unidos Importaciones de Estados Unidos Balanza Comercial Países Enero-Mayo Variación Estructura Porcentual Enero-Mayo Variación Estructura Porcentual Enero-Mayo
2013 2014 porcentual 2013 2014 2013 2014 porcentual 2013 2014 2013 2014
Total 645,899 665,176 3.0 100.0 100.0 924,650 948,249 2.6 100.0 100.0 -278,751 -283,073North America 218,215 225,258 3.2 33.8 33.9 254,900 259,947 2.0 27.6 27.4 -36,685 -34,689 Canada 125,486 127,001 1.2 19.4 19.1 139,279 140,971 1.2 15.1 14.9 -13,793 -13,970 Mexico 92,729 98,256 6.0 14.4 14.8 115,621 118,976 2.9 12.5 12.5 -22,892 -20,720Europe 134,728 140,493 4.3 20.9 21.1 188,561 202,049 7.2 20.4 21.3 -53,833 -61,556 European Union 106,896 114,652 7.3 16.5 17.2 157,563 170,408 8.2 17.0 18.0 -50,667 -55,756 Belgium 12,895 14,037 8.9 2.0 2.1 7,749 8,716 12.5 0.8 0.9 5,146 5,321 France 12,564 13,116 4.4 1.9 2.0 17,941 19,731 10.0 1.9 2.1 -5,377 -6,615 Germany 19,862 21,052 6.0 3.1 3.2 45,361 50,241 10.8 4.9 5.3 -25,499 -29,189 Ireland 2,761 3,256 17.9 0.4 0.5 13,496 13,359 -1.0 1.5 1.4 -10,735 -10,103 Italy 6,905 7,387 7.0 1.1 1.1 15,385 16,441 6.9 1.7 1.7 -8,480 -9,054 Netherlands 16,182 17,884 10.5 2.5 2.7 8,802 9,115 3.6 1.0 1.0 7,380 8,769 Spain 4,140 4,171 0.7 0.6 0.6 4,966 5,728 15.3 0.5 0.6 -826 -1,557 United Kingdom 19,924 21,251 6.7 3.1 3.2 21,468 22,447 4.6 2.3 2.4 -1,544 -1,196 Other 11,663 12,498 7.2 1.8 1.9 22,395 24,630 10.0 2.4 2.6 -10,732 -12,132 Other Europe 27,832 25,841 -7.2 4.3 3.9 30,998 31,641 2.1 3.4 3.3 -3,166 -5,800Pacific Rim Countries 153,226 161,522 5.4 23.7 24.3 304,017 312,528 2.8 32.9 33.0 -150,791 -151,006 Australia 10,368 10,810 4.3 1.6 1.6 3,905 4,146 6.2 0.4 0.4 6,463 6,664 China 45,748 49,314 7.8 7.1 7.4 166,986 174,472 4.5 18.1 18.4 -121,238 -125,158 Indonesia 3,529 3,753 6.3 0.5 0.6 7,893 8,064 2.2 0.9 0.9 -4,364 -4,311 Japan 26,568 27,660 4.1 4.1 4.2 57,515 55,273 -3.9 6.2 5.8 -30,947 -27,613 Malaysia 5,197 5,086 -2.1 0.8 0.8 11,009 11,510 4.6 1.2 1.2 -5,812 -6,424 Philippines 3,463 3,543 2.3 0.5 0.5 3,651 3,961 8.5 0.4 0.4 -188 -418 Newly Industrialized Countries 56,893 59,390 4.4 8.8 8.9 51,383 53,369 3.9 5.6 5.6 5,510 6,021 Hong Kong 16,653 16,835 1.1 2.6 2.5 2,210 2,335 5.7 0.2 0.2 14,443 14,500 Korea 16,867 18,799 11.5 2.6 2.8 26,268 27,933 6.3 2.8 2.9 -9,401 -9,134 Singapore 12,423 12,582 1.3 1.9 1.9 7,504 6,445 -14.1 0.8 0.7 4,919 6,137 Taiwan 10,950 11,174 2.0 1.7 1.7 15,400 16,656 8.2 1.7 1.8 -4,450 -5,482 Other Pacific Rim 1,461 1,965 34.5 0.2 0.3 1,676 1,733 3.4 0.2 0.2 -215 232South/Central America 74,327 75,519 1.6 11.5 11.4 66,870 63,318 -5.3 7.2 6.7 7,457 12,201 Argentina 3,967 4,453 12.3 0.6 0.7 1,818 1,749 -3.8 0.2 0.2 2,149 2,704 Brazil 17,128 17,740 3.6 2.7 2.7 10,817 11,227 3.8 1.2 1.2 6,311 6,513 Chile 7,003 6,659 -4.9 1.1 1.0 5,452 4,506 -17.4 0.6 0.5 1,551 2,153 Colombia 7,447 8,252 10.8 1.2 1.2 9,449 8,082 -14.5 1.0 0.9 -2,002 170OPEC 36,698 32,293 -12.0 5.7 4.9 64,310 61,051 -5.1 7.0 6.4 -27,612 -28,758Africa 14,906 16,193 8.6 2.3 2.4 22,419 14,765 -34.1 2.4 1.6 -7,513 1,428Other Countries 26,599 26,024 -2.2 4.1 3.9 54,967 58,661 6.7 5.9 6.2 -28,368 -32,637 India 8,734 7,802 -10.7 1.4 1.2 17,957 19,161 6.7 1.9 2.0 -9,223 -11,359 Thailand 5,082 4,557 -10.3 0.8 0.7 10,518 10,663 1.4 1.1 1.1 -5,436 -6,106 Other 12,783 13,665 6.9 2.0 2.1 26,492 28,837 8.9 2.9 3.0 -13,709 -15,172
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Departamente of Commerce de Estados Unidos.
O-6
O-6. Participación de México, Canadá y China en el Mercado de EUA: Banco de Datos 1994-2014(Millones de dólares)
Importación Total de Mercancías de Estados UnidosPeriodo Total Importado por EUA De México De Canadá De China De Resto Mundo
Dólares Var. % % Total Dólares Var. % % EUA Dólares Var. % % EUA Dólares Var. % % EUA Dólares Var. % % EUA
1994 663,252 14.2 100.00 49,494 24.0 7.46 128,406 15.5 19.36 38,787 23.0 5.85 446,565 12.2 67.331995 743,545 12.1 100.00 62,100 25.5 8.35 144,370 12.4 19.42 45,543 17.4 6.13 491,532 10.1 66.111996 795,287 7.0 100.00 74,297 19.6 9.34 155,893 8.0 19.60 51,513 13.1 6.48 513,584 4.5 64.581997 869,703 9.4 100.00 85,938 15.7 9.88 167,234 7.3 19.23 62,558 21.4 7.19 553,974 7.9 63.701998 911,897 4.9 100.00 94,629 10.1 10.38 173,256 3.6 19.00 71,169 13.8 7.80 572,843 3.4 62.821999 1,024,616 12.4 100.00 109,721 15.9 10.71 198,711 14.7 19.39 81,788 14.9 7.98 634,396 10.7 61.922000 1,218,023 18.9 100.00 135,926 23.9 11.16 230,838 16.2 18.95 100,018 22.3 8.21 751,240 18.4 61.682001 1,140,998 -6.3 100.00 131,338 -3.4 11.51 216,268 -6.3 18.95 102,278 2.3 8.96 691,114 -8.0 60.572002 1,161,366 1.8 100.00 134,616 2.5 11.59 209,088 -3.3 18.00 125,193 22.4 10.78 692,470 0.2 59.632003 1,257,121 8.2 100.00 138,060 2.6 10.98 221,595 6.0 17.63 152,436 21.8 12.13 745,030 7.6 59.262004 1,469,705 16.9 100.00 155,902 12.9 10.61 256,360 15.7 17.44 196,682 29.0 13.38 860,762 15.5 58.572005 1,673,454 13.9 100.00 170,109 9.1 10.17 290,384 13.3 17.35 243,470 23.8 14.55 969,491 12.6 57.932006 1,853,938 10.8 100.00 198,253 16.5 10.69 302,438 4.2 16.31 287,774 18.2 15.52 1,065,473 9.9 57.472007 1,956,961 5.6 100.00 210,714 6.3 10.77 317,057 4.8 16.20 321,443 11.7 16.43 1,107,747 4.0 56.612008 2,103,641 7.5 100.00 215,942 2.5 10.27 339,491 7.1 16.14 337,773 5.1 16.06 1,210,435 9.3 57.542009 1,559,625 -25.9 100.00 176,654 -18.2 11.33 226,249 -33.4 14.51 296,374 -12.3 19.00 860,348 -28.9 55.162010 1,913,857 22.7 100.00 229,908 30.1 12.01 277,637 22.7 14.51 364,953 23.1 19.07 1,041,359 21.0 54.412011 2,208,055 15.4 100.00 262,864 14.3 11.90 315,367 13.6 14.28 399,379 9.4 18.09 1,230,445 18.2 55.732012 2,275,320 3.0 101.00 277,570 5.6 12.20 323,937 2.7 14.24 425,579 6.6 18.70 1,248,235 1.4 54.862013 2,268,321 -0.3 102.00 280,456 1.0 12.36 332,553 2.7 14.66 440,448 3.5 19.42 1,214,865 -2.7 53.56
2014 2,432,121 7.2 100.00 295,991 5.5 12.17 350,528 5.4 14.41 465,814 5.8 19.15 1,319,788 8.6 54.26
Enero 184,701 -0.3 100.00 21,903 1.6 11.86 26,707 -4.8 14.46 38,197 2.7 20.68 97,894 -0.5 53.00Febrero 169,665 -0.4 100.00 22,321 1.1 13.16 25,401 -1.7 14.97 30,741 -6.1 18.12 91,203 1.7 53.75Marzo 193,346 6.3 100.00 24,956 7.8 12.91 29,426 3.8 15.22 31,234 14.4 16.15 107,731 4.5 55.72Abril 200,517 5.2 100.00 24,481 0.5 12.21 29,213 2.4 14.57 36,310 9.6 18.11 110,513 5.7 55.11Mayo 200,019 1.7 100.00 25,315 3.4 12.66 30,224 6.0 15.11 37,992 3.7 18.99 106,488 -0.6 53.24Junio e/ 204,587 10.6 100.00 25,223 10.0 12.33 29,263 8.0 14.30 39,236 9.3 19.18 110,865 11.9 54.19Julio 211,377 7.1 100.00 25,007 6.2 11.83 29,532 12.5 13.97 41,332 6.5 19.55 115,506 6.2 54.64Agosto 214,156 10.9 100.00 25,736 7.3 12.02 29,702 6.9 13.87 41,256 5.3 19.26 117,462 15.0 54.85Septiembre 211,636 10.2 100.00 24,633 5.8 11.64 29,696 5.4 14.03 42,352 5.5 20.01 114,955 14.5 54.32Octubre 224,874 9.6 100.00 26,752 5.7 11.90 31,896 7.7 14.18 44,452 6.2 19.77 121,774 12.4 54.15Noviembre 216,379 14.7 100.00 26,636 12.3 12.31 30,858 12.7 14.26 43,752 9.1 20.22 115,133 18.1 53.21Diciembre 200,863 10.1 100.00 23,028 4.1 11.46 28,610 6.1 14.24 38,962 3.9 19.40 110,263 15.0 54.89
Ene.-May.
2013 924,650 -1.7 100.00 115,621 -1.0 12.50 139,279 1.3 15.06 166,986 3.1 18.06 502,765 -4.1 54.372014 948,249 2.6 100.00 118,976 2.9 12.55 140,971 1.2 14.87 174,472 4.5 18.40 513,830 2.2 54.19
e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Departamente of Commerce de Estados Unidos.
O-7
P. Economía Mundial
Cuadro P-1.Principales Indicadores de la Economía Mundial 1980-2020
Cuadro P-2.Indice Relativo del Grado de Desarrollo Económico de México, EUA y Canadá 1980-2020
Cuadro P-3.Población Mundial por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados 1980-2020
Cuadro P-4.Distribución Porcentual de la Población por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados 1980-2020
Cuadro P-5.PIB Mundial por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados 1980-2020
Cuadro P-6.Distribución Porcentual del PIB Mundial por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados 1980-2020
Cuadro P-7.PIB Per Cápita por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados 1980-2020
Cuadro P-8.Crecimiento del PIB Real por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados 1980-2020
Cuadro P-9.Inflación Mundial por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados 1980-2020
Cuadro P-10.Indice Relativo de Desarrollo Económico por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados 1980-2020
P-1. Principales Indicadores de la Economía Mundial: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Personas y dólares)
Población PIB Mundial Nominal PIB Per Cápita Mundial PIB Mundial Real Inflación Mundial Tasa de Exportación Precio del CrudoAños Mundial Ajuste PPP Ajuste PPP Precios de 1980 Precios al Consumidor Interés de Bienes West Texas Int.
Personas Var.% Bills. de Dls. Var.% Dólares Var.% Bills. de Dls. Var.% 1980=100 Var.% LIBOR M. Mills. Dls. Var.% Dls./Barril Var.%
1980 4,453,007 1.8 11,475.7 9.7 2,577 7.8 10,952.1 1.9 100.0 17.8 13.96 2,034.0 22.6 35.71 18.91981 4,531,799 1.8 12,812.3 11.6 2,827 9.7 11,200.6 2.3 115.9 15.9 16.79 2,010.0 -1.2 34.04 -4.71982 4,612,120 1.8 13,682.9 6.8 2,967 4.9 11,279.4 0.7 133.4 15.1 12.95 1,883.0 -6.3 31.54 -7.31983 4,694,097 1.8 14,609.9 6.8 3,112 4.9 11,602.2 2.9 153.1 14.8 9.50 1,846.0 -2.0 29.47 -6.61984 4,777,828 1.8 15,859.2 8.6 3,319 6.6 12,175.9 4.9 177.9 16.2 10.60 1,956.0 6.0 28.55 -3.11985 4,863,290 1.8 17,009.1 7.3 3,497 5.4 12,659.8 4.0 205.0 15.2 8.20 1,954.0 -0.1 27.37 -4.11986 4,950,591 1.8 17,937.2 5.5 3,623 3.6 13,097.9 3.5 228.7 11.6 6.90 2,138.0 9.4 15.05 -45.01987 5,039,478 1.8 19,084.9 6.4 3,787 4.5 13,601.2 3.8 262.3 14.7 7.18 2,516.0 17.7 19.20 27.61988 5,129,113 1.8 20,631.2 8.1 4,022 6.2 14,225.2 4.6 314.2 19.8 7.97 2,869.0 14.0 15.97 -16.81989 5,218,375 1.7 22,243.0 7.8 4,262 6.0 14,778.2 3.9 393.2 25.2 9.28 3,098.0 8.0 19.64 23.01990 5,306,425 1.7 23,809.8 7.0 4,487 5.3 15,262.8 3.3 502.5 27.8 8.28 3,449.0 11.3 24.53 24.91991 5,392,939 1.6 25,099.8 5.4 4,654 3.7 15,598.5 2.2 588.5 17.1 5.98 3,516.0 1.9 21.54 -12.21992 5,478,009 1.6 28,187.1 12.3 5,146 10.6 15,961.2 2.3 790.8 34.4 3.83 3,767.0 7.1 20.58 -4.51993 5,561,744 1.5 29,457.4 4.5 5,296 2.9 16,302.9 2.1 1,064.8 34.6 3.30 3,783.0 0.4 18.43 -10.41994 5,644,416 1.5 31,039.7 5.4 5,499 3.8 16,859.8 3.4 1,359.2 27.6 4.74 4,327.0 14.4 17.20 -6.71995 5,726,239 1.4 32,855.2 5.8 5,738 4.3 17,421.3 3.3 1,556.0 14.5 6.04 5,166.0 19.4 18.43 7.21996 5,807,212 1.4 34,699.4 5.6 5,975 4.1 18,084.9 3.8 1,690.5 8.6 5.51 5,404.0 4.6 22.12 20.01997 5,887,260 1.4 36,762.7 5.9 6,244 4.5 18,829.2 4.1 1,794.0 6.1 5.74 5,593.0 3.5 20.61 -6.81998 5,966,465 1.3 38,112.2 3.7 6,388 2.3 19,322.7 2.6 1,893.5 5.5 5.56 5,503.0 -1.6 14.42 -30.01999 6,044,931 1.3 40,037.9 5.1 6,623 3.7 20,031.1 3.7 1,995.8 5.4 5.41 5,714.0 3.8 19.34 34.12000 6,122,770 1.3 42,875.0 7.1 7,003 5.7 20,965.2 4.7 2,087.4 4.6 6.53 6,459.0 13.0 30.38 57.12001 6,200,003 1.3 44,836.9 4.6 7,232 3.3 21,448.4 2.3 2,176.4 4.3 3.78 6,195.0 -4.1 25.98 -14.52002 6,276,722 1.2 46,781.4 4.3 7,453 3.1 22,055.4 2.8 2,252.5 3.5 1.79 6,495.0 4.8 26.18 0.82003 6,353,196 1.2 49,523.1 5.9 7,795 4.6 22,884.9 3.8 2,335.4 3.7 1.22 7,589.0 16.8 31.08 18.72004 6,429,758 1.2 53,443.2 7.9 8,312 6.6 24,044.9 5.1 2,418.7 3.6 1.62 9,222.0 21.5 41.51 33.62005 6,506,649 1.2 57,651.6 7.9 8,860 6.6 25,163.8 4.7 2,510.4 3.8 3.56 10,412.0 12.9 56.64 36.42006 6,583,959 1.2 62,474.5 8.4 9,489 7.1 26,484.6 5.2 2,605.7 3.8 5.19 12,050.1 15.7 66.05 16.62007 6,661,637 1.2 67,465.9 8.0 10,128 6.7 27,901.0 5.3 2,711.1 4.0 5.30 13,907.8 15.4 72.34 9.52008 6,739,610 1.2 70,557.5 4.6 10,469 3.4 28,655.7 2.7 2,873.4 6.0 2.91 16,020.9 15.2 99.67 37.82009 6,817,737 1.2 70,626.8 0.1 10,359 -1.0 28,546.5 -0.4 2,946.1 2.5 0.69 12,414.3 -22.5 61.65 -38.12010 6,895,889 1.1 75,099.4 6.3 10,890 5.1 30,024.1 5.2 3,051.9 3.6 0.34 15,163.2 22.1 79.40 28.82011 6,974,036 1.1 79,381.1 5.7 11,382 4.5 31,206.8 3.9 3,201.9 4.9 0.34 18,157.0 19.7 94.87 19.52012 7,052,135 1.1 83,258.4 4.9 11,806 3.7 32,211.9 3.2 3,328.2 3.9 0.43 18,172.5 0.1 94.11 -0.82013 7,130,014 1.1 86,995.1 4.5 12,201 3.3 33,179.9 3.0 3,446.7 3.6 0.27 18,549.1 2.1 97.91 4.0
2014 7,207,460 1.1 90,764.6 4.3 12,593 3.2 34,315.0 3.4 3,568.8 3.5 0.23 19,111.3 3.0 100.58 2.72015 7,284,296 1.1 96,038.0 5.8 13,184 4.7 35,657.7 3.9 3,697.6 3.6 0.44 20,091.0 5.1 95.16 -5.42016 7,360,430 1.0 102,024.8 6.2 13,861 5.1 37,214.4 4.4 3,839.3 3.8 1.25 21,865.1 8.8 93.08 -2.22017 7,435,810 1.0 108,266.9 6.1 14,560 5.0 39,027.7 4.9 3,999.4 4.2 2.25 24,696.9 13.0 98.65 6.02018 7,510,341 1.0 114,953.2 6.2 15,306 5.1 40,828.4 4.6 4,162.9 4.1 3.26 27,589.0 11.7 103.83 5.32019 7,583,938 1.0 121,900.5 6.0 16,074 5.0 42,585.8 4.3 4,320.1 3.8 3.31 30,277.5 9.7 107.64 3.72020 7,656,528 1.0 129,170.7 6.0 16,871 5.0 44,322.7 4.1 4,473.9 3.6 2.71 32,729.3 8.1 111.24 3.3
P-1
P-2. Indice Relativo del Grado de Desarrollo Económico de México, EUA y Canadá: Escenario Básico 2014-2020(PIB Per Cápita Mundial PPP=100)
PIB Nominal PPP PIB Per Cápita PPP Indice Relativo del Grado de Desarrollo EconómicoAños Billones de Dólares Internacionales % del PIB Mundial Dólares Internacionales por Persona PIB Per Cápita Mundial PPP=100
Mundo México Canadá EUA México Canadá EUA Mundo México Canadá EUA Mundo México Canadá EUA
1980 11,476 348 283 2,863 3.0 2.5 24.9 2,577 4,901 11,557 12,455 100.0 190.2 448.5 483.31981 12,812 413 321 3,211 3.2 2.5 25.1 2,827 5,689 12,945 13,838 100.0 201.2 457.9 489.51982 13,683 437 331 3,345 3.2 2.4 24.4 2,967 5,887 13,223 14,279 100.0 198.4 445.7 481.31983 14,610 438 353 3,638 3.0 2.4 24.9 3,112 5,790 13,979 15,382 100.0 186.0 449.1 494.21984 15,859 469 387 4,041 3.0 2.4 25.5 3,319 6,080 15,153 16,921 100.0 183.2 456.5 509.81985 17,009 495 418 4,347 2.9 2.5 25.6 3,497 6,284 16,193 18,027 100.0 179.7 463.0 515.41986 17,937 489 437 4,590 2.7 2.4 25.6 3,623 6,086 16,699 18,851 100.0 168.0 460.9 520.31987 19,085 510 467 4,870 2.7 2.4 25.5 3,787 6,221 17,604 19,804 100.0 164.3 464.8 522.91988 20,631 535 508 5,253 2.6 2.5 25.5 4,022 6,387 18,851 21,147 100.0 158.8 468.6 525.71989 22,243 578 541 5,658 2.6 2.4 25.4 4,262 6,771 19,812 22,553 100.0 158.9 464.8 529.11990 23,810 631 563 5,980 2.6 2.4 25.1 4,487 7,245 20,309 23,603 100.0 161.5 452.6 526.01991 25,100 679 569 6,174 2.7 2.3 24.6 4,654 7,662 20,289 24,135 100.0 164.6 435.9 518.61992 28,187 719 587 6,539 2.6 2.1 23.2 5,146 7,981 20,687 25,319 100.0 155.1 402.0 492.11993 29,457 755 615 6,879 2.6 2.1 23.4 5,296 8,247 21,434 26,375 100.0 155.7 404.7 498.01994 31,040 808 659 7,309 2.6 2.1 23.5 5,499 8,683 22,701 27,740 100.0 157.9 412.8 504.41995 32,855 777 691 7,664 2.4 2.1 23.3 5,738 8,227 23,571 28,777 100.0 143.4 410.8 501.51996 34,699 838 715 8,100 2.4 2.1 23.3 5,975 8,741 24,174 30,068 100.0 146.3 404.6 503.21997 36,763 912 758 8,609 2.5 2.1 23.4 6,244 9,379 25,403 31,574 100.0 150.2 406.8 505.61998 38,112 965 798 9,089 2.5 2.1 23.8 6,388 9,798 26,507 32,933 100.0 153.4 415.0 515.61999 40,038 1,005 850 9,666 2.5 2.1 24.1 6,623 10,078 27,978 34,607 100.0 152.2 422.4 522.52000 42,875 1,082 914 10,290 2.5 2.1 24.0 7,003 10,725 29,802 36,424 100.0 153.2 425.6 520.22001 44,837 1,100 951 10,625 2.5 2.1 23.7 7,232 10,773 30,699 37,211 100.0 149.0 424.5 514.52002 46,781 1,119 992 10,980 2.4 2.1 23.5 7,453 10,816 31,722 38,064 100.0 145.1 425.6 510.72003 49,523 1,157 1,032 11,512 2.3 2.1 23.2 7,795 11,050 32,638 39,521 100.0 141.8 418.7 507.02004 53,443 1,249 1,094 12,277 2.3 2.0 23.0 8,312 11,787 34,243 41,750 100.0 141.8 412.0 502.32005 57,652 1,324 1,162 13,095 2.3 2.0 22.7 8,860 12,356 36,005 44,119 100.0 139.5 406.4 497.92006 62,474 1,433 1,230 13,858 2.3 2.0 22.2 9,489 13,218 37,683 46,260 100.0 139.3 397.1 487.52007 67,466 1,517 1,287 14,480 2.2 1.9 21.5 10,128 13,820 39,042 47,903 100.0 136.5 385.5 473.02008 70,558 1,569 1,328 14,720 2.2 1.9 20.9 10,469 14,093 39,849 48,265 100.0 134.6 380.6 461.02009 70,627 1,506 1,302 14,418 2.1 1.8 20.4 10,359 13,348 38,663 46,859 100.0 128.9 373.2 452.32010 75,099 1,603 1,362 14,958 2.1 1.8 19.9 10,890 14,026 40,046 48,193 100.0 128.8 367.7 442.52011 79,381 1,699 1,424 15,534 2.1 1.8 19.6 11,382 14,685 41,459 49,615 100.0 129.0 364.2 435.92012 83,258 1,796 1,474 16,245 2.2 1.8 19.5 11,806 15,344 42,502 51,441 100.0 130.0 360.0 435.72013 86,995 1,843 1,526 16,800 2.1 1.8 19.3 12,201 15,563 43,610 52,747 100.0 127.6 357.4 432.3
2014 90,765 1,926 1,583 17,426 2.1 1.7 19.2 12,593 16,086 44,831 54,253 100.0 127.7 356.0 430.82015 96,038 2,041 1,651 18,235 2.1 1.7 19.0 13,184 16,866 46,354 56,300 100.0 127.9 351.6 427.02016 102,025 2,188 1,733 19,175 2.1 1.7 18.8 13,861 17,894 48,227 58,717 100.0 129.1 347.9 423.62017 108,267 2,365 1,828 20,308 2.2 1.7 18.8 14,560 19,150 50,436 61,684 100.0 131.5 346.4 423.62018 114,953 2,553 1,923 21,447 2.2 1.7 18.7 15,306 20,465 52,605 64,626 100.0 133.7 343.7 422.22019 121,900 2,739 2,013 22,476 2.2 1.7 18.4 16,074 21,754 54,599 67,193 100.0 135.3 339.7 418.02020 129,171 2,930 2,104 23,501 2.3 1.6 18.2 16,871 23,054 56,628 69,715 100.0 136.7 335.7 413.2
P-2
P-3. Población Mundial por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Miles de Personas)
Economías Avanzadas Economías de Mercados EmergentesZona Otras Africa Europa
Oriente Medio
Años Mundo Total Principales Economías Avanzadas del Economías Total Sub- Central y y NorteG-7 EUA Japón Alemania Francia Inglaterra Italia Canadá EURO Avanzadas sahariana Oriental de Africa
1980 4,453,007 822,040 614,949 229,825 115,915 78,289 53,880 56,303 56,221 24,516 294,638 82,095 3,630,968 359,069 149,666 203,0001981 4,531,799 827,380 618,583 232,035 116,824 78,124 54,136 56,318 56,376 24,770 295,504 82,865 3,704,420 369,295 151,420 209,7141982 4,612,120 832,631 622,194 234,261 117,711 77,945 54,409 56,341 56,510 25,016 296,264 83,658 3,779,488 379,953 153,163 216,7211983 4,694,097 837,833 625,813 236,511 118,554 77,784 54,696 56,379 56,622 25,267 296,959 84,473 3,856,264 391,008 154,884 223,9361984 4,777,828 843,028 629,476 238,794 119,321 77,687 54,989 56,437 56,710 25,539 297,647 85,304 3,934,800 402,401 156,567 231,2441985 4,863,290 848,252 633,208 241,120 119,991 77,685 55,281 56,517 56,772 25,843 298,371 86,149 4,015,038 414,088 158,200 238,5561986 4,950,591 853,516 637,023 243,496 120,553 77,783 55,575 56,623 56,809 26,183 299,136 87,004 4,097,075 426,053 159,784 245,8411987 5,039,478 858,829 640,922 245,921 121,024 77,975 55,871 56,754 56,823 26,555 299,944 87,874 4,180,650 438,302 161,312 253,0941988 5,129,113 864,223 644,909 248,382 121,435 78,260 56,163 56,902 56,825 26,943 300,825 88,770 4,264,889 450,841 162,745 260,2741989 5,218,375 869,735 648,985 250,858 121,833 78,637 56,444 57,058 56,825 27,330 301,812 89,705 4,348,639 463,686 164,034 267,3431990 5,306,425 875,386 653,144 253,339 122,251 79,098 56,708 57,214 56,832 27,701 302,923 90,688 4,431,039 476,843 165,150 274,2761991 5,392,939 881,204 657,396 255,807 122,703 79,652 56,956 57,370 56,856 28,052 304,195 91,723 4,511,735 490,322 166,074 281,0571992 5,478,009 887,174 661,733 258,276 123,178 80,283 57,190 57,525 56,895 28,386 305,610 92,801 4,590,835 504,104 166,825 287,6911993 5,561,744 893,216 666,119 260,803 123,653 80,926 57,412 57,682 56,938 28,705 307,063 93,895 4,668,528 518,123 167,463 294,2041994 5,644,416 899,215 670,504 263,469 124,098 81,495 57,629 57,839 56,965 29,009 308,407 94,966 4,745,201 532,292 168,067 300,6361995 5,726,239 905,096 674,852 266,324 124,487 81,929 57,845 57,997 56,968 29,302 309,547 95,988 4,821,144 546,557 168,699 307,0251996 5,807,212 910,822 679,144 269,394 124,815 82,200 58,058 58,157 56,938 29,582 310,427 96,956 4,896,390 560,891 169,383 313,3801997 5,887,260 916,427 683,389 272,643 125,092 82,326 58,270 58,319 56,888 29,850 311,100 97,878 4,970,832 575,327 170,105 319,7191998 5,966,465 921,992 687,612 275,986 125,326 82,350 58,496 58,488 56,852 30,114 311,715 98,754 5,044,473 589,944 170,848 326,0971999 6,044,931 927,629 691,854 279,300 125,532 82,342 58,752 58,671 56,874 30,384 312,484 99,588 5,117,303 604,851 171,577 332,5792000 6,122,770 933,420 696,141 282,496 125,720 82,349 59,048 58,874 56,986 30,667 313,552 100,387 5,189,350 620,133 172,270 339,2192001 6,200,003 939,375 700,477 285,545 125,894 82,384 59,391 59,097 57,199 30,967 314,967 101,141 5,260,628 635,822 172,922 346,0192002 6,276,722 945,458 704,843 288,467 126,048 82,432 59,775 59,340 57,499 31,282 316,664 101,857 5,331,264 651,909 173,548 352,9852003 6,353,196 951,659 709,220 291,291 126,184 82,484 60,184 59,604 57,864 31,609 318,550 102,584 5,401,537 668,381 174,170 360,1682004 6,429,758 957,953 713,583 294,063 126,299 82,524 60,597 59,892 58,264 31,944 320,481 103,389 5,471,804 685,210 174,818 367,6302005 6,506,649 964,313 717,908 296,820 126,393 82,541 60,997 60,203 58,671 32,283 322,347 104,314 5,542,336 702,380 175,513 375,4002006 6,583,959 970,748 722,192 299,564 126,465 82,536 61,378 60,538 59,082 32,628 324,128 105,384 5,613,210 719,890 176,262 383,5152007 6,661,637 977,232 726,430 302,285 126,515 82,516 61,745 60,896 59,495 32,977 325,836 106,575 5,684,405 737,765 177,055 391,9282008 6,739,610 983,656 730,597 304,989 126,545 82,475 62,098 61,270 59,891 33,328 327,434 107,825 5,755,954 756,043 177,873 400,4902009 6,817,737 989,881 734,665 307,687 126,552 82,405 62,445 61,652 60,249 33,675 328,885 109,046 5,827,856 774,776 178,690 408,9972010 6,895,889 995,807 738,613 310,384 126,536 82,302 62,787 62,036 60,551 34,017 330,166 110,172 5,900,082 793,999 179,485 417,3002011 6,974,036 1,001,384 742,427 313,085 126,497 82,163 63,126 62,417 60,789 34,350 331,252 111,183 5,972,652 813,721 180,252 425,3372012 7,052,135 1,006,638 746,112 315,791 126,435 81,991 63,458 62,798 60,964 34,675 332,148 112,097 6,045,497 833,927 180,993 433,1412013 7,130,014 1,011,638 749,689 318,498 126,345 81,804 63,783 63,177 61,087 34,994 332,900 112,942 6,118,376 854,596 181,708 440,780
2014 7,207,460 1,016,490 753,191 321,197 126,225 81,626 64,101 63,556 61,175 35,310 333,580 113,762 6,190,970 875,694 182,398 448,3672015 7,284,296 1,021,272 756,641 323,885 126,072 81,471 64,413 63,935 61,241 35,624 334,238 114,588 6,263,024 897,190 183,065 455,9832016 7,360,430 1,026,002 760,046 326,560 125,885 81,347 64,717 64,313 61,286 35,938 334,891 115,428 6,334,429 919,080 183,705 463,6392017 7,435,810 1,030,654 763,398 329,222 125,664 81,249 65,016 64,688 61,310 36,249 335,525 116,268 6,405,156 941,354 184,315 471,2972018 7,510,341 1,035,214 766,687 331,868 125,410 81,167 65,307 65,062 61,316 36,558 336,135 117,105 6,475,128 963,973 184,895 478,9322019 7,583,938 1,039,655 769,899 334,496 125,123 81,083 65,594 65,433 61,308 36,863 336,703 117,933 6,544,283 986,893 185,444 486,5012020 7,656,528 1,043,960 773,023 337,102 124,804 80,988 65,874 65,802 61,290 37,163 337,219 118,746 6,612,568 1,010,078 185,961 493,974
Continúa
P-3
Continuación
Economías de Mercados Emergentes Partidas Partidas InformativasComunidad de Estados América Países Informativas
Años Independientes Latina y el Caribe en Desarrollo de Asia UniónTotal Rusia Total Argentina Chile Brasil México Total China India ASEAN-5 OECD Europea TLCAN BRIC
1980 259,702 138,655 362,326 28,131 11,179 121,712 71,074 2,250,351 983,171 700,059 313,222 983,279 412,604 322,501 1,943,5961981 262,027 139,619 370,296 28,562 11,348 124,588 72,667 2,293,920 996,668 716,493 320,423 991,522 414,164 326,493 1,977,3691982 264,394 140,598 378,278 29,001 11,527 127,515 74,186 2,338,471 1,010,575 733,152 327,808 999,659 415,597 330,423 2,011,8401983 266,810 141,594 386,279 29,448 11,714 130,459 75,668 2,384,171 1,025,090 750,034 335,335 1,007,727 416,962 334,345 2,047,1771984 269,279 142,610 394,315 29,900 11,908 133,380 77,166 2,431,175 1,040,398 767,147 342,940 1,015,769 418,340 338,337 2,083,5351985 271,791 143,642 402,393 30,354 12,107 136,247 78,718 2,479,528 1,056,579 784,491 350,571 1,023,820 419,790 342,455 2,120,9591986 274,358 144,696 410,515 30,811 12,311 139,049 80,336 2,529,346 1,073,792 802,052 358,217 1,031,886 421,328 346,723 2,159,5891987 276,938 145,749 418,666 31,270 12,519 141,791 82,007 2,580,445 1,091,905 819,800 365,871 1,039,976 422,940 351,123 2,199,2451988 279,400 146,741 426,823 31,729 12,733 144,470 83,713 2,632,184 1,110,339 837,700 373,483 1,048,124 424,614 355,609 2,239,2501989 281,572 147,591 434,952 32,187 12,956 147,089 85,424 2,683,698 1,128,298 855,707 380,992 1,056,372 426,326 360,114 2,278,6851990 283,332 148,244 443,032 32,642 13,188 149,650 87,065 2,734,334 1,145,195 873,785 388,357 1,064,743 428,051 364,591 2,316,8741991 284,636 148,674 451,045 33,094 13,429 152,147 88,631 2,783,820 1,160,800 891,910 395,554 1,073,266 429,809 369,013 2,353,5301992 285,515 148,898 458,992 33,540 13,678 154,582 90,133 2,832,219 1,175,230 910,065 402,589 1,081,923 431,596 373,401 2,388,7751993 286,017 148,946 466,892 33,982 13,929 156,986 91,601 2,879,629 1,188,688 928,226 409,489 1,090,621 433,340 377,819 2,422,8451994 286,221 148,866 474,772 34,420 14,175 159,399 93,055 2,926,280 1,201,523 946,373 416,293 1,099,228 434,946 382,352 2,456,1611995 286,197 148,699 482,647 34,855 14,409 161,848 94,490 2,972,329 1,213,987 964,486 423,035 1,107,661 436,353 387,062 2,489,0201996 285,964 148,457 490,523 35,287 14,631 164,343 95,877 3,017,772 1,226,134 982,553 429,711 1,115,877 437,524 391,973 2,521,4871997 285,530 148,139 498,382 35,715 14,840 166,869 97,205 3,062,477 1,237,850 1,000,558 436,317 1,123,920 438,502 397,050 2,553,4161998 284,943 147,749 506,184 36,135 15,039 169,410 98,485 3,106,340 1,249,020 1,018,471 442,883 1,131,871 439,410 402,193 2,584,6501999 284,256 147,287 513,879 36,541 15,232 171,936 99,706 3,149,222 1,259,477 1,036,259 449,448 1,139,849 440,420 407,265 2,614,9592000 283,519 146,758 521,429 36,931 15,420 174,425 100,896 3,191,040 1,269,117 1,053,898 456,033 1,147,942 441,653 412,167 2,644,1982001 282,750 146,162 528,823 37,302 15,604 176,877 102,122 3,231,774 1,277,904 1,071,374 462,661 1,156,156 443,144 416,863 2,672,3172002 281,976 145,520 536,071 37,657 15,784 179,289 103,418 3,271,500 1,285,934 1,088,694 469,316 1,164,461 444,855 421,383 2,699,4372003 281,272 144,880 543,179 38,001 15,960 181,633 104,720 3,310,353 1,293,397 1,105,886 475,941 1,172,861 446,747 425,781 2,725,7962004 280,727 144,307 550,163 38,341 16,132 183,873 105,952 3,348,520 1,300,552 1,122,991 482,457 1,181,349 448,750 430,140 2,751,7242005 280,400 143,843 557,038 38,681 16,302 185,987 107,151 3,386,160 1,307,593 1,140,043 488,809 1,189,912 450,808 434,523 2,777,4662006 280,328 143,510 563,796 39,024 16,469 187,958 108,409 3,423,281 1,314,581 1,157,039 494,973 1,198,562 452,922 438,941 2,803,0882007 280,495 143,295 570,442 39,368 16,633 189,798 109,787 3,459,904 1,321,482 1,173,972 500,969 1,207,269 455,089 443,374 2,828,5462008 280,836 143,163 577,011 39,714 16,796 191,543 111,299 3,496,216 1,328,276 1,190,864 506,846 1,215,932 457,241 447,823 2,853,8462009 281,258 143,064 583,547 40,062 16,956 193,247 112,853 3,532,444 1,334,909 1,207,740 512,674 1,224,405 459,292 452,271 2,878,9602010 281,689 142,958 590,082 40,412 17,114 194,946 114,256 3,568,730 1,341,335 1,224,614 518,503 1,232,591 461,184 456,718 2,903,8542011 282,107 142,836 596,629 40,765 17,270 196,655 115,683 3,605,161 1,347,565 1,241,492 524,347 1,240,448 462,881 461,170 2,928,5482012 282,524 142,703 603,174 41,119 17,423 198,361 117,054 3,641,646 1,353,601 1,258,351 530,185 1,247,982 464,399 465,612 2,953,0162013 282,937 142,558 609,686 41,474 17,574 200,050 118,395 3,677,929 1,359,368 1,275,138 535,988 1,255,243 465,787 470,035 2,977,115
2014 283,350 142,400 616,119 41,827 17,723 201,701 119,713 3,713,646 1,364,773 1,291,780 541,715 1,262,324 467,124 474,430 3,000,6542015 283,765 142,229 622,437 42,177 17,868 203,294 121,006 3,748,518 1,369,743 1,308,221 547,334 1,269,287 468,466 478,788 3,023,4862016 284,175 142,041 628,628 42,522 18,010 204,828 122,273 3,782,453 1,374,247 1,324,435 552,836 1,276,143 469,825 483,105 3,045,5512017 284,564 141,829 634,697 42,863 18,148 206,307 123,518 3,815,480 1,378,294 1,340,420 558,228 1,282,862 471,182 487,375 3,066,8512018 284,918 141,591 640,643 43,199 18,283 207,734 124,738 3,847,604 1,381,887 1,356,165 563,509 1,289,424 472,522 491,590 3,087,3762019 285,219 141,322 646,471 43,530 18,414 209,108 125,929 3,878,869 1,385,048 1,371,663 568,680 1,295,802 473,818 495,744 3,107,1422020 285,454 141,022 652,182 43,856 18,540 210,433 127,092 3,909,300 1,387,792 1,386,909 573,743 1,301,971 475,052 499,829 3,126,156
Conclusión
P-4
P-4. Distribución Porcentual de la Población por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados: Escenario Base 2014-2020(% del total de la población mundial)
Economías Avanzadas Economías de Mercados EmergentesZona Otras Africa Europa
Oriente Medio
