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3/8/2016
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H E A L T H W E A L T H C A R E E R
TO TAL R E WAR DS 2 0 2 0 W H AT T O E X P E C T I N
T H E N E X T F I V E Y E A R S
Mary Ann Sardone, Atlanta
Lia Santos, Atlanta
March 11, 2016
© MERCER 2016 1
T O D A Y ’ S D I S C U S S I O N
External Factors Influencing Total Rewards – Mary Ann Sardone
Your Thoughts About the Future – Lia Santos
How Will Organizations Respond? – Lia Santos
What You Can Do to Prepare to Manage Total Rewards in 2020 – Mary Ann Sardone
Call to Action – Mary Ann Sardone
© MERCER 2016 2
© MERCER 2016 2
EXTERNAL FACTORS
INFLUENCING TOTAL
REWARDS
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© MERCER 2016 3
E X T E R N A L F A C T O R S I N F L U E N C I N G T O T A L R E W A R D S
A G I N G P O P U L A T I O N : W E A R E L I V I N G L O N G E R W H I C H
W I L L C R E A T E G R E A T E R P R E S S U R E O N R E T I R E M E N T
A N D S O C I A L P R O G R A M S
Source: United Nations – Population Division
65.9
42.3
78 67.5
82.7 74.4
MORE DEVELOPED REGIONS LESS DEVELOPED REGIONS
LIFE EXPECTANCY AT BIRTH 1950-1955
2010-2015
2045-2050
© MERCER 2016 4
E X T E R N A L F A C T O R S I N F L U E N C I N G T O T A L R E W A R D S
A G I N G P O P U L A T I O N : S E N I O R S A R E W O R K I N G
L O N G E R I N T H E U S A
Source: US Social Security Administration
AGES 65-69 1980 2010
MEN 20% 26%
WOMEN 13% 23%
AGES 70-74 1980 2010
MEN 12% 16%
WOMEN 6% 12%
L A B O R F O R C E PA R T I C I PAT I O N R AT E
© MERCER 2016 5
E X T E R N A L F A C T O R S I N F L U E N C I N G T O T A L R E W A R D S
M U L T I P L E G E N E R A T I O N S : M A N A G I N G D I F F E R E N T
S E G M E N T S R E Q U I R E S S E N S I T I V I T Y T O V A R Y I N G
G E N E R A T I O N A L N E E D S
Source: PEW Research Center.
GENERATION 2015 % OF
WORKFORCE ATTRIBUTE
Silents
(Born 1928-45)
2% Company loyalty…Dependable & Respectful
“Same company forever
Baby Boomers
(Born 1946-64)
29% Live to work…Loyal & Idealistic
“Office face time”
Gen X
(Born 1965-1980)
34% Work to live…Resourceful & Cynical
“Work should not define life”
Millennials
(Born 1981-1997)
35% Work my way…Entitled & Impatient
“Own careers, meaningful work”
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© MERCER 2016 6
E X T E R N A L F A C T O R S I N F L U E N C I N G T O T A L R E W A R D S
M U L T I P L E G E N E R A T I O N S : I N C R E A S I N G D E S I R E F O R
B E N E F I T S C H O I C E A M O N G U S E M P L O Y E E S
Source: Mercer 2015 Inside Employee Minds Survey.
GENERATION PERCENT OF EMPLOYEES WANTING TO
REDUCE/INCREASE VALUE OF SOME BENEFITS
Silents
Baby Boomers
Gen X
Millennials
38%
48%
59%
70%
© MERCER 2016 7
Y O U N G E M P L O Y E E S D R I V I N G T H E ‘ H A P P Y B U T
L E A V I N G ’ T R E N D
EMPLOYEES AGREE WITH THE FOLLOWING: ALL
EES
DIFFERENCE:
MILLENNIALS
Promotions are generally given to the most qualified employees in my organization 43% +11
I trust senior management in my organization to communicate honestly 48% +9
Managers in my organization demonstrate concern for the well-being of employees 51% +9
I believe that I have sufficient opportunity for growth and development in my organization 51% +9
I would recommend my organization to others as a good place to work 58% +6
At the present time, I am seriously considering leaving my organization 37% +7
Source: Mercer 2015 Inside Employee Minds North America Survey
© MERCER 2016 8
E X T E R N A L F A C T O R S I N F L U E N C I N G T O T A L R E W A R D S
H E A L T H C A R E : C U R R E N T T R E N D I N T H E U S A I S
U N S U S T A I N A B L E
Source: Mercer’s National Survey of Employer-Sponsored Health Plans.
