Presentación Daniel Ramos
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ANÁLISIS DE SENSIBILIDAD DE LOS PARÁMETROS QUE AFECTAN EL PROCESO DE INYECCIÓN ALTERNADA DE VAPOR EN POZOS HORIZONTALES CONSIDERANDO UN CICLO DE INYECCIÓN REALIZADO POR: DANIEL RAMOS TUTOR INDUSTRIAL: Ing. VÍCTOR LARA TUTOR ACADÉMICO: Dr. MARTIN ESSENFELD TRABAJO ESPECIAL DE GRADO MAYO 2003
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Presentación Daniel Ramos
Transcript of Presentación Daniel Ramos
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ANLISIS DE SENSIBILIDAD DE LOS PARMETROS QUE AFECTAN EL PROCESO DE INYECCIN ALTERNADA DE VAPOR EN POZOS HORIZONTALES CONSIDERANDO UN CICLO DE INYECCINREALIZADO POR: DANIEL RAMOSTUTOR INDUSTRIAL: Ing. VCTOR LARATUTOR ACADMICO: Dr. MARTIN ESSENFELDTRABAJO ESPECIAL DE GRADOMAYO 2003
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CONTENIDOOBJETIVOSCONCEPTOS BSICOSJUSTIFICACIN DE LA INVESTIGACINMETODOLOGA ANLISIS DE LOS RESULTADOSCONCLUSIONESRECOMENDACIONES
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REALIZAR UN ANLISIS DE SENSIBILIDAD DE LOS PARMETROS DE YACIMIENTO, INYECCIN Y POZO, QUE AFECTAN EL COMPORTAMIENTO DEL PROCESO DE INYECCIN ALTERNADA DE VAPOR (IAV) EN POZOS HORIZONTALES EN UN CICLO DE INYECCIN, A FIN DE DESARROLLAR UNA CORRELACIN ESTADSTICA QUE PERMITA PREDECIR, EN FORMA PRELIMINAR, DICHO COMPORTAMIENTO EN FUTURAS APLICACIONES DE CAMPOOBJETIVO GENERAL
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OBJETIVOS ESPECFICOSDETERMINAR CASOS BASE A PARTIR DE SIMULACIONES MONTECARLO, UTILIZANDO PARMETROS DE YACIMIENTO CARACTERSTICOS DE VENEZUELAREALIZAR SIMULACIONES NUMRICAS DE LOS CASOS BASE, REALIZANDO SENSIBILIDADES CON PARMETROS DE POZO E INYECCIN, PARA UN CICLO DE IAVDESARROLLAR UNA CORRELACIN ESTADSTICA QUE PERMITA PREDECIR EL COMPORTAMIENTO DEL PROCESO DE INYECCIN ALTERNADA DE VAPOR EN POZOS HORIZONTALESVALIDAR Y EVALUAR NUMRICAMENTE LA CORRELACIN ESTADSTICA OBTENIDA, COMPARNDOLA CON LOS RESULTADOS DEL MODELAJE
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Es un proceso cclico en el cual el mismo pozo es usado para inyeccin de vapor y produccin de petrleo con la finalidad de aumentar la tasa de produccin mediante el calentamiento del yacimiento reduciendo la viscosidad del petrleo. Involucra tres etapas: Inyeccin, Remojo y Produccin.CONCEPTOS BSICOSINYECCIN ALTERNADA DE VAPOR (IAV)
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ETAPA DE INYECCINCONCEPTOS BSICOSSe inyecta vapor durante 2 a 6 semanas a travs de un pozo (inyector-productor). La tasa de inyeccin debe ser aquella que permita minimizar las perdidas de calor a travs de las paredes del pozo y lograr el mximo radio calentado y la mxima temperatura en la zona calentada.
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ETAPA DE REMOJOCONCEPTOS BSICOSSe cierra el pozo durante 1 a 14 das para que el vapor ceda su calor a la formacin y a sus fluidos. El tiempo de remojo se estima de acuerdo a la experiencia en campo, por lo que se recomienda lo siguiente: Si el yacimiento tiene activos los mecanismos de produccin primaria y suficiente presin se recomienda dejar un tiempo de remojo suficiente, para que el vapor ceda calor al yacimiento. Si el yacimiento tiene poca presin, se recomienda dejar poco tiempo de remojo con el fin de utilizar el aumento de presin del yacimiento en las cercanas del pozo para empujar el petrleo hacia el fondo de los pozos.