Años Mundo Total Principales Economías Avanzadas del Economías Total Sub- Central y y NorteG-7 EUA Japón Alemania Francia Inglaterra Italia Canadá EURO Avanzadas sahariana Oriental de Africa
1980 100.0 18.5 13.8 5.2 2.6 1.8 1.2 1.3 1.3 0.6 6.6 1.8 81.5 8.1 3.4 4.61981 100.0 18.3 13.6 5.1 2.6 1.7 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.5 6.5 1.8 81.7 8.1 3.3 4.61982 100.0 18.1 13.5 5.1 2.6 1.7 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.5 6.4 1.8 81.9 8.2 3.3 4.71983 100.0 17.8 13.3 5.0 2.5 1.7 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.5 6.3 1.8 82.2 8.3 3.3 4.81984 100.0 17.6 13.2 5.0 2.5 1.6 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.5 6.2 1.8 82.4 8.4 3.3 4.81985 100.0 17.4 13.0 5.0 2.5 1.6 1.1 1.2 1.2 0.5 6.1 1.8 82.6 8.5 3.3 4.91986 100.0 17.2 12.9 4.9 2.4 1.6 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.5 6.0 1.8 82.8 8.6 3.2 5.01987 100.0 17.0 12.7 4.9 2.4 1.5 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.5 6.0 1.7 83.0 8.7 3.2 5.01988 100.0 16.8 12.6 4.8 2.4 1.5 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.5 5.9 1.7 83.2 8.8 3.2 5.11989 100.0 16.7 12.4 4.8 2.3 1.5 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.5 5.8 1.7 83.3 8.9 3.1 5.11990 100.0 16.5 12.3 4.8 2.3 1.5 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.5 5.7 1.7 83.5 9.0 3.1 5.21991 100.0 16.3 12.2 4.7 2.3 1.5 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.5 5.6 1.7 83.7 9.1 3.1 5.21992 100.0 16.2 12.1 4.7 2.2 1.5 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.5 5.6 1.7 83.8 9.2 3.0 5.31993 100.0 16.1 12.0 4.7 2.2 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 5.5 1.7 83.9 9.3 3.0 5.31994 100.0 15.9 11.9 4.7 2.2 1.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 5.5 1.7 84.1 9.4 3.0 5.31995 100.0 15.8 11.8 4.7 2.2 1.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 5.4 1.7 84.2 9.5 2.9 5.41996 100.0 15.7 11.7 4.6 2.1 1.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 5.3 1.7 84.3 9.7 2.9 5.41997 100.0 15.6 11.6 4.6 2.1 1.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 5.3 1.7 84.4 9.8 2.9 5.41998 100.0 15.5 11.5 4.6 2.1 1.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 5.2 1.7 84.5 9.9 2.9 5.51999 100.0 15.3 11.4 4.6 2.1 1.4 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.5 5.2 1.6 84.7 10.0 2.8 5.52000 100.0 15.2 11.4 4.6 2.1 1.3 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.5 5.1 1.6 84.8 10.1 2.8 5.52001 100.0 15.2 11.3 4.6 2.0 1.3 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.5 5.1 1.6 84.8 10.3 2.8 5.62002 100.0 15.1 11.2 4.6 2.0 1.3 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.5 5.0 1.6 84.9 10.4 2.8 5.62003 100.0 15.0 11.2 4.6 2.0 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.5 5.0 1.6 85.0 10.5 2.7 5.72004 100.0 14.9 11.1 4.6 2.0 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.5 5.0 1.6 85.1 10.7 2.7 5.72005 100.0 14.8 11.0 4.6 1.9 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.5 5.0 1.6 85.2 10.8 2.7 5.82006 100.0 14.7 11.0 4.5 1.9 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.5 4.9 1.6 85.3 10.9 2.7 5.82007 100.0 14.7 10.9 4.5 1.9 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.5 4.9 1.6 85.3 11.1 2.7 5.92008 100.0 14.6 10.8 4.5 1.9 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.5 4.9 1.6 85.4 11.2 2.6 5.92009 100.0 14.5 10.8 4.5 1.9 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.5 4.8 1.6 85.5 11.4 2.6 6.02010 100.0 14.4 10.7 4.5 1.8 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.5 4.8 1.6 85.6 11.5 2.6 6.12011 100.0 14.4 10.6 4.5 1.8 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.5 4.7 1.6 85.6 11.7 2.6 6.12012 100.0 14.3 10.6 4.5 1.8 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.5 4.7 1.6 85.7 11.8 2.6 6.12013 100.0 14.2 10.5 4.5 1.8 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.5 4.7 1.6 85.8 12.0 2.5 6.2
2014 100.0 14.1 10.5 4.5 1.8 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.5 4.6 1.6 85.9 12.1 2.5 6.22015 100.0 14.0 10.4 4.4 1.7 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.5 4.6 1.6 86.0 12.3 2.5 6.32016 100.0 13.9 10.3 4.4 1.7 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.5 4.5 1.6 86.1 12.5 2.5 6.32017 100.0 13.9 10.3 4.4 1.7 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.5 4.5 1.6 86.1 12.7 2.5 6.32018 100.0 13.8 10.2 4.4 1.7 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.5 4.5 1.6 86.2 12.8 2.5 6.42019 100.0 13.7 10.2 4.4 1.6 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.5 4.4 1.6 86.3 13.0 2.4 6.42020 100.0 13.6 10.1 4.4 1.6 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.5 4.4 1.6 86.4 13.2 2.4 6.5
Continúa
P-5
Continuación
Economías de Mercados Emergentes Partidas Partidas InformativasComunidad de Estados América Países Informativas
Años Independientes Latina y el Caribe en Desarrollo de Asia UniónTotal Rusia Total Argentina Chile Brasil México Total China India ASEAN-5 OECD Europea TLCAN BRIC
1980 5.8 3.1 8.1 0.6 0.3 2.7 1.6 50.5 22.1 15.7 7.0 22.1 9.3 7.2 43.61981 5.8 3.1 8.2 0.6 0.3 2.7 1.6 50.6 22.0 15.8 7.1 21.9 9.1 7.2 43.61982 5.7 3.0 8.2 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.6 50.7 21.9 15.9 7.1 21.7 9.0 7.2 43.61983 5.7 3.0 8.2 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.6 50.8 21.8 16.0 7.1 21.5 8.9 7.1 43.61984 5.6 3.0 8.3 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.6 50.9 21.8 16.1 7.2 21.3 8.8 7.1 43.61985 5.6 3.0 8.3 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.6 51.0 21.7 16.1 7.2 21.1 8.6 7.0 43.61986 5.5 2.9 8.3 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.6 51.1 21.7 16.2 7.2 20.8 8.5 7.0 43.61987 5.5 2.9 8.3 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.6 51.2 21.7 16.3 7.3 20.6 8.4 7.0 43.61988 5.4 2.9 8.3 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.6 51.3 21.6 16.3 7.3 20.4 8.3 6.9 43.71989 5.4 2.8 8.3 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.6 51.4 21.6 16.4 7.3 20.2 8.2 6.9 43.71990 5.3 2.8 8.3 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.6 51.5 21.6 16.5 7.3 20.1 8.1 6.9 43.71991 5.3 2.8 8.4 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.6 51.6 21.5 16.5 7.3 19.9 8.0 6.8 43.61992 5.2 2.7 8.4 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.6 51.7 21.5 16.6 7.3 19.8 7.9 6.8 43.61993 5.1 2.7 8.4 0.6 0.3 2.8 1.6 51.8 21.4 16.7 7.4 19.6 7.8 6.8 43.61994 5.1 2.6 8.4 0.6 0.3 2.8 1.6 51.8 21.3 16.8 7.4 19.5 7.7 6.8 43.51995 5.0 2.6 8.4 0.6 0.3 2.8 1.7 51.9 21.2 16.8 7.4 19.3 7.6 6.8 43.51996 4.9 2.6 8.4 0.6 0.3 2.8 1.7 52.0 21.1 16.9 7.4 19.2 7.5 6.7 43.41997 4.8 2.5 8.5 0.6 0.3 2.8 1.7 52.0 21.0 17.0 7.4 19.1 7.4 6.7 43.41998 4.8 2.5 8.5 0.6 0.3 2.8 1.7 52.1 20.9 17.1 7.4 19.0 7.4 6.7 43.31999 4.7 2.4 8.5 0.6 0.3 2.8 1.6 52.1 20.8 17.1 7.4 18.9 7.3 6.7 43.32000 4.6 2.4 8.5 0.6 0.3 2.8 1.6 52.1 20.7 17.2 7.4 18.7 7.2 6.7 43.22001 4.6 2.4 8.5 0.6 0.3 2.9 1.6 52.1 20.6 17.3 7.5 18.6 7.1 6.7 43.12002 4.5 2.3 8.5 0.6 0.3 2.9 1.6 52.1 20.5 17.3 7.5 18.6 7.1 6.7 43.02003 4.4 2.3 8.5 0.6 0.3 2.9 1.6 52.1 20.4 17.4 7.5 18.5 7.0 6.7 42.92004 4.4 2.2 8.6 0.6 0.3 2.9 1.6 52.1 20.2 17.5 7.5 18.4 7.0 6.7 42.82005 4.3 2.2 8.6 0.6 0.3 2.9 1.6 52.0 20.1 17.5 7.5 18.3 6.9 6.7 42.72006 4.3 2.2 8.6 0.6 0.3 2.9 1.6 52.0 20.0 17.6 7.5 18.2 6.9 6.7 42.62007 4.2 2.2 8.6 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.6 51.9 19.8 17.6 7.5 18.1 6.8 6.7 42.52008 4.2 2.1 8.6 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.7 51.9 19.7 17.7 7.5 18.0 6.8 6.6 42.32009 4.1 2.1 8.6 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.7 51.8 19.6 17.7 7.5 18.0 6.7 6.6 42.22010 4.1 2.1 8.6 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.7 51.8 19.5 17.8 7.5 17.9 6.7 6.6 42.12011 4.0 2.0 8.6 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.7 51.7 19.3 17.8 7.5 17.8 6.6 6.6 42.02012 4.0 2.0 8.6 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.7 51.6 19.2 17.8 7.5 17.7 6.6 6.6 41.92013 4.0 2.0 8.6 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.7 51.6 19.1 17.9 7.5 17.6 6.5 6.6 41.8
2014 3.9 2.0 8.5 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.7 51.5 18.9 17.9 7.5 17.5 6.5 6.6 41.62015 3.9 2.0 8.5 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.7 51.5 18.8 18.0 7.5 17.4 6.4 6.6 41.52016 3.9 1.9 8.5 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.7 51.4 18.7 18.0 7.5 17.3 6.4 6.6 41.42017 3.8 1.9 8.5 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.7 51.3 18.5 18.0 7.5 17.3 6.3 6.6 41.22018 3.8 1.9 8.5 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.7 51.2 18.4 18.1 7.5 17.2 6.3 6.5 41.12019 3.8 1.9 8.5 0.6 0.2 2.8 1.7 51.1 18.3 18.1 7.5 17.1 6.2 6.5 41.02020 3.7 1.8 8.5 0.6 0.2 2.7 1.7 51.1 18.1 18.1 7.5 17.0 6.2 6.5 40.8
Conclusión
P-6
P-5. PIB Mundial por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionado: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Billones de dólares con ajuste PPP Purchasing Power Parity)
Economías Avanzadas Economías de Mercados EmergentesZona Otras Africa Europa
Oriente Medio
Años Mundo Total Principales Economías Avanzadas del Economías Total Sub- Central y y NorteG-7 EUA Japón Alemania Francia Inglaterra Italia Canadá EURO Avanzadas sahariana Oriental de Africa
1980 11,476 7,920 6,424 2,863 1,005 769 542 449 514 283 ….. 685 3,556 306 ….. 5731981 12,812 8,830 7,166 3,211 1,145 842 598 484 566 321 ….. 777 3,983 355 ….. 6381982 13,683 9,393 7,601 3,345 1,257 887 651 526 605 331 ….. 844 4,290 379 ….. 6781983 14,610 10,071 8,161 3,638 1,347 936 685 568 635 353 ….. 912 4,539 390 ….. 7201984 15,859 10,942 8,884 4,041 1,457 997 719 605 679 387 ….. 1,005 4,917 415 ….. 7671985 17,009 11,732 9,538 4,347 1,598 1,051 754 649 720 418 ….. 1,082 5,277 437 ….. 8111986 17,937 12,367 10,035 4,590 1,677 1,098 787 690 756 437 ….. 1,166 5,570 449 ….. 8101987 19,085 13,149 10,641 4,870 1,790 1,143 826 744 800 467 ….. 1,273 5,936 463 ….. 8281988 20,631 14,262 11,543 5,253 1,985 1,227 895 813 862 508 ….. 1,386 6,369 501 ….. 8421989 22,243 15,417 12,459 5,658 2,173 1,325 969 867 926 541 ….. 1,508 6,826 536 ….. 9171990 23,810 16,496 13,300 5,980 2,379 1,452 1,031 915 980 563 ….. 1,636 7,314 573 ….. 1,0361991 25,100 17,293 13,896 6,174 2,540 1,576 1,076 933 1,027 569 5,411 1,750 7,807 590 ….. 1,1331992 28,187 18,125 14,525 6,539 2,619 1,636 1,117 967 1,059 587 5,611 1,872 10,062 596 859 1,2111993 29,457 18,880 15,074 6,879 2,686 1,658 1,136 1,025 1,075 615 5,699 1,995 10,577 614 908 1,2561994 31,040 19,940 15,877 7,309 2,767 1,736 1,186 1,098 1,122 659 5,966 2,162 11,100 637 928 1,3141995 32,855 21,077 16,613 7,664 2,880 1,804 1,236 1,161 1,178 691 6,267 2,455 11,778 672 1,026 1,3671996 34,699 22,110 17,384 8,100 3,009 1,852 1,272 1,223 1,213 715 6,478 2,619 12,590 720 1,096 1,4621997 36,763 23,284 18,271 8,609 3,109 1,917 1,322 1,298 1,257 758 6,758 2,780 13,479 757 1,207 1,5491998 38,112 24,142 18,967 9,089 3,080 1,970 1,382 1,359 1,289 798 7,021 2,823 13,970 782 1,270 1,6321999 40,038 25,367 19,860 9,666 3,118 2,033 1,447 1,419 1,327 850 7,326 3,015 14,671 813 1,288 1,6912000 42,875 27,004 21,068 10,290 3,261 2,148 1,535 1,515 1,406 914 7,776 3,262 15,871 875 1,395 1,8242001 44,837 28,007 21,803 10,625 3,347 2,233 1,599 1,583 1,465 951 8,111 3,393 16,830 936 1,424 1,9212002 46,781 28,920 22,426 10,980 3,408 2,268 1,638 1,644 1,495 992 8,311 3,580 17,862 1,011 1,508 2,0282003 49,523 30,122 23,337 11,512 3,535 2,304 1,686 1,744 1,524 1,032 8,538 3,749 19,401 1,078 1,611 2,2682004 53,443 31,939 24,684 12,277 3,706 2,399 1,775 1,851 1,583 1,094 8,952 4,044 21,504 1,183 1,788 2,5072005 57,652 33,859 26,111 13,095 3,890 2,492 1,862 1,968 1,642 1,162 9,388 4,346 23,792 1,283 1,965 2,7902006 62,474 35,955 27,613 13,858 4,077 2,669 1,967 2,084 1,729 1,230 9,991 4,695 26,519 1,404 2,153 3,0692007 67,466 37,912 28,960 14,480 4,277 2,832 2,065 2,213 1,805 1,287 10,563 5,062 29,554 1,541 2,328 3,3362008 70,558 38,686 29,436 14,720 4,315 2,911 2,104 2,238 1,819 1,328 10,809 5,248 31,872 1,658 2,450 3,5692009 70,627 37,629 28,537 14,418 4,108 2,784 2,053 2,139 1,732 1,302 10,410 5,224 32,998 1,712 2,380 3,7002010 75,099 39,223 29,697 14,958 4,351 2,926 2,114 2,201 1,783 1,362 10,742 5,588 35,876 1,830 2,518 3,9482011 79,381 40,672 30,755 15,534 4,416 3,085 2,199 2,269 1,827 1,424 11,127 5,887 38,709 1,989 2,704 4,0242012 83,258 41,909 31,812 16,245 4,559 3,167 2,238 2,315 1,815 1,474 11,244 6,104 41,349 2,115 2,789 4,2142013 86,995 43,137 32,734 16,800 4,699 3,233 2,278 2,391 1,808 1,526 11,361 6,337 43,858 2,249 2,909 4,368
2014 90,765 44,618 33,858 17,426 4,826 3,344 2,334 2,500 1,845 1,583 11,678 6,634 46,146 2,404 3,029 4,5812015 96,038 46,626 35,236 18,235 4,958 3,474 2,412 2,607 1,899 1,651 12,085 6,976 49,412 2,581 3,176 4,8782016 102,025 48,870 36,820 19,175 5,096 3,620 2,505 2,729 1,962 1,733 12,580 7,357 53,155 2,786 3,348 5,2152017 108,267 51,042 38,717 20,308 5,281 3,787 2,611 2,871 2,032 1,828 13,143 7,788 57,225 3,021 3,545 5,5932018 114,953 53,258 40,608 21,447 5,456 3,951 2,720 3,011 2,100 1,923 13,703 8,229 61,695 3,267 3,744 5,9822019 121,900 55,469 42,369 22,476 5,628 4,107 2,825 3,152 2,168 2,013 14,253 8,689 66,431 3,521 3,947 6,3832020 129,171 57,706 44,121 23,501 5,803 4,259 2,927 3,291 2,236 2,104 14,789 9,158 71,465 3,709 4,156 6,798
Continúa
P-7
Continuación
Economías de Mercados Emergentes Partidas Partidas InformativasComunidad de Estados América Países Informativas
Años Independientes Latina y el Caribe en Desarrollo de Asia UniónTotal Rusia Total Argentina Chile Brasil México Total China India ASEAN-5 OECD Europea TLCAN BRIC
1980 ….. ….. 1,313 137 33 450 348 865 250 292 274 8,508 3,543 3,494 2,2711981 ….. ….. 1,448 141 38 470 413 1,000 287 338 317 9,488 3,864 3,945 2,4211982 ….. ….. 1,528 145 35 502 437 1,121 333 374 350 10,078 4,138 4,113 2,5741983 ….. ….. 1,543 156 35 504 438 1,251 384 419 380 10,770 4,384 4,429 2,7061984 ….. ….. 1,659 165 39 550 469 1,390 458 450 408 11,680 4,654 4,897 2,8851985 ….. ….. 1,764 159 41 612 495 1,537 536 489 424 12,514 4,919 5,260 3,0791986 ….. ….. 1,870 173 44 672 489 1,666 595 523 453 13,152 5,163 5,516 3,2301987 ….. ….. 1,980 182 48 714 510 1,830 681 558 490 13,968 5,448 5,848 3,3791988 ….. ….. 2,068 185 53 741 535 2,073 785 633 548 15,113 5,866 6,295 3,5561989 ….. ….. 2,167 179 61 794 578 2,279 848 696 618 16,315 6,305 6,778 3,6941990 ….. ….. 2,259 183 66 789 631 2,490 914 762 690 17,442 6,704 7,173 3,7661991 ….. ….. 2,422 209 74 824 679 2,718 1,031 796 757 18,252 6,998 7,422 3,8871992 1,641 1,170 2,557 236 85 839 719 3,031 1,204 859 823 19,118 7,296 7,846 4,0721993 1,516 1,094 2,722 256 93 899 755 3,386 1,405 921 906 19,928 7,512 8,249 4,3191994 1,334 975 2,912 277 100 967 808 3,789 1,623 1,003 997 21,008 7,900 8,775 4,5681995 1,285 955 3,008 275 113 1,031 777 4,220 1,838 1,101 1,102 22,148 8,459 9,132 4,9251996 1,259 937 3,174 295 123 1,072 838 4,662 2,059 1,206 1,206 23,268 8,794 9,653 5,2741997 1,298 966 3,401 325 134 1,127 912 5,042 2,288 1,277 1,274 24,549 9,202 10,278 5,6581998 1,263 925 3,514 341 139 1,140 965 5,274 2,494 1,370 1,176 25,502 9,570 10,852 5,9291999 1,348 997 3,566 334 140 1,159 1,005 5,716 2,723 1,513 1,230 26,738 9,988 11,521 6,3922000 1,505 1,123 3,783 339 150 1,236 1,082 6,225 3,020 1,607 1,324 28,464 10,630 12,286 6,9852001 1,632 1,207 3,887 331 159 1,281 1,100 6,755 3,345 1,723 1,395 29,483 11,107 12,676 7,5562002 1,744 1,283 3,954 300 165 1,335 1,119 7,316 3,705 1,816 1,486 30,432 11,436 13,091 8,1392003 1,916 1,404 4,112 333 174 1,378 1,157 8,094 4,158 1,997 1,603 31,704 11,857 13,701 8,9372004 2,129 1,547 4,481 373 190 1,495 1,249 9,068 4,698 2,241 1,758 33,666 12,506 14,620 9,9802005 2,341 1,697 4,819 419 207 1,585 1,324 10,214 5,364 2,518 1,919 35,719 13,180 15,582 11,1632006 2,623 1,891 5,244 469 225 1,698 1,433 11,609 6,230 2,836 2,087 37,972 14,073 16,520 12,6552007 2,931 2,107 5,691 523 243 1,849 1,517 13,274 7,301 3,196 2,274 40,036 14,936 17,285 14,4542008 3,147 2,261 6,048 569 256 1,983 1,569 14,515 8,161 3,385 2,428 40,904 15,312 17,617 15,7912009 2,958 2,101 6,014 578 256 1,992 1,506 15,740 8,982 3,701 2,488 39,772 14,742 17,226 16,7752010 3,141 2,222 6,449 639 274 2,167 1,603 17,477 10,040 4,130 2,694 41,455 15,211 17,923 18,5592011 3,357 2,363 6,874 709 295 2,270 1,699 19,218 11,189 4,491 2,869 43,080 15,769 18,657 20,3132012 3,529 2,486 7,207 735 316 2,334 1,796 20,865 12,256 4,786 3,100 44,502 15,994 19,514 21,8622013 3,655 2,556 7,513 778 335 2,423 1,843 22,554 13,395 5,069 3,308 45,770 16,261 20,168 23,444
2014 3,447 2,609 7,810 796 351 2,497 1,926 24,421 14,612 5,415 3,526 47,506 16,777 20,935 25,1332015 3,618 2,704 8,213 823 372 2,592 2,041 26,519 15,925 5,829 3,784 49,497 17,403 21,927 27,0502016 3,809 2,816 8,679 854 396 2,705 2,188 28,885 17,422 6,307 4,085 51,658 18,123 23,096 29,2502017 4,039 2,947 9,214 893 424 2,844 2,365 31,478 19,129 6,861 4,442 53,964 18,946 24,501 31,7802018 4,269 3,078 9,777 932 453 2,983 2,553 34,293 20,938 7,460 4,817 56,313 19,764 25,923 34,4602019 4,500 3,210 10,343 972 484 3,124 2,739 37,365 22,879 8,100 5,210 58,713 20,570 27,228 37,3122020 4,732 3,342 10,932 1,012 513 3,261 2,930 40,738 24,938 8,764 5,614 61,153 21,359 28,535 40,305
Conclusión
P-8
P-6. Distribución Porcentual del PIB Mundial por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados: Escenario Base 2014-2020(% del total del PIB Mundial)
Economías Avanzadas Economías de Mercados EmergentesZona Otras Africa Europa
Oriente Medio
Años Mundo Total Principales Economías Avanzadas del Economías Total Sub- Central y y NorteG-7 EUA Japón Alemania Francia Inglaterra Italia Canadá EURO Avanzadas sahariana Oriental de Africa
1980 100.0 69.0 56.0 24.9 8.8 6.7 4.7 3.9 4.5 2.5 ….. 6.0 31.0 2.7 ….. 5.01981 100.0 68.9 55.9 25.1 8.9 6.6 4.7 3.8 4.4 2.5 ….. 6.1 31.1 2.8 ….. 5.01982 100.0 68.6 55.6 24.4 9.2 6.5 4.8 3.8 4.4 2.4 ….. 6.2 31.4 2.8 ….. 5.01983 100.0 68.9 55.9 24.9 9.2 6.4 4.7 3.9 4.3 2.4 ….. 6.2 31.1 2.7 ….. 4.91984 100.0 69.0 56.0 25.5 9.2 6.3 4.5 3.8 4.3 2.4 ….. 6.3 31.0 2.6 ….. 4.81985 100.0 69.0 56.1 25.6 9.4 6.2 4.4 3.8 4.2 2.5 ….. 6.4 31.0 2.6 ….. 4.81986 100.0 68.9 55.9 25.6 9.3 6.1 4.4 3.8 4.2 2.4 ….. 6.5 31.1 2.5 ….. 4.51987 100.0 68.9 55.8 25.5 9.4 6.0 4.3 3.9 4.2 2.4 ….. 6.7 31.1 2.4 ….. 4.31988 100.0 69.1 56.0 25.5 9.6 5.9 4.3 3.9 4.2 2.5 ….. 6.7 30.9 2.4 ….. 4.11989 100.0 69.3 56.0 25.4 9.8 6.0 4.4 3.9 4.2 2.4 ….. 6.8 30.7 2.4 ….. 4.11990 100.0 69.3 55.9 25.1 10.0 6.1 4.3 3.8 4.1 2.4 ….. 6.9 30.7 2.4 ….. 4.31991 100.0 68.9 55.4 24.6 10.1 6.3 4.3 3.7 4.1 2.3 21.6 7.0 31.1 2.4 ….. 4.51992 100.0 64.3 51.5 23.2 9.3 5.8 4.0 3.4 3.8 2.1 19.9 6.6 35.7 2.1 3.0 4.31993 100.0 64.1 51.2 23.4 9.1 5.6 3.9 3.5 3.7 2.1 19.3 6.8 35.9 2.1 3.1 4.31994 100.0 64.2 51.2 23.5 8.9 5.6 3.8 3.5 3.6 2.1 19.2 7.0 35.8 2.1 3.0 4.21995 100.0 64.2 50.6 23.3 8.8 5.5 3.8 3.5 3.6 2.1 19.1 7.5 35.8 2.0 3.1 4.21996 100.0 63.7 50.1 23.3 8.7 5.3 3.7 3.5 3.5 2.1 18.7 7.5 36.3 2.1 3.2 4.21997 100.0 63.3 49.7 23.4 8.5 5.2 3.6 3.5 3.4 2.1 18.4 7.6 36.7 2.1 3.3 4.21998 100.0 63.3 49.8 23.8 8.1 5.2 3.6 3.6 3.4 2.1 18.4 7.4 36.7 2.1 3.3 4.31999 100.0 63.4 49.6 24.1 7.8 5.1 3.6 3.5 3.3 2.1 18.3 7.5 36.6 2.0 3.2 4.22000 100.0 63.0 49.1 24.0 7.6 5.0 3.6 3.5 3.3 2.1 18.1 7.6 37.0 2.0 3.3 4.32001 100.0 62.5 48.6 23.7 7.5 5.0 3.6 3.5 3.3 2.1 18.1 7.6 37.5 2.1 3.2 4.32002 100.0 61.8 47.9 23.5 7.3 4.8 3.5 3.5 3.2 2.1 17.8 7.7 38.2 2.2 3.2 4.32003 100.0 60.8 47.1 23.2 7.1 4.7 3.4 3.5 3.1 2.1 17.2 7.6 39.2 2.2 3.3 4.62004 100.0 59.8 46.2 23.0 6.9 4.5 3.3 3.5 3.0 2.0 16.8 7.6 40.2 2.2 3.3 4.72005 100.0 58.7 45.3 22.7 6.7 4.3 3.2 3.4 2.8 2.0 16.3 7.5 41.3 2.2 3.4 4.82006 100.0 57.6 44.2 22.2 6.5 4.3 3.1 3.3 2.8 2.0 16.0 7.5 42.4 2.2 3.4 4.92007 100.0 56.2 42.9 21.5 6.3 4.2 3.1 3.3 2.7 1.9 15.7 7.5 43.8 2.3 3.5 4.92008 100.0 54.8 41.7 20.9 6.1 4.1 3.0 3.2 2.6 1.9 15.3 7.4 45.2 2.4 3.5 5.12009 100.0 53.3 40.4 20.4 5.8 3.9 2.9 3.0 2.5 1.8 14.7 7.4 46.7 2.4 3.4 5.22010 100.0 52.2 39.5 19.9 5.8 3.9 2.8 2.9 2.4 1.8 14.3 7.4 47.8 2.4 3.4 5.32011 100.0 51.2 38.7 19.6 5.6 3.9 2.8 2.9 2.3 1.8 14.0 7.4 48.8 2.5 3.4 5.12012 100.0 50.3 38.2 19.5 5.5 3.8 2.7 2.8 2.2 1.8 13.5 7.3 49.7 2.5 3.3 5.12013 100.0 49.6 37.6 19.3 5.4 3.7 2.6 2.7 2.1 1.8 13.1 7.3 50.4 2.6 3.3 5.0
2014 100.0 49.2 37.3 19.2 5.3 3.7 2.6 2.8 2.0 1.7 12.9 7.3 50.8 2.6 3.3 5.02015 100.0 48.5 36.7 19.0 5.2 3.6 2.5 2.7 2.0 1.7 12.6 7.3 51.5 2.7 3.3 5.12016 100.0 47.9 36.1 18.8 5.0 3.5 2.5 2.7 1.9 1.7 12.3 7.2 52.1 2.7 3.3 5.12017 100.0 47.1 35.8 18.8 4.9 3.5 2.4 2.7 1.9 1.7 12.1 7.2 52.9 2.8 3.3 5.22018 100.0 46.3 35.3 18.7 4.7 3.4 2.4 2.6 1.8 1.7 11.9 7.2 53.7 2.8 3.3 5.22019 100.0 45.5 34.8 18.4 4.6 3.4 2.3 2.6 1.8 1.7 11.7 7.1 54.5 2.9 3.2 5.22020 100.0 44.7 34.2 18.2 4.5 3.3 2.3 2.5 1.7 1.6 11.4 7.1 55.3 2.9 3.2 5.3
Continúa
P-9
Continuación
Economías de Mercados Emergentes Partidas Partidas InformativasComunidad de Estados América Países Informativas
Años Independientes Latina y el Caribe en Desarrollo de Asia UniónTotal Rusia Total Argentina Chile Brasil México Total China India ASEAN-5 OECD Europea TLCAN BRIC
1980 ….. ….. 11.4 1.2 0.3 3.9 3.0 7.5 2.2 2.5 2.4 74.1 30.9 30.4 19.81981 ….. ….. 11.3 1.1 0.3 3.7 3.2 7.8 2.2 2.6 2.5 74.1 30.2 30.8 18.91982 ….. ….. 11.2 1.1 0.3 3.7 3.2 8.2 2.4 2.7 2.6 73.7 30.2 30.1 18.81983 ….. ….. 10.6 1.1 0.2 3.5 3.0 8.6 2.6 2.9 2.6 73.7 30.0 30.3 18.51984 ….. ….. 10.5 1.0 0.2 3.5 3.0 8.8 2.9 2.8 2.6 73.6 29.3 30.9 18.21985 ….. ….. 10.4 0.9 0.2 3.6 2.9 9.0 3.2 2.9 2.5 73.6 28.9 30.9 18.11986 ….. ….. 10.4 1.0 0.2 3.7 2.7 9.3 3.3 2.9 2.5 73.3 28.8 30.8 18.01987 ….. ….. 10.4 1.0 0.3 3.7 2.7 9.6 3.6 2.9 2.6 73.2 28.5 30.6 17.71988 ….. ….. 10.0 0.9 0.3 3.6 2.6 10.0 3.8 3.1 2.7 73.3 28.4 30.5 17.21989 ….. ….. 9.7 0.8 0.3 3.6 2.6 10.2 3.8 3.1 2.8 73.3 28.3 30.5 16.61990 ….. ….. 9.5 0.8 0.3 3.3 2.6 10.5 3.8 3.2 2.9 73.3 28.2 30.1 15.81991 ….. ….. 9.6 0.8 0.3 3.3 2.7 10.8 4.1 3.2 3.0 72.7 27.9 29.6 15.51992 5.8 4.2 9.1 0.8 0.3 3.0 2.6 10.8 4.3 3.0 2.9 67.8 25.9 27.8 14.41993 5.1 3.7 9.2 0.9 0.3 3.1 2.6 11.5 4.8 3.1 3.1 67.6 25.5 28.0 14.71994 4.3 3.1 9.4 0.9 0.3 3.1 2.6 12.2 5.2 3.2 3.2 67.7 25.5 28.3 14.71995 3.9 2.9 9.2 0.8 0.3 3.1 2.4 12.8 5.6 3.4 3.4 67.4 25.7 27.8 15.01996 3.6 2.7 9.1 0.9 0.4 3.1 2.4 13.4 5.9 3.5 3.5 67.1 25.3 27.8 15.21997 3.5 2.6 9.3 0.9 0.4 3.1 2.5 13.7 6.2 3.5 3.5 66.8 25.0 28.0 15.41998 3.3 2.4 9.2 0.9 0.4 3.0 2.5 13.8 6.5 3.6 3.1 66.9 25.1 28.5 15.61999 3.4 2.5 8.9 0.8 0.4 2.9 2.5 14.3 6.8 3.8 3.1 66.8 24.9 28.8 16.02000 3.5 2.6 8.8 0.8 0.3 2.9 2.5 14.5 7.0 3.7 3.1 66.4 24.8 28.7 16.32001 3.6 2.7 8.7 0.7 0.4 2.9 2.5 15.1 7.5 3.8 3.1 65.8 24.8 28.3 16.92002 3.7 2.7 8.5 0.6 0.4 2.9 2.4 15.6 7.9 3.9 3.2 65.1 24.4 28.0 17.42003 3.9 2.8 8.3 0.7 0.4 2.8 2.3 16.3 8.4 4.0 3.2 64.0 23.9 27.7 18.02004 4.0 2.9 8.4 0.7 0.4 2.8 2.3 17.0 8.8 4.2 3.3 63.0 23.4 27.4 18.72005 4.1 2.9 8.4 0.7 0.4 2.7 2.3 17.7 9.3 4.4 3.3 62.0 22.9 27.0 19.42006 4.2 3.0 8.4 0.8 0.4 2.7 2.3 18.6 10.0 4.5 3.3 60.8 22.5 26.4 20.32007 4.3 3.1 8.4 0.8 0.4 2.7 2.2 19.7 10.8 4.7 3.4 59.3 22.1 25.6 21.42008 4.5 3.2 8.6 0.8 0.4 2.8 2.2 20.6 11.6 4.8 3.4 58.0 21.7 25.0 22.42009 4.2 3.0 8.5 0.8 0.4 2.8 2.1 22.3 12.7 5.2 3.5 56.3 20.9 24.4 23.82010 4.2 3.0 8.6 0.9 0.4 2.9 2.1 23.3 13.4 5.5 3.6 55.2 20.3 23.9 24.72011 4.2 3.0 8.7 0.9 0.4 2.9 2.1 24.2 14.1 5.7 3.6 54.3 19.9 23.5 25.62012 4.2 3.0 8.7 0.9 0.4 2.8 2.2 25.1 14.7 5.7 3.7 53.5 19.2 23.4 26.32013 4.2 2.9 8.6 0.9 0.4 2.8 2.1 25.9 15.4 5.8 3.8 52.6 18.7 23.2 26.9
2014 3.8 2.9 8.6 0.9 0.4 2.8 2.1 26.9 16.1 6.0 3.9 52.3 18.5 23.1 27.72015 3.8 2.8 8.6 0.9 0.4 2.7 2.1 27.6 16.6 6.1 3.9 51.5 18.1 22.8 28.22016 3.7 2.8 8.5 0.8 0.4 2.7 2.1 28.3 17.1 6.2 4.0 50.6 17.8 22.6 28.72017 3.7 2.7 8.5 0.8 0.4 2.6 2.2 29.1 17.7 6.3 4.1 49.8 17.5 22.6 29.42018 3.7 2.7 8.5 0.8 0.4 2.6 2.2 29.8 18.2 6.5 4.2 49.0 17.2 22.6 30.02019 3.7 2.6 8.5 0.8 0.4 2.6 2.2 30.7 18.8 6.6 4.3 48.2 16.9 22.3 30.62020 3.7 2.6 8.5 0.8 0.4 2.5 2.3 31.5 19.3 6.8 4.3 47.3 16.5 22.1 31.2
Conclusión
P-10
P-7. PIB Per Cápita por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Dólares internacionales por persona)
Economías Avanzadas Economías de Mercados EmergentesZona Otras Africa Europa
Oriente Medio
Años Mundo Total Principales Economías Avanzadas del Economías Total Sub- Central y y NorteG-7 EUA Japón Alemania Francia Inglaterra Italia Canadá EURO Avanzadas sahariana Oriental de Africa
1980 2,577 9,634 10,446 12,455 8,671 9,821 10,053 7,967 9,139 11,557 ….. 8,346 979 852 ….. 2,8241981 2,827 10,672 11,585 13,838 9,800 10,772 11,047 8,599 10,042 12,945 ….. 9,381 1,075 962 ….. 3,0411982 2,967 11,281 12,217 14,279 10,678 11,376 11,956 9,334 10,711 13,223 ….. 10,094 1,135 997 ….. 3,1281983 3,112 12,020 13,041 15,382 11,358 12,034 12,515 10,068 11,213 13,979 ….. 10,793 1,177 998 ….. 3,2131984 3,319 12,980 14,114 16,921 12,208 12,829 13,083 10,721 11,968 15,153 ….. 11,783 1,250 1,031 ….. 3,3191985 3,497 13,831 15,062 18,027 13,321 13,530 13,646 11,476 12,682 16,193 ….. 12,559 1,314 1,056 ….. 3,3991986 3,623 14,489 15,753 18,851 13,909 14,119 14,160 12,188 13,299 16,699 ….. 13,405 1,360 1,054 ….. 3,2951987 3,787 15,311 16,602 19,804 14,793 14,656 14,790 13,113 14,070 17,604 ….. 14,484 1,420 1,056 ….. 3,2721988 4,022 16,503 17,899 21,147 16,349 15,678 15,939 14,291 15,173 18,851 ….. 15,608 1,493 1,110 ….. 3,2371989 4,262 17,726 19,197 22,553 17,838 16,844 17,166 15,190 16,297 19,812 ….. 16,808 1,570 1,157 ….. 3,4301990 4,487 18,844 20,363 23,603 19,462 18,359 18,182 15,995 17,245 20,309 ….. 18,036 1,651 1,201 ….. 3,7761991 4,654 19,624 21,138 24,135 20,702 19,783 18,900 16,269 18,067 20,289 17,788 19,075 1,730 1,203 ….. 4,0311992 5,146 20,430 21,951 25,319 21,265 20,376 19,536 16,810 18,620 20,687 18,360 20,170 2,192 1,182 5,147 4,2081993 5,296 21,137 22,630 26,375 21,725 20,486 19,791 17,763 18,887 21,434 18,561 21,250 2,266 1,185 5,422 4,2701994 5,499 22,174 23,679 27,740 22,298 21,301 20,588 18,988 19,694 22,701 19,345 22,770 2,339 1,197 5,519 4,3721995 5,738 23,287 24,618 28,777 23,133 22,014 21,368 20,014 20,684 23,571 20,246 25,573 2,443 1,229 6,081 4,4531996 5,975 24,274 25,598 30,068 24,107 22,525 21,910 21,033 21,312 24,174 20,868 27,008 2,571 1,283 6,470 4,6641997 6,244 25,407 26,735 31,574 24,856 23,284 22,689 22,262 22,100 25,403 21,722 28,403 2,712 1,316 7,096 4,8441998 6,388 26,185 27,584 32,933 24,576 23,920 23,618 23,238 22,678 26,507 22,522 28,582 2,769 1,326 7,431 5,0041999 6,623 27,346 28,705 34,607 24,836 24,687 24,636 24,187 23,327 27,978 23,444 30,278 2,867 1,344 7,507 5,0852000 7,003 28,930 30,263 36,424 25,935 26,078 25,992 25,727 24,680 29,802 24,800 32,493 3,058 1,411 8,099 5,3782001 7,232 29,814 31,126 37,211 26,587 27,101 26,919 26,789 25,620 30,699 25,753 33,550 3,199 1,471 8,237 5,5502002 7,453 30,588 31,817 38,064 27,040 27,510 27,410 27,712 25,995 31,722 26,245 35,148 3,350 1,551 8,689 5,7462003 7,795 31,652 32,904 39,521 28,016 27,933 28,017 29,251 26,335 32,638 26,801 36,549 3,592 1,614 9,249 6,2972004 8,312 33,341 34,592 41,750 29,343 29,071 29,285 30,900 27,167 34,243 27,934 39,113 3,930 1,726 10,226 6,8182005 8,860 35,112 36,371 44,119 30,774 30,193 30,532 32,683 27,979 36,005 29,123 41,661 4,293 1,826 11,194 7,4322006 9,489 37,039 38,235 46,260 32,238 32,332 32,046 34,424 29,268 37,683 30,824 44,552 4,724 1,951 12,217 8,0032007 10,128 38,796 39,866 47,903 33,806 34,323 33,449 36,334 30,339 39,042 32,417 47,499 5,199 2,089 13,149 8,5132008 10,469 39,329 40,290 48,265 34,099 35,293 33,880 36,534 30,371 39,849 33,012 48,669 5,537 2,194 13,771 8,9132009 10,359 38,014 38,843 46,859 32,461 33,785 32,883 34,696 28,752 38,663 31,653 47,908 5,662 2,210 13,321 9,0462010 10,890 39,388 40,206 48,193 34,386 35,557 33,671 35,478 29,454 40,046 32,535 50,725 6,081 2,304 14,029 9,4612011 11,382 40,616 41,425 49,615 34,914 37,552 34,840 36,355 30,049 41,459 33,590 52,947 6,481 2,444 15,000 9,4602012 11,806 41,633 42,637 51,441 36,056 38,631 35,268 36,859 29,765 42,502 33,852 54,457 6,840 2,537 15,407 9,7282013 12,201 42,641 43,663 52,747 37,190 39,516 35,715 37,844 29,594 43,610 34,128 56,105 7,168 2,632 16,011 9,910
2014 12,593 43,894 44,953 54,253 38,230 40,973 36,416 39,330 30,161 44,831 35,009 58,313 7,454 2,745 16,607 10,2172015 13,184 45,655 46,569 56,300 39,331 42,635 37,447 40,769 31,015 46,354 36,157 60,881 7,889 2,877 17,349 10,6982016 13,861 47,632 48,444 58,717 40,485 44,506 38,702 42,433 32,007 48,227 37,564 63,736 8,391 3,031 18,225 11,2482017 14,560 49,524 50,717 61,684 42,021 46,605 40,165 44,381 33,138 50,436 39,171 66,984 8,934 3,209 19,231 11,8682018 15,306 51,446 52,965 64,626 43,506 48,672 41,648 46,278 34,250 52,605 40,765 70,268 9,528 3,389 20,249 12,4912019 16,074 53,354 55,033 67,193 44,983 50,652 43,072 48,171 35,369 54,599 42,330 73,680 10,151 3,568 21,286 13,1202020 16,871 55,276 57,075 69,715 46,496 52,588 44,433 50,008 36,476 56,628 43,857 77,127 10,807 3,672 22,351 13,761
