09-10-26 Presentation EU ORCL MySQL

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    European Concerns AboutOracle Acquiring Sun's MySQL

    Florian Mueller

    EU Policy StrategistAdviser to Monty Program Ab(a company founded by MySQL's creator)

    Press conference in Silicon Valley 10/26Analyst briefing in New York City 10/27

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    Florian Mueller BackgroundPart I

    1985 (age 15): articles for computer magazines

    1986 (age 16): youngest computer book author

    1987-1998: consultant and representative focus on licensing and distribution partnerships

    between Californian and European companies

    Berkeley Softworks GeoWorks (traded as GWRX;outperformed every other geographic market incl US)

    Knowledge Adventure (Bill Gross, Steven Spielberg)

    Davidson & Associates (traded as DAVD), acqu by CUC

    Blizzard Entertainment: Warcraft II became #1 in

    Germany, first time for Blizzard to top a sell-thru ranking

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    Florian Mueller BackgroundPart II

    1996-2000: founded, managed and sold startup

    2001-2008: MySQL First meeting (March 2001) in co-founder's kitchen

    2001-2004: Adviser (on strategy matters) to the CEO

    From 2004 on: Shareholder

    2004-2006: patent policy campaigns consistentlysupported by MySQL (and additional sponsors)

    Multiple awards and nominations to rankings(Economist/European Voice; Managing IP; CNET etc.)

    2007: Real Madrid CF, EU competition policy

    Often interrupted: own development project

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    Role in Oracle/Sun/MySQL Process

    No involvement with US DOJ process

    Mid-August: authored position paper, helpedwith questionnaire replies and EC conf call

    Then focused on own project again, but stayedin contact with Monty Program on friendly basis

    Announcement of new involvement: last week

    Information effort in response to misinformation Involvement with processes in otherjurisdictions possible, not always announced

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    MySQL: new market disruptor andlow-end disruptor

    New market: dynamic web pages

    Code base geared toward data warehousing,strenghts/weaknesses profile good for web

    Linux, Apache, MySQL, PHP/Perl: LAMP stack

    Non-transactional until 2001 storage engines

    SAP technology partnership in 2003 (SAP DB)

    Version 5.x tree (2005-2009): storesprocedures, triggers, views, informationschemata, cursors, XML...

    MySQL Cluster real-time carrier-grade DB

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    Low-end disruptor MySQL(chart downloaded from Wikipedia, author: Megapixie)

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    Competitive Situation

    General-purpose vs. single-purpose databases

    Cross-platform vs. single.platform databases

    Lock-in: DB switching costs only justifiable forfundamental cost savings over time

    Open source: MySQL strong community ANDcommercial following, no competitor has both

    Migrations, design wins, price competition Functionality, reliability, scalability, credibility

    Competing across all segments, synergies

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    Destruction Ratio

    Then-CEO Mrten Mickos according to Forbes(February 2004): Software has been overglorified for 20 years. You've

    been able to overcharge for underperforming software mission: turning the $10-billion-a-year database

    business into a $1 billion one

    Internally: for every $10 of Oracle revenue that

    we destroy we make $1 of MySQL revenue Construction value = $1 billion to Sun

    Destruction value from Oracle perspective = ...

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    Company (Not Community) Project

    Intellectual Property Rights (IPRs) of the core(database engine and other key elements)created or acquired by company

    Testing and word-of-mouth most importantcommunity contributions, plus smaller tools

    Further innovation of complex DB engine (core)requires significant # of full-time developers

    IPR comparison with Red Hat: MySQL brandvs. not owning Linux brand; core vs. fringe

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    Revenue Model

    10%: professional services; not too scalable

    IPRs allow higher prices, lower marketing costs

    90%: dependent on non-open-source licensing

    Dual licensing same codes different rights/oblig's:

    embedding of MySQL code into other products not boundto share-alike obligation of Free Software GPL;

    quid pro quo: if you are open source, then we are;

    if you are commercial, then we are, too Subscriptions (MySQL Enterprise):

    MySQL + proprietary tools linked to professional services

    Non-open-source tools are the essential differentiator

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    Forking: Legal But Not Viable

    Fork vendor needs to establish a new brand,difficult to find any such success story ever

    Dual-licensing only a possibility for IPR owner

    Subscription business would lack differentiation Developing alternatives to proprietary tools would

    take time/$ and the result would

    either have to be open source (thus no differentiation) or depend on a commercial license from IPR owner

    Effectively, multiple forks would compete foronly about 10% of the opportunity (services)

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    Only divestiture sustainsvirtuous circle

    IPRS

    revenues

    development (company, not community)

    more IPRs and all over again

    Monty: different home than Oracle, a homewhere there will be no conflicts of interest

    concerning how, of if, MySQL should bedeveloped further

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    Behavorial Remedies andOracle Promises Not Helpful

    FAQ in April: MySQL just addition, no details

    Statements on R&D investment only deep intophase II of EU regulatory process

    R&D promises don't mean effective competition

    Regulators prefer structural over behavioralremedies

    Oracle won't be the turkey that votes for Xmas Only separate commercial entity will use

    MySQL to compete with Oracle ever more

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    EU Process

    Phase I decision: EC press release (3 Sep)didn't mention any other area of concern

    Phase II: deadline for EC decision (unless

    extended by 15, 20 or 35 days): 19 Jan 2010 EC will need to decide soon (if it hasn't already)

    whether it issues Statement of Objections

    EC spokesman reproached Oracle for failure toact constructively

    Oracle can end process anytime with remedies

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    Thank you!

    For further information:[email protected]