8.0%
-1.1%
2.1% 2.5%
0.2%
6.1%
7.3%
8.1%
11.2%
14.7%
10.1%
7.5%
6.1% 6.1% 6.1% 6.3%
5.5%
6.9%
6.1%
4.1%
2.1%
3.9%
4.6%
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Annual change in total health benefit cost per employee
W orkers' earnings
Overall inflat ion
Projected
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© MERCER 2016 9
E X T E R N A L F A C T O R S I N F L U E N C I N G T O T A L R E W A R D S
R E T I R E M E N T : T R A D I T I O N A L P E N S I O N P L A N S I N T H E
U S A A R E F R O M A B Y G O N E E R A
Source: US Department of Labor.
PA R T I C I PAT I O N I N E M P L O Y E R R E T I R E M E N T P L A N S B Y T Y P E
( 1 9 7 9 - 2 0 11 )
7%
31%
DC PLANS
3%
28%
DB PLANS
© MERCER 2016 10
E X T E R N A L F A C T O R S I N F L U E N C I N G T O T A L R E W A R D S
C O M P E N S A T I O N : I N C O M E G R O W T H D I V E R G E N C E I N
T H E U S A I S C A U S I N G S O C I A L U N R E S T A N D M I N I M U M
W A G E P R E S S U R E
Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics and Economic Policy Institute.
TOTAL COMPENSATI ON GROW TH 1985- 2013
97%
MACHINE
OPERATOR
142% ACCOUNTANT
913% CEO
© MERCER 2016 11
E X T E R N A L F A C T O R S I N F L U E N C I N G T O T A L R E W A R D S
U N I O N I Z A T I O N : T H E N E W B A R G A I N I N G A G E N D A I N
T H E U S A C A L L S F O R A L I V I N G W A G E A N D
C O R P O R A T E W E A L T H S H A R I N G
Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics.
UNION MEMBERSHIP
33% 1955
11% 2014
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E X T E R N A L F A C T O R S I N F L U E N C I N G T O T A L R E W A R D S
D I V E R S I T Y : F U T U R E W O R K F O R C E W I L L B E L E S S
H O M O G E N O U S I N T H E U S A
Source: The National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education.
82%
10% 6%
1980
63% 13%
17%
6%
2020
D I V E R S I T Y O F W O R K I N G A G E P O P U L AT I O N
( 2 5 - 6 4 )
2%
© MERCER 2016 13
E X T E R N A L F A C T O R S I N F L U E N C I N G T O T A L R E W A R D S
G L O B A L I Z A T I O N : T H E R E I S M O R E N E E D F O R G L O B A L
W O R K F O R C E M A N A G E M E N T A S W O R K I N G A G E
P O P U L A T I O N C O R R E L A T E S W I T H G D P A N D M I D D L E
C L A S S G R O W T H
Source: World Bank.