Continúa
P-11
Continuación
Economías de Mercados Emergentes Partidas Partidas InformativasComunidad de Estados América Países Informativas
Años Independientes Latina y el Caribe en Desarrollo de Asia UniónTotal Rusia Total Argentina Chile Brasil México Total China India ASEAN-5 OECD Europea TLCAN BRIC
1980 ….. ….. 3,625 4,866 2,945 3,695 4,901 384 254 416 874 8,653 8,586 10,835 1,1691981 ….. ….. 3,909 4,939 3,369 3,773 5,689 436 288 472 991 9,569 9,330 12,083 1,2241982 ….. ….. 4,040 5,003 3,044 3,938 5,887 479 329 510 1,069 10,081 9,956 12,446 1,2791983 ….. ….. 3,994 5,313 3,027 3,865 5,790 525 374 559 1,134 10,687 10,514 13,248 1,3221984 ….. ….. 4,208 5,527 3,265 4,123 6,080 572 440 587 1,190 11,498 11,124 14,473 1,3851985 ….. ….. 4,384 5,228 3,379 4,494 6,284 620 507 624 1,210 12,223 11,718 15,359 1,4521986 ….. ….. 4,555 5,629 3,580 4,831 6,086 659 554 652 1,264 12,746 12,253 15,910 1,4961987 ….. ….. 4,730 5,832 3,848 5,034 6,221 709 624 680 1,340 13,431 12,881 16,655 1,5361988 ….. ….. 4,846 5,833 4,201 5,127 6,387 788 707 755 1,468 14,419 13,815 17,703 1,5881989 ….. ….. 4,983 5,555 4,744 5,399 6,771 849 752 814 1,622 15,444 14,790 18,821 1,6211990 ….. ….. 5,099 5,604 5,010 5,273 7,245 911 798 872 1,775 16,382 15,662 19,674 1,6261991 ….. ….. 5,369 6,311 5,488 5,415 7,662 976 888 892 1,913 17,006 16,281 20,114 1,6511992 5,749 7,860 5,571 7,025 6,183 5,425 7,981 1,070 1,025 943 2,045 17,670 16,905 21,012 1,7051993 5,301 7,344 5,829 7,542 6,647 5,725 8,247 1,176 1,182 992 2,212 18,272 17,334 21,834 1,7821994 4,659 6,552 6,133 8,048 7,049 6,065 8,683 1,295 1,351 1,060 2,394 19,112 18,163 22,951 1,8601995 4,491 6,421 6,233 7,883 7,821 6,367 8,227 1,420 1,514 1,142 2,605 19,995 19,386 23,593 1,9791996 4,404 6,313 6,470 8,366 8,421 6,523 8,741 1,545 1,679 1,228 2,807 20,852 20,100 24,628 2,0921997 4,546 6,524 6,824 9,090 9,002 6,754 9,379 1,646 1,849 1,276 2,920 21,842 20,984 25,887 2,2161998 4,431 6,258 6,943 9,431 9,272 6,727 9,798 1,698 1,997 1,345 2,656 22,531 21,779 26,983 2,2941999 4,742 6,772 6,939 9,139 9,220 6,741 10,078 1,815 2,162 1,460 2,737 23,458 22,678 28,288 2,4442000 5,307 7,649 7,254 9,175 9,731 7,088 10,725 1,951 2,379 1,524 2,904 24,795 24,069 29,808 2,6422001 5,773 8,256 7,351 8,882 10,165 7,244 10,773 2,090 2,618 1,608 3,015 25,501 25,065 30,408 2,8272002 6,184 8,820 7,377 7,960 10,425 7,449 10,816 2,236 2,881 1,668 3,167 26,134 25,708 31,067 3,0152003 6,811 9,691 7,571 8,767 10,872 7,586 11,050 2,445 3,215 1,806 3,368 27,032 26,540 32,178 3,2792004 7,584 10,719 8,145 9,721 11,784 8,129 11,787 2,708 3,612 1,996 3,644 28,498 27,869 33,988 3,6272005 8,347 11,796 8,651 10,835 12,679 8,520 12,356 3,016 4,102 2,209 3,925 30,018 29,235 35,859 4,0192006 9,357 13,180 9,302 12,008 13,690 9,033 13,218 3,391 4,739 2,451 4,217 31,681 31,071 37,637 4,5152007 10,450 14,707 9,977 13,276 14,638 9,743 13,820 3,836 5,525 2,723 4,540 33,162 32,820 38,985 5,1102008 11,207 15,795 10,481 14,324 15,248 10,352 14,093 4,152 6,144 2,843 4,791 33,640 33,488 39,339 5,5332009 10,516 14,686 10,306 14,430 15,082 10,306 13,348 4,456 6,728 3,064 4,853 32,482 32,097 38,088 5,8272010 11,151 15,544 10,928 15,805 15,984 11,118 14,026 4,897 7,485 3,372 5,195 33,632 32,981 39,243 6,3912011 11,898 16,545 11,521 17,393 17,076 11,545 14,685 5,331 8,303 3,617 5,472 34,729 34,068 40,455 6,9362012 12,493 17,422 11,948 17,878 18,160 11,766 15,344 5,730 9,054 3,803 5,846 35,659 34,439 41,911 7,4032013 12,918 17,931 12,322 18,757 19,048 12,113 15,563 6,132 9,854 3,975 6,173 36,463 34,910 42,908 7,875
2014 12,164 18,323 12,677 19,033 19,784 12,380 16,086 6,576 10,706 4,192 6,508 37,634 35,915 44,126 8,3762015 12,749 19,012 13,194 19,509 20,796 12,752 16,866 7,075 11,626 4,456 6,914 38,996 37,149 45,796 8,9472016 13,405 19,827 13,806 20,073 21,975 13,208 17,894 7,637 12,677 4,762 7,389 40,480 38,574 47,807 9,6042017 14,192 20,780 14,518 20,837 23,376 13,783 19,150 8,250 13,878 5,118 7,958 42,066 40,209 50,272 10,3632018 14,983 21,741 15,262 21,572 24,802 14,361 20,465 8,913 15,152 5,501 8,548 43,673 41,827 52,733 11,1622019 15,777 22,716 16,000 22,323 26,258 14,938 21,754 9,633 16,518 5,905 9,161 45,310 43,414 54,923 12,0092020 16,578 23,697 16,762 23,066 27,696 15,497 23,054 10,421 17,970 6,319 9,786 46,970 44,962 57,090 12,893
Conclusión
P-12
P-8. Crecimiento del PIB Real por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Variación % anual a precios reales)
Economías Avanzadas Economías de Mercados EmergentesZona Otras Africa Europa
Oriente Medio
Años Mundo Total Principales Economías Avanzadas del Economías Total Sub- Central y y NorteG-7 EUA Japón Alemania Francia Inglaterra Italia Canadá EURO Avanzadas sahariana Oriental de Africa
1980 1.9 1.0 0.5 -0.2 3.2 1.3 1.8 -2.0 -1.4 2.2 ….. 3.6 3.8 4.4 -1.1 -1.91981 2.3 2.0 2.1 2.6 4.2 0.1 1.0 -1.3 0.8 3.5 ….. 3.9 2.9 6.7 -1.0 2.51982 0.7 0.2 -0.1 -1.9 3.4 -0.8 2.4 2.2 0.7 -2.9 ….. 2.4 1.8 0.5 1.1 1.41983 2.9 3.2 3.3 4.6 3.1 1.6 1.2 3.8 0.9 2.7 ….. 4.0 2.2 -0.7 4.5 2.71984 4.9 5.0 5.2 7.3 4.5 2.8 1.5 2.9 3.2 5.8 ….. 6.5 4.9 2.8 3.8 3.51985 4.0 3.9 4.0 4.2 6.3 2.2 1.6 3.9 2.8 4.8 ….. 4.3 4.1 2.3 2.5 2.71986 3.5 3.3 3.1 3.5 2.8 2.4 2.3 4.3 2.9 2.4 ….. 5.8 3.7 0.9 4.3 -1.41987 3.8 3.7 3.4 3.5 4.1 1.5 2.4 5.2 3.2 4.3 ….. 6.6 4.1 1.0 4.9 0.01988 4.6 4.8 4.8 4.2 7.1 3.7 4.7 5.6 4.2 5.0 ….. 5.3 4.1 4.6 1.7 -0.61989 3.9 4.1 3.9 3.7 5.4 3.9 4.2 2.6 3.4 2.6 ….. 4.8 3.5 3.3 0.4 5.61990 3.3 3.2 3.0 1.9 5.6 5.7 2.6 1.8 2.1 0.2 ….. 4.7 3.4 2.5 -0.8 8.11991 2.2 1.5 1.2 -0.1 3.3 5.0 1.0 -1.3 1.4 -2.1 ….. 3.7 3.7 -0.2 -5.8 6.91992 2.3 2.3 2.2 3.6 0.8 1.5 1.5 1.3 0.8 0.9 1.4 3.9 2.4 -1.4 0.9 5.11993 2.1 1.5 1.4 2.7 0.2 -1.0 -0.7 3.5 -0.9 2.3 -0.8 4.2 3.2 1.1 3.6 1.71994 3.4 3.4 3.1 4.0 0.9 2.5 2.2 5.0 2.2 4.8 2.5 6.2 3.4 1.8 0.3 2.61995 3.3 2.9 2.5 2.7 1.9 1.8 2.0 3.5 2.9 2.7 2.9 5.2 4.1 3.4 6.1 2.11996 3.8 3.0 2.8 3.8 2.6 0.8 1.1 3.5 1.1 1.7 1.5 4.8 5.2 5.5 5.0 5.01997 4.1 3.6 3.3 4.5 1.6 1.8 2.2 4.4 1.9 4.3 2.6 4.4 5.1 3.6 4.7 4.61998 2.6 2.6 2.8 4.4 -2.0 1.7 3.4 3.6 1.4 4.1 2.8 0.6 2.6 2.3 3.0 4.31999 3.7 3.6 3.3 4.8 -0.2 1.7 3.3 2.9 1.5 5.0 2.9 5.4 3.7 2.5 0.2 2.32000 4.7 4.1 3.7 4.1 2.3 3.3 3.7 4.4 3.7 5.1 3.8 5.8 5.7 3.5 5.1 5.62001 2.3 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.4 1.6 1.8 2.2 1.9 1.7 2.0 1.7 3.8 4.8 0.0 2.92002 2.8 1.7 1.3 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.9 2.3 0.5 2.8 0.9 4.0 4.6 7.0 4.3 4.12003 3.8 2.1 2.0 2.8 1.7 -0.4 0.9 3.9 0.0 1.9 0.7 2.7 6.3 4.8 4.8 6.92004 5.1 3.2 3.0 3.8 2.4 0.7 2.5 3.2 1.7 3.1 2.2 4.9 7.8 7.0 7.3 8.12005 4.7 2.8 2.5 3.4 1.3 0.8 1.8 3.2 0.9 3.2 1.7 4.2 7.3 6.2 5.8 5.62006 5.2 3.0 2.6 2.7 1.7 3.9 2.5 2.8 2.2 2.6 3.3 4.8 8.2 6.3 6.4 6.82007 5.3 2.7 2.2 1.8 2.2 3.4 2.3 3.4 1.7 2.0 3.0 5.1 8.7 7.1 5.4 6.02008 2.7 0.1 -0.3 -0.3 -1.0 0.8 -0.1 -0.8 -1.2 1.2 0.4 1.7 5.9 5.7 3.3 5.12009 -0.4 -3.4 -3.8 -2.8 -5.5 -5.1 -3.1 -5.2 -5.5 -2.7 -4.4 -1.1 3.1 2.6 -3.4 3.02010 5.2 3.0 2.8 2.5 4.7 3.9 1.7 1.7 1.7 3.4 2.0 5.8 7.5 5.6 4.7 5.52011 3.9 1.7 1.6 1.8 -0.5 3.4 2.0 1.1 0.5 2.5 1.6 3.3 6.3 5.5 5.4 3.92012 3.2 1.3 1.7 2.8 1.4 0.9 0.0 0.3 -2.4 1.7 -0.7 1.9 5.1 4.9 1.4 4.12013 3.0 1.2 1.4 1.9 1.5 0.5 0.3 1.8 -1.9 2.0 -0.5 2.3 4.7 4.9 2.8 2.2
2014 3.4 1.9 1.9 2.2 1.2 1.9 0.9 3.0 0.5 2.2 1.2 3.1 4.9 5.3 2.6 3.32015 3.9 2.3 2.3 2.9 1.0 2.1 1.5 2.5 1.1 2.5 1.7 3.3 5.4 5.6 3.0 4.72016 4.4 2.8 2.6 3.2 0.9 2.3 1.9 2.8 1.4 3.0 2.2 3.5 5.8 6.0 3.5 5.02017 4.9 3.3 3.0 3.6 1.6 2.6 2.2 3.2 1.6 3.4 2.4 3.8 6.3 6.4 3.8 5.22018 4.6 3.0 2.7 3.3 1.3 2.3 2.1 2.8 1.4 3.1 2.2 3.6 6.0 6.1 3.6 4.92019 4.3 2.6 2.3 2.8 1.1 1.9 1.8 2.6 1.2 2.6 1.9 3.5 5.7 5.7 3.3 4.62020 4.1 2.4 2.1 2.6 1.0 1.6 1.5 2.3 1.0 2.5 1.7 3.3 5.4 5.3 3.0 4.4
Continúa
P-13
Continuación
Economías de Mercados Emergentes Partidas Partidas InformativasComunidad de Estados América Países Informativas
Años Independientes Latina y el Caribe en Desarrollo de Asia UniónTotal Rusia Total Argentina Chile Brasil México Total China India ASEAN-5 OECD Europea TLCAN BRIC
1980 ….. ….. 6.5 0.7 7.9 9.2 9.2 5.7 7.9 3.6 6.7 1.3 0.6 0.9 3.21981 ….. ….. 1.1 -5.7 6.2 -4.4 8.5 5.8 5.2 6.2 6.1 2.1 -0.2 3.3 0.61982 ….. ….. -0.5 -3.1 -13.6 0.6 -0.5 5.5 9.1 4.1 4.0 0.0 0.9 -1.8 1.91983 ….. ….. -2.8 3.7 -2.8 -3.4 -3.5 7.5 10.9 7.8 4.4 2.7 1.9 3.7 2.11984 ….. ….. 3.9 2.0 5.9 5.3 3.4 7.7 15.2 3.8 4.1 4.7 2.5 6.8 4.01985 ….. ….. 3.2 -7.0 2.0 7.9 2.2 6.9 13.5 5.3 0.9 3.8 2.4 4.1 4.81986 ….. ….. 4.1 7.1 5.6 7.5 -3.1 6.1 8.8 4.8 4.6 2.9 2.9 2.8 4.01987 ….. ….. 3.3 2.5 6.6 3.6 1.7 7.2 11.6 4.0 5.7 3.3 2.9 3.4 3.81988 ….. ….. 1.0 -2.0 7.3 0.3 1.3 9.5 11.3 9.6 8.1 4.5 4.0 4.0 4.31989 ….. ….. 1.2 -7.0 10.6 3.2 4.1 5.9 4.1 5.9 8.6 3.8 3.5 3.6 2.81990 ….. ….. 0.7 -1.3 3.7 -4.2 5.2 5.4 3.8 5.5 7.7 3.1 2.6 2.1 1.21991 ….. ….. 3.8 10.5 7.9 1.0 4.2 5.8 9.2 1.1 6.3 1.2 1.2 0.2 2.91992 ….. ….. 3.4 10.3 12.2 -0.5 3.5 9.2 14.2 5.5 6.4 2.1 1.0 3.4 5.31993 -9.7 -8.7 4.0 6.3 6.9 4.7 2.4 9.3 14.0 4.8 7.5 1.4 0.0 2.7 4.31994 -14.1 -12.7 4.8 5.8 5.7 5.3 4.7 9.7 13.1 6.7 7.8 3.0 3.0 4.2 4.51995 -5.5 -4.1 1.5 -2.8 10.5 4.4 -5.8 9.1 10.9 7.6 8.3 2.2 3.0 2.0 5.91996 -3.7 -3.6 3.7 5.5 7.4 2.2 5.9 8.5 10.0 7.6 7.5 3.1 2.1 3.8 5.41997 1.4 1.4 5.4 8.1 6.6 3.4 7.0 6.4 9.3 4.1 4.0 3.7 2.9 4.7 5.61998 -3.6 -5.3 2.3 3.9 3.3 0.0 4.7 3.6 7.8 6.2 -8.3 2.7 2.9 4.4 3.91999 5.3 6.4 0.1 -3.4 -0.7 0.3 2.7 6.9 7.6 8.8 3.1 3.4 2.9 4.7 6.42000 9.2 10.0 3.8 -0.8 4.5 4.3 5.3 6.5 8.4 3.8 5.3 4.1 4.0 4.3 6.92001 6.1 5.1 0.5 -4.4 3.3 1.3 -0.6 6.1 8.3 4.8 3.0 1.3 2.2 0.9 5.82002 5.2 4.7 0.4 -10.9 2.2 2.7 0.1 6.7 9.1 3.8 4.9 1.7 1.4 1.7 6.22003 7.7 7.3 2.1 9.0 3.4 1.1 1.4 8.5 10.0 7.9 5.8 2.2 1.7 2.6 7.72004 8.1 7.2 6.1 8.9 6.8 5.7 4.3 8.6 10.1 7.9 6.1 3.3 2.7 3.8 8.52005 6.7 6.4 4.6 9.2 6.3 3.2 3.0 9.5 11.3 9.3 5.4 2.9 2.4 3.3 8.92006 8.8 8.2 5.6 8.4 5.8 4.0 5.0 10.3 12.7 9.3 5.5 3.2 3.6 2.9 10.12007 8.9 8.5 5.8 8.0 5.2 6.1 3.1 11.5 14.2 9.8 6.2 2.7 3.4 1.9 11.32008 5.3 5.2 4.3 3.1 3.2 5.2 1.4 7.3 9.6 3.9 4.7 0.2 0.6 0.0 7.22009 -6.4 -7.8 -1.3 0.1 -1.0 -0.3 -4.7 7.7 9.2 8.5 1.8 -3.5 -4.4 -3.0 5.82010 4.9 4.5 6.0 9.1 5.8 7.5 5.1 9.7 10.4 10.3 7.0 3.0 2.0 2.8 9.42011 4.8 4.3 4.6 8.6 5.8 2.7 4.0 7.9 9.3 6.6 4.5 2.0 1.8 2.1 7.42012 3.4 3.4 3.1 0.9 5.4 1.0 4.0 6.7 7.7 4.7 6.2 1.5 -0.3 2.8 5.82013 2.1 1.3 2.7 2.9 4.1 2.5 1.1 6.5 7.7 4.4 5.2 1.3 0.2 1.8 5.7
2014 2.3 0.5 2.4 0.8 3.2 1.5 2.9 6.7 7.4 5.2 5.0 2.0 1.6 2.2 5.72015 3.2 1.8 3.1 1.6 4.1 2.0 4.1 6.9 7.1 5.8 5.5 2.5 1.9 3.0 5.82016 3.4 2.2 3.6 1.8 4.5 2.4 5.2 7.2 7.4 6.2 5.9 2.8 2.2 3.4 6.22017 4.0 2.6 4.7 2.6 5.1 3.0 6.0 7.6 7.7 6.7 6.6 3.2 2.5 3.9 6.62018 3.7 2.4 4.4 2.3 4.8 2.8 5.8 7.3 7.3 6.6 6.3 3.0 2.3 3.6 6.32019 3.3 2.2 4.0 2.2 4.5 2.6 5.2 7.0 7.1 6.4 6.0 2.6 2.0 3.0 6.12020 3.1 2.0 3.6 2.0 4.1 2.3 4.9 6.7 6.8 6.1 5.7 2.4 1.7 2.8 5.9
Conclusión
P-14
P-9. Inflación Mundial por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionados: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Variación % anual promedio del Índice de Precios al Consumidor)
Economías Avanzadas Economías de Mercados EmergentesZona Otras Africa Europa
Oriente Medio
Años Mundo Total Principales Economías Avanzadas del Economías Total Sub- Central y y NorteG-7 EUA Japón Alemania Francia Inglaterra Italia Canadá EURO Avanzadas sahariana Oriental de Africa
1980 17.8 13.7 12.4 13.5 7.8 5.4 13.1 16.8 21.8 10.2 ….. 26.5 28.4 17.3 27.5 12.11981 15.9 11.1 10.2 10.3 4.9 6.3 13.3 12.2 19.5 12.5 ….. 17.0 26.8 18.0 17.0 11.91982 15.1 8.3 7.2 6.2 2.7 5.3 12.0 8.5 16.5 10.8 ….. 13.5 30.9 14.2 38.5 10.41983 14.8 5.9 4.6 3.2 1.9 3.3 9.5 5.2 14.7 5.8 ….. 12.3 36.5 19.6 17.1 9.41984 16.2 6.4 4.6 4.3 2.3 2.4 7.7 4.4 10.7 4.3 ….. 19.1 42.0 18.2 33.7 7.81985 15.2 5.4 3.8 3.6 2.0 2.1 5.8 5.2 9.0 4.0 ….. 16.7 41.5 13.1 17.7 6.61986 11.6 2.8 2.0 1.9 0.6 -0.1 2.5 3.6 5.8 4.2 ….. 6.0 33.3 16.0 16.1 13.71987 14.7 3.2 2.8 3.6 0.1 0.2 3.3 4.1 4.7 4.4 ….. 5.4 43.7 18.2 20.3 19.01988 19.8 3.6 3.2 4.1 0.7 1.3 2.7 4.6 5.1 4.1 ….. 5.9 65.9 19.2 40.4 13.11989 25.2 4.6 4.2 4.8 2.3 2.8 3.5 5.2 6.2 5.0 ….. 6.4 87.3 22.1 74.5 10.31990 27.8 5.1 4.7 5.4 3.0 2.7 3.3 7.0 6.4 4.8 ….. 7.3 98.9 15.4 140.4 7.81991 17.1 4.7 4.3 4.2 3.3 3.5 3.4 7.5 6.2 5.6 ….. 6.5 50.0 32.3 87.1 14.01992 34.4 3.5 3.1 3.0 1.7 5.0 2.5 4.3 5.0 1.5 3.6 4.2 116.9 44.1 71.5 14.51993 34.6 3.2 2.8 3.0 1.3 4.5 2.2 2.5 4.5 1.9 3.3 4.5 116.4 42.0 84.9 11.81994 27.6 2.6 2.2 2.6 0.7 2.7 1.7 2.0 4.2 0.1 2.7 4.2 88.9 54.8 73.7 15.01995 14.5 2.6 2.3 2.8 -0.1 1.7 1.8 2.7 5.4 2.2 2.4 4.3 39.1 42.4 49.6 18.31996 8.6 2.5 2.2 3.0 0.1 1.2 2.1 2.5 4.0 1.6 1.6 3.7 20.5 36.3 46.5 10.41997 6.1 2.1 2.0 2.3 1.8 1.5 1.3 1.8 1.9 1.6 1.7 2.8 13.5 16.3 65.2 6.61998 5.5 1.6 1.3 1.6 0.7 0.6 0.7 1.6 2.0 1.0 1.2 3.2 12.9 10.3 42.3 6.21999 5.4 1.4 1.4 2.2 -0.3 0.6 0.6 1.3 1.7 1.7 1.2 0.9 12.7 13.8 30.8 5.62000 4.6 2.3 2.2 3.4 -0.7 1.4 1.8 0.8 2.6 2.7 2.2 2.1 8.7 16.4 29.7 3.62001 4.3 2.2 1.9 2.8 -0.8 1.9 1.8 1.2 2.3 2.5 2.4 2.5 7.9 13.8 26.0 3.62002 3.5 1.5 1.3 1.6 -0.9 1.3 1.9 1.3 2.6 2.3 2.3 1.7 6.8 10.6 18.5 5.02003 3.7 1.9 1.8 2.3 -0.3 1.0 2.2 1.4 2.8 2.7 2.1 1.7 6.6 10.6 11.0 5.22004 3.6 2.0 2.0 2.7 0.0 1.8 2.3 1.3 2.3 1.8 2.2 1.9 5.9 7.5 6.6 6.62005 3.8 2.3 2.4 3.4 -0.3 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 5.9 8.7 5.9 6.82006 3.8 2.4 2.4 3.2 0.2 1.8 1.9 2.3 2.2 2.0 2.2 2.1 5.8 7.2 5.9 8.22007 4.0 2.2 2.2 2.8 0.1 2.3 1.6 2.3 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.1 6.5 6.2 6.0 10.62008 6.0 3.4 3.2 3.8 1.4 2.7 3.2 3.6 3.5 2.4 3.3 4.4 9.2 13.0 7.9 12.32009 2.5 0.1 -0.1 -0.4 -1.3 0.2 0.1 2.2 0.8 0.3 0.3 1.3 5.4 9.7 4.7 6.32010 3.6 1.5 1.4 1.6 -0.7 1.2 1.7 3.3 1.6 1.8 1.6 2.2 5.9 7.5 5.4 6.52011 4.9 2.7 2.6 3.2 -0.3 2.5 2.3 4.5 2.9 2.9 2.7 3.1 7.3 9.4 5.4 9.32012 3.9 2.0 1.9 2.1 0.0 2.1 2.2 2.8 3.3 1.5 2.5 2.0 6.0 9.0 5.8 10.62013 3.6 1.4 1.3 1.5 0.4 1.6 1.0 2.6 1.3 0.9 1.3 1.5 5.8 6.3 4.1 10.5
2014 3.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.4 1.1 0.9 1.8 0.5 2.0 1.0 1.9 5.4 6.4 4.0 8.62015 3.6 1.9 1.8 2.0 2.0 1.8 1.1 2.0 0.9 2.0 1.1 2.4 5.3 5.8 4.2 8.42016 3.8 2.1 2.0 2.2 2.1 2.1 1.4 2.3 1.1 2.1 1.4 2.6 5.4 6.2 4.4 8.62017 4.2 2.5 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.3 1.8 2.6 1.4 2.4 1.8 3.0 5.7 6.5 4.6 9.02018 4.1 2.3 2.2 2.3 2.0 2.1 1.6 2.3 1.2 2.2 1.7 2.8 5.7 6.3 4.4 8.42019 3.8 2.0 2.0 2.1 1.8 1.8 1.4 2.2 1.1 2.0 1.5 2.7 5.3 5.8 4.1 7.72020 3.6 1.8 1.8 2.0 1.6 1.6 1.2 2.0 1.1 1.8 1.3 2.5 5.0 5.4 3.8 7.4
Continúa
P-15
Continuación
Economías de Mercados Emergentes Partidas Partidas InformativasComunidad de Estados América Países Informativas
Años Independientes Latina y el Caribe en Desarrollo de Asia UniónTotal Rusia Total Argentina Chile Brasil México Total China India ASEAN-5 OECD Europea TLCAN BRIC
1980 ….. ….. 53.2 100.8 35.1 90.2 26.4 12.1 6.0 11.4 17.4 14.6 12.6 14.5 20.01981 ….. ….. 54.6 104.5 19.7 101.7 27.9 10.7 2.4 13.1 15.0 11.8 12.2 12.3 21.91982 ….. ….. 67.3 164.8 9.9 100.5 58.9 7.5 1.9 7.9 12.1 10.5 13.9 12.1 21.01983 ….. ….. 102.9 343.8 27.3 135.0 101.9 7.8 1.5 11.9 9.7 9.9 8.7 13.2 27.21984 ….. ….. 118.6 626.7 19.9 192.1 65.4 8.9 2.8 8.3 17.0 8.7 9.4 10.2 38.41985 ….. ….. 132.4 672.2 30.7 226.0 57.7 8.6 9.3 5.6 11.8 7.3 6.1 8.7 47.51986 ….. ….. 87.3 90.1 19.5 147.1 86.2 9.5 6.5 8.7 15.7 6.5 4.1 9.5 33.21987 ….. ….. 126.8 131.3 19.9 228.3 131.8 9.8 7.3 8.8 16.3 8.4 4.1 14.9 51.21988 ….. ….. 229.6 343.0 14.7 629.1 114.2 14.8 18.8 9.4 17.6 9.5 5.8 13.5 136.91989 ….. ….. 370.1 3,079.5 17.0 1,430.7 20.0 11.8 18.0 6.2 10.8 6.1 13.9 6.1 312.81990 ….. ….. 469.6 2,314.0 26.0 2,947.7 26.7 8.2 3.1 12.8 9.2 7.1 27.5 7.2 621.01991 ….. ….. 137.4 171.7 21.8 477.4 22.7 9.5 3.4 13.5 12.8 6.6 13.0 6.0 104.91992 ….. ….. 154.1 24.9 15.4 1,022.5 15.5 8.1 6.4 9.9 8.2 5.2 9.8 4.0 214.61993 1,203.1 874.6 202.0 10.6 12.7 1,927.4 9.8 10.4 14.7 7.3 6.7 4.6 16.2 3.5 629.01994 455.9 307.6 205.1 4.2 11.4 2,075.8 7.0 15.0 24.1 10.3 7.3 4.8 7.4 2.8 515.81995 228.7 197.5 37.7 3.4 8.2 66.0 35.0 12.4 17.1 10.0 7.8 6.1 5.0 5.5 60.71996 52.6 47.7 22.4 0.2 7.4 15.8 34.4 8.2 8.3 9.4 6.8 5.6 4.7 5.6 17.11997 17.7 14.8 13.4 0.5 6.1 6.9 20.6 4.6 2.8 6.8 5.2 4.8 9.8 3.9 6.61998 25.0 27.7 10.2 0.9 5.1 3.2 15.9 8.6 -0.8 13.1 25.1 4.2 2.9 2.8 7.61999 72.2 85.7 9.5 -1.2 3.3 4.9 16.6 2.5 -1.4 3.4 9.3 3.6 2.3 3.4 14.52000 24.1 20.8 8.5 -0.9 3.8 7.0 9.5 1.9 0.4 3.8 2.8 4.0 3.1 3.9 5.62001 20.3 21.5 6.6 -1.1 3.6 6.8 6.4 2.9 0.7 4.3 5.6 3.6 3.0 3.1 5.92002 14.0 15.8 8.5 25.9 2.5 8.5 5.0 2.1 -0.8 4.0 5.6 2.7 2.5 1.9 4.42003 12.3 13.7 10.3 13.4 2.8 14.7 4.5 2.6 1.2 3.9 3.7 2.5 2.2 2.5 5.82004 10.4 10.9 6.6 4.4 1.1 6.6 4.7 4.1 3.9 3.8 4.5 2.3 2.3 2.8 5.42005 12.1 12.7 6.2 9.6 3.1 6.9 4.0 3.7 1.8 4.4 7.1 2.5 2.3 3.4 4.82006 9.5 9.7 5.3 10.9 3.4 4.2 3.6 4.3 1.5 7.3 7.9 2.7 2.3 3.2 4.42007 9.7 9.0 5.4 8.8 4.4 3.6 4.0 5.3 4.8 6.1 4.5 2.5 2.4 2.9 5.52008 15.6 14.1 7.9 8.6 8.7 5.7 5.1 7.4 5.9 8.3 9.2 3.7 3.7 3.8 7.62009 11.2 11.7 5.9 6.4 1.5 4.9 5.3 3.2 -0.7 10.9 3.1 0.5 0.9 0.2 4.12010 7.2 6.9 6.0 10.3 1.4 5.0 4.2 5.3 3.3 12.0 4.4 1.8 2.0 1.9 5.92011 10.1 8.4 6.6 9.8 3.3 6.6 3.4 6.5 5.4 8.9 6.0 2.9 3.1 3.2 6.72012 6.5 5.1 5.9 10.0 3.0 5.4 4.1 4.6 2.7 9.3 3.8 2.2 2.6 2.2 4.72013 6.4 6.8 6.8 10.6 1.8 6.2 3.8 4.5 2.6 10.9 4.4 1.6 1.5 1.6 5.2
2014 6.6 6.0 6.6 11.8 3.8 6.5 4.0 4.5 2.7 7.6 4.8 1.7 1.0 2.1 4.52015 6.3 5.7 6.3 12.0 3.2 6.0 3.7 4.4 3.0 7.7 4.6 2.0 1.4 2.1 4.62016 6.5 5.8 6.5 12.2 3.3 5.4 3.7 4.5 3.1 7.8 4.8 2.2 1.7 2.3 4.62017 6.7 6.1 6.8 12.6 3.6 5.6 4.1 4.8 3.3 8.4 5.0 2.5 2.0 2.6 4.92018 6.3 5.7 6.4 12.1 3.4 5.4 4.1 5.0 3.1 8.1 4.7 2.4 1.8 2.5 4.62019 6.1 5.4 6.0 11.7 3.2 5.2 3.9 4.7 2.8 7.7 4.4 2.2 1.6 2.3 4.32020 5.7 5.0 5.8 11.2 3.1 5.0 3.7 4.4 2.6 7.3 4.1 2.0 1.4 2.2 4.0
Conclusión
P-16
P-10. Indice Relativo de Desarrollo Económico por Regiones Económicas y Países Seleccionado: Escenario Base 2014-2020(Indice Per Cápita Mundo PPP =100)
Economías Avanzadas Economías de Mercados EmergentesZona Otras Africa Europa
Oriente Medio
Años Mundo Total Principales Economías Avanzadas del Economías Total Sub- Central y y NorteG-7 EUA Japón Alemania Francia Inglaterra Italia Canadá EURO Avanzadas sahariana Oriental de Africa
1980 100.0 373.9 405.4 483.3 336.5 381.1 390.1 309.2 354.6 448.5 ….. 323.9 38.0 33.1 ….. 109.61981 100.0 377.5 409.8 489.5 346.6 381.0 390.7 304.2 355.2 457.9 ….. 331.8 38.0 34.0 ….. 107.61982 100.0 380.3 411.8 481.3 359.9 383.5 403.0 314.6 361.0 445.7 ….. 340.2 38.3 33.6 ….. 105.41983 100.0 386.2 419.0 494.2 364.9 386.6 402.1 323.5 360.3 449.1 ….. 346.8 37.8 32.1 ….. 103.21984 100.0 391.0 425.2 509.8 367.8 386.5 394.1 323.0 360.5 456.5 ….. 355.0 37.6 31.1 ….. 100.01985 100.0 395.5 430.7 515.4 380.9 386.9 390.2 328.1 362.6 463.0 ….. 359.1 37.6 30.2 ….. 97.21986 100.0 399.9 434.8 520.3 383.9 389.7 390.8 336.4 367.0 460.9 ….. 370.0 37.5 29.1 ….. 90.91987 100.0 404.3 438.4 522.9 390.6 387.0 390.5 346.3 371.5 464.8 ….. 382.5 37.5 27.9 ….. 86.41988 100.0 410.3 445.0 525.7 406.5 389.8 396.2 355.3 377.2 468.6 ….. 388.0 37.1 27.6 ….. 80.51989 100.0 415.9 450.4 529.1 418.5 395.2 402.7 356.4 382.3 464.8 ….. 394.3 36.8 27.1 ….. 80.51990 100.0 420.0 453.8 526.0 433.7 409.2 405.2 356.5 384.3 452.6 ….. 402.0 36.8 26.8 ….. 84.21991 100.0 421.6 454.2 518.6 444.8 425.0 406.1 349.6 388.2 435.9 382.2 409.8 37.2 25.8 ….. 86.61992 100.0 397.0 426.6 492.1 413.3 396.0 379.7 326.7 361.9 402.0 356.8 392.0 42.6 23.0 100.0 81.81993 100.0 399.1 427.3 498.0 410.2 386.8 373.7 335.4 356.6 404.7 350.4 401.2 42.8 22.4 102.4 80.61994 100.0 403.2 430.6 504.4 405.5 387.3 374.4 345.3 358.1 412.8 351.8 414.1 42.5 21.8 100.4 79.51995 100.0 405.9 429.1 501.5 403.2 383.7 372.4 348.8 360.5 410.8 352.9 445.7 42.6 21.4 106.0 77.61996 100.0 406.3 428.4 503.2 403.4 377.0 366.7 352.0 356.7 404.6 349.2 452.0 43.0 21.5 108.3 78.11997 100.0 406.9 428.1 505.6 398.0 372.9 363.3 356.5 353.9 406.8 347.9 454.9 43.4 21.1 113.6 77.61998 100.0 409.9 431.8 515.6 384.7 374.5 369.7 363.8 355.0 415.0 352.6 447.5 43.4 20.8 116.3 78.31999 100.0 412.9 433.4 522.5 375.0 372.7 372.0 365.2 352.2 422.4 354.0 457.1 43.3 20.3 113.3 76.82000 100.0 413.1 432.2 520.2 370.4 372.4 371.2 367.4 352.4 425.6 354.2 464.0 43.7 20.1 115.7 76.82001 100.0 412.3 430.4 514.5 367.6 374.7 372.2 370.4 354.3 424.5 356.1 463.9 44.2 20.3 113.9 76.82002 100.0 410.4 426.9 510.7 362.8 369.1 367.8 371.8 348.8 425.6 352.1 471.6 45.0 20.8 116.6 77.12003 100.0 406.1 422.1 507.0 359.4 358.3 359.4 375.3 337.8 418.7 343.8 468.9 46.1 20.7 118.7 80.82004 100.0 401.1 416.2 502.3 353.0 349.8 352.3 371.8 326.8 412.0 336.1 470.6 47.3 20.8 123.0 82.02005 100.0 396.3 410.5 497.9 347.3 340.8 344.6 368.9 315.8 406.4 328.7 470.2 48.4 20.6 126.3 83.92006 100.0 390.3 402.9 487.5 339.7 340.7 337.7 362.8 308.4 397.1 324.8 469.5 49.8 20.6 128.8 84.32007 100.0 383.1 393.6 473.0 333.8 338.9 330.3 358.8 299.6 385.5 320.1 469.0 51.3 20.6 129.8 84.12008 100.0 375.7 384.8 461.0 325.7 337.1 323.6 349.0 290.1 380.6 315.3 464.9 52.9 21.0 131.5 85.12009 100.0 367.0 375.0 452.3 313.4 326.1 317.4 334.9 277.5 373.2 305.6 462.5 54.7 21.3 128.6 87.32010 100.0 361.7 369.2 442.5 315.7 326.5 309.2 325.8 270.5 367.7 298.8 465.8 55.8 21.2 128.8 86.92011 100.0 356.8 363.9 435.9 306.7 329.9 306.1 319.4 264.0 364.2 295.1 465.2 56.9 21.5 131.8 83.12012 100.0 352.6 361.1 435.7 305.4 327.2 298.7 312.2 252.1 360.0 286.7 461.3 57.9 21.5 130.5 82.42013 100.0 349.5 357.9 432.3 304.8 323.9 292.7 310.2 242.6 357.4 279.7 459.8 58.8 21.6 131.2 81.2
2014 100.0 348.6 357.0 430.8 303.6 325.4 289.2 312.3 239.5 356.0 278.0 463.1 59.2 21.8 131.9 81.12015 100.0 346.3 353.2 427.0 298.3 323.4 284.0 309.2 235.2 351.6 274.2 461.8 59.8 21.8 131.6 81.12016 100.0 343.6 349.5 423.6 292.1 321.1 279.2 306.1 230.9 347.9 271.0 459.8 60.5 21.9 131.5 81.12017 100.0 340.1 348.3 423.6 288.6 320.1 275.9 304.8 227.6 346.4 269.0 460.0 61.4 22.0 132.1 81.52018 100.0 336.1 346.0 422.2 284.2 318.0 272.1 302.4 223.8 343.7 266.3 459.1 62.3 22.1 132.3 81.62019 100.0 331.9 342.4 418.0 279.9 315.1 268.0 299.7 220.0 339.7 263.4 458.4 63.2 22.2 132.4 81.62020 100.0 327.6 338.3 413.2 275.6 311.7 263.4 296.4 216.2 335.7 260.0 457.2 64.1 21.8 132.5 81.6
Continúa
P-17
Continuación
Economías de Mercados Emergentes Partidas Partidas InformativasComunidad de Estados América Países Informativas
Años Independientes Latina y el Caribe en Desarrollo de Asia UniónTotal Rusia Total Argentina Chile Brasil México Total China India ASEAN-5 OECD Europea TLCAN BRIC
1980 ….. ….. 140.6 188.8 114.3 143.4 190.2 14.9 9.9 16.2 33.9 335.8 333.2 420.4 45.31981 ….. ….. 138.3 174.7 119.2 133.5 201.2 15.4 10.2 16.7 35.0 338.5 330.0 427.4 43.31982 ….. ….. 136.2 168.6 102.6 132.8 198.4 16.2 11.1 17.2 36.0 339.8 335.6 419.5 43.11983 ….. ….. 128.3 170.7 97.2 124.2 186.0 16.9 12.0 17.9 36.4 343.4 337.8 425.7 42.51984 ….. ….. 126.8 166.5 98.3 124.2 183.2 17.2 13.3 17.7 35.9 346.4 335.1 436.0 41.71985 ….. ….. 125.3 149.5 96.6 128.5 179.7 17.7 14.5 17.8 34.6 349.5 335.1 439.2 41.51986 ….. ….. 125.7 155.4 98.8 133.3 168.0 18.2 15.3 18.0 34.9 351.8 338.2 439.1 41.31987 ….. ….. 124.9 154.0 101.6 132.9 164.3 18.7 16.5 18.0 35.4 354.7 340.1 439.8 40.61988 ….. ….. 120.5 145.0 104.4 127.5 158.8 19.6 17.6 18.8 36.5 358.5 343.5 440.1 39.51989 ….. ….. 116.9 130.3 111.3 126.7 158.9 19.9 17.6 19.1 38.1 362.3 347.0 441.5 38.01990 ….. ….. 113.6 124.9 111.7 117.5 161.5 20.3 17.8 19.4 39.6 365.1 349.1 438.5 36.21991 ….. ….. 115.4 135.6 117.9 116.3 164.6 21.0 19.1 19.2 41.1 365.4 349.8 432.2 35.51992 111.7 152.8 108.3 136.5 120.2 105.4 155.1 20.8 19.9 18.3 39.7 343.4 328.5 408.4 33.11993 100.1 138.7 110.1 142.4 125.5 108.1 155.7 22.2 22.3 18.7 41.8 345.0 327.3 412.2 33.71994 84.7 119.1 111.5 146.3 128.2 110.3 157.9 23.5 24.6 19.3 43.5 347.5 330.3 417.3 33.81995 78.3 111.9 108.6 137.4 136.3 111.0 143.4 24.7 26.4 19.9 45.4 348.5 337.9 411.2 34.51996 73.7 105.7 108.3 140.0 140.9 109.2 146.3 25.9 28.1 20.5 47.0 349.0 336.4 412.2 35.01997 72.8 104.5 109.3 145.6 144.2 108.2 150.2 26.4 29.6 20.4 46.8 349.8 336.0 414.6 35.51998 69.4 98.0 108.7 147.6 145.2 105.3 153.4 26.6 31.3 21.1 41.6 352.7 341.0 422.4 35.91999 71.6 102.2 104.8 138.0 139.2 101.8 152.2 27.4 32.6 22.0 41.3 354.2 342.4 427.1 36.92000 75.8 109.2 103.6 131.0 139.0 101.2 153.2 27.9 34.0 21.8 41.5 354.1 343.7 425.7 37.72001 79.8 114.2 101.7 122.8 140.6 100.2 149.0 28.9 36.2 22.2 41.7 352.6 346.6 420.5 39.12002 83.0 118.3 99.0 106.8 139.9 99.9 145.1 30.0 38.7 22.4 42.5 350.6 344.9 416.8 40.52003 87.4 124.3 97.1 112.5 139.5 97.3 141.8 31.4 41.2 23.2 43.2 346.8 340.5 412.8 42.12004 91.2 129.0 98.0 117.0 141.8 97.8 141.8 32.6 43.5 24.0 43.8 342.9 335.3 408.9 43.62005 94.2 133.1 97.6 122.3 143.1 96.2 139.5 34.0 46.3 24.9 44.3 338.8 330.0 404.7 45.42006 98.6 138.9 98.0 126.5 144.3 95.2 139.3 35.7 49.9 25.8 44.4 333.9 327.4 396.6 47.62007 103.2 145.2 98.5 131.1 144.5 96.2 136.5 37.9 54.6 26.9 44.8 327.4 324.1 384.9 50.52008 107.0 150.9 100.1 136.8 145.6 98.9 134.6 39.7 58.7 27.2 45.8 321.3 319.9 375.8 52.92009 101.5 141.8 99.5 139.3 145.6 99.5 128.9 43.0 64.9 29.6 46.8 313.6 309.8 367.7 56.22010 102.4 142.7 100.3 145.1 146.8 102.1 128.8 45.0 68.7 31.0 47.7 308.8 302.8 360.3 58.72011 104.5 145.4 101.2 152.8 150.0 101.4 129.0 46.8 72.9 31.8 48.1 305.1 299.3 355.4 60.92012 105.8 147.6 101.2 151.4 153.8 99.7 130.0 48.5 76.7 32.2 49.5 302.0 291.7 355.0 62.72013 105.9 147.0 101.0 153.7 156.1 99.3 127.6 50.3 80.8 32.6 50.6 298.8 286.1 351.7 64.5
2014 96.6 145.5 100.7 151.1 157.1 98.3 127.7 52.2 85.0 33.3 51.7 298.8 285.2 350.4 66.52015 96.7 144.2 100.1 148.0 157.7 96.7 127.9 53.7 88.2 33.8 52.4 295.8 281.8 347.4 67.92016 96.7 143.0 99.6 144.8 158.5 95.3 129.1 55.1 91.5 34.4 53.3 292.0 278.3 344.9 69.32017 97.5 142.7 99.7 143.1 160.5 94.7 131.5 56.7 95.3 35.2 54.7 288.9 276.2 345.3 71.22018 97.9 142.0 99.7 140.9 162.0 93.8 133.7 58.2 99.0 35.9 55.8 285.3 273.3 344.5 72.92019 98.2 141.3 99.5 138.9 163.4 92.9 135.3 59.9 102.8 36.7 57.0 281.9 270.1 341.7 74.72020 98.3 140.5 99.4 136.7 164.2 91.9 136.7 61.8 106.5 37.5 58.0 278.4 266.5 338.4 76.4
Conclusión
P-18
CAPÍTULO V Indicadores de Coyuntura
1.0 Actividad Económica
2.0 PIB Trimestral
3.0 Inflación
4.0 Tasas de Interés
5.0 Tipo de Cambio
6.0 Ocupación, Salarios y Productividad
7.0 Salarios y Remuneraciones
8.0 Comercio Exterior
9.0 Balanza de Pagos de México
10.0 Deuda Externa Total
11.0 Agregados Monetarios y Actividad Financiera
12.0 Finanzas Públicas
13.0 Economía de Estados Unidos
14.0 Oferta y Demanda Global de EUA
1.0 Actividad Económica
1.0 Oferta y Demanda Global Anual 2011-2016
1.1 Oferta y Demanda Global Trimestral 2013-2014
1.2 Crecimiento Económico Mensual de México y EUA 2013-2014
1.3 Indicador Mensual del Consumo Privado 2007-2014
1.4 Producción del Sector Industrial de México 2007-2014
1.5-a Producción de la Industria Manufacturera 2007-2014
1.5-b Producción de la Industria Manufacturera 2007-2014
1.6 Producción de la Industria Automotriz México y EUA 2007-2014
1.7 Inversión Fija Bruta 2007-2014
1.8 Inversión Pública y Privada 2009-2014
1.9 Indicadores Adelantados y de Confianza del Consumidorde México y EUA 2012-2014
Escenario Macroeconómico 1.0
Oferta Global Anual(Variación % anual a precios de 2008)
Datos Históricos Proyecciones2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Oferta 5.0 4.3 1.2 3.4 5.2 6.5Producto interno bruto 4.0 4.0 1.1 2.9 4.1 5.2 Sector Agropecuario -2.3 7.2 0.3 0.9 -2.1 3.0 Sector Industrial 3.4 2.7 -0.7 2.5 4.3 5.5 Minería -0.4 0.9 -1.7 0.0 1.6 2.6 Industria manufacturera 4.6 4.0 1.4 4.1 5.4 6.5 Construcción 4.1 2.0 -4.5 1.5 4.7 6.7 Electricidad, gas y agua 6.9 2.4 0.2 2.1 3.3 3.4 Sector Servicios 4.7 4.6 2.1 3.3 4.4 5.2 Comercio, restaurantes y hoteles 8.7 4.8 2.7 3.4 5.0 6.8 Transporte y comunicaciones 4.0 4.1 1.5 2.9 5.4 6.3 Financieros, seguros e inmuebles 3.9 4.1 2.1 3.6 4.5 4.7 Comunales, sociales y personales 2.5 4.8 1.8 3.1 3.5 3.9Importación de bienes y servicios 8.0 5.5 1.5 4.7 8.4 10.3 Importación de bienes 7.7 5.6 1.4 4.7 8.3 10.1 Consumo 4.7 4.7 5.9 6.8 9.6 12.8 Intermedios 6.4 4.9 0.1 4.5 7.5 8.7 Capital 21.2 11.7 5.1 3.6 11.9 15.7 Importación de servicios 14.9 2.9 2.9 3.9 11.2 14.2
Demanda Global Anual(Variación % anual a precios de 2003)
Datos Históricos Proyecciones2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Demanda 5.0 4.3 1.2 3.4 5.2 6.5Consumo 4.5 4.6 2.3 2.9 3.9 4.9 Consumo privado 4.8 4.9 2.5 3.0 4.3 5.4 Consumo de gobierno 2.4 3.4 1.2 2.3 1.4 2.1Formación bruta de capital fijo 7.8 4.5 -1.8 2.5 5.8 8.4 Privada 12.1 8.8 -1.3 2.7 6.1 9.0 Pública -4.1 -9.5 -3.6 1.8 4.2 5.9Exportación de bienes y servicios 8.2 5.9 1.2 4.3 7.6 8.2 Exportación de bienes 8.8 6.0 0.7 4.0 7.4 7.9 Exportaciones no petroleras 10.4 7.6 1.6 4.9 7.5 8.6 Manufacturas 10.4 7.3 2.1 5.0 7.8 8.6 Otras 10.4 13.6 -7.9 3.5 2.1 10.3 Exportaciones petroleras -1.8 -6.1 -6.9 -5.0 6.4 0.4 Exportación de servicios -2.9 5.5 11.1 9.9 10.3 12.6
Datos Históricos: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.Proyecciones: CAMACRO, Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Concepto!
