Monografía: participación y resultados electorales en el Estado de México 1996-2012

8/16/2019 Monografía: participación y resultados electorales en el Estado de México 1996-2012

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VJ_THKHVJKHÛG X_N[^ITJDA[NINKTA_JIN[NG NI N[TJDA DN@ÈRHKA :885-?6:?


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VJ_THKHVJKHÛG X_N[^ITJDA[NINKTA_JIN[NG NI N[TJDA DN

@ÈRHKA :885-?6:?

Mujg Kjrias Uhiijrrnji @jrtàgnz


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Vrh`nrj ndhkhûg, gavhn`orn dn ?6:?

© ?6:?

Mujg Kjrias Uhiijrrnji @jrtàgnz

© ?6:?

Hgsthtuta Ninktarji dni Nstjda dn @èxhka

Vjsna Taiiakjg gý`. 844, kai. [jgtj Jgj Tijpjithtiêg,

K. V. >6:56, Taiukj, @èxhka

www.hnn`.arl.`x

Kaardhgjkhûg Ndhtarhji

Kngtra dn Ear`jkhûg y Daku`ngtjkhûg Ninktarji

Lustjva Iûpnz @agthni

Khra Ljrkàj @jràg

Karrnkkhûg dn nsthia y dhsnúa ndhtarhji

Êrnj dn Vra`akhûg Ndhtarhji dni

Kngtra dn Ear`jkhûg y Daku`ngtjkhûg Ninktarji

dni Hgsthtuta Ninktarji dni Nstjda dn @èxhka

[nrhn= Hgvnsthljkhagns Muràdhkjs y Vaiàthka-Ninktarjins

Dnrnkbas rnsnrvjdas kagear`n j ij iny

H[OG 8


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HG[THT^TA NINKTA_JI DNI N[TJDA DN @ÈRHKA

KAG[NMA LNGN_JI

@. ng D. Mnsýs Kjsthiia [jgdavji

Kagsnmnra Vrnshdngtn

Ihk. M. Vaihkjrpa @agtns dn Akj Uêzqunz

@tra. Jrtura Oaiha Knrdêg

@. ng D. Joni Jluhijr [êgkbnz

@. ng D. Mnsýs L. Mjrdûg Gjvj

D. ng J. V. Masè @jrtàgnz UhikbhsIhk. Mujg Kjrias Uhiijrrnji @jrtàgnz

Kagsnmnras Ninktarjins

@. ng J. V. Erjgkhska Mjvhnr Iûpnz Karrji

[nkrntjrha Nmnkuthva Lngnrji

_nprnsngtjgtns dn ias pjrthdas paiàthkas

VJG Ihk. Mujg Jgtagha Eiarns Kata

V_H Dhp. Marln Êivjrnz Kaiàg

V_D Ihk. @jrha Ngrhqun dni Tara

VT Ihk. Mani Kruz Kjgsnka

VUN@ K. Nstnojg Enrgêgdnz Kruz

@K Ihk. Barjkha Ngrhqun Mh`ègnz Iûpnz

GJ Ihk. Ongmj`àg _j`àrnz _ntj`j

_nprnsngtjgtns dn ijs kajihkhagns

Ka`pra ǹthdas par ni Nstjda dn @èxhka Ihk. Marln Tarrns _adràlunz

@arngj Ihk. Jr`jgda Ojuthstj Lû`nz

@avh`hngta pralrnshstj Ihk. Mjvhnr _hvnrj Nskjiagj

^ghdas ns pashoin Ihk. Jlustàg Êglni Ojrrnrj [arhjga

Ni kj`oha vnrdjdnra Ihk. @jrkas Êivjrnz Vèrnz


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Jlrjdnzka ij hgvjiujoin kaijoarjkhûg dn kainljs y praen-

shagjins ng ij `jtnrhj ninktarji ng ij nijoarjkhûg dn nstn daku-

`ngta, djda qun ij rnkaphijkhûg, jktujihzjkhûg y kijshkjkhûg

dn ij hgear`jkhûg iinvû vjrhas júas, par ia qun shg su jyudj bu-ohnrj shda h`pashoin (Kèsjr D. Lû`nz @arnga, Kèsjr ^. @hmjg-

las, Mujg Kjrias @ukhúa, Kjrias Tarrns, Hsjjk Jrtnjlj Gavaj,

Jvnihgj Tjvnrj, Kjraihgj Durêg, Hvêg Ujidès, Mnsýs N. Dêvhij,

Jrgjida _uhz y Jgtagha Iûpnz).


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:;=V_N[NGTJKHÛG K_NKH@HNGTA

DN IJ IH[TJ

GA@HGJI NGNI N[TJDADN @ÈRHKA

:


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VJ_THKHVJKHÛGNINKTA_JI

_N[^ITJDA[@^GHKHVJIN[

4:=


10/174

:6


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:4;= :48=_N[ÎTJDA[DH[T_HTJIN[

ENDN_JIN[

NGK^N[TJ[ [AO_NKJIHDJD DN IJ

DN@AK_JKHJ XKÎT^_J VAIÀTHKJ NG IJ NGTHDJD.

_N[ÎTJDA[[AO_N NI HNN@


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:5:=KAGKI^[HAGN[ OHOIHAL_JEÀJ

:5;=


13/174

:;

Nstn trjojma ns ni pradukta dn dhenrngtns ejktarns=

j ka`prngdnr ni ka`partj`hngta ninktarji ̀ nxhqungsn, j trjvès dni nstu-

dha dn djtas nstjdàsthkas saorn ijs ninkkhagns ng ni Nstjda dn @èxhka.

-

khûg dn djtas.

nquhpa, bj snrvhda pjrj lngnrjr ugj àgalrjeàj ninktarji dni Nstjda dn

@èxhka qun kagtrhouyj j ij ka`prngshûg dn ij jrngj paiàthka-ninktarji, j

ia ijrla dn paka `ês dn trns iustras.

-

`hngta ninktarji dn `jgnrj sngkhiij y dhdêkthkj.

