Variacion Del PIB

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%VAR. ANUAL POR ACTIVIDAD ECONÓMICA Volumen a precios del año anterior encadenado (1) Especificación 2009 2010 Ene. Feb. Mar. Abr. May. Jun. Jul. Ago. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dic. Ene. Feb. Mar. Abr. May. Jun. Jul. Ago. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dic. Agropecuario-Silvícola -3.9 -3.2 -1.5 -6.7 -8.1 -8.3 -6.7 -5.3 -5.4 -6.1 -1.6 -1.4 1.9 -0.6 -11.4 1.5 2.2 6.1 2.3 7.0 4.5 5.0 1.4 2.1 Pesca -16.1 -33.7 -5.9 -2.8 -27.3 -13.5 19.6 -3.4 -16.2 -26.1 -18.8 -21.7 16.0 16.3 -36.6 -15.4 4.3 -5.5 -21.3 25.2 32.7 11.6 26.4 10.4 Minería -8.9 -11.9 -9.4 -1.3 -3.5 -5.5 -7.9 9.6 10.0 5.5 12.1 1.0 0.0 5.6 3.9 6.4 -4.9 5.6 8.1 2.1 -2.9 -3.9 2.1 -2.1 Industria Manufacturera -9.9 -10.6 -5.1 -8.8 -9.5 -7.3 -3.2 -0.7 -2.7 -1.6 4.8 5.4 4.8 2.8 -12.9 1.4 6.7 4.0 4.1 8.1 2.5 2.2 4.2 4.2 Electricidad, gas y agua 0.1 -13.1 2.5 23.2 17.4 8.2 13.4 8.8 18.2 11.7 26.0 45.6 33.1 34.6 13.1 6.9 12.5 7.6 7.8 4.6 -2.8 1.9 -0.9 2.6 Construcción -6.5 -7.1 -7.8 -8.7 -9.1 -8.9 -8.1 -6.4 -3.8 -0.3 1.4 1.3 0.2 -0.1 0.9 4.5 5.6 5.5 4.2 2.6 0.5 -1.9 -1.3 1.9 Comercio -7.6 -9.5 -5.7 -10.9 -10.3 -9.6 -11.6 -8.5 -8.4 -7.5 2.0 6.3 4.6 1.9 5.3 17.8 20.8 16.7 18.6 21.4 23.3 20.6 23.0 21.9 Restaurantes y hoteles -3.8 -3.3 -1.9 2.4 3.2 1.4 -0.9 -0.3 0.1 1.5 2.5 1.9 1.8 -3.2 -2.2 -0.9 3.7 6.8 8.1 9.1 8.2 8.7 9.5 9.2 Transportes -6.2 -12.9 -9.3 -12.0 -12.3 -13.4 -12.8 -12.3 -9.5 -8.5 -5.0 -1.6 -1.2 -1.9 -9.5 2.4 12.5 14.2 15.5 16.9 14.9 10.1 12.1 10.4 Comunicaciones 3.0 0.3 5.5 3.3 3.4 6.8 4.4 6.2 6.9 5.7 9.3 9.4 10.3 14.7 15.3 14.1 14.7 10.1 10.3 8.9 8.6 8.5 7.0 6.8 Servicios Financieros 5.1 4.1 0.6 1.7 2.3 4.5 6.8 8.1 5.9 2.7 2.4 2.3 4.4 4.2 6.3 6.1 7.7 7.3 5.2 5.2 6.6 10.2 11.3 10.4 Servicios Empresariales 6.0 6.5 5.4 1.1 0.4 -0.2 0.1 -1.7 -2.5 -4.5 -2.3 -0.3 2.6 1.1 3.2 5.2 5.7 5.9 6.8 9.6 8.9 8.4 11.0 9.6 Servicios de Vivienda 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 Servicios Personales 2.3 3.7 2.4 3.4 2.6 2.5 3.0 2.9 2.4 2.3 3.4 5.5 5.3 1.9 -3.5 1.5 5.0 6.2 7.9 7.9 7.5 6.3 6.6 6.7 Administración Pública 5.2 6.5 6.7 3.4 5.2 5.3 6.0 6.7 7.5 8.2 8.3 7.7 6.5 5.6 5.0 4.9 4.3 3.2 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.1

description

variación de pib en Chile desde el 2008 al 2014

Transcript of Variacion Del PIB

Act_sectorial%VAR. ANUAL POR ACTIVIDAD ECONMICA0277,198,774,857277,199164,656,072Volumen a precios del ao anterior encadenado (1)pesodlarEspecificacin200920102011201220132014016305.8102856941Ene.Feb.Mar.Abr.May.Jun.Jul.Ago.Sep.Oct.Nov.Dic.Ene.Feb.Mar.Abr.May.Jun.Jul.Ago.Sep.Oct.Nov.Dic.Ene.Feb.Mar.Abr.May.Jun.Jul.Ago.Sep.Oct.Nov.Dic.Ene.Feb.Mar.Abr.May.Jun.Jul.Ago.Sep.Oct.Nov.Dic.Ene.Feb.Mar.Abr.May.Jun.Jul.Ago.Sep.Oct.Nov.Dic.Ene.Feb.Mar.Abr.May.Jun.Jul.Ago.Sep.Oct.Nov.Dic.0Agropecuario-Silvcola-3.9-3.2-1.5-6.7-8.1-8.3-6.7-5.3-5.4-6.1-1.6-1.41.9-0.6-11.41.52.26.12.37.04.55.01.42.17.912.224.514.36.4-0.20.30.64.37.214.312.6-8.4-14.6-10.4-4.02.73.71.52.5-3.27.7-6.9-7.41.53.96.08.21.1-3.22.8-1.9-1.8-8.03.46.82.63.03.2-6.7-5.0-4.2-3.0-6.6-0.31.32.18.5Pesca-16.1-33.7-5.9-2.8-27.3-13.519