Emerging CRM - Udayan Datta (42)-Presentation

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    APPLIED ANALYTICS

    WORKSHOP

    NMIMS MPE 04 T4 COURSE: LECTURES 9-11

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    Emerging CRM

    Emerging CRM has high end value added components

    This is highly demandable in current market

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    Emerging CRM Data Mining

    Data Mining a field at the intersection ofcomputer science and

    statistics,is the process that attempts to discover patterns in large

    data sets. It utilizes methods at the intersection ofartificial

    intelligence, machine learning, statistics, and database systems. The

    overall goal of the data mining process is to extract information from a

    data set and transform it into an understandable structure for further

    use. Aside from the raw analysis step, it involves database and data

    management aspects, data preprocessing, model and inference

    considerations, interestingness metrics, complexity considerations,

    post-processing of discovered structures, visualization, and online

    updating.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Computer_sciencehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statisticshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Data_sethttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_intelligencehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_intelligencehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Machine_learninghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statisticshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Database_systemhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Data_managementhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Data_managementhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Data_Pre-processinghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_modelhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_inferencehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Computational_complexity_theoryhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Data_visualizationhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Online_algorithmhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Online_algorithmhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Online_algorithmhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Online_algorithmhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Data_visualizationhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Computational_complexity_theoryhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_inferencehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_modelhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Data_Pre-processinghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Data_managementhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Data_managementhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Database_systemhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statisticshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Machine_learninghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_intelligencehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_intelligencehttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Data_sethttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statisticshttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Computer_science
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    Data Mining Common tasks

    Data mining involves six common classes of tasks:

    Anomaly detection (Outlier/change/deviation detection) The

    identification of unusual data records, that might be interesting or data

    errors and require further investigation.

    Association rule learning (Dependency modeling)

    Searches forrelationships between variables. For example a supermarket might

    gather data on customer purchasing habits. Using association rule

    learning, the supermarket can determine which products are

    frequently bought together and use this information for marketing

    purposes. This is sometimes referred to as market basket analysis.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anomaly_detectionhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_rule_learninghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_rule_learninghttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anomaly_detection
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    Data Mining Common tasks

    Clustering is the task of discovering groups and structures in the

    data that are in some way or another "similar", without using known

    structures in the data.

    Classification is the task of generalizing known structure to apply to

    new data. For example, an e-mail program might attempt to classify

    an e-mail as "legitimate" or as "spam".

    Regression Attempts to find a function which models the data with

    the least error.

    Summarization providing a more compact representation of the data

    set, including visualization and report generation.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cluster_analysishttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_classificationhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Regression_analysishttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Automatic_summarizationhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Automatic_summarizationhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Regression_analysishttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_classificationhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cluster_analysis
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    Data Mining Noteable uses

    Games

    Business

    Science and Engineering

    Human Rights

    Medical and Spatial Data Mining

    Sensor/Visual/Music Data Mining

    Pattern Mining

    Knowledge Grid

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    Data Mining Application

    Data mining tools take data and construct a representation of reality in

    the form of a model. The resulting model describes patterns and

    relationships present in the data. From a process orientation, data

    mining activities fall into three general categories.

    Discoverythe process of looking in a database to find hidden patternswithout a predetermined idea or hypothesis about what the patterns may

    be.

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    Data Mining Application

    Forensic Analysisthe process of applying the extracted patterns tofind anomalous or unusual data elements.

    Prediction - Classification

    RFM

    Churn Prediction

    Cross/Up Selling Modeling Credit Risk Propensity Model

    Acquisition modeling

    Segmentation

    Value based segmentation

    Present value VS Potential value

    Present value VS Risk

    Behavioral segmentation Multi Attribute Segmentation

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    Data Mining Application

    Campaigning

    Campaign testing using control groups

    Next Best Activity

    Logistic Regression Models

    Predict like hood of purchase

    Statistical knowledge for linear correlations

    Association Detection

    Groups of products typically held together

    Very popular as Market basket Analysis

    Sequence Detection

    Actions and events which indicate next purchase

    Web- mining taking into account the time order

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    Data Mining Application

    Campaigning

    Campaign testing using control groups

    Next Best Activity

    Logistic Regression Models

    Predict like hood of purchase

    Statistical knowledge for linear correlations

    Association Detection

    Groups of products typically held together

    Very popular as Market basket Analysis

    Sequence Detection

    Actions and events which indicate next purchase

    Web- mining taking into account the time order

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    Data Mining - SAP HANA PRODUCT

    SAP is coming with the In-memory data computing engine which is purely

    based on CRM

    Data mining concepts.

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    Data Mining SAP HANA PRODUCT

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    Data Mining Application

    RETAIL - Through the use of store-branded credit cards and point-of-

    sale systems, retailers can keep detailed records of every shopping

    transaction. This enables them to better understand their various

    customer segments. Some retail applications include

    Performing basket analysis

    Sales forecasting

    Database marketing Merchandise planning and allocation

    BANKING - Banks can utilize knowledge discovery for various

    applications, including

    Card Marketing

    Cardholder pricing and profitability

    Fraud detection

    Predictive life-cycle management

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    Data Mining Application

    TELECOMMUNICATIONS - Telecommunication companies around

    the world face escalating competition which is forcing them to

    aggressively market special pricing programs aimed at retaining

    existing customers and attracting new ones. Knowledge discovery in

    telecommunications include the following

    Call detail record analysis

    Customer loyalty

    Other applications

    Customer segmentation

    Manufacturing

    Warranties

    Frequent flier incentives

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    Data Mining Technologies Block DIAGRAM

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    CRM Data Mining Techniques

    Neural Networks -

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    CRM Data Mining Techniques

    CHAID VS Neural Networks

    Both CHAID and neural networks can create predictive models. Such models

    include attrition, churn, propensity to purchase, and customer lifetime value.

    Yet in general, the application of neural networks is wider than CHAID. The

    reason for this is that neural networks can be applied to both directed

    (supervised) and undirected (unsupervised) data mining. Neural networks can

    handle both categorical (e.g., marital status) and continuous (e.g., income)

    independent variables, but these have to be transformed to 0/1 input variables. Neural networks can be used to solve estimation problems (with continuous

    outcomes); whereas CHAID provides good solutions to classification

    problems, can be used for exploratory analysis (perhaps prior to another

    modeling technique), and can provide descriptive rules.

    CHAID models are easier to build and implement than neural networks and

    also are less costly. Theoretically, neural networks should provide models thatare better than CHAID in terms of power and accuracy. That means they

    should be more powerful at discriminating between groups that fit the target

    (for instance, churn) and that they should predict correctly more often.

    Currently, this is not the case, perhaps because of the problems of over-fitting

    and sub-optimal solutions.