Concepto!
Escenario Macroeconómico 1.1
Oferta Global Trimestral(Variación % anual a precios de 2008)
2013 2014I II III IV I II e/ III e/ IV e/
Oferta 0.3 2.3 1.7 0.4 2.4 1.8 3.9 5.2Producto interno bruto 0.6 1.6 1.4 0.7 1.8 2.0 3.7 4.2Sector Agropecuario -2.2 2.6 0.8 -0.2 4.9 -2.3 -1.5 2.7Sector Industrial -1.6 -0.3 -0.5 -0.4 1.6 0.9 3.8 3.6 Minería -1.8 -2.1 -1.8 -0.9 0.0 -0.1 0.1 0.0 Industria manufacturera -1.0 2.0 2.9 1.9 4.3 2.3 5.0 4.7 Construcción -3.0 -3.6 -6.6 -4.6 -2.8 -1.7 5.1 5.1 Electricidad, gas y agua -1.1 0.1 0.8 0.7 1.4 1.8 2.5 2.7Sector Servicios 2.1 2.6 2.5 1.3 1.8 2.8 3.9 4.6 Comercio, rest. y hoteles 0.9 3.4 4.1 2.3 2.1 2.3 4.1 5.0 Transporte y comunicaciones 0.5 1.8 2.3 1.3 1.6 2.2 3.6 4.2 Financieros, seguros e inmuebles 2.3 3.1 1.9 1.2 2.1 3.1 4.4 4.9 Comunales, sociales y personales 3.2 1.8 1.8 0.6 1.5 3.2 3.4 4.0Importación de bienes y servicios -0.9 4.4 2.6 -0.3 4.4 1.1 4.6 8.5 Importación de bienes -1.2 4.0 2.7 -0.1 4.3 1.2 4.7 8.5 Consumo 2.4 10.2 6.4 4.8 1.6 2.3 10.7 11.2 Intermedios -2.4 1.9 2.1 -1.4 4.4 1.5 4.2 8.1 Capital 2.9 12.3 3.0 2.6 6.2 -1.9 1.7 8.6 Importación de servicios 3.6 12.1 0.5 -3.7 5.1 0.1 3.8 7.1
Demanda Global Trimestral(Variación % anual a precios de 2008)
2013 2014I II III IV I II e/ III e/ IV e/
Demanda 0.3 2.3 1.7 0.4 2.4 1.8 3.9 5.2Consumo 1.7 3.4 2.8 1.5 1.6 2.3 3.4 4.4 Consumo privado 1.9 4.0 2.9 1.4 1.4 2.2 3.6 4.8 Consumo de gobierno 0.3 0.2 2.0 2.1 2.9 2.6 2.0 1.8Formación bruta de capital fijo -1.0 0.8 -3.7 -3.0 -0.8 0.1 4.7 6.4 Privada 0.5 2.5 -3.8 -3.9 1.1 -0.3 4.0 5.6 Pública -6.6 -5.5 -3.2 0.4 -8.5 1.6 7.6 9.8Exportación de bienes y servicios -4.5 -1.9 5.6 5.8 7.2 5.6 0.4 4.0 Exportación de bienes -4.4 -3.6 5.6 5.7 6.9 5.3 0.2 3.7 Exportaciones no petroleras -4.4 -3.1 7.3 7.3 8.0 6.4 1.2 4.5 Manufacturas -3.9 -2.9 8.1 7.5 7.7 6.6 1.1 5.0 Otras -13.3 -8.1 -11.0 3.1 13.5 2.8 5.5 -9.0 Exportaciones petroleras -4.4 -8.4 -7.9 -6.9 -2.1 -5.5 -9.7 -2.7 Exportación de servicios -5.3 36.5 4.7 8.8 13.6 9.3 6.7 9.9
Datos Históricos: INEGI. Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Concepto!
Concepto!
Escenario Macroeconómico 1.3
Indicador Mensual del Consumo Privado(Indice 2008=100)
Indicador Mensual del Consumo Privado en el Mercado InteriorAño Total Origen Nacional Importado
y mes Bienes y Servicios BienesIndice Var.% anual Indice Var.% anual Indice Var.% anual Indice Var.% anual Indice Var.% anual
2007 98.1 3.0 99.0 2.9 100.2 1.6 97.8 4.3 90.6 4.12008 100.0 1.9 100.0 1.0 100.0 -0.2 100.0 2.3 100.0 10.42009 93.8 -6.2 96.3 -3.7 93.2 -6.8 99.6 -0.4 71.3 -28.72010 98.9 5.5 99.9 3.7 97.1 4.3 102.6 3.1 90.6 27.12011 103.5 4.6 104.5 4.7 103.4 6.4 105.7 3.0 94.4 4.12012 108.5 4.9 109.6 4.9 107.7 4.1 111.6 5.6 99.0 4.9
2013 111.2 2.4 111.9 2.1 109.6 1.8 114.2 2.3 104.9 5.9
Ene 110.6 3.5 111.9 3.1 110.5 2.3 113.4 3.8 98.8 7.7Feb 106.6 2.1 108.1 1.8 105.1 0.6 111.2 3.0 93.4 5.0Mar 107.3 -0.2 108.8 -0.2 102.3 -4.1 115.3 3.6 94.2 -0.5Abr 109.2 6.6 109.3 5.2 107.3 7.7 111.4 2.8 108.6 20.8May 111.0 3.9 111.8 3.4 110.3 3.3 113.2 3.4 104.3 9.0Jun 108.2 0.9 109.9 0.7 107.4 -0.3 112.5 1.8 93.1 3.1Jul 113.4 3.9 115.0 3.8 114.3 5.6 115.7 2.1 99.4 4.2Ago 112.4 2.1 112.8 2.0 109.9 2.0 115.7 2.1 109.3 3.3Sep 108.3 2.3 108.3 1.3 104.2 1.0 112.4 1.6 108.8 12.0Oct 116.4 2.3 115.0 1.6 114.9 1.9 115.1 1.3 128.7 7.8Nov 116.0 0.1 116.2 0.7 116.2 0.3 116.3 1.2 113.7 -5.2Dic 114.4 1.9 115.3 1.4 112.5 1.5 118.1 1.2 106.7 7.3
2014 114.7 3.1 115.6 3.3 113.3 3.4 117.8 3.2 106.3 1.3
Ene 111.5 0.8 113.1 1.1 111.7 1.0 114.6 1.1 97.0 -1.9Feb 108.3 1.5 110.0 1.8 107.5 2.2 112.6 1.3 92.3 -1.2Mar 110.2 2.7 111.4 2.4 106.1 3.7 116.8 1.3 99.0 5.1Abr 109.8 0.6 110.4 1.0 106.8 -0.5 114.1 2.5 104.8 -3.5May e/ 113.7 2.4 114.4 2.4 112.9 2.3 115.9 2.4 106.5 2.1Jun 112.2 3.7 113.9 3.6 111.0 3.4 116.6 3.7 95.9 3.0Jul 117.2 3.4 118.7 3.2 117.7 3.0 119.6 3.4 103.1 3.7Ago 116.7 3.8 117.2 3.9 114.5 4.2 119.9 3.6 111.9 2.4Sep 112.7 4.0 113.4 4.7 109.6 5.2 117.1 4.2 106.0 -2.6Oct 121.7 4.6 120.4 4.7 120.7 5.0 120.2 4.4 133.4 3.6Nov 122.1 5.3 122.3 5.2 122.8 5.7 121.7 4.7 120.7 6.1Dic 119.7 4.6 121.2 5.2 118.4 5.2 124.1 5.1 105.5 -1.1
Ene.-Abr.2011 98.6 4.0 100.1 4.2 97.0 7.2 103.2 1.4 85.4 2.92012 105.3 6.9 106.9 6.9 104.7 8.0 109.2 5.8 91.3 7.02013 108.4 2.9 109.5 2.4 106.3 1.5 112.8 3.3 98.8 8.12014 109.9 1.4 111.3 1.6 108.0 1.6 114.5 1.5 98.3 -0.5
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI.e/ Empieza estimación del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO.
Subtotal Bienes Servicios
Escenario Macroeconómico 1.2
Crecimiento Económico Mensual en Estados Unidos y México(Indice 2008=100)
Estados Unidos MéxicoAño PIB Real Indicador Global de la Actividad Económica
y mes Indicador Global Indicador Global Sector Agropecuario Sector Industrial Sector ServiciosIndice Var.% anual Indice Var.% anual Indice Var.% anual Indice Var.% anual Indice Var.% anual
2007 100.3 1.8 98.7 3.2 98.3 1.9 100.5 1.5 97.6 4.42008 100.0 -0.3 100.0 1.3 100.0 1.7 100.0 -0.5 100.0 2.52009 97.2 -2.8 95.3 -4.7 97.4 -2.6 93.8 -6.2 96.2 -3.82010 99.6 2.5 100.2 5.1 98.1 0.7 98.1 4.6 101.7 5.72011 101.5 1.8 104.3 4.1 95.8 -2.3 101.4 3.4 106.6 4.82012 104.3 2.8 108.5 4.0 103.2 7.7 104.2 2.7 111.5 4.6
2013 106.3 1.9 109.7 1.1 103.9 0.7 103.5 -0.7 113.9 2.2
Ene 104.9 1.4 107.7 2.9 107.9 7.9 101.3 0.6 111.8 4.1Feb 105.0 1.3 104.9 0.4 89.4 -1.3 98.2 -1.7 110.0 1.7Mar 105.2 1.3 107.5 -1.4 78.0 -14.9 101.0 -3.7 113.2 0.5Abr 105.4 1.5 108.4 4.2 96.5 5.2 103.3 2.7 112.3 5.0May 105.7 1.6 110.7 1.2 120.5 5.9 104.4 -1.3 114.2 2.5Jun 106.0 1.7 108.7 -0.4 123.1 -2.1 102.8 -2.1 111.6 0.7Jul 106.5 1.8 110.9 2.2 107.9 2.4 105.5 0.3 114.5 3.2Ago 106.8 2.0 110.2 1.1 78.5 -1.9 105.8 -0.4 114.7 2.1Sep 107.1 2.1 107.3 1.1 70.0 7.0 102.7 -1.4 112.2 2.4Oct 107.4 2.6 113.1 1.4 94.5 10.1 108.9 0.3 116.7 1.7Nov 107.5 2.6 114.5 0.0 139.5 -6.1 105.9 -1.0 118.6 1.0Dic 107.5 2.6 112.4 1.1 141.5 1.2 101.8 -0.3 117.5 1.9
2014 108.6 2.2 112.9 2.9 105.6 1.6 106.1 2.5 117.7 3.3
Ene 107.0 2.0 108.7 0.9 107.4 -0.4 102.1 0.8 112.9 1.1Feb 106.7 1.6 106.7 1.6 99.3 11.0 98.7 0.5 112.1 1.9Mar 106.3 1.1 111.0 3.2 83.6 7.1 104.8 3.8 116.4 2.8Abr 107.2 1.6 108.9 0.5 97.8 1.3 102.7 -0.6 113.5 1.1May e/ 107.8 2.0 113.2 2.3 115.0 -4.6 106.0 1.6 117.8 3.2Jun 108.4 2.2 112.1 3.2 125.7 2.1 104.7 1.8 116.2 4.1Jul 108.9 2.2 114.2 3.0 106.2 -1.6 108.5 2.8 118.4 3.4Ago 109.3 2.4 114.8 4.1 80.7 2.8 110.0 3.9 119.8 4.5Sep 109.7 2.5 111.4 3.8 65.6 -6.3 107.5 4.6 116.6 3.9Oct 110.1 2.6 117.5 3.9 84.5 -10.6 113.5 4.2 122.2 4.7Nov 110.5 2.8 119.3 4.2 150.2 7.7 109.4 3.3 124.1 4.6Dic 110.7 3.0 116.8 4.0 150.9 6.6 105.2 3.3 122.6 4.4
Ene.-Abr.2011 100.6 2.0 100.8 4.1 87.7 -1.8 97.8 3.4 103.4 4.82012 103.7 3.2 105.6 4.7 93.5 6.5 101.5 3.8 108.7 5.22013 105.1 1.4 107.2 1.5 92.9 -0.6 101.0 -0.6 111.8 2.82014 106.8 1.6 108.8 1.6 97.0 4.4 102.1 1.1 113.7 1.7
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI y del U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.e/ Empieza estimación del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO.
Escenario Macroeconómico 1.4
Producción del Sector Industrial(Indice 2008=100)
Indice del Volumen Físico de la Actividad IndustrialAño Variación % anual real
y mes Total Minería Manufacturas Construcción ElectricidadIndice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.%
2007 100.5 1.5 103.9 -1.4 101.0 1.0 96.3 4.7 98.7 6.32008 100.0 -0.5 100.0 -3.7 100.0 -1.0 100.0 3.8 100.0 1.32009 93.8 -6.2 96.0 -4.0 91.6 -8.4 93.9 -6.1 101.3 1.32010 98.1 4.6 96.8 0.9 99.5 8.5 94.6 0.8 105.9 4.52011 101.4 3.4 96.4 -0.4 104.0 4.6 98.5 4.1 113.2 6.92012 104.2 2.7 97.3 0.9 108.2 4.0 100.5 2.0 115.9 2.4
2013 103.5 -0.7 95.7 -1.7 109.7 1.4 96.0 -4.5 116.1 0.2
Ene 101.3 0.6 97.3 0.2 106.9 2.5 91.1 -3.3 114.1 1.0Feb 98.2 -1.7 89.4 -3.4 104.1 -0.7 92.3 -2.3 112.3 -0.7Mar 101.0 -3.7 96.3 -2.3 107.4 -4.6 91.3 -3.2 109.4 -3.7Abr 103.3 2.7 94.2 -1.7 111.4 6.7 95.7 -0.7 107.0 0.7May 104.4 -1.3 96.8 -2.4 112.3 0.5 95.5 -4.8 108.7 0.2Jun 102.8 -2.1 94.2 -2.0 110.4 -0.9 94.5 -5.1 111.2 -0.5Jul 105.5 0.3 96.3 -2.2 113.0 4.6 96.3 -6.2 122.0 0.5Ago 105.8 -0.4 97.3 -2.0 113.7 2.8 95.0 -6.1 122.6 1.2Sep 102.7 -1.4 94.5 -1.4 107.9 1.3 95.2 -7.6 126.4 0.7Oct 108.9 0.3 98.5 0.6 117.2 3.6 99.3 -6.9 124.7 0.4Nov 105.9 -1.0 95.5 -2.0 111.1 0.9 102.9 -4.4 119.2 0.3Dic 101.8 -0.3 98.0 -1.2 101.5 1.0 102.8 -2.5 115.9 1.4
2014 106.1 2.5 95.7 0.0 114.2 4.1 97.5 1.6 118.6 2.1
Ene 102.1 0.8 96.9 -0.4 110.2 3.1 88.4 -3.1 114.3 0.2Feb 98.7 0.5 89.1 -0.3 107.1 2.9 88.7 -3.9 112.4 0.1Mar 104.8 3.8 97.3 1.1 114.9 7.0 90.5 -0.9 113.7 4.0Abr 102.5 -0.8 94.0 -0.3 111.3 0.0 92.3 -3.6 109.2 2.0May 106.0 1.6 96.6 -0.2 116.3 3.6 94.5 -1.0 109.8 1.0Jun e/ 104.7 1.8 94.4 0.2 114.2 3.4 94.2 -0.3 113.8 2.4Jul 108.5 2.8 96.0 -0.3 117.4 3.9 99.7 3.6 124.4 2.0Ago 110.0 3.9 97.6 0.3 119.7 5.2 99.8 5.1 125.7 2.5Sep 107.5 4.6 94.9 0.4 114.3 5.9 101.4 6.5 129.9 2.8Oct 113.5 4.2 97.8 -0.7 123.9 5.7 105.3 6.0 128.5 3.0Nov 109.4 3.3 95.7 0.2 115.3 3.8 108.5 5.5 122.4 2.6Dic 105.2 3.3 98.5 0.5 106.0 4.5 106.9 4.0 118.6 2.3
Ene.-May.2011 98.6 3.6 96.0 -1.0 101.8 5.3 92.9 3.0 106.6 11.72012 102.4 3.9 96.7 0.7 107.6 5.7 96.0 3.4 110.9 4.02013 101.6 -0.7 94.8 -1.9 108.4 0.8 93.2 -2.9 110.3 -0.52014 102.8 1.2 94.8 0.0 112.0 3.3 90.9 -2.5 111.9 1.4
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI.e/ Empieza estimación del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO.
Escenario Macroeconómico 1.5a
Industrias Manufactureras por Subsector(Variación % anual real a precios de 2008)
Industria Fabricación Confección Fabricación fabricación Industria Industria Impresión FabricaciónAño Industria bebidas de insumos productos prendas productos de la del e industrias productos
y mes alimentaria y tabaco textiles textiles de vestir de cuero madera papel conexas del petróleoVar.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.%
2007 2.2 2.7 -3.4 2.2 -4.3 -2.2 3.6 2.8 0.6 -1.72008 1.1 2.4 -7.0 -7.9 1.6 -4.7 -7.7 2.4 4.8 -0.32009 -0.3 0.3 -7.4 -7.8 -7.6 -4.8 -4.7 -0.6 -6.5 0.52010 1.7 0.6 10.9 2.5 4.6 7.7 5.5 3.7 10.0 -7.22011 2.2 4.6 -4.4 -2.9 0.2 -0.7 5.1 -0.8 4.2 -3.62012 2.3 2.6 3.1 -0.1 -0.5 3.5 13.0 4.8 -4.0 0.9
2013 0.5 1.0 -3.1 3.0 3.1 0.8 -2.7 2.6 -7.1 2.4
Ene 1.9 4.0 2.3 9.4 -2.3 -2.0 17.1 7.4 -6.1 -0.4Feb -0.2 0.2 4.5 10.4 2.9 3.4 8.9 2.5 -5.6 -3.5Mar -2.8 -6.8 -9.1 -3.5 -7.6 -12.2 -5.1 1.7 -18.1 0.6Abr 4.0 7.7 14.2 17.7 19.4 15.3 7.5 10.0 0.0 2.9May 0.6 1.3 -2.4 4.4 5.0 -2.3 -5.5 -1.5 -5.1 4.7Jun 0.4 -1.9 -6.4 0.7 3.2 -0.8 -11.1 -2.1 -16.4 5.6Jul 1.0 2.7 -5.8 11.6 7.6 3.4 7.6 2.8 -16.6 1.8Ago 1.5 5.2 -9.7 2.7 3.6 -0.5 -5.7 2.6 -11.3 7.5Sep -0.5 0.1 -2.1 0.3 -0.1 0.3 -13.7 1.9 -2.3 2.6Oct 1.0 3.9 -8.2 -2.7 2.8 4.4 -12.1 -0.4 -6.6 7.1Nov 0.2 -1.0 -9.4 -7.4 -7.2 2.6 5.8 2.1 2.4 1.0Dic -1.2 -2.6 0.6 -4.2 14.1 0.3 -16.4 5.6 8.1 -1.2
2014 1.8 2.1 -2.7 1.0 0.6 1.2 1.8 2.8 1.2 1.3
Ene 0.5 -1.2 -3.2 0.8 4.3 -2.8 -13.1 1.6 -4.4 -2.6Feb -0.3 -0.2 -3.9 -3.9 -0.9 -4.7 -2.0 2.3 1.5 -10.3Mar 2.7 3.2 6.5 8.9 0.1 7.5 9.4 4.6 0.3 3.6Abr -0.5 1.6 -11.9 -7.0 -12.1 -9.1 -2.2 -2.5 -2.5 -0.4May 2.0 2.7 -6.8 -4.5 -4.2 -2.8 -1.8 4.7 -8.0 -6.5Jun e/ 2.4 2.1 -3.4 -3.3 -1.8 -1.8 -2.1 3.9 -5.4 -2.4Jul 3.5 3.7 -1.8 5.6 1.6 4.4 3.6 3.1 3.4 5.8Ago 4.5 6.2 -1.7 6.7 0.6 3.5 4.3 3.2 6.7 9.5Sep 2.5 1.1 0.9 2.1 0.2 3.3 4.3 2.7 5.7 4.6Oct 3.3 4.9 -3.2 3.3 4.1 7.4 5.9 0.6 1.4 8.1Nov 2.2 0.3 -5.4 0.6 -3.2 6.6 7.8 3.2 5.4 2.0Dic -0.7 -0.6 3.6 2.8 19.1 3.3 8.6 6.8 10.1 3.8
Ene.-May.2011 1.7 8.0 -1.0 -1.4 3.5 -0.7 7.7 0.6 2.6 -7.12012 3.5 3.5 0.3 0.0 -2.2 4.5 4.9 3.0 1.3 2.12013 0.7 1.1 1.5 7.2 3.2 -0.1 3.7 3.9 -7.2 0.92014 0.9 1.3 -4.1 -1.2 -2.9 -2.5 -2.0 2.1 -2.7 -3.2
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI.e/ Empieza estimación del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO.
Escenario Macroeconómico 1.5b
Industrias Manufactureras por Subsector(Variación % anual real a precios de 2008)
Industria Fabricación Industrias Fabricación Fabricación Fabricación Fabricación Fabricación FabricaciónAño Industria del plastico minerales metálicas productos maquinaria equipos equipos equipo de de muebles
y mes química y del hule no metálicos básicas metálicos y equipo electrónicos eléctricos transporte y similaresVar.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.%
2007 1.2 2.2 2.0 -3.6 -0.2 -1.8 1.2 -2.5 4.3 -1.02008 -2.3 -3.5 -3.8 -1.1 -0.7 0.1 -8.7 -2.7 0.1 -4.22009 -3.1 -9.6 -9.4 -16.4 -14.1 -19.9 -10.2 -10.7 -26.4 -6.52010 -0.4 13.5 4.7 12.4 8.8 47.2 3.7 10.1 42.2 7.12011 -0.1 6.7 3.7 4.3 7.0 13.3 6.7 -1.1 16.6 1.22012 -0.2 8.3 2.4 2.3 3.9 5.4 0.5 1.8 14.1 2.9
2013 0.7 -0.7 -2.6 0.0 0.3 -1.7 13.7 -2.2 5.3 -5.8
Ene 4.3 3.8 -1.6 0.1 4.3 -6.2 7.9 -0.3 7.2 -9.3Feb -4.1 -2.4 -1.8 -3.9 -2.0 -9.7 13.0 -3.6 2.0 -8.2Mar -6.0 -10.2 -2.6 -3.6 -3.1 -9.9 13.9 -8.5 -7.5 -14.5Abr 3.8 5.3 3.9 2.5 6.1 5.5 17.8 4.9 12.1 -3.7May -4.1 -2.7 0.3 -7.3 -1.6 -6.7 15.8 -3.2 8.0 -8.9Jun -2.7 -3.5 -4.1 -9.1 -1.9 -0.7 10.4 -1.4 1.8 -5.1Jul 9.4 0.7 -2.5 4.0 0.2 3.6 30.1 -0.2 9.2 -7.8Ago 2.4 1.4 -3.7 7.8 -1.6 1.8 21.2 -3.3 5.2 -15.4Sep 1.5 -0.6 -7.4 3.2 -0.7 3.3 12.0 -3.7 6.7 -7.4Oct 3.9 -0.2 -4.0 1.7 1.3 5.0 12.5 -4.9 10.9 4.8Nov -1.0 -0.2 -5.5 3.8 -1.1 -3.3 9.2 -1.8 5.3 -4.6Dic 1.0 2.0 -1.3 1.8 5.1 -2.2 0.7 -0.1 3.8 11.5
2014 2.0 4.5 1.7 8.7 1.7 1.8 7.2 4.7 10.1 -0.4
Ene 1.0 2.2 0.5 15.3 -3.9 -1.0 5.8 1.2 11.7 -7.3Feb 0.6 4.4 0.1 15.1 -0.6 6.7 6.4 7.5 8.0 -2.4Mar 4.0 10.2 4.7 15.1 5.6 -1.1 1.4 14.9 17.3 4.2Abr -4.2 0.5 -1.2 2.7 0.3 -8.4 -2.8 -2.3 9.1 -5.8May -2.3 4.9 2.5 11.7 2.1 -0.7 3.0 5.8 13.4 -7.5Jun e/ -1.6 3.5 2.9 10.9 1.1 1.3 5.4 4.6 9.5 -3.1Jul 2.4 2.7 3.5 1.0 2.2 4.6 10.1 3.8 6.3 -2.8Ago 4.4 3.4 4.3 6.8 1.4 7.8 11.2 3.7 5.3 6.6Sep 5.5 4.4 2.6 8.2 1.3 5.3 10.0 5.3 14.3 4.6Oct 7.9 8.8 4.0 8.7 3.3 7.0 10.5 5.1 6.7 1.8Nov 2.0 4.8 -3.4 6.8 1.0 0.7 11.2 5.2 8.7 7.4Dic 4.0 4.2 -0.3 3.8 7.3 -1.2 14.7 2.9 13.2 -2.5
Ene.-May.2011 0.3 8.6 4.7 2.9 8.1 17.3 3.3 1.3 20.6 4.82012 -0.2 10.6 2.8 5.9 6.7 16.3 5.6 0.1 17.0 6.52013 -1.3 -1.5 -0.3 -2.5 0.7 -5.5 13.7 -2.2 4.0 -9.02014 -0.2 4.3 1.3 11.8 0.7 -1.2 2.7 5.2 11.9 -3.9
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI.e/ Empieza estimación del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO.
Escenario Macroeconómico 1.6
Producción de la Industria Automotriz en EUA y México(Número de unidades)
Estados Unidos MéxicoAño Producción Producción Total Ventas
y mes Total Total Mercado Interno Mercado Externo al PúblicoUnidades Var.% Unidades Var.% Unidades Var.% Unidades Var.% Unidades Var.%
2007 10,752,308 -4.5 2,022,241 2.2 398,278 -5.7 1,623,963 4.3 1,099,866 -3.52008 8,672,125 -19.3 2,102,801 4.0 437,668 9.9 1,665,133 2.5 1,025,520 -6.82009 5,710,308 -34.2 1,507,527 -28.3 281,014 -35.8 1,226,513 -26.3 754,918 -26.42010 7,743,733 35.6 2,260,774 50.0 384,992 37.0 1,875,782 52.9 820,406 8.72011 8,663,158 11.9 2,557,550 13.1 427,407 11.0 2,130,143 13.6 905,886 10.42012 10,335,758 19.3 2,884,869 12.8 479,681 12.2 2,405,188 12.9 987,747 9.0
2013 11,066,417 7.1 2,933,465 1.7 525,120 9.5 2,408,345 0.1 1,063,363 7.7
Ene 888,833 7.4 242,855 19.8 48,706 40.8 194,149 15.5 84,269 11.9Feb 906,808 1.1 246,197 1.6 48,211 26.6 197,986 -3.1 80,193 7.3Mar 957,175 0.1 238,519 -11.2 42,858 16.5 195,661 -15.6 82,767 -1.0Abr 1,001,967 16.1 238,766 15.6 46,166 44.9 192,600 10.3 83,527 19.5May 1,001,775 7.4 255,474 12.0 50,264 37.5 205,210 7.2 87,518 9.0Jun 922,300 2.5 266,351 -0.8 47,140 18.1 219,211 -4.1 83,713 6.6Jul 669,975 0.0 239,311 0.5 37,825 2.3 201,486 0.2 86,645 13.4Ago 995,017 4.7 259,106 4.1 36,516 -14.8 222,590 8.1 88,332 6.0Sep 963,717 21.8 241,740 -4.6 37,966 -5.0 203,774 -4.5 78,351 -2.0Oct 1,091,900 10.9 285,230 1.0 52,726 2.2 232,504 0.8 88,261 6.1Nov 923,600 7.5 255,695 -3.5 46,373 -14.5 209,322 -0.7 100,423 9.4Dic 743,350 5.8 164,221 -9.1 30,369 -16.3 133,852 -7.3 119,364 7.7
2014 11,669,070 5.4 3,132,336 6.8 544,595 3.7 2,587,741 7.4 1,087,317 2.3
Ene 890,783 0.2 249,400 2.7 42,622 -12.5 206,778 6.5 85,504 1.5Feb 971,633 7.1 248,017 0.7 42,442 -12.0 205,575 3.8 79,938 -0.3Mar 1,054,308 10.1 277,314 16.3 44,419 3.6 232,895 19.0 85,682 3.5Abr 998,350 -0.4 248,031 3.9 45,436 -1.6 202,595 5.2 76,865 -8.0May 1,004,558 0.3 287,488 12.5 47,330 -5.8 240,158 17.0 88,244 0.8Jun */ 955,503 3.6 287,344 7.9 48,967 3.9 238,377 8.7 84,127 0.5Jul e/ 741,662 10.7 247,198 3.3 41,078 8.6 206,120 2.3 84,566 -2.4Ago 1,078,598 8.4 264,181 2.0 46,266 26.7 217,916 -2.1 91,600 3.7Sep 937,696 -2.7 273,936 13.3 44,079 16.1 229,857 12.8 84,854 8.3Oct 1,175,976 7.7 296,891 4.1 55,784 5.8 241,107 3.7 92,409 4.7Nov 1,021,502 10.6 269,936 5.6 51,613 11.3 218,323 4.3 106,047 5.6Dic 838,499 12.8 182,600 11.2 34,560 13.8 148,040 10.6 127,481 6.8
Ene.-Jun.2011 4,258,458 9.7 1,256,362 16.6 212,845 20.1 1,043,517 15.9 413,126 11.42012 5,377,725 26.3 1,416,563 12.8 217,768 2.3 1,198,795 14.9 462,239 11.92013 5,678,858 5.6 1,488,162 5.1 283,345 30.1 1,204,817 0.5 501,987 8.62014 5,875,136 3.5 1,597,594 7.4 271,216 -4.3 1,326,378 10.1 500,360 -0.3
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos de la Asociación Mexicana de la Industria Automotriz, A.C. y Federal Reserve Statistical Realese.*/ El dato correspondiente a los EUA es una estimación de CAMACRO.e/ Empieza estimación del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO.
Escenario Macroeconómico 1.7
Inversión Fija BrutaAño Indicador Maquinaria y Equipo Sector de la
y mes Total Total Nacional Importado Construcción Privada PúblicaIndice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Indice Var.% Var.% Var.%
2007 95.3 6.0 97.7 7.9 97.3 5.2 97.8 9.0 94.2 5.1 6.7 3.22008 100.0 5.0 100.0 2.4 100.0 2.8 100.0 2.2 100.0 6.2 0.5 21.72009 90.7 -9.3 83.1 -16.9 82.4 -17.6 83.3 -16.7 94.3 -5.7 -12.5 0.82010 91.9 1.3 87.0 4.8 98.1 18.9 82.3 -1.3 94.1 -0.2 1.9 -0.52011 99.1 7.8 103.5 18.9 112.7 15.0 99.5 20.9 97.0 3.0 12.1 -4.12012 103.5 4.5 114.2 10.4 121.7 8.0 111.0 11.6 98.5 1.6 8.8 -9.5
2013 101.7 -1.8 119.0 4.2 124.3 2.1 116.7 5.2 93.6 -5.0 -1.3 -3.6
Ene 96.4 0.5 113.1 9.1 115.6 7.7 112.0 9.8 88.6 -4.1 2.0 -5.2Feb 95.5 -0.2 108.0 5.3 113.9 8.0 105.4 4.1 89.7 -3.0 1.3 -5.8Mar 96.3 -3.2 112.7 -1.9 123.5 2.8 108.0 -4.1 88.6 -3.9 -1.7 -8.6Abr 103.5 5.3 125.4 18.4 115.0 9.8 129.9 22.1 93.3 -1.6 7.0 -1.3May 101.8 -0.9 120.8 6.9 121.0 3.5 120.8 8.5 93.0 -5.0 0.8 -7.0Jun 99.5 -1.8 115.7 5.2 122.8 2.5 112.6 6.6 91.9 -5.6 -0.2 -8.0Jul 103.9 -0.2 125.5 11.9 130.4 8.1 123.4 13.8 93.8 -6.5 -0.3 0.3Ago 100.9 -5.8 118.3 -4.7 129.7 -0.7 113.4 -6.6 92.8 -6.4 -5.9 -5.3Sep 99.1 -4.9 111.8 0.4 122.9 -5.4 107.1 3.5 93.1 -7.7 -5.1 -4.5Oct 106.8 -5.4 127.8 -2.5 131.2 -5.0 126.3 -1.4 97.0 -7.1 -6.3 -2.1Nov 107.1 -4.2 120.4 -3.0 127.0 -6.1 117.6 -1.4 100.8 -4.9 -5.1 -0.8Dic 109.7 0.8 128.6 9.0 138.1 4.6 124.5 11.3 101.0 -3.6 -0.1 4.3
2014 104.3 2.5 124.4 4.6 127.2 2.4 123.2 5.6 94.9 1.3 2.7 1.8
Ene 93.8 -2.7 111.5 -1.4 111.6 -3.4 111.4 -0.6 85.5 -3.4 -0.8 -10.3Feb 94.1 -1.4 111.9 3.6 114.6 0.5 110.7 5.1 85.8 -4.3 0.5 -9.1Mar 98.3 2.1 121.9 8.2 119.8 -3.0 122.9 13.7 87.2 -1.6 4.0 -5.9Abr 99.9 -3.5 119.7 -4.5 112.4 -2.2 122.9 -5.4 90.6 -2.9 -3.2 -4.7May e/ 102.2 0.4 124.8 3.3 124.9 3.3 124.7 3.3 91.7 -1.4 0.7 -0.9Jun 101.0 1.5 122.0 5.4 127.5 3.8 119.6 6.2 91.3 -0.7 1.9 0.3Jul 105.7 1.7 124.7 -0.7 131.8 1.1 121.5 -1.5 96.8 3.2 1.2 3.6Ago 105.8 4.8 124.2 5.0 135.9 4.8 119.1 5.0 97.2 4.8 4.4 6.7Sep 106.1 7.1 121.4 8.6 130.6 6.3 117.4 9.7 98.9 6.2 6.6 9.0Oct 114.4 7.2 140.1 9.6 140.0 6.7 140.2 10.9 102.5 5.7 6.3 10.4Nov 115.1 7.5 134.6 11.8 136.6 7.6 133.7 13.7 106.0 5.1 6.7 10.7Dic 114.8 4.6 136.5 6.1 140.3 1.6 134.9 8.3 104.6 3.6 3.7 7.7
Ene.-Abr.2011 91.7 7.2 93.8 24.8 104.4 22.0 89.2 26.2 90.7 0.4 10.0 -0.92012 97.3 6.1 106.7 13.8 109.4 4.8 105.5 18.4 92.9 2.4 10.4 -7.52013 97.9 0.6 114.8 7.6 117.0 6.9 113.8 7.8 90.0 -3.1 2.1 -5.22014 96.5 -1.4 116.2 1.3 114.6 -2.1 116.9 2.7 87.3 -3.0 0.0 -7.4
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI.e/ Empieza estimación del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO.