.6-3.4-16.2-26.1-18.8-21.716.016.3-36.6-15.44.3-5.5-21.325.232.711.626.410.4-3.6-10.762.217.918.933.146.325.810.414.617.622.725.628.120.928.413.926.833.318.05.119.028.9-0.1-2.0-16.8-27.1-18.1-6.4-22.9-15.1-13.0-10.3-13.3-27.3-4.5-23.2-10.374.075.72.718.33.617.013.89.010.1-11.0Minera-8.9-11.9-9.4-1.3-3.5-5.5-7.99.610.05.512.11.00.05.63.96.4-4.95.68.12.1-2.9-3.92.1-2.12.5-6.9-2.3-7.60.3-12.3-15.2-11.0-9.1-0.7-4.45.00.26.40.12.43.23.57.07.47.02.06.51.212.46.39.31.20.08.312.16.98.23.94.6-0.3-3.46.41.34.98.31.42.9-1.3-1.40.2-4.02.6Industria Manufacturera-9.9-10.6-5.1-8.8-9.5-7.3-3.2-0.7-2.7-1.64.85.44.82.8-12.91.46.74.04.18.12.52.24.24.25.86.730.89.610.58.74.93.77.6-0.42.83.74.74.42.12.94.73.62.64.9-2.510.83.61.74.82.6-1.74.8-1.7-0.93.92.32.0-2.7-0.50.5-1.0-0.72.1-1.90.3-0.4-1.5-3.53.52.0-2.2-0.2Electricidad, gas y agua0.1-13.12.523.217.48.213.48.818.211.726.045.633.134.613.16.912.57.67.84.6-2.81.9-0.92.614.215.526.715.95.93.96.314.911.812.310.58.22.510.413.6-0.10.721.320.810.57.74.83.27.714.812.410.620.414.3-3.01.96.413.010.710.69.32.40.11.45.912.310.0-0.88.62.53.65.87.5Construccin-6.5-7.1-7.8-8.7-9.1-8.9-8.1-6.4-3.8-0.31.41.30.2-0.10.94.55.65.54.22.60.5-1.9-1.31.97.09.89.86.14.84.64.15.16.37.88.38.07.06.46.47.17.26.87.26.97.28.28.37.55.74.74.44.85.15.45.75.23.91.90.60.02.93.13.41.31.30.8-1.1-1.6-1.53.03.33.3Comercio-7.6-9.5-5.7-10.9-10.3-9.6-11.6-8.5-8.4-7.52.06.34.61.95.317.820.816.718.621.423.320.623.021.920.722.222.710.313.313.19.79.110.47.411.09.97.18.54.05.86.09.86.710.91.412.35.14.411.96.95.09.87.34.010.07.46.06.95.62.10.62.13.80.1-0.1-1.3-0.4-1.71.5-0.9-1.23.9Restaurantes y hoteles-3.8-3.3-1.92.43.21.4-0.9-0.30.11.52.51.91.8-3.2-2.2-0.93.76.88.19.18.28.79.59.29.613.012.510.36.86.06.06.76.36.35.36.68.38.98.98.210.19.78.74.23.52.74.65.54.24.44.14.42.92.84.44.34.11.80.5-0.41.01.10.80.7-0.10.1-0.01.51.41.40.90.5Transportes-6.2-12.9-9.3-12.0-12.3-13.4-12.8-12.3-9.5-8.5-5.0-1.6-1.2-1.9-9.52.412.514.215.516.914.910.112.110.412.814.323.95.52.0-3.5-1.92.16.54.58.09.29.111.58.612.311.418.715.112.93.114.510.26.89.67.94.29.06.63.45.42.51.9-0.7-2.13.5-1.03.87.60.52.21.70.3-1.04.73.24.11.9Comunicaciones3.00.35.53.33.46.84.46.26.95.79.39.410.314.715.314.114.710.110.38.98.68.57.06.86.97.56.25.57.59.38.98.56.06.610.19.79.78.78.27.87.86.66.35.96.510.15.96.56.97.44.65.75.88.410.49.39.88.39.07.15.98.38.78.18.16.45.56.35.44.46.46.5Servicios Financieros5.14.10.61.72.34.56.88.15.92.72.42.34.44.26.36.17.77.35.25.26.610.211.310.410.39.89.810.49.79.510.710.611.010.010.310.710.110.010.411.011.413.312.511.412.412.413.011.99.98.57.56.67.16.06.26.64.53.52.94.84.23.93.62.81.92.02.32.12.13.23.93.8Servicios Empresariales6.06.55.41.10.4-0.20.1-1.7-2.5-4.5-2.3-0.32.61.13.25.25.75.96.89.68.98.411.09.612.111.010.111.310.29.26.96.54.56.64.57.65.88.05.56.05.45.25.51.74.23.23.42.21.21.22.51.43.72.71.92.73.33.63.53.43.73.53.13.31.71.10.02.11.60.20.61.8Servicios de Vivienda3.63.63.63.63.63.63.63.63.63.63.63.63.63.30.20.20.20.10.20.20.20.20.30.30.20.43.43.33.23.13.02.92.82.72.62.62.72.82.93.03.03.03.03.02.92.82.72.52.42.22.01.91.81.71.61.61.51.51.51.51.61.61.71.71.71.71.81.81.81.81.81.8Servicios