Working Age
Population
(15-64): 1985
through 2013 0%
USA
+20%
MEXICO
+15%
BRAZIL
-2%
UK
+13%
EGYPT
+9%
POLAND
+16%
CHINA
-9%
JAPAN
+29%
VIETNAM
+2%
AUSTRALIA
© MERCER 2016 14
E X T E R N A L F A C T O R S I N F L U E N C I N G T O T A L R E W A R D S
G L O B A L I Z A T I O N : M A N A G I N G A G L O B A L W O R K F O R C E
R E Q U I R E S U N D E R S T A N D I N G C U L T U R A L
D I F F E R E N C E S
Source: Mercer’s What’s Working Survey (between 2,000 and 2,400 respondents per country)
USA UK China
Rank 1
Rank 2
Rank 3
Brazil Germany India
Rank 4
Rank 5
Rank 6
Base pay
Retirement savings/
pension plan
Type of work
Career advancement
Base pay
Training opportunit ies
Base pay
Type of work
Bonus / other incenti ves
Base pay
Type of work
Bonus / other incenti ves
Career advancement
Base pay
Supplemental retirement
savings plan
Career advancement
Base pay
Training opportunit ies
Training opportunit ies
Type of work Flexible work
schedule
Retirement savings/
pension plan Type of work
Low health care costs
Bonus / other incenti ves
Working for respectab le organizat ion
Working for respectab le organizat ion
Flexible work schedule
Health insurance with broad coverage
Bonus / other incenti ves
Supplemental medical
insurance coverage
Bonus / other incenti ves
Training opportunit ies
Paid time off Flexible work
schedule
Working for respectab le organizat ion
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© MERCER 2016 15
E X T E R N A L F A C T O R S I N F L U E N C I N G T O T A L R E W A R D S
G L O B A L I Z A T I O N : M A N A G I N G P A Y R E Q U I R E S
U N D E R S T A N D I N G O F L O C A L P A Y P R A C T I C E S , F O R
E X A M P L E , E X P E R I E N C E D P R O F E S S I O N A L S
Source: Mercer's Total Remuneration Surveys (TRS) and Structure of Salaries Around the World Report.
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Base Salary Guaranteed Allowances
Variable Bonus & Commission Long-term Incentives
Benefits
CHINA
INDIA
GERMANY
UNITED KINGDOM
BRAZIL
UNITED STATES
© MERCER 2016 16
E X T E R N A L F A C T O R S I N F L U E N C I N G T O T A L R E W A R D S
T E C H N O L O G Y : A P P S P R O V I D E A N E W I N S T A N T W A Y
T O S T A Y I N F O R M E D
RECOGNITION
NETWORKING
PAY
CULTURE
© MERCER 2016 17
EMPLOYERS THAT ALLOW PROFESSION ALS TO TELECOMMUTE
E X T E R N A L F A C T O R S I N F L U E N C I N G T O T A L R E W A R D S
T E C H N O L O G Y : W O R K E N V I R O N M E N T S A R E T A K I N G
O N A N E W F L E X I B I L I T Y I N T H E U S A
Source: Mercer’s 1999 and 2014 Total Rewards Studies.
30% 1999
70% 2014
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© MERCER 2016 18
E X T E R N A L F A C T O R S I N F L U E N C I N G T O T A L R E W A R D S
A C T I V I S T I N V E S T O R S : C O N T I N U E D P R E S S U R E O N
C O R P O R A T E R E S U L T S R E Q U I R E S R E T H I N K I N G T O T A L
R E W A R D S
BILL ACKMAN CARL ICAHN
© MERCER 2016 19
© MERCER 2016 19
YOUR THOU GHTS ABOUT
THE FUTURE
© MERCER 2016 20
Y O U R T H O U G H T S A B O U T T H E F U T U R E
T R U E O R F A L S E ?
BY 1. Total Rewards will be customized for each employee.
2. Employees will have more risk through incentive compensation.
3. Employer sponsored benefits will become more prominent.
4. Organizations will reduce training and development
expenditures.
5. Healthcare will primarily be provided through government
programs.
6. The workforce will have more contingent workers than today.
7. Performance management ratings will have disappeared.
8. Increased workplace flexibility will be the norm: hours, pays, etc.
9. All pay will be transparent.
10. Pay disparity between haves and have-nots will have decreased.
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© MERCER 2016 21
© MERCER 2016 21
HOW W ILL
ORGANIZ AT IONS
RESPOND?
© MERCER 2016 22
H O W W I L L O R G A N I Z A T I O N S R E S P O N D ?