EstimaciónCAMACRO
Inversión Fija Bruta(Indice 2008=100)
Escenario Macroeconómico 1.8
Inversión Pública y Privada(Variación porcentual anual a precios de 2008)
Año y Inversión Total Privada Públicatrimestre Total Privada Pública Total Construcción Maquinaria Total Construcción Maquinaria
2009 -9.3 -12.5 0.8 -12.5 -10.4 -15.9 0.8 4.4 -28.2
I -7.2 -15.1 20.5 -15.1 -16.4 -12.9 20.5 26.6 -25.9II -13.4 -18.8 4.6 -18.8 -13.5 -27.2 4.6 10.2 -37.1III -11.3 -12.8 -6.5 -12.8 -8.0 -20.1 -6.5 -3.3 -31.7IV -5.1 -3.0 -10.9 -3.0 -3.5 -2.3 -10.9 -10.2 -17.1
2010 1.3 1.9 -0.5 1.9 1.5 2.6 -0.5 -3.3 32.9
I -2.8 1.9 -14.1 1.9 6.7 -6.3 -14.1 -17.0 22.5II 2.0 4.7 -4.9 4.7 3.3 7.2 -4.9 -8.0 36.4III 2.2 1.0 5.8 1.0 -1.0 4.5 5.8 3.2 35.3IV 3.4 0.4 12.3 0.4 -2.2 4.6 12.3 9.9 36.5
2011 7.8 12.1 -4.1 12.1 7.3 20.2 -4.1 -5.2 6.0
I 7.6 9.9 0.7 9.9 0.9 27.5 0.7 -0.5 11.0II 7.7 12.0 -4.2 12.0 4.7 24.8 -4.2 -5.7 9.4III 8.7 13.1 -3.8 13.1 8.4 21.1 -3.8 -5.1 7.5IV 7.4 13.2 -8.0 13.2 15.0 10.4 -8.0 -8.8 -1.8
2012 4.5 8.8 -9.5 8.8 6.0 13.0 -9.5 -8.3 -18.6
I 5.9 10.4 -8.3 10.4 6.7 16.2 -8.3 -7.3 -16.3II 4.9 8.4 -6.5 8.4 6.8 10.9 -6.5 -4.8 -19.5III 4.0 8.6 -11.0 8.6 7.0 10.9 -11.0 -9.7 -20.4IV 3.4 8.0 -11.7 8.0 4.0 14.2 -11.7 -10.9 -17.9
2013 -1.8 -1.3 -3.6 -1.3 -3.8 2.2 -3.6 -8.1 35.0
I -1.0 0.5 -6.6 0.5 -0.6 2.0 -6.6 -11.3 34.7II 0.8 2.5 -5.5 2.5 -1.4 8.0 -5.5 -10.7 41.6
III -3.7 -3.8 -3.2 -3.8 -6.5 0.2 -3.2 -7.7 34.7IV -3.0 -3.9 0.4 -3.9 -6.0 -0.9 0.4 -3.1 29.8
2014 2.5 2.7 1.8 2.7 1.2 4.6 1.8 1.4 4.2
I -0.8 1.1 -8.5 1.1 -1.0 4.0 -8.5 -9.5 -2.7II e/ -0.6 -0.3 -1.8 -0.3 -1.2 1.0 -1.8 -2.9 4.5III e/ 4.5 4.0 6.4 4.0 4.1 3.9 6.4 6.4 6.2IV e/ 6.4 5.6 9.6 5.6 2.8 9.2 9.6 9.9 7.9
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México del INEGI.e/ Estimación del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO.
Escenario Macroeconómico 1.9
Indicadores Adelantados e Indices de Confianza en EUA y México(Indices, puntos y porcentajes)
Indicadores Adelantados Opinión del Sector Indice de Encuesta Expectativas BanxicoDe la ISM ISM Manufacturero Confianza Coyuntura actual para que
Año Economía Manufacturero No Manufacturero Situación Económica México del Consumidor las empresas Inviertany mes EUA México EUA México EUA México Presente Futura EUA México Buen Mal No está
Indice Indice Puntos Puntos Puntos Puntos Puntos Puntos Indice Indice Momento Momento Seguro
2012Ene 99.8 100.3 52.8 51.7 55.6 51.7 51.4 55.8 61.5 95.4 26% 15% 59%Feb 99.9 100.4 52.4 53.7 54.9 52.4 53.3 56.1 71.6 93.6 19% 8% 73%Mar 99.9 100.4 53.0 52.8 55.1 54.4 53.3 56.2 68.7 93.4 21% 7% 72%Abr 99.9 100.4 53.7 52.7 54.5 53.1 53.5 56.5 64.4 97.2 33% 4% 63%May 99.8 100.3 53.2 54.3 54.4 55.0 52.4 55.7 62.0 96.3 29% 7% 64%Jun 99.7 100.2 51.0 55.5 53.3 53.1 53.3 56.5 62.7 95.5 16% 12% 72%Jul 99.6 100.1 50.6 52.4 52.9 52.3 53.6 56.2 65.4 98.9 31% 15% 54%Ago 99.6 100.0 51.1 53.0 53.8 53.3 53.9 56.3 61.3 97.6 24% 10% 66%Sep 99.7 100.0 52.2 49.9 55.3 54.0 53.9 56.7 68.4 94.0 37% 6% 57%Oct 99.8 100.0 51.2 52.0 54.5 54.3 53.9 57.0 73.1 94.9 42% 4% 54%Nov 99.9 100.1 49.5 52.8 55.1 53.8 54.8 57.7 71.5 94.2 45% 10% 45%Dic 100.0 100.1 50.4 51.4 55.7 54.3 55.8 59.0 66.7 99.0 43% 5% 52%2013
Ene 100.1 100.1 52.3 51.7 54.9 51.8 54.8 58.6 58.4 100.0 50% 3% 47%Feb 100.2 100.2 53.1 51.8 54.8 51.1 54.2 58.4 68.0 95.5 53% 7% 40%Mar 100.2 100.1 51.5 50.5 54.5 51.3 54.5 59.5 61.9 95.4 50% 8% 42%Abr 100.3 100.1 50.0 51.6 53.8 52.5 55.0 59.0 69.0 95.7 43% 7% 50%May 100.4 100.0 50.0 48.9 54.0 50.4 54.3 59.2 74.3 95.2 52% 6% 42%Jun 100.5 100.0 52.5 46.6 53.4 51.8 53.1 58.2 81.4 93.3 35% 15% 50%Jul 100.5 99.9 54.9 48.5 55.9 51.2 52.5 57.7 80.3 98.0 34% 14% 52%Ago 100.5 99.9 56.3 49.4 57.9 49.8 51.6 57.8 80.0 97.4 31% 31% 38%Sep 100.5 99.9 56.0 49.7 54.5 49.3 48.4 53.7 80.2 94.1 30% 30% 40%Oct 100.5 99.9 56.6 48.7 55.1 50.7 47.0 52.2 72.4 91.2 23% 23% 55%Nov 100.5 99.9 57.0 51.1 54.1 52.0 46.7 51.7 72.0 88.7 34% 26% 40%Dic 100.5 99.9 56.5 49.8 53.0 54.7 46.8 52.5 77.5 89.7 46% 22% 32%2014
Ene 100.4 99.9 51.3 49.7 54.0 51.4 46.5 53.1 79.4 84.5 50% 11% 39%Feb 100.4 99.9 53.2 50.4 51.6 51.7 46.8 53.7 78.3 84.5 41% 18% 41%Mar 100.4 99.9 53.7 54.2 53.1 51.9 47.9 53.7 83.9 88.8 45% 11% 45%Abr 100.5 100.0 54.9 51.9 55.2 50.7 48.3 54.3 81.7 90.3 52% 6% 42%May 100.6 100.1 55.4 53.4 56.3 50.1 48.4 54.3 82.2 90.7 58% 6% 36%Jun 55.3 50.6 56.0 49.9 48.3 53.8 85.2 91.0 56% 11% 33%JulAgoSepOctNovDicFuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI, Banco de México, Indicador IMEF del Entorno Empresarial Mexicano, The Conference Board,Institute for Supply Management y OECD.Nota: Arriba de 50 puntos indica una expansión futura de la producción y abajo de ese nivel indica un decremento en los siguientes meses.
2.0 PIB Trimestral
2.0 Producto Interno Bruto Trimestral 2012-2014
2.1 Producto Interno Bruto 1970-2020
2.2 Población Total y PIB Per Capita 1970-2020
2.3 PIB Per Capita e Índice Relativo del Grado de Desarrollo
Económico de México, Canadá y EUA 1980-2020
Escenario Macroeconómico 2.0
Producto Interno Bruto Trimestral(Millones de pesos)
PIB Nominal Deflactor del PIB PIB Real PIB RealAño Precios corrientes 2008=100 Serie original Ajuste calendario
y trimestre Var. % con respecto al Var. % con respecto al Var. % con respecto al Var. % con respecto altrimestre del año anterior trimestre del año anterior trimestre del año anterior trimestre del año anterior
2012 15,615,012 117.6 13,283,052 13,258,639
I 15,277,111 117.7 12,982,273 12,839,863II 15,405,174 117.0 13,164,150 13,208,905III 15,584,705 117.9 13,222,137 13,222,137IV 16,193,058 117.7 13,763,649 13,763,649% 7.3 3.2 4.0 3.7
I 9.8 4.7 4.9 3.8II 8.7 4.1 4.5 4.5III 7.4 4.1 3.2 3.2IV 3.8 0.4 3.4 3.4
2013 16,104,402 120.0 13,425,236 13,433,213
I 15,659,556 119.9 13,064,767 13,209,025II 15,921,660 119.0 13,374,408 13,262,058III 16,111,808 120.2 13,406,776 13,406,776IV 16,724,584 120.7 13,854,994 13,854,994
% 3.1 2.0 1.1 1.3
I 2.5 1.9 0.6 2.9II 3.4 1.7 1.6 0.4III 3.4 2.0 1.4 1.4IV 3.3 2.6 0.7 0.7
2014 17,043,316 123.3 13,820,186 13,827,365
I 16,451,895 123.7 13,304,823 13,293,538II e/ 16,770,303 123.0 13,638,970 13,678,970III e/ 17,170,009 123.5 13,904,563 13,904,563IV e/ 17,781,055 123.2 14,432,388 14,432,388
% 5.8 2.8 2.9 2.9
I 5.1 3.2 1.8 0.6II e/ 5.3 3.3 2.0 3.1III e/ 6.6 2.8 3.7 3.7IV e/ 6.3 2.1 4.2 4.2
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Sistema de Cuentas Nacionales de México del INEGI.p/ Datos preliminares.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Escenario Macroeconómico 2.1
Producto Interno Bruto(Millones de pesos)
PIB Nominal Deflactor del PIB PIB RealPesos Var. % Indice 2008=100 Var. % Pesos de 2008 Var. %
1970 611 11.7 0.02 4.9 3,200,569 6.51971 674 10.3 0.02 6.3 3,320,989 3.81972 777 15.2 0.02 6.5 3,594,267 8.21973 950 22.3 0.02 13.4 3,876,816 7.91974 1,238 30.2 0.03 23.1 4,100,773 5.81975 1,513 22.3 0.03 15.6 4,336,342 5.71976 1,886 24.6 0.04 19.4 4,527,897 4.41977 2,544 34.9 0.05 30.5 4,681,422 3.41978 3,215 26.4 0.06 16.0 5,100,734 9.01979 4,219 31.2 0.08 19.6 5,595,412 9.71980 5,882 39.4 0.10 27.6 6,112,050 9.21981 8,062 37.1 0.12 26.3 6,633,140 8.51982 12,981 61.0 0.20 61.8 6,598,594 -0.51983 23,381 80.1 0.37 86.6 6,368,539 -3.51984 38,547 64.9 0.59 59.4 6,585,758 3.41985 62,524 62.2 0.93 58.7 6,729,834 2.21986 102,625 64.1 1.57 69.4 6,522,625 -3.11987 253,504 147.0 3.82 142.8 6,634,974 1.71988 514,663 103.0 7.66 100.4 6,720,118 1.31989 679,422 32.0 9.71 26.8 6,996,013 4.11990 916,075 34.8 12.45 28.2 7,358,110 5.21991 1,178,365 28.6 15.37 23.4 7,668,237 4.21992 1,401,208 18.9 17.65 14.8 7,939,777 3.51993 1,570,147 12.1 19.31 9.4 8,132,915 2.41994 1,779,754 13.3 20.90 8.2 8,517,387 4.71995 2,206,943 24.0 27.49 31.6 8,026,897 -5.81996 3,020,033 36.8 35.54 29.2 8,498,459 5.91997 3,805,272 26.0 41.86 17.8 9,090,197 7.01998 4,586,366 20.5 48.19 15.1 9,517,604 4.71999 5,539,866 20.8 56.69 17.7 9,771,440 2.72000 6,464,302 16.7 62.83 10.8 10,288,982 5.32001 6,770,398 4.7 66.20 5.4 10,226,682 -0.62002 7,160,499 5.8 69.93 5.6 10,240,173 0.12003 7,695,624 7.5 74.10 6.0 10,385,857 1.42004 8,693,240 13.0 80.26 8.3 10,832,004 4.32005 9,441,350 8.6 84.60 5.4 11,160,493 3.02006 10,538,115 11.6 89.93 6.3 11,718,672 5.02007 11,403,263 8.2 94.34 4.9 12,087,602 3.12008 12,256,863 7.5 100.00 6.0 12,256,863 1.42009 12,093,890 -1.3 103.54 3.5 11,680,749 -4.72010 13,282,061 9.8 108.18 4.5 12,277,659 5.12011 14,550,014 9.5 113.90 5.3 12,774,243 4.02012 15,615,012 7.3 117.56 3.2 13,283,052 4.02013 16,104,402 3.1 119.96 2.0 13,425,236 1.1
2014 17,043,316 5.8 123.32 2.8 13,820,186 2.92015 18,292,235 7.3 127.09 3.1 14,392,811 4.12016 19,897,633 8.8 131.37 3.4 15,146,156 5.22017 21,900,244 10.1 136.36 3.8 16,060,250 6.02018 24,083,382 10.0 141.67 3.9 16,999,241 5.82019 26,278,028 9.1 146.94 3.7 17,883,685 5.22020 28,549,345 8.6 152.25 3.6 18,751,667 4.9
NOTA: Estimaciones de CAMACRO para el periodo 2014-2020.
Años!
Escenario Macroeconómico 2.2
Población Total y PIB Per Cápita Real(Pesos y dólares a precios reales de 2008)
Población Total PIB Per Cápita RealPersonas Var. % Pesos de 2008 Var. % Dólares de 2008 Var. %
1970 53,603,526 3.0 59,708 3.4 3,289 3.01971 55,229,509 3.0 60,131 0.7 3,354 1.91972 56,923,322 3.1 63,142 5.0 3,594 7.21973 58,669,996 3.1 66,078 4.6 4,040 12.41974 60,447,726 3.0 67,840 2.7 4,684 15.91975 62,237,830 3.0 69,674 2.7 5,083 8.51976 64,040,605 2.9 70,704 1.5 4,724 -7.11977 65,852,907 2.8 71,089 0.5 3,974 -15.91978 67,648,775 2.7 75,400 6.1 4,535 14.11979 69,396,026 2.6 80,630 6.9 6,509 43.61980 71,073,785 2.4 85,996 6.7 8,063 23.91981 72,666,912 2.2 91,281 6.1 9,257 14.81982 74,186,037 2.1 88,947 -2.6 5,802 -37.31983 75,668,142 2.0 84,164 -5.4 3,804 -34.41984 77,166,135 2.0 85,345 1.4 4,827 26.91985 78,717,744 2.0 85,493 0.2 4,433 -8.21986 80,335,575 2.1 81,192 -5.0 3,413 -23.01987 82,006,831 2.1 80,908 -0.4 3,660 7.21988 83,712,835 2.1 80,276 -0.8 4,299 17.51989 85,424,041 2.0 81,897 2.0 4,934 14.81990 87,064,847 1.9 84,513 3.2 5,503 11.51991 88,630,941 1.8 86,519 2.4 6,334 15.11992 90,132,585 1.7 88,090 1.8 7,057 11.41993 91,600,655 1.6 88,787 0.8 7,550 7.01994 93,055,300 1.6 91,530 3.1 7,613 0.81995 94,490,336 1.5 84,949 -7.2 4,789 -37.11996 95,876,664 1.5 88,639 4.3 5,356 11.91997 97,204,604 1.4 93,516 5.5 6,281 17.31998 98,485,424 1.3 96,640 3.3 6,397 1.91999 99,706,067 1.2 98,002 1.4 7,205 12.62000 100,895,811 1.2 101,976 4.1 8,210 14.02001 102,122,295 1.2 100,142 -1.8 8,410 2.42002 103,417,944 1.3 99,017 -1.1 8,358 -0.62003 104,719,891 1.3 99,178 0.2 7,787 -6.82004 105,951,569 1.2 102,235 3.1 8,094 3.92005 107,151,011 1.1 104,157 1.9 8,725 7.82006 108,408,827 1.2 108,097 3.8 9,333 7.02007 109,787,388 1.3 110,100 1.9 9,690 3.82008 111,299,015 1.4 110,126 0.0 9,875 1.92009 112,852,594 1.4 103,504 -6.0 7,873 -20.32010 114,255,555 1.2 107,458 3.8 9,024 14.62011 115,682,868 1.2 110,425 2.8 9,726 7.82012 117,053,750 1.2 113,478 2.8 9,579 -1.52013 118,395,054 1.1 113,394 -0.1 9,915 3.5
2014 119,713,203 1.1 115,444 1.8 9,974 0.62015 121,005,815 1.1 118,943 3.0 10,239 2.72016 122,273,473 1.0 123,871 4.1 10,701 4.52017 123,518,270 1.0 130,023 5.0 11,226 4.92018 124,737,789 1.0 136,280 4.8 11,703 4.22019 125,929,439 1.0 142,014 4.2 12,168 4.02020 127,091,642 0.9 147,544 3.9 12,654 4.0
NOTA: Estimaciones de CAMACRO para el periodo 2014-2020.
Años!
Escenario Macroeconómico 2.3
Indice Relativo del Grado de Desarrollo Económico de México(Indice PIB Per Cápita Mundo PPP=100)
PIB Per Cápita Indice del Grado de Desarrollo EconómicoAños Dólares Internacionales PPP PIB Per Cápita Mundo PPP=100
Mundo México Canadá EUA Mundo México Canadá EUA1980 2,577 4,901 11,557 12,455 100.0 190.2 448.5 483.31981 2,827 5,689 12,945 13,838 100.0 201.2 457.9 489.51982 2,967 5,887 13,223 14,279 100.0 198.4 445.7 481.31983 3,112 5,790 13,979 15,382 100.0 186.0 449.1 494.21984 3,319 6,080 15,153 16,921 100.0 183.2 456.5 509.81985 3,497 6,284 16,193 18,027 100.0 179.7 463.0 515.41986 3,623 6,086 16,699 18,851 100.0 168.0 460.9 520.31987 3,787 6,221 17,604 19,804 100.0 164.3 464.8 522.91988 4,022 6,387 18,851 21,147 100.0 158.8 468.6 525.71989 4,262 6,771 19,812 22,553 100.0 158.9 464.8 529.11990 4,487 7,245 20,309 23,603 100.0 161.5 452.6 526.01991 4,654 7,662 20,289 24,135 100.0 164.6 435.9 518.61992 5,146 7,981 20,687 25,319 100.0 155.1 402.0 492.11993 5,296 8,247 21,434 26,375 100.0 155.7 404.7 498.01994 5,499 8,683 22,701 27,740 100.0 157.9 412.8 504.41995 5,738 8,227 23,571 28,777 100.0 143.4 410.8 501.51996 5,975 8,741 24,174 30,068 100.0 146.3 404.6 503.21997 6,244 9,379 25,403 31,574 100.0 150.2 406.8 505.61998 6,388 9,798 26,507 32,933 100.0 153.4 415.0 515.61999 6,623 10,078 27,978 34,607 100.0 152.2 422.4 522.52000 7,003 10,725 29,802 36,424 100.0 153.2 425.6 520.22001 7,232 10,773 30,699 37,211 100.0 149.0 424.5 514.52002 7,453 10,816 31,722 38,064 100.0 145.1 425.6 510.72003 7,795 11,050 32,638 39,521 100.0 141.8 418.7 507.02004 8,312 11,787 34,243 41,750 100.0 141.8 412.0 502.32005 8,860 12,356 36,005 44,119 100.0 139.5 406.4 497.92006 9,489 13,218 37,683 46,260 100.0 139.3 397.1 487.52007 10,128 13,820 39,042 47,903 100.0 136.5 385.5 473.02008 10,469 14,093 39,849 48,265 100.0 134.6 380.6 461.02009 10,359 13,348 38,663 46,859 100.0 128.9 373.2 452.32010 10,890 14,026 40,046 48,193 100.0 128.8 367.7 442.52011 11,382 14,685 41,459 49,615 100.0 129.0 364.2 435.92012 11,806 15,344 42,502 51,441 100.0 130.0 360.0 435.72013 12,201 15,563 43,610 52,747 100.0 127.6 357.4 432.3
2014 12,593 16,086 44,831 54,253 100.0 127.7 356.0 430.82015 13,184 16,866 46,354 56,300 100.0 127.9 351.6 427.02016 13,861 17,894 48,227 58,717 100.0 129.1 347.9 423.62017 14,560 19,150 50,436 61,684 100.0 131.5 346.4 423.62018 15,306 20,465 52,605 64,626 100.0 133.7 343.7 422.22019 16,074 21,754 54,599 67,193 100.0 135.3 339.7 418.02020 16,871 23,054 56,628 69,715 100.0 136.7 335.7 413.2
FUENTE: Cuadro elaborado por CAMACRO, con datos del FMI, World Económic Outlook Database. Las cifras correspondientesal periodo 2014-2020 son estimaciones de CAMACRO.NOTA: Debido a que los tipos de cambio nominales no reflejan las diferencias de los precios relativos, los datos del PIB se han convertido a dólares internacionales mediante el uso de los tipos de cambio PPP. Los tipo de cambio PPP permiten hacer una comparación uniforme de los niveles de los precios reales entre países y permiten comparar los valores reales a través del tiempo.
3.0 Inflación
3.0 Índice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor 2013-2014
3.1 INPC por Objeto del Gasto, Subyacente y Precios Seleccionados 2013-2014
3.2 Tasa Mensual de la Inflación Subyacente y de Subíndices Complementarios 2012-2014
3.3 Tasa Anual de la Inflación Subyacente y de Subíndices Complementarios 2012-2014
3.4 Índice Mensual del INPC 1999-2014
Escenario Macroeconómico 3.0
Indice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor(Base 2a. quincena de diciembre de 2010=100)
2013México Brecha Estados Unidos
Indice Variación % Inflacionaria Indice Variación %General Mensual Acumulada Anual Mex-EUA General Mensual Acumulada Anual
Ene 107.68 0.40 0.40 3.25 1.66 104.82 0.30 0.30 1.59Feb 108.21 0.49 0.90 3.55 1.58 105.67 0.82 1.12 1.98Mar 109.00 0.73 1.64 4.25 2.78 105.95 0.26 1.38 1.47Abr 109.07 0.07 1.70 4.65 3.59 105.84 -0.10 1.28 1.06May 108.71 -0.33 1.37 4.63 3.27 106.03 0.18 1.46 1.36Jun 108.64 -0.06 1.30 4.09 2.33 106.28 0.24 1.70 1.75Jul 108.61 -0.03 1.27 3.47 1.51 106.32 0.04 1.74 1.96Ago 108.92 0.28 1.56 3.46 1.94 106.45 0.12 1.86 1.52Sep 109.33 0.38 1.94 3.39 2.21 106.58 0.12 1.98 1.18Oct 109.85 0.48 2.43 3.36 2.40 106.30 -0.26 1.72 0.96Nov 110.87 0.93 3.38 3.62 2.38 106.08 -0.20 1.51 1.24Dic 111.51 0.57 3.97 3.97 2.47 106.08 -0.01 1.50 1.50
Año 109.20 0.33 3.97 3.81 2.34 106.03 0.12 1.50 1.46
2014México Brecha Estados Unidos
Indice Variación % Inflacionaria Indice Variación %General Mensual Acumulada Anual Mex-EUA General Mensual Acumulada Anual
Ene 112.50 0.89 0.89 4.48 2.90 106.47 0.37 0.37 1.58Feb 112.79 0.25 1.15 4.23 3.11 106.86 0.37 0.74 1.13Mar 113.10 0.27 1.43 3.76 2.25 107.55 0.64 1.39 1.51Abr 112.89 -0.19 1.24 3.50 1.54 107.91 0.33 1.73 1.95May 112.53 -0.32 0.91 3.51 1.38 108.28 0.35 2.08 2.13Jun 112.72 0.17 1.09 3.75 1.74 108.42 0.13 2.21 2.01Jul e/ 113.14 0.38 1.47 4.18 2.15 108.48 0.06 2.27 2.03Ago 113.46 0.28 1.75 4.17 2.10 108.66 0.17 2.44 2.08Sep 114.15 0.60 2.37 4.41 2.41 108.71 0.04 2.48 2.00Oct 114.55 0.35 2.73 4.28 2.31 108.40 -0.29 2.19 1.97Nov 115.38 0.73 3.48 4.07 2.12 108.15 -0.23 1.96 1.95Dic 115.79 0.35 3.84 3.84 1.84 108.19 0.04 2.00 2.00
Año 113.58 0.31 3.84 4.01 2.15 108.01 0.16 2.00 1.86Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI y U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Los datos de EUA son sin corrección estacional, para que puedan ser comparables con los de México.e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.NOTA: La tasa de inflación en los EUA del mes de junio de 2014 es una estimación de CAMACRO.
Mes!
Mes!
Escenario Macroeconómico 3.1
Indice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor (Variación porcentual)
Ponderación Junio Junio Jun.12 Jun.13INPC 2013 2014 Jun.13 Jun.14
Por Objeto del Gasto
INPC 100.00 -0.06 0.17 4.09 3.75Alimentos, bebidas y tabaco 23.15 -1.08 0.07 5.70 4.45Ropa y calzado 5.66 -0.34 0.02 1.72 2.22Vivienda 28.49 0.15 0.19 2.26 2.10Muebles y enseres domésticos 4.40 0.35 -0.19 1.58 1.55Salud y cuidado personal 7.29 0.18 0.36 4.10 2.52Transporte 13.58 0.77 0.27 6.51 6.57Educación y esparcimiento 9.70 0.28 0.20 3.81 3.55Otros servicios 7.74 0.25 0.34 4.32 5.72
Subíndices Complementarios
INPC 100.00 -0.06 0.17 4.09 3.75 Subyacente 77.43 0.13 0.21 2.79 3.09 Mercancías 34.38 0.01 0.17 3.14 3.24 Alimentos 14.71 0.05 0.34 3.94 5.06 No alimentos 19.66 -0.02 0.03 2.49 1.78 Servicios 43.06 0.22 0.25 2.49 2.96 Vivienda 19.49 0.24 0.18 2.21 2.15 Educación 5.11 0.11 0.14 4.34 4.46 Otros 18.45 0.24 0.35 2.24 3.40 No Subyacente 22.57 -0.69 0.04 8.39 5.96 Agropecuarios 8.43 -3.00 -0.40 8.99 3.37 Frutas y verduras 3.56 -7.78 -1.95 -1.22 -2.15 Limón 0.21 -33.07 -22.61 17.00 1.92 Cebolla 0.17 -12.97 -2.27 -4.06 13.99 Frijol 0.28 -1.80 -0.06 -10.28 -24.95 Pecuarios 4.87 -0.22 0.38 15.38 6.34 Pollo 1.32 -0.06 1.59 7.66 11.66 Carne de res 1.78 1.08 -1.35 20.60 1.17 Huevo 0.61 -3.71 -0.53 48.20 -3.22 Energéticos y tarifas autorizadas 14.13 0.83 0.32 8.06 7.59 Energéticos 8.78 0.88 0.46 8.36 8.42 Electricidad 2.81 -0.11 0.25 -4.62 0.17 Gas doméstico 1.48 0.64 0.51 9.67 9.91 Gasolina de bajo octanaje 3.79 1.37 0.50 11.62 10.91 Gasolina de alto octanaje 0.45 1.14 0.70 10.56 11.55 Tarifas autorizadas por el Gobierno 5.35 0.74 0.06 7.15 6.18 Colectivo 1.88 1.36 0.03 10.49 4.40 Autobús urbano 1.00 0.73 0.03 4.00 5.48 Taxi 0.72 0.19 0.00 4.08 3.43Fuente: Cuadro elaborado por CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI.
Cebolla 0.17
Concepto!
Escenario Macroeconómico 3.2
INPC, Inflación Subyacente y Subíndices ComplementariosVariación Porcentual Mensual
Inflación Inflación No SubyacenteSubyacente Agropecuarios Energéticos y Tarifas Autorizadas
Precios Precios Frutas y Carnes Precios de los Tarifas
Mercancías Servicios verduras y huevo Energéticos Autorizadas
2012Ene 0.71 0.45 0.85 0.11 1.55 3.23 3.79 2.87 0.63 0.61 0.65Feb 0.20 0.43 0.64 0.25 -0.51 -1.81 -5.29 0.45 0.22 0.59 -0.47Mar 0.06 0.24 0.25 0.24 -0.55 -1.61 -3.70 -0.33 0.04 0.44 -0.74Abr -0.31 0.15 0.32 0.01 -1.84 -1.07 -2.32 -0.33 -2.26 -3.37 -0.09May -0.32 0.27 0.30 0.23 -2.26 0.66 2.14 -0.20 -3.87 -5.99 0.13Jun 0.46 0.22 0.36 0.09 1.30 2.62 7.84 -0.47 0.54 0.76 0.14Jul 0.56 0.31 0.32 0.31 1.41 2.99 2.67 3.20 0.48 0.73 0.03Ago 0.30 0.22 0.39 0.08 0.55 0.59 -1.29 1.80 0.53 0.79 0.07Sep 0.44 0.18 0.33 0.05 1.32 3.55 2.66 4.10 -0.03 -0.14 0.17Oct 0.51 0.23 0.29 0.18 1.42 -0.07 -1.41 0.75 2.36 3.58 0.17Nov 0.68 0.05 0.38 -0.23 2.73 -0.80 -2.04 -0.06 4.89 7.35 0.33Dic 0.23 0.12 0.46 -0.17 0.58 0.74 0.56 0.85 0.48 0.69 0.072013Ene 0.40 0.42 0.24 0.58 0.33 -0.24 -1.37 0.41 0.67 0.59 0.82Feb 0.49 0.51 0.15 0.82 0.44 0.02 1.37 -0.75 0.68 0.47 1.11Mar 0.73 0.30 0.21 0.38 2.11 4.63 10.28 1.32 0.66 0.81 0.38Abr 0.07 0.08 0.14 0.03 0.00 1.49 1.98 1.16 -0.90 -2.81 2.70May -0.33 0.20 0.17 0.22 -2.05 -1.01 -5.71 1.94 -2.71 -4.43 0.36Jun -0.06 0.13 0.01 0.22 -0.69 -3.00 -7.78 -0.22 0.83 0.88 0.74Jul -0.03 0.03 -0.16 0.20 -0.26 -1.51 -2.31 -1.08 0.53 0.63 0.36Ago 0.28 0.09 0.26 -0.05 0.94 1.52 5.25 -0.46 0.57 0.67 0.41Sep 0.38 0.32 0.41 0.25 0.55 0.74 1.80 0.14 0.44 0.59 0.18Oct 0.48 0.19 0.11 0.26 1.41 -0.72 0.30 -1.30 2.74 4.26 0.13Nov 0.93 0.14 -0.02 0.27 3.54 2.97 8.00 0.05 3.88 5.96 0.16Dic 0.57 0.33 0.36 0.30 1.35 1.82 2.75 1.24 1.07 0.78 1.632014Ene 0.89 0.85 1.26 0.51 1.02 -0.67 -4.27 1.61 2.04 1.86 2.38Feb 0.25 0.28 0.13 0.41 0.17 -0.71 -2.13 0.15 0.68 0.87 0.31Mar 0.27 0.21 0.18 0.24 0.46 0.71 0.42 0.89 0.31 0.56 -0.15Abr -0.19 0.29 0.23 0.34 -1.67 -1.12 -5.47 1.41 -2.00 -3.14 0.18May -0.32 0.09 0.28 -0.06 -1.64 0.79 -3.68 3.22 -3.06 -4.94 0.40Jun 0.17 0.21 0.17 0.25 0.04 -0.40 -1.95 0.38 0.32 0.46 0.06Jul e/ 0.38 0.06 -0.12 0.20 1.47 3.23 8.01 -0.19 0.41 0.55 0.18Ago 0.28 0.25 -0.16 0.58 0.38 0.29 0.93 -0.18 0.43 0.61 0.15Sep 0.60 0.54 -0.11 1.07 0.81 1.61 3.76 0.06 0.33 0.43 0.15Oct 0.35 0.09 0.05 0.11 1.26 -0.95 -2.56 0.19 2.58 4.06 0.15Nov 0.73 0.21 0.30 0.14 2.49 0.56 0.87 0.26 3.64 5.74 0.19Dic 0.35 0.30 0.47 0.17 0.52 0.62 0.66 0.59 0.46 0.54 0.34Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos del INEGI.e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Años! INPC! Total! Total! Total!Total!
Escenario Macroeconómico 3.3
INPC, Inflación Subyacente y Subíndices ComplementariosVariación Porcentual Anual
Inflación Inflación No SubyacenteSubyacente Agropecuarios Energéticos y Tarifas Autorizadas
Precios Precios Frutas y Carnes Precios de los Tarifas
Mercancías Servicios verduras y huevo Energéticos Autorizadas
2012 4.11 3.42 4.86 2.23 6.45 9.34 3.33 13.35 4.83 7.29 0.52Ene 4.05 3.34 4.64 2.28 6.38 7.37 0.07 12.71 5.82 7.98 1.93Feb 3.87 3.37 4.75 2.23 5.53 5.45 -4.40 12.54 5.58 8.00 1.21Mar 3.73 3.31 4.51 2.32 5.12 5.06 -5.05 12.12 5.16 7.65 0.61Abr 3.41 3.39 4.48 2.48 3.49 0.86 -13.50 11.58 5.00 7.52 0.55May 3.85 3.48 4.50 2.63 5.15 5.60 -2.14 10.79 4.89 7.65 0.33Jun 4.34 3.50 4.66 2.54 7.26 11.29 12.75 10.37 5.02 7.87 0.30Jul 4.42 3.59 4.91 2.50 7.30 11.27 8.95 12.81 5.02 8.01 0.07Ago 4.57 3.70 5.23 2.43 7.58 11.76 8.77 13.69 5.19 8.33 -0.03Sep 4.77 3.61 5.24 2.25 8.81 16.02 13.36 17.70 4.73 7.49 0.10Oct 4.60 3.58 5.17 2.25 8.07 15.60 13.41 16.95 3.93 6.02 0.24Nov 4.18 3.30 5.22 1.70 7.09 13.02 9.34 15.30 3.94 5.75 0.51Dic 3.57 2.90 5.00 1.15 5.74 9.18 2.90 13.22 3.84 5.62 0.452013 3.81 2.72 3.02 2.47 7.34 7.71 6.47 8.40 7.17 7.60 6.18Ene 3.25 2.88 4.37 1.62 4.47 5.51 -2.21 10.52 3.89 5.60 0.62Feb 3.55 2.96 3.86 2.21 5.47 7.48 4.66 9.20 4.36 5.48 2.22Mar 4.25 3.02 3.81 2.35 8.29 14.29 19.85 11.00 5.02 5.86 3.37Abr 4.65 2.95 3.63 2.37 10.32 17.25 25.13 12.66 6.47 6.48 6.26May 4.63 2.88 3.49 2.36 10.56 15.30 15.51 15.08 7.75 8.24 6.51Jun 4.09 2.79 3.14 2.49 8.39 8.99 -1.22 15.38 8.06 8.36 7.15Jul 3.47 2.50 2.64 2.38 6.60 4.22 -6.01 10.60 8.12 8.26 7.50Ago 3.46 2.37 2.51 2.24 7.01 5.19 0.22 8.15 8.16 8.13 7.87Sep 3.39 2.52 2.59 2.45 6.20 2.33 -0.63 4.04 8.66 8.91 7.87Oct 3.36 2.48 2.41 2.54 6.18 1.67 1.10 1.92 9.07 9.62 7.83Nov 3.62 2.56 1.99 3.06 7.02 5.53 11.46 2.03 8.01 8.20 7.65Dic 3.97 2.78 1.89 3.54 7.84 6.67 13.89 2.43 8.65 8.30 9.322014 4.01 3.21 2.83 3.51 6.71 4.64 0.11 6.54 8.00 8.66 6.94Ene 4.48 3.21 2.93 3.47 8.58 6.21 10.54 3.65 10.13 9.67 11.02Feb 4.23 2.98 2.91 3.05 8.28 5.43 6.73 4.58 10.12 10.10 10.14Mar 3.76 2.89 2.88 2.90 6.54 1.49 -2.81 4.14 9.73 9.83 9.55Abr 3.50 3.11 2.97 3.23 4.75 -1.13 -9.90 4.39 8.52 9.45 6.86May 3.51 3.00 3.08 2.94 5.19 0.67 -7.97 5.70 8.14 8.86 6.89Jun 3.75 3.09 3.24 2.96 5.96 3.37 -2.15 6.34 7.59 8.42 6.18Jul e/ 4.18 3.11 3.28 2.96 7.80 8.35 8.20 7.30 7.46 8.33 5.99Ago 4.17 3.28 2.85 3.62 7.20 7.04 3.75 7.60 7.32 8.27 5.71Sep 4.41 3.51 2.31 4.47 7.48 7.97 5.75 7.52 7.20 8.10 5.69Oct 4.28 3.40 2.26 4.31 7.32 7.72 2.74 9.15 7.03 7.90 5.70Nov 4.07 3.48 2.60 4.17 6.23 5.20 -4.05 9.38 6.78 7.68 5.74Dic 3.84 3.45 2.71 4.03 5.36 3.96 -6.00 8.67 6.14 7.42 4.400.00Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos del INEGI.e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Años! INPC! Total! Total! Total!Total!
Escenario Macroeconómico 3.4
Indice Nacional de Precios al Consumidor(Base 2a. quincena de diciembre de 2010=100)
Mes 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Ene 53.8701 59.8083 64.6598 67.7546 71.2488 74.2423 77.6165 80.6707Feb 54.5941 60.3388 64.6170 67.7111 71.4467 74.6864 77.8751 80.7941Mar 55.1013 60.6734 65.0264 68.0574 71.8977 74.9395 78.2261 80.8955Abr 55.6070 61.0186 65.3544 68.4292 72.0204 75.0526 78.5047 81.0141May 55.9415 61.2467 65.5044 68.5679 71.7880 74.8643 78.3075 80.6535Jun 56.3090 61.6095 65.6593 68.9022 71.8474 74.9843 78.2323 80.7231Jul 56.6812 61.8498 65.4887 69.1000 71.9515 75.1808 78.5385 80.9445Ago 57.0002 62.1896 65.8767 69.3627 72.1673 75.6449 78.6323 81.3575Sep 57.5510 62.6439 66.4900 69.7800 72.5969 76.2704 78.9474 82.1788Oct 57.9155 63.0753 66.7905 70.0875 72.8631 76.7986 79.1412 82.5381Nov 58.4305 63.6146 67.0421 70.6544 73.4679 77.4537 79.7108 82.9712Dic 59.0159 64.3033 67.1349 70.9619 73.7837 77.6137 80.2004 83.4511
Prom. 56.5014 61.8643 65.8037 69.1141 72.2566 75.6443 78.6611 81.5160
Mes 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Ene 83.8821 86.9894 92.4545 96.5755 100.2280 104.2840 107.6775 112.5050Feb 84.1166 87.2480 92.6586 97.1341 100.6040 104.4955 108.2085 112.7895Mar 84.2986 87.8804 93.1916 97.8236 100.7965 104.5555 109.0020 113.0985Abr 84.2483 88.0804 93.5178 97.5119 100.7895 104.2275 109.0740 112.8885May 83.8373 87.9852 93.2454 96.8975 100.0455 103.8990 108.7110 112.5275Jun 83.9380 88.3493 93.4171 96.8672 100.0405 104.3780 108.6445 112.7220Jul 84.2945 88.8417 93.6716 97.0775 100.5215 104.9640 108.6085Ago 84.6379 89.3547 93.8957 97.3471 100.6800 105.2790 108.9180Sep 85.2951 89.9637 94.3667 97.8574 100.9265 105.7430 109.3285Oct 85.6275 90.5767 94.6522 98.4615 101.6085 106.2775 109.8480Nov 86.2316 91.6063 95.1432 99.2504 102.7070 106.9995 110.8715Dic 86.5881 92.2407 95.5370 99.7421 103.5510 107.2460 111.5085
Prom. 84.7496 89.0930 93.8126 97.7122 101.0415 105.1957 109.2000 112.7552Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI.Nota: El Sistema Nacional del Indice de Precios al Consumidor recopila durante cada quincena 117,500 cotizaciones directas en cuarenta y seis ciudades, sobre los precios de aproximadamente 1,600 artículos y servicios específicos. Los promedios de dichas cotizaciones dan lugar a los índices de los 283 conceptos genéricos sobre bienes y servicios que forman la canasta del Indice General en cada una de las ciudades y a nivel nacional.