Personales2.33.72.43.42.62.53.02.92.42.33.45.55.31.9-3.51.55.06.27.97.97.56.36.66.76.29.014.89.67.15.65.45.15.05.66.05.86.57.14.84.94.75.55.04.65.05.65.45.66.37.15.04.95.14.63.94.24.45.25.04.22.94.23.43.83.24.04.54.84.64.63.83.3Administracin Pblica5.26.56.73.45.25.36.06.77.58.28.37.76.55.65.04.94.33.21.60.70.30.70.60.1-1.2-1.7-1.5-0.80.01.02.32.72.41.31.22.34.35.45.64.94.13.42.62.12.12.32.73.23.63.73.43.02.93.44.65.15.04.33.73.33.43.33.33.23.12.82.32.53.34.65.56.0Producto Interno Bruto-2.5-4.4-2.4-2.7-3.2-3.3-2.70.20.6-0.23.94.04.03.50.16.16.67.08.08.16.05.47.46.77.97.513.05.96.44.12.43.34.24.54.66.74.85.93.95.25.56.86.56.64.37.05.53.86.95.04.34.83.63.65.64.34.62.83.12.51.43.23.52.22.61.50.90.51.61.71.12.6(1)Cifras preliminares.(2)El promedio del ndice 2008 se iguala al valor nominal de la serie de dicho ao.(3)Las series encadenadas no son aditivas, por lo que los agregados difieren de la suma de sus componentes.

Datos1AoMesAgropecuario-SilvcolaPescaMineraIndustria ManufactureraElectricidad, gas y aguaConstruccinComercioRestaurantes y hotelesTransportesComunicacionesServicios FinancierosServicios EmpresarialesServicios de ViviendaServicios PersonalesAdministracin PblicaProducto Interno BrutoVAR % PIB ANUAL2009Ene.-3.90-16.06-8.86-9.930.09-6.53-7.62-3.82-6.183.035.135.993.622.265.19-2.55-1.06Feb.-3.17-33.67-11.85-10.64-13.11-7.06-9.52-3.29-12.880.324.116.543.623.686.49-4.43Mar.-1.47-5.90-9.37-5.122.49-7.77-5.67-1.93-9.305.550.595.403.622.356.66-2.40Abr.-6.67-2.83-1.33-8.8423.18-8.69-10.862.38-12.033.311.731.133.583.353.35-2.73May.-8.13-27.27-3.48-9.5017.37-9.06-10.303.15-12.353.432.280.353.582.585.22-3.22Jun.-8.30-13.53-5.48-7.348.17-8.85-9.641.41-13.436.844.46-0.163.582.525.34-3.34Jul.-6.7419.63-7.91-3.2413.39-8.05-11.60-0.90-12.814.376.750.053.592.976.02-2.66Ago.-5.34-3.449.55-0.688.84-6.37-8.50-0.31-12.256.248.11-1.723.592.936.730.25Sep.-5.44-16.2010.00-2.6718.24-3.80-8.390.07-9.556.865.94-2.463.592.367.470.63Oct.-6.10-26.075.50-1.6111.66-0.29-7.461.54-8.485.742.72-4.533.642.318.21-0.16Nov.-1.55-18.8112.064.7625.951.412.012.48-5.019.342.40-2.343.633.378.293.87Dic.-1.40-21.681.015.3545.601.326.271.85-1.639.382.26-0.333.635.547.723.982010Ene.1.8715.970.024.8233.120.254.611.81-1.1510.324.432.563.625.256.473.955.74Feb.-0.5916.325.592.8134.59-0.121.85-3.18-1.9414.684.151.053.351.895.583.48Mar.-11.42-36.583.86-12.9113.100.915.26-2.16-9.4915.286.353.190.20-3.475.050.13Abr.1.50-15.416.401.406.874.5117.79-0.892.4114.096.055.150.191.474.906.05May.2.184.30-4.906.6712.535.6120.753.6912.4614.727.735.650.155.004.286.60Jun.6.05-5.505.574.027.655.5016.726.8014.1710.117.255.860.126.233.187.03Jul.2.26-21.318.154.107.834.2418.568.1215.5310.265.176.780.167.851.607.97Ago.7.0425.192.148.124.622.5821.369.0816.918.855.229.590.197.880.658.12Sep.4.5132.67-2.892.45-2.820.5523.278.1814.868.626.598.890.237.460.356.01Oct.4.9811.57-3.882.151.93-1.8820.638.7310.088.4910.158.390.236.310.695.42Nov.1.4226.382.084.20-0.92-1.3522.999.5212.137.0411.3210.990.276.570.607.38Dic.2.1410.37-2.074.152.571.9221.959.2010.436.7810.379.560.276.690.086.682011Ene.7.94-3.622.505.8414.197.0120.739.6112.836.8710.2912.130.236.22-1.227.945.89Feb.12.18-10.72-6.906.6515.469.7622.2313.0414.297.479.7610.970.409.02-1.677.48Mar.24.4662.22-2.2630.8326.679.8422.7312.4523.886.209.8410.153.4414.80-1.5313.05Abr.14.2617.91-7.599.5515.926.0710.2810.345.505.4910.3611.303.339.61-0.845.95May.6.4018.910.2710.515.924.7713.296.802.027.529.7310.193.237.070.006.45Jun.