Kaà ear`j dn laohnrga, praynkta paiàthka a vàj pjrj ij kagvhvngkhj sa-

khji, ij dnàkrjkhj bj dnàstrjda snr, ng ias thn`pas àdnrgas, ni ýghka shstn-`j paiàthka kjpjz dn kagkhihjr ij jsphrjkhûg par ni padnr, ij pjrthkhpjkhûg khu-

V_N[NGTJKHÛG


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:4

djdjgj ng ias jsugtas pýoihkas, ni nmnrkhkha ihorn dni suerjlha y ni rnspnta j ias

dnrnkbas bu`jgas.

Ij dnàkrjkhj bj shlgjda ni pnri dn ijs gjkhagns akkhdngtjins qun bjg ous-kjda ij nxpjgshûg y ni eartjinkh`hngta dn nstn shstn`j. Gu`nrasas pjàsns ijthgaj-

`nrhkjgas —gjkhagns akkhdngtjins ji g y ji kjoa— ia bjg jdaptjda kaà su

ear`j dn laohnrga, dnspuès dn bjonr vhvhda j ij saòrj dn rnlà`ngns jutarhtjrhas

a dhktjdurjs. Var niia, ni juln dn ij dnàkrjkhj ng Ijthgaj`èrhkj bj praphkhjda

qun èstj sn kagvhnrtj ng ugj dn ijs `ês h`partjgtns rnlhagns ̀ ugdhjins ng kujgta

j krnkh`hngta nkagû`hka, sakhapaiàthka y kuiturji.

@èxhka, ji kuji padnàs uohkjr dngtra dni lrupa dn gjkhagns iàdnrns ng Ij-

thgaj`èrhkj, ns uga dn ias pjàsns qun sn bj earmjda kaà ug nxpnrta ng `jtnrhjninktarji, dnohda j ijs j`pihjs y praiagljdjs rnear`js ninktarjins gjkhagjins y

iakjins, h`pin`ngtjdjs saorn tada kag `jyar ègejshs dnsdn ij dèkjdj dn :8‘:,25? bjohtjgtns (qun rnprnsngtjg :;.>% dn ij paoijkhûg dni pjàs),

ka`prngdn jdn`ês das dn ijs khgka zagjs `ntrapaihtjgjs `ês h`partjgtns dni

pjàs= ij dni Ujiin dn @èxhka, hgtnlrjdj par 56 ùghkhphas (>8 ùghkhphas dni Ns-

tjda dn @èxhka y uga dni nstjda dn Bhdjila) y :5 dninljkhagns dni Dhstrhta Endn-

rji3 y ij dni Ujiin dn Taiukj, ka`punstj par ?? ùghkhphas dni Nstjda dn @èxhka.

Kaà djta jdhkhagji, tjòhèg akupj ni snlugda iuljr ng kujgta j ij pjrthkhpj-

khûg dni pradukta hgtnrga oruta (VHO) gjkhagji.Kag nstjs vjrhjoins y ejktarns, ug nspnktjkuijr krnkh`hngta paoijkhagji bj

tnghda rnpnrkushagns tjgta ng ij piurjihdjd paiàthkj, kaà ng ij jitnrgjgkhj y ng ij

ka`pnththvhdjd ninktarji, kjrjktnràsthkjs qun sn jkngtýjg mustj`ngtn ng ni pnrhada

dn `jyarns rnear`js ninktarjins rnlhstrjdjs.

^g júa dnspuès dn ij rnear`j ninktarji dn :88>, ng ni Nstjda dn @èxhka sn

krnj ni Hgsthtuta Ninktarji dni Nstjda dn @èxhka (HNN@), y ng gavhnòrn dn :885

sn kninorjg ijs prh`nrjs ninkkhagns ng ij ngthdjd arljghzjdjs par ug arljghsà

pýoihka jutûgaà.


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:>

Dnsdn ngtagkns, j trjvès dn :5 júas sn bjg rnjihzjda gunvn ninkkhagns ardh-

gjrhjs y trns nxtrjardhgjrhjs, lngnrjgda nin`ngtas dn `nmarj qun bjg uohkjda ji

Hgsthtuta Ninktarji dni Nstjda dn @èxhka kaà ug rnenrngtn pjrj atras arljghsàsninktarjins iakjins dni pjàs.

Nstjs :? ninkkhagns bjg djda kaà rnsuitjda ng ij ngthdjd ug jita parkngtj-

mn dn jitnrgjgkhj ng jyugtj h̀ngtas y dhstrhtas iakjins, jitj ka`pnththvhdjd y pjrth-

khpjkhûg ninktarji ùy dhenrngkhjdj ngtrn kjdj ninkkhûg.

Var tada niia, nstn trjojma bj prakurjda rnkupnrjr kjdj ugj dn ijs vjrhjoins

y nin`ngtas dn jgêihshs qun hgvaiukrjg ias rnsuitjdas ninktarjins ng ij ngthdjd, j

pjrthr dn ij krnjkhûg dni HNN@, pjrj trjtjr dn kagstruhr ugj sûihdj àgalrjeàj

ninktarji, dhvhdhdj ng akba jpjrtjdas qun djg kungtj dn ij nvaiukhûg ninktarji qunbj rnlhstrjda ni Nstjda dn @èxhka ng ias ýithàs trns iustras.


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:<

Ni krnkh`hngta dn ij Ihstj Ga`hgji dni Nstjda dn @èxhka bj shda joru`jdar3

ng :5 júas, bj krnkhda 58.;8%, ia qun shlghehkj 4 `hiiagns ?>8 `hi 4; khudj-

djgas gunvas.

Nstn krnkh`hngta dn ij Ihstj Ga`hgji ns ka`pjrjoin kag ij Ihstj Ga`hgji

dn Vunoij, @hkbajkêg a Gunva Inûg a dn pjàsns kaà Krajkhj, Ni [jivjdar y

Dhgj`jrkj.