4.0 Tasas de Interés
4.0 Tasas de Interés 2013-2014
4.1 Expectativa de Rendimiento de los Principales Instrumentosde Inversión en México 2014
4.2 Tasa Objetivo del Banco de México, CETES y Tasa de Fondeo Bancaria 2013-2014
4.2 Tasa de Interés de Valores Privados, Tasa Interbancaria,CCP y Prima Riesgo-País México 2013-2014
Escenario Macroeconómico 4.0
Tasas de Interés(Promedio aritmético en el mes en por ciento anual)
2013Cetes Valores Privados Papel Comercial México Tasa Objetivo
28 días México Estados Unidos Vs. BANXICONominal Real Anual Nominal Real Anual Nominal Real Anual EUA Nominal Real Anual
Ene 4.15 -0.67 4.76 -0.07 0.11 -3.38 4.64 4.50 -0.33Feb 4.19 -1.71 4.76 -1.15 0.11 -9.22 4.64 4.50 -1.40Mar 3.98 -4.68 4.38 -4.30 0.11 -2.98 4.27 4.11 -4.55Abr 3.82 3.07 4.35 3.61 0.10 1.36 4.25 4.00 3.25May 3.72 8.02 4.35 8.70 0.09 -2.02 4.26 4.00 8.32Jun 3.78 4.61 4.24 5.09 0.07 -2.77 4.17 4.00 4.84Jul 3.85 4.33 4.43 4.94 0.08 -0.39 4.35 4.00 4.49Ago 3.84 0.42 4.29 0.87 0.07 -1.36 4.22 4.00 0.58Sep 3.64 -0.88 4.13 -0.39 0.06 -1.33 4.07 3.79 -0.73Oct 3.39 -2.28 3.89 -1.79 0.10 3.25 3.79 3.70 -1.97Nov 3.39 -7.45 3.78 -7.09 0.07 2.56 3.71 3.50 -7.35Dic 3.29 -3.53 3.79 -3.04 0.07 0.17 3.72 3.50 -3.32
Año 3.75 -0.15 4.26 0.36 0.09 -1.39 4.17 3.97 0.06
2014Cetes Valores Privados Papel Comercial México Tasa Objetivo
28 días México Estados Unidos Vs. BANXICONominal Real Anual Nominal Real Anual Nominal Real Anual EUA Nominal Real Anual
Ene 3.14 -7.26 3.83 -6.62 0.07 -4.29 3.76 3.50 -6.93Feb 3.16 0.13 3.80 0.77 0.07 -4.27 3.73 3.50 0.47Mar 3.17 -0.12 3.93 0.64 0.07 -7.35 3.86 3.50 0.21Abr 3.23 5.61 3.88 6.29 0.07 -3.81 3.81 3.50 5.89May 3.28 7.38 3.80 7.94 0.07 -4.03 3.73 3.50 7.61Jun 3.02 0.95 3.44 1.37 0.07 -1.45 3.36 3.08 1.01Jul e/ 2.84 -1.64 3.35 -1.14 0.08 -0.60 3.27 3.00 -1.48Ago 2.73 -0.65 3.26 -0.12 0.08 -1.88 3.17 3.00 -0.37Sep 2.73 -4.40 3.26 -3.89 0.08 -0.44 3.18 3.00 -4.14Oct 2.75 -1.47 3.27 -0.95 0.09 3.61 3.18 3.00 -1.22Nov 2.76 -5.78 3.27 -5.30 0.09 2.85 3.18 3.00 -5.55Dic 2.78 -1.41 3.30 -0.90 0.09 -0.36 3.21 3.00 -1.19
Año 2.96 -0.80 3.53 -0.24 0.08 -1.88 3.45 3.22 -0.55Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos del Banco de México y de la Reserva Federal de EE.UU.e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Mes!
Mes!
Escenario Macroeconómico 4.1
Expectativa de Rendimiento de los Principales Instrumentos de Inversión en México
(Porcentajes)
NOMINAL REALRendimiento Rendimiento
Concepto Promedio Anual Promedio Anual2013 2014 2013 2014
Observado Expectativa Observado Expectativa
Bolsa Mexicana de Valores Indice de Precios y Cotizaciones 5.59 3.86 1.76 0.17Tasas de Fondeo Papel Bancario 3.98 3.22 0.08 -0.55 Papel Gubernamental 3.97 3.19 0.07 -0.58Mercado de Dinero Cetes a 28 días 3.75 2.96 -0.15 -0.80 Valores Privados de Corto Plazo 4.26 3.53 0.36 -0.24 Pagarés a 28 días 3.44 2.82 -0.46 -0.94 CCP Moneda Nacional 3.86 3.18 -0.05 -0.59Tasa Interbancaria TIIE a 28 días 4.28 3.54 0.38 0.08Mercado Cambiario Dólar Interbancario -2.95 2.48 -6.66 -1.31
Rendimiento Acumulado en el AñoNOMINAL REAL
Enero-Junio Enero-Junio2013 2014 2013 2014
Bolsa Mexicana de Valores Indice de Precios y Cotizaciones 13.91 -6.46 9.49 -9.85Tasas de Fondeo Papel Bancario 4.20 3.43 0.80 0.63 Papel Gubernamental 4.20 3.40 0.80 0.62Mercado de Dinero Cetes a 28 días 3.94 3.17 0.67 0.50 Valores Privados de Corto Plazo 4.47 3.78 0.94 0.81 Pagarés a 28 días 3.61 3.01 0.51 0.42 CCP-Moneda Nacional 4.04 3.42 0.72 0.63Tasa Interbancaria TIIE a 28 días 4.52 3.74 0.96 0.79Mercado Cambiario Dólar Interbancario -4.91 5.17 -6.19 4.22Fuente: CAMACRO, elaborado con datos del Banco de México y Bolsa Mexicana de Valores.Expectativa: Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Concepto!
Escenario Macroeconómico 4.2
Política Monetaria, Tasa de Fondeo Bancaria y CETES(Tasas promedio expresadas en porciento anual)
Política Monetaria Tasa de Fondeo Valores PúblicosTasa Objetivo Bancaria CETES
BANXICO Ponderada 28 días 91 días 182 días 364 días2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014
Ene 4.50 3.50 4.50 3.49 4.15 3.14 4.30 3.41 4.44 3.55 4.59 3.66Feb 4.50 3.50 4.50 3.49 4.19 3.16 4.19 3.39 4.25 3.52 4.32 3.78Mar 4.00 3.50 4.15 3.49 3.98 3.17 4.00 3.29 4.09 3.46 4.22 3.68Abr 4.00 3.50 4.02 3.50 3.82 3.23 3.89 3.37 3.97 3.49 4.11 3.66May 4.00 3.50 4.02 3.50 3.72 3.28 3.73 3.42 3.80 3.51 3.98 3.61Jun 4.00 3.00 4.01 3.11 3.78 3.02 3.83 3.08 3.91 3.17 4.08 3.10Jul 4.00 ….. 4.01 ….. 3.85 ….. 3.89 ….. 3.98 ….. 4.01 …..Ago 4.00 ….. 4.00 ….. 3.84 ….. 3.89 ….. 3.95 ….. 4.00 …..Sep 3.75 ….. 3.81 ….. 3.64 ….. 3.68 ….. 3.75 ….. 3.71 …..Oct 3.50 ….. 3.70 ….. 3.39 ….. 3.47 ….. 3.55 ….. 3.53 …..Nov 3.50 ….. 3.53 ….. 3.39 ….. 3.48 ….. 3.56 ….. 3.60 …..Dic 3.50 ….. 3.56 ….. 3.29 ….. 3.41 ….. 3.51 ….. 3.64 …..
Prom. 3.94 3.42 3.98 3.43 3.75 3.17 3.81 3.33 3.90 3.45 3.98 3.58
Valores Privados, Tasas Interbancarias, CCP y Riesgo País(Tasas promedio expresadas en porciento anual)
Valores Privados Tasa de Interés Tasa de Fondeo Costo Tasa de Interés Indice Riesgo Paísde Corto Plazo Interbancaria Gubernamental de Captación Tarjetas de EMBI+ JP Morgan
28 días TIIE a 28 días Ponderada CCP-MN Crédito Bancarias Puntos Base2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014
Ene 4.80 3.83 4.84 3.78 4.49 3.51 4.25 3.47 24.20 24.50 123 171Feb 4.76 3.80 4.82 3.79 4.50 3.52 4.25 3.46 23.80 24.10 141 172Mar 4.38 3.93 4.48 3.80 4.16 3.52 4.09 3.44 23.80 24.10 146 155Abr 4.35 3.88 4.33 3.81 4.02 3.53 3.93 3.41 23.80 ….. 142 148May 4.35 3.80 4.32 3.80 4.02 3.53 3.86 3.42 23.80 ….. 141 146Jun 4.24 3.44 4.30 3.43 4.02 3.14 3.84 3.30 24.10 ….. 181 …..Jul 4.32 ….. 4.32 ….. 4.01 ….. 3.84 ….. 24.10 ….. 172 …..Ago 4.28 ….. 4.31 ….. 4.01 ….. 3.85 ….. 24.10 ….. 177 …..Sep 4.11 ….. 4.10 ….. 3.82 ….. 3.67 ….. 24.10 ….. 174 …..Oct 3.89 ….. 3.98 ….. 3.72 ….. 3.67 ….. 24.20 ….. 169 …..Nov 3.77 ….. 3.79 ….. 3.57 ….. 3.53 ….. 24.20 ….. 179 …..Dic 3.77 ….. 3.79 ….. 3.62 ….. 3.51 ….. 24.50 ….. 168 …..
Prom. 4.25 3.78 4.28 3.74 4.00 3.46 3.86 3.42 24.06 24.23 159 158Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Banco de México y JP Morgan.
Mes!
Mes!
5.0 Tipo de Cambio
5.0 Tipo de Cambio del Peso respectoal Dólar de EUA 2013-2014
5.1 índice del Tipo de Cambio Real BilateralMéxico-EUA 1977-2014
5.2 Cálculo del Índice del Tipo de Cambio RealBajo Tres Criterios 1977-2013
Escenario Macroeconómico 5.0
Tipo de Cambio del Peso respecto al Dólar de EE.UU.(Punto de Equilibrio del Tipo de Cambio 1990=100)
2013Promedio del Mes Fin de Mes
Mes Fecha de Determinación FIX Tipo de % Sobre (-) Fecha de Determinación FIXNominal Indice Real Cambio o sub (+) Nominal Indice Real
Pesos Var. % 1990=100 Var. % Teórico valuación Pesos Var. % 1990=100 Var. %
Ene 12.6990 -1.33 84.1 -1.44 15.0989 -15.89 12.7094 -1.98 84.2 -2.08Feb 12.7229 0.19 84.5 0.51 15.0501 -15.46 12.7795 0.55 84.9 0.88Mar 12.5247 -1.56 82.8 -2.02 15.1209 -17.17 12.3612 -3.27 81.7 -3.73Abr 12.2050 -2.55 80.6 -2.72 15.1466 -19.42 12.1456 -1.74 80.2 -1.91May 12.3115 0.87 81.7 1.39 15.0694 -18.30 12.8035 5.42 85.0 5.96Jun 12.9596 5.26 86.3 5.58 15.0241 -13.74 13.0279 1.75 86.7 2.06Jul 12.7659 -1.49 85.0 -1.42 15.0132 -14.97 12.8464 -1.39 85.6 -1.32Ago 12.9178 1.19 85.9 1.02 15.0379 -14.10 13.3415 3.85 88.7 3.68Sep 13.0759 1.22 86.7 0.96 15.0770 -13.27 13.1747 -1.25 87.4 -1.51Oct 12.9992 -0.59 85.6 -1.31 15.1878 -14.41 13.0067 -1.28 85.6 -2.00Nov 13.0796 0.62 85.1 -0.51 15.3607 -14.85 13.1101 0.79 85.3 -0.34Dic 13.0076 -0.55 84.2 -1.13 15.4503 -15.81 13.0843 -0.20 84.7 -0.78
Año 12.7724 -2.95 84.4 -5.14 15.1364 -15.62 13.0843 0.91 84.7 -1.49
2014Promedio del Mes Fin de Mes
Mes Fecha de Determinación FIX Tipo de % Sobre (-) Fecha de Determinación FIXNominal Indice Real Cambio o sub (+) Nominal Indice Real
Pesos Var. % 1990=100 Var. % Teórico valuación Pesos Var. % 1990=100 Var. %
Ene 13.2230 1.66 85.1 1.13 15.5306 -14.86 13.3759 2.24 86.1 3.83Feb 13.2808 0.44 85.6 0.55 15.5125 -14.39 13.2369 -1.04 85.3 -0.92Mar 13.1951 -0.65 85.4 -0.28 15.4554 -14.62 13.0539 -1.38 84.5 -1.02Abr 13.0708 -0.94 85.0 -0.43 15.3760 -14.99 13.0891 0.27 85.1 0.79May 12.9247 -1.12 84.6 -0.45 15.2735 -15.38 12.8599 -1.75 84.2 -1.09Jun 12.9958 0.55 85.0 0.50 15.2804 -14.95 12.9702 0.86 84.9 0.81Jul e/ 13.0159 0.15 84.9 -0.16 15.3290 -15.09 13.0427 0.56 85.1 0.24Ago 13.0326 0.13 84.9 0.01 15.3468 -15.08 13.0260 -0.13 84.9 -0.24Sep 13.0932 0.47 84.8 -0.09 15.4327 -15.16 13.0590 0.25 84.6 -0.30Oct 13.1370 0.33 84.6 -0.31 15.5318 -15.42 13.1173 0.45 84.5 -0.19Nov 13.0733 -0.48 83.4 -1.43 15.6804 -16.63 13.1070 -0.08 83.6 -1.03Dic 13.0296 -0.33 82.8 -0.64 15.7293 -17.16 13.0479 -0.45 83.0 -0.76
Año 13.0893 2.48 84.7 0.36 15.4563 -15.31 13.0479 -0.27 83.0 -2.04Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Banco de México y Bureau of Labor Statistics de EUAp/ Datos preliminares.e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Escenario Macroeconómico 5.1
Indice del Tipo de Cambio Real Bilateral México-EE.UU.(Punto de Equilibrio del Tipo de Cambio 1990=100)
Indice de Precios Pesos % de sobre (-) Indice del TipoAños al Consumidor por o sub (+) de Cambio Real
México EE.UU. Dólar valuación 1990=100 Var.% Anual1977 0.38 46.38 0.0225 -2.71 97.29 21.061978 0.44 49.90 0.0227 -10.17 89.83 -7.671979 0.53 55.56 0.0227 -15.31 84.69 -5.721980 0.66 63.07 0.0229 -23.31 76.69 -9.451981 0.85 69.57 0.0245 -29.37 70.63 -7.911982 1.35 73.86 0.0580 11.77 111.77 58.251983 2.73 76.23 0.1503 48.06 148.06 32.481984 4.51 79.52 0.1849 14.86 114.86 -22.431985 7.12 82.35 0.3103 26.51 126.51 10.151986 13.25 83.88 0.6353 41.68 141.68 11.991987 30.72 86.94 1.3980 39.39 139.39 -1.621988 65.79 90.54 2.2871 10.88 110.88 -20.451989 78.96 94.90 2.4816 5.09 105.09 -5.231990 100.00 100.03 2.8385 0.03 100.03 -4.811991 122.66 104.24 3.0157 -9.71 90.29 -9.741992 141.68 107.38 3.0945 -17.38 82.62 -8.491993 155.50 110.59 3.1152 -21.94 78.06 -5.531994 166.33 113.43 3.3751 -18.92 81.08 3.881995 224.55 116.64 6.4190 17.47 117.47 44.871996 301.74 120.08 7.6003 6.56 106.56 -9.291997 363.98 122.84 7.9198 -5.83 94.17 -11.631998 421.96 124.75 9.1506 -4.69 95.31 1.221999 491.94 127.51 9.5577 -12.72 87.28 -8.432000 538.63 131.79 9.4567 -18.48 81.52 -6.602001 572.93 135.54 9.3390 -22.16 77.84 -4.512002 601.76 137.69 9.6657 -22.08 77.92 0.102003 629.12 140.83 10.7953 -14.87 85.13 9.262004 658.61 144.58 11.2859 -12.72 87.28 2.522005 684.88 149.47 10.8939 -16.24 83.76 -4.032006 709.74 154.30 10.9007 -16.51 83.49 -0.332007 737.89 158.69 10.9288 -17.20 82.80 -0.822008 775.71 164.78 11.1520 -16.54 83.46 0.802009 816.80 164.20 13.5076 -4.34 95.66 14.622010 850.75 166.89 12.6303 -12.71 87.29 -8.752011 879.74 172.16 12.4354 -14.27 85.73 -1.782012 915.91 175.72 13.1613 -11.04 88.96 3.762013 950.77 178.29 12.7724 -15.62 84.38 -5.14
2014 988.95 181.61 13.0893 -15.31 84.69 0.36Enero 979.55 179.03 13.2230 -14.86 85.14 1.23Febrero 982.03 179.69 13.2808 -14.39 85.61 1.27Marzo 984.72 180.85 13.1951 -14.62 85.38 3.07Abril 982.89 181.44 13.0708 -14.99 85.01 5.50Mayo 979.74 182.08 12.9247 -15.38 84.62 3.58Junio 981.44 182.31 12.9958 -14.95 85.05 -1.40Julio e/ 985.12 182.41 13.0159 -15.09 84.91 -0.14Agosto 987.89 182.72 13.0326 -15.08 84.92 -1.14Septiembre 993.86 182.80 13.0932 -15.16 84.84 -2.18Octubre 997.36 182.27 13.1370 -15.42 84.58 -1.18Noviembre 1,004.62 181.86 13.0733 -16.63 83.37 -2.09Diciembre 1,008.14 181.93 13.0296 -17.16 82.84 -1.61
Nota: Cuadro elaborado con base en la Teoría de la Paridad del Poder de Compra (PPP o Purchasing Power Parity), según la cualel tipo de cambio real es igual al tipo de cambio nominal inflactado por un índice de precios externo y deflactado por un índice de precios interno. p/ Datos preliminares.e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.Fuente: Cuadro elaborado por CAMACRO, con datos del Banco de México.
Escenario Macroeconómico 5.2
Cálculo del Indice del Tipo de Cambio Real del Peso Bajo Tres Criterios(Indice 1990=100)
Indice Bilateral México-EE.UU. Indice Multilateral México-111 Países Indice Multilateral México-49 paísesAños (Precios al Consumidor) (Precios al Consumidor) (Precios Ponderados con Comercio )
Base 1990=100 Var. % Base 1990=100 Var. % Base 1990=100 Var. %1977 97.3 21.1 87.7 27.0 ..... .....1978 89.8 -7.7 87.1 -0.7 ..... .....1979 84.7 -5.7 82.0 -5.9 ..... .....1980 76.7 -9.4 73.4 -10.5 ..... .....1981 70.6 -7.9 62.0 -15.5 ..... .....1982 111.8 58.3 83.9 35.3 ..... .....1983 148.1 32.5 95.2 13.5 ..... .....1984 114.9 -22.4 80.1 -15.9 ..... .....1985 126.5 10.1 78.2 -2.3 ..... .....1986 141.7 12.0 119.2 52.4 ..... .....1987 139.4 -1.6 134.3 12.7 ..... .....1988 110.9 -20.4 111.2 -17.2 ..... .....1989 105.1 -5.2 100.5 -9.6 ..... .....1990 100.0 -4.8 100.0 -0.5 100.0 .....1991 90.3 -9.7 91.4 -8.6 90.6 -9.41992 82.6 -8.5 85.9 -6.1 83.4 -8.01993 78.1 -5.5 73.5 -14.4 78.3 -6.11994 81.1 3.9 75.9 3.3 80.9 3.31995 117.5 44.9 117.2 54.3 121.3 50.01996 106.6 -9.3 103.0 -12.1 109.1 -10.11997 94.2 -11.6 85.8 -16.7 94.4 -13.51998 95.3 1.2 84.5 -1.6 92.9 -1.61999 87.3 -8.4 77.6 -8.1 84.7 -8.82000 81.5 -6.6 68.7 -11.5 77.7 -8.22001 77.8 -4.5 62.6 -8.8 72.7 -6.52002 77.9 0.1 60.9 -2.7 72.3 -0.62003 85.1 9.3 71.6 17.5 80.8 11.82004 87.3 2.5 77.0 7.5 84.3 4.42005 83.8 -4.0 73.6 -4.4 81.6 -3.22006 83.5 -0.3 72.7 -1.2 81.6 0.02007 82.8 -0.8 74.8 2.9 82.5 1.12008 83.5 0.8 78.1 4.5 84.3 2.22009 95.7 14.6 88.6 13.4 96.2 14.22010 87.3 -8.8 81.6 -7.9 89.0 -7.52011 85.7 -1.8 82.8 1.5 88.7 -0.42012 89.0 3.8 83.9 1.3 91.5 3.22013 84.4 -5.1 77.5 -7.6 86.4 -5.6
2014 84.7 0.4 76.5 -1.2 85.7 -0.8
Enero 85.1 1.2 77.1 -3.0 86.7 -0.5Febrero 85.6 1.3 77.9 -1.3 87.1 0.1Marzo 85.4 3.1 78.0 1.7 86.7 1.9Abril 85.0 5.5 77.8 4.5 86.3 4.4Mayo 84.6 3.6 76.2 2.4 85.5 2.9Junio 85.0 -1.4 77.3 -2.7 85.4 -2.7Julio 84.9 -0.1 75.8 -1.2 85.9 -1.1Agosto 84.9 -1.1 75.5 -2.8 85.8 -1.8Septiembre 84.8 -2.2 76.0 -3.5 85.6 -3.5Octubre 84.6 -1.2 76.9 -2.4 85.9 -2.4Noviembre 83.4 -2.1 75.1 -3.3 84.2 -3.3Diciembre 82.8 -1.6 74.9 -2.8 83.8 -2.8
NOTA: Un aumento del Indice de Tipo de Cambio Real representa una depreciación real de la moneda mexicana con respecto al dólar.1/ Estados Unidos, Reino Unido, Francia, Italia, España, Alemania, Japón y Canadá.Nota: Los números en negrillas son estimaciones de CAMACRO.Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Banco de México y del Fondo Monetario Internacional FMI.
6.0 Ocupación, Salarios y Productividad
6.0 Ocupación, Salarios y Productividad Media Laboral 2011-2016
6.1 Ocupación en el Sector Formal de la Economía 2012-2013
6.2 Asegurados Permanentes y Eventuales en el IMSS 2013-2014
6.3 Productividad Media Laboral y Costo Laboral Unitario en la Industria Manufacturera 1995-2013
6.4 ENOE: Indicadores Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo en México 2012-2013
Escenario Macroeconómico 6.0
Ocupación, Salarios, Productividad y Masa Salarial(Indices y Pesos)
Datos Histórico Proyecciones2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Población Ocupada Indice 2008=100Nacional 102.9 105.6 106.5 108.0 110.4 113.9Tasa% 1.4 2.6 0.9 1.3 2.2 3.2Sector Manufacturero 97.3 99.5 101.3 103.5 106.0 108.8Tasa% 3.0 2.2 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.7Remuneración Media Nominal Pesos DiariosNacional 281.63 294.97 308.47 325.56 344.98 366.90Tasa% 5.7 4.7 4.6 5.5 6.0 6.4Sector Manufacturero 310.17 323.15 335.90 349.94 365.90 385.22Tasa% 3.5 4.2 3.9 4.2 4.6 5.3Salario Mínimo General 58.06 60.52 63.12 65.58 68.24 71.23Tasa% 4.1 4.2 4.3 3.9 4.1 4.4Remuneración Media Real Indice Real 2008=100Nacional 102.3 102.9 103.6 105.2 107.5 110.3Tasa% 2.2 0.6 0.7 1.5 2.2 2.6Sector Manufacturero 98.9 99.0 99.1 99.3 100.2 101.8Tasa% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.0 1.6Salario Mínimo General 100.7 100.8 101.3 101.2 101.7 102.4Tasa% 0.7 0.1 0.5 -0.1 0.5 0.7Productividad Media Laboral Indice Real 2008=100Nacional 105.1 106.5 106.7 108.3 110.4 112.6Tasa% 2.6 1.3 0.2 1.6 1.9 2.0Sector Manufacturero 106.9 108.8 108.4 110.4 113.5 117.8Tasa% 1.6 1.7 -0.4 1.9 2.9 3.8Costo Laboral Unitario Indice Real 2008=100Nacional 97.3 96.6 97.2 97.0 97.3 97.8Tasa% -0.3 -0.7 0.6 -0.2 0.3 0.6Sector Manufacturero 92.5 91.0 91.5 89.9 88.3 86.4Tasa% -1.3 -1.6 0.5 -1.7 -1.8 -2.1Masa Salarial Real Indice Real 2008=100Nacional 100.9 105.1 108.7 113.0 118.7 126.0Tasa% 1.8 4.2 3.4 3.9 5.1 6.2Sector Manufacturero 96.2 98.4 100.4 102.7 106.2 110.8Tasa% 3.2 2.3 2.0 2.3 3.4 4.3Productividad Media Laboral = Producción Real/Personal OcupadoCosto Laboral Unitario = Remuneración Media Real/Productividad Media LaboralMasa Salarial Real = Personal Ocupado por Remuneración Media Real.Remuneración Media Real = Sueldos, Salarios y Prestaciones Sociales.Proyecciones: Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Concepto!
Escenario Macroeconómico 6.1
Ocupación en el Sector Formal de la Economía(Variación porcentual anual respecto al mismo período del año anterior)
Encuesta Mensual del INEGI por Sectores EconómicosMes Manufacturas Construcción Comercio Servicios Privados
2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014
Ene 2.4 1.6 -1.8 -4.3 1.6 2.5 1.1 -0.8Feb 2.2 2.0 -0.8 -3.9 1.5 2.4 0.7 -0.4Mar 2.1 2.0 -2.9 -3.6 2.2 2.6 0.0 0.1Abr 2.2 1.9 0.9 -4.5 2.0 3.4 0.4 -0.6May 1.9 …. -1.8 …. 2.1 …. 0.2 ….Jun 1.4 …. -3.9 …. 1.6 …. -0.7 ….Jul 1.6 …. -4.8 …. 0.9 …. -0.1 ….Ago 1.6 …. -6.7 …. 0.7 …. 0.1 ….Sep 1.7 …. -7.9 …. 0.8 …. -0.6 ….Oct 1.8 …. -8.2 …. 1.0 …. -0.5 ….Nov 1.7 …. -4.9 …. 1.6 …. -0.2 ….Dic 1.4 …. -3.3 …. 2.3 …. -0.4 ….
Prom. 2.2 1.9 -3.9 -4.1 1.5 2.7 0.0 -0.4Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos del INEGI.
Asegurados Permanentes y Eventuales Urbanos en el IMSS(Personas)
2013 2013 2014 Variación Absoluta Var. % anualConcepto Dic. 2013 Jun. 2013 Jun. 2013
Diciembre Junio Junio Jun. 2014 Jun. 2014 Jun. 2014
Total 16,355,551 16,242,546 16,804,432 448,881 561,886 3.5 Sector Agropecuario 377,417 384,282 387,803 10,386 3,521 0.9 Sector Industrial 5,842,119 5,866,580 6,119,109 276,990 252,529 4.3 Industrias extractivas 136,192 136,695 133,938 -2,254 -2,757 -2.0 Industrias de transformación 4,289,760 4,297,990 4,463,975 174,215 165,985 3.9 Construcción 1,266,890 1,283,274 1,372,937 106,047 89,663 7.0 Industria electrica 149,277 148,621 148,259 -1,018 -362 -0.2 Sector Servicios 10,136,015 9,991,684 10,297,520 161,505 305,836 3.1 Comercio 3,440,624 3,345,810 3,444,476 3,852 98,666 2.9 Transportes y comunicaciones 873,582 862,679 904,686 31,104 42,007 4.9 Servicios para empresas 3,888,512 3,861,764 3,964,877 76,365 103,113 2.7 Servicios sociales 1,933,297 1,921,431 1,983,481 50,184 62,050 3.2
Total 16,355,551 16,242,546 16,804,432 448,881 561,886 3.5Asegurados Permanentes 14,250,352 14,109,463 14,558,766 308,414 449,303 3.2Asegurados Eventuales Urbanos 2,105,199 2,133,083 2,245,666 140,467 112,583 5.3Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social.
Escenario Macroeconómico 6.2
Masa Salarial,Productividad Laboral y Costo Unitario de la Mano de Obra
(Variación % anual)Industria Manufacturera Productividad Costo Unitario Masa
Período Producción Personal Remuneración Media Real de la SalarialReal Ocupado Media Real Laboral Mano de Obra Real
1994 3.1 -3.0 4.2 6.3 -2.0 1.01995 -5.2 -8.9 -12.6 4.1 -16.0 -20.41996 9.3 2.3 -9.9 6.8 -15.7 -7.81997 10.5 4.7 -0.6 5.5 -5.8 4.11998 7.1 3.7 2.8 3.3 -0.4 6.61999 2.7 0.6 1.5 2.1 -0.5 2.22000 5.8 1.0 6.0 4.8 1.1 7.02001 -3.1 -4.4 6.7 1.3 5.3 2.12002 -0.7 -5.0 1.9 4.5 -2.6 -3.22003 -1.4 -3.4 1.4 2.1 -0.8 -2.12004 3.6 -3.2 0.3 7.0 -6.3 -3.02005 2.7 -0.8 -0.2 3.6 -3.7 -1.12006 4.5 1.4 0.4 3.0 -2.6 1.82007 1.0 -0.2 1.0 1.2 -0.2 0.72008 -1.0 -1.2 0.9 0.2 0.6 -0.42009 -8.4 -8.7 -0.7 0.4 -1.1 -9.32010 8.5 3.5 -0.7 4.9 -5.3 2.82011 4.6 3.0 0.2 1.6 -1.3 3.22012 4.0 2.2 0.1 1.7 -1.6 2.3
2013 1.4 1.8 0.1 -0.4 0.5 2.0
Ene 2.5 2.4 2.1 0.2 1.9 4.5Feb -0.7 2.2 -1.9 -2.9 1.0 0.3Mar -4.6 2.1 -2.8 -6.6 4.1 -0.7Abr 6.7 2.2 -0.2 4.4 -4.4 2.0May 0.5 1.9 0.6 -1.3 2.0 2.5Jun -0.9 1.4 -1.0 -2.3 1.3 0.4Jul 4.6 1.6 2.3 3.0 -0.7 3.9Ago 2.8 1.7 -0.8 1.1 -1.9 0.9Sep 1.3 1.7 0.3 -0.4 0.7 2.0Oct 3.6 1.7 3.1 1.9 1.2 4.9Nov 0.9 1.7 -0.7 -0.8 0.1 1.0Dic 1.0 1.4 0.6 -0.4 1.0 2.0
2014 4.1 2.2 0.2 1.9 -1.7 2.3
Ene 3.1 1.6 0.2 1.4 -1.2 1.8Feb 2.9 1.9 0.5 1.0 -0.5 2.4Mar 7.0 2.1 -0.2 4.8 -4.8 1.9Abr 0.0 1.9 2.0 -1.9 3.9 3.9May e/ 3.6 2.0 -0.2 1.5 -1.7 1.8Jun 3.4 2.1 0.6 1.3 -0.6 2.7Jul 3.9 2.1 -1.0 1.7 -2.7 1.1Ago 5.2 2.2 0.3 2.9 -2.5 2.6Sep 5.9 2.4 -0.2 3.5 -3.5 2.2Oct 5.7 2.4 -1.2 3.2 -4.3 1.2Nov 3.8 2.6 0.6 1.2 -0.5 3.2Dic 4.5 2.7 0.4 1.8 -1.3 3.1
Productividad Media Laboral = Producción Real/Personal OcupadoCosto Unitario de la Mano de Obra = Remuneración Media Real/Productividad Media LaboralMasa Salarial = Personal Ocupado por Remuneración Media Reale/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos del INEGI.
Escenario Macroeconómico 6.3
Indicadores Estratégicos de Ocupación y Empleo(Personas y tasas)
2012 2013 2013 2014 Var. % Tri.
Año Año I Trimestre I Trimestre 2013/2014
I. Población total 117,055,022 118,396,855 117,898,203 119,824,772 1.6
2. Población de 14 años y más 86,988,214 88,068,589 87,836,305 88,595,829 0.9Población económicamente activa (PEA) 51,511,199 52,050,930 51,061,902 51,790,637 1.4
Ocupada 48,977,199 49,483,638 48,564,992 49,305,839 1.5Desocupada 2,534,000 2,567,293 2,496,910 2,484,798 -0.5
Población no económicamente activa (PNEA) 35,477,015 36,017,659 36,774,403 36,805,192 0.1
3. Informalidad Laboral 29,310,650 29,190,217 28,603,182 27,718,424 -3.1% de la población ocupada 59.85 58.99 58.90 56.22
4. Población ocupada
3.1 Por tipo de unidad económica 48,977,199 49,483,638 48,564,992 49,305,839 1.5Empresas y negocios 23,742,520 24,283,674 23,811,985 24,771,424 4.0Instituciones privadas y públicas 6,745,758 6,735,402 6,668,531 6,591,694 -1.2Sector de los hogares 18,488,921 18,464,561 18,084,476 17,942,721 -0.8 Sector informal 14,079,652 14,018,378 13,922,882 13,736,968 -1.3 Trabajo doméstico remunerado 2,216,061 2,228,485 2,203,390 2,209,821 0.3 Agricultura de subsistencia 1,856,872 1,934,064 1,671,151 1,733,751 3.7Situaciones de carácter especial no especificadas 351,533 354,167 287,053 262,181 -8.7
3.2 Por actividad económica 48,977,199 49,483,638 48,564,992 49,305,839 1.5Primario 6,714,249 6,753,437 6,485,411 6,660,593 2.7Secundario 11,525,446 11,784,893 11,534,825 11,957,708 3.7
Industria extractiva y de la electricidad 417,208 432,728 428,144 441,366 3.1Industria manufacturera 7,468,270 7,743,075 7,525,196 7,894,959 4.9Construcción 3,639,969 3,609,089 3,581,485 3,621,383 1.1
Terciario 30,397,839 30,655,236 30,247,515 30,420,552 0.6Comercio 9,652,533 9,720,650 9,522,417 9,605,567 0.9Restaurantes y servicios de alojamiento 3,364,667 3,432,956 3,390,155 3,511,898 3.6Transportes y comunicaciones 2,346,301 2,425,917 2,430,657 2,446,481 0.7Servicios profesionales, financieros y corporativos 3,305,828 3,362,323 3,291,577 3,410,522 3.6Servicios sociales 4,042,097 4,065,128 4,041,446 3,981,389 -1.5Servicios diversos 5,282,572 5,277,881 5,238,787 5,135,060 -2.0Gobierno y organismos internacionales 2,403,840 2,370,382 2,332,476 2,329,635 -0.1
No especificado 339,667 290,072 297,241 266,986 -10.2
5. TasasTasas calculadas contra la población en edad de trabajar
Tasa de participación 59.22 59.10 58.13 58.46Tasas calculadas contra la PEA
Tasa de desocupación 4.92 4.93 4.89 4.80Tasa de ocupación parcial y desocupación 11.50 11.34 10.83 11.13Tasa de presión general 8.88 8.95 9.01 8.85
Tasas calculadas contra la población ocupadaTasa de trabajo asalariado 62.55 62.70 62.82 63.53Tasa de subocupación 8.53 8.35 8.19 8.34Tasa de condiciones críticas de ocupación 11.83 11.98 11.80 11.70Tasa de ocupación en el sector informal 28.75 28.33 28.67 27.86
6. Indicadores complementariosÍndice de remuneración (2008=100)
Nominal 105.9 108.9 109.9 112.3 2.2Real 89.6 88.9 90.4 88.7 -1.9
Índice de la tendencia laboral de la pobreza (2010:I=100) 1.071 1.114 1.093 1.131 3.5
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI, "Encuesta Nacional de Empleo y Ocupación", y CONEVAL.
Concepto!
7.0 Salario y Remuneraciones
7.0 Salario Mínimo General y Remuneración Media Real en el Sector Manufacturero 2013-2014
7.1 Remuneración Nominal Anual por Sectores Económicos 1993-2013
7.2 Remuneración Real Anualpor Sectores Económicos 1993-2013
7.3 Salarios Contractuales por Sector Económicoy por Tipo de Empresa 1994-2014
7.4 Remuneraciones Realesen el Sector Manufacturero 2012-2013
7.4 Remuneraciones Reales en el Sector Manufactureroen México y otros Países 2012-2013
Escenario Macroeconómico 7.0
Salario Mínimo y Remuneración Media Sector Manufacturero(Indice Real 2008=100)
2013Salario Mínimo General Remuneración Media Sector Manufacturero
Nominal Real Nominal RealPesos Diarios % Anual Indice Real % Anual Pesos Diarios % Anual Indice Real % Anual
Ene 63.12 4.33 147.9 1.04 318.84 5.43 95.5 2.11Feb 63.12 4.33 147.2 0.75 308.19 1.59 91.8 -1.89Mar 63.12 4.33 146.1 0.07 323.10 1.33 95.6 -2.80Abr 63.12 4.33 146.0 -0.31 320.65 4.43 94.8 -0.21May 63.12 4.33 146.5 -0.29 334.85 5.26 99.3 0.60Jun 63.12 4.33 146.6 0.23 323.03 3.03 95.9 -1.02Jul 63.12 4.33 146.6 0.83 330.22 5.81 98.0 2.26Ago 63.12 4.33 146.2 0.84 327.50 2.62 96.9 -0.81Sep 63.12 4.33 145.7 0.91 317.06 3.72 93.5 0.32Oct 63.12 4.33 145.0 0.94 332.31 6.59 97.5 3.12Nov 63.12 4.27 143.6 0.63 326.61 2.87 95.0 -0.72Dic 63.12 3.90 142.8 -0.07 403.03 4.59 116.5 0.59
Prom. 63.12 4.29 145.8 0.47 330.45 3.95 97.5 0.13
2014Salario Mínimo General Remuneración Media Sector Manufacturero
Nominal Real Nominal RealPesos Diarios % Anual Indice Real % Anual Pesos Diarios % Anual Indice Real % Anual
Ene 65.58 3.90 147.1 -0.56 333.83 4.70 95.7 0.21Feb 65.58 3.90 146.7 -0.32 322.96 4.79 92.3 0.54Mar 65.58 3.90 146.3 0.13 334.55 3.54 95.4 -0.21Abr 65.58 3.90 146.6 0.39 338.41 5.54 96.6 1.97May e/ 65.58 3.90 147.0 0.37 346.01 3.33 99.1 -0.17Jun 65.58 3.90 146.8 0.14 337.30 4.42 96.5 0.64Jul 65.58 3.90 146.2 -0.27 340.57 3.13 97.0 -1.00Ago 65.58 3.90 145.8 -0.26 342.30 4.52 97.3 0.33Sep 65.58 3.90 145.0 -0.49 330.47 4.23 93.3 -0.17Oct 65.58 3.90 144.4 -0.37 342.28 3.00 96.3 -1.23Nov 65.58 3.90 143.4 -0.17 341.98 4.71 95.5 0.61Dic 65.58 3.90 142.9 0.06 420.35 4.30 117.0 0.44
Prom. 65.58 3.90 145.7 -0.11 344.25 4.18 97.7 0.16Fuente: INEGI y Comisión Nacional de los Salarios Mínimos.Remuneración Media Sector Manufacturero = Sueldos, Salarios y Prestaciones Sociales.e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Mes!
Mes!
Escenario Macroeconómico 7.1
Remuneración Nominal por Sectores Económicos(Pesos diarios nominales)
Salario Mínimo Salario Base de Industria Industria SectorPeríodo General Cotización en el IMSS Manufacturera de la Construcción Comercio
Nominal Var. % Nominal Var. % Nominal Var. % Nominal Var. % Nominal Var. %1993 13.06 8.08 41.31 18.91 54.58 14.69 39.82 16.61 59.21 15.451994 13.97 6.97 49.60 20.07 60.81 11.41 42.07 5.65 54.33 -8.241995 16.43 17.63 56.52 13.95 71.76 18.02 50.14 19.18 63.35 16.601996 20.39 24.06 67.63 19.66 86.89 21.08 54.12 7.94 77.31 22.041997 24.30 19.20 80.23 18.64 104.21 19.93 63.18 16.74 94.95 22.821998 28.30 16.44 94.68 18.00 124.23 19.21 74.63 18.12 112.08 18.041999 31.91 12.77 110.84 17.07 147.03 18.36 87.80 17.65 130.89 16.782000 35.12 10.06 129.69 17.01 170.60 16.03 100.17 14.09 152.64 16.622001 37.57 6.98 146.19 12.72 193.66 13.52 112.95 12.76 165.40 8.362002 39.74 5.78 158.04 8.10 207.19 6.98 132.78 17.55 176.03 6.432003 41.53 4.50 168.36 6.53 219.54 5.96 149.94 12.93 195.88 11.282004 43.30 4.25 179.24 6.46 230.45 4.97 157.14 4.80 229.04 16.932005 45.24 4.49 189.97 5.98 239.05 3.74 166.67 6.06 247.97 8.262006 47.05 4.00 200.07 5.32 248.60 3.99 175.78 5.47 248.67 0.282007 48.88 3.89 211.05 5.49 260.97 4.97 185.73 5.66 256.27 3.062008 50.84 4.01 222.30 5.33 276.37 5.90 194.97 4.98 268.10 4.622009 53.19 4.62 231.63 4.20 289.41 4.72 206.81 6.07 274.49 2.382010 55.77 4.85 239.16 3.25 299.62 3.53 216.06 4.47 282.42 2.892011 58.06 4.11 249.32 4.25 310.17 3.52 225.48 4.36 287.32 1.742012 60.52 4.24 260.06 4.31 323.15 4.18 236.33 4.81 294.28 2.42
2013 63.12 4.29 270.18 3.89 335.90 3.95 245.12 3.72 314.04 6.71
Ene 63.12 4.33 271.85 4.37 318.84 5.43 219.58 2.64 283.65 4.00Feb 63.12 4.33 271.14 4.30 308.19 1.59 255.28 6.37 314.75 9.06Mar 63.12 4.33 269.16 4.18 323.10 1.33 236.25 3.54 294.55 3.87Abr 63.12 4.33 269.14 4.16 320.65 4.43 253.45 5.94 315.42 8.18May 63.12 4.33 271.58 3.97 334.85 5.26 237.54 4.02 339.93 9.95Jun 63.12 4.33 270.85 4.00 323.03 3.03 243.35 3.39 303.05 4.64Jul 63.12 4.33 272.86 3.49 330.22 5.81 236.88 3.83 298.63 6.43Ago 63.12 4.33 272.17 3.57 327.50 2.62 242.18 3.51 299.01 5.65Sep 63.12 4.33 269.12 3.67 317.06 3.72 247.62 2.27 305.02 6.67Oct 63.12 4.33 267.79 3.66 332.31 6.59 232.37 2.32 295.71 5.96Nov 63.12 4.27 268.40 3.69 326.61 2.87 258.29 3.32 314.45 8.27Dic 63.12 3.90 268.09 3.66 403.03 4.59 278.69 3.40 404.32 7.21
2014 65.58 3.90 281.29 4.11 349.93 4.18 254.50 3.82 326.00 3.81
Ene 65.58 3.90 282.32 3.85 333.83 4.70 228.72 4.16 307.69 8.48Feb 65.58 3.90 281.95 3.99 322.96 4.79 263.22 3.11 318.38 1.15Mar 65.58 3.90 280.10 4.06 334.55 3.54 241.73 2.32 308.86 4.86Abr 65.58 3.90 280.28 4.14 338.41 5.54 258.46 1.98 312.01 -1.08May 65.58 3.90 283.27 4.31 346.01 3.33 243.72 2.60 337.89 -0.60Jun 65.58 3.90 282.31 4.23 337.30 4.42 252.59 3.80 312.75 3.20Jul 65.58 3.90 284.00 4.08 340.57 3.13 247.30 4.40 309.68 3.70Ago 65.58 3.90 283.36 4.11 342.30 4.52 251.87 4.00 312.17 4.40Sep 65.58 3.90 280.26 4.14 330.47 4.23 259.01 4.60 319.35 4.70Oct 65.58 3.90 278.82 4.12 342.28 3.00 243.99 5.00 310.79 5.10Nov 65.58 3.90 279.59 4.17 341.98 4.71 270.43 4.70 332.69 5.80Dic 65.58 3.90 279.19 4.14 420.35 4.30 292.90 5.10 429.79 6.30
Fuente: Cuadro elaborado por CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI, IMSS y de la Secretaría del Trabajo y Previsión Social.Nota: Los números en negrillas son estimaciones de CAMACRO.