-0.2133.13-12.268.753.954.5913.085.98-3.469.299.489.253.155.651.044.11Jul.0.2546.32-15.244.946.264.079.696.03-1.938.8910.716.853.025.442.282.40Ago.0.5525.82-10.973.6814.935.119.056.732.128.5510.626.462.915.102.743.28Sep.4.2710.39-9.087.6311.826.3210.396.276.485.9910.964.512.785.022.394.25Oct.7.2414.60-0.66-0.3812.347.807.416.334.476.619.986.582.665.621.344.49Nov.14.3017.57-4.422.8310.458.3410.965.348.0210.1110.324.542.595.961.234.58Dic.12.6222.744.973.688.177.989.926.659.259.6810.677.632.615.762.296.692012Ene.-8.4225.650.204.672.507.037.098.279.059.6510.105.852.746.474.264.845.48Feb.-14.5828.096.414.4310.406.378.528.9511.468.6810.027.952.847.105.385.87Mar.-10.4220.850.062.0613.636.393.998.948.648.2410.395.462.914.825.613.94Abr.-4.0428.422.402.86-0.067.105.768.1712.327.7710.986.002.984.894.905.17May.2.7113.873.194.690.737.236.0110.1011.387.8511.385.443.024.684.145.45Jun.3.6626.763.553.6121.276.789.799.7418.686.5813.265.153.035.483.436.82Jul.1.5233.276.982.6420.847.206.688.6615.096.2912.475.533.024.972.626.53Ago.2.5418.017.414.8610.486.8610.914.2312.915.8611.351.702.984.642.146.62Sep.-3.185.097.00-2.487.677.211.453.483.136.5412.414.202.914.992.104.27Oct.7.6919.052.0010.814.828.2412.302.7014.4710.0612.363.232.815.602.306.96Nov.-6.9028.956.523.573.248.345.144.5610.215.9412.973.432.695.392.755.52Dic.-7.37-0.141.191.737.667.524.365.506.776.4611.922.202.535.633.163.802013Ene.1.53-1.9912.434.8514.855.7311.944.259.626.919.941.212.356.283.616.874.27Feb.3.86-16.776.342.6412.364.726.884.367.897.368.471.222.197.103.695.05Mar.6.04-27.089.28-1.7310.614.405.034.124.214.597.532.552.045.053.434.34Abr.8.23-18.071.174.7620.444.769.824.418.975.736.581.421.914.872.954.83May.1.05-6.390.01-1.6914.335.107.312.916.605.857.063.691.795.122.923.58Jun.-3.24-22.908.25-0.93-2.965.423.972.803.428.396.032.711.704.633.443.61Jul.2.80-15.1312.103.861.865.7210.044.385.3610.446.231.861.633.944.575.60Ago.-1.93-13.036.942.266.395.227.364.302.519.266.592.731.574.205.124.35Sep.-1.76-10.358.152.0413.023.946.024.121.919.844.493.331.534.435.044.55Oct.-7.99-13.303.87-2.6610.661.906.911.78-0.678.293.473.591.515.154.312.83Nov.3.42-27.284.55-0.4710.560.595.590.50-2.088.972.933.481.525.033.743.11Dic.6.76-4.50-0.310.509.280.012.07-0.403.497.064.763.441.544.243.262.502014Ene.2.64-23.19-3.44-1.032.402.900.641.01-0.995.894.233.681.582.883.371.421.90Feb.2.98-10.336.37-0.700.113.122.121.133.798.333.863.471.624.203.303.21Mar.3.1674.041.252.151.413.433.820.797.638.673.613.101.663.363.263.46Abr.-6.6775.694.91-1.935.881.330.080.700.478.062.763.341.693.773.192.17May.-5.052.678.290.3412.281.29-0.10-0.102.238.081.921.701.723.213.082.58Jun.-4.1918.261.42-0.409.980.81-1.290.141.696.352.001.131.753.982.811.48Jul.-3.003.632.86-1.54-0.77-1.13-0.41-0.040.275.462.330.041.774.482.300.86Ago.-6.6316.96-1.34-3.528.60-1.56-1.711.45-0.966.262.052.091.784.782.480.50Sep.-0.2913.83-1.393.502.52-1.531.511.414.745.422.101.621.804.583.261.64Oct.1.339.010.182.033.652.98-0.931.423.234.433.250.251.814.584.651.73Nov.2.1010.07-4.00-2.185.843.26-1.240.904.116.413.880.641.813.845.491.06Dic.8.50-11.032.56-0.207.533.303.940.461.956.473.811.811.803.305.982.64