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ETAPA DE PRODUCCINCONCEPTOS BSICOSUna vez culminado el tiempo de remojo se abre el pozo a produccin. Inicialmente se produce agua caliente y vapor, y luego de una a dos semanas se produce petrleo caliente, en mayor cantidad que la produccin de petrleo fro, que estaba produciendo el pozo antes de la estimulacin con vapor. Esta etapa termina cuando la tasa alcanza valores similares a la tasa que produca el pozo en fro culminando as el ciclo de Inyeccin Alternada de Vapor.
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CONCEPTOS BSICOSConsiste en la construccin y operacin de un modelo cuyo comportamiento sea lo ms similar posible al real del yacimiento. SIMULACIN NUMRICA DE YACIMIENTOSSTARS (Steam, Thermal, and Advanced Processes Reservoir Simulator )STARS es un simulador trifsico, multicomponente, composicional y trmico, con gran versatilidad en el uso de mallas cilndricas, cartesianas, de espesor y/o profundidad variable.
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JUSTIFICACIN DE LA INVESTIGACIN
Los modelos analticos existentes para la Inyeccin Alternada de Vapor son para Pozos Verticales, y de acuerdo a un estudio previo, no aplican a yacimientos venezolanos. No existe un estudio previo que establezca un modelo analtico para la Inyeccin Alternada de Vapor en Pozos Horizontales aplicable a los yacimientos de crudo pesado y extrapesado de Venezuela
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METODOLOGAEVALUAR Y VALIDAR LA CORRELACIN2592 SIMULACIONES28 SIMULACIONES
Hoja1
Propiedades de YacimientoTipo de distribucinRango de valores
mnimomximo
Espesor (pies)Log Normal1.95145.00
PorosidadNormal14.96%42.35%
Permeabilidad (mD)Log Normal150016245
Presion inicial (lpc)Log Normal4163828
Kv/Kh (adimensional)Uniforme0.20.8
Saturacin de Petrleo InicialTriangular49.3%92.8%
Hoja1
Caso BaseEspesor (pies)Porosidad (%)Kh (mD)Presion Inicial (lpc)Kv/KhSo (%)
128.1221.197387460.486.8
2132.2335.1188912300.360.8
339.0529.8409511560.372.7
471.0717.6310413010.264.7
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METODOLOGACONSTRUCCIN DEL MODELO NUMRICOPVT de un Crudo Extrapesado del Dtto. San Tom: Gravedad promedio de 9.3 API Comportamiento de Viscosidad vs Temperatura Permeabilidades Relativas Propiedades de Yacimiento Homogneas
MALLA CARTESIANA - SIMETRADireccin i:30 divisiones de 100 piesDireccin j31 divisiones con refinamiento hacia el pozoDireccin kDivisiones de aprox. 5 pies cada una.
Caso BaseEspesor de la arena (pies)Secciones en la direccin kEspesor por seccin (pies)128.1255.6252132.23255.289339.0575.579471.07145.076
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ANLISIS DE RESULTADOSCOMPORTAMIENTO DE PRODUCCIN EN FROCASOS BASE 1, 2, 3 Y 4 NP Y Q VS. TIEMPOCASOS BASE 1, 2, 3 Y 4 TEMPERATURA VS. TIEMPOANLISIS DE RESULTADOS
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ANLISIS DE RESULTADOSCASO BASE 1 NP Y Q VS. TIEMPO. SENSIBILIDADES CON LONGITUD DE POZOCASO BASE 4 NP Y Q VS. TIEMPO. SENSIBILIDADES CON UBICACIN DEL POZO
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ANLISIS DE RESULTADOSCOMPORTAMIENTO DE PRODUCCIN CON IAVQinyTinyTremojoCalidad de vaporNP Y Q VS. TIEMPO SENSIBILIDADES CASO BASE 1Tasa de Inyeccin
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ANLISIS DE RESULTADOSCOMPARACIN DE LA PRODUCCIN EN FRO Y CON IAVNP Y Q VS. TIEMPO. CASO BASE 4UN CICLO DE IAV
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ANLISIS DE RESULTADOSDETERMINACIN DE LOS PARAMETROS PARA DESARROLLAR LA CORRELACIN ESTADSTICA12345615234677