Escenario Macroeconómico 7.2
Remuneración Real por Sectores Económicos(Pesos diarios a precios constantes de 2008)
Salario Mínimo Salario Base de Industria Industria SectorPeríodo General Cotización en el IMSS Manufacturera de la Construcción Comercio
Real Var. % Real Var. % Real Var. % Real Var. % Real Var. %1993 65.15 -1.53 206.07 8.34 272.26 4.50 198.64 6.25 295.36 5.191994 65.15 0.00 231.31 12.25 283.58 4.16 196.20 -1.23 253.37 -14.211995 56.77 -12.86 195.25 -15.59 247.91 -12.58 173.21 -11.72 218.84 -13.631996 52.41 -7.68 173.86 -10.96 223.38 -9.89 139.13 -19.68 198.74 -9.181997 51.79 -1.19 170.99 -1.65 222.09 -0.58 134.65 -3.22 202.36 1.821998 52.02 0.44 174.05 1.79 228.37 2.83 137.20 1.89 206.04 1.821999 50.32 -3.27 174.77 0.41 231.84 1.52 138.45 0.91 206.39 0.172000 50.58 0.52 186.77 6.87 245.69 5.97 144.26 4.20 219.82 6.512001 50.87 0.57 197.93 5.98 262.20 6.72 152.93 6.01 223.93 1.872002 51.23 0.71 203.73 2.93 267.08 1.86 171.16 11.92 226.92 1.332003 51.21 -0.04 207.59 1.90 270.69 1.35 184.88 8.02 241.52 6.442004 50.99 -0.41 211.11 1.70 271.42 0.27 185.08 0.11 269.77 11.692005 51.24 0.48 215.16 1.92 270.76 -0.24 188.77 2.00 280.86 4.112006 51.42 0.36 218.67 1.63 271.71 0.35 192.12 1.77 271.78 -3.232007 51.39 -0.07 221.86 1.46 274.34 0.97 195.24 1.62 269.40 -0.882008 50.84 -1.06 222.30 0.20 276.37 0.74 194.97 -0.14 268.10 -0.482009 50.51 -0.64 219.98 -1.04 274.85 -0.55 196.41 0.74 260.69 -2.772010 50.85 0.67 218.06 -0.87 273.19 -0.60 197.00 0.30 257.51 -1.222011 51.19 0.68 219.84 0.81 273.49 0.11 198.82 0.92 253.34 -1.622012 51.26 0.13 220.25 0.19 273.68 0.07 200.15 0.67 249.23 -1.62
2013 51.50 0.47 220.43 0.08 274.05 0.13 199.99 -0.08 256.22 2.80
Ene 42.36 1.04 182.42 1.08 213.96 2.11 147.35 -0.60 190.34 0.73Feb 42.15 0.75 181.05 0.72 205.80 -1.89 170.46 2.72 210.18 5.32Mar 41.84 0.07 178.43 -0.07 214.18 -2.80 156.61 -0.69 195.25 -0.36Abr 41.81 -0.31 178.29 -0.47 212.42 -0.21 167.90 1.24 208.95 3.38May 41.95 -0.29 180.51 -0.63 222.56 0.60 157.89 -0.58 225.94 5.08Jun 41.98 0.23 180.14 -0.09 214.84 -1.02 161.84 -0.67 201.55 0.53Jul 41.99 0.83 181.53 0.02 219.69 2.26 157.60 0.34 198.68 2.86Ago 41.87 0.84 180.56 0.11 217.27 -0.81 160.66 0.05 198.37 2.12Sep 41.72 0.91 177.87 0.27 209.55 0.32 163.66 -1.08 201.59 3.18Oct 41.52 0.94 176.15 0.29 218.59 3.12 152.85 -1.01 194.51 2.52Nov 41.14 0.63 174.92 0.07 212.86 -0.72 168.33 -0.29 204.93 4.49Dic 40.90 -0.07 173.72 -0.30 261.16 0.59 180.59 -0.56 261.99 3.12
2014 51.44 -0.11 220.64 0.09 274.48 0.16 199.62 -0.18 255.71 -0.20
Ene 42.12 -0.56 181.32 -0.60 214.40 0.21 146.89 -0.31 197.61 3.82Feb 42.01 -0.32 180.63 -0.23 206.90 0.54 168.63 -1.08 203.96 -2.96Mar 41.90 0.13 178.95 0.29 213.74 -0.21 154.44 -1.39 197.32 1.06Abr 41.98 0.39 179.40 0.62 216.61 1.97 165.44 -1.47 199.71 -4.42May 42.11 0.37 181.90 0.77 222.18 -0.17 156.50 -0.88 216.97 -3.97Jun 42.04 0.14 180.97 0.46 216.22 0.64 161.92 0.05 200.48 -0.53Jul 41.88 -0.27 181.37 -0.09 217.50 -1.00 157.93 0.21 197.77 -0.46Ago 41.76 -0.26 180.45 -0.06 217.98 0.33 160.40 -0.17 198.80 0.22Sep 41.51 -0.49 177.41 -0.26 209.19 -0.17 163.96 0.18 202.15 0.28Oct 41.37 -0.37 175.88 -0.15 215.90 -1.23 153.91 0.69 196.04 0.79Nov 41.07 -0.17 175.09 0.10 214.15 0.61 169.35 0.60 208.34 1.66Dic 40.92 0.06 174.23 0.29 262.31 0.44 182.78 1.21 268.20 2.37
Fuente: Cuadro elaborado por CAMACRO, con datos del INEGI, del IMSS y de la Secretaría del Trabajo y Previsión Social.Nota: Los números en negrillas son estimaciones de CAMACRO.
Escenario Macroeconómico 7.3
Revisión de los Salarios Contractuales(Variación % anual)
Incremento Nominal Anual de los Salarios Contractuales Salarios Contractuales Inflación Período Por Sector Económico Por Tipo de Empresa Reales Ex-Ante
Total Industria Servicios Pública Privada Ex-Ante Ex-Post 12 meses1994 264.17 5.34 5.21 4.96 5.55 ....... 1.81 .......1995 302.75 11.64 12.85 14.84 10.01 ....... -21.00 .......1996 307.17 20.59 21.36 22.88 19.33 ....... -16.80 .......1997 339.50 19.75 19.35 19.23 19.83 4.59 -0.53 14.091998 377.08 17.80 17.69 17.59 17.87 3.34 2.94 14.001999 389.25 17.28 15.70 15.00 17.56 3.15 0.97 13.322000 446.50 12.89 11.81 11.47 12.97 3.37 6.72 8.882001 473.25 9.78 8.36 7.73 9.95 2.76 5.79 6.402002 457.25 6.14 5.44 4.93 6.37 1.78 4.11 4.212003 444.75 4.92 4.58 4.13 5.17 0.70 1.45 4.142004 493.33 4.40 3.89 3.47 4.61 0.31 0.18 4.032005 496.42 4.54 4.23 3.98 4.65 0.45 0.35 4.042006 484.92 4.33 3.93 3.78 4.38 0.72 0.85 3.572007 520.92 4.40 4.08 4.08 4.34 0.56 0.33 3.722008 525.67 4.63 4.25 4.25 4.53 0.43 -0.77 4.082009 553.75 4.64 4.19 4.34 4.43 0.09 -0.75 4.372010 568.75 4.85 3.94 3.85 4.70 0.37 0.29 4.202011 599.33 4.72 3.89 3.77 4.63 0.60 1.14 3.902012 620.17 4.66 4.23 4.12 4.64 0.71 0.40 4.902013 4.35 4.57 4.19 3.95 4.49 0.68 0.73 3.64
Ene 4.27 4.78 4.09 3.90 4.37 0.62 1.07 3.63Feb 4.44 4.70 4.19 4.14 4.47 0.83 0.88 3.58Mar 4.45 4.60 4.27 3.91 4.48 0.77 0.23 3.65Abr 4.28 4.25 4.36 3.90 4.52 0.79 -0.12 3.47May 4.57 4.84 4.10 3.96 4.60 1.11 -0.25 3.42Jun 4.62 4.55 4.70 4.05 4.71 1.08 0.44 3.50Jul 4.11 4.10 4.31 4.00 4.58 0.44 0.85 3.66Ago 4.59 4.77 4.30 3.90 4.60 0.92 1.45 3.64Sep 4.42 4.65 4.13 3.99 4.44 0.64 1.52 3.75Oct 3.98 4.71 3.84 3.79 4.69 0.29 0.84 3.68Nov 4.18 4.56 3.83 3.78 4.22 0.37 0.97 3.79Dic 4.24 4.35 4.13 4.03 4.24 0.31 0.91 3.91
2014 4.11 4.71 3.47 3.69 4.25 0.51 0.63 3.59Ene 3.84 4.67 3.20 3.66 4.33 0.15 -0.20 3.69Feb 4.37 4.77 3.24 3.51 3.98 0.72 0.20 3.64Mar 4.42 4.76 3.17 4.46 4.36 0.83 0.67 3.56Abr 4.02 4.78 2.87 3.52 4.45 0.37 0.76 3.64May 4.41 7.38 3.12 3.50 4.29 0.73 1.02 3.66Jun 4.27 4.65 3.04 3.50 4.48 0.66 0.83 3.58Jul e/ 4.08 4.06 4.27 3.97 4.54 0.34 0.37 3.74Ago 4.07 4.22 3.81 3.45 4.07 0.54 1.07 3.53Sep 4.01 4.22 3.75 3.62 4.03 0.63 1.03 3.38Oct 3.88 4.59 3.75 3.69 4.57 0.24 0.34 3.64Nov 3.97 4.33 3.64 3.59 4.01 0.47 0.68 3.50Dic 3.93 4.03 3.83 3.74 3.93 0.45 0.76 3.48
NOTA: La inflación anual ex-ante es la consignada para los siguientes 12 meses por los analistas independientes en la Encuesta Mensual del Banxico.e/ Empieza estimación CAMACRO.Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos del Banco de México y de la Secretaría del Trabajo y Previsión Social.
Escenario Macroeconómico 7.4
Remuneraciones en el Sector Manufacturero(Variación porcentual anual a precios reales respecto al mismo período del año anterior)
Remuneraciones Medias Reales por Persona OcupadaMes Total Sueldos Salarios Prestaciones Sociales
2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014
Ene 2.1 0.2 0.5 1.6 4.6 0.0 1.0 0.2Feb -1.9 0.5 -0.6 2.6 -2.2 -1.0 -1.1 1.2Mar -2.8 -0.2 -1.6 2.5 -3.1 -2.2 -2.6 1.0Abr -0.2 2.0 0.0 3.5 0.1 1.2 0.0 2.3May 0.6 …. 0.6 …. 0.7 …. 0.8 ….Jun -1.0 …. -0.2 …. -1.5 …. 0.0 ….Jul 2.3 …. 1.8 …. 1.3 …. 5.1 ….Ago -0.8 …. 0.4 …. -1.6 …. 0.4 ….Sep 0.3 …. 0.8 …. 0.4 …. 0.4 ….Oct 3.1 …. 3.2 …. 4.0 …. 2.6 ….Nov -0.7 …. 0.4 …. -1.6 …. 0.3 ….Dic 0.6 …. 1.8 …. 0.5 …. -0.1 ….
Prom. 0.1 0.6 0.6 2.6 0.1 -0.5 0.6 1.2Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos del INEGI.
Remuneraciones Sector Manufacturero en México y otros Países(Variación porcentual anual a precios reales respecto al mismo período del año anterior)
Remuneraciones Medias Reales por Persona OcupadaMes México Estados Unidos Canadá Japón
2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014
Ene 2.1 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.8 -3.6 -0.6 0.7Feb -1.9 0.5 1.1 1.4 4.2 -5.0 -0.8 0.2Mar -2.8 -0.2 1.0 1.8 2.3 ….. -1.1 …..Abr -0.2 2.0 0.6 1.7 2.5 ….. -0.1 …..May 0.6 …. 1.1 ….. -2.8 ….. -0.2 …..Jun -1.0 …. 1.1 ….. 2.3 ….. -0.4 …..Jul 2.3 …. 0.8 ….. -0.9 ….. -0.4 …..Ago -0.8 …. 1.4 ….. -1.3 ….. 0.1 …..Sep 0.3 …. 1.5 ….. -1.8 ….. 0.0 …..Oct 3.1 …. 1.4 ….. -0.8 ….. 0.3 …..Nov -0.7 …. 1.5 ….. -2.7 ….. 0.3 …..Dic 0.6 …. 1.7 ….. -3.5 ….. 0.2 …..
Prom. 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.6 -0.1 -4.3 -0.2 0.5Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos del INEGI y del FMI, Estadísticas Financieras Internacionales.
8.0 Comercio Exterior de México
8.0 Comercio Exterior 2011-2016
8.1 Indicadores de Comercio Exterior 2013-2014
8.1 Precio Internacional del Petróleo 2013-2014
8.2 Comercio Exterior por Países Seleccionados 2013-2014
Escenario Macroeconómico 8.0
Comercio Exterior(Millones de dólares)
Datos Históricos Proyecciones2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Exportación Total 349,433 370,770 380,027 396,397 429,765 473,325Tasa% 17.1 6.1 2.5 4.3 8.4 10.1Petroleras 56,443 52,956 49,493 45,782 46,785 46,493Tasa% 35.4 -6.2 -6.5 -7.5 2.2 -0.6 Petróleo crudo 49,381 46,852 42,723 39,485 40,259 39,939 Tasa% 37.5 -5.1 -8.8 -7.6 2.0 -0.8 Otras 7,063 6,103 6,770 6,297 6,526 6,554 Tasa% 22.3 -13.6 10.9 -7.0 3.6 0.4No petroleras 292,990 317,814 330,534 350,615 382,980 426,832Tasa% 14.1 8.5 4.0 6.1 9.2 11.5 Agropecuarias 10,309 10,914 11,246 11,900 12,415 14,109 Tasa% 19.7 5.9 3.0 5.8 4.3 13.6 Extractivas 4063.5 4906.5 4714.4 5082.0 5669.9 6705.3 Tasa% 67.6 20.7 -3.9 7.8 11.6 18.3 Manufactureras 278,617 301,993 314,573 333,633 364,894 406,018 Tasa% 13.4 8.4 4.2 6.1 9.4 11.3 Automotrices 79,177 88,377 97,781 110,430 126,243 147,212 Tasa% 21.9 11.6 10.6 12.9 14.3 16.6 Otras 199,441 213,616 216,793 223,203 238,651 258,805.7 Tasa% 10.3 7.1 1.5 3.0 6.9 8.4
Importación Total 350,843 370,752 381,210 400,687 439,614 492,492Tasa% 16.4 5.7 2.8 5.1 9.7 12.0 Bienes de consumo 51,790 54,272 57,329 60,036 65,175 72,820 Tasa% 25.0 4.8 5.6 4.7 8.6 11.7 Bienes de uso intermedio 264,020 277,911 284,823 300,644 329,987 368,694 Tasa% 14.9 5.3 2.5 5.6 9.8 11.7 Bienes de capital 35,032 38,568 39,057 40,007 44,452 50,978 Tasa% 15.8 10.1 1.3 2.4 11.1 14.7
Balanza Comercial Total -1,409 18 -1,184 -4,290 -9,849 -19,167 Sin Exportaciones Petroleras -57,853 -52,937 -50,677 -50,072 -56,634 -65,660
Apéndice: Precio Petróleo Crudo US$Dólares por Barril 101.21 101.95 98.56 94.85 89.86 87.86 Tasa% 40.1 0.7 -3.3 -3.8 -5.3 -2.2 Volumen Exportado Miles de barriles diarios 1,337 1,256 1,189 1,143 1,228 1,245 Tasa% -1.7 -6.0 -5.3 -3.9 7.4 1.5Datos Históricos: Banco de México y Pemex.Proyecciones: Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Exportación de Mercancías
Concepto!
Escenario Macroeconómico 8.1
Indicadores de Comercio Exterior(Millones de dólares)
Enero-Mayo Variación %2013 2014 2013 2014
Exportaciones Totales 153,802.5 159,204.4 0.1 3.5Petroleras 20,910.2 19,069.5 -10.0 -8.8 Petróleo crudo 18,082.5 16,240.0 -10.7 -10.2 Otras 2,827.7 2,829.5 -5.2 0.1
No petroleras 132,892.3 140,134.9 1.9 5.5 Agropecuarias 5,514.0 5,822.2 -0.7 5.6 Extractivas 1,844.4 2,143.3 -7.2 16.2 Manufactureras 125,533.9 132,169.4 2.2 5.3 Automotrices 38,653.3 42,551.5 9.0 10.1 Otras 86,880.5 89,618.0 -0.6 3.2
Importaciones Totales 156,739.9 159,877.4 3.7 2.0 Bienes de consumo 23,785.4 22,893.1 7.4 -3.8 Bienes de uso intermedio 117,088.5 121,303.8 2.8 3.6 Bienes de capital 15,866.0 15,680.4 4.5 -1.2
Balanza Comercial Total -2,937.4 -673.0 n.s. n.s. Sin Exportación Petrolera -23,847.7 -19,742.5 n.s. n.s.
Apéndice: Precio Promedio del Petróleo (Dls./barril) 101.36 93.86 -6.5 -7.4 Plataforma de Exportación (mbd) 1,183 1,149 -3.7 -2.9
Precio Internacional del Petróleo Crudo(Dólares)
Mezcla Mexicana West Texas Intermediate DiferenciaMes Dólares por Barril Dólares por Barril WTI-Mezcla Mexicana
2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014Ene 100.60 90.65 94.76 94.62 5.84 -3.97Feb 105.43 93.09 95.31 100.82 10.12 -7.73Mar 102.98 93.48 92.94 100.80 10.04 -7.32Abr 99.12 95.14 92.02 102.07 7.10 -6.93May 98.67 96.92 94.51 102.18 4.16 -5.26Jun 97.86 100.44 95.77 105.79 2.09 -5.36Jul 101.00 …… 104.67 …… -3.67 …..Ago 100.84 …… 106.57 …… -5.73 …..Sep 99.74 …… 106.29 …… -6.55 …..Oct 94.95 …… 100.54 …… -5.59 …..Nov 89.71 …… 93.86 …… -4.15 …..Dic 91.78 …… 97.63 …… -5.85 …..
Prom. 98.56 94.95 97.91 101.05 0.65 -6.09
Concepto!
Escenario Macroeconómico 8.2
Comercio Exterior de México por Países(Millones de dólares)
Exportaciones Importaciones Balanza Comercial Países Enero-Mayo Var. Enero-Mayo Var. Enero-Mayo
2013 2014 % 2013 2014 % 2013 2014
Total 153,803 159,204 3.5 156,740 159,877 2.0 -2,937 -673 América 135,891 141,257 3.9 88,327 89,843 1.7 47,563 51,413 América del Norte 124,657 130,739 4.9 81,984 83,348 1.7 42,673 47,392 Estados Unidos 120,492 126,501 5.0 77,846 79,417 2.0 42,645 47,084 Canadá 4,165 4,238 1.7 4,138 3,931 -5.0 28 307 Centro y Sudamérica 11,234 10,518 -6.4 6,343 6,496 2.4 4,891 4,022 Argentina 742 550 -25.9 498 379 -23.9 244 172 Brasil 2,051 2,075 1.2 1,948 1,716 -11.9 103 359 Colombia 1,937 1,831 -5.5 389 408 4.7 1,547 1,423 Chile 867 843 -2.7 644 591 -8.2 223 253 Perú 758 722 -4.7 239 391 63.1 518 332 Venezuela 857 624 -27.3 55 22 -59.8 802 601 Otros países 4,021 3,872 -3.7 2,569 2,990 16.4 1,452 882 Europa 9,656 9,514 -1.5 19,807 19,923 0.6 -10,151 -10,409 Unión Europea 8,729 8,706 -0.3 18,080 17,731 -1.9 -9,351 -9,025 Alemania 1,875 1,532 -18.3 5,815 5,645 -2.9 -3,940 -4,113 España 3,063 2,903 -5.2 1,754 1,960 11.8 1,310 943 Francia 501 696 39.0 1,543 1,537 -0.4 -1,042 -840 Países Bajos 743 823 10.7 1,628 1,418 -12.9 -885 -595 Italia 418 751 79.7 2,507 2,180 -13.0 -2,089 -1,429 Portugal 25 20 -17.9 174 194 11.6 -149 -173 Reino Unido 662 644 -2.7 1,072 975 -9.1 -410 -331 Otros países 1,442 1,336 -7.3 3,587 3,822 6.6 -2,145 -2,486 Otros países 927 808 -12.8 1,727 2,192 26.9 -800 -1,384 Asia 7,480 7,597 1.6 47,584 49,055 3.1 -40,104 -41,459 China 2,652 2,563 -3.3 23,850 25,043 5.0 -21,199 -22,480 Corea 508 833 64.1 5,641 5,455 -3.3 -5,133 -4,622 Hong Kong 369 422 14.5 110 113 2.9 259 309 India 1,649 1,159 -29.7 1,218 1,552 27.4 431 -393 Japón 909 1,219 34.1 7,357 6,983 -5.1 -6,448 -5,764 Malasia 69 89 29.0 1,903 2,466 29.6 -1,834 -2,377 Singapur 261 201 -23.0 594 456 -23.3 -333 -255 Taiwán 198 180 -9.3 2,724 2,483 -8.8 -2,526 -2,304 Otros países 865 931 7.6 4,187 4,505 7.6 -3,321 -3,574 Resto del Mundo 776 837 7.9 1,022 1,056 3.3 -246 -219Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Banco de México.
9.0 Balanza de Pagos de México
9.0 Balanza de Pagos Anual 2011-2016
9.1 Balanza de Pagos Trimestral 2013-2014
9.2 Inversión Extranjera Directa por principales Países 1994-2012
9.3 Banco de México: Inversión Extranjera Directa y de Cartera 1975-2014
9.4 Resumen Mensual de la Cuenta Corriente, de Capital y Reserva Internacional del Banco de México 2013-2014
Escenario Macroeconómico 9.0
Balanza de Pagos de México(Millones de dólares)
Datos Históricos Proyecciones2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Cuenta Corriente -12,556 -15,058 -25,856 -22,909 -33,269 -45,797% del PIB -1.1 -1.3 -2.1 -1.8 -2.4 -3.1
Ingresos 399,248 423,446 432,081 453,659 491,774 541,438 Mercancías 349,375 370,706 380,189 396,519 429,765 473,325 Turismo 11,869 12,739 13,819 15,592 17,502 19,887 Remesas Familiares 22,803 22,438 21,583 22,937 24,262 25,873 Intereses 3,475 2,671 2,391 2,415 2,605 2,896 Otros 11,727 14,891 14,100 16,196 17,640 19,456Egresos 411,804 438,504 457,936 476,567 525,043 587,235 Mercancías 350,843 370,752 381,210 400,687 439,614 492,492 Turismo 7,832 8,449 9,054 9,981 11,192 12,569 Fletes y Seguros 10,225 9,726 9,755 11,170 13,100 16,400 Intereses 17,688 20,296 23,217 26,650 29,651 32,711 Otros 25,216 29,282 34,701 28,079 31,485 33,064
Cuenta de Capital 50,787 54,463 59,460 67,891 65,035 75,190
Pasivos 61,515 88,502 101,907 101,536 103,777 121,086 Endeudamiento Externo Neto 13,075 14,357 42,591 34,072 28,578 28,394 Sector Público 5,628 8,794 8,630 17,444 11,935 12,387 Sector Privado 8,401 8,769 18,849 11,240 12,685 11,333 Banca Comercial -953 -3,206 15,112 5,388 3,958 4,674 Banco de México 0 0 0 0 0 0 Inversión Extranjera 48,440 74,145 59,316 67,464 75,199 92,692 Directa 23,354 17,628 38,286 25,076 29,066 34,632 De Cartera 25,086 56,517 21,030 42,388 46,133 58,060 Mercado Accionario -6,566 9,877 -943 8,407 8,537 8,827 Mercado de Dinero 31,651 46,640 21,973 33,981 37,596 49,233Activos -10,728 -34,039 -42,447 -33,645 -38,742 -45,896 Inversión Directa en el Exterior -12,636 -22,470 -12,938 -22,162 -23,742 -26,896 Resto 1,908 -11,569 -29,509 -11,483 -15,000 -19,000Errores y Omisiones -9,793 -18,682 -15,960 -18,293 -14,197 -15,774Ajustes oro-plata y valoración -441 -317 4,639 4,334 3,741 3,326
Banco de MéxicoReserva Internacional Variación anual 28,879 21,040 13,006 22,355 13,828 10,292 Saldo fin de año 142,475 163,515 176,522 198,877 212,705 222,997Datos Históricos: Banco de México.Proyecciones: Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Concepto!
Escenario Macroeconómico 9.1
Balanza de Pagos Trimestral(Millones de dólares)2013 2014
I II III IV I II e/ III e/ IV e/
Cuenta Corriente -7,117 -5,535 -5,659 -7,545 -4,533 -2,120 -10,483 -5,773% del PIB -0.6 -0.4 -0.5 -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 -0.8 -0.4
Ingresos 101,790 112,328 107,975 109,988 104,274 118,314 112,528 118,543 Mercancías 88,325 96,721 96,265 98,877 90,872 101,116 99,247 105,284 Turismo 3,864 3,255 3,041 3,659 4,436 3,890 3,317 3,949 Remesas Familiares 4,889 5,941 5,570 5,493 5,459 6,182 5,644 5,651 Intereses 657 649 561 524 512 679 637 587 Otros 4,054 5,763 2,538 1,435 2,994 6,446 3,683 3,072Egresos 108,907 117,863 113,634 117,532 108,808 120,434 123,010 124,316 Mercancías 89,347 97,561 97,280 97,022 92,064 100,063 102,646 105,914 Turismo 1,930 2,060 2,425 2,639 1,982 2,269 2,726 3,004 Fletes y Seguros 2,318 2,482 2,500 2,456 2,672 2,712 2,905 2,881 Intereses 4,374 7,002 4,584 7,256 4,859 8,033 7,652 6,105 Otros 10,938 8,758 6,846 8,159 7,230 7,357 7,081 6,412
Cuenta de Capital 15,530 6,845 17,000 20,086 10,504 14,674 22,337 20,376
Pasivos 35,512 12,394 22,815 31,185 15,171 19,344 26,180 40,842 Endeudamiento 18,015 -4,473 12,529 16,520 4,565 7,200 8,169 14,138 Sector Público 1,234 -1,101 3,725 4,773 7,786 3,867 1,520 4,272 Sector Privado 368 3,212 8,005 7,264 2,267 1,656 3,287 4,030 Banca Comercial 16,413 -6,584 799 4,483 -5,488 1,677 3,362 5,837 Banco de México 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Inversión Extranjera 17,497 16,867 10,287 14,665 10,605 12,144 18,012 26,704 Directa 8,129 20,062 3,586 6,508 5,821 3,533 6,916 8,806 De cartera 9,368 -3,195 6,701 8,157 4,784 8,610 11,096 17,897 Mercado Accionario 27 -4,939 3,669 300 282 2,677 2,103 3,345 Mercado de Dinero 9,341 1,744 3,032 7,856 4,503 5,933 8,992 14,553Activos -19,983 -5,549 -5,816 -11,099 -4,666 -4,670 -3,844 -20,466 Inversión Directa Exterior -2,249 -2,430 -1,576 -6,682 -2,644 -3,088 -6,142 -10,289 Resto -17,734 -3,119 -4,240 -4,417 -2,023 -1,582 2,298 -10,176Errores y Omisiones -3,617 1,818 -6,810 -7,350 49 -2,512 -6,237 -9,594Ajustes y Valoración 1,348 3,560 -1,033 763 -218 2,468 988 1,096
Banco de MéxicoReserva Internacional Variación trimestral 3,447 -432 5,563 4,428 6,238 7,575 4,629 3,913 Saldo fin de trimestre 166,962 166,530 172,094 176,522 182,759 190,334 194,963 198,877e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos del Banco de México.
Concepto!
Escenario Macroeconómico 9.2
Inversión Extranjera Directa por País de Origen(Millones de dólares)
Años Total EE.UU. Reino Unido Alemania Japón Suiza España Canadá Holanda Otros
1999 13,940 7,559 -187 774 1,247 125 1,046 691 1,086 1,5982000 18,302 13,177 286 348 443 147 2,121 680 2,697 -1,5972001 29,988 21,544 138 -108 187 -176 2,894 1,047 2,654 1,8082002 23,996 13,202 1,261 599 179 462 5,008 283 1,737 1,2642003 18,898 9,000 1,143 446 139 2,585 2,850 408 817 1,5102004 25,095 9,207 323 393 392 1,157 7,893 804 3,380 1,5452005 24,680 11,808 1,349 335 173 324 1,704 690 4,018 4,2792006 20,863 13,230 973 748 -1,434 603 1,447 963 2,805 1,5272007 32,253 13,115 610 648 440 617 5,443 826 6,627 3,9272008 28,313 11,579 1,394 657 509 243 4,965 3,433 1,873 3,6612009 17,331 7,462 419 65 483 100 2,582 1,839 2,574 1,8062010 23,353 6,559 700 353 536 262 2,042 1,847 9,198 1,8552011 23,354 11,751 -1,041 413 916 1,167 3,658 1,354 2,802 2,3342012 17,628 8,686 442 965 1,816 280 -917 1,766 1,449 3,1412013 38,286 12,841 1,236 1,759 1,618 271 -747 1,372 3,035 16,9002014
Trimestre I 5,821 2,754 72 258 248 -295 1,977 -171 405 574
Inversión Extranjera Directa por Sectores Económicos(Millones de dólares)
Minería Electricidad Transportes, Servicios OtrosAños Total Agropecuario y Manufacturas y Construcción Comercio Almacenamiento Sector Sector
Extracción Agua y Comunicaciones Financiero Servicios
1999 13,940 88 245 9,114 189 215 1,486 883 415 1,3042000 18,302 98 303 10,306 161 226 2,411 -1,502 4,608 1,6902001 29,988 94 60 6,420 310 333 2,163 3,241 16,116 1,2512002 23,996 114 272 8,422 552 556 1,875 3,659 7,087 1,4592003 18,898 1 130 9,782 356 112 1,695 1,048 3,136 2,6382004 25,095 42 326 13,681 296 431 1,327 3,412 4,029 1,5522005 24,680 15 247 11,810 350 413 2,704 2,976 2,322 3,8432006 20,863 3 482 10,222 -62 581 582 767 4,254 4,0342007 32,253 68 1,818 12,861 206 2,744 2,131 280 6,332 5,8132008 28,313 50 4,487 8,641 508 1,015 2,343 1,844 6,886 2,5392009 17,331 20 1,277 6,843 46 671 1,815 437 2,920 3,3022010 23,353 90 1,383 13,768 118 388 2,790 682 2,372 1,7632011 23,354 40 832 9,804 222 1,717 2,915 1,478 2,510 3,8362012 17,628 107 2,908 7,591 639 1,389 2,912 1,255 -2,700 3,5272013 38,286 167 3,045 28,134 29 696 1,606 2,712 -910 2,8062014
Trimestre I 5,821 46 440 2,487 156 666 169 3 1,427 427
Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos de la Dirección General de Inversiones Extranjeras de la Secretaría de Economía.Nota: En 2013 se consignan en el rubro de "otros" 16,900 millones de dólares de IED. De este total, 13,257 millones de dólares corresponden a Belgica.
Escenario Macroeconómico 9.3
Banco de México: Inversión Extranjera Directa y de Cartera(Millones de dólares)
Total Inversión Inversión Inversión de Cartera en México Inversión DirectaPeríodo Extranjera Directa Mercado Mercado de México en
en México en México de Valores de Dinero el Extranjero1975 652 505 147 0 147 01976 1,012 541 471 0 471 01977 1,918 540 1,378 0 1,378 01978 1,536 830 706 0 706 01979 989 1,327 -338 0 -338 01980 2,090 2,090 0 0 0 01981 3,076 3,076 0 0 0 01982 1,900 1,900 0 0 0 01983 2,192 2,192 0 0 0 01984 1,541 1,541 0 0 0 01985 1,984 1,984 0 0 0 01986 2,401 2,401 0 0 0 01987 2,635 2,635 0 0 0 01988 2,880 2,880 0 0 0 01989 3,669 3,176 493 493 0 01990 4,628 2,633 1,994 1,994 0 01991 14,500 4,761 9,738 6,332 3,406 01992 17,323 4,393 12,930 4,783 8,147 01993 22,511 4,389 18,122 10,717 7,406 01994 12,831 10,973 1,858 4,084 -2,225 01995 -3,814 9,526 -13,340 519 -13,860 01996 12,684 9,185 3,499 2,801 698 01997 16,565 12,830 3,736 3,215 520 01998 12,073 12,757 -684 -666 -19 01999 16,760 13,940 2,820 3,769 -949 02000 18,673 18,302 371 447 -76 02001 31,010 29,988 1,022 151 871 4,4042002 23,921 23,996 -75 -104 29 8912003 19,534 18,898 636 -123 760 1,2532004 27,623 25,095 2,528 -2,522 5,050 4,4322005 30,727 24,680 6,046 3,353 2,693 6,4742006 26,182 20,863 5,319 2,805 2,513 5,7582007 39,582 32,253 7,329 -482 7,811 8,2562008 30,743 28,313 2,430 -3,503 5,933 1,1572009 24,965 17,331 7,634 4,155 3,479 9,6042010 46,853 23,353 23,500 373 23,127 3,9922011 48,440 23,354 25,086 -6,566 31,651 1,1022012 74,145 17,628 56,517 9,877 46,640 1,974
2013 59,316 38,286 21,030 -943 21,973 12,938I 17,497 8,129 9,368 27 9,341 2,249II 16,867 20,062 -3,195 -4,939 1,744 2,430III 10,287 3,586 6,701 3,669 3,032 1,576IV 14,665 6,508 8,157 300 7,856 6,682
2014 67,464 25,076 42,388 8,407 33,981 22,162I 10,605 5,821 4,784 282 4,503 2,644
II e/ 12,144 3,533 8,610 2,677 5,933 3,088III e/ 18,012 6,916 11,096 2,103 8,992 6,142IV e/ 26,704 8,806 17,897 3,345 14,553 10,289
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Banco de México.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Total!
Escenario Macroeconómico 9.4
Resumen Mensual de la Balanza de Pagos de México(Millones de dólares)
Saldo Principales rubros de la Cuenta Corriente Saldo Banco de MéxicoAño de la Saldo Saldo Ingresos Ingresos Egresos Cuenta Reserva
y mes Cuenta Balanza Balanza Remesas diversos Intereses de Capital InternacionalCorriente Comercial Turística Familiares Conceptos y otros y otros Cambio Saldo
2013 -25,856 -1,184 4,827 21,892 16,181 -56,866 38,862 13,006 176,522
Ene -4,854 -2,854 515 1,486 1,632 -4,679 6,848 1,994 165,510Feb -1,974 25 642 1,605 1,482 -4,104 2,362 388 165,898Mar -289 1,710 790 1,798 1,597 -4,595 1,353 1,064 166,962Abr -2,904 -1,358 356 1,940 2,234 -4,672 4,309 1,405 168,367May -2,006 -460 356 2,050 1,992 -4,738 768 -1,238 167,129Jun -625 920 509 1,950 2,186 -4,765 26 -599 166,530Jul -2,961 -1,399 382 1,841 960 -4,784 5,591 2,630 169,160Ago -1,787 -225 199 1,901 1,059 -4,934 3,336 1,549 170,709Sep -911 651 71 1,828 1,080 -4,932 2,296 1,385 172,094Oct -3,252 -135 153 1,912 766 -4,996 5,304 2,052 174,146Nov -2,802 315 324 1,732 669 -4,840 4,808 2,007 176,152Dic -1,491 1,626 530 1,849 523 -4,828 1,861 369 176,522
Saldo Principales Rubrosde la Cuenta Corriente Saldo Banco de MéxicoAño de la Saldo Saldo Ingresos Ingresos Egresos Cuenta Reserva
y mes Cuenta Balanza Balanza Remesas diversos Intereses de Capital Internacional Corriente Comercial Turística Familiares Conceptos y otros y otros Cambio Saldo
2014 -22,909 -4,290 5,506 22,937 18,610 -60,463 45,264 22,355 198,877
Ene -4,255 -3,182 582 1,642 1,294 -4,836 7,303 3,048 179,570Feb -155 918 769 1,719 1,087 -4,194 1,440 1,285 180,855Mar -124 949 999 2,098 1,125 -4,771 2,028 1,904 182,759Abr -548 510 549 1,976 2,387 -4,922 3,838 3,289 186,049May -926 132 515 2,145 2,497 -5,088 3,143 2,217 188,266Jun e/ -646 412 557 2,062 2,241 -5,072 2,714 2,069 190,334Jul -4,108 -1,747 365 1,872 1,552 -5,042 5,560 1,452 191,786Ago -3,566 -1,205 180 1,964 1,459 -5,398 4,656 1,090 192,876Sep -2,809 -448 46 1,808 1,309 -5,416 4,896 2,087 194,963Oct -2,809 -1,094 144 1,964 1,275 -5,289 3,919 1,111 196,074Nov -2,141 -427 239 1,797 1,127 -5,236 3,731 1,589 197,663Dic -823 892 562 1,890 1,257 -5,201 2,036 1,213 198,877Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos del Banco de México.e/ Empieza estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.Nota 1: Los saldos mensuales de la cuenta corriente y de la cuenta de capital son estimaciones propias.Nota 2: El saldo de la cuenta de capital incluye los rubros de errores y omisiones, más ajustes oro-plata y valoración.
10.0 Deuda Externa de México
10.0 Deuda Externa Total de México 2011-2016
10.1 Deuda Externa Total por Sectores Económicos 2010-2013
Escenario Macroeconómico 10.0
Deuda Externa Total de México(Millones de dólares)
Datos Históricos Proyecciones2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Saldo de la Deuda Externa
Deuda Externa Total 201,344 213,410 240,703 275,104 304,446 333,662% PIB 18.0 17.1 19.5 21.0 22.2 22.8
Sector Público 116,420 125,726 134,436 151,147 162,756 174,501% PIB 10.4 10.1 10.9 11.5 11.9 11.9
Sector Privado 68,650 72,025 87,709 101,736 117,777 131,732% PIB 6.2 5.8 7.1 7.8 8.6 9.0
Banca Comercial 16,273 15,659 18,558 22,221 23,913 27,429% PIB 1.5 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.9
Banco de México/FMI 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% PIB 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Endeudamiento Externo Neto
Deuda Externa Total 13,075 14,357 42,591 34,072 28,578 28,394
Sector Público 5,628 8,794 8,630 17,444 11,935 12,387
Sector Privado 8,401 8,769 18,849 11,240 12,685 11,333
Banca Comercial -953 -3,206 15,112 5,388 3,958 4,674
Banco de México/FMI 0 0 0 0 0 0
Indicadores del Peso de la Deuda Externa Total
Tasa de Interés Implícita 8.8 9.5 9.6 9.7 9.7 9.8
Intereses/Exportación ByS 4.6 5.1 5.6 6.1 6.2 6.1
Deuda Total/Exportación ByS 52.8 53.1 58.2 63.2 63.8 62.3NOTA: Cifras sujetas a revisiones por cambios y edecuaciones metodológicas.Umbral crítico del Coeficiente Intereses/Exportación de Bienes y Servicios: + de 20%Umbral crítico del Coeficiente Deuda Total/Exportación de Bienes y Servicios: + de 200%Datos Históricos: CAMACRO, con datos de la Secretaria de Hacienda y Crédito Público y del Banco de México.Proyecciones: Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Conceptos!