Regresion1ResumenTiene un coef de determinacion de 99%Su coef de correlacion tambien es de 99%Estadsticas de la regresinComo se puede ver la mayoria de los intervalos de confianza son buenos ya que el 0 no estaCoeficiente de correlacin mltiple0.9985468582dentro de estos, rechazamos la hipotesis nula en la mayoriaCoeficiente de determinacin R^20.9970958279R^2 ajustado0.9963179247Error tpico0.1946496443Observaciones72ANLISIS DE VARIANZAGrados de libertadSuma de cuadradosPromedio de los cuadradosFValor crtico de FRegresin15728.466877653948.56445851031281.77359899030Residuos562.12175510460.037888484Total71730.5886327585CoeficientesError tpicoEstadstico tProbabilidadInferior 95%Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%Intercepcin0.26320.21587555191.21902071830.2279464214-0.16929392540.695607466-0.16929392540.695607466Agropecuario-Silvcola2.41%0.00573726434.20536809020.00009489330.01263418670.03562042940.01263418670.0356204294Pesca0.32%0.00155139352.03175882510.04693297550.00004424280.0062598720.00004424280.006259872Minera14.48%0.005155902328.081782349200.13445841190.15511543860.13445841190.1551154386Industria Manufacturera12.49%0.010815583111.54732870800.10322487640.14655730920.10322487640.1465573092Electricidad, gas y agua2.55%0.00341670047.46999280470.00000000060.01867825420.0323672010.01867825420.032367201Construccin7.10%0.00964142957.36181481820.00000000090.05166431450.09029252290.05166431450.0902925229Comercio12.33%0.010526979911.716157702600.10224768230.14442383210.10224768230.1444238321Restaurantes y hoteles-1.35%0.0132974559-1.01403105120.3149292431-0.04012203820.0131539719-0.04012203820.0131539719Transportes5.79%0.00794094797.28724764660.00000000120.04196002360.07377528390.04196002360.0737752839Comunicaciones2.33%0.01677398621.38907891460.1703081633-0.01030194160.0569027226-0.01030194160.0569027226Servicios Financieros7.26%0.01333005595.44760516950.00000118060.04591357070.09932019230.04591357070.0993201923Servicios Empresariales11.00%0.01436606157.65740248240.00000000030.08122803540.1387853940.08122803540.138785394Servicios de Vivienda-0.93%0.0557904079-0.16582039180.8688955105-0.12101280420.1025104296-0.12101280420.1025104296Servicios Personales8.26%0.02708545723.05004860050.00349196620.02835327010.13687065180.02835327010.1368706518Administracin Pblica3.17%0.02247325921.40964240640.1641749521-0.01334008870.0766986069-0.01334008870.0766986069

Datos2AoMesAgropecuario-SilvcolaMineraIndustria ManufactureraElectricidad, gas y aguaConstruccinComercioTransportesServicios FinancierosServicios EmpresarialesServicios PersonalesProducto Interno BrutoVAR % PIB ANUAL2009Ene.-3.90-8.86-9.930.09-6.53-7.62-6.185.135.992.26-2.55-1.06Feb.-3.17-11.85-10.64-13.11-7.06-9.52-12.884.116.543.68-4.43Mar.-1.47-9.37-5.122.49-7.77-5.67-9.300.595.402.35-2.40Abr.-6.67-1.33-8.8423.18-8.69-10.86-12.031.731.133.35-2.73May.