C O N T I N U E D L A B O R F O R C E R A T I O N A L I Z A T I O N
PRE-1880 1880-1980
INDUSTRIAL
REVOLUTION
TODAY
THE FREE AGENT
• Independent
• Self-sufficient
• Apprentice model
• Big is better
• Asset-based
• Standard processes
• Small is nimble
• Knowledge-based
• Decentralized reward
system with individual
accountability
T H E artisan
T H E
employee T H E
free agent
© MERCER 2016 23
H O W W I L L O R G A N I Z A T I O N S R E S P O N D ?
T A L E O F T W O W O R K F O R C E S : C O R E V S . C O N T I N G E N T
COMPANY
CONTINGENT
WORKERS
FREE AGENTS,
CONTRACTORS
CORE
WORKERS
NURTURED,
INDIVIDUAL
ACCOUNTABILITY
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© MERCER 2016 24
H O W W I L L O R G A N I Z A T I O N S R E S P O N D ?
T H O U G H T F U L R E S P O N S E S : P E R S O N A L I Z E D E V P F O R
C O R E W O R K E R S
2020
Standardize Individualize
2015 YESTERDAY
Core employees viewed as
crucial for success
Confusion about employment
relationship Hire to retire
Individual accountability
for benefits, careers and workplace
Transactional employment
relationship Paternalistic
Personalized rewards
reflecting global cultures and multi-generations
Limited rewards flexibility One-size-fits-all
© MERCER 2016 25
H O W W I L L O R G A N I Z A T I O N S R E S P O N D ?
P R O G R E S S I V E E M P L O Y E E R E L A T I O N S
2020
Authoritative Participatory
2015 YESTERDAY
Employees as volunteers Employees as necessary evil Employees as fungible
Anything goes Business casual Formal dress code
Universal paid time off Limited attendance flexibility Rigid attendance policies
Pay arrangements are open
similar to proxy statement disclosures
Apps provide an opportunity
for pay comparisons Pay is secret
Work and play over 24/7:
employee determines place and time
Broad-band allows work to
be conducted outside of the employer site
Work is performed at the
employer site
Unions support lack of
living wages
Unions on the continued
decline
Union prominent for major
employers
© MERCER 2016 26
H O W W I L L O R G A N I Z A T I O N S R E S P O N D ?
C O M P E N S A T I O N F O R T H E N E W W O R L D O R D E R
2020
Internally-based Externally-based
2015 YESTERDAY
Employees as business
partners Employees desire fixed pay Limited employee risk
Market pay within global
levels
Market pay becomes
common practice
Base pay linked to internal
equity (job evaluation)
Fixed pay is at P25-50 with
P50+ coming from variable cash / equity compensation
Most organizations target
pay between P25-P75 Pay positioning is at market
Significant variable pay
opportunity is the norm
Most organizations offer
variable pay
Variable pay is limited to
executives and sales
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© MERCER 2016 27
H O W W I L L O R G A N I Z A T I O N S R E S P O N D ?
D O - I T - Y O U R S E L F B E N E F I T S
2020
Company risk Employee risk
2015 YESTERDAY
Individual accountability
through self management
Organization role continues
to decline Paternalistic
Organizations provide
group purchasing power
Cost shifting and
abandonment of employee benefits
Organization provided health
care, retirement, etc.
401(k) plans with and
without employer match Defined contribution
Defined benefit pension
plans
Self health management Hit or miss health
engagement
Employees are passive
health recipients
© MERCER 2016 28
H O W W I L L O R G A N I Z A T I O N S R E S P O N D ?
A C T I V E T A L E N T M A N A G E M E N T
2020
Passive talent management Aggressive talent management
2015 YESTERDAY
Constant struggle to retain
skills and millennials Labor markets tightening Unlimited supply of talent
Continuous training and
development to support EVP
Buy experienced talent New hire training
Well defined lattice career
growth
Career progression being
defined Hierarchical career path
Frequent performance
assessments with annual ratings
Healthy experimentation Annual performance
management process
Leadership is multi-cultural Global mobility is
encouraged
Leadership reflects home
country
© MERCER 2016 29
H O W W I L L O R G A N I Z A T I O N S R E S P O N D ?
