Presentation v Raghuraman SessionV

8/12/2019 Presentation v Raghuraman SessionV

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IndiaIndias Nuclears Nuclear ProgrammeProgramme

V RaghuramanV Raghuraman

Confederation of Indian IndustryConfederation of Indian Industry

Confederation of Indian Industry


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ENERGY SCENARIOENERGY SCENARIO


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GENERATING CAPACITY 147458 MW

Power Infrastructure in India (end Jan.09)

Source: CEA

(As on 31-01-09 )

FUEL MIX

RES** (MNRE)

, 13242.41, 9%

Hydro(Renewable) ,

36762.76, 25%Nuclear , 4120,

3%

Total Thermal ,

93332.64, 63%

Total Thermal Nuclear Hydro (Renewable) RES** (MNRE)


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Electricity Requirement 2031Electricity Requirement 2031 -- 3232

8% 9%

Total Energy Requirement 3880 4806

Energy Requirement at Bus Bar 3628 4493

592 733

778 960

Billion kWh

Projected Peak Demand (GW)

Installed Capacity Requirement (GW)

GDP Growth Rate


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190

226

157

213

117

300

220

320

100

150

200

250

300

350

DESPITE THE ECONOMIC SLOWDOWN, DEMAND WILLDESPITE THE ECONOMIC SLOWDOWN, DEMAND WILL

BE HIGHER THAN CURRENT ESTIMATESBE HIGHER THAN CURRENT ESTIMATES

* Including captive demand** See appendix for details on demand estimation approaches

Source: Central Electricity Authority (CEA); Global Insight (World Industry Monitor); Planning Commission; McKinsey analysis

Revised Likely rangeRevised Likely range

Peak demand estimates*

GW, 2007-2017

Adjusted comparable

economy approach**

Sectoral intensity

approach**

Integrated Energy Policy

CEA estimates

158

2012 20172007

Additional capacity

of ~240-265 GWrequired


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6

Expected Fuel Mix in Country (2031-32)

Source : Report on Integrated Energy Policy

With limited hydro capacity, generation from fossil

fuel and nuclear is bound to increase significantly.


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Potential of Nuclear Power in India

Resource Potential (GWe-Yr)

Uranium (78,000 tonnes metal) In PHWRs 330

(about10,000 MWe PHWRs.)

&

In FBRs - 42,200

Thorium(518,000 tonnes metal)In Breeders150,000*

(*This is equivalent to Indias total electricity requirements for

Several Thousand Years considering current consumption levels.)


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Nuclear Power Installed capacityNuclear Power Installed capacityPotential (GW)Potential (GW)

Year Unit

Optim isti c* Pessimisti c

2010 Gwe 11 9

2020 Gwe 29 21

2030 Gwe 63 48

2040 Gwe 131 104

2050 Gwe 275 208

Source: DOAE

* It is assumed that India will be able to import 8000 MW of LWRswith fuel over the next ten years.

Scenario


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Nuclear Energy in IndiaNuclear Energy in India

7

NARORA

440 MWe ( 2x220)

17 NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS UNITS IN OPERATION

RAWATBHATA

740 MWe

(1x100+1x200+2x220)

KAIGA

660 MWe (3x220)

KALPAKKAM

440 MWe (2x220)

KAKRAPAR

440 MWe (2X220)TARAPUR1400 MWe

(2x160 + 2x540*)


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Nuclear Energy in IndiaNuclear Energy in IndiaConti..Conti..

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6 NUCLEAR POWER UNITS UNDER CONSTRUCTION

RAWATBHATA

440MWe (2X220)

KUDANKULAM

2000 MWe (2x1000)

KAIGA

220 MWe(1x220)

KALPAKKAM

500 MWe (1x500)


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Nuclear Energy in IndiaNuclear Energy in IndiaConti..Conti..

28

Narora, UP2 (440 MWe) 2 (1400 MWe)

IN OPERATION

UNDER CONSTRUCTION

LIKELY ADDITIONS

NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS PLANNED

Rawatbhatajasthan3 (640 MWe)

2(440 MWe)

2(1400MWe)

Kudankulam, TN

2 (2000 MWe)

4 (4000 MWe)

Kaiga,Karnataka2 (440 MWe)2 (440 MWe)2 (1400 MWe)

Kalpakkam, TN2 (440 MWe)1 (500 MWe)2 (1000 MWe)

Kakrapar, Gujarat

2 (440 MWe)2 (1400 MWe)

Tarapur, Maharashtr a3 (860 MWe)1 (540 MWe)3 (2300 MWe)

Jaitapur, Maharashtra

6 (6000-8000 MWe)