Ni hgkrn`ngta bj shda ij kagsnkungkhj dn ugj `hlrjkhûg kagstjgtn j ij

ngthdjd, nstn engû`nga thngn su prhgkhpji jshngta ng :6 ùghkhphas qun kagthngng>?.8:% dn ij Ihstj Ga`hgji, gunvn dn niias pnrtngnkng j ij ]agj @ntrapaihtjgj

dni Ujiin dn @èxhka (]@U@) (Nkjtnpnk, Gnzjbujikûyati, Gjukjipjg, Tijignpjgtij,

Kbh`jibujkêg, Jthzjpêg dn ]jrjlazj, Kujuthtiêg Hzkjiih, Tuithtiêg n Hxtjpjiukj) y

uga j ij ]agj @ntrapaihtjgj dni Ujiin dn Taiukj (]@UT) (Taiukj). Ni rnsta dn ias

ùghkhphas (::>) kagsnrvjg ni rnstjgtn 4%, rnspnkthvj`ngtn),

nstn krnkh`hngta padràj nstjr vhgkuijda kag ijs paiàthkjs paoijkhagjins dn ij

K_NKH@HNGTA

DN IJ IH[TJ GA@HGJI NG NIN[TJDA DN @ÈRHKA


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:2

ngthdjd, yj qun ng nsas das `ughkhphas sn ngkungtrjg ijs iij`jdjs «Khudjdns

Ohkngtngjrha³, ijs kujins kagsthtuyng j`pihas ka`pinmas bjohtjkhagjins.

Atra djta eugdj`ngtji ns ni arhlng dn ias ninktarns= ng ij ngthdjd, tjg sûia45% dn ias hgtnlrjgtns dn ij Ihstj Ga`hgji sag arhlhgjrhas dni Nstjda dn @èxhka, y

dn ias gunvn `ughkhphas `ngkhagjdas kag `jyar gý`nra dn Ihstj Ga`hgji, qun

pnrtngnkng j ij ]@U@, thngng ng pra`ndha ?5% dn arhlhgjrhas dni nstjda. Nsa

quhnrn dnkhr qun

L

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J

?668

J

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L

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J

:?,666,666

:5,666,666

:;‘685,525

5‘:;8,64; 58.;8%


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:8

Eungtn= nijoarjkhûg praphj kag hgear`jkhûg dni

Hgsthtuta Endnrji Ninktarji (HEN) (?6:?j).

Ng :5 júas, ni krnkh`hngta dn ij Ihstj Ga`hgji dni Nstjda dn @èxhka thngn

nstjs nquhvjingkhjs=

N I G

V= ‘,

@ê= ‘,

G Iû= ‘,


20/174

?6

Eungtn= nijoarjkhûg praphj kag hgear`jkhûg dni Hgtnrgjthagji

Hgsthtutn ear Dn`akrjky jgd Ninktarji Jsshstjgkn (HDNJ) (?6:?j).

Và I G

K= ‘, ()

N [= ‘, ()

D= ‘, ()


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Eungtn= nijoarjkhûg praphj kag hgear`jkhûg dni HNN@ (?6:?j).

Dû I G

UHIIJ DNI

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TN]AX^KJ

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UJIIN DN KBJIKA[AIHDJ_HDJD

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@ês dn >66 h̀i khudjdjgas > ;‘6 h̀i j :66 h̀i khudjdjgas :? ?‘6>5,:?: :8.6 h̀i khudjdjgas :2 :‘:6 h̀i khudjdjgas 2> :‘55;,?


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@ê >66,666

: Nkjtnpnk :‘:25,>58 ::.4:

? Gnzjbujikûyati 2>4,82: 2.??; Gjukjipjg 5>:,>55 5.?<

4 Taiukj >4>,;;> >.?>

> Tijignpjgtij >;8,?56 >.:8

[uotatji ;‘


23/174


24/174

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D :66,666 ?>6,666

: Ghkaiês _a`nra ?46,;>6 ?.;:? Ujiin dn Kbjika [aihdjrhdjd ?;5,8?5 ?.?2; Tnkê`jk ?;?,?45 ?.?;4 Kajkjika ?62,;5> ?.66

> Kbjika :28,622 :.2?5 Tnxkaka :56,;52 :.>4< @ntnpnk :>5,;64 :.>68 Ij Vjz :42,444 :.4;:6 Kbhkaiajpjg :?;,:;; :.:2:: ]u`pjgla :6?,;?8 6.82:? ]hgjkjgtnpnk :66,2>4 6.8<

[uotatji ?‘6>5,:?: :8.


25/174

?>

D >6,666 :66,666

: Hxtijbujkj 84,622 6.8

? Jiàiayj dn Muêrnz 8?,846 6.8

; Tuitnpnk 8?,;2; 6.8

4 Inr`j 6.2

> [jg Enihpn dni Vralrnsa ,:42 6.<

5 Bunbuntakj 55,;:4 6.5

< Kujuthtiêg 5;,26< 6.5

2 Jtijkaùika 5;,>2< 6.5

8 Jkai`jg 5;,4:> 6.5

:6 Tngjgkhgla 56,:>: 6.5

Gý. @ I G %

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?5

:: Mhiatnpnk >>,856 6.>4

:? [jg @jtna Jtngka >4,82? 6.>;

:; Tnaiayukjg >;,8?

:4 Tn`ajyj >;,865 6.>?

:> [jg Masè dni _hgkûg >;,458 6.>:

:5 Uhiij Uhktarhj >?,?56 6.>

:< Tnpatzatiêg >6,6,48> 6.48

[uotatji :‘:6,666

: Tngjgla dni Ujiin 48,,2 6.44

; Mhquhphika 4>,6 Ujiin dn Orjva 44,:55 6.4?

5 Tn`jskjikhgla 4;,524 6.4?

< Makathtiêg 4:,>;; 6.46

2 Jkj`ojy 4:,?88 6.46

8 Akayajkjk ;2,> 6.;<:6 @nikbar Akj`pa ;2,;86 6.;<

:: Tnathbujkêg ;2,?6: 6.;<

:? Uhiij Lunrrnra ;5,68: 6.;>

:; J`nkj`nkj ;>,< 6.;;

:> Tiji`jgjika ;;,4;5 6.;?

:5 Kayatnpnk ;?,?64 6.;:

:< Jtngka ;6,58; 6.;6:2 Jkuika ?2,>6; 6.?<

Gý. @ I G %

Gý. @ I G %


27/174

?<

Gý. @ I G %

:8 Kjih`jyj ?2,?26 6.?<

?6 Uhiij dn Jiingdn ? Hxtjpjg dn ij [ji ?;,::< 6.??