-8.13-3.48-9.5017.37-9.06-10.30-12.352.280.352.58-3.22Jun.-8.30-5.48-7.348.17-8.85-9.64-13.434.46-0.162.52-3.34Jul.-6.74-7.91-3.2413.39-8.05-11.60-12.816.750.052.97-2.66Ago.-5.349.55-0.688.84-6.37-8.50-12.258.11-1.722.930.25Sep.-5.4410.00-2.6718.24-3.80-8.39-9.555.94-2.462.360.63Oct.-6.105.50-1.6111.66-0.29-7.46-8.482.72-4.532.31-0.16Nov.-1.5512.064.7625.951.412.01-5.012.40-2.343.373.87Dic.-1.401.015.3545.601.326.27-1.632.26-0.335.543.982010Ene.1.870.024.8233.120.254.61-1.154.432.565.253.955.74Feb.-0.595.592.8134.59-0.121.85-1.944.151.051.893.48Mar.-11.423.86-12.9113.100.915.26-9.496.353.19-3.470.13Abr.1.506.401.406.874.5117.792.416.055.151.476.05May.2.18-4.906.6712.535.6120.7512.467.735.655.006.60Jun.6.055.574.027.655.5016.7214.177.255.866.237.03Jul.2.268.154.107.834.2418.5615.535.176.787.857.97Ago.7.042.148.124.622.5821.3616.915.229.597.888.12Sep.4.51-2.892.45-2.820.5523.2714.866.598.897.466.01Oct.4.98-3.882.151.93-1.8820.6310.0810.158.396.315.42Nov.1.422.084.20-0.92-1.3522.9912.1311.3210.996.577.38Dic.2.14-2.074.152.571.9221.9510.4310.379.566.696.682011Ene.7.942.505.8414.197.0120.7312.8310.2912.136.227.945.89Feb.12.18-6.906.6515.469.7622.2314.299.7610.979.027.48Mar.24.46-2.2630.8326.679.8422.7323.889.8410.1514.8013.05Abr.14.26-7.599.5515.926.0710.285.5010.3611.309.615.95May.6.400.2710.515.924.7713.292.029.7310.197.076.45Jun.-0.21-12.268.753.954.5913.08-3.469.489.255.654.11Jul.0.25-15.244.946.264.079.69-1.9310.716.855.442.40Ago.0.55-10.973.6814.935.119.052.1210.626.465.103.28Sep.4.27-9.087.6311.826.3210.396.4810.964.515.024.25Oct.7.24-0.66-0.3812.347.807.414.479.986.585.624.49Nov.14.30-4.422.8310.458.3410.968.0210.324.545.964.58Dic.12.624.973.688.177.989.929.2510.677.635.766.692012Ene.-8.420.204.672.507.037.099.0510.105.856.474.845.48Feb.-14.586.414.4310.406.378.5211.4610.027.957.105.87Mar.-10.420.062.0613.636.393.998.6410.395.464.823.94Abr.-4.042.402.86-0.067.105.7612.3210.986.004.895.17May.2.713.194.690.737.236.0111.3811.385.444.685.45Jun.3.663.553.6121.276.789.7918.6813.265.155.486.82Jul.1.526.982.6420.847.206.6815.0912.475.534.976.53Ago.2.547.414.8610.486.8610.9112.9111.351.704.646.62Sep.-3.187.00-2.487.677.211.453.1312.414.204.994.27Oct.7.692.0010.814.828.2412.3014.4712.363.235.606.96Nov.-6.906.523.573.248.345.1410.2112.973.435.395.52Dic.-7.371.191.737.667.524.366.7711.922.205.633.802013Ene.1.5312.434.8514.855.7311.949.629.941.216.286.874.27Feb.3.866.342.6412.364.726.887.898.471.227.105.05Mar.6.049.28-1.7310.614.405.034.217.532.555.054.34Abr.8.231.174.7620.444.769.828.976.581.424.874.83May.1.050.01-1.6914.335.107.316.607.063.695.123.58Jun.-3.248.25-0.93-2.965.423.973.426.032.714.633.61Jul.2.8012.103.861.865.7210.045.366.231.863.945.60Ago.-1.936.942.266.395.227.362.516.592.734.204.35Sep.-1.768.152.0413.023.946.021.914.493.334.434.55Oct.-7.993.87-2.6610.661.906.91-0.673.473.595.152.83Nov.3.424.55-0.4710.560.595.59-2.082.933.485.033.11Dic.6.76-0.310.509.280.012.073.494.763.444.242.502014Ene.2.64-3.44-1.032.402.900.64-0.994.233.682.881.421.90Feb.2.986.37-0.700.113.122.123.793.863.474.203.21Mar.3.161.252.151.413.433.827.633.613.103.363.46Abr.-6.674.91-1.935.881.330.080.472.763.343.772.17May.-5.058.290.3412.281.29-0.102.231.921.703.212.58Jun.-4.191.42-0.409.980.81-1.291.692.001.133.981.48Jul.-3.002.86-1.54-0.77-1.13-0.410.272.330.044.480.86Ago.-6.63-1.34-3.528.60-1.56-1.71-0.962.052.094.780.50Sep.-0.29-1.393.502.52-1.531.514.742.101.624.581.64Oct.1.330.182.033.652.98-0.933.233.250.254.581.73Nov.2.10-4.00-2.185.843.26-1.244.113.880.643.841.06Dic.8.502.56-0.207.533.303.941.953.811.813.302.64