SITES ALREADY APPROVED FOR PRE-PROJECT ACTIVITIES

RAWATBHATA

1400 MWe

KUDANKULAM

2000 MWe

KAKRAPAR

1400 MWeJAITAPUR

2000 MWe


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Nuclear Energy in IndiaNuclear Energy in India

6

Three Stage Nuclear Power Program


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Ownership Models

All operating nuclear power plants owned operated by NPCIL

FBR under construction is owned will be operated by BHAVINI

Presently ownership is limited by law to Government of India or,A Government Company

NTPC as a Government Company proposes to participate in NuclearPower Generation

CurrentSituationinNuclearPowerGenerationinIndia


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Project Execution Models

Indigenous nuclear power plants executed on multi-package model

Plants supplied by overseas entities executed on E P or EPC basis

CurrentSituationinNuclearPowerGenerationinIndia


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Prospective Ownership Modelsrospective Ownership Models

Existing DAE Corporationsxisting DAE Corporationse.g., NPCIL, BHAVINI.g., NPCIL, BHAVINI

New Government ownedew Government owned SPVsPVs created under DAE auspicesreated under DAE auspices Nonon-DAE Government CorporationsAE Government Corporations

e.g., NTPC.g., NTPC Publicublic Private Partnerships (PPP)rivate Partnerships (PPP) Private Ownershiprivate OwnershipDomestic / Overseas / JVomestic / Overseas / JV

Emerging trends in Nuclear Power Generation in India


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Issues requiring Discussion and Resolutionssues requiring Discussion and Resolution Amendment to Atomic Energy Actmendment to Atomic Energy Act Public Liabilityublic Liability Process for Promoter Selectionrocess for Promoter Selection

Prere-qualification Criteriaualification Criteria Eligibility Criteria for Overseas Investors Partnersligibility Criteria for Overseas Investors Partners Bidding and Bid Evaluation Processidding and Bid Evaluation Process Acceptable Technology Optionscceptable Technology Options

Nomination of Prospective Sitesomination of Prospective Sites Fuel Procurement Supply and Pricinguel Procurement Supply and Pricing



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Issues requiring Discussion and Resolution ( contdssues requiring Discussion and Resolution ( contd. Spent Fuel Managementpent Fuel Management Project Contracting Execution Strategiesroject Contracting Execution Strategies Fiscal Incentivesiscal Incentives AERB Approval Requirements and ProcessesERB Approval Requirements and Processes Uniform and Consistent Design Basis Criterianiform and Consistent Design Basis Criteria

Indigenous Content Maximizationndigenous Content Maximization Protection against Terrorist Attacksrotection against Terrorist Attacks



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Front End Work to be undertaken by Indian Governmentront End Work to be undertaken by Indian Government Appointment of a Nodal Agencyppointment of a Nodal Agency Nomination of Potential Sitesomination of Potential Sites

Site Evaluation Studiesite Evaluation Studies Land Availabilityand Availability Population Environmental Impactopulation Environmental Impact Geoeo-political Strategic Aspectsolitical Strategic Aspects Seismologyeismology Onn-shore and Offhore and Off-shore Geologyhore Geology Topographyopography Bathymetryathymetry Oceanographyceanography Meteorologyeteorology Flood Level Datalood Level Data Fresh Water Availabilityresh Water Availability Power Evacuationower Evacuation Transportation Logisticsransportation Logistics

AERB ApprovalERB Approval



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Formation of Shell Companiesormation of Shell Companies

Land Acquisition and Developmentand Acquisition and Development

Development of Plant Design Basesevelopment of Plant Design Bases

Enunciation of Principles of PPAnunciation of Principles of PPA

Development of Tendering Norms Conditions and Bidevelopment of Tendering Norms Conditions and Bid-qualificationualificationSelection processeselection processes

Front End Work to be undertaken by Indian GovernmentFront End Work to be undertaken by Indian Government

( contd. )( contd. )



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Adaptation of Standard Designs to Indian Conditionsdaptation of Standard Designs to Indian Conditions Evaluation of Indian Manufacturing and Construction Capabilitiesvaluation of Indian Manufacturing and Construction Capabilities

CapacitiesCapacities

Firming up Scope and Details of Procurement of Equipment andirming up Scope and Details of Procurement of Equipment andServices from Indiaervices from India

Basic Engineering for Site Dependentasic Engineering for Site Dependent BoPoP Facilities in respect ofacilities in respect ofIdentified Sitesdentified Sites

Suggested Initiatives for OverseasSuggested Initiatives for Overseas CorporatesCorporates



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THANK YOUTHANK YOU

Presentation v Raghuraman SessionV

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