?5 Tn`jskjijpj ?;,6>< 6.??

?< Ni Ara ??,888 6.??

?2 Atu`oj ??,2;: 6.???8 Tnquhxquhjk ??, 6.??

;6 Tnzayukj ?:,2?5 6.?:

;: Iuvhjgas ?:,4?> 6.?:

;? J`jtnpnk ?:,;6; 6.?6

;; Tn`jskjitnpnk ?:,?2< 6.?6

;4 Kjpuibujk ?:,6:4 6.?6

;> Dagjta Lunrrj :8,8?2 6.:2

;8 Akuhijg :2,::2 6.:<

46 [uitnpnk :2,6;5 6.:<

4: Tnpntijaxtak :


28/174

?2

>4 Mhiatzhgla :?,545 6.:?

>> Tnpntihxpj :?,>>? 6.:?

>5 Tnxkjithtiêg ::,84? 6.::

>< Th`hipjg ::,486 6.::

>2 [jg Jgtagha ij Hsij ::,;8 ]u`pjbujkêg :6,5 Maquhkhgla 2,2>5 6.68

55 [ayjghquhipjg dn Muêrnz 2,>?5 6.62

5< Tn`j`jtij 2,?


29/174

?8


Dû I G

UHIIJ DNI

KJ_OÛG

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_A@N_A

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B^NB^NTAKJ

TNKÊ@JK

JTNGKA

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TNATHB^JKÊG

TN@J[KJIJVJ

JRJV^[KA

AT^@OJ

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TNRKAKA

IJ VJ]

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H[HD_A EJONIJ

TAI^KJ

THJGL^H[TNGKA

TN@AJXJ

MHZ^HVHIKA

AT]AIATNVNK

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GN]JB^JIKÛXATI

IN_@J

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RJIJTIJKA

TNGJGLA DNI UJIIN

KJIH@JXJ

AK^HIJG

TNGJGKHGLA

@JIHGJIKA

]^@VJB^JKÊG

UHIIJ DN JIINGDN

DAGJTA L^N__J

HRTJVJG

DNI A_A

[JGTA TA@Ê[

AT]AIAJVJG

]JKJ]AGJVJG

UJIIN DN O_JUA

J@JGJIKA

UHIIJ

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JI@AIAXJ DN

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TAGJTHKA

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DN IJ [JI

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JTIJ^TIJ

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B^RZ^HI^KJG

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[JG JGTAGHA

IJ H[IJ

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NI A_A

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MJITNGKA

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TNAIAX^KJG

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TAGJGHTIJ

KAJKJIKA

DNON__HA]JOJI


TIJIGNVJGTIJ

DNOJ] TIJIGNVJGTIJ

DNOJ]

[JG @J_TÀGDNIJ[VH_Ê@HDN[

TN]AX^KJ

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UJIIN DN KBJIKA

[AIHDJ_HDJD

KJVÎB^JK

:‘55;,? ̀ ughkhphas

%


30/174

;6

K I G ?666-?6:?

I :6 I G?666-?6:?

B u n b u n t a k j

T n k ê ` j k

K b h k a i a j p j g

H x t j p j i u k j

T n z a y u k j

[ j g J g t a g h a i j H s i j

J ` n k j ` n k j

[ j g M a s è d n i _ h g k û g

T u i t n p n k

K b j p u i t n p n k

@ n d h j n s t j t j i

6

:46%

:?6%

:66%

26%

56%

46%

?6%

..

.

.

.

..

.. .

.

Ni krnkh`hngta dn ij Ihstj Ga`hgji ng ij ngthdjd ns rnijthvj`ngtn ojma dn-

ohda j qun ias `ughkhphas qun nstêg krnkhngda ga sag ias `ês paoijdas (sjivaTnkê`jk n Hxtjpjiukj).

Ni krnkh`hngta ng Bunbuntakj bj shda `ês par ij `hlrjkhûg qun sn rnlhstrj

dni nstjda dn Bhdjila.

Eungtn= nijoarjkhûg praphj kag hgear`jkhûg dni HNN@ (?666j, ?6:?j).


31/174

;:

Gý. @ K ?666-?6:? % ?666-?6:?

: Bunbuntakj ;.:;

; Kbhkaiajpjg 5?,2 :6;.8>

4 Hxtjpjiukj :;:,:5> 24.6?

> Tnzayukj 8,555 ,;68 ,;

:> Tagjghtij ?,?;> >>.6:

:5 Jiàiayj dn Muêrnz ;?,>: >4.;:

:2 Jtngka :6,;>< >6.8;

:8 Tnàjyj :6.66

?6 Uhiij Uhktarhj : Tn`j`jtij ?,5:: 45.62

?5 Jtijkaùika ?6,6:8 4>.8>

?< Kujuthtiêg ?6,65> 4>.2<

?2 Hshdra Ejonij ?,:52 4>.2?

?8 ]jkjzagjpjg 826 4>.;;

;6 Jthzjpêg ?,::2 4>.?:

;: Tn`jskjijpj 5;; Kbhjutij >,;5> 44.44

K I G ?666-?6:?


32/174

;?

Gý. @ K ?666-?6:? % ?666-?6:?

;4 Mhiatzhgla ;,252 44.65

;> [jg [h`ûg dn Lunrrnra :,?22 44.66

;5 Rjijtijka 4,55; 4;.46

;< Atzaiatnpnk :;,66 4?.82

;8 Kakathtiêg ?,85; 4?.>2

46 Dagjta Lunrrj >,84? 4?.;5

4: Mhiatnpnk :5,>8

4; Kayatnpnk 8,4?8 4:.4644 Inr`j ?;,:5> 4:.?>

4> Tnxkjiyjkjk :,66< 4:.?6

45 Kbjpj dn @atj >,?;4 4:.:;

4< Tnpntijaxtak >,::< ;8.2:

42 Iuvhjgas 5,628 ;8.6 Ni Ara 5,>62 ;8.45

>: Uhiij Lunrrnra :6,:? Uhiij dni Kjroûg ; Tnaiayukjg :>,:?> ;2.8;

>4 J`jgjika 4,: ;2.4:

>> Tngjgla dni Ujiin :;,5 Hxtijbujkj ?>,28> ;< Tnxkjithtiêg ;,?24 ;2 Tnquhxquhjk 5,?;? ;,5 ; ;8

5; Ragjkjtiêg 8,?66 ;5.><

54 Ujiin dn Orjva ::, ;5.;:

5> Hxtjpjg dn ij [ji 5,:>: ;5.?>

55 Gapjitnpnk :,. ;>.5652 Mhquhphika ::,2?? ;>.>>


33/174

;;

Gý. @ K ?666-?6:? % ?666-?6:?