Regresion2ResumenEstadsticas de la regresinCoeficiente de correlacin mltiple0.9982341893Coeficiente de determinacin R^20.9964714968R^2 ajustado0.9958930536Error tpico0.2055733423Observaciones72ANLISIS DE VARIANZAGrados de libertadSuma de cuadradosPromedio de los cuadradosFValor crtico de FRegresin10728.010748416872.80107484171722.67835815840Residuos612.57788434170.042260399Total71730.5886327585CoeficientesError tpicoEstadstico tProbabilidadInferior 95%Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%Intercepcin0.7848292640.11146101067.04128968090.0000000020.56194919831.00770932970.56194919831.0077093297Agropecuario-Silvcola1.75%0.00508927633.42957593430.00108945410.00727742270.02763069670.00727742270.0276306967Minera14.33%0.005166014427.740639204800.13297845640.15363862470.13297845640.1536386247Industria Manufacturera14.21%0.008632245216.465400378900.1248721320.15939461410.1248721320.1593946141Electricidad, gas y agua2.61%0.00302689488.634319112900.02008252530.03218782580.02008252530.0321878258Construccin7.16%0.00941426067.60158564180.00000000020.05273833090.09038828610.05273833090.0903882861Comercio12.27%0.006097427220.124275826100.11051374680.13489886510.11051374680.1348988651Transportes6.11%0.00675449499.052559816600.04763902150.0746519160.04763902150.074651916Servicios Financieros6.25%0.0099178446.2989704030.00000003650.04264025090.08230416020.04264025090.0823041602Servicios Empresariales11.01%0.01376815377.995981861900.08255878260.13762103240.08255878260.1376210324Servicios Personales2.91%0.02166384731.34505401120.1835872886-0.01418049530.0724585847-0.01418049530.0724585847

Datos3AoMesMineraIndustria ManufactureraConstruccinComercioTransportesServicios FinancierosServicios EmpresarialesProducto Interno BrutoVAR % PIB ANUAL2009Ene.-8.86-9.93-6.53-7.62-6.185.135.99-2.55-1.06Feb.-11.85-10.64-7.06-9.52-12.884.116.54-4.43Mar.-9.37-5.12-7.77-5.67-9.300.595.40-2.40Abr.-1.33-8.84-8.69-10.86-12.031.731.13-2.73May.-3.48-9.50-9.06-10.30-12.352.280.35-3.22Jun.-5.48-7.34-8.85-9.64-13.434.46-0.16-3.34Jul.-7.91-3.24-8.05-11.60-12.816.750.05-2.66Ago.9.55-0.68-6.37-8.50-12.258.11-1.720.25Sep.10.00-2.67-3.80-8.39-9.555.94-2.460.63Oct.5.50-1.61-0.29-7.46-8.482.72-4.53-0.16Nov.12.064.761.412.01-5.012.40-2.343.87Dic.1.015.351.326.27-1.632.26-0.333.982010Ene.0.024.820.254.61-1.154.432.563.955.74Feb.5.592.81-0.121.85-1.944.151.053.48Mar.3.86-12.910.915.26-9.496.353.190.13Abr.6.401.404.5117.792.416.055.156.05May.-4.906.675.6120.7512.467.735.656.60Jun.5.574.025.5016.7214.177.255.867.03Jul.8.154.104.2418.5615.535.176.787.97Ago.2.148.122.5821.3616.915.229.598.12Sep.-2.892.450.5523.2714.866.598.896.01Oct.-3.882.15-1.8820.6310.0810.158.395.42Nov.2.084.20-1.3522.9912.1311.3210.997.38Dic.