Análisis Simulación

8/16/2019 Análisis Simulación

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UNIVERSIDAD LIBRE SECCIONAL PEREIRAELECTIVA III

2015

SIMULACIÓN POR EVENTOS DISCRETOS

MELISSA CASTAÑO HOYOS

MARCELA MARÍA MORALES CHAVEZ

UNIVERSIDAD LIBRE SECCIONAL PEREIRA

INGENIERÍA COMERCIAL

ELECTIVA III

2015


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TABLA CONTENIDO

INTRODUCCIÓN 4

DESCRIPCIÓN DEL SISTEMA 5

PROGRAMACIÓN DEL MODELO 6

ANÁLISIS DE RESULTADOS

PROPUESTA DE ME!ORA 10

PROGRAMACIÓN PROPUESTA DE ME!ORA 11

CONCLUSIONES 1"

MELISSA CASTAÑO HOYOSINGENIERÍA COMERCIAL


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2015

CONTENIDO DE FIGURAS

#$%&'( 1) D*+,'$-,$./ * S$+ *3() 5

#$%&'( 2) R*+&3*/ * E/ $ ( *+)

#$%&'( ") R*+&3*/ * (+ L ,(,$ /*+)

#$%&'( 4) E+ ( * (+ */ $ ( *+)

#$%&'( 5) E+ ( * (+ ,(,$ /*+)

#$%&'( 6) R*+&3*/ * (+ ,(,$ /*+ 3*7 '( (+) 12

#$%&'( ) R*+&3*/ * (+ */ $ ( *+ 3*7 '( (+) 12

#$%&'( ) R*+&3*/ * E+ ( * (+ */ $ ( *+) 12



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2015

INTRODUCCIÓN

E -'*+*/ * $/8 '3* -'* */ * (' ( , / ,*' + (/9 $+$+ * '*+& ( + : */$ +&'(/ * * *+('' * &/( +$3& (,$./ '*( $;( ( */ (


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DESCRIPCIÓN DEL SISTEMA

E -' ,*+ % + $, -('( ( */ '*%( * + ,< , ( *+ */ ( *3-'*+(CHO=ORICA? +* *+,'$:* ( , / $/&(,$./

L + , $*/ *+ *8*, (/ * -* $ * *8./$,(3*/ * ( ( 8$,$/( * */ (+ ( ,&( (3(' ( $/8 '3(,$./ @&* +&3$/$+ '( ( '*( $;(/ &/( ' */ * -* $ ( -(+(/ (

( 3(,F/? * ( 3(,F/ */ (/ + ,< , ( *+ ( $/+-*,,$./ -('( *'$8$,(' * :&*/

*+ ( * -' &, ? *+-&F+ -(+(/ ( *-(' (3*/ * *3-(@&* &*% (*, '(,$./> 8$/( 3*/ * */ *+-(,< *'$8$,(/ ( ' */ 7&/ , / * , / */$ *-* $ */ (/ ( , $*/ *)

#$%&'( 1) D*+,'$-,$./ * S$+ *3()#&*/ * M * * +$3& (,$./ 24 * , &:'* * 2015 ) C(+ ( M* $++()



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2015

PROGRAMACIÓN DEL MODELO



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ANÁLISIS DE RESULTADOS

A '( F+ * + '*+& ( + : */$ + */ * -' ,*+ * +$3& (,$./ +* :+*' ( ,.38&*' / ( */ $ (+ &/ ( * 150 */ $ ( *+ @&* -(+(' / , ''*, (3*/ * - ' ,( (&/( * (+ ,(,$ /*+ - (/ *( (+ -('( * 8&/,$ /(3$*/ * +$+ *3(? */ &/

$*3- * " ?04 < '(+ / * ,( ( */ $ ( +* (' (:( (-' J$3( (3*/ * 1 ? 1< '(+ */ ' * +$+ *3() #$%&'( 2)