58 Thjgluhstngka ::,.?4

:< ;4.8>

;4.8:


34/174

;4

Gý. @ K ?666-?6:? % ?666-?6:?

:64 Tn`jskjikhgla 8,;:> ? Ji`aiayj dni _àa :,48; ?5.;4

:65 Kujuthtiêg Hzkjiih ,;5< ?>.>4

:6< Jtijutij ;,.;<

:62 _jyûg :,4>? ?>.?;

:68 Tnpntihxpj ?,455 ?4.4>

::6 Tijtijyj >,64; ?;.,6 ?6. Gnzjbujikûyati -?


35/174

;>

Eungtn= nijoarjkhûg praphj kag hgear`jkhûg dni HEN (?6::).

I G ( ?6::)

N @è45%

4‘2>;,25<

D E?>%

A ??%

U

;%

A:%

@ê6.?8%

Zè6.6>%

V?%

B:%

T6.6>%

[ I Và6.65%

@6.64%

L6.6?%

M6.64%

T :6‘>>>,558

>4% (>‘


36/174

;5


A N @è

UHIIJ DNI

KJ_OÛG

GHKAIÊ[_A@N_A

K^J^THTIÊGH]KJIIH

MHIAT]HGLA

TNVAT]ATIÊG

B^NB^NTAKJ

TNKÊ@JK

JTNGKA

JKAI@JG

TNATHB^JKÊG

TN@J[KJIJVJ

JRJV^[KA

AT^@OJ

TNVNTIJARTAK

TNRKAKA

IJ VJ]

GAVJITNVNK

H[HD_A EJONIJ

TAI^KJ

THJGL^H[TNGKA

TN@AJXJ

MHZ^HVHIKA

AT]AIATNVNK

RAGJKJTIÊG

GN]JB^JIKÛXATI

IN_@J

AKAXAJKJK

RJIJTIJKA

TNGJGLA DNI UJIIN

KJIH@JXJ

AK ĤIJG

TNGJGKHGLA

@JIHGJIKA

]^@VJB^JKÊG

UHIIJ DN JIINGDN

DAGJTA L^N__J

HRTJVJG

DNI A_A

[JGTA TA@Ê[

AT]AIAJVJG

]JKJ]AGJVJG

UJIIN DN O_JUA

J@JGJIKA

UHIIJ

UHKTA_HJ

JI@AIAXJ DN

M^Ê_N]

[ÎTNVNK

]JK^JIVJG

JI@AIAXJ DNJIZ^H[H_J[

TAGJTHKA

HRTJVJG

DN IJ [JI

UHIIJ

L^N__N_A

KAJTNVNK

BJ_HGJ[


NKJTNVNK

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DN M^Ê_N]

B^NXVARTIJ

JVJRKA

TNZ^HRZ^HJK

KBJIKA

M^KBHTNVNK

HRTJVJI^KJ

KBHKAIAJVJG

TIJI@JGJIKA

J@NKJ@NKJ JXJVJGLA

JTIJ^TIJ

NKJT]HGLATNVNTIHRVJ

B^RZ^HI^KJG

@NRHKJIT]HGLA

[JG JGTAGHA

IJ H[IJ

_JXÛG

JI@AIAXJDNI _ÀA

TNRKJIXJKJK

[JG ENIHVNDNI V_AL_N[A

[JG MA[È

DNI _HGKÛG

NI A_A

HRTIJB^JKJ

MAKATHTIÊG

@A_NIA[

TN@J[KJIKHGLA

JTIJKA@ÎKA

TH@HIVJG

JKJ@OJX

JKÎKA

VAIATHTIÊG

MHIATNVNK

[AXJGHZ ĤIVJG

KBJVJ DN @ATJ

IÛHJGA[

TNM^VHIKA

J@JTNVNK

TIJTIJXJ

[JG [H@ÛG DN

L^N__N_A

TN@J[KJITNVNK

TNRKJITHTIÊG

[JG @JTNA JTNGKA

KBJVÎTNVNK

MAZ^HKHGLA

JTH]JVÊG

KBH@JIB^JKÊG

KAKATHTIÊG

TN@J@JTIJ

TNGJGLADNIJH_N

A]^@OJ

MJITNGKA

KAXATNVNK

TNAIAX^KJG

@NIKBA_

KJ@VA

K^J^THTIÊG

GNRTIJIVJG

TÎTNVNK

TÎTHTIÊG

TAGJGHTIJ

KAJKJIKA

DN ON__HA]JOJI


TIJIGNVJGTIJ

DN OJ] TIJIGNVJGTIJ

DN OJ]

[JG @J_TÀGDN IJ[VH_Ê@HDN[

TN]AX^KJ

KBHJ^TIJ


UJIIN DN KBJIKA

[AIHDJ_HDJD

KJVÎB^JK

@ês dn 86% 4?

Ngtrn 28 y 26% ;6

Ngtrn 6% :4

Ngtrn 48 y 46% 5

Ngtrn ;8 y ;6% 5

Ngtrn ?8 y ?6% ::

@ngas dn ?6% :

@ughkhphas

[h ka`pjrjàs nstn ̀ jpj kag ij kagkngtrjkhûg dn ij Ihstj Ga`hgji, ns pjrn-

khda, yj qun ng ias ùghkhphas dagdn bjy `jyar paoijkhûg, ng ni Ujiin dn @èxhka,

ns dagdn bjy `ngar gý`nra dn arhlhgjrhas dn ij ngthdjd.


37/174

;<

* Ij ihstj nstê arljghzjdj dn `jyar j `ngar % dn arhlhgjrhas dn ij ngthdjd.