Escenario Macroeconómico 10.1
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013Diciembre Diciembre Diciembre Diciembre Diciembre
A . SECTOR PUBLICO 96,354 110,428 116,420 125,726 134,436
1. CON ACREEDORES PRIVADOS 66,523 73,810 78,692 87,788 96,480 Mercado de Capitales 58,731 63,591 68,914 79,394 90,302 Mercado Bancario 7,791 10,219 9,779 8,395 6,1782. ACREEDORES MULTILATERALES 17,144 21,134 23,428 25,309 27,350 B I D 7,047 8,779 9,810 10,580 12,202 B I R F 10,097 12,355 13,618 14,729 15,1483. COMERCIO EXTERIOR 12,288 15,151 14,014 12,312 10,321 Eximbaks 2,217 3,399 4,006 3,949 3,688 Bancos Comerciales 8,932 9,851 8,136 6,707 5,542 Proveedores 1,139 1,902 1,872 1,656 1,0924. PIDIREGAS 323 333 286 316 2855. COMPOSICION TOTAL DEL SECTOR PUBLICO POR MONEDAS 96,354 110,428 116,420 125,726 134,436 Dólar Americano 77,919 90,882 97,048 105,836 111,647 Euro 10,830 9,421 9,377 9,530 11,489 Canasta de Monedas 367 9 14 18 17 Libra Esterlina 1,981 1,920 1,906 1,993 1,369 Yen Japonés 4,541 6,864 6,793 6,847 5,519 Franco Suizo 716 953 910 961 969 Otras 0 379 371 541 3,426
B. SECTOR PRIVADO 61,229 64,707 68,650 72,025 87,709
1. MERCADO DE CAPITALES 21,525 29,997 38,355 50,016 66,856 Bonos 21,525 29,997 38,355 50,016 66,8562. COMERCIO EXTERIOR 1,099 905 811 225 171 Eximbak 936 746 656 222 171 Banca Comercial 164 159 154 4 03. MERCADO BANCARIO 38,605 33,805 29,484 21,784 20,682 Directos 38,605 33,805 29,484 21,784 20,682
C. SECTOR BANCARIO 6,218 15,008 16,273 15,659 18,558
1. Banca Comercial 1,196 5,570 5,119 2,720 4,372 2. Otros Pasivos con el Público 5,022 9,438 11,154 12,939 14,186
D. TOTAL DEUDA EXTERNA 163,801 190,143 201,344 213,410 240,703Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos de la Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público.
Deuda Externa Total de México por Sectores(Millones de dólares)
Concepto!
11.0 Agregados Monetarios y Actividad Financiera
11.0 Base Monetaria, Ahorro Financiero y Crédito de la Banca Comercial
al Sector Privado 2011-2016
11.1 BANXICO: Agregados Monetarios y Actividad Financiera 2013-2014
Escenario Macroeconómico 11.0
Agregados Monetarios y Actividad Financiera(Variación % anual real)
Datos Observados Proyecciones2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Base Monetaria 6.1 7.0 4.3 5.7 5.4 6.0M1 9.4 5.7 6.0 9.9 8.7 9.0 Billetes y monedas en poder del público 7.0 6.4 3.9 7.7 5.1 5.3 Cuentas de cheques en MN 13.4 1.2 6.3 10.8 10.6 10.9 Cuentas de cheques en ME -0.1 18.9 11.1 16.7 12.8 13.0 Depósitos en cuenta corriente y otros 8.1 11.3 7.2 8.6 8.4 8.6M2=M1 + activos financieros internos de residentes 7.8 4.6 4.6 7.5 8.6 10.2 Captación interna de bancos residentes y otros 2.4 3.9 2.0 9.1 9.3 10.6 Valores públicos en poder de residentes 9.7 5.7 5.0 7.1 9.1 10.8 Valores emitidos por el Gobierno Federal 9.7 5.7 4.4 6.1 8.0 9.4 Valores emitidos por el Banco de México -100.0 n.s. n.s. n.s. n.s. n.s. Valores emitidos por el IPAB 7.4 6.4 1.0 7.6 8.9 9.6 Otros valores públicos 12.7 4.7 11.9 10.2 13.2 16.7 Valores emitidos por entidades privadas 11.2 -1.2 6.8 1.4 4.1 6.9 Fondos de ahorro para el retiro 4.5 2.1 2.9 3.8 7.1 11.5M3=M2 + activos financieros internos de no residentes 11.8 10.6 5.2 8.9 10.8 12.8 Captación de bancos residentes 12.5 -8.4 9.3 11.0 17.2 26.0 Valores públicos en poder de no residentes 56.7 59.9 7.9 15.9 20.7 22.8M4=M3 + captación de bancos mexicanos en el exterior 11.8 10.6 5.0 8.8 10.7 12.8 Depósitos de residentes -28.5 -32.0 9.9 -0.2 1.8 5.8 Depósitos de no residentes 63.7 19.4 -20.4 -6.7 -0.1 4.8Ahorro Financiero (M4 menos billetes y monedas) 12.2 10.9 5.1 8.9 11.1 13.3Crédito vigente otorgado por la Banca Comercial 12.7 7.8 5.4 9.1 12.8 16.2 Consumo 19.7 15.0 6.4 8.4 14.7 22.6 Tarjetas de crédito 9.0 12.5 5.4 7.1 12.4 18.3 Bienes de consumo duradero 4.0 0.4 -1.1 0.7 4.0 9.4 Otros 42.1 22.2 9.3 11.5 19.2 29.0 Vivienda 3.9 6.5 3.6 6.6 9.4 11.9 Interés social 10.6 7.9 7.5 8.6 14.8 19.2 Media y residencial 2.8 6.2 2.9 6.2 8.3 10.4 Empresa y personas físicas 11.8 4.1 4.6 9.7 12.8 14.4 Sector agropecuario y minería 16.0 20.5 -1.6 9.2 5.4 7.5 Industria manufacturera 10.7 -4.4 10.2 11.0 14.3 14.8 Construcción 6.5 14.1 -10.1 -0.2 9.9 14.0 Servicios y otras actividades 14.4 2.7 9.6 13.0 13.6 14.9 Intermediarios financieros no bancarios 35.8 20.8 16.5 17.1 16.7 17.0Indicadores MonetariosM1/BM = Multiplicador Monetario 2.728 2.695 2.739 2.848 2.937 3.020PIB/M1 = Velocidad de Circulación 6.985 6.849 6.407 5.943 5.671 5.459M1/PIB = Coeficiente de Liquidez 0.143 0.146 0.156 0.168 0.176 0.183Coeficiente de Monetización 1.932 2.893 3.241 2.636 1.187 0.764
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Banco de México.
Concepto!
! BANCO DE DATOS!!
Escenario Macroeconómico 11.1
Agregados Monetarios y Actividad Financiera(Saldos en miles de millones de pesos)
Mayo Var. % Real2013 2014 May.12/May.13 May.13/May.14
Base Monetaria 772.2 875.6 -0.7 9.5M1 2,172.9 2,492.0 2.5 10.8Billetes y monedas en poder del público 689.2 777.9 0.3 9.0Cuentas de cheques en MN 913.2 1,042.9 -0.8 10.3Cuentas de cheques en ME 165.7 209.3 14.3 22.0Depósitos en cuenta corriente y otros 404.8 461.9 10.3 10.2M2=M1 + activos financieros internos de residentes 8,963.7 9,945.3 2.9 7.2Captación interna de bancos residentes y otros 1,463.9 1,633.8 -0.2 7.8Valores públicos en poder de residentes 3,807.1 4,222.9 4.7 7.2 Valores emitidos por el Gobierno Federal 2,501.7 2,716.4 5.6 4.9 Valores emitidos por el Banco de México 0.0 0.0 n.s. n.s. Valores emitidos por el IPAB 686.7 791.4 2.7 11.3 Otros valores públicos 618.7 715.2 3.0 11.7Valores emitidos por entidades privadas 438.7 448.3 3.0 -1.3Fondos de ahorro para el retiro 1,081.1 1,148.3 1.6 2.6M3=M2 + activos financieros internos de no residentes 11,001.0 12,141.2 8.5 6.6Captación de bancos residentes 108.2 108.0 22.5 -3.6Valores públicos en poder de no residentes 1,929.1 2,087.8 43.9 4.6M4=M3 + captación de bancos mexicanos en el exterior 11,102.1 12,248.8 8.4 6.6Depósitos de residentes 24.1 36.6 -12.2 46.5Depósitos de no residentes 77.0 71.0 3.0 -10.8Ahorro Financiero 10,412.9 11,470.9 9.0 6.4 Residentes 7,609.4 8,426.1 3.3 7.0 No Residentes 2,114.3 2,266.9 40.6 3.6Crédito vigente otorgado por la Banca Comercial 2,348.0 2,567.1 5.0 5.6 Consumo 605.6 659.7 10.5 5.2 Tarjetas de crédito 271.1 288.1 9.8 2.7 Bienes de consumo duradero 64.4 65.8 -1.1 -1.2 Otros 270.2 305.7 14.3 9.3 Vivienda 451.5 490.9 4.2 5.1 Interés social 75.0 80.3 8.6 3.4 Media y residencial 376.5 410.7 3.4 5.4 Empresa y personas físicas 1,193.2 1,300.3 1.8 5.3 Sector agropecuario y minería 56.0 57.3 14.4 -1.1 Industria manufacturera 295.7 301.7 3.9 -1.4 Construcción 257.7 246.5 0.1 -7.6 Servicios y otras actividades 583.8 694.8 0.5 15.0 Intermediarios financieros no bancarios 97.7 116.2 18.1 14.9
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del Banco de México.
Concepto!
! BANCO DE DATOS!!
12.0 Finanzas Públicas
12.0 Fianzas del Sector Público 2011-2016
12.1 Presupuesto del Sector Público para 2014
12.1 Deuda Interna del Gobierno Federal 2013-2014
Escenario Macroeconómico 12.0
Finanzas del Sector Público (Millones de pesos)
Datos observados Proyecciones2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Ingreso Presupuestal 3,271,080 3,514,530 3,800,191 4,113,595 4,399,223 4,786,129 Sector Petrolero 1,101,879 1,183,895 1,261,702 1,439,856 1,502,865 1,572,808 Sector No Petrolero 2,169,201 2,330,634 2,538,489 2,673,739 2,896,358 3,213,321 Gobierno Federal 1,613,595 1,731,760 1,924,585 2,013,089 2,181,900 2,429,434 Tributarios 1,436,715 1,516,951 1,644,313 1,767,580 1,932,065 2,165,253 ISR 759,168 803,897 946,515 992,888 1,093,464 1,233,690 IVA 537,143 579,988 556,794 598,788 655,807 730,199 IEPS 69,246 72,953 78,572 115,042 119,814 131,324 Importaciones 26,881 27,906 29,260 31,718 34,444 37,607 Otros 44,278 32,208 33,171 29,144 28,536 32,433 No Tributarios 176,880 214,809 280,272 245,509 249,835 264,181 Organismos y Empresas 555,606 598,875 613,905 660,650 714,458 783,887Gasto Neto Presupuestal 3,631,316 3,920,305 4,178,322 4,737,412 4,991,587 5,366,201 Gasto Programable 2,860,941 3,102,198 3,316,609 3,806,624 4,000,222 4,315,732 Corriente 2,157,393 2,360,695 2,440,772 2,828,705 2,976,632 3,203,549 Capital 703,548 741,503 875,837 977,919 1,023,591 1,112,183 Gasto No Programable 770,375 818,107 861,713 930,788 991,364 1,050,468 Costo financiero 273,931 305,119 314,551 371,072 424,096 482,381 Participaciones 477,256 494,265 532,456 539,946 544,037 542,619 Adefas y Ajenas Netas 19,187 18,724 14,706 19,770 23,231 25,469Balance Económico -353,458 -403,210 -374,231 -619,726 -589,437 -574,400 Inversión PEMEX 311,993 328,572 354,501 385,966 421,830 462,095Balance Económico sin PEMEX -41,465 -74,638 -19,730 -233,760 -167,607 -112,305
Como porcentaje del PIBIngreso Presupuestal 22.5 22.5 23.6 24.1 24.0 24.1 Sector Petrolero 7.6 7.6 7.8 8.4 8.2 7.9 Sector No Petrolero 14.9 14.9 15.8 15.7 15.8 16.1 Gobierno Federal 11.1 11.1 12.0 11.8 11.9 12.2 Tributarios 9.9 9.7 10.2 10.4 10.6 10.9 ISR 5.2 5.1 5.9 5.8 6.0 6.2 IVA 3.7 3.7 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.7 IEPS 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 Importaciones 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 Otros 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 No Tributarios 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.4 1.4 1.3 Organismos y Empresas 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.9 3.9Gasto Neto Presupuestal 25.0 25.1 25.9 27.8 27.3 27.0 Gasto Programable 19.7 19.9 20.6 22.3 21.9 21.7 Corriente 14.8 15.1 15.2 16.6 16.3 16.1 Capital 4.8 4.7 5.4 5.7 5.6 5.6 Gasto No Programable 5.3 5.2 5.4 5.5 5.4 5.3 Costo financiero 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.4 Participaciones 3.3 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.0 2.7 Adefas y Ajenas Netas 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1Balance Económico -2.4 -2.6 -2.3 -3.6 -3.2 -2.9 Inversión PEMEX -1.8 -2.0 -2.0 -2.1 -2.1 -2.1Balance Económico sin PEMEX -0.6 -0.6 -0.3 -1.6 -1.1 -0.8Datos Históricos: Secretaría de Hacienda y Crédito Público. Proyecciones: Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Concepto!
Escenario Macroeconómico 12.1
Presupuesto del Sector Público para 2014(Millones de pesos)
Presupuesto 2014 Enero-Mayo Variación PorcentajePesos %PIB 2013 2014 % Real Ejercido
Ingreso Presupuestal 3,816,748 21.7 1,501,979 1,610,080 3.2 42.2Sector Petrolero 1,265,725 7.2 474,805 491,042 -0.5 38.8Sector No Petrolero 2,551,023 14.5 1,027,174 1,119,038 4.9 43.9 Gobierno Federal 1,906,594 10.8 802,227 873,551 4.8 45.8 Tributarios 1,752,179 10.0 708,281 799,535 8.7 45.6 ISR 1,006,377 5.7 420,430 445,168 1.9 44.2 IVA 609,393 3.5 224,852 281,081 20.3 46.1 IEPS 117,959 0.7 34,409 48,542 35.8 41.2 Importaciones 26,759 0.2 11,135 12,872 11.3 48.1 Otros -8,308 0.0 17,456 11,872 -34.5 -142.9 No Tributarios 154,415 0.9 93,946 74,016 -24.2 47.9 Organismos y Empresas 644,429 3.7 224,947 245,487 5.0 38.1Gasto Neto Presupuestal 4,437,163 25.2 1,465,728 1,714,048 12.6 38.6 Gasto Programable 3,463,609 19.7 1,159,986 1,377,653 14.3 39.8 Corriente 2,656,198 15.1 913,561 1,041,288 9.7 39.2 Capital 807,411 4.6 246,424 336,365 31.4 41.7 Gasto No Programable 973,554 5.5 305,742 336,395 5.9 34.6 Costo financiero 380,365 2.2 62,280 60,120 -7.1 15.8 Participaciones 577,639 3.3 224,857 258,172 10.5 44.7 Adefas y Ajenas Netas 15,550 0.1 18,605 18,103 -6.3 116.4 Balance Económico -620,415 -3.5 56,042 -91,679 Inversión PEMEX 357,527 2.0 106,497 149,861 35.4 41.9Balance Económico sin PEMEX -262,888 -1.5 162,539 58,181
Saldo de la Deuda Interna del Gobierno Federal(En millones de pesos)
2013 Endeudamiento acumulado 2014
Diciembre Disponibilidad Amortización Neto Ajustes Mayo
Deuda Neta 3,893,929.4 3,959,102.9 Activos 169,255.0 435,518.0Deuda Bruta 4,063,184.4 1,201,029.7 889,670.0 311,359.7 20,076.8 4,394,620.9 Valores 3,734,084.5 1,119,399.0 790,370.3 329,028.7 13,662.4 4,076,775.6 Cetes 635,638.8 786,041.4 761,084.6 24,956.8 0.0 660,595.6 Bondes D 216,594.6 31,911.9 29,285.7 2,626.2 0.0 219,220.8 Bonos de desarrollo 1,989,572.8 219,373.9 0.0 219,373.9 0.0 2,208,946.7 Udibonos 888,664.5 81,176.1 0.0 81,176.1 13,602.2 983,442.8 Udibonos Segregados 3,613.8 895.7 0.0 895.7 60.2 4,569.7 Fondo de Ahorro SAR 99,920.1 80,804.5 87,733.9 -6,929.4 3,012.6 96,003.3 Obligaciones por Ley del ISSSTE 165,506.3 43.2 9,948.5 -9,905.3 2,444.3 158,045.3 Otros 63,673.5 783.0 1,617.3 -834.3 957.5 63,796.7
Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos de la SHCP.
Concepto!
Concepto!
13.0 Economía de Estados Unidos
13.0 Indicadores Económicos de EUA 2011-2016
13.1 Población Ocupada y Tasa de Desempleo 2007-2014
13.2 Producción Industrial 2007-2014
13.3 Comercio Exterior de EUA por Países 2013-2014
13.4 Tasas de Interés Internacionales 2013-2014
13.5 Mercado Cambiario Internacional 2013-2014
Escenario Macroeconómico 13.0
Indicadores Económicos de Estados Unidos(Dólares)
Datos Históricos Proyecciones2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Población Total Miles 313,085 315,791 318,498 321,197 323,885 326,560Var.% 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8Fuerza Laboral Miles 153,617 154,975 155,389 156,363 158,714 161,493Var.% -0.2 0.9 0.3 0.6 1.5 1.8Población Ocupada Miles 139,869 142,469 143,929 146,573 149,366 152,456Var.% 0.6 1.9 1.0 1.8 1.9 2.1Población Desocupada Miles 13,747 12,506 11,460 9,790 9,348 9,037Var.% -7.3 -9.0 -8.4 -14.6 -4.5 -3.3Tasa de Desocupación 8.9 8.1 7.4 6.3 5.9 5.6
PIB Nominal Billones 15,533.8 16,244.6 16,799.7 17,426.0 18,234.6 19,174.7Var.% 3.8 4.6 3.4 3.7 4.6 5.2PIB Real Billones 2009 15,052.4 15,470.7 15,761.3 16,102.5 16,570.0 17,102.5Var.% 1.8 2.8 1.9 2.2 2.9 3.2Deflactor del PIB 2009=100 103.2 105.0 106.6 108.2 110.0 112.1Var.% 2.0 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.7 1.9
PIB Per Cápita Dólares 49,615 51,441 52,747 54,253 56,300 58,717Var.% 3.0 3.7 2.5 2.9 3.8 4.3PIB Per Cápita Real Dólares de 2009 48,078 48,990 49,486 50,133 51,160 52,372Var.% 1.0 1.9 1.0 1.3 2.0 2.4
Precios Consumidor Dic. 2010=100 102.4 104.5 106.0 108.0 110.1 112.5Var.% 3.2 2.1 1.5 1.9 2.0 2.2
Exportación ByS Millones 2,121,434 2,210,994 2,274,416 2,370,984 2,530,831 2,755,362Var.% 14.7 4.2 2.9 4.2 6.7 8.9Importación ByS Millones -2,670,060 -2,748,600 -2,750,808 -2,886,142 -3,081,156 -3,358,482Var.% 13.9 2.9 0.1 4.9 6.8 9.0Balanza ByS Millones -548,626 -537,606 -476,392 -515,158 -550,325 -603,120%PIB -3.5 -3.3 -2.8 -3.0 -3.0 -3.1Cuenta Corriente Millones -459,346 -460,749 -400,254 -444,680 -488,228 -540,393%PIB -3.0 -2.8 -2.4 -2.6 -2.7 -2.8
Balance Fiscal Billones -1,299.6 -1,087.0 -679.5 -491.0 -469.0 -536.0%PIB -8.4 -6.7 -4.0 -2.8 -2.6 -2.8
Tasa LIBOR 3 meses Promedio 0.34 0.43 0.27 0.24 0.45 1.26Tasa FED Funds Promedio 0.10 0.14 0.11 0.09 0.30 1.11Datos Históricos: Bureau of Economic Analysis y Federal Reserve Bank of New York.Proyecciones: Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Concepto!
Escenario Macroeconómico 13.1
Población Ocupada y Tasa de Desempleo en EUA(Miles de personas)
Fuerza de Trabajo Empleo No Agrícola EmpleoAño Con Sin Tasa de Cons- Manu- Ser- Sector
y mes Empleo Empleo Desempleo trucción facturas vicios AgrícolaPersonas Personas Var.% Personas % FdeT Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.% Var.%
2007 153,124 146,047 1.1 7,078 4.6 1.1 5.8 -0.8 -1.9 1.6 1.02008 154,287 145,362 -0.5 8,924 5.8 -0.6 5.9 -6.1 -3.4 0.1 1.02009 154,142 139,877 -3.8 14,265 9.3 -4.3 -9.5 -16.0 -11.6 -2.7 5.52010 153,889 139,064 -0.6 14,825 9.6 -0.7 1.6 -8.3 -2.7 -0.1 1.72011 153,617 139,869 0.6 13,747 8.9 1.2 11.8 0.3 1.7 1.1 -8.72012 154,975 142,469 1.9 12,506 8.1 1.7 7.6 2.0 1.7 1.7 4.2
2013 155,389 143,929 1.0 11,460 7.4 1.7 2.4 3.2 0.7 1.7 -9.6
Ene 155,699 143,384 1.2 12,315 7.9 1.6 1.7 2.1 1.2 1.6 -4.3Feb 155,511 143,464 1.1 12,047 7.7 1.6 1.4 3.0 1.2 1.6 -7.1Mar 155,099 143,393 0.9 11,706 7.5 1.5 1.3 3.3 0.9 1.5 -8.4Abr 155,359 143,676 1.2 11,683 7.5 1.6 0.8 3.2 0.7 1.6 -5.1May 155,609 143,919 1.2 11,690 7.5 1.7 0.9 3.6 0.6 1.7 -6.7Jun 155,822 144,075 1.2 11,747 7.5 1.7 1.4 3.7 0.4 1.8 -8.1Jul 155,693 144,285 1.4 11,408 7.3 1.7 1.9 3.5 0.0 1.8 -3.8Ago 155,435 144,179 1.4 11,256 7.2 1.8 2.5 3.3 0.3 1.8 -5.0Sep 155,473 144,270 0.9 11,203 7.2 1.8 3.5 3.6 0.4 1.8 -12.4Oct 154,625 143,485 0.1 11,140 7.2 1.8 5.0 3.5 0.5 1.8 -26.1Nov 155,284 144,443 0.8 10,841 7.0 1.8 4.3 3.7 0.8 1.8 -14.9Dic 154,937 144,586 1.0 10,351 6.7 1.7 3.6 2.7 0.7 1.8 -11.7
2014 156,363 146,573 1.8 9,790 6.3 1.9 5.0 3.7 1.2 1.8 1.2
Ene 155,460 145,224 1.3 10,236 6.6 1.7 4.0 3.2 0.7 1.7 -5.4Feb 155,724 145,266 1.3 10,458 6.7 1.6 4.0 2.8 0.6 1.7 -5.3Mar 156,227 145,742 1.6 10,485 6.7 1.7 4.2 2.6 0.6 1.7 0.9Abr 155,421 145,669 1.4 9,752 6.3 1.8 5.1 3.3 0.8 1.8 -5.0May 155,613 145,814 1.3 9,799 6.3 1.8 4.9 3.3 0.9 1.8 -6.5Jun 155,694 146,221 1.5 9,473 6.1 1.8 5.0 3.2 1.1 1.8 -4.5Jul e/ 156,568 147,173 2.0 9,395 6.0 1.9 5.8 3.6 1.5 1.8 4.0Ago 156,765 147,214 2.1 9,551 6.1 1.9 5.7 3.9 1.5 1.8 6.1Sep 157,320 147,662 2.4 9,658 6.1 2.0 5.1 4.1 1.6 1.9 8.8Oct 156,631 147,077 2.5 9,555 6.1 2.1 5.3 4.3 1.6 2.0 11.0Nov 157,109 147,590 2.2 9,520 6.1 2.1 5.6 4.4 1.5 2.0 4.0Dic 157,818 148,222 2.5 9,596 6.1 2.2 5.8 5.0 1.6 2.1 8.8
Ene.-Jun.2011 153,392 139,508 0.4 13,884 9.1 1.0 11.1 -0.9 1.7 1.0 -7.82012 154,768 142,059 1.8 12,710 8.2 1.8 11.6 2.5 1.8 1.6 2.92013 155,517 143,652 1.1 11,865 7.6 1.6 1.3 3.1 0.8 1.6 -6.62014 155,690 145,656 1.4 10,034 6.4 1.7 4.5 3.1 0.8 1.7 -4.3
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos de U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.e/ Empieza estimación del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO.
Total!!
Total!!
Minería!
Escenario Macroeconómico 13.2
Producción Industrial en Estados Unidos(Datos mensuales con ajuste estacional)
Producción Industrial Industria Manufacturera ElectricidadAño Total Bienes y
y mes Indice Variación % Durables No Durables Otros Gas2007=100 Mensual Anual Var.% Anual Var.% Anual Var.% Anual Var.% Anual Var.% Anual Var.% Anual
2007 100.0 ...... 2.5 3.1 4.8 1.2 -5.8 0.8 3.42008 96.6 ...... -3.4 -4.6 -3.4 -5.9 -6.5 1.2 -0.12009 85.7 ...... -11.3 -13.6 -18.6 -7.7 -13.7 -5.4 -2.52010 90.6 ...... 5.7 6.6 11.0 2.2 -5.3 5.2 3.62011 93.6 ...... 3.3 3.6 6.8 0.2 -2.8 6.1 -0.22012 97.1 ...... 3.8 4.4 7.3 1.2 -2.0 6.3 -2.1
2013 99.9 ...... 2.9 2.9 4.4 1.3 -5.3 4.7 2.1
Ene 98.4 0.1 2.5 3.0 4.5 1.3 -7.3 1.6 3.1Feb 99.0 0.6 2.8 3.1 4.8 1.2 -8.8 3.4 3.0Mar 99.5 0.4 3.6 3.5 5.0 1.8 -9.2 3.7 8.3Abr 99.3 -0.2 2.6 2.4 3.8 1.0 -8.8 4.3 4.6May 99.4 0.1 2.4 2.9 4.1 1.6 -7.3 4.7 -1.9Jun 99.6 0.2 2.5 2.8 3.7 1.8 -6.1 5.3 -1.0Jul 99.4 -0.2 1.8 1.8 2.5 1.0 -3.2 5.6 -2.8Ago 100.0 0.6 3.0 3.1 4.7 1.2 -2.1 6.8 -2.1Sep 100.7 0.7 3.4 3.1 5.5 0.5 -0.1 6.8 1.5Oct 100.8 0.1 3.6 4.0 6.2 1.6 -2.2 4.2 1.3Nov 101.4 0.6 3.2 3.0 5.1 0.8 -4.4 5.0 3.5Dic 101.6 0.2 3.3 2.5 3.6 1.2 -3.6 5.3 8.1
2014 103.8 ...... 3.8 3.7 4.9 2.5 -2.3 8.1 -0.6
Ene 101.4 -0.2 3.0 1.7 3.1 0.3 -3.3 6.7 8.4Feb 102.5 1.1 3.4 2.6 4.0 1.0 -2.4 6.2 7.2Mar 103.3 0.8 3.8 3.3 4.5 1.9 -1.6 8.0 2.9Abr 103.0 -0.3 3.8 3.4 4.7 2.0 -1.0 8.9 -0.6May 103.7 0.6 4.3 3.8 5.3 2.2 -2.2 9.7 0.6Jun e/ 103.9 0.2 4.3 3.8 5.5 2.4 -1.9 9.1 0.8Jul 103.8 -0.1 4.4 4.1 5.6 3.1 -3.3 8.6 -0.1Ago 104.4 0.6 4.4 4.3 5.7 3.3 -4.0 8.7 -0.8Sep 104.5 0.1 3.8 4.1 5.3 3.6 -4.5 7.3 -4.0Oct 104.5 -0.1 3.6 3.9 4.9 3.3 -1.6 8.1 -5.0Nov 105.2 0.7 3.8 4.3 5.3 3.7 -0.5 7.7 -6.5Dic 105.1 -0.1 3.5 4.4 5.3 3.7 -0.9 7.8 -9.8
Ene.-May.2011 92.6 ...... 4.1 4.7 8.7 0.4 -4.4 5.6 1.12012 96.5 ...... 4.1 4.6 7.8 1.2 1.8 8.0 -3.72013 99.1 ...... 2.8 3.0 4.4 1.4 -8.3 3.5 3.32014 102.8 ...... 3.7 3.0 4.3 1.5 -2.1 7.9 3.6
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos de U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.e/ Empieza estimación del Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico CAMACRO.
Actividad!Minera!!
Total!!
Escenario Macroeconómico 13.3
Comercio Exterior de Estados Unidos por Países(Millones de dólares)
Exportaciones Importaciones Balanza Comercial Países Enero-Mayo Var. Enero-Mayo Var. Enero-Mayo
2013 2014 % 2013 2014 % 2013 2014Total 645,899 665,176 3.0 924,650 948,249 2.6 -278,751 -283,073North America 218,215 225,258 3.2 254,900 259,947 2.0 -36,685 -34,689 Canada 125,486 127,001 1.2 139,279 140,971 1.2 -13,793 -13,970 Mexico 92,729 98,256 6.0 115,621 118,976 2.9 -22,892 -20,720Europe 134,728 140,493 4.3 188,561 202,049 7.2 -53,833 -61,556 European Union 106,896 114,652 7.3 157,563 170,408 8.2 -50,667 -55,756 Belgium 12,895 14,037 8.9 7,749 8,716 12.5 5,146 5,321 France 12,564 13,116 4.4 17,941 19,731 10.0 -5,377 -6,615 Germany 19,862 21,052 6.0 45,361 50,241 10.8 -25,499 -29,189 Ireland 2,761 3,256 17.9 13,496 13,359 -1.0 -10,735 -10,103 Italy 6,905 7,387 7.0 15,385 16,441 6.9 -8,480 -9,054 Netherlands 16,182 17,884 10.5 8,802 9,115 3.6 7,380 8,769 Spain 4,140 4,171 0.7 4,966 5,728 15.3 -826 -1,557 United Kingdom 19,924 21,251 6.7 21,468 22,447 4.6 -1,544 -1,196 Other 11,663 12,498 7.2 22,395 24,630 10.0 -10,732 -12,132 Other Europe 27,832 25,841 -7.2 30,998 31,641 2.1 -3,166 -5,800Pacific Rim Countries 153,226 161,522 5.4 304,017 312,528 2.8 -150,791 -151,006 Australia 10,368 10,810 4.3 3,905 4,146 6.2 6,463 6,664 China 45,748 49,314 7.8 166,986 174,472 4.5 -121,238 -125,158 Indonesia 3,529 3,753 6.3 7,893 8,064 2.2 -4,364 -4,311 Japan 26,568 27,660 4.1 57,515 55,273 -3.9 -30,947 -27,613 Malaysia 5,197 5,086 -2.1 11,009 11,510 4.6 -5,812 -6,424 Philippines 3,463 3,543 2.3 3,651 3,961 8.5 -188 -418 Newly Industrialized Countries 56,893 59,390 4.4 51,383 53,369 3.9 5,510 6,021 Hong Kong 16,653 16,835 1.1 2,210 2,335 5.7 14,443 14,500 Korea 16,867 18,799 11.5 26,268 27,933 6.3 -9,401 -9,134 Singapore 12,423 12,582 1.3 7,504 6,445 -14.1 4,919 6,137 Taiwan 10,950 11,174 2.0 15,400 16,656 8.2 -4,450 -5,482 Other Pacific Rim 1,461 1,965 34.5 1,676 1,733 3.4 -215 232South/Central America 74,327 75,519 1.6 66,870 63,318 -5.3 7,457 12,201 Argentina 3,967 4,453 12.3 1,818 1,749 -3.8 2,149 2,704 Brazil 17,128 17,740 3.6 10,817 11,227 3.8 6,311 6,513 Chile 7,003 6,659 -4.9 5,452 4,506 -17.4 1,551 2,153 Colombia 7,447 8,252 10.8 9,449 8,082 -14.5 -2,002 170OPEC 36,698 32,293 -12.0 64,310 61,051 -5.1 -27,612 -28,758Africa 14,906 16,193 8.6 22,419 14,765 -34.1 -7,513 1,428Other Countries 26,599 26,024 -2.2 54,967 58,661 6.7 -28,368 -32,637 India 8,734 7,802 -10.7 17,957 19,161 6.7 -9,223 -11,359 Thailand 5,082 4,557 -10.3 10,518 10,663 1.4 -5,436 -6,106 Other 12,783 13,665 6.9 26,492 28,837 8.9 -13,709 -15,172
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos de U.S. Departamente of Commerce.
Escenario Macroeconómico 13.4
Tasas Internacionales de Interés(Promedio aritmético en el mes en porciento anual)
Estados Unidos LondresMes Tasa de Interés Preferencial Tasa de Fondos Federales Papel Comercial 1 mes Tasa Libor 3 meses
2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014
Ene 3.25 3.25 0.14 0.07 0.11 0.07 0.30 0.24Feb 3.25 3.25 0.15 0.07 0.11 0.07 0.29 0.24Mar 3.25 3.25 0.14 0.08 0.11 0.07 0.28 0.23Abr 3.25 3.25 0.15 0.09 0.10 0.07 0.28 0.23May 3.25 3.25 0.11 0.09 0.09 0.07 0.27 0.23Jun 3.25 3.25 0.09 0.10 0.07 0.07 0.27 0.24Jul 3.25 ….. 0.09 ….. 0.08 ….. 0.27 …..Ago 3.25 ….. 0.08 ….. 0.07 ….. 0.26 …..Sep 3.25 ….. 0.08 ….. 0.06 ….. 0.25 …..Oct 3.25 ….. 0.09 ….. 0.10 ….. 0.24 …..Nov 3.25 ….. 0.08 ….. 0.07 ….. 0.24 …..Dic 3.25 ….. 0.09 ….. 0.07 ….. 0.24 …..
Prom. 3.25 3.25 0.11 0.08 0.09 0.07 0.27 0.24
Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos de la Federal Reserve Bank of New York y del Bank of England.
Mercado Cambiario Internacional(Promedio mensual)
Unión Europea Japón Canadá Reino UnidoMes USDólar por Euro Yen por USDólar USDólar por Dólar Canadá USDólar por Libra
2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014 2013 2014
Ene 1.3304 1.3618 89.0581 103.7614 0.9921 1.0940 1.5965 1.6470Feb 1.3347 1.3665 93.0016 102.1253 1.0098 1.1054 1.5474 1.6558Mar 1.2953 1.3828 94.7700 102.3395 1.0244 1.1107 1.5080 1.6624Abr 1.3025 1.3810 97.7582 102.4582 1.0187 1.0992 1.5311 1.6748May 1.2983 1.3739 100.9186 101.7738 1.0196 1.0894 1.5297 1.6842Jun 1.3197 1.3590 97.2350 102.1020 1.0314 1.0838 1.5493 1.6898Jul 1.3088 …… 99.6727 …… 1.0402 …… 1.5179 ……Ago 1.3314 …… 97.8123 …… 1.0407 …… 1.5505 ……Sep 1.3364 …… 99.2100 …… 1.0342 …… 1.5885 ……Oct 1.3646 …… 97.7700 …… 1.0363 …… 1.6098 ……Nov 1.3491 …… 100.0737 …… 1.0486 …… 1.6100 ……Dic 1.3708 …… 103.4600 …… 1.0639 …… 1.6383 ……
Prom. 1.3281 1.3708 97.5971 102.4267 1.0300 1.0971 1.5642 1.5642
Fuente: CAMACRO, cuadro elaborado con datos de la Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
14.0 Estados Unidos: Oferta yDemanda Global
14.0 Oferta y Demanda Global Anual de EUA 2011-2016
14.1 PIB Trimestral de Estados Unidos 2013-2014
Escenario Macroeconómico 14.0
Estados Unidos: Oferta y Demanda Agregada(Variación porcentual anual a precios de 2009)
Datos Históricos Proyecciones2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Oferta Agregada 2.2 2.7 1.8 2.6 3.6 4.1
Producto Interno Bruto 1.8 2.8 1.9 2.2 2.9 3.2 Agricultura -4.1 0.3 16.4 10.6 -9.8 2.6 Producción Industrial 1.5 3.5 2.5 5.0 4.6 4.9 Minería 9.9 14.1 1.8 8.6 4.8 4.4 Electricidad y Gas 1.7 1.8 1.8 2.4 3.4 3.8 Construción 0.0 4.0 1.5 5.1 4.3 5.3 Manufacturas 0.7 1.9 3.0 4.7 4.9 5.1 Bienes Durables 6.3 4.1 1.0 5.3 5.7 6.0 Bienes no Durables -5.1 -0.5 5.3 4.0 3.7 3.8 Servicios 2.1 2.8 1.9 3.2 3.2 3.2 Comercio 1.3 1.9 1.8 3.1 3.2 3.4 Otros Servicios 2.3 2.9 1.9 3.2 3.2 3.2 Gobierno -0.4 -0.2 -1.1 -0.3 -0.3 -0.1Importación Bienes y Servicios 4.9 2.2 1.4 5.1 7.7 9.6 Bienes 5.2 2.1 1.2 5.7 8.0 10.1 Servicios 3.1 2.7 2.5 2.5 6.6 7.1
Demanda Agregada 2.2 2.7 1.8 2.6 3.6 4.1
Consumo Privado 2.5 2.2 2.0 2.6 2.9 3.0 Bienes 3.4 3.3 3.5 3.6 4.0 4.1 Durables 6.6 7.7 6.9 5.6 5.8 6.0 No Durables 1.9 1.4 2.0 2.2 2.7 3.0 Servicios 2.1 1.6 1.2 2.0 2.4 2.4Inversión Privada Fija Bruta 4.9 9.5 5.4 5.3 7.1 9.4 Inversión Fija 6.2 8.3 4.5 3.9 8.1 9.5 No Residencial 7.6 7.3 2.7 4.1 6.7 9.6 Estructuras 2.1 12.7 1.3 3.4 7.4 14.1 Equipo y Software 12.7 7.6 3.1 4.5 7.8 9.8 Propiedad Intelectual 4.4 3.4 3.1 3.6 4.4 5.6 Residencial 0.5 12.9 12.2 3.4 10.3 9.2Consumo e Inversión Pública -3.2 -1.0 -2.2 -1.2 -0.7 -0.5 Gobierno Federal -2.6 -1.4 -5.2 -2.8 -1.6 -1.2 Defensa Nacional -2.3 -3.2 -7.0 -3.9 -2.3 -1.8 Otros -3.0 1.8 -1.9 -1.1 -0.5 -0.3 Estatal y Local -3.6 -0.7 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1Exportación Bienes y Servicios 7.1 3.5 2.7 4.9 7.2 9.2 Bienes 7.1 3.8 2.3 5.9 8.6 10.9 Servicios 7.0 3.0 3.5 2.9 3.9 5.1Datos Históricos: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.Proyecciones: Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Concepto!
Escenario Macroeconómico 14.1
Producto Interno Bruto de Estados Unidos(Variación % real trimestral anualizada)
2013 2014I II III IV Año I II e/ III e/ IV e/ Año
Producto Interno Bruto 1.1 2.5 4.1 2.6 1.9 -2.9 4.1 5.7 4.2 2.2
Consumo Privado 2.3 1.8 2.0 3.3 2.0 1.0 2.1 5.1 4.7 2.6 Bienes 3.7 3.1 4.5 2.9 3.5 0.2 5.3 7.9 4.7 3.6 Bienes durables 5.8 6.2 7.9 2.8 6.9 1.2 11.5 7.5 3.1 5.6 Bienes no durables 2.7 1.6 2.9 2.9 2.0 -0.3 1.1 5.7 5.6 2.2 Servicios 1.5 1.2 0.7 3.5 1.2 1.5 0.4 3.7 4.6 2.0 Inversión Privada Fija Bruta 4.7 9.2 17.2 2.5 5.4 -11.7 19.2 10.2 7.6 5.3 Inversión fija -1.5 6.5 5.9 2.8 4.5 -1.8 7.3 7.1 6.8 3.9 No residencial -4.6 4.7 4.8 5.7 2.7 -1.2 6.8 5.4 6.7 4.1 Estructuras -25.7 17.6 13.4 -1.8 1.3 -7.7 9.6 8.8 4.8 3.4 Equipo y software 1.6 3.3 0.2 10.9 3.1 -2.8 8.4 6.0 9.7 4.5 Propiedad intelectual 3.7 -1.5 5.8 4.0 3.1 6.3 1.2 2.1 3.6 3.6 Residencial 12.5 14.2 10.3 -7.9 12.2 -4.2 9.2 14.4 7.1 3.4
Exportaciones -1.3 8.0 3.9 9.5 2.7 -8.9 16.4 7.4 8.2 4.9 Bienes -2.8 9.4 5.6 11.8 2.3 -11.4 19.2 10.1 9.3 5.9 Servicios 2.2 4.8 0.1 4.2 3.5 -2.9 10.5 1.4 5.8 2.9 Importaciones 0.6 6.9 2.4 1.5 1.4 1.8 15.2 3.9 4.4 5.1 Bienes -0.2 7.5 2.4 1.3 1.2 1.9 18.6 3.1 4.6 5.7 Servicios 5.0 4.0 2.5 2.2 2.5 1.3 0.3 7.8 3.1 2.5 Consumo e Inversión Pública -4.2 -0.4 0.4 -5.2 -2.2 -0.8 0.6 0.8 -3.7 -1.2 Gobierno Federal -8.4 -1.6 -1.5 -12.8 -5.2 0.6 2.9 -1.1 -9.4 -2.8 Defensa Nacional -11.2 -0.6 -0.5 -14.4 -7.0 -2.5 1.4 -1.3 -7.3 -3.9 Otros -3.6 -3.1 -3.1 -10.0 -1.9 5.9 5.1 -0.7 -12.7 -1.1 Estatal y local -1.3 0.4 1.7 0.0 -0.2 -1.7 -0.8 2.1 0.0 -0.1
Fuente: CAMACRO, con datos del U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.e/ Estimación Modelo Prospectivo de la Economía Mexicana MOPEM.
Concepto!
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Copyright!
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!BANCO DE DATOS DE LA ECONOMÍA MEXICANA 1980-2020, Año IV, Número 141,
JUNIO de 2014, es una publicación mensual editada por CAMACRO, S. C. Centro de Análisis Macroeconómico, Av. México 5525-39, Col. Huichapan, Delegación
Xochimilco, México, D. F., C.P. 16030, Teléfono 56766810.
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Editor responsable: Ricardo Peltier San Pedro. Reservas de Derechos al Uso Exclusivo No. 03-2012-012512532600-01 ISSN: en trámite Licitud de Título 0125 Licitud
de Contenido 1253, ambos otorgados por la Comisión Calificadora de Publicaciones y Revistas Ilustradas de la Secretaría de Gobernación.
Las opiniones expresadas por los autores no necesariamente reflejan la postura del editor de la publicación.
Queda estrictamente prohibida la reproducción total o parcial de los contenidos e imágenes de la publicación sin previa autorización de CAMACRO, S. C.
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