P('( - *' $ */ $8$,(' / * +* %*/*'( '* '(+ */ * -' ,*+ */ ' * +$+ *3(?8&* /*,*+('$ * ( &(' ( ,( ( &/( * (+ ,(,$ /*+? @&* / + -*'3$ $. , / ,*' */,&9 * (+ * (-(+? (+ */ $ ( *+ +* 3(' / 3( ' $*3- ? : */$*/ ++$%&$*/ *+ '*+& ( +

C&(/ */ '( &/( (3( ( ( ( *3-'*+( *+ ( *:* *+-*'(' ( '* * ' * 5 ?113$/& + -('( +*' ( */ $ ( */ ( ,(,$./ * */ (+ @&* ,&*/ ( , / &/( ,(-(,$ (-('( ( */ *' (/ + 5 (3( (+ ( ( *; ,(+$ /(/ @&* -*'3(/*;,(/ ( (*+-*'(


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2015

D*+-&F+ * ( *+,'$-,$./ (/ *'$ ' +* -&* * * &,$' @&* */ ' * +$+ *3( +

,< , ( *+ -*'3(/*,*/ &/ 4?"2K * $*3- */ *+-*'(? &/ 4?1"K */ -*'(,$./ &/ 1?55K : @&*( () #$%&'( 4) A *39+? +* -&* * *,$' @&* ,(+$ (+ (+

,(,$ /*+ * +$+ *3( -*'3(/*,*/ */ 39+ * 60K (, (+? *J,*- &(/ (,(,$./ @&* , ''*+- / * ( ( 8$ ( * *3-(@&* @&* -*'3(/*,* &/ 2?16K (, (

* ? 4K ,&-( () #$%&'( 5)

#$%&'( 2) R*+&3*/ * E/ $ ( *+)#&*/ * M * * +$3& (,$./ 24 * , &:'* * 2015 ) C(+ ( M* $++()

#$%&'( ") R*+&3*/ * (+ L ,(,$ /*+)#&*/ * M * * +$3& (,$./ 24 * , &:'* * 2015 ) C(+ ( M* $++()



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2015

#$%&'( 4) E+ ( * (+ */ $ ( *+#&*/ * M * * +$3& (,$./ 24 * , &:'* * 2015 ) C(+ ( M* $++()

#$%&'( 5) E+ ( * (+ ,(,$ /*+)#&*/ * M * * +$3& (,$./ 24 * , &:'* * 2015 ) C(+ ( M* $++()



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PROPUESTA DE MEJORA

U/( *; (/( $;( + + '*+& ( + * -' ,*+ @&* (, &( 3*/ * +* * ( ( ,(: */( *3-'*+( CHO=ORICA -('( * *+-(,< * + -* $ + ( + , $*/ *+? +*, /, & * @&* * '*-'*+(3$*/ +* -' &,* */ ( 8$ ( @&* , / &,* ( ( ,(,$./ **3-(@&* -&*+ * *3-(,( *+ * -' ,*+ @&* 39+ $*3- 3( ,&*/ ( , /3& - ,( ,(-(,$ ( )

P('( 3*7 '(' * -' ,*+ * *+-(,< +*


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PROGRAMACIÓN PROPUESTA DE MEJORA



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CONCLUSIONES

S* , /, & * @&* ( -' -&*+ ( * 3*7 '( - (/ *( ( *+ ( ( *,&( ( - '@&* (-(' ** %*/*'(' &/ (< '' (-' J$3( * "1 < '(+ * -' ,*+ ? -' *, ( &/('*/ (:$ $ ( 3( ' -('( ( *3-'*+(? ( ( ( - ' &/$ ( * -' &,$' * : * *-' &, + */ &/ + ( %*/*'(/ %'(/ *+ $/%'*+ + ( CHO=ORICA> S$*/39+ *+-*, 8$, + +* * &,* @&* *+ (3 + (< ''(/ &/ ( * 15 < '(+ */ ( 8$ (

* *3-(@&* / * &/( ( $ ( * 1"0 */ $ ( *+ @&* *+ (:(/ $+ + -('( +*' *3-(,( + *+(-' *,

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