Gý. @ A N @è %*

: [uitnpnk 85.;2

? [jg Masè dni _hgkûg 85.?:

; ]u`pjbujkêg 8>.8>

4 [jg Enihpn dni Vralrnsa 8>.8?

> Uhiij Uhktarhj 8>..;4

< Uhiij dn Jiingdn 8>.;:

2 Dagjta Lunrrj 84.5<

8 Tnàjyj 84.55

:6 J`jtnpnk 84.45:: Kajtnpnk Bjrhgjs 84.45

:? J`jgjika 84.;<

:; Jiàiayj dn Jiquhshrjs 84.?<

:4 Tn`jskjitnpnk 84.??

:> Tnxkjithtiêg 8;.55

:5 @arnias 8;.>2

:< Jkjòjy 8;.;:

:2 Hxtijbujkj 8;.??:8 ]jkujipjg 8;.6?

?6 Hxtjpjg dni Ara 8?.8<

?: [jg [h`ûg dn Lunrrnra 8?.2<

?? Atzaiajpjg 8?.25

?; Nkjtzhgla 8?.25

?4 Tn`jskjikhgla 8?. Maquhkhgla 8?.55

?5 Atzaiatnpnk 8?.45?< Mhquhphika 8?.4:

?2 Akuhijg 8?.;5

?8 Iuvhjgas 8?.;4

;6 Jiàiayj dn Muêrnz 8:.82

;: _jyûg 8:.82

;? Tngjgla dni Ujiin 8:.82

;; ]hgjkjgtnpnk 8:.86


38/174

;2

Gý. @ A N @è %

;4 Tijtijyj 8:.6?

;> Kbjpj dn @atj 86.8<

;5 Kjih`jyj 86.2<

;< Tngjgkhgla 86.2>

;2 @nxhkjitzhgla 86.

;8 ]jkjzagjpjg 86.52

46 Tnmuphika 86.>8

4: @jihgjika 86.;>

4? Makathtiêg 86.:?

4; Th`hipjg 28.><44 Rjijtijka 28.>5

4> Ragjkjtiêg 28.;:

45 Jtijutij 28.68

4< [jgta Ta`ês 28.6;

42 Kjpuibujk 22.>2

48 Jiàiayj dni _àa 22.>;

>6 Ni Ara 24 Tagjthka 2> Jkuika 2

>5 Mukbhtnpnk 2< Azuòj 25.>4

>2 Ujiin dn Orjva 25.;2

>8 Jtijkaùika 2>.>456 Uhiij dni Kjroûg 2>.;2

5: Akayajkjk 24.>>

5? Kbhkagkujk 24.;;

5; Bunypaxtij 24.6;

54 Tnpntihxpij 2;.>4

5> Tnxkjiyjkjk 2;.:8

55 [jg Jgtagha ij Hsij 2;.:5

5< J`nkj`nkj 2?.;452 Tnquhxquhjk 2?.:>


39/174

;8

Gý. @ A N @è %

58 Mhiatnpnk 2:.


40/174

46


Gý. @ A N @è %

:64 Tn`j`jtij 45. Tnzayukj 4>.5?

:65 Kujuthtiêg 4;.>8

:6< Kbjika 4;.>8

:62 Tuitnpnk ;8.2?

:68 Mjitngka ; Kujuthtiêg Hzkjiih ?8.:6

::5 Tuithtiêg ?2.52

::< Hxtjpjiukj ?2.:;

::2 Tnkê`jk ?>

::8 Gjukjipjg ?5.5>

:?6 Kbhkaiajpjg ?5.?6

:?: Tijignpjgtij ?4.85:?? Nkjtnpnk ?:.;5

:?; Ujiin dn Kbjika ?:.;;

:?4 Gnzjbujikûyati ?:.:2

:?> Kajkjika :8.4>


41/174

4:

Ij pjrthkhpjkhûg dn ij ngthdjd nstê j`pihj`ngtn vhgkuijdj kag ias ùghkhphas

`ês paoijdas, dn ias kujins gunvn thngng ni `ngar parkngtjmn dn arhlhgjrhas dn

ij ngthdjd.

Ij pjrthkhpjkhûg ng nstas :6 ùghkhphas ns rnijthvj`ngtn ojmj ng ninkkha-

gns iakjins ga kahgkhdngtns= 4?.::%.

Ng ?668, kujgda sn tuva ugj pjrthkhpjkhûg dn >?%, eun ij prh`nrj ninkkhûg

kahgkhdngtn kag ij endnrji shg ugj ninkkhûg prnshdngkhji. Nsta, parqun ng ?665,

kujgda ij ninkkhûg iakji eun ng `jrza, shg kagtjr j Taiukj, ias gunvn ùghkh-phas rnstjgtns tuvhnrag ugj pjrthkhpjkhûg dn ;%,

ia kuji kagtrjstj kag ia nenktujda ng ?6:?, kujgda jikjgzû 54.


42/174

4?

Ng ni kjsa dni Nstjda dn @èxhka, ni nenkta ns `ês nvhdngtn ng ias ùgh-

khphas kagurojdas dni Ujiin dn @èxhka qun atarljg ugj `jyar h`partjgkhj j

ijs ninkkhagns endnrjins qun j ijs iakjins.Ias ùghkhphas kag `ngar pjrthkhpjkhûg ng ninkkhagns iakjins kungtjg

ng pra`ndha kag ?>.8% dn arhlhgjrhas dni Nstjda dn @èxhka ng ij Ihstj Ga`h-

gji3 y rnprnsngtjg 4>.:5% dni tatji dn nstj ihstj.

Ias ùghkhphas kag `jyar pjrthkhpjkhûg ng ninkkhagns iakjins (`ês dn

56%) kungtjg ng pra`ndha kag 28.2% dn arhlhgjrhas dni Nstjda dn @èxhka ng

ij Ihstj Ga`hgji y thngng `ngas dn >6 `hi khudjdjgas.

Nstas djtas sn pundng aosnrvjr ng ijs lrêehkjs shluhngtns, dagdn sn ùns-

trj kûà pjrthkhpjg ng ninkkhagns iakjins y endnrjins, jsà kaà ij hgeiungkhjdni ejktar «arhlng³.