RangoMnimoMximoEspesor (pies)28.12132.23Presin de Inyeccin (lpc)8461401Longitud de Pozo (pies)10002000Tasa de Inyeccin (TON/da)2501000Calidad del Vapor (%)6080Tiempo de Remojo (das)714Tiempo de Inyeccin (das)1545
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ANLISIS DE RESULTADOSCORRELACIN ESTADSTICAENp: Estimado de la Produccin Acumulada de Petrleo en el primer ciclo de IAV (MBls)Ax: Coeficientes obtenidos a travs del software STATISTICAEspesor: Espesor de la Arena Neta Petrolfera (pies)Tiny: Tiempo de Inyeccin de Vapor (das)Qiny: Tasa de Inyeccin de Vapor (TON/Da)Lpozo: Longitud del pozo (pies)Trem: Tiempo de remojo (das)X: Calidad del vapor (%)
Coeficientes de la CorrelacinA02.06474784E+00A19.18568416E-03A21.48913709E-02A36.34606290E-04A45.50524026E-04A54.45098760E-04A61.07536946E-01A71.51318576E-02
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E_DNp_C_1
DNp (MBls) MODELAJE
EDNp (MBls) CORRELACIN
Precisin de la Correlacin
y = 0.9287x + 3.882R2 = 0.9
Hoja1
A0A1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10
1.28423637230.1783820480.02381414390.00083765810.11506210020.02705979820.00000585820.29254932570.1496264075-0.08761554480.0000027126
A02,607.7693-384209.57219499
A1-8,762.1226-8621.2853036917
A243.2924282.7072650958
A30.97921.0624631695
A4-0.0020-0.0033616558
A50.04540.0449635331
A6-0.0000-0.0000060864
A7-2,518.080272073.6592993956
A8-199.2139-141.3434857362
A9181.5521-479.0721526478
A10-0.0100-0.0000001475
Model: dnp_c_1=exp((a0+a1*espesor+a2*t_iny+a3*tasa_iny+a4*...
Dep. var: DNP_C_1 Loss: (OBS-PRED)**2
Final loss: 308648,95550 R=,94943 Variance explained: 90,143%
A0A1A2A3A4A5B1
Estimate130.73815149321.15183315620.85114234780.03660730611.54658663-0.007577484962.5234084648
Tasa de Inyeccin de Vapor (Ton/dia)Calidad del Vapor (%)Tiempo de Remojo (das)Tiempo de Inyeccin de Vapor (das)
25060715
500
7030
75014
8045
1000
DATOS PARA CORRELACION
EspesorPorosidadKhPre_IniKv_KhSoTempProfXgUBICL_PozoTasa_InyCalidadT_RemojoT_InyTemp_InyPOESDNp_C_1T_C_1E_DNp_C_1E_T_C_1error cuadrtico medioError estandarerror cuadrtico medioError estandar
28.1221.139737.89745.910.486.84114.951721.470.21643100025060715524.392205.9020.4511923.471529.1114.761,091.7627.77
28.1221.139737.89745.910.486.84114.951721.470.21643100025060730524.392205.9024.4515028.7517418.5117.60587.0016.15
28.1221.139737.89745.910.486.84114.951721.470.21643100025060745524.392205.9029.4518035.3520234.7920.03480.4212.18
28.1221.139737.89745.910.486.84114.951721.470.216431000250601415524.392205.9024.4515024.221550.050.9427.063.47
28.1221.139737.89745.910.486.84114.951721.470.216431000250601430524.392205.9028.4518029.511771.113.716.821.45
28.1221.139737.89745.910.486.84114.951721.470.216431000250601445524.392205.9032.4521136.1020513.3311.2535.062.81
28.1221.139737.89745.910.486.84114.951721.470.21643100025070715524.392205.9019.4511923.6215317.3921.441,134.2028.30
28.1221.139737.89745.910.486.84114.951721.470.21643100025070730524.392205.9024.4515028.9117519.8418.22618.2316.58
28.1221.139737.89745.910.486.84114.951721.470.21643100025070745524.392205.9029.4518035.5020336.6020.54508.7012.53
28.1221.139737.89745.910.486.84114.951721.470.216431000250701415524.392205.9019.4511924.3715624.2325.311,357.0630.96
28.1221.139737.89745.910.486.84114.951721.470.216431000250701430524.392205.9028.4518029.661781.464.243.901.10
28.1221.139737.89745.910.486.84114.951721.470.216431000250701445524.392205.9032.4521136.2520614.4611.7227.932.50
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