D I V E R S I T Y A N D P A Y E Q U I T Y A R E R E A L I T I E S
2020
Good idea Mandatory practices
2015 YESTERDAY
Employers match the multi-
cultures that they serve
Organizations struggle to
meet goals
Diversity goals in most
organizations
Analytics drives good
decision making Experimentation is rampant
Employers don’t know how to
develop diverse talent
Pay fairness is assured
through analytics
Pay inequality is a leadership
concern Pay equity is afterthought
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© MERCER 2016 30
© MERCER 2016 30
W HAT YOU CAN DO TO
PREPARE TO M ANAGE
TOTAL REWARDS IN 2020
© MERCER 2016 31
W H A T Y O U C A N D O T O P R E P A R E T O M A N A G E T O T A L
R E W A R D S I N 2 0 2 0
M U L T I P L E P E R S P E C T I V E S : T H I N K H O L I S T I C A L L Y
EMPLOYER
PERSPECTIVE
Compensation Benefits Careers W ork/Life
EMPLOYEE
PERSPECTIVE
My value today My f inancial security
and protect ion My future value My quality of life
© MERCER 2016 32
Imp
ort
an
ce
Higher
Lower
Satisfaction Lower Higher
W H A T Y O U C A N D O T O P R E P A R E T O M A N A G E
T O T A L R E W A R D S I N 2 0 2 0
E M P L O Y E E P R E F E R E N C E S : U N D E R S T A N D I N G
I M P O R T A N C E V S S A T I S F A C T I O N
401k plan
Medical Cvg
Vacation
Pension
Flexible Work Arrgmnts
STD/LTD
Dental Cvg Sick Days
Life Insurance Retiree Medical
Wellness Progs Educ Asst
Financial Educ
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© MERCER 2016 33
W H A T Y O U C A N D O T O P R E P A R E T O M A N A G E T O T A L
R E W A R D S I N 2 0 2 0
S E G M E N T A T I O N : T A I L O R I N G P R O G R A M S T O
B U S I N E S S A N D W O R K F O R C E N E E D S
JOB LEVEL
PERFORMANCE
RATING
GEOGRAPHY
JOB FAMILY
GENERATION
BUSINESS MODEL
/ LIFE CYCLE
YESTERDAY 2015
2020
© MERCER 2016 34
W H A T Y O U C A N D O T O P R E P A R E T O M A N A G E T O T A L
R E W A R D S I N 2 0 2 0
D E C I S I O N M A K I N G : M O V I N G F R O M “ I T H I N K ” T O “ I
K N O W ”
LESS
POWERFUL
MORE
POWERFUL measurement continuum
Anecdotes
Reactive Checks
Ongoing Reports
Benchmarks
Correlat ions
Simulat ions and
Forecast ing
Predict ive / Causal
Modeling
© MERCER 2016 35
HEAD COUNT
Current Manpower
Predicted Future Headcount
Future Demand
W H A T Y O U C A N D O T O P R E P A R E T O M A N A G E T O T A L
R E W A R D S I N 2 0 2 0
W O R K F O R C E P L A N N I N G : A N T I C I P A T I N G T H E F U T U R E
FUTURE GAPS – SUPPLY AND DEMAND
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© MERCER 2016 36
W H A T Y O U C A N D O T O P R E P A R E T O M A N A G E T O T A L
R E W A R D S I N 2 0 2 0
W O R K F O R C E P L A N N I N G : U N D E R S T A N D I N G T H E
I N T E R N A L L A B O R M A R K E T
Total Hires Total Exits
100 136 Support Staff
500 300 Professional
150 50 Manager
30 12 Director
8 7 Executive
20
60
180
50
© MERCER 2016 37
CURRENT
ROLE
FUTURE OPPORTUNITIES
G RO UP
D
G RO UP
F
G RO UP
G
G RO UP
B
G RO UP
E
ROLE
PROFILE
G RO UP
A
ROLE
PROFILE
G RO UP
C
ROLE
PROFILE
D E V E L O P I N G A T O T A L R E W A R D S 2 0 2 0 S T R A T E G Y
C A R E E R P A T H S : P R O V I D E C L A R I T Y A R O U N D
P R O G R E S S I O N O P P O R T U N I T I E S
© MERCER 2016 38
• What does or should differentiate it from
competing employment opportunities?