Ij pjrthkhpjkhûg ng atrjs pjrtns dni ùgda ns h`partjgtn pjrj bjknr ug

nstudha ka`pjrjthva, kaà sn aosnrvjrê ng ijs lrêehkjs dn ijs pêlhgjs


43/174

4;

E u n g t n = n i j o a r j k h û g p r a p h j k a g h g e

a r ` j k h û g d n i a s h g s t h t u t a s n i n k t a r j i n s .

? 6 6 5

? 6 6 <

? 6 6 2

? 6 6 8

? 6 : 6

? 6 : :

? 6 : ?

? 6 %

6 %

4 6 %

5 6 %

2 6 %

V j r t h k h p j k h û g ` n d

h j

.

T

X ê

K

D

]

J

O K

A

U

K

[

@ ê

T

V

T

O K

Z _

B

G

L

K

K

K

D E

L

M

@

G I û

Z è

N @ è

K T

[

V

A

T

]

K

Z _

T

U

J

B

X ê

L

O K [

N @ è

K

B

G

@ ê

K

K

K

D E

L

L

M

N @ è

@

G I û

Z è

[ I V à

[

T

X ê

V û


44/174

44

Ij lrêkj jgtnrhar ùnstrj ij pjrthkhpjkhûg ng ias praknsas ninktarjins iakj-

ins, dagdn dnstjkj qun j pjrthr dn ?668, ij pjrthkhpjkhûg ninktarji ragdj ngtrn 46 y

56%, ns dnkhr, yj ga dnkrnkhû ij pjrthkhpjkhûg.Ijs ninkkhagns dn ?6:? sag ijs qun rnlhstrjg `jyar pjrthkhpjkhûg ng ninkkha-

gns iakjins, dnrhvjda dn ij kahgkhdngkhj kag ni praknsa endnrji, j su vnz, ju`ngtû

ni pra`ndha dn pjrthkhpjkhûg ninktarji.

Xukjtêg ns ij ngthdjd qun rnlhstrj `jyar pjrthkhpjkhûg ninktarji.

Vû

N

@è

:885:884 :88< :888 ?666 ?66; ?66> ?665 ?668 ?6:: ?6:?

?6%

6%

46%

56%

26%

I E

Eungtn= nijoarjkhûg praphj kag hgear`jkhûg dni HNN@ (?6:?o) n HEN (?6:?o).

Ia qun padnàs jdvnrthr kag ias djtas àstrjdas jgtnrhar`ngtn y kag nstj

ýith`j lrêkj ns qun ni ka`partj`hngta ng kujgta j ij pjrthkhpjkhûg ns lngnrj-

ihzjda ng ni pjàs, jitas parkngtjmns jgtns dn ij trjgshkhûg ng ?666 y dnspuès dn nsn

júa ojmas parkngtjmns dn pjrthkhpjkhûg3 ng nstj lrêkj ns `ês kijra ni ka`partj-

`hngta pjrj ninkkhagns endnrjins ng prnshdngkhjins, dagdn suon kagshdnrjoin`ng-tn y ng ninkkhagns hgtnr`ndhjs tjòhèg dn thpa endnrji ojmj j`pihj`ngtn.


45/174

4>

Vû N @è

Eungtn= nijoarjkhûg praphj kag hgear`jkhûg dni HNN@ (?6:?o) n HEN (?6:?o).

56%

46%

?6%

26%

.

.

.

.

..

. . .

.

. .

.

..

.

.

:885 :88< :888 ?666 ?66; ?66> ?665 ?668 ?6:: ?6:?

6%

I E


46/174


47/174

4<


a r ` j k h û g d n i H N N @ ( ? 6 6 5 o ) n H E N ( ? 6 6 5 j ) .

: 6 %

? 6 %

; 6 %

4 6 %

> 6 %

5 6 %

< 6 %

6 %

N

G

T

K ê H

T ê

U . K [

K

K

@

I V

]

]

T

[ E V

J

J

B

[ @ J

T

T U

U U

T

M

J

A

J

U L

T

J K

U K û

U J

J

I

T

N A

T

T

J

A

[

A

K

K

M

J

M

M

T

] ê

V ê

K ê

M

T

J _ à

T J

J ê

G

T

K

[ [ û L

T

]

V û

V û

V N @ è

û

V N @ è

û

@

@

@ ê s d n > 6 6 ` h i

D n ? > 6 ` h i j > 6 6 ` h i

D n : 6 6 ` h i j ? > 6 ` h i

D n > 6 ` h i j : 6 6 ` h i

@ n g a s d n > 6 ` h i

I a s g u n v n ` u g h k h p h a s ` ê s p a o i j d a s ( r n p r n s n g t j g > ? . 2 4 %

d n i j I

h s t j G a ` h g j i ) d h s t a r s h a g j g i a s p r a ` n d h a s d n ` j g n r j

` u y s h l g h e h k j t h v j .

G

a t j = i j l r ê e h k j ` u n s t r j i a s : ? > ` u g h k h p h a s d n i n s t j d a .

K û . ? 6 6 5

( K ú I G )


48/174

42


a r ` j k h û g d n i H N N @ ( ? 6 6 8 o ) n H E N ( ? 6 6 8 j ) .

? 6 %

6 %

4 6 %

5 6 %

2 6 %

N

G

T

J ê ]

T ê

U . K [

T ê

K

@

I V

]

H

T

[ E V

J

T

M

T

[ M è _ û

U U

T ê

T

M

J

A

@ A

J

T

J

J

U K û

B

H [

A

T

N A

T

D L

J

[

A

M

@

G

K

M

J

M

T

] ê

]

T

M

T

J _ à

_ û

[ T ê

G

N

J

[ [ û L

T

]

V û

V û

V N @ è

û ( > ? . ? 2 % )

V

N @ è

û ( > : . ; < % )

@ ê s d n > 6 6 ` h i

D n ? > 6 ` h i j > 6 6 ` h i

D n : 6 6 ` h i j ? > 6 ` h i

D n > 6 ` h i j : 6 6 ` h i

@ n g a s d n > 6 ` h i

K û . ( ) ? 6 6 8

( K ú I G )


49/174

48

E u n g t n = n i j o a r j k h û g p r a p h j

k a g h g e a r ` j k h û g d n i H N N @ ( ? 6 : : o ) .