-2.074.151.9221.9510.4310.379.566.682011Ene.2.505.847.0120.7312.8310.2912.137.945.89Feb.-6.906.659.7622.2314.299.7610.977.48Mar.-2.2630.839.8422.7323.889.8410.1513.05Abr.-7.599.556.0710.285.5010.3611.305.95May.0.2710.514.7713.292.029.7310.196.45Jun.-12.268.754.5913.08-3.469.489.254.11Jul.-15.244.944.079.69-1.9310.716.852.40Ago.-10.973.685.119.052.1210.626.463.28Sep.-9.087.636.3210.396.4810.964.514.25Oct.-0.66-0.387.807.414.479.986.584.49Nov.-4.422.838.3410.968.0210.324.544.58Dic.4.973.687.989.929.2510.677.636.692012Ene.0.204.677.037.099.0510.105.854.845.48Feb.6.414.436.378.5211.4610.027.955.87Mar.0.062.066.393.998.6410.395.463.94Abr.2.402.867.105.7612.3210.986.005.17May.3.194.697.236.0111.3811.385.445.45Jun.3.553.616.789.7918.6813.265.156.82Jul.6.982.647.206.6815.0912.475.536.53Ago.7.414.866.8610.9112.9111.351.706.62Sep.7.00-2.487.211.453.1312.414.204.27Oct.2.0010.818.2412.3014.4712.363.236.96Nov.6.523.578.345.1410.2112.973.435.52Dic.1.191.737.524.366.7711.922.203.802013Ene.12.434.855.7311.949.629.941.216.874.27Feb.6.342.644.726.887.898.471.225.05Mar.9.28-1.734.405.034.217.532.554.34Abr.1.174.764.769.828.976.581.424.83May.0.01-1.695.107.316.607.063.693.58Jun.8.25-0.935.423.973.426.032.713.61Jul.12.103.865.7210.045.366.231.865.60Ago.6.942.265.227.362.516.592.734.35Sep.8.152.043.946.021.914.493.334.55Oct.3.87-2.661.906.91-0.673.473.592.83Nov.4.55-0.470.595.59-2.082.933.483.11Dic.-0.310.500.012.073.494.763.442.502014Ene.-3.44-1.032.900.64-0.994.233.681.421.90Feb.6.37-0.703.122.123.793.863.473.21Mar.1.252.153.433.827.633.613.103.46Abr.4.91-1.931.330.080.472.763.342.17May.8.290.341.29-0.102.231.921.702.58Jun.1.42-0.400.81-1.291.692.001.131.48Jul.2.86-1.54-1.13-0.410.272.330.040.86Ago.-1.34-3.52-1.56-1.71-0.962.052.090.50Sep.-1.393.50-1.531.514.742.101.621.64Oct.0.182.032.98-0.933.233.250.251.73Nov.-4.00-2.183.26-1.244.113.880.641.06Dic.2.56-0.203.303.941.953.811.812.64

Regresion3ResumenEstadsticas de la regresinCoeficiente de correlacin mltiple0.9954882624Coeficiente de determinacin R^20.9909968806R^2 ajustado0.9900121644Error tpico0.320584834Observaciones72ANLISIS DE VARIANZAGrados de libertadSuma de cuadradosPromedio de los cuadradosFValor crtico de FRegresin7724.011056066103.43015086661006.37817921680Residuos646.57757669250.1027746358Total71730.5886327585CoeficientesError tpicoEstadstico tProbabilidadInferior 95%Superior 95%Inferior 95,0%Superior 95,0%Intercepcin1.24010155830.100334271412.359700634401.0396608091.44054230771.0396608091.4405423077Minera14.13%0.007904620517.881692119200.12555669590.15713928560.12555669590.1571392856Industria Manufacturera17.84%0.009781625218.24016583300.15887742310.19795950860.15887742310.1979595086Construccin7.24%0.01433455715.05406928770.00000386360.0438112750.10108441460.0438112750.1010844146Comercio12.84%0.009066724614.158667080900.11025987110.14648560040.11025987110.1464856004Transportes5.59%0.00951927135.87077356680.00000016840.03686855590.07490241720.03686855590.0749024172Servicios Financieros5.59%0.01517601253.68325538610.0004753790.02557955960.08621470020.02557955960.0862147002Servicios Empresariales9.12%0.01948034944.68344820730.00001515510.05231873570.13015167890.05231873570.1301516789