• How do employees place VALUE on the current rewards
package?
• What are the labor and related rewards environments in which the COMPANY COMPETES?
• How do they influence or constrain rewards practices that the company may wish to adopt?
• What are workforce needs in terms of structure, behavior, capabilities
and performance?
• How should the rewards programs be designed
and delivered in order to secure those workforce
OUTCOMES?
• Can the rewards programs designed to support the desired strategy be provided at an AFFORDABLE and SUSTAINABLE cost?
• If not, how should they be modified to be financially viable?
C O S T P E R S P E C T IV E
E MP L O YE R P E R S P E C T IV E
E MP L O YE E P E R S P E C T IV E
E X T E R N A L P E R S P E C T IV E
D E V E L O P I N G A T O T A L R E W A R D S 2 0 2 0 S T R A T E G Y
T H E R I G H T Q U E S T I O N S
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© MERCER 2016 39
Compensation Benefits Careers
BASE PAY ANNUAL
INCENTIVES
LONG-TERM
INCENTIVES
GROUP
BENEFITS RETIREMENT PERQUISITES
PERFORMANCE
MANAGEMENT
WORK/LIFE
BALANCE
WORKFORCE
PLANNING/
CAREER
PATHING
ROLE OF
REWARD
ELEMENT
Attract and
retain;
reward
building
skills
Reward
individual,
business unit
and corporate
performance
Link to
shareholder
value creation
Personal risk
management
Wealth
accumulation
Tax
efficiency
Goal setting/
accountability
Compelling
place to work
Adequate
supply of
talent
COMPETITIVE
POSITIONING
25th
percentile
Base + STI =
75th percentile
Base + STI +
LTI = 90th
percentile
Leading
edge design;
50th
percentile
50th
percentile
Market
practices
Support “build”
talent strategy
Environment
difficult to
match by
competitors
Balance pay
and benefits
with career
opportunities
IMPACT OF
POSITIONING
Risk
tolerance
Performance
orientation
Rewards long-
term growth
Desirable
employer
Facilitate
orderly
retirement
Employment
brand
Focused
efforts
Attraction and
retention of
qualified staff
Support
“build” talent
strategy
METRICS
Acceptance
rate
turnover;
appropriate
skills
Business
results
Stock price
growth
Cost and
value
delivered
Retirement
income
adequacy;
financial
management
Cost;
commitment
index
Scorecard
results
Commitment
index;
turnover
Percentage
of outside
hires
W H A T Y O U C A N D O T O P R E P A R E T O M A N A G E T O T A L
R E W A R D S I N 2 0 2 0
D E V E L O P I N G A T O T A L R E W A R D S S T R A T E G Y :
S A M P L E B L U E P R I N T
© MERCER 2016 40
© MERCER 2016 40
CALL TO ACTION
© MERCER 2016 41
C A L L T O A C T I O N
W H A T C A N Y O U D O ?
> Approach the future of Total Rewards based on ability to influence desired
outcomes in terms of retention, engagement, productivity and results.
> Make holistic decisions based on your specific situation, considering pay,
benefits, careers, and work/life.
> Utilize fact-based predictive modeling decision making.
> Go beyond what others are doing – company-specific best fit vs. best
practices.
> Focus on people, the last frontier for building a sustained competitive
advantage.
> Communicate what is important.
> Define Total Rewards program governance to ensure consistent
application of policies and procedures.
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