I a s ` u g h k h p h a s n s t ê g a r d n g j d a s , s n l ý g n i t j ` j ú a

d n s u I h s t j G a ` h g j i , d n ` j y a r j ` n g a r y j l r u p j d a s d n

j k u n r d a k a g

n i j r t à k u i a 5 ¶ d n i j I n y A r l ê g h k j @ u g h k h p j i d n i N s t j d a d n @ è x h k a .

I j p j r t h k h p j k h û g s n ` u n s t r j k a r r n i j k h a g j d j k a g n i

g ý ` n r a d n k h u d j d j g a s n g i j I h s t j G a ` h g j i , s h n g d a q u n j

` j y a r g ý ` n r a d n n i n k t a r n s i j p j r t h k h p j k h û g d h s ` h g u y n y v h k n v n r s j .

T a i u k j r n p r n s n g t j u g j d n i j s n x k n p k h a g n s y j q u n m u

g t a k a g a t r a s k u j t r a ` u g h k h p h a s d n ` j y a r

i h s t j r n o j s j g n i

p r a ` n d h a d n p j r t h k h p j k h û g .

? 6 %

6 %

4 6 %

5 6 %

2 6 %

V r a ` n d h a

. %

N G

T

J ê ]

T ê

U . K [

T ê

K

@

I V

]

H

T

[ E V

J

T

M

T

[ M è _ û

U U

T ê

T

M

J

A

@ A

J

T

J

J

U K û

B

H [

A

T

N A

T

D L

J

[

A

M

@

G

K

M

J

M

T

] ê

]

T

M

T

J _ à

_ û

[ T ê

G

N

J

[ [ û L

T

]

@ ê s d n > 6 6 ` h i

D n ? > 6 ` h i j > 6 6 ` h i

D n > 6 ` h i j : 6 6 ` h i

D n : 6 6 ` h i j ? > 6 ` h i

@ n g a s d n > 6 ` h i

V û

? 6 : :


50/174

>6

E u n g t n = n i j o a r j k h û g p r a p h j k a g

h g e a r ` j k h û g d n i H N N @ ( ? 6 6 > o , ? 6 : : o ) .

? 6 %

6 %

4 6 %

5 6 %

2 6 %

N

G

T

J ê ]

T ê

U . K [

T ê

K

@

I V

]

H

T

[ E V

J

T

M

T

[ M è _ û

U U

T ê

T

M

J

A

@ A

J

T

J

J

U K û

B

H [

A

T

N A

T

D L

J

[

A

M

@

G

K

M

J

M

T

] ê

]

T

M

T

J _ à

_ û

[ T ê

G

N

J

[ [ û L

T

]

V û

? 6 6 >

V û

? 6 : :

@ ê s d n > 6 6 ` h i

D n ? > 6 ` h i j > 6 6 ` h i

D n : 6 6 ` h i j ? > 6 ` h i

D n > 6 ` h i j : 6 6 ` h i

@ n g a s d n > 6 ` h i

I a s :

6 ` u g h k h p h a s k a g ` j y a r g ý ` n r a

d n k h u

d j

d j g a s

r n p r n

s n g t j g

d n I h s t j G a ` h g j

i = > ; %

V j r t h k h p j k h û g = 4 : . :

; %

I a s `

u g h k h p h a s n s t ê g a r d n g j

d a s , s n l ý g n i t j ` j ú a

d n

s u I h s t j G a ` h g j i ,

d n ` j y a r j ` n g a r y j l r u p j

d a s

d n

j k u n r d a k a g n i j r t à k u

i a 5 ¶ d n

i j I n y A r l ê g h k j

@ u g h k h p j i

d n i N s t j

d a

d n @ è x h k a .

V û ? 6 6 > ? 6 : :


51/174

>:

E u n g t n = n i j o a

r j k h û g p r a p h j k a g h g e a r ` j k h û g d n i H N N @ ( ? 6 : : o ) , H G N L H ( ? 6 6 > j ) y L a o h n r g a d n i N s t j

d a d n @ è x h k a ( ? 6 : : ) .

N x h s t n u

g j g a t j o i n d h e n r n g k h j n g t r n j ` o j s z a g j s

` n t r a p a i h t j g j s . [ n d n o n t a ` j r n g k u n g t j

q u n i j ] @ U @ n s i j

` n t r û p a i h `

ê s l r j g d n d n i p j à s y i j ] @ U T n s i j q u h g t j . J s h ` h s ` a , s u s k j r j k t n r à s t h k j s d n ` a l r ê k j s

s a g d h s t h g t j s , y j q u n ,

p a r n m n ` p i a , n g n i U j i i n d n @ è x h k a i j ` h l r j k h û g d n a t r j s

n g t h d j d n s n s ` j y a r n g k a ` p j r j k h û g j i j ` h l r j k h û g b j k h j n i U j i i n

d n T a i u k j d a g d n n s p r n d a ` h g j g t n ` n g t n ` n x h q u n g s n .

K j o n ` n g k h a g j r q u n i a s a r h l h g j r h a s d n i N

s t j d a d n @ è x h k a s a g

p r a p a r k h a g j

i ` n g t n ` j y a r n s n g i j ] @ U T q u n i j d n i j ] @ U @ .

? 6 %

6 %

4 6 %

5 6 %

2 6 %

N

G û

G

T

K ê

J ê ]

K ê H

T ê

H

U . K [

G ê _

T ê

K

K

T

B

I V

K

]

T

K ê

J

B

T

T ê

T ê

@ A

J

T

K

J

U K û

B

A

T

T

T

J

J

A

M

T

K

G

[ @ à V ê

K

J

M

T

M

K ê

T

T J

H E

G

T

N

J

V

T

@

]

J M ê

I

[ @ J

T

T U

A

T

A

R ê

K

K

R

J J

[ J H

@

Monografía: participación y resultados electorales en el Estado de México 1996-2012

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Transcript of Monografía: participación y resultados electorales en el Estado de México 1996-2012